Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020

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Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
Successful communication
     during the Corona crisis

              #6
    E-commerce strategies for
      companies and brands
             Düsseldorf, April 2020

1
Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
The Corona crisis is massively changing the
buying behaviour of consumers.

For most industries, the tried and tested
sales channels are breaking.

E-commerce is booming.
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Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
Just as in stationary
trade, goods for
daily use are also
in great demand         Google Search
on the Internet.

                                Face mask     Toilet paper      Disinfectant   Groceries   Corona

33                                          Source: Google Trends
Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
TOP search terms on
Amazon change during
the lockdown

•    Toilet paper, disinfectants and
     mouthguards are still top keywords

•    However, there is increasing demand
     for activity items (puzzles, painting by
     numbers, PSA, Nintendo) and
     personal hygiene products (hair
     clippers)

•    There is also an increased demand for
     home office equipment and digital
     communication (headphones,
     webcam, headset

44                                              Quelle: ARA Premium / Brand Analytics
Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
In online
grocery retail,
traffic increases by
20-25%.

55                     Source: similarweb.com
Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
Due to rapid growth, demand cannot be fully met
due limited capacity.

     •   Rewe, Netto and Real show
         traffic increases of 20-25% in
         their shops, the Dutch startup
         Picnic even speaks of a 50%
         increase.

     •   The beverage supplier,
         Flaschenpost is struggling with
         increased order volume,
         as is the drugstore dm, which
         currently has a delivery time of
         9-12 days.

     •   Picnic also delivers to
         "systemically relevant" people
         on Sundays.

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Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
Major marketplaces are also reacting.

                          Amazon prioritised goods for daily use in its warehouses. In this way,
                          the industry giant is trying to remain systemically relevant in order to
                          prevent a legal lockdown in logistics centres. This endangers product
                          visibility in search results not only for the short term but also the
                          medium term.

                          eBay, on the other hand, receives additional impetus for its
                          "Local Heroes" program and waives sales commissions up to and
                          including June 30th for local merchants who want to enter online
                          trading.

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Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
And some retailers
are even reducing
their advertising.

Amazon is decreasing
Google Search.
Grocery retailers limit
communicating their
online offers.

88                        Source: similarweb.com
Successful communication during the Corona crisis #6 - E-commerce strategies for companies and brands Düsseldorf, April 2020
Some industries
win, others lose.                                               Demand has increased
                                                                due to panic buying,
                                                 PANIC BUYING   which has led to an
                                                                unexpected shortage
                                                                of supply

                     Unexpected shifts in
                       demand between       DEMAND
                    sectors and channels

                                                                Short and long-term
                                                                changes in
                                                COMMUNICAITON   communication
                                                                channels

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Even before the
crisis,           Forecast                    Current                                  Future
consumption       • March 2020:              • Retail closures cause                   • Consumer behaviour
in Germany          226,000 retail             estimated losses of                       will develop towards
was trending in     companies.                 around €1.15 billion
                                               per day.
                                                                                         online trade in the
                                                                                         long-term.
favour of         • Forecast until 2030:
e-commerce.         Decline of               • Result: insolvencies                    • Emergence of market
                    companies by               and business closures.                    concentrations:
                    64,000,                                                              only large retailers
                    decline of sales         • Except for grocery                        can cushion extreme
                    outlets by up to           retail: higher demand                     fluctuations in
                    80,000.                    and multiplied                            consumption.
                                               turnover due to
                                               hoarding purchases.                     • The winners are so-
                                                                                         called, “generalists”:
                                             • Closures of stationary                    In Germany, these are
                                               shops inevitably result                   Amazon and Otto.
                                               in online purchasing.
                                                                                       • Amazon continues to
                                                                                         develop as a market
                                                                                         leader.

10                                         Source: IFH Köln „Handelsszenario 2030“,
                                           Handelsverband Deutschland HDE 03/2020, Statista und Amazon Sept. 2019
Demand is shifting
in favor of
“generalists”.                                            0            2000           4000            6000            8000   10000

Amazon holds a 52 %                                                                                                          9.278,1
share of total online sales.                                                         3.200
Amazon‘s customers                                                        1.440,9
place an average of 41
orders per year.                                                    878,5
                                                                   809,1
                                                                   757,3
                                                                  601,1
                                                                  554,7
                                                                  524,5
                                                                  488,5

                               E-commerce-sales in million Euro

11                                                                   Source: Statista and Amazon, status September 2019
Familiar shopping channels and convenience are primary
success factors in online shopping

     • FMCG brands with their own webshop do not necessarily
       contribute to the increase in traffic, even during the
       crisis. Consumers are loyal to online channels in retail.

     • 84% of consumers are willing to leave their favourite
       brand as soon as another provider offers them services
       according to their individual preferences.*

     • 49% of all product searches begin on Amazon.

12                                    Source: B2X Care Solutions GmbH, München: What the Future Holds for Customer Care in the Global Consumer
                                      Electronics Industry Business: E-Commerce 2020: Sieben Trends im deutschen Onlinehandel
E-commerce strategies for brands during the crisis.

 Germany and Europe are                    1. Acute phase                   2. Recovery phase            3. New normal
 currently still in the first phase, the     Remain capable of                Stabilization of the         Reduce
 acute outbreak.                             action                           business                     dependency

                                           • Online dependence of           • Return of traditional      • Increased dependence
                                             consumers                        purchasing channels          on platforms like
                     2                                                                                     Amazon
                                           • The demand in some             • Changes in the
                                             categories is increasing         competitive                • Loss of control
                                             (Essentials), while some         environment
       1                          3          are decreasing (Luxury)                                     • Predatory competition
                                                                            • A focus on strong
                                           • Decline in sales due to          brands
                                             lower stock

                                            Ensure availability of goods    Carry out                    Develop e-commerce
                                            and logistics, e.g. dropship,   market/competition           strategy, strengthen brand
                                            own warehousing, service        analyses and repositioning   building and online visibility
                                            providers

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Short-term options
for brands.

                                       Strong demand                                                              Others

                                                                                         •    Adjust media investment and
                            •   Shortening the path-to-purchase
                                                                                              targeting, e.g. via search, shopping,
                            •   Adjust media investment and
              Webshop           targeting, e.g. via search, shopping,
                                                                                              affiliate
                                                                                         •    Use additional marketplaces if
                                affiliate
                                                                                              necessary

                            •   Competition analysis                                     •    Evaluate supply capacity and
                            •   Customized keyword sets                                       exploit opportunities
             Marketplaces   •   Increase campaign budgets to                             •    Close campaign monitoring
                                ensure visibility                                        •    Plan budgets for recovery phase

            No E-Commerce   No short-term scope for action

14                                             Quelle: Kantar China, WeChat survey, n=1093, Datenbasis 6.-9.02.2020
Main risk for the expansion of online shopping is logistics.

     Current developments show the limits of e-commerce and the dependence on functioning logistics processes.
     Service levels decrease with increasing demand. Parcel delivery companies and infrastructure are overloaded.
     There are potential solutions, but they cannot be implemented in the short term.

                Dropship                    Fulfilment Service Partner           Online-to-Offline (O2O)

      Direct delivery to the               Outsourcing logistics to              Cooperation between
      consumer and invoice the             external service partners             stationary and online
      retailer                                                                   shopping
                                           Helpful for missing D2C
      Can also be used for                 processes                             Applying interactions
      marketplace strategies                                                     between off- and online
                                           Connecting additional                 shopping
                                           marketplaces possible
                                                                                 Example: shoes 24

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Chancen für Unternehmen im E-Commerce

       Current trends              Opportunities for companies           Opportunities for companies
                                   with e-commerce sales                 without e-commerce sales

 • Older people and technology     • Guaranteeing flawless fulfillment   • Development of a sustainable
   “laggards” adapt to online                                              e-commerce strategy
   shopping                        • Offering additional services
                                                                         • Recognizing a variance of selling
                                   • Improving long-term
 • Switching to online offers                                              potential
                                     e-commerce strategy
 • Advantages of online shopping                                         • Coordination of channel
                                   • Winning both, new as well as          distribution
   are unavoidable
                                     existing customers
                                                                         • Investment in e-commerce
                                                                           channels

                                                                         • Maintain independence from
                                                                           large platforms

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We believe that this crisis will not create
     anything new in the long-term.

     But it will almost certainly accelerate the
     developments that have already taken
     place.

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The purchasing behaviour permanently changes due to prevention
measures.

 Uncertainty about the new Coronavirus is deconstructing traditional shopping behaviour, as retail
 researcher, Eva Stüber reviews the results of a study by the Cologne IFH Institute. "Older people in
 particular are now becoming aware of online shopping, including groceries. That will remain.
 People are adapting to this and noticed: It works."

     hellofresh    REWE online          Flaschenpost.de      getnow                  PicNic               Bringmeister       mytime.de

  "The current           "We are         "Flaschenpost        "We are           "We are currently           "Processing      "The increased
 demand is 60%     experiencing a            registers     practically fully     experiencing an          time of four to     demand may
 above the level       significant        significantly       booked -             increase in               six days is    result in a longer
   before the         increase in             higher      sometimes seven          demand of                  currently     processing time"
     crisis"       order intensity in       demand"       days in advance"          almost 50                standard"
                       online sh"                                                    percent"

18                                                                Source: Desk Research, IFH Studie „Onlinehandel“
In the future, the           Increasing traffic and sales leads to tougher competition for
survival of brands           visibility
will depend on a
strong e-commerce
focus more than
                                                                                                                    Growth Rate

ever.

               Amazon
             advertising
           revenues were
            already rising
               by +70%
               annually
             before the
                 crisis

19                                              Source: https://www.netzoekonom.de/2018/06/22/600-millionen-euro-umsatz-mit-retail-media-in-
                                                deutschland-erwartet/, BMO Capital Markets, E-Marketer 2018, Estimate 2018-2020
It is extremely risky to become absolutely
     dependent on platforms in your e-
     commerce strategy.

     At the same time, brand webshops are
     becoming less relevant within the
     consumer journey.

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Few brands can   Webshop vs. Marketplace vs. Hybrid from the sales perspective.
afford to work
without a
marketplace
presence.           strong
                                                                   Startups             Apple

                     „Uniqueness“ of the Product
                                                          Hybrid              Webshop
                                                                                                       Use of the
                                                                                                     marketplace to
                                                                                                      build brand
                                                                                                      awareness
                                                                    Trade               Beck‘s
                                                                    Marks                               Use of the
                                                                                                    marketplace in the
                                                                                                    consultation phase
                                                     Marketplace               Hybrid                 and focus on
                                                                                                       conversions

                    weak

                                                   weak            Brand Loyalty           strong

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Management
Summary                  The Corona crisis is massively changing consumer
                         buying behavior. Online trade is booming. Demand is
 „ The goal must be to   shifting stronger than ever before that favour
 develop our own e-      “generalists” in the retail sector. Some brands and
 commerce strategies     retailers are participating more, others less. Logistics is
 in order to reduce      the key success factor.
 dependencies.“
                         Amazon and ebay are reacting differently to the
                         crisis. Particularly Amazon, who puts brands and
                         retailers under massive pressure to act in the short-
                         term.

                         This further increases the dependency on large
                         platforms. In the future, the survival of brands will
                         significantly depend on a strong e-commerce focus.

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Please stay healthy
     and take good care of yourself.

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If you need support - no matter what topic -
     you are always welcome to contact your
     MediaCom team.

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