Alpha Bank Strategy Update - Investor presentation November 2019

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Alpha Bank Strategy Update - Investor presentation November 2019
Alpha Bank
Strategy Update
2020 – 2022
Investor presentation
November 2019
Alpha Bank Strategy Update - Investor presentation November 2019
Our vision for the
future
Vassilios E. Psaltis, CEO

                            2
Alpha Bank Strategy Update - Investor presentation November 2019
From         To
                                                      Real GDP restored to stable and
                                                      positive growth rate                0.7%        ~2.0%
The Greek economy has                                 Real GDP average annual growth, %   2015-2018   2020-2022

entered a sustainable
growth trajectory                                     Declining unemployment              25%         14.5%
                                                      Unemployment rate, %
                                                                                          2015        2022

                                                      Disposable income on the rise
                                                      Disposable income, average annual   0.4%        2.5-3.0%
                                                      growth %                            2015-2018   2020-2022

                                                      Real estate market restarting
                                                      House Price Index, average annual
                                                                                          -1.7%       3.5-4.0%
                                                      growth %                            2015-2018   2020-2022

SOURCE: ELSTAT, Economist Intelligence Unit, ECB,EC                                                          3    3
New policy mix and reforms aim to push for faster economic growth

Key areas of reform                                                                     Market momentum
Already                          22% average reduction in the real estate tax (ENFIA)   Commercial Real Estate prices                                                         Net FDI1 in Real Estate
                                                                                        Index 2010 = 100                                                                      EUR bn
completed
                                 Corporate income tax rate from 28% to 24%                                                                                        1.1
                                                                                        100                      Retail price index        Net FDI1 in RE                                          1.2
                                                                                         95                      Office price index                                                                1.0
                                 Dividend tax rate reduced by half to 5%
                                                                                         90                                                                                                  86    0.8
                                                                                         85                                                                                                        0.6
                                 Elimination of capital controls                                                                                      0.4               79
                                                                                         80                                                                                                        0.4
                                                                                                                            0.2               0.2
                                                                                         75                0.1                        0.2                                                          0.2
                                                                                              0.1    0.1
                                 A new growth (investment incentives) law
                                                                                         70                                                                                                        0
                                                                                              2010   11    12       13      14        15       16      17         18    19   20        21   2022
To be                            40% discount on building upgrades
                                                                                        Greek 10year bond spread and ASE index
completed                                                                                                           Bond spread, bps (LHS)              ASE, index (RHS)
soon                                                                                    500                                                                                                        1,000
                                 Asset Protection Scheme for NPLs (Hercules)                                                                                                                       800
                                                                                        400                                                                                        +42%
                                                                                                                                                                                                   600
                                                                                        300                      60%
                                 Flagship investments and privatizations                                                                                                                           400
                                                                                        200                                                                                                        200
                                                                                        100                                                                                                      0
                                 3-year VAT suspension on new building permits             Jan             Mar                    May                       Jul              Sep              Nov

1   Foreign Direct Investments

                                                                                                                                                                                   4
Negative interest rate environment over the medium term

At the same time, we are
                             Pressure on spreads, especially for large corporates that
operating in a challenging   can access capital markets directly
market context
                             Rising expectations for better customer experience that is
                             seamless across all channels

                             Commoditization of banking services, with digital attackers
                             competing for part of the profit pools of banks

                             Increased regulatory and compliance pressure

                                                                          5               5
Alpha Bank will build upon a set of strong assets to return to
sustainable profitability

                                                                           Utilize our market-leading capital position1 in quantum and quality for
                                                                                 decisive NPE resolution, within comfortable capital envelope

                      Empower our committed, loyal and motivated                                                                                            Mobilize change with a new, talented management team
                        employees, to drive innovation and execution

     Capitalize on our brand which stands for credibility and
                                                                                                                                                            Drive the NPE resolution agenda leveraging our proven
      reliability2, combining with a unique customer experience
                                                                                                                                                            expertise in successful transactions3
                                                        offering

        Further penetrate our large customer base of ~3.1mn                                                                                                 Increase cost efficiency, building on our successful track
      customers, increasing average product holding from 1.3 to                                                                                             record and expertise in cost reduction, achieving 20%
                         2.5 in line with European peer average                                                                                             reduction over the past 5 years

                                                                  Build on our competitive advantage in selected customer segments and products
                                                                  ▪ Award winner for best Private Banking and Affluent Banking offering
                                                                  ▪ Market leader in credit cards
                                                                  ▪ Proven expertise in Structured Finance
                                                                  ▪ Traditionally the bank of choice for Corporate customers
1 Based on CET1 2019 Q2 disclosed figures
2 Based on customer survey among Alpha Bank customers, March 2019. "Reliability" ranks as the top attribute that customers relate to the Alpha Bank brand
3 EUR 3.5bn of successfully executed NPE portfolio transactions to date

                                                                                                                                                                                                         6
Our vision for Alpha Bank for 2022

         Customers
         Be the preferred Bank in Greece for our target segments, offering best-in-class
         customer experience

         Shareholders
         Achieve market-leading efficiency and profitability, through a combination of targeted
         growth and cost efficiency

         Employees
         Strengthen our organizational effectiveness by developing a strong meritocratic culture
         and appropriate governance structures

                                                                                           7
From         To
                                                                                                                    Q3 2019      2022

                                                                    Decisive de-risking of
                                                                                              NPE ratio1            44%
We have identified tangible value creation levers,
which we will use to deliver value to our shareholders

                          1                                                       2                                                      3

Project Galaxy                                              Operating model                                       Customer-centric growth

            ~Up to EUR 12bn NPE                                       ~EUR 120mn (>10%) reduction in                        Increase penetration from 1.3 to
            securitization, ~EUR 7bn                                  total Group cost from 2019E to                        ~2.5 products per customer
            servicing outsourcing, and NPE                            2022 through branch network and
            platform carve-out to                                     central function optimization, NPE

                                                                                                                                                                  ~9%
                                                                      cost reduction and G&A discipline                     Increase NPS3 by 15-20p.p.
            independent entity

            Group CoR from 200bps1 in 9M                                                                                    EUR 14bn of new disbursements
            2019 down to
We will decisively reduce NPEs through a large scale transaction within
a comfortable capital envelope

Project                                                         i                                                             ii                                             iii
Galaxy                          Front-loaded, substantial NPE reduction                                 Carve-out of NPE platform and outsourcing of      Hive-down of core banking assets and
                                through a large securitization transaction                              servicing to independent entity in order to       liabilities to a new Banking entity
                                                                                                        support Galaxy and business model efficiency

                                ▪ Securitization of up to EUR 12 bn Retail and                          ▪ Cepal Hellas as carve-out vehicle 2             ▪ Creation of Holdco and spin off of banking
                                  Wholesale NPEs using the Hercules Asset                                                                                   business into a new entity in line with market
                                                                                                        ▪ Appropriate execution capacity and
                                  Protection Scheme (HAPS)                                                                                                  precedents
                                                                                                          expertise deployed on the NPE book resolution
                                ▪ Immediate de-risking of the balance sheet                             ▪ Management team with proven track record
                                  and strong positive effect on Cost of Risk
                                  post de-consolidation                                                 ▪ Compliance with SRT3 requirements
              1                                                                                         ▪ Enhanced flexibility in NPE cost management,
                                ▪ Transaction execution well within a
                                  controlled capital envelope                                             due to the outsourced servicing of the NPE
                                                                                                          platform
                                ▪ Execution within the first half of 2020

                                                                 NPL1 ratio                               NPE1 ratio                    CAD ratio                  CoR

                                                                 ~10%                                     ~20%                           ~16%
Our operating model will be transformed to radically improve
productivity and efficiency

Operating                                                                                                   Recurring Group Opex
model                                                                                                       EUR mn
                                    NPE management
                           a        ▪ NPE operations carved-out
                                    ▪ Achieve cost reduction in line with NPE deleveraging
                                                                                                                1,077

                                    Operating model efficiency
                                    ▪ New cost governance framework                                                                   -11%
                                    ▪ Zero-based end-to-end process re-engineering/ Automation
            2                       ▪ Internal demand management
                           b        ▪ Outsourcing                                                                              ~960
                                    ▪ Further reduction of our property and facility management expenses
                                    ▪ Reduction of outsourcing costs

                                    Branch network
                                    ▪ Complete the successful transaction migration program
                           c        ▪ Shift simple sales and servicing activities to alternative channels
                                    ▪ Remove administrative tasks from branches
                                                                                                               2019E1          2022
                                    ▪ Further rationalize footprint

1   Annualized 9M 2019 Group OpEx

                                                                                                                              11
We will put our customers at the center of what
we do

Customer-                                                            … what we will do to cover their
centric growth                    What our customers need…           needs                                           Key targets

                                  a   Fast and reliable service
                                                                     Make customer satisfaction a strategic
                                                                     priority
                                                                                                                          Highest NPS1 among
                                                                                                                          Greek banks

                                                                     Redesign our back-office operations to
                                      Seamless omnichannel           increase efficiency and reduce response              Reduce onboarding time
                                  b   experience with digital
                                      product and service offering
                                                                     times                                                by ~85%

             3
                                                                     Digitally transform key customer                     Significantly reduce
                                                                     journeys                                             time-to-yes and time-to-
                                      Proactive, customized value
                                  c   proposition to individual
                                      needs
                                                                                                                          money through STP2 and
                                                                                                                          machine-assisted digital
                                                                     Remove non-value-added activities,                   underwriting
                                                                     increasing client-facing time

                                      Deep expertise and high-                                                            Migrate majority of
                                                                     Instill cross-functional, agile collaboration
                                  d   quality relationship
                                      management for
                                                                     models to enable fast delivery and quick
                                                                     response to client needs
                                                                                                                          products and servicing to
                                                                                                                          digital channels
                                      complex needs

1   Net Promoter Score
2   Straight Through Processing

                                                                                                                                     12
Business Banking: A revamped product and service offering through an
efficient service model and rigorous capital profitability management
Greek Operations
Customer-
centric growth             Key areas of focus for businesses                Key figures                             Corporate, SME and Structured
                                                                            Gross new disbursements                 Finance disbursements
                               Provide an enhanced digital offering:        EUR mn                                  % of disbursements by sector
                               ▪ Enhance digital product portfolio (e.g.,
                           a     transaction banking)
                               ▪ Reinforce web banking platform                                                     Other
                               ▪ Digitize/ automate credit process                2,800             2,900           Energy            EUR 9bn
                                                                                                                    Hospitality     22%
                                                                                                                                            9%
                                                                                                                    Retail/Trade    19%
                               Streamline our service model, simplifying
                                                                                                                    Manufacturing       20%
             3             b   our frontline and back-office processes,
                               improving customer experience and                                                    and Industry         31%
                               increasing client-facing RM1 time                  2018          2019-22 annual                       2019-2022

                                                                            RM time spent in client-related      Fee and commission revenue
                               Deliver rigorous management of portfolio
                                                                            activities                           EUR mn
                               profitability:
                               ▪ Increase share of wallet in                                         50-60%                             ~170
                                 underpenetrated high-potential corporate                                               120
                           c     groups in line with Risk Appetite
                               ▪ Increase synergies with Investment
                                                                                   30%

                                 Banking and Capital Markets for high-
                                 value customers                                  Alpha            European             2018             2022
                               ▪ Manage fee leakage                               Bank            Benchmark

1   Relationship Manager

                                                                                                                                    13
Individuals Banking: a cost efficient, digitally-enabled value
proposition; focus on high potential under-penetrated segments
Greek Operations
Customer-
centric growth     Key areas of focus for individuals                Key figures
                       Serve all customers through a low-cost,       Gross new disbursements             Bancassurance & asset management
                       digital (mobile)-first, lean core offering,   EUR mn                              revenue, EUR mn
                       which caters to the needs of most                                     ~600                                  ~80
                       customers and delivers scalability:
                   a   ▪ Launch digital sales customer
                                                                            200
                                                                                                                 40
                         journeys for mortgages, consumer
                         loans, and credit cards
                       ▪ Digitize/ automate credit process                 2018         2019-22 annual         2018                2022
      3
                       Focus on high-value customers (Private,       Opportunity to increase product penetration
                       Affluent, and credit-worthy/ high-value
                       Mass) combining our strong brand with         Penetration of mortgages in mass    Investments/ AuM for Affluent
                       tailored value propositions added on top      customers
                       of the lean core offering:
                                                                                            8-15%                                 40-50%
                   b   ▪ Use Advanced Analytics through a
                          Center of Excellence to identify
                          underpenetrated credit-worthy customer           3.4%
                          segments                                                                              6.4%
                       ▪ Revise retail product offering based
                          on customer needs                                Alpha           European            Alpha              European
                                                                           Bank           Benchmark            Bank              Benchmark

                                                                                                                            14
International presence to benefit from disciplined capital allocation
across jurisdictions, with Romania the key contributor of growth
Targets for 2022
                                                                                                                                                                                     Target RoE

9%
                                                                                                                                                                                     Target CAD
                                                                                Romania                                               Albania
                                                                                Advance to Tier 1 bank status1
                                                                                                                                      ▪   Retain a self-funded and profitable position
                                                                                ▪   Take advantage of high growth environment         ▪   Focus on maximizing value contribution to the Group
                                                                                    driven by convergence to EU levels of financial       and review strategic direction
                                                                                    intermediation                                    ▪   Spur growth in both Wholesale and Retail segments
Overall target RoE for                                                          ▪   Increase retail client base by enhancing our
                                                                                    product and service offering and digital               ~8%          ~17%
international subsidiaries                                                          transformation
                                                                                ▪   Increase SME revenue through a new sales          Cyprus
                                                                                    approach and fee income focus
                                                                                ▪   Strengthen Wholesale topline through an           ▪   Restart the good bank through new loan production
                                                                                    enhanced product and service offering                 and enhance profitability through operational
                                                                                ▪   Leverage strong capital position to explore           efficiency
                                                                                    consolidation options                             ▪   Leverage strategic partnerships to clean NPE book
                                                                                                                                      ▪   Focus on maximizing deployed capital productivity

                                                                                                                                          ~10%          ~19%

                                                                                                                                      Luxembourg & UK
                                                                                                                                      ▪   Support the wealth management business of the
                                                                                                                                          group
                                                                                                                                      ▪   Optimize operating model

                                                                                    >10%          ~19%                                     ~9%          ~18%

1 Tier 1 banks in Romania defined as top 7 banks with >5% assets market share

                                                                                                                                                                             15
We have appointed a new management team and strengthened our
corporate governance

Organizational
effectiveness                      Management team1
                                                                                                                             Chief Executive Officer                                                                           General Manager
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Member of the
                                                                                                                                     V. Psaltis                                                                                Executive Committee

                                                                                                                                                           Growth & Innovation

                                                                                                                                                                S. Filaretos
                                                                                                 Chief Human Resources
                                                                                                     Officer (CHRO)
                                                                                                       F. Melissa2                                         Communication &
             4                                                                                                                                            External Engagement
                                                                                                                                                                G. Terzis

                             Chief Operating           Retail Banking             Wholesale                  Non-                 Chief Financial             Chief Risk              Chief Legal              International            Chief
                                 Officer                                           Banking                 Performing                 Officer                  Officer                    and                    Network            Transformation
                                                                                                             Loans                                                                    Governance                                        Officer
                                                                                                                                                                                        Officer                                       Soon to be
                               S. Filaretos               I. Passas                I. Emiris            A. Theodoridis         L. Papagaryfallou          S. Andronikakis             N. Salakas               S. Oprescu             announced

                                    New management team                                                                                                         Governance
                                    ▪ New CEO                                                                                                                   ▪ Clear delegation of authority from the BoD to the CEO and
                            a       ▪ New members in the top management team with proven
                                      experience
                                                                                                                                                         b        from the CEO to the management team
                                                                                                                                                                ▪ Redefined structure and role of governance committees to
                                    ▪ New organizational structure in line with our new strategy                                                                  enable faster decision-making
1 The following divisions, also reporting to the CEO, not depicted: CEO office, Internal Audit, Economic Research
2 F. Melissa will assume her role in early 2020. Until then P. Konidari will continue serving the Bank as Executive General Manager of Human Resources. Thereafter, she will be appointed Senior Advisor to the CEO

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               16
We have implemented changes that will empower our people and
promote a performance-based culture

Organizational
effectiveness
                 a   Strengthened     New performance scorecards for management team, connected to
                     performance      a variable remuneration scheme
                     management       Clear accountability and ownership of targets, continuous
                                      monitoring, and consequence management

                                      Financial performance measurement in a Value-Based-
      4                               Management basis

                 b   Enhanced         Special focus on attracting and managing talent (~150 new hires
                     employee value   per year)

                     proposition      Revamped value proposition around compensation, benefits,
                                      career opportunities and work environment
                                      New ways of working that promote empowerment, bottom-up
                                      innovation, transparency, and trust
                                      Structured communication plan that relays our mission and values
                                      to our employees

                                                                                           17
We are setting up a dedicated Transformation Office to deliver our
Strategy Plan

Transformation Office
A Chief Transformation Officer (CTO), member of the Executive Committee will soon be appointed to oversee the delivery of
the transformation program.
A Transformation Office of 10-15 senior dedicated members with technical expertise will support the CTO.

Key pillars of the transformation program

a                                      b                                   c
Detailed transformation plan           Performance governance              Change management plan

~30 workstreams with detailed          ▪ Dedicated performance             ▪ Compelling change story shared based on a multi-
initiatives, targets and milestones,    monitoring infrastructure            channel communication plan
led by the respective business         ▪ Weekly meetings at top-           ▪ Leadership development program for top management
owners                                  management level                   ▪ Targeted initiatives aiming at cultural shifts and new
                                                                             way of working
                                                                           ▪ Reinforcement of a performance culture, promoting
                                                                             meritocracy and accountability, linking performance
                                                                             to incentives

                                                                                                                    18
Strategy Update:
Financial
performance
Lazaros A. Papagaryfallou, CFO

                                 19
The three pillars of performance re-rating

Key components of the
strategy                                   Key areas of improvement
▪ Up-front de-risking of our               CoR, bps     2001
Overview of our NPE acceleration plan (project Galaxy)

Project
Galaxy
                                                       Alpha Bank AE
                                                                                                                                                                 Non-Core NPEs – Project Galaxy
                                                                                                                                                            i
                                   iii          100%                Hive-down                                                                                                      Mortgage loans

                                                                                                                    Senior SPV notes                                               Retail Secured
                                                      “New” Alpha Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                     Wholesale
                                                              DTC                                                                                                                 Retail Unsecured
                                         Performing assets              Core NPEs
                                                                                                           New CEPAL (Servicer)                                                           Mezzanine/Junior
             11                                                                                       ii                                                Servicing                         SPV notes

                                                                                                                                  Carve-out                                         Investor(s)
                                                                                                              CEPAL
                                                                                    Servicing                                      platform             Controlling
                                                                                      SLA                                                                 stake

                                                                                       ▪ Alpha Bank to sell up to EUR 12bn portfolios of non-core mixed type NPEs to 3rd party investors primarily via securitization
                                          Non-Core NPEs – Project                        SPVs
                                   i
                                          Galaxy                                       ▪ Alpha Bank to apply for HAPS guarantee for senior notes to be retained

                                                                                       ▪ Investors to acquire a controlling stake in New Cepal, an entity consisting of Alpha Bank’s existing NPE management platform
                                                                                         and Cepal Hellas S.A.1
                                   ii     New CEPAL (Servicer)
                                                                                       ▪ Alpha Bank to enter into long-term SLA with New Cepal for the servicing of its Core NPEs
                                                                                       ▪ New Cepal to continue to service existing and newly acquired portfolios for investors

                                                                                       ▪ Hive-down of Alpha Bank’s core operations to new 100%-owned subsidiary
                                  iii     Hive-down

1 Cepal Hellas to become 100% owned by Alpha Bank control prior to the sale to a 3rd party investor

                                                                                                                                                                                                         21
Decisive action on Non-Core NPEs to reach SSM
targets well ahead of plan
Bank perimeter in Greece
Project
Galaxy
                                     NPE ratio1, %          44.1                                                                     ~20
                                     NPL ratio1, %          27.8                                                                     ~10           Alpha Bank intends
                                     NPE stock,            18.9                                                                                    to apply to the
                                     EUR bn                                             ~0.5
                                                                                                               Up to 12
                                                                                                                                                   recently approved
                                                                                                                                                   Hercules Asset
                                                                                                                                       ~7          Protection Scheme
              1i                                          Q3 2019             Further reduction          Securitization           Pro forma for    (HAPS) for up to
                                                                                   in 2019                                        securitization
                                                                                                                                                   EUR 3.7bn of
                                                           16%            15%
                                                                                                                  25%     Project Galaxy
                                                                                                                                                   guarantees on senior
                                                          2%                                                                                       notes
                                                         10%                                                              NPE securitization
                        54%
                                                                                                                          ▪ Size: Up to EUR
                                                   46%                            39%          75%                          12bn
                                                          18%
                                                                                                                          ▪ Type: Mixed
                                     Individuals           Consumer    Corporate                     90 dpd                January 2020
                                                           SBL         SMEs

1   Basis for ratio includes senior notes

                                                                                                                                                            22
Transaction opens clear path towards an NPE ratio
Improved quality of retained NPE portfolio will be a key component of
the value creation strategy
Bank perimeter in Greece
Project       Transformation plan materially
Galaxy        addressing high risk areas...                 …resulting in a significantly better portfolio quality
                                                                      Retail NPEs                     Wholesale NPEs

             Evolution of total portfolio,                   Galaxy           Core             Galaxy               Core
             % pro forma change for transaction, based on    perimeter        perimeter        perimeter            perimeter
             H1 2019
                                                                    14%

                                        -73%
                                                                                                                                       90 dpd
             >90 days due                                                                                                   68%
                                                               86%
      1i

                                        -75%
                                                                                                                                       Non-denounced
             Denounced                                               36%       31%                                    25%              Denounced
                                                                                                44%
             exposures                                        64%                                     56%
                                                                                         69%                                75%

                                                                                    9%

                                        -84%
                                                                                                                                       Non-L.3869
             Retail exposures                                 34%
                                                                                                                                       L.3869
             under L.3869                                            66%                                   Not applicable
                                                                                     91%

                                                                                                                                  24
Cost of Risk is expected to be significantly reduced post transaction

Project                       Main driver of Cost of Risk is the management of troubled assets, we therefore expect Cost of Risk
Galaxy                        normalization in line with NPE ratio reduction
                              Group Cost of Risk, bps                                                                 Group NPE ratio2, %
                              250                              Galaxy                                                                    50
                                            ~46                                                                          NPE ratio2
                                                                                                                         Cost of Risk    40
                              200
                                           ~200
             1i               150                                                                                                        30
Creating a market-leading servicer by combining the capabilities of
Alpha Bank’s and CEPAL’s servicing platforms

Project
            CEPAL                                                             Alpha Bank        Servicing Platform
Galaxy
                                                                                                A Leading servicer in the market with:
           First licensed servicer by the Bank of    Established platform with wide             ▪ End-to-end servicing capability, meeting HAPS
           Greece (2016)                             resource base covering all asset classes     requirements
                                                                                                ▪ Top caliber management team with significant
                                                                                                  experience in NPE management
           Scaled multi-customer platform with       Specialized capacity for Retail and
           >10 NPL portfolio migrations from 3       Wholesale banking portfolio, tailored      ▪ Unique proposition in Greece and proven track
                                                                                                  record in joint servicing of Banking and investor
           systemic Banks                            around performance strategies
                                                                                                  owned NPL portfolios
                                                                                                ▪ Scalable capacity to manage additional business
     1ii   Extensive local experience in servicing   Nationwide footprint through NPL Hubs,
                                                                                                A well diversified portfolio of up to EUR 27bn and a
           both Secured (55%) and Unsecured (45%)    branches and a wide network of external
           NPL portfolios                            vendors                                    clear set of objectives

                                                                                                Portfolio         AuM       Mandate
           Diversified client base and fully         Robust data analytics framework and                                    Deliver securitization
           customized solutions per portfolio,       portfolio segmentation tools, allowing a   Galaxy            c.12bn    business plan
           oriented around recovery maximization     fully customer-centric approach
                                                                                                                            Deliver investor value
                                                                                                3rd party         c.8bn
                                                                                                                            and develop business
           Advanced IT infrastructure including      Fully autonomous platform including
           featuring an internally developed data    operational support functions (credit                                  Achieve SSM targets with
                                                                                                Core              c.7bn
           warehouse with detailed reporting &       operations, legal support etc.)                                        focus on re-performance
           decision making tools                                                                                          Monetize RE assets
                                                                                                REO               c.0.5bn through holistic asset
                                                                                                                          management

                                                                                                                                    26
Maintaining strong capital ratios and ample buffers above
requirements remains core to our strategy

Phase-in of capital requirements vs. capital targets                                                                                 Key capital
Capital as % of RWAs                                                                                                                 management targets
                                                                                De-risking of our
                                                                                balance sheet                ~17.0%
                                                                                should allow                 ~2.0%         Tier 2
                                13.75%                             14.5%        reduction of our
     O-SII                       0.25%                             1.0%         future capital

                                                                                                                                     ~15%
     CCB1                        2.5%                              2.5%         requirements

     Pillar 2R                  3.0%                                3.0%
                                                                                                             ~15.0%        CET1      CET1 ratio

     Pillar 1 (TC)              8.0%                                8.0%

                        2019 requirement                     2022 requirement                              2022 target
                                                                                                                                     ~17%
                                                                                                                                     CAD target
▪   We plan to maintain our CET1 ratio above regulatory minimum levels throughout the period
▪   As part of our focus on capital structure optimization, we will consider filling our Tier 2 bucket of 2% over time, subject to
    market conditions
▪   Alpha Bank is subject to an Other Systemically Important Institution (O-SII) buffer of 1%, phasing-in by 0.25% each year
    from 1 January 2019 to 1.0% on 1 January 2022

1 Capital Conservation Buffer

                                                                                                                                                  27
We will retain a controlled capital buffer above                                                                                                     Tier 2, %   CET1, %

minimum requirements                                                                                                                                    Minimum regulatory
                                                                                                                                                        requirements 2022

RWAs                                     ~47                                                                                                  ~43
EUR bn
                                         18.3%
                                                                                                                     2.4%           2.4%
                                                                                                                                              ~17%
                                                                          3.5%
                                                                                                         ~2.0%                                ~2%

                                                                                                                                                        14.5% (OCR)

                                                                                                                                                        11.0% (CET1)
                                                                                                                                              ~15%

                                 PF Q3 20191                           NPE                        Tier 2 capital Organic capital    IFRS 9    2022
                                                                    transaction                                   generation3      Phase in
                                                                     (Galaxy)2
1   Pro-forma for deconsolidation of Neptune
2   Includes loss from sale of mezzanine and junior notes, gain from sale of servicing platform, RWA relief
3   Including dividend payments (~10% payout ratio) from 2021 onwards, subject to SSM approval

                                                                                                                                                         28
Aiming at bringing Group Opex down building on
proven executional ability

Operating                           Strong track record of reducing Group costs
model                               Group recurring Opex and C/I, EUR mn and %

                         C/I 64%                                  54%     48%     51%            55%      20%

                                                                          1,117
                                                                                  1,097
                                                                                                 1,077
                                                                                                                  Historical
                                                                                                                  decrease
                                                                                                          >10%
                                                                                                                  of cost to
                                                                                                            960
                                                                                                                  income

                                         20131                    2014    2016    2018           2019E2    2022
1   2012 and earlier not comparable due to Emporiki acquisition
2   Annualized 9M 2019 Group OpEx

                                                                                                                        29
Group Opex reduction to ~EUR 960mn will be attained through a
combination of NPE savings and key efficiency levers

Operating               Reduction in Group recurring Opex
model                   EUR mn                                           Main levers of productivity & efficiency enhancement

                        2019E Opex1                              1,077
                                                                         ▪   New cost governance framework: Clear cost ownership and accountability,
                                                                             coupled with redesigned approval process and cost control for G&A
                                                                         ▪   Process efficiency: Zero-based process redesign, removing non-value adding
                        2019 VSS
                                                                             activities
                        already                            ~35
                        captured                                         ▪   IT enablement: Migration to higher cost-efficiency technologies and deployment/
                                                                             integration of IT systems required to automate manual tasks
            2                                                            ▪   Outsourcing: Outsourcing of tasks which the Bank is not best positioned to
                        Net NPE cost                                         deliver efficiently and renegotiation of key existing contracts
                                                     ~35
                        reduction
                                                                         ▪   Demand management: Removal of demand peaks leading to excess capacity
                                                                             requirements
                        Productivity &                                   ▪   Property related expenses: Location consolidation and maintenance cost
                        efficiency             ~50                           rationalization
                        enhancement                                      ▪   Branch network optimization: Selective reduction of footprint from ~430
                                                                             branches in 2018 to ~350 in 2022
                                                                         ▪   Branch network operating model: Migration of transactions and simple sales to
                        2022 Opex        960                                 digital channels and streamlining of in-branch processes

1   Annualized 9M 2019 Group OpEx

                                                                                                                                           30
Businesses: key metrics and levers
Greek Operations, EUR mn
Customer-
centric growth
                          Gross disbursements 2019-22                                  SME and Corporate:
                              3,800            3,800
                                                                                       ▪ Focus credit growth on sectors driving economic growth (60-70% of new disbursements in energy,
                                                               3,200                     hospitality and industry/ manufacturing)
                                                                                       ▪ Increasing RM-time spent in client-related activities from 30% to 60% (European benchmark) through
                                                                                         digitized processes
                                                                              900
                                                                                       Shipping and Structured Finance:
                                                                                       ▪ 20+ years of market-leading expertise
                               SME        Shipping &         Corporate       Small     ▪ Increased activity in newbuilding expected to drive shipping credit growth
                                          Str. Finance                      Business   ▪ Strong pipeline of large scale projects in energy, infrastructure, and real estate sectors
                          Fee and commission revenue                                   Small Business: Grow our market share by:
             3                                                         23      ~170    ▪ Leveraging our premium service model of Gold SB RMs
                                          20             7                             ▪ Targeting specific under-penetrated portfolio subsegments
                              120                                                      ▪ Decreasing time-to-money and improve end-to-end customer experience through a new, digitally-
                                                                                         enabled credit process

                                                                                       F&C from lending activities: Grow in line with loan volumes and reinforce pricing discipline to manage
                                                                                       fee leakage
                             2018      Lending      Payments/ LCs/LGs,          2022
                                       activities    transfers Imports/Exports,        Payments/ transfers: Upgrade our transaction banking product offering in payments and digital
                                                                  and Other            platforms
                          Expected spread evolution, Δ of spread1 vs Q3 2019           Other F&C: Enhance cross-selling of other trade finance products (LG/LC, Import/Exports and other)

                          ~40 bps                            ~60 bps                   Price pressure:
                                                                                       Positive effects of volumes will be coupled with expected pressure on margins, mainly driven by the
                          By 2020                            By 2022                   Corporate and large SME portfolio

1 Spread versus Euribor

                                                                                                                                                                           31
Individuals: key metrics and levers
Greek Operations, EUR mn
Customer-
centric growth
                Gross disbursements 2019-22                             Consumer lending: Increase our market share in new originations:
                                                                        ▪ Underpenetrated customer base (~8% vs. European benchmarks of 9-14%)
                     1,100                                              ▪ Development of fully digital products enabled by digital credit engine
                                         1,000                          ▪ Expansion to new market segments (e.g., used cars)

                                                                        Mortgage lending: Maintain our market share and capturing the market growth:
                                                                        ▪ Underpenetrated customer base (~3.5% vs. European benchmarks of 4.5-7%)
                                                                        ▪ New streamlined, digitally-enabled credit process
                                                                        ▪ Increased REO financing, at the back of growing economy and growing foreign investments in
                                                                          Real Estate
                                                                        ▪ Greek home-owners increasing their investments in real estate, driven by the rising RE price index
      3                                                      200
                                                                        Credit cards: Maintain our market leadership:
                                                                        ▪ Market-leading loyalty program (         )
                   Consumer            Mortgages         Credit Cards   ▪ Capitalizing on our superior product offering

                Bancassurance & asset management revenue                Asset management product revenue
                                                                        ▪ Increase penetration of investments over AuM (currently at 7%) to converge to European
                                                   ~10         ~80        benchmarks
                                 ~30
                                                                        ▪ Capitalize on increased customer appetite for shift of assets to investment products amid a negative
                                                                          interest rate environment
                    40                                                  ▪ Build on our award-winning Private and Affluent banking to capture the expected AuM inflow in the
                                                                          banking system
                                                                        Bancassurance
                                                                        ▪ Maintain bancassurance fee income growth momentum (+17% for 2017-18), by further increasing
                   2018         Asset    Bancassurance         2022       penetration across our customer base
                              management                                ▪ Further enrich our product suite

                                                                                                                                                          32
Net Loan evolution and lending spreads per segment
Bank perimeter in Greece
Customer-
centric growth
              Net Loan evolution, EUR mn          Lending spreads evolution, bps
                                35.0                                           Medium and Large Businesses
                                           32.9                                SBL
              Consumer          3.4
                                           3.6                                 Consumer
                                                  1,000                        Mortgage

                                                   900      862
              Mortgage          12.6       8.9                                                        ~840
      3                                            800
                                                   700
                                           3.0
              SBL               3.2                         579
                                                   600
                                                                                                      ~500
                                                   500
                                                            398
                                                   400                                                ~350
              Medium and
              Large             15.9       17.5    300      251                                       ~230
              Businesses                           200
                                                   100
                                                     0
                              Q3 2019      2022           Q3 2019                                    2022

                                                                                            33
Capital reallocation to the healthy part of the book

Customer-                                             From         To
centric growth                                        Q3 2019      2022

                  Performing exposures & securities

                                                             52%
                                                                          68%
      3
                  NPEs

                                                             31%
                  Tangible assets                                         12%
                                                             3%           5%

                  DTA & Other                                14%          14%

                                                                            34
Despite NPE deleveraging, assets will grow by ~10% through new
lending and investments in securities
EUR bn
Customer-
centric growth
                                                                                                67.1                 ▪ Reduction in Net Loans due
                                                                                         0.4            Net Loans
                                                                                                                       to Project Galaxy and
                                                                                                                       additional core NPE workout
                                                                                   3.0

                                                                                                                     ▪ Targeted growth in
                                                                                                                       performing volumes, driven
                                                                                                                       mainly by business lending
                               61.0                                  4.6
             3
                                                   1.9
                                                                                                                     ▪ Re-leveraging of investment
                                                                                                        Securities     securities to comply with LCR
                                                                                                                       requirements and to support
                                                                                                                       income generation

                                                                                                                     ▪ Galaxy-retained senior note
                              Total           Net loan Securities Senior note Other             Total                  to gradually amortize over the
                             Assets          evolution1              (NPE        Assets        Assets                  period
                              2018                               securitization)                2022

1   Includes loan deleveraging as part of Galaxy project and core NPE management

                                                                                                                                     35
We target to further increase our deposit base by ~EUR 5bn, in line
with expected market growth
Greek operations
Customer-
centric growth                                                                                       Key remarks
                                    LDR2, %                   106                    ~93             ▪   System deposits are increasing due to the restoration of
                                                                                                         customers’ confidence in the banking system, the
                                                                                                         abolishment of capital controls, and favorable
                                                                           +16%1      ~38                macroeconomic conditions
                                                                   33
                                    Deposit                                                          ▪   Alpha Bank has outperformed the market in deposit
                                    volumes                                                              growth over the last year, attracting higher volumes of non-
                                    EUR bn                                           ~60%
                                               Core               57%                                    state deposits than its competitors
                                                                                                     ▪   Last year’s increase was driven by Affluent/ Private and
             3                                 Term               43%                ~40%
                                                                                                         Corporate customers, segments in which we have
                                                                                                         historically been market leaders, and which had
                                                                                                         disproportionately withdrawn deposits during the crisis
                                                                  2018               2022
                                                                                                     ▪   Going forward, we expect to continue gaining our fair
                                                                                     Core    Term        share in deposit attraction
                                                                  90
                                    Deposit                                                          ▪   A large part of the deposit rate decrease expected in 2020
                                    interest                                                             has already been implemented, while deposit volumes
                                                                               ~55                       increased
                                    rates
                                    bps                                                        ~35
                                                      15                 ~10           ~10

                                                           2018            2020             2022
1   20% increase excluding state deposits
2   Basis for ratio includes senior notes

                                                                                                                                                36
Committed to our Digital Transformation program, which is already
delivering results

Customer-                                                                                                                                                                                  Where we want
centric growth                      Program highlights                                       Transformed customer journeys                                                                 to be in 2022
                                                                                             Retail onboarding time                                       Business legalization/
                                              3-year plan aiming at                          minutes                                                      onboarding time, days
                                              transforming the top                                60                                                        10
                                      a       15 customer journeys
                                              and deploying key                                                                                                                    3       >90%
Closing remarks
Vassilios E. Psaltis, CEO

                            38
Our vision for 2022

        Be the preferred Bank in Greece for our target segments, offering best-
        in-class customer experience

        Achieve market-leading efficiency and profitability, through a
        combination of targeted growth and cost efficiency

        Strengthen our organizational effectiveness by developing a strong
        meritocratic culture and appropriate governance structures

                                                                         39
Q&A

      40
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