JANUARY 2020 - Harris Williams

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JANUARY 2020 - Harris Williams
JANUARY 2020
Energy, Power & Infrastructure (“EPI”) group                          Vertical Focus Areas
                                                                                                                                                                                 Luke Semple
 • 16 professionals based in Richmond, VA                              • Energy Management                        • Oilfield Services
                                                                                                                                                                               Managing Director
                                                                       • Renewables and                           • Engineering and
 • 15+ closed transactions in the last 24 months                                                                                                                           lsemple@harriswilliams.com
                                                                         Distributed Energy                         Construction
                                                                                                                                                                              Office: (804) 915-0158
                                                                       • Industrial and                           • Environmental Services
                                                                         Infrastructure Services                  • TIC & Integrity Services
                                                                       • Outsourced Utility Services
                                                                                                                                                                                 Drew Spitzer
                                                                                                                                                                                Managing Director
                                                                       Energy Management                                                                                   aspitzer@harriswilliams.com
                                                                       • ESCOs                                      • Demand Response/Smart                                   Office: (804) 915-0174
                    Energy, Power                                      • Utility Program Management                   Grid
                    & Infrastructure                                   • Building Optimization                      • Billing & Workforce
                                         2017                          • Energy Management                            Management
                                                                         Systems                                    • Distribution Automation
                                                                       • LED and Smart Lighting                     • Microgrids/Asset
                                                                         Systems                                      Management
                                                                       • Energy Storage                             • EV Charging
                                                                       • Electric Submeters

Select Energy Management Transactions

                  Leading provider of                  Provider of demand                             Provider of integrated                     Develops and markets                             Provider of integrated
                  demand-side                          response capabilities,                         software, data and                         transportation analysis                          cloud-based demand
                  management (“DSM”)                   energy efficiency                              analytics solutions to                     software for improving                           response, energy
                  solutions to utility                 projects and distributed                       the global energy                          traffic flow                                     efficiency and
     has been     clients                 has been     generation assets to           has been        market including              has been                                         has been     customer engagement
    acquired by                          acquired by   identify, optimize and        acquired by      financial services,          acquired by                                      acquired by   solutions for utility
                                                       monetize across                                capital markets, and                                                                        customers
                                                       distributed energy                             trading and risk
                                                       assets                                         professionals

                  Leading implementer                  Leading independent                            Leading cloud-based                        Leading provider of                              Leading designer of
                  and administrator of                 ESCO serving the                               provider of energy                         energy efficiency and                            smart submeter
                  energy efficiency                    federal, MUSH, and                             services management                        renewable energy                                 systems and integrated
                  programs                             commercial and                has received a   software and                               services in the                                  energy intelligence
     has been                             has been                                                                                  has been                                         has been
                                                       industrial end markets           minority      behavioral energy                          Southwestern U.S.                                software
    acquired by                          acquired by                                                                               acquired by                                      acquired by
                                                                                    investment from   efficiency solutions

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1
The ongoing shift towards more sustainable energy represents a more than $4 trillion opportunity over the next several
decades. Energy service companies (ESCOs) are on the leading edge of this shift, helping a wide range of organizations boost
efficiency and cut energy costs.

            Understanding the                    Introduction to the sector
             ESCO landscape
                                                 Key characteristics and drivers of value

                                                 Current market landscape
           Where are we today?
                                                 Historical strategic and private equity investment in the sector

                                                 Focus areas for strategic players
          Where are we headed?
                                                 Private market participants

            Key considerations                   ESCO landscape scorecard
               for investors
                                                 Key considerations for investors

                                                                                                                               2
Our goal is to provide an overview of the North American ESCO landscape and framework for investment opportunities in the
context of the ongoing energy transition.

 Purpose

    Provide an overview of the North American ESCO market

    Explore trends and areas of focus in the M&A market

    Provide a framework for exploring investment opportunities in the sector

 Scope

    For the purposes of this discussion, we have focused exclusively on the North American market

                                                                                                                            3
An ESCO is a professional services business providing a broad range of comprehensive energy efficient solutions, including
design and implementation of energy savings projects, energy infrastructure outsourcing, power generation and energy
supply, including the design and installation of DERs, and risk management.
ESCOs perform in-depth analyses of physical properties, design energy efficient solutions, install proper elements and maintain
the systems to ensure energy savings. The savings in energy costs are often used to pay back the capital invested in the
project over a five- to 20-year period, or reinvested into the building to allow for capital upgrades that may otherwise be
unfeasible. These energy efficiency projects are executed through a variety of financing structures (as outlined on page 8
herein).
  ESCOs Provide Customers with a Compelling Value Proposition

  The Problem                                                                                          The ESCO Solution

 Municipal                Schools               Hospitals            Universities              C&I       Municipal             Schools            Hospitals           Universities              C&I

       Aging plant and equipment                                                                            Upgrade and replacement of existing plant/equipment
       Rising electricity costs                                                                             Lower energy costs
       Sustainability initiatives                                                                           No or limited up-front capital investment
Rising Electricity   Prices1                                                                                 Increased resiliency
  (cents per kilowatt-hour)                                                                                  Enhanced occupant satisfaction, health and safety
       $0.18
      $0.16                                                                                          Analysis             Concept             Implementation Service                    Renewal
       $0.14                                                                                         Collection of data   Design of the       Execution of the      Inspection,         End of the contract
                                                                                                     and evaluation of    measures and        various measures      maintenance, repair period
      $0.12                                                                                          savings potential    definition of the   and verification of   and ensuring of
                                                                                                                          baseline            savings               savings
      $0.10
      $0.08
      $0.06                                                                                                                                                            Direct benefit
                                                                                                                                                          25%+
      $0.04                                                                                                                                                              Service           Direct benefit
                                                                                                           Current energy costs                                        Commitment
                2018           2020E     2022E      2024E       2026E       2028E      2030E
                                                                                                                                                                          Reduced energy costs
                           Residential            Commercial              Industrial

                                   1.) U.S. Energy Information Administration
                                                                                                                                                                                                              4
Historically, ESCOs have primarily concentrated on projects for municipalities, universities, schools and hospitals (the “MUSH”
market) and the federal government. Increased adoption of energy efficiency measures and DERs by commercial and industrial
(C&I) represent a significant market opportunity for ESCOs in the years ahead.

  ESCO Industry Market Segments                                                                                 Overview of Market Segments
   (% of investment $)

                                                                                                                                                        Federal projects typically have many facilities
  100%                                                                                                                       Federal
                                                                                                                                                         and are comprehensive retrofits

                                                                                                                                                        Public policies have enhanced and
                                                                                                                             State/Local                 influenced the increased development of
   75%                                                                                                                                                   ESCO projects at the state and local levels

                                                                                                                                                        K-12 schools have started to install capital-
                                                                                                                             K-12                        intensive, low-energy savings measures to
                                                                                                                                                         address maintenance backlogs
   50%

                                                                                                                                                        Universities have the highest median project
                                                                                                                             Universities                investment levels of any market with a
                                                                                                                                                         median project investment level of ~$7M
   25%

                                                                                                                                                        Major HVAC retrofits account for over 50% of
                                                                                                                             Healthcare
                                                                                                                                                         project investment on healthcare facilities

    0%
                   2008                    2011                 2014                  2017                                                              Underserved market that is seeing rising
               Federal   1
                             State/Local     K-12     Universities     Healthcare       C&I
                                                                                                                             C&I                         energy costs and new technologies
                                                                                                                                                         improving economics of energy efficiency

                               1.) Federal includes housing/other in 2008, 2011, 2014.
                                                                                                                                                                                                           5
                               Source: LBNL, U.S. Energy Service Company Industry: Recent Market Trends (2016), State of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2019)
ESCOs typically provide a broad scope of services for end users and, in recent years, projects have increased in scope and
complexity. For purposes of classification, Lawrence Berkeley National Labs classifies projects into Dominant Retrofit
Strategies (DRS), which are summarized below.

 Primary ESCO Services1

     Dominant Retrofit Strategy (DRS)                                                            Representative Examples
                                                      Installation of on-site generation, including solar, natural gas generation, backup generation systems and biomass
           DERs                                          gasifiers
                                                      Installation of energy storage assets

           Facility Management                        Continuous commissioning, monitoring and preventive maintenance

                                                       Installation, upgrade and replacement of lighting control systems
           Lighting-Only
                                                       Lighting retrofits

           Major HVAC                                 Major replacement of HVAC equipment, such as boilers, chillers and cooling towers

           Minor HVAC                                 Modifications and upgrades to existing equipment

                                                      Repair and replacement of pump systems
           Motors and Drives
                                                      Repair and replacement of variable speed drives and electric motors

           Non-Energy                                 Non-energy facility improvements such as roof replacements and environmental abatements

           System Integration                         Coordinating the planning and operation of energy systems across multiple pathways and/or geographical scales

                                                      Installation of water conservation measures, including low-flow showers, faucets and toilets
           Water Conservation
                                                      Installation of meters and leak detection equipment

           Other                                      Installation of other high-efficiency equipment

                     1.) Source: LBNL, State of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2017)
                                                                                                                                                                            6
Over the last several decades, the ESCO industry has generated significant energy savings across the economy through the
installation and maintenance of energy efficiency equipment. U.S. ESCO annual industry revenues increased from
approximately $2 billion in 2000 to nearly $8 billion in 2017.
As the market has evolved, ESCOs have emerged as key players in the installation of not only energy efficiency initiatives, but
also on-site renewables, storage and other distributed energy infrastructure.

   Addressable Market1                                                                                       Key Growth Drivers
   ($ in billions)

                                                                                                                                       •   There are a number of large, vertically integrated ESCOs
                                                                                                                                           that both develop and deploy emerging technologies that
                                                                                                               Deployment of
                                                                                  $168                                                     can increase the market potential beyond what was
                                                                                                              New Technologies             originally estimated based on efficiency technologies that
   MUSH                                                                                                                                    were commercially available during the last 5-10 years

                                                        $104

                                                                                                                                       •   Building owners and operators may opt for additional
                                                                                                             Subsequent Retrofits
                                                                                                                                           retrofits in a facility that has implemented an ESCO project
                                               $85                                                            in Existing Facilities       to capture benefits of additional measures

       C&I

                            $37

                                                                                                                                       •   It has been reported that public facilities, which are often
                                                                                                             Project Savings Due           targeted by ESCOs, have a significant backlog of deferred
                                                                                                               to O&M Savings              maintenance. For example, U.S. K-12 schools have a total
                                              ~$150 to ~$300 billion in                                                                    maintenance backlog of ~$250 billion
                      $12
                                            remaining market opportunity
  Federal

                     $6
                                                                                                             Increased Number of
                                                                                                                                       •   All 50 states have enacted legislation that enables various
                                                                                                                ESCO Industry
                                                                                                                                           types of institutional facilities in a state to engage in ESPC
             $0             $50                  $100                $150                 $200                   “Champions”
                                   Upside Case        Base Case

                            1.) Reflects the midpoint of the Base Case and Unfettered Case, respectively.
                                                                                                                                                                                                            7
                            Source: LBNL, Updated Estimates of the Remaining Market Potential of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2017)
In addition to funding through traditional secured and unsecured lease and loan structures, the energy efficiency market utilizes
specialized financing products designed to reduce up-front capital investments and encourage greater adoption of energy
efficiency measures.

 Representative Financing Sources

                    Type                                                                                 Description

                                              Energy Service Agreements are agreements between a customer and the ESA provider that provides financing for the project and
       Energy Service Agreement (ESA)          delivers energy savings (i.e., megawatt hours) at a negotiated price (less than retail rates for energy services).

                                            Under an Energy Savings Performance Contract (ESPC), an energy service company (ESCO) coordinates installation and
     Energy Savings Performance Contract       maintenance of efficiency equipment in a customer’s facilities and is paid from the associated energy savings. The ESCO typically
                                               provides a savings guarantee.

         Commercial PACE (CPACE)            Commercial property-assessed clean energy (CPACE) is a financing structure in which building owners borrow money for energy
                                               efficiency, renewable energy or other projects and make repayments via an assessment on their property tax bill. The financing
               Financing                       arrangement then remains with the property even if it is sold, facilitating long-term investments in building performance.

         On-Bill Financing/Repayment        On-bill financing (OBF) and repayment (OBR) are financing options in which a utility or private lender supplies capital to a customer to
                                               fund energy efficiency, renewable energy or other generation projects and is repaid through regular payments on an existing utility
                   (OBF/OBR)                   bill.
                                              A Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is an arrangement in which a third-party developer installs, owns and operates an energy system
       Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)          on a customer’s property. The customer then purchases the system’s electric output for a predetermined period. A PPA allows the
                                               customer to receive stable and often low-cost electricity with no up-front cost.

                                            Efficiency-as-a-service is a pay-for-performance, off-balance-sheet financing solution that allows customers to implement energy and
         Efficiency-as-a-Service (EaaS)        water efficiency projects with no up-front capital expenditure. The provider pays for project development, construction and
                                               maintenance costs.

                                            Customers can borrow money directly from banks or other lenders to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy and other
            Loan or Debt Financing             generation projects. The customer must then arrange the purchase, installation and management of equipment by a third-party
                                               contractor or in-house staff.

                                            A lease is a simple financing structure that allows a customer to use energy efficiency, renewable energy or other generation
               Lease Financing                 equipment without purchasing it outright. The two most common types are on-balance-sheet capital leases and off-balance-sheet
                                               operating leases.

                                            Internal funding refers to the use of an organization’s existing financial resources to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy or
               Internal Funding                other generation projects, rather than seeking external financing. This is often the most simple and direct method for funding
                                               projects.

                                                                                                                                                                                        8
Innovative EaaS solutions have emerged as an attractive model to further expand the market for energy efficiency services. In
EaaS contracts, the service provider maintains ownership of the installed assets and the customer pays for the services
provided by the assets.

   The EaaS Model1                                                                                      Case Study: The Ohio State University2

                                                                                                        OSU at a Glance: Energy Profile
                                                              Designs project, installs
     Pays monthly, quarterly or annual
        service charge for realized
                                                               equipment, provides                              3             750k               $115M                 110               2.9M
                                                                maintenance and                         High-Voltage           MWH of              Annual             MW Peak           mmBTUs of
              energy savings                                                                            Substations           Electricity         Spending            Demand             Steam
                                                                monitoring service

                                                                                                        Situation at a Glance
                                                                     Contractor                                Ohio State entered into a $1.165 billion public-private partnership that will establish
                Customer                                                                                        the university as an international leader in sustainability while generating new
                                                             Energy Services Company
        Commercial Building Owner                                                                               resources to advance teaching, learning and research
                                                                     (ESCO)
                                                                                                               ENGIE North America and Axium Infrastructure, which are world leaders in energy
                                                                                                                services and sustainability, created Ohio State Energy Partners to serve the
                                                                                                                university

                                                                                                        How It Works
  Energy Service                                                               Energy Service
    Agreement                                                                                                  On behalf of Ohio State Energy Partners, ENGIE Services operates the systems
                                                                                Performance
      (ESA)                                                                                                     that power, heat and cool the Columbus campus and will install energy
                                           Vendor                              Contract (ESPC)
                                                                                                                conservation measures to meet the university’s sustainability goal for energy
                                 Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS)
                                         Provider
                                                                                                        What Ohio State Gets
                                                                                                               In return for a 50-year lease, Ohio State Energy Partners paid Ohio State $1.015
                                                                                                                billion up-front and will pay an additional $150 million in direct academic
                                                                                                                collaboration support. In addition, the consortium will put up the capital funds for
        The EaaS model shifts the burden of financing, owning, installing                                       and install energy conservation measures and other energy infrastructure
          and managing the performance of an energy asset from the                                              improvements
                     customer to the service provider
                                                                                                        What Ohio State Pays
                                                                                                               Ohio State pays Ohio State Energy Partners an annual utility fee that includes three
                                                                                                                elements: an operating fee to cover costs (starting at $9.2 million based on a three-
                                                                                                                year average of university costs), a fixed fee that starts at $45 million and grows 1.5
                                                                                                                percent a year, and a financial return for any capital investments it funds at the
                                                                                                                university

                           1.) Source: American Council for an Energy-Efficiency Economy, Energy-as-a-Service
                                                                                                                                                                                                          9
                           2.) Source: The Ohio State University, Comprehensive Energy Management Opportunity
The ESCO market remains fragmented with market participants ranging from sector-focused players to larger, diversified
players from a variety of markets, including industrial technology, utilities, engineering and construction, international energy
services, building and facility services, renewables and professional services.

 ESCO Market Participant Taxonomy

              Building and                                                                                   Engineering &
                                                               Energy Efficiency
             Facility Services                                                                                Construction

          Industrial Technology                                    Lighting

        International                  Professional Services                       Renewables                     Utility
       Energy Services

                                                                                                                                    10
ESCOs and adjacencies have a long history of M&A activity.

                                                             Acquirers

             2011          2013            2015      2017                       2019

  2010              2012            2014      2016                       2018

                       Ennovate
                      Corporation

    Quantum
   Engineering

                                                             Targets

                                                                                       11
Strategic Energy Management Investments since 2017

                                                                                                           Acquirers

2017                                                                    2018                                                                 2019

       E-Mobility      Energy       E-Mobility       Demand      Infrastructure    Software      Distributed       E-Mobility     Smart       EV Charging    Demand           Energy          Distributed       Smart
                      Efficiency                    Response       Solutions      Consulting       Energy                        Buildings                  Response          Storage           Energy         Buildings

 Energy         Demand         Demand      E-Mobility    Residential        Data           Smart            Energy         Energy        Demand        Energy      Smart                 Data          EV Charging          Energy
 Storage       Response       Response                    Retailer        Analytics       Buildings        Services       Efficiency    Response       Storage    Buildings             Analytics                          Efficiency

                                                                                                               Targets

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12
The ESCO remains fragmented with a range of private participants, including regional and local players as well as private
equity-backed platforms.

 Select Private ESCO Market Participants

                      Company                                 Ownership                              Headquarters

                                                       Bernhard Capital Partners                    Baton Rouge, LA
              Bernhard Energy Solutions

                                                            Kleiner Perkins                            Dallas, TX
                      Cenergistic

                                                            Privately Held                          Fayetteville, AR
                     Clear Energy

                                                            Privately Held                        Fort Washington, PA
                CM3 Building Solutions

                                                            Privately Held                           Prospect, KY
                CMTA Energy Solutions

                                                            Privately Held                         Overland Park, KS
             Energy Solutions Professionals

                                                         DFW Capital Partners                        Gambrills, MD
                       Envocore

                                                            Privately Held                             Dallas, TX
                  Metco Engineering

                                                     Oaktree Power Opportunities                    Minneapolis, MN
                       SitelogIQ

                                                            Privately Held                          Tonawanda, NY
                   Stark Tech Group

                                                          Bow River Capital                           Phoenix, AZ
                        Veregy

                                                                                                                            13
Addressable
  Key Market Segments                                             Market Drivers                                         Market Outlook
                                                                                                   Market

        MUSH1
                                        Aging building stock

                                        Operational improvements

                                        Technology advancement                                  $104B+
                                        Regulations/legislation

                                        Financing advantages                                                          Critical market segment

Commercial & Industrial
                                        Improving indoor environment, security and comfort

                                        Corporate sustainability and environmental priorities
                                                                                                 $37B+
                                        Increasing tenant occupancy and property values

                                        Economics and shortening payback periods
                                                                                                                       Underserved relative to
                                                                                                                          the opportunity

       Federal                          Resiliency needs and security

                                        Transition toward distributed energy resources and
                                         privatization

                                        Regulations and federal mandates                         $6B+
                                        Dynamic DOD/DOE initiatives
                                                                                                                     Offers counter-cyclical and
                                        Deferred maintenance                                                  technologically advanced diversification

              1.) Municipalities, universities, schools and hospitals
                                                                                                                                                          14
What Should Investors Be Looking For?

 Comprehensive                                                    Controls                           Facilities
                                         Demand                                  Measurement                        Project finance     Engineering
energy efficiency   DER capabilities                            integration                        management
                                        management                              and verification                       solutions         expertise
    offering                                                    capabilities                        capabilities

                                        Demonstrated
                                                                                                                                        Proven track
                                       ability to attach         Business                            Depth of       Sales pipeline
 Proven project       Technology                                                  End market                                          record of organic
                                       to the customer         analytics and                         customer      development and
   execution           leadership                                                  diversity                                            and inorganic
                                          at multiple            reporting                         relationships      conversion
                                                                                                                                           growth
                                           offerings

                                                                                                                                                          15
The information and views contained in this report were prepared by Harris Williams LLC (“Harris Williams”). It is not a research report, as such term is defined by applicable
law and regulations, and is provided for informational purposes only. It is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities
or financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy. The information contained herein is believed by Harris Williams to be reliable but Harris Williams
makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Harris Williams and/or its affiliates may be market makers or specialists in, act as advisers
or lenders to, have positions in and effect transactions in securities of companies mentioned herein and also may provide, may have provided, or may seek to provide
investment banking services for those companies. In addition, Harris Williams and/or its affiliates or their respective officers, directors and employees may hold long or short
positions in the securities, options thereon or other related financial products of companies discussed herein. Opinions, estimates and projections in this report constitute
Harris Williams’ judgment and are subject to change without notice. The securities and financial instruments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors and
investors must make their own investment decisions using their own independent advisors as they believe necessary and based upon their specific financial situations and
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or redistributed, without Harris Williams’ prior written consent.

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