MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher

 
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MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
MARITIME SAFETY
 2012-2021
 A decade of progress

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                                                                                                       Richard Clayton, Chief              Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen,
                                                                                                       Correspondent, Lloyd’s List         CEO Maritime, DNV
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                                                                                                       Technological shift                 Counting the                   Detentions                         Safety focus: Europe               Hull and machinery
                                                                                                       challenging the                     lives saved                    Lloyd’s List Intelligence          and North Africa                   issues a focus area
                                                                                                       shipping safety                     Steven Lett, Head of                                              Lloyd’s List Intelligence          for safety amid green
                                                                                                       paradigm                            secretariat, International                                        infographic                        fuel transition
                                                                                                                                           Cospas-Sarsat Programme
                                                                                                       Øystein Goksøyr, Head                                                                                                                    Marianne Strand Valderhaug,
                                                                                                       of Department Safety                                                                                                                     DNV Maritime Class director
                                                                                                       Advisory, DNV                                                                                                                            for technical support

                                                                                                       32                                  38                             40                                 42                                 44
                                                                                                       Losses                              Safety must                    Know how to                        Seafarer safety and                Recent Black
                                                                                                       Lloyd’s List Intelligence           come first                     transport your                     well-being support                 Swan Timeline
                                                                                                                                           Helle Hammer, Managing         cargo safely                       peaks in pandemic                  Lloyd’s List Intelligence
                                                                                                                                           Director, Nordic Association   Ivar Håberg, Director of           Ben Bailey, Director of
                                                                                                                                           of Marine Insurers (Cefor)     Approval, Ship Classification      Advocacy and Regional
                                                                                                                                                                          DNV                                Engagement, The Mission to
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Seafarers

                                                                                                       RICHARD CLAYTON
                                                                                                       Chief Correspondent, Lloyd’s List

                                                                                                       CHRIS PÅLSSON
                                                                                                       Author, Head of Consulting Lloyd’s List Intelligence

                                                                                                       ADRIAN SKIDMORE
                                                                                                       Sales Lead, Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                Published by Informa UK Ltd. © Informa UK Ltd 2021.
                                                                                                       adrian.skidmore@informa.com
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                                                                                                       LUCY SMITH                                                                           transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photographic,
                                                                                                       Program Manager, Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                           recorded or otherwise without the written permission of the publisher.

                                                                                                       NEIL WIESE                                                                           Lloyd’s is the registered trademark of the society incorporated by the Lloyd’s Act
                                                                                                      Commercial
                                                                                                   Maritime safetyEditor, Lloyd’s List
                                                                                                                   2012-2021           decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence 1871 by the name of Lloyd’s.
                                                                                                                                  – AIntelligence                                                                                                                                1
MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Introduction                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Introduction

         TRANSFORMATION WILL                                                                                                                            PEOPLE ARE KEY TO
         REQUIRE NEW WAYS OF                                                                                                                            FURTHERING SAFETY’S
         THINKING ABOUT SAFETY                                                                                                                          PROGRESS

                     SAFETY is not the absence of danger, nor is it          businesses are broken, reputations are lost. The                     The welfare of our seafarers and the environment             Incoming alternative fuel technologies will
                     a checklist with ticks alongside. Safety is the         answer is not to reiterate the mantra about                          lies at the core of safe and sustainable ship                require a renewed safety focus to understand
                     foundation on which you build your life, and your       ‘human error’ but to dig deeply, to share widely,                    operations.                                                  and mitigate potential hazards that can put
                     life’s work. Moreover, it’s not a box separated         and to implement intelligently.                                                                                                   lives and vessels at risk.
                     from the other boxes that make up a business                                                                                 The decline in the number of vessel casualties
                     operation, it’s the box within which your business      Speaking on a Lloyd’s List podcast following the                     and losses over the past decade is testament                 A human-centric approach to design and
                     is carried out.                                         release of a new analysis, Closing the Safety                        to the shipping industry’s efforts to improve                operation is therefore essential when
                                                                             Gap in an Era of Transformation, DNV Principal                       safety standards towards the overarching goal of             developing new technologies, automated
                     It does not follow that shipping is safer because       Consultant Fenna van der Merwe warned that                           safeguarding life, property, and the environment.            processes, and systems to ensure they are
    By Richard       there have been fewer accidents and incidents.          safety is not an add-on.                                                                                                          focused on the end user so that their potential      By Knut
    Clayton          A reduction in casualties might indicate that                                                                                Measures such as increased digitalisation and                can be realised in a safe and sustainable            Ørbeck-Nilssen
    Chief            something is going right – it should spur us on to      “Our research showed that we need to                                 automation of ship systems, modern class rules,              manner for the transformation of shipping.           CEO Maritime,
    Correspondent,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  DNV
                     understand what that might be.                          continue to focus on the people on our way to                        better vessels and tighter regulatory supervision
    Lloyd’s List
                                                                             a safer, cleaner future in maritime,” she said.                      have contributed to this welcome safety trend.               The pandemic underscored the value of our
                     Too often shipping accepts a level of risk and          “Through breaking down silos we can generate                                                                                      seafarers to global trade. Their efforts to keep
                     measures the outcomes against that level. The           a holistic picture of safety risk and collaborate                    Nevertheless, the toll of fatalities from ship               the wheels of the global economy turning
                     sea is, after all, an unforgiving medium. Wind          towards identifying and implementing                                 accidents over the same period should not be                 throughout this incredibly difficult period
                     and waves, when whipped into turbulence, make           mitigating measures.”                                                forgotten or overlooked. The ambition must always            was nothing short of herculean. The role
                     for a dangerous environment that challenges                                                                                  remain to avoid incidents at sea through a culture           of seafarers will remain no less important
                     the ingenuity of engineers, designers, and              It’s that holistic view that underpins safety at                     of continuous improvement, even as the tectonic              as we progress into a future of greater
                     navigators. That won’t change when the balance          all levels. Pointing to human error might have                       shifts of digitalisation and decarbonisation pose            system complexity.
                     between humans and technology shifts in favour          been accurate but it has not always been helpful                     new safety challenges for the industry.
                     of tech.                                                in getting to the bottom of why accidents and                                                                                     If we want to ensure a safe, timely and
                                                                             incidents happen. This report reveals that while                     At DNV we’ve identified a looming “safety gap”               impactful maritime transformation, we as an
                     This DNV maritime safety report comes at a              data is good and analysis of the data is even                        between shipping’s existing safety-risk approach             industry, must embrace the potential in our
                     time of rapid change for shipping. The push             better, it’s the insight offered through a holistic                  and ambitions for greater digitalisation and the             seafarers and onshore personnel. Continual
                     for decarbonisation has become the dominant             understanding of the maritime venture that is                        adoption of alternative, more environmentally                competence development in these developing
                     driver for all sectors of the industry, while the       the real basis for safer shipping.                                   friendly fuels. The longer we wait to identify and           areas is critical to manage the transition safely.
                     introduction of new technologies will bring new                                                                              address these, the more the gap will grow.                   Silos must be broken down in a collaborative,
                     ways of working and demands a new mindset               In 2015, an American cargo ship sank with the                                                                                     connected approach to fertilise knowledge
                     from everyone involved in shipping.                     loss of 33 lives. It was the deadliest American                      We need renewed risk controls and a new                      sharing, while safety data and information
                                                                             maritime disaster since World War II. At the end                     regulatory approach, based on individual fuel                should be shared for the betterment of safety
                     At a time of transformation, possible risks are         of her human-centric analysis of the tragedy,                        assessments, knowledge, and experience. Simply               at sea.
                     more likely to come from new fuels, novel               published as Into the Raging Sea [4th Estate,                        applying existing rules and standards is not an
                     technologies, and ambitious expectations                2018], author Rachel Slade demanded to know,                         option. To develop these and close the safety gap            Working on emerging safety risks will need
                     impacting one on another. This is when everyone         “with all our sophisticated technology, how                          requires a collaborative, continual effort.                  to be balanced with issues that may seem
                     anticipates possible unintended consequences            could an accident of this magnitude happen?”                                                                                      quite basic but are still out there; things such
                     and trains to expect the unexpected. Safety                                                                                  Class has a role to play acting as trailblazers for          as cargo liquefaction, fires, and risks during
                     successes of the past will be no guarantee              How indeed. The loss of the El Faro and her                          regulators, gathering expertise, partnering with             manoeuvring. Preventing these issues lays the
                     against the challenges of the future.                   crew serves as a warning for the industry to                         industry, and developing guidelines. Suppliers,              groundwork for keeping crews and vessels safe
                                                                             be mindful that even when all precautions are                        owners, charterers, and yards can work together              in a time of unprecedented transformation.
                     And it’s precisely at a time of transition that         taken, safety must remain the priority. This                         to ensure a holistic approach to safety onboard
                     the industry needs to focus on why an incident          report, with its overarching conclusion that the                     – where one decision impacts directly upon                   The industry is embarking on a Maritime
                     happened and not on who was to blame. In the            number of shipping incidents is falling steadily                     another. And all stakeholders should work                    Renaissance. As we step forward into this
                     maritime industry, we see the same incidents            despite a continued increase in fleet size,                          together to build fuel-specific competence and               inspiring new era, we must keep safety at the
                     happening repeatedly. Lives are changed,                supports the industry’s ongoing efforts.                             enable a culture of continuous improvement.                  core of technological progress.

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MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Executive summary                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Executive summary

                                                                                                                                                     The long-term impact of the new fuels on
                                                                                                                                                     ships’ engines may not yet be fully known, but
                                                                                                                                                     it is known that machinery damage is the most                           Enhancements to safety and
                                                                                                                                                     common cause of casualty. Engine designers                            environmental protection in the
                                                                                                                                                     and other stakeholders must, and will, follow this
                                                                                                                                                     development closely.                                                 past decade have been remarkable
                                                                                                                                                     The route to decarbonisation tops the agenda as
                                                                                                                                                     much for shipping as it does for other sectors of
                                                                                                                                                     the global economy. There is great uncertainty
                                                                                                                                                     about how ships should be fuelled, propelled,                of containers. Charter and freight rates surged.
                                                                                                                                                     and designed to meet both future environmental               Idle ships were taken into service and new ship
                                                                                                                                                     targets and business demands.                                ordering regained momentum.

                                                                                                                                                     LNG has been the alternative fuel of choice over             It was challenging to change crew as travelling
                                                                                                                                                     the past 10 years, with high numbers recorded for            was heavily restricted. There were many examples
                                                                                                                                                     2021, thus positioning LNG as a relevant fuel for            of crew being stuck onboard ships for months
                                                                                                                                                     many. Ships ordered with electro fuels, hybrid, or           longer than planned.
                                                                                                                                                     fully electric drives are on the increase, and further
                                                                                                                                                     solutions are likely to emerge.                              In 2020, unrelated to the pandemic, the 200,00 dwt
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  bulk carrier Wakashio ran aground on a reef south-
                                                                                                                                                     Every one of these solutions brings a requirement            east of Mauritius in July. The ship later broke into
                                                                                                                                                     to evaluate all safety aspects.                              two. At the time, the crew had been onboard the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ship much longer than usual due to the pandemic.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  One year later, they were still in Mauritius, held
                                                                                                                                                     PANDEMIC IMPACT ON SAFETY                                    in custody without charge. The ITF called on the

         EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mauritius government to release the crew.
                                                                                                                                                     Shipping has not been immune to the impact
                                                                                                                                                     of Covid-19. Indeed, much to the delight of the              One of the most disastrous incidents in 2020 was
                                                                                                                                                     often ‘unsung’ world of shipping, the global                 the explosion on 4 August in Beirut port, Lebanon.
                                                                                                                                                     community has been made even more aware of                   The explosion destroyed port infrastructure, killed
                                                                                                                                                     the importance of seaborne trade logistics through           200 and injured more than 6,500 people. Several
                        Don’t let ‘safer’ be the enemy of ‘safest’                                                                                   pandemic-related supply chain problems.                      ships in port were also damaged. The passenger
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  vessel Orient Queen was severely damaged at
                                                                                                                                                     Passenger shipping, in all its forms, was                    berth. The ship later listed, capsized, and sank.
                        THIS comprehensive report into maritime safety is       In the early 1990s, the global shipping fleet                        immediately and heavily impacted by the
                        based upon data drawn from the decade spanning          was losing vessels at a rate of 200-300 each                         pandemic. Because passenger vessels are involved             Navigational safety drew global attention in 2021
                        2012-2021, up to the mid-point of 2021.                 year. The current rate of attrition is between                       in a relatively high share of safety incidents,              through the plight of the Ever Given. The container
                                                                                50 and 100 vessels a year. This is even more                         particularly machinery damage and contacts,                  ship ran aground in the Suez Canal on 23 March,
                        Using the unique databases of Lloyd’s List              remarkable given the fact that there are almost                      those numbers dropped as activity stopped.                   blocking canal traffic for six days. The incident
                        Intelligence, we have reviewed 866,000                  130,000 ships in the global fleet (100 gross                                                                                      headlined the news agenda around the world as
                        inspections, 26,000 detentions, 22,000 casualty         tons+) compared with just 80,000 ships some                          Tanker shipping activity followed a different track.         the importance of free-flowing maritime traffic
                        incidents, and 1,000 losses.                            30 years ago.                                                        Oil prices plunged in the northern spring of 2020            suddenly became evident to everyone.
                                                                                                                                                     and trade intensified as oil market stakeholders
    By Chris Pålsson    Through interrogation of that data, we have             Much has happened in the past ten years to which                     seized the opportunity to stock up at low prices.
    Head of             identified a gratifying, overall pattern of             this report refers.                                                  Many tankers were chartered for storage.                     DOWNWARD TREND FOR DETENTIONS
    Consulting,         improvement in maritime safety, although there
    Lloyd’s List
                        can be no room or time for complacency, and                                                                                  Container carriers saw activity drop early in 2020           The average number of vessels inspected each
    Intelligence
                        critical issues lie ahead for shipping.                 MACHINERY DAMAGE THE PEAK                                            as China went into lockdown. As China gradually              year between 2012 and 2019 was 94,800. Fewer
                                                                                CASUALTY CAUSE                                                       opened, Europe and the US shut down. Stocks                  inspections were carried out in 2020 because of
                        However, it does no harm to look at what has been                                                                            continued to pile up, with serious disruptions to            the pandemic. The overall trend for the period
                        achieved as a result of targeted and consolidated       In January 2015, the sulphur limits in the SECAs                     the supply chain worldwide.                                  from 2012 onwards reveals a decline in the
                        effort, even as the industry seeks solutions for        (sulphur emission control areas) were capped to                                                                                   number of inspections despite a steady growth of
                        future issues to be confronted.                         0.1%. Five years later, a global sulphur cap of 0.5%                 Basic services were gradually reinstated, but                the global fleet.
                                                                                entered into force. Consequently, more fuel types                    challenges quickly mounted, with stockpiles,
                        Enhancements to safety and environmental                have entered the market to make it possible for                      reduced capacities in ports, limited availability            While this is true for the entire fleet, the underlying
                        protection in the past decade have been remarkable.     ship operators to comply with regulations.                           of trucking, labour shortages and a shortage                 details show a slightly different trend.

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MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Executive summary                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Executive summary

                          The number of inspections is increasing for the              of ships, slightly more than half (54%) of the                       the number of casualties are calculated in
                          growing fleets of bulk carriers, container ships             fleet was built since the turn of the millennium.                    relation to the size of the fleet in any given year,
                          and gas carriers, and are on a sustained level for           However, in terms of gt, fully 88% of the fleet                      the peak year was 2014. Casualty numbers have                               While fewer passenger ships
                          other tankers. However, fleets which are declining           has been built since 2012. So, in general terms,                     declined since 2017, and the incident rate has                               are being lost, every lost
                          in number are seeing a diminishing number                    large ships are young and old ships are small. (see                  declined since 2014.
                          of inspections.                                              Figure 1 showing world fleet age profile by gt and                                                                                                 vessel is one too many
                                                                                       year built)                                                          While machinery damage continues to be the
                          Gratifyingly, inspections that lead to detentions                                                                                 main cause of casualties, as mentioned above,
                          are following a clear downward trend. By 2019,                                                                                    there is not enough detailed data evidence yet
                          detentions were 40% fewer than in 2012, a                    2014 OR 2017? A PEAK YEAR FOR CASUALTIES                             to make a definitive determination as to why
                          remarkable reduction. The number of detained                                                                                      this is, but factors such as new fuels, change of
                          ships was down for all vessel types, but most of all         Most detained vessels are small, below 10,000                        speed and other measures to remain compliant
                          for general cargo carriers. Over the years, general          gt, and close to half of the small vessels                           with EEXI and CII could increase the risk of                 constrained, and contracts commonly awarded
                          cargo carriers have been the most detained                   are 25 years or older. When ships reach the                          machinery failure and damage.                                to the lowest bidder. Those low bids, more often
                          vessels, but since 2019 detained general cargo               second half of their lifecycles, it is common for                                                                                 than not, are backed by older ships with lower
                          carrier numbers are on about the same level as               ownership and flag to change, so ships end up                        One of these factors, bunker fuel quality, is                capital costs.
                          bulk carriers.                                               with smaller shipowners. That might mean ships                       expected to emerge as an increasing source
                                                                                       receive better care and are properly maintained,                     of scrutiny in incident reporting as more fuel
                          In that context, it should be mentioned that there           but there are risks too; resources are limited                       types become available on the market. In                     NEWBUILDING PRICES ON THE RISE
                          are almost twice as many inspections of bulk                 in tougher times, with resulting implications                        recent years, low sulphur fuels and LNG have
                          carriers than of general cargo carriers, so the share        for the frequency of service, maintenance,                           become widely offered. Bio-fuels and electro-                The ultimate failure for maritime safety is when
                          of inspected ships that lead to detention is still           and repair.                                                          fuels are still relatively rare but will be more             a ship is lost, and people onboard lose their lives.
                          higher for general cargo carriers.                                                                                                readily available in the near term. The potential            While fewer passenger ships are being lost, every
                                                                                       A total of 21,746 casualties were recorded                           impact on the frequency of machinery damage                  lost vessel is one too many. Climate change is
                          The world fleet consists of 130,000 ships of 100 gt          over the past decade. The year 2017 saw the                          is uncertain, but fuels and lubricants specialists           leading to more extreme weather and weather
                          and above, aggregating 1.56 billion gt. By number            greatest number of casualties, although when                         have issued warnings.                                        events, which must be understood and for which
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         preparations will have to be made in order to
                                                                                                                                                            Ship engines perform best when running                       protect lives and livelihoods.
                                                                                                                                                            at ratings defined by the engine designers.
    Number of ships                                                                                                                                         The engine should match the ship’s size and                  Ship designs to match rougher weather
    30,000                                                                                                                                                  targeted design speed. In the past decade,                   conditions may run up against environmental
                                                                                                                                                            ship speeds have been reduced to save fuel                   targets. Stronger engines and more robust hull
                                                                                                                                                            and costs. If slow steaming is maintained for                constructions lead to higher energy consumption.
                                                                                                                                                            months or years, there will be an impact on                  Upgraded ship designs and construction materials
    25,000
                                                                                                                                                            engine reliability. The seriousness of this impact           will be needed to meet both requirements, and
                                                                                                                                                            depends on how slow and for how long the                     newbuilding prices will therefore likely increase.
                                                                                                                                                            ships are ordered to operate at those speeds.
    20,000                                                                                                                                                                                                               Small and old vessels are more likely to be lost
                                                                                                                                                            Lloyd’s List Intelligence records identify in excess         than larger, newer ships. Passenger vessel losses
                                                                                                                                                            of 8,000 different engine designations. Many of              result in more deaths than for any other vessel
                                                                                                                                                            them are variations of the same engine family,               type, simply because there are more people
    15,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Lloyd’s List
                                                                                                                                                            but that reflects the many and unique engines                onboard than just the crew. However, not many          Intelligence is
                                                                                                                                                            available. It is too early and too diversified to            passenger vessels are lost, and the trend is for       the trusted expert
                                                                                                                                                            accurately forecast how hard the impact of fuel              fewer losses year by year. When they are lost, the     partner providing
    10,000                                                                                                                                                  switch will be on each engine type.                          number of deaths is high.                              professionals
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                connected to
                                                                                                                                                            The highest number of casualty incidents involve             As this report outlines, the trend in maritime         maritime trade
     5,000                                                                                                                                                  general cargo carriers and passenger vessels. As             safety is positive: life at sea is becoming safer.     with transparent
                                                                                                                           50,000 gt+
                                                                                                                                                            mentioned above, these are large fleets with a               However, I see many safety challenges ahead, so        data, validated
                                                                                                                           10,000-49,000 gt                                                                                                                                     analysis, and
                                                                                                                                                            significant share of old and small vessels. These            the successful safety work of the past must be
                                                                                                                           1,000-9,000 gt                                                                                                                                       actionable insight
                                                                                                                                                            are often low-margin business operations, which              intensified to keep the trend line pointing in the
         0
MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Infographic                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Infographic

         THINGS ARE GETTING BETTER                                                                                                               In the period 2012-2021, the number of ship losses has fallen from 132 to 58 in 2020, while
         ALL THE TIME                                                                                                                            casualties have declined from 1,900 to 1,500. This is in spite of a steady rise in the number
                                                                                                                                                 of ships. The result is an encouraging fall in casualties as a share of the world fleet.

    Number of safety incident reports          Detentions    Casualties        Losses         World fleet                                                                                                               World fleet, number of ships
    6,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   140,000

                  132

                  1,922

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       61%
    5,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                         130,175   130,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       of losses were due
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            to foundering
    4,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   120,000

             116,359

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       37%
                  3,629

    3,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   110,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       of casualties were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    39                      25+ years old
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1,537

    2,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   100,000

    1,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   90,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       33%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       of detentions were
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   966
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            25+ years old

        0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   80,000
                          2012          2013                2014                    2015                     2016                     2017        2018                     2019                     2020           2021 (January- August)

     Share of
    world fleet
                        4.9%            4.8%                4.7%                   4.7%                     4.3%                     4.1%        3.8%                     3.5%                     2.9%                      2%

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MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Casualties                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Casualties

                                                                                                                                                           2014 growth in numbers. In the peak year 2017,               classified as ‘non-serious’ that accounted for much
                                                                                                                                                           most of the increase was evenly spread between               of the increase. The number of serious machinery
                                                                                                                                                           general cargo, container carriers and ‘other’ vessels.       damages increased between 2014 and 2019.

                                                                                                                                                           As mentioned above, the world fleet has grown                Ships that were wrecked, stranded, or involved
                                                                                                                                                           substantially over the period. When the total                in collisions were relatively few in 2012-13. The
                                                                                                                                                           number of casualties is divided by the total fleet           peak number was reached in 2014. The numbers
                                                                                                                                                           number each year to arrive at an incident rate,              remained more or less steady 2015-2018. In
                                                                                                                                                           you get a slightly different perspective of the              2019, wrecked and stranded vessels decreased
                                                                                                                                                           development. The incident rate rose from 1.7% in             noticeably, while the number of collisions showed
                                                                                                                                                           2012 to 2.0% in 2014. In the peak casualty year              a marked decline in 2020.
                                                                                                                                                           2017, the incident rate was lower than in 2014, at
                                                                                                                                                           1.9%. After that, the rate declined to 1.7% in 2020.         Reports about ‘contact’ hovered around an
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        average of 220 per year throughout the near 10-
                                                                                                                                                           If the number of incidents is put in relation to the         year period. Fires and explosions averaged 192,
                                                                                                                                                           fleet dwt, we still see a peak in 2014 at 1.26%              with a peak at 232 in 2019. ‘Foundered’ reports
                                                                                                                                                           per 10,000 dwt, but the decline was steeper than             usually stayed below 100 per year. In 2018 they
                                                                                                                                                           if measured per number of ships and landed at                were as low as 60. Foundering refers to vessels
                                                                                                                                                           0.97% in 2020.                                               that submerge, capsize, and/or sink.

                                                                                                                                                           Hull and machinery damages were the most                     Data for 2021 only covers the period until mid-
                                                                                                                                                           common causes of casualty. They accounted                    August, but indications show numbers are about
                                                                                                                                                           for close to half (48%) of all casualties recorded           12% higher than for the same period in 2020
                                                                                                                                                           over the near 10-year period. Hull damages only              and slightly higher than in 2019. They are higher
                                                                                                                                                           represented 5%, so machinery damage was the                  for hull and machinery, and on par or lower for

            CASUALTIES
                                                                                                                                                           much bigger problem.                                         the rest. However, this should be treated as a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        statistical indication, not definitive.
                                                                                                                                                           The incidence of hull and machinery damage
                                                                                                                                                           peaked in 2017, when the numbers increased by                General cargo. General cargo carrier casualties
                                                                                                                                                           153 from the previous year. That was the largest             averaged 550 per year, which is the highest
                                                                                                                                                           year-on-year increase for the period. The damage             among vessel type sectors. The casualty numbers
                             AS OF September 2021, the total world fleet              3.8% per year CAGR (compound annual growth                           reports increased notably in the years 2013, 2014            were lower in 2019 due to fewer collisions and

     2.3Bn                   counted 2.3Bn deadweight tonnes (dwt) spread
                             on 130,175 ships. The fleet of bulk carriers was the
                                                                                      rate) for the dwt growth. Bulk carriers have grown
                                                                                      more than tankers – 65% vs 44%, but if the LNG
                                                                                                                                                           and 2017. In all three years, it was casualties              machinery damage. Hull and machinery damage

     dwt                     largest with 923M dwt, followed by tankers (incl.
                             gas carriers) with 765M dwt and container carriers
                                                                                      and LPG tankers are looked at specifically, these
                                                                                      fleets have grown by 78% and 81% respectively.                       2,500
     The total size of the
     world fleet, as of      with 289M dwt.                                           The container carrier fleet growth has also been                     2,250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            January- August

     September 2021                                                                   substantial, at 52%. The latter is based on dwt, if
                             Measured in numbers of ships, the fleet of general       measured in teu (twenty-foot equivalent unit); the                   2,000
                             cargo carriers was the most numerous cargo-              fleet grew by 65% which better reflects the ever-
                             carrying vessel sector with 17,680, outnumbering         larger ships added to the fleet.                                     1,750

                             tankers by a small margin, while bulk carriers
                                                                                                                                                           1,500
                             comprised 12,601 ships and container carriers            The number of casualties recorded between 1st
                             5,362. Other fleets with large numbers of vessels        January 2012 and mid-August 2021 totalled                            1,250
                             were offshore, tugs, fishing, passenger vessels,         21,746. The number was relatively low in 2012, at                                                                                                                                       Missing

                             and barges.                                              1,922. In 2013 the number of reported casualties                     1,000                                                                                                              War loss/Hostilities
                                                                                      rose by 271 to reach 2,193, and the year after                                                                                                                                          Foundered
                                                                                                                                                            750
                             The general cargo fleet consisted of many                they increased further to 2,355. This was followed                                                                                                                                      Fire/Explosion
                             relatively small and old ships. The average              by a two-year decline until the period’s peak was                     500                                                                                                               Contact
                             vessel was 4,700 dwt and 29.8 years old. Other           reached in 2017, at 2,386. Since then, casualty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Collision
                             fleets which had a large share of old and small          numbers have declined each year. 2021 is not a                        250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Wrecked/Stranded
                             vessels were ferries (part of passenger/ferry in         full calendar year, hence the lower number.
                                                                                                                                                              0                                                                                                               Hull/Machinery damage
                             the accompanying graph), tugs, and offshore PSV
                                                                                                                                                                     2012      2013       2014       2015      2016       2017         2018   2019   2020        2021
                             (both part of ‘other’ in the accompanying graph).        The increase in 2013 was attributable mostly to
                                                                                      passenger vessels and the ‘other’ group of vessel
                             Over the past ten years, the world fleet has grown       types previously mentioned in this article. General
                             by 46% in dwt and 16% in numbers. That equals            cargo and bulk carriers were behind most of the                      Figure 1: Incidents by casualty type 2012-2021

10                                                                     Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence   Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                                    11
MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Casualties                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Casualties

     700

     600

     500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Missing
     400                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                War loss/Hostilities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Foundered
     300
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Fire/Explosion
     200                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Contact
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Collision
     100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Wrecked/Stranded
       0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Hull/Machinery damage
           12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21   12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21   12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21      12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21     12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21     12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21     12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21   12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
                   General cargo                   Passenger/Ferry                      Other                           Bulk carrier                        Tanker                           Container                          Ro-ro/PCTC                    Gas carrier

                  Total (2012-2021)               Total (2012-2021)                Total (2012-2021)                  Total (2012-2021)                Total (2012-2021)                  Total (2012-2021)                 Total (2012-2021)              Total (2012-2021)

                     5,303                            4,515                           4,329                              3,003                            2,050                               1,593                               708                           245

     Figure 2: Casualty incidents by type and sector 2012-2021

                            accounted for about half of them, followed by            3.0% in 2014, 2015 and 2017, but the peak                                        was recorded in 2019 and the lowest in the low               far the lowest of all sectors, at an average of
                            wrecked and stranded (20%). There were 714               year was in 2016 at 3.1%. In 2018 to 2020, the                                   (pandemic) activity year 2020.                               just 0.7%. This is probably not due to a supreme
                            reported collisions which equals 13% of the              annual rate was 2.6%. A reduction in the number                                                                                               performance compared with other ship sectors,
                            total number of casualties over the period. Eight        of collisions, wrecked and stranded vessels                                      Other. Casualty reports for the diverse fleet of             but rather due to a combination of lower activity
                            percent of the casualties were ‘contacts’.               contributed the most to the lower figures.                                       vessels included in the sector named ‘other’                 for many ships and the fact that a high number
                                                                                                                                                                      numbered 4,329. The highest number of reports                of barges and pontoons are non-propelled and
                            The incident rate for general cargo carriers was         Passenger/ferry. There were 4,515 casualties                                     in this sector were for fishing vessels (1,572), tugs        therefore will not sustain machinery damage.
                            above the fleet average. The peak was in 2014 at         recorded for the period, giving an average of                                    (849), barges & pontoons (220), offshore PSVs                There could also be an element of under reporting,
                            3.6%; 2017 was also a year in which the rate was         463 per year. The peak was reached in 2019,                                      (228) and reefers (194).                                     but this is difficult to establish.
                            above average, at 3.5%. Since then, the rate has         largely due to an exceptionally high number of
                            declined and last year it was 2.8%, slightly above       hull and machinery damage compared to the                                        The average number of casualties per year was                Tanker. The number of tanker casualties
                            the rate in 2019.                                        other years. The following year, the number                                      441. Casualties were lower in 2016 partly due to             averaged 216 per year. The peak was in 2017,
                                                                                     dropped significantly, which is not surprising since                             fewer hull and machinery damage incidents, while             mainly due to higher hull and machinery
                            Bulk carriers. The bulk carrier casualties hovered       passenger vessel activity dropped markedly due to                                they were relatively high in 2018 and 2020. In               damage. The hull and machinery damage was
                            around 314 per year. The highest number was in           the pandemic.                                                                    2018, all casualty types increased. In 2020, hull and        even higher in 2019, but the overall number
                            2016 when 347 casualties were recorded. They were                                                                                         machinery damage and ‘foundered’ increased.                  of casualties were slightly lower. The share of
                            lower in 2018, mainly due to fewer wrecked and           Hull and machinery damage accounted for 58%                                                                                                   collisions was somewhat high at 22%. Only gas
                            stranded vessels. The numbers increased in 2020,         of all passenger vessel casualties, which is the                                 Hull and machinery damage was the most                       carriers had a larger share.
                            primarily due to more hull and machinery damage.         highest share of all vessel type sectors in this                                 common casualty cause, as with all other sectors,
                                                                                     report. ‘Contact’ was also a common casualty                                     but the share was 40% which is the lowest of all             Tankers’ incident rate was below the total fleet
                            Hull/machinery damage and wrecked/stranded               cause for passenger vessels, at 14%. This is a high                              sectors in this report. The share of fire and explosion      average. The peak year of 2017 also resulted in
                            accounted for 66% of all casualties over the             share, second only to the roro sector. The other                                 was the highest of the vessel sectors, accounting            the highest incident rate; 1.7%. From that level,
                            near 10-year period. The number of collisions            causes all came in at a share of 10% or lower of                                 for 15% of the reports. ‘Contact’, on the other hand,        the incident rate dropped to 1.6% in 2019 and
                            represented 9% of total bulk carrier casualties.         the total number.                                                                was at the other end of the scale at 7%.                     1.4% in 2020.

                            The incident rate for bulk carriers was lower than       The passenger and ferry sector showed the                                        This is a large fleet of ships which at end of August        Container. The container carrier casualty reports
                            that for general cargo carriers but higher than the      highest incident rate of all sectors in this report.                             2021 counted in excess of 64,000 vessels. From               counted 163 per year on average. The highest
                            total fleet average. The incident rates reached          The average per year was 4.6%. The highest rate                                  this, it follows that the incident rates were by             was in 2020 when hull & machinery damage and

12                                                                    Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence               Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                                  13
MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Casualties                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Casualties

                                ‘contact’ increased. Years with lower number of               More than half of casualty reports come in from                 casualties over the past decade, that is true to             If we then add the age structure, we see that
                                reports were 2016 and 2019.                                   locations in Europe. This may not reflect the entire            a degree. A little more than 8,000 of the 21,746             more than half of the casualties among ships
                                                                                              picture, assuming a degree of under reporting from              casualties recorded happened to vessels that were            smaller than 10,000 gt involved vessels that were
                                The incident rate is not showing any indications of a         some areas outside of Europe. Since this is difficult           25 years or older. One third of ships in that age            20 years of older at the time of the incident. To
                                declining path when seen in relation to the number            to establish, we can only present the data available.           group were 40 years or older.                                summarise, the most common casualty was hull
                                of ships. However, If the rate is instead related to                                                                                                                                       and machinery damage to an old and small ship.
                                the fleet teu, then the rate has come down.                   Seven percent of reports were from locations                    But it is also interesting to see that the group
                                                                                              in South China, Indo China, Indonesia and the                   of the oldest vessels’ share of total casualties             Bulk carriers differ slightly from the general picture
                                Roro/PCTC. There were on average 72 roro                      Philippines. Another 5% were from Japan, Korea                  decreased over the period, from 40% in 2012                  above. Even if the most frequent casualty was
                                casualties per year. That included the specialised            and North China. Casualty locations in the Americas             to 32% in 2020. The largest contribution to the              seen in a small and old vessel, half of the incidents
                                pure car and truck carriers. The peak year was                represented 22% and the Middle East 2%.                         lower number came from fewer wrecked and                     were with ships 10,000-49,000 gt that were
                                2014, and high numbers were also registered in                                                                                stranded vessels, and to some extent also from               younger than 15 years. A high share of the total
                                2019. The number of hull and machinery damage                 For casualties in NW Europe, general cargo and                  the number of collisions. The number for hull                bulk carrier fleet fell within these ranges, so the
                                varied significantly between years, but for the               passenger vessels were the most common type                     and machinery damage, on the other hand,                     numbers were not out of proportion.
                                near 10-year period they accounted for 46% of                 sector. Roro’s share was relatively high there.                 increased slightly.
                                casualties for this sector. Collisions and ‘contact’          General cargo and passenger vessel casualties                                                                                There are relatively few ships in the container
                                were the causes of almost one third of casualties.            were also most common in East Mediterranean                     The age group that has increased is the                      carrier fleet that are older than 20 years,
                                As with ferries, roro vessels have a high port call           and the Black Sea. Iceland and northern                         10–14-year-old. The growth is almost entirely due            so the casualty numbers were mostly for
                                frequency which may contribute to a relatively                Norway had relatively high shares of passenger/                 to more hull and machinery damage.                           younger vessels.
                                higher share of these two casualty causes.                    ferry incidents. In Germany’s Kiel Canal, most
                                                                                              casualty reports involved general cargo and                                                                                  The tanker casualties were almost evenly
                                The incident rate was above the world fleet                   container carriers.                                             A MATTER OF SIZE                                             distributed over the age groups, but there was a
                                average, at 3.6% measured in numbers. Years with                                                                                                                                           high degree of small vessels among them.
                                higher rates were 2014 and 2019.                              In the South Atlantic and east coast of South                   The size perspective is important for the overall
                                                                                              America, there was a high share of bulk carrier                 understanding of the situation since about two-              The situation was different for passenger vessels;
                                Gas carriers. Gas carrier casualty reports were               casualties. In the Arabian Gulf, casualties were                thirds of all the casualties included in this report         there was a clear dominance of old and small
                                few, with an average of 25 per year, but the fleet            mostly for tankers and gas carriers.                            were with vessels smaller than 10,000 gt. Only               vessels among the casualties. That reflects the
                                is also relatively small. At end of August 2021, the                                                                          7% involved the largest vessels, here defined as             profile of the passenger vessel fleet, within which
                                fleet comprised 2,229 ships. The most common                                                                                  50,000 gt and above.                                         there are a significant number of vessels that are
                                casualty causes were hull and machinery damage,               IS THERE AN AGE PROBLEM?                                                                                                     both small and old.
                                collisions, and fire/explosion. Together, these                                                                               Close to half of the casualties among the smaller
                                causes accounted for 84% of casualties. The                   It might be tempting to jump to the conclusion                  vessels were hull and machinery damage.                      This is even clearer in the general cargo fleet, in
                                incident rate was below world fleet average and               that casualties increase towards the end of                     Wrecked and stranded account for 16%, and                    which 43% of all casualties involved vessels below
                                remained unchanged 2018-2020 at 1.2%.                         a ship’s lifecycle. Looking at the number of                    collisions for 13%.                                          10,000 gt and 25 years or older.

     Casualty incidents, age at time of incident
     2,500
MARITIME SAFETY 2012-2021 - A decade of progress - Naucher
Technology                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Technology

                                                                                                                                                     ship control systems with ongoing barrier                    Changes in the human and organisational

          TECHNOLOGICAL SHIFT
                                                                                                                                                     management, similar to the offshore and aviation             aspects are also needed, alongside the technical
                                                                                                                                                     industries, in line with the trend towards more              shift, to ensure maritime systems are robust and

          CHALLENGING THE SHIPPING
                                                                                                                                                     autonomous operations.                                       resilient with a process in place for continuous
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  safety improvements.

          SAFETY PARADIGM                                                                                                                            A fully autonomous vessel essentially is self-
                                                                                                                                                     learning as it is run by software solutions without          The transition to automated systems will entail
                                                                                                                                                     a human interface, and its behaviour is constantly           different roles and responsibilities for seafarers
                                                                                                                                                     changing with new upgrades and patches, so the               who will be educated with more advanced
                                                                                                                                                     risk management regime cannot remain locked in               training to provide vital safety support for
                                                                                                                                                     as has been standard practice.                               complex systems in a digital world. We call this
                        The number of maritime incidents has fallen but an emerging ‘safety gap’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ‘humans in the loop’.
                        from adoption of digitalisation and decarbonisation technologies requires                                                    Consequently, the risk management model has to
                        change in traditional thinking on risk management and system integration                                                     be more responsive as autonomous technology
                                                                                                                                                     is introduced onto the bridge and in the engine              HUMAN-CENTRED DESIGN
                                                                                                                                                     room, so that corrective action can be taken
                        A SHIFT to real-time risk management together           make ships more vulnerable to systemic and                           remotely if the vessel behaves abnormally,                   DNV sees the need for human-centred design of
                        with a renewed focus on human and organisational        cybersecurity risks that need to be assessed and                     allowing safety barriers to be added.                        systems with technologies that support human
                        factors are required to tackle emerging safety          understood so they can be resolved.                                                                                               performance, as well as ‘function allocation’ so
                        hazards from digitalisation and decarbonisation in                                                                           As traditional risk management methods become                personnel and technology have defined roles to
                        the shipping industry, despite a dramatic reduction     Similarly, alternative fuels such as hydrogen                        insufficient, it will be necessary to focus on system        ensure complex integrated systems run smoothly
                        in accidents over the past decade.                      and ammonia are necessary to achieve                                 performance in addition to component reliability             even with increased centralisation and remote
                                                                                decarbonisation of the fleet, but these have                         to manage increasingly complex ship systems.                 operation from shore.
                        Vessel losses have dropped by 70% since January         specific safety challenges like increased
                        2012 and overall casualties are on a similar            explosion or toxic risk that must be addressed                                                                                    From an organisational perspective, companies
     By Øystein         downward trend at the same time as the global           and mitigated.                                                       DATA TRANSPARENCY                                            must have a digital transformation strategy
     Goksøyr            fleet has grown significantly to 130,175 ships with                                                                                                                                       in place to manage emerging risks across the
     Head of            a total tonnage of 2.3 billion dwt as of September      Integration between ship systems presents a                          Digital twins that give an accurate virtual model            entire organisation as it becomes a patchwork of
     Department
                        2021 – an increase of 16% in number and 46%             big security risk if not managed properly as it                      of the asset can be used for real-time product               multiple stakeholders and suppliers.
     Safety Advisory,
     DNV                in deadweight tonnes, according to the latest           requires an open ‘plug-and-play’ data interface                      and process verification to ensure safe and
                        incident data from Lloyd’s List Intelligence.           for all equipment suppliers, compared with the                       reliable systems. With DNV as a partner, the Open            There are four main areas for such
                                                                                traditional model of having multiple company-                        Simulation Platform joint industry project has               transformation covering a strategic roadmap,
                        The number of casualties resulting in losses fell       based black box standards.                                           proven the efficacy of this technology.                      smart fleet transformation, management
                        from 132 in 2012 to 39 up to mid-August of 2021,                                                                                                                                          implementation and smarter ship operations that
                        while the annual tally of casualties has shown an       However, such technical issues are being addressed                   DNV sees holistic risk management, including                 are supported by remote and data-driven services
                        increasingly steep decline over the past four years     with DNV’s new Data Infrastructure class notation                    a systemic perspective on safety, as key to                  from DNV, for example remote technology for
                        after reaching a peak for the period of 2386 in         to standardise data interfaces – including data                      managing safety risks on the pathway to a more               ship inspections.
                        2017, with around 1600 casualties so far this year.     from sensors – as well as the Cyber secure class                     digitalised, carbon-neutral industry.
                                                                                notation to verify the security of IT and OT systems                                                                              Digital connectivity has undoubtedly played an
                        Despite the positive safety trend, there is no          in line with IMO requirements and above.                             Increasing automation of ship systems will                   important role in reducing casualty figures through
                        room for complacency as the risk picture for                                                                                 necessitate greater data transparency so that                such systems as online weather and navigational
                        shipping is changing with adoption of increasingly                                                                           incident data gathered from ship operations can              updates, and also has great potential to improve
                        complex digitalised systems and alternative fuel        SYSTEM INTEGRATION                                                   be shared industry-wide for learning purposes to             safety in future, provided systems and rules are in
                        technologies to meet emissions reduction goals.                                                                              optimise best practice.                                      place to manage the risk.
                                                                                Increasingly complex and integrated systems call
                                                                                for a dedicated system integration role. This is a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Digital twins that
                        THE RISK OF A GROWING SAFETY GAP                        relatively new role in shipping and, together with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        give an accurate
                                                                                standardised rules, it needs to be implemented
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        virtual model of
                        DNV has identified an emerging ‘safety gap’ as          and strengthened to close the safety gap with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        the asset can be
                        the industry takes onboard digital control systems      uptake of new technology in the industry, as any
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        used for real-
                        running on algorithms with software and sensors         system failures could halt adoption at scale of vital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        time product
                        that become more complex as the myriad systems          technologies that can also benefit safety in the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        and process
                        become interconnected.                                  long run.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        verification to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        ensure safe and
                        These systems are designed to enhance operating         There is set to be a shift away from rigid risk
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        reliable systems
                        efficiency, such as by cutting fuel consumption         management practices towards remote, real-
                        to reduce costs and emissions, but they also            time continuous risk monitoring of the various

16                                                               Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence   Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                               17
Cospas-Sarsat analysis                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Cospas-Sarsat analysis

          COUNTING THE LIVES SAVED

                          The International Cospas-Sarsat Programme uses satellites to detect and
                          locate people who activate emergency beacons when life is threatened.
                          About half of the calls received are from mariners

                          FORTY years ago, at the height of the Cold War,         and submitted through reporting channels to
                          allies and adversaries collaborated to build a          its Secretariat, the administrative arm of the
                          satellite system to find people in distress. The        programme located in Montréal, Québec, Canada.
                          objective was to pinpoint aviators who activate
                          emergency locator transmitters (ELTs) and               The SAR-receiver payloads that listen for distress
                          mariners who activate emergency position-               signals and the satellites upon which they ride are
                          indicating radio beacons (EPIRBs). Canada, France,      provided by the four founding governments, as
                          the former Soviet Union, and the United States          well as by the European Commission, the European
                          conceived and initiated this humanitarian project       Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological
     By Steven Lett       from technology otherwise being developed               Satellites (EUMETSAT), India and, soon, China. The
     Head of              for national scientific or security purposes. The       distress alerts received from beacons are relayed
     secretariat,
                          Russian Federation later assumed the role of the        by these satellites to government agencies that
     International
                          former Soviet Union.                                    can take action for rescue, as well as the home
     Cospas-Sarsat
     Programme                                                                    country of the beacon owner.
                          Today, the International Cospas-Sarsat
                          Programme, an intergovernmental, treaty-based           Compatible beacons, ones that operate at
                          organisation, has 45 associated countries and           406 MHz, are made by dozens of different
                          agencies that co-operate in delivering those            manufacturers, and can be purchased from retail
                          distress-alert messages free of charge to more          stores, online, or as original equipment on a vessel
                          than 200 countries and territories that can take        or aircraft. Cospas-Sarsat does not make or sell
                          action for rescue.                                      beacons, but it reviews independent laboratory
                                                                                  testing of all models to ensure that they meet
                          Cospas-Sarsat’s dedication to mariners and              rigorous specifications. Beacons small enough
                          others is enshrined in its constituting treaty          to be easily carried in a pocket or on a lifejacket                  government authorities do not report back to the             through satellite trilateration. Cospas-Sarsat is
                          instrument, where it is noted that the “purpose         (personal locator beacons: PLBs) also are now                        Cospas-Sarsat Secretariat.                                   unique in allowing for dual, redundant means of
                          of this agreement is to support, by providing           widely available.                                                                                                                 finding persons in distress.
                          distress alert and location data [on a non-                                                                                  The continued value of Cospas-Sarsat is seen in
                          discriminatory basis], the objectives of the                                                                                 2020 statistics. In all environments, Cospas-Sarsat          Furthermore, there are no subscriptions or other
                          International Maritime Organization (IMO) and           A HELPING HAND                                                       assisted in the rescue of 2,278 people from 951              fees imposed by Cospas-Sarsat (although a
                          the International Civil Aviation Organization                                                                                distress incidents. Forty percent of the people              few countries have license or registration fees).
                          (ICAO), concerning search and rescue”.                  The overwhelming beneficiaries of Cospas-Sarsat                      rescued were in a maritime environment.                      There are estimated to be as many as 2.5 million
                                                                                  are mariners, whether commercial or recreational.                                                                                 beacons deployed today, with over a million of
                                                                                  Typically, about half of all distress alerts received                Cospas-Sarsat beacons are built to be easily                 those being maritime EPIRBs. There may be as
                          SUMMARY OF SAR EVENTS AND PEOPLE                        and managed are from maritime incidents. Since                       activated, even by untrained persons, and are                many as 400,000 ELTs and one million PLBs, the
                          RESCUED (SINCE SEPTEMBER 1982)                          the first Cospas-Sarsat-assisted rescue in 1982,                     portable (or “float-free”) so that they do not “go           latter often being used in aviation and maritime
                                                                                  through to 2020, Cospas-Sarsat has provided                          down with the ship”. They have batteries that can            environments, such as on lifejackets.
                          The IMO and ICAO are specialised agencies of            the only alert to SAR authorities of maritime                        last in standby for years and perform well even in
                          the United Nations that, among other things, set        distress in 2,447 SAR events, the first alert in 2,942               frigid temperatures. Many beacons have a built-in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        An important reminder: Remember to register your EPIRBs or other beacons.
                          global safety standards. As of the end of 2020,         incidents, and supporting data in 3,361 cases.                       navigation receiver (e.g., for GPS, Galileo and/or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        This could mean the difference between life and death. Registration provides
                          Cospas-Sarsat has helped to save more than              That is assistance in nearly 9,000 life-threatening                  Glonass satellites) or can be connected to receive               SAR authorities with important information about your vessel, people to
                          53,000 people involved in over 16,000 search-and-       maritime emergencies. Those emergencies                              position data from a vessel’s bridge instruments.                contact in an emergency, and other information that can help rescuers
                          rescue (SAR) events. This is an undercount, because     involved 39,705 people. These statistics too are                     Such beacons report their position in a distress                 better execute a rescue plan, while avoiding needless searches in cases
                          Cospas-Sarsat statistics only include cases when        significant undercounts. Cospas-Sarsat contributes                   message. But even without this information,                      of false alerts. Means of registration vary by country. Determine where to
                          a reliable after-action report has been prepared        to the rescue of many people in incidents that                       Cospas-Sarsat can locate an activated beacon                     register your beacon at bit.ly/2TMGABT.

18                                                                 Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence   Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                                       19
Detentions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Detentions

                                                                                                                                                                Number of detained vessels
                                                                                                                                                                4,000

                                                                                                                                                                3,500

                                                                                                                                                                3,000

                                                                                                                                                                2,500

                                                                                                                                                                2,000

                                                                                                                                                                1,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Gas carrier
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Passenger/Ferry
                                                                                                                                                                1,000                                                                                                              Ro-ro/PCTC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Container

          DETENTIONS                                                                                                                                             500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Other
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Tanker
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Bulk carrier
                                                                                                                                                                    0                                                                                                              General cargo
                                                                                                                                                                         2012       2013       2014      2015       2016       2017      2018     2019      2020      2021

                                SHIP inspections form a fundamental part of             The number of unique vessels inspected each year
                                maritime safety enforcement. According to records       (2012-2019) was 35,600 on average, meaning
                                from Lloyd’s List Intelligence, 866,000 inspections     that each vessel was inspected an average of 2.7                     Figure 2: The number of detained vessels by vessel type sector
                                were carried out from 1st January 2012 until mid-       times per year. The share of the total world fleet
                                August 2021. The number of annual inspections           that was inspected each year amounted to 29%.
                                averaged 94,800 for the years 2012-2019. The            For most cargo or passenger vessels, the share                       The number of detentions for the same period                  terms, down 55%. The drop in container carrier
                                numbers dropped in 2020 as the pandemic                 was significantly above 29%. The vessel sector                       totalled 25,972. That means that 3% of vessel                 detentions was 43%. Detained vessel numbers fell
                                reduced the ability to carry out inspections, and       named ‘other’ pulled the overall share down, since                   inspections led to detentions. In 2012, more than             for all vessel type sectors during that seven year
                                vessel activity declined for whole or parts of 2020,    there were a significant number of vessels not                       3,600 vessels were detained. In 2019, that figure             period, and that trend continued in 2020.
                                depending on vessel type and location. The data         inspected in that sector. The share of reported                      had dropped to 2,187 which took the percentage
                                for 2021 does not cover the entire year, hence          inspections of passenger vessels and ferries was                     of detained vessels down from 3.7% to 2.4%. That              If the data for 2021 is scaled up to a full year,
                                lower numbers of inspections and detentions.            also somewhat low.                                                   share remained the same in 2020, and in the first             based on the first 7.5 months, it appears that the
                                                                                                                                                             7.5 months of 2021 it had dropped even further.               number of detentions will be lower than in 2019,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           but higher than in 2020. It should be underlined
        Number of inspections
                                                                                                                                                             It is positive for the industry that both the actual          though that this appearance is the result of a
        100,000
                                                                                                                                                             number of detentions and the share have followed              statistical exercise and not fact.
                                                                                                                                                             a declining path. It should be noted that the
         80,000                                                                                                                                              number of inspections also dropped; from slightly             The detained vessels’ flag registration is identified
                                                                                                                                                             above 97,000 in 2012 down to 92,400 in 2019.                  for most reports. As many as 150 different flag
                                                                                                                                                             In that same seven year window, the world fleet               states were identified in the approximately 26,000
         60,000
                                                                                                                                                             increased by almost 12,000 vessels, so the share              detentions between January 2012 and August
                                                                                                                                                             of inspected vessels fell too. The reduction was              2021. The top five flags appearing in detained
         40,000                                                                                                                                              almost entirely attributable to fewer inspections of          vessels were Panama, Liberia, Marshall Islands,
                                                                                                                                                             general cargo vessels.                                        Malta, and Cambodia. They represented 11,120 or
         20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           43% of the total number of detentions.
                                                                                                                                                             The number of detentions decreased by 40%
                                                                                                                                  Detentions                 between 2012 and the end of 2019, and by 60%                  It is only fair though, that this incidence
              0                                                                                                                   Inspections                by the end of 2020, a significant reduction by                information is seen in relation to the total
                    2012          2013     2014      2015     2016      2017     2018       2019      2020       2021                                        any measure.                                                  number of vessels registered under each flag.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           That is potentially contentious, given that
                                                                                                                                                             The general cargo sector detentions declined the              many ships change flag several times during
     Figure 1: The number of inspections and the share of inspected vessels that were detained                                                               most – both in absolute numbers and in relative               their lifecycles.

20                                                                       Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence   Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                                   21
Detentions                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Detentions

     Number of detained vessels per flag                                                                                                                     Number of detentions, top-10 flags by year
     4,000                                                                                                                                                          Detentions             Inspections

                                                                                                                                                                                   Comoros
                                                                                                                                                                                  Singapore
     3,500                                                                                                                                                                     Sierra Leone                                                                               Inspections
                                                                                                                                                                                Hong Kong                                                                                 44,617
                                                                                                                                                                                       Belize

                                                                                                                                                             2021
                                                                                                                                                                                        Togo
                                                                                                                                                                                       Malta                                                                              Detentions
                                                                                                                                                                            Marshall Islands                                                                              1,048
     3,000                                                                                                                                                                            Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                    Panama

                                                                                                                                                                                   Moldova
                                                                                                                                                                                  Bahamas
                                                                                                                                                                                       Belize                                                                             Inspections
     2,500                                                                                                                                                                              Togo                                                                              60,532
                                                                                                                                                                                 Singapore

                                                                                                                                                             2020
                                                                                                                                                                                Hong Kong
                                                                                                                                                                                       Malta                                                                              Detentions
                                                                                                                                                                            Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                      Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1,466
     2,000                                                                                                                                                                         Panama

                                                                                                                                                                                      Cyprus
                                                                                                                                                                                Hong Kong
                                                                                                                                                                               Sierra Leone                                                                               Inspections
                                                                                                                                                                                  Singapore                                                                               90,224
     1,500                                                                                                                                                                             Malta

                                                                                                                                                             2019
                                                                                                                                                                                       Belize
                                                                                                                                                                                        Togo                                                                              Detentions
                                                                                                                                                                            Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                      Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2,187
                                                                                                                                                                                    Panama
     1,000                                                                                                                  Other 145 + unknown
                                                                                                                                                                                  Singapore
                                                                                                                                                                                   Tanzania
                                                                                                                            Cambodia                                     Antigua & Barbuda                                                                                Inspections
                                                                                                                                                                               Sierra Leone                                                                               92,412
                                                                                                                            Malta                                                     Belize

                                                                                                                                                             2018
       500                                                                                                                                                                 Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                       Togo                                                                               Detentions
                                                                                                                            Marshall Islands                                          Malta                                                                               2,369
                                                                                                                                                                                     Liberia
                                                                                                                            Liberia                                                 Panama

         0                                                                                                                  Panama
                                                                                                                                                                                   Comoros
                                                                                                                                                                                      Russia
                                                                                                                                                                               Sierra Leone                                                                               Inspections
               2012       2013       2014     2015      2016      2017      2018      2019       2020      2021                                                                        Belize                                                                             91,661
                                                                                                                                                                                   Tanzania

                                                                                                                                                             2017
                                                                                                                                                                            Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                       Malta                                                                              Detentions
                                                                                                                                                                                        Togo                                                                              2,619
                                                                                                                                                                                      Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                    Panama
     Figure 3: The number of detained vessels by flag
                                                                                                                                                                                      Belize
                                                                                                                                                                                Hong Kong
                                                                                                                                                                         Antigua & Barbuda                                                                                Inspections
                                                                                                                                                                               Sierra Leone                                                                               90,728
                                                                                                                                                                                 Cambodia

                                                                                                                                                             2016
                              As at the end of August 2021, the top five                In 2012-2016, for example, an average of 15%                                                   Togo
                                                                                                                                                                                      Malta                                                                               Detentions
                                                                                                                                                                           Marshall Islands                                                                               2,933
                              mentioned above flagged 16% of the total fleet            of Cambodian flagged vessel inspections led to                                               Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                   Panama
                              in numbers. Panama currently has 9,507 vessels            detentions, and in eight of the past ten years,
                                                                                                                                                                                   Moldova
                              registered according to Lloyd’s List Intelligence         Sierra Leone has shown up with a similar average,                                      Sierra Leone
                                                                                                                                                                                Hong Kong                                                                                 Inspections
                              data, which equals 7% of the total world fleet            to mention just a few seen in the attached graph                                             Russia
                                                                                                                                                                         Antigua & Barbuda
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          91,795

                                                                                                                                                             2015
                              numbers if all vessel types are included. The             (Number of detentions).                                                            Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                      Malta                                                                               Detentions
                              Liberia flagged fleet counts 4,878 and equal to
                                                                                                                                                                                 Cambodia
                                                                                                                                                                                     Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3,231
                                                                                                                                                                                   Panama
                              4%, Marshall Islands has 4,452 (3%), and Malta            The vessel type sectors with the highest average
                                                                                                                                                                               Sierra Leone
                              2,490 (2%). The Cambodia flagged fleet only has           age at the time of detention in 2012-2021 were                                          Hong Kong
                                                                                                                                                                                  Singapore                                                                               Inspections
                              six vessels that match the criteria for inclusion in      passenger and ferry with 26.3 years, followed by                                              Belize
                                                                                                                                                                           Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          91,416

                                                                                                                                                             2014
                                                                                                                                                                         Antigua & Barbuda
                              the register. The Cambodian fleet has changed             roro/PCTC (25.7), ‘other’ (25.5), and general cargo                                           Malta                                                                               Detentions
                              over the period as have the number of detention           (23.1). Bulk carriers and container vessels were on
                                                                                                                                                                                     Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                 Cambodia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3,190
                                                                                                                                                                                    Panama
                              reports, which have been zero since 2017.                 average younger when detained. Tankers were on
                                                                                                                                                                                    Tanzania
                                                                                        average 15.4 years, and gas carriers 18.7.                                  St. Vincent & Grenadines
                                                                                                                                                                                  Hong Kong                                                                               Inspections
                              The number of detained Panama flagged vessels                                                                                                             Belize                                                                            93,421
                                                                                                                                                                             Marshall Islands

                                                                                                                                                             2013
                                                                                                                                                                           Antigua & Barbuda
                              declined over the period, as they did for vessels         The location where ships are detained is topped                                                 Malta                                                                             Detentions
                                                                                                                                                                                       Liberia                                                                            3,300
                              flying the flags of Liberia, Togo, and Malta. For         by China, Australia, and Russia. China is a leading                                        Cambodia
                                                                                                                                                                                     Panama
                              Marshall Islands, the number increased slightly,          origin or destination for seaborne traffic, so based                                            Belize
                              but it should be noted that the number peaked in          on that, the number detentions should statistically                                      Sierra Leone
                                                                                                                                                                    St. Vincent & Grenadines                                                                              Inspections
                              2016, after which detention numbers dropped.              be high.                                                                                    Singapore
                                                                                                                                                                             Marshall Islands
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          93,537
                                                                                                                                                             2012

                                                                                                                                                                                        Malta
                                                                                                                                                                           Antigua & Barbuda                                                                              Detentions
                              Panama flagged vessels have topped the list of            Australia is a leading exporter of iron ore, coal,
                                                                                                                                                                                       Liberia
                                                                                                                                                                                   Cambodia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3,629
                                                                                                                                                                                      Panama
                              detained vessels in each of the years 2012-2021,          and in recent years, LNG, which explains the high
                              but Panamanian vessels are also inspected more            number of bulk carrier detentions there. Detentions                                                      0        5,000                  10,000     15,000               20,000
                              than any other flag, so the share of inspections          in Russia are high for general cargo carriers and
                              that leads to detention is lower than that of some        roro/PCTC which are very frequent visitors at Russian
                              other flags.                                              ports in the Baltic and Black Seas.                                  Figure 4: Number of detentions and inspections, flags with highest number of detained vessels each year

22                                                                       Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence   Maritime safety 2012-2021 – A decade of progress // Lloyd’s List Intelligence                                                  23
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