THE DAILY Date: 21 August 2020

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THE DAILY Date: 21 August 2020
THE DAILY
Date: 21 August 2020
THE DAILY Date: 21 August 2020
The Daily Viewpoint

                                                             Markets could open up following positive Asian markets and US
DOMESTIC INDICES                                             indices that closed mildly in the positive on Thursday …
                                                             Indian markets could open up following positive Asian markets
                       Close       Points       % Change
                                                             today and US indices that closed mildly in the positive on
          SENSEX       38220        -394          -1.02      Thursday.
          NIFTY        11312        -96           -0.84
                                                             U.S. stock-market benchmarks booked gains on Thursday and the
         MIDCAP        14869        128            0.87
                                                             Nasdaq closed at a record high, as investors rushed to large-
        SMALL CAP      14422        103            0.72      capitalization technology and e-commerce shares for safety, after
                                                             a pair of economic reports set off concerns about the broader
SECTORAL INDICES                                             U.S. economy’s tenuous recovery from the coronavirus epidemic.
                                                             A rally in technology-related sectors, including communication
                         Close       Points      % Change
                                                             services and consumer discretionary, led the charge after U.S.
           POWER         1695         67            4.10     weekly jobless benefit claims data popped back above 1 million in
           METAL         9233         86            0.94     the week ended Aug. 15, rising to 1.106 million on a seasonally
          OIL & GAS     13402         75            0.57     adjusted basis. A more optimistic sign of the labor market
           REALTY        1745           7          0.39      recovery, however, came from continuing claims, which fell to
          Healthcare    19089          28          0.15      14.844 million from 15.480 million.
              CD        22953           6          0.03
                                                             Separately, the Philadelphia Fed index, a reading of business
              CG        14061         -23          -0.16
                                                             conditions in the Philadelphia area, fell to 17.2 in August from
              IT        18311         -56          -0.30     24.1 in July, which was followed by a report on leading economic
            AUTO        17850         -68          -0.38     indicators from the Conference Board showing only marginal
            TECK         8824         -47          -0.53     improvement.
           Finance       5115         -64          -1.24
           BANKEX       24960        -345          -1.36     Meanwhile, Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman Gao Feng in
                                                             Beijing on Thursday confirmed plans to talk with U.S.
                                                             counterparts to review progress on a trade deal, Reuters
BSE 200 GAINERS/LOSERS                                       reported.
          GAINERS        %          LOSERS             %
                                                             The ‘Buffett Indicator’ as it’s called in Wall Street circles — which
            NHPC       12.17     MUTHOOTFIN          -5.42   takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market)
         ADANITRANS    10.00     MOTHERSUMI          -4.52   and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is at its highest level since
         TATAPOWER      8.37       HINDZINC          -3.54   before the internet bubble crash in 2000. Currently, the ratio of
           SUNTV        7.71       ICICIPRULI        -3.27   1.7 is some 70% above its historical average of one.
           FRETAIL      7.22     AJANTPHARM          -3.01
                                                             The Indian Government is planning to sell part of its stake in
                                                             Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corp Ltd. in the current
  ADVANCE/DECLINES                                           fiscal, and has invited bids from merchant bankers for managing
                                                             the sale process. The government currently holds 87.40% stake in
                        BSE           %                      IRCTC. To meet SEBI's public holding norm, the government has
        ADVANCES       1595           54                     to lower its stake in the company to 75%.
         DECLINES      1169           40
                                                             The National Stock Exchange (NSE) on August 20 has decided to
        UNCHANGED       169            6                     include SBI Life Insurance Company and Divi's Laboratories in the
                                                             Nifty50. It will remove Bharti Infratel and Zee Entertainment
INSTITUTIONAL ACTIVITY                                       Enterprises (ZEE) from the benchmark index.

 Rs Cr      20/08/20    19/08/20           August Total      Asia Pacific stocks edged higher in Friday morning trade following
                                                             the release of mixed U.S. economic data overnight.
  FII         -268        459              12326 (prov.)
  MF          -672        -97              -7980 (prov.)

  Page 2
The Daily Viewpoint

GLOBAL INDICES                                                   Indian benchmark indices closed lower on Aug 20 after weak
                                                                 Asian cues subdued local sentiments post the release of US Fed
                          Close          Points       % Chg      minutes on Wednesday. Nifty closed 96 points, or 0.84 percent,
                                                                 down at 11,312.20.
   DOW JONES            27740             46.85        0.17
    S & P 500            3386             10.66        0.32
                                                                 Nifty fell with a down gap on Thursday and closed near intraday
    NASDAQ              11265            118.49        1.06      lows. Post a higher opening on Friday, trends in Asian and
      FTSE               6013             -98.64       -1.61     European markets would dictate its move during the day.
       CAC               4911             -65.99       -1.33
       DAX              12830            -147.33       -1.14     Key Index Change Update Effective September 25th.
    NIKKEI 225          22962             81.38        0.36      Nifty 50 Index
 SHANGHAI COMP.          3381             16.67        0.50      Inclusions: Divi’s Labs, SBI Life Insurance.
   HANG SENG            24987            195.11        0.79      Exclusions: Bharti Infratel, Zee Entertainment.
    BOVESPA            101468            614.15        0.61
                                                                 Nifty Next 50 Index
EXCHANGE RATES                                                   Inclusions: Adani Green Energy, Alkem Laboratories, Bharti
                                                                 Infratel, LT Infotech, Tata Consumer Products.
                                                                 Exclusions: Divi's Labs, NHPC, Page Industries, SBI Life
                               Value                 % Change    Insurance, Shriram Transport Finance.
      USD/INR                     75.0                 0.20
     EURO/USD                  1.187                   0.05      Nifty 100 Index
     USD/GBP
                                                                 Inclusions: Adani Green Energy, Alkem Laboratories, Larsen &
                               1.323                   0.11
                                                                 Toubro Infotech, Tata Consumer Products.
      USD/JPY                  105.7                  -0.11      Exclusions: NHPC, Page Industries, Shriram Transport Finance,
                                                                 Zee Entertainment Enterprises.
 COMMODITIES
                                                                 RBL Bank to Raise $209 Million With Preference Share Sale
                                                                 RBL Bank Ltd. plans to raise 15.66 billion rupees ($209 million)
                                          Value          %       by issuing shares to five investors, including Maple II BV, ICICI
            Gold ($ / Oz)                 1954.0        0.39     Prudential Life Insurance Co. and CDC Group Plc. The bank’s
           Silver ($ / Oz)                   27.4       1.04     board approved the issuance of about 88.5 million preferential
          Crude Oil Futures                  42.9       0.21
                                                                 shares at 177 rupees a share.
      Brent Oil ($ / Barrel)                 45.1       0.36
                                                                 Maple II BV, which is indirectly owned by funds affiliated to
                                                                 Baring Private Equity Asia, will subscribe to 56.4 million shares
  BOND YIELD                                                     and hold 9.45% stake in the bank after the offering, according
                                                                 to the filing. Other investors include Gaja Capital Fund and its
                                    Value %           Chg bps    affiliate Gaja Trustee Co. Ltd.

    IND10 Yr Bond Yield                  6               0       GMM Pfaudler to acquire controlling stake in parent group
                                                                 GMM Pfaudler will be acquiring a majority stake in the global
      ADR                                                        business of its parent Pfaudler Group for $27.4 million from
                                                                 private equity firm Deutsche Beteiligungs AG Fund VI (DBAG),
                                          Value $            %   the company said in a regulatory filing.
          Dr Reddys Labs                     59.65       0.08
                                                                 The company will acquire 34.4% of the Pfaudler Group by itself
             HDFC Bank                       47.72       1.12
                                                                 and another 19.6% through its wholly-owned subsidiary Mavag
             ICICI Bank                      10.05       0.00    AG. Additionally, the Patel family, the promoters of GMM
            Tata Motors                      8.22        -1.32   Pfaudler will acquire an a 26% stake in the Pfaudler Group.
               Wipro                         4.24        -0.70   DBAG will continue to retain the balance 20% stake.
            Vedanta Ltd                      6.95        2.06
             INFOSYS                         12.82       0.16

 Page 3
The Daily Viewpoint

Commercial vehicle makers to incur Rs 6,000 crore net loss this fiscal: Report
Commercial vehicle manufacturers are expected to incur a massive net loss to the tune of Rs 6,000 crore in the current
financial year, with the volume likely to touch its lowest point in a decade after two consecutive years of high de-growth,
Ratings agency Crisil said on Thursday. In the April-June period of financial year 2021, as per data, the total CV
(commercial vehicle) sale in the country stood at 31,636, a decline of 85 per cent year-on-year as the country remained
in the Coronavirus-induced lockdown for most part of the June quarter. A 30 per cent decline in sales volume on an
already weak base would lead to a nearly six-fold increase in a net loss to Rs 6,000 crore for commercial vehicle (CV)
makers this fiscal, Crisil Ratings said in the release.

Banks sanction over Rs 1 lakh cr concessional loans to Kisan Credit Card holders
The Finance Ministry on Thursday said banks have sanctioned over Rs 1 lakh crore concessional loans to Kisan Credit
Card (KCC) holders to help farmers meet financial requirements during the COVID-19 crisis. As on August 17, 1.22 crore
KCCs have been sanctioned with the credit limit of Rs 1,02,065 crore, and this will go a long way in reviving the rural
economy and accelerating agricultural growth, the ministry said in a statement. This reflects an increase of Rs 12,255
crore, over Rs 89,810 crore sanctioned to 1.1 crore KCC holders as on July 24.

Malaysia's Axiata exits Vodafone Idea, latest foreign investor to leave India
Axiata Group Berhad has sold its residual stake in Vodafone Idea (VIL) and exited India’s telecom sector, having taken a
substantial hit on its investments after a high-profile entry more than a decade ago. The Malaysian telco's exit leaves
only SingTel and Vodafone Group from among the old-time foreign investors in the debt-laden sector.

GAIL sees gas sales returning to pre-COVID-19 levels by quarter end
GAIL India Ltd sees its gas demand returning to pre-COVID-19 levels by the end of the current quarter as the expansion
of the city gas network will offset shrinking consumption.

Sheela Foam Q1FY21 result update
Revenue of the company posted degrowth by 48% y-o-y to Rs.268.97 cr. The net profit of the company has posted a
degrowth of 70% y-o-y to Rs.11.80 cr from Rs.38.72 cr in the same quarter previous year. The Average per kg. price of
TDI was Rs. 124/- in Q1FY21, Rs. 122/- in Q4FY20 and Rs. 154/- in Q1FY20. The Company sold 1.85 lac of Mattress during
Q1FY21 against sales of 5.62 lac of Mattress in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

The Revenue from Indian operations on a standalone basis was Rs. 127 cr compared to Rs. 436 cr of Q1FY20. The EBITDA
for the quarter was Rs. 1 cr as compared to Rs. 53 cr of the corresponding quarter. The Net Profit (PAT) for Q1FY21 was
Rs. 2 cr as compared to Rs. 35 cr of the corresponding quarter.

Revenue from operations from Australia was Rs. 82 cr compared to Rs. 79 cr of Q1FY20. The EBITDA increased to Rs. 13
cr from Rs. 8 cr of corresponding quarter (Due to change in Accounting Standard in Australia) and the Net Profit (PAT)
was Rs. 4 cr which was at par with the PAT of corresponding quarter.

The Revenue from operations from Spain was Rs. 60 cr, with an EBITDA of Rs. 11 cr and Net Profit of Rs. 7 cr.

OIL India (Q1FY21), Results Preview
Oil India Ltd is likely to report 50.1 per cent YoY sales decline to Rs 1700 crore. Company could post de growth of 94.8
per cent YoY in net profit in Q1FY21. Domestic oil production could be down 8/1% YoY/QoQ at 0.7mmt and Gas
production likely to be down 8% YoY to 0.7bcm and realisation could fall 32/23% YoY/QoQ to USD 2.4/mmbtu. Update
on development of block Area 1 Rovuma, Mozambique and LNG project and update on the production from Baghjan
area will be key monitarable.

Page 4
The Daily Viewpoint

Government Plans Further Stake Sale In IRCTC, Invites Bids From Merchant Bankers By Sept. 10
The GoI intends to disinvest a part of the paid up equity capital of IRCTC out of its shareholding through 'Offer for Sale
method of shares by promoters through the stock exchanges. The merchant bankers will have to submit their bids by
Sept. 10. The government currently holds 87.40% stake in IRCTC. To meet SEBI's public holding norm, the government
has to lower its stake in the company to 75%.

Important news/developments to influence markets
 Stock Investments by foreigners in Japan increased by 371 billion yen in the week ending August 15 of 2020.

 Germany's producer prices decreased by 1.7 percent year-on-year in July 2020, the sixth consecutive month of
  declines. On a monthly basis, producer prices went up 0.2 percent, beating market consensus of a 0.1 percent rise.

 Eurozone's construction output growth sharply slowed in June, after a strong recovery in May. Construction output
  rose 4 percent from May, when it surged 29.4 percent, revised from 27.9 percent.

 The US Labor Department said that initial jobless claims for the week ended Aug. 15 came in at 1.106 million. Initial
  claims for the previous week were also revised higher by 8,000 to 971,000.

 The Philadelphia Federal Reserve’s manufacturing index fell 7 points to a seasonally adjusted reading of 17.2 in
  August, the regional bank said. This is the second straight decline in the index after it his 27.5 in June.

 The Conference Board LEI for the U.S. increased for the third consecutive month in July. The latest Conference Board
  Leading Economic Index (LEI) for July was up 1.4% from the June final figure of 103.0.

Page 5
The Daily Viewpoint
 Daily View on Nifty

     Nifty LTP             2-Day View               Reversal level               7-Day View               Reversal level

      11,312                  Bullish            Move below 11291                   Bullish            Move below 11183

                        Targets for 2 day:
                                                                           Target: 11536-11614
                             11397
  Nifty Intra Timeframe (30 min)                                  Nifty Daily Timeframe

Technical Observation:
Markets ended with losses on Thursday after a gap down opening. The Nifty finally lost 96.2 points or 0.84% to close at
11,312.2. Broad market indices like the BSE Mid Cap and Small Cap indices gained more, thereby out performing the
Sensex/Nifty. Market breadth was positive on the BSE/NSE.

Zooming into the Nifty 30 min charts, we observe that the Nifty has managed to close above the short term trend reversal levels
of 11291, thereby ensuring the short term uptrend is still intact. However, the fact that the Nifty was making lower tops during
the day after a gap down opening does not augur well. This increases the probability of a breakdown in the near term. We
nevertheless continue with our view of a short term uptrend till we are proved otherwise.

On the daily chart, technical indicators are now giving mixed signals. While the Nifty continues to trade above the 20-day SMA,
the 14-day RSI has declined sharply and cut its 9-day EMA from above, indicating a loss of momentum. The 20-day SMA
nevertheless continues to remain above the 50-day SMA, indicating that the intermediate trend remains positive (See the daily
chart above).

Given the intensity with which the markets have fallen on Thursday, the bulls would need to come back strongly to ensure the
uptrend continues. Traders will need to watch if the Nifty can cross the immediate highs of 11362 for the uptrend to resume. A
break below 11291 would reverse the current short term uptrend and possibly lead to a sharp sell off towards the next major
supports of 11216-11111.

Conclusion:
While the 1-2 day trend of the Nifty remains up, given the price action seen in the Nifty and the intensity with which the
markets have fallen on Thursday, the bulls would need to come back strongly to ensure the uptrend continues. Traders will
need to watch if the Nifty can hold above the crucial trend reversal levels of 11291 in the coming sessions; else the current
uptrend would reverse and we could be headed lower.

Retail
  PageResearch
       6
The Daily Viewpoint

      DATA & EVENTS

     OPEN SHORT-TERM TRADING CALLS

                                                                                                            UPSIDE
NO. RECO DT.        RECO       COMPANY NAME                   ENTRY              CMP        SL     TARGET            VALID TILL
                                                                                                              %
                             Bank Nifty 22000 Call
 1    20-Aug-20     Buy                                        303.7              315      210      430       37      31-Aug-20
                            Option (27th Aug Expiry)

 2    20-Aug-20     Buy    HPCL 220 Aug Call Option             5.75              5.6       4       9.1       63      27-Aug-20

 3     30-Jul-20    Buy               TCS                   2317.10-2247         2249      2213     2456      9       21-Aug-20

 4    17-Aug-20     Buy               IOC                     87.25-84            89        83      92.5      4       26-Aug-20

 5    19-Aug-20     Buy           Century Ply                134-136.45          138.15    132.8    144       4       21-Aug-20

 6    20-Aug-20     Buy            VIP Inds                  268-272.15          279.9     263.8    300       7       31-Aug-20
                               Shriram Transport
 7    20-Aug-20     Buy                                       684-660            688.9     653      725       5       31-Aug-20
                                    Finance
 8    20-Aug-20     Buy          Shoppers Stop               168-172.25          173.5     165.8    185       7       31-Aug-20
 9    20-Aug-20     Buy              BPCL                     410-418            411.8     405      429       4       31-Aug-20
10    20-Aug-20     Buy        Pidilite Industries             1454              1450      1410     1499      3       27-Aug-20

 NOTE: ALL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY TEAM ARE ON REAL TIME BASIS. A TRADING RECOMMENDATION
 SHOULD BE CONSIDERED CLOSED OR SQUARED OFF AS AND WHEN A STOPLOSS OR TARGET IS TOUCHED IN INTRADAY
 TRADING. DO NOT WAIT FOR TARGET ACHIEVED OR STOPLOSS MESSAGE TO CLOSE THE POSITIONS. REFER JAMMOON
 FOR TIMELY ENTRY AND EXIT FROM RECOMMENDATIONS.

     OPEN CASH POSITIONAL CALLS

                                                                                  TARGET TARGET TARGET      UPSIDE
NO. RECO DT.         RECO    COMPANY NAME ENTRY                CMP        SL                                         VALID TILL
                                                                                     1      2      3          %
 1      1-Jun-20     Buy       Avanti Feeds**        442.0    515.3      403.0     481.0   520.0   575.0      12      1-Dec-20
                                  Glenmark
 2      30-Jul-20    Buy                             445.9    490.5      415.0     483.0   530.0              8      28-Oct-20
                                  Pharma*
 3      4-Aug-20     Buy        Abbott India*    16009.0 16900.0 14800.0 17290.0 18890.0                      12      2-Nov-20

 4      5-Aug-20     Buy        Hatsun Agro*         707.4    751.3      640.0     779.0   849.0              13      3-Nov-20

 5      7-Aug-20     Buy        Federal Bank         54.2      54.4      51.0      58.0    61.0               12      5-Nov-20

 6     10-Aug-20     Buy       Orient Cement         70.9      71.5      63.0      79.0    85.0               19      8-Nov-20

 7     13-Aug-20     Buy      Karur Vysya Bank       35.0      36.5      31.0      39.3    45.0               23     11-Nov-20

 8     18-Aug-20     Buy     Brigade Enterprise 156.3         162.0      142.5     172.0   190.0              17     16-Nov-20

 9     18-Aug-20     Buy         PNC Infra*          145.0    156.5      132.0     160.0   175.0              12     16-Nov-20
                                Repco Home
 10    19-Aug-20     Buy                             136.0    146.5      131.0     145.0   150.0              2      17-Nov-20
                                 Finance*

     Page 7
The Daily Viewpoint

    DATA & EVENTS

 OPEN DERIVATIVE POSITIONAL CALLS

                                                                                TARGET   TARGET   UPSIDE    VALID
NO. RECO DT. RECO COMPANY NAME ENTRY                 CMP      SL     TARGET 1
                                                                                   2        3       %        TILL
                         Max Financial Aug                                                                  Till 27th
1     5-Aug-20    Buy                        550.4   537.1   515      595.0      620.0              15
                                Fut                                                                            Aug
                          ICICI Bank Aug                                                                    Till 27th
2     5-Aug-20    Buy                         360    367.0   345       375       390                6
                               Fut*                                                                            Aug
                                                                                                            Till 27th
3     14-Aug-20   Buy    M&M Fin Aug Fut     135.8   135.4   126       148         -       -        9
                                                                                                               Aug
                                                                                                            Till 27th
4     18-Aug-20   Buy      SRF Aug Fut       4226.2 4250.0   3990      4460      4610               5
                                                                                                               Aug
                         L&T Finance Sept                                                                   Till 24th
5     20-Aug-20   Buy                        69.25   69.2     65       74.5       78                8
                                Fut                                                                            Sep

    OPEN E-MARGIN POSITIONAL CALLS

                                                                                TARGET   TARGET   UPSIDE    VALID
NO. RECO DT. RECO COMPANY NAME ENTRY                 CMP      SL     TARGET 1
                                                                                   2        3       %        TILL
                          Motilal Oswal
1     23-Jul-20   Buy                        696.0   689.5   632.0    770.0      810.0     -        17     23-Oct-20
                          Financial Serv

2     4-Aug-20    Buy      Sanofi India      8171.0 8410.0 7480.0     8989.0    9600.0     -        14     4-Nov-20

                          Indian Energy
3     10-Aug-20   Buy                        192.8   188.9   175.0    212.0      235.0     -        24     10-Nov-20
                            Exchange

 OPEN DERIVATIVE POSITIONAL CALLS

                                                                                TARGET   TARGET   UPSIDE    VALID
NO. RECO DT. RECO COMPANY NAME ENTRY                 CMP      SL     TARGET 1
                                                                                   2        3       %        TILL
                           Amara Raja
                  Buy                        746.0   741.2   705       805                          9
                         Batteries Aug Fut                                                                  Till 27th
1      10-Aug
                                                                                                               Aug
                  Sell    Maruti Aug Fut     6617.8 6960.1   7025      6100                         12

*= 1st Target Achieved
**= 2nd Target Achieved

    Page 8
The Daily Viewpoint

QUARTERLY RESULTS ANNOUNCED

         COMPANY                         Q1FY21                     YoY (%)               QoQ (%)         Remarks

                                   Sales         NP
                                                             Sales            NP    Sales           NP
                                  (Rs Cr)      (Rs Cr)
                                                                                                            As Per
         Sheela Foam               269            12          -48             -70   -47             -63
                                                                                                          Estimates
                       PL: Profit to Loss, LP: Loss to Profit, LL: Loss to Loss

Page 9
The Daily Viewpoint

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