Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited

Page created by Josephine Ellis
 
CONTINUE READING
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
vector response
 climate change
 commission draft
 advice 2021

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021   1
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
contents
This document is an interactive        1   Executive summary                                                                                                                                 3

PDF designed not to be printed.        2   Introduction                                                                                                                                      8
Please use the interactive contents
                                       3   Future energy systems need to be designed for – and start with – the customer                                                                     9
page for navigation.
                                           3.1   We support the Commission’s principle to leverage co-benefits – we see this as being aligned with the ‘decarbonisation dividend’           10
The opposite headings are links.           3.2   Digitalisation is a key enabler of affordable energy                                                                                       12
                                           3.3   Data is a key enabler of customer and utility solutions – including new flexibility services and demand response markets                   14
                                           3.4   Energy efficiency measures and distributed generation have a key role to play to support affordability and decarbonisation                 16

                                       4   Levers to expand the market for new renewable generation and broaden competitive pressure                                                        22

                                           4.1   There is an opportunity to meet growing electricity demand through levelling the playing field for independent, distributed generation
                                                 and greater EDB participation in solar and micro-grids, and through a review of current market dominance and behaviour                     23
                                           4.2   Lifting the archaic cap on regulated network involvement with connected renewable generation is an opportunity to increase
                                                 renewable generation, strengthen network optimisation and contribute a new competitive pressure to the wholesale market                    28
                                           4.3   Our future energy systems should align the objective of strengthening resilience in the context of a changing climate as
                                                 well as meeting future demand                                                                                                              29
                                           4.4   An urgent spotlight needs to be placed on the potential for solar to displace carbon-intensive generation over
                                                 New Zealand summer months and enhance existing hydro storage capacity                                                                       31
                                           4.5   Unleash the value of demand response to meet future electricity demand affordably                                                          32
                                           4.6   Unlocking the value of distributed generation can add an important, needed and new competitive pressure into the supply chain              34
                                           4.7   Rapidly expanding the market for renewable generation to support the Commission’s pathway will require market reform in the
                                                 electricity generation market                                                                                                              34
                                       5   Dynamic optimisation is key for affordable electrification                                                                                       37

                                           5.1   The Commission’s ambition to electrify transport should be supported by bold policy action                                                 38
                                           5.2   Managing demand driven by the EV uptake in the Commission’s pathway requires smart dynamic EV charging to
                                                 avoid increasing network peaks                                                                                                             40
                                           5.3   Dynamic optimisation is about delivering more with less, not more with more and offers a self-reinforcing pathway to decarbonisation       45
                                           5.3   Symphony graphic                                                                                                                           48
                                           5.4   Let’s learn from others regarding the need for smart integration of new distributed generation                                             50
                                           5.5   Unlock the value that sits between historic regulatory-imposed silos                                                                       50

                                       6   Rethink regulation                                                                                                                               54

                                           6.1   Our regulatory framework and decision making needs an urgent mindset shift to deliver decarbonisation                                      55
                                           6.2   Dynamic optimisation requires coordination and the right type of investments                                                               56
                                           6.3   Driving competition and decarbonisation requires a fundamental shift to the regulatory approach of the energy sector                       59

                                       7   Achieving the pathway set out by the Commission requires us to take a whole systems approach                                                     61

                                           7.1   Avoid cost by urgently coordinating our regulatory regime around the goal of decarbonisation                                               62
                                           7.2   We consider a Ministry for Energy and Decarbonisation to be a key enabler of the Commission’s pathway                                      63

                                       8   Gas transition challenges                                                                                                                        65

                                           8.1   A Gas Transition Contract is needed to establish an agreed and managed transition to meet the objectives of Government, customers and gas
                                                 infrastructure owners                                                                                                                      66
                                           8.2   Achieving the most efficient net reduction in emissions from gas requires us to assess the use of gas across the energy
                                                 supply chain – including both generation and its end use                                                                                   66
                                           8.3   Transitioning gas to electricity would have a significant, and currently unaccounted for, impact on the electricity network                68
                                           8.4   Not all gas users would be able to electrify within this budget period. However, the viability of keeping the gas network
                                                  available only to them, if all other users transitioned to electricity, is uncertain                                                      69
                                           8.5   Options to efficiently achieve the Commission’s emission reduction pathway at least customer cost                                          70

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                                                                 2
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
executive summary

Affordable electrification lies at the heart of       Vector is a key enabler of Aotearoa New            Such disruptive service offerings and “whole of
Aotearoa’s decarbonisation pathway.                   Zealand’s decarbonisation goals, and we see        system” cost reduction business models were
                                                      that role rapidly accelerating.                    not anticipated in the siloed market structures
To deliver affordable electrification, change is
                                                                                                         of the original Bradford energy reforms
our only option. Vector does not believe we can       Vector has led the way in investing and
                                                                                                         designed around a different objective. We
continue to squeeze a new energy system, with         innovating in new customer choice and
                                                                                                         instead need reforms that focus on customer
different characteristics and new objectives, into    solutions to respond to the challenges arising
                                                                                                         outcomes, balanced with government and
our 1998 electricity market design with its “more     from climate change, decarbonisation and new
                                                                                                         business needs, but with a modernised
with more” supply-side dominated lens. Vector         technologies. We do so through our Symphony
                                                                                                         objective able to better serve the energy sector.
believes that the Government’s renewable              strategy and by partnering with global leaders
                                                                                                         This is particularly true as rapid advances in
generation and transport electrification              in a range of technologies. Vector’s strategy
                                                                                                         renewable energy, digital technology and
ambitions call for more than just tinkering           supports decarbonisation by focussing on
                                                                                                         electric transport look set to only accelerate
with existing market and regulatory structures        customers, balancing commercial outcomes
                                                                                                         as economies commit to investing trillions of
founded on marginal economic efficiency as            and questioning whether the current energy
                                                                                                         dollars to solve decarbonisation objectives.
the key objective. This objective was designed        system will be up to the challenge ahead.
for the initial market reforms of nearly a quarter-                                                      Aligned policies and forward-looking
                                                      To deliver decarbonisation, we need a bold
century ago. But to deliver for the future, a                                                            regulatory settings are urgently required.
                                                      and collective vision of a new energy future
new phase, and certainly new ambitions for
                                                      that ensures customer choice, affordability        Vector has long called for a Ministry for
the electricity sector calls for regulatory and
                                                      and reliability.                                   Energy and Decarbonisation as the necessary
policy settings with a broader decarbonisation
                                                                                                         catalyst to align policies and forward-looking
objective able to capture new value and deliver       The potential of dynamic optimisation, through
                                                                                                         competitive and regulatory settings supportive
greater customer choice. If we do not take the        harnessing data and the aggregated flexibility
                                                                                                         of industry transformation. The siloed structures
opportunity to design, shape and regulate the         of new customer demand-side assets, is just
                                                                                                         of today’s regulatory frameworks relate to a
sector differently, we doubt there will be an         one example highlighting the need to move
                                                                                                         different time and today deliver an electricity
affordable path to decarbonisation through            business incentives away from “more” to
                                                                                                         supply chain dominated by process regulation,
electrification. This sentiment is reinforced         “better” at every stage of the electricity value
                                                                                                         fragmented regulatory bodies, a blind-belief in
by our current engagement with overseas               chain. Aggregated flexibility, such as new
                                                                                                         market theory and a dominant focus on remote
regulators looking to fundamentally recalibrate       customer demand-side assets being proven on
                                                                                                         supply. Change is needed within the sector, and
energy regulatory objectives to support               Vector’s Auckland network, offers immediate
                                                                                                         across policy and regulation - to align policy and
decarbonisation.                                      “avoided cost” efficiencies which in turn unlock
                                                                                                         regulatory goals, effectively monitor progress
                                                      new competitive pressure from demand to
                                                                                                         and deliver regulatory accountability, and, to
                                                      genuinely rival supply.
                                                                                                         ensure strong coordination, particularly with
                                                                                                         transport given the importance of transport
                                                                                                         electrification.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                                3
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
click for contents

A managed and agreed transition for gas is          now threatening to break the regulatory                 settings support network transformation,
needed to avoid significant customer cost           compact, Vector is calling for a new Gas                digitalisation for smart and connected
and disruption for 300,000 households and           Transition Contract to be agreed between gas            EV charging, and appropriately fund the
small businesses.                                   infrastructure owners and the Government as             investment required.
                                                    a means to maintain investor and customer
There is an urgent need to find a sensibly                                                                  Every lever needs to be considered to promote
                                                    confidence in our transition and ensure
balanced gas transition compact that meets                                                                  investment in renewable generation.
                                                    customer choice, reduced economic impacts,
the objectives of Government (carbon and
                                                    and investor confidence are all maintained              Further leveraging distributed renewable
affordability objectives), customers (disruptive
                                                    through the transition.                                 generation is an opportunity to unlock a
supply and cost of appliance replacement)
                                                                                                            wider investor base to meet the Commission’s
and gas network infrastructure owners               Finally, customers have significant investments
                                                                                                            requirement for a rapid expansion of renewable
(financial return and economic maintenance).        in gas-based appliances that remain expensive
                                                                                                            generation. To support the country’s renewable
If a clear transition path cannot be agreed,        to replace, but the cost implications of any
                                                                                                            generation targets it will be important to
there are likely to be significant customer cost    gas transition extend to associated structural
                                                                                                            unleash new investment by those with the
implications as well as major disruptions for       changes to commercial and residential property
                                                                                                            capacity and capability to both deliver a diverse
businesses and households. This is because          to accommodate changing technologies
                                                                                                            base of renewable generation but also to
gas networks will likely be forced to cease         (estimated as between $2,000 and $5,000 per
                                                                                                            support disruptive business models able to
investment to maintain supply in large parts        premise). Combined with risk of early transition
                                                                                                            meet changing customer behaviours
of the network - well before any targeted           from network termination (but ahead of
                                                                                                            and assets.
customer transition timeframes. This in turn        customer appliance replacement) such costs
is likely to invoke significant backlash from as    can be expected to invoke additional customer           Vector’s vision is to Create a New Energy Future.
many as 300,000 household and commercial            backlash further underscoring the value in an           Vector’s optimism for the future lies with
gas customers across New Zealand.                   agreed Gas Transition Contract.                         decarbonisation not only being a climate
The Commission’s proposal to effectively curtail    Electrification of transport calls for bold policies.   imperative, but also an opportunity to drive
use of gas network infrastructure over time                                                                 significant modernisation through digitalisation
                                                    Electrification of transport in New Zealand
fundamentally breaks the regulatory compact                                                                 and, the use of data, unlocking greater
                                                    is so fundamental to our carbon reduction
and the basis on which infrastructure owners                                                                optimisation and thereby delivering full system
                                                    pathway that bold and aligned policy initiatives
have historically, and in good faith, invested.                                                             cost efficiency for the benefit of customers.
                                                    to support EVs and hybrids are called for. To
A fundamental aspect of such a regulatory
                                                    ensure the infrastructure is ready and resilient
compact is that capital returns on such
                                                    for electrification, there must be a step-change
assets are matched to the 40-50 year lives of
                                                    in confidence that our policy and regulatory
the assets. With the Commission’s proposal

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                               4
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
click for contents

Key recommendations                                 • Greater network visibility of EV installations     • Account for the interplay between gas and
                                                    and access to smart metering data to support         electricity including the significant impact any
1.1 Ensure that EV chargers are smart to
                                                    coordinated management and network                   gas transition will have on electricity networks
minimise the impact to electricity network
                                                    planning .                                           and energy affordability.
peaks and therefore cost to consumers
                                                    1.2 Consider the impact on electricity peak          • Consider timing, the optionality of green gases
Smart EV charging must be enabled and
                                                    demand from any proposed transition away             for gas users to transition to, and the significant
integrated with the network to manage new
                                                    from gas, and, the need for a managed                downstream impacts and costs on customers
demand for electricity. By algorithmically
                                                    transition if significant customer backlash is       and infrastructure providers.
staggering the times that EV chargers draw
                                                    to be avoided
power from the network, widespread smart                                                                 • Support an important discussion between
EV charging will ensure that new demand             Analysis jointly commissioned by Vector              Government and infrastructure owners to agree
from EVs can be managed on the network              has found that accounting for capital costs          a new Gas Transition Contract to avoid a likely
without unnecessary capital costs and reliability   (currently excluded from the Commission’s            scenario of significant customer backlash.
impacts. Initiatives to curb peaks in response      assessment of household costs from
                                                                                                         1.3 Re-engineer our system to drive new
to new demand, supported by integration with        transitioning from the end use of gas) would
                                                                                                         decentralised renewable generation – rather
network infrastructure, is an opportunity to        cost customers between ~$2,000 - ~$5,000 – to
                                                                                                         than our current bias towards remote
increase utilisation, reducing electricity costs    accommodate the replacement of customer
                                                                                                         generation
to all customers. Specifically, we recommend        water heating and cooking, or, water heating,
levers to ensure:                                   cooking and space heating, respectively. We          We recommend re-engineering our electricity
                                                    recommend that the Commission:                       market to drive greater uptake of distributed
• That the supply of EV chargers in New
                                                                                                         energy systems. Enabling and incentivising
Zealand are smart and digitally enabled -           • Reconsider their analysis around likely
                                                                                                         a wider range of generators (including
including rapid amendments to regulatory            customer cost of the transition from gas
                                                                                                         distributed, standalone generators) and
settings and network connection standards to        proposed in their pathway, reflecting the
                                                                                                         demand-side participation supports electricity
accommodate new or updated standards.               true capital costs which would be required of
                                                                                                         affordability while also lifting community
                                                    customers as well as customer impacts from
• Alignment of these standards with building                                                             resilience as the economy electrifies. Localised
                                                    change in infrastructure investment – which
codes and wider regulations, and ongoing                                                                 energy systems increase resilience and avoid
                                                    could be avoided through a balanced transition
coordination between infrastructure providers                                                            the cost of unnecessary transmission upgrades
                                                    compact. If we do not have a balanced
and Local Government (including for the                                                                  and losses from remote build generation. We
                                                    transition for gas this will result in unnecessary
Commission’s recommended charging                                                                        recommend that:
                                                    increased costs to gas customers, higher costs
infrastructure plan).
                                                    to electricity customers, as well as compromise      • The Commission recognise the dominant
• The integration of smart chargers with digital    the investment that is needed for the                focus historically applied to remote supply
platforms to enable optimisation across             Commission’s own pathway – which includes a          solutions and which has crowded out a
network infrastructure                              role for gas out to 2050.                            balanced focus on the value of distributed

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                               5
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
click for contents

generation and demand side participation that       to our existing electricity market model
harnesses customer assets and actions.              (via the Electricity Authority) driven by the
                                                    objective of increasing marginal efficiency and
• That the Commission enable active demand
                                                    consumer welfare incrementally over time
side participation in meeting the target to reach
                                                    (via the Commerce Commission). Neither of
60% renewable energy by 2035 – including both
                                                    these narrow objectives truly enable the rapid
granular demand response, as well as storage
                                                    or transformational change and investment
solutions such as those being investigated by
                                                    needed now , nor are they fit for the significant
the NZ Battery Project to help overcome the dry
                                                    challenge of decarbonisation and the
year risk.
                                                    coordinated integration of customer assets.
• Greater emphasis is placed on the investment      Therefore, we recommend:
in, and integration with, digital platforms for
                                                    • That the regulatory frameworks governing
secure network management and coordination.
                                                    the Electricity Authority and Commerce
• The cap on electricity network company            Commission be reconsidered and redesigned
involvement with connected renewable                in light of decarbonisation to ensure electricity
generation be removed to increase the uptake        regulation supports, rather than hinders, the
and smart integration of distributed generation.    delivery of decarbonisation.
•That regulation be aligned with the uptake of      • Shifting from a regulatory framework that
community and customer owned distributed            responds to the risk of the Bradford era
solar – including to support the pathway            reforms – to one which puts customers and
to allow multiple traders on a single ICP to        decarbonisation at the centre.
better promote disruptive business models for
                                                    • That regulatory frameworks remove the
customers such as peer-to-peer trading.
                                                    shackles on those with capital and capability to
1.4 Rethink Regulation to ensure that it            deliver the bold change which is required of our
supports the future, not simply the objectives      electricity system.
of the past
Current regulatory frameworks were
designed for a different time in the evolution
of the electricity sector. For the purposes of
the original Bradford market reforms, key
regulatory frameworks promoted refinements

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                           6
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
click for contents

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021   7
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
click for contents

introduction                                          The Commission’s pathway requires       which Vector can enable through            but we face some barriers.

Vector commends the Commission’s                      The strategic expansion of the          Investment in future ready                 Regulation of networks is backward
                                                      electricity system for the affordable   infrastructure, including:                 facing, promoting incremental benefit
draft advice on the need to transform                 electrification of energy use.                                                     to ensure a minimum standard is
                                                                                              • Dynamic optimisation of networks
our energy systems.                                                                                                                      delivered. It does not promote the
                                                                                              • Using data, digitalisation and           type of forward investment and
It is clear that Vector and other energy                                                      decentralisation to significantly          fundamental transformation required.
companies must play a decisive role in enabling                                               improve efficiency
                                                                                                                                         The sector is siloed, hindering the full
New Zealand’s emissions reduction pathway. As                                                 • Enabling coordinated smart charging      potential of data and digitalisation
                                                                                              of EVs.
a majority customer owned business, Vector is                                                                                            required to realise dynamic
                                                                                                                                         optimisation.
focused on doing so while also unlocking major
                                                      Rapid expansion of renewable            • Driving the uptake of solar as a         Our current, centralised system, locks
co-benefits for energy consumers. However
                                                      generation                              source of new renewable generation         standalone generators out of the
current regulatory settings – designed around                                                 and competition in the market.             market.
an out-dated model of a linear and siloed                                                     • Direct network investment in             EDBs are prevented from investing
electricity sector – will prevent us from realising                                           renewable generation and micro-grids       significantly in renewable generation.
that full potential, ultimately putting New                                                   • Powersmart solar projects – including    Aspects of our regulatory and market
Zealand’s transition to zero emissions at risk.                                               for large commercial customers.            framework add undue complexity and
                                                                                                                                         undermine the value proposition for
In this submission Vector asks the Commission                                                                                            customer-generators.
to build on its draft advice to include               Distributed generation and demand       The provision of a range of multi-site     The current centralised mindset
recommendations to remove barriers holding            response to unlock new value and        storage/battery solutions – including      focuses only on the supply side, at the
                                                      help to reduce the amount of fossil-    distributed solutions                      expense of demand side solutions and
us back and to empower us to unlock the               fuelled generation required                                                        levers. This risks locking in unnecessary
                                                                                              Solar and distributed generation can
required energy transformation.                                                               offset demand for hydro generation,        costs for future generations.
                                                                                              keeping reservoirs full for peaks, and     There is a need to re-engineer our
Our message is that to deliver on the
                                                                                              can directly reduce emissions used for     energy system to start with demand,
Commission’s pathway we need to rethink                                                       gas peaking during summer months           rather than centralised supply in our
our energy system. An energy system with                                                      Leveraging demand response to              transition to greater renewable energy.
the consumer (rather than the centralised                                                     flatten demand peaks can help us to
powerplant) at the centre will unlock benefits of                                             strategically overcome the dry year risk

decarbonisation, affordability, customer choice,      Our future electricity systems are      Investment in cyber security,              Regulation and the resulting allowable
                                                      resilient in the context of new risks   decentralised network solutions –          revenue for EDBs does not support
and resilience.                                                                               including micro-grids and V2H, as well     the level or type of investment which is
                                                                                              as future ready networks to deliver        required today to deliver for the future.
                                                                                              continued security of supply in a
                                                                                              changing environment

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                                                       8
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
future energy
systems need to
be designed for
– and start with –
the customer
Climate change commission draft advice 2021 - vector response - Vector Limited
click for contents

customers are                                       We support the Climate Change Commission’s
                                                    (the Commission’s) focus on reducing emissions
                                                                                                         UK Think Tank, Challenging Ideas, this latest
                                                                                                         report has been developed in partnership

the drivers of our
                                                    from the end use of energy – such as transport,      with global cross-industry project team –
                                                    industrial processes and buildings – and the         including Vector, Centrica, Elexon, the UK

emissions reduction
                                                    relevance of customer behaviour and impact           Electricity System Operator, and Imperial
                                                    in reducing emissions. Just as our successful        College of London’s Grantham Institute for
                                                    response to climate change relies on changes         Climate Change – and proposes a shift in

pathway – as well                                   to consumer behaviour, underpinned by the
                                                    right enablers, the transformation of our energy
                                                                                                         the way we assign value through our energy
                                                                                                         system by unlocking value between the silos

as our new
                                                    systems to a low emissions future also needs to      and enabling participation of a wider range
                                                    start with the customer and be supported by          of actors. The notion of a decarbonisation
                                                    enabling platforms.                                  dividend holds that decarbonisation is not

energy future                                       We agree that innovations that enable
                                                    consumers to participate in the market will help
                                                                                                         just a cost that customers have to bear – but
                                                                                                         rather, by transforming our supply chain
                                                                                                         to start with the customer rather than the
                                                    reduce the amount of fossil-fuelled generation.
                                                                                                         powerplant, our transformation should add
                                                    Starting with the consumer in transforming
                                                                                                         additional value to their lives. Focusing on
                                                    our energy system can deliver other profound
                                                                                                         co-benefits, or the ‘decarbonisation dividend’
                                                    benefits to the affordability, resilience, choice,
                                                                                                         is about shifting the mindset, analytical
                                                    and efficiency in electricity market. These
                                                                                                         frameworks and the view of the key risks and
                                                    benefits will also promote the confidence
                                                                                                         objectives that sit at the heart of our energy
                                                    that is necessary for consumers to invest and
                                                                                                         market governance. As highlighted by previous
                                                    convert to electrification.
                                                                                                         reports led by Challenging Ideas, ReDesigning
                                                    3.1 We support the Commission’s principle            Regulation, the ‘trilemma’ has been at the
                                                    to leverage co-benefits – we see this as being       centre of wider energy policy thinking for ten
                                                    aligned with the‘decarbonisation dividend’           years and positions energy market decision
                                                    We support the Commission’s principle to             making as a balancing act between security,
                                                    ‘leverage co-benefits’ – or benefits which           decarbonisation and affordability. In doing so:
                                                    go beyond reducing emissions that can be              “the trilemma has created the impression
                                                    gained through our pathway. We see this as           that there are trade-offs, and that these
                                                    being strongly aligned with the notion of a          are competing problems, rather than
                                                    ‘decarbonisation dividend’ – captured in the         complementary ambitions’.
                                                    recent report ReCosting Energy. Led by the

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                          10
click for contents

By framing our energy transition as an
‘inherently zero-sum game’ this approach puts          Vector/EECA V2H trial
a ceiling on the ambition of what our energy
                                                        The value of distributed solutions for increasing customer resillence is Vector’s Vehicle to home (V2H) trial. This
systems can deliver for customers, and on the
                                                        enables customers in Piha, a community which is at the edge of our electric network, to power their homes in an
transformation that is required to create a
                                                        outage utilizing the remaining EV battery capacity.
decarbonised, customer centric energy system.

“By replacing the problems with
ambition, the issues around
security of supply, decarbonisation
and affordability can be dealt with
by adopting a forward-moving and
dynamic approach”. – ReShaping
Regulation, Challenging Ideas, 2017
The Commission’s advice considers potential
co-benefits in terms of health, environment
and ‘broader wellbeing’. There is an opportunity
and a need to further leverage co-benefits of
customer affordability, customer choice,
and resilience.
We recommend that the Commission broaden
its understanding of ‘co-benefits’ to capture a
wider scope of benefits across the supply chain,
and that it be deepened to capture the benefits
that can be delivered by customer centric
energy services through the supply chain.
As is discussed further in Chapter “Dynamic
Optimisation for Affordable Electrification” in
section “Unlock the value between silos”, the
value of new energy technologies and assets
through the whole system is demonstrated by

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                                                 11
click for contents

the Whole Energy-System Cost metric (WESC).          3.2 Digitalisation is a key enabler of              Behaviour Change, and recommend that
As an alternative to the levelized cost of energy    affordable energy                                   enabling data and digitalisation of energy
(LCOE), the WESC reflects the net cost or value                                                          usage should be a recommendation under this
                                                     Ensuring that distributed systems deliver
of energy assets on a dollar per MWh basis –                                                             ‘Necessary Action’.
                                                     the most value for all users of our electricity
accounting for whole system benefits such as
                                                     system requires their integration and               This transition is a shift which is occurring across
displaced generation, system balancing impact,
                                                     management through the right digital                industries and our economy, in response to
and distribution network impact. This illustrative
                                                     platforms – like Vector’s Distributed Energy        climate change and the need to gain value
analysis has has found that despite their capital
                                                     Resource Management System (DERMs). The             in a way that is more sustainable than just
cost, a residential smart EV charger for instance,
                                                     importance of smart network management              generating, distributing, and consuming more.
actually adds new value to the system of ~$174
                                                     of new distributed assets is discussed further
NZD per MWh.                                                                                             As a key enabler of this transformation, our
                                                     under the chapter “Dynamic optimisation for
                                                                                                         energy systems are not immune to this
Vector’s View:                                       affordable electrification”, and the potential to
                                                                                                         imperative to change. Our energy supply
                                                     unlock new value in meeting future demand
Truly unlocking these benefits requires us                                                               chains need to move away from a central
                                                     from distributed generation is discussed
to transform the way that we consider our                                                                planning mindset, to the enablement of
                                                     further under the chapter “Levers to expand
energy systems – to start with the customer,                                                             distributed, customer driven, systems. This
                                                     the market for new renewable generation and
rather than centralised supply. This is an                                                               requires us to manage new complexity driven
                                                     broaden competitive pressure.” As is mentioned
exciting ‘tipping point’ for electricity where                                                           by the integration of more distributed assets
                                                     further, digital solutions like DERMs can act
the old-fashioned market design is being truly                                                           and bi-directional flows of power – rather
                                                     as a platform enabling the integration of new
challenged by a new market designed from                                                                 than the perpetuation of a centralised, linear
                                                     technologies, as well as the emergence of new
the bottom up and facilitated by the                                                                     supply chain.
                                                     competitive markets and products. This is about
digital revolution.
                                                     enabling the creation of new markets – which
                                                     are not constrained by the currently flawed
                                                     market structure.
                                                     Leveraging these platforms to support the
                                                     delivery of optimal customer services, drives
                                                     our transition from a commodity based to a
                                                     service-based energy system. We support the
                                                     Climate Change Commission’s recognition of
                                                     the value of platforms and business models for
                                                     affordable electrification, and we support the
                                                     Commission’s Necessary Action 16 – Support

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                              12
Doing more from less – from consumption to optimisation
“To deliver Net Zero requires a philosophical change in how we look
at the energy system from a consumption model to an optimisation
model, driving value rather than commodity, fully utilising capital
rather than wasting it and most importantly recognising, rewarding
and incentivising consumer and demand side optimisation. With the
potential of millions of assets, generation, storing, hedging we need to
unlock the value and potential of a much wider group of players –
a consumption model will stand in its way.” –
ReCosting Energy, 2021
click for contents

This transition is a shift which is occurring across                                                              3.3 Data is a key enabler of customer and
industries and our economy, in response to                                                                        utility solutions – including new flexibility
climate change and the need to gain value                                                                         services and demand response markets
in a way that is more sustainable than just
                                                                                                                  Data can drive efficient, customer centric
generating, distributing, and consuming more.
                                                                                                                  energy services, which enable affordable
As a key enabler of this transformation, our                                                                      electrification. For example, ensuring that
energy systems are not exempt from this                                 Digital inclusion                         network planning and investment is built on
                                                         Covid-19 has accelerated digitalisation. Whilst this
imperative to change. Our energy supply                                                                           data driven analytics rather than traditional top-
                                                         is an opportunity for decarbonisation this is also a
chains need to move away from a central                                                                           down planning can ensure that infrastructure
                                                        challenge to ensure that the benefits are distributed
planning supply-side dominated mindset,                  equally. By avoiding cost at a system level, digitally
                                                                                                                  is built to enable customer choice and to meet
to the enablement of distributed, customer               enabled optimisation gains benefits for all energy       customer needs. Other disrupted industries
driven, systems. This requires us to manage               consumers – not just those who have invested in         have put customer needs and preferences at
new complexity driven by the integration of                  smart distributed assets – like solar PV and         the heart of their design – the same needs to
more distributed assets and bi-directional flows                           battery systems.                       be true for our entire energy value chain in
of power – rather than the perpetuation of a                                                                      order to achieve the pathway proposed by
                                                           We support the Commission’s recommended
centralised, linear supply chain. As is discussed           Equitable Transitions Strategy, however we
                                                                                                                  the Commission.
further in Chapter “Dynamic optimisation for              recommend that the timeline for this should be          Providing customers with near real-time
affordable electrification” Vector has led the           brought forward to avoid locking in impacts to low       feedback can also trigger important
way in this strategic direction through our            income households through decisions that are made
                                                                                                                  behavioural change. In winter 2019, our peak-
Symphony Strategy – which seeks to deliver                 before the end of 2023. As well as avoiding cost
                                                                                                                  time rebate trail, in partnership with Mercury,
future ready energy systems that enable                 through smart infrastructure design (including the
                                                                                                                  demonstrated customers’ willingness to reduce
decarbonisation and respond to customer                smart management of new demand from EVs) digital
                                                        inclusion, should be a key objective of this strategy.
                                                                                                                  the load during peak hours upon notification
needs, by leveraging a range of solutions and
                                                                                                                  24 hours prior. The programme was targeted
value streams to ultimately deliver more with
                                                                                                                  specifically to only reward those who could
less. However, we continue to experience
                                                                                                                  contribute on a specific day and did not
regulatory decision making which impedes,
                                                                                                                  penalise those who had higher loads than
rather than supports, this approach. Just as the
                                                                                                                  usual. We observed that reduction potential
Commission’s pathway reflects the investments
                                                                                                                  is quite similar to a direct control solution like
that need to be made today to deliver for
                                                                                                                  hot water load control. Smart meter data will
the future, energy solution providers need to
                                                                                                                  be essential to monitor the response over a
incorporate the right solutions now to enable
                                                                                                                  prolonged period to understand if response
our transition and avoid cost in the future.
                                                                                                                  fatigue will set in.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                                     14
click for contents

As seen in many other industries, data unlocks       As New Zealand transitions to a low emissions        Vector is currently undertaking a trial of
significant value through transformation. Data       economy, the need for near real-time and             200 smart EV chargers in Auckland, using
can drive efficient, customer centric energy         more granular data delivered by smart                the trial to understand customer charging
services, which enable affordable electrification.   meters is becoming more apparent offering            behaviour and its impact on electricity demand
For example, network planning and investment         potential benefits which extend through our          peaks. This trial, which is discussed further in
that is driven by data analytics rather than         energy supply chain – delivering new value to        Chapter “Dynamic optimisation for affordable
traditional top-down, aggregate level, planning      customers. Smart meter services can enable           electrification”, will help to inform smart
can ensure that infrastructure is built to enable    granular demand response programmes,                 network management and the design of
customer choice and to meet customer needs.          remote connections and disconnections,               energy systems which meet customer needs
Other disrupted industries have put customer         and near real-time data for network                  and preferences, efficiently. For example,
needs and preferences at the heart of their          performance monitoring.                              interim findings have found that pricing
design – the same needs to be true for our                                                                incentives have limited impact in changing the
                                                     In conjunction with digital platform like
entire energy value chain in order to achieve the                                                         time of charging, and that algorithmic charging
                                                     Vector’s DERMs, smart meter data can enable
pathway proposed by the Commission.                                                                       – which staggers charging – has a key role to
                                                     the efficient integration of distributed energy
                                                                                                          play in flattening demand peaks (as opposed
There is an opportunity to unlock further            resources (DER) into low-voltage networks
                                                                                                          to scheduled charging, for instance). These
customer value by improving the flow of data         without compromising system security and
                                                                                                          insights highlight the value of digitally enabled,
through our energy system. For example,              reliability, as well as dynamic load control. The
                                                                                                          data driven energy systems.
it has taken several years of negotiation for        need for network coordination for the efficient
networks to gain access to consumption               integration of DER is discussed further in the       There is an opportunity to unlock greater
data from incumbent gentailers refusing to           Chapter “Dynamic optimisation for Affordable         efficiencies and innovation through data
make this available – despite the benefits that      Electrification”, section 3.5 – “Unlock the value    generated by smart meters. Metering service
this data can add to network planning and            between silos”. Unlocking the value of data          providers such as Vector Metering are well
operations – including outage detection and          through our energy system, in conjunction with       placed to deliver data services, ensuring the
safety improvements. This has almost been            digital platforms, is key to delivering integrated   realisation of significant network and customer
resolved by way of the latest default distributor    energy systems which meet customers’                 benefits and avoiding the unnecessary cost
agreement (DDA) facilitated by the Electricity       needs and deliver greater system efficiency          of duplicating information systems. The New
Authority (EA). However, we consider this            – effectively incorporating digitally enabled        Energy Platform (NEP) developed by Vector and
process and the time that it has taken for           demand-response solutions such as smart              Amazon Web Services (AWS) will enable energy
networks to access this data to be an example        EV chargers.                                         companies to leverage further value from
of coordination failure.                                                                                  data through enhanced analytics capability,
                                                                                                          delivering smarter energy services.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                             15
click for contents

The New Energy Platform (NEP is a data              is known as a country of innovators and                3.4 Energy efficiency measures and
analytics and IoT solution set to be developed      problem solvers. Being an early mover in               distributed generation have a key role to play
and co-funded by Vector and Amazon Web              researching new technologies and adopting              to support affordability and decarbonisation
Services (AWS) through the strategic alliance       existing technologies will benefit not just
As part of the multi-year strategic alliance        the climate, but the economy and wellbeing             There is an opportunity to go further in driving
between Vector and AWS, the New Energy              of New Zealanders”. – the Climate Change               these future outcomes by targeting passive
Platform (NEP) is an Internet of Things (IoT)       Commission                                             housing standards and enabling smart home
and analytics solution for the energy industry                                                             technology in our future housing stock
                                                    Investing in smart, energy efficient buildings
and will be introduced first in Australia and
                                                    (both new and retrofitted) and digitally enabled       Energy efficiency can prevent wasted
New Zealand. Drawing on cloud, IoT, and data
analytics technology, this platform will enable     energy systems is also an opportunity to align         emissions, support healthier, warmer homes,
greater energy data processing, and smart,          our Covid-19 economic recovery with our                and deliver greater affordability. We agree with
efficient energy services. The insights collected   emissions reduction pathway. Energy efficiency         the Commission’s comments that:
by the NEP will support the development             is job-intensive. For example, the American            “household electricity bills will depend
of tailored product and pricing solutions for       Council for Energy Efficiency Economy (ACEEE)          on electricity prices, as well as demand.
customers based on their energy consumption         has found that a $1 million investment in a            Households that are able to make energy
habits. In the future, insights from the NEP will   building efficiency improvement will initially
enable energy companies to develop innovative                                                              efficiency improvements may be able to
                                                    support approximately 20 jobs throughout the           reduce demand or improve the level of comfort
solutions and new market models that                economy”. As highlighted by the ACEEE “An
accelerate the uptake of renewables, electric                                                              in their homes. Households should be able to
                                                    energy efficiency investment creates more jobs         reduce their household electricity bills by, for
vehicles, and digital applications. The NEP can
displace legacy systems creating a step change      than an equivalent investment in either the            example, switching to heat pumps, or installing
in processing power, flexibility.                   economy on average or in the utility sector and        insulation or LED lightbulbs”.
                                                    fossil-fuels. Most energy efficiency jobs are also     – the Climate Change Commission
Driving smart, customer centric future energy       local because they often consist of installation
systems which can deliver decarbonisation                                                                  We support any intervention to support
                                                    or maintenance of equipment locally”.
requires the right capability                                                                              equitable investment in energy efficiency. Our
                                                    International partnerships can also strengthen         data has found that higher income households
As highlighted by the Climate Change
Commission, ensuring the right level of             New Zealand’s data analytics capability, digital       have benefitted from energy efficiency at a
capability needs to be underpinned by               economy for future high value job creation, as         rate which is four times faster than low income
investment in the right skills development - and    well as an efficient, digitalised energy transition.   households. In Auckland access to energy
our digital economy:                                The strategic alliance described above, through        efficiency is not a level playing field. Access to
                                                    which Vector and AWS are co-funding the                finance and home-ownership remains a key
“the education and science and innovation
                                                    development of the New Energy Platform to              determinant of the rate of change. Over the last
systems in Aotearoa are critical for ensuring
                                                    take to global markets, is set to create at least 30
low emissions economic growth…Aotearoa
                                                    new, highly skilled, roles in Auckland.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                                 16
click for contents

decade, we have seen owner-occupied homes           We agree with the assumptions related to the         Examples of international policies to drive more
decrease energy use at a faster pace than           future energy intensity of homes mentioned           efficient housing include:
tenanted homes, which adds to the burden            above. Whilst there are a number of uncertain
                                                                                                          • In Germany, passive builds that meet a set
of increasing Auckland house prices for those       variables which would impact this, this is
                                                                                                          efficiency level qualify for significantly reduced
not on the property ladder. On behalf of its        broadly consistent with our own current energy
                                                                                                          interest rates for the life of the loan that can
customer owners, Vector’s majority shareholder      efficiency modelling for Auckland. As always
                                                                                                          transfer between owners (available for the first
Entrust, continues to prioritise investment in      there is an opportunity to change our projection
                                                                                                          mortgage only).
solutions which deliver new value to customers.     of the future based on the investments that we
                                                    make today – this is what underpins the Climate       • The case of the EU, which doesn’t allow
The Commission has also noted that
                                                    Change Commission’s emissions reduction               incandescent lightbulbs, has shown that the
improvements in energy efficiency may not
                                                    pathway. The Commission is proposing our              additional up-front cost of efficient lightbulbs
always translate into lower demand, as many
                                                    future be more than the sum of today’s inputs         tends to reduce over time, as demand and the
customers may choose to heat their homes
                                                    and actions multiplied by years. We agree and         market expands. An advantage of being a ‘fast
more as a result of savings made.
                                                    hold that there is an opportunity to turn the dial    follower’ of this policy is that the market for
“Because homes in Aotearoa are typically            further on energy efficiency gains by making          LED lightbulbs already exists at scale globally.
underheated in winter, households may choose        the right investments today. We recommend             • The benefits of increasing the thermal
to heat their home more after improving             that the Commission push further in its view of       capacity of buildings is also being investigated
energy efficiency, rather than reducing their       what is possible by way of a smart, digitalised       in Switzerland. This approach focuses not
energy use or emissions. We assume that             energy future which is built around customer          just on insulation efficiency but leverages
existing homes’ energy intensity improves by        needs – including to recognise the potential of       the larger thermal capacitance of heavier
6% by 2035. We assume newly built homes are         IoT enabled smart home technology                     buildings to enable them to retain warmth,
35% more energy efficient compared to               and passive housing –to strengthen                    allowing slow, constant heating – as opposed
today’s performance”.                               energy efficiency.                                    to having peaks when people come home.
– the Climate Change Commission
                                                                                                          The desired net effect is that less heating
We note that passive housing – houses which                                                               is required, particularly during spring and
require much less heating – would reduce                                                                  autumn, as the heat from the day lasts
the impact of energy efficiency savings being                                                             through the night.
offset by more heating (known as the “rebound
effect”), strengthening the connection between
efficiency and reduced demand. Passive
buildings ‘turn off the tap’ when it comes to
wasted energy and wasted emissions.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                             17
click for contents

Transforming operational efficiency                 “The most significant operational carbon
                                                    emissions are the indirect carbon emissions
We note the Commission and the Ministry of
                                                    from the use of electricity and water when
Business Innovation and Employment (MBIE)
                                                    we live and work in buildings…approximately
are focused in the same direction when it
                                                    20% of all energy in NZ is consumed in the
comes to the Commission’s recommendations
                                                    operation of buildings. Currently many
to strengthen efficiency measures and the
                                                    buildings are cold, damp and poorly ventilated
operational performance of buildings, and
                                                    which impacts on occupant health and
MBIE’s Transforming operational efficiency
                                                    wellbeing. The indoor environmental quality
framework consulted on last year. However, we
                                                    (IEQ) of buildings is primarily related to how
also note the timeframes proposed by MBIE
                                                    much energy is required to maintain suitable
do not match the timelines set out by the
                                                    indoor conditions throughout the year i.e., the
Commission. MBIE has proposed the creation
                                                    operational efficiency.” - MBIE
of an Operational Emissions Cap and Water
Use Cap for new buildings that will tighten in      There is a further opportunity to offset this
a series of steps, reaching a final cap by 2035.    demand and reduce emissions from buildings’
Energy efficiency measures related to existing      electricity consumption through the integration
buildings are however outside the scope of          of distributed solar and battery solutions. We
the programme. Given existing buildings are         note that onsite renewable generation and
expected to make up approximately 65% of            storage is not covered by MBIE’s building for
New Zealand’s building stock in 2050, as well       climate change programme. This represents a
as a similar percentage of building-related         missed opportunity. We recommend that the
emissions, this represents a missed opportunity     Commission further recognise the potential
to achieve emissions reductions in the building     of distributed generation, and recommend
management sector.                                  further steps to drive the efficient uptake of
                                                    distributed energy systems. Further details on
We support a faster progression of work
                                                    these recommendations are in Chapter “Levers
to transform operational efficiency of new
                                                    to expand the market for new renewable
and existing buildings, including with the
                                                    generation and broaden competitive pressure”
recommendations below, in line with the
                                                    and “Dynamic Optimisation for affordable
timelines proposed under the Commission’s
                                                    electrification”, section “Let’s learn from others
emissions budgets. As noted by MBIE:
                                                    regarding the need for smart integration of new
                                                    distributed generation”.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                            18
case study
                                                            The Kainga Tuatahi project, in partnership between Vector and Ngāti Whātua, supported by Entrust,
                                                            provides behind the meter solar and battery systems for each of the 30 houses at Kupe street – a
                                                            residential development for iwi first home-owners delivered by Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei. This project was
                                                            designed to align with the objectives of Ngāti Whātua – to develop Waro Kore Papakāinga – a carbon
                                                            zero community – with affordable and healthy housing. This includes bringing together innovative
                                                            energy systems, waste systems, healthy waterways, kai sovereignty, and
                                                            ecological enhancement.

                                                            The project enables customers to generate and store power for their own consumption and to export
                                                            any surplus to the grid for a credit. In the year ending 2020, the solar battery systems provided on
                                                            average, 36 percent of customers’ total consumption. Overall, Kupe street households used 20% less
                                                            grid sourced kWh pa on average than the control group. In the first four months, this resulted in savings
                                                            of around 12.55 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e). The systems have reduced some home-
                                                            owners’ electricity bills – for power from the centralised grid – to as little as $13 per month.
Kupe Street – Ngāti Whātua Orakei housing
development and site of Kainga Tuatahi project, Vector,     In addition to delivering these customer benefits, the trial, which is still ongoing, seeks to assess the
launched 2016
                                                            performance of tesla powerwall batteries in maximising solar consumption, increasing resilience (by
                                                            providing back up electricity for customers in the case of an outage), and reducing peaks. Analysis has
                                                            so far shown that residential batteries can contribute to a 30% peak reduction in conjunction with solar.
click for contents

We strongly support the Commission’s                We support:                                        Recommendations
recommendation to enable more independent
                                                     • “Necessary Action 9: increase energy            • We recommend that Leveraging and
generation and distributed generation.
                                                     efficiency in buildings” including the            enabling digitalisation be added as a principle
There are further opportunities to encourage
                                                     recommendation to introduce mandatory             underpinning the Commission’s advice. This
distributed energy systems on the network
                                                     measures to improve the operational               will ensure that the Commission’s analysis and
through market and regulatory change – which
                                                     energy performance of commercial and              recommendations will support smart energy
could play a role in changing our
                                                     public buildings, as well as to continue          systems. This should include consideration for
market structure
                                                     improving energy efficient standards for all      how investment choices being made today
As highlighted by ReCosting Energy,                  new buildings, new and continuing stock,          support digital inclusion – ensuring that all
transforming our system to start with the            through measures like improving insulation        customers benefit from the value
customer and to unlock the ‘decarbonisation          requirements. We recommend that these             of digitalisation.
dividend’ requires us to ‘reward customers’          measures incorporate the impact of onsite
                                                                                                       • We recommend that we start from the
actions and assets’.                                 generation. We recommend that these
                                                                                                       customer, rather than the power plant, in how
                                                     measures incorporate consideration for
There are a number of aspects of our current                                                           we consider our energy system and make
                                                     onsite generation.
regulatory framework which inhibit the                                                                 investments for the future. This requires a
customer value proposition of investing in           • We support the Commission’s                     re-engineering of our system to start with
these assets. For example, under our current         recommendation to expand assistance which         demand, not supply.
regulatory framework there can only be one           targets low-income households.
                                                                                                       • We recommend that the Commission include
retailer per ICP preventing customers from
                                                     • We support the recommendation “Assess           enabling digitalisation of energy usage and data
sourcing some generation from the grid and
                                                     the Government’s current standards and            to drive energy decisions as a recommendation
other generation from community or Peer-to-
                                                     funding programmes for insulation and             under the Commission’s Necessary Action 16:
Peer traded with other consumers, for example.
                                                     efficient heating to determine whether they       Support Behaviour Change.
Further market and regulatory barriers to the
                                                     are delivering at an appropriate pace and
integration of new renewable generation is                                                             • We recommend that the Commission’s
                                                     scale, and how they could impact housing and
included in the next Chapter “Levers to expand                                                         recommended Equitable Transitions Strategy,
                                                     energy affordability. The Government should
the market for new renewable generation and                                                            include digital inclusion as a key objective.
                                                     give particular consideration to potential flow
broaden competitive pressure.”
                                                     through costs to tenants, and to government-
                                                     owned housing stock.” Included under
                                                     Necessary Action 1: An equitable, inclusive and
                                                     well-planned climate transition.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                        20
click for contents

 • We recommend the implementation of open
 standards for future smart home technology
 and products – this can avoid the risk of
 tech lock in and support the longevity of
 investment choices made by customers.
 We see an opportunity for this to be
 incorporated into MBIE’s Building for
 Climate Change workstream.
 • We recommend that public housing
 procurement decisions align with passive,
 smart, future housing stock including efficient
 joinery for new builds. Having enough of the
 right components ready for affordable, future-
 ready homes is critical. The greatest gains for
 future energy efficiency can be made at the
 point of construction.
 • In addition to targeting energy efficiency
 we consider incentives for smart and passive
 home solutions.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021   21
Levers to expand
the market for
new renewable
generation
and broaden
competitive
pressure
click for contents

4.1 There is an opportunity to meet growing         making New Zealand’s renewable electricity          (as has been the case with Tiwai’s continued
electricity demand through levelling the            generation available for wider New Zealand,         subsidisation).
playing field for independent, distributed          supporting affordable electrification and our
                                                                                                        As has been highlighted recently by Climate
generation and greater EDB participation in         pathway to net zero, this exit would ensure
                                                                                                        Change Minister, James Shaw, New Zealand
solar and micro-grids, and through a review         that infrastructure which has been funded
                                                                                                        needs to consider measures to police carbon
of current market dominance and behaviour           significantly by tax-payers, delivers value
                                                                                                        in imports, and, whether such measures are
                                                    to them – rather than an overseas owned
                                                                                                        to be included in a review of free allocations
The impact of Tiwai for both New Zealand’s          aluminium smelter.
                                                                                                        (‘industrial allocations’) under the Emissions
domestic pathway and global emissions –
                                                    As has been recognised by the Commission            Trading Scheme (ETS). The European
including imported emissions
                                                    in its draft advice, and in particular in           Parliament has recently supported a proposal
The Commission has found that we need to            the commentary around the Nationally                to tax imports from countries with lower carbon
increase annual electricity generation by 20%       Determined Contributions (NDCs) it is key           costs than in the EU – applying to imports
by 2035 to meet future energy demand. This is       that New Zealand makes a fair contribution          of energy and energy intensive products
including the assumption that Tiwai exits fully     to emissions reductions globally. Part of this is   including steel. We support the Commission’s
by 2026.                                            approach is considering emissions which are         recommendation for a ‘first principles’ review of
As noted by the Commission, industry needs          produced through global supply chains, and          the free allocation of emission credits to energy
certainty to make the investment in generation      the impact that our decisions would have on         intensive businesses in New Zealand – and
to meet future demand. The continued                these emissions.                                    hold that future decisions around Tiwai need
uncertainty around the exit of Tiwai – which                                                            to consider the impact of the business on New
                                                    Whilst Tiwai does not disclose its emissions        Zealand’s imported emissions.
the business has continually used as part of
                                                    from shipping currently, importing primary
a political negotiation strategy – has deferred                                                         Leverage new, distributed generation to meet
                                                    materials to produce aluminium in New
this necessary investment. We agree with the                                                            future demand
                                                    Zealand and exporting the product to global
Commission that:
                                                    markets, would produce significant emissions.       Meeting the future demand included in the
“electricity generation companies may not           Taking a wider view of global emissions and         Commission’s pathway will require us to bring
commit to this expansion in capacity while          scope two and three emissions, if Tiwai were        a range of new sources of generation to market
there is uncertainty around the future of the       located in a different economy which was            – including distributed generation. The value
New Zealand Aluminium Smelter at Tiwai              closer to markets and primary materials, these      of distributed solutions to increase renewables
Point”. – the Climate Change Commission             emissions would be largely avoided. Just as         is demonstrated by the ‘renewables revolution’
                                                    New Zealand ought not to export emissions,          experienced by the UK – whereby in 2019 over
With Tiwai currently consuming around 13            we also should not import them – particularly       14% of UK renewable generation was from small
percent of New Zealand’s total electricity, the     when we are spending tax-payer and/or               scale generation systems – across over one
timing of this exit will be material. As well as    electricity consumer funded subsidies to do so      million different systems.

VECTOR RESPONSE | CLIMATE CHANGE COMMISSION DRAFT ADVICE 2021                                                                                          23
You can also read