UNCLASSIFIED - Global Positioning System Ill Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)
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UNCLASSIFIED
RCS: DD-A&T(O&A)823-590
Global Positioning System Ill Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)
As of FY 2021 President's Budget
Defense Acquisition Management
Information Retrieval
(DAMIR)
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Table of Contents
Common Acronyms and Abbreviations for MDAP Programs 3
Program Information 5
Responsible Office 5
References 6
Mission and Description 7
Executive Summary 8
Threshold Breaches 10
Schedule 11
Performance 12
Track to Budget 14
Cost and Funding 14
Charts 25
Risks 27
Low Rate Initial Production 29
Foreign Military Sales 30
Nuclear Costs 31
Unit Cost 32
Cost Variance 35
Contracts 39
Deliveries and Expenditures 40
Operating and Support Cost 41
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Common Acronyms and Abbreviations for MDAP Programs
Acq O&M - Acquisition-Related Operations and Maintenance
ACAT - Acquisition Category
ADM - Acquisition Decision Memorandum
APB - Acquisition Program Baseline
APPN - Appropriation
APUC - Average Procurement Unit Cost
$B - Billions of Dollars
BA - Budget Authority/Budget Activity
Blk - Block
BY - Base Year
CAPE - Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation
CARD - Cost Analysis Requirements Description
CDD - Capability Development Document
CLIN - Contract Line Item Number
CPD - Capability Production Document
CY - Calendar Year
DAB - Defense Acquisition Board
DAE - Defense Acquisition Executive
DAMIR - Defense Acquisition Management Information Retrieval
DoD - Department of Defense
DSN - Defense Switched Network
EMD - Engineering and Manufacturing Development
EVM - Earned Value Management
FOC - Full Operational Capability
FMS - Foreign Military Sales
FRP - Full Rate Production
FY - Fiscal Year
FYDP - Future Years Defense Program
ICE - Independent Cost Estimate
IOC - Initial Operational Capability
Inc - Increment
JROC - Joint Requirements Oversight Council
$K - Thousands of Dollars
KPP - Key Performance Parameter
LRIP - Low Rate Initial Production
$M - Millions of Dollars
MDA - Milestone Decision Authority
MDAP - Major Defense Acquisition Program
MILCON - Military Construction
N/A - Not Applicable
O&M - Operations and Maintenance
ORD - Operational Requirements Document
OSD - Office of the Secretary of Defense
O&S - Operating and Support
PAUC - Program Acquisition Unit Cost
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
PB - President's Budget
PE - Program Element
PEO - Program Executive Officer
PM - Program Manager
POE - Program Office Estimate
RDT&E - Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation
SAR - Selected Acquisition Report
SCP - Service Cost Position
TBD - To Be Determined
TY - Then Year
UCR - Unit Cost Reporting
U.S. - United States
USD(AT&L) - Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology and Logistics)
USD(A&S) - Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition and Sustainment)
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Program Information
Program Name
Global Positioning System III Follow-On Production (GPS IIIF)
DoD Component
Air Force
This is a United States Space Force program.
Responsible Office
Col Edward Byrne Phone: 310-653-3211
483 N. Aviation Fax: 310-653-3005
El Segundo, CA 90245
DSN Phone: 633-3211
DSN Fax: 633-3005
edward.byrne@us.af.mil Date Assigned: May 1,2019
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
References
SAR Baseline (Development Estimate)
Component Acquisition Executive (CAE) Approved Acquisition Program Baseline (APB) dated September 12, 2018
Approved APB
Component Acquisition Executive (CAE) Approved Acquisition Program Baseline (APB) dated September 12, 2018
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Mission and Description
The Global Positioning System (GPS) is a satellite-based radio navigation system developed and delivered by Air Force
Space Command's Space and Missile Systems Center/Global Positioning Systems Directorate. GPS provides satellite
signals to military and civil users worldwide to determine accurate Position, Navigation and Timing (PNT). GPS provides
strategic and tactical support to the following DoD missions: Joint Operations by providing capabilities for PNT; Command,
Control, Communications, and Intelligence; Special Operations; Military Operations in Urban Terrain; Defense-Wide Mission
Support; Air Mobility; and Space Launch Orbital Support. GPS III Follow-On (GPS IIIF) complies with section 2281 of title 10,
United States Code (USC), ensuring the continued sustainment and operation of GPS for military and civilian purposes, and
section 50112 of title 51, USC, continuing as an international standard available on a continuous worldwide basis free of
direct user fees.
GPS IIIF is an Acquisition Category IB program that, in concert with the GPS III program, comprises the next generation of
space vehicles (SVs) providing significant enhancements to modernize the constellation originally delivered under the
Naystar GPS program. GPS IIIF will deliver the next block of GPS III satellites beyond the first 10 GPS III SVs.
GPS IIIF will provide new capabilities to meet increased demands of both military and civilian users. Building on the technical
baseline of GPS III satellites, the program will provide increased anti-jam capabilities for the military with Regional Military
Protection capability. It also will add other new capabilities by hosting a Search-and-Rescue GPS payload designed to
assist with the global search-and-rescue mission area and enable precision ranging measurements by hosting a Laser
Retro-reflector Array. It will address the consolidation of telemetry, tracking, and commanding frequencies by enabling
compliance with the Unified S-Band capabilities. Finally, the program will host a redesigned Nuclear Detonation Detection
System (NDS) solution with a lower overall size and weight requirement.
The GPS IIIF program provides a Standard Positioning Service to a broad spectrum of civil users, including the four civil
signals (L1 C/A, L1C, L2C, and L5) flown on GPS III satellites. The Ll C signal is compatible with the European Galileo
satellite navigation system signal, El. Ll C is also compatible with those signals planned for broadcast on Japan's Quasi-
Zenith Satellite System (QZSS), a system meant to augment GPS services. This common civil signal will be jointly
broadcast by up to 60 satellites from the GPS, Galileo, and QZSS constellations, further increasing the accuracy and
availability of user PNT solutions. The program also benefits the civil community by hosting laser retroreflectors, used to
refine the International Terrestrial Reference Frame, and particle sensors, used for space-based environmental monitoring.
Consistent with the program's support for military users, the GPS IIIF program provides Precise Positioning Service
(PPS) for military operations and force enhancement. It also provides increased anti-jam power to the earth coverage
Military-Code signals and anti-exploitation techniques in order to prevent unauthorized use of the GPS PPS signal. In
addition, the program will support the United States NDS mission for worldwide monitoring and detection of nuclear events,
as well as the international Cospas-Sarsat Search and Rescue mission for detection and location of emergency beacons,
both via hosted payloads.
The GPS IIIF SVs build upon the GPS III program's approach to respond rapidly to warfighter capability requirements. The
GPS IIIF program will also focus on space vehicle affordability, capability and future requirements, and resiliency. The Air
Force is using its research laboratories to mature mission related capabilities and technologies (e.g. advanced clocks,
amplifiers, crosslinks) to inform future PNT architectures.
On December 20, 2019, the President of the United States established the United States Space Force which assumed the
responsibility for all major space acquisition programs. This program is now a United States Space Force program.
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Executive Summary
Program Highlights Since Last Report
The MDA approved Milestone B certification on September 12, 2018. The certification included waivers granted for the
requirements in section 2366(a)(3)(L), as it pertains to the development of an Independent Technical Risk Assessment
(ITRA) and in 2366(a)(1) for the requirement of a Preliminary Design Review. The Milestone B ADM requires the program to
conduct a Critical Design Review (CDR) and ITRA prior to returning for a Milestone C production decision.
The program successfully completed the initial Integrated Baseline Review and kicked off the CDR campaign in March
2019. Since CDR kickoff, the team has successfully conducted 50 out of 50 Qualification Review Boards and 65 out of 66
unit-level CDRs, including the Navigation Payload Element CDR on November 21, 2019. CY 2020 efforts will focus on
closing out the Space Vehicle (SV) CDR campaign, supporting execution of the ITRA by the Air Force, conducting a
Milestone C review, and exercising the first production option for SV13. The program will exercise production options
beyond FY 2020 using an annual buy approach of one to four SVs per year, with the objective of procuring at least two SVs
each year to realize significant cost savings through economies of scale.
There are no significant software-related issues with this program at this time.
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
History of Significant Developments Since Program Initiation
History of Significant Developments Since Program Initiation
Date Significant Development Description
March 2018 GPS IIIF CDD approved.
August 2018 GPS IIIF SCP approved.
September 2018 The GPS IIIF program obtained Milestone B certification and APB approvalon September 12,
2018.
September 2018 GPS IIIF awarded a competitively-procured contract on September 26, 2018 to Lockheed Martin
Space. The Fixed Price Incentive/Award Fee contract includes non -recurring engineering,
satellite simulators, and Space Vehicles 11 -12.
March 2019 The program completed the initial Integrated Baseline Review for the scope awarded in
September 2018.
March 2019 GPS IIIF initiated the Critical Design Review (CDR) campaign for the baseline technical design.
November 2019 j Successfully held the Navigation Payload Element CDR.
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Threshold Breaches
APB Breaches
Schedule r-
Performance E.
Cost RDT&E r-
Procurement E
MILCON r-
Acq O&M E
O&S Cost
Unit Cost PAUC
APUC r-
Nunn-McCurdy Breaches
Current UCR Baseline
PAUC None
APUC None
Original UCR Baseline
PAUC None
APUC None
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Schedule
SAR Baseline Current Objective II APB Objective and Threshold • Current Estimate • Current Estimate (Breach)
'1 8 '1 9 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '23 '29
. .
GPS IIIF
B.mMI
GPS IIIF tOilestone B
GPS IIIF Critical Design Revi...
111.="11
GPS IIIF Milestone C
GPS IIIF SV11 AFL
GPS IIIF SV12 AFL
Schedule Events
Ell r-S-AR Baseline Current APB
Current I
Events Development Development
Estimate
Estimate Objective/Threshold
GPS IIIF Milestone B Jul 2018 Jul 2018 Jan 2019 Sep 2018
GPS IIIF Critical Design Review Sep 2020 Sep 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2020
GPS IIIF Milestone C Dec 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Jun 2020
GPS IIIF SV11 AFL 1Jan 2028 Jan 2028 Jul 2028 Feb 2026
GPS IIIF SV12 AFL Oct 2028 Oct 2028 Apr 2029 Aug 2026
None
Acronyms and Abbreviations
AFL - Available for Launch
GPS - Global Positioning System
SV - Space Vehicle
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Performance
Performance Characteristics
SAR Baseline urfeht
Demonstrated Current
Development Development
Performance Estimate
Estimate Objective/Threshold
Backward Compatibility
All modifications made All modifications (T=0) All TBD All modifications
to the existing GPS made to the existing modifications made to made to the existing
Space Segment and GPS Space Segment the existing GPS GPS Space Segment
Control Segment shall and Control Segment Space Segment and and Control Segment
allow continued shall allow continued Control Segment shall shall allow continued
operation of existing operation of existing allow continued operation of existing
ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-200 and operation of existing ICD-GPS-200 and
ICD-GPS-800, IS-GPS 700, ICD-GPS-800. IS ICD-GPS-200 and 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS
-705, and SS-GPS-001 -GPS-705, and SS- 700, ICD-GPS-800, IS -GPS-705, and SS-
compliant UE and GPS-001 compliant -GPS-705, and SS- GPS-001 compliant
continued operation of UE and continued GPS-001 compliant UE and continued
legacy receivers (to operation of legacy UE and continued operation of legacy
include Federal receivers (to include operation of legacy receivers (to include
augmentation system Federal augmentation receivers (to include Federal augmentation
receivers). system receivers). Federal augmentation system receivers).
system receivers).
User Range Error (meters)
.2 2 1.1 TBD .2
Position and Time Transfer Integrity
.0001 .0001 (1=0) .0001 TBD .0001
Satellite Availability
'0.984 0.984 (T=0) 0.984 TBD 0.984
Sustainment (Operational) Availability 5.1.4.1
Achievement of the Achievement of the (T=0) Achievement of TBD Achievement of the
Availability of Position Availability of Position the Availability of Availability of Position
Accuracy KPP and Accuracy KPP and Position Accuracy Accuracy KPP and
Time Transfer Time Transfer KPP and Time Time Transfer
Accuracy KPP Accuracy KPP Transfer Accuracy Accuracy KPP
thresholds satisfies thresholds satisfies KPP thresholds thresholds satisfies
this KPP this KPP satisfies this KPP this KPP
Sustainment (Materiel) Availability 5.1.4.2
Achievement of the Achievement of the (T=0) Achievement of TBD Achievement of the
Availability of Position Availability of Position the Availability of Availability of Position
Accuracy KPP and Accuracy KPP and Position Accuracy Accuracy KPP and
Time Transfer Time Transfer KPP and Time Time Transfer
Accuracy KPP Accuracy KPP Transfer Accuracy Accuracy KPP
thresholds satisfies thresholds satisfies KPP thresholds thresholds satisfies
this KPP this KPP satisfies this KPP this KPP
Regional Military Protection
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Each GPS III Follow- Each GPS III Follow- (T=0) Each GPS III TBD Each GPS III Follow-
On satellite shall On satellite shall Follow-On satellite On satellite shall
provide a -140 dBW provide a -140 dBW shall provide a -140 provide a -140 dBW
(measured at a 5- (measured at a 5- dBW (measured at a (measured at a 5-
degree minimum user degree minimum user 5-degree minimum degree minimum user
elevation mask angle) elevation mask angle) user elevation mask elevation mask angle)
regional high-power M- regional high-power M angle) regional high- regional high-power M
Code signal on both L1 -Code signal on both power M-Code signal -Code signal on both
and L2 I L1 and L2 on both L1 and L2 L-1 and L2
System Survivability (5.1.2)
The System I The System
mimi= vimmi
(T=0) The System TBD The System
Survivability KPP is Survivability KPP is Survivability KPP is Survivability KPP is
satisfied by meeting satisfied by meeting satisfied by meeting satisfied by meeting
the thresholds of the the thresholds of the the thresholds of the the thresholds of the
Availability of Position Availability of Position Availability of Position Availability of Position
Accuracy KPP (SS Accuracy KPP (SS Accuracy KPP (SS Accuracy KPP (SS
and CS; Position and and CS; Position and and CS; Position and and CS; Position and
Time Transfer Integrity Time Transfer Time Transfer Integrity Time Transfer
KPP (SS and CS)); Integrity KPP (SS and KPP (SS and CS)); Integrity KPP (SS and
System Survivability CS)); System System Survivability CS)); System
System Survivability Survivability System System Survivability Survivability System
KPP and associated Survivability KPP and KPP and associated Survivability KPP and
CSA (SS and CS) associated CSA (SS CSA (SS and CS) associated CSA (SS
and CS) and CS)
CDD dated March 20, 2018
None
CS - Control Segment
CSA - Cyber Survivability Attributes
dBW - decibel watt
GPS - Global Positioning System
ICD - Interface Control Documents
IS - Interface Specification
M-Code - Military Code
O - Objective
SS - Space Segment
T - Threshold
UE - User Equipment
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Track to Budget
General Notes
In December 2019, the Office of Management and Budget directed the DoD to establish new Space Force RDT&E and
procurement appropriations. Beginning in FY 2021, space-related RDT&E funding, formerly under 3600F (RDT&E, Air
Force) is contained in 3620SF (RDT&E, Space Force) and space procurement funding formerly under 3021F (Space
Procurement, Air Force) is contained in 3022SF (Procurement, Space Force).
RDT&E
Air Force 3600 07 1203265F
67A019 GPS Ill Space Segment (Shared) (Sunk)
Air Force 3600 05 1203269F
653170 Global Positioning System Ill - Follow-on (Sunk)
Air Force 3620 05 1203269SF
111221W- 1
653170 Global Positioning System Ill - Follow-on
Procurement
Air Force 3021 01 1203269F
GPSO3C Global Positioning System III - Follow-on (Sunk)
Air Force 3022 01 1203269SF
23GPSF Global Positioning System III - Follow-on
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost and Funding
Cost Summary
Total Acquisition Cost
BY 2018 $M TY $M
Appropriation SAR Baseline Current APB 1 SAR Baseline Current APB
Current Current
Development Development Development Development
Estimate Estimate
Estimate Objective/Threshold Estimate Objective
RDT&E 3160.8 3160.8 3476.9 3082.7 3549.2 3549.2 3479.4
Procurement 6113.0 6113.0 6724.3 6048.6 7222.3 7222.3 7219.7
Flyaway 5021.1 5945.3
Recurring 5021.1 5945.3
Non Recurring 0.0 0.0
Support 1027.5 1274.4
Other Support 1027.5 1274.4
Initial Spares 0.0 0.0
MILCON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Acq O&M 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 9273.8 9273.8 N/A 9131.3 10771.5 10771.5 10699.1
Current APB Cost Estimate Reference
SCP dated August 21, 2018
Cost Notes
No cost estimate for the program has been completed in the previous year.
Total Quantity
SAR Baseline
Current APB
[ Quantity Development Current Estimate
Development
Estimate
RDT&E 2 2 2
Procurement 20 20 20
Total 22 22 22
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost and Funding
Funding Summary
Appropriation Summary
FY 2021 President's Budget / December 2019 SAR (TY$ M)
To
Appropriation Prior FY 2020 FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 FY 2025 Total I
Complete
RDT&E 614.4 447.9 263.5 267.5 294.7 286.3 177.1 1128.0 3479.4
Procurement 0.0 394.6 627.8 634.8 640.7 920.7 750.8 3250.3 7219.7
MILCON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Acq O&M 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
PB 2021 Total 614.4 842.5 891.3 902.3 935.4 1207.0 927.9 4378.3 10699.1
PB 2020 Total 629.1 877.5 907.9 1148.4 1190.9 1206.4 886.5 3924.8 10771.5
Delta -14.7 -35.0 -16.6 -246.1 -255.5 0.6 41.4 453.5 -72.4
Quantity Summary
FY 2021 President's Budget! December 2019 SAR (TY$ M) -11M11
FY FY FY FY FY FY To
Quantity Undistributed Prior Total
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Complete
Development 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Production 0 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 8 20
PB 2021 Total 2 0 1 2 2 2 3 2 8 22
PB 2020 Total 2 0 1 2 3 3 3 2 6 22
Delta 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 0 0 2 0
UNCLASSIFIED 16UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost and Funding
Annual Funding By Appropriation
Annual Funding
3600 I RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Air Force ii
TV $1V1
Fiscal Non End 1
Quantity End Item Non
Year Item Total Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway rrtSupporogram
P
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2008 2.0
2009 13.1
2010 21.9
2011 21.8
2012 15.0
2013 27.3
2014 13.0
2015 21.3
2016 8.6
2017 23.7
2018 34.5
2019 412.2
2020 447.9
Subtotal 2 1062.3
UNCLASSIFIED 17UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3600 I RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Air Force
BY 2018 $N1
Fiscal Non End
Quantity End Item 1 Non
Year Item Total Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2008 2.3
2009 14.9
2010 24.6
2011 24.1
2012 16.3
2013 29.1
2014 13.7
2015 22.2
2016 8.8
2017 23.8
2018 34.0
2019 398.6
2020 424.5
Subtotal 2 1036.9
UNCLASSIFIED 18UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3620 RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Space Force, Air Force
TY SIN
Fiscal Non End
Quantity End Item Non
Year Item Total Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2021 263.5
2022 267.5
2023 294.7
2024 286.3
2025 177.1
2026 191.4
2027 173.7
2028 205.9
2029 89.2
2030 90.9
2031 92.8
2032 94.6
2033 96.6
2034 92.9
Subtotal 2417.1
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3620 RDT&E I Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, Space Force, Air Force
BY 2018 $N1
Fiscal Non End
Quantity End Item Non
Year Item Total Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2021 244.9
2022 243.7
2023 263.2
2024 250.7
2025 152.0
2026 161.1
2027 143.3
2028 166.6
2029 70.7
2030 70.7
2031 70.7
2032 70.7
2033 70.8
2034 66.7
Subtotal 2045.8
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3021 I Procurement I Space Procurement, Air Force =
111 - TY VVII
IF Non End
Fiscal End Item Non
Quantity Item Total 1 Total Total
Year Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
I- Flyaway
2020 1 333.3 25.0 358.3 36.3 394.6
Subtotal 1 333.3 25.0 358.3 36.3 394.6
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3021 I Procurement I Space Procurement, Air Force
BY 2018 $M
Fiscal Non End
Quantity End Item Non
Year Item Total 1 Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2020 1 308.0 23.1 331.1 33.6 364.7
Subtotal 1 308.0 23.1 331.1 33.6 364.7
UNCLASSIFIED 22UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3022 I Procurement I Procurement, Space Force, Air Force
TY $1V1
Fiscal Non End
Quantity End Item Non
Year Item Total I Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2021 2 517.1 47.2 564.3 63.5 627.8
2022 2 486.7 67.7 554.4 80.4 634.8
2023 2 485.5 67.7 553.2 87.5 640.7
2024 3 757.3 74.0 831.3 89.4 920.7
2025 2 605.2 57.5 662.7 88.1 750.8
2026 2 543.8 66.7 610.5 121.1 731.6
2027 3 800.9 69.2 870.1 125.0 995.1
2028 3 806.3 72.4 878.7 144.2 1022.9
2029 14.5 14.5 110.0 124.5
2030 13.4 13.4 70.3 83.7
2031 13.7 13.7 67.6 81.3
2032 14.0 14.0 65.3 79.3
2033 3.1 3.1 62.7 65.8
2034 3.1 3.1 63.0 66.1
Subtotal 19 5002.8 584.2 5587.0 1238.1 6825.1
UNCLASSIFIED 23UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Annual Funding
3022 I Procurement I Procurement, Space Force, Air Force
BY 2018 $M 1=11P
Fiscal Non End 1
Quantity End Item Non
Year Item Total I Total Total
Recurring Recurring
Recurring Flyaway Support Program
Flyaway Flyaway
Flyaway
2021 2 468.5 42.8 511.3 57.5 568.8
2022 2 432.3 60.1 492.4 71.4 563.8
2023 2 422.8 59.0 481.8 76.1 557.9
2024 3 646.5 63.2 709.7 76.3 786.0
2025 2 506.6 48.1 554.7 73.7 628.4
2026 2 446.2 54.7 500.9 99.4 600.3
2027 3 644.3 55.7 700.0 100.6 800.6
2028 3 635.9 57.1 693.0 113.8 806.8
2029 11.2 11.2 85.1 96.3
2030 10.2 10.2 53.3 63.5
2031 10.2 10.2 50.2 60.4
2032 10.2 10.2 47.6 57.8
2033 2.2 2.2 44.8 47.0
2034 2.2 2.2 44.1 46.3
Subtotal 19 4203.1 486.9 4690.0 993.9 5683.9
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Charts
GPS IIIF first began SAR reporting in September 2018
Program Acquisition Cost - GPS IIIF
Base Year 2018 $M
12000
13—
S
0
V!
3319
MR Submission Date
-e- Aoq Cost (TYS) Acq Cost (SYS) - Percent Delivered Percent Expended
Quantity - GPS IIIF
2019
SAR Submission Date
Development QTY Production QTY --•-• Total QTY
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GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Unit Cost - GPS IIIF
Base Year 2018 $M
ECC
-
"D.C.0 -
ry.) 20C-
100 -
2019
SAR Submission Date
PAUC BYS —•— PAUC UCRB % Chg —•— PAUC Original % Chg APUC Original % Chg
APUC BYS APUC UCRB % Chg
UNCLASSIFIED 26UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Risks
Significant Schedule and Technical Risks
Significant Schedule and Technical Risks
1. Constellation Performance: Congress, DoD, and/or Air Force currently does not fund GPS Directorate to
acquire 2-3 Space Vehicles (SVs) per year due to funding constraints, thus putting at risk constellation
sustainment and performance.
2. Design Not Mature: GPS Ill Follow-On Production designs may not be sufficiently mature due to
requirements changes driving expanded non-recurring engineering effort to establish the production line.
3. Space Modular Common Crypto: May not meet GPS IIIF operating environment requirements.
_Current Estimate (December 2019
1. Critical Design Review (CDR) Schedule: Updates to the GPS IIIF design may make it difficult to hold the 1-
year CDR schedule.
2. Launch & Checkout Capability (LCC) Giver-Receiver: Potential disconnects in delivery dates for Government
Furnished items may delay LCC readiness for integrated system testing and the Mission Readiness
Campaign.
3. Performance Test Risk: New payloads and capabilities may result in unforeseen anomalies during testing.
4. National Security Agency (NSA) Certification: New NSA certification requirements may expand the
Information Security boundary, which could drive schedule delays for Information Assurance milestones.
UNCLASSIFIED 27UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Risks
Risk and Sensitivity Analysis
Risks and Sensitivity Analysis
Current Baseline Estimate (September 2018)
1. Total Acquisition Cost - $9,273.8 (Qty 22) PAUC - $421.536 (Qty 22); APUC - $305.65 (Qty 20). SCP was
conducted at contract ceiling price; Non-Recurring Engineering (NRE) SV11-12 and simulators are Fixed
Price Incentive Fee/Award Fee (FPIF/AF), SV13-32 are FPIF. This approach is intended to control cost in a
manner consistent with the relative maturity of the requirements and technical baseline, production
; designs, and their associated execution risk.
Original Baseline Estimate (September 2018)
1. Milestone B APB (BY 2018 $M): Total Acquisition Cost - $9,273.8 (Qty 22) PAUC - $421.536 (Qty 22);
APUC - $305.65 (Qty 20). SCP conducted at contract ceiling price; NRE SV11-12 and simulators are
FPIF/AF, SV13-32 are FPIF. This approach is intended to control cost in a manner consistent with the
relative maturity of the requirements and technical baseline, production designs, and their associated
execution risk.
Revised Original Estimate (N/A)
None
Current Procurement Cost (December 2019)
1 Total Acquisition Cost - $9,127.1 (Qty 22) PAUC - $414.868 (Qty 22); APUC - $302.370 (Qty 20). Current
estimates and funding profile are based upon a SCP, originally approved on July 13, 2018 (an SCP
Addendum was signed August 21, 2018). SCP conducted at contract ceiling price; NRE SV11-12 and
simulators are FPIF/AF, SV13-32 are FPIF. The program is expecting an updated SCP in May 2020 to
support Milestone C.
UNCLASSIFIED 28UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Low Rate Initial Production
There is no LRIP for this program.
UNCLASSIFIED 29UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Foreign Military Sales
None
UNCLASSIFIED 30UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Nuclear Costs
None
UNCLASSIFIED 31UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Unit Cost
Current UCR Baseline and Current Estimate (Base-Year Dollars)
Current UCR % Change
Current Estimate
Baseline
( Dec 2019 SAR)
(Sep 2018 APB)
Program Acquisition Unit Cost
Cost 9273.8 9131.3
Quantity 22 22
Unit Cost 421.536 415.059 -1.54
Average Procurement Unit Cost
Cost 6113.0 6048.6
Quantity 20 20
Unit Cost 305.650 302.430 -1.05
Original UCR Baseline and Current Estimate (Base-Year Dollars)
BY 2018 VA BY 2018 $N1
Item Original UCR % Change
Current Estimate
Baseline
(Dec 2019 SAR)
(Sep 2018 APB)
Program Acquisition Unit Cost
Cost 9273.8 9131.3
Quantity 22 22
Unit Cost 421.536 415.059 -1.54
Average Procurement Unit Cost
Cost 6113.0 6048.6
Quantity 20 20
Unit Cost 305.650 302.430 -1.05
UNCLASSIFIED 32UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
APB Unit Cost History
AM PAU
A APU',:
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.41,•4`42 '
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.) N§C '•(UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
SAR Baseline History
Milestone A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Milestone B N/A Jul 2018 N/A Sep 2018
Milestone C N/A Dec 2020 N/A Jun 2020
IOC N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Cost (TY $M) N/A 10771.5 N/A 10699.1
Total Quantity N/A 22 N/A 22
PAUC N/A 489.614 N/A 486.323
UNCLASSIFIED 34UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Cost Variance
1 Summary TY $M
Item RDT&E Procurement MILCON Total
SAR Baseline (Development 3549.2 7222.3 10771.5
Estimate)
Previous Changes
Economic +11.4 +28.4 +39.8
Quantity
Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -11.4 -23.2 -34.6
Other
Support -5.2 -5.2
Subtotal
Current Changes
Economic -1.9 -4.2 -6.1
Quantity -57.7 -57.7
Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -67.9 +59.0 -8.9
Other
Support +0.3 +0.3
Subtotal -69.8 -2.6 -72.4
Total Changes -69.8 -2.6 -72.4
Current Estimate 3479.4 7219.7 10699.1
UNCLASSIFIED 35UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Summary BY 2018 $M
Item RDT&E Procurement MILCON Total
SAR Baseline (Development 3160.8 6113.0 9273.8
Estimate)
Previous Changes
Economic
Quantity
Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -16.4 -19.6 -36.0
Other
Support -4.4 -4.4
Subtotal -16.4 -24.0 -40.4
Current Changes
Economic
Quantity -88.2 -88.2
Schedule
Engineering
Estimating -61.7 +47.1 -14.6
Other
Support +0.7 +0.7
Subtotal -61.7 -40.4 -102.1
Total Changes -78.1 -64.4 -142.5
Current Estimate 3082.7 6048.6 9131.3
Previous Estimate: December 2018
UNCLASSIFIED 36UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
RDT&E $M
Base Then
Current Change Explanations
Year Year
Revised escalation indices. (Economic) N/A -1.9
Revised estimate due to Congressional reduction in FY 2020 which increases -14.3 -15.0
schedule risk. (Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Small Business Innovative Research in FY 2019. (Estimating) -14.3 -14.7
Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Estimating) +0.7 +0.7
Funds transferred within program from Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, -2044.3 -2415.7
Air Force appropriation to newly added Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation,
Space Force appropriation. (Estimating)
Funds transferred within program from Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation, +2044.5 +2415.7
Air Force appropriation to newly added Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation,
Space Force appropriation. (Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Air Force-wide funding adjustments. (Estimating) -2.8 -2.6
Revised estimate due to due to higher priority defense planning guidance. (Estimating) -31.2 -36.3
RDT&E Subtotal -61.7 -69.8
Procurement $M
Base Then
Current Change Explanations
Year Year
Revised escalation indices. (Economic) N/A -4.2
Total Quantity variance resulting from a decrease of 19 satellites from 20 to 1 (Space -4341.2 -5105.9
Procurement, Air Force (SPAF)). (Subtotal)
Quantity variance resulting from a decrease of 19 satellites from 20 to 1 (SPAF). (-4358.2) (-5125.8)
(Quantity)
Allocation to Estimating resulting from Quantity change. (Estimating) (OR) (+17.0) (+19.9)
Total Quantity variance resulting from an increase of 19 satellites from 0 to 19 +4341.2 +5159.0
(Procurement, Space Force, Air Force (PSFAF). (Subtotal)
Quantity variance resulting from an increase of 19 satellites from 0 to 19 (+4358.1) (+5179.0)
(PSFAF). (Quantity)
Allocation to Estimating resulting from Quantity change. (Estimating) (OR) (-16.9) (-20.0)
Additional quantity variance as a result of actual unit values verse average unit cost -88.1 -110.9
values not accounted for in estimate model (SPAF). (Quantity)
Revised estimate due to Air Force-wide funding adjustments (SPAF). (Estimating) -0.4 -0.4
Revised estimate in FY 2021 to buy down cost of reprogammability (SPAF). +65.1 +77.8
(Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Congressional reduction in FY 2020 which increases -18.4 -20.0
schedule risk (SPAF). (Estimating)
Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Estimating) +0.1 +0.2
Funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force Procurement -4692.9 -5589.7
appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation
(SPAF). (Estimating)
Funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force Procurement +4692.5 +5589.7
appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement appropriation
(PSPAF). (Estimating)
Revised estimate due to Air Force wide inflation adjustment. (Estimating) -2.2 -2.6
UNCLASSIFIED 37UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Revised estimate to reflect application of new outyear indices (SPAF). (Estimating) +3.2 +4.1
Adjustment for current and prior escalation. (Support) +0.1 0.0
Support funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force -993.3 -1237.8
Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement
appropriation (SPAF). (Support)
Support funds transferred within program from Space Procurement, Air Force +993.9 +1238.1
Procurement appropriation to newly added Space Force, Air Force Procurement
appropriation (PSFAF). (Support)
Procurement Subtotal -40.4 -2.6
(OR) Quantity Related
UNCLASSIFIED 38UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Contracts
Contract Identification
Appropriation: RDT&E
Contract Name: Global Positioning System III Follow-On (GPS IIIF)
Contractor: Lockheed Martin Corporation
Contractor Location: 12257 S Wadsworth Blvd
Littleton, CO 80125
Contract Number: FA8807-18-C-0009/1
Contract Type: Fixed Price Incentive(Firm Target) (FPIF)
Award Date: September 26, 2018
Definitization Date: September 26, 2018
Contract Price
Initial Contract Price ($M) Current Contract Price ($M) Estimated Price At Completion ($M)
I Target Ceiling Qty Target Ceiling Qty Contractor Program Manager di
1362.1 1499.7 2 1370.9 1647.1 2 1470.9 1470.9
Target Price Change Explanation
The difference between the Initial Contract Price Target and the Current Contract Price Target is due to the addition of a
National Security Agency Information Assurance Security Requirements Directive.
Contract Variance
Cost Variance Schedule Variance
Cumulative Variances To Date (12/22/2019) -1.2 -20.5
Previous Cumulative Variances 0.0 0.0
Net Change -1.2 -20.5
Cost and Schedule Variance Explanations
The unfavorable cumulative cost variance is due to a disconnect in claiming performance on an in negotiation Performance
Based Payment (PBP).
The unfavorable cumulative schedule variance is due to continuing disconnects in claiming performance on subcontract
PBPs. Almost all major subcontracts are now properly set in the baseline, but miscommunication between the Lockheed
Martin Subcontracts and Business Operations teams has introduced false variances. Corrective action is in place and the
Earned Value corrections are forecasted for the month end January 2020 data.
UNCLASSIFIED 39UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Deliveries and Expenditures
Deliveries
Planned to — Percent
Delivered to Date Actual to Date Total Quantity
Date Delivered
Development 2 0.00%
Production 20 0.00%
Total Program Quantity Delivered 22 0.00%
Expended and Appropriated (TV $M)
Total Acquisition Cost 10699.1 Years Appropriated 13
Expended to Date 350.1 Percent Years Appropriated 48.15%
Percent Expended 3.27% Appropriated to Date 1456.9
Total Funding Years 27 Percent Appropriated 13.62%
The above data is current as of February 10, 2020.
UNCLASSIFIED 40UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Operating and Support Cost
Cost Estimate Details
Date of Estimate:
Source of Estimate:
Quantity to Sustain:
Unit of Measure:
Service Life per Unit:
Fiscal Years in Service:
The O&S costs for the GPS IIIF system will be captured in the sustainment of the Next Generation Operational Control
System in a future update.
Sustainment Strategy
None
Antecedent Information
For reporting purposes, the antecedent system for this program is GPS III.
I Antecedent Item
YYYY
(Antecedent)
Unit-Level Manpower
Unit Operations
Maintenance
Sustaining Support
Continuing System Improvements
Indirect Support
Other
Total
Total O&S Cost $M
GPS IIIF
Antecedent Item
Current Development APB
Objective/Threshold I Current Estimate am (Antecedent)
Base Year N/A N/A N/A N/A
Then Year N/A N/A N/A 0.0
O&S Cost Variance
UNCLASSIFIED 41UNCLASSIFIED
GPS IIIF December 2019 SAR
Prior SAR Total O&S Estimates - Dec 0.0
2018 SAR
Programmatic/Planning Factors 0.0
Cost Estimating Methodology 0.0
Cost Data Update 0.0
Labor Rate 0.0
Energy Rate 0.0
Technical Input 0.0
Other 0.0
Total Changes 0.0
Current Estimate 0.0
Disposal Estimate Details
Date of Estimate:
Source of Estimate:
Disposal/Demilitarization Total Cost (BY 2018 $M):
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