COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry

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COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry
DELENG19655/F-2(R-6)Press2018
                                    Vol 2, Issue 9, Apr-Jun 2020

                                COVID-19 aftermath
                                More Time Needed to Manifest its
                                Effect on Defence Industry

                                Underwater Domain                  Defence Budget                3D Printing: A Tech
                                Awareness Framework                2020-21                       for Make in India
                                Start -up India has Whole          How to Sustain in Declining   To Help Modernise Indian
                                New Realm                          Allocation is the Key         Defence Forces
COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry
COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry
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COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry
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                                              Editorial
                                              Let the Light Shine on India and the World!!
                                                                                                                                       Contents
                                                                                                                                        Raksha Anirveda                                                                         Volume 2 | Issue 9 | april - june 2020

                                                                                                                                              14
       RNI NO. DELENG/2018/76856
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           p10	Indian Navy’s SSN strategic programme
                                                                The world is currently    finally emerge a winner.
Editor & Business Director                                      experiencing an              Amid the current gloomy scenario                                    Cover                                                                           moves ahead in tandem with time?
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           p22	Project 75 (I): An opportunity to create a

                                                                                                                                                                 Story
Ajit Kumar Thakur
                                                                apocalyptic moment        and unprecedented pause in global                                                                                                                      national strategic asset
Editorial Director                                                                                                                                                                                                                         p26	Underwater domain awareness: start-up
PK Ghosh                                                        due to the pandemic       development, it was heartening to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 India has whole new realm
Consulting Editor                                               COVID-19. The impact      observe Mother Earth’s positive                                                                                                                  p30	Defence budget 2020-21, indigenisation
Sri Krishna                                                     has been severe,          vibration and the nature regaining                                                                                                                     and exports
Advisory Board                                                  widespread and            its beauty once again. Fast forward,                                                                                                             p42	The blue dot network impact
Amb. Smita Purushottam (Retd)                                   has almost affected       one will witness a brand new world                                                                                                               p48	3D printing: A technology for Make in India
Air Marshal M Matheswaran (Retd)                                                                                                                                                                                                                 enabled Indian armed forces
Lt Gen PC Katoch (Retd)                       every sphere of the global order.           emerge that works in unison to achieve                                                                                                           p54 	Why Moscow is unfazed by New Delhi’s
Lt Gen PR Shankar (Retd)                      Panic driven, the global response           humanitarian goals.                                                                                                                                    growing arms trade with Washington?
Cmde Ranjit B Rai (Retd)                      to tackle the pandemic crisis due to           For India, it’s the perfect time to                                                                                                           p58 	BrahMos: First supersonic cruise missile
Cmde Anil Jai Singh (Retd)                                                                                                                                                                                                                       known to be in service
Cdr KP Sanjeev Kumar (Retd)                   novel Coronavirus has been more like        focus with intense depth, visualise the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           defexpo 2020: Post event coverage
Dr Mathew Simon                               a reaction instead of approaching it        future, and prepare itself to overcome                                                                                                           p60	Mega Expo: Immense opportunities
Amit Cowshish                                 proactively. Hence, uncertainty has         the pitfalls and shortcomings that have                                                                                                                at display
Sanjay Badri-Maharaj
Sameer Joshi                                  made the fight to control and eliminate     been derailing its potential growth story.                                                                                                       p74	A robust platform to showcase
                                              the pandemic more prolonged.                It needs to explore the opportunities                                                                                                                  defence prowess
Legal Advisor                                                                                                                                                                                                                              p76	DefExpo 2020: Experiences and
Ramesh Sharma                                    For India, already reeling under the     and scale up its economic strength                                                                                                                     key takeaways

                                                                                                                                           Global Defence industry
Design & Layout                               pressure of economic slowdown, the          along with its indigenous defence                                                                                                                p78	DefExpo 2020 and Make in India
Design Cubicle                                pandemic crisis has hit it hard and the     market and move ahead of competition.                                                                                                            p82	 iDEX: A nationwide outreach programme
For Advertisement contact us:                 after effects of it will be experienced     Post Covid-19, the revamped focus                                                                                                                      through indigenous startups for defence

                                                                                                                                           in the Fallout of COVID-19
ajitk.thakur@gmail.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                     p86	 NNetRA – IIT Bombay: Pioneering work in
ajit@raksha-anirveda.com                      for a longer duration. Caught unaware       should be on expanding the indigenous                                                                                                                  strategic semiconductor technologies
rakshaanirveda@gmail.com                      and being sluggish in response initially,   defence market by creating diversified                                                                                                           p88	China’s expanding land, air and
For any complaint and query                   India has shown the resilience to fight     platforms for domestic requirement                                                                                                                     outer space prowess
contact us:
info@raksha-anirveda.com
                                              back amid its inherent shortcomings         and exports, optimisation of dual                The COVID-19 outbreak world over has                                                            p90	How to develop smart cantonment,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 military, air force or a naval station?
ajitk.thakur@gmail.com                        on many counts. The collaborative           technologies as well as innovations.             virtually brought the industry and business to a                                                p94	Combating India’s new strategic
                                              efforts of the administration, armed           The newly formed defence corridors,
Raksha Anirveda is printed and                                                                                                             halt. For defence industry, some more time will                                                       challenges: The alternatives
published by PBG Media Ventures               forces, research organisations and          well equipped with one-stop facilitation                                                                                                         p108	Appointments
Published, Edited & Printed by                industry in quick time helped India         centres (with key role play from both
                                                                                                                                           be needed to manifest its effect                                                                p112	News round up
Ajit Kumar Thakur on behalf of                                                                                                                                                                                                             p132	In news
‘PBG Media Ventures’
                                              regain the control on sound footing         DRDO and private sectors) can act as
649/4, Konark Residency, Nambardar            and reaping the benefits while battling     a catalyst. The Project 75 (I) can be
Colony, Burari, Delhi -110084                 the pandemic. And, so far the result has    the springboard to realise the self-
Printed at: Star Print-O-Bind,                been encouraging.                           reliance goal through implementation
Star House, F-31, Okhla Industrial
Area Phase-I, New Delhi-110020                   The overwhelming response from           of a unique model (private public
Editor: Ajit Kumar Thakur                     the people of India to PM Modi’s call       partnership) and set a benchmark.
All disputes are subjected to the             showcased his political capital. One        Similarly, there is a need to bring in
jurisdiction of Delhi                         hopes that in near future, when India       fresh perspective and out-of-the-box
Mobile: +91-9910252485
                                              and the world hit the restart button,
                                              albeit slowly to surge again, the
                                                                                          thinking while taking a final call for the
                                                                                          procurement of 114 fighter jets, 111         04                        18                          34                             44                              100
                                              combined force of great leadership          NUH helicopters and others to meet           India’s Submarine Surge The Changing Dynamics         Interview: Ola Rignell         Interview: Sandeep Agarwal Dark Side of Quantum
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Computers
Disclaimer: Views expressed are those of
individual authors and do not represent any
policy of this publication.
                                              on top and the exceptional leadership
                                              on the frontline will bring in the
                                                                                          the armed forces’ requirements and
                                                                                          position India as an emerging defence
                                                                                                                                       in the Indian Ocean     of India-EU Relations         Chairman & Managing
                                                                                                                                                                                             Director of Saab India has
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            The Founder and CMD
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            of Exicom Technologies
-Editor                                                                                                                               Given the increase in     Attending a summit          been spearheading the          India LLP shifted its           Quantum computing
                                              much needed substantial measures.           export hub.                                  sub-surface activity      in India than in Davos,     high degree of company         base from New Zealand           has long promised the
                                                                                                                                                                                             activities and its long-term
            Response                          And these measures would set in                                                          by the Chinese PLA        Switzerland by EU Foreign
                                                                                                                                                                                             commitment to India.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            to Mumbai four years            next major leap forward
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            in computing power.
                                                                                                                                       Navy and its nexus        Policy Chief Joseph                                        ago. The company has
 ‘Raksha Anirveda’ editorial                  motion the path to faster recovery,           Jai Hind!!.                                                                                      A former pilot with the        expertise in Static and         However, there is a darker
                                                                                                                                       with the Pakistan Navy,   Barell clearly according    Swedish Air Force, Rignell
 team looks forward to receive                overcome the losses incurred during                                                                                                                                           Tactical Wired and Wireless     side of it having the
                                                                                                                                       India is fast tracking    importance to India-EU      has been deeply involved                                       potential to undermine the
 comments and views from the                                                                                                                                                                                                Communications for
                                              the existential crisis by a large section                                                the expansion of its      strategic relations given   in Sweden’s Gripen             defence forces                  foundations of internet
 readers on the content of the                                                                             Ajit Kumar Thakur           undersea fleet            the importance of IOR       programme
                                              of the society and economy and                          Editor & Business Director
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            privacy and commerce
 magazine.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Raksha Anirveda April - June 2020           3
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Raksha Anirveda

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India’s Submarine Surge
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Chinese force projection in the
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Indian Ocean,” says the Pentagon.

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Pakistani fleet: Small but

in the Indian Ocean
                                                                                                                                                                                                             growing
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Of growing concern to India is the
                                                                                                                                                                                                             expected spike in Pakistan’s sub-
                                                                                                                                                                                                             surface fleet which currently stands
Given the increase in sub-surface activity by the Chinese                                                                                                                                                    at five French built Agosta class
                                                                                                                                                                                                             submarine. After nearly two years
PLA Navy and its nexus with the Pakistan Navy, India is fast                                                                                                                                                 of negotiating prices and terms,
tracking the expansion of its undersea fleet. The scratching of                                                                                                                                              in 2016, Islamabad confirmed
the third aircraft carrier means the Navy can now fast track the                                                                                                                                             the purchase of eight Chinese S20
                                                                                                                                                                                                             diesel-electric submarines. Four of
expansion of its submarine fleet                                                                                                                                                                             these will be built in China while at
                                                                                                                                                                                                             the same time Chinese personnel
By Rakesh Krishnan Simha                                                                                                                                                                                     will assist Pakistan in building
                                                                                                                                                                                                             another four vessels in Pakistan.
                                                                                                                                                                                                             The first sub is expected to be
             ith the Indian Navy’s plan for a third aircraft carrier not likely to                                                                                                                           handed over by end-2023 and the

 W
             materialise, the biggest gainer could be the submarine fleet. The                                                                                                                               rest will be ready by 2028.
             Chief of Defence Staff (CDS) General Bipin Rawat has been quoted as                                                                                                                                The S20 is an export version
             saying, “When we know that there would be two aircraft carriers, and                                                                                                                            of the Chinese Type 41, which is
             if the submarine force is dwindling then our priority should be for                                                                                                                             an illegal clone of the late model
             submarines.”                                                                                                                                                                                    Russian Kilo, which is one of the
                                                                                                                                                                                               INS Arihant
                                                                                                                                                                                                             world’s quietest submarines.

                Budgetary emergencies force         ease. The spearheads of the PLA       the Akula class Chakra, and the first      with the JL-2, a new submarine-
             you to prioritise and currently the    Navy are its new and upgraded         indigenously built SSBN, INS Arihant.      launched ballistic missile with
             focus needs to be on fast-moving       submarines which have been            The majority of the conventional           intercontinental range. Also in the
             and rapidly deployable assets such     frequently spotted in Gwadar port,    submarines are over 25 years old,          works are the Type 096 and Type
             as submarines rather than a large      underlining China’s naval nexus       and 13 of these vessels are between        093B, both new classes of missile
             carrier battle group (CBG) that        with its client state Pakistan.       17 and 32 years old, according to a        submarines that will enter the fleet
             may become rudderless each time           According to a report by the       parliamentary panel report on defence.     in the 2020s.
             the carrier goes for maintenance       US Office of Naval Intelligence,         In just three more years, the Chinese       While China’s frenetic
             or a refit. India’s newest flat top,   China’s submarine force is part       submarine strength is expected to reach    submarine building activity is
             the INS Vikramaditya, is at port at    of what Beijing calls “non-contact    79. Even as older noisier subs are being   primarily dictated by the US Navy’s
             least six month a year.                warfare” – the use of weapons and     upgraded, the introduction of new          pivot into the Pacific, the PLA Navy
                While nothing spells deterrence     platforms capable of conducting       submarines armed either with nuclear       is also focusing on the IOR through
             like an aircraft carrier with its      long-range, precision attacks from    or cruise missiles will make the PLA       which 70 per cent of Beijing’s
             ability to hit hard and far, in the    outside an enemy’s defended zone.     Navy more lethal.                          maritime trade as well as its oil
             current geopolitical situation,           In alignment with that doctrine,      The number of attack submarines         and gas supplies from the Persian
             stealthy submarines can play an        the PLA Navy is adding nuclear        that can launch anti-ship cruise missile   Gulf passes. For years, China has                                                           INS Vikramaditya
             equally meaty role. The Indian         attack submarines (SSNs) and          is also increasing significantly. Since    been building a network of port
             Ocean Region (IOR) is becoming         nuclear ballistic missile subs        the 1990s, China has built 13 Song-        facilities for its nuclear submarines
             an area of intense rivalry             (SSBN) at an alarming rate. As        class attack submarines and 17 Yuan-       operating in the Indian Ocean.
                                                                                                                                                                             “This is a remarkable feat achieved by India, and MDL has indeed grown
             between India and China. The           per estimates, China currently        class ones with diesel-electric air-       Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Myanmar,           to be among the rarest of shipyards around the world to have mastered the
             People’s Liberation Army Navy          possesses 53 conventional             independent power attack submarines.       Bangladesh and Djibouti now             unique competence of submarine building. We are glad to partner with
             (PLA Navy or PLAN) now has a           submarines, five SSNs and             Three more Yuans are slated for            offer R&R facilities or bases for       such a shipyard, which can boast of competence and infrastructure which
             near permanent presence in the         four SSBNs.                           deployment in 2020.                        Chinese subs. “Ultimately, China’s
             area with a growing fleet that            In comparison India has 15            Strategic missile submarines include    submarine operations in the South
                                                                                                                                                                             allows them to build 12 submarines at a time...”
             allows it to rotate warships with      conventional, one functional SSN,     four new Jin-class ones outfitted          Asian littorals portend greater                                         Naval Group’s Senior Executive Vice President Alain Guillou

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                                                                                                       Centre for Land Warfare Studies         the third Scorpene, with the rest            Another important           allow the Indian Navy to undertake
                                                                                                       (CLAWS), India’s Boeing P-8Is have      expected to be built by 2020. The                                        long range patrols outside the IOR.
                                                                                                       a good idea of Chinese submarines       launch highlights the remarkable
                                                                                                                                                                                        development comes in the            After going through a long-
                                                                                                       from the moment they enter the          success of indigenous submarines          form of Project Varsha,        learning curve, the country has built
                                                                                                       Indian Ocean till they leave. “We       totally built by MDL through                 which involves the          the INS Arihant SSBN with secret
                                                                                                       fairly know when they come in and       technology transfer in line with the                                     Russian assistance. Four follow-on
                                                                                                       go. We have mastered operation of       Government’s Make in India policy.      construction of a nuclear        boats are now shaping up and the
                                                                                                       the aircraft (P-8I). We have a very         The Ministry of Defence stated:     submarine base reportedly        second boomer INS Aridhaman is
                                                                                                       good idea of the route they take.”      “The state-of-the-art technology                                         all set to be launched for sea trials.
                                                                                                          While aircraft are useful anti-      utilised for construction of the        at a cost of Rs 30,000 crore.    This shows that a certain level of
                                                                                                       submarine warfare tools, having a       Scorpene class submarines has           The base, which is expected      technology has been mastered and
                                                                                                       strong sub-surface fleet is the most    ensured superior stealth features                                        expertise gained.
                                                                                                       reliable weapon in the arsenal to       such as advanced acoustic
                                                                                                                                                                                          to be ready by 2022, will         The baseline design is capable
                                                                                                       maintain the upper hand in the IOR.     silencing techniques, low radiated        have concrete pens that        of holding up to 12 K-15 Sagarika
                                                                                                                                               noise levels, hydro-dynamically            will offer a safe haven       short-range nuclear-tipped ballistic
                                                                                                       India’s bold new                        optimised shape and the ability
                                                                                                                                                                                         for the crown jewels of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        missiles, three of which can be

                                                                                                       undersea push
                                                                                                                                               to launch a crippling attack on                                          packed into each of the submarine’s
                                                                                                                                               the enemy using precision guided          India’s undersea assets        four vertical launch tubes. Each
                                                                                                                                               weapons.”
                                                                                       Boeing P-8I     The Indian Navy’s fleet of 17               Adding a touch of hyperbole,
                                                                                                       submarines is in contrast to the        the Naval Group’s Senior Executive
                                                                                                       21 subs it had during the 1980s.        Vice President Alain Guillou said:
                                                                be operated by a small crew of 38      Historically, India had played catch-   “This is a remarkable feat achieved
     Maritime strategy                                          and can fire 16 torpedoes or cruise    up – it was Pakistan that acquired      by India, and MDL has indeed
     Submarines are critical for sea-denial – refusing          missiles, giving Pakistan good value   South Asia’s first submarine, in        grown to be among the rarest of
     the enemy space to navigate and dominate the               for money.                             1963, while India took the plunge       shipyards around the world to have
     deep blue. They are the killer wolves of the ocean            While Pakistan cannot afford        only in 1967.                           mastered the unique competence
     that can decimate enemy fleets without warning             to purchase – let alone build – a         However, after years of neglect,     of submarine building. We are glad
     and disappear as stealthily as they surface.               nuclear powered submarine, in          the Indian Navy’s submarine arm         to partner with such a shipyard,
     The Indian Navy is fast tracking its submarine
     programme in the following context:                        January 2017 it tested the Babur-3     is in expansion mode. The 30-           which can boast of competence and
      India’s great power ambitions.                           nuclear-tipped cruise missile that     year submarine construction plan        infrastructure which allows them
      Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s assertion that           can be launched from a submarine,      launched in 1999 envisaged building     to build 12 submarines at a time...”
        the Indian Navy is the net security provider            giving it a rudimentary nuclear        of 24 conventional submarines but                                                                               Chief of Defence Staff General Bipin Rawat
        in the IOR; the responsibility of maintaining
        security and stability in the region falls on India’s
                                                                second strike deterrent.               suffered numerous delays. The
                                                                                                       current plan is to build 24 subs,
                                                                                                                                               Boomers for deterrence
        shoulder.
      The increasing size of the PLA Navy submarine           Monitoring undersea                    including six nuclear attack SSNs.      While conventional submarines

                                                                movements
        fleet – both conventional and nuclear armed.                                                   These will give the Indian Navy         are cheaper and quieter than their
      China’s development of modern and                                                              the same number of nuclear attack       nuclear analogues, the latter are far
        increasingly stealthy submarines.                                                              submarines as France.                   superior in every other aspect. They
      Pakistan’s plan to more than double its
        submarine fleet with Chinese technology stolen          In order to keep an eye on Chinese        Six new generation attack            are faster, more powerful, and more
        from Russia’s super silent submarines.                  fleets, the Navy has deployed eight    submarines being built in Mumbai        versatile and have a wider range
                                                                warships around the entry points       in collaboration with French firm       since they can stay underwater for
                                                                into the IOR. “All the choke and       Naval Group, previously known           much longer without needing to
                        According to Strategy Page, “China      entry points for the Chinese into      as DCNS, are part of the Scorpene       resurface and refuel or recharge.
                        considers it an ‘improved Kilo’         the IOR are being monitored by         75I project. The Navy intends to        Their additional range and power
                        while the Russians consider it IP       our ships, along with the eastern      use them for missions such as area      will allow the Navy to monitor
                        (intellectual property) theft and       and western fleets, which are          surveillance, intelligence gathering,   Chinese and Pakistani naval activity
                        an inferior copy of the original.”      deployed on both sides of the          anti-submarine warfare, anti-surface    24/7 the year round.
                        However, Western and South East         country. Any area not directly         warfare and minelaying operations.         Nuclear submarines also assume
                        Asian navies report that the Kilo       monitored is scanned regularly by         The first Scorpene class sub,        greater importance as India has
                        and most of the Chinese clones are      the P-8Is operating in the region,”    named INS Kalvari, was undocked         dropped its plan to build a nuclear-
                        quiet and apparently effective subs.    an Indian Navy officer told the        in April 2015 – after a three year      powered aircraft carrier for the
                        The highly automated sub – which        media recently.                        delay. In March 2018, Mazagon           foreseeable future. In this backdrop,
                        has an endurance of 60 days – can          According to a report by the        Dock Limited (MDL) launched             nuclear-powered submarines will

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Raksha Anirveda

absolute power
                                                                                                 Sindhurakshak off Karachi and
                                                                                                 was hours away from peppering
                                                                                                 the port with land attack cruise
                                                                                                 missiles. Had the war last another
                                                                                                 day, the Navy would have made a
                                                                                                 bonfire of Karachi like it did in the
                                                                                                 opening hours of the 1971 War.
                                                                                                     The new advanced SSNs, SSBNs
                                                                                                 and the P75I boats are critical
                                                                                                 components of India’s defensive
                                                                                                 and offensive strike options that
                                                                                                 will protect its areas of national
                                                                                                 interest, particularly the IOR.
                                                                                                     The Indian Navy is aiming for
                                                                                                 a fleet of 24 subs, but there’s no
                                                                                                 reason why a country of India’s
                                                                                                 geopolitical clout and economic
                                                                                                 heft cannot build twice that
                                                                                                 number which will enable the
 Chinese PLA Navy                                                                                Navy to target every task force
                                                                                                 in the Indian Ocean. It would also
                                                                                                 allow patrols even beyond – into
                    The new advanced SSNs, SSBNs and the P75I boats are                          the dragon’s backyard in the South
                    critical components of India’s defensive and offensive                       China Sea or the Western Pacific. If
                                                                                                 North Korea, which can barely feed
                    strike options that will protect its areas of national                       its population, can build a fleet of
                    interest, particularly the IOR                                               70 submarines, there’s no reason
                                                                                                 why India with a GDP nearly 200
                    missile is thought to be highly       reactor power, new indigenously-       times greater than North Korea
                    accurate but has a relatively short   built sonar and integrated             cannot build more. The tyranny
                    range of around 750 km.               combat systems and enhanced            of low expectations that plagues
                        A larger missile is under         communications.                        Indian strategic thinking needs to
                    development for the class as             Together the five boomers will      be discarded.
                    well— the intermediate-range          serve as the backbone of India’s           Building a submarine fleet takes
                    K-4 SLBM. When this missile is        survivable nuclear deterrent, and      time. Unlike capital equipment
                    ready to be deployed, the Arihant     allow India to achieve strategic       deployed by the Air Force and
                    will be able to accommodate four      invulnerability.                       Army, the Navy’s ships and
                    of them. This number will expand         Another important development       submarines are long-gestation
                    to eight missiles in the vessels      comes in the form of Project Varsha,   projects. Delays are common when
                    to follow.                            which involves the construction of a   such projects are undertaken by
                        The K-4, which has a range of     nuclear submarine base reportedly      newly industrialised countries
                    around 3,500 km, will be followed     at a cost of Rs 30,000 crore. The      like India. Also, on an average for
                    by the K-5 missile, a 5,000 km        base, which is expected to be ready    every two to three vessel inducted,
                    SLBM. Work on the fourth missile      by 2022, will have concrete pens       one from the existing lot retires
                    in this series, the K-6, began at     that will offer a safe haven for the   due to age, underlining the fact
                    the DRDO’s Hyderabad-based            crown jewels of India’s undersea       that navies cannot be created
                    Advanced Naval Systems in             assets.                                overnight. In this backdrop, it could
                    February. The missile is reported                                            take a lot longer than projected for
                    to have a range of 6,000 km.
                        The slightly larger and more
                                                          Securing the seas                      the Indian Navy’s submarine fleet
                                                                                                 to reach optimum levels.
                    ca pa b l e I NS Aridha ma n is       The value of submarines as
                                                                                                       – The author is a New Zealand based
                    nearing completion and it will        strategic assets is indispensable.             defence analyst. His work has been
                    also feature other improvements       During the 1999 Kargil War, the          quoted extensively by leading think tanks,
                    as well, including upgrades in        Indian Navy had deployed the INS          Universities and publications world wide

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Indian Navy’s SSN strategic
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Active and future
                                                                                                                                                                                                               SSN classes

Programme moves ahead in
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Brazilian Navy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Álvaro Alberto-class submarine - 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  under construction
                                                                                                                                                                                                               China Navy

tandem with time?
                                                                                                                                                                                                               People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)
                                                                                                                                                                                                               of the People’s Republic of China
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Han-class submarine (Type 091) -
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3 in service
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Type 093 submarine - 5 in service, 6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  planned in total
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Type 095 submarine - 2 complete, 5
Project SSN is anticipated to be designed on the lines of a modern SSN and                                                                                                                                        planned in total
construction to be similar to that of the INS Arihant with an improved BARC designed                                                                                                                           French Navy
nuclear reactor at DRDO’s SBC in Visakhapatnam under the Advanced Technology                                                                                                                                    Rubis-class submarine - 6 in service
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Barracuda-class submarine - 1
Project (ATV) of the strategic Public Private Partnership (PPP)                                                                                                                       SSN Astute Royal Navy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  complete, 6 planned in total
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Indian Navy
By Cmde Ranjit B Rai (Retd)                                                                                                                                                                                     Akula-class submarine - 1 in service,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1 more submarine leased to be

      T
           he historical progression of submarines in the world has traversed from      and other is called SSBN which                                                                                            delivered by 2025
           conventionally propelled diesel electric boats, which run underwater         is a nuclear propelled submarine                                                                                        SSN programme - 6 planned in total
           on batteries and need to surface (for air) for charging batteries, to the    equipped with torpedoes and                                                                                            Russian Navy
           era of nuclear propelled submarines led by USS Nautilus in 1954. A           vertical launch long range nuclear                                                                                      Victor III-class submarine - 4 in
           submarine on surface is perforce susceptible to detection and attacked       ballistic missiles. The home built                                                                                     service
                                                                                                                                                                        SSN Type 093B Shang-III-Class PLA(N)
           from ships and the air.                                                      INS Arihant (S2) is an SSBN                                                                                             Sierra I and Sierra II-class submarine -
                                                                                        which has 750 km K-5/B-05                                                                                                 3 in service
                                                                                        nuclear tipped missiles, and is         with an improved Bhabha Atomic        in designing with advanced                Akula-class submarine - 8 in service
              Since long, Air Independent         which took part in the 1965           part of India’s Triad for nuclear       Research Centre (BARC) designed       software and virtual design               Yasen-class submarine - 1 in service,
           Propulsion (AIP) systems are fitted    Indo-Pak war.                         deterrence. India’s second SSBN         nuclear reactor at Defence Research   centres. Since the Indian Navy              4 under construction, 12 planned
           in conventional submarines to stay        But, Today India operates          Arighat (S3) and the third S4 (yet      and Development Organisation’s        is a traditional user of Russian            in total
           underwater for longer durations.       both classes viz. 15 conventional     to be named) are in advanced            (DRDO) Ship Building Centre           nuclear submarines (with two
                                                                                                                                                                                                               United Kingdom Navy (UK)
           Nuclear submarines can operate         submarines (Nine Kilos, four          stage of construction with long         (SBC) in Vishakhapatnam under         INS Chakra on lease), the new
           underwater for months, and their       HDW-1400 and two Scorpenes)           range K-4 nuclear missiles at           the Advanced Technology Project       domestically built submarines             Trafalgar-class submarine - 4 in
           endurance is limited by the crew’s     with torpedoes (SET and SUT-B)        Vishakhapatnam.                         (ATV) under a strategic Public        would be the third class of SSNs            service, 3 retired
           endurance. US nuclear submarines       and ship attack missiles (KLUB,          In February 2015, the Defence        Private Partnership (PPP). The        operated by Indian Navy after the         Astute-class submarine - 3 in service,
           have two crews for year-long           Exocet SM-39 and Harpoons),           Acquisition Council (DAC) under         project is being worked out           leased Charlie I (1987-91) and              3 under construction, 1 ordered (HMS
           operations on patrol.                  and two nuclear submarines. In        the Ministry of Defence (MoD)           under a Naval Vice Admiral.           currently operates Akula II-class           Astute, an Astute-class submarine,
              The Indian Navy was a late          submarines, torpedoes and missiles    approved the construction of            Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is the          submarine. Both were named                  known as “fleet submarines” in the
           starter to induct its first Foxtrot    are launched from standard 21 inch    six new nuclear powered attack          PPP construction partner for          INS Chakra. L&T is the choice for           Royal Navy of the United Kingdom)
           class conventional submarine           torpedo tubes world over.             submarines (SSNs) for the Indian        INS Arihant and successive            the DRDO unless India chooses            United States Navy
           INS Kalvari (S23) with CET/TEST           Nuclear submarines have two        Navy. The estimated cost of the         submarines.                           Naval Group which it is reported          Los Angeles-class submarine - 32 in
           torpedoes with forward and aft         standard hull classifications - one   project is pegged at 1.2 lakh              For the Arihant, Rubin vetted      offering the Barracuda class.               service, 30 retired
           torpedo tubes in 1968 from the         is called a SSN which is a nuclear    crores (US$5 billion).                  the modifications made to the            In June 2019, a report stated          Seawolf-class submarine - 3 in service
           Soviet Union. This was good five       propelled attack submarine like          It is anticipated the design would   design by the Navy’s in-house         that Submarine Design Group of            Virginia-class submarine - 14 in
           years after Pakistan got a Tench       the two Indian Navy operated INS      be as for a modern SSN and the          Directorate of Naval Design           the Directorate of Naval Design             service, 5 under construction, 48
           class submarine PNS Ghazi (USS         Chakra with torpedoes and missiles    construction would be on lines          and L&T. Both organizations           assisted by DRDO will now start             planned in total
           Diablo) from US on lease in 1963,      which were on lease from Russia,      similar to that of the INS Arihant      have since become more adept          working on the detailed design

 10   www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                             Raksha Anirveda April - June 2020   11
COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry
Raksha Anirveda

spotlight

      SSN Barracuda Nuclear Attack Suffren

        Since long Air Independent Propulsion
           systems are fitted in conventional
    submarines to stay underwater for longer
   durations. Nuclear submarines can operate
  underwater for months, and their endurance
            is limited by the crew’s endurance

                      for construction phase of the
                      six SSN programme, and Rs
                      100 crore (US$14 million) have
                      been allocated for the initial
                      phase. The development has
                      begun. Mishra Dhatu Nigam
                      (MIDHANI) is developing a new
                      hull material that is expected to
                      allow the submarine to dive into
                      deeper depths than the Arihant
                      class. A scaled down model of                                               SSN USN Virginia Construction
                      the submarine is planned to be
                      tested in the near future.                                             from a nuclear-weapon state,
                         It is also reported that during                                     and Russia is the only such state
                      President Putin’s visit in 2018                                        to have leased one. Moscow has
                      for the 19th India-Russia                                              also been a critical supporter in
                      bilateral annual summit, India                                         New Delhi’s indigenous nuclear
                      signed an Inter-governmental                                           submarine programme. The
                      Agreement (IGA) with Russia to                                         history of their cooperation on
                      lease another Akula-Class attack     SSN Type 093 Shang                nuclear submarines is, however,
                      nuclear submarine (SSN). This        Class PLA(N)                      shrouded in secrecy.
                      Akula class SSN to join the Indian
                      Navy in 2025 after a major refit     a change of uranium fuel.              –The author is former DNI and DNO.
                                                                                                        His latest Novel ‘An Underhand
                      of the hull in Russia’s Arctic          India is the only country in     Affair’ (Addhyan ISBN 9789388644167
                      port of Severodvinsk when INS        the world to have operated          Variety Books) includes intrigues in the
                      Chakra (Bars 971) will be due for    a nuclear submarine on loan                       world of Naval Intelligence

 12     www.raksha-anirveda.com
COVID-19 aftermath More Time Needed to Manifest its Effect on Defence Industry
Raksha Anirveda

cover story                                                                                                                                                                                                                              www.raksha-anirveda.com

                                                                                                                                    The effects of each of these         we get through this crisis is a       with branched-out supply chains
                                                                                                                                will differ based on the company         whole-of-government effort,           are more likely to face supply
                                                                                                                                size, nature of business,                together with private industry, to    side constraints. The European
                                                                                                                                product portfolios, supply chain         really dive deep into our current     DTIB has a fair share of branched-
                                                                                                                                dependencies and business plans.         supply chains and then determine      out supply chains, with different
                                                                                                                                    Some of the main impact factors      which ones we should consider         components and subsystems from
                                                                                                                                are supply side shocks which             critical for US national security     different sources of origin going
                                                                                                                                would be the most visible effects        overall.”                             into a final platform or solution.
                                                                                                                                on the defence sector. Companies             For some businesses the effect       Regulation and reprioritisation
                                                                                                                                located in countries badly affected      of the pandemic will be very          of production functions of such
                                                                                                                                by the virus or those that are           pronounced in the short term, for     supply chains could affect defence
                                                                                                                                dependent on supply chains               others the effects may take more      production. The plausibility of
                                                                                                                                located in affected countries            time to manifest. The defence         such actions cannot be ruled out,
                                                                                                                                would be immediate victims. A            industry falls into this category.    especially if governments divert
                                                                                                                                case in point is Fincantieri of Italy,       It may be too early to forecast   facilities to medical equipment.
                                                                                                                                which suspended its ship building        whether the industry will be flat,       Indian defence industry is one
                                                                                                                                operations until March 29, 2020.         take a major or minor dip, or grow    such example where the defence
                                                                                                                                The company builds warships of           unaffected by the global pandemic.    public sector undertakings
                                                                                                                                complex design. It is contracted         It is of utmost importance that       (DPSUs) like Ordnance Factory
                                                                                                                                to deliver four corvettes to the         defence companies identify what       Board (OFB) are into making face
                                                                                                                                Qatari navy with one delivered           the major impact points are and       masks, ventilators, N95 masks for
                                                                                                                                earlier this year and others could       assess their potential to affect
                                                                                                                                be pushed back if the company            business development plans,           According to a report US aerospace
                                                                                                                                would extend the close down of           supply chains, and bottom lines.
                                                                                                                                its facilities – a probable course of    This will help shape preemptive       industry alone lost approximately $200
                                                                                                                                action if Italy is not able to flatten   measures, which could help            billion of market value. Since January

Global Defence industry in
                                                                                                                                its COVID-19 growth curve soon.          companies weather the storm.          1, the S&P Aerospace and Defence Select
                                                                                             According to Paul Sharre of            With COVID-19 cases on                   The nature of supply chain        Industry Index, which includes industry
                                                                                         the Center for a New American          the rise in Western Europe,              and resourcing patterns of the
                                                                                         Security, the supply chain’s future    operations of many other                 defence technology industry           leaders such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin,

the Fallout of COVID-19
                                                                                         is challenging and that government     defence firms in Europe, such            base (DTIB) will also affect          and Northrop Grumman, were down by
                                                                                         money is likely to keep coming for     as Navantia and Indra in Spain,          production, as production queues      above 40 per cent
                                                                                         defence companies. The State           Thales in France may be affected
                                                                                         Department warned that as a            by partial or complete shutdowns
                                                                                         result of staff teleworking for the    or regulated functioning, thus
The COVID-19 outbreak world over has virtually brought the                               foreseeable future, the Directorate    affecting production queues and
industry and business to a halt. For some businesses the                                 of Defence Trade Controls (DDTC)       deliveries.
effect of the pandemic will be very pronounced in the short                              might be slow in responding to the         “You might see those delivery
                                                                                         industry needs, which will result in   delays crop up this April, May,
term, but for defence industry it may take some more time to                             delays in the US defence industry      June, July. That’s conceivable,
manifest the COVID-19 effect                                                             exports. The major impact points       but I think we’re talking about
                                                                                         on the defence industry because        slight changes, nothing in the
By Sri Krishna                                                                           of the spread of COVID-19:             order of magnitude you’re seeing
                                                                                             The Production and                 in airlines and then by virtue,
                                                                                         manufacturing facilities and           in commercial aerospace,” says
             s the world reels under the impact of novel Coronavirus COVID-19            supply chains as also business         Byron Callan of Capital Alpha

      A
             pandemic, the industry and business activities virtually have come to a     development efforts could be           Partners. Analysts forecast that
             halt. It has badly affected the nations with strong defence industry base   affected – some will lose, some        in the long term, the Coronavirus
             like US, Italy, France, Spain, Germany and UK to name a few. According      may win. The demand for                outbreak will result in a complete
             to a report US aerospace industry alone lost approximately $200 billion     defence equipment and related          rethink of whether supply chains
             of market value. Since January 1, the S&P Aerospace and Defence Select      services could decline with            are vital to security. Martijn
             Industry Index, which includes industry leaders such as Boeing, Lockheed    companies having to make tough         Rasser, a senior fellow at the
             Martin, and Northrop Grumman, were down by above 40 per cent.               choices impacting finances and         Center for a New American                                                          Construction of Boeing aircraft at halt following COVID-19
                                                                                         competencies.                          Security, said: “A first step once

 14   www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                        Raksha Anirveda april-june 2019        15
Raksha Anirveda

cover story                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          www.raksha-anirveda.com

 With business development in defence                         With business development         cooperation,” may see many of the     recent trend of using exercises to
                                                           in defence being different from      projects put on hold.                 reduce procurement timelines.
     being different from others due to                    others due to long negotiation          The business deals struck at          Major defence spenders
  long negotiation periods, protracted                     periods, protracted engagements,     these shows like DefExpo takes        allocate close to or over two per
engagements, high stakes, government-                      high stakes, government-to           time to fructify and meanwhile        cent of their GDP, a significant
to government (G2G) linkages, extensive                    government (G2G) linkages,           discussions take place.               amount, to defence. Whether
                                                           extensive testing and evaluation,       Under the current                  defence spending may be
    testing and evaluation, and face-to-                   and face-to-face meetings, the       circumstances, meetings and           deprioritised or not will depend
    face meetings, the current scenario                    current scenario does not bode       discussions may continue to take      on a number of factors, both
        does not bode well for business                    well for business development        place through teleconferencing,       economic and societal.
           development in this industry                    in this industry.                    but final decisions regarding high-      If governments are in
                                                              Many value procurement            value procurements are unlikely       questionable financial shape
                                                           programmes are discussed and         to be made through this method.       with low liquidity, limited
                      medical personnel.                   finalised during defence shows          Military exercises are another     reserves, and inadequate
                         Technological factors and         with planned events such as          aspect of indirect defence business   avenues for borrowing,
                      manufacturing paradigms              EUROSATORY 2020 (scheduled           development and the pandemic has      eventually the unanticipated
                      also have a part to play in          for June in Paris) now virtually     hit this badly since major powers     spending will have to be met by         Representational Image – Eurosatory 2019 / Defence Expo’s in 2020 hard hit
                      understanding the level of           called off, avenues for business     like United States have already       channelising funds from other
                      impact. For example, defence         development are reduced.             suspended all travel, deployments     high-value budget components           capable people? Do they delay                 primary market to fund capital             “You might see
                      firms with highly automated             DefExpo 2020 held in              and exercises for troops. If          – defence included.                    payments to vendors? Do they                  investments may have to hold               those delivery
                      plants are likely to be less         Lucknow in February which            the pandemic worsens, wider              While larger defence companies      turn to governments for help?                 off as low share prices are                delays crop
                      affected by social distancing.       broke all records of international   cancellations or rescheduling         may have some contingency              Do they divert R&D budgets                    detrimental to successful public           up this April,
                      Similarly, those companies that      cooperation and as Defence           cannot be ruled out.                  planning in place to wait out the      toward paying salaries at the                 offerings. Defence companies               May, June,
                      have not completely transitioned     Minister Rajnath Singh said             A cessation or reduction in        worst-case scenario, local small       risk of losing technological edge?            may have to resort to share                July. That’s
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      conceivable,
                      into certain manufacturing           “this expo is a breakthrough         military exercises will further       and medium enterprises that run        Do they relocate production                   buybacks in order to prevent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      but I think
                      paradigms such as just-in-time       in the field of Indian defence       reduce the time for interaction and   liquidity risks and have high levels   sites? How will they maintain                 this from happening, in turn               we’re talking
                      production may have a greater        manufacturing, which has             informal testing and evaluation of    of debt on their balance sheets        shareholder confidence?                       resulting in more expenses and             about slight
                      level of inventory, and be able to   broken all records of people’s       equipment, reducing an exercise’s     may not fare too well. These              Defence companies must work                loss of liquidity for the firm, at a       changes,
                      cope with supply side shocks for     participation, public-private        latent business development           companies will need bailouts or        on future-proofing themselves                 time when thriftiness is the need          nothing in
                      a longer period of time.             partnership and international        potential — especially with the       some form of monetary support          and must be prepared with                     of the hour.                               the order of
                                                                                                                                      to continue.                           answers to such questions in order               Some contracts, defence                 magnitude
                                                                                                                                         While the defence industry is       to deal with the uncertainties                events and business development            you’re seeing
                                                                                                                                      currently not affected as much         stemming from shocks caused by                measures may be pushed back,               in airlines and
                                                                                                                                      as many others, but defence            the pandemic.                                 but overall the defence sector             then by virtue,
                                                                                                                                      contracts are very high-value             Another cause of concern in                may just flatten or even show              in commercial
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      aerospace”
                                                                                                                                      contracts and a potential loss         the defence sector is the impact              slight growth because of pent
                                                                                                                                      of business due to a COVID-19          of the pandemic on stocks of                  up demand toward the end of                Byron Callan
                                                                                                                                      related worst-case scenario            defence companies that manifest               the year. Setbacks may be just             Capital Alpha
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Partners
                                                                                                                                      could mean that companies lose         visible shocks. Since February                temporary.
                                                                                                                                      out on anticipated sales worth         10, Lockheed Martin’s stock                      Irrespective of how the
                                                                                                                                      hundreds of millions of dollars.       price has fallen by around 28 per             COVID-19 scenario may turn
                                                                                                                                      The companies may have to              cent, Leonardo’s by 55 per cent,              out, there are some common
                                                                                                                                      make tough decisions on how            French company Thales’ by 33                  lessons for the defence industry.
                                                                                                                                      the business may be conducted          per cent, and Fincantieri’s by 32             Uncertainty in today’s world
                                                                                                                                      in the future.                         per cent. Shares of some defence              must be accepted as a norm
                                                                                                                                         Maintaining all assembly            companies are currently trading               and the defence industry must
                                                                                                                                      lines and an active workforce          at their lowest prices in the past            explore multiple facets of risk
                                                                                                                                      in the face of reduced sales is a      five years.                                   planning. Strategy should not
                                                                                                                                      challenging situation defence             While trading in secondary                 just be focused on growth but
                                                                                                                                      companies could face. At this          markets does not directly affect              must include scenario-based
                                                                                                                                      point businesses are faced             incomes of companies, there is                resource planning and material
                                                                                                                                      with tough questions: Do they          cause of concern about its indirect           substitution.
                                                                                                                                      maintain the workforce level           consequences. Companies that                     – The author is a senior journalist
 A defence production facility at standstill
                                                                                                                                      or trim it at the risk of losing       planned to issue shares in the                              and media consultant

 16    www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Raksha Anirveda april-june 2019      17
Raksha Anirveda

DEFENCE COOPERATION                                                                                                                                                                                                                 www.raksha-anirveda.com

                                                                                                                            per cent. Considering the size of
                                                           Prime Minister Narendra                                          the two economies, these figures
                                                        Modi with European Council
                                                          President Donald Tusk and                                         fall short of the potential of two-
                                                     European Commission President    India recently enabled                way trade between the EU and
                                                             Jean Claude Juncker at
                                                                  EU-INDIA Summit     to garner support of                  India. The EU and India need
                                                                                      her European partners                 to pursue a proactive approach
                                                                                                                            to enhance their trade and
                                                                                      France and Poland in                  investment relations.
                                                                                      designating Jaish-e-                     Despite international outcry
                                                                                      Mohammad’s Masood                     over the abrogation of Article
                                                                                      Azhar deemed as a                     370 and the resultant internet
                                                                                                                            clampdown in Kashmir,
                                                                                      terrorist under the                   India accepted the request of
                                                                                      United Nations Security               the delegation of European
                                                                                      Council Resolution 1267               Parliamentarians to visit Jammu
                                                                                                                            and Kashmir. External Affairs
                                                                                                                            Minister Dr Subrahmanyam
                                                                                          He stated that the multilateral   Jaishankar in his trip to Brussels                        PM Modi along with world leaders in a group photo at Raisina Dialogue in New Delhi
                                                                                      rules-based system was under          in February 2020 acknowledged
                                                                                      ‘siege’ by US-China rivalry, and is   that though there are challenges
                                                                                      providing an opportune moment         ahead for Kashmir, he keenly          or cultural criteria.
                                                                                      for India and EU to work together     opined that Kashmir is moving in         Without mentioning Pakistan
                                                                                      in ensuring the survival of World     the right direction and is in the     by name, he said some of India’s
                                                                                      Trade Organisation (WTO). In          process of being more aligned         neighbours have Islam as a
                                                                                      other words, India is important       with rest of India.                   state religion, “and there are
                                                                                      for EU in the Indo-Pacific region.       His government was investing       persecuted religious minorities
                                                                                      EU needs India to offset Sino-        heavily in developmental              who came to India because many
                                                                                      American bipolarity in WTO.           projects including the                of them find people have the
                                                                                          Taking stock of India-            electrification of 330,000 homes      same faith.” Dr Jaishankar said
                                                                                      EU relations, both strategic          and increasing pension and            India’s new law would reduce

The Changing Dynamics of
                                                                                      partners have worked together         benefits coverage from 62 to 80       statelessness, and pointed to the
                                                                                      and continue to provide key           per cent of the population in the     fierce debates that Europe has
                                                                                      deliverables in the areas of          state-turned Union Territory.         also had around immigrations
                                                                                      security, terrorism, policing,        Seven medical colleges are in         and the “political changes” that

India-EU Relations
                                                                                      digital connectivity and climate      process of being set up, and three    have caused.
                                                                                      change. India was enabled to          frozen hydroelectric projects            The United Kingdom (UK)
                                                                                      get support of her European           have been unfrozen.                   left European Union on January
                                                                                      partners France and Poland in            India has also taken note          31, 2020. Brexit has caused a
                                                                                      designating Jaish-e-Mohammad’s        of the resolutions passed by          lot of anxiety in India as well
EU Foreign Policy Chief Joseph Barell’s preference to attend                          (JeM’s) Masood Azhar deemed           European Parliament on the            with New Delhi asking itself
a summit in India than that being in Davos, Switzerland                               as a terrorist under the United       Citizenship Amendment Act             about the shape of its future ties      Mr Modi with French President Emmanuel Macron
highlights the fact that India and EU must become more                                Nations Security Council              (CAA), 2019. Foreign Minister         with London and the coherence
strategic given the importance of Indo-Pacific region                                 Resolution 1267.                      Jaishankar insisted that CAA law      of the EU. UK is ranked 17th            after Mauritius, Singapore and
                                                                                          However, India-EU ties have       had been misunderstood. The           in the list of India’s top 25           Japan with a cumulative equity
By DR Mathew Simon                                                                    faltered in moving forward on         CAA law eases citizenship rules       trading partners with India’s           investment of US$26 billion since
                                                                                      Bilateral Trade and Investment        for religious minorities such         merchandise trade with the UK           April 2000 accounting for around
                                                                                      Agreement (BTIA) that faced           as Hindus and Christians from         in 2017-18 estimated at US$14.5         six per cent of all foreign direct

      I
             ndia-European Union (EU) close ties were reflected in a statement        several roadblocks since the start    Muslim-majority Bangladesh,           billion with an additional US$7         investment into India. India also
             made by EU Foreign Policy chief Joseph Barell at Raisina Dialogue,       of its negotiations in 2009. While    Pakistan and Afghanistan.             billion trade in services. India        is a major investor in the UK
             2020 which was held in New Delhi recently. Barell remarked that          the EU was India’s first trading      He compared the CAA rules             enjoys a favourable balance of          (4th largest). Around 800 Indian
             his preference to attend a summit in India than that being in Davos,     partner with 14 per cent of its       to immigration and refugee            trade with UK.                          companies with total consolidated
             Switzerland highlights the fact that India and EU must become more       total trade in goods in 2017, India   resettlement policies across             When it comes to investments,        revenue of 47.5 billion pounds
             strategic given the importance of Indo-Pacific region.                   was EU’s ninth largest trading        Europe pointing out that many         UK is ranked as the fourth              have created over 105,000 jobs
                                                                                      partner accounting for only 2.2       EU countries also use national        largest inward investor in India,       in the UK. The technology and

 18   www.raksha-anirveda.com                                                                                                                                                                                                   Raksha Anirveda april-june 2019      19
Raksha Anirveda
                                                                                                                                                         QNu Labs is India’s one and only Quantum secure communication company offering Quantum

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 (Left) PM Modi with German Chancellor Angela Merkel; (Right) External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar with his Belgian counterpart Philippe Goffin
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                                                                    will feel the impact as a no-deal              Germany’s Inter-Governmental
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    India to seize the opportunity and tap                          economic downturn in the UK.                   dealing with India has enabled
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     connectivity to Central and Eastern                            group are already hedging their                in traditional sectors such as
                                                                    bets and exploring alternatives.               transport, skill development, and
        Europe given that China’s political
   influence through 16+1 framework has
                                                                       UK has clearly identified India
                                                                    as a major partner, particularly
                                                                                                                   energy, and explores possibilities
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                                                                    Prime Ministers and other key                     Looking at the West, India
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                       31 per cent of these revenues                trading and investment partner.                seize the opportunity and tap
                       with the pharmaceuticals and                 With the expiry of the Bilateral               the potentialities in terms of
                       chemical sector accounting for               Investment Treaty in March                     providing connectivity to Central
                       24 per cent.                                 2017 and the absence of a Free                 and Eastern Europe (CEE), given
                          Brexit will not only impact               Trade Treaty, the imperative                   that China’s political influence
                       UK’s trade and investments with              to conclude an India-UK FTA                    through 16+1framework has
                                                                                                                                                                100% indigenized product. Everything is built in-house                       Target Audience
                                                                                                                                                                with top experts in telecom, hardware, quantum physics,
                       the EU but also its other trading            is apparent particularly after                 caused differences within member             opto-electronics, software and many other areas.
                       and investment partners. Indian              Brexit. Both sides at the highest              states of CEE in the region. 
                       companies, many of which have                political level have committed                                                              Awarded as most innovative                                           Defense        Government             Public Sector
                       invested heavily in the UK,                  themselves to conclude an FTA                      The author is a researcher at            product of the year by DSCI.
                       are likely to be quite severely              as soon as possible.                              Manohar Parrikar Institute for
                       impacted by a no-deal Brexit                    In the first tenure Prime                       Defence Studies and Analyses.
                       particularly the companies that              Minister Narendra Modi visited                 Views expressed are of the author            Commercially available and deployed product across
                                                                                                                                                                multiple geographies.
                       use the UK as a gateway to the               Western Europe more often than                 and do not necessarily reflect the                                                                                 BFSI            Healthcare                 ICT
                       European Union and Europe.                   his predecessor. With Paris, New                   views of the MPIDSA or of the
                       Even companies that do not have              Delhi has renegotiated Rafale                               Government of India
                                                                                                                                                        sales@qunulabs.in                                                                                    +91 80 4851 4013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   www.qnulabs.com
                                                                                                                                                        info@qunulabs.in                                                                                     +91 988 604 1133
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Raksha Anirveda

DIFFERENT STROKE                                                                                                                                                                                                                       www.raksha-anirveda.com

                                                                                                                             - South Korea) and the two                   assumptions, few questions as
                                                                                                                             Indian strategic partners are                listed below arise:                      The P75 (I) Project

Project 75 (I): An Opportunity to
                                                                                                                             Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd                                                         The P75 (I) project was cleared way back
                                                                                                                             (MDL) and Larsen & Toubro                    n      ill the Indian Navy be
                                                                                                                                                                                W                                  in 2007, but remained dormant for years
                                                                                                                             Limited (L&T).                                     looking for a new submarine        and underwent numerous changes. It is
                                                                                                                                India currently has an active                   type under the strategic           part of a 30-year submarine building plan
                                                                                                                             submarine production line at                       partnership model or choose

Create a National Strategic Asset
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   that ends in 2030. In its present form, the
                                                                                                                             MDL that has delivered the                         the one already in service and     Project 75(I) envisages the construction of
                                                                                                                             first two of the six Naval Group                   is in contention with others?      six conventional submarines with advanced
                                                                                                                             Scorpene class submarines to                 n     Will MDL and L&T initially        detection range, combat management
                                                                                                                             the Indian Navy. The Project 75                     evaluate the competition          systems, better sensors, weapons and the
                                                                                                                             (I) is a new programme planned                      among shortlisted foreign         Air Independent Propulsion (AIP) System.
                                                                                                                             to go along with the existing                       OEMs and choose their
The submarine Project 75 (I) under strategic partnership model can help in                                                   production line and will choose                     partner before responding         The P75 (I) project will help in creating second
                                                                                                                             from five submarine types:                          to the RFP and provide the
creating a second line of submarine production in the country, progressively                                                 Scorpene (Naval Group), Amur                        Indian Navy with the best
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   line of submarine building. Currently, India has
build indigenous capabilities, increase efficiencies and facilitate faster and more                                                                                                                                one operational production line of submarine
                                                                                                                             1650 (Rubin Design Bureau),                         options to evaluate and           building at MDL. Success of the project
significant adoption of technology by involving private sector                                                               Type 214 (ThyssenKrupp),                            choose from?                      will open up the industry for private sector
                                                                                                                             S80 (Navantia) and an                        n      W ill strategic partnership      partnership, assist in realising autonomy in
By ajit K thakur                                                                                                             offering (Chang Bogo class)                         model pave way for MDL and        submarine building and will position India as
                                                                                                                             from Daewoo Shipbuilding &                          L&T to come together and          the only country to have two production lines
                                                                                                                             Marine Engineering (DSME -                          collaborate for the project?      other than US.
             or two decades, the struggle of the Indian Navy to create a second line      Thus, it is imperative for India   South Korea).                                       W ill strategic partnership

      F
                                                                                                                                                                          n
             of submarine production in the country is well known. With Project        to fulfil its maritime security and      Taking into count the Indian                     model be able to create a         L&T’s major strength lies in having excellent
             75 (I) under the Strategic Partnership (SP) route now on track, stakes    strategic interest and for this       Navy’s current submarine                            second line of submarine          design and engineering teams. They have
             and expectations are on the high. The changing world dynamics poses       the Indian Navy needs adequate        operations experience, there                        production with futuristic        made good hulls for strategic boats and also
             many asymmetrical security and strategic challenges for an aspiring       fleet of submarines as an ace and     are three types: Russian                            technology solutions and          have outfitting experience. But, they lack the
             India, be it in the immediate neighbourhood, or Indo-Pacific region or    potent weapon platform along          Kilo class, German Type 209                         indigenous capabilities?          building line to manufacture a submarine and
             globally. In Asia, a silent trend of submarine arms race is building up   with aircraft carriers for power      conventional submarines and                  n      Will P75 (I) under strategic     L&T will be looking out for a foreign partner
             that hovers around creation of indigenous capabilities, modernisation     projection as an expanding            the newly inducted Scorpene                          partnership model implement      that can deliver the necessary infrastructure.
             and expansion.                                                            blue-water Navy with growing          class submarines. The P75                            the L1 norm change as
                                                                                       responsibilities.                     (I) shortlisting has not only                        suggested by Niti Aayog and
                                                                                          Based on the response to the       opened up and expanded the                           will take the call based on       Finding answers to the above        The P75 (I)
                                                                                       Request for Information (RFI)         competition; it has also become                      quality parameters, future     is not going to be that easy.          shortlisting
                                                                                       and the subsequent criteria-          a huge test of the much-talked                       technological compatibility    It will require lots of efforts        has not only
                                                                                       based evaluation, the Navy has        Strategic Partnership model.                         and stipulated timeline for    for deliberation, discussion           opened up and
                                                                                       shortlisted five foreign Original     Based on speculations and                            completion of the project?     and evaluation with a fresh            expanded the
                                                                                       Equipment Manufacturers                                                                                                   perspective. It will be about          competition;
                                                                                       (OEMs) and two Indian strategic                                                                                           moving ahead with a mindset for        it has also
                                                                                       partners and in all probability               ASIA: Submarine Fleet Status between                                        experimentation. Is the Indian         become a huge
                                                                                       it will issue the Request for
                                                                                       Proposal (RFP) by mid-2020.
                                                                                                                                               2020 and 2030                                                     Navy willing to do it despite
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 the numerous challenges being
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        test of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        much-talked
                                                                                          Under the project, indigenous       80                                                            76                   faced currently? Only time will        Strategic
                                                                                       construction of six submarines                                                                                            tell depending on how SP model         Partnership
                                                                                       will be done for the Indian            60                                                                 79              evolves further.                       model
                                                                                       Navy, which will cost around Rs                                                                                              The P75 (I) submarines as new
                                                                                       45,000 crore (US$6.3 billion).         40                                                                                 generation boats will be different
                                                                                       The shortlisted foreign OEMs                     17              17                19                                     from other operational ones
                                                                                       are Naval Group (France),              20                                                                      8          due to its enhanced endurance
                                                                                       Rubin Design Bureau (Russia),
                                                                                                                                              21             21                19                         16     capability and survivability –
                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                       ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems                                                                                               derived from the mandatory Air
                                                                                                                                      INDIA        SOUTH KOREA        JAPAN                 CHINA     PAKISTAN
                                                                                       (Germany), Navantia (Spain)                                                                                               Independent Propulsion (AIP)
                                                                                       and Daewoo Shipbuilding &                                             Fleet 2020        Fleet 2030                        along with improvised weaponry.
                                                                         Amur 1650
                                                                                       Marine Engineering (DSME                                                                                                  It is expected that submarine-

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