ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents

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ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
SEPTEMBER 2020

                     ōLiv Tucson Welcomes
                         First Residents

                                                                                                                                                   The Multifamily Issue
      The development team of Core Spaces and Up Campus, along         full access to on-site outdoor dining and grilling area, two rooftop
with the Marshall Foundation, are delighted to announce that ōLiv      sundecks with pool, hot tub and city skyline views, a yoga room,
Tucson, a brand-new luxury                                                                                  tanning salon, clubroom, indoor
14-story mixed-use building                                                                                 spa with steam room and sauna
anchoring the Main Gate                                                                                     and secure bike storage.
Square redevelopment project,                                                                                     Designed        for     multi-
recently opened its doors to its                                                                            generational living, each of the
first residents. ōLiv Tucson is a                                                                           ōLiv Tucson’s 243 units offers
mixed-use project featuring 243                                                                             flexible, modern layouts with
units, over 4,000 square feet of                                                                            contemporary high-end finishes,
retail space, a full complement                                                                             such as wood-style flooring,
of luxury lifestyle amenities                                                                               custom-designed furniture and
and parking nestled around                                                                                  roller blinds, in-unit laundry,
a walkable public plaza at the                                                                              insulated       interior      walls,
heart of the Main Gate Square                                                                               quartz countertops, premium
entertainment and shopping                                                                                  appliances, designer cabinetry
district. Located on the Sun                                                                                featuring architectural lighting
Link Streetcar route at the                                                                                 and large operable windows with
intersection of N. Park Avenue                                                                              energy-efficient double-pane
and E. University Boulevard,                                                                                glass. All units feature a high-end
these innovative apartments                                                                                 technology package including
offer residents convenience to                                                                              a Smart TV in the living room,
the exciting cultural offerings                                                                             full Wi-Fi access and data ports
of the historic West University                                                                             in kitchen and bedrooms and
neighborhood, in addition to                                                                                Bluetooth showerhead speakers.
easy access to greater Tucson.                                                                              Free high-speed Wi-Fi is also
      The ōLiv Tucson is part of a portfolio of award-winning          available throughout the building and a business center provides
hospitality-inspired housing projects developed by Core Spaces         24-hour access to fully loaded Mac and PC computers and printers.
(parent company of Core Tucson Main Gate, LLC). Core Spaces                  The units at ōLiv offer a variety of floorplans, ranging from
specializes in developing properties with progressive design and       studio, 2-bedroom co-living style, to 4-bedroom apartments and
unrivaled customer service. Residents benefit from community-          townhomes. Residents may also opt for the 14th-floor Penthouse or
inspired design and thoughtful amenities chosen to encourage           13th-floor Oasis floorplans, which feature additional luxury fixtures
holistic lifestyles designed to help them succeed in their personal,   and finishes, such as an oversized rain showerhead and upgraded
academic and professional goals. Residents can mingle poolside,        60” Smart TV. Monthly rents range from $1,459/month for a studio
practice yoga, work out in the gym and meet for coffee. Core Spaces’   apartment to $4,260/month for a 4-bedroom unit.
developments also feature social programming, which provides                 Intended to be “generational assets,” Core Space’s buildings take
residents further opportunities to connect with each other and their   into account the difficulty in ensuring the future relevancy of today’s
communities through volunteer partnerships in the neighborhood.        developments, as lifestyle and aesthetic preferences will certainly
      The ōLiv Tucson differentiates itself from other multi-family    evolve. Core Spaces meets this challenge by designing buildings
buildings in the West University vicinity by the incredible variety    with a varied unit mix that appeals to different lifestyle preferences
and quality of amenities offered at this price point. Residents have                                                    continued on page 2
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
cover story continued: ōLIV TUCSON WELCOMES
                CONTENTS                       FIRST RESIDENTS                 » by Andrew Wiedner

  SEPTEMBER 2020                                                                                                   incredible amenity for the Tucson
                                                                                                                   community. The boutique hotel
                 The Multifamily Issue                                                                             includes meeting and event space,
1–2............................ Cover Story                                                                        a ground floor café and a stunning
3.......................... Second Quarter                                                                         rooftop bar with unparalleled views of
                        Multifamily Update                                                                         the UA campus, Tucson’s skyline and
4–7............Top Commercial Sales
                                                                                                                   the Catalina Mountains.
                                                                                                                         The Main Gate Square project
8................. Top Residential Sales
                                                                                                                   represents a reinvestment of almost
9............ NexMetro Communities:                                                                                $200 million on behalf of the Marshall
                 Single Family Rental                                                                              Foundation and its redevelopment
                   Market Innovators                                                                               partners. The Main Gate Square’s
10.. Tucson City Council Approves                                                                                  retail, hotel and office square footage
      Annexation and Rezoning for                                                                                  is 1,632,200, of which ōLiv Tucson
         Rental Home Community                                                                                     represents 427,070 square feet. A variety
11–15........................Market Place                                                                          of restaurants featuring global cuisines
16.......................Are Prices Really                                                                         occupy the retail space, including
                         Coming Down for                                                                           community favorites Bacio Italiano,
             Apartment Construction?                                                                               Gentle Bens, The Dutch Eatery & Refuge
17............. Five Points Area Sees
                                                                                                                   and Kababeque Indian Grill. Shopping
                      New Innovative
                                                                                                                   options include Urban Outfitters, CVS
                   Apartment Projects
                                                                                                                   and a wide selection of locally owned
                                                                                                                   boutiques and services, such as Sanctity
18–22.............Multifamily Projects
                                                                                                                   Tattoo, Posner’s Art Store and Fox in
23........................ Editor’s Insights                                                                       a Box escape room adventures. The
                                                                                                                   second Arizona location of the Toronto-
                                                                                                                   based game & cafe chain, Snakes &
                                                                                                                   Lattes, is currently under construction
                                                                                                                   at 988 E. University Boulevard and is
Board Member:                                                                                                      scheduled to open sometime this fall.
• 		Downtown Tucson Partnership
• 		Metropolitan Pima Alliance
• 		Pima County Real Estate
   Research Council                            at a wide array of price points. The flexible spaces
Member:                                        allow residents to both gather and find private space   Andrew Wiedner is Chief Acquisitions Officer for Core
• Tucson Airport Authority                     and adjust when their needs change. By serving the      Spaces and is responsible for identifying and evaluating
• Tucson Association of Realtors               broader community and diversifying the product          new development and acquisition opportunities
• SAHBA                                        offering, Core Spaces is well-positioned to meet        for the company. His role includes site selection,
                                               future changes while avoiding overexposure to any       due diligence, analyzing the company’s investment
                                               particular unit type or lifestyle trend.                strategy, and managing debt and equity relationships.
                                                     As Core Spaces emphasizes the well-being          Prior to joining Core Spaces, Andrew spent 13 years
                                               of residents, health and safety must always be top      sourcing debt and equity for a broad-reaching client
                                               priority. However, this year has required extra         base, ranging from small family shops to billion-dollar
                                               precaution and new solutions such as rolling            pension funds. In his mortgage banking role, Andrew
                                               out contact-free procedures allowing for staff to       arranged more than $3
                       Subscribe               maintain the high level of personalization and          billion of financing for all
                                               service yet keeps both staff and tenants safe.          property types, including
       Subscribe online at
                                                     Through an innovative partnership with            office buildings, shopping
    www.trendreportaz.com                      Graduate Hotels, this mixed-use project also            centers, student housing
                                               features the newly built 165-room Graduate              developments,        single-
    For Quotes on Corporate                    Tucson, scheduled to accept reservations starting       tenant buildings, hotels,
          Subscriptions and                    October 1, 2020. Dubbed the “Desert Retreat             industrial warehouses, and
      Advertising Programs,                    in Wildcat Country”, the Graduate Tucson is an          land development.
 Contact Lucinda Smedley
         at 520-603-2175 or
lucinda@trendreportaz.com                      2 trendreportaz.com | september20
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
and government unemployment benefits set to end in the near term, expect a slight decrease in
                          and government unemployment benefits set to end in the near term, expect a slight decrease in
                                property value due to the commensurate rise in delinquencies. For the remainder of the summer,

S E C O N D Q U A R T E R property
                           M Uexpect
                                   LT
                                   valueIdue
                                          FA     M
                                              to the
                                       transaction    I LY      U Prise
                                                     commensurate
                                                   volume  to decrease  D inAT
                                                                       slightly andE
                                                                               delinquencies.
                                                                                    then pick
                                                                                               For the remainder of the summer,
                                                                                             back up shortly after
                                                                                                                  schools open.
                          expect transaction volume to decrease slightly and then pick back up shortly after schools open.

				                » per
            Sale Price    Allan Mendelsberg and Conrad Martinez
                       byUnit
     Sale Price per Unit
                                                                                                                   Price Per Unit

                                                                                             $70,000              Price Per Unit

A    mid the COVID-19 pandemic, more than 11,000                                     $70,000

                                                                                             $50,000
      businesses in Arizona and 1,300 in Tucson received economic relief
from the federal government. While Arizona posted one of the sharpest $50,000
unemployment drops in the country in May, it increased in June from 9%
                                                                                     $30,000
                                                                                                                                           and Northwest Tucso
to 10%. On a positive note, The University of Arizona reopened with a $30,000$10,000
mixture of online and in-person classes on August 24th and Lendingtree.                                   2016    2017                 2018posted vacancy rates
                                                                                                                                                2019     2020

com named Tucson the “number one” searched market for “homes for $10,000                               2016      2017
                                                                                                                          Price Per Unit
                                                                                                                                       2018       2019          2020
sale” during the pandemic in the U.S.                 YTD sales price per unit is $60,821.
                                                                                                              Summing up statistics
                                                                              Sale Price Per Unit. YTD sales price per unit is $60,821.
                                                                                                                         Price Per Unit
                                                       Overall Vacancy & Effective Rent
COVID Update                                    YTD sales price per unit is $60,821.
     With COVID-19 cases on the rise in Arizona, the Governor’s new                   $900
                                                                                                              above. The average s                                     8%
                                                Overall Vacancy & Effective Rent
Executive Order temporarily closed bars, indoor gyms, indoor movie                    $850

                                                                                      $800
                                                                                                              sold was 1986. On a                                      7%

theaters, and water parks. These operations are paused through July 27th.                                                                                                   8%

                                                                                                              monthly gross apartm
                                                                              $900                                                                                     7%
                                                                                      $750
As of August 17th, Pima County reported approximately 19,500 cases,           $850    $700
                                                                                                                                                                       6%   7%
nearly 8,000 more cases than the beginning of July. Governor Ducey
                                                                                                              quarter. This represen
                                                                              $800    $650

signed an executive order delaying in-person instruction in schools to        $750    $600
                                                                                                                                                                       6%   7%

August 17th; however, many Tucson school districts stated they would          $700    $550                                                                             5%
                                                                                                                                                                            6%
only offer online instruction for the foreseeable future.                             $500

                                                                                                                          The rental market con
                                                                     $650
                                                                                                                                                                       5%
                                                                                      $450                                                                                  6%
                                                                              $600
                                                                                      $400                                                                             4%
Property & Transaction Updates
                                                                                                                          minimal rental growth
                                                                              $550      2016          2017                         2018    2019          2020 Q2     5%
                                                                                                           Effective Rent, Monthly Avg.    Vacancy Rate
      While many other markets struggled during the pandemic, Tucson’s        $500
                                                                                                                                                                     5%
                                                                                     Overall Vacancy & Effective Rent
market remained stable. Transactions and escrow periods experienced $450
delays with lending and appraisals taking longer. Rent collections have $400 2016                  2017
                                                                                                                          high, with the limited w
                                                                                                                                 2018        2019            2020 Q2
                                                                                                                                                                     4%

                                                                                                                          housing opportunities
                                                                                                       Effective Rent, Monthly Avg.         Vacancy Rate
remained consistent through July at nearly 90% collections on average                waive reserves for taxes insurance and replacement reserves currently.
market-wide. With unemployment benefits being extended in the state,                 Credit: Kevin Prouty—Commercial Mortgage Broker
delinquencies and rent collections are expected to remain stable as a result.
The eviction moratorium was set to end July 23rd, but by government                  Outlook
                                                                                                                          2017 in the broader T
mandate, the moratorium has been extended through October 31st.
Tenants are now required to provide information and proof of hardships
                                                                                                                          region.
                                                                                          Going forward, if collections and   financing options continue
                                                                                     to be stable, Tucson’s apartment market will remain a strong seller’s
related to COVID-19 to receive the eviction protection.                            market with significant outside investor demand. With eviction
                                                                                   moratorium and government unemployment benefits set to end
Supply (Inventory) vs. Demand (Investors)                                          in the near term, expect a slight decrease in property value due to
      With these complex and unpredictable times, supply has remained the commensurate rise in delinquencies. For the remainder of the
low while demand has remained high. Many investors have left other summer, expect transaction volume to decrease slightly and then
markets where volatility is high and come to Tucson where the market pick back up shortly after schools open.
fundamentals are more stable and investments are perceived as safer.
Many owners have been inquiring about pricing analysis to see their Allan Mendelsberg joined Cushman &
properties’ value during this time but are hesitant to make any moves Wakefield | PICOR in October of 2009. Allan
in the market with the uncertain future ahead. Those in 1031 exchanges concentrates on multifamily investments but
during COVID-19 have been put in difficult situations as inventory also helps clients with manufactured housing
remains low and only slight price adjustments have been made in the and triple net(NNN) investments. Allan’s                            (I have requested this excel file
Tucson market.                                                                     clients range from small private investor            Allan Mendelsberg – you have
                                                                                   to largeREITS. Allan continues to rank
Financing                                                                          as one of Southern Arizona’s most active
      Financing agencies are still extremely active for Multi-Family loans multifamily brokers. He can be reached at
in the $1-$10 range. LTV is ranging between 70%-75%. Interest rates for amendelsberg@picor.com.
10 year loans are typically ranging between 3.5%-4%. We recently have
                                                                                   Conrad Martinez joined Cushman &
started to see from Freddie Mac small balance loan rates a little below
                                                                                   Wakefield | PICOR’s multifamily brokerage
3.5%. Life companies have not been as aggressive on rates and will likely
                                                                                   team in October 2019. Martinez is a graduate
be more aggressive going forward, but it is believed the 3.5% range for
                                                                                   of New Mexico State University with a major in
small balance loans is stable.
                                                                                   marketing and a minor in the PGA of America
      Underwriting has been more on the conservative side with a focus
on collections since the pandemic. However, if collections are supported
                                                                                                                       Allan Mendelsberg is
                                                                                   Professional Golf Management Program. He
                                                                                   can be reached at cmartinez@picor.com.
then underwriting will not change much. Lenders are also less likely to                                                clients with manufactu
                                                                                                                       family
                                                                                                                          Conradbrokerage         team
                                                                                                                                 Martinez joined Cushm
                                                                                                       september20 | trendreportaz.com        3 of New M
                                                                                                                          Martinez is a graduate
                                                                                                                       Southern       ArizonaGolf
                                                                                                                          of America Professional  mos
                                                                                                                                                     M
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
T O P C O M M E R C I A L S A L E S
      					                             » July 2020

Phoenix Investor Buys The Vintage Apartments for $15.4 Million
Phoenix, Arizona based Rincon Partners (Kirk McAllaster Jr., President), paid $15,400,000 for The               Sale:
Vintage Apartments located at 8225 E Speedway Blvd. The seller was Charles Harris. The Vintage                  $15,400,000;
Apartments was built in 1981, sits on 6.2 acres, and contains 204 units comprised of one- , and two-            $75,490/Unit
bedroom units with an average unit size of 547 SF. The property previously sold in July 2015 for
$9,750,000. 7/9/2020                                                                                            Size:
                                                                                                                204 Units
Buyer: Rincon Partners; Berkadia Real Estate Advisors, Clint Wadlund/Art Wadlund (520) 299-7200
Seller: Charles Harris; Taylor Street Advisors, Brian Trantzki (602) 603-1000

Chicago Investor Buys Wilmot Medical Building for $11.5 Million
Chicago, Illinois based MBRE Healthcare, through their affiliate AP MP, paid $11,550,000 for the                Sale:
medical building located at 535 N Wilmot Rd. The seller was the Schomac Group In. (Dennis Winans,               $11,550,000;
Principal). This medical building was built in 1991 and sits on 3.71 acres. This was an all cash transaction.   $292/SF
Banner Health occupies the medical building and has a long term lease in place for another 10 years.
7/7/2020                                                                                                        Size:
Buyer: MBRE Healthcare (312) 726-1700                                                                           39,577 SF
Seller: Schomac Group Inc.; NAI Horizon - Tucson Branch, Justin Lanne & Andrew Sternberg
        (520) 326-2200

Tucson Investors Buys Beach Fleischman Office Building for $10.65 Million
Tucson, Arizona based HSL TW River Road LLC, through their affiliates HSL Properties (Omar                      Sale:
Mireles, CEO) & Town West Realty (Jim Horvath, CEO), paid $10,650,000 for the office building                   $10,650,000;
located at 1985 E River Rd. The seller was Campbell Avenue Group LLC (David Cohen, President).                  $250/SF
This office building was built in 2004, sits on 2.62 acres, and was 100% occupied at the time of sale.
7/1/2020                                                                                                        Size:
                                                                                                                42,536 SF
Buyer: HSL RW River Road LLC., Omar Mireles & Jim Horvath
Seller: Campbell Avenue Group LLC., David Cohen

Richmond American Homes Buys Star Valley Lots for $7.1 Million
Richmond American Homes, Tucson Division, paid $7,134,600 for 138 finished lots, 47 x 115, in Block             Sale:
7 of Star Valley. The seller was GAC Star Valley. The community will be open for sales in 2Q 2021.              $7,134,600;
7/17/2020                                                                                                       $51,700/Lot
Buyer: Richmond American Homes, Michael Del Castillo                                                            Size:
Seller: GAC Star Valley; Land Advisors Org, Will White and John Carroll (520) 514-7454                          138 Lots

Lennar Homes Buys Star Valley Lots for $6.4 Million
Lennar Homes, Tucson Division, paid $6,400,000 for 130 lots, 45 x 110, in Block 4 in Star Valley. The           Sale:
seller was GAC Star Valley. The community will be open for sales in 2Q 2021. 7/30/2020                          $6,400,000;
                                                                                                                $49,500/Lot
Buyer: Lennar Homes, Kevin Tarbox
Seller: GAC Star Valley; Land Advisors Org, Will White and John Carroll (520) 514-7454                          Size:
                                                                                                                130 Lots

Tucson Investor Buys Wasko Modern Apartments for $5.275 Million
Tucson, Arizona based Donald Harner paid $5,275,000 for the Wasko Modern Apartments located at                  Sale:
2302 E Fort Lowell Rd. The seller was Brandon Matheson. The Wasko Modern apartments were built                  $5,275,000;
in 1973, sits on 1.29 acres, and contains 38 units comprised of one and two bedroom units with an               $138,815/Unit
average unit size of 797 SF. 7/16/2020
                                                                                                                Size:
Buyer: Donald Harner; Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Conrad Martinez & Allan Mendelsberg                            38 Units
       (520) 748-7100
Seller: Brandon Matheson; Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Allan Mendelsberg & Conrad Martinez
        (520) 748-7100

4 trendreportaz.com | september20
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
T O P C O M M E R C I A L S A L E S
      					                             » July 2020

California Investor Buys Midtown Raising Cane’s Fast Food Building for $5 Million
Thousand Oaks, California based 2604 East Speedway Boulevard LLC (Charles Zigman, Member) paid             Sale:
$5,000,000 for the Raising Cane’s located at 2604 E Speedway Blvd. The seller was Nesher Investments       $5,000,000;
LLC. This Raising Cane’s was built in 2019 and sits on 0.7 acres. This property includes an absolute       $1,329/SF
triple-net reverse build-to-suit lease with almost 20 years remaining on the lease term and 10% rental
increases every five years. 7/15/2020                                                                      Size:
                                                                                                           3,760 SF
Buyer: 2604 East Speedway Boulevard LLC (818) 429-6964
Seller: Nesher Investments LLC; Marcus & Millichap, Zachary House, Mark Ruble & Christopher
        Lind (602) 687-6700

California Investor buys Eastside Acacia Hills Apartments for $5 Million
San Diego, California based George William Sousa Trust paid $5,000,000 for the Acacia Hills apartments     Sale:
located at 9170 E Golf Links Rd. The seller was Acacia Hills Apartments LLC. Acacia Hills apartments       $5,000,000;
was built in 1986, sits on 2.04 acres, and contains 64-units comprised of one- , and two-bedroom units     $78,125/Unit
with an average unit size of 540 SF. 7/16/2020
                                                                                                           Size:
Buyer: George William Sousa Trust (619) 269-3469
                                                                                                           64 Units
Seller: Acacia Hills Apartments LLC; Berkadia Real Estates Advisors, Art Wadlund/Clint Wadlund (520)
        299-7200

Meritage Homes Buys Star Valley Lots for $4.7 Million
Meritage Homes, Tucson Division, paid $7,134,600 for 107 finished lots, 40 x 115, in Block 4 of Star       Sale:
Valley. The seller was GAC Star Valley. The community will be open for sales in 2Q 2021. 7/17/2020         $4,708,000;
                                                                                                           $44,000/Lot
Buyer: Meritage Homes, Lisa Hoskin
                                                                                                           Size:
Seller: GAC Star Valley; Land Advisors Org, Will White and John Carroll (520) 514-7454
                                                                                                           107 Lots

New York Investor Buys Westside Apartment Building for $4.6 Million
1335 W. Saint Mary’s, LLC (Damon Giglio, member) paid $4,625,000 for the Colonia de Tucson                 Sale:
located at 1335 W St Marys Rd. The seller was 19Tuc Jak Properties, LP. Colonia de Tucson apartments       $4,625,000;
was built in 1983, sits on 2.46 acres, and contains 84-units comprised of one- , and two-bedroom units     $55,059/Unit
with an average unit size of 574 SF. THe property was 92% occupied at time of sale. The property
previously sold in January 2016 for $3,045,000. 7/31/2020                                                  Size:
                                                                                                           84 Units
Buyer: Damon Giglio; Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Allan Mendelsberg & Conrad Martinez
       (520) 748-7100
Seller: Norman Kaderlan (512) 338-1201

Scottsdale Investor Buys 7 Four on Stone Apartments for $4.3 Million
Scottsdale based 7 Four on Stone Apartments, LLC paid $4,300,000 for the 7 Four on Stone apartments        Sale:
located at 3450 N Stone Ave. The seller was Bakerson Real Estate Capital Management through their          $4,300,000;
affiliate 7 Four on Stone by Bakerson, LLC. 7 Four on Stone was built in 1975, sits on 2.11 acres, and     $58,108/Unit
contains 74 units comprised of studio, one- , and two-bedroom units with an average unit size of 670 SF.
The property was 85% occupied at the time of sale. 7/23/2020                                               Size:
                                                                                                           74 Units
Buyer: Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Allan Mendelsberg & Conrad Martinez (520) 748-7100
Seller: Bakerson Real Estate Capital Management; Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Allan
        Mendelsberg & Conrad Martinez (520) 748-7100

Richmond American Homes Buys Gladden Farms Lots for $4.2 Million
Richmond American Homes, Tucson Division, paid $4,195,000 for 69 finished lots, 60 x 120, in Block         Sale:
30 of Gladden Farms. The seller was Crown West Land Group. The community will be open for sales            $4,195,200;
in 2Q 2021. 7/20/2020                                                                                      $60,800/lot
Buyer: Richmond American Homes, Michael Del Castillo                                                       Size:
Seller: Crown West Land Group; Land Advisors Org, Will White and John Carroll (520) 514-7454               69 lots

                                                               september20 | trendreportaz.com 5
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
T O P C O M M E R C I A L S A L E S
      					                             » July 2020

Florida Investor Buys Eastside Walgreens Drug Store for $4.1 Million
Coral Gables, Florida based SRMM Investment LLC, (Sergio Mirana Mayans, Manager) paid                       Sale:
$4,100,000 for the Walgreens Drug Store located at 5480 E 22nd St. The seller was Shapiro Family            $4,100,000;
Tucson LLC (Jacob Shapiro, Manager). This Walgreens store was built in 2004 and sits on 1.32 acre.          $282/SF
The absolute triple net leased property had 9 years remaining on its lease term. The property previously
sold in September 2004 for $5,485,000. 7/17/2020                                                            Size:
                                                                                                            14,560 SF
Buyer: SRMM Investment LLC, Sergio Mirana Mayans
Seller: Jacob Shapiro; Marcus & Millichap, Mark Ruble, Christopher Lind & Jamie Medress (602)
        687-6700

Lennar Homes Buys Gladden Farms Lots for $6.4 Million
Lennar Homes, Tucson Division, paid $4,073,600 for 67 lots, 60 x 120, in Block 30 of Gladden Farms.         Sale:
The seller was Crown West Land Group (Dean Wingert, VP). The community will be open for sales in            $4,073,600;
2Q 2021. 7/20/2020                                                                                          $60,800/Lot
Buyer: Lennar Homes, Kevin Tarbox                                                                           Size:
Seller: Crown West Land Group; Land Advisors Org, Will White and John Carroll (520) 514-7454                67 Lots

Phoenix Investor Buys Marana Apartment Building for $4.06 Million
Phoenix, Arizona based Marana Owner LLC (Jeffrey Sherman, Manager) paid $4,065,000 for the                  Sale:
Marana Apartments located at 13387 N Lon Adams Rd. The seller was TMM Family Services, Inc.                 $4,065,000;
Marana Apartments was built in 2003, sits on 4.7 acres, and contains 80-units comprised of 1 - 3            $50,813/Unit
bedroom units with an average unit size of 1,028 SF. 7/1/2020
                                                                                                            Size:
Buyer: Marana Owner LLC; Northmarq Capital, LLC., Trevor Koskovich, Jesse Hudson & Bill                     80 Units
       Hahn (602) 952-4044
Seller: TMM Family Services, Inc., Northmarq Capital, LLC., Trevor Koskovich, Jesse Hudson
        & Bill Hahn (602) 952-4044

California Investor Buys Montclair Apartments for $3.95 Million
Sherman Oaks, California based Fast River, LLC., (Rashmi Nigam, Manager) paid $3,950,000 for the            Sale:
Montclair Apartments located at 811 - 835 N Alvernon Way. The seller was ZFI, LLC and KMS Properties,       $3,950,000;
LLC (Ankist Zadeyan, Manager). The Montclair Apartments was built in 1958, sits on 1.57 acres, and          $64,754/Unit
contains 61-units comprised of studio, one- , two- , and three-bedroom units with an average unit size of
623 SF. The property previously sold in January 2019 for $3.2 million. 7/9/2020                             Size:
                                                                                                            61 Units
Buyer: Fast River, LLC; Rashmi Nigam
Seller: Ankist Zadeyan; Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Allan Mendelsberg & Conrad Martinez
        (520) 748-7100

Richmond American Homes Buys Catalina Lots for $3.6 Million
Richmond American Homes, Tucson Division, paid $3,600,000 for 40 finished lots, 36,000 square feet          Sale:
in size, at High Mesa, located at Hawser Street and Columbus Boulevard in Catalina. The seller was C        $3,600,000;
& S Land Investment Advisors LLC (Chris Sheafe, Manager). The community will be open for sales              $90,000/Lot
in 2Q 2021. 7/31/2020
                                                                                                            Size:
Buyer: Richmond American Homes                                                                              40 Lots
Seller: C & S Land Investment Advisors LLC; Land Advisors Org, Will White and John Carroll
        (520) 514-7454

New York Investor Buys Oro Valley Country Club for $3.5 Million
New York, New York based Sculptor Real Estate, through its affiliate Oro Valley Owner LLC, (Steven          Sale:
Orbuch, Manager) paid $3,500,000 for the Oro Valley Country Club clubhouse and golf course located          $3,500,000;
at 300 W Greenock Dr. The seller was ClubCorp. The property previously sold in December 2014 for            $198/SF
$2,900,000. 7/22/2020
                                                                                                            Size:
Buyer: Sculptor Real Estate, Steven Orbuch (212) 790-0000                                                   17,655 SF
Seller: ClubCorp (972) 243-6191

6 trendreportaz.com | september20
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
T O P C O M M E R C I A L S A L E S
      					                             » July 2020

Idaho Developer Buys Self Storage Site for $3.14 Million
Boise, Idaho based COMAR Investments, LLC, an affiliate of Braintree Properties LLC (Russ Criddle,          Sale:
project manager) paid for $3,138,998 ($12.27 PSF) for the 5.875 acre self-storage site located at 9255 N.   $3,138,998;
Oracle Road, northwest corner of Oracle and Calle Concordia. The seller was Oro Valley Self-Storage,        $534,297/AC
LLC (Hank Amos, managing member). The seller, Oro Valley Self-Storage, purchased the land for
$2,106,618 from CCN Investments, LLC and Allergy Asthma Associates, P.C. Cash Balance Defined               Size:
Benefit Plan, as part of a double escrow and had it rezoned from residential to Tech Park use with the      5.875 AC
Town of Oro Valley. It sold with a conceptual plan for a 1,000-unit self-storage facility according to
public records. 7/1/2020
Buyer: COMAR Investments, LLC
Seller: Oro Valley Self-Storage, LLC; Hank Amos (520) 577-7000

California Investor Buys Oro Valley Dutch Bros Retail Building for $2.12 Million
Monterey Park, California based Agatha Cha paid $2,120,000 for the Dutch Bros Coffee located at             Sale:
9730 N Oracle Rd. The seller was Malcolm Berman. This Dutch Brothers was built in 2020 and sits on          $2,120,000;
0.63 acres. 7/10/2020                                                                                       $731/SF
Buyer: Agatha Cha; Marcus & Millichap, Armond Arvazyan (650) 391-1700                                       Size:
Seller: Malcolm Berman; Volk Company, Debbie Heslop (520) 326-3200                                          2,900 SF

Tucson Investor Buys Commercial Land for $1.7 Million
Tucson, Arizona based CCN Investments LLC, (Albert Moussa, Manager) paid $1,694,000 for the                 Sale:
commercial land located at 9265 N Oracle Rd. The seller was Araghan Zarafshar. This sale consisted of       $1,694,000;
9.8 acres of commercial land. 7/10/2020                                                                     $139,309/AC
Buyer: CCN Investments LLC, Albert Moussa (520) 577-0491                                                    Size:
Seller: Armaghan Zarafshar; Russ Lyon Sotheby’s International Realty, Bob Benedon (520) 742-1335            9.8 AC

Tucson Investor Buys Distribution Building for $1.5 Million
Tucson, Arizona based Robert & Laurie Glaser paid $1,525,000 for the distribution building located          Sale:
at 3850 E 44th St. The seller was Elliot Loden. This distribution building was built in 1981 and sits on    $1,525,000;
2.83 acres. 7/17/2020                                                                                       $31/SF
Buyer: Robert & Laurie Glaser (520) 748-7100                                                                Size:
Seller: Elliot Loden; Cushman & Wakefield|PICOR, Stephen Cohen (520) 748-7100                               49,228 SF

California Investor Buys Dollar General for $1.5 Million
Valley Glen, California based Shachar Shabtay paid $1,521,428 for the Dollar General located at 9950        Sale:
S Nogales Hwy. The seller was GF Mueller Realty LLC. This Dollar General was built in 2014 and sits         $1,521,428;
on 1.46 acres. 7/10/2020                                                                                    167/SF
Buyer: Shachar Shabtay (818) 909-2666                                                                       Size:
Seller: GF Mueller Realty LLC., Schulte Company, Mike Schulte (520) 885-5900                                9,100 SF

Tucson Investor Buys Meadow Park Apartments for $1.45 Million
Tucson, Arizona based Todd Bailey paid $1,450,000 for the Meadow Park apartments located at 1701            Sale:
N Park Ave. The seller was Chapel Haven, Inc. Meadow Park apartments was built in 1971, sits on 0.51        $1,450,000;
acres and contains 17-units comprised of one- , and two-bedroom units with an average unit size of 720      $85,294/Unit
SF. The property previously sold in January 2008 for $1,171,808. 7/14/2020
                                                                                                            Size:
Buyer: Todd Bailey; Long Realty Company, Tony Reed (520) 888-8844                                           17 Units
Seller: Chapel Haven, Inc; Harvey Mordka Realty, William Mordka (520) 298-8500

                                                                september20 | trendreportaz.com 7
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
T O P R E S I D E N T I A L S A L E S
      					                               » July 2020

                        Tucson Resale Activity Summary                                                             Tucson Luxury Market Activity Summary
                         Active                   New      Months    Median                                           Active    Units   Months'   Median Sales   Avg.
 Year           Month   Listings   Units Sold   Listings   Supply   Sales Price Avg. DOM    Year           Month     Listings   Sold    Supply       Price       DOM    Avg. CDOM
        July             2,525       1,539       1,714      1.6     $233,000      36               July                138        7       20       $1,100,000    123       171
        August           2,489       1,423       1,573      1.7     $230,000      36               August              128        8       16       $1,267,500     77       77
        September        2,558       1,230       1,576      2.1     $239,575      36               September           146       14       10       $1,412,500    128       138
 2019                                                                                       2019
        October          2,711       1,270       1,698      2.1     $239,900      36               October             149        6       25       $1,115,000    128       204
        November         2,288       1,144       1,390      2.0     $232,000      34               November            152        4       38       $1,057,750     58       58
        December         2,359       1,221        964       1.9     $241,500      37               December            159       13       12       $1,460,875    126       188
        January          1,713       1,008       1,851      1.7     $235,250      38               January             179       11       16       $1,300,000     78       94
        February         1,868       1,168       1,595      1.6     $245,000      42               February            138        8       17       $1,167,500     90       90
        March            2,518       1,399       1,849      1.8     $248,250      36               March               135       13       10       $1,130,000    172       287
 2020   April            2,282       1,168       1,329      2.0     $249,000      30        2020   April               121        6       20       $1,530,000     83       116
        May              1,737       1,158       1,487      1.5     $240,700      30               May                 122        7       17       $1,200,000     71       112
        June             1,742       1,452       1,446      1.2     $250,538      36               June                113       15        8       $1,235,000     70       206
        July             1,739       1,581       1,578      1.1     $257,500      34               July                109       16        7       $1,285,000    129       233
        1 mo. change      0%          9%          9%        -8%        3%        -6%               1 mo. change        -4%       7%      -10%         4%         84%      13%
        1 yr. change     -31%         3%          -8%       -33%      11%        -6%               1 yr. change        -21%     129%     -65%         17%        5%       36%

Source: TARMLS                                                                             Source: TARMLS $1+ million Sales

Ventana Canyon Estates Home Sells for $2,692,000
Built in 2001, this 7,471 SF Santa Barbara style home is located on 0.64 acres in Ventana                                                           Sale:
Canyon Estates. Originally listed in July 2020 for $2,800,000, this home was on the MLS for a                                                       $2,692,000
total of 0 days under one listings. Under this listing, this home sold for 96% of its listing price
after 0 days on the market. 7/1/2020                                                                                                                Address:
                                                                                                                                                    6268 N Whaleback
Listing Agent: Susanne Grogan, Russ Lyon Sotheby's Int Realty
                                                                                                                                                    Place
Selling Agent: David Henry, Long Realty Company                                                                                                     Tucson, AZ 85750

Oro Valley Home Sells for $2,675,000
Built in 1943, this 8,186 SF Hacienda style home is located on 4.56 acres in Linda Vista. Originally                                                Sale:
listed in December 2017 for $3,285,000, this home was on the MLS for a total of 464 days under two                                                  $2,675,000
listings. Under this listing, this home sold for 96% of its listing price after 216 days on the market.
7/15/2020                                                                                                                                           Address:
                                                                                                                                                    630 W Calle
Listing Agent: Marta Harvey, Russ Lyon Sotheby's Int Realty                                                                                         Concordia
Selling Agent: Non-Member                                                                                                                           Tucson, AZ 85704

Canyon Pass at Dove Mountain Home Sells for $2,350,000
Built in 2015, this 5,826 SF Contemporary style home is located on 1.82 acres in the Canyon Pass                                                    Sale:
at Dove Mountain. Originally listed in November 2018 for $2,850,000, this home was on the MLS                                                       $2,350,000
for a total of 544 days under two listings. Under this listing, this home sold for 82% of its listing price                                         Address:
after 362 days on the market. 7/28/2020                                                                                                             3980 W Cayton
Listing Agent: Oscar Ramirez, Long Realty Company                                                                                                   Mountain Drive
                                                                                                                                                    Marana, AZ 85658
Selling Agent: Lisa Bayless, Long Realty Company
Tanque Verde Valley Home Sells for $2,250,000
Built in 1997, this 9,365 SF Mediterranean style home is located on 18.91 acres in Tanque Verde                                                     Sale:
Valley. Originally listed in April 2019 for $3,900,000, this home was on the MLS for a total of 280                                                 $2,250,000
days under two listings. Under this listing, this home sold for 90% of its listing price after 10 days on                                           Address:
the market. 7/15/2020                                                                                                                               900 N Circle D Way
Listing Agent: Todd Thompson, Tierra Antigua Realty                                                                                                 Tucson, AZ 85748
Selling Agent: Trish Schillizzi, Tierra Antigua Realty

Stone Canyon Home Sells for $1,725,000
Built in 2007, this 4,500 SF Mediterranean style home is located on 1.29 acres in Stone Canyon.                                                     Sale:
Originally listed in February 2017 for $1,995,000, this home was on the MLS for a total of 1,065 days                                               $1,725,000
under three listings. Under this listing, this home sold for 93% of its listing price after 204 days on the                                         Address:
market. 7/2/2020                                                                                                                                    462 W Tortolita
Listing Agent: Barbara Bardach, Long Realty Company                                                                                                 Mountain Circle
                                                                                                                                                    Oro Valley, AZ 85755
Selling Agent: Barbara Bardach, Long Realty Company

8 trendreportaz.com | september20
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
N E X M E T R O C O M M U N I T I E S : S I N G L E FA M I LY R E N TA L
M A R K E T I N N O VAT O R S        		             		        » by Josh Hartmann

C      onsumers have fundamentally changed the
       way they think about the American Dream, what they value,
and how they choose to live. NexMetro Communities’ Avilla Homes
neighborhoods reflect this consumer desire to have more than what
the traditional housing market offered in the past. Our Avilla single
family rental neighborhoods are the result of consumer demand,
and we are now in the fortunate position to have over two thousand
Avilla residents as a resource to understand our consumers’ wants
and needs. More and more, people want the freedom and flexibility
that comes from renting, and the privacy and independence they
get from living in a home. NexMetro offers a housing option that
combines the best of both worlds. Lifestyle and upscale finishes of
a home—with the flexibility of a lease—and no-hassle maintenance
free living with on-site professionally managed community.
      Since the GFC, consumers are increasingly identifying
                                                                            Avilla Lakeridge, Arlington TX
single family rental as a better option compared to conventional
apartments. And with the coronavirus requiring social distancing
and staying at home, the appeal of less dense, more spacious single-        them, despite being in the midst of a pandemic. The incredible demand
family rental living is unmistakable. A private backyard, no shared         is leading our growth, as we strategically expand into new markets.
walls and no shared hallways—with no mortgage. We have been the                   Our business plan has been as popular with our investors and
beneficiaries of this sea change and continue to see strong demand          partners as it has been with our residents. The growth of NexMetro
in all of our markets.                                                      and our Avilla Homes neighborhoods has been exponential, the
      Our residents are seeking a single-family rental lifestyle and have   success of which is attributed to a strong financial platform, excellent
the wherewithal to buy, but are choosing to rent. They are renters          operational processes, maintaining a disciplined business plan and
by choice. And the consumer is diverse, with different needs in their       understanding our consumers. Many of our investors have been
life stage. Whether they want flexibility for job movement, in a life       investing with us since our very first projects, and they appreciate the
stage transition (like divorce), or want to simplify their retirement—      consistency of the platform and the transparency we provide them.
Avilla’s single family rental option has broad appeal. And with privacy,    Similarly, we value our business partners who help us to design,
quality, convenience and luxury, these rental home neighborhoods            build, and manage our Avilla Homes neighborhoods. We are loyal to
check off all the “must haves’ on consumers’ lists, affording them          them, and we appreciate their loyalty to us.
the lifestyle they want, free from long-term commitments, financial               What we see in SFR is a lot of runway. This is a reflection of
burdens and maintenance hassles. It all comes down to the ability to        consumer demand that is seeking a new home lifestyle and is tired
have a place that rents like an apartment, and lives like a home.           of the typical big box rental options. Innovative and responsive to
      The single family sector of rental housing has enjoyed a              today’s housing market demands, the key is building smart and
particularly dramatic rise in the past decade as one of the fastest-        ushering in a new era of housing choices for today’s consumers.
growing segments of the U.S. housing market. As one of the nation’s
leading developers of single family detached leased housing, we
continue to see its considerable market strength. Single-family
rentals have outpaced the growth of both single-family for-sale and
multifamily housing in recent years—and it's predicted to keep
growing in the years ahead.
      NexMetro has come a long way since we first worked with               Josh E. Hartmann is CEO of NexMetro Communities and brings
Lucinda and the Real Estate Consulting Group in 2014 on our                 more than 20 years of real estate management and development
first institutional investment offering. Now with neighborhoods in          experience to the position, having
Phoenix, Dallas, Denver and Tampa markets, we have more than                worked with both private regional
5,300 homes in 35 projects that are completed or in development,            developers and large public national
and an additional 1,200 in the pipeline (and more every day). We still      homebuilders. He is responsible for
target prime suburban infill locations near employment, freeways            the development and implementation
and other demand drivers as we take a very disciplined approach to          of both short-and long-term company
site selection. In Phoenix, we continue to see opportunity in first ring    strategies to ensure NexMetro's
and second ring suburban markets where we have had tremendous               growth, effectiveness, sustainability
success historically. In fact, we are in the midst of two lease-ups in      and overall investor return. He can be
west Phoenix, arguably the epicenter of Avilla-like developments.           reached at josh@nexmetro.com.
The homes in this location are being leased as fast as we can deliver

                                                                                       september20 | trendreportaz.com 9
ŌLiv Tucson Welcomes First Residents
The general contractor is AF Sterling. Construction is expected to begin in January 2021.
     T U C S O N C I T Y C O U N C I L A P P R O V E S A N N E X AT I O N A N D
     R E Z O N I N G F O R R E N TA L H O M E C O M M U N I T Y         » by Philip Aries

     A     t its meeting August 11th, the Tucson City Council
           approved Annexation and rezoning for the first phase of Casita
     Village on Catalina. The first phase of 126 single family rental homes
     is scheduled to start construction in January 2021. The 12-acre site is
     located off Catalina Highway, just north of Tanque Verde.
           Casita Village on Catalina is being developed by an affiliate of
     Saunders & Amos LLC. The principals of Saunders & Amos, LLC,
     are long-time Tucsonans Kirk Saunders, Philip Amos, and Philip
     Aries. All are native Tucsonans, they recognized the importance of
     annexation and the value of being part of the City Tucson. Therefore,
     they chose to annex this property. Mike Czechowski of the City of
     Tucson spearheaded the annexation from the City’s side and helped
     it track concurrently with the rezoning process. A rezoning from SR
     and RX-1 to R-2 zoning was required for the project. The annexation
     and rezoning were presented by Lexy Wellott of The Planning Center.       own front porch, small back yard and covered parking.
     Lexy worked closely with Vice Mayor Paul Cunningham’s office for               The Built-for-rent housing industry began locally with Tucson
     nearly one year, building community consensus which resulted in a         Rental Homes. Roger Karber of Aerie Development started building
     7–0 approval.                                                             its Avilla communities in 2010. Following the success of the Avilla
                                                                               communities in Tucson, Phoenix-based NexMetro Communities
                                                                               was formed and started building the Avilla communities in 2012 in
                                                                               Phoenix and beyond.
                                                                                    Saunders Amos’ business plan is to build and hold 1,000 units
                                                                               in the next 10 years.
                                                                                    Casita Village is perfect for a span of professional millennials,
                                                                               move-up families/”life transition,” and empty-nesters. Most renters
                                                                               are younger households tired of apartments but not ready or able
                                                                               to buy a home. Equally there is demand from people who are
                                                                               downsizing from owned single family but don’t want apartment
                                                                               living. And the lock-and-leave convenience of renting is appealing
                                                                               to all generational groups, particularly the Baby Boomers! Single-
                                                                               family rental homes are incredibly attractive to consumers who seek
          The site plan features a single gated entry from Catalina Highway.   this unique lifestyle experience that combines the best of a detached
     Casita Village on Catalina will include one-, two- and three-bedroom      home and mortgage-free, maintenance-free living.
     single-family residential homes. The Casita neighborhood will offer            The general contractor is AF Sterling. Construction is expected
     garages, covered parking areas and amenities such as a resort-style       to begin in January 2021.
     pool, outdoor grills, and open spaces.
          The homes will include private backyards and front entries,
     open floor plans, high ceilings, granite countertops, stainless steel
     appliances and hard-surface flooring throughout. Every home will
     include a full-sized washer & dryer.
          Arizona is ground zero for this rapidly growing hybrid
     rental housing product that is catching the attention of national
     homebuilders.
          Big publicly traded homebuilders such as Horsham,
     Pennsylvania-based Toll Brothers and Scottsdale-based Taylor
     Morrison Homes have entered the market, while an array of smaller
                                                                               Philip Aries is Director of Acquisitions
     builders is also jumping in.
                                                                               for Saunders & Amos LLC where he
          Built in a community setting, the residential properties are
                                                                               is responsible for all aspects of the
     single story and detached but are rented out like an apartment, with
                                                                               development of their single-family
     average monthly rents that are aligned with A+ apartment projects.
                                                                               rental home portfolio. Prior to his
     However, compared with apartment living, renters don’t have to
                                                                               current role, he was Director of Real
     worry about climbing stairs, feet stomping above their heads or loud
                                                                               Estate for Park Corporation. He can be
     music blaring on the other side of the wall. Each rental home has its
                                                                               reached at paries@saundersamos.com.

     10 trendreportaz.com | september20                                                                          Philip Aries is Director of Acquisition
                                                                                                                 the development of their single-fam
                                                                                                                 of Real Estate for Park Corporation.
LOCATE SOUTHEAST:
    LOCATE SOUTHEAST:
      THE PLACE TO BE!
      THE PLACE TO BE!
                                                                                                                        DAVIS MONTHAN

                                                                                          DAVIS MONTHAN
                                                                                          AIR FORCE BASE                                                                                                           SAGUARO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    SAGUARONATIONAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             NATIONAL
                                                                                                                                                IRVINGTON ROAD                                                         PARK
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        PARKEAST
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             EAST
                         TACC
                                                                                  I-10     I-10
                                                                                                                                                     MESQUITE
    I-19                                                                                                                                             RANCH
                                                                                                  I-10 &                                                                                                        OL
                                                                                                  VALENCIA
                                                                                                     PIMA AIR                                                                                                         DS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              PA

                                                                                                                                                                                      HOUGHTON
                                                                                                     & SPACE                                                                              MESQUITE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Designed by Nature

                             TUCSON                                                                  MUSEUM                                                                               RANCH
                                                                                                                                                                                                            ROCKING KNI
                          INTERNATIONAL                                                                                                                                                                     RANCH

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SH
                                                                                                   PIMA AIR                                                                                                                                           TR
                             AIRPORT
                            TUCSON                                                                 & SPACE                                                                                                                                                   AIL
                                                                                                                                       TECH PARKS                                                 CIA
                              INT’L                                                               MUSEUM                                                                                     ALEN
                                                                                                                                                                                        RE V
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Designed by Nature
                                                                                                                                       ARIZONA
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                            AIRPORT                                                                                                                  VALENCIARITA
                                                                                                                                                              ROAD                         X PA
                                                                                                                                                                                        DE
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                                                                                                                                              RITA          RANCH                   ROA                   RANCH
                                                                                                                                              TECH PARK RITA
                                                                                         PARCEL                                                         ROAD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          CAMINO LOMA ALTA
                                                                                         515
                                                                                                                                                            RITA
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                                                                                                                                                         HOUGHTON
                                                                                                                                                           RANCH
                                                                                                                                                         TOWN  CENTER                            VAIL SCHOOL
                                 AEROS
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                                                                                                                                                           RITA RANCH
                                                                                                                                                           COMMERCE
                                                                                                                                                                          MOUNTAIN VAIL            DISTRICT
                                                                  SYCAMORE
           OLD NOGALES HIGHWAY

                                 PFUTURE
                                   ARKWA AREOSPACE PARKWAY        PARK                                                                                             RITA
                                                                                                                                                                                         VAIL SCHOOL
                                         Y                 SYCAMORE PARK                                                                                           RANCH
                                                                                                                                                       RITA
                                             FUTURE SONORAN CORRIDOR                                                                                   TECH        COMMERCE

                                                                                                                                                                                           DISTRICT
                                                                                                                         WILMOT

                                  RAYTHEON                                                                                                             PARK
                                                                                                                                                                       HOUGHTON
                                                                                                                                                                       TOWN CENTER

                                                                                                                                                                                          MOUNTAIN VAIL
                                         FUTURE SONORAN CORRIDOR

                                                                                                                                                                                      HOUGHTON
                                                                                                                                                                   HOUGHTON ROAD

                                                                                                  VERANO
                                                                                                   VERANO
                                                                                                          WILMOT ROAD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        I-10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  I-10

    I-19

                                                                                                                         WILMOT PARK                     ANDRADA                                                                                      83

                                                                                                                        WILMOT PARK                   ANDRADA                                            SAHUARITA
                                                                                                                                                                                                   SAHUARITA ROAD

                                                                              Major Employers, Great Jobs, Convenient Services,
                                                                              Major Employers,
                                                                                  World        Great Jobs,
                                                                                        Class Education andConvenient Services,
                                                                                                             Quality Homes!
                                                                                 World Class Education and Quality Homes!
   Diamond Ventures has a proven reputation for leadership. We are committed to quality residential
andDiamond  Ventures
   commercial         has a proven
                development   in ourreputation
                                      Southeastfor  leadership.
                                                 region.        Wetogether
                                                          Working  are committed   to quality
                                                                            with SAHBA   andresidential
                                                                                               our community
      and commercial development     in our Southeast  region. Working  together with
     partners, Diamond Ventures will continue to lead and provide strong opportunitiesour community
                                                                                             for families
     partners, Diamond  Ventures
               and businesses  to will
                                  live,continue to and
                                        work, play lead locate
                                                         and provide strong opportunities
                                                               SOUTHEAST,                  for families
                                                                             the place to be!
               and businesses to live, work, play and locate SOUTHEAST, the place to be!

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   11
¦ consumer insights                  ¦ product development
                   ¦ market studies                     ¦ asset positioning
                   ¦ strategic marketing                  & repositioning

                                                                                 A division of

     TUCSON, AZ   ¦ 520.603.2175 ¦   WWW.TRENDREPORTAZ.COM/CONSULTING

                                                                Since 1987, locally owned
                                                          Cadden Community Management has
                                                        specialized in partnering with developers
                                                            and homebuilders to set up their
                                                           homeowners associations while the
                                                         projects are still in the blue print stage.

                                                             Developing built out budgets
                                                          Reviewing draft legal documents
                                                            Developing short fall budgets
                                                         Assisting in successful transitions to
                                                             eventual homeowner control

                                                      (520) 297-0797 • www.cadden.com
                                                      1870 West Prince Road, #47 • Tucson, AZ 85705
12
We’re Passionate About
 Delivering Results.

                                        IT STARTS
                                        WITH LAND

   If your company needs help getting to the
 next level, contact us at 520.795.4500 or visit
                CaliberGroup.com

                                                    13
up-to-date knowledge of Tucsonʼs communities
                                strategies for todayʼs marketplace
                                     unsurpassed customer service

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A R E P R I C E S R E A L LY C O M I N G D O W N F O R A PA R T M E N T
CONSTRUCTION?                						 » by David Ollanik

T   his is the rumor circulating nationwide and while it
      is true for some commodity pricing, others are rising and
Arizona unemployment rates in the construction market are still
                                                                               This caused a $150/sf construction proforma in 2016 to be recast at
                                                                               $190–$210/sf in 2019 and early 2020.
                                                                                        The glimmer of hope here has come in the form of lower interest
historically low.                                                              rates. Some investors are now working their proformas at rates below
      Per the report issued by the Arizona Office of Economic                  2%. This lowers the debt service thus allowing the absorption of the
Opportunity in July of 2020, Arizona has an overall unemployment               higher costs of construction and in some instances has saved some
rate that has risen 5.1% while the construction sector has risen only          projects from a NO-GO decision.
2% over last year’s rates.                                                              Where will we be in the future? Let’s look at what has happened
      Lumber prices are on the rise again. As of June 2020, prices for         in 2020. COVID, wildfires in California consuming over 1 Million
lumber futures were 50% higher than they were in mid-March of this             acres, tariffs, a double hurricane hitting the gulf this week, and
year but in context, this is still 50% of where the market was in May          uncertain political climate with an election occurring in less than
of 2018. Lumber is a major component of many of the multi-family               three months. I can tell you that I am cautiously optimistic as the
projects you see going on around the City. This spike is attributable to       clients I interface with on a daily and weekly basis are moving
both Lumber tariffs on Canadian lumber as well as lower production             forward with planned developments that will push our backlog into
                                                                            The glimmer of hope here has come in the form of lower interest rates. Some investors are now working
at the mills due to COVID-related shutdowns.                                   2022. On the other hand, I see some indications in the market that
                                                                            their proformas at rates below 2%. This lowers the debt service thus allowing the absorption of the
      Steel is another option for a building structure, and while tariffs      firms
                                                                            higher  costsare    lookingand
                                                                                           of construction    toinfill
                                                                                                                    some backlog      holes
                                                                                                                           instances has savedcreated
                                                                                                                                                some projectsbyfromproject
                                                                                                                                                                       a NO-GO delays
                                                                                                                                                                                 decision.or
and plant shutdowns have been plaguing that industry the lack                  cancellations.          If the   postponement             and   cancellation          trends    continue
                                                                            Where will we be in the future? Let’s look at what has happened in 2020. COVID, wildfires in California
of overall demand has caused a 27% reduction in structural steel               there over
                                                                            consuming     will1 be    some
                                                                                                 Million acres,downward
                                                                                                                tariffs, a double trend
                                                                                                                                   hurricanein  overall
                                                                                                                                             hitting        construction
                                                                                                                                                     the gulf                      pricing
                                                                                                                                                               this week, and uncertain
                                                                            political climate with an election occurring in less than three months. I can tell you that I am cautiously
framing components over the last 12 months.                                    as   competition           will   heat    up    and   create    a   sense    of   urgency       to
                                                                            optimistic as the clients I interface with on a daily and weekly basis are moving forward with planned
                                                                                                                                                                                    secure
      One strategy now being employed on our projects is a                     work in that
                                                                            developments       advance        of backlog
                                                                                                  will push our   a predicted         double-dip
                                                                                                                           into 2022. On  the other hand,inflation.       I am not
                                                                                                                                                           I see some indications    in thean
                                                                            market that firms are looking to fill backlog holes created by project delays or cancellations. If the
transition to a concrete structure. Depending on the overall design            economist         and     I think     by   definition      as  a  builder      I am
                                                                            postponement and cancellation trends continue there will be some downward trend in overall
                                                                                                                                                                      forced     to   be an
of the buildings, owners can have a concrete structure framed               construction pricing as competition will heat up and create a sense of urgency to secure work in next
                                                                               eternal      optimist,       so  I  believe     the   market     will   hold     steady     for  the     advance
                                                                            of a predicted double-dip inflation. I am not an economist and I think by definition as a builder I am
building for a surprisingly small premium to a wood-frame building.            year     assuming        the    double-dip         does   not   come.      If  you    plan    to  develop
                                                                            forced to be an eternal optimist, so I believe the market will hold steady for the next year assuming the
For a “build and hold” investor this offers long term benefits as they         apartments,
                                                                            double-dip              I would
                                                                                         does not come.    If you suggest      youapartments,
                                                                                                                  plan to develop    pick your       architect
                                                                                                                                                  I would suggest youandpickbuilder     and
                                                                                                                                                                             your architect
will enjoy much better sound insulation, less shifting and settling,        andthen
                                                                                 builderwork
                                                                                          and then  work collaborativelyas
                                                                                                 collaboratively            asaa team
                                                                                                                                 team ononstrategies to keepto
                                                                                                                                              strategies       your  project
                                                                                                                                                                  keep       withinproject
                                                                                                                                                                          your       the
                                                                            budget.
and an overall level of quality that is much higher than their wood-           within the budget.
framed competitors.
      In Tucson, we have recommended to our clients and their
architects the use of light gauge metal stud framing for the exterior
wall system and interior framing. Over the last 20 years, the number
of local commercial wood framing subcontractors has dwindled to
a few. This was due to competitive pressure from other markets, the                                                      Construction Site A
retirement of key personnel, and the risk-reward proposition of this
trade in general. The overall lack of local qualified trade partners in
the wood frame category is offset by the relatively high number of
commercial light gauge framing and drywall companies.
      At Sundt, we prefer to hire locally at every single opportunity.
Due to the overall project size of a typical apartment complex
these days, the number of qualified local trade partners that can
successfully complete the opportunities on time and within budget
is limited. We are constantly looking for creative ways to engage the
local subcontracting community to enhance the local participation
in our projects. In the past, we have paired up smaller local
subcontractors with larger firms either local or within the state to
                                                                               David Ollanik is the Project Director
help secure a competitive advantage for our owners while promoting
                                                                               for Sundt Construction’s Tucson
local involvement.
                                                                               Office. He has 31 years of experience
      The biggest challenge we have seen so far relative to the
                                                                               in the construction industry. David is
affordability of market-rate apartments is the escalation that occurred
                                                                               a University of Arizona graduate and
between 2016–2019. This has sent many a proforma into the trash
                                                                               is actively involved in many service
can. Pricing used prior to the purchase of the land, based on the
                                                                               organizations in Southern Arizona
market in 2015–2016 when pricing was relatively inexpensive, was
                                                                               including serving on the board of the
quickly outdated as the commercial construction volume in Tucson
                                                                               Metropolitan Pima Alliance. He can
ballooned over 60% over the next two years. Escalation for 2017–
                                                                               be reached at deollanik@sundt.com.
2019 was in the 10–12% per year range vs the normal 2–3% range.

16 trendreportaz.com | september20
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