Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019

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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Hotel Investment Highlights
Asia Pacific
First Half 2019
1
Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Top 10 Single Asset Transactions
1   Hilton Tokyo Odaiba
    Tokyo, Japan
                                                 Local Currency     USD                 6    The Grand Ho Tram Strip
                                                                                             Ho Chi Minh
                                                                                                                                        Local Currency   USD

                                Sale Price      JPY 62.4 billion    USD 563.5 million        City, Vietnam             Sale Price      Confidential      Confidential

         453                                                                                      1,082
                                Price per Key   JPY 137.7 million   USD 1.2 million                                    Price per Key   Confidential      Confidential
         keys                                                                                     keys

2   Beijing Jade Palace Hotel
    Beijing, China                               Local Currency     USD                 7    Conrad Maldives Rangali
                                                                                             Island Ari Atoll
                                                                                                                                        Local Currency   USD

                                Sale Price      CNY 2.7 billion     USD 402.5 million
                                                                                             Maldives                  Sale Price      Confidential      Confidential

                                                                                                  151
         411                                                                                                           Price per Key   Confidential      Confidential
                                Price per Key   CNY 6.5 million     USD 979,200                   keys
         keys

3   Ascott Raffles Place
    Singapore                                    Local Currency     USD                 8    ibis Singapore Novena
                                                                                             Singapore                                  Local Currency   USD

                                Sale Price      SGD 353.3 million   USD 261.4 million                                  Sale Price      SGD 170 million   USD 125.8 million

         146                                                                                      241
                                Price per Key   SGD 2.4 million     USD 1.8 million                                    Price per Key   SGD 705,400       USD 522,000
         keys                                                                                     keys

4   Radegast Hotel Beijing Bohao
    Beijing, China                               Local Currency     USD                 9    Finolhu Baa Atoll
                                                                                             Maldives                                   Local Currency   USD

                                Sale Price      CNY 1.6 billion     USD 242.6 million                                  Sale Price              -         USD 85.0 million

         313                                                                                      125
                                Price per Key   CNY 5.2 million     USD 775,200                                        Price per Key           -         USD 680,000
         keys                                                                                     keys

5   OneHome Art Hotel Shanghai
    Shanghai, China                              Local Currency     USD                 10   NEXT Hotel Brisbane
                                                                                             Brisbane, Australia                        Local Currency   USD

                                Sale Price      CNY 1.4 billion     USD 210 million                                    Sale Price      AUD 104 million   USD 72.8 million

         319                                                                                      304
                                Price per Key   CNY 4.4 million     USD 658,300                                        Price per Key   AUD 342,100       USD 239,500
         keys                                                                                     keys
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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Asia Pacific USD 4.5 billion
                                                        Total
                                                                                           USD 4.3 billion    USD 0.3 billion
Year-To-Date June   2019                     Transaction Volume
                                                                                               Asia            Australasia

                           59 hotel sales                                                      Asia Pacific USD 384,000
        12 countries                                Average
                                                   Price per Key
                                                                                           USD 400,000          USD 236,000
                           Over 9,000 keys                                                    Asia               Australasia
4                                            Note: Numbers may not tally due to rounding                                        5
Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Over the past decade, private equity firms and developers                               9.3% for the whole of 2018. The majority of deals during

Introduction
                                                                                                                                                                                have largely been the most active buyer types across the                                the first half of 2019 were transacted by domestic
                                                                                                                                                                                Asia Pacific region, consisting of around 37% of the total                              purchasers, who drove almost 80% of the total capital
                                                                                                                                                                                transaction volume as at year-to-date June 2019.                                        invested in the region. While REITs were the largest
                                                                                                                                                                                The REITs and high-net-worth individuals were notably                                   domestic buyers, private equity firms were the biggest
                                                                                                                                                                                active in the first six months of 2019. Collectively, they                              cross-border purchasers, comprising about 27% of the
                                                                                                                                                                                comprised approximately 27% of the total transaction                                    total cross-border volume during the period.
Investment activity in the first half of 2019 remained                                                      As investors face continued pressure to deploy capital,
                                                                                                                                                                                volume as at year-to-date June 2019, as compared to
largely on par with the first half of 2018, with year-to-date                                               it is possible that some investors will adjust their risk
transaction volume for the period totalling USD 4.5 billion.                                                expectations in order to generate their target returns.
As ever, with deal closings being weighted towards the                                                      With macroeconomic headlines being dominated by
second half of the year, we expect that the total transaction                                               trade tension between the US and China, uncertainty
volume of 2019 will match, if not exceed, the USD 8.8                                                       did play on investors’ minds as assets in core markets                                                                 Asia Pacific Transaction Volume by Buyer Type
billion recorded in 2018.                                                                                   remained in vogue for those seeking opportunities in                                                                                 2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Asia Pacific    to YTD Volume
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Transaction June 2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       by Buyer Type
                                                                                                            safe-haven destinations.                                                                                                                     2008 to YTD June 2019
                                                                                                                                                                                100%

                                                                                                                                                                                90%

                                                                                                                                                                                80%

                                                                                                                                                                                70%

                                                                                                                                                                                60%

                                                                                                                                                                                50%

                                                                                                                                                                                40%

                                                                                                                                                                                30%

                                                                              Asia Pacific Hotel Transaction Volume                                                             20%
                                                                                    2008    to toHotel
                                                                                     Asia Pacific YTDTransaction
                                                                                                       June 2019 Volume                                                         10%
                                                                                             2008 to to YTD June 2019
                                            16                                                                                                                                    0%
                                                                                                                                                                                              2008            2009            2010            2011    2012     2013         2014     2015       2016        2017         2018      YTD June
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Private Equity          Developer           REIT   HNWI    Hotel / SA Operator   Corporates   Institutional Investor    Others
                                            14
                                 billion)

                                                                                                                                                                                 Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group, Industry Sources

                                            12
                                                                                                                                                                                Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group, Industry Sources
                         (USD billion)
                  Volume (USD

                                            10

                                            8
             Volume

                                            6
      Transaction
Transaction

                                            4

                                            2

                                            0
                                                  2008      2009       2010         2011     2012        2013         2014   2015     2016        2017     2018      YTD June
                                                                                                                                                                       2019
                                                 Japan         China             Singapore    Maldives          Australia    Taiwan      South Korea     Hong Kong
                                                 Thailand      Sri Lanka         Vietnam      New Zealand       Malaysia     India       Others

                    Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group, Industry Sources

                                             Source: JLL Hotels and Hospitality Group, Industry Sources

6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7
Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Domestic Investors most active in                                                                                                 Regional                      Dynamics
Japan and China                                                                                                                                                                                  USD 500 million and total transaction volume across the
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Indian Ocean to exceed USD 600 million, in what will be a
                                                                                                                                                    Singapore                                    best ever in terms of transaction volume for the region.

                                                                                                                                  As evidenced by strong activities in the land sale market,
                                                                                                                                  Singapore was a notable beneficiary of the flight to safety.                     Thailand
                                       of the total domestic transaction volume                                                   The city-state saw a number of transactions closing or

    65%
                                                                                                                                  being announced during the first six months of 2019.
                                       originated from Japan and China                                                            Several hotels are currently under private negotiation and     A perennially liquid market, Thailand experienced a
                                                                                                                                  we expect the transaction volume in Singapore to exceed        reduction in investor activity during the period leading
                                       (Year-to-date June 2019)
                                                                                                                                  USD 800 million by the end of 2019, making it one of Asia’s    up to the eventual March 2019 general election, as some
                                                                                                                                  most active investment markets. If achieved, this will         investors maintained a wait-and-see attitude despite
                                                                                                                                  be the first time since 2013 when transaction volume in        active investor enquiries. With the election now behind,
                                                                                                                                  Singapore will cross the half-billion-dollar mark. Notable     we expect an uptick in deal activities in the Kingdom
                                                                                                                                  transactions as at year-to-date June of 2019 include           again, as Bangkok continues to be high on the list of key
                                                                  groups, and properties are available for sale in the major      the 241-room ibis Singapore Novena sold for USD 125.8          places to invest for hotel investors. This includes the sale
                                                                  cities of Tokyo and Osaka, we expect to see investors           million, and the 146-room Ascott Raffles Place Singapore       of the 268-room Four Points by Sheraton Bangkok
                   Japan                                          exploring opportunities in smaller cities and resort areas      sold for USD 261.4 million.                                    Sukhumvit Soi 15, which was in exclusivity with a Malaysian
                                                                  which are increasingly benefitting from Japan’s growth in                                                                      company that has multiple hotel interests in Asia Pacific.
                                                                  international visitation.
Japan’s hotel market recorded the highest transaction
volume in the first half of the year and it continues to
                                                                                                                                                    South Korea
capture strong investor interest. In particular, Japanese                                                                                                                                                          Australia
REITs have been very active and accounted for almost half
of the total USD 1.4 billion invested in the Japan market as
                                                                                    China                                         Having firmly established itself as a key regional
                                                                                                                                  investment destination for hotel investors in 2018             Traditionally a hotbed for overseas investors, domestic
at year-to-date June 2019. Benefiting from access to low                                                                          following a number of headline transactions, South             buyers dominated the Australian hotel investment scene
borrowing costs, demand from Japanese institutions is                                                                             Korea continued to draw investment appetite during             in the first half of 2019, comprising around 78% of the total
underpinned by expectations of continued market growth,           Despite the ongoing trade tension, China emerged as                                                                            USD 388.2 million invested. During the period, domestically
                                                                                                                                  the first half of 2019. This includes the recent sale of the
on the back of the incoming wave of large-scale events into       the second most liquid market after Japan, with China                                                                          traded hotel properties included the 304-room NEXT Hotel
                                                                                                                                  224-room Holiday Inn Express Seoul Euljiro, which was
the country, such as the 2019 Rugby World Cup, 2020 Tokyo         comprising about 25% of Asia Pacific’s total investment                                                                        Brisbane sold for around USD 72.8 million; the 169-room
                                                                                                                                  sold for USD 50.7 million - around USD 226,500 per key. It
Olympics and the 2025 World Expo.                                 volume as at year-to-date June 2019. With the domestic                                                                         Hilton Surfers Paradise sold for USD 49.5 million;
                                                                                                                                  is expected that trading volumes will increase in tandem
                                                                  economy staying strong, we do not expect the wider trade                                                                       the 114-room MACq 01 Hotel sold for USD 33.6 million;
In light of the string of upcoming large-scale events in                                                                          with the increase in trading performance. Moreover, the
                                                                  headlines to dampen investment activity in the short-term.                                                                     and the 170-room Mayfair Hotel Adelaide and 69-room
Japan, investors are capitalising on the predicted increase                                                                       freehold nature of the market, as well as the country’s
                                                                                                                                  continued growth in international visitation, are expected     Adabco Boutique Hotel sold to Elanor for around USD
in accommodation demand. In the first half of 2019, the           In the first quarter of 2019, internet giant JD.com acquired
                                                                                                                                  to fuel investors’ interest.                                   70 million. A notable cross-border transaction during
453-room Hilton Tokyo Odaiba Hotel, which is located              the 411-room Beijing Jade Palace Hotel for around USD 400
                                                                                                                                                                                                 the period included the purchase of the 150-room Felix
within the vicinity of the various event venues of the 2020       million - approximately USD 979,000 per key. The property
                                                                                                                                                                                                 by 8hotels at Sydney Airport by Singapore’s Ascott REIT
Olympic Games, was sold for a reported USD 563.5 million          is slated to be converted to an office and innovation centre,
                                                                                                                                                                                                 for USD 42.4 million, which has since been rebranded as
to Japan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation.                       continuing the trend which has been witnessed over recent
                                                                  years where investors seek to extract value from typically
                                                                                                                                                    Maldives                                     Citadines Connect Sydney Airport.
During the period, Japan Hotel REIT also purchased the            older hotel properties through alternative use.
Hotel Oriental Express Osaka Shinsaibashi for USD 25.2
                                                                                                                                  Conventionally dominated by Asian investors, the               Outlook on Investment Sentiment
million, while Hoshino Resorts REIT purchased three               As deals continue to be driven by GFA pricing, foreign
                                                                  investors are likely to be priced out of the hotel market       Maldives is now attracting new sources of cross-border         Looking ahead, we expect investors to look at the Asia
hotel properties: Hotel Nirakanai Iriomotejima, Hoshino
                                                                  given the generally low yield profile of transactions.          capital from outside of the Asia Pacific region. Two           Pacific region to factor into their valuation assumption,
Resorts KAI Alps and Hotel Nikko Kochi Asahi Royal for an
                                                                  However, foreign investors, particularly owner-operators,       transactions have concluded in the first six months of         less upside in income; however, with the government bond
estimated total of USD 80.6 million. In the second half of
                                                                  do continue to seek assets in Tier 1 markets, although it is    2019, namely the 151-room Conrad Maldives Rangali              returns looking slim and interest rates potentially falling
2019, at least three hotel transactions valued at more than
                                                                  likely that market forces and the lack of opportunity will      Island which was sold to global private equity firm,           during the second half of 2019, there is expected to be a
USD 100 million each are expected to conclude, thereby
                                                                  push them towards well-performing secondary markets,            Blackstone, as well as the 125-room Finolhu Baa Atoll          little adjustment in yield expectations across the region.
further boosting the overall investment volume.
                                                                  such as Xi’an, Chengdu and Suzhou.                              which was sold for approximately USD 85.0 million to           Notwithstanding the more cautious backdrop, the attractive
As hotel investment opportunities in Japan continue                                                                               German-based Seaside Hotels. There are several other           yield profile of the hotel asset class and record levels of
to be hotly contested by both domestic and regional                                                                               deals in the pipeline and by the end of 2019, we estimate      capital on the side-lines are anticipated to drive
                                                                                                                                  transaction activity in the Maldives to reach close to         hotel investment momentum in the region.
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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Properties for Sale

Patong Heritage Hotel                    Paul Chakkrit   Maduzi Hotel                            Paul Chakkrit   Amilla Fushi Maldives               Charlie MacIldowie   Commonwealth St Hotel         Andrew Langsford
(For Sale or For Lease)                +66 89 815 2272   (For Sale or For Lease)               +66 89 815 2272   Baa Atoll, Maldives                      +65 8646 4188   Sydney, Australia               +61 422 577 415
Phuket, Thailand           chakkrit.chakra@ap.jll.com    Bangkok, Thailand         chakkrit.chakra@ap.jll.com                             charlie.macildowie@ap.jll.com                       andrew.langsford@ap.jll.com

Natai Beach Resort & Spa                                                                         Paul Chakkrit   Regis Bay Hotel Danang                                                                       Adam Bury
Greater Phuket, Thailand                                                                       +66 89 815 2272   Danang, Vietnam                                                                           +65 8313 4600
                                                                                   chakkrit.chakra@ap.jll.com                                                                                       adam.bury@ap.jll.com

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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Properties for Sale

Mantra MacArthur                     Andrew Langsford    Abode Hotel Portfolio              Mark Durran   Midnight Hotel                   Mark Durran   Elysian Retreat,                           Tom Gibson
Canberra, Australia                    +61 422 577 415   Canberra, Australia            +61 412 248 243   Canberra, Australia          +61 412 248 243   Great Barrier Reef                     +61 437 538 888
                           andrew.langsford@ap.jll.com                           mark.durran@ap.jll.com                         mark.durran@ap.jll.com   Great Barrier Reef, Australia   tom.gibson@ap.jll.com

Dunk Island, Great Barrier Reef                                                                                                                                                                     Tom Gibson
Great Barrier Reef, Australia                                                                                                                                                                   +61 437 538 888
                                                                                                                                                                                         tom.gibson@ap.jll.com

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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Major Properties sold by JLL

                                                                                                           Felix by 8hotels at Sydney Airport          150 rooms    NEXT Hotel Brisbane               304 rooms
                                                                                                           (Citadines Connect Sydney             USD 42.4 million   Brisbane, Australia         USD 72.8 million
                                                                                                           Airport) Sydney, Australia         USD 282,800 per Key                            USD 239,500 per Key

Koh Yao Yai Land                            90 rai   Conrad Maldives                         151 rooms
(Phuket Long Island)       Sale Price Confidential
                                                     Rangali Island              Sale Price Confidential
Greater Phuket, Thailand                             South Ari Atoll, Maldives

Finolhu Maldives                                                                            125 rooms      MACq 01                                    114 rooms     NEXT Hotel Melbourne               255 rooms
Baa Atoll, Maldives                                                                   USD 85.0 million     Hobart, Australia                    USD 33.6 million    Melbourne, Australia   Sale Price Confidential
                                                                                   USD 680,000 per Key                                       USD 294,700 per Key

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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
Contact Us to Achieve                                                                 your
Hotel Ambitions
Asia
Singapore Office
Mike Batchelor                                Nihat Ercan                                Adam Bury                              Charlie Macildowie
Chief Executive Officer, Asia                 Managing Director                          Senior Vice President                  Vice President
mike.batchelor@ap.jll.com                     Investment Sales, Asia                     Investment Sales, Asia                 Investment Sales, Asia
                                              nihat.ercan@ap.jll.com                     adam.bury@ap.jll.com                   charlie.macildowie@ap.jll.com

Japan Office
Tom Sawayanagi                                 Yasokazu Terada
Senior Managing Director                       Managing Director
Investment Sales, Japan                        Investment Sales, Japan
tom.sawayanagi@ap.jll.com                      yasokazu.terada@ap.jll.com

Hong Kong Office                              Thailand Office                                China Office
Corey Hamabata                                Paul Chakkrit                                  Ling Wei Tan
Senior Vice President                         Senior Vice President                          Vice President
Investment Sales, Asia                        Investment Sales, Thailand                     Investment Sales, China
corey.hamabata@ap.jll.com                     chakkrit.chakra@ap.jll.com                     lingwei.tan@ap.jll.com

Australasia
Sydney Office
Craig Collins                                  Mark Durran                                   Andrew Langsford
Chief Executive Officer,                       Managing Director                             Senior Vice President
Australasia                                    Investment Sales, Australasia                 Investment Sales, Australasia
craig.collins@ap.jll.com                       mark.durran@ap.jll.com                        andrew.langsford@ap.jll.com

Melbourne Office                              Brisbane Office                               New Zealand Office
Peter Harper                                  Tom Gibson                                    Nick Thompson
Executive Vice President                      Senior Vice President                         Vice President
Investment Sales, Australasia                 Investment Sales, Australasia                 Investment Sales, Australasia
peter.harper@ap.jll.com                       tom.gibson@ap.jll.com                         nick.thompson@ap.jll.com

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Asia Pacific Hotel Investment Highlights - First Half 2019
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