Sentiment Analysis of the News Media on Artificial Intelligence Does Not Support Claims of Negative Bias Against Artificial Intelligence

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OMICS A Journal of Integrative Biology
                                                                                                                  Volume 23, Number 0, 2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Research Article
                                                                                                                  ª Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
                                                                                                                  DOI: 10.1089/omi.2019.0078

                                                                                                                                   Sentiment Analysis of the News Media
                                                                                                                              on Artificial Intelligence Does Not Support Claims
                                                                                                                                of Negative Bias Against Artificial Intelligence

                                                                                                                                                             Colin Garvey and Chandler Maskal
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                                                                                                                  Abstract

                                                                                                                  Artificial intelligence (AI) is a hot topic in digital health, as automated systems are being adopted throughout
                                                                                                                  the health care system. Because they are still flexible, emerging technologies can be shaped significantly by
                                                                                                                  media representations as well as public engagement with science. In this context, we examine the belief that
                                                                                                                  negative news media coverage of AI—and specifically, the alleged use of imagery from the movie Terminator—is
                                                                                                                  to blame for public concerns about AI. This belief is identified as a potential barrier to meaningful engagement
                                                                                                                  of AI scientists and technology developers with journalists and the broader public. We name this climate of risk
                                                                                                                  perception the ‘‘Terminator Syndrome’’—not because of its origins in the movie of the same name per se, but
                                                                                                                  because such unchecked beliefs can terminate broad public engagement on AI before they even begin. Using
                                                                                                                  both quantitative and qualitative approaches, this study examined the hypothesis that the news media coverage
                                                                                                                  of AI is negative. We conducted a sentiment analysis of news data spanning over six decades, from 1956 to
                                                                                                                  2018, using the Google Cloud Natural Language API Sentiment Analysis tool. Contrary to the alleged negative
                                                                                                                  sentiment in news media coverage of AI, we found that the available evidence does not support this claim. We
                                                                                                                  conclude with an innovation policy-relevant discussion on the current state of AI risk perceptions, and what
                                                                                                                  critical social sciences offer for responsible AI innovation in digital health, life sciences, and society.

                                                                                                                  Keywords: artificial intelligence (AI), digital health, risk governance, technology policy, AI and risk, public
                                                                                                                  engagement

                                                                                                                  Introduction                                                          present) (Garvey, 2018c; Matsuo, 2015; Ziad and Emanuel,
                                                                                                                                                                                        2016). In between these peaks, there were periods of ‘‘troughs’’

                                                                                                                  A     rtificial intelligence (AI) has become a hot topic
                                                                                                                        in a wide range of science and technology fields. AI
                                                                                                                  is expected to broadly impact the digital transformation of
                                                                                                                                                                                        characterized by low optimism and lower funding, also
                                                                                                                                                                                        known as ‘‘AI Winters’’ (Fast and Horvitz, 2017; Hendler,
                                                                                                                                                                                        2008).
                                                                                                                  health care, not to mention automation in allied fields such             The GOFAI paradigm was driven by symbolic logic to
                                                                                                                  as biomedical research, data science, and integrative biology.        make ‘‘machines who think’’ (Haugeland, 1985; McCor-
                                                                                                                  Impacts on digital health powered by AI and automation are            duck, 1979, 2004). Later, expert systems narrowed the focus
                                                                                                                  already manifesting at multiple levels in medical research            from general intelligence to human expertise in specific
                                                                                                                  ranging from study design, data collection, and real-time             domains, such as chemistry and medicine (Buchanan and
                                                                                                                  data analysis to societal applications of Big Data (Bohannon,         Shortliffe, 1985; Feigenbaum et al., 1988). The current ML
                                                                                                                  2015a; Char et al., 2018; Forsting, 2017; Garvey, 2018d; Just         paradigm extrapolates patterns directly from Big Data, usually
                                                                                                                  et al., 2017; Kaiser, 2018; Meyer et al., 2018).                      through a training period involving millions of trial-and-error
                                                                                                                     The current enthusiasms for AI in life sciences and health         loops ( Jordan and Mitchell, 2015).
                                                                                                                  care can be better understood in the following brief historical          This requires considerable computational power and
                                                                                                                  context, however. AI has evolved under three broad para-              memory, which is why the recent successes of ML algorithms
                                                                                                                  digms or ‘‘peaks’’ spanning over six decades: (1) good-old-           in image (e.g., in radiology) recognition and classification
                                                                                                                  fashioned AI (GOFAI) (1950–60s), (2) ‘‘expert systems’’               (Esteva et al., 2017), speech recognition and language trans-
                                                                                                                  (late 1970–80s), and (3) ‘‘machine learning (ML)’’ (2010–             lation (Hirschberg and Manning, 2015), and games like Go and

                                                                                                                    Science and Technology Studies Department, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, New York.

                                                                                                                                                                                    1
2                                                                                                     GARVEY AND MASKAL

                                                                                                                  poker (Brown and Sandholm, 2018; Moravčı́k et al., 2017;          should also be borne in mind to prevent such exercises from
                                                                                                                  Silver et al., 2016, 2017, 2018) owe as much to recent hard-       being transformed into hollow pageantry to improve public
                                                                                                                  ware innovations as clever programming (Stone et al., 2016).       relationships or a ‘‘tick the box’’ exercise devoid of mean-
                                                                                                                     Human values and politics (i.e., the constitution and con-      ingful exercises of technological democracy (Stilgoe et al.,
                                                                                                                  testation of power) manifest themselves in various forms and       2014; Wynne, 1992).
                                                                                                                  contexts in science and technology. Scholars on the politics          Allowing for dissent and disagreement is valuable to
                                                                                                                  of knowledge production have for decades described the             achieve critical and reflexive perspectives at the science and
                                                                                                                  ways in which human values and power decisively shape the          society interface (Garvey and Chard, 2018; Lindblom, 1990).
                                                                                                                  entire trajectory of science and emerging technologies such        Moreover, forced consensus on emerging technologies does
                                                                                                                  as AI—from new idea conception to implementation science           not bring about sustainable or responsible innovation (Sar-
                                                                                                                  (Agalianos, 2006; Bijker and Law, 1992; Bradshaw et al.,           ewitz, 2011, 2015).
                                                                                                                  2013; Campbell, 2005; Eubanks, 2017; Forsythe, 2001; Hard-            Moving forward on AI and society research, there are
                                                                                                                  ing, 2006; Hoffman, 2017; Sabanović, 2014; Winner, 1980).         barriers to public engagement (Garvey, 2018a). Many in the
                                                                                                                     Yet public engagement in science and technology, if de-         AI technology community hold an antagonistic stance toward
                                                                                                                  signed with guidance from critical social science, can help        the media. This is not unique to AI; the contentious rela-
                                                                                                                  surface the human values and power acting on emerging              tionship between science and the media has been studied for
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                                                                                                                  technologies, thereby contributing to transparency and ac-         decades (Nelkin, 1987, 1989, 1998). As Nelkin points out,
                                                                                                                  countability in science, as well as technological democracy        scientists often ‘‘interpret critical reports about science or
                                                                                                                  (Barber, 1998; Carroll, 1971; Dotson, 2017; Eglash and             technology as evidence of an anti-science or antiestablish-
                                                                                                                  Garvey, 2014; Feenberg, 2017; Sclove, 1995; Stilgoe et al.,        ment bias’’ and respond by attempting to control journalistic
                                                                                                                  2014; Woodhouse and Patton, 2004; Wynne, 2006).                    access (Nelkin, 1987: 155). For example, the Conference on
                                                                                                                     While systems science applications forge ahead in medi-         Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS, formerly
                                                                                                                  cine (Dzobo et al., 2018; Konstorum et al., 2018), the suite of    NIPS), currently the largest AI conference with over 8000
                                                                                                                  AI technologies continues to be championed and contested           attendees (Shoham et al., 2018), banned journalists from the
                                                                                                                  in parallel. In this context, several questions are necessary to   tutorials and workshops in 2017, and from the workshops in
                                                                                                                  understand the AI future(s).                                       2018 (Shead, 2018).
                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                                                        The belief that negative media coverage of AI—and spe-
                                                                                                                        Will AI scientists build ‘‘AI for Social Good,’’ as many
                                                                                                                                                                                     cifically, news media’s alleged use of imagery from the
                                                                                                                        industry leaders (Dean and Fuller, 2018; Horvitz, 2017;
                                                                                                                                                                                     movie Terminator—is to blame for public concerns about AI
                                                                                                                        Nadella, 2016) and academics claim (Floridi et al.,
                                                                                                                                                                                     has been widespread in the AI community for years (Shead,
                                                                                                                        2018; Taddeo and Floridi, 2018)?
                                                                                                                       A wide range of companies, think tanks, interest groups,
                                                                                                                                                                                     2018). This belief poses a nontrivial ‘‘psychocultural bar-
                                                                                                                                                                                     rier’’ (Dotson, 2015) to broader public engagement on AI
                                                                                                                        and government agencies have taken up AI for Social
                                                                                                                                                                                     (Garvey, 2018a), thereby reducing democratic societies’ ca-
                                                                                                                        Good as an organizing theme. Why then is the public
                                                                                                                                                                                     pacities for responsibly governing the manifold risks posed
                                                                                                                        allegedly concerned about and distrustful of AI? For ex-
                                                                                                                                                                                     by AI technologies (Garvey, 2018b).
                                                                                                                        ample, one study found that the majority of Americans is
                                                                                                                                                                                        We name this climate of risk perception the ‘‘Terminator
                                                                                                                        ‘‘worried’’ about AI’s effect on the job market (72%), the
                                                                                                                                                                                     Syndrome’’—not because of its origins in the movie of the
                                                                                                                        impact of hiring algorithms (67%), and the development
                                                                                                                                                                                     same name per se, but because such beliefs can terminate
                                                                                                                        of driverless cars (54%) (Pew Research Center, 2017).
                                                                                                                                                                                     broad public engagement with AI before it even begins.
                                                                                                                        The tech industry now recognizes that a lack of public
                                                                                                                                                                                        Using both quantitative and qualitative approaches, this
                                                                                                                        trust may pose one of the greatest barriers to AI adoption
                                                                                                                                                                                     study examined the hypothesis that news media coverage of
                                                                                                                        in areas from driverless cars to health care (AAA, 2018;
                                                                                                                                                                                     AI is negative. We conducted a sentiment analysis of news
                                                                                                                        Davenport, 2018; Dujmovic, 2017; Wakefield, 2018).
                                                                                                                       Finally, how and under which epistemologies will the
                                                                                                                                                                                     data spanning over six decades, from 1956 to 2018, using the
                                                                                                                                                                                     Google Cloud Natural Language API Sentiment Analysis
                                                                                                                        concerns of the public about AI be addressed? Will the
                                                                                                                                                                                     tool. We found that the available evidence does not sup-
                                                                                                                        AI community’s attempts to ameliorate public concerns
                                                                                                                                                                                     port the claim of a bias toward negative sentiment in the
                                                                                                                        and rectify the ‘‘trust crisis’’ (Agency Staff, 2018) al-
                                                                                                                                                                                     news media coverage of AI. We conclude with an innova-
                                                                                                                        low for critical approaches to technology assessment,
                                                                                                                                                                                     tion policy-relevant discussion on the current state of AI
                                                                                                                        or remain constrained to narrowly framed market effi-
                                                                                                                                                                                     risk perceptions, and what critical policy studies offer for
                                                                                                                        ciency arguments?
                                                                                                                                                                                     ‘‘AI and society’’ scholarship and responsible innovation for
                                                                                                                     For answers, broad public engagement with AI is essential.      emerging applications of AI in health care, life sciences, and
                                                                                                                  Such engagement exercises should be mindful of politics            society.
                                                                                                                  of knowledge production, and epistemological (Özdemir and
                                                                                                                  Springer, 2018) and other forms of diversity (Callahan et al.,
                                                                                                                                                                                     Materials and Methods
                                                                                                                  2016) in the engagement practices themselves, not only be-
                                                                                                                  cause the field of AI itself is in a gender (Simonite, 2018) and      The term ‘‘artificial intelligence’’ dates to 1956, when it
                                                                                                                  racial ‘‘diversity crisis’’ (Snow, 2018) but also because of the   was first used in the title of a conference at Dartmouth Col-
                                                                                                                  cognitive and democratic benefits such diversity brings to         lege (McCarthy et al., 2006). Because this date is generally
                                                                                                                  collective decision making (Hong and Page, 2012; Land-             accepted as the origin point for the AI field (Crevier, 1993),
                                                                                                                  emore, 2013; Lindblom and Woodhouse, 1993). The politics           we decided to analyze the period from 1956 to 2018.
                                                                                                                  of and the power embedded in public engagement (who is                Traditional approaches to sentiment analysis of the news
                                                                                                                  represented, included, or excluded in engagement, and why?)        media typically involve manually classifying articles from a
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS OF THE NEWS MEDIA ON AI                                                                                       3

                                                                                                                  selected corpus, delimited either by temporal range or article    ternational Herald Tribune, Reuters, CNBC, International
                                                                                                                  availability (Martin, 1993). However, our intention to analyze    NYT, and Internet Video Archive (NYT, 2019).
                                                                                                                  news article sentiments over AI’s entire history, combined           The news aggregator News API was chosen for breadth
                                                                                                                  with the recent explosion of news articles about AI, made         search, as it offers articles from over 30,000 different sources,
                                                                                                                  manual approaches to sentiment analysis low throughput and        but only includes articles published within the last 3 months
                                                                                                                  thus inappropriate for this study. We therefore decided to au-    of the search (for unpaid users) (News API, 2019).
                                                                                                                  tomate the task by employing a high-throughput methodology           With historical depth and contemporary breadth datasets,
                                                                                                                  utilizing natural language processing (NLP) software to per-      we believe the source material presented in this study to be an
                                                                                                                  form sentiment analysis on a larger (what is essentially Big      adequate representation of a broad mediasphere. The NYT
                                                                                                                  Data) corpus of AI news articles than could be feasibly coded     has long been regarded as the flagship news outlet in the
                                                                                                                  by hand. To the extent that heuristic search and NLP both         USA, a publication of record known for relatively minimal
                                                                                                                  emerged from AI (Stone et al., 2016), this study used basic AI    partisan bias and broad coverage of events. In contrast, News
                                                                                                                  tools to study the news media coverage of AI itself. This study   API aggregates a diversity of news sources, from mainstream
                                                                                                                  was approved by the authors’ institutional review board (IRB).    news outlets to technology blogs, thus ensuring that this study
                                                                                                                     We began by selecting news sources to establish a cor-         captures media reflective of broader post-print news and In-
                                                                                                                  pus of articles. We accessed online news sources through          ternet cultures.
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                                                                                                                  their application programming interfaces (APIs), a common            Using the search queries ‘‘A.I.’’ and ‘‘artificial intelli-
                                                                                                                  method for aggregating news from multiple sources into            gence,’’ we retrieved 8470 articles from NYT over the period
                                                                                                                  streaming feeds at a single location (e.g., Google News). Our     from 1956 to March 27th, 2018, and 3906 articles from News
                                                                                                                  review of available news API services ultimately informed         API over the period from December 14th, 2017, to March
                                                                                                                  the subsequent study design. To compensate for potential          14th, 2018, for a total of 12,376 articles. Figure 1 shows an
                                                                                                                  bias in coverage, we had planned to populate our corpus of        overview of the data collection process.
                                                                                                                  articles from sources spanning the full ideological spectrum,        The news search function examined the body text, head-
                                                                                                                  expanding out from allegedly neutral news organizations           line, and byline of each article for the query text. When a
                                                                                                                  to include media outfits on both ends (e.g., conservative and     match is found, the API only returns the article’s headline,
                                                                                                                  progressive) of the political spectrum. However, we found         a ‘‘snippet’’ of the body text (usually the first line of the
                                                                                                                  that most news outlets had either commercialized or other-        article), and metadata (such as date, section, and source).
                                                                                                                  wise restricted access to their APIs.                             Although the articles’ body text was unavailable, social sci-
                                                                                                                     We therefore adopted a research design utilizing depth and     entific research on news coverage of science has empha-
                                                                                                                  breadth searches on separate sources of AI news media. The        sized how headlines not only concisely convey the emotional
                                                                                                                  New York Times (NYT) API was chosen for depth search, as          and informational content of entire articles but also play
                                                                                                                  it offers news dating from 1891 to the present, as well as a      important roles in forming public opinion (Nelkin, 1987).
                                                                                                                  limited selection of articles from Associated Press, The In-      Therefore, this study utilized a simplifying assumption that

                                                                                                                                              FIG. 1.    Flowchart of the data collection and preparation process.
4                                                                                                         GARVEY AND MASKAL

                                                                                                                  article sentiment can be approximated using only headline             human intelligence (HI) (Özdemir, 2019) with reference to
                                                                                                                  and snippet data.                                                     tacit social context (Dreyfus, 1992; Taube, 1961) in media
                                                                                                                     After removal of duplicate articles, we had 11,915 articles        analysis. For example, the NYT dataset contained many ar-
                                                                                                                  in two datasets: NYT (n = 8427) and NewsAPI (n = 3488).               ticles from the 1980s on ‘‘artificial insemination,’’ which
                                                                                                                  We made the assumption that if an article’s headline and              described people looking for sperm donors with high ‘‘in-
                                                                                                                  snippet did not include the query terms ‘‘artificial intelli-         telligence.’’ These articles were not included because they
                                                                                                                  gence’’ or ‘‘A.I.,’’ and it did not appear relevant to AI as          are obviously not related to AI. In addition, the search queries
                                                                                                                  suggested by its tacit sociotechnical context (see examples           returned some articles headlined by ‘‘Artificial Intelligence,’’
                                                                                                                  below), then it should be considered a false positive and re-         which actually described false or ‘‘artificial’’ military intel-
                                                                                                                  moved from the dataset.                                               ligence; these were not included.
                                                                                                                     However, ‘‘AI’’ is itself a broad concept and a fluid field           The data cleaning process resulted in two final datasets
                                                                                                                  (Stone et al., 2016). This made rules for determining the             (NYT = 913, NewsAPI = 2359). The sentiment of all 3272
                                                                                                                  relevance of each article challenging to define. Ultimately,          articles (headline plus snippet) was then analyzed using
                                                                                                                  because this study was interested in media representations            Google Cloud Natural Language Sentiment Analysis tool.
                                                                                                                  and sentiments of AI, we decided that articles containing                Accordingly, for each article, Google’s Sentiment Analy-
                                                                                                                  cognate terms such as ‘‘driverless car,’’ ‘‘robot,’’ ‘‘thinking       sis tool returns two numerical values that can be used ‘‘to
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                                                                                                                  machine,’’ and so on should be considered relevant.                   determine the overall attitude (positive or negative) ex-
                                                                                                                     For example, a headline such as ‘‘Ava of ‘Ex Machina’ Is           pressed within the text’’ (Google, 2019). The first score di-
                                                                                                                  Just Sci-Fi (for Now)’’ (NYT, 5/21/2015) does not explicitly          mension is a ‘‘sentiment score’’ between -1.0 (negative) and
                                                                                                                  mention ‘‘artificial intelligence’’ or ‘‘A.I.,’’ but it does refer    +1.0 (positive), which ‘‘corresponds to the overall emotional
                                                                                                                  to a robot from a popular sci-fi movie about AI. Moreover, the        leaning of the text.’’ We note, however, that Google offers no
                                                                                                                  article’s snippet, ‘‘A question most techies don’t seem to want       explanation of how these associations are formed. Sentiment
                                                                                                                  to answer: who is making sure that all of this innovation does        scores in the negative range (-) indicate the presence of text
                                                                                                                  not go drastically wrong?’’ is directly relevant to the themes of     associated with overall negative emotions, and higher scores
                                                                                                                  fear, sensationalism, and danger surrounding AI that this study       in the positive range (+) with positive emotions. A positive
                                                                                                                  intended to examine. Therefore, it was decided that this article      score in the first dimension does not necessarily mean,
                                                                                                                  and others like it should be included in the final dataset. Ta-       however, that the article contained no negative emotions in
                                                                                                                  ble 1 shows the final selection of the relevant terms.                certain sections, but rather that the overall sum of the emo-
                                                                                                                     The two datasets were then cleaned of false positives, as          tions was positive.
                                                                                                                  noted above, and reviewed by the authors. We started the                 The second score dimension is a ‘‘magnitude score’’ be-
                                                                                                                  analyses with the oldest article and moved forward toward             tween 0.0 and infinity that ‘‘indicates the overall strength of
                                                                                                                  the newest, read the headline first, then the snippet, and            the emotion noted (both positive and negative) with the given
                                                                                                                  looked for the query terms ‘‘A.I.,’’ ‘‘AI,’’ or ‘‘artificial in-      text’’ (Google, 2019). The magnitude score is calculated as a
                                                                                                                  telligence.’’ If these terms were not found in either the             sum of all sentiment, both positive and negative; in other
                                                                                                                  headline or snippet, we carried out a qualitative analysis to         words, it is the absolute value of sentiment in the text.
                                                                                                                  verify and decide if the article was related to AI and attendant      Therefore, if not 0.0, the magnitude score is always positive.
                                                                                                                  sentiments, using the terms in Table 1 as guidelines.                 In addition, it increases with each occurrence of sentiment in
                                                                                                                     The search queries used in this study returned some un-            a text, so longer texts will likely have higher magnitudes,
                                                                                                                  anticipated results that attest to the importance of utilizing        with no upper limit.
                                                                                                                                                                                           One limitation of Google’s Sentiment Analysis tool is that
                                                                                                                                                                                        scores of zero in the sentiment dimension can indicate either
                                                                                                                           Table 1. Terms Used to Select Relevant                       neutral sentiment throughout the text or the presence of both
                                                                                                                                   Articles for This Study                              positive and negative sentiments that cancel each other out,
                                                                                                                                                                                        resulting in an overall sentiment of zero. Here, the second
                                                                                                                                                                    Terms not           magnitude score dimension can be used to distinguish be-
                                                                                                                  Terms included                                     included           tween the two possibilities. Articles with both sentiment
                                                                                                                                                                                        and magnitude scores near zero suggest truly neutral text,
                                                                                                                  Alternative terms for AI: thinking            Drone                   whereas near-zero sentiment with high magnitude scores
                                                                                                                    machines, smart machines,
                                                                                                                    intelligent machines, etc.                                          suggest strong contrasting sentiments within the text.
                                                                                                                  AI techniques: machine learning,              Supercomputer              For example, the article ‘‘Happy Birthday, HAL; What
                                                                                                                    deep learning, neural networks,                                     Went Wrong?’’ (NYT, 1/12/92) returned a modest sentiment
                                                                                                                    expert systems, etc.                                                score of +0.1 in the positive sentiment range and a high
                                                                                                                  Specific AI systems: IBM Watson,              Artificial              magnitude of 2.8. This scoring presumably reflects the
                                                                                                                    DeepMind AlphaGo, Apple’s Siri,               insemination          emotional contrast between ‘‘Happy’’ and ‘‘Wrong,’’ whose
                                                                                                                    Amazon Alexa, Microsoft Cortana,                                    positive and negative sentiments canceled out in the first
                                                                                                                    etc.                                                                dimension, while the strength of emotion in both words
                                                                                                                  Applications of AI: driverless cars,          ‘‘Artificial’’ (i.e.,   (happy and wrong) contributed to the total value of the sec-
                                                                                                                    self-driving cars, autonomous cars,            false) military      ond magnitude score dimension.
                                                                                                                    etc.                                           intelligence
                                                                                                                  Cognate terms: robot (also ‘‘-bot,’’                                     The sentiment and magnitude score data were then vi-
                                                                                                                    ‘‘chatbot,’’ ‘‘sexbot,’’ etc.)                                      sualized using Tableau (Tableau Software, 2019), a data
                                                                                                                                                                                        visualization software package available for free under edu-
                                                                                                                      AI, artificial intelligence.                                      cational license.
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS OF THE NEWS MEDIA ON AI                                                                                     5

                                                                                                                  Results and Discussion                                              Interestingly, the average sentiment score of positive ar-
                                                                                                                                                                                   ticles was nearly identical across NYT (0.3876) and News-
                                                                                                                     News media is a pillar of technological democracy and an      API (0.3857) datasets. Moreover, the average negative score
                                                                                                                  important conduit for public engagement in science. Because      was also quite close in both NYT (-0.3108) and NewsAPI
                                                                                                                  news media influences both publics’ and practitioners’ per-      (-0.2926) datasets.
                                                                                                                  ception, understanding, and beliefs about emerging technol-         That the vast majority of articles display some sentiment,
                                                                                                                  ogies such as AI and their medical applications, the emotional   whether positive or negative, suggests an appreciable degree
                                                                                                                  sentiment of news articles can shape the development and         of polarization in the sentiment space of AI news coverage.
                                                                                                                  trajectory of digital health innovations.                        Moreover, the similarity of average positive and negative
                                                                                                                     We found that across both depth and breadth datasets, AI      sentiment scores across the depth and breadth news corpuses
                                                                                                                  news coverage demonstrates robustly positive sentiment.          further suggests that this polarization may be temporally
                                                                                                                  Figure 2 shows the count of articles with positive senti-        robust across a broad mediasphere. One implication for
                                                                                                                  ment (>0), negative sentiment (0), negative sentiment (
6                                                                                                     GARVEY AND MASKAL
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                                                                                                                                         FIG. 3.   Total count of NYT articles by year. NYT, The New York Times.

                                                                                                                  robustly positive across more than five decades, as are av-     technologies like Google’s sentiment analysis tool (see our
                                                                                                                  erage sentiment magnitude scores.                               discussion of this problem below).
                                                                                                                     Qualitative analysis using HI through discussions among         The extreme fluctuation of scores from 1965 to 1980 re-
                                                                                                                  the authors could not discern why the earliest article in the   flects, in part, the paucity of articles from that period. The
                                                                                                                  dataset (‘‘Engineers Hailed for Space Work,’’ NYT, 8/23/        next lowest average sentiment (-0.031) occurs in 1988, fol-
                                                                                                                  1963), which mentioned the ‘‘Artificial Intelligentsia,’’ re-   lowing the onset of ‘‘AI Winter’’ in 1987 (Fast and Horvitz,
                                                                                                                  ceived a negative sentiment score (-0.4). Anomalies such as     2017), with multiple lead stories reporting on the field’s failure
                                                                                                                  this highlight one shortcoming of using black boxed AI          to live up to its promises (Garvey, 2018c). For example:

                                                                                                                  FIG. 4. Average sentiment and magnitude of NYT articles per year. Average sentiment is shown above and average
                                                                                                                  magnitude below.
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS OF THE NEWS MEDIA ON AI                                                                                       7

                                                                                                                     Setbacks for Artificial Intelligence: A major retrenchment is    Uber of Using Stolen Technology’’ (NYT, 2/24/2017), which
                                                                                                                     occurring in the artificial intelligence industry, dashing the   received a sentiment score of -0.9 and a magnitude of 0.9.
                                                                                                                     hopes of many companies that thought they would prosper by       The highly publicized legal battle that followed from Goo-
                                                                                                                     providing the technology to make computers ‘‘think.’’ (NYT,      gle’s accusations revealed a disturbing level of recklessness
                                                                                                                     3/4/1988)
                                                                                                                                                                                      in the driverless industry, which presumably contributed to
                                                                                                                     The lowest average annual sentiment score in the entire          public perceptions of AI (Duhigg, 2018; Lee, 2018; Somer-
                                                                                                                  depth corpus (-0.067) occurs in 1996, in the middle of the AI       ville and Levine, 2017).
                                                                                                                  Winter of the 1990s, before picking back up in with IBM                Figure 5 displays the highest (peak), average, and lowest
                                                                                                                  Deep Blue’s 1997 win over Gary Kasparov (Campbell et al.,           (trough) sentiment scores, as well as average magnitude
                                                                                                                  2002; Kasparov and Greengard, 2017). However, coverage in           scores, per day, for the NewsAPI breadth corpus. There were
                                                                                                                  1996 was scarce, with only three articles, and the low average      more dramatic fluctuations in the trough sentiment scores
                                                                                                                  score appears to be impacted by an idiosyncrasy of Google’s         than the peak scores in a given day; indeed, on 4 days (1/1, 1/
                                                                                                                  tool, which ranks words like ‘‘cockroaches’’ as extremely           13, 2/10, and 2/17), for example, there were no articles with
                                                                                                                  negative (see discussion below).                                    negative sentiment, and on 2 days, the trough sentiment score
                                                                                                                     Taken together, Figures 3 and 4 offer an important take-         was in the positive value range (1/13, 2/10). This suggests
                                                                                                                  away from this study: despite the vast increase in AI news          that media coverage of AI is more consistently positive with
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                                                                                                                  coverage over the last decade, average sentiment and mag-           greater stability in the positive scores, and only periodically
                                                                                                                  nitude remain positive. Moreover, the most negative articles        negative.
                                                                                                                  from this period reflect real-world events rather than sensa-          The average magnitude scores were also high on most days
                                                                                                                  tional speculation or fearmongering. For example, compar-           and well over 0.500, suggesting most articles contain senti-
                                                                                                                  atively low average sentiment score for 2017 (0.05) is due, in      mental valence (polarity), whether positive or negative.
                                                                                                                  part, to the article, ‘‘Google Self-Driving Car Unit Accuses        However, the top five magnitude peaks (12/25/17, 1/6, 1/14,

                                                                                                                  FIG. 5. Daily (high, average, and low) sentiment scores and average magnitude scores for NewsAPI articles. API,
                                                                                                                  application programming interface.
8                                                                                                     GARVEY AND MASKAL

                                                                                                                  2/4, and 2/11) occurred on days with a positive average           average sentiment is positive (0.140), while the smallest cell
                                                                                                                  sentiment, which implies that spikes in emotional magnitude       in the bottom right represents a source (Zohosites.com) that
                                                                                                                  might correlate with positive sentiment more strongly than        only published 1 neutral article (0.0). Overall, Figure 6
                                                                                                                  with negative, at least within the period analyzed. Indeed, the   qualitatively depicts a positive relationship between the
                                                                                                                  average sentiment score over the 3-month time span never          number of articles published and the positive sentiment. That
                                                                                                                  dropped below zero.                                               is, the sources that provided more AI coverage offered, on
                                                                                                                     For the NewsAPI data, the lowest average daily sentiment       average, more positive coverage.
                                                                                                                  (0.0) occurred on March 3rd, 2018. Of the 10 articles published       For the most part, sources with greater coverage were
                                                                                                                  that day, 5 were positive, 1 was neutral, and 4 were negative.    also more recognized and reputable sites (e.g., Slashdot.org,
                                                                                                                  The two most negative articles, from Yahoo.com (-0.8) and         CNBC, Forbes.com, Google News, NYT), whereas sources
                                                                                                                  Fortune (-0.3), each carried the headline, ‘‘Elon Musk Blasts     with fewer articles were mostly news blogs. The exceptions
                                                                                                                  Harvard’s Steven Pinker Over Comments Dismissing the              to this general qualitative trend are worth noting, however, as
                                                                                                                  Threat of Artificial Intelligence’’ (3/3/2018). Musk has been     they suggest there appears to be no clear connection be-
                                                                                                                  one of the foremost figures in raising the alarm about AI         tween political orientation and sentiment regarding AI.
                                                                                                                  (Anderson, 2014; Breland, 2017; Devaney, 2015). However,              The largest source with a negative average sentiment score
                                                                                                                  our sampling of the news that day shows that even when a          is the contested extremist media outlet Breitbart.com (12
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                                                                                                                  dystopian view of AI is reported on, its sentiment is counter-    articles, average sentiment score = -0.017). Yet an equally
                                                                                                                  balanced by multiple positive articles in the mediasphere.        contested extremist site, Infowars.com, was one of the larger
                                                                                                                     Figure 6 displays a treemap of the 659 different data          news sources in our dataset with 38 articles, mostly com-
                                                                                                                  sources that provided the 2359 articles for the NewsAPI           prised blog posts about recent market research that scored a
                                                                                                                  breadth corpus. The size of each cell corresponds to the          positive average sentiment of 0.376. Identification with po-
                                                                                                                  number of articles from each source, and the shading to the       litical extremism does not seem to indicate a clear negative or
                                                                                                                  averaged sentiment scores of the articles from that source.       positive bias toward AI.
                                                                                                                  For example, the largest cell in the upper left represents a          By contrast, Sciencemag.org, the official website of the
                                                                                                                  source (Youbrandinc.com) that published 152 articles whose        journal Science and arguably a highly reputable source of

                                                                                                                  FIG. 6. Treemap of the 659 different data sources for the NewsAPI breadth corpus. Cell size corresponds to article count,
                                                                                                                  and shading to average sentiment score.
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS OF THE NEWS MEDIA ON AI                                                                                           9

                                                                                                                  scientific information, had five articles with a negative               However, many of the lowest scoring articles were indeed
                                                                                                                  average sentiment of -0.2. Our qualitative analysis of the           negative, covering a range of controversial issues highly
                                                                                                                  articles found no evidence of unfair negative bias. The sen-         relevant to AI today: billion-dollar theft of corporate IP
                                                                                                                  timent score in the latter site was brought low by articles          (NYT, 2/24/17); Facebook’s attempt to predict which users
                                                                                                                  about real problems facing AI at the moment, with two on             are at risk of suicide (CNBC, 2/21/18); failed safety systems
                                                                                                                  the ‘‘reproducibility crisis’’ emerging in AI (‘‘Missing data        in driverless cars resulting in a pedestrian’s death (NYT,
                                                                                                                  hinder replication of artificial intelligence studies,’’ 2/15/       3/21/18); the poor performance of AI-powered hedge funds
                                                                                                                  2018, -0.3 and ‘‘Artificial intelligence faces reproducibility       (Investopedia.com, 3/14/18); issues of consent raised by sex
                                                                                                                  crisis,’’ 2/15/2018, -0.2) and one on the authoritarian polit-       robots (NYT, 7/17/17); sexual misconduct by AI executives
                                                                                                                  ical applications of AI in China (‘‘China’s massive invest-          (The Hill, 12/16/17); the malicious use of AI (Reason.com,
                                                                                                                  ment in artificial intelligence has an insidious downside,’’         2/21/18); the threat of authoritarian AI technologies in China
                                                                                                                  2/8/2018, -0.8).                                                     (Metafilter.com, 12/15/17); and so on.
                                                                                                                                                                                          Although the Google NLP sentiment analysis tool is ar-
                                                                                                                  Contextualizing the findings                                         guably a simple one, it is not immediately clear that more
                                                                                                                     Our most salient finding that AI news coverage, by and            complex tools are necessarily appropriate to answering the
                                                                                                                  large, is robustly positive casts doubt on the belief (Guizzo        questions posed by our study about the sentiment of media
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                                                                                                                  and Ackerman, 2016; Scharre, 2017; Shead, 2018; Williams,            coverage of AI. For example, Fast and Horvitz (2017) con-
                                                                                                                  2015) that negative public perceptions of AI can be explained        ducted a far more costly and comprehensive analysis of
                                                                                                                  by negative media coverage of AI. There are, however, ca-            AI coverage in the NYT over the period 1986–2016. Using
                                                                                                                  veats.                                                               crowdsourcing and ML classifiers, they attempted to measure
                                                                                                                     First, we acknowledge that quantitative scoring of emo-           ‘‘optimism versus pessimism’’ and ‘‘engagement,’’ as well as
                                                                                                                  tional ‘‘sentiment’’ is a reductive construction that fails to       a number of hopes for and concerns about AI. However, the
                                                                                                                  capture contextual nuance. One could argue the score says            relevant results of this sophisticated study confirm our own:
                                                                                                                  more about the programmers who created the tool than the             ‘‘In general, AI has had consistently more optimistic than
                                                                                                                  text it processes, making this entire exercise meaningless.          pessimistic coverage over time, roughly two to three times
                                                                                                                  However, sentiment analysis tools, including Google’s, are           more over the 30-year period’’ (Fast and Horvitz, 2017).
                                                                                                                  used widely online and in industry for market forecasting and           Moreover, in their sophisticated technical analysis, Fast
                                                                                                                  other forms of analysis. For example, the AI Index 2017 and          and Horvitz collapse the social dimension of their data—
                                                                                                                  2018 included a sentiment analysis of AI media coverage              paragraphs of text from the NYT—to stand in for public belief
                                                                                                                  (Shoham et al., 2017, 2018). Shoham et al. (2017) found              itself. For example, they interpret an increase in one classi-
                                                                                                                  positive AI articles outnumbered negative during 2013–17,            fier, ‘‘ethical concerns about AI,’’ to ‘‘suggest an increase
                                                                                                                  although most articles were neutral (2017: 25).                      in public belief that we may soon be capable of building
                                                                                                                     Shoham et al. (2018) extended those results, adding that          dangerous AI systems’’ (Fast and Horvitz, 2017: 967). This
                                                                                                                  ‘‘AI articles have become less neutral and more positive,            study, by contrast, acknowledges the possibility of difference
                                                                                                                  particularly since early 2016, when articles went from 12%           between media representations and alleged public beliefs.
                                                                                                                  positive in January 2016 to 30% positive in July 2016,’’             Indeed, that appears to be the case with AI: despite robustly
                                                                                                                  where it has remained since. However, the AI Index results           positive media coverage, concerns about the technology are
                                                                                                                  do not bear a strong burden of proof because the provenance          widespread among the public.
                                                                                                                  of the data used is unclear. It was obtained from a business            Third, it is certainly possible that studies on larger datasets
                                                                                                                  analytics firm (Trendkite.com), but beyond that, no infor-           could potentially contest our findings. Future studies should
                                                                                                                  mation is provided regarding the number of articles analyzed,        analyze sentiment from many more news sources, perhaps
                                                                                                                  their sources, or the methods used. This study thus improved         controlling for ideology by surveying across the political
                                                                                                                  on the AI Index study by conducting a sentiment analysis of          spectrum. Ethnographic research is needed to better explore
                                                                                                                  the AI news media coverage over a longer period, while               the process by which ordinary people make sense of prom-
                                                                                                                  providing transparency on data, sources, and methodology.            issory technologies like AI, and the role that news media
                                                                                                                     Second, the accuracy of Google’s sentiment analysis tool          plays in that understanding. However we leave that to future
                                                                                                                  can certainly be questioned. We acknowledge that other               studies on the subject matter.
                                                                                                                  sentiment analysis tools might provide more nuanced scores.             Having addressed those points, we now ask the follow-
                                                                                                                  The Google tool itself is a black box that does not explain          ing: If most AI news is positive, why then is a majority of
                                                                                                                  how sentiments are weighted, although our examination of             the public allegedly worried about and distrustful of AI? We
                                                                                                                  the most negative articles revealed some of its idiosyncrasies.      consider three hypotheses.
                                                                                                                  For example, consider the following article that received one           We agree it is possible that despite the mostly positive
                                                                                                                  of the lowest sentiment scores (-0.9):                               news coverage, a small number of highly sensational, ‘‘fear-
                                                                                                                                                                                       mongering’’ articles could have a disproportionate effect on
                                                                                                                     In Kingdom of Cockroaches, Leaders Are Made, Not Born—            public perceptions of AI. Cognitive or other biases might cause
                                                                                                                     An international team of scientists has created artificial        extremely negative stories (e.g., Strange, 2015) to outweigh
                                                                                                                     roaches to study ‘‘collective intelligence.’’ (NYT, 12/7/2004).
                                                                                                                                                                                       the preponderance of less remarkable positive stories in the
                                                                                                                     In this case, the low score is almost certainly an artifact of    publics’ judgment. However, plausible, the burden of proof
                                                                                                                  the Google’s NLP tool, which most likely assigns very low            lies with those who would advance such a hypothesis.
                                                                                                                  values to the word ‘‘cockroaches.’’ It seems unlikely that              Moreover, the principle of symmetry (Bloor, 1991) urges
                                                                                                                  this article contributed significantly to negative public per-       caution in invoking bias to explain public perceptions with-
                                                                                                                  ceptions of AI.                                                      out considering its role in experts’ own perceptions of AI
10                                                                                                      GARVEY AND MASKAL

                                                                                                                  news. Biases are an inescapable fact of human cognition            izing and extreme videos (Cook, 2018; Lewis, 2018; Nicas,
                                                                                                                  (Gigerenzer and Goldstein, 1996; Kahneman, 2011); hence,           2018; Tufekci, 2018)? Should private initiatives to put screens
                                                                                                                  similar explanations can be applied to both experts and lay        in public schools (Kardaras, 2016; Toyama, 2015) not be
                                                                                                                  people. That is, by the same logic, one could argue experts’       reconsidered in light of the fact that Silicon Valley elites are
                                                                                                                  biases inure them to the steady stream of positive AI news,        increasingly restricting their own children’s use of handheld
                                                                                                                  while making them exceptionally sensitive to the occasional        digital electronics (Bowles, 2018)?
                                                                                                                  negative article, which would become overrepresented in               At a minimum, we suggest that ‘‘digital health’’ should
                                                                                                                  their mental model of ‘‘AI news’’ and create the perception of     be construed broadly enough to consider these and related
                                                                                                                  a biased media.                                                    questions about the role of AI technologies in human life.
                                                                                                                     A more parsimonious explanation for negative public             Indeed, it seems to us that digital health cannot be understood
                                                                                                                  perceptions of AI is that the technology actually does pose        outside the context of AI technologies, with their potential
                                                                                                                  considerable risks to many people, and that the public is          benefits and manifold risks. This context suggests an orienta-
                                                                                                                  rightly concerned (Didier et al., 2015). Consider how after        tion for the digital health research agenda. If AI poses signif-
                                                                                                                  early denials (Williams, 2015), some major tech leaders are        icant risks to a nontrivial fraction of humanity (Garvey,
                                                                                                                  now conceding that AI does pose risks, such as Google CEO          2018b), then we suggest that future research in digital health
                                                                                                                  Sundar Pichai, who recently acknowledged that fears about          could make the greatest impact by adopting a perspective
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                                                                                                                  AI are ‘‘very legitimate’’ (Romm et al., 2018).                    of ‘‘thoughtful partisanship’’ (Woodhouse et al., 2002) and
                                                                                                                     Leading AI experts are warning about the military risks         explicitly focusing on the needs of those groups at greatest risk.
                                                                                                                  (Bohannon, 2015b; FLI, 2015). Senior politicians and gov-             Because those at-risk populations are often also those least
                                                                                                                  ernment officials argue that AI threatens political democracy      able to influence political decision making and technological
                                                                                                                  (Graham, 2017; Nemitz, 2018). Reckless corporate behavior          R&D (Lindblom and Woodhouse, 1993), research oriented
                                                                                                                  has already led to the first pedestrian death by driverless car    around their concerns will help to counteract the well-
                                                                                                                  (Lee, 2018; Wakabayashi, 2018). ML has been shown to               documented tendency for new technologies, especially in
                                                                                                                  systematically reproduce biases in its training data (Caliskan     medicine, to disproportionately benefit the wealthy and am-
                                                                                                                  et al., 2017), and such algorithmic biases have entrenched         plify social inequality (Sarewitz and Woodhouse, 2003;
                                                                                                                  discriminatory practices in range of social settings, from         Woodhouse and Sarewitz, 2007). We recommend science
                                                                                                                  criminal sentencing (Angwin et al., 2016; Matacic, 2018) to        and technology policies for promoting ‘‘digital health’’ to be
                                                                                                                  facial recognition (Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018). In-               reoriented accordingly.
                                                                                                                  vestigative journalists have shown how AI allows advertisers          For digital health to be more than the next bump in the
                                                                                                                  to discriminate by race, gender, and other categories (Angwin      hype cycle, a systems perspective that includes critical social
                                                                                                                  and Parris Jr., 2016; Angwin et al., 2017).                        science and public engagement as inputs will be crucial. AI
                                                                                                                     Finally, business people, technical experts, financial in-      is increasingly a part of ordinary life, and the public is in-
                                                                                                                  stitutions, think tanks, governments, and much of the public       creasingly familiar with it. Explaining away public concerns
                                                                                                                  agree that AI puts jobs at risk (Acemoglu and Restrepo, 2017;      about AI as mere fear of the Terminator, stoked by an un-
                                                                                                                  Arntz et al., 2016; Brynjolfsson and Mitchell, 2017; Dutton        scrupulous or sensationalist media, poses a barrier to greater
                                                                                                                  et al., 2018; Frey and Osborne, 2013; Ma et al., 2015; Pew         public engagement with AI by reproducing the ‘‘deficit mod-
                                                                                                                  Research Center, 2014; World Economic Forum, 2018).                el’’ of the public’s understanding of science (Bauer et al.,
                                                                                                                     What about machine takeovers and killer robots? It does         2007; Fujigaki, 2009; Ziman, 1991), which too often assumes
                                                                                                                  not appear to be the public’s primary concern. One survey          ‘‘lay publics are only capable of taking sentimental, emo-
                                                                                                                  of 2000 American adults found that their ‘‘top fear or con-        tional, and intellectually vacuous positions’’ (Wynne, 2001).
                                                                                                                  cern about possible A.I. threats or risks’’ was ‘‘A.I. taking         Humane futures in digital health and the responsible ad-
                                                                                                                  jobs’’ (30%), rather than ‘‘A.I. turning against us’’ (8.8%) or    vancement of AI technologies require that the concerns of
                                                                                                                  ‘‘AI taking control’’ (6.8%) (SYZYGY, 2017). Indeed, even          an informed public be heard, addressed, and incorporated into
                                                                                                                  James Cameron, director of the Terminator movies, sug-             research, design, deployment, and operation. For that to
                                                                                                                  gests shifting attention to more quotidian instantiations of       happen, open, transparent, and deliberative interaction be-
                                                                                                                  AI technology and their social impacts:                            tween AI innovators, news media, government officials, civic
                                                                                                                       People ask me: ‘‘Will the machines ever win against hu-
                                                                                                                                                                                     leaders, and diverse publics is essential.
                                                                                                                       manity?’’ I say: ‘‘Look around in any airport or restaurant
                                                                                                                       and see how many people are on their phones. The machines     Conclusions
                                                                                                                       have already won.’’ (Belloni and Kit, 2017)
                                                                                                                                                                                        Using the sentiment scores calculated by the Google Cloud
                                                                                                                     As we look around, it is worth asking what ‘‘digital health’’   NLP tool, we found that the majority of AI news coverage
                                                                                                                  means—and ought to mean—in this burgeoning Age of AI,              from the sources we examined is positive. If this tool is re-
                                                                                                                  where a certain class of machines has ‘‘already won.’’ What        liable and accurate, and if our news sources are representa-
                                                                                                                  role should AI play in childhood development as screens            tive, then our finding that a majority of AI news coverage is
                                                                                                                  become fixtures in peoples’ lives at ever earlier ages, espe-      positive refutes the hypothesis that most media coverage of
                                                                                                                  cially as it becomes clear that screen time correlates with        AI is negative. This casts doubt on the validity of the be-
                                                                                                                  adverse effects on young people (Hunt et al., 2018; Turel,         lief, which we have called the ‘‘Terminator Syndrome,’’ that
                                                                                                                  2019; Twenge et al., 2018, 2019)? How ought guidelines for         negative media coverage is largely to blame for negative
                                                                                                                  digital entertainment be set, when even a site as seemingly        public perceptions of AI. Although our results alone are un-
                                                                                                                  innocuous as YouTube is now known to use AI to maximize            likely to terminate the Terminator Syndrome, we hope they
                                                                                                                  screen time by tantalizing viewers with increasingly polar-        contribute to facilitating greater public engagement with AI.
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS OF THE NEWS MEDIA ON AI                                                                                                11

                                                                                                                  Acknowledgments                                                          Bradshaw JM, Hoffman RR, Woods DD, et al. (2013). The
                                                                                                                                                                                             seven deadly myths of ‘autonomous systems.’ IEEE Intell
                                                                                                                    No funding was received in support of this research article.
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                                                                                                                  not necessarily reflect those of the affiliated institutions.              ‘‘it’s too late.’’ TheHill. https://thehill.com/policy/technology/
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