Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming

 
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Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS
                        Service
Atmosphere Monitoring

                        Johannes Flemming
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Regionale und global information zu atmopshaerische Spurenstoffen
Atmosphere                                                                      European Air NO
Monitoring                                                                                      2
                                                                                Quality and
                                                                                products in
                  http://atmosphere.copernicus.eu                               support of
                                                                                policy users
                                                                                 Ozone layer

                                                                              Radiative forcings

       Bottom-up                                            Solar radiation
                                                             and UV index
       emissions and       Global analyses, forecasts and
       surface fluxes of   reanalyses (2003-...)
       greenhouse gases
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Wachsende Nutzung von CAMS Daten
Atmosphere
Monitoring

              Plumelabs                     Breezometer
              ~ 500,000 downloads           Millions of users through their
                                            Apps and Google interface         Euronews
                                                                              ~ 18 million viewers
                                    National AQ forecasts                     in Q2/2018
                                    Millions of viewers
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Neuigkeiten :           Globales         CAMS       system:
Atmosphere
Monitoring   • CAMS Reanalyse 2003-2017/18 complete (80 km, 60 level)
                 – Assimilation of NO2, Ozon and AOD retrievals
                 – Improved temporal consistence compared to MACCRA and CAMSintRA
             • Assimilation/Monitoring of Sentinel 5P retrievals in NRT forecasts
                 – Ozone, NO2 and CO
             • Development efforts :
                 –   Nitrate aerosol in globalen CAMS system (Sommer 2019)
                 –   Improved PM2.5 (PM10) Diagnostics
                 –   Prognostic aerosol and ozone in IFS radiation scheme
                 –   Optimisation of anthropogenic emission for NRT forecast
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Einfluss der NO2 Assimilation (GOME-2, OMI, SCIA) auf Trends in der CAMSRA
Atmosphere
Monitoring

                                                 NO2 total column over East Asia from the
                                                 CAMS-RA (red), the control run (cyan, no
                                                 composition DA) the CAMS interim RA (blue).
                                                 Only the CAMS RA (NO2 assimilation) shows a
                                                 decrease of mean NO2 after 2013.
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Hohe Aufloesung (7km) und Abdeckung der TROPOMI Daten (S5P)
Atmosphere
Monitoring                       TROPOMI                     TROPOMI super-obbed to T511

                                                                      Model resolution:
                                                                      40 km x 40 km
                                                                      (T511)

                      GOME-2A                   GOME-2B                     OMI
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Globale   Vorhersagen   der   Luftguete(China)
Atmosphere
Monitoring
             NO2        O3            PM10

                                                   But worst for PM2.5
                                                    Brasseur et al.
                                                    2018
                                                    GMD
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Erste Schritte zu Optimierung der Emissions (Beispiel CO)
Atmosphere
Monitoring
                 Ensemble mean of emissions

                                                          •   First tests with 25 members EDA (T159)
                                                              with perturbed emissions
                                                          •   LinCO scheme (Cariolle and Massart, 2014)
                              Free run                    •   MOPITT and IASI TCCO assimilated
                                                          •   May-June 2017
                                                          •   Linear regression between the increments
                                                              and emissions at each outer loop for each
                                                              ensemble member
                                                                       Emission increment
                               Inversion
                                                          •   Looks promising
                                                          •   Validation with independent data to follow

                                                                                           Credits: J. Barré

                               Inv - free
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Neuigkeiten :          Regionales           CAMS       system:
Atmosphere
Monitoring

             • CAMS Regional policy products:
                 – NRT services to show emission scenarios and source attribution
                 – Assessment report 2016 and interim assessment report 2017
             • CAMS NRT Products:
                 – New: Ragweed Pollen (beifußblättrige Ambrosie)
                 – 0.1 grad horizontal resolution
                 – 2 (+2) more regional models in ensemble : DEHM (Daenemark), GEM-AQ
                   (Polen)
Neuigkeiten zum CAMS Johannes Flemming
Zeitnahe Emissionsszenarien und
Atmosphere   Herkunftsanalysen
Monitoring
             /CAMS_ACT.html         /SourceContribution.html

                  http://policy.atmosphere.copernicus.eu
Ambrosia Pollen Vorhersage
Atmosphere
Monitoring              CAMS daily maximum forecast   While many people regard spring
                        4 September 2018              as prime pollen season, one type
                                                      of pollen wreaks havoc in the late
                                                      summer and fall. Ragweed pollen
                                                      usually reaches peak levels in mid-
                                                      September; this type of pollen can
                                                      cause seasonal allergic rhinitis.
Neue Regionale und Globale
Atmosphere
             Emissionsdaten
Monitoring
             •   New global Emissions data (CAMS-GLOB)
                  – Anthropogenic, natural and biogenic (including CO2 and CH4)
                  – Emissions from 2000 to 2018, based on EDGARv4.3.2 (2000-2012)and CEDS (IPCC AR6
                    emissions) from 2000 to 2014
                  – 0.1 resolution

             •   New regional European emission inventory (CAMS-REG)
                  – 2000-2015 including CO2 and CH4
                  – Larger domain, 0.1 resolution
                  – Improved shipping emissions

             •   CAMS-GLOB and REG emissions available from ECCADA website

             •   GFAS fire emissions (0.1 degree resolution)
                  – Update to hourly emission data (currently daily)
Neue Regionale   und   Globale
             Emissionsdaten
Atmosphere
Monitoring
Geforderte          CAMS       Nuttzer         Anwendung
Atmosphere

        • Funding for small companies to develop business case using CAMS
Monitoring

          data
        • 2 batches of tenders (2017 / 2018)
        • Main application area:
             – Presentation of CAMS AQ forecast for general population in specific areas
               via mobile apps
             – Presentation of CAMS AQ data for specialist user such as local authorities
               or aviation industry
             – Merging of CAMS data with additional information such local land use for
               targeted buissness
CAMS    Nuttzer        Anwendung
Atmosphere
Monitoring
                2017                                         2018
  • City-scale air quality forecasts for Brno    • A user driven operational particulate
  • Environmental information for tourists in      matter source apportionment
    Greece                                         application for cities
  • Support for roof-top solar panels            • ATMOSYS-CAMS for India
  • Pollen and UV forecasts for Toulouse         • Aircraft Support & Maintenance
  • Air pollution, pollen and UV forecasts for     Services
    Riga                                         • Urban tool for air quality
  • Emission scenario support tool for           • Global Air Quality forecasting for
    Bratislava                                     urban areas
  • Personal pollen allergy forecasting system   • Delivering risk maps for respiratory
    Baltic countries                               disease to help health sector
  • Air quality toolbox                            decision-makers
DiscovAIR - tourism
Atmosphere
Monitoring

                                   DiscovAir provides location-specific, personalised
                                   advice and alerts for comfort and health in terms of
                                   weather and environmental conditions.
                                   DiscovAir enhances your trips, travels and days out.

                                   CAMS European air quality forecasts are used to
                                   provide the up-to-date information on air pollution,
                                   pollen, UV and dust.
DiscovAIR: Business model
Atmosphere
Monitoring

       Business model:
       • Users: tourists & citizens, tourism operators
          and public authorities

       •     Revenues through premium version of
             smartphone app and advertising on mobile
             and web apps.

       •     Intention to expand the product beyond the
             borders of Greece and Cyprus.
Data Access
Atmosphere
Monitoring   •   Global and regional products via:
                  –   https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/data
                  –   Knowledge base and user support
                  –   Real time access info:
                  –   https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/FTP+access+to+CAMS+global+data
                  –   Regional products:
                  –   http://www.regional.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/
             •   Emissions: http://eccad.aeris-data.fr/
             •   Atmosphere Data Store (from summer 2019)
                  –   CAMS version of CDS (climate data store)
                  –   Harmonised data access and toolbox (see CDS, python, extraction, processing and
                      visualisation)
                  –   “Software as a service” concpet
             •   DIAS (Data and Information access system)
                  –   Cloud computing & data access via ADS/CDS
                  –   WEkEO (Eumetsat, ECMWF, Mercartor)
                  –   Prototype, some CAMS data
Mon Toit Solaire: Business model
Atmosphere
Monitoring                              Business model:
                                        • Free for users (landlords, citizens)

                                        •   City authorities pay set-up and maintenance
                                            fees

                                        •   Local PV installers pay a broker percentage
                                            for being included in the service web site

                                        •   Stimulate the use of solar PV panels on
                                            rooftops in the city as part of green energy
                                            strategy
Atmospheric    Composition               in   the   IFS
Atmosphere
Monitoring

                                    NWP model
                                  Dynamic, physics,
                                     transport

                   ECMWF’s Integrated Forecasting System (IFS)
Hohe Aufloesung (7km) und Abdeckung der TROPOMI Daten (S5P)
Atmosphere
Monitoring      TROPOMI tropospheric NO2                   CAMS tropospheric NO2 column
                      (cloud free)                                 (Level 35-60)

                  Model resolution: 40 km x 40 km (T511)
Marco   Polo   /   Panda   Project
Atmosphere
Monitoring
              NO2               Ozone             PM2.5
                                                            Ensemble of
                                                            regional
                                                            model
                                                            forecasting air
                                                            pollution in
                                                            East China

                                                          Brasseur et al.
                                                          2018
                                                          GMD
2018 CAMS Nutzer Anwendungen
Atmosphere
Monitoring
                              • A user driven operational particulate matter source
                                apportionment application for cities
                              • ATMOSYS-CAMS for India
                              • Aircraft Support & Maintenance Services
                              • Urban tool for air quality
                              • Global Air Quality forecasting for urban areas
                              • Delivering risk maps for respiratory disease to help
                                health sector decision-makers
Mon Toit Solaire – solar energy
Atmosphere
Monitoring

       Mon Toit Solaire provides a web-based decision support system
       for the development of rooftop photovoltaic solar panels.

       CAMS provides the satellite-based time series of
       available solar radiation for the specific location, taking
       into account the amount of clouds and aerosols.
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