DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
DO STATINS
 REDUCE CANCER
 RISK AND
 PROGRESSION?
WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6,
2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY

 5/10/2016

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
OBJECTIVES
1. Mechanisms of anti-carcinogenic effect.
2. Statins and cancer incidence.
3. Statins and cancer stage and mortality.
4. The effect of genetic variants on the relationship between
   statins and breast cancer.
5. 27OHC and breast cancer risk.

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
STATINS

    • Statins most widely
      prescribed and effective
      cholesterol-lowering drugs
      used in the US.
    • 2007-10: Estimated that 30%
      of US adults age 45 and older
      used statins.

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
RATE LIMITING INHIBITION
  • Mevalonate
    biosynthetic pathway.
  • Enzyme: 3-hydroxy-
    3-methylglutaryl-
    coenzyme A
    reductase.
  • Catalyzes conversion
    of HMG-CoA into
    mevalonate and
    cholesterol.

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
STATINS AND CVD
• By inhibiting cholesterol
  biosynthesis, statins
  emerged as one of most
  important drugs for
  lowering incidence of                            ? Cancer
                                                   Prevention
                                        Decrease
  CVD, even in apparently               CVD
                              Inhibit
  healthy persons without     HMG-CoA
  hyperlipidemia.

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
STATINS AND CANCER
Statins are logical
candidate for
chemoprevention in
that they have
multiple cellular
effects other than
cholesterol
lowering.

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
Bardou, M, 2010

MEVALONATE PATHWAY

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DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
RATIONALE SUPPORTING
  PROTECTIVE EFFECT
          G
          G
          P
          P   Geranylgerany
                                              P21 and P27
Rho           -lation of Rho
                  Protein

                          Statins increase
  STATINS                  P21 and P27                      Inhibitor of cell cycle
  Reduce GGPP                                               Progression
  production

                                                               • Reduces cell
  5/10/2016        Statins implicated in G1-S arrest –
                                                               proliferation

                                                                                      8
                   Anti proliferative and anti-invasive
DO STATINS REDUCE CANCER RISK AND PROGRESSION? - WHI INVESTIGATOR MEETING MAY 5-6, 2016 THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY - Women's Health Initiative
IN-VITRO STUDIES
            RAS              PI3/AKT
             • pancreatic      • pancreatic
               (95%)             (10-20%)
                               • urothelial
             • urothelial
                                 (13%)
               (10-15%)
                               • ovarian
             • endometrial       cancer
               (20%)             (40%).

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CLASS DIFFERENCES BASED
ON STATIN SOLUBILITY
            OCTANOL                    WATER
            (LIPOPHILIC)               (HYDROPHILIC)
            • Lovastatin               • Pravastatin
            • Simvastatin                • Does not penetrate
            • Atorvastatin                 the plasma
                                           membrane
            • Fluvastatin
               • Penetrates the
                 plasma membrane
               • Cellular uptake may
                 be related to their
                 inhibition of cell
                 growth.

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ASSOCIATION OF STATIN
USE AND CANCER
PHENOTYPES

            • Epidemiologic
              studies

                                   Cancer Risk
              demonstrate
              mixed results with                 Increased
              some studies
              showing a                             No effect
              protective effect
              and others                           Decreased
              showing an
              increased risk or
              no association.

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WHI STUDIES
1.     Statins and Cancer Risk
       a) Breast
       b) CRC
       c) Lung (analysis in progress)
       d) Melanoma
       e) NHL (submitted Cancer)
       f) Ovarian/Uterine (submitted Gynecologic Oncology)
       g) Pancreatic
       h) Skin -non-melanoma
       i) Urothelial (manuscript in preparation)
2.     Stage and Mortality: Breast, all-cause (BJC), CRC (pending)
3.     Interaction by Genotype: Breast (P &P), CRC (paper proposal)

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STATIN EXPOSURE
•     Baseline
  • Current prescriptions brought to baseline visit
    and directly entered into database & assigned
    national drug codes using Medispan software.
  • Duration
• Medication update
       • Years 1, 3, 6, and 9 in the CT,
       • Year 3 in the OS.

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ANALYSIS
  •Cox proportional hazards - HR & 95% CIs (baseline).
  •Subgroup analyses: duration, type, potency, &
  lipophilicity.
  •Time dependent models.
  •Cancer outcomes after year 6 in OS censored to
  parallel statin exposure in the CT.
  •All statistical tests 2 sided, significance level of 0.05.
  (Statistical Analysis Software version 9.2).

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CONFOUNDERS
Base Models: Stratified by age, WHI trial component and extension study
Multivariable Models: ethnicity, education, smoking, alcohol, activity,
BMI, % energy fat, health care provider, current HT, family cancer
history, NSAIDS,
1. Breast – TAH, mamm in last 2 years, reproductive.
2. Colon-fruit & vegetable, calcium, selenium, last medical visit, colon
    screening, polyp removed, medical history.
3. Endometrial/ovarian – mamm in last 2 years, waist circumference.
4. Melanoma (whites)- region, hx skin cancer.
5. Pancreatic- WC, aspirin, general health.
6. Skin (whites) – vitamin D consumption, sun, occupation.
7. NHL - h/o lupus and RA.
Exclusions:
1. Prior h/o specific cancers.
2. Unknown cancer history.
3. Unknown statin status (2).
4. Ovarian/Uterine – TAH and/or BSO.

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16
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2.4
                                            Statins and Cancer Risk in the WHI
                                                        Yes vs. No
               2.2

                2

               1.8

               1.6
Hazard Ratio

               1.4

               1.2

                1

               0.8

               0.6

               0.4

               0.2

                0
                      NHL      Breast (2006) Pancreatic   Uterine   Breast (2013)     Colon     Melanoma       Skin      Ovarian

                                                                                                                                   18
                     N = 712     N = 4,383    N = 385     N = 987     N = 7,217     N = 2,000   N = 1,099   N = 11,555   N = 411
2.4                  Statins and Cancer Risk in the WHI
                                          Select Types of Statins
               2.2

                2

               1.8

               1.6
Hazard Ratio

               1.4

               1.2

                1

               0.8

               0.6

               0.4

               0.2

                0
                      Pancreatic     Colon         NHL       Breast (2006)       Skin       Ovarian
                     Low Potency   Lovastatin   Lipophilic   Hydrophobic      Lipophilic   Prevastatin
                       N = 385     N = 2,000     N = 712       N = 4,383     N = 11,555     N = 411

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Objectives
1.     Relationship between statin use and breast cancer stage
       (baseline and time-dependent).
2.     Relationship between statins and breast cancer specific
       mortality.

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STUDY POPULATION
OS + CT          = 128,675
Exclusions:
Less access to medical care system
  • No mammogram within 5-years of entry - 16,687
  • No health insurance – 5,732
  • No medical care provider - 5,818
Other exclusions
    •   Prior breast cancer – 4,239
    •   Missing or no info on f/u – 431
    •   Missing stage – 225
    •   Missing baseline statin – 1

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OUTCOMES
1. 7,833 cases: f/u - 11.5 (3.7) years + 401 deaths
   1. In-situ – 1,477 (19%)
   2. Localized – 4,831 (61%)
   3. Regional - 1,499 (19%)
   4. Distant – 76 (1%)
2. Analysis
   1. Time to late stage, or death due to BC
   2. Competing risks: Late stage (early stage & death),
      death due to BC (other causes)
   3. Statins: type, potency, duration and lipophilicity

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STATIN USE AND LATE STAGE BREAST CANCER

Lipophilic statins - reduced risk of ER + but not ER – HR 0.72 (0.56-0.93).

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STATIN USE AND BREAST CANCER MORTALITY

        No relationship by type of statin or by ER+ vs. ER - status

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Statin use and all-cancer survival: Prospective results from
   the Women’s Health Initiative.

   Ange Wang BSE1, Aaron K. Aragaki MS2, Jean Y. Tang MD
   PhD3, Allison W. Kurian MD MS1,4, JoAnn E. Manson MD
   DrPH5, Rowan T. Chlebowski MD PhD6, Michael Simon MD7,
   Pinkal Desai MD8, Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller MD9, Simin Liu
   MD10, Stephen Kritchevsky PhD11, Heather A. Wakelee MD1,
   Marcia L. Stefanick PhD12

       Submitted British Journal Cancer

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Incident cancer - 23,067
            Follow-up- 14.6 years (9/20/13)
            All-cause mortality- 7,411
                 Cancer-5,837 (79%)
                 CVD – 613 (8.3%)
                 Other – 961 (12.9%)

            (Censor: out-of-date
            medication inventory)
            Cancer deaths – 3,152
                Current statin -709
                Never – 2,443

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STATINS AND RISK OF CANCER DEATH

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STATIN AND CANCER DEATH BY TYPE

Current NSAIDS attenuated the effect of statins

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STATINS AND CANCER
IN THE WHI
            LIMITATIONS            STRENGTHS

            • Low prevalence in    • Prospective.
              baseline analyses.   • Large diverse pop.
            • Compliance.          • Detailed risk
            • Lack of                factors &
              information on         demographics
              newer statins        • Adjudication.
              (rosuvastatin and
              pitavastatin)        • Long follow-up.
                                   • Adjustment.

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EFFECT OF GENETIC VARIANTS
ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN
STATINS AND BC RISK

    Aim 1: Determine whether SNPs in statin
     metabolism genes modify the effect of
     statins on breast cancer risk.
    Aim 2: Determine whether any GWAS
     SNPS modify the effect of statins on
     breast cancer risk.

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LIPID METABOLISM
GENES
            CVD                      CANCER
            • Estimated that         Does variation in
              about 50% of           genes that have an
              variation in LDL and   influence on lipid
              HDL cholesterol        metabolism
              levels is heritable.
                                     influence the risk of
            • Several common         cancer, particularly
              DNA sequence           in relation to the
              variants have been     effect of statins on
              related to blood LDL   cancer risk?
              or HDL.

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CANCER GENETIC
MARKERS OF
SUSCEPTIBILITY (CGEMS)
• OS: 93,676 women with an average of eight years of
  follow-up.
• GWAS data on 30,380 SNPS genotyped (2,395 cases and
  2,410 controls) (Stage 2 replication set)
  • Nested case-control study population included 1,687 matched
    invasive breast cancer cases and 1,687 controls; all were
    white females. Genotype info and confounder info.
       •   Age at screening
       •   Enrollment date
       •   Hysterectomy at baseline
       •   History of breast cancer.
METHODS
• 12 candidate genes: PCSK9, KIF6, LDLR, HMGCR, APOB,
  LPL, APOE 7, SMARCA4, CETP, APOA1, ABCB1, and
  CYP7A1.
• Search of genotyped markers for SNPs within each
  candidate gene - UCSC genome browser.
• Analysis: 22 candidate SNPs in across 9 of the 12 genes.
  (APOA1, CYP7A1 and LDLR – not represented).
• Dominant genotype model: homozygotes for major allele
  of each SNP serving as the reference genotype and the
  heterozygotes and homozygotes for the minor allele
  combined to form comparison group.

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AIM 1 RESULTS
                                     No Statins                Statins

 rs          Gene            OR        CI              OR      CI              p int

 rs9282564   ABCB1   AA      1                         0.418   (0.261,0.669) 0.04
                     GA/GG   0.869     (0.721,1.048)   0.776   (0.319,1.886)

 rs1529711   CARM1   GG      1                         0.358   (0.215,0.599) 0.01
                     AG/AA   0.929     (0.790,1.093)   0.741   (0.323,1.701)

  Of the 22 SNPs in the nine candidate genes
  examined, two had nominally significant
  interactions with statins (corrected p value 0.002).

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MANHATTAN PLOT OF P-VALUE FOR INTERACTION
EFFECT OF EACH OF 30,380 SNPS WITH STATIN
STATUS AFTER ADJUSTING FOR TRADITIONAL RISK
FACTORS

                                              • Lower line
                                                (~1.3) is 0.05
                                                p-value.
                                              • Upper line
                                                (~5.8) is
                                                minimum p-
                                                value needed
                                                for FDR
                                                significance.

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CONCLUSIONS
1. Of the 22 SNPs in candidate statin pathway genes, two
   were nominally significant: rs1529711 in the CARM1 gene
   [near candidate gene SMARC4, minor allele frequency
   (MAF) 15%], Pint=0.04, and rs9282564 in the ABCB1 gene
   (MAF 10%), Pint=0.01 (Table 3). None of the candidate
   pathway gene SNPs were statistically significant after
   Bonferroni correction.
2. When the remaining 30,358 GWAS SNPs were examined
   for interactions with statin use, no SNPs achieved
   statistical significance using a 5% false discovery rate
   (Supplemental Table).

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Conclusions
 Statin a day keeps cancer at bay World J Clin Oncol 2013 May 10; 4(2): 43-
 Siddharth Singh, Preet Paul Singh 46
                                   ISSN 2218-4333 (online)

• Potential anti-neoplastic and immunomodulatory effects.
• Epidemiologic data is conflicting, studies suggest both
  reduction and increase in risk or no effect.
• Statins may have a modifying role in reducing cancer
  mortality.
• Consider clinical trials looking at role for statins in
  prevention, and in the adjuvant and metastatic setting.

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ANCILLARY STUDY APPLICATION

27-HYDROXYCHOLESTEROL
AND BREAST CANCER RISK IN
THE WOMEN’S HEALTH
INITIATIVE HORMONE
THERAPY TRIAL

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BACKGROUND
• Obesity is strongly associated with hypercholesterolemia
  and breast cancer risk.
• 27-hydroxycholesterol (27OHC) is an abundant primary
  metabolite of cholesterol and functions as a naturally
  occurring in-vivo selective estrogen receptor modulator
  (SERM) and liver X receptor (LXR) agonist. It is postulated
  that the pathogenic actions of cholesterol on ER positive
  breast cancer requires its conversion to 27OHC, and that
  27OHC increases the risk of ER positive, but not ER
  negative breast cancer.

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ANCILLARY STUDY
We hypothesize that a potential protective role of statins is
through the reduction in circulating levels of cholesterol,
which results in lower levels of 27OHC.

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SPECIFIC AIMS

1. To determine whether 27OHC is associated with an
   increased risk of invasive breast cancer risk in the CT of
    a) E + P vs. placebo and E alone vs. placebo.
    b) Sub-aim. To evaluate whether 27OHC conveys a different
       risk for Estrogen Receptor (ER) positive and ER negative
       invasive breast cancer.
2. To determine whether plasma concentrations of 27OHC
   modify the effect of postmenopausal HT on breast cancer
   risk in the trial of (i) E + P vs. placebo and (ii) E alone vs.
   placebo.

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