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N O N B A N K         Y E A R B O O K

OCT/NOV 19 SUPPLEMENT_ VOL 14 ISSUE 115
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                                             NONBANK
                                             MYTHBUSTING

As Australasia’s nonbank lenders continue to grow market share,
the issuers are spreading the word in global funding markets about
their asset performance and credit standards
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KangaNews
SUPPLEMENT TO
OCT/NOV 2019 EDITION
VOLUME 14 ISSUE 115
www.kanganews.com

Head of content and editor
                                        Contents
LAURENCE DAVISON
ldavison@kanganews.com
Senior staff writer
MATT ZAUNMAYR
mzaunmayr@kanganews.com

                                        4
Staff writer
CHRIS RICH
crich@kanganews.com

Head of commercial                               FE ATU R E
JEREMY MASTERS
jmasters@kanganews.com                           Nonbank mythbusting
Sales support officer
YAZZY MCGUID
                                        The nonbank lending sector represents a significant portion
ymcguid@kanganews.com                   of the Australian securitisation market. While the volume
                                        and frequency of deals indicates an increasing level of
Head of operations
HELEN CRAIG                             investor comfort with the sector, myths pertaining to
hcraig@kanganews.com                    nonbanks’ lending practices persist and could inhibit future
Chief executive
SAMANTHA SWISS                          funding growth.
sswiss@kanganews.com

                                                                                 16
Design consultants
HOBRA (www.hobradesign.com)
                                        11
                                        FEATU RE
Photography
DAVID SMYTH PHOTOGRAPHY, JULIAN
                                        NZ securitisation
                                                                                 COPU B LI S HE D ROU N DTA B L E
WATT PHOTOGRAPHY, BEDFORD
PHOTOGRAPHY (SYDNEY), TIM
                                        waking up
                                        New Zealand’s securitisation market
TURNER (MELBOURNE), THE PHOTO
(WELLINGTON), ADEPT STUDIOS (MIAMI),    has traditionally been underdeveloped,
                                                                                 AUSTRALIAN
GEORGE ARCHER (LONDON), TIGER TIGER     with limited issuance giving little      NONBANK
(AUCKLAND), STIRLING ELMENDORF
PHOTOGRAPHY, SEAN BRECHT                incentive for institutional investors    TRAJECTORY STILL
PHOTOGRAPHY (TOKYO)                     to devote analyst resources to the       POINTING UP
                                        asset class. Nonbanks are benefiting
                                        from market growth, however –            In September 2019, KangaNews
KangaNews, ISSN 1751-5548 (PRINT);
ISSN 2207-9165 (ONLINE), IS PUBLISHED   and regulatory change could be the       convened its annual roundtable
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                                        catalyst for a further leap forward.     discussion between the heads
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                                                                                 prominent nonbank lenders –

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© BONDNEWS LIMITED 2019.                FEATU R E                                continues to be one of asset growth
                                                                                 and therefore of a need to keep
REPRODUCTION OF THE CONTENTS
OF THIS MAGAZINE IN ANY FORM IS         Australian market                        building funding access.
PROHIBITED WITHOUT THE PRIOR
CONSENT OF THE PUBLISHER.
                                        hopeful on broader
                                        collateral
                                        Issuance in the Australian
                                        securitisation market has historically
                                        been dominated by residential
                                        mortgage-backed securities – a trend
                                        which shows little sign of changing.
CAB average net
distribution 3,196 for
                                        At the same time, though, there
six-month period ending                 appears to be growing supply of,
31 March 2019.                          and demand for, a wider range of
                                        securitisation collateral.
NONBANK MYTHBUSTING - KangaNews
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Here for the
long-run
 Resimac is one of Australia’s most prominent non-banks, with 34
   years originating, servicing and securitising mortgage collateral.

 Responsive to investor needs, with a stringent risk management
   culture and a transparent enterprise approach.

 Proven track record as a consistent global RMBS issuer throughout
   various credit and spread cycles.

 One of Australia’s few listed non-banks (ASX: RMC), Resimac’s
   shareholders and Board share a long-term view to sustainable
   growth and return opportunities in the Australian and New
   Zealand markets.

              Andrew Marsden                                        Debbie Long
                +612 9248 6507                                      +612 9248 0383
        andrew.marsden@resimac.com.au                         debbie.long@resimac.com.au

                                         resimac.com.au

      Resimac Limited ACN 002 997 935. Australian Credit Licence 247283. Bloomberg: ‘RESI’ .
NONBANK MYTHBUSTING - KangaNews
FEATURE

                                          Nonbank mythbusting
                                          The nonbank lending sector represents a significant portion of the Australian
                                            securitisation market. While the volume and frequency of deals indicates
                                           an increasing level of investor comfort with the sector, myths pertaining to
                                          nonbanks’ lending practices persist and could inhibit future funding growth.

    N
                                                                                                           B Y      M A T T   Z A U N M A Y R

                             onbanks have come to be an integral part of                                                       Reserve Bank of Australia – is still low, its ambitions are greater.
                             the overall Australian securitisation market. The                                                 To achieve these, nonbanks will need a supportive funding market
                             sector printed record volume in 2017 with more                                                    that is comfortable with their business models.
                             than A$21 billion (US$14.1 billion) of deals                                                           Misconceptions and myths regarding the nonbank
                             priced. While volume in 2018 was slightly down,                                                   sector persist, though. The financial crisis cast a shadow over
        the year represented the nonbanks’ greatest-ever proportion of                                                         securitisation and, in particular, securities backed by nonprime
        market share at around 60 per cent of total public Australian                                                          loans – in other words, the stock in trade of many nonbanks –
        dollar securitisation volume.                                                                                          even when such reputational damage was not warranted.
            According to KangaNews data, by the beginning of                                                                        Terms like “shadow bank” and “subprime” have been
        September 2019 nonbanks had priced more than A$12 billion of                                                           remarkably sticky in spite of the sector’s best efforts to distance
        securitisation deals in 2019, roughly half the market’s total volume                                                   itself from the practices which led to the financial crisis in the
        (see chart 1).                                                                                                         US – and the resilience of Australian nonbank securitisation
            Many nonbanks have limited funding options outside of                                                              product before, during and after the crisis. Market participants
        securitisation so their growth potential is inherently tied to                                                         that are engaged with nonbank issuers tend to be comfortable
        their ability to raise volume from public securitisation markets.                                                      that Australian nonbank lending is not comparable with pre-crisis
        Institutional-investor acceptance of nonbank lending, verification                                                     subprime.
        and risk-management practices is therefore critical.
            Nonbank securitisation volume corresponds with a significant                                                       D E F I N I N G N ON BA N K L E N D I N G

                                                                                                                               P
        increase in lending origination in the nonbank sector. This has                                                                 art of the problem appears to be a lingering negative
        been driven primarily by regulatory and other pressures reducing                                                                perception of so-called shadow banks. The term itself
        the scope of the borrower market banks are pursuing and thus                                                                    suggests that an organisation is undertaking the operations
        opening market share to nonbanks.                                                                                      of an authorised deposit-taking institution (ADI) beyond the
            An Australian nonbank sector that was on the canvas after the                                                      purview of regulatory scrutiny.
        financial crisis has rebounded. While its mortgage-market share                                                             By definition, a nonbank is not an authorised deposit-taking
        – at around 5 per cent of total housing credit according to the                                                        institution (ADI). While some, such as La Trobe Financial, take
                                                                                                                               retail investment through a funds-management arm, they do not
                                                                                                                               take retail deposits in the way a bank does. This is an important
        CHART 1. AUSTRALIAN SECURITISATION MARKET TOTAL ISSUANCE
                                                                                                                               distinction as it means there are no depositors whose savings
                                                 Bank             Nonbank                                                      could be collateral damage in the event of a nonbank institution
                                          50                                                                                   running into trouble.
    V O LUME (A$B N O R E QUIV ALE NT )

                                          45
                                                                                                                                    Like ADIs, nonbanks are credit providers but they
                                          40
                                                                                                    21.1
                                                                                                                               vehemently reject the idea that they operate in the shadows.
                                          35                              9
                                          30
                                                                                                                               Peter Riedel, Melbourne-based chief financial officer at Liberty
                                          25   4.6
                                                                7.5                 7                                          Financial, points out that all lenders in Australia must obtain an
                                          20                                              10.2
                                                                                                             19.2
                                                                                                                               Australian Credit License (ACL) from the Australian Securities
                                                                                                                       12.1
                                          15
                                                        3.7
                                                                          30                                                   and Investments Commission (ASIC).
                                                               24.9                24.6             25.5
                                          10   22.9
                                                                                                                                    “Irrespective of the way in which a lender is funded, their
                                                         15                               15.3                         12.6
                                           5                                                                 13
                                                                                                                               capital strength or their formation, they need this license. It is
                                          0
                                               2011     2012   2013   2014         2015   2016     2017      2018      2019
                                                                                                                               indistinguishable between banks and nonbanks,” Riedel adds.
                                                                                                                       YTD          ASIC’s responsible-lending laws apply uniformly to any
         SOURCE: KANGANEWS 6 SEPTEMBER 2019
                                                                                                                               institution with an ACL. These laws require lenders not to

4 | K A N G A N E W S                                     N O N B A N K       Y E A R B O O K    O C T / N O V      2 0 1 9
NONBANK MYTHBUSTING - KangaNews
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 Over 65 years' experience of
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 or call our treasury team

           Martin Barry                                      David Bleakley                              Richard Parry
 Chief Treasurer & Strategy Officer                     Chief Settlements Officer                  Head of Group Portfolio Mng
         +61 2 8046 1502                                    +61 3 8610 2831                             +61 3 8610 2847
mbarry@latrobefinancial.com.au                     dbleakley@latrobefinancial.com.au             rparry@latrobefinancial.com.au

      La Trobe Financial Services Pty Limited ACN 006 479 527 Australian Credit Licence 392385
                   La Trobe Financial Asset Management Limited ACN 007 332 363
            Australian Financial Services Licence 222213 Australian Credit Licence 222213
NONBANK MYTHBUSTING - KangaNews
FEATURE

                               “Our nonconforming loss tracker is currently at around 4 basis
                               points on average. The worst time for losses in the nonbank
                               space was in the financial crisis, when they went to 60-70 basis
                               points. But every vintage since then has been well below 10
                               basis points.”
                               ILYA SEROV MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE

     provide “unsuitable” credit to consumers via obligations                       previously would have qualified for a bank loan are now being
     to make reasonable enquiries about the borrower, to assess                     serviced by the nonbank sector.
     whether proposed lending is unsuitable and to provide a written                      This is particularly the case for investor loans. The Australian
     assessment of this suitability.                                                Prudential Regulation Authority only recently lifted lending
         Martin Barry, chief treasurer and strategy officer at La Trobe             restrictions on this segment for ADIs and it has become a
     Financial in Sydney, explains that the enquiry and verification                major growth sector for the nonbanks (see box on p8). Dylan
     standards employed by his company meet these standards and                     Bourke, portfolio manager at Kapstream Capital in Sydney, says
     then some. “We assess a borrower’s capacity to repay a loan using              the migration of these borrowers has been credit positive for
     a disciplined and thorough process. Often this involves lengthy                nonbank lenders, though.
     telephone interviews with the applicant and the applicant’s                          “Many investor borrowers previously would have been bank
     employer, plus receiving physical evidence such as a declaration               customers, they are low risk for nonbanks and have contributed
     from their accountant if they are self-employed, and detailed                  to an overall improvement in the quality of most nonbank
     asset-and-liability statements so we can properly verify income                loan pools. This is particularly true of nonconforming pools,
     and expenses.”                                                                 as nonbank lenders focus more on investor loans and reduce
         Indeed, the fact that nonbanks can and do undertake                        exposure to borrowers with adverse credit histories,” Bourke says.
     specialist assessments on nonstandard – literally nonconforming                      Nonconforming lending, broadly defined, is any lending that
     – borrowers is both what provides their opportunity to capture                 falls outside of bank prime criteria. It is likely where confusion
     market share and, the lenders say, the foundation of their asset               around subprime lending comes into play. As Barry explains,
     quality.                                                                       far from the severely credit-impaired subprime customer of the
         By the necessary adherence to responsible-lending laws, true               pre-crisis US market, it does not take much for a customer to fall
     “subprime” loans – that is, “NINJA” loans to customers with no                 into the nonconforming category as defined in Australia. Being
     income, no job and no assets – are not a feature of Australian                 self-employed or having missed a payment on a phone bill are
     nonbank lending. Lending to highly credit-impaired borrowers is                often enough cause to be turned away from traditional major
     an infinitesimally small part of the market, Barry adds.                       lenders, he says.
         He explains that La Trobe Financial, like its nonbank                            “At La Trobe Financial we work with the borrower to find
     peers, closely monitors the changing regulatory and consumer                   solutions. If there is a minor credit blemish, we can work out
     environment to ensure its approach continues to meet or exceed                 exactly what happened and, if we are comfortable it was a one-
     industry best practice in relation to the protection of consumers              off or the borrower’s circumstances have changed, we are usually
     and meeting community expectations.                                            happy to lend – subject to certain conditions,” Barry says.
         With a changing financial-services regulatory and competitive                    Nonconforming is not the same as subprime or poor quality,
     environment, Barry says nonbanks such as La Trobe Financial                    in other words. Barry gives the example of borrowers who wish
     are becoming increasingly relevant. “We are very clear about the               to invest in property through a self-managed superannuation fund
     niche markets we serve, bringing choice and competition to those               (SMSF), who have super-prime characteristics but are often not
     identified markets in a responsible and sustainable way.”                      accommodated by major banks.
                                                                                          “Currently banks will not lend to an SMSF borrower because
     EVO LVING LANDSCA PE                                                           it is a more complex lending arrangement via a trust which

   I
        t is not even accurate to assume that nonbank equals nonprime               requires significant additional investment in credit-underwriting
        lending. Nonbanks have come to occupy almost all parts of                   resources,” Barry comments. “But it is a perfectly legitimate
        the lending market. Several maintain prime-lending operations               practice to manage retirement savings. There is currently only a
     which require multiple benchmark securitisation transactions per               handful of nonbank lenders servicing such SMSF loans for what
     year. In many cases prime and near-prime loans comprise the                    is an approximately A$800 billion industry.”
     majority of nonbank books.                                                           Servicing borrowers that fall outside increasingly narrow,
         It is true that banks are more restrictive than they once                  cookie-cutter bank credit criteria is the crux of the nonbanks’
     were on who qualifies as a prime customer, and that many who                   value proposition. These borrowers are not poor-quality credit

6 | K A N G A N E W S   N O N B A N K   Y E A R B O O K   O C T / N O V   2 0 1 9
NONBANK MYTHBUSTING - KangaNews
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NONBANK MYTHBUSTING - KangaNews
FEATURE

       NONBANK POOL                                                                 Service, says the proportion
                                                                                    of investor and interest-only
                                                                                                                        Coneybeare says while some
                                                                                                                        regional banks have a high

       CHARACTERISTICS                                                              loans in nonbank pools has
                                                                                    stabilised in 2019 and even
                                                                                    reversed in some cases. He
                                                                                                                        geographic concentration,
                                                                                                                        nonbank pools tend to be well
                                                                                                                        diversified and concentration
       While the pools of loans represented in
                                                                                    adds that even though overall       issues are not evident.
       nonbank securitisation are highly varied on                                  nonbank exposure to these           Furthermore, she adds that
       account of the broad suite of institutions and                               loans remains elevated, it          inner-city apartments have
       products engaged in the sector, some key                                     tends to be prime business.         only ever made up around
                                                                                                                        1 per cent of the aggregate
       similarities come through.                                                   “The important question to          prime book in Australia.
       Limiting loan-to-value                 30 per cent of all Australian         ask is around risk layering. If a
       ratio (LVR) is a typical risk          prime home lending. The               loan has high LVR and is also       Martin Barry, chief treasurer
       mitigant employed by lenders           nonbank prime book in                 nonconforming or alternative        and strategy officer at La Trobe
       in securitisation pools.               2018 contained around 35              documentation this may be of        Financial, says his company
       Nonbanks will typically have           per cent interest-only loans          greater concern. But in most        will consider lending against
       a slightly higher LVR in their         against around 20 per cent            circumstances this is not the       apartments but all loans are
       prime product than banks.              for the entire prime book.            case. Most of these loans are       priced appropriately for risk.
                                                                                    in the nonbank prime space.
       Narelle Coneybeare, senior             She adds, though, that S&P            So far, it has not translated       “If it is a high-rise apartment
       director, structured finance           does not see these numbers            into any uptick in arrears          in the inner city the LVR will
       at S&P Global Ratings                  as a cause for concern. Rather,       rates or losses,” says Serov.       be adjusted lower given the
       (S&P), says this has been              they are a result of the ongoing                                          security compared with a block
       exacerbated in the 2018 pool           shift of these borrowers from         Housing-market                      of 10 apartments in a suburb
       vintage by nonbanks’ typically         the bank to the nonbank sector.       exposure                            surrounding the CBD, for
       higher exposure to investor            Coneybeare says: “Our view            With the price correction in the    example. There are localised
       and interest-only loans.               is that any incremental risk is       Australian housing market over      problems with apartments
                                              accounted for in the structural       the last two years being largely    but as a speciality lender
       According to Coneybeare,               features of nonbank residential       concentrated by geography           we can navigate these by
       investor loans in 2018                 mortgage-backed securities.”          and dwelling type, the              limiting exposure to particular
       were around 40 per cent                                                      exposure of lending institutions    buildings and areas.”
       of nonbanks’ prime books,              Ilya Serov, associate managing        to certain areas has come
       whereas they were around               director at Moody’s Investors         under the microscope.               While there has been a
                                                                                                                        managed retracement of
                                                                                                                        overall house pricing in
                                                                                                                        Australia, Barry says the
                                          “Our view is that any incremental                                             majority of price movement
                                                                                                                        has been in the higher-end
                                          risk is accounted for in the structural                                       property market. The bulk
                                          features of nonbank residential                                               of nonbank exposure is in
                                                                                                                        the median, where price
                                          mortgage-backed securities.”                                                  volatility has been limited
                                          NARELLE CONEYBEARE S&P GLOBAL RATINGS                                         and in some instances
                                                                                                                        prices have increased.

     and in most cases are far from the colloquial understanding of a                    On the day prior, Bank of Queensland (BOQ) printed the
     subprime borrower.                                                             Class A notes of its Series 2019-1 REDS Trust at 98 basis points
                                                                                    over three-month bank bills. Both note classes had 2.9 years
     REFLECTING RISK                                                                weighted-average life, and were rated triple-A and backed by

    W
                hile the portfolio-risk profile of many nonbanks                    prime collateral.
                has likely become safer in recent years as they                          The spread differential between bank and nonbank prime
                accommodate more near-prime and prime borrowers,                    RMBS transactions is relatively consistent. Ilya Serov, associate
     the nonbank sector generally still pays a spread premium above                 managing director at Moody’s Investors Service in Sydney, says
     ADIs for its securitisation transactions (see chart 2).                        the higher mortgage interest rates these spreads correspond to
         According to KangaNews data, nonbank triple-A prime                        is the first line of defence against risk for investors in nonbank
     senior securities typically price around 20 basis points wide of               RMBS.
     ADI prime transactions. This is most recently exemplified by                        Bourke confirms that the spread differential between
     Resimac’s Premier Series 2019-2 transaction, which closed on 23                bank and nonbank securitisation transactions does not reflect
     August, for which the class A2 notes priced at 115 basis points                a perception of greater default risk, nor does it relate to the
     over three-month bank bills.                                                   nonbanks’ origination and verification practices.

8 | K A N G A N E W S   N O N B A N K   Y E A R B O O K   O C T / N O V   2 0 1 9
FEATURE

                                                                                                                     enhancement provides a significant buffer for investors in
       CHART 2. AUSTRALIAN RMBS TRIPLE-A RATED SENIOR
       SPREADS (2-3.5 YEAR WAL)                                                                                      nonbank RMBS. “Around 45 per cent of our nonbank ratings
                                                                                                                     have more than twice the necessary credit enhancement, with the
                                               Bank           Nonbank                                                benchmark for nonbank prime deals being 12-15 per cent in the
                                         180                                                                         senior notes,” she says.
    M ARG I N (BP /1 M BBS W )

                                         160                                                                             An S&P report published on 30 July 2019 shows that the
                                                                                                                     level of credit support coverage across nonconforming RMBS
                                         140
                                                                                                                     transactions is also typically much higher than the rating agency’s
                                         120                                                                         minimum requirement. More than half of triple-A rated
                                         100                                                                         nonconforming securities have at least three times the minimum
                                                                                                                     (see chart 3).
                                         80

                                         60
                                                                                                                     P ROOF OF T H E P UD D I N G

                                                                                                                     T
                                          1 Feb 12 May 20 Aug 28 Nov 8 Mar 16 Jun 24 Sep 2 Jan 12 Apr 21 Jul
                                          2016 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019                                  he higher margins and credit enhancement of nonbank
        SOURCE: KANGANEWS 2 SEPTEMBER 2019                                                                                   securitisation transaction structures may be more to do
                                                                                                                             with compensating investors for perceived liquidity and
                                                                                                                     funding considerations than the quality of underlying assets. In
       CHART 3. CREDIT SUPPORT COVERAGE ACROSS
       NONCONFORMING RMBS RATINGS
                                                                                                                     fact, the lending practises of nonbanks tend to be vindicated
                                                                                                                     further by the performance of their collateral.
                                                 Meets minimum requirements       1-2x       2-3x         >3x            Indicators such as arrears and losses historically favoured
                                         100
                                                             10                                            14
                                                                                                                     bank securitisation. However, Coneybeare says a key trend that
                                                                        20                    22
                                                                                                                     has developed in recent years is a lower level of nonbank arrears
    P R O P O R TI O N O F R A TI N GS

                                                                                   25
        GR O U P (P E R E C E N T)

                                          80                20
                                                  51                    10                                           in securitisation pools compared with banks.
                                                                                                                         Serov says the co-mingling of prime and nonconforming
                                          60
                                                                                                           71
                                                                                                                     mortgages in nonbank securitisation pools is reflected in the
                                          40                60          60
                                                                                   63         67                     overall arrears performance, which has remained broadly stable.
                                                  35                                                                 The move to more prime lending from most nonbank originators
                                          20
                                                                                                                     has led to an improvement in the average quality of nonbank
                                                  12
                                                                                                                     portfolios.
                                                             10         10         13          11          14
                                           0      2                                                                      Furthermore, Serov tells KangaNews that a responsible
                                                 AAA        AA          A         BBB         BB           B         approach to loan-to-value ratio (LVR) is a further mitigant of
        SOURCE: S&P GLOBAL RATINGS 30 JULY 2019                                                                      nonbank losses. He says there is a higher proportion of high-
                                                                                                                     LVR loans in some nonbanks books but the averages are less of a
            “The spread differential reflects the fact that nonbanks are                                             concern and there have not been many defaults.
       typically smaller, unrated entities. This means more price volatility                                             “Our nonconforming loss tracker is currently at around
       due to limited funding options during risk-off periods and less                                               4 basis points on average, which reflects the LVR nonbanks
       secondary liquidity.”                                                                                         originate in their businesses,” Serov comments. “The worst time
            He also acknowledges, however, that nonbank liquidity                                                    for losses in the nonbank space was during the financial crisis,
       has improved in recent years as the issuers gain greater brand                                                when they went to 60-70 basis points. But every vintage since
       recognition.                                                                                                  then has been well below 10 basis points.”
            There are ways other than spread in which nonbanks seek                                                      Natasha Vojvodic, senior director and head of Australian and
       to assuage any investor concerns over liquidity and volatility                                                New Zealand structured finance at Fitch Ratings in Sydney, says
       risk. Riedel says the credit enhancement offered in nonbank                                                   the “cure rate” between the 1-29 day and the 30-60 day arrears
       securitisation structures more than makes up for any perceived                                                buckets tends to be higher for nonbanks than ADI lenders. She
       incremental risk relative to ADI issuance.                                                                    points out that this could reflect a more proactive approach to
            “In aggregate, the losses from nonbank securitisation are                                                managing customer arrears or a function of nonbanks tending to
       slightly higher but the credit enhancement provided in nonbank                                                have less volume of borrowers to manage.
       securitisation is more than sufficient to eliminate arguably all of                                               According to the Fitch Ratings Dinkum Index, bank and
       the credit risk. Liberty’s annualised losses typically range between                                          nonbank prime RMBS prepayment rates have historically tracked
       0.5 and 1.5 basis points pre-LMI [lender’s mortgage insurance]                                                a similar path, particularly in the years following the financial crisis.
       recovery. But there is usually 3,000 basis points of credit                                                   Vojvodic says prepayment rates of bank and nonbank prime
       enhancement provided to the triple-A investor,” Riedel reveals.                                               mortgages track closely due to the similarity of products on offer.
            Narelle Coneybeare, senior director, structured finance                                                  This homogeneity is thanks to the competitive environment in
       at S&P Global Ratings in Sydney, tells KangaNews that credit                                                  Australian lending. •

1 0 | K A N G A N E W S                                N O N B A N K    Y E A R B O O K   O C T / N O V    2 0 1 9
FEATURE

                            New Zealand
                      securitisation waking up
               New Zealand’s securitisation market has traditionally been underdeveloped, with
                limited issuance giving little incentive for institutional investors to devote analyst
                   resources to the asset class. Nonbanks are benefiting from market growth,
               however – and regulatory change could be the catalyst for a further leap forward.

O
                                                 B Y      L A U R E N C E      D A V I S O N   A N D   C H R I S   R I C H

                  ther than scale, arguably the biggest difference                        Andrew Marsden, Sydney-based general manager, treasury and
                  between the New Zealand securitisation market                           securitisation at Resimac, told KangaNews after the issuer’s latest
                  and its Australian equivalent is the source of                          residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issuance in New
                  issuance. Nonbanks regularly provide around half                        Zealand in March 2019.
                  of all Australian issuance – a figure which looks                           The story is the same for nonmortgage assets. Eva Zileli,
  impressive given these issuers’ small, albeit growing, share of the                     Melbourne-based treasurer at Latitude Financial Services –
  mortgage market. New Zealand securitisation, however, has been                          which debuted in the New Zealand securitisation market with
  a pure nonbank market for several years (see chart 1).                                  a credit-card-backed transaction in December 2018 – suggests
      The uptick in nonbank securitisation issuance in 2019 should                        that the nonbank opportunity set is also growing fast outside the
  come as no surprise, as the New Zealand market is providing                             mortgage space.
  a similar opportunity set to nonbank lenders as has emerged in
  Australia. In short, a decade of increasingly onerous regulation –                      I N V E STOR E N GAG E M E N T

                                                                                         A
  especially when it comes to capital – is making various types of                                 key consideration for nonbanks active in New Zealand
  noncore lending less appealing to local banks.                                                   will be access to a funding market of sufficient scale
      New Zealand nonbanks have securitised mortgage, auto-loan                                    to support business growth. Issuers say they are
  and credit-card assets in roughly equal proportions since 2017 (see                     adequately supported by local warehouse provision. They are
  chart 2). The banking sector’s prudential regulator, the Reserve                        also seeing signs of increasing investor engagement in the public
  Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), has helped open the door to                                 securitisation market.
  market growth for nonbank mortgage lenders.                                                 New Zealand’s most active securitiser is flexigroup, which
      “The RBNZ’s macroprudential rules regarding investment                              has issued NZ$812 million (US$512 million) in aggregate across
  and loan-to-value-ratio restrictions were relaxed in 2018.                              five transactions since the start of 2017. The firm’s Sydney-based
  Previously these bifurcated the market, with bank prime                                 group treasurer, Michael Malone, reveals that its most recent
  mortgages being separate to everything else. But now, in theory,                        asset-backed securities (ABS) issue saw first-time participation
  more opportunities should be open to the nonbank sector,”                               from some New Zealand-based institutional investors. flexigroup
                                                                                          met 15 investors on the roadshow preceding the NZ$300
  CHART 1. NEW ZEALAND SECURITISATION ISSUANCE VOLUME                                     million pricing of the Q Card Trust deal in August, of which 13
                                                                                          participated in the transaction.
                    Eclipx   flexigroup   MTF   Resimac       Avanti     Latitude
                                                                                              “There is growing evidence of asset managers in New
                     1,600
                                                                                          Zealand further understanding securitisation structures, and doing
                     1,400
                                                                         200              the due diligence and credit work necessary to enable them to
                     1,200                                                                become securitisation investors,” Malone tells KangaNews. “We are
V O LUME ( NZ $M)

                                                                         250
                     1,000                                                                optimistic that we will see even more investors next time we bring
                      800          250
                                                                         280
                                                                                          the Q Card programme to market.”
                      600
                                   220
                                                                                              There is also a ready-made audience for New Zealand
                                                                         453
                      400
                                                  200                                     securitisation in the form of the specialist institutional investor
                                   209
                       200
                                                  200                                     base in Australia. Many of the names issuing securitisation in
                                   224                                   250
                         0
                                                  150                                     New Zealand – including Avanti Finance (Avanti), Eclipx Group,
                                   2017          2018                  2019 YTD
                                                                                          flexigroup and Resimac – are active in Australia and are therefore
  SOURCE: KANGANEWS 18 SEPTEMBER 2019
                                                                                          familiar to the buy side in that jurisdiction. The Australian real-

                                                                                                                                                                1 1
FEATURE

     money buyer base for nonbank securitisation is itself relatively
                                                                                      CHART 2. NEW ZEALAND SECURITISATION BY COLLATERAL TYPE,
     small but it is sufficient to provide a significant demand boost to              2017-2019 YTD
     New Zealand deals.
         Avanti has printed New Zealand RMBS deals in 2018 and
     2019 with demand from Australia and New Zealand. Paul
     Jamieson, Avanti’s Auckland-based group treasurer, says: “We                                                                  Credit-card ABS   35%
     have seen over the years that a number of investors in these                                                                  Auto ABS          34%
     structures are in Australia – and this is not just the case for                                                               RMBS              31%

     Avanti but for other issuers too. The interest in New Zealand
     securitisation is almost as great for Australian investors as it is in
     New Zealand.”
         Even so, New Zealand nonbank securitisation has been more
     a case of incremental evolution than a quantum leap forward.                     SOURCE: KANGANEWS 18 SEPTEMBER 2019

     Deal size has grown somewhat but transactions are still typically
     in the NZ$200-300 million range. Issuance margins have not                            The RBNZ has been working for some time on its residential
     tightened appreciably, reliably coming in at 110-130 basis points                mortgage obligation (RMO) proposal. With no established
     over bank bills for the past two-and-a-half years.                               market for bank RMBS in New Zealand, the reserve bank has
                                                                                      focused on the volume of internal RMBS the major banks in
     RM O IM PACT                                                                     particular hold as liquid assets. It is concerned about the scale

    T
               o some extent this reflects the growth opportunity for                 of its obligation to accept these securities for repo and wants to
               nonbank lending, which is itself a gradual process. Banks’             catalyse a public market for mortgage-backed paper to assist with
               willingness to lend has been sticky in various sectors in              price discovery and liquidity.
     New Zealand. For instance, corporate borrowers report loan                            Developing the RMO is a work in progress and opinions
     pricing remaining competitive long after many expected capital                   are divided on how successful it will be as a tool for persuading
     rules to reduce banks’ price competitiveness. In the same way,                   banks to issue RMBS. There is some expectation, however, that
     while the opportunity for mortgage and consumer lending is                       local banks will in time become securitisation issuers for funding
     definitely real for nonbanks it appears to be opening up gradually.              purposes. Far from being unwanted competition for investor
           The pace of growth could be set for a step change on                       dollars, New Zealand nonbanks broadly welcome the idea of a
     the back of further tightening of New Zealand bank capital                       large source of new supply.
     standards. The RBNZ proposed late in 2018 that capital                                Their hope is that a bank RMBS – or RMO – market
     requirements on the local major banks be increased to 18                         with regular supply of benchmark deals should induce local
     per cent of risk-weighted assets, and that this capital come in                  institutional investors to devote analytical resources to the asset
     common-equity tier-one format. This is a substantial increment                   class that perhaps cannot be justified by sporadic nonbank
     on existing capital requirements and nonbanks believe it will                    issuance alone.
     make noncore business less profitable, and thus less appealing,                       For instance, speaking at the KangaNews New Zealand
     for the banks.                                                                   Debt Capital Markets Summit in Auckland in August, Resimac’s
           “There is a clear link between RBNZ capital requirements                   director, treasury and securitisation, Debbie Long, said: “We
     and market opportunities,” Zileli explains. “The increasing capital              have spoken to investors that believe [the RMO] could deepen
     requirements for banks in New Zealand make certain businesses                    the market in New Zealand. Investor mandates could broaden,
     more attractive than they would have been previously. In                         and this would allow them to grow their teams and boost the
     particular, this means businesses that are not core for banks such               securitisation market.”
     as credit cards and personal lending.”                                                Bianca Spata, head of group funding at flexigroup in
           The same is true – perhaps even more so – in the mortgage                  Sydney, confirms that the RMO was a frequent talking point on
     space. Jamieson tells KangaNews there is a clear comparison for the              the issuer’s most recent roadshow in New Zealand. flexigroup
     potential path of nonbank growth. “Nonbank lending is more                       also views the prospect of bank RMBS issuance as a positive
     accepted in Australia than New Zealand and I think we are going                  development for the New Zealand securitisation market as a
     to see the pattern replicate in New Zealand,” he tells KangaNews.                whole.
     “I think there is opportunity for the RBNZ capital changes and                        “The fact that we will have banks executing RMBS
     other market dynamics to widen the nonbank space.”                               transactions will mean much higher volume of securitised paper
           In this environment, a larger and more price-competitive                   in the New Zealand market. We have seen investors that perhaps
     New Zealand dollar securitisation market could only be a boon                    didn’t have a Kiwi ABS mandate before showing an interest in the
     for local nonbanks. Another regulatory development, this one still               space,” Spata comments. “We see the RMO as an opportunity to
     in the pipeline, could provide a boon for all issuers – even though              build out securitisation – and our own transactions – in the New
     it is designed specifically for the bank sector.                                 Zealand market, as and when the banks start issuing RMBS.” •

1 2 | K A N G A N E W S   N O N B A N K   Y E A R B O O K   O C T / N O V   2 0 1 9
FEATURE

     Australian market hopeful
       on broader collateral
             Issuance in the Australian securitisation market has historically been dominated
              by residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) – a trend which shows little
             sign of changing. At the same time, though, there appears to be growing supply
                       of, and demand for, a wider range of securitisation collateral.

    R
                                                                             B Y   L A U R E N C E        D A V I S O N

                       MBS typically accounts for at least 80 per cent                                 receivables for total volume of A$500 million. The issuer was
                       of Australian dollar securitisation issuance (see                               only established in 2013 and did not have significant origination
                       chart 1). This is hardly surprising given the scale                             growth until 2017. So a significantly accelerated path to public
                       of the local mortgage market. Deloitte estimates                                market joins the novel collateral type as notable achievements of
                       mortgage lending in Australia had total volume                                  the ABS deal.
     of around A$1.7 trillion (US$1.1 trillion) in 2018; Australian                                         Exactly a week later, Columbus Capital priced A$250 million
     Bureau of Statistics data estimate aggregate debt on Australian                                   in a new RMBS transaction based on nonresident loans. While this
     credit cards to be around A$52 billion at the end of 2018.                                        deal does not add to non-RMBS volume it does denote willingness
         The nonmortgage asset-backed securities (ABS) market has                                      of Australian dollar investors to engage with less typical forms of
     a well established shape in Australia. A handful of banks come                                    collateral, as it was also the first deal of its type globally.
     to market periodically with ABS, typically with volumes between                                        Going back to 2017, Latitude Finance Australia (Latitude)
     A$500 million and A$2 billion. But volume also comes from                                         introduced Australia’s first securitisation master trust and its first
     regular supply of multiple collateral types by nonbank issuers.                                   programme based on credit-card receivables. Latitude has issued
         Nonbanks generally supply at least half of total ABS issuance                                 A$3.5 billion of ABS since its debut. While it has always found
     in Australian dollars in any given year (see chart 2). Assets                                     investor engagement easier offshore – where buyers tend to be
     securitised include autos, credit cards, commercial mortgages and                                 more familiar with master trusts – its Melbourne-based treasurer,
     other consumer loans (see chart 3).                                                               Eva Zileli, says there are signs that the Australian dollar market is
         Issuance data do not immediately suggest the market is                                        becoming more welcoming of securitisation issuance outside the
     becoming more diverse by collateral type. But underlying the                                      RMBS space.
     headline numbers are signs that a wider range of transaction types                                     “We are seeing innovation come through in transaction
     can be completed in Australia. In 2019, for instance, the market                                  types and a growing diversity of issuers,” Zileli told KangaNews
     saw a brace of world-first transactions price within a week.                                      following Latitude’s latest deal – a A$750 million transaction
         On 23 August, Zipmoney debuted as a public issuer with                                        priced in early September. “I think this is great and I hope to see
     the first-ever securitisation of buy-now-pay-later (BNPL)                                         more – it allows investors to do work on things like ABS collateral
                                                                                                       and master trusts in the knowledge that there will be supply to
     CHART 1. AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR SECURITISATION BY COLLATERAL TYPE                                      support that work.”
                            RMBS            Other ABS
                                                                                                            The securitisation market is clearly becoming relevant to
                       50
                                                                                                       a wider range of issuers, including names that have access to
                       45                                                                              alternative forms of funding. Toyota Finance Australia is a case
                                                8.1
                       40                                                                              in point. It has used its double-A corporate rating to good effect,
                       35
                                                                                                       issuing A$1.2 billion in the domestic unsecured bond market, and
    VO L UME (A$B N)

                       30
                       25                                           4.6
                                                                                                       €1.7 billion (US$1.9 billion) and £250 million (US$304.3 million)
                       20                                                             3.6              offshore since the start of 2018.
                              4.4               37.8
                       15                                                                                   Even so, the company’s Sydney-based treasurer, Carol
                       10                                          24.9
                                                                                      20.3             Lydford, says an Australian ABS debut is under consideration.
                        5     17.6
                                                                                                       “We have been asked, on many occasions and by quite a few
                       0
                                                                                                       of our investors, when we will launch a public securitisation
                             2016               2017               2018             2019 YTD
                                                                                                       transaction. So we are well aware of the significant demand for
      SOURCE: KANGANEWS 16 SEPTEMBER 2019
                                                                                                       this source of financing in Australia and offshore,” she reveals.

1 4 | K A N G A N E W S              N O N B A N K     Y E A R B O O K    O C T / N O V      2 0 1 9
COMPETITIVE LAN DSCA PE                                                   recognise the need to have the best digital platforms to enable us

T
           he consumer sector appears to be the most natural growth        to offer the best customer experience we can. We will continue to
           area for nonmortgage lending. Banks’ share of the credit-       invest in simplifying and enhancing our technology as part of our
           card market is on a long-term decline while emerging            transformation,” Spata explains.
 consumers are engaging with new types of lending including the                Latitude sees BNPL as a customer-acquisition play. Zileli
 burgeoning BNPL market.                                                   says the company’s new BNPL product is unlikely to make
       Established lenders are taking note of changing customer            an immediate impact on the overall asset book. But Latitude
 behaviour and attempting to deliver products that are relevant            wants to engage with customers at an early stage of financial
 to millennial consumers. Bianca Spata, head of group funding              independence.
 at flexigroup in Sydney, says: “The BNPL sector is growing
 exponentially year-on-year. While we have been in this space              ECON OM I C H E A DW I N DS

                                                                          A
 for many years, we recognised the need to redefine our offering                     nother challenge for nonbanks in areas like auto and
 and relevance to consumers and have seen great momentum                             consumer loans is the chillier economic environment of
 following the launch of humm earlier this year.”                                    2019.
       Spata says flexigroup also sees the latest extension of its              Jamieson acknowledges: “Motor-vehicle sales growth is down
 BNPL offering – bundll -– as a “game changer” that will provide           in Australia and we expect it will be similar in New Zealand in
 the company with an opportunity to cement itself as a market              the next little while. Both countries have GDP growth coming
 leader in the sector.                                                     off and confidence also declining a bit, while household debt is
       On the other hand, the consumer-lending space is arguably           at really high levels in both countries. I think we will see a slight
 where established lenders face the greatest challenge from market         slowing the auto space.”
 entrants including fintechs. Millenial consumers tend to have less             Overall, however, the downturn has been marginal so far.
 established relationships with financiers and to desire the type of       “Although card-receivables balances have been coming down
 on-demand credit fintechs specialise in providing.                        the actual spend on credit cards has not reduced. People are still
       Some established nonbanks differentiate their business              spending but they are also paying off their credit cards on the due
 models from those of emerging lenders. Paul Jamieson, group               date,” Zileli reveals. “There hasn’t been a noticeable impact on our
 treasurer at Avanti Finance (Avanti) in Auckland, explains: “We           business despite the softness we are seeing in retail spending and
 think we have a defendable niche and in fact we welcome the               consumer sentiment – certainly not in arrears.”
 widening of the market. We use technology to improve processes.                Nonbanks aim to maximise the value of their offerings,
 However, a human looks at every single application to make sure           and thus their market share, even in tougher market conditions.
 it is right for the customer and for Avanti.                              The traditional credit-card market may be shrinking overall, for
       Jamieson says Avanti’s offering is between a traditional lender,    instance. Zileli says increasing use of debit cards and BNPL –
 which may take a week or two to turn an application round, and            which does not show up in credit-card data – has likely cut into
 a fintech player, which tends to be about instant application and         volume. But this does not remove the nonbank opportunity.
 approval or decline.”                                                          “Despite the reducing system level of credit-card
       Spata explains that flexigroup has redefined its strategy over      receivables, Latitude is still growing its market share,” Zileli
 the past year. It is now focused on three core offerings – BNPL,          reveals. “We are maintaining some momentum by constantly
 credit cards and leasing – and is streamlining origination systems        trying to improve our offering through digitisation, thereby
 and processes to ensure scalability and facilitate growth. “We            making life easier for borrowers.” •

 CHART 2. AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR SECURITISATION ISSUANCE EX. RMBS               CHART 3. AUSTRALIAN NONMORTGAGE ABS SUPPLY
                                                                           BY COLLATERAL TYPE
                          Bank      Nonbank
                  9,000                                                                                Auto ABS        CMBS          Consumer ABS   Other nonmortgage ABS
                                                                                                       100           350                450         450
                  8,000
                                                                          PRO PO RT IO N O F MARKE T

                                                                                                                     260
                  7,000                                                                                80                                           800
                                                                                                                     680               3,007                        1,550
V O LUME ( A$M)

                  6,000
                                                                                 (PER CE NT )

                                      4,884                                                                                                         765
                                                                                                       60
                  5,000
                                                                                                                                        800
                  4,000                                                                                40
                            2,151                                                                                   3,061
                  3,000                       3,564
                                                             2,462                                     20                                           2,549           2,089
                  2,000                                                                                                                3,856
                                      3,229
                  1,000    2,200                                                                         0
                                              1,000          1,177
                     0
                                                                                                                    2016               2017         2018          2019 YTD
                            2016      2017    2018          2019 YTD                                         Note: bar label figures are A$m.
  SOURCE: KANGANEWS 16 SEPTEMBER 2019                                       SOURCE: S&P GLOBAL RATINGS 30 JULY 2019

                                                                                                                                                                             1 5
COPUBLISHED
     ROUNDTABLE

     AUSTRALIAN NONBANK
     TRAJECTORY STILL
     POINTING UP
                           n September 2019, KangaNews convened its annual roundtable

            I              discussion between the heads of funding at Australia’s most prominent
                           nonbank lenders – cohosted, for the first time, by Natixis. The
     fundamental story continues to be one of asset growth and therefore a need to
     keep building access to global funding options.
     PARTICIPANTS
     n Martin Barry Chief Treasurer and Strategy Officer LA TROBE FINANCIAL n Fabrice Guesde Head of Global Structured Credit Solutions, Asia Pacific NATIXIS
     n Andrew Marsden General Manager, Treasury and Securitisation RESIMAC n Peter Riedel Chief Financial Officer LIBERTY FINANCIAL
     n Andrew Twyford Treasurer PEPPER

     MODERATORS
     n Laurence Davison Head of Content and Editor KANGANEWS n Matt Zaunmayr Senior Staff Writer KANGANEWS

     THE COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT                                                      n BARRY  Over the last five years the Australian lending market
                                                                                      has seen three key inflection points. First, there was the 2014
     Davison When we first hosted this discussion,                                    Financial System Inquiry, with its insistence that banks be
     in 2016, there was a sense of optimism                                           regulated conservatively so as to be “unquestionably strong.”
     among the major nonbanks about the                                                   Second, the regulators worked in unison to impose
     opportunities for market-share growth. How                                       macroprudential regulatory policies such as lending speed limits
     do nonbanks view the past three years from                                       to cool ostensibly overheated housing markets in Sydney and
     a business sense: have lenders matched or                                        Melbourne. The speed limits have been reversed out but credit
     even exceeded their growth targets?                                              standards remain at the higher water mark.

1 6 | K A N G A N E W S   N O N B A N K   Y E A R B O O K   O C T / N O V   2 0 1 9
More than
                                                                     developing business,
                                                                     together we build a
                                                                     long-term partnership
                                                                     to support your strategic
                                                                     decisions

                            From origination to distribution,
                      Natixis builds on its international capabilities
                           to support your transactions along
                                  the whole value chain

                           CREATIVE FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS

      For more information, please contact:
      Oscar Austin                   Milos Ilic-Miloradovic               Fabrice Guesde
      Global Markets, Australia      GSCS, Australia                      Head of GSCS Asia Pacific
      Tel : +61 2 8063 1711          Tel : +61 2 8063 1725                Tel : +852 3900 8451
      oscar.austin@natixis.com       milos.ilic-miloradovic@natixis.com   fabrice.guesde@natixis.com
      Natixis Australia Pty Ltd      Natixis Australia Pty Ltd            Natixis APAC Headquarters
      Level 26, 8 Chifley Square     Level 26, 8 Chifley Square           Level 72 – ICC, 1 Austin Road
      2000 Sydney NSW, Australia     2000 Sydney NSW, Australia           Kowloon, Hong Kong

www.apac.cib.natixis.com/australia
COPUBLISHED
     ROUNDTABLE

         Third, and most dramatically, was the Hayne royal                             n MARSDEN Growth in the nonbank sector will always be

     commission, the recommendations of which are still being                          regulated by the combination of domestic and global residential
     worked through.                                                                   mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) markets, system credit
         All of these have contributed to an aggregate market shock                    growth and any change in capital regimes for the banks and
     of a degree not experienced for many years. There has been a                      their wholesale cost of funds.
     clear retracement in overall credit formation as banks have been                       We have not really seen any material changes in the tiering
     forced to tighten their lending standards.                                        of wholesale funding cost for authorised deposit-taking
         One consequence has been the creation of a funding gap                        institutions (ADIs) and nonbanks. Risk-capital weights have
     of around A$75 billion (US$50.5 billion) per year for residential                 offered our sector some additional opportunities in the prime
     lending and around A$41 billion for commercial lending – both                     space since 2015 but there are effective parameters that regulate
     of which are more than 20 per cent of total annual market                         nonbank growth.
     volume in these sectors.                                                          n TWYFORD Overall, we think the nonbank industry has been

         This gap, or under-served market, has in part been forgone                    well positioned to take advantage of a number of different
     entirely – reflected in lower credit-system-growth numbers.                       opportunities that the changing lending environment created in
     But in part it has been picked up by the nonmajor banks,                          the past few years.
     credit unions, foreign banks and nonbank lenders. All of these                         Things have become more competitive in the nonbank
     segments have experienced growth rates in mortgage volumes                        space. But the fact remains that all issuers are different in the
     above the lacklustre 2.9 per cent system growth rate for                          way they approach lending – which is good for investors.
     FY2019.                                                                           For instance, some have focused more on prime lending and
         An important point for investors, however, is that this                       thus going head-to-head with the banks. Pepper has grown
     market tilt away from the majors is simply a reversion back to                    the prime share of its book as the near-prime portion of the
     the long-term average. Nonbank market share, for example, has                     industry grew.
     traditionally – even as far back as the 1970s and 1980s – sat at                       We had a very strong year in originations in 2018. Whereas
     around 20 per cent. It was as high as 30 per cent prior to the                    2019 has been a year of consolidating this position, with the
     financial crisis. Its current level, of less than 10 per cent, is well            banks returning to the market. Overall, if we were to predict
     below the natural level and we expect it to mean revert over                      the market three years ago we would have been hoping to drive
     time, in a measured way.                                                          ahead with opportunities as and when they arose. I think it’s
         At La Trobe Financial, we have not changed credit jaws and                    fair to say we have done this and more.
     have barely changed our pricing. We are essentially delivering                         We have also worked hard to show our investor base that
     the same product set – and this has been good for our                             our originations process remains robust despite the growth.
     investors. We have adopted a disciplined investment approach                      Everything we originate must be something we can securitise.
     to underlying assets rather than chasing growth for growth’s                      This transparency has been rewarded: our growth in 2018 was
     sake.                                                                             strongly supported by investors.
     n GUESDE This is a global trend and in fact Australia is unusual                  n BARRY Nonetheless, we are still seeing the banks skew

     in how small its nonbank market share is. Disintermediation                       towards the more vanilla, prime type of customer. Anything
     has been a wave around the world which has led to at least 15-                    which requires additional credit work has fallen outside the
     20 per cent market share for nonbanks. In the US it is probably                   remit of the banks. In our view, the natural market share for
     60-65 per cent and in Europe it can be up to 35-40 per cent.                      this type of customer across the cycle remains in the 20-30 per
     There is no fundamental reason why this trend should not                          cent range. This aligns with long-term nonbank market share
     reach Australia.                                                                  and is moderate-to-low in a global context.
         After the financial crisis, the nonbanks’ market share                        n RIEDEL For Liberty Financial, achieving sustainable growth is

     shrunk to a level which was not representative of what the                        highly correlated with differentiation. We seek to outcompete
     players could offer. There was a normalisation stage and then a                   based on customer service. This is about delivering two things:
     rebalancing between the banks and the nonbanks.                                   providing a superior customer experience at application and

                                          “We are essentially delivering the same product set – and
                                          this has been good for our investors. We have adopted a
                                          disciplined investment approach to underlying assets rather
                                          than chasing growth for growth’s sake.”
                                          MARTIN BARRY LA TROBE FINANCIAL

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through the life of a loan, and producing consistent lending
solutions that suit customer needs.
    It is this focus on good customer outcomes that has
allowed us constantly to outgrow the system over the past three
years. We have always focused on service as a differentiator
and on continually innovating so we can deliver improved
outcomes year-on-year.
    The opportunity for growth persists because we engage
customers with an effective service proposition that is superior
to the banks.

Davison So the nonbanks believe their market
share is still in a rebound phase?
n BARRY   Absolutely. At current market share of 7-8 per cent
there is some room to grow before nonbanks get back to
historical levels.
n MARSDEN There is a chance to return to a long-run profile

in market share as banks are no longer originating certain
products in the mortgage space that they would have been
prior to the financial crisis. The nonbank sector is now almost
the exclusive provider of credit to some parts of the mortgage
market.

Davison We have detected a mood among
the major banks in the past few months
that the sector is ready to put the royal
commission, regulatory developments more
generally and macroprudential restrictions
behind it to some extent and therefore has
renewed appetite for providing credit. Do
nonbanks have a sense that there is no                             and will find it much harder to grow revenue. I expect banks
longer a ‘free kick’ when it comes to winning                      will increase their offering of fixed-rate loans to lock in NIM
market share from the big banks, and that the                      [net-interest margin]. However, this competition shouldn’t
competitive environment is getting harder?                         affect us materially as fixed-rate loans is a very small component
n RIEDEL  Our continued growth has been supported by               of our customer value proposition.
customers’ frustration with banks. Since the royal commission,     n TWYFORD It is already very competitive out there. There are

consumers have found responsive service times and predictable      some very low-margin products in the marketplace. Obviously,
answers harder to find. Banks continue to be internally focused,   we need to make sure we are always competitive on price.
as they adapt to regulatory change and manage customer             But at the end of the day we back ourselves on the standard
remediation. We remain confident of continuing to grow our         of delivery we provide to our third-party intermediaries and,
market share.                                                      ultimately, to our customers.
    However, we do expect price competition to emerge from             At the same time, we have seen some other nonbanks
banks – particularly in fixed-rate loans. In a low interest-rate   expand their own offerings. This has created some competition
environment, banks make less money from their deposit books        in certain segments we are focused on. The way I see it, 2019

   “Disintermediation has been a wave around the world which
   has led to at least 15-20 per cent market share for nonbanks.
   In the US it is probably 60-65 per cent and in Europe it can be
   up to 35-40 per cent. There is no fundamental reason why this
   trend should not reach Australia.”
   FABRICE GUESDE NATIXIS

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