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Maneuvering Through the Market Madness - Media Group Online, Inc - Media Group ...
Media Group Online, Inc.

June 2021 www.mediagrouponlineinc.com

 Maneuvering Through the Market Madness
 Automakers, dealerships and consumers are all trying to find their
 way through the current market madness. For automakers, the
 microchip shortage continues to dominate their operations, as        Consumers’ particular form of market madness is the average
 2.99 million vehicles were removed from global production and        new-vehicle price increased 2.2% YOY for April 2021, to
 55,000 from North American production for the week of 5/24/21.       $40,768, which is an increase of $864, although the increase
                                                                      from March 2021 was just 0.23%, or an additional $92.
 Of the North American total, almost half (25,000) were
 Volkswagens, with Stellantis (formerly FCA Automotive)               Despite the maddening situation, all the brands in the abbreviated
 eliminating approximately 19,000 and Toyota 8,300.                   listed on page 4 experienced sales increases during May 2021
                                                                      – and most were in double-digits. Morgan Stanley estimates
 General Motors is reporting some optimism related to the chip        the May SAAR (seasonally adjusted annual rate) will reach 17.1
 shortage, as it plans to re-open all its plants within 30 days.      million while J.D. Power and LMC forecasted demand during
 Despite the light at the end of the chip tunnel, some dealerships    May will set a record at 1.39 million light vehicles.
 have few, often less than 10, unsold vehicles on their lots and
 some are expecting shipments of less than 50 vehicles during
 the each of the summer months.

 Sticker Prices
 Don’t Shock Consumers
 Because of the chip shortage, some car dealers are selling
 new vehicles at more than the published sticker prices. Such
 a practice is typically rare, but during the first 26 days of
 May, 69% of new-vehicle purchases were almost or more
 than the MSRP, compared to 41% during May 2020 and 36%
 during May 2019.

 For many dealers, it’s simply a supply-and-demand issue,             Among dealers who won’t sell new vehicles at more than their
 with many vehicles sold before trucks can deliver them. The          MSRPs, they are more concerned about maintaining and
 inventory shortage and the robust consumer market have               creating long-term relationships with customers than making a
 resulted in a record $3,245 total profit per vehicle, according to   few extra dollars. Many dealers are paying very little floorplan
 late-May 2021 data from J.D. Power.                                  interest and spending less on advertising, which allows them to
                                                                      keep customers happy with the best prices.

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June 2021 www.mediagrouponlineinc.com

MARKETING FORWARD
Younger Adults Are Driving the Market
Considering the current auto market madness, it may seem          Gen Xers continued to have the largest share of new-vehicle
unsurprising that an oft-cited trend has reversed its course.     registrations at 29.9%, but only increased 0.02% from Q4
Gen Zers and Millennials accounted for the largest increases in   2019. Older adults’ shares didn’t increase much and even
new-vehicle registrations during Q4 2020, at 4.1% (1.1% during    decreased slightly for some age groups.
Q4 2019) and 28.1% (26.4% during Q4 2019), respectively.
                                                                  For years, automakers and dealers were concerned younger
                                                                  adults showed less interest in vehicle ownership, but possibly
                                                                  their pandemic experience caused them to realize the
                                                                  importance of owning a vehicle. Public transportation and the
                                                                  various transportation network companies (Uber, Lyft, etc.)
                                                                  were either not operating or operating at very low levels.

                                                                    ADULTS 18+ WHO WILL PAY $30,000 OR MORE FOR
                                                                      THEIR NEXT VEHICLE, BY GENERATION, 2020
                                                                                 Generation                              Percent
                                                                                     Gen Z                                 7.7%
                                                                                  Millennials                             33.3%
                                                                                     Gen X                                30.7%
                                                                               Baby Boomers                               25.3%
                                                                              Silent Generation                            3.1%
                                                                         Based on The Media Audit’s 62-Market 2020 Aggregate Survey

Auto Credit Market Remains Solid
If dealers had more vehicles to sell, then the current good       Although more than 35% of new vehicle loans were for more
news in the auto credit market would result in even more          than 72 months during the quarter, the credit markets aren’t
sales. Experian reports consumers had higher average credit       concerned because the delinquency rate (payments overdue
scores (663) whether they were buying a new or used vehicle       by 60 days) was just 0.54%, compared to 0.67% during Q1
during Q1 2021 – and loan delinquency rates decreased.            2020 and 0.68% during Q1 2019.

Consumers were still buying pickup trucks and SUVs in large        ADULTS 18+ WITH A VEHICLE LOAN, BY AGE GROUP
numbers and financing large amounts. Of all new vehicles                    AND HOUSEHOLD INCOME, 202
financed during Q1 2021, 56% were SUVs and 17% were
                                                                                                        Household
pickup trucks and the average amount financed for all new          Age Group           Percent                               Percent
                                                                                                         Income
vehicles was $35,392, compared to $33,833 during Q1 2020.
                                                                                                         Less than
                                                                      18–24              5.6%                                 14.8%
                                                                                                          $35,000
                                                                                                         $35,000–
                                                                      25–44             34.8%                                 31.9%
                                                                                                          $75,000
                                                                                                         $75,000–
                                                                      45–54             23.2%                                 38.3%
                                                                                                         $150,000
                                                                                                       $150,000 or
                                                                      55–74             29.9%                                 15.0%
                                                                                                          more
                                                                         Based on The Media Audit’s 62-Market 2020 Aggregate Survey

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ROAD SIGNS

                                                                                                                  image source: www.ford.com

The Deeper Question
                                                                        Another question the announcement begs is whether Ford was
of Ford’s F-150 Lightning EV                                            clever enough to use the Lightning as an opening gambit for
                                                                        more widespread EV adoption to boost the sales of future Ford
Likely, Ford’s primary motivation for designing, building and
                                                                        EVs coming to the market. After all, if a pickup truck owner
launching its Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup truck was
                                                                        (stereotypes notwithstanding) is willing to buy a truck EV, then
the potential competition from Tesla and Rivian as well as
                                                                        consumers may be more likely to buy other EV models.
robust EV investments at Ford’s traditional rivals.
                                                                        Ford’s other strategic move is the price of the base model of
During the first 12 hours after unveiling the Lightning May
                                                                        the Lightning is $39,974, which is thousands less than its initial
19th, Ford had received 20,000 reservations for a vehicle
                                                                        competitors: Tesla’s Cybertruck, GMC’s EV Hummer and
that won’t be available until early 2022. The deeper question
                                                                        Rivian’s EV pickup. These trucks have many attractive features,
is whether these reservations are coming from traditional and
                                                                        but they don’t have the track record of Ford or the F-150, which
loyal F-150 fans or is this first significant indication Americans
                                                                        suggests Ford may have initiated one of the greatest coups in
are ready to embrace EVs.
                                                                        automotive history.

                                                                     New Moves Across the Industry
                                                                     The people at Ford may be excited about the successful launch
                                                                     of the F-150 Lightning, but it announced June 3rd the addition of
                                                                     the Maverick, a new small pickup, which could be available by the
                                                                     end of 2021. As the price of new pickup trucks increases, Ford
                                                                     expects the Maverick to be a lower-cost option for consumers
                                                                     who want a pickup truck, but not a full-size model.

                                                                     7-Eleven knows the future of transportation is electric, so it will
                                                                     be increasing the number of charging stations at its locations,
                                                                     adding a minimum of 500 to 250 convenience stores in the US
                                                                     and Canada during 2022.

                                                                     Many EV startups are jockeying for large orders for commercial
                                                                     electric vans from the largest delivery companies, such as UPS,
                                                                     FedEx, DHL and Amazon. An order for thousands of vans would
                                                                     allow EV startups to advance quickly. Arrival already has an order
                                                                     for as many as 10,000 vans from UPS and Rivian is building
                                                                     100,000 vans for Amazon.

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MONTHLY AUTOMOBILE SALES CHART
NOTE: General Motors, Stellantis and Tesla announce their light-vehicle sales quarterly instead of monthly; however, Ford is now reporting monthly again. As of
January 2020, BMW Group, Nissan North America, Volkswagen Group, Jaguar Land Rover and Mercedes-Benz also decided to report sales only quarterly. They
will publish their Q2 2021 sales during early July 2021. Their brands are not included in this month’s sales table.

                                                                                 % Change from                                         % Change from
        Rank                   Auto Brand                  May 2021                                        2021 Year to Date
                                                                                   May 2020                                           2020 Year to Date
          #1                              Toyota            212,447                    +46.7%                     953,543                    +44.6%
          #2                             Honda              158,662                    +43.4%                     607,888                    +40.2%
          #3                                Ford            152,377                     +3.6%                     831,273                    +10.7%
          #4                           Hyundai               93,745                    +59.0%                     349,914                    +53.1%
          #5                                  Kia           80,298                     +75.3%                     310,025                    +43.9%
          #6                             Subaru             56,558                      +8.8%                     278,373                    +30.6%
          #7                             Mazda               42,187                    +69.2%                     156,562                    +51.2%
          #8                               Lexus             29,724                    +48.6%                     131,005                    +52.1%
          #9                               Acura             18,153                    +75.5%                      72,500                    +65.1%
          #10                              Volvo             13,221                    +38.9%                      51,496                    +56.7%
          #11                            Lincoln             8,143                      +5.0%                      44,021                    +15.3%
          #12                           Genesis              3,728                     +176.1%                     15,244                   +149.5%

                 Toyota Motor Corporation                   242,171                    +46.7%                    1,084,548                   +45.5%
      American Honda Motor Company                          176,815                    +46.2%                     680,388                    +42.5%
          Hyundai-Kia Automotive Group                      174,043                    +66.1%                     310,025                    +43.9%
                               Ford Motor Co.               160,520                     +3.7%                     875,294                    +10.9%
                                        TOTAL*              865,515                    +36.9%                   3,786,600                    +35.0%

 Source: Automotive News, June 2021
                                                                                 Sources: Automotive News Website 6/21; Cox Automotive Website 6/21; The
                                                                                 Media Audit Website 6/21; Wards Auto Website 6/21; CNBC Website 6/21;
 © 2021 Media Group Online, Inc. All rights reserved.                            Wired Website 6/21; CS News Website 6/21; Reuters Website 6/21.

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