Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions

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Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
Our mission: Tosave lives and livelihoods
    with real-time flood predictions
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
Published May 2020

Disruption of emergency response to
vulnerable populations during floods
> Click to read research publication online

           Published May 2020
Climate change: Future floods will
delay emergency response
> Click to read BBC news online
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
> Click to play Video1
                                   Featuring interviews with the Loughborough
                                   University researchers and inventors who first
                                   piloted the technology in Leicester City, with
                                   Leicester, Leicestershire and Rutland Prepared
                                   Resilience Forum

> Click to play Video2                   > Click to play Video3
Silent footage 11/2019 Sheffieldflood    Silent footage 6/2019 Leicesterflood
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
Rising Cost of Flooding

                                                         $1tn
   £1.3bn              $90bn

Cost of 15/16 UK      Global annual and projected cost of flooding
floods to insurers                from 2015 to 2050
  Source: ABI, 2016                  Source: WRI, 2015
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
But it doesn’t need to be

         400:1
    ROI of EU Early Warning system
           for river flooding
             Source: EU, 2015
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
Existing Flood Forecasting Solutions
      Rivers and the sea           Surface water
    2.4m UK properties at risk   3m UK properties at risk

Contain too many false alarms    Not detailed enough

                                                  Source: EA, 2015
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
Our Solution:

Hyperlocal surface water flood forecasting:
• Property level predictions with high accuracies enable
  effective decision making

     Real-time insight:
     Continuous modelling means our predictions are
     always up-to-date

     Decision support:
     • Real-time alerts, accessibility maps and
       infographics support operations teams

Globally scalable solution:
• Model has been tested in 50 cities and can be applied
  anywhere in the globe.
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
: How it Works

                                 Model
                               calibration

Model set-up     Inspect                      System goes
               performance                        live

                               Flood event
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
The Team

 Jonathan Jackson        Dr Dapeng Yu        Dr Avinoam Baruch
     CEO (PT)         Co-founder and CSO    Co-founder and COO
                             (PT)

   Dr                                      Prof.
                      Dr Mark
William                                    Rob
          Head of     Bennett   Strategy           Weather and
Johnson                                    Wilby
          Technical             Support            Climate
          Systems               (NED)              Advisor
Our mission: Tosavelives and livelihoods with real-time flood predictions
The story so far
2001                        Dec, 2018                Feb, 2019

Alpha testing of model      Secured funding          First commercial orders

                                                £270k angel investment
                                                July, 2019
                                                Global Lloyds Lab selection,
          System goes live with     £300k for
          Cabinet Office                        £700k Innovate UK
                                    R&D
          Nov, 2018                             Growth loan
                                    Jan, 2019
                                                Feb, June 2020
Risk Industry Landscape
   Full risk
 management

Catastrophe Risk
 Management

 Consultancies

Flood Modellers
Route to Market: Government/Smart Cities

                   $215bn
     Global economic loss of weather related
              disasters (AON, 2017)
Route to Market: Insurance
           2015/16 Storms

  £194m loss        £93m loss
  Previsico would   Previsico would save
   save £12m          £6m
Global Emergency Management Market – $90bn

      Utilities     Property     Hedge funds

     Transport    Humanitarian   Supply chain
Products & Services
• Software as a service:
   • Annual subscriptions
• Products
   •   Data feed
   •   Visualisation tool
   •   Alerts
   •   Analytics
• Other services:
   • Workshops
   • Bespoke projects.
Key Relationships:
IP Protection
• The software
  • Previsico Limited is a Loughborough University Spin Out
    with exclusive license for FloodMap and FloodMap Live
  • Source code is a novel trade secret
• Model improvement
  • Model is continuously improving with every flood
  • Sourcing Big Data for calibration
  • Developing machine learning capability.
Financial Forecast
     Pricing & Margins: 1st year                           Profit and Loss 2019 - 2023

               Multi-city        City
                (£,000)        (£,000)                     £30      Sales
                                                                    Gross Profit
Service fee*      150             20                       £20
   Alerts         160             8                                 Profit before tax

                                                 Million
                                                           £10
   Total          310             28

Cost of Sale      74               7                       £0
                                                                 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Gross Margin      240             20                   -£10

                   * 1st year partner commission 20%, subsequent years 7.5%
Five Year Plan

90% accuracy           Big data for smart cities

Global scope          Sales to 10 global insurers
Beyond five years

    Multi-hazards         Consumer product

On demand, anywhere   Offer parametric insurance
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