2020 MELBOURNE ACCOUNTING MARKET - Thompson Cook

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2020
MELBOURNE
ACCOUNTING
MARKET
COVID-19 Impact:

COVID-19 has impacted finance functions
across Melbourne since February 2020. We
have updated below our Melbourne Accounting
Market commentary from the start of 2020 with
specific updates on how COVID-19 has influenced
Melbourne accounting functions.

A key observation has been the delineation
between companies impacted negatively by
COVID-19 and those who have had no impact or in
fact benefitted from COVID-19. Never before have
we observed such an unusual balance between
different industry segments.
NATIONAL JOB MARKET                                                                                                                   -1%

      WE HAVE INCLUDED BELOW TWO                                                                             -3%

      KEY EMPLOYMENT GRAPHS:                                                                                                 -8%
                                                                                                                                              -13%
      •                            The SEEK Job Ad Index for Accounting Jobs
                                   which shows by State job ad volumes versus
                                   last year
                                                                                                                                            -6%
                                   •     Clearly the major States of NSW and VIC are            Source:
                                         showing declines in job ad volume with the             Seek Employment Index Jan 2020
                                         other States being mixed

      •                            The ANZ Job Ads Index which shows historical                 It is interesting to reflect on the objective jobs data
                                   job ad volumes over many years                               in these two graphs and the conclusions that can
                                                                                                be drawn for the Melbourne accounting market. The
                                   •     It can be seen that Nationally across Australia
                                                                                                graphs clearly suggest the Melbourne accounting
                                         job ads are trending down suggesting the jobs
                                                                                                market should be a flat market with less jobs available.
                                         market will be challenging in 2020
                                                                                                However, sentiment amongst companies is that it is
                                                                                                very hard to find quality accounting talent and many
                                                                                                good jobs are available.
                                       260

                                       240
                                                                                                                                    Seasonally adjusted
Number of job ads per week, 000s

                                                                                                                                    Trend
                                       220

                                       200

                                       180

                                       160

                                       140

                                       120

                                       100
                                             05   06   07     08     09     10     11      12    13     14         15   16     17     18      19     20

                                                   Source: ABS, SEEK, Dept of Employment, Skills, Small and Family Business, ANZ Research

          2020 melbourne accounting market
COVID-19 Impact:
                                            •     Below are the graphs updated for August 2020.

                                            •     Across Australia accounting job ads have declined
                                                  by 53%. The impact on Victoria has been severe
                                                  at 57%. For Melbourne, the volume of jobs                                                    -47%
                                                  available for finance professionals is now very
                                                  low and at a level that is worse than the Global                  -42%
                                                  Financial Crisis in 2008.                                                       -28%
                                            •     Across Australia the job ads trend shows a very
                                                  steep decline in April and May with a rebound in                                                  -56%
                                                  July and August 2020. The steep decline and V
                                                  shaped recovery provides a level of comfort that
                                                  jobs will recover in the 2H of 2020 into 1H 2021.
                                                                                                                                                -57%
                                            •     The challenge for employers is that many good            Source:
                                                  quality finance professionals are currently in           Seek Employment Index Aug 2020
                                                  permanent positions and are unwilling to look at
                                                  a new job until 1H 2021.

                                                360

                                                320
Average number of job ads per month, 000s

                                                                                                                                          Seasonally adjusted

                                                280

                                                240

                                                200

                                                160

                                                120

                                                80

                                                40
                                                      05   06    07      08     09    10    11       12   13   14     15   16     17     18    19      20   21

                                                                      Source: SEEK; Dept of Employment, Skills and Employment; ANZ Research

                                            2020 melbourne accounting market
THE JOBS MARKET CAN BE SEGMENTED aS FOLLOWS, USING A TYPICAL
COMPANY WITH 100 STAFF:
•   Boom market: 40 recruitment requirements: If a         COVID-19 Impact: In simple terms, companies in
    company has 100 staff, they will grow to 120 staff     Melbourne can be divided into:
    via 20 new hires and they are likely to lose 20 of     •   Companies that are severely impacted by
    their existing staff, creating 20 replacement hires.       COVID-19. For these companies the effect is to
•   Positive market: 10 recruitment requirements: If a         create a “declining” jobs market whereby many
    company has 100 staff, they will grow to 105 staff         roles are not being replaced should someone
    via 5 new hires and they are likely to lose 5 of           move on from the business.
    their existing staff, creating 5 replacement hires.    •   Companies that are not impacted by COVID-19.
•   Flat market: 5 recruitment requirements: If a              For these companies it is a “flat” market whereby
    company has 100 staff, they are likely to lose 5           any accounting staff that leave are replaced.
    staff, creating 5 replacement hires.

•   Declining market: 2 recruitment requirements:
    If a company has 100 staff they are likely to lose
    5 staff but only replace 2 of them, creating 2
    replacement hires.

2020 melbourne accounting market
•   Support market
STRUCTURE OF
ACCOUNTING FUNCTIONS
CENTRALISED OR DECENTRALISED
ACCOUNTING FUNCTIONS:                                    “DELAYERING”:
In some of Australia’s largest companies there is        In the last two years we have forecasted a
an emerging trend to now decentralise accounting         significant slowdown in companies using
functions back out to the divisions rather than having   “Delayering” as a cost cutting opportunity.
a large, centralised shared services team. This trend    This occurred as companies are now
continued to gain momentum in 2019 and we expect         understanding that there is a limit to just how
this to continue in 2020. The expectation is that a      much work can be pushed down through
decentralised accounting team will be closer to the      delayering without there being a compromise
business and provide far better commercial insight.      in quality. In 2020, we will see more
This is concurrent with the trend of companies           companies focused on the quality of output
investing more in Financial Planning & Analysis          rather than the cost of the finance team.
positions.
                                                         COVID-19 Impact:
COVID-19 Impact:                                         •   To date we have not observed companies
•   COVID-19 and the creation of the ability to work         using COVID-19 as an opportunity to
    remotely may play a key role in shaping the              “delayer” positions. The feedback from
    centralized versus decentralized accounting              employers has been that COVID-19 has
    function debate. The value of a centralized              created an additional volume of work for
    function includes the idea that accountants in           finance functions to complete, therefore
    a centralized group head office function are             this is not the time to be pushing further
    better placed for stakeholder management and             work down to less experienced finance
    ideas sharing through working in close physical          professionals.
    proximity. This notion may well be dispelled with
                                                         Delayering occurs when companies use a
    the current remote working arrangements of
    many companies.                                      resignation as an opportunity to replace a
                                                         position at a lower salary band. For example,
•   While working from home for many accountants         the resignation of a Finance Manager at
    has created certain efficiencies, the impact on      $180k can be replaced by a Finance Manager
    finance professionals in business partnering         at $140k with the work effectively pushed
    positions or executive roles has been material.      down to a more junior employee. The driver
    For many, it has been challenging to influence and   behind this strategy is cost savings.
    support their operational stakeholders from home
    as well as they were prior to COVID-19.

2020 melbourne accounting market
EMPLOYER CHALLENGES:
Given that many accounting teams have been through
multiple cycles of process improvement and cost
cutting, most accounting functions are efficient and
lean. Accordingly, when an individual resigns, many
companies look to employ a person who has the
skill set to complete the position immediately rather
than employing a person who will grow into the
role. The challenge for a candidate is that they may
well find themselves making a lateral career move
– completing the same role at a different company
without any career development or growth.

This issue remained prevalent in 2019, however
with the demand for accounting staff being high,
many candidates are able to choose between roles.
Accordingly, in 2020 more companies will be open to
hiring someone who will grow into a role.

COVID-19 Impact:
•   A key impact to employers since COVID-19 has
    been the shift to induct new employees remotely.
    For the most part, companies have adjusted their
    processes well and we are still seeing effective
    induction processes. The most challenging
                                                         SPECIALIST FUNCTIONS
    segment of the market for new hires during
    COVID-19 is often senior executives, who now         TAX | TREASURY | CORPORATE
•
    need to build c-suite relationships from home.

    We have observed a very strong trend from
                                                         DEVELOPMENT | RISK
    companies since COVID-19 began in March 2020         The accounting functions of Tax, Treasury,
    to hire new finance professionals who are able       Corporate Development and Risk are all
    to hit the ground running immediately, there is      becoming increasingly focused and smaller in
    little appetite currently for companies to employ    size. In some companies the functions have
    new finance professionals who will grow into         been outsourced entirely to PwC, Deloitte, EY,
    a role. Companies are simply too busy to be          KPMG and other specialist consulting firms. For
    focused on training people to perform a position     example, Tax functions are almost half the size of
    competently.                                         what they were 10 years ago in many companies,
In the last two years we observed the best companies     excluding the banks and large mining companies.
were able to accelerate a recruitment process for a      We expect this trend to continue in 2020.
standout person whom they wanted to secure for           The specialist function of Risk will experience
their business. For example, a typical recruitment       the most growth in 2020 due to the Banking
process may take 10 business days from first interview   Royal Commission which has influenced many
to offer, however a nimble company would accelerate      large ASX companies to refocus on their Risk
this into a 4-day turnaround for the right individual.   management functions.
This will continue in 2020 with some companies           COVID-19 Impact:
using this accelerated model as a deliberate strategy
                                                         •   Since the COVID-19 outbreak, cyber security
to gain an advantage if required in the so called
                                                             has been a focus for most large consumer
“demand for talent”.
                                                             centric companies. Apart from the increase in
COVID-19 Impact:                                             demand for cyber risk professionals there has
•   Companies have quickly adapted their recruitment         been very little increase in the demand for
    processes to hire new finance professionals and          risk and audit professionals - most internal
    on-board them remotely. There has been no delay          audit/risk functions have remained constant
    in the typical recruitment process.                      in terms of size.

2020 melbourne accounting market
THE DYNAMICS OF JOB SEARCHING
JOB VOLUMES:
Typically, for every 1 position at $300k there is 1       LinkedIn remains an excellent tool for company
position at $180k, 2 positions at $120k, 3 positions at   research and people research.
$100k, 5 positions at $80k and 3 positions at $65k.
                                                          Press advertising has almost ceased for accounting
This remains unchanged in 2020.
                                                          positions as companies have found it to be
COVID-19 Impact:                                          prohibitively expensive and a poor sourcing channel
•   For the moment, the huge decrease in job              for accountants relative to Seek, Linkedin and Indeed.
    volumes means the typical job ratios based on
                                                          Headhunting remains an effective tool for many
    salary level no longer apply. The two segments
                                                          companies. Interestingly, headhunting now occurs
    of the market hit hardest by COVID-19 are the
                                                          for all levels of roles, not just senior level professional
    $300k+ segment and the sub $80k segment.
                                                          positions. At ThompsonCook, we have a view that
                                                          almost everyone will consider a good opportunity
JOB SEARCHING:                                            that will grow their career.

Seek is the dominant advertising channel for all jobs –
however Linkedin is gaining traction and is perceived     “OFF MARKET CANDIDATES”:
to have better quality jobs advertised directly by
employers.                                                With improvements in technology and social media,
                                                          some of the better quality candidates can almost sit
We have also observed that Indeed is gaining traction     back and wait for jobs to be presented to them rather
as a new place to search for jobs given they host jobs    than actively engaging in the job search process.
that are not on Seek.                                     This trend will continue in 2020.
Historically, the typical interview ratio on Seek is      COVID-19 Impact:
1:30, only 1 person in 30 applications is interviewed.    •   This remains the case during COVID-19, however
In the last two years this has increased to 1:45 –            it is more difficult to convince people in
why? Because it has become harder and harder to               permanent employment to entertain a job change
find good quality accountants in Melbourne and we             during COVID-19.
expect this trend to continue in 2020.
COVID-19 Impact:
•   Interestingly job application volumes have
    decreased, this is driven by people in permanent
    positions not having the confidence to look for a
    new position during COVID-19.

2020 melbourne accounting market
THE COST OF RECRUITMENT FOR EMPLOYERS
PREFERRED SUPPLIER AGREEMENTS:
Most mid to large sized companies will have some                     In 2020 as the demand for accountants continues to
form of preferred supplier agreement.                                grow, preferred supplier agreements are becoming
                                                                     less relevant as line managers just want access to the
Typical market fee rates are 16% below $200k and
                                                                     best available accountants.
18% above 200k+. The large banks and government
PSA’s are typically 3%-5% below these rates. Broadly,                COVID-19 Impact:
most PSA’s have a lot of leakage. Over the past 5                    •    There has been no change to the cost of
years, the trend has been away from recruitment                           recruitment for employers.
suppliers presenting and pitching for a PSA, rather
companies apply a procurement model of issuing
standard terms and conditions for all suppliers at
fixed fee rates.

Focused on Melbourne.                                                                                       EXPERTISE
Experts in accounting recruitment, salary                                                                   CHALLENGE
                                                                                                            OPPORTUNITY
benchmarking and career planning.                                                             FOCUSED ON    Melbourne

We are here to assist organisations to create great finance functions. Our goal                EXPERTS IN   Accounting Recruitment
                                                                                                            Salary Benchmarking
is to help clients and candidates navigate an increasingly competitive and                                  Career Planning

challenging accounting talent market. Our team is astutely aware of the trends
that have shaped accounting functions for almost two decades. We appreciate                       WE ARE    A team of 15 experts

and understand the multiple roles and complex deliverables of finance functions.
                                                                                              WE ONLY DO    Accounting
At ThompsonCook, discover better ways to gain recruitment advice and career
planning insight.

Our clients want to deal with a different type of firm that is flexible, realistic and
consistent when responding to needs. Our candidates want insight, support and
transparency on how to maximise their careers.

2020 melbourne accounting market
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