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Digital Infrastructure for our 'Connected Future' - CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps - CMS Law
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Digital
Infrastructure for our ‘Connected Future’
Global infrastructure report
Digital Infrastructure for our 'Connected Future' - CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps - CMS Law
Portugal                                          Contents                                                                  Foreword
 Digital

                                   Spain
                                                                      03                               Foreword

                                                                      04                               Digital
                                                                                                                                                With digital innovation now firmly at the forefront of our everyday life, interest in the
                                                 UK
                                                                      05                               Interview with Jennifer Smith and        supporting infrastructure has come sharply into focus. Although we have spent much
                                                                                                       Richard Taylor, euNetworks               of the recent past seeking ever-increasing capacity from existing infrastructure, it is
                                                                      06                               In the spotlight: countries to watch     clear that the latest and most hotly-cited innovations will most likely see us cycle back
                UK lags behind in full fibre use: 90%
                in Portugal, 71% in Spain, 4% in UK.
                                                                                                                                                to connectivity as the key enabler of infrastructure development.
                                                                      08                               Interview with Ada Cerne,
                                                                                                       Edmond de Rothschild Asset               There is no debate that fibre reigns supreme when it          might lead to the view that a utility-style approach
                                                                                                       Management                               comes to throughput. The team at euNetworks puts this         provides an answer. It certainly would help address some
                                                                                                                                                as well as anyone – “fibre is and will remain the only        of the shortfalls left from the prevailing, at least in the
                                                                      10                               Investment opportunities in digital      scalable economic solution providing the crucial
                                                                                                                                                underlying foundation to an increasingly connected and
                                                                                                                                                                                                              UK, competition-based approach to infrastructure
                                                                                                                                                                                                              development.
                                                                                                                                                bandwidth hungry world”. This is equally important
                                                                      12                               Interview with Oliver Bradley,
                                                                                                                                                regardless of the platform considered, be it fibre-to-the-    Bigger picture, moving from a vertical integration
                                                                                                       CityFibre                                premises (FTTP), 5G or fixed wireless – with each equally     structure of the industry to a utility-based and open
                                                                                                                                                reliant on a well-connected and diverse fibre                 access model would allow regulatory focus to move up
                Altnets continue to expand, providing                 13                               Interview with Sean McLachlan,           infrastructure.                                               the ladder and competitive forces to move down,
                 promising investment opportunities.                                                   Aviva Investors                                                                                        facilitating innovation at the retail level. With careful
                                                                                                                                                Re-orientating the approach to infrastructure growth is a     planning and forethought, the consistent and long-term
                                                                                                                                                challenge. After years of technologically driven              rate of return of the regulated utility style owner /
                                                                      14                               What does the future hold for digital?
                                                                                                                                                incremental expansions of bandwidth, it seems it is           operator becomes increasingly attractive to investors,
                                                                                                                                                extremely difficult to secure the focused investment          driving investment into the model. Can we otherwise
                                                                      15                               Methodology
                                                                                                                                                needed to scale up connectivity to meet the needs of          meet our connectivity aspirations over the next 20 years?
                                                                                                                                                modern digital innovation. A step-change is needed, but
                                                                                                                                                underpinned by an aligned regulatory framework,               This report is one of four supplements, expanding on the
                                                                                                                                                strategy and approach. It is far from clear though            findings of our 2018 Connected Future report and our
                           5G set to deliver                                                                                                    whether these three foundations are in place. Brief           2017 CMS Infrastructure Index. The 2019 Infrastructure
                       long-term opportunities.                                                                                                 consideration of other infrastructure-intensive markets,      Index will be available at the end of 2019.
                                                                                                                                                and the experience of many other European countries,

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Chris Watson
                                                                                                                                                Watch Chris Watson give his views on the                     Partner, Technology & Media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          t. +44 20 7367 3701
                                                                                                                                                digital infrastructure market                                 e. chris.watson@cms-cmno.com

                                                                                                             CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps

                Cross-industry partnerships set to
            dramatically increase: telecommunications,
              health, transport and financial services.

                        Countries to watch                              Global infrastructure report

                                                                        Connected Future

      Bahrain        Italy      Romania          UK       Singapore   This report is part of Connected Future.
                                                                      For more information, please visit
                                                                      cms.law/connectedfuture

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Digital Infrastructure for our 'Connected Future' - CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps - CMS Law
Digital

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Digital
                Digital                                                                                                                                          euNetworks

                                                                                                                                                                 Jennifer Smith,
                                                                                                                                                                 Chief Financial Officer

                The use of digital infrastructure to provide vital connectivity at high speeds for
                residents and businesses around the world is nothing new, but its fast-evolving
                market landscape promises extensive openings for the infrastructure                                                                              Richard Taylor,
                community over the coming years. While concession-based public-private                                                                           General Counsel

                partnerships (PPPs) rolled out by certain procurement authorities have provided
                                                                                                                                            euNetworks has seen strong growth       “We’re upgrading some paths            backhaul designs as 5G traffic
                a sleek transition to a new asset class, the full potential of the market goes far                                          over recent years. It is a Western      and doing route overbuilds as the      grows. In addition 5G requires
                                                                                                                                            European bandwidth infrastructure       bandwidth demand between some          high accuracy - traffic needs to
                beyond these projects.
                                                                                                                                            provider, owning and operating          ‘hyperscale’ data aggregation sites    be highly synchronised at higher
                                                                                                                                            fibre-based networks across the         continues to grow. We’re also          speed. Fibre technology allows this
                                                                                                                                            region. It owns and operates            extending our network, digging         accuracy especially in high traffic
                                                                                                                                            14 densely fibred metropolitan          new routes to new locations            or dense areas, in comparison
                We have identified the following future key trends
                                                                                                                                            networks in key cities and also         that are near our existing metro       with wireless technology.”
                within the market:                                             5G promises to provide continued projects in which
                                                                                                                                            a long haul fibre network that          footprints. We’re fortunate to
                                                                               to deploy capital over the longer term
                                                                                                                                            spans 49 cities in 15 countries. It     have a network that enables us         The company is also bullish on how
                Infrastructure investors finding opportunities in              While much of the focus is centred on rolling out fixed
                                                                                                                                            is a company that has expanded          to do that and when you own            it could withstand any disruption
                alternative network providers                                  fibre last mile connections to customers, 5G is poised
                                                                                                                                            its network at pace over the last       the duct or sub-duct, you have         from newer technology that may
                The volume of transactions for broadband deals                 to move to centre stage over the coming years. The
                                                                                                                                            three years, and by year-end, will      more control over the economics        emerge over the coming years.
                featuring infrastructure investors/players has been            next generation of wireless connectivity will necessitate
                                                                                                                                            have lit over 25,000km of fibre         of how you shape and develop
                growing, particularly in the M&A market. A large               significant backing. A fleet of telecoms transmitters will
                                                                                                                                            in the long haul since 2015. This       your network,” said Richard Taylor,    “Fibre is and will remain the crucial
                proportion involve infrastructure funds buying into            need to be built to fully densify coverage. This process
                                                                                                                                            investment in the network is driven     euNetworks’ general counsel.           underlying foundation of the
                alternative networks (altnets), both active and passive        has already begun, with Wireless Infrastructure Group
                                                                                                                                            by the ever-growing bandwidth                                                  internet, catering to an increasingly
                networks, that are building up dark and lit fibre              (WIG) among the early movers following its GBP 220m
                                                                                                                                            needs of its customers. Stonepeak       So what impact will 5G have on         connected and bandwidth hungry
                coverage to challenge the position of current                  debt raise in August to finance investment in
                                                                                                                                            Infrastructure Partners acquired        a company such as euNetworks?          world,” says Smith. “We’re pulling
                incumbent groups.                                              5G-ready infrastructure.
                                                                                                                                            a majority stake in the company         Ultimately it’s thought this will      new cable through parts of our
                                                                                                                                            in early 2018 and as part of this       drive more data, which will be         network with greater fibre count
                In May this year, Antin and Goldman Sachs-managed              Certain markets around the world will offer
                                                                                                                                            transaction funding was secured for     transmitted and stored around          – so more capacity. Continued
                funds bought CityFibre – the largest altnet currently          particularly enticing opportunities
                                                                                                                                            increased expansion in these areas.     networks. But it also opens up         developments in the optronics
                operating in the UK – joining Amber, Arcus, Aviva,             Internet penetration has progressed in an uneven
                                                                                                                                                                                    more demand for fibre to connect       and hardware that sits on top of
                DIF, Cube, Infracapital and 3i in investing in the space.      fashion globally, with some countries closing in on
                                                                                                                                            “Data centre to data centre traffic     up different mobile-related sites.     the fibre allows further bandwidth
                While these ventures are almost exclusively commercial,        comprehensive full-fibre networks while others fall
                                                                                                                                            continues to grow, and given                                                   scale. That gives us continued
                operating outside concession-based frameworks, long-           behind. Those countries which have been slower to
                                                                                                                                            the footprint we own and how            “The architecture towards small        growth opportunity into the
                term partnerships with existing internet service providers     adopt new technologies now provide a host of exciting
                                                                                                                                            we develop our networks, it’s an        cells – the proliferation of a         future with our fibre assets.”
                (ISPs) can also provide opportunities for investors.           opportunities, particularly those where demand for
                                                                                                                                            opportunity we are well placed to       higher number of cells with a
                Vodafone and TalkTalk are among the groups who either          innovation is high, such as Romania or Italy. Singapore
                                                                                                                                            both serve and benefit from,” says      lower radius of coverage – those       “So in terms of tech changes, we
                partner with altnets or are actively seeking to do so.         is at a far higher level of digital development, but its
                                                                                                                                            the group’s CFO Jennifer Smith.         will need to be connected to           do not see anything competing
                                                                               progression to the next stage of connectivity opens up
                                                                                                                                            “More than 80% of our revenue           a fibre backbone and we see            with fibre as the basic building
                Scale of capital committed to altnets to grow as               vast opportunities too. Its government’s Smart Nation
                                                                                                                                            has connectivity to a data centre       that as a potentially promising        block of data connectivity. Our
                they gain greater market share                                 initiative capitalises on their already advanced internet
                                                                                                                                            at some point in the solution.”         area of growth,” says Smith.           business is capital intensive and
                More investors see altnets as an attractive area               services by encouraging projects in the Internet of Things
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           with various macroeconomic
                of investment as they scale up to create more                  (IoT) and smart mobility fields. Mexico has also recently
                                                                                                                                            Increased activity in this portion      “Fibre is the only scalable economic   challenges, we could potentially
                comprehensive networks, covering larger areas. This will       launched a massive nationwide initiative by tendering
                                                                                                                                            of the market has been observed         solution to accommodate the            face an issue at some point to feed
                attract more players into the market, particularly as there    out a wholesale mobile network that will provide a 4G
                                                                                                                                            by infrastructure players from          multiple requirements for 5G           an increase of bandwidth demand.”
                is a lot of competition in traditional asset classes, making   and 5G-ready service to 92% of Mexicans.
                                                                                                                                            all corners of the industry, from       & small cell roll-out,” adds
                it harder for investors to deploy capital. While equity has
                                                                                                                                            banks and investors to advisers         Taylor. “As fibre is agnostic of
                already made moves into the area, debt providers are
                                                                                                                                            and construction groups, so it is       technology, operators can easily
                now beginning to follow, exemplified by Hyperoptic’s
                                                                                                                                            unsurprising to hear a connectivity     and efficiently switch and mix
                recent GBP250m debt raised from a syndicate of banks
                                                                                                                                            specialist noting the same.             between fronthaul, midhaul, and
                including BNP Paribas, ING, RBS, Société Générale and
                Barclays. Partnerships with ISPs or signing up large-scale
                commercial customers on long-term contracts will also
                aid this process.

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Digital

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Digital
                In the spotlight:
                countries to watch

                The smartphone and the digital economy have made the internet an essential part                                                                    Romania
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Open Fiber, the first wholesale operator in Italy owned
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            by Enel and state lender CDP, obtained EUR 3.5bn in
                of everyday life, generating a demand for instant, constant and ubiquitous                                                                  High adoption and demand                                        April 2018 from a consortium of banks for its Fibre to
                connectivity. However, more needs to be invested in digital infrastructure to improve                                                       Deregulated in 2016 and largely characterised by                the home (FTTH) push, making it the largest structured
                                                                                                                                                            platform-based competition, Romania’s broadband                 finance broadband initiative in Europe, Middle East and
                broadband access and speed, and many countries are falling behind development                                                               market is one of the most promising in the CEE. Despite         Africa (EMEA).
                goals, with rural areas often experiencing the poorest connectivity levels.                                                                 it being ranked last for overall performance in the
                                                                                                                                                            EC’s 2018 Digital Economy and Society Index, 44% of             Open Fiber has also partnered with Cisco Network
                                                                                                                                                            Romanian households subscribe to ultrafast broadband            Services Orchestrator and a consortium of operators led
                                                                                                                                                            according to the survey; outperforming the EU’s                 by Maticmind, to automate its networks for retail
                Global broadband penetration rates have been                                 We have singled out five key jurisdictions that we think       average of 15.4%. While its broadband access rate               service providers.
                identified below:                                                            pose the greatest opportunities for investors based            marginally lags behind other countries, its high ultrafast
                                                                                             on past deals, local incentives and predicted future           adoption rate suggests it is a market that is swiftly           TIM (Telecom Italia) has the lion’s share of Italy’s
                Regional penetration rate                                                    investment activity:                                           developing, promising tangible investment opportunities         broadband market, occupying a 45% share.
                                                                                                                                                            over the coming years.
                                                            33% Asia Pacific
                                                                                                    UK                                                                                                                             Bahrain
                                                            31% EU Europe                                                                                   Broadband network owner Electrogroup Infrastructure
                                                            6% Latin America & Caribbean     A rise in government and private investment                    has judged now to be the right time to conduct an               A nation with a plan
                                                            15% Middle East & North Africa   The UK has seen significant changes in recent years            IPO, with a flotation on the Bucharest Stock Exchange           Bahrain has been a leader in the telecommunications
                                                            9% Non EU Europe                 due to the providers in M&A activity. The leading fixed        expected before the end of 2018.                                sector in the Middle East since its market liberalisation
                                                            2% North America                 broadband providers in the UK are BT (36%), Sky (24%),                                                                         in 2002. Baltelco, Zain Bahrain and Viva Bahrain are the
                                                            4% Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                             Virgin Media (20%) and Talk Talk (12%).                        Orange is conducting tests with Samsung and Cisco on            market leaders.
                                                                                                                                                            high-speed home internet access to improve Romania’s
                                                                                             The UK is also making progress following the launch of         fibre-optic networks for 5G expansion. RCS & RDS                In June 2018, Viva Bahrain launched its first 5G network
                                                                                             its GBP 400m Digital Infrastructure Investment Fund to         (Digi Mobil) has also partnered with Ericsson to launch         public showcase, which achieved gigabit speeds of up to
                                                                                             boost full fibre networks across the country, aiming to        enhanced broadband services across its network in               1.5 Gbps. This follows its system/network transformation
                                                                                             provide access to 15m premises by 2025.                        preparation for 5G and IoT developments.                        contract with Huawei earlier in January to improve IT
                Source: FTTH Council EU, 2018                                                                                                                                                                               infrastructure and introduce wireless radio technologies
                                                                                             With fibre infrastructure still significantly lacking, there          Italy                                                    as part of its 5G readiness strategy.
                                                                                             is a demand for improved services. Only around 4%
                                                                                             of homes and businesses in the UK have a full fibre            A favourable regulatory regime to encourage                            Singapore
                   The EU has set an objective to achieve                                    offering, compared to much higher rates in other EU            investment
                   broadband speeds of 30 Mbps for all                                       countries where full fibre is enjoyed by 90% of homes          Although showing a low penetration of digital, the              Delivering the smart nation
                   European households and ultrafast speeds                                  and businesses in Portugal and 71% in Spain.                   potential of the Italian market is significant. In 2015 Italy   High wired and wireless broadband penetration rates are
                                                                                                                                                            launched its strategy for high-speed broadband which            driven by the city’s ‘smart nation’ ambitions to integrate
                   of 100Mbps for 50% of households by                                       Within this market, CityFibre, Hyperoptic, Gigaclear and       has simplified its regulatory framework and incorporates        digital technology across households, businesses and
                   2020. However, many EU member states                                      others have emerged strongly onto the scene. It is here        investments into future-proof infrastructure.                   public services, making the country a global broadband
                   are not on track to meet this goal,                                       that infrastructure investors have found opportunity in                                                                        pioneer. Singtel, Starhub, M1 and TPG Telecom are
                                                                                             the UK, highlighted by the takeover of CityFibre by Antin      This summer the Italian government sought to create             market leaders.
                   although others such as Portugal and                                      Infrastructure and West Street Infrastructure Partners in      a single company for the roll out of fibre. This solution
                   Spain have made huge progress.                                            June 2018. The wider altnet market is currently largely        aims to avoid costly overbuild of infrastructure as rival       In 2017, Singtel entered a 5G Centre of Excellence
                                                                                             an equity market characterised by small, high-risk             networks are built out by Italy’s incumbent phone               partnership with Ericsson to develop a 5G pilot network
                                                                                             entrepreneurs.                                                 operator Telecom Italia and the competing broadband             in Singapore’s science, business and IT hub. The pilot
                                                                                                                                                            operator Open Fiber, in both of which the government            network, launching in Q4 2018, aims to deliver 5G
                                                                                             Homes and businesses with a full fibre offering                holds stakes.                                                   coverage with enhanced mobile broadband speed. M1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            similarly announced a partnership with Huawei in June
                                                                                                  90%                   71%                    4%                                                                           2018 to embark on 5G trials.

                                                                                                 Portugal                Spain                  UK

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Digital

                                                                                                                                                            Digital
                                         Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management

                                         Ada Cerne,
                                         Senior Investment Director

                In its position as a specialised debt               But private broadband transactions        Another way to safeguard an outlay
                fund for infrastructure projects across             pose issues that might not be found       on a transaction is to choose wisely
                Europe, Edmond de Rothschild                        in more traditional infrastructure        exactly which projects to get involved
                Asset Management has placed a                       deals where there often are long-term     in, with rural areas likely to be later
                keen eye on opportunities arising                   concession periods, offtakers, and        targets for disruptive technologies
                in the fibre broadband sector.                      stable cash flows sometimes even          due to their smaller and less dense
                Currently fundraising for the fourth                made through availability payments.       consumer markets, according to
                edition of its BRIDGE infrastructure                                                          Cerne, whilst at the same time
                debt platform, the fund manager                     She says, “That is not the case with      being the areas in which most
                eyes deals across transport, energy                 fibre optics where you are relying        investment is currently needed.
                (including renewables), utilities                   on consumer demand to generate
                and social infrastructure, as well as               the project’s revenue. So that is         While opportunities in other areas
                telecoms where it has concluded two                 the main risk that we face and            – such as 5G and smart cities – are
                investments in the broadband sector.                we need to structure our facilities       not imminent, investments especially
                                                                    to be comfortable with that.”             in smart cities represent a very
                The group is continuing to pay                                                                attractive asset for BRIDGE given
                close attention to opening up new                   One remedy is to stipulate that           their crucial role in supporting an
                avenues for its business within the                 senior debt is not able to be             interconnected economy and society.
                wider digital infrastructure space.                 drawn until a specified percentage
                                                                    of a local catchment area has             Cerne says, “I know there are
                “In my mind I split the fibre                       committed to using the services           several cities that are working
                optics developments between                         offered by a new fibre network.           towards providing this kind of
                the government framework                                                                      interconnectivity and we would love
                ones and the private initiatives,                   “This is nothing new but it               to be involved in the financing of
                and I see opportunities in both                     gives lenders the comfort that            such projects. In this respect more
                areas,” says Ada Cerne, Senior                      a set percentage of consumers             co-ordination between all the agents
                Investment Director at Edmond                       have expressed an interest or             and players involved is required for
                de Rothschild Asset Management.                     are legally bound to take up              what is certainly the next stage in
                “For the government projects,                       a contract,” says Cerne.                  terms of telecom transactions focus
                France has been very active in                                                                for infrastructure funds like BRIDGE.”
                holding regional tenders but this is                When it comes to technology risk,
                probably now coming to an end."                     this is something that infrastructure
                                                                    lenders are also naturally keen to
                “Having said that, because of the                   manage, with the pace of change
                number of franchises that have                      in the sector potentially leading to
                been awarded, I think there are                     redundancy of an existing technology
                opportunities to bring those together               in a relatively short space of time,
                to do portfolio refinancings so that is             even for government-backed PPPs.
                where France could be interesting.”
                                                                    “Although some of the concessions
                Cerne also namechecks Ireland,                      can be up to 30 years, usually the
                Scotland and Germany as markets                     debt facilities for private initiatives
                where similar, mainly rural, schemes                are effectively much shorter at
                could prove fruitful over the next                  below 10 years. Even the facilities
                year or so, whilst privately-initiated              within concessions have incentives
                fibre developments will be much                     for the borrower to refinance after
                more scattered across the continent.                10-12 years, so it’s quite rare we
                                                                    have a real 30 year technology
                                                                    risk in terms of the debt that is
                                                                    issued today,” says Cerne.

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Digital

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Digital
                Investment opportunities
                in digital

                Neutral host infrastructure could
                unlock investment
                The utility-like model of neutral host infrastructure will             Technology risk is something that
                do away with the vertically integrated model used by              infrastructure lenders are keen to manage,
                the UK’s larger fixed and mobile broadband providers
                                                                                  with the pace of change in the sector
                and introduce shared infrastructure which retailers
                would have equal access to. The UK government’s                   potentially leading to redundancy of
                recent telecoms review concluded that neutral host                existing technology in a relatively short
                infrastructure could unlock investment, address 5G
                                                                                  space of time.
                deployment challenges, improve rural connectivity and
                                                                                                                        Ada Cerne
                reduce barriers to entry for retail service providers.
                                                                                                         Senior Investment Director,
                                                                                            Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management
                Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management’s Ada                                                                                    5G and small cell densification                             To facilitate further development, government will
                Cerne highlights that technology risk is something                                                                             UK authorities aspire to put the nation at the front        need to cut red tape and mediate relationships and
                that infrastructure lenders are keen to manage, with                                                                           of the pack when it comes to 5G. Outdoor small cell         collaborations with utilities and landowners using
                the pace of change in the sector potentially leading                                                                           networks will form a crucial backbone for this offering.    property and existing infrastructure to build networks.
                                                                                Rural community involvement
                to redundancy of existing technology in a relatively
                                                                                Widespread internet access has tremendous benefits
                short space of time. She states: “Although some of                                                                             With more communication towers and small cell               In September 2018, SSE’s telecoms division signed an
                                                                                for rural areas. However, due to low population density
                the concessions can be up to 30 years, usually the                                                                             base stations required to support 5G, there are many        agreement with the UK mobile networks Three and O2
                                                                                and a smaller customer user base, rural areas are less
                debt facilities for private initiatives are effectively                                                                        opportunities for both construction and asset operation.    to accelerate fibre connectivity using space in Thames
                                                                                commercially attractive, often requiring some sort of
                much shorter at below 10 years. Even the facilities                                                                            With 5G expected to operate at higher frequencies           Water’s sewer network to pave the way for future
                                                                                government subsidy for infrastructure.
                within concessions have incentives for the borrower to                                                                         of between 28Ghz and 39GHz, small cells will allow          deployment of cell sites and masts for both 4G and 5G.
                refinance after 10-12 years, so it’s quite rare we have a                                                                      greater coverage at this level due to the resulting weak
                                                                                The UK government estimates around GBP 3-5bn of
                real 30 year technology risk in terms of the debt that is                                                                      signals being unable to sufficiently penetrate obstacles.   Cross-industry partnerships will emerge predominantly
                                                                                funding is needed to bring full fibre to these areas. In its
                issued today.”                                                                                                                                                                             in telecommunications, health, transport and financial
                                                                                2018 Autumn Budget, the UK government pledged GBP
                                                                                                                                               Ofcom recently auctioned off the 3.4GHz band                services. The healthcare sector is already exploring the
                                                                                200m would be invested to fund the installation of full-
                Another way to safeguard an outlay on a transaction is                                                                         to telecoms companies for 5G use and various                potential of 5G advancements with remote, robotic
                                                                                fibre broadband in rural areas, starting with replacing
                to choose wisely exactly which projects to get involved                                                                        government-backed research initiatives are underway         surgery exploiting the step-change in the speed of
                                                                                aging copper lines in primary schools. This budget
                in. Rural areas are likely to be later targets for disruptive                                                                  to encourage investment, develop technology and             data transfer.
                                                                                has been allocated from the National Productivity
                technologies due to their smaller and less dense                                                                               prepare a regulatory framework. The GBP 1bn National
                                                                                Infrastructure Fund.
                consumer markets, according to Cerne, whilst at the                                                                            Productivity Infrastructure Fund has provided a GBP
                same time being the areas in which most investment is                                                                          700m pool of funding split between local full fibre and       Cross-industry partnerships will emerge
                                                                                Some countries rely on competitive bidding processes.
                currently needed.                                                                                                              5G programmes. The government is also in the process          predominantly in telecommunications,
                                                                                France has the most established broadband PPP
                                                                                                                                               of developing a pilot 5G city as part of the 5G Urban
                Transport for London is currently running a tender
                                                                                programme, largely focused on rural developments.
                                                                                                                                               Connected Communities project.                                health, transport and financial services.
                                                                                The Grand Est project of 2017 with a capex of
                process to find a neutral host operator to provide a 4G
                                                                                USD 1.3bn, involved the procurement of a FTTH network                                                                        The healthcare sector is already exploring
                network to the London Underground.                                                                                             WIG is among the early movers in this area following its
                                                                                via a publicly owned fibre broadband network. The                                                                            the potential of 5G advancements
                                                                                                                                               GBP 220m debt raise in August to finance investments
                                                                                scheme drew wide interest from both equity and debt,
                Wireless Infrastructure Group (WIG) has participated in
                                                                                with a selection of banks, financial institutions, telecoms
                                                                                                                                               in 5G-ready infrastructure. WIG sealed loans from             with remote, robotic surgery exploiting
                the development of neutral host distributed antenna                                                                            Barclays, Barings, Lloyds, MetLife, RBS and Vantage
                                                                                groups and infrastructure funds all contributing to the                                                                      the step-change in the speed of
                systems in the UK, Spain and Portugal.                                                                                         Infrastructure in a demonstration of the willingness of
                                                                                financing package. France has continued to roll out                                                                          data transfer.
                                                                                                                                               lenders to back projects in this area.
                                                                                further projects under its PPP programme since.
                Airspan Networks, a small cell equipment supplier, has
                created the wholesale network carrier Dense Air to                                                                             Inter-industry and cross-industry partnerships
                                                                                “Fibre broadband infrastructure is a real economic driver
                provide much the same service in European markets,                                                                             Communication infrastructure development
                                                                                from a country perspective and rural communities are
                including Ireland and Belgium.                                                                                                 necessitates various inter-industry partnerships and
                                                                                an important part of this,” says Aviva Investor’s Sean
                                                                                                                                               cross-industry partnerships. System developers and
                                                                                McLachlan. “Many people are increasingly looking to
                                                                                                                                               mobile operators will collaborate to lead joint builds,
                                                                                work more at or closer to home, but for many living in
                                                                                                                                               and anchor tenants will be needed to provide long-term
                                                                                rural areas that’s almost an impossibility.”
                                                                                                                                               committed revenue streams.

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Digital

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Digital
                                         CityFibre                                                                                                                         Aviva Investors

                                         Oliver Bradley,                                                                                                                   Sean McLachlan,
                                         Corporate Finance Director                                                                                                        Senior Director

                In just a few short years since its                  “That guarantees a yield on a            Bradley also states that there          When asked about the challenge           “Many people are increasingly looking   “People talk about future-proofing
                foundation in 2011, CityFibre has                    capex that we’re building, that          will likely be an opportunity           altnets face in the UK’s monopolistic    to work more at or closer to home       and nothing is completely future-
                grown to lead the pack of altnets                    gives you a worst-case scenario for      for bank debt as part of the            market Sean McLachlan, Senior            but for many living in rural areas      proof of course, but in terms
                in the UK bidding to challenge the                   your sensitivities and modelling.        overall funding mix, opening            Director at Aviva Investors, says        that’s almost an impossibility,” says   of speed, fibre operates at the
                incumbent operators in the fibre                     But, more importantly than that          up a new corner of the                  “I think in the UK, just by the          Aviva Investor’s Sean McLachlan.        speed of light with excellent
                broadband sector. That growth                        in my mind, is the behaviour it          market to this type of capital.         nature of how altnets have come                                                  reliability and can be highly cost-
                and a tie-up with Vodafone                           incentivises, because what it means      Leveraging the equity within            to be, you’re looking at a different     “So, if you’re working in London        effective”, says McLachlan.
                ultimately drew the interest of                      is that Vodafone has a powerful          the business could very well            business model than most of              and living somewhere in say West
                infrastructure investors, with funds                 financial incentive to really market     help the network expand                 the other European countries.            Sussex, you may have to come            “Fibre is a great technology for
                managed by Goldman Sachs                             and sell those connections.”             over the next few years.                                                         into London because you can’t do        providing a pretty long-term
                and Antin swooping to acquire                                                                                                         “For example, the procurement of         your work at home. Then there’s a       solution to connectivity. It’s also
                the company in April 2018.                           That last point will serve to ensure     “The key for us to really increase      fibre infrastructure is being done       number of clear economic benefits       very complementary to some of
                                                                     an alignment between both                our throughput is to be building        with very different models such          when you look at connecting up          the other technologies that you
                In CityFibre the pair of new                         Vodafone and CityFibre’s goals and       multiple towns at a time. Once          as the 4th utility approach, very        smaller villages and rural areas        see out there such as 5G.”
                owners identified a company that                     with the former being a relatively       we’ve got going in the twelve           similar to regulated gas, water and      and so the demand case is very
                would provide a large enough                         small player in the ISP market it will   towns and cities that make up our       electricity or PPP structures bringing   compelling, from our perspective.”
                opportunity to deploy capital,                       look to take an important chunk of       first million, we’ll then be able to    private and public sectors together.”
                strong potential for growth and                      market share from other groups,          move to 12 more towns and cities                                                 With this in mind, investors
                potential for good returns.                          such as BT, Sky, TalkTalk and Virgin.    to make up the next million and so      “Fibre broadband infrastructure is a     need to get comfortable with
                                                                                                              on. We would hope to be in five         real economic driver from a country      long-term risks, especially when
                Oliver Bradley, Corporate Finance                    Vodafone will at first have              million premises by the mid-2020s.”     perspective and rural communities        putting fibre into premises.
                Director at the company says, “I                     exclusivity to offer its services                                                are an important part of this.
                think what attracted them to us                      over the networks CityFibre builds       The altnets that have emerged in
                is we are a platform on a journey                    out. After a set period other            the UK over the past few years have
                to becoming a fairly substantial                     ISPs will then be able to use the        not only brought more competition
                utility. To build a network to five                  lines laid down by CityFibre.            into infrastructure provision, as
                                                                                                                                                           Chris Watson reflects on the rise of altnets
                million homes requires around                                                                 well as more choice for consumers,
                £2.5bn of capex and that’s a good                    “So the proposition to the other         but have also sped up the
                amount of money to spend.”                           ISPs then becomes, why wouldn’t          development of fibre broadband
                                                                     you come onto our network                all across the country. This is a key
                The target for 5 million homes                       because it is a much better network      argument for the existence of the
                cited by Bradley is contained in the                 than Openreach’s.” says Bradley.         altnets, according to Bradley.
                agreement with Vodafone in which
                the mobile phone group will make                     “It’s cheaper than what you’ll           “If you didn’t have companies like
                a volume-based commitment to                         be paying for a far inferior             us, even in relatively small parts of
                20% of the home and business                         product, as we price competitively       the country, showing what could
                connections due to be financed,                      with the through the cabinet             be done, I think from a consumer
                constructed and operated by                          products that are available              perspective, a government
                CityFibre. This is a key component                   to them on Openreach.”                   perspective and from an industry
                to mobilising capital for the                                                                 perspective, you’d be left at the
                group, according to Bradley.                         It is this competitive pricing that      mercy of what Openreach want
                                                                     Bradley hopes will entice even           to do, and for Openreach’s own
                He says, “You can take it to banks                   more retail business towards             rational reasons that probably
                and say, ‘here is a minimum                          CityFibre’s networks, as any ISP         means a slower path.”
                revenue Vodafone, one of the                         that takes advantage will accrue
                largest telecommunications                           higher profit margins compared
                companies in the world, has                          to similarly priced products hosted
                given us an ironclad guarantee                       on the incumbent’s hardware.
                that if we pass the homes, they
                will take 20% of them.’”

          12 | Digital - Infrastructure for our ‘Connected Future’                                                                                                                                                                                                           13
Digital Infrastructure for our 'Connected Future' - CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps - CMS Law
Digital

                What does the future                                                                                                        Methodology
                hold for digital?
                                                                                                                                            Our research aims to identify the most promising markets and jurisdictions for investment for broadband,
                                                                                                                                            electric vehicles, energy storage and smart mobility. Since the four sectors analysed are markedly different
                                                                                                                                            in terms of their maturity, research methods have been tailored accordingly. The analysis of more mature
                Given the current and predicted growth in data traffic, the rapid expansion of IoT                                          sectors, for example, digital has been more quantitative, other sectors (i.e. smart mobility) required a more
                                                                                                                                            qualitative approach.
                devices, and the emergence of new technologies, such as machine learning and AVs,
                the rapid evolution of broadband networks is inevitable. The anticipated capabilities                                       The quantitative data collated has been categorised according to sector, country, financing model,
                                                                                                                                            transaction stage, transaction value, participant role and status, with the goal of developing advanced
                of 5G will allow new technologies to break through and become mainstream. 5G                                                data-driven analytics and insights. Our main source was dataLive, inspiratia’s proprietary project database
                networks are expected to bring improvements to the wireless space: lower costs of                                           that monitors global project-financed social infrastructure, transport and renewables deals. Other sources
                                                                                                                                            include governments, international organisations, rating agencies, consulting firms, academic literature,
                transmitting data, substantially higher data speeds and low latency.                                                        newspapers, specialist press, press releases and in-depth interviews with market participants.

                                                                                                                                            Our qualitative analysis was based on in-depth interviews with leading market practitioners to assess
                                                                                                                                            the interest of potential investors. This analysis provided insights on potential revenue streams, risks and
                Data centres                                                  tolling data, traffic management and potentially making
                                                                                                                                            inhibitors to successful investment, deeper understanding of the successful case studies, political support,
                Data centres will become even more important as               it ready for connected and autonomous vehicles.
                                                                                                                                            regulatory framework, investment climate, technology maturity and gain an understanding of any other
                much of the data created and distributed across
                                                                                                                                            issues potentially affecting the investment landscape.
                connected devices will be stored in the cloud. Significant    Smart nations
                updates may be needed to match the capabilities of            It is naturally more difficult to implement ‘smart nation’
                                                                                                                                            About CMS
                fast networks. According to Next Generation Mobile            strategies across countries with greater landmass
                                                                                                                                            Ranked as the world’s sixth largest law firm by lawyer headcount and the sixth largest in the UK by revenue,
                Networks, 5G is predicted, compared with 4G, to reduce        due to the increased capital requirements of more
                                                                                                                                            CMS can work for you in over 40 countries worldwide. Globally 4,500 lawyers offer business-focused advice
                latency by 80% and improve reliability to near 100%,          infrastructure required per capita. Smart nations give
                                                                                                                                            tailored to our clients’ needs, whether in local markets or across multiple jurisdictions.
                eliminating downtime.                                         greater advantages to modern ‘city states’ which, along
                                                                              with having fewer administrative layers to align before
                                                                                                                                            Across our eight core sectors – Consumer Products, Energy, Financial Institutions, Hotels & Leisure,
                Internet of Things (IoT)                                      a project can begin, have the advantage of a lower
                                                                                                                                            Infrastructure & Project Finance, Life Sciences & Healthcare, Real Estate, and Technology, Media &
                As roll out and usage of IoT devices including wearables,     population than an average country, so requiring less
                                                                                                                                            Telecommunications – we have some of the brightest and most creative legal minds ready to advise you.
                smart homes and vehicles are growing, new 5G                  connecting infrastructure such as transmission cables
                networks will become crucial to enable technology-            and radio towers.
                                                                                                                                            In addition to this report, we have a broad range of thought leadership papers covering major sector issues.
                driven infrastructure updates, given that they are
                capable of handling up to 100 times more connections          Singapore leads the field, but it seems unlikely to remain
                per radio base station than 4G. This will support wider       unchallenged as Hong Kong and Dubai look to make
                adoption of smart homes, smart cities and AV across           advances in smart mobility, healthcare, planning and                                        CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps                                                   CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps                                                                     CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps                CMS_LawTax_Negative_28-100.eps

                the globe.                                                    finance.

                Autonomous vehicles                                           As the cost of manufacturing the related infrastructure
                As cars capable of connecting to the internet for             comes down, the implementation of these strategies
                navigation and entertainment purposes become more             across greater areas will be more realistic. Countries such                                                                                                                                                    Finding the balance:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             human touch versus high tech
                widespread, the demand on mobile networks and                 as Estonia and South Korea are leading the way in this
                                                                                                                                                   Infrastructure Index                                      UK Real Estate Report – Warehouses Unpacked

                                                                                                                                                   A new direction                                          Box Clever                                                                        Millennials and the future of the hotel and restaurant sector

                satellites will increase. Data consumption by vehicles is     area, following the digitalisation of government services                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Smart. Healthy. Agile.   1

                likely to rise further, and new generation networks will      in Estonia and effective promotion of smart cities in         Infrastructure Index:                                          UK Real Estate Report:                                                           Finding the balance:                                                                               UK Real Estate Report:
                have to satisfy that demand. As AVs and 5G networks           South Korea.                                                  A new direction                                                Box Clever                                                                       human touch versus                                                                                 Smart. Healthy. Agile.
                are both in the early phases of development it is difficult                                                                                                                                                                                                                 high tech
                to predict how these technologies will interact. However,
                                                                                                                                            cms.law
                it is safe to say that reliability and ultralow latency
                features of 5G could prove to be useful for
                                                                                Singapore leads the field, but it seems
                                                                                                                                            About Inspiratia
                vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) and vehicle to infrastructure          unlikely to remain unchallenged as Hong
                                                                                                                                            inspiratia pushes the boundaries of analytics in the global infrastructure and
                (V2I) communication technologies helping AVs navigate           Kong and Dubai look to make advances                        renewables sectors, producing the most accurate and insightful analysis, uncovering
                in traffic.
                                                                                in smart mobility, healthcare, planning                     new financial information and making robust sector predictions.

                The Pennsylvania Broadband Initiative seeks to equip the        and finance.
                                                                                                                                            inspiratia provides clients with the tools to anticipate and analyse market trends in a way that helps grow
                Pennsylvania Turnpike toll road that runs across the state
                                                                                                                                            their pipeline of deals and assists with business development. Based in London and Washington DC,
                with fibre-optic connectivity to assist in transmitting
                                                                                                                                            inspiratia has an international team of industry experts and analysts all with in-depth sector expertise and
                                                                                                                                            extensive professional networks. www.inspiratia.com
          14 | Digital - Infrastructure for our ‘Connected Future’                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    15
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