Umicore FY 2019 performance - 7 February 2020

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Umicore FY 2019 performance - 7 February 2020
Umicore FY 2019 performance
                    7 February 2020
Umicore FY 2019 performance - 7 February 2020
Overview

 Highlights 2019
 2020 outlook
 2019 business review
 2019 financial review
 Wrap up
 Q&A

                         Umicore 2019 performance   2
Highlights 2019
                 Strong performance in challenging environment

                                     ENERGY & SURFACE
         CATALYSIS                                                          RECYCLING
                                       TECHNOLOGIES

 Market share gains in gasoline   Growth in cathode materials for   Favorable supply environment
 catalyst applications            EVs in line with the market
                                                                    Optimized input mix offset
 Leading light-duty catalyst      Higher cathode materials sales    largely lower volumes
 provider in China, largest car   in H2, sequentially and YoY
 market worldwide                                                   Higher metal prices
                                  Cobalt price halved vs 2018
 Strong growth from fuel cell
 catalyst applications            Higher D&A and upfront
                                  greenfield investment costs

     Significant strides made in the execution of our growth strategy
                                                                                            Umicore 2019 performance   3
2020 outlook
          Umicore expects to grow revenues and earnings in 2020*

                                             ENERGY & SURFACE
          CATALYSIS                                                                 RECYCLING
                                               TECHNOLOGIES

 No signs of imminent recovery in      EV demand in China not expected     Increased availability of Hoboken
 automotive market                     to materially recover in 2020       smelter
                                       Higher sales of cathode materials   Sustained favorable supply
 Benefiting from strong market
                                       for EVs and positive impact from    environment
 position in gasoline catalyst
 applications and higher               recent acquisition in Kokkola       Tailwinds from metal prices (partly
 penetration of cGPFs in Europe        Higher R&D, D&A and start-up        hedged in 2019)
 and China                             costs
 Fuel cell catalyst production ramp-
 up in Korea

             *Assuming that the recent coronavirus outbreak will not result
               in a protracted or material effect on the economy in 2020
                                                                                                      Umicore 2019 performance   4
2019 business review
Catalysis 2019 market context

Recession in global car market                    More stringent emission norms
                                                  in key regions
Global light-duty vehicle production down by      Euro 6d TEMP for all new vehicles since
6.3% year on year:                                September 2019
   China             - 8.9%
   Europe            - 5.0%                       Early implementation of China 6a in July 2019
   North America - 4.4%                           in several major cities and provinces

China down 2nd year in a row; steep contraction   Increasing share of gasoline particulate filters
in H1 19, while pace of decline eased             in Europe and China
somewhat in H2 19

Falling diesel production in Europe
(-12%), share of 35% in European car market

                                                                                             Umicore 2019 performance   6
Catalysis 2019 performance
         Revenues +7% and REBIT +10%; outperforming market reflecting market share
         gains in light-duty gasoline
                                                             REVENUES

                                                           1500                                 1.360   1.460
                                                                                        1.253
                                                                        1.094   1.163
Automotive Catalysts                                       1000                         620
                                                                                                 652       743
                                                                        545     565
  Market share gains in light-duty gasoline
                                                           500
  Growing penetration of cGPFs in China and Europe                      549     598     633      709       717
                                                              0
  Leadership position in light-duty vehicles in China                                                                       H1
                                                                        2015    2016    2017    2018      2019
  Higher volumes and revenues in heavy-duty diesel                                                                          H2
                                                             REBIT

                                                            300
Precious Metals Chemistry
  Strong demand from pharmaceutical and chemical            250                         13,2%            12,7%
                                                                                12,3%           12,4%
  industries                                                200         10,6%
                                                                                         166               185
                                                                                152             168
  Significant increase in demand for fuel cell catalysts    150          124
                                                                                                            99
                                                                                 75      85      82
                                                            100          63
                                                             50                                  86         87
                                                                         61      78      81
                                                              0
                                                                        2015    2016    2017    2018      2019
                                                            million €
                                                                                                        Umicore 2019 performance   7
Catalysis – major milestones in 2019

                         Capacity expansions
Sustained investments                             Opening of new plant
                          to support growth of
   in product and                                 for fuel cell catalysts
                        Automotive Catalysts in
 process innovation                                      in Korea
                        China, Poland and India

                                                                     Umicore 2019 performance   8
E&ST 2019 market context
Slowdown in global EV demand and low cobalt price

Global EV market up 7.7% in 2019 compared to 62% in 2018, reflecting abrupt
decline in EV sales in China in H2 due to subsidy cuts

LCO in consumer electronics: supply chain reducing excess inventories

ESS in Korea: subdued demand due to safety incidents

Depressed cobalt price (-56% vs 2018) and inflow of cheaper unethically
sourced artisanal cobalt

                                                                          Umicore 2019 performance   9
E&ST 2019 performance
         Revenues -5%; REBIT -29% reflecting slowdown in demand and low cobalt price

                                                               REVENUES
                                                               1500
Rechargeable Battery Materials                                                                     1.289   1.225
   Lower sales for portable electronics and ESS                                            894
                                                               1000                                639
   Higher sales for EVs, in line with global EV market                                                      618
                                                                           587     610
                                                                                           495
   Recycling and refining activities hit by low cobalt price     500               322
                                                                           289
                                                                                                   650      607
   Higher D&A, higher R&D and upfront costs for                            298     288     398
   greenfield expansions                                            0
                                                                                                                               H1
                                                                           2015    2016    2017    2018    2019
                                                                                                                               H2
                                                               REBIT
Cobalt & Specialty Materials
                                                                                                   19,8%
   Impacted by low cobalt price and inflow of cheaper            500
                                                                                           14,6%            14,5%
   unethically sourced artisanal cobalt                          400       12,6%   13,2%
   Customers reducing excess inventories                         300                                257
                                                                 200                                          183
                                                                                            140     136
                                                                                                              81
Revenues for Electroplating slightly up; stable                  100       70      82       79
                                                                           30       45              121      102
                                                                                            61
revenues for Electro-Optic       Materials                          0      40       37
                                                                           2015    2016    2017    2018      2019
                                                               million €

                                                                                                           Umicore 2019 performance   10
E&ST – major milestones in 2019

              Capacity expansions
              •    Commissioning greenfield
                                                        Commissioning of            Acquisition of cobalt refinery
                   plant in China                         new Process                  and cathode precursor
                                                       Competence Center            activities in Kokkola, Finland
              •    Start of construction greenfield
                   plant in Poland                       (Olen, Belgium)

                                                                                Support for long-term
                  Multi-year cathode                                            growth
                   materials supply                   Conclusion of long-term
                                                                                •     Obtained support within
              agreements with leading EV              supply partnerships for
                                                                                      framework of IPCEI* for
               battery makers, LG Chem                  sustainable cobalt            batteries
                   and Samsung SDI                                              •     Global Battery Alliance initiative

* Important Projects of Common European Interest                                                               Umicore 2019 performance   11
Recycling 2019 market context
Supportive metal prices and favorable supply environment

Supportive metal price environment
     Higher prices for certain precious and platinum group metals, particularly in
     the second half of 2019

Favorable supply environment with increased availability of complex end-of-life
materials
    Growing proportion of more complex and higher metal loaded spent
    automotive catalysts
    Higher availability of printed circuit boards due to Green Fence in China

                                                                                  Umicore 2019 performance   13
Recycling 2019 performance
         Revenues +9%; REBIT +40% reflecting favorable supply mix, higher metal
         prices and optimization of input mix
                                                               REVENUES

                                                               1.000
Precious Metals Recycling                                        800        663     641     650     626     681
                                                                 600
   Higher availability of spent autocats and printed circuit                320     318     311     300     368
   boards                                                        400

   Higher metal prices                                           200        343     323     339     326     313
   Optimization of input mix allowed to offset most of the          0                                                          H1
                                                                           2015    2016    2017    2018    2019
   volume shortfall due to extended maintenance                                                                                H2
                                                               REBIT
   shutdown and fire incident in July
                                                                 300                                       27,6%
Stable revenues for Jewelry      & Industrial Metals;            250       21,3%                   21,5%
                                                                                   19,5%   19,7%
substantial earnings contribution from Precious                  200
                                                                                                            188
                                                                            142
Metals Management                                                150                125     128     135
                                                                                                            112
                                                                 100        65              55      56
                                                                                    63
                                                                  50        77                      79      76
                                                                                    62      73
                                                                    0
                                                                           2015    2016    2017    2018    2019
                                                               million €

                                                                                                           Umicore 2019 performance   14
Recycling – major milestones in 2019

Completion of multi-                       Investments to sustain
                        Upgrade of key
  year expansion                              and improve the
                       equipment during
program at Hoboken                             environmental
                       extended shutdown
       plant                                 performance of the
                                                    plant

                                                             Umicore 2019 performance   15
2019 financial review
Key figures 2019

   REVENUES                                                        REBIT                               Free Operating Cash Flow
   +3% to € 3.4 bn                                                  € 509 m, close to 2018             € -39 m (€ -406 m in FY 18)
   Strong growth in Catalysis (+7%)
                                                                    record level                       Net debt € 1,143m
   and Recycling (+9%) partly offset                                Balanced contribution from the     Net debt / REBITDA 1.9x
   by decline in E&ST (-5%)                                         three business groups
                                                                    Absorbs strong increase in D&A

   RECURRING NET                                                    REBITDA
                                                                                                       CAPEX                   € 553 m
   PROFIT (Group share)                                             +5 % to € 753* m
   -5% to € 312 m                                                   Stable group REBITDA margin of     ROCE                       12.6%
   Recurring EPS of € 1.30                                          22.1%*                             reflecting intense growth investments
                                                                    Margin increase in Catalysis and
   Proposed gross annual dividend                                   Recycling
   of € 0.75

                     Strong performance in a persistently difficult market context

                                                                                                                                   Umicore 2019 performance   17
 * € 17 m impact from IFRS 16, excluding this, REBITDA is € 736 m and REBITDA margin is 21.6%
Robust performance in challenging market context
   REBIT & REBIT margin
                                                                                       Recurring EBIT at € 509 m, close to
  700                                                      15,5%   14,8%
                                                                                       record level of 2018
  600                                             13,2%
                                                                             CAGR
            12,2%              12,6%                                                    Double digit growth in Recycling and
  500
                                                           514     509     2015-2019
  400        299                 320
                                                    398
                                                           252
                                                                             + 11 %     Catalysis offset by decrease in E&ST
                                                                   269
  300
             140                 165
                                                    203                                 Increase in D&A and costs related to
  200
  100                                                      261     240
                                                                                        greenfield investments in battery
             160                 155                195
    0
                                                                                        materials
             2015               2016               2017    2018    2019

   REBITDA & REBITDA margin

            19,3%              19,9%               20,0%
                                                           21,9%   22,1%     CAGR      Recurring EBITDA growth (+ 5%) to
  800                                                                      2015-2019
                                                     587
                                                            720     753
                                                                            + 10 %
                                                                                       new high of € 753 m
  600        465                 496
                                                            356     396
                                                     299
                                                                                        Robust group margin despite headwinds
  400
             225                 258
                                                                                        Adoption of IFRS 16 lease standard
  200                                                       364     357
             240                 238                 288                                effect of € 17 m
    0
            2015                2016                2017    2018    2019

                                                                                                                      Umicore 2019 performance   18
    Group, excluding discontinued activities, million €
Strong sequential earnings growth in second half
 REBIT & REBIT margin
                                                                                                                   Strong H2 19 performance after more
  300
         12,8%                    12,8% 13,5% 13,0%
                                                                         15,2% 15,9% 14,3% 15,3%                   challenging H1 19
  250                 11,6% 12,3%

                                                                                                        269
                                                                                                                    Strong sequential and year-on-year growth in H2

                                                                          261

                                                                                    252

                                                                                              240
  200

                                                               203
                                                     195
  150                                                                                                               Mostly driven by Recycling (higher metal prices in
                                           165
            160

                                 155
                       140

  100
                                                                                                                    H2 19 and reflecting impact of extended shutdown
   50
    0
                                                                                                                    in H1 19 and fire incident in H2 18)
            H1 2015

                       H2 2015

                                 H1 2016

                                           H2 2016

                                                     H1 2017

                                                               H2 2017

                                                                          H1 2018

                                                                                    H2 2018

                                                                                              H1 2019

                                                                                                        H2 2019
                                                                                                                    Also higher H2 19 performance in Catalysis, but
                                                                                                                    lower in E&ST
  REBITDA & REBITDA margin

                                             21,3% 22,4% 21,4% 22,7%
  450    19,6% 19,1% 19,2% 20,5% 20,2% 19,8%                                                                                          FY 19 vs      H2 19 vs          H2 19 vs
  400
  350                                                                                                                                  FY18          H2 18             H1 19

                                                                                                        396
                                                                          364

                                                                                              357
                                                                                    356

  300
                                                                                                                     Revenues           +3%          +9%                  +6%
                                                               299

  250
                                                     288
                                           258

  200
            240

                                 238
                       225

  150
  100                                                                                                              Recurring EBIT       -1%          +7%                 + 12 %
   50
    0                                                                                                             Recurring EBITDA      +5%          + 11 %              + 11 %
            H1 2015

                       H2 2015

                                 H1 2016

                                           H2 2016

                                                     H1 2017

                                                               H2 2017

                                                                          H1 2018

                                                                                    H2 2018

                                                                                              H1 2019

                                                                                                        H2 2019

                                                                                                                                                           Umicore 2019 performance   19
    Group, excluding discontinued activities, million €
Improvement in free operating cash flows
 million €, continued operations only

1000                                                                                                800
                                                                                                                            627

 500
                                                                                                                            549            Cash flow from operations highest in
   0                                                                                                 92                                    last five years at € 549 m
                                                                                                                            -78

 -500
                                                                                                                                            Includes a € 78 m increase in working capital
                                                                                                    -708
-1000                                                                                                                                       requirements, mostly driven by impact of
                 FY15                        FY16                       FY17                       FY18                    FY19
                                           Cashflow generated from operations after net working capital cash flow                           higher PGM prices in Catalysis
                                           Net working capital cash flows
                                           Cashflow from operations before net working capital cash flow

    million €, continued operations only
  800
                                                                                                                                           Improved free cash flow from operations,
  600

  400
                                                                                                                                     549
                                                                                                                                           close to break even (€ -39 m) despite
  200                                                                                                                                      higher growth investments
                                                                                                              92
    0
                                                                                                                                  -39
 -200
                                                                                                       -406
                                                                                                                                           Capex of € 553 m, 2/3rd in E&ST
 -400

 -600                                                                                                     -498
                                                                                                                                           Complemented by higher capitalized
                                                                                                                                           development expenses of € 35 m
                                                                                                                              -588
 -800
                  FY15                         FY16                       FY17                        FY18                   FY19

                                                  Cashflow generated from operations after net working capital cash flow
                                                  Capex + capitalized development expenses
                                                  Free cashflow from operations
                                                                                                                                                                             Umicore 2019 performance   20
    *Free cashflow from operations = cashflow generated from operations – capex & capitalized development expenses
Net cash flow bridge
million €
                           Free operating cashflow of € - 39 m
                                  (€ - 406 m in 2018)

                             € 188 m cash out linked to the
                                  Kokkola acquisition

                              Increased dividend payout to
                                  Umicore shareholders
                              (€ 186 m vs € 175 m in 2018)

                            Increase in net financial debt of €
                           582 m, including non-cash increase
                            of € 46 m from IFRS 16 adoption

                                          Umicore 2019 performance   21
Maintaining a healthy capital structure
                                                                                 35,2%
                                            31,1%
     2000                                                        24,4%                          2,00
     1800
                                                                                    1,92        1,80
               15,3%           13,8%
     1600                                                                                       1,60
                                            1,40                                 1443                             Gearing
     1400                                                                                       1,40               ratio
                                                                  1,19
     1200                                                                                       1,20
     1000
                                            840                                                 1,00
                                                                  861
      800                                                                                       0,80                 Net debt
               0,64                                                                                              
                               0,56                                                                                  / recurring EBITDA
      600                                                                                       0,60
      400       321             296                                                             0,40
      200                                                                                       0,20
                                                                                                                  Consolidated net
         0                                                                                      0,00               financial debt, end of
                 2015

                                 2016

                                             2017

                                                                   2018

                                                                                  2019
                                                                                                                   period

 million €

         Net financial debt of € 1,443 m,
                                                        Corresponds to :                   Funding headroom to execute
      including new € 390 m long term US
        private debt placement, drawn in                                                       growth strategy while
                                                    1.9x net debt to recurring
                 September 2019                                                                 remaining within the
                                                          EBITDA ratio
                                                                                             investment grade territory
    Diversified funding base and balanced             35% net gearing ratio
                maturity profile

                                                                                                             Umicore 2019 performance   22
Further extension of funding base
 Issuance of € 390 m US private placement notes,
                                                                                    Committed medium & long term
 complementing existing committed credit facilities:
                                                                                              facilities
        Historically low, fixed interest rates
                                                                                             Total of € 1,875 m
        Maturities of 7, 10 and 12 years                                          2000

                                                                                  1800

 Total of committed medium and long term debt facilities                          1600                Syndicated Bank Credit
 amounting to € 1,875 million.                                                    1400
                                                                                             795      Facilities (undrawn)

                                                                                  1200

                                                                                  1000
                                Debt maturity profile                                        390      2019 US Private Placement
            500                                                                     800

            400                                                                     600
            300
                                                                                             360      2017 US Private Placement
                                                                                    400
            200
                                                                                    200
            100                                                                              330      2017 Schuldschein
              0                                                                        0
million €         2023   2024   2025   2026   2027   2028   2029   2030   2031   million €

                                                                                                                  Umicore 2019 performance   23
Non-recurring items

                                         FY 2019     Non-recurring EBIT :
                                         Million €

  Restructuring charges and provisions     (26)      Mostly linked to restructuring charges,
                                                     optimizing the footprint in E&ST (outside of
  Other                                    (4)       the battery materials activities)
  Non-recurring EBIT                       (30)      Most significant impact from the
                                                     discontinuation of one of the US sites of
  Non-recurring tax result                  6        business unit Cobalt & Specialty Materials
  Net non-recurring result (Group          (24)
  Share)

million €

                                                                                       Umicore 2019 performance   24
Wrap-up
Wrap-up

    Strong 2019 performance, close       Consistent execution of long-term
     to 2018 record levels, despite      growth strategy, while adapting to
    persistently weak market context       short-term fluctuating market
                                                      demand

       Major steps taken in 2019 to          Umicore expects to grow
     strengthen leadership position in       revenues and earnings in
        clean mobility materials and                  2020
                 recycling

                                                                          Umicore 2019 performance   26
Q&A
Financial calendar

     30 April 2020   Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders

     5 May 2020      Ex-dividend date

     6 May 2020      Record date for the dividend

     7 May 2020      Dividend payment date

     31 July 2020    Half Year Results 2020
                                                                `

                                                                    Umicore 2019 performance   28
Forward-looking statements

   This presentation contains forward-       Should one or more of these risks,
   looking information that involves risks   uncertainties or contingencies materialize,
   and uncertainties, including statements   or should any underlying assumptions
   about Umicore’s plans, objectives,        prove incorrect, actual results could vary
   expectations and intentions.              materially from those anticipated,
                                             expected, estimated or projected.
   Readers are cautioned that forward-
   looking statements include known and      As a result, neither Umicore nor
   unknown risks and are subject to          any other person assumes any
   significant business, economic and        responsibility for the accuracy of these
   competitive uncertainties and             forward-looking statements.
   contingencies, many of which are
   beyond the control of Umicore.

                                                                                           Umicore 2019 performance   29
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