THE STATE OF ONLINE GROCERY RETAIL IN EUROPE - AN EXTENSIVE GUIDE FOR RETAILERS AND FMCG BRANDS ON KEY EGROCERY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS AND TRENDS ...

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THE STATE OF ONLINE GROCERY RETAIL IN EUROPE - AN EXTENSIVE GUIDE FOR RETAILERS AND FMCG BRANDS ON KEY EGROCERY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS AND TRENDS ...
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THE STATE
OF ONLINE
GROCERY
RETAIL IN
EUROPE
AN EXTENSIVE GUIDE FOR RETAILERS AND FMCG
BRANDS ON KEY EGROCERY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
AND TRENDS ACROSS EUROPE AND THE US

                                     RELEASED: JULY 8TH, 2015
Table of Contents

      Introduction...................................................................................        2
      Executive summary......................................................................                3
      Grocery retail at a digital tipping point ..................................                           5
      Egrocery: 4 trends that are shaping the industry .................                                     6
      Expert opinion: what’s next in egrocery? .............................                                10
      Country Focus................................................................................. 12
                The UK.................................................................................     13
                The Netherlands................................................................             19
                Germany...............................................................................      24
                France...................................................................................   29
                The US..................................................................................    34
      The emerging market: India.......................................................                     39
      Expert opinion: FMCG in ecommerce.......................................                              43
      Predicting the future of egrocery in Europe and the US ....... 45

                                                                                                                 1
Introduction

     Last year the research team at Syndy (formerly SyndicatePlus) showed
     that the global egrocery market was heating up fast. However, consumer
     penetration and online grocery sales were still at an early stage.

     Today, consumers in Europe and the US increasingly turn to online grocery
     stores for their shopping. The online channel is expected to grow to €80BN+
     by 2018, with consumers noticing the benefits online brings, like higher
     convenience. For retailers and suppliers the growing egrocery market offers
     many opportunities, but cracking the code still proves difficult.

     Our latest report - The State of Online Grocery Retail in Europe 2015 -
     has been written for every egrocery player: forward-thinking as well as
     conservative retailers and suppliers. Vast resources have been put to use to
     build the report, which is full of refreshing insights about today’s market.

     The report studies the four most developed egrocery markets in Europe as
     well as the US; the largest egrocey market in the world. It also looks at India;
     one of the fastest-growing, and potentially largest egrocery markets of the
     world. Last but not least, Syndy’s research team interviewed several industry
     experts and picked their brain about the market.

     We hope this study proves useful to retailers and suppliers as they prepare, or
     continue to build their online businesses.

     Feel free to contact us if you have any questions.

     Kind regards,
     Pieter van Herpen

     CEO Syndy

                                                                                        2
Data delivery, simplified.

Executive Summary

This report presents an extensive     of online giants like Amazon also
study of the online grocery           increased, not just in the US with
industry across the most advanced     AmazonFresh, but also in Europe
markets in Europe. It focuses on      (where consumers are limited to
the United Kingdom (UK), the          ordering Non-Food products only).
Netherlands, France and Germany,      Amazon has invested millions into
as well as the United States (US)     its online grocery business, and
and covers key market trends          traditional retailers, both large
and developments within the           and small, have decided to invest
competitive landscape. Moreover,      resources into their own online
the report includes a special read    offerings too.
about India, an emerging market
showing rapid growth in the online    2) ”THE LAST MILE” REMAINS THE
grocery domain triggered by high      BIGGEST CHALLENGE IN GROCERY
adoption of new technologies and      DELIVERY
innovation. Following extensive
research, this report identified      The expanding pick-up point
key developments in the egrocery      network in Europe was one of
market across 2014:                   the highlights of the year. For
                                      example, the Netherlands saw an
1) DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH IN             extraordinary +680% increase
WESTERN EUROPE AND THE US             in the number of pick-up points
                                      compared to the beginning of
The four European countries and       2013. Throughout 2014, most
the US each showed remarkable         traditional retailers moving online
double-digit growth of online         chose the pick-up point delivery
grocery sales last year. The Dutch    model for their roll-outs. At the
market grew fastest, with +55%        same time, established players
growth. The French market grew        continued to grow their pick-up
slowest, but still reached an         point networks, with the goal
impressive +25% growth. The           to expand their reach in less
German and the British markets        populated areas. For retailers, the
grew 38% and 26% respectively.        pick-up point model makes most
Penetration increased significantly   economic sense, yet consumers
across all countries. In 2014, 16%    prefer home delivery since
of European consumers bought          “convenience” is the key driver
groceries online, compared to         behind online grocery shopping.
13% in 2013. With market value        Retailers are therefore searching
and consumer adoption growing         for new ways to offer home
at accelerated rates, the egrocery    delivery at minimal costs, or even
market has achieved significant       for free. Membership schemes like
progress. This was driven by          Amazon Prime give consumers
the surging popularity of new         access to unlimited home delivery
business models and new players       in return for a fixed monthly
appearing on the horizon. The role    fee. These plans are growing in

                                                                                                    3
Executive Summary

popularity across consumers and          advance its online venture. Clearly
retailers.                               the partnership was beneficial
                                         to both parties; it allowed Ocado
In search of best practices, retailers   to create an additional stream of
are fine-tuning their grocery            revenue which enabled its first
delivery models. Too often they          year of profits. In the US, Whole
offer both home delivery and a           Foods partnered with Instacart
pick-up point network. The success       (grocery delivery startup) to learn
criteria for delivery models varies      from the startup’s mobile expertise
across countries and cities, with        and avoid costly logistical and
geographic conditions, population        platform developments. Following
densities and economical health          successful pilot schemes, the
driving decision-making. The most        partnership is now expanding
viable model will be a balance           across the US.
of economic feasibility and
consumer demand; a strategic mix         In further developments, research
of delivery models tailored to a         shows that online players - big and
market (a city or country). So far       small - increasingly target cities,
home delivery reigns in densely          instead of countries, for their
populated big cities, with high          rollouts. Both Amazon and Google
average purchasing power while           launched their online grocery
pick-up points do best in “spread        ventures in New York and San
territories”, where home delivery        Francisco. These online players are
is too costly for retailers.             targeting specific areas that meet
                                         the conditions for their business
3) NEW EFFICIENCIES THROUGH              models to work. Following
UNIQUE RETAILER PARTNERSHIPS             this trend, country’s egrocery
                                         ecosystems will vary across cities
Across 2014 competition became           that are densely or sparsely
increasingly intense, with both          populated.
traditional and pure online
players pushing innovations and
driving operational excellence.
Interestingly, some of the biggest
traditional retailers looked for
new ways to shortcut costly
IT developments. They did so
by outsourcing key business
capabilities to third parties. For
example, in the United Kingdom
Morrisons (traditional retailer)
partnered with Ocado (pure
player) to benefit from their 15
years of ecommerce and online
distribution experience, and so

                                                                                              4
Grocery retail at a digital
tipping point
The grocery industry comprises one of             The global egrocery market is growing
the largest segments in global retail, in         fast, with a value of €80 billion expected
which established international players           by 20186. Today, grocery retailers that are
lead the way with significant market share.       successfully selling their products online
Nonetheless, the state of the industry            are creating immense value, especially
is changing rapidly. Traditional grocery          compared to retailers that are not (yet)
retailers must deal with increasing price         online. Consumers that are happily
wars, reducing margins and growing                ordering their groceries online will likely
consumer appetite for organic health food.        have a preferred store, due to the time
Simultaneously, digital trends are forcing        spent creating a profile, searching for
retailers to adapt their business models. In      products and adding billing information.
2014, the global grocery market was valued        This represents a huge threat to grocery
at € 3 trillion (Figure 1), making it 3x larger   retailers that have not yet emerged online,
than the global apparel industry1. In 2014,       - but have the ambition to do so. Winning
the grocery market in Western Europe was          over the hearts of consumers who already
valued at €936 billion, with the UK alone         have a preferred online store will be a
representing 55% of total retail sales2.          challenging task.
                                                                                                1
                                                                                                  Data Monitor (2014)
The grocery industry is reaching a digital                                                      2
                                                                                                  IGD (2014)
                                                                                                3
                                                                                                  ​Fast Moving Consumer
tipping point, with much of its growth                                                          Goods (2014)
expected to come from online. In fact,                                                          4
                                                                                                   Dunhumby (2014)
some FMCG3 brands are already claiming
                                                                                                5
                                                                                                   Nielsen (2014)
                                                                                                Euromonitor
20-50% of sales from online purchases4. A                                                       International (2014)
combination of factors is responsible for                                                       6
                                                                                                   ​BCG (2013)
this growth; expanding online offerings,
new technologies, increased efficiencies
and consumer preferences for convenience
are among the most important ones5.

Figure 1: GROCERY RETAIL MARKET SIZES (2014)                                                    Figure 1

                                                                                                Sources: Plunkett
                                                                                                Research (2015), GIA
                                                                                                (2012), PlanetRetail
                                                                                                (2013), RetailMeNot-
                                                                                                Centre for Retail
                                                                                                Research, Forrester

       3,000
                                                                                                Research.

         billion €                  936
                                    billion €

          Global                Western Europe

                                                                                                                          5
Egrocery: 4 trends that are
shaping the industry

TREND 1: BUSINESS MODEL                           photography, videos and interactive digital
                                                  content, like recipes, take the consumer on
DIVERSITY EXPANDS IN                              a richer grocery shopping journey. In-store
EUROPE                                            retailers can connect with consumers using
                                                  mobile. For example, certain retailer apps
As the egrocery market develops and               allow consumers to browse all products
expands the diversity of business models          while shopping or creating shopping lists
also increases. Business models that proved       on the go. The challenge lies in satisfying
successful in countries like the US and the       shoppers’ needs wherever and whenever
UK are now being replicated and adopted           they want to shop, and understanding their
globally. Traditional retailers are competing     motivations, which can be divided into
with pure online players and established          convenience and experience seeking. There
global ecommerce companies are entering           is no longer a linear purchase journey, as
the online grocery domain. As a result, the       consumers are constantly switching between
market includes a rich diversity of players,      channels and devices and expect nothing less
each with different capabilities to compete       than a seamless shopping experience.
within the market. Table 1 shows an overview
of the different types of players competing
in the egrocery field.
                                                  TREND 3: MOBILE
                                                  TRANSACTIONS GAIN
TREND 2: OMNI-CHANNEL                             MOMENTUM, ACCOUNTING
REMOVES BOUNDARIES AND                            FOR 1 IN 5 ONLINE GROCERY
TIME-FRAMES IN GROCERY                            ORDERS
RETAILING                                         The omni-channel revolution involves the
                                                  integration of the mobile channel, in which
To help them shop smarter, consumers draw
                                                  the number of transactions is increasing day-
information from more channels and devices
                                                  by-day. Today, 3 out of 10 online transactions
than ever before. In response retailers are
                                                  in Europe are completed via a mobile
creating new touch-points to feed growing
                                                  device7. It is estimated that global mobile
consumer appetite for shopper information.
                                                  purchases will be worth €100 billion in
The omni-channel revolution underway aims
                                                  20158, equivalent to 8% of total ecommerce
to remove boundaries and time-frames from
                                                  sales. In online grocery, an average of 20-
the shopping experience. Companies are
                                                  35% of orders come from mobile9. Ocado
innovating to make the online-offline barrier
                                                  exceeds this average, with its mobile orders     7
                                                                                                       Adyen, 2015
as seamless as possible; from drone delivery                                                       8
                                                                                                       Dyn, 2014
                                                  corresponding to 45% of the total amount10.
and physical pick-up points in universities, to
                                                  Because of this trend, many companies have
the Amazon Dash; a button consumers push
                                                  decided to enhance mobile user experience
to order certain products, and receive them
                                                  and focused their resources on mobile apps
at their door.
                                                  and websites. There is no doubt that a sound
                                                  understanding of how consumers use mobile
The omni-channel trend is very much
                                                  devices in their purchasing journey will
present in grocery shopping. In the online
                                                  provide retailers with a significant advantage
channel, rich product information, product
                                                  when fine-tuning their online offerings.

                                                                                                                     6
Egrocery: 4 trends shaping the industry

Table 1: TYPES OF ONLINE GROCERY MARKET PLAYERS

CATEGORY             TYPE

Traditional          RETAILER WITH                RETAILER IN A
                     A DEDICATED                  PARTNERSHIP WITH
                     ECOMMERCE                    ANOTHER PARTY
                     BUSINESS UNIT

                     • Develops both:             • Outsources
                     brick-and-mortar             its ecommerce
                     and ecommerce                operations.
                     businesses.                  • Do not need to invest
                     • Focuses on the             in infrastrcuture and
                     omnichannel offering.        capabilities.

                     Examples:                    Examples:
                     Tesco (UK),                  Morrisons & Ocado
                     Walmart (US),                (UK),
                     Albert Heijn (NL).           Whole Foods &
                                                  Instacart (US).

Online-Only          PURE ONLINE                  CONCIERGE SERVICE             PRODUCER                     NICHE / CATEGORY
                     PLAYER                                                                                  SPECIALIST

                     • Sells products online-     • Leverages a network         • Delivers straight          • Focuses on one
                     only.                        of personal shoppers          from the suppliers.          specific product
                     • Dedicates all              to deliver groceries          • Responds to the            category or segment.
                     resources and                from different stores.        organic and healthy          • Offers unique
                     capabilities to the          • Highly flexible due to      trend.                       assortment.
                     online channel.              no inventories.

                     Examples:                    Examples:                     Examples:                    Examples:
                     Ocado (UK),                  Instacart (US),               FreshDirect (US),            HelloFresh (EU),
                     Peapod (US).                 Shopwings (DE).               Abel & Cole (UK).            Blue Apron (US).

Category             GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY, LOGISTICS OR ECOMMERCE COMPANY

Expansion            • Have global presence and state of the art capabilities in IT, logistics, ecommerce and/or other
                     areas.
                     • Expands its reach into online grocery, using existing capabilites and networks.

                     Example Technology:
                     Google - Google Express (US),

                     Example Ecommerce:
                     Amazon - AmazonFresh (US),

                     Example Logistics:
                     DHL - Allyouneed Fresh (DE).

                    Syndy Model.
                    Sources: Coca Cola Retailing Research Council (2014), GMA, BCG, Google, IRI (2014), BMO Capital Markets (2015).
                                                                                                                                                   7
Egrocery: 4 trends shaping the industry

TREND 4: ​DELIVERY MODEL
OPTIMISATION CONTINUES IN
ONLINE GROCERY RETAIL
Most online grocery retailers offer two
options for consumers to receive their
groceries: home delivery and pick-up
points. Regarding home delivery, 25% of
the world’s grocery shoppers claimed to
have used this service, and 55% claimed to
want to try it11. However, for retailers the
model often makes no economic sense due
to low population densities, lack of scale,
complicated logistics required for fresh
produce, or unwillingness of consumers to
pay extra for delivery. On the other hand,
pick-up points are more viable in terms of
operational costs and initial investments.
As a result, grocery retailers are working
hard to polish their distribution processes
and possess a profitable mix of offerings.
Table 2 shows the advantages and
disadvantages of the delivery models and
several use cases.

                                               9
                                                   Ocado (2014)
                                               10
                                                   MyWebGrocer (2014)
                                               11
                                                   Nielsen (2014)

                                                                                   8
Egrocery: Four trends shaping the industry

Table 2: DELIVERY MODELS IN EGROCERY

                         PROS                                 CONS                               TYPICAL / IDEAL ADOPTER

  In Store Pick-up       • Small initial investments;         • Double workload for              Brick-and-mortar retailers.
                         • No duplicate stock-keeping;        replenishement;                    E.g. WalMart (US).
  points                 • Low floor space requirement;       • Challenging data
                         • Flexible staff planning.           synchronisation;
                                                              • Faster out of stocks;
                                                              • In store congestion.

  Stand alone            • Flexible (longer business          • High initial investments;        Brick-and-mortar retailers.
                         hours and more locations);           • Lower consumer willingness       E.g. Auchan (FR).
  Pick-up points         • Convenient for consumers;          to use compared to home
                         • Increases the number of            delivery;
                         touch-points with consumers.         • Time intensive;
                                                              • Involvement of more
                                                              stakeholders.

  Home delivery          • Preferred by consumers.            • Very high initial investments;   Brick-and-mortar retailers,
                                                              • High maintanance costs;          Pure online players.
                                                              • Requires scale of operations.    E.g. Albert Heijn (NL); Ocado
                                                                                                 (UK).

  Home delivery          • Small initial investments;         • Complex stock monitoring;     Brick-and-mortar retailers.
                         • Flexible - demand driven;          • In store congestion;          E.g. WholeFoods and Instacart
  (done by a 3rd                                              • Dependance on third parties; (US).
                         • No floor space requirement.
  party)                                                      • Limited process optimisation.

                        Sources: FMI & GMA (2014), Oliver Wyman (2014)
                                                                                                                                               9
EXPERT OPINION

What’s next in egrocery?
Retail expert Christian van Someren discusses the state of
online grocery in Europe, and what can be expected in the
near future as the market continues to expand.

                            1. IT IS PREDICTED THAT ECOMMERCE             from existing stores. As the online market
                            WILL ACCOUNT FOR NEARLY HALF OF THE           grows, you see existing players having in-
                            TOTAL FMCG GROWTH IN THE NEXT FIVE            store pick-up, dark stores, and dedicated
                            YEARS. HOW DO YOU FORESEE THE ONLINE          ecommerce warehouses. I believe all of
                            CHANNEL EVOLVING?                             them will continue to exist.

                          It will further accelerate - globally             3. CAN THE PICK­- UP POINTS MODEL BE
                          there are new players stepping into the           SUCCESSFUL IN COUNTRIES LIKE THE
                          market. Grocery is the biggest market in          NETHERLANDS?
    Christian van         consumer spending, and ecommerce is still
     Someren              relatively small when compared to total         I think people are more interested in
                          grocery sales. I think that with players        home delivery. We see it in more mature
   Christian founded      like Amazon being active in this market,        markets. Even in France where the pick-up
     the first online     online grocery will accelerate very fast in     point concept was invented, people who
  supermarket in the      the upcoming years. The market will be          have tried the delivery of goods to their
Netherlands - Truus.nl.   divided between those who seek comfort          homes prefer this model by far. As for the
  He has also worked      and those who seek a richer experience.         Dutch market, I think it is good for retailers
 for one of the largest   Instacart’s shoppers seek comfort, having       to develop the pick-up point networks
  FMCG companies in       somebody else going to the store and            because it is a low-cost model enabling
  the world - Procter     getting groceries for them. Some other          retailers to sell groceries online. But if you
and Gamble. Currently,    people seek the experience, and are willing     want to be a winner, you have to solve
   Christian advises      to engage more with food. Today, people         home delivery.
     companies on         who buy online mainly do so to stock their
managing their digital    pantries. For example, in the UK people do        4. WILL THE MEGA TREND OF MOBILE
    transformation.       online grocery shopping on average 12-13          COMMERCE AFFECT THE ONLINE GROCERY
                          times a year. This frequency will increase as     RETAIL MARKETPLACE? HOW CAN PLAYERS
                          more people buy fresh products online.            RESPOND?

                            2. ONLINE GROCERY RETAILERS EMPLOY            Yes for sure, and it starts with supplying
                            DIFFERENT OPERATIONAL MODELS, SUCH            the right product content on mobile
                            AS DELIVERY FROM STORES, DARK STORES,         devices. I believe that a lot of parties
                            DEDICATED WAREHOUSES ETC., TO SERVE           are struggling with that. Online grocery
                            ONLINE CONSUMERS. WILL ALL OF THESE           orders are very large in terms of number
                            MODELS CONTINUE OR WILL THERE BE A            of items in a basket, and people take a lot
                            CONVERGENCE?                                  of time to fill in their digital baskets. It
                                                                          would be therefore more convenient for
                          It depends on geography and growth of           consumers to put items on their mobile
                          the market. If a supermarket is starting        devices at the moment when the problem
                          in the online grocery retail business, it is    comes up. So they empty their last bottle
                          by far most efficient to deliver the goods      of milk, and they can immediately put it on

                                                                                                                           10
What is next egrocery?

“RETAILERS NEED THE BEST PRODUCT INFORMATION
AVAILABLE, WHICH I THINK SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR THIS
CALENDAR YEAR.”

      their shopping list. A good integration with        7. MORRISONS’ PARTNERSHIP WITH OCADO
      mobile would solve a lot of issues that we          IS AN EXAMPLE OF HOW TRADITIONAL
      are facing nowadays with online shopping.           RETAILERS CAN OUTSOURCE THEIR ONLINE
                                                          OPERATIONS. DO YOU FORESEE SIMILAR
        5. ARE THERE ANY INNOVATIONS WE                   PRACTICES BECOMING MORE PREVALENT IN
        CAN EXPECT IN ONLINE PRODUCT                      THE NEAR FUTURE?
        REPRESENTATION?
                                                        Ocado invested around 400 million to get
      I think product representation will change        where it is now. The company is under
      a little. We might go to 360° views of            pressure for growth - and for that it needs
      products, virtual reality etc. But I think        more volume. On the other hand, there are
      that the biggest innovation will come from        some retailers that cannot make or are not
      links between products. With the growth           willing to make such investments, but want
      of ecommerce, the number of products              to learn and serve their customers online
      increases and it becomes more difficult for       as well. So I think this is quite a natural
      people to find the products they need. By         movement for both sides. Yet there are
      linking products, people can browse more          certain risks as well. Whose customer is it
      easily through product sets. But in order         in the end? That is the big question. For
      to focus on more advanced innovations,            example, Morrisons started providing a lot
      connections, and techniques, we need the          of information about their customers and
      basics. Retailers need the best product           delivering it to Ocado. In the longer term
      information available, which I think should       if people are less loyal, and Ocado has all
      be the focus for this calendar year. The          these customers in their database, sooner
      natural next step is building product             or later it can influence customers to order
      relations.                                        directly from Ocado. In these kinds of
                                                        collaborations, there are always tensions.
        6. CAN TRADITIONAL GROCERY RETAILERS            I understand that this is beneficial for
        COMPETE ONLINE WITH ALL THESE                   both parties now, but in the long term it is
        INNOVATIVE COMPANIES ENTERING THE               interesting to know: What will happen?
        MARKET?
                                                          8. AMAZON HAS RECENTLY ANNOUNCED ITS
      If traditional retailers are not able to            PLANS TO EXPAND THROUGHOUT EUROPE.
      develop an online formula on time, I believe        HOW DO YOU SEE CURRENT PLAYERS
      they will have a very big problem. A couple         SURVIVING THIS AND ACTUALLY BECOMING
      of retailers are already missing out. There         PROFITABLE IN ONLINE GROCERY RETAIL?
      will also be a shake-up in the upcoming
      years: Instacart is completely changing           There is a fundamental difference between
      the way in which people are shopping for          Amazon and other players, since Amazon
      groceries online since it is making use of an     is always around 0% profitability, purely
      existing channel. Supermarkets will still exist   focusing on growth. It is very difficult to
      online, but I believe the power will shift to     compete with Amazon, yet players have to
      innovative players like Instacart. We see it in   be more willing to invest and take more risks
      a couple of other retail markets; the growth      because the risk of doing nothing, or doing
      of the online channel has had a big influence     too little, is way bigger. But competition will
      on how the market landscape looks. This will      be fierce, that is for sure.
      happen with grocery retailing as well.
                                                                                                                           11
Country
               Focus
                       THE NETHERLANDS p.19

         THE UK p.13                          GERMANY p.24

                                                  FRANCE p.29

THE US p.34

                                                             12
The UK

UK’S ECONOMY AND ECOMMERCE MARKET                prices to drop by 2% in a year, the highest      Figure 2: COUNTRY
                                                 drop in the market since 2006.15 Despite         FACTS
The UK is Europe’s third-biggest economy         these losses, Tesco still leads the way with
with a GDP of £1.8 trillion (2014). It is also   a 29% market share, followed by Asda                  UK’s GDP:
the third-most attractive country for            controlling 17% of the market.
ecommerce in the world, after the US and
                                                                                                         1.8
                                                                                                       trillion £
China12, and ranked first in Europe in terms     The offline wars have quickly transformed
of ecommerce revenues (£45.0 billion in          the online market into the new competitive

Figure 3 : Internet and online shopping penetration in the UK

                                                                                                  No. of online shoppers:
                                                                                                  50.3 million.
                                                                                                  No. of Internet
                                                                                                  users: 57.3 million
                                                                                                   Population:
                                                                                                   63.7 million
  10%                                      50%                                             100%

2014). With 79% of the British population        arena and as a result, most of the industry’s    Figure 2, 3
shopping online, ecommerce is the fastest        players are investing heavily to establish       Source: Eurostat (2014);
growing sales channel in the country. It is      their positions online. In fact, the online      CIA world Factbook
expected to more than double by 2019.13          grocery channel in the UK is the most            (2014); Statista &
                                                                                                  IMF (2014); ITU, UN
Consequently, the UK is the European             developed in Europe, accounting for ca.          population division,
benchmark for ecommerce in many                  4.4% of total grocery purchases - worth          World Bank, (2014);
                                                                                                  Centre for Retail
different industries.                            £7.7 billion.16 The UK’s online grocery          Research (2014).
                                                 industry also shows incredible potential,
UK’S GROCERY MARKET: DISCOUNTERS GAIN            and is expected to represent 6.3% of the
MARKET SHARE WHILE ONLINE KEEPS ON               total grocery market by 2016.17
GROWING
                                                 THE BIG FOUR FOCUS ONLINE
The UK’s grocery market has been
                                                                                                  12
                                                                                                     A.T. Kearney (2015)
                                                                                                  13
                                                                                                     IGD (2014)
embroiled in a price war for a long time.        Price and retail space wars have made the        14
                                                                                                     Kantar Worldpanel
Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons,          brick-and-mortar market progressively            (2014)
                                                                                                  15
                                                                                                     The Telegraph (2015)
also known as “The Big Four”, have been          more hostile. As a result, the UK’s market       16
                                                                                                     IGD (2014)
forced to cut prices in efforts to compete       leaders were looking for ways to create          17
                                                                                                     IGD (2014)
with discounter chains like Aldi and Lidl.       extra value for consumers. The online
Last year brought bad news for The Big           channel was offering a wealth of untapped
Four, which lost significant market share        opportunities. This movement towards
(from 80% in 2013 down to 72.8% in 201414)       online caused a significant change in 2014.
to the discounters. Price wars also caused

                                                                                                                             13
The UK

Let’s start with the market leader, Tesco,      The program will now reward consumers
which announced ‘digital’ as the heart of       with personal discounts and coupons that
their new company strategy. Controlling         they can redeem through the mobile app.19
38% of the online market, the company is        Another effort to make online and offline
at the forefront of innovation in every area,   boundaries disappear is its 3D virtual store,
aiming for omnichannel leadership (see          by which Tesco aims to integrate the online
next section).                                  experience with the classic in-store look
                                                and feel (Image 1).20
Asda, with a 15% of the online grocery
market share, announced a plan to almost
triple online sales to €3.8 billion by
                                                 Table 3: UK’S ECOMMERCE AND EGROCERY
2018. Aggressively expanding its pick-           FIGURES (2014)
up point network, Asda plans to roll out
                                                 Ecommerce market size*                45.0
to 1,000 locations, and make same-day
                                                 (Billion £)
procurement the norm.

Sainsbury’s, who also has 15% of the             Ecommerce market as a % of            13.5
                                                 the total retail market                        Table 3
egrocery market, has optimised its online
infrastructure building new dark stores,
                                                 Grocery retail market size           174.5     Source: Retailmenot
opening new pick-up points and expanding                                                        (2014); Centre for
home delivery reach. With a current              (Billion £)                                    Retail Research
two-year plan, Sainsbury’s aims to put                                                          (2014); Eurostat,
                                                 Online grocery retail market            7.7    (2015); IGD (2013 &
personalisation at the center of its online
                                                                                                2014).
experience.                                      size
                                                 (Billion £)                                    * Sales of goods,
Morrisons signed a 25-year agreement                                                            excluding fuel and
                                                                                                sales of prepared
with Ocado to outsource its online               Online grocery retail market as         4.4    food in cafes and
operations through Ocado’s logistics             a % of the total grocery retail                restaurants. Tickets,
network. Morrisons.com launched in               market                                         holidays, gambling
January 2014, closing the year with a 2.6%                                                      and insurance are
egrocery market share.                                                                          also excluded.
                                                 Penetration of online                 25.0
                                                 grocery shopping (% of total
TESCO, THE DIGITAL INNOVATOR
                                                 population)

With a plan to become the master of
omnichannel experience, the retail giant
has announced that every arm of its             ALDI TO BEGIN TESTS ONLINE
business will feature a digital aspect. In
fact, it is cutting back on physical store      In the beginning of 2015, announcements
openings to focus on the online channel.        in the German media hinted that one of
                                                                                                18
                                                                                                   IGD (2014)
In an attempt to improve the omnichannel        the German discounters, Aldi, was planning      19
                                                                                                   PSFK (2014)
experience for it shoppers, the company         to test the online grocery market in the        20
                                                                                                   Brick Meets Click
is expanding its pick-up point network and      UK. The retailer still had not entered          (2015), IGD (2015)

increasing capacities through dark stores.      the online market due to the channel’s
Tesco is also focusing on innovations           expensive operations, which clash with the
that will merge online and offline in a         discounter’s low-cost model. Nonetheless,
seamless experience.18 For example,             with the online market expanding at such a
Tesco’s digital clubcard, being trialled in     high rate and 25% of UK’s shoppers already
London, aims to completely personalise          doing their grocery shopping online, Aldi
consumer experience to increase loyalty.        is wary of losing out. Tests in the UK, a

                                                                                                                          14
The UK

Image 1 : TESCO’S 3D VIRTUAL STORE

                                       15
The UK

Figure 4: MARKET SHARES AND REVENUES OF GROCERY RETAILERS IN THE UK (2014)

                     50.1

           Retail
       revenue
     (Billion £)e
                               29.5   29.3

                                                   19.7

                                                          10.3       8.9
                                                                                8.4    6.1
                                                                                                  3.8   3.1             3.7
                                                                                                              0.9

          Total
                     29.1      16.9   16.8      11.3      5.9        5.1        4.8    3.5        2.2   1.8   0.5       2.1
       grocery
        market
      share (%)
                                                S

                                                                 SE
                               ’S

                                      A
                      O

                                                          VE

                                                                                       L

                                                                                                            D

                                                                                                      EN &

                                                                                                             *

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                                               N

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                                                                                                           O
                                      D

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                            RY

                                                                                                        AN
                    SC

                                                                                                     D LS
                                                                 O

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                                           O

                                                                                                     O S
                                    AS

                                                       TI

                                                                                      LI

                                                                                                         D

                                                                                                                    th
                                                                                                        T
                                                               TR
                                           IS
                           U
               TE

                                                                                                   EN BO

                                                                                                      CA
                                                     RA

                                                                                             EL

                                                                                                                    O
                          SB

                                          RR

                                                            AI

                                                                                           IC
                                                    PE

                                                                                                 EP M
                     IN

                                                          W
                                      O

                                                                                                D SY
                                                -O
                                      M
                    SA

                                               CO
                                           E

                                                                                                IN
                                          TH

                                                                                                                              Figure 4
mature ecommerce market, will determine                              infrastructure and operating capabilities to
                                                                                                                              Source: Kantar
if the discounter rolls out its online                               power third-party online retail enterprises.             Worldpanel (2014);
operations in other countries.21                                     This way, traditional brick-and-mortar                   Company Reports (2014).
                                                                     retailers can outsource the development                  e - Syndy’s estimate;
OCADO’S FIRST YEAR OF PROFITS                                        of their online operations and rapidly build             * Online-only player.
                                                                     scalable and profitable online businesses.
Ocado, the world’s largest pure online                               Ocado expects new partnerships with
grocery player, reported its first profitable                        international retailers to materialise in the
year in 2014. After declaring a loss of £12.5                        near future.23 In addition to the milestones
million in 2013, Ocado announced a profit                            achieved in 2014, Ocado promises to keep
of £7.3 million in 2014. The egrocer has                             on growing - now with 12% of the online
43,000 SKUs (Stock Key Units) in its range                           grocery market (0.5% total market). Ocado’s
and boasts a consumer base of 453,000                                agenda will undoubtedly influence the
active users with 183,000 weekly orders.                             way online grocery retail develops in the
Ocado’s mobile apps and algorithms                                   UK and, to a certain extent, the rest of the
epitomize digital innovation. The Scan &                             world.
Shop app lets shoppers add items to their
baskets by scanning barcodes. Soon, the                              HOME DELIVERY FOR GROCERIES, PICK-UP FOR
Apple Watch will allow online shoppers to                            NON-­FOOD
use voice recognition for it to automatically                                                                                 21
                                                                                                                                 Brick Meets Click
add items to the list. To further facilitate                         The UK’s Big Four are expanding their pick-              (2015), IGD (2015)
online shopping experiences, Ocado                                   up point network all over the country. This
                                                                                                                              22
                                                                                                                                 Ocado (2015)
                                                                                                                              23
                                                                                                                                 Reuters (2014)
also offers an Instant Shop function that                            seems to be an intelligent strategy, given               24
                                                                                                                                 Internet Retailer (2015)
predicts a consumer’s basket based on                                the fact that 73% of UK’s shoppers use
previous purchases.22                                                pick-up points.24 What’s interesting is that
                                                                     while the British seem to love this option,
Ocado’s profitability is primarily due to the                        they prefer home delivery for groceries
company’s new supplementary business,                                purchased online. Thirteen percent of the
Ocado Smart Platform, and its partnership                            British use home delivery as their preferred
with Morrisons. In fact, Ocado is leveraging                         delivery method, with 49% having tried it
its logistical services by offering its                              before. On the other hand, only 1% of the

                                                                                                                                                            16
The UK

   Figure 5: MARKET SHARES AND REVENUES OF ONLINE GROCERY
   RETAILERS IN THE UK (2014)

                            2900.0e

           Online retail
               revenue
             (Billion £)

                                                                                                                          Figure 5
                                                  e            e
                                       1150.0         1150.0                                   1134.2                     Sources: Reuters
                                                               903.8                                                      (2013); IGD (2014);
                                                                                                                          Company Reports
                                                                                                                          (2014); Internet
                                                                                                                          Retailer (2014);
                                                                            262.0 200.0                                   Telegraph UK (2014).

                                                                                                                          e - Syndy’s estimate.
                Online
                                37.7       15.0       15.0    11.8          3.4      2.6       14.2
               grocery
                market
              share (%)
                              O

                                           ’S

                                                      A

                                                               O

                                                                        SE

                                                                                     S

                                                                                               s
                                                                                               er
                                                                                  N
                                                  D
                            SC

                                                              D
                                       RY

                                                                        O

                                                                                  O
                                                AS

                                                                                           th
                                                          CA

                                                                       TR
                           TE

                                       U

                                                                                IS

                                                                                           O
                                  SB

                                                          O

                                                                             RR
                                                                   AI
                                 IN

                                                                   W

                                                                            O
                            SA

                                                                        M

British prefer pick-up points.25                                       Sainsbury’s and Ocado).27
                                                                       The membership model is driving loyalty in
HOME DELIVERY MEMBERSHIP SCHEMES: THE                                  the online channel. Once having subscribed
SOLUTION TO ONLINE LOYALTY                                             to a retailer’s membership program, the
                                                                       consumer is committed for a longer period
For years, ecommerce and logistics                                     of time and is therefore unlikely to switch
experts have endeavored to make home                                   to other retailers. On the other hand, with
delivery profitable. This delivery model                               consumers aiming to get the most out
is costly and logistically challenging, and                            of their money, frequency of purchases
online shoppers are usually the ones                                   increases. With growing awareness of
who absorb most of these high costs                                    membership schemes, almost half of the
through delivery fees. The situation is                                online grocery shoppers in the UK could be
therefore unsatisfactory for both online                               subscribed to one of these programs by the
shoppers and egrocers alike. As a result,                              end of 2015.28
attempts have been made to make home
delivery more attractive, and retailers now
offer consumers a compromise via the
conventional loyalty model: memberships.
                                                                                                                     25
                                                                                                                        eMarketer (2015)
Through membership schemes, online                                                                                   26
                                                                                                                        Business Insider
grocery retailers can lower shipping                                                                                 (2015)
                                                                                                                     27
fees and secure returning customers.                                                                                    IGD (2015)
                                                                                                                     28
                                                                                                                        Internet Retailer
By allowing the distribution of delivery                                                                             (2015)
costs in an annual, biannual, or monthly
fees, memberships offer consumers an
alternative, which can actually save them
money.26 Currently, 26% of British online
grocery shoppers belong to one of the
available home delivery membership
schemes in the country (Tesco, Asda,
                                                                                                                                                    17
Key takeaways

• Due to intense price      • The UK’s egrocery       • Morrisons’ partnership
wars in the British         segment is the most       with Ocado has proved
grocery market,             developed in Europe,      to be a good example
discounters Aldi and Lidl   worth £7.7 billion at     of traditional grocery
have won market share       4.4% of total the total   retailers entering the
at the expense of the       UK grocery market.        online arena. With
traditional Big Four -                                Ocado’s infrastructure
Tesco, Asda, Sainsbury’s    • The UK’s grocery        and know-how,
and Morrisons.              market leader Tesco       Morrisons scaled its
                            announces digital         ecommerce business
• Ecommerce is the          innovation to be at       from 0 to £200 million
fastest-growing channel     the heart of its new      in just over a year,
in the UK. The country      strategy, indicating      making it the fastest
is ranked number one        the grocer’s ambition     growing online grocer
in Europe in terms          to further develop its    in the world.
of online sales. More       omnichannel presence.
importantly, online                                   • 73% of Brits have
sales are expected to       • Pure online grocery     used a pick-up point
double by 2019.             retailer Ocado            to receive grocery
                            announces its first       products they’ve
• Extreme competition       year of profits. Part     ordered online, yet
in grocery retail           of Ocado’s success is     the UK’s shoppers still
has accelerated the         thanks to the “Ocado      strongly prefer home
development of the          Smart Platform”- a new    delivery over any other
online channel in the       branch of business        model.
UK. All players are         focused on partnerships
investing heavily in        with retailers who use    • Membership models
their online ventures.      Ocado’s infrastructure    are becoming more
Accordingly, it is          and expertise to          popular amongst
reasonable to expect        operate online.           retailers and consumers
that the UK will be in                                in the UK. In 2014,
the egrocery driving                                  26% of all UK online
seat for the foreseeable                              grocery shoppers had
future.                                               subscribed to a home
                                                      delivery scheme.

                                                                                18
The Netherlands

DUTCH ECONOMY AND ECOMMERCE MARKET               market (Figure 8).                              Figure 6. COUNTRY
                                                                                                 FACTS
The Netherlands is the seventh-largest           In 2014, online grocery retail accounted
economy in Europe (16th globally), and           for roughly 1.3% of the total grocery
                                                                                                       NL GDP:
despite its small area, it is also the 10th      retail sales in the Netherlands with an
most populated country on the continent.         estimated value of €450 million. From a               727.2
                                                                                                       billion €
Ninety-six percent of Dutch people have          market worth ca. €290 million in 2013, the
access to the Internet. It explains why          growth of the online grocery segment in
ecommerce is so popular in the country.          2014 tured the Netherlands from a young,
Figure 7: Internet and online shopping penetration in the Netherlands
                                                                                                      No. of online shoppers:
                                                                                                      12.0 million

                                                                                                      No. of Internet users:
                                                                                                      16.2 million
                                                                                                      Population:
                                                                                                      16.9 million
  10%                                     50%                                            100%

In fact, 71% of the total population shops       underdeveloped market into a maturing           Figures 6, 7
online.29 This makes the Netherlands             one that is quickly gaining pace.
                                                                                                 Source: CBS Nederland
a very interesting country for online            One of the reasons behind the slow initial      (2014); Statista &
grocery retail. So far, the Dutch egrocery       development has been a lack of serious          IMF (2014); ITU, UN
                                                                                                 population division,
market developed fast compared to the            competition to the market leader Albert
                                                                                                 World Bank (2014);
neighbouring countries but did not reach         Heijn (ah.nl), which has kept delivery fees     Statista & IMF, (2014),
the level of the leading markets like the UK     high and, as a result, slowed the market’s      Centre for Retail
                                                                                                 Research (2014); Eurostat
and France.                                      growth.31 Nonetheless, the emergence of         (2014).
                                                 aggressive competition in 2014 accelerated
THE DUTCH GROCERY MARKET: EGROCERY               the online channel development. Based
GAINING SIGNIFICANCE                             on the current growth scenario of the           29
                                                                                                    Statista (2015)
                                                 Netherlands, Dutch online grocery retail        30
                                                                                                    ING (2015)
The total grocery retail market in the           is expected to catch up with leading            31
                                                                                                    Coca Cola Retailing
                                                                                                 Research Council (2014)
Netherlands is valued at €33.8 billion.30        countries, like the UK and France, within       32
                                                                                                    Syndy’s discussions
The market is led by Albert Heijn, which         2-3 years.32 This accelerated growth will       with industry experts.
controls 34%. Jumbo Group follows with           be partly due to Albert Heijn’s continuous
a 20% market share. The other half of the        attempts to lead in the omnichannel
market is shared by smaller players and          domain. But a larger catalyst for change
the two German discounters, Aldi and             will be the new players: from giant retailers
Lidl, which are gradually gaining a share        (such as Jumbo) to smaller retailers (like
of the Dutch grocery market. These two           DEEN), to new start-ups materialising.
discounters together control 20% of the

                                                                                                                                19
The Netherlands

ALBERT HEIJN FACES COMPETITION FROM ITS        sector. In the producer category, Bonativo
MAIN RIVAL                                     is taking its much-beloved markets online,
                                               delivering food to people in Amsterdam
For years, Albert Heijn has been the only      from the farm to the fork. Concierge
relevant player in the Dutch egrocery          services are also popping up all over the
business with its ecommerce site ah.nl.        country, following Instacart’s success in
But as the market grew, and consumers          the US. Players like UberMart and Poqapp
adopted new technologies, other players        are offering personal shopper/delivery
joined the party. In November 2014, Jumbo      services in certain areas of the country.
started its journey into egrocery. In just     While some companies will not survive
two months, the company opened 28 pick-        their start-up years, other business models
up points. Through aggressive expansion,       will prove successful and add value to the
Jumbo plans to earn 5% of its total revenue    Dutch egrocery ecosystem. Successful
from online sales by 2017.33                   start-ups can become serious competition
                                               for traditional retailers, if they have the
SLOWER ROLL-OUTS FOR SMALLER RETAILERS

                                                Table 4 : DUTCH ECOMMERCE AND                  Table 4
Players like Coop, Deen, Dekamarkt,
                                                EGROCERY FIGURES
Spar, and PLUS are also investing in                                                           Source: Retailmenot
online expansion. Choosing to execute           Ecommerce market size*                  6.0    (2014), Centre for Retail
this process in phases, these grocers are       (Billion €)                                    Research (2014); ING
                                                                                               (2015); Eurostat (2015).
opening pick-up points in their stores to
                                                                                               e - Syndy’s estimate;
enable online shoppers to receive products      Ecommerce market as a % of              7.1    *Sales of goods,
ordered online. Some are also testing           the total retail market                        excluding fuel and sales
                                                                                               of prepared food in cafes
delivery in specific areas of the country                                                      and restaurants. Tickets,
where they have strong positions. For           Grocery retail market size             33.8    holidays, gambling
                                                                                               and insurance are also
example, Deen delivers only in the north        (Billion €)                                    excluded.
of the country, quietly developing new
capabilities before starting operations on
                                                Online grocery retail market           0.5e
a national level. This play-it-safe strategy
                                                size (Billion €)
could be the smartest move for smaller
brick-and-mortar players. This way they
move together with the market towards           Online grocery retail market           1.5e
online grocery retail while keeping costs       as a % of the total grocery
controlled to avoid any negative margin         retail market
shifts. Another example is Coop. Its
efforts in online grocery gave the retailer     Penetration of online grocery          15.0
a 69% increase in online sales in 2014.34       shopping (% of the total
The results are evident in Coop’s recently      population)
renewed ecommerce site, which is more
user-friendly and conversion-driven.35
                                                                                               33
                                                                                                  ​Het Financieele
                                                                                               Dagblad (2015)
                                                                                               34
                                                                                                   Coop Financial Report
BEST­- IN-­CLASS EGROCERY CONCEPTS ARRIVE                                                      (2014)
                                                                                               35
                                                                                                  Coop Financial Report
TO THE NETHERLANDS                             technological expertise and flexibility to      (2014)
                                               stay lean and react quickly to the changes
Start-ups, both Dutch and international,       in the market. For example, while some
are also starting to enter the market.         traditional players invested years into their
HelloFresh, de Krat, and Bilder & De Clercq    online roll-outs, UberMart managed to
(which recently started a cooperation with     begin operations in a matter of months.
PLUS), are taking on the meal delivery

                                                                                                                                 20
The Netherlands

                    11.6

          Retail
      revenuee
     (Billion €)

                             4.7

                                    3.3
                                                                                                               2.8
                                           2.5
                                                  2.03      1.96   1.9
                                                                         1.0   0.7       0.7        0.6
         Total
      grocery       34.3     14.0   9.7                            5.7   2.9   2.1       2.1        1.7        8.3
                                           7.4        6.0   5.8
       market                                                                                                        Figure 8
     share (%)
                                                                                                                     Source: IRI (2015),
                                                                                                                     Nielsen, (2014), Company
                   JN

                           O BO

                                                                 KT K

                                                                       P

                                                                      ET

                                                                                         N

                                                                                                    G

                                                                                                            s
                                           I

                                                                                                                     Reports (2014), Franchise
                                  L

                                                                    US

                                                   & RE OU 0 0
                                           D

                                                                                                            er
                                D

                                                                    O
                                                             A R DIR

                                                                                                 IN
                                                                                     EE
                                          AL
                              P)

                                                                    )

                                                                   LI
                   EI

                                                      E K U P)
                                                            R 0
                                                 PL
                             LI

                                                                CO

                                                                                                          th
                         GR M

                                                                                               LD
                                                                                                                     Plus (2014).
                                                    AI G 1

                                                                                     D
                                                               GV
                            U
                H

                                                                 (
                        JU

                                                                C

                                                                                                        O
                                                         A M LT

                                                                                             O
              RT

                                                             O

                                                                                         H
                                                           O
           BE

                                                     D S

                                                                                       AR
                                                         H
                        BO

                                                                                                                     e - Syndy’s estimate.
                                                 E T BO
         AL

                                                                                     SP
                                                      L
                    UM

                                                   UM
                   (J

                                                 (J
                                                      D

Figure 8: MARKET SHARES AND REVENUES OF GROCERY RETAILERS IN THE NETHERLANDS
(2014)

PICK-­UP POINTS POPPING UP EVERYWHERE                         willing to pay on average €4 to get their
WHILE THE DUTCH STILL PREFER DELIVERY                         groceries delivered to their doorsteps.39
                                                              Experts suggest that home delivery will be
Over last two years, the pick-up point                        the winning formula to conquer the online
network in the country has seen extreme                       grocery segment in the Netherlands, given
growth of almost 680%, increasing from                        the logistical feasibility that comes from
ca. 45 collection points in January 2013 to                   high population density. While a hybrid
more than 350 by the end of 2014. With                        formula is a good strategic approach, it is
traditional retailers rolling out their online                clear that to gain advantage in the Dutch              36
                                                                                                                        Levensmidelenkrant
strategies and adding walk-in pick-up points                  egrocery market, mastering home delivery               (2015)
                                                                                                                     37
                                                                                                                        IGD (2015)
to their current stores, other retailers, like                all over the country is a necessity.                   38
                                                                                                                        Foodlog.nl (2014)
Jumbo, have started aggressive pick-up                                                                               39
                                                                                                                        Deloitte (2014)
point expansion. The group plans to open                      TENSIONS IN FRANCHISING RELATIONSHIPS:
3-5 a week - reaching a 100 pick-up point                     OPPORTUNITIES FOR NEW ONLINE PLAYERS.
quota by the end of summer 2015. These
points will be opened in three modalities:                    The success of a retailer is highly influenced
walk-in, drive-through and stand-alone.37                     by the performance of its franchisees. For
                                                              this reason, communications should always
There are more than 350 designated points                     be kept clear and relationships focused
for grocery pick-up across the Netherlands                    on the common benefits for both parties.
(Figure 10),38 so it could be expected that                   When it comes to ecommerce activities
this delivery model is the most successful                    in the Dutch grocery retail market, the
in terms of consumer preference and                           agreements between franchisors and
usability. This is not the case, however. Pick-               franchisees are often unclear. This lack
up points might be the retailers’ preferred                   of detailed arrangements has created
model due to its lower cost structure                         tensions in the partnerships that are
and higher coverage, but it is not what                       affecting the growth of egrocery in the
consumers prefer. In fact, Dutch consumers                    Netherlands, especially home delivery.
highly prefer home delivery (80%) and are                     For example, it is ambiguous who should

                                                                                                                                                        21
Figure 9: MARKET SHARES AND REVENUES OF ONLINE GROCERY RETAILERS IN THE
NETHERLANDS (2014)                                                                                                                            The Netherlands
                                          240.0
                       Online retail
                           revenue
                         (Million €)
                                                                             166.0 e

                                                                                                                      Figure 9

                                                   21.0 e 16.0 e                                                      Source: Company reports
                                                                                                                      (2014); Franchise Plus
                                                                     7.0 e
                                                                                                                      (2014); Twinkle Magazine
                                                                                                                      (2014).
                             Online
                                          53.0     5.0     4.0       2.0     36.0
                            grocery                                                                                   e - Syndy’s estimate.
                             market
                           share(%)
                                        JN

                                                          US
                                                   AR

                                                                     N

                                                                             s
                                                                             er
                                                                   EE
                                                         PL
                                      EI

                                                 SP

                                                                           th
                                                                 D
                                      H

                                                                         O
                                   RT
                                BE
                              AL

be responsible for activities like delivery              In response to this situation, new initiatives
when franchisees join a retailer-owned                   are being made by franchisees to take
ecommerce network, or how much the                       matters into their own hands. An example
franchisees will earn from online orders                 is www.AH-afhaalpunt.nl, a private
picked up at their stores. Moreover,                     ecommerce network of Albert Heijn
new unforeseen costs are causing some                    franchisees that already counts 33 pick-up
franchise holders to resist riding the wave              points.41 Opportunities also arise for new
of online grocery, stating damage to profit              players like UberMart. The start-up has a
margins as the reason. Jumbo seems to be                 network of personal shoppers who shop
the main player in establishing conventions              in franchised Albert Heijn stores in the
with their franchisees. It has set protocols             Rotterdam area that are not yet a part of
about the distribution of online sales, the              the ah.nl network.
presence of pick-up points at franchisees,                                                                            40
                                                                                                                         H​et Financieele
                                                                                                                      Dagblad (2015)
and has agreed upon guarantees in case of                                                                             41
                                                                                                                         Levensmiddelenkrant
sales cannibalisation.40                                                                                              (2015)

Figure 10: PICK-UP POINTS IN THE NETHERLANDS (2014)                                                                    Figure 10

SPAR: 81        DEEN: 70           HOOGVLIET: 56              COOP: 53                 ALBERT HEIJN: 34   JUMBO: 28    Source: Company
                                                                                                                       Reports (2014); Foodlog
                                                                                                                       (2014).

                                                                                                                                                         22
Key takeaways

• The grocery             • Start-ups like           • The complexity
retail market in          UberMart, de Krat and      of ecommerce
the Netherlands is        Bonativo are innovating    agreements between
dominated by Albert       in the online grocery      franchisors and
Heijn (34% market         market with flexible       franchisees has
share), followed by       business formulas.         created tensions in
Jumbo Group (20%)         However, they are still    grocery partnerships
and the German            in the very early stages   that have slowed
discounters Aldi (9.7%)   of their development       the development
and Lidl (7.4%).          and do not yet have a      of egrocery , but
                          significant influence      also generated
• 71% of the Dutch        on the Dutch egrocery      opportunities for third
shop online; 15% do       market.                    parties like www.
their grocery shopping                               AHafhaalpunt.nl.
online.                   • Pick-up points are the
                          preferred distribution
• The Dutch egrocery      model among retailers,
market experienced        with the total number
the fastest growth        increasing 680% in two
of all researched         years and currently
European countries,       exceeding 350 points.
with an impressive        However, Dutch
+55% in 2014. Most of     consumers still strongly
this growth came from     prefer home delivery
traditional retailers     (80%).
venturing online.

• 2014 was the year
in which traditional
retailers like Jumbo
and Deen entered the
market and rolled out
their online services.
AH.nl still leads
(53% market share),
but it is now facing
competition.
                                                                               23
Germany

GERMAN ECONOMY AND ECOMMERCE                   compared to any other market in Europe.          Figure 11: COUNTRY
MARKET                                         This has created a full-on price war in the      FACTS
                                               country where traditional retailers are
Germany, with a GDP of €3.1 trillion, is       forced to drastically cut prices in order to
the 4th biggest economy in the world and       stay competitive.                                     DE GDP:
the biggest in Europe. It also represents                                                              3.1
the second-largest ecommerce market in                                                              trillion €
Europe, after the UK, worth €42.9 billion.

Figure 12: INTERNET AND ONLINE SHOPPING PENETRATION IN GERMANY

                                                                                                No. of online shoppers:
                                                                                                56.6 million
                                                                                                No. of Internet
                                                                                                users: 79.1 million
                                                                                                Population:
                                                                                                80.8 million
  10%                                    50%                                             100%

Clothing is the most popular product                                                             Figures 11, 12
category among German online shoppers,         ONLINE GROCERY RETAIL IN GERMANY: FEAR
                                                                                                 Source: Eurostat (2014);
while other categories such as groceries       OF LOSS PUSHING TRADITIONAL GROCERY               CIA world Factbook
show promising potential.                      RETAILERS ONLINE                                  (2014); Statista &
                                                                                                 IMF (2014); ITU, UN
                                                                                                 population division,
GERMAN GROCERY MARKET: DOMINATION BY 5         For a long time, fierce price competition         World Bank (2014);
MAIN PLAYERS                                   and high starting costs made the egrocery         Centre for Retail
                                                                                                 Research (2014).
                                               market attractive for niche players only. To
Germany’s grocery industry is the largest      stay cost-efficient, these small and often
in Europe, with sales of €247 billion in       specialised efood shops focused on urban
2014. The grocery market in Germany is         districts with high population densities.44      42
                                                                                                   Trade Dimensions
characterised by three factors: First, years   Bigger players saw no opportunity in the         (2014)
of ongoing mergers and acquisitions have       online food channel, due to Germans’             43
                                                                                                   GRIN­Seiz (2014)
                                                                                                44
                                                                                                   GRIN­Seiz (2014)
created a market dominated by a handful        preferences for low prices and specialised
of players. The top five German retailers      food. Consequently these conditions
control 72% of the market.42 Second, the       slowed the market’s growth. The landscape
German grocery market is highly saturated.     changed when international players like
It is estimated that every German              Amazon started to gain traction in the
household has 3.5 food stores within a         German market selling FMCG products
10-minute radius.43 Finally, discounters       online. Afraid of missing out on the online
play a more prominent role in Germany          movement, traditional players had no

                                                                                                                            24
51.9                                                                                                                                     Germany

          Retail
      revenuee
     (Billion €)
                               38.0
                                         34.1
                                                                                                                   33.2
                                                  29.7                                                                             Figure 13
                                                           27.5

                                                                                                                                   Source: Retailmenot
                                                                                                                                   (2014); Centre for
                                                                                                                                   Retail Research (2014);
                                                                                                                                   Lebensmittel Zeitung
                                                                     8.8        7.5                                                (2014); Trade Dimensions
                                                                                        6.4       5.4                              (2014); Eurostat (2015).
                                                                                                            4.7

                                                                                                                                   e - Sydny’s estimate.
         Total
                      21.0     15.4      13.8     12.0     11.1      3.6        3.0     2.6       2.2       1.9    13,4
      grocery
       market
     share (%)
                      E

                               E

                                                                                E

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                                                                                                  N

                                                                                                            S

                                                                                                                   s
                                                  E
                                         E

                                                           E

                                                                   D

                                                                                                                  er
                                                                                                        BU
                   PP

                             PP

                                                                            PP
                                                 PP
                                       PP

                                                         PP

                                                                                              AN
                                                                   N

                                                                                      AR

                                                                                                                  th
                                                                LA
                  U

                           U

                                                                           RU

                                                                                                        O
                                             RU
                                    RU

                                                      RU

                                                                                              M

                                                                                                              O
              GR

                          GR

                                                                                    M

                                                                                                      GL
                                                              ER

                                                                                           SS
                                                                       -G
                                            -G
                                   G

                                                  I-G

                                                                                 E
             A-

                      E-

                                Z-

                                                           KK

                                                                                        RO
                                                                     N

                                                                                RI
                                        RO

                                                  D
                      W

                               AR
         EK

                                                                   AN

                                                                            GE
                                                 AL

                                                         LE
                  RE

                                       ET
        ED

                           W

                                                                LM

                                                                         RO
                                    M
                          H
                        SC

                                                              GE

                                                                       -D
                                                                     M
                                                           N
                                                         TE

                                                                   D

Figure 13: MARKET SHARES AND REVENUES OF GROCERY RETAILERS IN GERMANY (2014)

choice but to follow and start developing                                  TABLE 5: GERMAN ECOMMERCE AND                           Table 5
their online ventures.                                                     EGROCERY FIGURES
                                                                                                                                   Source: Centre for
                                                                           Ecommerce market size*                          46.3    Retail Research (2014);
2014: A YEAR OF EGROCERY IN GERMANY                                        (Billion €)                                             Lebensmittel Zeitung
                                                                                                                                   (dfv Media Group, 2015);
                                                                                                                                   Trade Dimensions (2014);
Egrocery in Germany took a big leap                                                                                                Zum Handeln Geschaffen
                                                                           Ecommerce market as a % of                       9.7    - Das Magazin für
forward in 2014. The market grew 38%
                                                                           the total retail market size                            Handelswissen (2014);
from 2013, reaching a value of €2 billion.                                                                                         Eurostat (2015).
The growing market - now composed of
                                                                           Grocery retail market size                     247.2    e - Syndy’s estimate;
traditional retailers, online-only grocers,                                                                                        *Sales of goods,
                                                                           (Billion €)
and niche players - has created a trend                                                                                            excluding fuel and sales
that urges lagging retailers to develop                                                                                            of prepared food in cafes
                                                                                                                                   and restaurants. Tickets,
egrocery strategies. As a result, traditional                              Online grocery retail market                     2.0e   holidays, gambling
brick-and-mortar retailers have been                                       size                                                    and insurance are also
                                                                                                                                   excluded.
investing significantly to expand their                                    (Billion €)
online offerings. An example is REWE,
which has invested heavily in its online                                   Online grocery retail market                   0.8% e
grocery business and now delivers in 63                                    as a % of the total grocery
cities. These efforts made REWE’s online                                   retail market
sales almost quadruple in 2014.45                                          (Billion €)

Start-ups have also started to enter the                                   Penetration of online grocery                  11.0%    45
                                                                                                                                        Fresh Plaza (2015).
market, following the success of other                                     shopping (% of the total
companies in foreign markets, but their                                    population)
lasting power in such a competitive
market is still to be seen. One case worth
mentioning is that of ShopWings, the                                     range. ShopWings launched in the German
“German Instacart.” The company, with its                                market in late 2014, working to deliver
network of personal shoppers, collected                                  groceries from 6 different retailers,
and delivered groceries to consumers                                     including discounters Aldi and Lidl, giving
in Berlin and Munich within a two-hour                                   the company a competitive edge as these

                                                                                                                                                                  25
Germany

Figure 14: ONLINE GROCERY MARKET SHARES OF RETAILERS IN GERMANY (2014)
                                                                                                                             Gourmeo24: 2.2%
EDEKA 24:            REWE:     AMAZON*:    EBAY*:    ALLYOUNEED FRESH:     Mytime:     Real:
14.5%                13.2%     10.9%       6.8%      6.3%                  5.3%        3.9%                                  Saymo: 2.1%

                                                                                                                             Rossman: 1.8%

                                                                                                                             Gourmantis: 2.2%

                                                    Lebensmittel.de:           Gourmondo:
                                                                                                                             Biowelt: 2.2%
                                                    5.5%                       5.0%
                                                                  Natur.com:
Figure 14                                                                                                                    Bringmeister: 2.7%
                                                                  5.3%
Source: Lebensmittel                                                           Feinkost 24:                 Food.de: 2.9%
Zeitung.net (2014);                                                            3.6%
TradeDimensions (2014).
                                                                                              Allerlei-bio: 3.5%
*Does not sell fresh food.

chains do not yet have an online store.
This edge, however, was not enough to           FOOD DELIVERY 2.0: DHL AND
establish ShopWings in the German market,       ALLYOUNEEDFRESH.DE
and it ceased operations there in July 2015.
It does, however, continue to be successful     Allyouneedfresh.de is a DHL owned
in the Australian and Indonesian markets.       egrocer operating in Germany. Since
Figure 14 shows some of the main players        2012, the company has been offering an
in online grocery retail in Germany.            extensive range of products (more than
                                                20,000) with a large offer of organic and
ECOMMERCE GIANTS -­AMAZON AND EBAY              fair-trade products. Having its own DHL-
AMONG THE GERMAN FAVOURITES                     operated logistics network since 2014, the
                                                products that Allyouneed Fresh sells are
Amazon.com and eBay are among the               claimed to be fresher than those sold at
most popular choices for consumers when         traditional supermarkets. Picked up from
purchasing food and FMCG products               the wholesalers’ markets in the morning
online.46 These ecommerce giants hold           and home delivered that same day, produce
the third and fourth place in market share      goes through a continuous cold chain
of food delivery services, despite the fact     from pick-up to delivery to ensure, and
that they do not offer fresh produce.47         guarantee, freshness. This reliable delivery
Consumers prefer these international            network allows consumers to track their
players because of the wider selection of       orders, personalise their preferences,
products, and due to the desire to purchase     and have groceries delivered within the
products online that are difficult to find      same day or during the evening, which
elsewhere, like foreign food specialties.       is when most consumers are at home.                          46
                                                                                                                eMarketer (2014)
                                                                                                             47
                                                                                                                Statista (2014)
The strong position of Amazon in FMCG,          With this network, the company has a                         48
                                                                                                                Statista (2015)
and its continued intimations about             6% share of the online delivery market                       49
                                                                                                                Allyouneed (2015)
expanding AmazonFresh across Europe,            in Germany.48 Not content with stopping
starting with Germany, has shaken the           there, Allyouneed Fresh aims to continue
rest of the market. Even if there is still no   growth and positions itself as the fastest
indication when AmazonFresh will be rolled      distribution center in Germany. This is food
out, the announcement alone has made            delivery 2.0.49
traditional retailers react. As a result, a
number of new egrocery projects launched
across Germany.

                                                                                                                                                26
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