Zimbabwe - Tyranny in Money Controls - "Bamba Zonke"

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Zimbabwe - Tyranny in Money Controls - "Bamba Zonke"
Zimbabwe – Tyranny in Money Controls – “Bamba Zonke”

Capital Controls in Zimbabwe currently combines the very worst in people government
is the classic example of how badly a nation can be governed under the guise of
Capitalism and Democracy.

In Silapalapa, the language of the governing tribe in Zimbabwe and of Mugabe, a cry of a victory
is “Bamba Zonke” – “Take all”. No words better describe what happened to the old Rhodesia
and the new Zimbabwe, previously the breadbasket of Africa.

It is appropriate to look at Zimbabwe just after another devaluation has occurred, this time of
45%.

In this article we look at the history of the country from the point of view of Capital and
Commercial Controls as the country decayed down to this day.         We then look at the present
system of controls and the future of mining and its foreign Investors as a conclusion.

Background and History
                                  The nation of Rhodesia received its initial thrust into success
                                  after the second world, when returning British soldiers were
                                  offered a “golden bowler” by way of seed money for their
                                  future businesses or a parcel of land in the British Colony
                                  known as Rhodesia. Many British families took up this award
                                  and turned this pleasant African nation into a most successful
                                  agricultural land. So successful was it that it fed its African
                                  neighbours as well as itself, with ease.         Then Britain’s
                                  shrinking Empire required it be jettisoned from the Empire, so
                                  as it was about to be handed back to its indigenous people.
                                  The new Colonists objected, in the belief that all their hard
                                  work would be lost with its independence from Britain. The
                                  Colonists declared a Unilateral Declaration of Independence,
                                  and the country became the pariah of the Western world.
                                  Immediately, the monetary system of the country came under
                                  threat of a massive outflow of capital.

Earlier Exchange Control systems
Externally, sanctions were imposed on the country, in an attempt
to prevent international trade with Rhodesia.            The new
government immediately imposed Exchange Controls to prevent
this. The new government under Ian Smith set up a Draconian
Exchange Control system to manage money movements at every
level.   International Trade was watched through a magnifying
glass with every cent being monitored. Even the foreign shares
of the ex-U.K. residents were brought under the control of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. Each
resident was required to place his foreign shares into a Nominee name under the control of the
Banks and sign “Form C”, a form requiring him to commit himself to selling his shares when
required by the government and to bringing the proceeds of any sales of these shares back to
Rhodesia.

Capital inside the system was blocked with all transactions being filtered through the South
African “Financial Rand” system. This forced the capital values of foreign shares to be traded
at a discount when bought, but regaining that discount when the shares were sold and the
proceeds repatriated to Rhodesia/Zimbabwe.    It must be said that this rebellion had the full
support of those with money in Rhodesia, even during the war with Zanu PF and Zapu. Few of
these [white] people sought to leave the country until the eventual handover of power to
Mugabe.
Once this surrender was complete the massive exodus of most white residents began in earnest.
So firm were the exchange controls that even ex-Rhodesians and ex-Zimbabweans living in South
Africa could not access their capital invested in South Africa, without either ingenious, or illegal
schemes to get their money out. Upon their departure their bank accounts were frozen and their
ability to make any transactions with their assets was halted. The banks worked closely with the
government on imposing these controls as they do and will do, if any financial decay in any
country should occur along these lines.

Basic financial rules controlling any nation are:
   ‰ No country can permit a brutal exit of capital from its system.    Similarly in banking, a
        bank will close its doors if there is a “run” on its deposits.
   ‰ International trade must continue to be fostered as far as is possible, whilst exchange
        control must do all to ensure that this route is not used by capital to leak out of the
        nation, under siege.

What is more difficult to control is the export of second hand luxury assets, which attract a
higher value outside the country than in, as the exchange rate deteriorates. [Capital good,
bulldozers, cars, etc prices rise in value internally, as the difficulty of importing increases their
value].

Thus the capital base of that country was held in a firm grip.          Despite this, the country’s
economy remained largely healthy.

To help us to keep our eye on the mechanics of Capital Controls and not to be distracted by the
emotions of the situation [so we can see the impact of future Capital Controls should they appear
elsewhere on the globe] we will look at the effects of these, after describing the mechanics of
monetary controls in a collapsing economy.

The economy Booms under sanctions!
During the War years, the system held up remarkably well despite the leakage of capital through
various routes, including international trade. No, that is incomplete. The country actually
thrived, as it had never done before. Import replacement took business up to heights
never seen before. Even today cars from the early 1960’s can be seen, still in prime
condition, are being driven around there. The Rhodesian community showed a degree
of entrepreneurial skills and innovation that made the country self- sufficient.              It
became clear that all levels of community were required to support each other in any
innovative compromise solution possible to ease the impact of sanctions and the
freezing of capital internally. This they did with enthusiasm! The isolation of the country
[except for the thriving passage of necessary goods up from South Africa and the sale of food to
the African communities and Tobacco internationally] produced a successful internal economy,
but one without imported luxuries.

Controls become tyrannical but largely ineffective.

The Zimbabwe $ held its value remarkably until Mugabe took over and from 1980 onwards, the
steady decline of the currency meandered on, taking it from Z1: U.S. $1 to the present and still
quickly declining rate of Z$20,000: U.S.1 on the black market.

When Mugabe, with the support of the British Government, finally took power from Smith and his
party, these controls were maintained, but from now on without the support of the moneyed
community. After all, you can’t govern a people that don’t want to be governed. So the money
drain began in earnest.

                                      Amazingly, despite the steady withdrawal of capital from the
                                      country from the late 1970’s to today, initially by the fleeing
                                      Colonialists followed by the new African governmental
                                      classes, the country maintained a civilised air until the new
                                      Millennium, when the descent into starvation, the collapse of
                                      the bulk of the economy and the farming community took
                                      place under the scything sweep of corrupt, tyrannical,
                                      politics that we are seeing today.
With Mugabe in power, those with wealth realised their wealth was becoming a target of
government as has been the case in so many African nations.          All who had liquid capital
exported it through the following ways:
   ‰ Through the legal use of the system, involving several countries and their Stock
       Exchanges and Tax havens.
   ‰ Through ‘weighted Invoicing’ [falsifying or disguising international trade transactions], a
       system that had been a structural part of ‘sanction-busting’.
   ‰ Many reputable companies, including legal and accounting firms as well as Stock broking
       firms, turned a blind eye and even profited from blatant forgery of externally stamped
       [Non-resident] stock certificates sold in London.
   ‰ Expunging of assets from audited accounts.

Understand please, that the Zanu PF government had no inkling of the bulk of these activities,
nor had the competence to stop them. They relied completely on those who had officiated under
Smith to maintain the system and block their own ‘ilk’ from taking their money from the country.
The new government, in turn, was doing their best to take the wealth to themselves, a process
that continues to this day. They too sought to export much of this capital to other nations [in
case of a change of government and to ensure their offspring had internationally based fortunes].

Time magazine published an article on the enormous wealth that Sally Mugabe had acquired, in
the form of hotels in Switzerland and Germany, among other assets.         Mugabe censored this
article on its arrival in Zimbabwe. A popular story after her death was that she left her wealth to
her Ghanaian relatives, not to Mugabe, and there was nothing he could do about it. [He was so
angry he is purported to have walked round government house smashing all the
windows].         Since then, he has amassed new fortunes overseas as has his government
members.

As always, Exchange Controls are effective on the bulk of a nation, but exceptions to the rules
are not uncommon. It is this facet that justifies the opinion of international monetary authorities
that Exchange Controls are an illegal action by any nation and do not receive their support.

As the availability of capital diminished in the early 1980s, Mugabe required more. He decided
that he would go beyond controls, which maintained the financial health of the economy, to
measures, which seized the wealth of the economy. When we use this lesson of history in
the future, this turning point in Zimbabwe is one we see as critical gauge of the ability
of a nation to recover and maintain the title “civilised.” Beyond this point, there was
no turning back for Mugabe or Zimbabwe.

Misappropriation of overseas assets!
Mugabe’s next step was the confiscation of all foreign shares held in Nominees names. With a
veneer of reasonableness he ordered these shares to be sold to the government. He paid for the
issues with government bonds at a coupon rate of 4%. With present interest rates in the several
hundreds of a percent, and the exchange rate where it is, they have less value than a piece of
blank A4 paper, were it to be imported to Zimbabwe today.

And what did the institutions do that had committed them in law, to hold these shares only to the
order of the beneficial owner?       For a couple of hours, the Banks resisted this theft, but
capitulated under the threat of imprisonment in the capital’s jail, Chikarubi.           Do not
underestimate this action in the future instances of such pressure. The Banks will ALWAYS obey
their governments even if the command is an illegal one, should pressure be brought to bear.

For those puzzled of gold’s value “in extremis”, contemplate the above situation if you had gold in
your hands at home. The decision as to what should be done to it would remain yours. No so-
called responsible intermediary would be able to hand over your wealth, in the first place.

This happened at a time at which the bulk of the middle and upper classes had already left the
country and only those who were clinging to their homes, or felt a strong sense of nationalism,
stayed. For the purpose of this article, it must be noted that such a measure is only undertaken
when a certain ‘siege’ mentality takes hold and the consequences of such actions, including
international relations, cease to be important.

You are all no doubt aware of the takeover of the White Farms that has taken place over the last
few years. What is not so well known is that this was accompanied by the attempted takeover
of the White owned businesses, seeing the virtual collapse of the business sector. Inflation is
running at nearly 200%, having improved from the level a year ago of 600%.          These are
government figures, so take them from whence they come. The exchange rate paints a much
more accurate figure!

By 1990, the capital of the country that could be made liquid had gone from Zimbabwe. The
value of fixed assets has also collapsed despite their ability to produce income. Evidence of this
is that farmers who are still there are receiving less than the price of a low cost house in the U.K.
for their entire farms. Those left remain there because they have nowhere else to go.

The Present Financial System!
Capital Controls: Travel allowances are given to residents for holiday and business purposes,
which cover their expenses, little more. All other capital payments outside the country require
the permission of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.

Commercial Transactions:
 As the bulk of money movements are tied to commercial transactions, Zimbabwe has four
different exchange rates for the Zimbabwe $:

These figures were those that persisted prior to the 45% devaluation which affected
all exporters.  [Please adjust these rates down by 45% - increase the number of Z$ per
U.S.$. Of course the Z$ continues to decline so each day these numbers should be revised
down].

 1. The “Official” exchange rate presently Z$824 to the U.S. $. This is a rate used to allow
    the government to skim off foreign exchange from Commercial operators, in addition to
    other taxes and duties.
 2. The public “auction” rate, where foreign exchange released by the Reserve Bank, is
    auctioned to Zimbabweans presently around Z$6,000: $U.S.1 (see chart below).
    [This has been moved down to around Z$9,000 post the 45% devaluation]. As
    the foreign exchange tightens, there have been times when Oil supplies have been delayed
    until the government pays for them with foreign exchange, not Zimbabwe $. As we say
    below, there is a dire shortage even of this foreign exchange. Each week less than 5% of
    bids are successful in obtaining any foreign exchange, whatsoever! The only place to turn
    to is the “Black” Market.
 3. The “Diaspora” rate, which applies to people who remit money to Zimbabwe, presently
    Z$6,200: U.S.$1 [this has also been dropped to just above Z$9,000]. Not only do
    those who have spent the bulk of their lives in Zimbabwe /Rhodesia want to return home to
    live out the rest of their lives there, but relatives send money in to support their relatives
    still there. This way they can receive gifts allowances and pensions on which to survive.
    As this rate rises as the currency decays, they are able to pay for the necessary items they
    survive on and that are still available in the shops.
 4. The “Black Market” rate currently around Z$20,000: $U.S.1 and climbing! [It was
    12,500 when the research on this article began] When you have to have imported goods
    to maintain machinery, companies, etcetera, you have to have it. Hence, this is a rate
    paid for foreign currency that is not otherwise available. Most needed imports are paid for
    this way.

Here is an extract from government regulations on the incoming foreign exchange to
Zimbabwe:

16.3.6 Supply of Foreign Exchange to the Currency Exchange
(a) Supply of foreign exchange to the Currency Exchange will be from the following sources:
(i) Exporters' liquidation of F.C.A. s. Initially, there might be need to identify a critical mass of
exporters, who would be ready to supply foreign exchange continuously.
The current 60-day period after which exporters are required to liquidate their F.C.A. s into the
market is reduced to 21 days, effective 19th January 2004.
(ii) Receipts from tourists, sales by NGOs, Embassies and individuals are to be immediately
forwarded to the Reserve Bank at the ruling auction rate.
(iii) Remittance from non-resident Zimbabweans will also be channelled to the Reserve Bank
through Authorised Dealers at the ruling auction rate.
(iv) Other foreign exchange receipts from trade finance facilities and other capital inflows will
also be sold to the Reserve Bank at the obtaining auction rate.

(b) Non-liquidation of F.C.A. s in the early stages of the auction system would result in a
premium on foreign exchange, which would be reflected in a higher auction rate. This would
represent an extra cost the country would need to pay in order to instil confidence in the
foreign exchange market.

16.3.7 Auction Market Participants
(a) The participants in the auction system are the bidders or users of foreign exchange, which
would mostly be importers, authorised dealers and the Reserve Bank.
Authorised Dealers would act on the currency exchange as brokers and would also ensure that
bids are made for approved Exchange Control transactions. Authorised Dealers should ensure
that the bidder has adequate domestic currency equivalent to the bid.
(b) Bidders should tender their bids through authorised dealers stating the amount of foreign
exchange required, the exchange rate they are willing to pay as well as the purpose of the
request.
Small bids of below US$5 000 are to be aggregated and presented to the currency exchange by
authorised dealers. All foreign exchange bids would be for approved foreign exchange
transactions, in accordance with Exchange Control requirements.
(c) Ideally, however, all legitimate current account transactions would need to be approved in
order to avoid the emergence of yet another parallel market of foreign exchange.
(d) The intervals for auction will range from daily, twice weekly or weekly, depending on the
circumstances.
The ultimate decision on the frequency will lie with the Currency Exchange.
(e) Foreign exchange is offered at each bidder's own bid rate starting from the highest bid rate.
This continues until all the foreign exchange supplied is exhausted.
Foreign exchange would be allocated on pro rata basis for those whose bid rate is equal to the
minimum auction market-clearing rate.
(f) Table 1 below illustrates how the auction system would operate given an amount on offer
of US$10 million. Table 1 Determination of Auction Exchange Rate

        Bids        Amounts (US$)           Rate (ZWD/USD            Allotment
        B1          1 000, 000              3 500                    Allotted in full
        B2          2 000, 000              3 000                    Allotted in full
        B3          4 000, 000              2 500                    Allotted in full
        B4          3 000, 000              2 000                    Cut-off price
        B5          4 000, 000              1 500                    Rejected

The weighted average exchange rate would be:
(0.1*3 500) + (0.2*3 000) + (0.4*2 500) + (0.3 * 2000) = Z$2 550 per US dollar
Exporters would, therefore, be paid at the weighted average exchange rate.
(g) After the auction, the auction exchange rate, the total number of bids received, and the
number of successful bids will be announced.
The Auction rate weighted exchange rate applies until the next auction date to all foreign
exchange transactions, including customs and intra auction purchases by the Reserve Bank.
Although the highest bid will be at the most depreciated rate, the weighted average auction
rate will be lower.

Cross rates with other international currencies will be derived and published after each auction.
(h) Excess supply of foreign exchange in the auction market will taken up by the Reserve Bank
at the auction exchange rate.
(i) A comprehensive set on the modalities of this scheme will be issued by Exchange Control
within 24 hours of the delivery of this Statement.

   The government describes the system, covering the handling of foreign exchange in
   Zimbabwe as [We quote the government regulations on this]: -

   16.3. THE CONTROLLED AUCTION APPROACH
   16.3.1 under this system, foreign exchange will be auctioned through a CURRENCY
   EXCHANGE - an independent body that will operate under the supervision of the
   Reserve Bank.
   16.3.2 Foreign Exchange Management Under the Auction System
   (a) Exporters will discharge CD1 forms on the basis of gross export proceeds and 50% of
   their foreign exchange earnings can be retained in FCA accounts.
   Of the remaining 50%, 25% would immediately be sold to the auction market at the ruling
   auction rate.
   The remaining 25% will be surrendered to the Reserve Bank, at the current exchange rate
   of Z$800 per US dollar for critical imports and other Government requirements.
   External loan repayments will, thus, be met from the exporter's 50% share and other
   purchases from the auction.
   16.3.3 DIAGRAMATIC REPRESENTATION OF THE SYSTEM
These rates are applied in the following way:

ƒ   Exports: - (except gold and tobacco) are paid for at a "blend" rate.
      i.e. 80% at Z$6,000 [now Z$9,000]: $U.S.1 and 20% at Z$824: $U.S.1 –
    approx. Z$4965: $U.S.1 today [now around Z$7400 today].
      Of this the 80% “auction” purchased foreign exchange may be retained in a Foreign
    Currency Account [FDA] for 21 days during which time it may be used to import any
    inputs [spare parts, supplies only available outside the country for business. - If not
    utilised the 80% is surrendered to the Reserve Bank at the "auction" rate.           -
    The 20% is surrendered at 824: 1U.S.$.

ƒ   Gold miners: - are currently receiving approx. Z$9,000: $U.S.1 today

    This is the government regulation governing their foreign exchange income:

     16.3.4 GOLD PRODUCERS

    (a) Gold producers will continue to receive 50% of their foreign exchange earnings and
    the other 50% will be surrendered to the Reserve Bank.

    Of the 50% surrendered to the Reserve Bank, 25% will be bought at the auction rate.
    The balance of 25% will, however, be bought at Z$800 per US dollar.

ƒ   Tobacco farmers: - will get +Z$7,500: $U.S.1 [now around Z$10,875 today.

    This is the government regulation governing their foreign exchange income:
16.3.5 TOBACCO AND OTHER EXPORTABLES
       (a) With respect to tobacco, the Reserve Bank will buy 75% of all the foreign exchange from
       tobacco sold on the auction floors at the ruling foreign exchange auction rate.
       This amount will be sold to the market for exchange. The remaining 25% will be bought at an
       exchange rate of Z$800 per US dollar for critical imports and other Government requirements.
       This arrangement will result in a blend exchange rate, which ensures that tobacco growers are
       viable.

       The Tobacco Growers Trust (TGT), thus, falls away since the constituency it was set up
       to look after i.e. the Tobacco Growers will be sufficiently rewarded and can also access
       foreign exchange from the auction.

On the other side:

   ƒ   Importers: - [are supposed to] buy foreign exchange on the "auction".

This is not available in sufficient quantities, indeed, this week less than 5% of bids were
successful in obtaining any foreign exchange.                The rate recently was approx.
Z$6,050: $U.S.1 [now above Z$9,000].

   ƒ   Most imports are via “black market” rates, impacting heavily on margins, hence the
       declining exports

As one can see, the commercial operators have to be able to gauge all their possible wants
ahead of time and buy them during the 21 days permitted. The level of ingenuity required to
survive in this regime is remarkable. As such, the entrepreneurs of Southern Africa are
amongst the most, hard working and innovative in the world! But the battles do not end there.
The government buys the exportable maize crop to sell on the world markets. They are given
a price for their crop, which can be as low as half the price the government achieves when
selling to neighbours like Zambia. Of course, this was in the days when the country had maize
to export.

The present disaster
  Right now, for the first time, the government has admitted to a food shortage. There has
been starvation for more than a year, which six months ago had cost the lives of 300,000
people then.    But food aid is arriving, largely under the control of the government.    With
elections only a few days away, the food is being distributed to government supporters [ZANU
PF] only. Unless others change their allegiance, they face starvation! Such is tyranny today.

The Future of Mining!
  The media has published the policy of Mugabe that they will be taking ownership of the mining
industry, purportedly along the lines of the South African B.E.E. wherein Zimbabweans will buy
a percentage of the company. At first, Mugabe himself talked of a level of 50% of the mines,
but one of his Ministers talked that figure down to stop the panic amongst foreign Investors.
Before one makes a comment on the situation, it is well to dwell for a time on the past. The
conclusion we draw is that if it has value internationally it will be the subject of continual
acquisition by the present government. If Mr Mugabe dies and he is old now, will his successor
be any different? As to payment for these shares, with what will he pay? He used worthless
government stock to pay for foreign shares, and he paid nothing for the farms, so on what basis
can he be expected to pay for shares in Zimbabwean mining?

With the belief that Zimbabwean assets belong to Zimbabweans Mugabe is unlikely to change
his established policies. This becomes important when one considers the future of Zimplats, a
major Platinum Producer contemplating a massive U.S.$750 million expansion there.

On February 18th the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe laid down new rules governing
foreign exchange in which miners were told to close offshore accounts and deposit
their money in local foreign currency accounts by February 28, according to Zimplats.
The accounts were to be held by Zimbabwean banks and the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. It
has now been reported that the government has given a verbal concession that they need not
comply with this new legislation. The company, according to its advisor, is now reported to be
going ahead with its capital development work, implying that foreign financiers have approved
 the go-ahead.

 We can only point to this article and wonder, at what point does greed, overcome
 fear?

 To all future Investors in the country we think this story may have its place:

 “A scorpion wanted to cross the river, as he usually did, but found it was in flood. He waited
 until he saw a turtle come by and asked the turtle if he could have a lift to the other side. The
 turtle was reluctant saying, if I give you a lift you will sting me and I will drown. The scorpion
 said no I won’t because if I did I would drown too. Placated, the Turtle said OK; on you get
 and began to swim across the river. Half way across the scorpion stung the turtle and they
 both died in the water.

 Why did he do it?……………………………….It was his nature!

As the degeneration in Zimbabwe is occurring so fast we give you the figures from
there, [provided by the Reserve Bank Of Zimbabwe – assess them from whence they
come!] of the situation at the time of posting this article: -

Weighted Average Auction rate:
  Z$7,355.82

Interest rates:         Overnight             95%
                        Interbank             63.30%
                        Call                  25.00%
                        TB                    95.00%
                        REPO                  202.90%

Inflation Rate:         C.P.I                 74,698.7%
                        M-O-M                    7.36%
                        Y-O-Y                  129.06%
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