NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.

Page created by Kathryn Osborne
 
CONTINUE READING
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
NAVIGATING
NAIROBI
Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya

Anisha Baghudana
Julia Leis
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
CONTENTS

                         About                                                                             4
                         Credits                                                                           5

                         Executive Summary                                                                 6
                         Context                                                                           8
                         Pressures of Rapid Urbanization                                                   10

                         Research Design                                                                   12
                         Findings                                                                          16
                         A Day in the Life of Nairobi’s Commuters                                          22
                         Drivers of Demand                                                                 26

                         Discussion                                                                        30
                         Appendix 1: Definitions and Acronyms                                              34
                         Appendix 2: Nairobi Transport Infrastructure Projects                             35
                         Appendix 3: References                                                            36
                         Acknowledgments                                                                   39

2   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                           UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES   3
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
ABOUT                                                                                             CREDITS

The Institute                                  IBGC-MasterCard                                    Authors                                                                                   Advisory Team
for Business in the                            Fellowship                                         Anisha Baghudana                           Julia Leis                                     Christopher Tunnard
Global Context                                 Since 2009, the Institute for Business in the                                                                                                Professor of Practice of International
                                                                                                  Anisha is pursuing a Master’s in           Julia completed her Master’s in Law and
                                               Global Contest at The Fletcher School and                                                                                                    Business, The Fletcher School
                                                                                                  International Business at The Fletcher     Diplomacy at The Fletcher School at
                                               MasterCard’s Center for Inclusive Growth           School at Tufts University in Boston.      Tufts University in Boston in May 2014,
                                               have collaborated to pioneer new models and                                                                                                  Jamilah Welch
                                                                                                  Before embarking on graduate studies,      specializing in urbanization and
                                               experiential learning in international business                                                                                              Institute of Business in the Global Context
                                                                                                  she managed healthcare and beauty          development. Her capstone project
                                               through collaborative research projects.           brands at Procter and Gamble across        addressed the effectiveness of scenario
The Fletcher School’s Institute for Business                                                                                                                                                Melita Sawyer
                                               The IBGC-MasterCard Research Fellowship            India, Greater China, ASEAN and            planning in Nairobi and its potential in
in the Global Context (IBGC) was founded                                                                                                                                                    Ph.D. Candidate, The Fletcher School
                                               in Inclusive Growth offers the unique              Australasia.                               supporting urban disaster risk reduction.
in recognition of the need for a new
approach to the study of international         opportunity to engage exceptional Master’s         She is passionate about in technology      Julia has prior experience living in Africa,
business and capital markets—one that          candidates in cutting-edge research in             and entrepreneurship in emerging           first in Dakar, Senegal, and most recently
prepares global business leaders with          frontier markets, on issues related to inclusive   markets. She has worked in Africa          in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, with
essential “contextual intelligence.”           growth and business. This program supports         previously as a Business Teaching Fellow   Millennium Challenge Corporation as a
                                               research innovation, allowing students to          at the Meltwater Entrepreneurial School    graduate intern working on diversified
Through four core activities—research,         push beyond the scope of traditional market        of Technology, Ghana. She has also         agricultural activities. She is passionate
dialogue, education, and lab—the Institute     research by engaging high-touch, in-field          researched and published a paper on the    about grassroots approaches to social
provides an interdisciplinary lens through     methods to uncover important aspects of            role of information and communications     and economic change and the power of
which global markets and the underlying        industry or economic development in the            technology for growth of                   ICT to transform the base of the pyramid.
drivers of change can be understood. IBGC’s    emerging and frontier economies.                   microenterprises in Indonesia.             She now works for an international relief
Inclusive Growth Initiative aims to explore
                                               This report is the result of this innovative                                                  and development organization.
the potential trade-offs and innovations
needed to disrupt classical business and       collaboration.
economic frameworks and create truly
sustainable prosperity for individuals,
communities, and private enterprise.

MasterCard Center for
Inclusive Growth

The MasterCard Center for Inclusive Growth
was created to foster collaborative
relationships between academia,
governments, nonprofits, the social design
community, and the private sector. Through
the advancement of research and strategic
philanthropic investments, the Center will
support and enable those historically
excluded from financial services and serve
as a catalyst for change.

4   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                       UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES                5
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
Image: Matatus near Kibera

EXECUTIVE
                                                                    Government action to improve urban             TFT startups played a unique role vis-à-   Our research also showed that the
                                                                    transport infrastructure, planning, and        vis government and other private sector    benefit of digital mobility services was
                                                                    regulation remains inadequate in               players by plugging information gaps       restricted to high-income consumers
                                                                    meeting the rising demand for                  inexpensively. Their frugal innovations    with quality access to Internet, especially

SUMMARY
                                                                    transportation and logistics services.         helped commuters and consumers of          via smartphones. Looking to further
                                                                    Well-funded corporate initiatives too          logistics services to work around the      understand consumers of transport and
                                                                    have struggled to make an impact. In           inefficiencies in the transport system.    logistics services, we built typologies of
                                                                    contrast, technology startups have                                                        the three kinds of commuters in Nairobi
                                                                                                                   The value of information generated
                                                                    developed services that are alleviating                                                   – taxi users, matatu users, and walkers.
                                                                                                                   by TFT startups had varying impact,
                                                                    pain points in urban transportation.                                                      The typologies shed light on commuters’
                                                                                                                   captured in a framework called the
                                                                                                                                                              pain points and unmet needs, pointing to
                                                                    Our team interviewed 65 key informants         ‘impact pyramid’. On a scale of low
Nairobi, the capital of Kenya, is facing critical transportation    and completed 16 observations in Nairobi       to high impact, innovations ranged
                                                                                                                                                              potential business opportunity.

challenges. Traffic-related congestion, high road fatality rates    in June-August 2014 to understand the
                                                                    role of startup innovation in improving
                                                                                                                   from knowledge creators, to decision
                                                                                                                   enhancers, to trust builders. Startups
                                                                                                                                                              Recommendations are made to state
                                                                                                                                                              actors and the innovation ecosystem to
and an unregulated mass transit network have been critical          transport and logistics. We found 30
                                                                    technology-for-transport (TFT) startups
                                                                                                                   had to address the large trust deficit
                                                                                                                   among Kenyans to create high-impact
                                                                                                                                                              make the enable more ‘inclusive design’
                                                                                                                                                              of digital mobility services. Inclusive
issues for a long time in East Africa’s most populous city. Rapid   with creative innovative services in the
                                                                    taxi market, in cashless payment systems
                                                                                                                   innovations. For this, they were
                                                                                                                   adopting different approaches, from
                                                                                                                                                              innovation can transform the role of
                                                                                                                                                              tech-for-transport startups from
urbanization has aggravated these problems, resulting               for public transport, in last-mile delivery,   building capacity to leveraging            providing symptomatic relief to
                                                                    and a host of other areas.                     community networks.                        sustainably bettering transportation in
in a highly inefficient and inequitable transport system.                                                                                                     the long term.

6   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                           UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES          7
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
CONTEXT
                                                     Multilateral agencies and non-profits      Rising Challenges in                       Figure 1: How Do People
                                                     have served East Africa for many years     Transportation                             Commute in Nairobi?
                                                     from Nairobi. Now, many multinational
                                                     companies, technology startups, and        With increased people and goods
                                                     social enterprises are setting up          movement, Nairobi has become one of
                                                     operations and research labs in Africa’s   the most congested cities globally (IBM                9%
                                                     ‘Silicon Savannah’. Nairobi’s economic     Global Commuter Pain Survey, 2011).
Home to the mobile payments revolution, Nairobi,     growth has been accompanied by a           Traffic costs the city $570,000 a day in
                                                                                                                                             15%
                                                                                                lost productivity (Bloomberg, 2014).
the capital of Kenya, is one of the most promising   surge in urbanization and consumer
                                                     demand. One sector that has been           Nearly half the population is unable to
                                                                                                                                                                         47%
frontier markets in the world.                       profoundly impacted by these changes is
                                                     transportation.
                                                                                                afford motorized transport and only a
                                                                                                third use matatus (ITDP, 2013) despite
                                                                                                70 percent having access to them
                                                                                                (Nyasetia, 2013). Traffic-related road
                                                                                                                                               29%
                                                                                                accidents are the third leading cause of
                                                                                                death after malaria and HIV/AIDS
                                                                                                (Nyasetia, 2013).

                                                                                                                                             WALK             PRIVATE VEHICLES

                                                                                                                                             MATATUS          MISCELLANEOUS
                                                                                                                                                              (BODA-BODAS
                                                                                                                                                              AND BICYCLES)

                                                                                                                                                    Source: ITDP, 2013

8   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                        UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES    9
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
URBANIZATION, TRANSPORT,
AND DIGITAL INNOVATION
Kenya’s urban population is growing much faster than the global
and African averages, putting pressure on the transport systems.

                                                                                                                                       Weaknesses in Public                          to lower socioeconomic classes, are          incubators, innovation and research labs,
                                                                                                                                       Transport System                              forced to travel long distances, putting     seed capital, and startup competitions
                                                                                                                                                                                     matatu commutes beyond their range of        have become ubiquitous. In more
                                                                                                                                       The matatu industry has struggled with        affordability. Documented accounts           developed markets, technology startups
                                                                                                                                       regulatory failures and wide-spread           show thousands of workers from Kibera        such as Uber and Ola have created
                                                                                                                                       corruption. The $2 billion industry has no walk up to 20 kilometers to work every          discernible consumer benefit without
                                                                                                                                       state ownership, as it began as an            day (Kenya National Assembly Official        any systemic change in transport
                                                                                                                                       informal commute service. While it            Report, 1985; ITDP, 2013).                   infrastructure, policy, or planning. In fact,
                                                                                                                                       accounts for 5 percent of Kenya’s GDP                                                      their popularity has sparked regulatory
                                                                                                                                       (Nyasetia, 2013) and employs 300,000 Additionally, transport infrastructure                changes, and the data they generate
                                                                                                                                       Kenyans as drivers, fare collectors, and      development differs by the level of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  show potential to improve policy and
                                                                                                                                       bus stop attendants, among other roles        affluence of neighborhoods. Roads in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  planning.
                                                                                                                                       (OBG, 2014), it has been difficult to         low-income neighborhoods like
                                                                                                                                       regulate and systemize. Several reasons, Eastleigh, where majority Somali                  Could transportation innovations create
                                                                                                                                       such as the clout of private owners,          populations reside, are of much poorer       value for consumers in a frontier market
                                                                                                                                       complex gangs like the Mungiki that           quality than roads in suburban               like Nairobi? Could benefits to consumer
                                                                                                                                       extract “protection” fees, failure of         neighborhoods like Lavington, Karen and      transcend socioeconomic classes? Could
                                                                                                                                       commuter-friendly Michuki rules, ill-         Kilimani.                                    these innovations address a spectrum of
                                                                                                                                       planned policies, lack of political will, and                                              transportation challenges? Could they
                                                                                                                                       corruption at all levels have all played a                                                 achieve scale and longevity? Could they
                                                                                                                                       hand in stymieing systemization. As a         Digital Innovation in                        effect change in policymaking and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  planning for transport? This led to the
                                                                                                                                       result, the public has suffered from          Transportation                               central question of our research.
                                                                                                                                       unreliable and unaffordable service.
                                                                                                                                       See Appendix I.                               As of June 2014, Internet penetration in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Can technology-for-transport startups in
                                                                                                                                                                                     Kenya was 47.3 percent (Internet World
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Nairobi create discernible consumer benefit
                                                                                                                                                                                     Stats, 2014) and mobile phone
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  without underlying change in transport
                                                                                                                                                                                     penetration reached 79.2 percent
                                                                                                                                       Disadvantaged Bottom                          (Capital FM, 2014). Mobile data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  infrastructure, policy or planning?
In 2010-2015, Kenya’s population grew by      its urban population will more than           Inadequate Urban Road                      of the Pyramid                                accounted for 99 percent of all Internet
2.7 percent annually. In the same time        quadruple (World Bank, 2011).                 Infrastructure                                                                           subscriptions, and broadband
                                                                                                                                       In many ways, low-income and even
period, urban population grew by 4.4
                                              As the economic and political capital of
                                                                                            Despite the proactive attitude of          middle class Nairobi residents face acute subscriptions accounted for one-fifth of
percent, twice the rural population growth                                                                                                                                           14 million Internet subscriptions (Capital
                                              the country, Nairobi sees a large influx of                                              disadvantages in the urban transport
rate (UN Data, 2015). This was greater                                                      policymakers, improvements in                                                            FM, 2014). Smartphone sales registered
                                              immigrants and great increases in                                                        system. 60 to 70 percent of Nairobi’s
than the world and African average of 2                                                     infrastructure have been slower than the
                                              population. While the permanent home
                                                                                            rate of urbanization. Projects for         population lives in informal settlements, explosive growth: 67 percent of phones
percent and 3.6 percent, respectively. As a                                                                                                                                          sold by Safaricom in 2013 were
                                              of 3.3 million people, the city has a                                                    which have been pushed to the city’s
result of this rapid growth, 25 percent of                                                  transport corridors linking highways,
                                              daytime population of 4.1 million (World
                                                                                            new roads and by-passes, metro railway     peripheries – occupying only five percent smartphones (HumanIPO, 2014), with
the population, or 12 million Kenyans, now                                                                                                                                           sales expected to double by 2016
                                              Bank, 2012; French Embassy in Nairobi,                                                   of the city’s land area – as real estate in
reside in urban areas. (UN Data, 2015)                                                      lines, a bus rapid transit, and new bus                                                  (Techweez, 2014).
                                              2012; Ottichilo, 2010) due to incoming                                                   the CBD and suburban areas has
                                                                                            and matatu terminals have not started
By 2033, it is expected that half of          workers from peripheral villages. This                                                   become increasingly expensive (APHRC,        These trends have catalyzed the growth
                                                                                            on schedule or have very long lead
Kenya’s population will be living in cities   has put immense pressure on the urban                                                    2014; Mutiga, 2014). Residents of            of technology startups and the
                                                                                            times. See Appendix II.
(Bloomberg, 2014). By 2045, Kenya’s           transport system.                                                                        informal settlements, largely belonging      innovation ecosystem. Business
population is expected to double while

10   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                                                            UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES             11
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
RESEARCH
                                     Methodology                                 business context for developing digital     urban mobility. Participants were asked
                                                                                 innovation for urban mobility in Nairobi.   about their customers, end users and
                                     In-depth qualitative interviews with a      Questions revolved around key               vendors.
                                     structured interview guide were             macroeconomic and sociocultural
                                     conducted. They helped us to draw

DESIGN
                                                                                 changes in the last five years that had
                                     meaningful conclusions based on             influenced the nature of innovation.
                                     standard questions while allowing us                                                    Sampling Procedures
                                     to explore new themes raised by             Cluster II: Opportunities and               Close to two-thirds of the participants
                                     participants to draw unique insight.        challenges in technology-for-transport      were chosen from tech-for-transport
                                     Observations supplemented the                                                           startups and micro-enterprises.
                                     interviews and helped us gain an unbiased   This examined pain points and unmet
                                                                                                                             Participants from tech-for-transport
                                                                                 needs in the movement of people and
Methodology.                         understanding of several themes.
                                                                                 goods in Nairobi. The objective was
                                                                                                                             startups ranged between ages 21 and 39.
                                                                                                                             The remaining participants were in the
                                     Observations included events and
Interview Guide.                     conferences such as Tech4Africa,
                                                                                 two-fold. Firstly, we wanted to learn
                                                                                 what opportunities arose as a result of
                                                                                                                             age group of 21-49 years. Gender was
                                     VC4Africa, Kenya Internet Governance                                                    not a criterion for recruitment. Having
Sampling Procedures.                 Forum, FailFaire and Google’s
                                                                                 gaps in the transportation and logistics
                                                                                 sector. Secondly, we wanted to
                                                                                                                             said that, over 75 percent of participants
                                     #40Forward Women in Tech series. We                                                     were male.
Data Collection and Transcription.   also tested the mobility apps, software
                                                                                 understand what considerations startups
                                                                                 had to think about in leveraging business   Recruitment was done via a two-step
Data Analysis.                       and hardware whenever possible,
                                     conducted site visits to see startups in
                                                                                 opportunity.                                process. First, pre-screening was done
                                                                                                                             based on Internet research or word-of-
Data Visualization.                  action, and visited corporate premises
                                     and incubators on guided tours.
                                                                                 Cluster III: Engagement with                mouth to find stakeholders and decision-
                                                                                 government and other private sector         makers within target organizations. This
                                                                                 players                                     applied to startups, incubators, investor,
                                                                                                                             corporate players, consulting agencies
                                                                                 This looked at how startups were
                                     Interview Guide:                                                                        and academia. Next, snowball sampling
                                                                                 engaging with evolving regulatory policy,   was used to recruit other relevant
                                     Focus of Each Cluster                       governance and infrastructure. We           participants from technology and
                                     The structured interview guide was          sought to understand if startup-led         transport sectors.
                                     customized to different respondent          digital innovation had influenced
                                     groups. Questions fell within four          regulations, governance and                 In the case of micro-entrepreneurs, we
                                     clusters:                                   infrastructural development in any way.     hired a research assistant to recruit
                                                                                                                             participants via local community
                                     Cluster 1: Trends in transportation         Cluster IV: Consumers, benefit,             contacts in Kibera, a large informal
                                     and political economy                       value chain                                 settlement in Nairobi.
                                     This focused on understanding how the       This delved into who was benefiting
                                     forces of urbanization had changed the      from startup-led digital innovation for

12   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                        UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES           13
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
Table 1: Interview Participant Groups

Participant Group                            Total                          Male                        Female

Private Sector                               49                             38                          11
     TFT Startups                            30                             24                          6
     Corporate Players                       3                              3                           0
     Micro-Enterprises                       10                             7                           3
     Incubators                              5                              3                           2
     Investors                               1                              1                           0
Public Sector                                1                              1                           0
International Organizations                  1                              1                           0
Not for Profit Organizations                 3                              2                           1
Subject Matter Experts                       11                             8                           3
     Academia                                6                              4                           2
     Consultants                             3                              2                           0
     Bloggers                                2                              2                           0
Total                                        65                             50                          15

Data Collection and                              Interviews were audio recorded with the    Data Visualization
Transcription                                    consent of participants for purposes of
                                                 transcription. Participants’ identities    Data for figures and tables in the
The fieldwork was conducted in Nairobi           have been kept confidential in line with   following sections was coded based on
over a period of eight weeks from June           the consent form. Only those who           answers to open-ended questions.
15, 2014 to August 15, 2014. Interviews          provided consent to be identified by       They represent unaided opinions of
lasted 60-90 minutes.                            name and organization have been            participants who thought to deliberate
                                                 quoted in this report to illustrate        upon them in the course of the interview.
All interviews were conducted in English.
                                                 findings.
57 interviews were conducted in-person
in Nairobi, in public spaces or in the
participant’s workspace. One interview
was conducted via email and six were             Data Analysis
conducted via phone or Skype. The
                                                 Content analysis consisted of
principal investigator introduced the
                                                 transcribing and classifying information
research topic, gained written consent
                                                 according to pre-determined themes.
for the interview after making the
                                                 Classification was done via pattern
participant aware of risks and benefits,
                                                 recognition. Comparative analysis was
and then led the questioning. The
                                                 done to trace commonalities and
interview process was piloted in the first
                                                 variations in participants’ answers, and
week of fieldwork and refined thereafter.
                                                 this generated more findings under each
                                                 pre-determined theme.

14   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                 UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES   15
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
FINDINGS
                                                            To answer this central question             private sector players to drive              In terms of product type, 67 percent of
                                                            sufficiently, we broke down our analysis    fundamental change in infrastructure,        innovations were apps, 20 percent
                                                            into three segments:                        policy, or planning?                         software, and 13 percent hardware. The
                                                                                                                                                     startups were between six and 24
                                                            Abundance of Digital                                                                     months old. Interviewees said that the
                                                            Mobility Services                           An Abundance of Digital                      mobility services market was exciting
                                                                                                                                                     and dynamic. They saw immense
Can technology-for-transport startups in Nairobi create     How many innovations were directed at       Mobility Services                            business potential in applying
                                                            resolving transportation issues, and did
discernible consumer benefit without underlying change in   they address a broad range of problems?
                                                                                                        In our research, we interviewed 30
                                                                                                        tech-for-transport startups and found
                                                                                                                                                     technology to Nairobi’s transportation
                                                                                                                                                     woes. Furthermore, they saw
transport infrastructure, policy, or planning?              Quality of Tech-for-Transport
                                                                                                        15-20 additional digital mobility services
                                                                                                        in market. The sheer number of
                                                                                                                                                     opportunities to learn from successful
                                                                                                                                                     digital mobility services and reapply
                                                            Innovation
                                                                                                        innovations showed there was energy in       those solutions in foreign markets. As a
                                                            What unique consumer benefit did            the innovation community to find             fertile testing ground for mobile
                                                            startups create, was the benefit not only   solutions to transportation challenges. It   payments-enabled services, successful
                                                            unique but also incremental or value-       was also indicative of the market            Kenyan innovations could also be taken
                                                            adding, and did a large number of           potential of mobility services.              to other emerging markets. These
                                                            consumers (i.e. households) of different                                                 potential synergies attracted non-
                                                                                                        Services addressed a wide range of
                                                            socioeconomic classes benefit?                                                           Kenyans and Kenyans to work with each
                                                                                                        transportation problems. Figure 2 on the
                                                                                                                                                     other. A majority of startup teams – 17 of
                                                                                                        following page shows the breakdown of
                                                            Effect on Policymakers and Other                                                         30 – encountered in this study had a mix
                                                                                                        the 30 startup interviewees by the type
                                                            Private Sector                                                                           of Kenyans and non-Kenyans working
                                                                                                        of value proposition.
                                                                                                                                                     together. Nine startups were comprised
                                                            Did the presence of tech-for-transport
                                                            startups compel the government or

16   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                               UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES          17
NAVIGATING NAIROBI Digital Innovation in Urban Transport and Logistics in Kenya - Anisha Baghudana Julia Leis - Tufts Self-Serve Blogs and Websites.
of all Kenyan members, while four
startups had all non-Kenyan members.
                                               emerging cities in other parts of the
                                               world too. Two participants said they
                                                                                         anticipated rise in smartphone usage
                                                                                         (not only ownership), wide base of
                                                                                                                                      Table 2: Comparison of Roles of Government,
While most startups were yet to break
                                               planned to explore other markets within
                                               Africa, such as Cairo, Lagos, and
                                                                                         consumers accustomed to using mobile
                                                                                         money, presence of a large expatriate
                                                                                                                                      Corporates and Startups in Mobility Services Market
even, there was great confidence that
                                               Johannesburg. Three participants had no   population with high disposable income,
they would achieve scale and
                                               plans for expansion.                      and growth of e-commerce.
sustainability. Fourteen interview                                                                                                    Sector                                        Nature of Innovation
participants had plans to expand across        Improvements in road and ICT
East African cities, notably Kampala           infrastructure were the top reasons for                                                Government                                    • Design of infrastructure
(Uganda) and Dar-es-Salaam                     optimism regarding the local digital      Unique Benefit to                                                                          • Development of regulatory policy
(Tanzania). Eight participants had plans       mobility services market. Twenty-one      Consumer
to scale within Kenya, to Mombasa,             startups said marked improvement in                                                    Corporate Players                             • Development of large-scale ‘smart’ solutions
                                                                                         The role of startups was considered                                                        • Development of go-to-market mechanics for infrastructure development
Kisumu, Naivasha, and Kisumu. Three            road infrastructure since 2012 was a
                                                                                         unique as compared to that of the
participants said they would look to           huge positive step forward. Sixteen
                                                                                         government and corporates. Startup           TFT Startups                                  • Plugging information gaps inexpensively
global markets because the problem             startups mentioned advancement of ICT
                                                                                         innovation in transport was plugging
they were addressing was applicable to         infrastructure. Other reasons included
                                                                                         information gaps, inexpensively.
                                                                                         Elaborating on this, participants made

Figure 2: Digital Mobility Services: Value Proposition
                                                                                         two points.                                  ‘Impact Pyramid’—From                           Therefore, such innovations also have        Tackling the Trust Deficit
                                                                                                                                      Low to High-Impact                              greater impact. Innovations such as taxi
                                                                                         Firstly, a host of transportation                                                                                                         Trust building was an imperative for scaling
                                                                                                                                                                                      apps that provide price information and
                                                                                         challenges arose from the lack of                                                                                                         sustainably. Participants spoke about the
           GOODS DELIVERY                                                        7                                                    The impact of mobility services varied as       allow the user to book the taxi with the
                                                                                         information. For instance, information on                                                                                                 deep sense of mistrust Kenyan consumers
                                                                                                                                      they scaled. This is captured in a              lowest quote enhance decision-making.
                                                          4                              traffic conditions could help drivers plan                                                                                                shared regarding transportation services.
               TAXI HAILING                                                                                                           framework called the ‘impact pyramid’,
                                                                                         their travel routes and times better.                                                        At the peak are innovations that are trust   News media illustrate this point. Nairobi is
                                                                                                                                      based on participants’ perceptions.
                                                   3                                     Pricing information, especially in real                                                      builders. These innovations go beyond        often notoriously referred to as
              GEOLOCATING                                                                                                             Impact was conceptualized as a multiple
                                                                                         time, could help commuters choose the                                                        knowledge creators and decision              ‘Nairobbery’ (South China Morning Post,
                                                                                                                                      of scale (i.e. profitability) and
           TRAVEL AGENCY /
                                                   3                                     best taxi operator. Information on geo-                                                      enhancers because they are able to gain      2014; UrbanAfrica, 2014; AlJazeera, 2013;
                 TICKETING                                                                                                            sustainability (i.e. long-term relevance in
                                                                                         locating destinations could help courier                                                     consumers’ trust. Thereby, they become       The Economist, 2002). On average, the
                                                                                                                                      market).
        CASHLESS PAYMENTS                  2                                             companies optimize time and effort.                                                          not only scalable but also sustainable.      city witnesses three car-jackings a day
                                                                                         Therefore, tremendous business               At the base of the ‘impact pyramid’ are         These innovations are high-impact and        (SCMP, 2014).
        FLEET MANAGEMENT                   2                                             opportunity for startups existed in          innovations that are knowledge creators.        transformative.
                                                                                         providing data and analytics.                Information they provide makes
       TRANSIT ADVERTISING
                                           2                                                                                          consumers more aware and enables
           AND SURVEYING                                                                 Secondly, startups lacked access to
                                                                                                                                      them to communicate better.
                                                                                         capital due to low investor presence in
           COURIER FINDING
                                1                                                                                                     Innovations such as apps that provide
                   SERVICE                                                               Nairobi. Hence, startups developed                                                                                                                                 LOW NUMBER
                                                                                                                                      real-time information to a courier                                             TRUST                                  OF STARTUPS
                                                                                         low-cost solutions. For instance, a
              ROAD SAFETY       1                                                                                                     company about its fleet’s whereabouts                                         BUILDERS
                                                                                         successful local app called Ma3Route
                                                                                                                                      are at this level. A great number of
INVESTMENT AND INSURANCE                                                                 provided information about road
                                1                                                                                                     innovations were expected to be at the
             FOR VEHICLES                                                                congestion via crowd-sourcing. This was
                                                                                                                                      base of the impact pyramid, i.e. plentiful                          DECISION ENHANCERS
                                                                                         more economical than the offering from                                                                                                                                  MAJORITY
       TRAFFIC INFORMATION      1                                                                                                     in number but lowest in impact.
                                                                                         a project with similar intentions, IBM’s                                                                                                                                      OF
                                                                                         Twende Twende.                               At the next level are innovations that are                                                                                 STARTUPS
          TRANSIT INTERNET      1                                                                                                     decision enhancers. The key difference                             KNOWLEDGE CREATORS
                                                                                                                                      between knowledge creators and
       TRAVEL INFORMATION       1                                                                                                     decision enhancers is that the ability to
                                                                                                                                      act upon information provided by the
          VEHICLE RESELLING     1                                                                                                                                                     Impact of Startup Innovations in Transport in Nairobi
                                                                                                                                      innovation is greater with the latter.

18   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                                                             UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES           19
As one participant termed it: “There is a
huge trust deficit among Nairobi’s                “We know how important community is to Kenyans.
commuters and logistics’ consumers. It is
built over years of thefts, accidents, fraud      Our marketing model is therefore built around
and petty lies when it comes to
                                                  community relationships. We are just slipping
transportation services.” – Bryan Kariuki,
Country Manager of East Africa, TravelStart       technology into how the traditional taxi sharing system
The trust deficit manifests itself in             works in Nairobi society, rather than changing their
different ways. One taxi startup
described facing operational glitches as
                                                  cultural habits.” – Interview Participant (Startup)
neither the drivers nor the passengers
trusted strangers on the road. Another
startup faced issues of untrustworthy
staff. Their drivers, when equipped with       Figure 3: Digital Mobility Services: Target Market
smartphones or given valuable products         According to Startups and Other Interviewees
for delivery, could not be trusted to
safeguard the assets. In extreme cases,
some had stolen the products.

Startups experimented with a few
approaches to reduce the trust deficit.
The first approach was to leverage
M-PESA since it was a trusted brand.
The second approach was to build
‘offline’ capabilities to support the
‘online’ value proposition. Participants
were training partners and contract staff
to provide quality customer service.
For instance, an e-ticketing agency had
set up retail operations so that
customers could visit and feel confident
about doing online transactions with                  HIGH INCOME                   MIDDLE CLASS              LOWER INCOME
them. The third approach leveraged
                                                         72%                           28%                         0%
community networks.
                                                         56%                           39%                         6%
                                                                   ENTREPRENEURS		             OTHER INTERVIEWEES
Who’s Benefiting?
Digital mobility services were targeted        Innovations were not only limited to           not enjoy smartphone data access were
mainly at high-income and upwardly             high-income consumers, but were also           getting left behind, as were consumers
mobile consumers, as Figure 3 shows.           limited to those with quality access to        who ‘walked’ to work and lived in low-
                                               internet. Access to internet is defined as     income settlements. Internet access and
Entrepreneurs were more likely to see
                                               quantity (driven by affordability and          disposable income were positively
low- and middle-income consumers as
                                               availability of internet) and quality (fast,   correlated, creating and even greater
part of their target demographic than
                                               steady and via a smartphone vs. low,           vacuum among those low-income,
other interviewees, but most still
                                               intermittent and limited to a feature          low-access consumers.
targeted the wealthiest group.
                                               phone or desktop). Consumers who did

20   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                 UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES   21
A DAY IN THE LIFE OF                                                WAMBUI: THE TAXI USER

NAIROBI’S COMMUTERS
                                                                    Wambui is 28 years old, and works for a
                                                                    multilateral agency. She is single and
                                                                    earns in the high-income bracket. She
                                                                    owns a high-end Android-based
                                                                    smartphone and is a regular user of
                                                                    Facebook, Twitter, and Whatsapp.

                                                                    For her, commuting and getting products
                                                                    delivered need to be hassle-free. She
                                                                    wants commute and delivery decisions
                                                                    to be made easy, involving minimal effort.

                                                                    Commute Patterns
                                                                    Wambui takes taxis to work and when            She usually pays in cash immediately            cash out of his M-PESA account. This
                                                                    she goes out with friends. She has a           after the ride or in the next ride. The         makes the taxi fare expensive. I wish there
                                                                    regular taxi driver that her office has        driver is accommodating of rolling              was a better way to pay the taxi guy even
                                                                    contracted. Every day, Wambui “pays in         accounts. There are times when he               when I run out of cash.”
                                                                    paper,” i.e. she signs a paper receipt after   needs payment immediately, so if
                                                                    the ride. The taxi driver submits the          Wambui does not have cash, she pays             Trial Barriers
                                                                    paper sheets to Wambui’s employer at           through M-PESA. Each time she does
                                                                    the end of the month to get paid.                                                              Being a savvy smartphone user, Wambui
                                                                                                                   this, the driver asks her to transfer an
                                                                                                                                                                   is aware of some of the taxi apps
                                                                    Wambui uses the same taxi driver after         amount equal to the fare plus the fee
                                                                                                                                                                   available locally – EasyTaxi, Maramoja
                                                                    work hours too. She has negotiated             Safaricom charges to draw cash out from
                                                                                                                                                                   and SasaCabs. She has tried a couple of
                                                                    lower fares than the ones charged              his M-PESA account. Therefore, Wambui
                                                                                                                                                                   them. She remembers being given a free
                                                                    officially to her “international” agency.      prefers to pay in cash over M-PESA.
                                                                                                                                                                   EasyTaxi voucher at some public event.
                                                                    She trusts the driver as she has traveled      Overall, she is satisfied with this system
                                                                    with him often. She is confident of her                                                        Overall, she prefers to use her taxi driver
                                                                                                                   of commuting. However, she wishes a
                                                                    safety with him and does not really care                                                       over these taxi apps because:
                                                                                                                   few improvements could be possible.
                                                                    to know his credentials such as past
                                                                                                                                                                   • Ill-designed mobile sites make her
                                                                    driving record or license.                     Pain Points and Unmet Needs                       apprehensive to trust the service.
                                                                    Wambui calls him whenever she wants to         “Sometimes, my driver takes time to come        • Her experience using the taxi apps
                                                                    go out—without much advance. If he is          and pick me up, because he is on another          has not been great. Once, when she
                                                                    available, he picks her up. When he is not,
Who are the consumers of mobility services in Nairobi?              he sends a relative or friend to drive her.
                                                                                                                   job. The wait time can be up to half an hour.
                                                                                                                   I wish I didn’t have to wait that long.”
                                                                                                                                                                     tried booking a driver through an app,
                                                                                                                                                                     he did not come to pick her up at all.
                                                                    Wambui does not negotiate the taxi fare                                                          Another time, the taxi driver was
                                                                                                                   “When I use a driver for a long time, his
This question, looking into which consumers are really              each time. Since she promises ‘repeat’         service invariably becomes sloppy because
                                                                                                                                                                     unfamiliar with how to use a
                                                                    business to the taxi driver, she knows he                                                        smartphone and could not find her for
benefiting, led us to seek a better understanding those who         will give her a competitive price. At the
                                                                                                                   he knows I am dependent on him. He fails
                                                                                                                   to arrive on time, or does not pick up his
                                                                                                                                                                     a long time. When he arrived finally,
                                                                    same time, she realizes that he                                                                  Wambui did not feel entirely
use mobility services in the city. The typologies described here,   sometimes charges her more than the
                                                                                                                   phone, or starts to mark-up fares more
                                                                                                                   often. I wish I had other trustworthy taxi
                                                                                                                                                                     comfortable traveling with someone
                                                                    usual mark-up, but lets it go because she                                                        she did not know.
help illustrate how commuters experience transport and              values the convenience of a regular,
                                                                                                                   drivers to choose from,, so that I am not at
                                                                                                                   the mercy of one driver.”                       • She did not know any friends or family
logistics services, and what motivations influence their use        trusted driver who picks her up when she
                                                                    wants him to, and waits for her when she       “When I pay with M-PESA, I have to pay
                                                                                                                                                                     members who were using such apps too.

of transport innovations.                                           is running late, much like a chauffeur.        the drive the extra Safaricom fee to take

22   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                           UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES              23
JOHN: THE MATATU USER                                                                                                                    OTIENO: THE WALKER

John is 33. He is a fruit shop owner in     Commute Patterns                                                                             Otieno is 26. He works in the industrial
the City Park fresh produce market in                                                                                                    area and lives in Kibera. Daily, he walks
Parklands, a posh neighborhood close        John leaves very early every day to take                                                     to work. He uses a basic phone. He uses
to Westlands in Nairobi. The market is      a matatu to work. He tries to avoid the                                                      Facebook on it. For him, price is the
visited by a large number of well-to-do     morning peak hour when fares are                                                             all-important factor in considering any
Indians who live in that area. John lives   higher. If he gets SMS notifications from                                                    service that improves his commute.
in Kibera, about ten kilometers away.       Ma3Route that traffic is bad on his route,
He lives with his wife and three year-old   he either takes a boda-boda or walks,                                                        Pain Points and Unmet Needs
child. John moved from a village in         depending on how far from the market
                                            he is.                                                                                       “I wish I could get to work faster without
western Kenya to Nairobi when he was
                                                                                                                                         spending as much as a matatu ride costs.”
still a teenager to live with a relative    If he can, he walks instead of taking a
in Kibera. He did many odd jobs while       boda-boda because the latter is                                                              “I wish I could know when matatu prices
growing up, before starting to run          expensive. He is used to switching his                                                       dip so that I can take a matatu on days that
his own shop.                               mode of transport often.                                                                     I can afford it.”
John commutes via a matatu for a fair       On the matatu, he usually has no way of                                                      “I wish I could utilize my time better when I
distance from Kibera, before walking the    predicting the fare on a given day. It                                                       walking to work.”
rest of the way to the City Park market     changes depending on the traffic and
which is not served by any matatu route.    weather. Traffic worsens in a lot of                                                         Trial Barriers
Until recently, he used to walk to work.    situations - when schools reopen, when
                                                                                                                                         Commuters like Otieno are a largely
He has had a G-TIDE smartphone for          there is an event in the city center, when
                                                                                                                                         underserved segment of the population.
quite some time. He uses it mostly for      the President is taking out an entourage,
                                                                                                                                         Without any digital services being
calling. He uses data sparingly, and        and so on.
converts airtime to data in small                                                           Trial Barriers                               created to make their commute better,
                                            He has little reason to commute outside                                                      the following trial barriers are foreseen:
amounts such as 10 KES and 20 KES                                                           John is not aware of any digital services
when he needs it.                           of work. His wife and child stay at home,
                                                                                            that address his pain points. He has         • Resistant to shift to any new digital
                                            and barring rare circumstances such as
                                                                                            heard of a way to pay in matatus without       service without the promise of cost
He is also aware of Whatsapp because        when they visit their village, there is not
                                                                                            cash, but has not used it. He does not         savings.
his wife likes to see picture messages of   much travel to do.
new fashion clothes through the app. He                                                     know what this system is for.
                                                                                                                                         • Lack of awareness of new digital
does not use any other app much. He         Pain Points and Unmet Needs                     Cashless payment systems can help              service due to low data usage.
really likes Ma3Route, but knows of it                                                      standardize fares to address John’s first
only as an information service delivered    “I wish the matatu fare were standard                                                        • Potentially, low levels of airtime
                                                                                            pain point, but have faced several design
by Safaricom through SMS.                   so that I would not have to think every                                                        usage too.
                                                                                            issues in recent past that their
                                            single day whether to walk instead of
For John, timely journeys are important.                                                    awareness and trial is low by the likes of
                                            taking the matatu.”
He cannot afford to reach the market                                                        John. Poor design has made registering
late or he will lose business. Therefore,   “Commuting takes up so much time                for the service difficult.
he needs to know that a commute can         because of the distance and traffic. I wish I
                                                                                            For instance, certain cashless cards
be made on time, and in a safe manner.      could get to work faster and reach home
                                                                                            (there are seven in operation in Nairobi)
He would like to be well-informed in real   faster so that I can run my shop better and
                                                                                            require the creation of a new email
time about the status of the journey, and   spend more time with my family.”
                                                                                            address when in fact a lot of matatu
therefore seeks as much information as      “When I am compelled to take a boda-            commuters do not use email at all.
possible. Having information makes him      boda, I am scared because it is unsafe. I       Another such issue is that some
believe that he can make a better           wish there was a safer way to travel while      cashless cards require a minimum
decision.                                   having the speed of a boda-boda.”               amount of deposit to be used, which is
                                                                                            too high for matatu commuters.

24   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                                                  UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES   25
DRIVERS OF DEMAND

                          Expatriates                                  E-Commerce                                  for purposes of communication and
                                                                                                                   information) and disappeared.
                          The presence of a sizable expatriate         Tthe growth of e-commerce fuelled the
                          population encouraged the growth             demand for logistics services.              Another serious challenge was in making
                          of taxi and delivery services. It led                                                    timely deliveries, as Nairobi had a
                                                                       A key driver for logistics services in      rudimentary physical addressing system
                          to the evolution of the mobility
                                                                       Nairobi was the growth of digital           which made last-mile geo-locating
                          services market.
                                                                       commerce businesses, especially in          problematic. As a result, e-commerce
                          A large number of mzungus or foreigners      fashion and electronics. Some               startups were still trying to figure out
                          reside in Nairobi, working with              e-commerce startups had even set up         how to deliver on promises of same-day
                          multilateral agencies, non-profit            their own in-house logistics services.      delivery or delivery within the time they
                          organizations and social enterprises         Others had employed and trained a fleet     ‘guaranteed’.
                          (Businessweek, 2014). They drove             of boda-bodas or taxis. Digital services
                          demand for transport and logistics           had come up around these operational        The third challenge that several
                          services in Nairobi, based on their prior    models to help manage fleet, ensure         participants mentioned was that couriers
                          exposure to innovative digital services in   safety of boda-boda drivers, monitor        often could not read maps or use
                          other countries.                             drivers real-time to hold them              informative apps on smartphones. In all,
                                                                       accountable, help manage supply chain,      the logistics space for digital commerce
                          The actual and perceived lack of safety                                                  had a lot of business opportunity that
                                                                       help rate couriers, and help source
                          on Nairobi’s roads drove many foreigners                                                 could be leveraged by startups.
                                                                       couriers.
                          to use taxis. Various taxi apps have
                          arguably come up to cater to their needs     There was still plenty of scope to design
                          (Savannah Fund, 2014), that included         innovations in this space. Interview
                          transparent prices to eliminate              participants spoke of pain points that      Innovation Ecosystem
                          negotiating with drivers, more choice of     none of the existing innovations            The nascent state of the innovation
                          taxi drivers, and preference for familiar    addressed satisfactorily. One of the main   ecosystem promoted building of value
                          services from home countries.                challenges that several participants        chains, which drove growth of
                                                                       observed was that their couriers – who      transport and logistics innovation.
                          Similarly, delivery of food and groceries
                                                                       were often contract staff that worked
                          was popular among foreigners. As the                                                     Nairobi has become the technological
                                                                       part-time or on hourly basis – stole
                          cost of delivery services could be                                                       hub of East Africa. The iHub on Ngong
                                                                       products or smartphones (given to them
                          recouped only by top restaurants and
                          large grocery stores – which operated on
                          premium, first-world pricing structures
                          – only foreigners and high-income or
                          wealthy Kenyans could afford them.

                          Therefore, expatriates, repatriates and
                          high-income locals created demand that
                          showed some signs of trickling down to
                          the middle class. It was interesting to
                          note that two of three taxi apps, three of
                          three food delivery startups, and a
                          last-mile delivery startup we interviewed
                          were all led by expatriate founders or
                          CEOs.

26   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                             UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES          27
payback due to government interest and       Smartphones in 2014 were available for
                                            investment in making cashless payments       as low as US $40 in Nairobi. Safaricom
                                            a reality, it is a competitive space. More   management has said on various
                                            than seven kinds of cashless payment         occasions that they expect more and
                                            systems were being piloted, from             more Kenyan consumers to trade up to
                                            Google’s BebaPay to Kenya Bus Service’s      smartphones.
                                            Abiria.
                                                                                        Interview participants shared the
                                            As entrepreneurs were realizing, a sound optimism, albeit cautiously so, that the
                                            cashless payment system could be            future of digital innovation in Kenya lay
                                            enforced across the transport network.      in designing for the smartphone. Rapid
                                            Beyond matatus, parking spaces in malls adoption of smartphones had allowed
Road houses three incubators and a tech     and office complexes have also              startups to provide advanced transport
community space, as do several other        introduced cashless payments due to the services. Indirectly too, smartphone use
business incubators in the Greater          desperate need to expand parking            had driven up e-commerce (through
Nairobi Area. The innovation ecosystem      revenues and improve management.            apps like Whatsapp) which drove
is growing, on the strength of ambitious    Again, there is strong government           demand for logistics services.
                                            support for this given their aim to rein in                                               Safaricom had created innovative data          matatu industry, the map helped visualize    need for “ground-truthing” initiatives to
tech enthusiasts and entrepreneurs.
                                                                                        Accessibility to low-cost data had also       packages for as low as 10 KES and 20           the network of routes and matatu stops in    ensure they work for the local context.
                                            informal activity and boost tax collection
At the same time, the ecosystem is in a                                                 improved. Free wireless internet was          KES, and sold them at street stalls            Greater Nairobi. It was completed
                                            (Nairobi City Council, 2014).                                                                                                                                                         As major players Google and Equity Bank
nascent stage of growth. Local                                                          increasingly available in cafes, university   alongside similarly priced loose cigarettes,   January 2014 and unofficially adopted by
                                                                                        campuses, mall complexes, and other                                                                                                       designed a cashless payment system for
incubators have to collectively still put                                                                                             shampoo sachets and newspapers. This           the government, as per interview
                                                                                        public spaces. Google’s partnership with                                                                                                  matatus called Bebapay, the government
out the first generation of successful                                                                                                too helped increase demand for digital         participants. However, rich learnings from
startups. As entrepreneurs develop          Smartphone Prices                           internet service provider Wananchi Group      transport and logistics services.              the project on improving coverage density
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  took interest in adopting the system.
                                                                                        had created Wazi Wi-fi, a high-speed                                                                                                      Other than standardizing passenger fares
innovations, they have realized the more    Falling prices of smartphones and                                                                                                        and planning new routes and terminals
                                                                                        wireless broadband network in Nairobi.                                                                                                    and providing safe, reliable service, it
innovation is required to create strong     increasingly accessibility of low-cost                                                                                                   remain untapped so far.
                                                                                        Its hotspots provide free internet access                                                                                                 could also help boost tax revenue to
value chains, and close gaps in             data promoted use of digital transport
                                                                                        for the first ten minutes, and then charge
                                                                                                                                      EFFECT ON                                      The energy in the innovation ecosystem       improve regulation of the transportation
operational capabilities and supply         innovations. It also led to reverse
chain.                                                                                  a nominal fee (Computer World, 2011).         POLICYMAKING AND                               has generated interest among large           sector. Bebapay did not find success, as
                                            adoption of innovations on basic
                                            mobile phones.
                                                                                                                                      OTHER PRIVATE                                  private sector players to solve problems     commuters and matatu operators have
Transport and logistics startups are                                                                                                                                                 in transport. IBM’s Research Lab in          resisted adopting cashless payments
                                                                                                                                      SECTOR PLAYERS
catering to this demand, making useful                                                                                                                                               Nairobi – which has a team devoted to        (Shanghai Daily, 2014), and the service
innovations for startups in different                                                                                                 By and large, startups chose not to            understanding and improving ‘human           was recently withdrawn.
sectors ranging from water to                                                                                                         engage with government and                     mobility’ – implemented a technology
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Despite a lack of clear success in
agriculture, education to sanitation,                                                                                                 policymakers, as they were seen as             initiative with Internet service provider
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  creating underlying change, the effect of
health to financial services.                                                                                                         bureaucratic and difficult to work with.       Access Kenya called ‘Twende Twende’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  tech-for-transport startups in generating
                                                                                                                                      Several startup participants had tried but     (“Let’s go, let’s go” in Swahili) in 2012.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  interest among public and private sector
                                                                                                                                      been unable to build a relationship with       thirty-six cameras installed on roads
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  actors is commendable.
Cashless Payment                                                                                                                      the government, either as partners,            with high traffic fed real-time
                                                                                                                                      clients, or key stakeholders in the welfare    information about traffic to a central
Government support for cashless                                                                                                       of the transport system.                       control office, which was tasked with
payment systems on matatus is also                                                                                                                                                   disseminating it to the general public
an important demand driver.                                                                                                           One exception was the Digital Matatus
                                                                                                                                                                                     (Stanford Graduate School of Business,
                                                                                                                                      map, a result of a collaborative effort in
The market for cashless payment                                                                                                                                                      2013). The initiative failed as cameras
                                                                                                                                      geo-mapping between researchers from
systems is currently very small due to                                                                                                                                               got stolen and sensors did not work as
                                                                                                                                      the University of Nairobi and
resistance from matatu operators and                                                                                                                                                 predicted, according to interview
                                                                                                                                      Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
commuters to stop using cash on the                                                                                                                                                  participants. Like IBM, several
                                                                                                                                      For the first time in the history of the
minibuses.Yet, given the potential                                                                                                                                                   technology companies are realizing the

28   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                                                            UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES          29
DISCUSSION
                                                                 Digital mobility services have been
                                                                 innovative, reliable, and cost effective,       “It takes money, and confidence, for a middle class
                                                                 offering answers to a wide range of
                                                                 problems. While it is too early to              individual aspiring to become an entrepreneur to walk
                                                                 quantify their impact in a meaningful
                                                                                                                 into one of the incubators on Ngong Road.”
                                                                 way, there is no doubt that they are
                                                                 bringing about positive change.                 —Interview Participant (Blogger)
Within just five years of significant changes in the political
                                                                 This report identified the unique place of
economy – devolution of governance, drafting of a new            tech-for-transport startups in the           trust, it is important that startup         government’s goal of boosting tax
                                                                 system, and proposed how to think            marketing models engage the                 collection, startups need to develop
constitution, laying of undersea fiber optic cables—             about the nature of their impact. It must    community as Nairobi is a city where the    value propositions to make pricing
                                                                 be reiterated that these startups play a     stakeholders are numerous.                  affordable and transparent for the
a profusion of startups have made remarkable strides in          valuable role by providing information                                                   consumer while creating profitability for
                                                                                                              The typologies show that there is still a
                                                                 inexpensively, which helps commuters
identifying and addressing transportation challenges.            and consumers of logistics services
                                                                                                              lot of room to design solutions better.
                                                                                                                                                          matatu owners and operators. Once
                                                                                                                                                          again, community buy-in is important as
                                                                                                              The taxi user may have several digital
                                                                 enjoy better awareness, make better                                                      there are many stakeholders in the
                                                                                                              innovations targeted at her today, but
                                                                 decisions, and transform their habits.                                                   matatu business model. Startups also
                                                                                                              few are close to understanding what will
                                                                                                                                                          need to help commuters travel safely
                                                                 Indeed, startups must lay emphasis on        add most value to her. On the other
                                                                                                                                                          and save time traveling, two issues that
                                                                 building trust through their innovations     hand, startups are paying no heed to the
                                                                                                                                                          cashless payment systems – primary
                                                                 and operations, so that they can run         matatu user’s needs in their misplaced
                                                                                                                                                          innovation for matatus – are not
                                                                 sustainably and truly have impact on         enthusiasm to design cashless payment
                                                                                                                                                          equipped to address. Finally, startups are
                                                                 changing how transportation works in a       systems. Instead of focusing only on
                                                                                                                                                          not designing for the ‘walker’ today.
                                                                 rapidly urbanizing city. To engender         ‘smart’ systems that align with the

30   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                     UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES         31
smartphones or data. Simple solutions
                                                                                                                                          “We operate a simple SMS-based taxi booking system                                       are convenient to use, reliable and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   inexpensive.
                                 MUCHATHA                                                                                                 because even today, not all smartphone owners use
                                                                                  KAHAWA SOUTH                                                                                                                                   • Design operational and marketing
                                                                                                                                          internet to order a cab. SMS and calling is simple, and                                  models that engender trust among
                                                                                                                                          many of our patrons prefer these tools to using the                                      customers. Invest in contract staff by
       WANGIGE                                                                                                                                                                                                                     providing training and benefits so that
                                                                                                                                          internet and smartphone.” – Founder, GariSMS                                             a culture of trust is developed.
                                                                                                    KASARANI

                                                HIGHRIDGE                                                                                 “Those who are not willing to design for feature phone                                 Recommendations
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 for Government
                                                                                                                                          users and walkers are simply being lazy.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 • Invest in solving transportation
                                                                             EASTLEIGH                                                    – Mark Kamau, Lead, UX:Lab at the iHub                                                   challenges of ‘walkers’ – how to
                       KAWANGWARE                                             NORTH
                                                KILIMANI                                                                                                                                                                           improve walkability, and/or help them
                                                                                                                                       – came from the middle class. Mapping       optimism for smartphone adoption does           trade up to motorized pubic transport.
                                                                                                                                       the physical locations of startup           not capture the fate of these basic phone     • Consider transportation challenges of
                                                                                                          EMBAKASI                     incubators in Nairobi (Figure 4), we see    users. As one interview participant said:       matatu users in a wholesome manner
                                                                     NAIROBI SOUTH                                                     how they are concentrated in affluent                                                       to help implement cashless payment
                                                                                                                                                                                   “Those who are not willing to design for
                                                                                                                                       neighborhoods like Kilimani and                                                             systems. Extend support to problems
                                                                                                                                                                                   feature phone users and walkers are simply
                                                                                                                                       Westlands. Ngong Road, with its                                                             of variable pricing, changing matatu
                                                                                                                                                                                   being lazy.” – Mark Kamu, Lead, UX:Lab at
Figure 4: Startup Incubators in Nairobi                                                                                                concentration of incubators, has become                                                     routes and schedules, and matatu
                                                                                                                                                                                   the iHub
                                                                                                                                       a converging point for innovators and                                                       safety.
                                                                                                                                       entrepreneurs. Yet, incubators remain out   Another interview participant warned
This segment represents 47 percent of        wealthy consumers, referred to as the       and overlooked the local context. For         of reach for a number of local              against misinterpreting rising smartphone     • Guide new and existing incubators to
Nairobi’s population or nearly 22 million    “creating class” by an interview            instance, some innovations banked on          entrepreneurs.                              ownership for rising data usage:                ensure their services are more
people who are being left behind in this     participant.                                people to read and understand maps,                                                                                                       accessible and affordable to the
                                                                                                                                       Drivers like e-commerce growth too                                                          middle class. Engage donors and
‘innovation divide’. Considering that this                                               whereas most people in Nairobi only
                                             The “creating class” turned into                                                          steer logistics innovations towards                                                         impact investors to make this a
demographic largely belongs to the                                                       used landmarks.
                                             entrepreneurs, but was suited to design                                                   consumers with high disposable income.      Recommendations                                 criterion in providing funding to
lower socioeconomic classes that
expend a greater fraction of their
                                             only for that group. This is because        Very few entrepreneurs in our study           Government support for cashless             for Startups                                    incubators.
                                             people of the “creating class” reapplied    – which comprehensively covered               payment systems on matatus and in
resources – time, effort and money – to                                                                                                                                            • Develop value propositions that truly
                                             innovations from their home countries,      transport and logistics startups in Nairobi   parking spaces also ignores the ‘walker’
gain work opportunities, the utter lack of                                                                                                                                           address the pain points and unmet
innovation for them will only perpetuate
                                                                                                                                       demographic. The fact that its support                                                       “We operate a simple SMS-
                                                                                                                                                                                     needs of taxi users and matatu users.
                                                                                                                                       has made cashless payment systems a                                                          based taxi booking system
more income inequality and systemic                                                                                                                                                  Tap into community networks and
                                                                                                                                       competitive and innovative space shows
inequities.                                     “The creating class is those everyday consumers and                                                                                  deliver value-add to all stakeholders          because even today, not all
                                                                                                                                       that similar support can invigorate
                                                                                                                                                                                     to create scalable innovation.                 smartphone owners use
As the drivers of demand show, there are        earnest individuals who want to expand their ability to                                innovation that improves walkability or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    internet to order a cab. SMS
a few different reasons why ‘walkers’ are                                                                                              enables trade-up to motorized transport.    • Incorporate human-centered design
getting left behind, unable to even trade
                                                secure best value for their hard-earned money and                                      However, the government is not playing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    and calling is simple, and
                                                                                                                                                                                     based on an understanding of trial
up to matatus (which are accessible to          provide opportunity to benefit as sellers from that same                               this role currently.                          barriers. Particularly, consider that not
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    many of our patrons prefer
70 percent of the population but                                                                                                                                                     all transport innovation is necessarily        these tools to using the
affordable to only 30 percent). With            marketplace.”                                                                          Lastly, at least one-fourth of Nairobi’s
                                                                                                                                                                                     effective using ‘smart’ systems like           internet and smartphone.”
                                                                                                                                       population still used basic or feature
expatriates driving demand, digital             ­—Elias Schulze, former Africa CEO, Kaymu.com                                          phones, and presumably a sizable              cashless payment systems or                    – Interview Participant
solutions are limited to high-income and                                                                                                                                             advanced technological use such as             (Startup)
                                                                                                                                       fraction were low-income ‘walkers’. The

32   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                                                          UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES          33
APPENDIX 1                                                                                                                                APPENDIX 2

DEFINITIONS AND ACRONYMS                                                                                                                  NAIROBI TRANSPORT
                                                                                                                                          INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
Definitions                                       List of Acronyms and Abbreviations                                                      National Integrated Urban                   Nairobi Outer Ring Road                       The Uhuru Highway
                                                                                                                                          Development Master Plan (NIUDMP)
Boda-boda                                         AIDS        Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome                                                                                      Major transport corridors linking with the    Other major projects are under way.
                                                  APHRC       African Population and Health Research Center                               Formulated in 2014 after 40 years of        Thika highway, Mombasa Road and newly         The Uhuru Highway, or Jomo Kenyatta
Motorcycle taxis that are able to weave
                                                  B2B         Business-to-business                                                        operation under the policies and            built by-passes; new bus and matatu           International Airport-Rironi project
their way in and out of traffic. They
                                                  B2C         Business-to-consumer                                                        guidelines of the Nairobi Metropolitan      terminals and a network of metro railway      includes construction of a highway
supplement the city’s public transport
                                                  CAK         The Communication Authority of Kenya                                        Growth Strategy, which was inaugurated      lines are supposed to operate in the city     overpass and southern bypass linking
vehicles. Known for their speed, boda-
                                                  CBD         Central Business District                                                   in 1973, and updated in 1984-88, 1993       by 2030. The Nairobi Outer Ring Road,         JKIA to metro Nairobi as part of a
boda rides typically cost more than
                                                  GDP         Gross Domestic Product                                                      and 2000 (Urban Africa, 2014). The          for example, which serves as a major          30-year concession to be financed by
matatu rides. Boda-bodas have been the
                                                  HIV         Human Immunodeficiency Virus                                                2014 plan specifically addresses            arterial road for the city’s northern and     tolls (OBG, 2015).
cause of a large number of road
                                                  GOK         Government of Kenya                                                         transportation challenges. It recognizes    eastern districts, is set to be upgraded to
accidents due to rash driving and unsafe
                                                  ICT         Information and Communications Technology                                   the need to develop infrastructure and      a dual carriageway, raising the road’s        Lamu Port and Lamu-Southern
habits like overloading passengers.
                                                  ITDP        Institute for Transportation and Development Policy                         new planning guidelines for a fast          average journey speed of 12 km to 15 km       Sudan-Ethiopia Transport
                                                  JICA        Japan International Cooperation Agency                                      urbanizing Nairobi.                         per hour. The project was expected to
Matatu                                                                                                                                                                                                                              The enacting of the Public-Private
                                                  JKIA        Jomo Kenyatta International Airport                                                                                     start in October 2014 (OBG, 2015).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Partnership Act in 2013 opened the door
14 to 28-seater minibuses that are                KES         Kenyan Shilling                                                             Decentralization of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    for private investors too to help develop
Nairobi’s main form of public transport—          LAPPSET     Lamu Port and Lamu-Southern Sudan-Ethiopia Transport                        Central Business District                   Southern Bypass
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    high-profile projects like Lamu Port and
similar to the danfos of Nigeria, peseros of      MNC         Multinational Corporation
                                                                                                                                          The plan also states the need to            Nairobi’s Southern Bypass, meanwhile,         Lamu-Southern Sudan-Ethiopia
Mexico, otobis of Egypt, kombis of South          NFC         Near Field Communications
                                                                                                                                          decentralize service from the Central       is now expected to be opened to               Transport (LAPPSET), the standard-
Africa, and brousse in Francophone Africa.        NIUDMP      Nairobi Integrated Urban Development Master Plan
                                                                                                                                          Business District (CBD) to ease             motorists in 2015. The project entails        gauge railway project (OBG, 2015)..
                                                  NMT         Non-Motorized Transport
They transport 70 percent of Nairobi’s                                                                                                    congestion (JICA, 2014), which results      construction of a 28.6-km international
                                                  OBG         Oxford Business Group
daytime population (Ottichillo, 2010).                                                                                                    from the time that Nairobi was first        trunk road, running from Mombasa
                                                  PSV         Public Sector Vehicle
Across the country, three million Kenyans                                                                                                 settled as a colonial outpost. Roads then   Road in southern Nairobi to Limuru Road
                                                  SME         Small and Medium Enterprises
use matatus every day (Mutongi, 2006).                                                                                                    were laid to radiate out from the CBD       in Kikuyu Town. The KES 17.2 billion
                                                  SMS         Short Messaging Service
The two billion industry (Nyasetia, 2013)                                                                                                 which leads to traffic from all parts of    (US $196.08 million) project was
                                                  SSA         Sub-Saharan Africa
contributes five percent to Kenya’s Gross                                                                                                 the city converging in one area and         awarded to the China Roads and Bridge
                                                  TFT         Technology for transport, or tech-for-transport
Domestic Product (World Bank, 2014) and                                                                                                   creating bottlenecks. From an               Corporation, a major player in Kenyan
                                                  TSA         Transportation and Safety Authority
generates large-scale employment. It is                                                                                                   investment viewpoint, the government        infrastructure, in 2010 and was launched
                                                  UN          United Nations
the largest indigenously grown enterprise                                                                                                 has visibly expanded expenditure on         in 2012 (OBG, 2015).
                                                  UNDP        United Nations Development Programme
and the only major business that does not                                                                                                 transportation construction.
rely on foreign aid or foreign aid workers.

Matatus have contributed tremendously to
                                               The Michuki Rules                            The Mungiki
the socioeconomic well-being of Kenya
and become an integral part of its ethos       John Michuki was the Minister of             A complex gang that emerged in the
and cultural evolution.                        Transportation under President Mwai          1990s, and is known to extract
                                               Kibaki and helped pass the increased         “protection” fees from matatu owners,
National ICT Master Plan                       regulations in 2004 on PSVs. The number      drivers and fare collectors to let them ply
                                               of traffic fatalities did decrease after     on their desired routes (Klopp, 2014).
Innovations in Nairobi whose value
                                               implementation of the rules, however,
propositions are centered on improving
                                               enforcement of regulations was short-lived
commute or goods delivery. They are
                                               as fare prices drastically increased after
being launched in the market through both
                                               the decrease in number of allowable
business-to-business (B2B) and business-
                                               passengers on a matatu.
to-consumer (B2C) models.

34   NAVIGATING NAIROBI                                                                                                                                                                             UNDERSTANDING THE KENYAN MARKET FOR DIGITAL MOBILITY SERVICES          35
You can also read