WORLD CUP 2014 IN BRAZIL - Associação Brasileira da Infraestrutura e Indústrias de Base Analysis of infrastructure at candidate host cities for ...
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WORLD CUP 2014 IN BRAZIL
Analysis of infrastructure at candidate host
cities for FIFA World Cup 2014 in Brazil
Associação Brasileira da Infraestrutura
e Indústrias de Base
Ralph Lima Terra
Executive Vice President
Pág. 1Summary
• Technical Cooperation Agreement
• Objectives, assumptions and directions
• Methodology
• Main results
• Next steps
• Phase II
Pág. 2ABDIB PROJECT FOR WORLD CUP 2014
Pág. 3OBJECTIVE, ASSUMPTIONS and DIRECTIONS:
• Identify the actual status of infrastructure and services as well as
the investment need in the 18 candidate cities to host the World
Cup 2014.
• Based on FIFA parameters, ABDIB selected 2 requirement levels
– minimum and ideal – and also 49 indicators across 9 different
dimensions to be able to evaluate the status of infrastructure
and services and also the efforts to be made to match those
requirements.
• Dimensions analyzed: urban mobility, airports, ports,
telecommunications, energy, sanitation, hospital network, hotel
network, and public security.
Pág. 4OBJECTIVE, ASSUMPTIONS and DIRECTIONS:
• Analysis of
• projects already under way,
• existing projects (with no works started yet);
• projected investment (with no structured projects yet).
• Recommendation for projects and investment to attain FIFA minimum
or ideal requirements, with private participation preferencially.
• All projects must be economically and financially sustainable to avoid
over investment that may become obsolete after World Cup 2014.
• Investment must leave a legacy of economic and social development to
the cities.
Pág. 5ASSUMPTIONS BY EACH DIMENSION:
Examples
URBAN MOBILITY:
MOBILITY besides its vegetative growth, it takes into consideration
the traffic increase in each particular city, once it grows at different rates
depending on the transport fleet expansion.
AIRPORTS:
AIRPORTS metropolitan areas are considered (for SP, Rio and BH a circle
with a 150 km radius). For SP, three airports are analyzed, for Rio and BH
two.
PORTS:
PORTS it considers the sector growth projection for passenger transport
HOTELS:
HOTELS It considers the tourist rate growth for each one of the cities until
2014 and its urban population growth based on figures by IBGE in a circle
with a 150 km radius.
Pág. 6ASSUMPTIONS BY EACH DIMENSION:
Examples
ENERGY:
ENERGY It contemplates supply and ditribution of electric energy and all
metropolitan regions.
TELECOMMUNICATION:
TELECOMMUNICATION It includes fixed and mobile telephony and also
wide band.
HOSPITAL NETWORK:
NETWORK It includes both public and private hospitals, with all
services, including emergency and intensive care.
SANITATION: It considers both metropolitan and exclusively municipal
infrastructure systems.
SECURITY:
SECURITY Civilian and military police are analyzed, with other specialized
services as well as firemen.
Pág. 7Example: 2008 hotel network in SP
Pág. 8Example: 2008 urban mobility in SP
Pág. 9Process and methodology
Focus was on:
Existing investment plans:
Projects officially informed by the candidate cities, government and/or other
authorities.
Additional recommended projects:
Projects that may contribute to improve infrastructure status and services in each
city as well as to attain the minimum or the ideal quality level, according to FIFA.
Minimum Set of requirements to be a host city for World Cup 2014.
Level
Ideal Enabling the city to host any game for World Cup 2014, independently of the phase.
Level
Pág. 10Process and methodology
Conclusion and analysis report for each city
Gap evaluation and suggestion of alternative plans
Local survey of missing information
Evaluation of collected information
(around 50 professionals involved)
Identification of supplementary information
Identification of scenarios to be achieved (KPI’s focus)
Identification of indicators and/or criteria to be evaluated
Institutional calls
Analysis of the program of public works
Dimensions
(Urban Mobility, Airports, Ports, Hotel network, Hospital network, Sanitation, Energy, Telecommunication, Public Security
Pág. 11Process and methodology
Collection of information at governmental institutions
Institution Collected information
DNIT Investment in transport
Ministry of the Cities Investment in infrastructure
Ministry of Justice Investment in public security
ABRADEE Information on energy
ANAC Investment in airports
ANATEL Information on telecommunications
ONS Information on energy
ANTAQ Information on ports
Infraero Investment in airports
Embratur Information on international tourism
ANEEL Investment in energy
ANTT Investment in transport
FOHB Information on lodging
SENASP Information on public security
ANA Information on sanitation
ANS Information on healthcare
Pág. 12WORLD CUP 2014
GAP ANALYSIS Explanation
18
Urban
A B Candidate A Actual status
Mobility
cities
B Estimated status in
Key Indicators- Minimum level - 2014
Airports A B 2014 with existing
Key Indicators - Ideal level - 2014
projects
Gap still open to be
Ports A B closed with
recommended
Hotel A B additional projects
network
Minimum Minimum
Power A B Level level of
requirements
to be a host
city for 2014
Telecomm. A B World Cup
Hospital
network A B Ideal Ideal level to
level enable a city
Sanitation to host any
A B game in 2014
World Cup,
independently
Security 13
A B of the phaseWORLD CUP 2014
Process and methodology
Number of indicators used in each area
Area* Number of indicators
Transport – Airports 3
Transport - Ports 1 (*)
Transport – Urban Mobility 6
Hotel Network 6
Hospital Network 5
Basic sanitation 8
Security 10
Power 7
Telecommunications 3
Total 49
(*) For passenger terminals only
Pág. 14WORLD CUP 2014
AIRPORTS
Selected and used indicators
Indicator Unit Minimum Ideal
Level Level
Saturation level of passenger terminals % 95 90
Percentage of international flights occupancy % 85 75
Saturation level of take-off and landing tracks % 70 60
Pág. 15WORLD CUP 2014
URBAN MOBILITY
Selected and used indicators
Indicator Unit Ideal Level Minimum Level
No. of passengers carried by Pass/day.vehicle 1,500 2,000
day – railway system
Avg. area occupated in each Pass/m3 4 6
transport unit
No. of passengers carried by Pass/day.vehicle 400 500
day – bus
Saturation level of passenger % 80 90
terminals in intermunicipal bus
stations
Avg. speed at rush hours Km/h 30 22
No. of inhabitants by taxi Inhab./taxi 300 430
Pág. 16WORLD CUP 2014
HOTEL NETWORK
Selected and used indicators
Indicators – Hotel network
Indicator Unit Ideal Level Minimum Level
Occupancy rate – De luxe % 50 70
Occupancy rate - Superior % 45 70
Occupancy rate - Standard % 40 70
No. of tourits by Super-economic unit tourist/UH 550 1000
Total occupancy rate – June 2008 % 40 70
Total occupancy rate – July 2008 % 40 70
Pág. 17WORLD CUP 2014
HOSPITAL NETWORK
Selected and used indicators
Indicators – Hospital network
Indicator Unit Ideal Minimum
Level Level
Regular Beds at public units Beds/thous. inhab. 3.38 2.92
Intensive care beds at public units Beds/thous. inhab. 0.34 0.29
Regular Beds at private units Beds/thous. inhab. 3.38 2.92
w/healthcare plan
Intensive care beds at private units Beds/thous. inhab. 0.34 0.29
w/healthcare plan
No. of medical doctors Doctors/thous. Inhab. 5.54 1
Pág. 18WORLD CUP 2014
SANITATION
Selected and used indicators
Indicators - Sanitation
Indicator Unit Ideal Level Minimum Level
Water supply coverage % houses 100 98
Water supply volumes l/inhab./day 440 360
Sewage treatment volumes l/inhab./day 220 180
Days with no water supply No. days 0 15
Percentage of metered connections % houses 100 98
Sewage collection coverage % houses 90 70
% treated sewage % sewage 90 70
% recycled waste % collected waste 5 3
Pág. 19WORLD CUP 2014
SECURITY
Selected and used indicators
Indicators - Criminality
Indicator Unit Recomm. Tolerable
Level Level
No. of annual thefts by 100,000 inhab. Thefts/100,000 325 480
No. of annual vehicle thefts by 100,000 Vehicle 243 417
inhab. thefts/100,000
No. of annual robberies by 100,000 inhab. Robbery/100,000 280 1,759
No. of annual homicides by 100,000 inhab Homicide/100,000 19 38
No. of policemen by police station Number/police unit 18 51
No. of military policemen by squad Number/unit 107 360
No. of firemen by station Number/unit 33 123
Inhabitants by policeman Inhab/ global force 594 1.144
Inhabitants by military policeman Inhab./global force 195 330
Inhabitants by fireman Inhab./global force 916 2,500
Pág. 20WORLD CUP 2014
ENERGY
Selected and used indicators
Indicators – Energy supply
Indicator Unit Ideal Minimum
Level Level
No. of impacts on the energy system % (impacts with no energy >85 80
in analyzed area cut/total annual impacts)
Impact duration at a control point Minutes/yearWORLD CUP 2014
TELECOMMUNICATION
Selected and used indicators
Indicators
Indicator Unit Ideal Level Minimum
Level
Density /100 inhab. - fixed Fixed lines/100 inhab. 25 30
Density /100 inhab. - mobile Mobile lines/100 inhab. 70 80
Wide band accesses/ 100 inhab. Wide band accesses/100 15 20
inhab.
Pág. 22Process and methodology
Evaluation Legend
Projects whose financial igures are in line with the works to be done, with
guaranteed financing sources and their bids and execution timeframes are in
accordance to World Cup 2014.
These projects have a low chance not to be accomplished on time
Projects whose timeframe still allows their conclusion by the Cup, but are
showing one of below situations:
- financial figures are not as planned ;
– financing source is not guaranteed yet;
– process is late (several potentail reasons: environmental study, lack of
basic project, etc);
– still dependent on next government commitment;
These projects have a moderate chance not to be accomplished on time
Projects that won’t be ready for the World Cup 2014, unless a severe
commitment at all level is made to accelerate the process and guarantee the
necessary resources. Gin general, they show more than one of the above issues
and their conclusion is too close to the Cup.
These projects have a high chance not to be accomplished on time.
Pág. 23WORLD CUP 2014
• Main results:
• First report to Government in February 2009
• Selection by FIFA of the 12 host cities in May 2009
• Set up for Project Phase II, focusing the selected 12 host cities.
24WORLD CUP 2014
Legacy
• Promotion of a huge investment in infrastructure and public
services, required for the country’s development and growth,
that will be accelerated because of the World Cup.
• Considerable improvement in public urban transport, sanitation
and tourism, in both large cities and touristic locations.
• Improvement of infrastructure services in airports, ports, energy
and transport at large.
Pág. 25WORLD CUP 2014
Legacy
• Reduction of deseases tied to lack of sanitation because of heavy
investment in critical areas.
• Intallation of a set of multi-use arenas in almost all key regions
helping to put Brazil in the international route for entertainement.
• Brazil in the international tourism destinations thanks to a new
visibility about its locations, nature, history, culture, society.
• Promotion of a better sustainable environment by expanding
sanitation and urban transportation.
Pág. 26Abdib Project for World Cup 2014
• Next steps
• Phase II
Pág. 27WORLD CUP 2014
Next Steps
• Abdib is making availaible specific reports on the study to all 18
candidate cities
• Abdib disseminates all key results for each city together with
each local Authority
• Abdib setting up a new specific structure for Phase II of the
World Cup 2014
Pág. 28WORLD CUP 2014
PHASE II
“Even more important than the strategic plan is to materialize the
necessary investment”
• Focus on detailing all identified projects financially
• Focus on developing the executive projects (engineering,
financing, environmental licensing)
• Focus on modeling partnerships between public and private
investors
• Focus on managing implementation and timeframes
• Focus on actions required to eliminate possible risks and
obstacles to investment
Pág. 29ASSOCIAÇÃO BRASILEIRA DA
INFRAESTRUTURA E INDÚSTRIAS DE BASE
www.abdib.org.br
abdib@abdib.org.br Pág. 30You can also read
