2019 AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL - DATA TRENDS & FORM RECAP - Timeform

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2019 AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL - DATA TRENDS & FORM RECAP - Timeform
DATA TRENDS & FORM RECAP
    2019 AINTREE
  GRAND NATIONAL
2019 AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL
                                                     CHELTENHAM FORM
      HORSE RACING
                                          DATA TRENDS (10 yrs)                                                        Saturday April 6

RANDOX HEALTH GRAND NATIONAL HANDICAP CHASE (Grade 3)                                         4m 2f 74yds            £1,000,000
                                            Highest Pre-Race Rating
                        Year                                  Horse                         Pre-Race Rating
                      2016                   SILVINIACO CONTI (FR)                               171

                                          Highest Performance Rating
                        Year                                  Horse                             Rating
                      2015                     MANY CLOUDS (IRE)                                164

                                           Shortest Priced Favourite
                        Year                          Horse                    ISP                BSP
                      2013                  SEABASS (IRE)                  11/2                  10.5

                                                Winning Ratings
                 Year                         Horse                   Rating          ISP           BSP
                 2009                   MON MOME (FR)                  159           100/1        143.59
                 2010                 DON'T PUSH IT (IRE)              162           10/1         19.18
                 2011                  BALLABRIGGS (IRE)               156           14/1         19.91
                 2012               NEPTUNE COLLONGES (FR)             164           33/1         43.43
                 2013                AURORAS ENCORE (IRE)              145           66/1         127.13
                 2014                  PINEAU DE RE (FR)               145           25/1         38.00
                 2015                 MANY CLOUDS (IRE)                164           25/1         35.89
                 2016                  RULE THE WORLD                  156           33/1         33.08
                 2017                ONE FOR ARTHUR (IRE)              153           14/1         18.12
                 2018                   TIGER ROLL (IRE)               156           10/1         13.50

               Trainers (No. of winners)                              Jockeys (No. of winners)

                          Trainer                      Wins                      Jockey                       Wins
                 Donald McCain                          1               Leighton Aspell                        2
               Dr Richard Newland                       1                 A. P. McCoy                          1
              Gordon Elliott, Ireland                   1                 D. J. Mullins                        1
                     Jonjo O'Neill                      1                 Daryl Jacob                          1
                 Lucinda Russell                        1                Davy Russell                          1
               M. F. Morris, Ireland                    1                    Derek Fox                         1
                Oliver Sherwood                         1               Jason Maguire                          1
                     Paul Nicholls                      1               Liam Treadwell                         1
                      Sue Smith                         1                 Ryan Mania                           1
                 Venetia Williams                       1

                                                              -2-
Biggest Winning Distance
                                 Year                               Horse                          Winning Distance
                               2009                          MON MOME (FR)                                 12

                                                               Age Trends
   Age           Runners      % Rivals Beaten       Run To Form %           Winners      Expected Winners at ISP      Average Rating Diff
    7              22              48                    0                    0                 0.776                     -26.773
    8              66              53                   7.6                   3                 2.881                     -21.621
    9             110              51                   2.7                   2                 4.598                     -23.445
   10             101              47                    3                    2                 3.944                     -21.297
   11              56             52.2                  8.9                   3                 1.962                     -17.536
   12              29             43.7                  6.9                   0                 0.741                     -20.172
   13              10             54.4                  20                    0                 0.298                       -15.4
   14              2               74                    0                    0                 0.077                       -15.5

                                                         Won Last Time Out
Won LTO          Runners      % Rivals Beaten       Run To Form %           Winners      Expected Winners at ISP      Average Rating Diff
  No              334             49.7                  4.8                   8                 11.45                      -20.88
  Yes              62             51.4                  6.5                   2                  3.83                      -24.58

                                                             Seasonal Runs
Runs In Season      Runners       % Rivals Beaten      Run To Form %           Winners      Expected Winners at ISP   Average Rating Diff
        0               4               36.5                  0                   0                 0.08                      -16
        1               27              55.7                  3.7                 0                  1.1                    -8.26
        2               54              51.5                  5.6                 0                 2.17                    -21.57
        3               78              51.7                  2.6                 2                 3.56                    -24.56
        4               92              52.3                  8.7                 4                 4.04                    -19.8
        5               66              44.5                  1.5                 0                 2.42                      -26
        6               43              46.1                  2.3                 1                 1.06                    -19.49
        7               14              45.9                 21.4                 2                 0.42                    -19.43
        8               9               48.2                  0                   0                  0.2                    -28.67
        9               5               54                    0                   0                 0.16                      -29
    10+                 4               64                    25                  1                 0.07                    -19.75

                                                                    -3-
Days Since Last Run
Days Since Last Run   Runners       % Rivals Beaten     Run To Form %   Winners         Expected Winners at ISP    Average Rating Diff
Glossary of terms
                   All data is based on the past 10 Grand Nationals
BSP – The Betfair Starting Price of the horse. Decimal odds
ISP – The Industry Starting Price of the horse. Fractional odds
Highest Pre-Race Rating
The horse with the highest Timeform Master rating prior to the race
Highest Performance Rating
The performance that earned the highest Timeform rating
Rating — The bare rating the horse achieved
Rating Adjustment — The value extra that the Timeform handicapper awarded the horse
Shortest Priced Favourite
The horse that started the race with the shortest Industry Starting Price
Winning Ratings
The Timeform performance ratings of past race winners
Number of Winners by Trainer
The Trainers who have won the race in the last decade and how many times they have done so
Number of Winners by Jockey
The Jockeys who have won the race in the last decade and how many times they have done so
Biggest Winning Distance
The farthest winning distance measured in lengths
Trends
The trends categories all contain identical data sets as explained below:
Runners — The number of horses that have run in the race under that category
% Rivals Beaten — The average percentage of the field that category has beaten
Run To Form % — The average number of horse in that category that ran to within 5 lb of their Pre-Race master rating or better
Winners — The number of horses that have won from this category
Expected Winners at ISP — The number of winners for a given category based on Industry Start Price. Please note due to bookmaker
overrounds this often may exceed 10 across all categories
Average Rating Diff — The mean rating difference between pre-race and performance ratings horses in that category achieved
The trends themselves are:
Age — The age of the horse at the time of the race
Last Time Out Winners — Split by if the horse won on its last start (in any race type)
Seasonal Runs — Split by how many times the horse ran under jumps rules since the start of the jumps season
First Time Headgear — Split by if the horse was wearing headgear for the first time
Fell Last Time Out — Split by whether the horse fell or unseated its rider last time out
Record of Favourites
How the Industry Starting Price favourite(s) fared in the last 10 runnings
Position — The horse’s finishing position or status: F–fell; pu–pulled up; ur–unseated rider; bd–brought down; R–refused; rr–refused
to race; su–slipped up; ro–ran out; co–carried out; d–disqualified

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                                                                  -5-
2016-2018 AINTREE GRANDFORM
                                                             CHELTENHAM
             HORSE RACING
                                                  NATIONAL FORM RECAP
                                    AINTREE Saturday April 9 2016 SOFT
                        5.15 Crabbie’s Grand National Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) (1) 4¼m74y
 Pos   Btn      Horse                                  Age    Wgt       Eq   Trainer                   Jockey                      SP
   1           RULE THE WORLD                               9      10-7        M. F. Morris, Ireland           D. J. Mullins       33/1
   2     6     THE LAST SAMURI (IRE)                        8      10-8        Kim Bailey                      David Bass          8/1jf
   3     8     VICS CANVAS (IRE)                           13      10-6 (s) Dermot Anthony McLoughlin, Ireland Robert Dunne       100/1
   4     2     GILGAMBOA (IRE)                              8       11-1       Enda Bolger, Ireland            Robbie Power        28/1
   5    19     GOONYELLA (IRE)                              9      10-8 (s+t) J. T. R. Dreaper, Ireland        Jonathan Burke      12/1
   6    1¾     UCELLO CONTI (FR)                            8      10-8 (t) Gordon Elliott, Ireland            Daryl Jacob         25/1
   7    11     VIEUX LION ROUGE (FR)                        7      10-5 (s) David Pipe                         James Reveley      66/1
   8    14     MORNING ASSEMBLY (IRE)                       9      10-9        P. A. Fahy, Ireland             Davy Russell        16/1
   9     ½     SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR (IRE)                       9      10-11 (s+t) Jonjo O’Neill                   Barry Geraghty      12/1
  10     9     UNIONISTE (FR)                               8      10-8        Paul Nicholls                   Nick Scholfield     28/1
  11     5     LE REVE (IRE)                                8      10-8 (b) Lucy Wadham                        Harry Skelton       50/1
  12     7     BUYWISE (IRE)                                9     10-10        Evan Williams                   Paul Moloney        33/1
  13    ds     PENDRA (IRE)                                 8      10-5 (s) Charlie Longsdon                   Aidan Coleman       50/1
  14    14     TRIOLO D’ALENE (FR)                          9      11-0        Nicky Henderson                 Jeremiah McGrath    50/1
  15    20     JUST A PAR (IRE)                             9      10-6 (b) Paul Nicholls                      Sean Bowen         40/1
  16     1     MANY CLOUDS (IRE)                            9      11-10       Oliver Sherwood                 Leighton Aspell     8/1jf
   F           KATENKO (FR)                                10      10-6        Venetia Williams                Will Kennedy       40/1
   F           HOLYWELL (IRE)                               9      10-12 (b) Jonjo O’Neill                     Richie McLernon     11/1
   F           ON HIS OWN (IRE)                            12       11-1 (s) W. P. Mullins, Ireland            Mr P. W. Mullins    33/1
   F           FIRST LIEUTENANT (IRE)                      11      11-4 (s) M. F. Morris, Ireland              B. J. Cooper        50/1
  ur           THE ROMFORD PELE (IRE)                       9      10-4 (b) Rebecca Curtis                     Trevor Whelan       33/1
  ur           BALLYCASEY (IRE)                             9      10-6 (s) W. P. Mullins, Ireland             Ms K. Walsh         50/1
  ur           HADRIAN’S APPROACH (IRE)                     9      10-6        Nicky Henderson                 Nico de Boinville   50/1
  ur           GALLANT OSCAR (IRE)                         10      10-8        A. J. Martin, Ireland           Mark Walsh          16/1
  ur           ONENIGHTINVIENNA (IRE)                       7      10-8        Philip Hobbs                    Tom O’Brien         33/1
  ur           SIR DES CHAMPS (FR)                         10 10-13            W. P. Mullins, Ireland          Miss N. Carberry    20/1
  ur           BALLYNAGOUR (IRE)                           10       11-2 (h+t) David Pipe                      Tom Scudamore       50/1
  pu           HOME FARM (IRE)                              9      10-4 (t) Henry de Bromhead, Ireland A. E. Lynch                 50/1
  pu           SAINT ARE (FR)                              10      10-5 (s+t) Tom George                       Paddy Brennan       16/1
  pu           BLACK THUNDER (FR)                           9      10-6 (t) Paul Nicholls                      Mr Sam Waley-Cohen  50/1
  pu           KRUZHLININ (GER)                             9      10-7        Philip Hobbs                    Richard Johnson     33/1
  pu           DOUBLE ROSS (IRE)                           10      10-9 (s+t) Nigel Twiston-Davies             Ryan Hatch          80/1
  pu           AACHEN                                      12 10-10            Venetia Williams                Henry Brooke        50/1
  pu           BOSTON BOB (IRE)                            11 10-10            W. P. Mullins, Ireland          P. Townend          25/1
  pu           SOLL                                        11 10-11 (b+t) David Pipe                           Conor O’Farrell    40/1
  pu           ROCKY CREEK (IRE)                           10 10-13 (t) Paul Nicholls                          Andrew Thornton    66/1
  pu           THE DRUIDS NEPHEW (IRE)                      9      11-0 (s) Neil Mulholland                    Denis O’Regan       16/1
  pu           WONDERFUL CHARM (FR)                         8       11-3 (s+t) Paul Nicholls                   Sam Twiston-Davies 40/1
  pu           SILVINIACO CONTI (FR)                       10      11-8 (b) Paul Nicholls                      Noel Fehily         12/1
39 ran Race Time 9m 29.90 Closing Sectional (6.28f): 97.40s (107.0%) Winning Owner: Gigginstown House Stud
An emblematic Grand National, confirmation if any were needed of the effectiveness of the much-discussed recent
modifications to start position, size of fences and overall distance, stamina and jumping still tested like in no other
race in the calendar yet with an uplifting subplot of all 39 participants living to fight another day; the later off time
resulted in the track taking more rain than it would have done in a more customary afternoon slot, more pulling up
than falling/unseating as conditions took a toll, with 5 of the first 6 home Irish-trained, as 3 of the first 4 had been the
last time the race was run on ground this testing in 2006; the early pace steadied on the final circuit, and around half
the finishers still had a chance entering the straight, the first 3, all from contrasting backgrounds but no less relishing
the examination, going clear between the last 2. Rule The World chose the biggest possible stage to open his
                                                                                                                                     |1
                                                                  -6-
chasing account, the first maiden to land the National since 1884, though not many in the interim can have boasted
his ability, runner-up in a Neptune in his novice hurdle days before injury (twice fractured pelvis) intervened,
testament to his trainer—responsible also for this year’s winner of the Irish version—for getting him back; Rule The
World had himself found only one too good in the previous year’s Irish National, and this first try since at a marathon
trip proved key, doing well to even recover from his second mistake 4 out (had earlier pecked at second Becher’s) let
alone have enough left to forge to the front just after the elbow, finding bundles and no little improvement to
master the pick of the weights; he’ll be young enough to have another crack next year, though conditions have only
twice come up as testing as this since the turn of the century, soft or heavy going probably key to him given those
past physical problems. The Last Samuri had to give best to one who improved plenty for the trip yet emerged
with bundles of credit himself, almost the perfect ending to an outstanding first season with this stable, coping
superbly with the demands of the race and giving his all in defeat, the extreme trip as expected right up his street;
his jumping was superb, belying his relative lack of stature, and, having pressed on 4 out, he tried most determinedly
to repel all challengers, working hard to see off Vics Canvas only to succumb to the winner’s surge inside the final 1f,
continuing to respond even once his measure had been taken; he’s got a year on Rule The World in terms of likely
National longevity, though never again will he have a better chance at the weights, due as he is a 12 lb rise. Vics
Canvas outdid the likes of Oscar Time (fourth in 2013), Amberleigh House (2004 winner) and Brave Highlander
(fourth 2000) as the oldest frame finisher in the race this century, the first of his age to finish placed since Rondetto
filled the same position in 1969, doing much to highlight how far course experience can get a National runner,
having been fifth in the Becher on his first try as recently as December; admittedly, he’s no typical 13-y-o—he didn’t
make the track at all until 2010 and was sent chasing only last season—but he’s a veteran nonetheless, and his effort
was all the more remarkable considering the severity of the mistake he made at Becher’s first time around, when he
was all but down, somehow coaxed back in the mix by the twenty-fifth and even laying down a stern challenge
from 2 out, giving best only inside the final 1f. Gilgamboa displayed previously unforeseen stamina to reach the
frame for the second time in as many starts in a major handicap this season, a highly encouraging display with a view
to more of them next season, the overriding feeling he’s still to show his maximum, lightly raced for an 8-y-o after
all; he jumped soundly bar an error at the first Canal Turn, got into contention smoothly and, having looked set to
drop away once shaken up approaching 2 out, ran on again to close the gap to the admittedly tiring third, well clear
of the remainder. Goonyella is no Aintree natural but was able to express himself more than in his 2 previous tries
in the shorter-distance Becher Chase, still no threat to the principals though as he closed all too late (only ninth 2
out), mistakes at first Valentine’s and the eighteenth having put him on the back foot. Ucello Conti could be a fixture
in this race and other leading staying handicaps for a few seasons to come, certainly far from disgraced on his first
sight of these fences, doing well to get involved—still going smoothly—on the home turn considering the bad
mistake he’d made at the nineteenth, the effort of making up the lost ground probably telling on him late on; it was
only in December that he made his debut for this top stable, and he’s well worth another try over long distances.
Vieux Lion Rouge took well to the course—belying his relative experience—only for his stamina to unsurprisingly
give way upped even further in trip, creeping into things after pecking at second Becher’s and getting onto the
heels of the principals on the home turn before his run petered out, shaping much better than the distance beaten
might suggest; still only a 7-y-o, he can be placed to advantage in a good handicap back over shorter next season,
perhaps starting with the Becher back here. Morning Assembly was beaten much further than at Cheltenham yet
shaped just as well until his stamina gave way upped markedly in trip, looking a match for the placed horses for most
of the way, going powerfully taken widest of all (jumped well) and even edging into second briefly entering the
straight, weakening 2 out; he’s best around 3m. Shutthefrontdoor under more testing conditions than last year,
predictably had his stamina limitations exposed all the more, tracking the pace but weakening once shaken up after
4 out, looked after as he dropped away. Unioniste seemed unsuited by the course for the third time in as many
visits, his running style and jumping of the fences not lending themselves to this race, ponderous in rear and never
on terms. Le Reve has never failed for stamina at 3m+ before but seemed to find this a bridge too far, making
promising headway into things from mid-field after halfway only to weaken from 3 out; he’s a far more assured
jumper nowadays, getting in tight to second Canal Turn his only blemish of note. Buywise seemingly saved for this
since late-January but an unlikely National type, took his jockey’s sequence of completions in this race to 8 under a
trademark patient ride yet was never the slightest factor, a characteristic blunder at the seventeenth no more than
a side issue, his stamina for the trip remaining a doubt. Pendra hadn’t lasted home at a demanding 3m when last
seen pre-Christmas and predictably found this far too much of a test; mid-field, lost place when blundered second
Canal Turn, beaten before 2 out, eased off but completed course. Triolo d’Alene has Topham and Hennessy wins
on his record but isn’t so good, durable or reliable nowadays, his win in a 3-runner listed event at Kempton first time
out this season a flimsy piece of form; raced off the pace, not always fluent, some headway eighteenth, struggling
2|
                                                          -7-
from twenty-third. Just A Par back in blinkers, struggled for the second time in as many runs over these fences; not
jump well, went with little fluency, always behind. Many Clouds looked just about as strong a contender to emulate
Red Rum’s back-to-back Grand National wins as there’s been since but met with a contrasting fate to 12 months
earlier, legless as he trailed in last, reported to have suffered a breathing problem; all had looked to be going well
when he moved alongside at the eighteenth, but a blunder 5 out knocked him back and the writing was on the wall
entering the straight. Katenko was still off the pace—and not looking to be going anywhere—when falling at
second Becher’s. Holywell looked one of the better-handicapped runners but got no further than the second on
his debut over these fences; Un Temps Pour Tout seemingly knocked their Cheltenham form here earlier in the week,
but the way fourth-home Morning Assembly ran for a long way in this suggests there’s nothing at all wrong with
that race; he should certainly stay beyond 3¼m. On His Own is a long way removed from the enthusiastic, bold-
jumping horse once considered an ideal type for this race and didn’t seem to relish much about his first visit here
since the 2013 Becher, going with little zest in rear prior to taking a crashing fall at The Chair. First Lieutenant unlike
12 months earlier, failed to survive an early error, close up when coming down at the second. The Romford Pele got
away with a peck at the first only to unseat at the eighth (Canal Turn). Ballycasey lasted longer than on his first try
over these fences but, having threatened briefly to make some headway from behind after 3 out, was tired and
beaten when stumbling and unseating at the next; he’ll be better off back at shorter, but he’s been easy to oppose
for some time regardless of trip. Hadrian’s Approach lived up to his reputation as a sketchy jumper by unseating at
the first. Gallant Oscar was shaping well—still going smoothly under a patient ride—when blundering at the
eighteenth and eventually unseating; he’ll presumably be aimed at Punchestown’s Pat Taaffe Handicap now, and he
ought to make a bold bid to retain his crown, still open to improvement despite his age. Onenightinvienna one of
only 2 first-season chasers in the field (along with Vieux Lion Rouge), wasn’t ready for this sort of examination at this
stage after just 4 chase starts, jumping with far less conviction than before and struggling when unseating at second
Becher’s; he went without the cheekpieces he’d worn when flopping at Ascot, incidentally. Sir des Champs endured
an unpleasant first experience of this course, losing his place—and confidence—courtesy of mistakes at the
thirteenth/fourteenth before barely taking off and unseating at the next (The Chair). Ballynagour exited before his
doubtful stamina could be put to the test, creeping closer from rear when unseating at the nineteenth (earlier
mistake at fourteenth). Home Farm added to a patchy record, not taking to the course; soon behind, never going
well from seventh, tailed off when crossing twentieth, pulled up before next. Saint Are failed by a long chalk to
repeat his second-place heroics of 2015, not for the first time let down by his jumping; he was soon prominent and
jumped to the front crossing the water, but he was rarely fluent otherwise and, having been headed soon after the
seventeenth, was done with soon after further mistakes at second Becher’s Brook and the next. Black Thunder has
had something of a write-off season and effectively lost all chance when blundering at the water after another 9
weeks off, tailed off when pulled up approaching the twenty-first. Kruzhlinin can have this run ignored, as he has
before showing this course isn’t for him, making mistakes and always behind. Double Ross back in a tongue strap,
looked a doubtful stayer and lost his place gradually on the final circuit prior to blundering at the twenty-fifth which
resulted in his rider losing his irons, managing to clear the next but pulled up after. Aachen had his moment in the
sun in leading from the second until an error at the water jump, tailed off by the time he was pulled up approaching
second Becher’s. Boston Bob looked too long in the tooth to be trying this course for the first time and never
figured, in rear prior to being eased and pulled up before second Becher’s, later said to be lame. Soll found himself
much further off the pace than last year and didn’t seem to relish the experience, never going well after being
hampered at the first and behind when pulled up second Becher’s Brook. Rocky Creek with headgear left off,
blundered his chance away at the eleventh under a new rider (pulled up immediately), though he was already well
behind and struggling at the time. The Druids Nephew was let down by his jumping in this race for the second year
in a row but, in complete contrast to 2015, never gave his backers even the slightest hope, barely taking a fence
fluently after finding himself much further off the pace, eventually pulled up at the twenty-first. Wonderful Charm
ran no sort of race after 4 months off, facing these fences for the first time; in rear, jumped tentatively, tailed off when
pulled up twenty-first. Silviniaco Conti one of only 2 bona fide top-class runners but a doubtful stayer on paper,
shaped as if amiss in any case; tracked pace, bad mistake eleventh, dropped away quickly next, pulled up fourteenth.

                                 AINTREE Saturday April 8 2017                        GOOD
                  5.15 Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 4¼m74y
Pos    Btn    Horse                               Age    Wgt      Eq   Trainer                Jockey                    SP
 1            ONE FOR ARTHUR (IRE)                  8   10-11 (t) Lucinda Russell             Derek Fox                14/1
 2     4½     CAUSE OF CAUSES (USA)                 9   10-13 (s+t) Gordon Elliott, Ireland   Mr J. J. Codd            16/1
 3     3¾     SAINT ARE (FR)                       11   10-10 (b+t) Tom George                Davy Russell             25/1
 4      ½     BLAKLION                              8    11-1       Nigel Twiston-Davies      Noel Fehily              8/1f
                                                                                                                         |3
                                                            -8-
5      8     GAS LINE BOY (IRE)                          11    10-7 (v) Ian Williams                       Robert Dunne       50/1
   6     10     VIEUX LION ROUGE (FR)                        8    10-12 (s) David Pipe                        Tom Scudamore      12/1
   7      1     LORD WINDERMERE (IRE)                       11 10-10 (t) J. Culloty, Ireland                  Leighton Aspell    33/1
   8     nk     REGAL ENCORE (IRE)                           9    10-13 (t) Anthony Honeyball                 Robbie Power       33/1
   9     hd     PLEASANT COMPANY (IRE)                       9    10-12 (h) W. P. Mullins, Ireland            R. Walsh           11/1
  10     14     HOUBLON DES OBEAUX (FR)                     10 10-12 (s) Venetia Williams                     Charlie Deutsch    50/1
  11     2¾     BALLYNAGOUR (IRE)                           11 10-11 (h+t) David Pipe                         David Noonan       66/1
  12     1¼     LE MERCUREY (FR)                             7    11-0 (b+t) Paul Nicholls                    Sean Bowen         50/1
  13 3½         GOODTOKNOW                                   9    10-7 (b) Kerry Lee                          Jake Greenall      66/1
  14 3½         JUST A PAR (IRE)                            10    10-9 (b) Paul Nicholls                      Harry Cobden       33/1
  15      6     LA VATICANE (FR)                             8    10-6 (b+t) David Pipe                       Richie McLernon    80/1
  16      7     THE LAST SAMURI (IRE)                        9    11-10       Kim Bailey                      David Bass         16/1
  17      6     TENOR NIVERNAIS (FR)                        10     11-1       Venetia Williams                Aidan Coleman      40/1
  18      7     ROI DES FRANCS (FR)                          8     11-3 (b) Gordon Elliott, Ireland           J. W. Kennedy      50/1
  19     11     WONDERFUL CHARM (FR)                         9     11-2 (s+t) Paul Nicholls                   Ms K. Walsh        28/1
   F            COCKTAILS AT DAWN                            9    10-8        Nicky Henderson                 Nico de Boinville  33/1
   F            VICENTE (FR)                                 8    10-10 (h) Paul Nicholls                     Brian Hughes       16/1
   F            THE YOUNG MASTER                             8    10-13 (s) Neil Mulholland                   Mr Sam Waley-Cohen 20/1
   F            SAPHIR DU RHEU (FR)                          8     11-5       Paul Nicholls                   Sam Twiston-Davies 16/1
  ur            THUNDER AND ROSES (IRE)                      9    10-7 (s+t) M. F. Morris, Ireland            Mark Enright       25/1
  ur            RAZ DE MAREE (FR)                           12    10-9        Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland G. N. Fox          33/1
  ur            MEASUREOFMYDREAMS (IRE)                      9    10-9 (s) Noel Meade, Ireland                Donagh Meyler      40/1
  ur            UCELLO CONTI (FR)                            9    10-12 (t) Gordon Elliott, Ireland           Daryl Jacob        20/1
  pu            DOCTOR HARPER (IRE)                          9    10-6 (b+t) David Pipe                       Conor O’Farrell    50/1
  pu            ROGUE ANGEL (IRE)                            9    10-8 (b+t) M. F. Morris, Ireland            B. J. Cooper       20/1
  pu            STELLAR NOTION (IRE)                         9    10-9        Henry de Bromhead, Ireland D. J. Mullins           50/1
  pu            BISHOPS ROAD (IRE)                           9    10-10       Kerry Lee                       Jamie Moore        66/1
  pu            HIGHLAND LODGE (IRE)                        11 10-11 (s) James Moffatt                        Henry Brooke       25/1
  pu            O’FAOLAINS BOY (IRE)                        10 10-11          Rebecca Curtis                  P. Townend         50/1
  pu            DEFINITLY RED (IRE)                          8    10-12       Brian Ellison                   Danny Cook         10/1
  pu            DOUBLE SHUFFLE (IRE)                         7    10-12 (h) Tom George                        A. P. Heskin       33/1
  pu            DROP OUT JOE                                 9     11-1 (s) Charlie Longsdon                  Tom O’Brien        33/1
  pu            WOUNDED WARRIOR (IRE)                        8     11-2       Noel Meade, Ireland             Sean Flanagan      33/1
  pu            PERFECT CANDIDATE (IRE)                     10     11-5 (s) Fergal O’Brien                    Paddy Brennan      33/1
  pu            SHANTOU FLYER (IRE)                          7     11-5 (t) Rebecca Curtis                    Jonathan Moore     50/1
  pu            MORE OF THAT (IRE)                          9     11-6 (s) Jonjo O’Neill                      Barry Geraghty     16/1
40 ran Race Time 9m 02.00 Closing Sectional (6.28f): 92.8s (106.8%) Winning Owner: Two Golf Widows
As ever, the Grand National threw up a few hard-luck stories—notably that of second favourite Definitly Red—but
this still appeals as solid form, with victory going to the least exposed horse in the line-up and the frame completed
by 3 well-handicapped runners; the pace wasn’t an end-to-end one, with the field bunching around halfway after a
brief dip in tempo, and it reflects very well on One For Arthur that he could come from so far back—still not in first
20 jumping the second Canal Turn—when one considers that every other runner who raced in the final third of the
field never landed a blow; meanwhile, the modified fences again caused relatively few problems, with the average
number of finishers in 4 renewals since their introduction now standing at 18, though it’s worth noting that the first
3 home all had previous experience over the National course. One For Arthur has made tremendous strides this
season and, after 12 weeks off, relished this extreme test, arguably deserving extra credit having received another
patient ride in a race which didn’t favour such tactics; waited with, jumped soundly in main (hit nineteenth), still
plenty to do twenty-fourth (Canal Turn), rapid headway from 3 out (still only in a share of eleventh there), bumped 2
out, produced to lead last, stayed on strongly, well on top finish; remains open to improvement granted a similar test
of stamina. Cause of Causes is clearly better than ever and ran another mighty race, needing no excuses having
been ridden a bit closer to the pace than usual (left with too much to do when eighth in 2015 National); mid-division,
in touch early final circuit, hit twenty-first (generally fluent otherwise), every chance from home turn, bumped 2 out,
challenged last, stayed on strongly. Saint Are has posted several notable efforts at this meeting down the years
(including 2 valuable wins on the Mildmay course) and returned to his very best in a change of headgear, finishing
placed in the race for a second time (runner-up off 4 lb lower mark in 2015); never far away, pecked sixth, outpaced
briefly early in straight, rallied well run-in; not certain to reproduce this form away from here next time, though.
4|
                                                                -9-
Blaklion has run consistently well in good company all season (albeit without winning), leaving the impression he
might have finished even closer here had he not kicked for home so far out; mid-division, jumped well, travelled
smoothly, took closer order early final circuit, went on 4 out, briefly drew clear after next, bumped 2 out, headed
before last, one paced run-in, possibly did too much too soon, though it’s worth remembering he’ll be higher in the
weights from now on. Gas Line Boy ran well at a big price, adding to his jockey’s excellent record in long-distance
chases; mid-division (more patient tactics than of late), hit twenty-third, pecked next (Canal Turn), smooth headway
back straight, challenging when bumped 2 out, not fluent last, one paced run-in. Vieux Lion Rouge failed to stay
in this race for the second year running, though shaped as if still in good heart for much of the way; mid-division,
close up from early final circuit, hit twentieth (fluent otherwise), bumped twenty-fourth (Canal Turn), in contention
home turn, faded from 2 out. Lord Windermere in first-time tongue strap, took the course better than when pulled
up in the 2015 National and, along with the winner, was the only other one held up who managed to land any sort
of blow; played up beforehand, dropped out, steady headway from early final circuit, hampered eighteenth, in
contention back straight, one paced from 2 out; not certain to build on this, however. Regal Encore wasn’t disgraced
after 10 weeks off, though there was an element of him merely passing beaten horses late on; held up, hampered
first, still plenty to do back straight, late headway, nearest at the finish. Pleasant Company shaped better than the
bare result suggests, a blunder just as the race was taking shape not helping his suspect stamina over this marathon
trip; in touch, typically travelled strongly, every chance when bad mistake twenty-fifth (Valentine’s), no extra from 2
out; his jumping was good otherwise and he remains one to be interested in. Houblon des Obeaux made little
impact back under less testing conditions, though faced a stiff task at the weights anyway (5 lb higher than last
time); held up, still plenty to do back straight, some late headway past beaten horses. Ballynagour doesn’t stay this
far and, although he ended a string of pulled-up efforts here, it’s difficult to gauge what sort of form (if any) he’s in
at present; dropped out, jumped fine, never involved, finished tired. Le Mercurey hasn’t fully shown his form in 3
tries now in large-field handicap chases, making no impact faced with this very different test; waited with, never
dangerous. Goodtoknow was well held, though shaped better than the distance beaten suggests; handy, went
with much more zest than last time, still close up when bumped twenty-fourth (Canal Turn), dropped away from 4
out. Just A Par found this too competitive and has made little impact on all 3 tries over these fences, shaping
similarly here to when well held in the 2016 National; dropped out, slow third, still plenty to do twenty-fourth (Canal
Turn), never dangerous. La Vaticane barely stays 3m and predictably didn’t last home over this marathon trip;
jumped fine, never better than mid-division, weakened latter stages. The Last Samuri is plenty high enough in the
weights now but was still rather disappointing given how well he’d taken to the course on both previous tries; close
up early, lost touch from before halfway, struggling some way out, finished tired. Tenor Nivernais was beaten by
more than lack of stamina over 9f longer trip, again failing miserably to back up the form of his standout win at Ascot;
mid-division, blundered twenty-first, struggling after. Roi des Francs shaped as if still in decent heart, ultimately
failing to last home under a dashing ride; helped force pace, lost place when badly hampered by loose horse circuit
out, went prominent again soon after, ridden after 5 out, weakened from home turn, finished tired. Wonderful
Charm made no impact in this race for the second year running (doubtful stayer); not fluent fourteenth, always
behind. Cocktails At Dawn had been let down by his jumping on his only previous try over these fences and,
having been bounced out with the leaders, got no further than the first. Vicente is potentially well handicapped
now but has had a lacklustre campaign and, having set off in mid-division, fell at the first on his debut over the
National course (has had jumping issues with conventional fences). The Young Master has now failed to complete
on both tries over these fences; took keen hold, close up when fell heavily sixth (Becher’s Brook); provided none the
worse for this, he could be an interesting runner should he attempt to defend his crown in the Bet365 Gold Cup at
Sandown later this month. Saphir du Rheu had failed to complete on 3 of his previous 13 starts over fences, so it
arguably wasn’t the greatest surprise that his jumping let him down here; raced wide, mid-division, hampered
slightly first, fell eleventh. Thunder And Roses can have this run ignored; chased leaders, hit first, going well when
badly hampered by a loose horse and unseated ninth (Valentine’s). Raz de Maree got a bit worked up beforehand
but suffered a luckless exit on his second try over these fences (well held in 2014 National); mid-division, hampered
and unseated sixth (Becher’s). Measureofmydreams has yet to make much of an impact in large-field valuable
handicaps and, in first-time cheekpieces, failed to complete on his first try over the National fences; mid-division,
towards rear when unseated rider The Chair (not his first mistake). Ucello Conti failed to complete, though shaped
as if still in good form; mid-division, travelled smoothly, in touch when hampered and unseated twenty-second
(Becher’s Brook), too far out to suggest outcome. Doctor Harper in a change of headgear, didn’t take to the course;
held up, hit seventh, bad mistake fourteenth, not fluent The Chair, never going well after, tailed off when pulled up
before 2 out (reportedly bled). Rogue Angel after 10 weeks off, shaped better than the bare result having helped
make much of the running, though the manner in which he capitulated late on was still slightly disconcerting; in
                                                                                                                      |5
                                                          - 10 -
touch, jumped well, went handy sixth, helped force pace until 4 out, folded tamely from early in straight, pulled up
run-in, possibly amiss; not sure to build on this. Stellar Notion was a very doubtful stayer upped markedly in trip,
but shaped as if amiss (not for the first time) long before stamina issues came into play; prominent, pecked first, lost
place from sixth, tailed off when pulled up before thirteenth. Bishops Road was a first-fence casualty in last year’s
Topham and didn’t run much of a race after 11 weeks off; dropped out, not jump well, never involved, tailed off
when pulled up before last. Highland Lodge was simply too high in the weights (8 lb above current BHA mark) and
never able to dominate like he had in the last 2 renewals of the Becher Chase; prominent, hit seventh (fluent
otherwise), lost touch from twenty-second, beaten some way out (eventually pulled up before last). O’Faolains Boy
had reportedly had a breathing operation since last time but again failed to see his race out; mid-division, jumped
soundly in main, hampered twenty-third, still in touch 3 out, faded soon after, pulled up run-in. Definitly Red
looked the pick of the weights but was out of the race early through no fault of his own; handy, badly hampered
sixth (Becher’s Brook), rider lost irons and saddle slipped as a result, pulled up after eighth. Double Shuffle failed to
stay this much longer trip, but shaped as if still in good form; prominent, jumped well in main, travelled smoothly,
dropped away gradually back straight, not given a hard time once held, pulled up before 2 out. Drop Out Joe after
10 months off, found this too competitive and needs respite from the handicapper; waited with, never landed a
blow, behind when pulled up before last. Wounded Warrior has been operating below his best for a while now
and, tried without headgear, didn’t revive for a try over these fences; waited with, not always fluent, never involved,
tailed off when pulled up before last. Perfect Candidate looks too high in the weights now; taken wide, handy, had
been feeling the pinch for a while before stumbled 5 out, pulled up quickly (possibly amiss). Shantou Flyer can
probably have this run ignored; mid-division, mistake thirteenth (largely fluent otherwise), lost place when badly
hampered by loose horse eighteenth, not recover, behind when pulled up after 5 out (reportedly made a noise).
More of That possibly failed to stay this longer trip, but he’s a fragile sort and has been pulled up now on both starts
in large-field valuable handicaps; mid-division, hampered sixth, in touch when hit twenty-third, left behind gradually
back straight (not persevered with once held), pulled up before last.

                                AINTREE Saturday April 14 2018                        SOFT
                 5.15 Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 4¼m74y
Pos   Btn     Horse                              Age   Wgt         Eq   Trainer                      Jockey               SP
  1           TIGER ROLL (IRE)                    8    10-13 (s+t) Gordon Elliott, Ireland           Davy Russell         10/1
  2    hd     PLEASANT COMPANY (IRE)             10    10-11       W. P. Mullins, Ireland            D. J. Mullins        25/1
  3    11     BLESS THE WINGS (IRE)              13    10-6 (s) Gordon Elliott, Ireland              J. W. Kennedy        40/1
  4    nk     ANIBALE FLY (FR)                    8     11-8 (t) A. J. Martin, Ireland               Barry Geraghty       10/1
  5    21     MILANSBAR (IRE)                    11    10-6 (b) Neil King                            Bryony Frost         25/1
  6    12     ROAD TO RICHES (IRE)               11    10-5 (t) Noel Meade, Ireland                  Sean Flanagan        33/1
  7     7     GAS LINE BOY (IRE)                 12    10-11 (v) Ian Williams                        Robert Dunne         25/1
  8     4     VALSEUR LIDO (FR)                   9     11-7       Henry de Bromhead, Ireland        Keith Donoghue       66/1
  9    ¾      VIEUX LION ROUGE (FR)               9    10-13 (s) David Pipe                          Tom Scudamore        25/1
 10    ¾      RAZ DE MAREE (FR)                  13    10-9        Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Ireland   Robbie Power         20/1
 11    29     SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT                   10    10-12       Sandy Thomson                     Brian Hughes         11/1
 12    2¾     BAIE DES ILES (FR)                  7    10-8 (s) Ross O’Sullivan, Ireland             Ms K. Walsh          16/1
  F           FINAL NUDGE (IRE)                   9    10-6 (s) David Dennis                         Gavin Sheehan        33/1
  F           HOUBLON DES OBEAUX (FR)            11    10-7 (b) Venetia Williams                     Charlie Deutsch      25/1
  F           I JUST KNOW (IRE)                  8     10-8        Sue Smith                         Danny Cook           14/1
  F           VIRGILIO (FR)                      9     10-8 (t) Dan Skelton                          Harry Skelton        50/1
  F           PERFECT CANDIDATE (IRE)            11     11-3       Fergal O’Brien                    Alain Cawley         50/1
  F           ALPHA DES OBEAUX (FR)              8     11-4 (s) M. F. Morris, Ireland                Rachael Blackmore    33/1
 ur           LORD WINDERMERE (IRE)              12    10-7        J. Culloty, Ireland               A. E. Lynch          50/1
 ur           CAPTAIN REDBEARD (IRE)             9     10-7        Stuart Coltherd                   Sam Coltherd         20/1
 ur           BUYWISE (IRE)                      11    10-8        Evan Williams                     Adam Wedge           50/1
 ur           UCELLO CONTI (FR)                  10    10-10 (t) Gordon Elliott, Ireland             Daryl Jacob          16/1
 ur           THE DUTCHMAN (IRE)                  8    10-11 (t) Colin Tizzard                       Harry Cobden         20/1
 bd           SAINT ARE (FR)                     12    10-10 (b+t) Tom George                        Ciaran Gethings      50/1
 bd           BLAKLION                            9    11-10       Nigel Twiston-Davies              Sam Twiston-Davies   14/1
 pu           THUNDER AND ROSES (IRE)            10    10-5 (s+t) M. F. Morris, Ireland              J. J. Slevin         33/1
 pu           DELUSIONOFGRANDEUR (IRE)            8    10-5        Sue Smith                         Henry Brooke         50/1
 pu           DOUBLE ROSS (IRE)                  12    10-6        Nigel Twiston-Davies              Tom Bellamy          66/1
6|
                                                          - 11 -
pu            MAGGIO (FR)                                 13    10-8 (t) Patrick Griffin, Ireland       Brendan Powell 66/1
  pu            PENDRA (IRE)                                10    10-8 (b+t) Charlie Longsdon             Aidan Coleman  80/1
  pu            CHILDRENS LIST (IRE)                         8    10-8        W. P. Mullins, Ireland      Jonathan Burke 66/1
  pu            CHASE THE SPUD                              10 10-12          Fergal O’Brien              Paddy Brennan  25/1
  pu            WARRIORS TALE                                9    10-12 (t) Paul Nicholls                 Sean Bowen     33/1
  pu            TENOR NIVERNAIS (FR)                        11     11-1       Venetia Williams            Tom O’Brien    66/1
  pu            CARLINGFORD LOUGH (IRE)                     12     11-1       John E. Kiely, Ireland      M. P. Walsh    33/1
  pu            SHANTOU FLYER (IRE)                          8     11-2 (v+t) Richard Hobson              James Bowen    20/1
  pu            TOTAL RECALL (IRE)                           9     11-5       W. P. Mullins, Ireland      P. Townend     7/1f
  pu            THE LAST SAMURI (IRE)                       10    11-8 (t) Kim Bailey                     David Bass     16/1
38 ran Race Time 9m 40.20 Closing Sectional (6.28f): 98.0s (108.3%) Winning Owner: Gigginstown House Stud
Happily, all the horses to have contested the Grand National in the 6 years since the fences were modified have
returned home safely, yet any concerns among traditionalists that the race has become too sanitised will surely have
been allayed by this renewal—there were plenty of thrills and spills, whilst Aintree’s infamous long run-in conjured
up a late twist with the rarity of a photo-finish, as a Gordon Elliott horse just edged out one trained by his great rival
Willie Mullins in a finish dominated by Irish yards; the pace was a decent one given the conditions, with both jumping
and stamina fully tested, so it’s perhaps a surprise that 5 of the first 6 home were tackling this unique course for the
first time; as usual, nothing got into from the back. Tiger Roll is prone to the odd stinker but it’s increasingly hard to
crab a horse with so many big-race wins on his CV, producing another gutsy display here to land the biggest prize
of them all, posting a career-best effort in terms of form too; in touch, jumped accurately (mistake nineteenth his
only scare), travelled smoothly, every chance from second Canal Turn, produced to lead 2 out, quickened clear soon
after last, looked in control 1f out but reduced advantage close home, just held on; still only 8, it wouldn’t be a
surprise if he’s kept to these fences and/or cross-country events from now on, which could also help with his
consistency issues. Pleasant Company had been the Willie Mullins first string when just ninth in 2017 and, returning
from 11 weeks off, belatedly showed why as he bounced right back to his best after 2 underwhelming comeback
runs; handy, jumped superbly in main, took keen hold, went on nineteenth, headed when not fluent 2 out, looked
held when left behind by winner early on run-in, rallied well final 1f, just failed; will warrant respect in any race over
these fences. Bless The Wings has been a marvellous servant to connections and ran a terrific race just 12 days on
from getting bogged down in barely raceable ground at Fairyhouse, this performance on a par with his form when
runner-up in 2 previous runnings of the Irish National; in touch, jumped soundly, travelled smoothly, in contention
from second Canal Turn until one paced after 2 out, gamely held on for third late on. Anibale Fly did well to finish
as close as he did, his jockey’s decision to take him so wide in the back straight both times surely backfiring given
how much ground he conceded to the other principals; mid-division, hampered first, jumped soundly in main,
travelled well, mistake 5 out, still plenty to do next, headway between 3 out and 2 out, kept on latter stages; well
worth another try in the race. Milansbar was beaten quite a long way in the end but probably remains in form;
prominent, pecked first (largely fluent otherwise), went with plenty of zest again, lost place 5 out, plugged on again
latter stages (reportedly finished lame). Road To Riches fared better than might have been expected given his
recent slump, though he’s far from certain to build on this back over conventional fences; waited with, hampered
The Chair, baulked again Foinavon second time around, plugged on latter stages, never dangerous. Gas Line Boy
failed to last out under even more testing conditions than when fifth last year; mid-division, jumped soundly in main
(hit fourth), hampered Foinavon second time around, no extra from early in straight (mistake last), finished tired.
Valseur Lido hinted at a revival, his capitulation in the latter stages here far easier to excuse given that, even in his
pomp, this sort of extreme test never seemed likely to suit; never far away, travelled smoothly, untidy thirteenth
(fluent otherwise), in contention back straight until weakened from 2 out; remains to be seen if able to back this up,
though. Vieux Lion Rouge failed to stay in 2016 (seventh) and 2017 (sixth) but didn’t make much of an impact this
time after early interference; waited with, lost place when badly hampered eighth, never landed a blow. Raz de
Maree hadn’t taken to the course when a well-held eighth back in 2014 (unlucky early casualty last year) and never
figured after 3 months off; waited with, not always fluent, never landed a blow (reportedly suffered post-race heat
stress). Seeyouatmidnight shaped much better than the distance beaten suggests; handy, travelled smoothly, hit
twenty-first (fluent otherwise), upsides briefly 4 out, dropped away between 3 out and 2 out, finished lame. Baie des
Iles didn’t have quite the chance the market suggested, though she’d surely have been better off adopting her usual
prominent tactics; waited with, jumped safely until mistake second Canal Turn, still towards rear when hampered by
loose horse next (Valentine’s), not fluent again 5 out, never a danger. Final Nudge back in headgear, failed to
complete on his first try over these fences; mid-division, short of room when fell eighth (Canal Turn). Houblon des
Obeaux was backed at long odds due to the testing ground and his stable’s recent revival but was let down by
jumping this time around (tenth in 2017); held up, behind when fell sixth (Becher’s). I Just Know is a notably fluent
                                                                                                                           |7
                                                            - 12 -
jumper of conventional fences but failed to complete on his first stab at the National course; made running, fell sixth
(Becher’s). Virgilio was a very doubtful stayer but, after 4 months off, didn’t last long in any case; dropped out,
hampered first, still in rear when fell sixth (Becher’s). Perfect Candidate had lasted until 5 out in 2017 (pulled up) but
got no further than the first this time around, crashing out when in the front rank. Alpha des Obeaux after 9 weeks
off, shaped as if back in form until crashing out at halfway, by no means his first error on this debut over the National
fences; in touch, tanked along, blundered third, mistake again seventh, close up going strongly when fell heavily The
Chair. Lord Windermere has now failed to complete on 3 of his 4 tries over these fences; mid-field, hampered third,
short of room when unseated rider eighth (Canal Turn). Captain Redbeard hadn’t convinced with his jumping in
the Grand Sefton earlier in the season and didn’t last long returned here; handy, hit fifth, mid-division when unseated
rider seventh. Buywise hasn’t always been the safest conveyance down the years but he completed the course in
2016 (twelfth) and wasn’t to blame for this non-completion; mid-division, badly hampered and unseated eighth
(Canal Turn). Ucello Conti after 11 weeks off, cut a fine sight over these fences at the head of affairs for much of the
way but, for the second year running, was ultimately let down by his jumping on the second circuit; prominent,
travelled smoothly, left in front sixth (Becher’s), headed nineteenth, remained prominent, going well when bad
mistake second Canal Turn, still close up when unseated rider 4 out though probably beginning to feel the pinch;
he’s clearly on a competitive mark judging by this. The Dutchman shaped as if back in form after 8 weeks off; handy,
went with zest, hit twenty-first, still in touch when unseated rider next. Saint Are possibly isn’t the force of old and,
although blameless for his eventual exit from the race, it was clear from quite early on that he wouldn’t be adding to
his fine Aintree record; handy, pecked first, bad mistake fourth, lost place when blundered again eighth (Canal Turn),
mistake fourteenth, struggling in rear when brought down The Chair. Blaklion had proved a natural on both
previous tries over this course, which makes his luckless first-fence exit all the more galling, simply left with nowhere
to go when Perfect Candidate fell in front of him. Thunder And Roses had gone with zest until wiped out by a loose
horse at the ninth in 2017 but didn’t take to the course this time around, his 2 recent falls on Irish soil having possibly
left a mark; prominent, jumped slowly, lost place early as a result, reminders twelfth, tailed off when pulled up after
second Valentine’s. Delusionofgrandeur possibly wasn’t over his hard race at Haydock 14 days earlier, producing
an uncharacteristically laboured display on this debut over these fences; held up, clouted fifth, badly hampered
eighth, never going well after, blundered again thirteenth, tailed off when pulled up early final circuit. Double Ross
doesn’t stay this far, but shaped as if still in decent heart for much of the way; prominent, typically jumped soundly,
lost touch gradually from Foinavon second time around, behind when pulled up between last 2. Maggio simply
isn’t the force of old; raced wide, dropped out, mistake seventh, downed tools starting second circuit, tailed off
when pulled up after seventeenth (needlessly asked to jump fence). Pendra failed to stay in 2016 and it was a similar
story tried tongue tied here; waited with, badly hampered eighth (Canal Turn), brief headway halfway but pulled up
before last having dropped away from 5 out. Childrens List predictably failed to stay after 8 weeks off, though
shaped encouragingly for a long way and would be one to consider for other contests over these fences; mid-
division, jumped fluently, travelled strongly, in contention from early final circuit until dropped away between 3 out
and 2 out, pulled up run-in; still lightly raced in this sphere and remains open to improvement. Chase The Spud
seems to have completely lost his form, soon detached and pulled up before The Chair, reportedly bled; plenty to
prove at present. Warriors Tale coped okay with the different fences but failed to stay after 11 weeks off; mid-
division, jumped fine, hampered Foinavon second time around, lost touch from next, pulled up after 3 out. Tenor
Nivernais is a doubtful stayer but, as in 2017 (seventeenth), essentially made little impact; mid-division, blundered
third, bad mistake twelfth, struggling when mistake 5 out, pulled up next; difficult to assess at present. Carlingford
Lough probably isn’t the force of old and made no impact after 4 months off (not tongue tied); held up, badly
hampered first, badly hampered again eighth (Canal Turn), blundered nineteenth, tailed off when pulled up run-in
(reportedly suffered from post-race heat stress). Shantou Flyer was pulled up 5 out for the second year running and,
as in 2017, reportedly had a breathing problem; mid-division, mistake second, hampered eighth (Canal Turn), slow
water jump, lost touch gradually final circuit, not fluent second Valentine’s, behind when pulled up next. Total
Recall was badly let down by his jumping tackling these fences for the first time; handy, typically took strong hold,
lost place when all but came down third, dropped back again when blundered ninth (Valentine’s), generally not
fluent after, brief headway second Canal Turn, not persevered with after mistake 4 out, pulled up before 2 out; the
anti-climactic end to his campaign shouldn’t disguise the tremendous strides he’s made since joining Willie Mullins
and there are probably more good races to be won with him. The Last Samuri boiled over in the paddock and
never figured under a change of tactics (also tongue tied first time); dropped out (ridden handily on all 3 previous
tries over these fences), badly hampered sixth (Becher’s), hampered again The Chair, never on terms, pulled up 5 out.
8|
                                                         - 13 -
Past Winners
2018    Tiger Roll          8-10-13     10/1        Gordon Elliott         Davy Russell      38
2017    One For Arthur      8-10-11     14/1        Lucinda Russell        Derek Fox         40
2016    Rule The World      9-10-7      33/1        M. F. Morris           D. J. Mullins     39
2015    Many Clouds         8-11-9      25/1        Oliver Sherwood        Leighton Aspell   39
2014    Pineau de Re        11-10-6     25/1        Dr Richard Newland     Leighton Aspell   40
2013    Auroras Encore      11-10-3     66/1        Sue Smith              Ryan Mania        40
2012    Neptune Collonges   11-11-6     33/1        Paul Nicholls          Daryl Jacob       40
2011    Ballabriggs         10-11-0     14/1        Donald McCain          Jason Maguire     40
2010    Don’t Push It       10-11-5     10/1jf      Jonjo O’Neill          A. P. McCoy       40
2009    Mon Mome            9-11-0     100/1        Venetia Williams       Liam Treadwell    40
2008    Comply Or Die       9-10-9       7/1jf      David Pipe             Timmy Murphy      40
2007    Silver Birch        10-10-6     33/1        Gordon Elliott         Robbie Power      40
2006    Numbersixvalverde   10-10-8     11/1        Martin Brassil         Niall Madden      40
2005    Hedgehunter         9-11-1       7/1f       W. P. Mullins          R. Walsh          40
2004    Amberleigh House    12-10-10    16/1        D. McCain              Graham Lee        39
2003    Monty’s Pass        10-10-7     16/1        James Joseph Mangan    Barry Geraghty    40
2002    Bindaree            8-10-4      20/1        Nigel Twiston-Davies   Jim Culloty       40
2001    Red Marauder        11-10-11    33/1        N. B. Mason            R. Guest          40
2000    Papillon            9-10-12     10/1        T. M. Walsh            R. Walsh          40

                                                                                             |9
                                           - 14 -
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