APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study - Banking & Finance - Sia Partners

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APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study - Banking & Finance - Sia Partners
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APAC IBOR
Transition
Benchmarking Study.
July 2020         Banking & Finance.
APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study - Banking & Finance - Sia Partners
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si a -p a r t n e r s. co m
APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study - Banking & Finance - Sia Partners
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      Content

6
      •
      		Executive summary

8
      •   Summary of APAC IBOR transitions

9
10
      •   APAC IBOR deep dives
          Hong Kong

 11		Singapore

 13       Japan

15        Australia

16		New Zealand

 17		Thailand

18		 Philippines

19        Indonesia

20        Malaysia

      •
21        South Korea

22    	Benchmarking study findings

23
      •
      	Planning the next 12 months

24
      •   How Sia Partners can help
APAC IBOR Transition Benchmarking Study - Banking & Finance - Sia Partners
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Editorial
team.

                                               M a x imilien B ou chet

                                       Domit ille M ozat

                           Ernes t Yu e n

         N ik hilesh Pa gru t

Joyce Chan
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                                                             Foreword.

                                  Financial benchmarks play a significant role in the global financial system. They
                                  are referenced in a multitude of financial contracts, from derivatives and securities
                                  to consumer and business loans.

                                  Many interest rate benchmarks such as the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR)
                                  are calculated based on submissions from a panel of banks. However, since the
                                  global financial crisis in 2008, there was a notable decline in the liquidity of the
                                  unsecured money markets combined with incidents of benchmark manipulation.
                                  In July 2013, IOSCO Principles for Financial Benchmarks have been published to
                                  improve their robustness and integrity. One year later, the Financial Stability Board
                                  Official Sector Steering Group released a report titled “Reforming Major Interest
                                  Rate Benchmarks”, recommending relevant authorities and market participants to
                                  develop and adopt appropriate alternative reference rates (ARRs), including risk-
                                  free rates (RFRs).

                                  In July 2017, the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), announced that by the end
                                  of 2021 the FCA would no longer compel panel banks to submit quotes for LIBOR.
                                  And in March 2020, in response to the Covid-19 outbreak, the FCA stressed that
                                  the assumption of an end of the LIBOR publication after 2021 has not changed.
                                  Especially, the issuance of cash products linked to sterling LIBOR has to stop by the
                                  end of Q3 2020 and the number of contracts referencing LIBOR must be notably
                                  decreased by Q1 20211.

                                  In Asia, most of the jurisdictions plan to adopt a multiple-rate approach for their
                                  respective local benchmark reforms, with enhanced benchmarks expected to re-
                                  main alongside alternative RFRs (transaction-based and insulated from manipula-
                                  tions). However, Interbank Offered Rate (IBOR) transition is at different stages of
                                  progress in APAC and seems particularly fragmented, as uncertainty still exists in
                                  some jurisdictions (where the future of local benchmarks has not yet been settled)2.
                                  While most regulators in Asia are not willing to rule out their local benchmarks,
                                  some of these benchmarks take USD LIBOR as a direct input (e.g. in Thailand and
                                  the Philippines), implying the LIBOR transition must be managed carefully and
                                  without delay.

                                  Since LIBOR demise is around the corner and only one year and a half is left for the
                                  transition, we believe it is time to consider how far market participants have pro-
                                  gressed in the transition, and how much further they need to go. For that purpose,
                                  we conducted this APAC benchmark study to assess the state of readiness for
                                  transition from LIBOR (and other interbank offered rates) to alternative reference
                                  rates, as well as the challenges and nuances that market participants face in the
                                  transition across Asia.

1
     FCA Statement, 23 March 2020
2
      As referred on page 8 of this report
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Executive Summary.

The first half of 2020 has proven to be           the regulator and prepare for regu-    Methodology
an unprecedented time with many firms             latory scrutiny related to the tran-
operating under their business conti-             sition; what are their approaches         Discussions with financial institu-
nuity plan (BCP) due to Covid-19. Des-            to communicating with customers           tions, including global and regio-
pite the operational challenges, global           and mitigating disputes and litiga-       nal market players in the banking,
firms with IBOR transition plan in place          tion risks                                asset management and securities
have continued to meet their key pro-                                                       services sectors.
gramme milestones. However, through               Operations and systems: what
ongoing discussions with APAC head-               is the current institutions’ level        Interviews were structured through
quartered clients, it is clear that many of       of operational and technology             a standardised questionnaire, co-
them are not prepared for the transition.         preparedness                              vering the 5 main areas of financial
This report aims to provide holistic in-                                                    benchmark reforms.
sights into the progress of the transi-           Risk management and modelling:
tion in the region and explore the key            what are the progress and challen-        The findings presented in this report
challenges experienced by different fi-           ges in updating risk management           are based on the information provi-
nancial institutions. Our survey covered          processes                                 ded during the interviews conduc-
5 main areas of the benchmark reform:                                                       ted from March to May 2020.
                                                  Contract inventory and remedia-
     Transition organization and go-              tion: how institutions are invento-       The respondent panel consists of
     vernance: how institutions are               rying their legacy contracts              subject matter experts (SMEs) from
     organising their IBOR transition                                                       the regulatory affairs, treasury, mar-
     process                                  The findings from the survey draw out         ket and transformation functions,
                                              the key focus areas for firms on both         as well as people in charge of di-
     Regulatory initiatives and litiga-       the buy and sell sides as we edge clo-        recting the LIBOR transition within
     tion: how institutions engage with       ser to the transition deadlines.              their firms.
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Survey key findings.
Transition Organisation & Governance

  82%                         70%                          Some regional banks
                                                           and buy side firms have
                                                           not started transition
  have a mature Global        did not experience any
                                                           planning
  led IBOR transition         transition delays due to
  programme                   Covid 19

Regulatory Initiatives & Litigation

                              67%                          82%                         91%
                              require greater clarity      have external               have interactions with the
                              from regulators especially   communication plan to       regulators, though mainly
                              on APAC IBORs                mitigate litigation risk    with HKMA and MAS

Operations & Systems

  55%                         All firms
                              completed less               17%                         33%
  completed front to
  back impact analysis        than 50%                     completed target
                                                           operating model
                                                                                       complete loans
                                                                                       F2B impact
  for derivatives             of their transition          design                      analysis

Risk Management

  62%                         8%                           15%                         38%
  have capability to run      completed risk               completed factoring of      are in progress of
  transition scenarios to     identification               liquidity ratios in their   assessing liquidity
  measure risk impact         and assessment               transition                  ratio impact

Contract Inventory & Remediation

  18%                         33%                          92%                         Client engagement
                                                                                       noted as the biggest
                                                                                       concern
  began fallback option       considered using AI          began contract review
  discussions with            & machine learning tools
  clients
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Summary of APAC IBOR
transitions3.
Comparatif des offres de streaming audio

                                                                  Alternative
                                                        Key                                                           Transition
      Jurisdiction             Currency                           reference                  Approach
                                                       rates                                                          necessary?
                                                                     rates

                                                                                       Multi-rate approach:
    Hong Kong
                                  HKD                 HIBOR         HONIA               Enhanced HIBOR to                X
      SAR                                                                            continue alongside HONIA

                                                                   Reformed
                                                      SIBOR
                                                                    SIBOR               Multi-rate approach:             X
     Singapore                    SGD                                                   Enhanced SIBOR to
                                                                   Reformed           continue alongside SORA
                                                      SIBOR
                                                                    SIBOR                                                 √
                                                                 TONAR or TIBOR
                                                   JPY LIBOR
                                                                  or OIS Rate
                                                                                                                          √
                                                                                         Multi-rate approach:
                                                                                  JPY TIBOR is expected to continue
        Japan                     JPY              JPY TIBOR        TIBOR          alongside TONAR Euroyen TIBOR         X
                                                                                         may be discontinued
                                                     Euroyen
                                                      TIBOR
                                                                    TIBOR                                                 √

                                                                                       Multi-rate approach:
                                                                 AONIA / RBA
     Australia                    AUD                 BBSW
                                                                  Cash Rate
                                                                                        Reformed BBSW to                 X
                                                                                     continue alongside AONIA

                                                                                        Multi-rate approach:
       New
      Zealand
                                  NZD                 BKBM           OCR                 BKBM to continue                X
                                                                                          alongside OCR

                                                     THBFIX          THOR          Short term: multi-rate approach
      Thailand                    THB                                              Long term: THBFIX and BIBOR            √
                                                      BIBOR          THOR            might be decommissioned

                                                                     Not
                                                     PHIREF
                                                                 identified yet
    Philippines                   PHP                                                     Not identified yet             N/A
                                                                     Not
                                                    PHP BVAL
                                                                 identified yet

                                                                                   Short term: multi-rate approach
     Indonesia                    IDR                 JIBOR        IndONIA           Long term: JIBOR might be            √
                                                                                          decommissioned

                                                                     Not
      Malaysia                    MYR                KLIBOR
                                                                 identified yet
                                                                                          Not identified yet             N/A

                                                                     Not
                                                     CD Rate     identified yet
        South
                                  KRW                                                     Not identified yet             N/A
        Korea                                       KORIBOR          Not
                                                                 identified yet

3
    Based on Sia Partners independent research as of June 2020
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APAC IBOR
deep dives.
The maturity of the IBOR transitions in APAC differs country by
country. Sia Partners has been actively monitoring the progress in
the region based on close participation in industry working groups
and discussions with our clients.
1
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    Hong Kong.
           Rate                          Description                         Challenges                              Current status

       HIBOR                 Set of reference interest rates           To remain compliant            Changes made to enhance the robustness
                              for HKD deposits based on                 with international             of HIBOR (independent oversight through
                             quotations provided by 12-20                   standards                     establishment of a Surveillance and
                              banks and calculated by the               (IOSCO Principles              Governance Committee and issue of new
                               Hong Kong Association of                    for Financial              policies on conflicts of interest, complaints,
                                      Banks (HKAB)                         Benchmarks)                    whistleblowing and error correction)

                                                                                                      Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA)
                                                                                                     works with the Treasury Market Association
                                                                                                        (TMA) to ensure HIBOR compliance

       HONIA                 Effective overnight and risk-              Lacks sufficiently            TMA will work with the industry to promote
                               free reference rate of HKD               robust underlying             development and trading of HONIA-based
                            unsecured lending transactions               transaction data                         financial products
                              in the Hong Kong interbank
                                                                           Lacks a term                  TMA will explore means of developing
                              market, executed through a
                                                                             structure                  term rates for HKD, such as an Overnight
                             panel of contributing brokers
                                                                                                       Index Swap (OIS) market for HONIA-based
                                                                                                                       transactions

    Both LIBOR and HIBOR are used                       transaction data. In December 20195,                will be undertaken to underpin the HI-
    extensively in the Hong Kong banking                the TMA published the Consultation                  BOR to transaction data to the greatest
    industry. As of September 2019 4 ,                  conclusions on technical refinements                extent possible.
    HK$4.5 trillion of authorized institu-              to HONIA (data source, reporting win-               Regarding the transition from IBOR
    tions (AIs)’ assets referenced LIBOR,               dow and publication time) to enhance                rates, HKMA issued several circulars
    amongst which HK$1.5 trillion will ma-              the robustness of the benchmark.                    in 20196: the first one, in March, urged
    ture after 2021, and HK$4.7 trillion are            While HONIA serves as an alternative                AIs to prepare for the transition and
    referencing HIBOR. Moreover, Hong                   to HIBOR, there is currently no plan to             start identifying and evaluating key
    Kong banking sector’s derivatives ex-               discontinue HIBOR. HIBOR has been in                risks arising from the reform and for-
    posures referencing LIBOR amounts                   place for many years and is still widely            mulating firm-wide action plans. The
    to HK$34.6 trillion (of which HK$16.1               recognised by market participants as a              latest circular in October 2019 outlined
    trillion will mature after 2021) while              credible and reliable benchmark. Like               HKMA will conduct a regular survey to
    exposures referencing HIBOR totals                  a few other jurisdictions in the region,            collect information on AIs’ exposures
    HK$12.2 trillion.                                   Hong Kong will adopt a multiple-rate                referencing IBORs and the progress of
    The TMA has proposed to adopt the                   approach. Meanwhile, TMA will conti-                their preparatory work for the transi-
    HONIA as the ARR. While lacking a                   nue to strengthen HIBOR to ensure                   tion to take suitable follow-up actions
    term structure on its own, this reference           that it remains in compliance with                  (results of the first survey for Q4 2019
    rate is robust and based purely on                  international standards, and reforms                have been published in April 2020).

      LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

         HIBOR: TMA will continue to strengthen HIBOR to ensure
                                                                                                    Multi-rate approach:
         that it remains in compliance with international standards
                                                                                     HONIA and HIBOR will co-exist in the market and
              HONIA: Market participants are encouraged to
                                                                                    market participants are free to choose between them
         incorporate HONIA into their business to reduce HIBOR
                                 exposures

                                                   Before                   2021                   After

4
    Results of Survey on Reform of Interest Rate Benchmarks for Q4 2019, HKMA, April 2020
5
    Consultation conclusion on technical refinements to HKD Overnight Index Average (HONIA), TMA, December 2019
6
    Circulars on interest rate benchmark reform, HKMA, March and October 2019
1
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Singapore.
        Rate                           Description                          Challenges                      Current status

     SIBOR                Daily reference rate based on                 Based on offered      Work is ongoing to enhance its robustness
                        the interest rates at which banks                 rates and not       and anchor it to market transactions to the
                          offer to lend unsecured funds                 transaction data                    extent possible
                         to other banks in the Singapore
                           wholesale money market (or
                                 interbank market)

       SOR                 Average interest rate on a FX                SOR is pegged to               To be replaced by SORA
                          Swap basis, as calculated from                  USD Libor
                          the actual transactions in USD/
                          SGD FX swap with USD LIBOR
                                      as input

     SORA                   Average rate of unsecured                  Overnight tenor only   Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) will
                             overnight interbank SGD                                          explore the publication of SORA averages
                           cash transactions brokered in                                                  for various tenors
                                    Singapore

There are two key SGD interest rate                   enhanced waterfall methodology for           rate. They also plan to provide indus-
benchmarks that are widely refe-                      SIBOR was conducted in the second            try guidance on appropriate fallbacks
renced in financial contracts: SIBOR                  half of 20197. The Association of Banks      for cash market products to market
and SOR. Currently, SOR is used for                   (ABS) is expected to provide an up-          participants by mid-2020, as well as
cash market products (loans, bonds)                   date on the proposed enhancements            guidance on a deadline for market
and derivatives and SIBOR is used for                 to SIBOR by end of June 2020, inclu-         participants to cease originations of
cash market products (loans) but not                  ding the targeted implementation date        new SOR contracts by the end of this
for derivatives. SOR is an FX swap                    of the new waterfall methodology.            year 8.
implied interest rate, computed from                  The industry has plans to develop ac-        While it is unclear the exact exposure
actual transactions in the USD/SGD FX                 tive trading of SORA derivatives from        of the corporate loans held by Singa-
swap market, and using USD LIBOR                      the first half of 2020. ABS declared it      pore banks that are priced using SOR
as an input. The mechanical depen-                    will be focusing in the next few mon-        (SOR underpins the S$3.5 trillion
dence of SOR on USD LIBOR made it                     ths on readying market conventions           SGD derivatives market 9 ), market
unreliable as a benchmark over the                    and infrastructure, building liquidity       observers had said that the concern
long-run and SORA has been identi-                    in SORA markets, engaging early              is less likely over an outsized expo-
fied as the ARR.                                      adopters on pilot product structures         sure, but that of ensuring an orderly
                                                      for SORA usage in the cash markets,          transition.
SORA is a transaction-based bench-                    and helping customers’ transition le-        The first DBS bond tied to SORA was
mark underpinned by a deep and                        gacy contracts. On the other hand,           issued on the 14th of May 202010.
liquid overnight interbank funding                    MAS will explore the publication of
market. Published since 2005 by the                   SORA averages for various tenors
MAS, the availability of a long histori-              and/or a SORA index by the end of
cal time series for SORA allows mar-                  2020. ABS also stated that they will
ket participants to perform technical                 publish guidance on the use of com-
analysis and model trends for risk                    pounded SORA rates in various cash
management, asset-liability pricing,                  market products in 3Q 2020, as well
and trading simulations. Further SORA                 as a customer segmentation study
consultations and enhancements to                     to identify the types of products and
the reformed SIBOR are expected in                    market segments that could benefit
2020. Transitional testing of a new                   from the use of compounded SORA

7
   Press Release, ABS, 1 July 2019
8
   Steering Committee for SOR Transition to SORA, ABS, 19 March 2020
9
   The Business Times, 19 March 2020
10
   Press Release, DBS Bank, 6 May 2020
1
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LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

                                       SIBOR: Enhanced SIBOR’s
                                    continued existence will consider
                                      bank funding structures and
                                      international developments
SIBOR: Enhanced SIBOR used for
cash market products (loans); but     SOR: Encourage transition of
       not for derivatives            legacy derivatives and cash
                                       market contracts to SORA
SOR: SOR still used for some cash
            markets                 SORA: SORA (compounded) used                 Multi-rate approach:
                                      for derivatives and some cash           SOR to be replaced by SORA
SORA: Facilitate take-up of SORA             market products
 (compounded) for derivatives.       Term SORA benchmark used for             Enhanced SIBOR to continue
     Develop term-SORA                 other cash market products                  alongside SORA

            1H 2020                             1H 2021              After 2021
1
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 Japan.
        Rate                            Description                           Challenges                       Current status

      JPY                  Average interbank interest rate                Expected to be                   To be replaced by:
     LIBOR                 at which banks on the London                  discontinued after          • TONAR (unsecured risk-free rate)
                           money market are prepared to                        2021             • TIBOR (unsecured interbank offered rate)
                         lend one another unsecured funds                                                       • OIS Rate
                           denominated in Japanese yen

     TONAR                Transaction-based benchmark,                  Overnight tenor only       Trading of TONA Futures is expected to
                             representing the risk-free                TONA futures trading      resume at some point in 2020 • OIS rate is
                          unsecured interbank overnight               is currently suspended,    an option for a forward term rate for TONA
                                   interest rate                       eliminating a possible    (does not include information derived from
                                                                           data source for                      futures trades)
                                                                        TONA term structure
                                                                            development

      JPY                  Average interest rates quoted                           N/A                               N/A
     TIBOR                   by reference banks on the
                           unsecured Japanese interbank
                                     call market

     Euroyen              Average interest rates quoted by             May be discontinued      Possibility to develop an “adjusted JPY TIBOR”
      TIBOR                reference banks on the Japan                                              Fallback rate should be individually
                                  offshore market                                                determined and agreed between the parties
                                                                                                                 to the contract

 In April 2014, the Japanese Bankers                    nal investors are underpinned by the         expectations of the Japanese risk-free
 Association (JBA) transferred its TI-                  Euroyen Tibor as the benchmark rate.         rate, received the most support as an
 BOR calculation and publication ope-                   In December 2016, the “Study Group           alternative benchmark to JPY LIBOR
 rations to a new administrator – the                   on Risk-Free Reference Rates” iden-          for both loans and bonds13.
 Japanese Bankers Association TIBOR                     tified TONAR as the Japanese yen             A “Task Force on Term Reference
 Administration (JBATA) – to be in line                 RFR. The market volume of uncollate-         Rates” was formed by the BoJ in July
 with the IOSCO Principles. The JBATA                   ralised overnight call rate transactions     2019 to establish a framework for cal-
 calculates the JBA TIBOR by using                      was $0.14 trillion in July 2018 12.          culation and publication of Term Re-
 banking quotes for five different matu-                In August 2018, the Bank of Japan            ference Rates based on the risk-free
 rities (from one week up to 12 months).                (BoJ) set up a “Cross-Industry Com-          rate TONA14 . Several options have
                                                        mittee on Japanese Yen Interest Rate         been proposed amongst which the
 JBA TIBOR has been reformed in July                    Benchmarks” to improve the integrity         development of a forward term rate
 2017 to integrate and clarify the cal-                 and robustness of benchmarking               based on futures (however the trading
 culation and determination processes                   rates ahead of the discontinuation of        of overnight call rate futures is current-
 of reference banks’ submission rates.                  the JPY LIBOR (for cash products such        ly suspended on the Tokyo financial
 More than $35 trillion transactions                    as loans and bonds as derivatives            Exchange), and an OIS rate (not inclu-
 are referencing either JPY LIBOR or                    transactions are covered by the Inter-       ding information derived from futures
 TIBOR 11 . JPY LIBOR transactions co-                  national Swaps and Derivatives Asso-         trades). Term rates are expected to
 ver derivatives ($27.7 trillion), business             ciation (ISDA)). A public consultation       be developed and implemented by
 loans ($1.3 trillion) and Bonds ($27.8                 was held on the appropriate choice           mid-2021 and temporary use of other
 billion for floating rates only). Moreo-               of alternative benchmarks to JPY LI-         options will need to be explored until
 ver, many derivatives contracts traded                 BOR. A term reference rate, which            their development for the transition.
 by financial institutions and institutio-              would be calculated based on future

11
   IBOR Global Benchmark Survey, 2018
12
    Bank of Japan, October 2018
13
    Public Consultation on Japanese Yen Interest Rate Benchmarks, BoJ, July 2019
14
    Press Release, BoJ, 30 July 2019
1
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In March 2020, the Financial Services
Agency (JFSA) and the BOJ commu-
nicated a summary of the results of a
survey conducted amongst Japanese
financial institutions on the use of LI-
BOR. The summary underlined that
most of the Japanese financial insti-
tutions surveyed are in the process
of preparing the business operations
to the LIBOR transition or have not
started yet. The JFSA and the BoJ
highlighted they will deliberate on the
need to set more specific core tar-
gets and conduct on-site monitoring,
considering the progress in financial
institutions’ preparations for LIBOR
transition15.

          LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

           JPY LIBOR: Conclude new contracts referencing
                      alternative benchmarks
          Change language in existing contracts that refer to
                               LIBOR                                                                Multi-rate approach:
                                                                                        JPY LIBOR expected to be discontinued and
            TONAR: The BOJ’s Committee will support the                                replaced by TONAR (and a long-term rate to be
          development of Term Reference Rates by mid-2021                                               developed)

             JPY TIBOR & Euroyen TIBOR: JBATA will, in                                 Reformed TIBOR to continue alongside TONAR
              cooperation with relevant authorities and
         organizations, undertake efforts to raise awareness                         Euroyen TIBOR may be discontinued or integrated
             of future retaining Japanese Yen TIBOR and                                 to the JPY TIBOR to create a new benchmark
           promote the use of Japanese Yen TIBOR in new                               (JBATA currently envisions a preparation period
                              transactions                                          of approximately two years following the permanent
           Euroyen TIBOR would not cease before 12-2021                                              cessation of LIBOR)

                                    Before                                  2021                          After

15
     Survey Results on the Use of LIBOR and Main Actions Needed, FSA and BoJ, 13 March 2020
1
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    Australia.
           Rate                          Description                         Challenges                                   Current status

        BBSW                  Denotes the cost for highly              Some BBSW tenors                    The Royal Bank of Australia (RBA)
                           rated banks in Australia to issue             are exhibiting a                 has encouraged market participants
                           short-term bank paper for each              degree of illiquidity           to adopt robust fallbacks for BBSW (such
                             monthly tenor between one                                                              as AONIA rate)
                                month and six months

     RBA Cash                   Average interest rate on              Overnight tenor only                 Use BBSW rate for longer tenors
      Rate /                   unsecured overnight loans                                                           in the short term
                                    between banks                                                        RBA has expressed support for efforts
      AONIA
                                                                                                              to develop a Term AONIA

    The publication of AUD LIBOR has been               strengthen the financial benchmarks                 derivatives market that allows users to
    discontinued in 2013 and replaced by                and ensure they were aligned with                   exchange cash flows linked to these
    the BBSW. Thus, Australian market is                the IOSCO Principles. To this end,                  benchmarks already exist. In June
    founded on mainly two benchmarks:                   new methodologies have been                         2019, the South Australian Government
    BBSW and Cash Rate.                                 implemented: BBSW is now largely                    Financing Authority (SAFA) issued the
    The notional value of financial                     transaction based for the critical 3-               first FRN referencing the AONIA18 .
    contracts that reference BBSW rate                  and 6-month tenors and the cash rate                In April 2020, regulators released
    in Australia are estimated to A$18                  is calculated directly using the actual             feedback on Financial Institutions’
    trillion (including derivatives, loans              transactions in the cash market 17.                 Preparation for LIBOR Transition19,
    and securities). BBSW is used as a                  As markets transition from referencing              following the ‘Dear CEO’ letter sent
    reference rate in around one-third of               LIBOR to RFRs, there may be some                    by the Australian Securities and
    non-government bonds denominated                    corresponding migration away from                   Investments Commission (ASIC) in
    in Australian dollars, in almost all                BBSW towards the cash rate. Even                    May 2019. Responses confirmed
    asset-backed securities issued by                   though referencing a credit-based                   that the overall impact of LIBOR in
    Australian securitization trusts, and in            benchmark (i.e. BBSW) is relevant for               Australia is substantial and indicated
    some issuance by state and territory                many financial products (e.g. corporate             that due to liquidity concerns in
    governments. The RBA cash rate is the               loans), for some of them an RFR may                 alternative reference rates, entities
    reference rate for around A$7 trillion              be more appropriate (e.g. floating rate             are continuing to write LIBOR-linked
    in derivatives contracts. On average,               notes (FRN) issued by governments).                 contracts. Regulators underlined they
    around $4.2 billion in underlying                   The infrastructure is in place for                  have taken this into consideration in
    volume is transacted in the interbank               BBSW and the cash rate to coexist as                the review process and acknowledge
    overnight cash market per day 16.                   the key interest rate benchmarks for                these external dependencies.
    In 2018, the RBA launched programs to               the Australian dollar and a functioning

       LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

            No change identified on the local rates: Regulators
           encourage market participants to adopt standards of
            ‘best practice when transitioning away from LIBOR:
                              • transition program                                                 Multi-rate approach:
             • client outreach and communication programmes                            BBSW to continue alongside AONIA, users can
                  • readiness of IT systems and infrastructure                         choose the benchmark that is most appropriate
                   • base and alternative scenarios planning                                      for their circumstances

                                      Before                                2021                                  After

4
    Results of Survey on Reform of Interest Rate Benchmarks for Q4 2019, HKMA, April 2020
5
    Consultation conclusion on technical refinements to HKD Overnight Index Average (HONIA), TMA, December 2019
6
    Circulars on interest rate benchmark reform, HKMA, March and October 2019
1
                                                                                                                                          1

 New Zealand.
        Rate                            Description                  Challenges                           Current status

     BKBM                 Short-term interest rate bench-      The falling volumes traded      Use an alternative rate (OCR) when
                           mark calculated on observed         at the BKBM rate set have       risk-free rates are more appropriate
                          transactions and reflecting the       raised concerns that the
                           supply and demand for Bank           benchmark rate may not
                            Bills (securities representing      accurately represent the
                           short-term debt obligations of        underlying market and
                          a bank with a maturity up to six        thus is becoming less
                                       months)                            reliable

       OCR                        Interest rate set by                      N/A                                N/A
                                   the Reserve Bank

 New Zealand’s benchmark inte-                     warrant attention. Most notably, there is   ticipants should adopt the new fall-
 rest rates (i.e. BKBM) have always                growing concern about the declining         back provisions that will be provided
 been based on actual transactions,                volumes of bank bills being traded          by the ISDA into their contracts refe-
 consistent with the IOSCO principles.             during the rate set. Between 2011           rencing BKBM rates. Furthermore, the
 However, in 2015, it has been reformed            and 2017, the total monthly volumes         NZFMA has advised that it intends to
 by the New Zealand Financial Markets              of bank bills traded in the daily BKBM      operate dual interest rate benchmarks,
 Association (NZFMA) to further im-                rate set have fallen from $25 billion to    retaining BKBM and developing RFR.
 prove its reliability and robustness.             $3 billion20. Lower volumes indicate        The new risk-free interest-rate bench-
 Some of the main changes have been:               that the market is less liquid, resulting   marks will be calculated independently
 to introduce a better governance sys-             in more volatility in BKBM rates, doing     to the BKBM fall-back benchmark rate,
 tem (including the introduction of the            harm to the rates’ representativity and     with the NZFMA currently developing a
 Benchmark Oversight Committee), to                credibility.                                term structure methodology22.
 widen the Trading Window from one to              The Reserve Bank of New Zealand             In January 2020, the OCR has been
 two minutes, the creation of operation            (RBNZ) underlined though that most          selected by the NZFMA in conjunction
 guidelines that include rules and penal-          market participants think the BKBM re-      with market participants to act as the
 ties for participants, and the move from          mains a good benchmark for the New          risk-free fall-back benchmark interest
 banks contributing rates directly to the          Zealand environment and there is no         rate for BKBM rates to comply with FSB
 NZFMA to the capture by brokers.                  plan to discontinue this benchmark          guidelines, and has been officially sup-
 While significant improvements have               soon21.                                     ported by the RBNZ23.
 been made to the BKBM rate capture                However, at the beginning of the year,
 process over time, some issues still              the RBNZ highlighted that market par-

      LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

               No change identified on the local rates:
        Regulatory authorities encourage market participants
        who have contracts referencing LIBOR to transition to
       alternative benchmark rates, and adopting more robust
       fallback provisions in their contracts referencing IBORs                           Multi-rate approach:
                        (including BKBM rates)                                     BKBM and OCR will continue to coexist

                                     Before                          2021                         After

20
   Reserve Bank of New Zealand, 2018
21
   The Reserve Bank Bulletin, RBNZ, June 2017
22
   Press Release, RBNZ, 28 January 2020
23
   Press Release, RBNZ, 28 January 2020
1
                                                                                                                                             1

Thailand.
          Rate                           Description                         Challenges                          Current status

      THBFIX               The synthetic rate for deposits in             LIBOR USD is             Use of adjusted THBFIX (Using SOFR +
                           THB, which represents the effec-              used for THBFIX          Spread) following ISDA recommendation
                             tive cost of borrowing the THB                calculation             (compounded in arrears with a spread
                            synthetically by borrowing USD                                          based on mean/median approach) as
                            for the same maturity and swap                                                        fallback
                              out the USD in return for THB

        THOR                    A risk-free overnight rate               N/A (New rate             New rate published since April 1st 2020
                             based on repo markets that is            published since April
                            expected to serve as alternative                1st, 2020)
                            reference rate for new Thai Baht

       BIBOR                  The rates at which contributing             Survey based             Bank of Thailand (BOT) issued a robust
                             banks offer to lend THB funds to            benchmark (not            code of conduct for contributing banks
                            prime banks, in a reasonable mar-           IOSCO compliant)             as a guideline for rate submission
                            ket size, on an unsecured basis in                                         methodology and procedure
                              the Bangkok interbank market

The end of LIBOR submission will
have a direct impact on the THBFIX,
                                                             LIBOR DISCONTINUATION
a transaction-based benchmark rate
implied from the USDTHB FX swap.
                                                              THBFIX: Renegotiate contract to
Impacts from the reform might be
                                                             include THBFIX Adjusted fallback
material for Thailand since THBFIX is
                                                                 for legacy Include THBFIX
predominantly used as the reference
                                                             Adjusted fallback for new contract       THBFIX: Enter into new contracts
rate in various products, including
                                                                                                         referencing LIBOR Free rate
loans, and interest rate and currency
                                                               THOR: Encourage the issuance                       (i.e. THOR)
derivatives24.
                                                                 of THOR linked product                 THBFIX probably going to get
BOT has pushed a market consulta-
                                                                  (compounded in arrear)               decommissioned after adoption
tion focusing on the Adjusted THBFIX
                                                                    Start of OIS trading                        of THOR OIS
methodology in the case of LIBOR
cessation. The favored approach is to
                                                               BIBOR: Establishments of new                THOR: Framework ready for
include an adjusted THBFIX as fall-
                                                               code of conduct, governance                 transition of legacy THBFIX
back using ISDA approach to replace
                                                                 and process controlBIBOR                contracts, to reduce outstanding
LIBOR (SOFR compounded in arrear
                                                              9-month ceased to be published              THBFIX contracts both in cash
with a spread based on median/mean
                                                                   due to lack of liquidity                  products and derivatives
approach)25.
In the long term, the favored RFR
would be THOR based on repo market
to serve as an alternative reference                                         Before               2021                  After
rate, that BOT started publishing in
April 2020. In addition, the global
transition pushed the BOT to reform
BIBOR with a new code of conduct
to match as much as possible IOSCO
principles26.

24
     Official Website, BOT, May 2020
25
     Responses to Market Participants’ Feedbacks on Adjusted THBFIX Consultation, BOT, May 2020
26
     Annual Report 2014, BOT
1
                                                                                                                                                1

Philippines.
           Rate                            Description                          Challenges                                   Current status

      PHIREF                Implied Peso interest rate derived               LIBOR USD is                                 Not identified yet
                             from done deals in the interbank               used for PHIREF
                              foreign exchange swap market.                   calculation
                                 The PHIREF is used as the
                             benchmark for the reset value for
                            the peso floating leg of an Interest
                                        Rate Swap

         PHP                    Represents the benchmark                 LIBOR USD is used for                             Not identified yet
         BVAL                  rates for the Philippine peso             PHP BVAL calculation
                               in the government securities
                                           market

The PHIBOR, which represents the                          fore swapping back to the Philippine
simple average of the interest rate of-                   Peso currency at the same tenor. So, if
fers submitted by participating banks                     US LIBOR is discontinued, it needs to
daily, has been ceased by the Bankers                     be replaced by an equivalent forward-
association of the Philippines (BAP) in                   looking term rate to prevent substan-
2013. Besides, the BAP replaced the                       tial alterations in the current value of
PDST Reference Rates and launched                         contracts linked to these rates.
in 2018 the PHP BVAL Reference                            In November 2018, BSP issued guide-
Rates, which represents the bench-                        lines on marking-to-market financial
mark rates for the Philippine peso in                     instruments 27, providing basis for
the government securities market.                         establishment of reliable and mar-
Today, the financial benchmark re-                        ket-based benchmarks and it is still
forms will affect three important                         planning to retain local benchmarks,
rates on the Filipino markets: the                        even though ARRs have not yet been
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP)                        identified28.
PHIREF (the interbank reference rate),
BVAL Reference Rates, and the US
dollar/Philippine peso FX rate.
Indeed, these rates are computed
using the US dollar LIBOR, as they indi-
cate the cost of borrowing in USD be-

        LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

                                                                                                    Approach not defined yet:
                                                                                          Local benchmarks should be retained, alongside
                    No change identified on the local rates                                         alternative reference rates

                                 Before end 2021                               2021                                  After

27
     Media Release, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, 14 November 2018
28
     Study On Implications of Financial Benchmark Reforms, Executives’ Meeting of East Asia Pacific Central Banks, February 2020
1
                                                                                                                                         1

 Indonesia.
            Rate                        Description                    Challenges                            Current status

         JIBOR              Determined by Bank Indonesia (BI)      Lack of credibility        Overnight tenor replaced with IndONIA
                            based on the indicative offer rates       Declarative                    Increased credibility by:
                              quoted by a contributor bank to                               - Underpinning quote rates to the greatest
                             BI within the submission window                                       extent with transaction data
                             time. JIBOR is the average of un-                                         - Good governance
                            secured lending indicative interest
                             rates, which is offered and aimed
                              for transactions by a contributor
                            bank to another for rupiah lending
                               in Indonesia for multiple tenors

      IndONIA                 Based on the average interest                N/A                                   N/A
                               rate for unsecured overnight       (New rate published
                              rupiah lending reported by all      since 1 August 2018)
                              banks to BI, based on market
                                        transactions

 IndONIA is an index of interest rate for           as a money market reference rate,
 unsecured overnight interbank rupiah               contributor banks have to quote rates
 lending transactions, determined by                by underpinning it to the greatest
 the average interest rate for unsecured            extent possible with transaction data
 overnight rupiah lending based on                  in order to better reflect market rates
 market transactions and reported by                and the process of JIBOR quotations
 all banks to Bank Indonesia.                       should be conducted with good
 In 2019, IndONIA replaced the                      governance29.
 JIBOR as an overnight interest rate
 benchmark. BI no longer publishes
 overnight JIBOR since the 2nd of
 January 2019 and financial contracts
 which used overnight JIBOR have
 shifted to IndONIA as reference rate
 for overnight tenor instead.
 To increase the credibility of JIBOR

        LIBOR DISCONTINUATION

                                                                                 JIBOR: Disappear on the long run as IndONIA
                                                                             liquidity develops for longer tenors (1 week, 1 month,
                                                                                       3 months, 6 months and 12 months)
                                                                                IndONIA: Develop liquidity in the longer tenors
                  JIBOR: Develop liquidity in the longer tenors               currently covered by JIBOR and aligning interbank
                          currently covered by JIBOR                                        rate with the policy rate

                                 Before end 2021                      2021                           After

29
     Official Website, BI
2
                                                                                                                                       2

 Malaysia.
           Rate                          Description                        Challenges                            Current status

       KLIBOR                Average interest rate at which            Survey based and not                       Not identified yet
                               term deposits are offered                  transaction-based
                              between prime banks in the             Doubts about the reliability
                              Malaysian wholesale money               due to illiquidity of some
                              market or interbank market             of the tenors (e.g. 3-month
                                                                           futures contract)

 The interbank offered rate, KLIBOR, is wi-
 dely used in financial contracts, including
 retail and commercial loans and interbank
 transactions.
 In 2017, the Malaysia’s Central Bank en-
 hanced the standards of its interbank
 benchmark rates to incorporate mea-
 sures to further strengthen the integrity
 of the KLIBOR reference rate. These mea-
 sures have been introduced following a
 review of the KLIBOR rate fixing process
 and covers the governance, oversight, ac-
 countability and transparency of the rates.
 The aim is to align with international best
 practices (IOSCO Principles), ensuring
 that the rate setting process is under-
 taken in a reliable and accurate manner
 to ensure the integrity and credibility of
 the rates being quoted by the KLIBOR
 submitters30.
 However, some liquidity concerns re-
 main on the KLIBOR market, as illustrated
 by the phase out of the nine-month tenure
 in January 2018 by the Malaysia’s central
 bank. This measure has been decided af-
 ter industry’s feedback on the limited mar-
 ket demand, relevancy and sufficiency of
 transactional data to support the 9-month
 KLIBOR rate setting process.31

         LIBOR DISCONTINUATION
                                                                                              Approach not defined yet:
                                                                                          KLIBOR should still exist and serve as
                    No change identified before end 2021                                          the benchmark rate

                                Before end 2021                            2021                           After

30
     KLIBOR Rate Setting Report, Bank Negara Malaysia, 27 December 2016
31
     Press Release, Bank Negara Malaysia, 29 December 2016
2
                                                                                                                                   2

South Korea.
        Rate                          Description                   Challenges                             Current status

     CD rate             91-day Certificate of Deposit (CD)     Insufficient volume of         Alternative RFR under development
                          issued by triple-A rated banks.        CDs (91-day) issued
                          The Korea Financial Investment       and in circulation. The
                          Association (KFIA) polls 10 local       rate has long been
                         securities companies twice each         reliant upon expert
                             day to calculate the rate         judgement rather than
                                                                  actual transactions

     KORIBOR               Average interest rate at which     Interbank offered rate,          Alternative RFR under development
                            term unsecured deposits are         not based on actual
                           offered between prime banks              transactions
                          in the Korean wholesale money
                             market or interbank market

In June 2019, the Financial Services             for the other option (as Repo volume
Commission (FSC) and the Bank                    is a lot higher than call transactions) 33.
of Korea (BOK) jointly launched a                The daily average balance of repo
taskforce to select an alternative to            transactions hit KRW89.6 trillion in the
the current standard, the KORIBOR,               first half of 201934, up from KRW51.9
which is based on the declining local            trillion in 2016. Over the same pe-
certificate of deposit market. The aim           riod, we observe a significant drop
is to develop a new benchmark by                 in overnight call transactions, with
March 2021. Meanwhile, the taskforce             daily average balances falling from
will also come up with measures to               KRW15.8 trillion to KRW10.6 trillion35.
boost the issuance of CDs and im-                Industry groups also highlighted other
prove the current method of calcula-             advantages of a repo rate, such as a
ting CD rates32.                                 lower counterparty risk compared to
The taskforce is considering two                 a call rate, especially if only transac-
options for the new risk-free rate: a            tions backed by government bonds
benchmark based on repo transac-                 are considered.
tions and an RFR based on short-term             As of now, there is no immediate
unsecured loans (call transactions).             plans to discontinue the 91-day CD
Earlier this year, dealers in South Korea        rate, and market players say they
have expressed their preference for a            will use the alternative RFR once it is
next-day repo rate considering decli-            available36.
ning volumes in the underlying market

      LIBOR DISCONTINUATION
                                                                             Approach not defined yet: Existing rates should
                 No change identified before end 2021                              still exist alongside a risk-free rate

                              Before end 2021                      2021                            After

32
   Press Release, FSC, 17 June 2019
33
   Risk.net, 24 February 2020
34
   Korea Securities Depository
35
   Bank of Korea
36
   Risk.net, 24 February 2020
2
                                                                                        2

Benchmarking
study findings.
This section of the report explores the key findings of the study
based on the discussions with financial institutions. It covers the
5 key areas of the transition including transition organization
and governance, regulatory initiatives and litigation, operations
and systems, risk management and modelling and contract
inventory and remediation. The study aims to offer insights into
how different firms surveyed in the region are preparing for the
transitions and tackling the challenges in APAC.
To participate in the study and access the detailed survey results, please contact us
2
                                                                                                                                  2

Planning the next 12 months.

Firms in the region have taken different approaches to prepare APAC IBOR transitions with some not started their prepared-
ness planning. Keeping the next 12 months on track will be crucial as the IBOR transition deadlines get closer and regulatory
guidelines become clearer. It is vital that firms continue to stay focused in preparing for the transitions.

                         Sell-side                                                     Buy-side

         Stay Current on Regulatory Developments
    • Engage with regulators and industry groups to
                                                              1          Establish Formal Transition Governance
                                                                         • Establish a programme governance framework to
understand transition guidelines and best practices                      provide oversight across impacted functions and
       as requirements become clearer in the region                      business lines
  • Maintain an agile delivery plan to meet evolving                     • Engage with all impacted stakeholders to align on
      regulatory requirements and challenges in the                      roles and responsibilities as well as accountability
                                              region                     • Define clear milestones and work packages to
                                                                         drive deliverables

                      Kick-off Contract Remediation
       • Establish the appropriate resource model at
                                                              2          Initiate Impact Assessment
                                                                         • Conduct a front to back assessment to identify
product level to manage contract remediation taking                      business areas and support functions impacted by the
   into account local specificities and cost vs volume                   transition and to quantity the magnitude of the impact
 • Identify local requirements and assess feasibility                    • Define target operating model and business strategy
    of using AI/ machine learning tools to accelerate                    • Develop remediation and transition plan to
                                  remediation process                    mitigate transition risks, such as conduct risks

                          Drive Client Communications
• Drive execution of client communication strategy and
                                                              3          Develop Communication Strategy
                                                                         • Establish internal and external communications
continue to monitor its effectiveness in meeting clients’                strategy, including client/ product categorisation,
        needs and reducing conduct and litigation risks                  outreach prioritisation communication timelines
    • Train internal resources to understand the various                 • Ensure conduct risks are thoroughly considered
         transitions in the region to begin detailed client              and mitigated
                                              discussions                • Align communications plan with key transition
 • Begin Initiation of negotiation and remediation of                    activities, such as contract remediationdiscussions
                                   contracts with clients                • Begin Initiation of negotiation and remediation of
                                                                         contracts with clients

             Get Operations and Technology Ready              4          Ongoing Transition Monitoring
         • Identify and mitigate key risks arising from                  • Drive internal operational and technology
        non-preparedness of clients and non-market                       preparedness to meet IBOR transition deadlines
            participants, such as clearers, custodians                   • Monitor regulatory development and industry
        • Identify key dependencies on vendors and                       guidelines to ensure external requirements are met
    establish an engagement strategy with vendors
   to close out risks and issues. Develop a potential
                         workaround plandiscussions
 • Begin Initiation of negotiation and remediation of
                                 contracts with clients
2
                                                                                                                        2

How Sia Partners can help.

 “Sia Partners stands ready to assist clients with a comprehensive impact assessment including a platform review,
                                 data reference analysis, and systems traceability.”

          Impact Analysis.                                         Program Management
 Cognitive and process driven solutions to review
                                                                    Office and Support.
 current state to determine business/functions,
                                                                Program oversight of the entire project as well as
 products, and size of assets that will be affected
                                                                additional resources to support key transition ini-
 by the transformation to a new reference rate. Sys-
                                                                tiatives. This includes status reporting, leveraging
 tems traceability exercise to determine scope of
                                                                existing project governance structure (steering
 remediation required (i.e. Interest Rate Risk, Global
                                                                committee and working groups), issue manage-
 Risk Management, Market Data, and other Interest
                                                                ment, and escalation. Additionally, this will include
                   Adjustments).
                                                                participation in industry working groups so we can
                                                                capture and deliver real-time information to you as
                                                                                 it becomes available.

     Using automation                                                 Support Operational
  techniques to accelerate                                            and System Updates.
   your LIBOR transition.                                        Management of required updates/ enhancements
                                                                 to operational and risk processes and systems in
 Labor-heavy areas of the transition will need to
                                                                 order to process transactions tied to ARRs and fall-
 look at innovative ways to approach their respec-
                                                                 backs. Additionally, these required updates could
 tive roadmaps. Contract remediation supported by
                                                                 present extensive testing and validation efforts
 Artificial Intelligence, Smart Workflow via Robotic
                                                                                    post update.
 Process Automation (RPA) will be paramount to
       effectively approach these workstreams.
2
                                                                                                                                 2

What to Do to Prepare for the
IBOR Transition.

High level approach.

             1                                2                                3                              4

          Analyse:                          Design:                           Plan:                         Execute:
• Independent assessment              • Target operating          • Implementation planning       • Stakeholder coordination
• Centralisation of internal             model design                     • Budgeting              • Cross functional delivery
       documentation                     • Gap analysis              • Project governance                management
 • Articulation of strategic           • Business cases                    structuring                 • Project tracking
         objectives                                                                                      and reporting

Project Support & Delivery.

    Customised approach & project governance tailored                      Early SMEs & regulatory engagement
    to your organisation and to the monetary indexes
    specific requirements (incl. impact analysis on IT tools               Anticipation of sign-off requirements
    & processes)
                                                                           Cross-functional project governance
    Clear strategic prioritisation at the onset of the project

Sia Partners to be Your Trusted Advisor.

            Experience in
                               ✓                      Combined expertise   ✓
                                                     as consultants involved                         High quality
                                                                                                                     ✓
          facilitating similar                          have specialised                       deliverables supported
        assessment projects                             skillsets in Target                     by multiple projects
         across the financial                           Operating Model                            delivered in the
           services sector                             Definition and IBOR                          relevant space
                                                             Transition
•   Abou Dabi                      • Frankf ur t         •   Montreal
•   Amsterdam                      • G reater Bay       •   New York
•   Baltimore                         Area               •   Panama*
•   Br ussels                      • Hamburg             •   Paris
•   Casablanca                     • Hong Kong           •   Riyad
•   Charlot te                     • Houston             •   Rome
•   Chicago                        • London              •   Seat tle
•   Denver                         • Luxembourg          •   Singapore
•   Doha                           • Lyon                •   Tok yo
•   Dubai                          • Milan               •   Toronto

*Sia Partners Panama, a Sia Partners member firm

                                                                    About
                                                             Sia Partners.
                                 Sia Partners is a next generation consulting firm focused on delivering superior
                                 value and tangible results to its clients as they navigate the digital revolution.
                                 With over 1,650 consultants in 17 countries, we will generate an annual turnover
                                 of USD 300 million for the current fiscal year. Our global footprint and our
                                 expertise in more than 30 sectors and services allow us to enhance our clients’
                                 businesses worldwide. We guide their projects and initiatives in strategy,
                                 business transformation, IT & digital strategy, and Data Science. As the pioneer
                                 of Consulting 4.0, we develop consulting bots and integrate AI in our solutions.

                                                                                        www.sia-partners.com
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