ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project

 
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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS
         IN THE BALMATT PROJECT
         A Flemish case study

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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
BALMATT GEOTHERMAL PROJECT

        ▪ Exploration of the deep
          geothermal potential in the
          Campine area
        ▪ Lower Carboniferous
          Limestone Group
        ▪ Depth: > 3000 m
        ▪ Local source of heat and
          combined heat and power
        ▪ Technical and economical
          viability
        ▪ Started in 2010

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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
STATUS BALMATT CENTRAL PLANT

        ▪ 3 wells completed and tested
             ▪   Reservoir 3200 – 3600 m
             ▪   Fractured limestone reservoir
             ▪   Production temperature: 121 – 126°C
             ▪   Flow rate: 70 – 150 m3/h
             ▪   Thermal output: 4.500 – 10.000 kW
        ▪ Connection with existing district heating
             ▪ Temperature range: 95 – 70°C
             ▪ Heat demand: 23.000 GWh/y
        ▪ Electricity production
             ▪ Prototype flexible ORC for integration with
               district heating (AC)

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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
TIMING BALMATT GEOTHERMAL PLANT

        ▪ 14/09/2016 – 15/08/2018
             ▪ Drilling and testing of wells
        ▪ 26/11/2018 – 14/05/2019 – Test phase
             ▪ Testing of the installations
             ▪ Production and injection test
        ▪ 14/05/2019 – 21/06/2019
             ▪   Start op of production
             ▪   380 h full load
             ▪   Production temperature: 121°C
             ▪   Injection temperature: 55 – 65°C
             ▪   Output: 4500 kW heating
        ▪ 23/06/2019 – now:
             ▪ Suspension of operations due to earthquake

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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
INVESTIGATION OF SOURCE MECHANISM AND POSSIBLE IMPACT
       ▪ Earthquake of 23 June 2019
           ▪ Peak ground acceleration: 0,11 m/s²
             ▪ Ground velocity: 1,01 mm/s op 30 m
           ▪ Mercalli scale: II – III
       ▪ Adaptations of installations
           ▪ To avoid abrupt shutdown
           ▪ To lower injection pressure
           ▪ To lower the flow rate
       ▪ Test program to evaluate the relation
         between production and seismicity
           ▪ Extension of the seismometer network
           ▪ Adaptation of TLS parameters
           ▪ Modelling and calibration

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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
LEGAL BASIS

        ▪ Flemish decree on the deep subsurface (8 MEI 2009)
             ▪ Art. 2. 41° Ground movement (“bodembeweging”): any movement of the earth that can be
               wholly or partially attributed to activities that are licensed under this decree, or long-term
               soil movement such as subsidence or bottom rise, or short-term ground movement such as
               seismicity.
             ▪ Art. 63/10. 2°: The holder or last holder of a license shall take all measures that can
               reasonably be expected of him to prevent the activities to which the license refers cause
               damage from ground movement.
             ▪ Art. 63/14: In the permit, the Flemish Government can impose the obligation on its holder to
               carry out measurements to estimate the probability of ground movement as a result of the
               licensed activities. The Flemish Government can determine further rules for the
               measurements stated in the first paragraph.
             ▪ Art. 63/25: the holder of a license for geothermal energy is legally obliged to compensate any
               damage caused by the activity to which the license relates.
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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
IMPLEMENTATION IN CASE OF BALMATT

        ▪ Special condition in the environmental permit (“omgevingsvergunning”)
        ▪ Insurance for possible damage due to induced earthquakes
        ▪ Seismic monitoring
             ▪ Stage 1: existing network NIRAS – ROB: detection of seismic events due to injection tests
             ▪ Stage 2: extended network of 7 seismometers as of November 2018
             ▪ Stage 3: extended network of 13 seismometers as of March 2021
        ▪ Continuous measurements linked to TLS
             ▪ Update of TLS based on evaluation event 23/06/2019
        ▪ Plan for test production to better characterize the seismic risk related to deep
          geothermal from Lower Carboniferous Limestone Group near Mol
             ▪ Continuous evaluation of seismic response as a function of production parameters
             ▪ Periodic update of TLS
             ▪ Adding predictive modelling
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ASSESS, MONITOR, AND HANDLE THE SEISMIC RISKS IN THE BALMATT PROJECT - A Flemish case study - GEOENVI project
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TRAFIC LIGHT SYSTEM
                                                        Risk level   Parameter evaluation          Action

        ▪ Aim: avoiding sensible earthquakes                             Magnitude Ml ≤ 1.5;
                                                                                 AND
                                                                         Seismicity rate (for
                                                                                                   Keep operational conditions

                                                                         events Ml>1) ≤1/hr;

        ▪ Based on 4 parameters                                                  AND
                                                                         Event locations

             ▪
                                                                         prograding in SSE or
                  Magnitude                                              NNW direction;
                                                                                 AND
             ▪    Location (epicenter)                                   PGA ≤ 0.02m/s²

             ▪    Number of earthquakes per time unit                    Magnitude Ml>1.5;
                                                                                 OR
                                                                                                   Reduce flow rate with 30%
                                                                                                   (by decreasing frequency of
                                                                         Seismicity rate (for      ESP in steps of 0.1Hz/5min)
             ▪    Ground movement                                        events Ml>1) >1/hr;
                                                                                 OR
                                                                                                               AND
                                                                                                   Report events to listed
                 ▪ Velocity                                              Event locations
                                                                         prograding towards E;
                                                                                                   authorities
                                                                                                               AND
                 ▪ Acceleration                                                  OR
                                                                         Event locations
                                                                                                   Perform further
                                                                                                   seismological analysis by
                                                                         prograding towards W;     external company for all
        ▪ 3 levels                                                               OR
                                                                         PGA > 0.02m/s²
                                                                                                   events with Ml>1

             ▪ Green: continue operations                                Magnitude Ml>2.5;
                                                                                  OR
                                                                                                   Shut down plant (by turning
                                                                                                   off ESP) and shut-in

             ▪ Orange: adapt operations                                  Event locations >
                                                                         500m1 east of
                                                                                                   injection well.
                                                                                                               AND

             ▪ Rood: stop operations
                                                                         injection zone;           Report events to listed
                                                                                  OR               authorities
                                                                         Event locations > 500m                 AND
                                                                         west of injection zone;   Perform further
                                                                                                   seismological analysis by
                                                                                 OR                external company for all
                                                                         PGA > 0.04m/s².           events with Ml>1 before
                                                                                                   any restart of operations

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ACCESS TO DATA AND WAY FOREWARD

       ▪ Quasi real time reporting of seismic
         activity through the project website
       ▪ Monitoring data is transferred
         to/shared with ROB and other
         parties for research
       ▪ Welcome the idea to establish a EU
         code of best practices for seismicity
         monitoring and control
       ▪ Welcome the idea of harmonized
         guidelines of seismic monitoring
         and control based on good practice
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