Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID

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Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Taliban Framing of the
                                                                                                        Peace Process
                                                                                                        15 February – 10 March 2021

                                                                                                        18 March 2021

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                 1
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Contents                                                Key Findings                                    4
                                                        Introduction                                    7
                                                        Theme 1: Celebrating the Peace Deal             9
                                                        Theme 2: Victory over America                   15
                                                        Theme 3: The Taliban’s Governance Offer         23

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021        2
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Key Findings

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021   3
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Graph Name

Key Findings                         This study is the first in a series of monthly reports tracking how     This report considers the array of materials that were distributed
                                     the Taliban has been framing the peace process in its official com-     via the Taliban’s official communication hubs between the dates in
                                     munications output. The time period with which it is concerned is       question. It has three sections, one for each of the thematic clusters
                                     15 February to 10 March 2021.                                           around which these communications revolve: (i) celebrations of the
                                                                                                             peace deal; (ii) claims of victory over the US; and (iii) ruminations
                                     Because the period in question coincided with the first anniversary     on the implications of ‘Islamic’ rule.
                                     of the United States’ (US) conditional peace deal with the Taliban,
                                     the negotiations process was the core focus of much of the content
                                     published in the course of it. Interestingly, and significantly, much
                                     of it included speeches and anthems in Dari as well as Pashto.
                                     Usually, Taliban videos are Pashto only, so the addition of Dari
                                     content could be an attempt to show that the Taliban has a broad-
                                     based political agenda and is attempting to represent all Afghans,
                                     not just the Pashtuns that have historically formed the majority of
                                     its support base.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                             4
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Key Findings

                                     Celebrating the Peace Deal                                             Ruminating on the Implications of ‘Islamic’ Rule
                                     The first cluster of materials celebrated, in highly triumphalist      The last, smallest cluster of materials revolved around setting
                                     terms, the fact that the peace deal was still largely on track, one    out what a Taliban government would mean for Afghanistan. It
                                     year on from its being agreed in Doha. This content reflected on       focused in particular on the immediate effect it would have on
                                     what peace would mean for both the Taliban and the US. It was          reducing corruption in the country. It was deployed with a view to:
                                     deployed with a view to:                                               • Differentiating between the ills of secular rule and the bene-
                                     • Emphasising the Islamic and nationalist credentials of peace           fits of an ‘Islamic’ system; and
                                       process; and                                                         • Establishing what ‘Islamic’ rule would mean for corruption
                                     • Explaining why all parties should welcome the negotiations             in Afghanistan.
                                       process.

                                     Asserting Victory Over the US
                                     The second cluster of materials was levelled specifically at Taliban
                                     supporters and commanders. It was generally geared towards fram-
                                     ing the peace deal as a victory, not a loss, for the Islamic Emirate
                                     project. It was deployed with a view to:
                                     • Framing peace as the only logical option for US
                                       policymakers;
                                     • Addressing the concerns and agenda of the new presidential
                                       administration;
                                     • Making accusations of duplicity regarding treaty violations.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                          5
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Introduction

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021   6
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Introduction                         This study is the first in a series of monthly reports tracking how      agreement‘s significance for the Taliban and the Afghan nation
                                     the Taliban has been framing the peace process in its official com-      while simultaneously accusing the US and internationally recog-
                                     munications output. The time period with which it is concerned is        nised Afghan government of violating it. While the statements of
                                     15 February to 10 March 2021. The next report will focus on the          Mutaqi, Wasiq, and Hakimi were markedly more diplomatic than
                                     period between 11 March and 10 April 2021, and so on.                    Haqqani’s abovementioned speech, they too contained thinly veiled
                                                                                                              threats against the Afghan government and US. For their part, the
                                     Because the period in question coincided with the first anniversary      religious scholars and mid-level officials in attendance at these con-
                                     of the United States’ (US) conditional peace deal with the Taliban,      ferences were more focused on explaining the significance of the
                                     which was signed on 29 February last year in Doha, Qatar, the            deal and establishing its religious and nationalist credentials, and
                                     negotiations process was the core focus of much of the content           the poets were focused on paying tribute to fallen leaders—among
                                     published by the Taliban over the last month. On 26 February, for        them the likes of the Taliban’s founding amir Mullah ‘Umar and
                                     example, it published a half-hour-long video speech of Mawlawi           his successors Haibatullah Akhunzada and Akhtar Muhammad
                                     Sirajuddin Haqqani in which he raised a number of concerns sur-          Mansur, as well as other senior leaders like Jalaluddin Haqqani.
                                     rounding the US’s approach to the deal while calling on mid-level
                                     Taliban commanders in particular not to violate it. At the same          One of the most interesting and significant aspects of the videos
                                     time, he used highly threatening language against the US, noting         that documented these festivities was the fact that they included
                                     that the consequences would be grave if it does not withdraw its tro-    speeches and anthems in Dari as well as Pashto. Usually, Taliban
                                     ops from Afghanistan by 1 May 2021 (the date of US withdrawal,           documentaries are Pashto only, so the addition of Dari content
                                     per the original Doha agreement).                                        could be an attempt to show that the Taliban has a broad-based
                                                                                                              political agenda and is attempting to represent all Afghans, not just
                                     On the day of the treaty anniversary itself, the Taliban held a series   the Pashtuns that have historically formed the majority of its sup-
                                     of commemorative conferences. Members of its leadership and              port base.
                                     political establishment addressed these meetings along with pro-
                                     Taliban poets, religious scholars, and academics. Among the leaders      This report considers these diverse materials, as well as other con-
                                     featured were the likes of Supreme Council member and Director           tent published between 15 February and 10 March, in detail. It has
                                     of the Islamic Emirate’s Media, Propaganda, and Recruitment              three sections, one for each of the thematic clusters around which
                                     Commission, Mawlawi Amir Khan Mutaqi, his deputy Mawlawi                 these communications revolve: (i) celebrations of the peace deal;
                                     Ahmad Wasiq, and the former Taliban spokesman, Mufti Lutfullah           (ii) claims of victory over the US; and (iii) ruminations on the
                                     Hakimi. Generally, these speeches set out to explain the Doha            implications of ‘Islamic’ rule.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                 7
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
Theme 1
Celebrating the Peace Deal

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021   8
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
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Theme 1:
Celebrating the
Peace Deal

The first cluster of materials celebrated,
in highly triumphalist terms, the fact
that the peace deal was still largely
on track, one year on from its being
agreed in Doha. This content reflected
on what peace would mean for both
the Taliban and the US.

Screenshot of Mawlawi Amir Khan Mutaqi’s speech
from an Al Emarah Studio video. Published 1 March
2021. Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 14 March 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021   9
Taliban Framing of the Peace Process - 15 February - 10 March 2021 18 March 2021 - USAID
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Theme 1: Celebrating the Peace Deal

Legitimising the Peace Process
A large amount of content was geared towards setting out why the
peace deal mattered in the grand scheme of things. This came as
a direct response to the Taliban’s detractors, who, it is worth not-
ing, are explicitly addressed in an op-ed published on the Taliban’s
website on 1 March, which describes them as one of ‘two kinds of
people, the first that is jealous of the Taliban, and second that is
sincere but taken in by the enemies’ propaganda.’1

One of the most emblematic examples of this legitimization
focused content was a video documenting the Taliban’s commemo-
rative conference at which was present Amir Khan Mutaqi, a mem-
ber of its Supreme Council and Director of its Media, Propaganda,
and Recruitment Commission.2 In the video, Mutaqi sets out the
significance of the deal, and, in the course of doing so, attempts
to assure his audience (both online and off-) that the Taliban had
only agreed to sign it on the basis that it was a legitimate Islamic
act. Among other things, he also highlighted the fact that some
5,000 Muslims would be freed as a result of it, not to mention that
it would end the foreign invasion and result in the establishment of
a ‘pure Islamic system’ in Afghanistan.
                                                                                                Screenshot of Al Emarah-published op-ed. Published 18 February 2021. Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 5 March 2021.

1 ‘What we achieved from the Doha peace deal,’ Al Emarah, March 2021.
2 ‘Seminar on the Occasion of the First Anniversary Doha Agreement, Part-3,’
  Al Emarah Studio, 1 March 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network    Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                                              10
Graph Name
Theme 1: Celebrating the Peace Deal

Other key implications of the deal, as outlined in an op-ed separate                           In other, similarly themed content, the Taliban attempts to explain
to Mutaqi’s speech were:                                                                       why the peace deal was a victory for all Afghans, not just its direct
•   Protection for civilians against night-time raids conducted by                             supporters. Its officials hold that such a deal is the only way to
    the US and its allies;                                                                     sustainably end the war in Afghanistan and establish a strong and
                                                                                               pure nationalist government that has the power to restore its peo-
•   A reduction in hostile Afghan military influence across the                                ple’s dignity.4
    country, especially in rural areas under Taliban control;
•   The polarizing impact it has had on the internationally rec-                               Essentially, then, the Taliban’s official position is that the deal
    ognized Afghan government, which has led some 13,561 offi-                                 should be considered a win-win situation, one that sees it liber-
    cials to defect;                                                                           ating prisoners, ousting Americans, and establishing a shari’ah
                                                                                               government.5
•   The international legitimacy that it has bestowed upon the
    Taliban, which now has formal diplomatic relations with sev-
    eral states;
•   The burgeoning popularity of the Taliban among the Afghan
    masses, swathes of which now consider it a legitimate, not
    terrorist, actor; and
•   The fact that it has caused the US military presence in
    Afghanistan to contract to just 2,500 (and, soon, zero)
    soldiers.3

                                                                                               4 ‘Seminar on the Occasion of the First Anniversary Doha Agreement, Part-1,’ Al Emarah
                                                                                                 Studio, 1 March 2021.
                                                                                               5 ‘The Islamic Emirate statement on the first anniversary of the Doha agreement,’ Al Emarah,
3 ‘What we achieved from the Doha peace deal,’ Al Emarah, 1 March 2021.                          28 February 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                         11
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Theme 1: Celebrating the Peace Deal

                                                                                                        Why Peace is Progress
                                                                                                        The Taliban complemented these explicitly supporter-focused com-
                                                                                                        munications with a stream of content that was (at least nominally)
                                                                                                        geared towards providing the US government with advice about
                                                                                                        why it was in its interests to leave Afghanistan and what would
                                                                                                        happen if it did not.

                                                                                                        The first set of materials comprised a series of op-eds published on
                                                                                                        the Taliban’s website. One urges US citizens to push their elected
                                                                                                        officials to demand the full withdrawal of the American military
                                                                                                        from Afghanistan.6 Not only would it save them money, the author
                                                                                                        contends, it would undermine the corrupt financial practices that
                                                                                                        are currently underway in Afghanistan and costing the US tax-
                                                                                                        payer money.

                                                                                                        Another op-ed sets out the purportedly unsustainable military
                                                                                                         costs of the US’s involvement in Afghanistan. It holds that, in 19
                                                                                                         years of war, it had failed to secure even one meaningful victory
                                                                                                         against the Taliban. This was, the author notes, a humiliation:
                                                                                                        ‘[The US and its allies] used all possible military power at their
                                                                                                         disposal [in Afghanistan] but could not succeed in defeating the
Screenshot of two of the Taliban’s monthly magazines, Shariat
and Srak, in Urdu and Pashto respectively. Source: ExTrac.                                               mujahidin and, what’s more, the mujahidin are now much stronger
                                                                                                         than they were before the war.’7

                                                                                                        6 ‘If the Doha agreement is broken,’ Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.
                                                                                                        7 ‘Conspiracies against the peace deal,’ Shariat 9:12, February 2021, p.2.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                12
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Theme 1: Celebrating the Peace Deal

In Srak, one of the Taliban’s regular analysts strikes a similar tone,                           In an op-ed published on 18 February, for example, one Taliban
writing that the US may as well withdraw because its soldiers                                    official draws attention to the fact that Afghanistan has not been
cannot stay in Afghanistan in perpetuity.8 The official warns that                               used as a launchpad for expeditionary terrorism against any west-
there is no way that any country, not even the US, can keep up a                                 ern interests in decades.10 They also claim that all foreign indi-
military presence in another faraway land without one day giving                                 viduals that posed any danger to the US and its allies had left the
up due to the costs associated with it. He says that this is especially                          country in the immediate aftermath of the US’s invasion in 2001,
the case in the context of Afghanistan, which has always histori-                                specifically writing that:11
cally been ‘a graveyard for foreign invaders.’ The article concludes
                                                                                                   ‘The US and its allies should not worry about
by stating that the US should cut its losses and immediately forget
about winning a military victory in Afghanistan. Instead, it should                                 whether any foreign militants will attack them from
follow the path set out in the peace deal and withdraw safely and                                   Afghanistan because the Taliban takes full responsi-
securely. As the author notes, ‘it will be best for the US to leave                                 bility of its security. If there was the possibility of any
Afghanistan as soon as possible before it turns into another shame-                                 threat from Afghan soil to the US and its allies, the
ful story in its history, one similar to that of Vietnam.’ Notably, in                             Taliban would never have taken such bold action as
his interview with Shariat magazine, Taliban spokesman Zabiullah                                    pledging in the Doha deal that they will not let any-
Mujahid similarly explains that, ‘If [the US] fails to take advantage                               one use the Afghan soil against the foreign states.’
of this [peace deal] opportunity, it will face a miserable fate similar
to that of the former Soviet Union.’9                                                            It is worth noting that Mawlawi Amir Khan Mutaqi also empha-
                                                                                                 sised this in his 28 February speech, in which he said that ‘the [US
Separately, the Taliban tried to make assurances to the US that it                               and its allies] should understand that the Taliban have full control
would be leaving Afghanistan in safe hands and that it would not                                 in Afghanistan. One year on from the deal, it did not allow anyone
become a safe haven for anti-US terrorist groups. These assurances                               to attack US or NATO forces in the country.’12 The second clus-
appeared to be an attempt to play down fears that groups like                                    ter of materials was levelled specifically at Taliban supporters and
al-Qa’ida would take advantage of the US’s withdrawal.                                           commanders. It was generally geared towards framing the peace
                                                                                                 deal as a victory, not a loss, for the Islamic Emirate project.

                                                                                                10 ‘If the Doha agreement is broken,’ Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.
                                                                                                11 Ibid.
8   ‘If Joe Biden decides to extend the war…,’ Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.                     12 ‘Seminar on the Occasion of the First Anniversary Doha Agreement, Part-3,’
9   ‘Shariat interview with Zabiullah Mujahid,’ Shariat 9:12, p. 6-9.                              Al Emarah Studio, 1 March 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network     Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                         13
Theme 2
Victory Over America

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021   14
Graph Name

Theme 2:
Victory over America

The second cluster of materials was
levelled specifically at Taliban support-
ers and commanders. It was generally
geared towards framing the peace deal
as a victory, not a loss, for the Islamic
Emirate project.

                                                        Screenshot of Mawlawi Sirajuddin Haqqani’s speech. Published 26 February 2021. Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 5 March 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                 15
Graph Name
Theme 2: Victory Over America

Peace as The Americans’ Only Way Out
Just as was the case at the end of 2020 and earlier in 2021, the
Taliban continued to frame the peace deal as a chance for the US
and NATO to accept defeat gracefully and withdraw securely from
Afghanistan.

For example, on 2 March, one of its senior analysts published an
op-ed setting out how the two decades-long war in Afghanistan
has been a significant social, political and economic drain on the
US government.13 The official contends that it had directly precip-
itated the collapse of the US’s global military supremacy and rein-
troduced multipolarity to the world order. With that in mind, he
writes, the US is in no position to bargain. Rather, this is now an
existential thorn in its side, and, accordingly, to avoid total collapse,
the US must accept the Taliban’s invitation to leave peacefully. If it
does not, the op-ed concludes, the Taliban would force it to with-
draw through violence.

                                                                                                Screenshot of Al Emarah-published op-ed on the negotiations. Published 1 March 2021.
                                                                                                Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 6 March 2021.

13 ‘The Doha deal can guarantee security to both the US and Afghanistan,’ Al Emarah,
   2 March 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network    Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                 16
Graph Name
Theme 2: Victory Over America

Similarly, the editorial page of the Pashto-language magazine                                    Citing the fact that the US had already been reducing its presence
Srak aims to explain why the peace deal is the only sensible policy                              in Afghanistan by shipping out its soldiers, closing down bases
option for the US government.14 It notes that:                                                   and securing or removing military equipment, the Srak editors
                                                                                                 hold that the writing is already on the wall for the US. Clearly, the
  ‘The Americans, after exhausting all other mili-
                                                                                                 Americans want out of Afghanistan, and the process is already long
   tary, political and economic options, finally real-                                           in motion.15
   ised that negotiations and a peace deal with the
   Islamic Emirate are the only option for them. […]                                              Expanding on this was an op-ed published on the Taliban’s web-
  They chose the peace process and accepted the Doha                                              site on 19 February that seemingly issues a veiled threat regarding
   deal, which was not just a decision of the then-US                                             expeditionary terrorism against Western interests, should the peace
   administration or the authorities in the White                                                 process fail.16 It warns that the impact of any deal-breaking on the
   House. Rather, prominent US army generals and                                                  part of the US would not be confined to Afghanistan, but would
   CIA and Pentagon officials craved for it. They real-                                          ‘spread throughout the world and result in a global war.’ Whether
                                                                                                  or not that is realistic remains to be seen.
   ised that peace with the Taliban is the only option
   for ending the unwinnable long war in Afghanistan
   and for withdrawing, securely, their soldiers from
   Afghanistan.’

                                                                                                 15 Ibid.
14 ‘Breaking the Doha deal is the US digging its own grave,’ Srak, February 2021, p.1.           16 ‘If the Doha agreement is broken,’ Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network      Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                 17
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Theme 2: Victory Over America

                                                                                                        The New Administration
                                                                                                        When it comes to the question of whether (or how) the arrival
                                                                                                        of the new Biden administration will alter US interests in
                                                                                                        Afghanistan, and affect the peace process more broadly, the
                                                                                                        Taliban was clear.

                                                                                                        Pointing to the US’s systematic drawdown in the country, it dis-
                                                                                                        misses any and all claims—especially those being issued by the
                                                                                                        Afghan government—that Biden will walk back on the original
                                                                                                        commitments made by the Trump administration, stating that
                                                                                                        these are purely rhetorical and not grounded in the material reality
                                                                                                        of the US withdrawal.17

                                                                                                        Notwithstanding this defiant position, there are some signs that
                                                                                                        the Taliban is nervous of the still relatively unknown quantity that
                                                                                                        is the Biden administration. In one op-ed, for example, one of its
                                                                                                        officials notes, hopefully, that Biden was the first US official to
                                                                                                        start negotiations with the Taliban when he was working in the
                                                                                                        Obama administration.18 However, the same official notes that it
                                                                                                        is still too early to ascertain in any definitive manner the nature of
                                                                                                        Biden’s policy agenda.
Screenshot of Al Emarah op-ed on the Biden administration. Published 18 February 2021.
Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 6 March 2021.

                                                                                                        17 Ibid.
                                                                                                        18 ‘If Joe Biden decides to extend the war…,’ Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                18
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Theme 2: Victory Over America

Elsewhere, the Taliban has adopted an almost complimentary tone
regarding the US, stating that it believes that the new administra-
tion—that is, the whole government, and not just its president—is
not naïve and that it is unlikely to make a decision that ends up
undermining its interests just to spite the previous president.19 As
its spokesman, Zabiullah Mujahid, says, ‘Our peace deal was with
the US state in which all US authorities and policy-making insti-
tutions were involved. This deal is also in the strategic interests of
the US, so we do not think the new US administration can, or will,
reject it.’ 20

                                                                                                    Screenshot of Al Emarah op-ed on the negotiations in Doha. Published 19 February 2021.
                                                                                                    Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 6 March 2021.

19 ‘Shariat interview with Zabiullah Mujahid,’ Shariat 9:12, p. 6-9.
20 Ibid.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network        Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                   19
Graph Name
Theme 2: Victory Over America

                                                                                                        Accusations of Duplicity
                                                                                                        As usual, the Taliban also spent a large amount of time accusing
                                                                                                        other parties of failing to fulfil their obligations as part of the deal.

                                                                                                        In Supreme Council member Mutaqi’s speech at one of the
                                                                                                        Taliban’s summits to celebrate the peace deal, he accuses the
                                                                                                        Afghan government of systematically working to sabotage it.
                                                                                                        Among other things, he alleges that President Ashraf Ghani and
                                                                                                        other senior officials like Hamdullah Muhib and Amaraullah Salih
                                                                                                        are deliberately derailing the prospects of a political settlement
                                                                                                        between the internationally recognized government and
                                                                                                        the Taliban.21

                                                                                                        The Taliban did not pull any punches when addressing the US
                                                                                                        government, either. For his part, former Taliban spokesman Mufti
                                                                                                        Lutfullah Hakimi in his speech accuses the US of violating, more
                                                                                                        than 800 times, the Doha agreement.22 According to Hakimi, the
                                                                                                        Taliban leadership is only stopping its fighters from responding to
                                                                                                        these violations because it is committed to securing a US withdrawal
                                                                                                        from Afghanistan, as per the timeline set out in the Doha deal.

Screenshot of Taliban spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid’s interview with Shariat magazine.
Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 6 March 2021.

                                                                                                        21 ‘Seminar on the Occasion of the First Anniversary Doha Agreement, Part-3,’ Al Emarah
                                                                                                           Studio, 1 March 2021.
                                                                                                        22 ‘Seminar on the Occasion of the First Anniversary Doha Agreement, Part-2,’ Al Emarah
                                                                                                           Studio, 1 March 2021.

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Graph Name
Theme 2: Victory Over America

Elsewhere, in a daily report published on the Alemarah website on                                It is worth noting that, in the same speech, Haqqani simultane-
18 February, another Taliban official contends that the US is saying                             ously commends his audience of mid-level to senior Taliban com-
one thing while doing another: ‘Some US officials and members of                                 manders for not having violated their own commitments to the
allied states have been accusing the Taliban of breaching the Doha                               deal. As Muslims, he held, such violations would be a grave sin.
peace accord. It seems that these people have not understood the
peace accord or are doing this to further their hidden interests.’23                            Doubling down on this idea in an interview with Shariat magazine,
                                                                                                the Taliban’s spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid fervently rejects the
Other materials claim more explicitly that, while the Taliban has                               Afghan government’s claim that the Islamic Emirate had not kept
been keeping to its side of the deal, NATO and the US have been                                 to its commitments. He asserts that the reverse was in fact true and
ignoring their commitments. It seems, based on this pool of mate-                               that it had fully implemented all clauses of the peace deal over the
rial, that the Taliban’s principal concern is that they will not with-                          course of the last year. Per Mujahid, these clauses are: i) no Taliban
draw their troops by 1 May. If this does not happen, its officials                              attacks against US forces; ii) no exploitation of Taliban-controlled
have stated on multiple occasions now, they will be acting in viola-                            territories to undermine US forces; iii) commencement of an
tion of the deal and will be reprimanded with violence.                                         intra-Afghan dialogue; and iv) a ceasefire.25 While the first three
                                                                                                conditions had been fulfilled already, Mujahid did note that the
For example, Sirajuddin Haqqani, the deputy leader of the Taliban,                              ceasefire can and will only be implemented once the third step had
in his address to Taliban commanders on the peace deal on 26                                    been met with full success. By way of contrast, the US has been
February, warned of attacks on a ‘devastating’ scale if the US does                             attempting to force the Taliban to break its promises by failing to
not meet its 1 May 2021 deadline.24 Drawing attention to the                                    release all of its prisoners, refusing to remove Taliban leaders from
Taliban’s demonstrated capability in the use of new military tactics                            its sanctions list, and continuing to bomb Taliban bases and civil-
and technologies, he said, ‘We were resisting the invaders with very                            ian population centers.26
limited resources 15 years ago, and now we have drones and other
technology. Let us wait and see. If [the US] ends the peace deal, we
will give them an exemplary lesson.’
                                                                                                 25 ‘Shariat interview with Zabiullah Mujahid,’ Shariat 9:12, p. 6-9.
                                                                                                 26 ‘The Islamic Emirate’s deputy amir, Mawlawi Sirajuddin Haqqani, addressing a gathering of
                                                                                                    mujahid commanders,’ Al Emarah Studio, 26 February 2021; ‘Seminar on the Occasion of
23 ‘Continuation of the occupation is a loss for everyone,’ Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.            the First Anniversary Doha Agreement, Part-3,’ Al Emarah Studio, 1 March 2021: ‘Shariat
24 ‘The Islamic Emirate’s deputy amir, Mawlawi Sirajuddin Haqqani, addressing a gathering           interview with Zabiullah Mujahid,’ Shariat 9:12, p. 6-9; ‘If the Doha agreement is broken,’
   of mujahid commanders,’ Al Emarah Studio, 26 February 2021.                                      Al Emarah, 18 February 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network     Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                           21
Theme 3
The Taliban’s Governance Offer

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021   22
Graph Name

Theme 3:
The Taliban’s
Governance Offer

The last, smallest cluster of materials
revolved around setting out what a
Taliban government would mean for
Afghanistan. It focused in particular
on the immediate effect it would have
on reducing corruption in the country.

                                                        Screenshot of Mufti Lutfullah Hakimi’s speech. Published 1 March 2021. Source: ExTrac. Last accessed: 14 March 2021.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network   Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                          23
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Theme 3: The Taliban’s Governance Offer

                                                                                                         Secular vs. Islamic Politics.
                                                                                                         These materials were generally levelled at the Afghan masses and
                                                                                                         geared towards making a case for why a Taliban government would
                                                                                                         be preferable to the present system.

                                                                                                         In Haqiqat, one of the Taliban’s most important periodicals, there
                                                                                                         are a number of articles that accuse the internationally recognized
                                                                                                         government of using all possible means to undermine the prospect
                                                                                                         of peace in Afghanistan.27 These accounts allege that the war has
                                                                                                         become the lifeblood of the government and that, for that reason,
                                                                                                         its continuation is existentially important to it. For that reason, it
                                                                                                         had been entering into negotiations with no intention of achieving
                                                                                                         peace; indeed, one of these op-eds notes, throughout the time that
                                                                                                         it has been calling for a ceasefire, government security forces have
                                                                                                         been attacking ‘civilians’ throughout the country.28 Mutaqi and
                                                                                                         Haqqani raised the same point in their speeches to at the com-
                                                                                                         memorative conferences on 28 February.

Screenshot of the latest issue of the Taliban’s Dari-Pashto magazine, Haqiqat. Source: ExTrac.

                                                                                                         27 ‘An Islamic or Western system?’ Haqiqat, January/February 2021, p. 38-39.
                                                                                                         28 ‘The enemy of peace is seeking excuses for war,’ Haqiqat, January/February 2021, p. 22.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network    Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                                24
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Theme 3: The Taliban’s Governance Offer

An End to Corruption
Separately, the Taliban has been attacking the government on                                     These claims are followed up with an assertion that Taliban
account of its perceived corrupt practices. Among other things,                                  rule in Afghanistan, which would usher in a period of Islamic,
these claims revolve around its allegations that senior officials are                            shari’ah-compliant governance, would immediately resolve the ills
stealing from national assets and public funds, something that                                   caused by warlordism and endemic corruption. It is, as Srak’s edi-
the Taliban claims it never did during its pre-9/11 incumbency.29                                torial pages claim, only through an Islamic system that the Taliban
They accuse the Afghan government of looting from the public                                     can ensure peace and prosperity for all Afghans and restore the
and locking funds away in other countries, exploiting the flexibility                            dignity of Afghanistan in the eyes of the rest of the world.33
afforded to it by the ‘Western democratic system.’30

At one point, the Taliban even cites a report from the Economist
Intelligence Unit, which placed the Afghan government near the
top of its list of the world’s worst governments.31 Specifically, it is
quoted as saying, ‘The Ashraf Ghani-led Kabul administration is a
corrupt, incompetent, and illegitimate government. This adminis-
tration does not lack only legitimacy in the country, but even it is
globally recognized a corrupt regime.32’

29 ‘An Islamic or Western system?’ Haqiqat, January/February 2021, p. 38-39;
   ‘What do public protests and strikes indicate,’ Al Emarah, 21 February 2021.
30 Ibid.
31 ‘The Kabul administration has lost its international credibility,’ Haqiqat,
    January/February 2021.e.
32 Ibid.                                                                                          33 ‘Breaking the Doha deal is the US digging its own grave,’ Srak, January 2021, p. 1.

© 2021 The Global Strategy Network      Taliban Framing of the Peace Process 15 February – 10 March 2021                                                                                   25
Restoring Peace & Building Social Cohesion
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