RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE

Page created by Chad Conner
 
CONTINUE READING
RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
Special Issue

Resale Condominiums Are
Back In The Spotlight

                    Residential
                  Market Depth
                      Q3 2021
RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
Resale market making a strong comeback after a two-year hiatus
                                                                                   Resale Condo              Resale Condo
        Vaccine optimism and an anticipated global              Quarter             Transactions              Median Price
economic upswing stoked a frenzy of property buying                               Units     Q-o-Q           S$PSF     Q-o-Q
activities around the world. Pent-up demand bolstered          Q1 2020           1,708        -12.2%        $1,253       -2.6%
by ample liquidity and record-low mortgage rates is            Q2 2020            743         -56.5%        $1,262        0.8%
propping up home prices worldwide.                             Q3 2020           2,869       286.1%         $1,234       -2.2%
                                                               Q4 2020           3,447         20.1%        $1,226       -0.6%
       In Singapore, the private resale market is cast into    Q1 2021           3,752         8.8%         $1,292        5.4%
the spotlight after a two-year hiatus. Demand for private      Q2 2021           4,161         10.9%        $1,305        1.0%
resale condominiums rose strongly amid the pandemic.           Jul 2021          1,247       -70.0%*        $1,337       2.5%*
According to caveat records from the Urban                    Source: URA, OrangeTee & Tie Research & Analytics *Not a full quarter
Redevelopment Authority (URA), 9,160 private non-
landed homes excluding Executive Condominiums (EC)
were sold in the first seven months of this year. This is
more than the 8,767 units moved last year and higher
than the 7,547 units sold in 2019. This year’s
transactions have surpassed the full-year sales from
2013 to 2016.

       The good sales performance that we are seeing
now is in stark contrast to the third quarter of 2018
when resale volume dipped by more than 45 per cent
quarter on quarter after cooling measures were
implemented. Resale demand remained low thereafter
and around 1,700 units were averagely sold per quarter
from Q4 2018 to Q2 2020. In contrast, 3,752 units were
sold in the first quarter of this year while 4,161 units
were transacted in the second quarter. The sales
turnaround is a positive sign for the resale market.

                                                                                                               8 Saint Thomas

See terms of use on last page.                                                                                    Page 1 | 4
RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
Demand surge for suburban resale projects                                                                      Marina One
                                                                                                               Residences
       In the suburban region, demand for resale
condominiums surged strongly on the back of a
diminishing supply. 2,116 resale condominiums were
sold in OCR in Q2 2021, 516.9 per cent more than the
343 units sold in Q2 2020. In terms of proportion, 50.9
per cent of resale volume were in OCR last quarter, while
28.5 per cent in CCR and 20.6 per cent in RCR. For OCR,
the 50.9 per cent in Q2 2021 is higher than the 46.2 per
cent in Q2 2020 and 46.6 per cent in Q2 2019.

                Resale condominiums in OCR

          Source: URA, OrangeTee & Tie Research & Analytics   from 30.2 per cent in Q2 2020 per cent to 47.4 per cent
                                                              in Q2 2021. Therefore, some resale condominiums
       Developers have been paring down their unsold
                                                              could be undervalued, and there could be potential for
stock as sales have been brisk throughout the
                                                              further price growth.
pandemic, and only two large projects (excluding ECs)
with more than 500 units have been launched in the
                                                              Best-selling resale condominiums
OCR since 2020, resulting in a signifcant supply-
demand imbalance. Many buyers have been struggling                     The most popular luxury projects in 2020
              .
to find new homes in the suburban areas since supply          and 2021* were Marina One Residences (229 units),
has been dwindling.                                           8 Saint Thomas (119 units), D’Leedon (100 units),
                                                              The Sail @ Marina Bay (71 units), and Nouvel 18 (48
       Supply will likely remain low as most developers
                                                              units) in the Core Central Region (CCR).
have yet to replenish their land banks. The land supply
in the suburban and city-fringe has dipped to a new low              The      best-selling     suburban        resale
since the end of the collective sales cycle in 2018. There    condominiums over the same period were High Park
have been few successful enbloc deals, and supply             Residences (126 units, median price of S$1,232 psf),
from the government land sales have been moderated.           The Minton (117 units, S$1,082 psf), Parc Rosewood
                                                              (96 units, S$1,093 psf), and D’Nest (86 units, S$1,088
Price growth
                                                              psf). Most of the top-selling projects were
                                                              attractively priced; transacting below the S$1,581
        The resurgence in resale demand sparked a
                                                              median price for new condominiums in the Outside
 price recovery and the market seems to be at the
                                                              of Central Region (OCR).
 beginning of an upcycle. Compared to Q2 2020, resale
 condominium prices for the overall market rose 3.4 per              Similarly, many projects that were popular in
 cent in Q2 2021 to S$1,305 psf. From Q2 2020 to Q2           the city fringe were sold below the median price for
 2021, new condominium prices grew at a much faster           new condominiums in Rest of Central Region (RCR)
 pace of 17.1 per cent compared to the 3.4 per cent           at S$1,846 psf, including Reflections at Keppel Bay
 increase for resale condominiums. As a result, the price     (139 units, S$1,601 psf) and the Caribbean at Keppel
 gap of new and resale condominiums widened further           Bay (85 units, S$1,528 psf).

 See terms of use on last page.                                                                        Page 2 | 4
RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
Most popular resale condominiums exclude EC (2020-2021*)
                                                                                    Price
                                                                   Median price difference
                                                Median                of new       (upside
                                       Condos price S$psf            condos in    potential)
Project Name                    Tenure  sold      (A)     District district (B)**  (B-A)/A                                            South Beach
Core Central Region                                                                                                                    Residences
MARINA ONE RESIDENCES             LH       229      $2,337       1         NA               NA
8 SAINT THOMAS                    FH       119      $2,760       9        $2,920           5.8%
D'LEEDON                          LH       100      $1,639      10        $2,330          42.2%
THE SAIL @ MARINA BAY             LH        71      $1,835       1         NA               NA
NOUVEL 18                         FH        48      $3,099      10        $2,691         -13.2%
ICON                              LH        47      $1,676       2        $2,477          47.8%
SOLEIL @ SINARAN                  LH        40      $1,834      11         NA               NA
ONE SHENTON                       LH        39      $1,613       1         NA               NA
Rest of Central Region
REFLECTIONS AT KEPPEL BAY         LH       139      $1,601       4        $2,272         41.9%
SIMS URBAN OASIS                  LH        98      $1,543      14        $1,680          8.9%
CARIBBEAN AT KEPPEL BAY           LH        85      $1,528       4        $2,272         48.7%
EIGHT RIVERSUITES                 LH        79      $1,474      12         NA              NA
BARTLEY RIDGE                     LH        79      $1,446      13        $1,903         31.6%
THE INTERLACE                     LH        65      $1,287       4        $2,272         76.5%
COMMONWEALTH TOWERS               LH        63      $1,858       3        $2,139         15.1%
THE GARDENS AT BISHAN             LH        55      $1,142      20        $1,742         52.5%
THE CASCADIA                      FH        50      $1,721      21        $1,886          9.6%
SKY VUE                           LH        47      $1,711      20        $1,742          1.8%
WATERBANK AT DAKOTA               LH        47      $1,626      14        $1,680          3.3%             As supply of new homes
Outside of Central Region                                                                         remains limited in the suburban and
HIGH PARK RESIDENCES              LH       126      $1,232      28        $1,372         11.4%
                                                                                                  city fringe areas, we expect demand
THE MINTON                        LH       117      $1,082      19        $1,581         46.1%
PARC ROSEWOOD                     LH        96      $1,093      25         NA              NA     for resale homes to remain resilient.
D'NEST                            LH        86      $1,088      18        $1,409         29.5%    Buyers looking for affordable
BOTANIQUE AT BARTLEY              LH        75      $1,538      19        $1,581          2.8%    homes may turn to the resale market
WATERTOWN                         LH        74      $1,365      19        $1,581         15.8%
                                                                                                  in the suburban region or selected
LA FIESTA                         LH        74      $1,259      19        $1,581         25.6%
MELVILLE PARK                     LH        73       $694       18        $1,409         103.0%
                                                                                                  city fringe areas. Therefore, this
COCO PALMS                        LH        73      $1,239      18        $1,409         13.7%    year’s resale volume is estimated to
THE BAYSHORE                      LH        72       $979       16        $1,555         58.8%    hit 17,000 to 18,000 units, which will
Source: URA, OrangeTee & Tie Research & Analytics *up to 15 August 2021 caveat records            surpass the total resale volume in
**using the respective freehold (FH) or leasehold (LH) comparables in the district                2019 and 2020.

                                                       Please contact us for research inquiries

                                                                                                                            Page 3 | 4
RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
Resale Projects Marketed by OrangeTee
          Cuscaden                                                                       Stars of Kovan
          Reserve

                                                         Corals At Keppel Bay

                                                                     Scotts Square

                                                                                                                                                  Bishopgate Residences

                                                                                                          Contact Our Sales Team:

                                                                                                               www.orangetee.com

                                                                                         The Crest                                                Cuscaden Reserve

                                                                                                                 St.Regis Residences

                                                      The Trilinq

Terms of Use: The reproduction or distribution of this publication without the express consent of the author is prohibited. This publication is
provided for general information only and should not be treated as an invitation or recommendation to buy or sell any specific property or as
sales material. Users of this report should consider this publication as one of the many factors in making their investment decision and should
seek specific investment advice. OrangeTee.com Pte Ltd and the authors of this publication shall not accept and hereby disclaim all
responsibilities and liability to all persons and entities for consequences arising out of any use of this publication.
Copyright © OrangeTee & Tie Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

                                                                                                                                                             Page 4 | 4
RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE RESALE CONDOMINIUMS ARE BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT - SPECIAL ISSUE - RESIDENTIAL MARKET DEPTH - ORANGETEE
You can also read