OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View

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OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION
FOR LAND KNOWN AS
OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE

 Oakdown Farm Employment Land &
 Economic Assessment

 Avison Young
 August 2020

AUGUST 2020
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic
Assessment
August 2020
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                                                        Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

Contents
Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................................. 1

1.          Introduction and Strategic Context .................................................................................................................... 1

2.          Current Policy Context .......................................................................................................................................... 8

3.          Industrial Land Supply ..........................................................................................................................................15

4.          Market Demand and Needs ...............................................................................................................................23

5.          Future Demand.....................................................................................................................................................34

6.          Need for the floorspace proposed ....................................................................................................................40

7.          Economic Benefits Assessment ...........................................................................................................................49

Prepared By:
Chijioke Anosike, Bart Monhonval, James Morris, Martyn Saunders

Status: Final Submission Version
Draft Date: August 2020

For and on behalf of Avison Young (UK) Limited

Date: July 2020
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                             Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Executive Summary

    •    Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council (“The Council”) recognise that there is great potential for world class
         business activity to be served across its local economy. The Council’s planning evidence indicates a number
         of policies which advocate for the development of employment land.

    •    This report highlights that market demand outstrips market supply for industrial land, specifically for distribution
         and logistics activity.

    •    The floorspace target for storage and distribution land over the plan period is 122,000 sqm (Local Plan).
         Additionally, our analysis has highlighted the need for circa 185,000 sqm of distribution and warehousing space
         up to 2040.

    •    It is clear that the pipeline supply of storage and distribution floorspace (both in terms of land allocations and
         planning consents) falls well below the 122,000 sqm required over the plan period, as set out within the Local
         Plan.

    •    Oakdown Farm presents a significant opportunity for the Council to achieve their employment and economic
         growth aspirations and diversifying its employment land stock.

    •    Moreover, of the small number of sites coming forward, no single opportunity presents a comparable scale of
         development or level of connectivity as Oakdown Farm. Meaning it not only provides a viable location for the
         proposed activity, in doing so it would not divert future demand away from existing sites or allocations. In this
         regard it represents a considerable net gain for the borough.

    •    The proposed development can help provide the capacity that ensures future demand is not frustrated by a
         lack of capacity.

    •    By diversifying the employment land stock of the borough, the proposed development will achieve significant
         economic growth and job creation.

    •    It is expected that the Oakdown Farm development could deliver up to 734 direct jobs and generate an
         annual direct GVA of circa £44.5m.

    •    Additionally, the development will generate indirect benefits, through the creation of jobs down its supply
         chain. In total, the development could create 1,027 jobs and generate £62m of GVA per annum.

    •    The range of jobs provided will offer different opportunities for local residents, from entry level through to skilled
         technical and managerial roles. Potential occupier sectors have historically demonstrated significant career
         development opportunities and skills advancement, providing real opportunities across the current workforce
         of the borough.

    •    Overall, the proposed development of Oakdown Farm presents a major opportunity to support the
         achievement of the Council’s stated economic objectives.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                        Page: 1
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

1.       Introduction and Strategic Context

1.1      Avison Young have been appointed by Newlands Developments to provide an Employment Land and
         Economic Assessment to help support the preparation of a masterplan and planning application for major
         new land allocation to the south of Basingstoke – referred to as Oakdown Farm.

1.2      The site currently is undesignated agricultural land and has not previously been allocated as a site for
         employment development, however its development potential is identified in the Council’s current
         employment land evidence base.

1.3      There is a strong industrial market in Basingstoke and the supply of land and floorspace is not keeping pace
         with demand, particularly in locations which offer ‘optimal’ conditions for occupiers (i.e. with excellent access
         to the M3). Supply in the Basingstoke and Deane District is either limited or not in the most appropriate locations
         for occupiers. As such an opportunity exists for the District Council to build on this market momentum and
         unlock significant economic benefits for the area, help secure the future growth of the market and support
         the wider approach to inclusive growth for the District area.

         A Strategically Important Economic Hub

1.4      The site lies in a critically important location within the Enterprise M3 Local Enterprise Partnership (EM3 LEP)
         area, sitting directly off the M3, in close proximity to Basingstoke, the largest town within the county of
         Hampshire. The site is conveniently located for access to London, the south coast, the ports of Southampton
         and Portsmouth, and the M4/ M3 corridors. These factors underpin the large unmet storage and distribution
         potential in the area.

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OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 1: Enterprise M3 Local Enterprise Partnership

         Source: EM3 LEP

1.5      The influence and impact of these strategic connections is particularly striking for larger distribution and
         storage units in the South West. CoStar Data, as presented in Figure 2, shows clusters of this type of units around
         major transportation hubs (Heathrow Airport on one hand and the ports that are located on the south coast
         such as Portsmouth, Southampton and Plymouth on the other) as key arrival points for goods into the UK, and
         the M4 and M3 corridors which act as onward distributors to both business and resident populations in the
         south of the country.

         Figure 2: Distribution and Storage (above 50,000sqft)

         Source: CoStar, March 2020

Date: July 2020                                                                                                     Page: 2
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

1.6      Basingstoke is located half-way between Heathrow Airport and Southampton Harbour and about 1 hour away
         from Gatwick Airport, Portsmouth Harbour and Poole Harbour.

         Table 1: Travelling Time and Distance from Basingstoke

                                            Miles          Time (mins)

            Heathrow Airport                 36                33

            Gatwick Airport                  60                62

            Portsmouth Harbour               40                49

            Poole Harbour                    58                70

            Southampton Harbour              26                33

            Dover Harbour                    125               123

            Plymouth Harbour                 162               182
         Source: Avison Young, based on Google Map (March 2020)

1.7      The LEP recognises, in its Local Industrial Strategy (LIS) published in August 2019, the importance of growing the
         region through maximising access to global markets through ports and airports and the potential of the sub-
         regional economies associated with those gateways.

1.8      The analysis of employment by sector, published in the LIS, shows that the Transport and Storage sector has
         seen the largest growth in employment over the period going from 2013 to 2018 as a proportion of total
         employment. This sector employed 25,175 people in 2018 in the EM3 LEP area.

1.9      Whilst the Transport and Storage sector remains a small contributor to the total economy of the EM3 LEP area
         (providing circa 3.3% of all employment in the area), the sector is fast growing and is essential in supporting
         the growth of other sector activities and ensuring the high level of productivity of those sectors.

1.10     Based on the LIS, EM3 is a highly productive economy ranking 5th highest in terms of GVA per head at £31,952.

1.11     The LIS establishes that the LEP area includes a population of 1.52 million people, 89,700 businesses, 2 county
         councils and 14 district authorities generating £49 billion GVA for the UK economy. The EM3 area is globally
         competitive with knowledge, digital and design-based economy including high value sectors such as: space
         and satellite; aerospace and defence; digital and cyber security; life sciences and med-tech; and 'createch'
         (creativity and technology, including gaming). It is home to two Universities; Surrey and Winchester; and has
         important research and innovation institutions such as the Pirbright Institute as well as research-based
         businesses at Southampton Science Park and Surrey Research Park.

1.12     Basingstoke has been ranked as the number one place in the UK for the digital economy by the National
         Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), building on the town’s reputation as part of the area’s ‘tech
         corridor’. It is also recognised as an excellent place for inward investment by Local Futures, which ranked
         Basingstoke as being in the top three local authority areas in the country to base a business in as a result of
         the high levels of productivity, excellent business survival rates and the number of knowledge driven businesses
         based in the area.

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OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                          Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Site and Spatial Context

1.13     The site area is outlined below in Figure 3. The site encompasses approximately 87.44 acres (35.39 hectares) of
         agricultural land.

         Figure 3: The Oakdown Farm site

         Avison Young Schedule of Areas, 2020

1.14     The site is located within the Parish of Dummer, which is located in the south eastern portion of Basingstoke
         and Deane Borough. Dummer Parish is one of the smaller Parish Councils in Basingstoke and Deane. Figure 4,
         shows an enlarged policy map with the site area highlighted in yellow.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                  Page: 4
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                          Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 4: Basingstoke and Deane Policy Map

         Source: Basingstoke and Deane Council, 2020

1.15      Figure 5 shows the parish boundary map of Basingstoke and Deane, again with the site identified in yellow.

         Figure 5: Basingstoke and Deane Parish Boundary Map

         Source: Basingstoke and Deane Council, 2020

1.16     Oakdown Farm (highlighted in Figure 6 in white with a red border) is located approximately 5 miles south of
         Basingstoke town centre and is bordered by the M3 running south towards Southampton and north to Central

Date: July 2020                                                                                                 Page: 5
OUTLINE PLANNING APPLICATION - FOR LAND KNOWN AS OAKDOWN FARM, BASINGSTOKE - Give My View
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         London. The Site also adjoins the A30, providing strategic links to Basingstoke to the North, and to the South
         West region.

         Figure 6: Spatial Context

         Source: Avison Young, 2020

1.17     Table 2 provides the schedule of accommodation proposed for the site at Oakdown Farm, whilst Figure 7
         provides the current masterplan associated with the schedule of accommodation.

1.18     Oakdown Farm incorporates c.265,000 sqm of floorspace in total on a 35ha site, of which c.105,500 sqm would
         be at ground floor level, with the opportunity for significant ‘upper floor’ space within Unit 1 to enable a range
         of e-commerce occupiers to consider the site given the strength in demand in this sub-sector.

         Table 2: Oakdown Farm Schedule of Accommodation (sqm)

                           Warehouse            Office             Total
                             217,954
            Unit 1                                0              217,954
                          (58,561 GF) *
            Unit 2           26,477             1,859             28,335
            Unit 3           11,205              625              11,830
            Unit 4              9,250            515               9,765
                              264,886
            Total                               2,999            267,884
                          (105,493 GF)
         * (at ground floor level)
         Source: UMC Architects, 2020

Date: July 2020                                                                                                    Page: 6
Client: Newlands Developments                Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 7: Oakdown Farm Masterplan

         Source: UMC Architects, 2020

Date: July 2020                                                                                       Page: 7
Client: Newlands Developments                             Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

2.       Current Policy Context

2.1      The starting point for understanding both the economic opportunity for growth in the industrial/warehouse
         sector and the need to provide additional land to accommodate it is to consider the existing policy and
         evidence base that is shaping the future of the economy in the Basingstoke and Deane Borough Council area,
         and more locally within Dummer Parish.

2.2      To develop this understanding further to consider sub-regional needs beyond the borough boundary this report
         uses the geographical zone of the Basingstoke-Andover Functional Economic Market Area (FEMA) as
         identified by the LEP in its analysis of the area’s industrial economy. It should be noted that the relevance of
         this FEMA has been questioned in the Council’s own economic evidence base and is therefore not a
         universally recognised market area.

2.3      In doing this, the analysis of policy and evidence base can be split into two distinct sub-sections: Local planning
         policy, and Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) strategy. These will be addressed in turn.

         Local Planning Policy

2.4      The variety of planning policy documents applicable to the local and sub-regional market helps to define the
         current nature of the wider employment area. It also establishes the parameters for growth and change within
         which the Masterplan will sit.

2.5      The following subsection focusses on the key local and national planning policy documents which ultimately
         will guide the future of study area. This includes:

         •    NPPF (2019)

         •    NPPG (2019)

         •    Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment (2019)

         •    Planning Obligation for Infrastructure Supplementary Planning Document (2018)

         •    Basingstoke and Deane Local Plan (2016)

         •    Dummer Village Design Statement (2004)

         National Planning Policy Framework (2019)

2.6      The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) (2019) is a document that both guides the writing of Local Plans
         across the United Kingdom and provides a framework for housing and other development to be produced.
         Chapter 2 titled ‘Achieving sustainable development’ states that economic objectives “help build a strong,
         responsive and competitive economy, by ensuring that sufficient land of the right types is available in the right
         places and at the right time to support growth, innovation and improved productivity; and by identifying and
         coordinating the provision of infrastructure” (8.a). To be considered appropriate for development it is therefore
         vital that there is evidenced need for development, through this report we aim to provide such evidence to
         demonstrate that Oakdown Farm is capable of supplying land which can aid local and strategic economic
         growth.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                     Page: 8
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         National Planning Policy Guidance (2019)

2.7      The National Planning Policy Guidance (NPPG) provides a range of specific guidance and strategy related to
         the plan making process. It provides guidance on how to ensure sufficient land exists to support future growth
         by outlining the need for a ‘Housing and economic land availability assessment’, its aim is to identify “a future
         supply of land which is suitable, available and achievable for housing and economic development uses over
         the plan period”. It states that an assessment should:

         •   identify sites and broad locations with potential for development;

         •   assess their development potential; and

         •   assess their suitability for development and the likelihood of development coming forward (the availability
             and achievability).

2.8      In regards to any proposed development on Oakdown Farm, the Council have completed such an
         assessment (see below) which identifies the potential opportunity for the site to meet future economic needs.

         Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment (2019)

2.9      The Strategic Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment (SHELAA) is a document which identifies
         “sites with the potential for housing or employment”; its aim is to “assess how many homes or floorspace they
         could provide” and “assess when they could be developed”. This document provides the evidence to inform
         decision making on “future housing and employment development”.

2.10     The Parish of Dummer has been listed to potentially provide 640 homes (excluding planning permissions) over
         the next 10 years. More specifically, in Appendix 5 of the SHELAA Oakdown Farm is listed as a site identified
         outside the Settlement Policy Boundaries (site reference DUM004). Appendix 5 states that economic “viability
         of the site may be affected by the need for environmental and highways assessments, minor upgrades to the
         existing site access from the A30 and A30/Winchester Road junction, and a potential new roundabout forming
         a second access.” Overall SHELAA’s Appendix 5 concludes that the Oakdown Farm is likely to be developed
         as long as it “complies with the borough’s current planning framework”.

         Planning Obligation for Infrastructure Supplementary Planning Document (2018)

2.11     The Planning Obligation for Infrastructure Supplementary Planning Document (SPD) is a document that aims
         to enable development proposals to meet the needs of local communities from developer section 106 and
         Community Infrastructure Levy contributions. Under the ‘Employment and Skills’ section, the SPD states that
         “warehouse and industrial schemes of 2,000m2 floorspace or greater” are required to provide quality
         apprenticeships, training and employment for local residents depending on the scale of a particular
         development.

2.12     As shown later in this report the proposed development and its potential occupiers have a track record in
         providing such career opportunities and supporting local residents into work and with their onwards
         progression.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                    Page: 9
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Basingstoke and Deane Local Plan (2016)

2.13     The Basingstoke and Deane Local Plan is a planning document which outlines the Council’s strategic policies
         for growth between 2011 to 2029. Paragraph 7, ‘Economic Development’, makes clear that the aim of the
         “Local Plan is to maintain and enhance the borough’s position as a prosperous economic centre”. The Local
         Plan recognises that there is a market demand for new industrial and storage distribution premises and
         identifies that over the plan period (2011-2029), Basingstoke will require up to 122,000 sqm of storage and
         distribution floorspace. The Borough mentions 16 Strategic Employment Areas for employment uses.

2.14     The Local Plan states the aim of supporting the creation of between 450-700 jobs per annum (8,100-12,600
         during the plan period – 2011-2029). The Plan goes on and states that inward investment will be enabled by
         allocating new employment site or sites for storage and distribution uses in a subsequent Development Plan
         Document.

2.15     The Local Plan will support opportunities to develop the following key employment sectors:

                •   Specialist/advanced manufacturing (including research and development)

                •   Financial and business services in Basingstoke town centre and the established office locations of
                    Basing View, Chineham Business Park (including Hampshire International Business Park) and Viables

                •   Storage and distribution in suitable locations

2.16     Policy EP1 mentions that development proposals for storage and distribution floorspace, outside of the existing
         Strategic Employment Areas, which come forward in advance of a subsequent DPD, will be permitted which
         are:

                •   Able to successfully mitigate the landscape impact, which will include the provision of sufficient
                    space for appropriate soft landscaping/green infrastructure, appropriate location of development
                    within the site, and utilise a design, and layout of built form and use of materials in order to ensure
                    that any landscape impacts are minimised;

                •   Compatible with any neighbouring uses, including residential properties;

                •   For the provision of high quality floorspace;

                •   Well related to the strategic road network and easily accessible for HGV’s;

                •   Capable of being provided without having a severe highways impact;

                •   Able to successfully mitigate the impact of the development on the character of nearby settlements;
                    and

                •   Able to demonstrate there is a proven need for the floorspace proposed

2.17     For the purposes of Policy EP1 an ‘employment use’ includes the B Class uses i.e. B1 business (including offices),
         B2 general industry and B8 storage/distribution uses. The policy sets out the strategic approach to employment
         development in the borough.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                   Page: 10
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

2.18     Dummer has no sites that are listed as a Strategic Employment Areas, nonetheless the local plan states that
         “to meet the identified and forecast needs for the storage and distribution sector, the council will need to
         identify sites for such uses. This will be achieved through the production of a subsequent Development Plan
         Document”. This clearly indicates that the borough’s land requirements cannot be met through the current
         allocations and that new Strategic Employment Areas will be required in order to provide sufficient storage
         and distribution land.

2.19     As demonstrated in this Report, Oakdown Farm can provide the conditions that meet the needs of the storage
         and distribution sector and therefore is suitable to be considered as a new Strategic Employment Area to help
         the borough meet is identified requirements.

         Economic Needs Assessment (2018)

2.20     The Economic Needs Assessment aims to support future economic development in the Borough and places
         an emphasis on the need to ensure there is future provision of industrial stock within the borough.

2.21     The document states:

         “There is a strong industrial market in Basingstoke with current demand outstripping supply. Supply is currently
         constrained due to the lack of suitable available sites. Development is occurring in a piecemeal fashion, but
         these are on existing redundant employment sites that are available on a freehold basis. Where redundant
         sites are on a long leasehold basis this is potentially hindering their redevelopment.”

         Given the level of demand it is unlikely that re-development of existing sites will be sufficient to meet all of the
         demand for industrial space and new sites are required. Releasing new sites will benefit the market in following
         ways:

              •     Preserve existing estates – prevent the loss of general industrial from redevelopment for storage and
                    distribution uses.

              •     Capture inward investment opportunities.

              •     Retain existing business by providing suitable accommodation. This is both by providing higher-
                    quality premises, and by delivering larger units to support their growth. Relocations to new property
                    will free up other existing stock for refurbishment/redevelopment for other occupiers.

         Agents indicated that junctions 6 and 7 of the M3 would be the strongest strategic locations for storage and
         distribution use. New sites would also need to be of sufficient size to fit larger units with adequate yard space.
         During consultation with agents, there were varying reports on exactly how much land would be required to
         meet the demands of the industrial market. The quoted figures were wide ranging – from 25 to 100 acres (10-
         40 ha).”

2.22     Based on the above it can be seem that development on Oakdown Farm can be used to match the industrial
         supply needed in the Borough. Oakdown Farm is approximately 35.5 hectares, which is within the size range
         quoted by the above agents to meet industrial demand. Critically it also provides the direct access to the M3
         that agents reported were essential for future development in this sector.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                     Page: 11
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

2.23     The local plan states that inward investment will be enabled by “allocating new employment site or sites for
         storage and distribution uses in a subsequent Development Plan Document”, this supports the opportunity at
         Oakdown Farm, which can attract ‘footloose’ businesses to the borough and help Basingstoke and Deane
         achieve their job creation target of 450-700 jobs per annum over the plan period (2001-2029).

         Dummer Village Design Statement (2004)

2.24     The Dummer Village Design Statement (VDS) is a document written by the Dummer Parish Council and
         highlights some of the characteristic, features and qualities that residents value in their local area. When
         describing Dummer’s context, the VDS states that “some light industry has been developed through farm
         building redevelopment – Manor Farm has provision for some offices and workshops, as does Oakdown Farm”.
         The Dummer VDS does not discuss much on the future economy nor does it discuss details on employment
         matters - however it does not specifically rule any future development of this kind.

         Skills and Employment Strategy

2.25     There is no specific Borough evidence document on skills and employment, however the Basingstoke and
         Deane local plan states one of the eight corporate priorities is to “increase skills and employment”. The local
         plan aims to create an economy where “residents can readily improve their skills and play their part in and
         benefit from the area’s prosperity.” Furthermore, as the Borough aims to create 450-700 jobs per annum over
         the plan period (2001-2029), the Oakdown Farm development is an excellent opportunity to both provide jobs
         as well as upskill local residents in the Basingstoke and Deane area.

         Local Enterprise Partnership Context

2.26     There are 38 Local Enterprise Partnerships across England. They are business led partnerships between local
         authorities and local private sector businesses. They play a central role in determining local economic priorities
         and undertaking activities to drive economic growth and job creation, improve infrastructure and raise
         workforce skills within the local area.

         Working for a Smarter Future – The Enterprise M3 Strategic Economic Plan (2014-2020)

2.27     The Strategic Economic Plan (SEP) is a forward-looking plan that will help address the consequences of growth
         whilst building on economic strengths and harnessing the potential in one of the fastest growing economies in
         the UK in a coherent and coordinated way.

2.28     It is based on a bottom-up approach following consultations with the public, private and not-for-profit sectors
         and builds on the Enterprise M3 Strategy for Growth published in May 2013. It also presents an overarching
         view of a wider, co-ordinated programme of activities for Enterprise M3. This includes activities being
         undertaken with a wide range of local partners to refine the European Structural and Investment Fund Strategy
         (EUSIF), which was submitted to government in January 2014, and activities in relation to the £21.7m invested
         in infrastructure projects through our Growing Enterprise Fund.

2.29     Through Innovation and Enterprise activities, the LEP aims to support the creation of 200 new high growth
         companies, 8,000 additional jobs and £2 billion of new export markets from businesses in the Enterprise M3
         area.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                   Page: 12
Client: Newlands Developments                             Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

2.30     In regard to Oakdown Farm, this presents an opportunity for new companies to be created which can
         become tenants on any potential industrial development on Oakdown Farm. The Enterprise M3 advocates a
         ’Sci:Tech’ corridor, and specifically states “certain broad sectors of the economy such as information &
         communications, pharmaceuticals, and distribution” as the Sci:Tech corridor’s strengths which present
         “exceptional opportunities to further strengthen a successful local economy and make a significant
         contribution to UK growth”. Oakdown Farm can play a significant role in meeting that aspiration by attracting
         inward investment by providing a type of development that is not currently available to businesses looking to
         locate in the area.

         Local Industrial Strategy – Developing our Approach

2.31     Local Industrial Strategies (LIS), led by Mayoral Combined Authorities or Local Enterprise Partnerships promote
         the coordination of local economic policy and national funding streams and establish new ways of working
         between national and local government, and the public and private sectors.

2.32     The LEP outlines nine strategic priorities for the area in its Local Industrial Strategy (LIS). Three of these are key
         drivers for updates and improvements to the distribution network.

         •   ‘A gateway region’ focusses on ‘Growing our region through maximising access to global markets through
             our ports and airports and the potential of the sub-regional economies associated with those gateways.’
             Central to this is access to business supply chains, mobility and connectivity.

         •   ‘Smart mobility’ calls for ‘Better and more efficient connections between businesses and their staff, supply
             chains and markets to enhance productivity and new approaches to mobility that suit the needs of
             residents and the nature of our area.’

         •   ‘Exporting’ supports ‘Increasing the number of companies and the volumes of goods and services being
             exported to increase demand and stimulate investment.’

2.33     The above three strategic priorities collectively create a conducive environment for industrial development to
         emerge in Oakdown Farm. Improving business supply chain, whilst ensuring efficient transport connections as
         well as increasing exporting can all be achieved through an innovative distribution and storage development,
         which Oakdown Farm proposes.

         Summary and conclusion

2.34     The importance of growth in employment within the industrial, and more specifically the distribution, sector is
         recognised across all levels of policy, as is the need for appropriate land to be provided to ensure demand is
         not frustrated by a lack of supply.

2.35     There is a clear recognition in local policy and evidence that the borough lacks sufficient land to
         accommodate forecast demand from the storage and distribution sector and that new (additional) sites need
         to be identified.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                       Page: 13
Client: Newlands Developments                          Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

2.36     Policy and strategy recognise that to be successful any sites proposed for development need to provide the
         appropriate scale of land and premises and marry this with strategic accessibility to enable businesses to
         service multiple markets.

2.37     When considered against this policy direction there is a clear need, justification and requirement for Oakdown
         Farm to come forward for development in order to enable the Council to fulfil its growth objectives.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                 Page: 14
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

3.       Industrial Land Supply

3.1      To understand whether there is a justified need for Oakdown Farm to come forward for development it is
         critical to understand the current employment land portfolio and consider whether it is capable and suitable
         of meeting the needs of all economic activities going forward.

3.2      To develop this understanding, we have used the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment
         (February 2018) to analyse employment land supply in the area. This will enable us to begin to understand how
         current land supply might address future needs, particularly in the large-scale logistics sector. The study
         supports the Council’s commitment within the Local Plan (2016) to review the need for land to be allocated
         for storage and distribution (B8) but also updates the Borough’s wider employment land and economic
         evidence.

3.3      In line with the approach taken in the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment, the industrial uses
         have been split into B1c, B2 and B8 uses. Whilst the focus of this report is on storage and distribution activity
         (B8), it is recognised that permitted development rights allow for some level of fluidity between industrial use-
         classes. As such, the inclusion of all uses sanctioned with permitted change provides a comprehensive
         overview of the existing industrial supply base. Whilst the storage and distribution supply figures outlined below
         set a minimum floor-space supply figure, it is worth considering the potential impact of future changes of use
         from B1c and B2 on the figures provided.

3.4      For allocated sites where available site areas are recorded in hectares, the Basingstoke and Deane Economic
         Needs Assessment (February 2016) assumed a 40% plot ratio to develop a floorspace figure.

3.5      The portfolio of currently available land, and soon to be available land, is as follows:

         Table 3: Existing Industrial Land Supply (B1c and B2 Uses)

                                                                    Permission or     Available site         Net floorspace
            Location         Address                                allocation        area (ha)              gain (sqm)
            Chineham         Larchwood, Crockford Lane              Permission                                         10,721
                             Lutyens Close, Lychpit                 Permission                                          2,550
                             Andwell Trout Farm, Hook               Permission                                            548
            Daneshill East
                             May & Schofield Ltd, Stroudley Rd      Permission                                            533
                             Lane End Farm, East Woodhay            Permission                                            720
            Viables          Jays Close                             Allocation                         1.2              4,800
            Viables          Jays Close/Hatchwarren Lane            Allocation                      0.62                2,480
            Viables          Land at Jays Close                     Allocation                      0.65                2,600
            Ardglen,                                                Emerging
            Whitchurch       Land north of Ardglen Rd               allocation                                          4,000
           TOTAL                                                                                                       28,952
         Source: Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment Feb 2018

Date: July 2020                                                                                                     Page: 15
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Table 4: Existing Storage and Distribution Land Supply (B8 Use)

                                                                    Permission or       Available site         Net floorspace
            Location               Address
                                                                    allocation          area (ha)              gain (sqm)
            Brighton Hill          Marbaix House, Wella Road        Permission                                               2,744
                                   Macmillan & Co Ltd, Brunel
            Houndmills                                              Permission                                              10,050
                                   Rd (Logistics City)
                                   Cranes Rd, Sherborne St
            Non-Allocated Site                                      Permission                                                 420
                                   John
            TOTAL                                                                                                           13,214
         Source: Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment Feb 2018

3.6      Whilst the figures outlined above set the supply figures in February 2018, it is important to analyse the impact
         of planning permissions since this date on the overall industrial supply floorspace figures. All planning consents
         for industrial use or development between February 2018 and March 2020 are outlined below.

         Table 5: Industrial Permissions February 2018 - March 2020

                                                                           Net floor-
                                   Planning
                                               Date of      Proposed       space
            Address                Referen                                               Description
                                               Permission   Use            gain
                                   ce
                                                                           (sqm)
            Linde Material                                                               Application submitted for
            Handling (UK)          19/03045/                Industrial                   construction of steel framed building.
                                               22/11/2019                  646
            Kingsclere Road        FUL                      (B8)                         This project also includes associated
            Basingstoke RG21 6XJ                                                         infrastructure works.
            Barn At Goddards
                                   19/02732/                Business                     Erection of a barn for B1c use (part-
            Farm Goddards Lane                 25/10/2019                  N/A
                                   FUL                      (B1c)                        retrospective)
            Hook RG27 0EL
                                                                                         Application submitted for
                                                                                         construction of 3 employment units
            Former ITT Defence
                                   19/02725/                                             (class B1, B2 and B8) and 2 class A3
            Site Jays Close                    18/10/2019   Industrial     859
                                   FUL                                                   units. This project also includes
            Basingstoke RG22 4BA
                                                                                         associated infrastructure works and
                                                                                         access roads.
                                                                                         Application submitted for change of
            Berry Court Farm
                                   19/00370/                Industrial                   use of land from agricultural to B8
            Bramley Road Tadley                20/09/2019                  N/A
                                   FUL                      (B8)                         use as an extension of berry court
            RG26 5AT
                                                                                         business park.
                                                                                         Application submitted for change of
            Portland Farm
                                   19/02368/                Industrial                   use of a series of existing agricultural
            Popham Lane                        20/09/2019                  545
                                   FUL                      (B1/2/8)                     buildings to a car workshop (B2) and
            Basingstoke RG25 2BD
                                                                                         the storage of cars (B8).
            Clift Meadow                                                                 Application submitted for
                                   19/02042/                Industrial
            Minchens Lane Tadley               16/08/2019                  0             construction of a replacement
                                   FUL                      (B8)
            RG26 5BH                                                                     storage shed.
            Lauriston Court
                                   19/00821/                Industrial
            London Road                        26/07/2019                  N/A           Erection of a scooter store
                                   FUL                      (B8)
            Basingstoke RG21 4BB
                                                                                         Application submitted for
            Linde Material                                                               construction of semi-permanent
            Handling (UK) L        19/01336/                Industrial                   building for the storage of fork lift
                                               14/06/2019                  900
            Kingsclere Road        FUL                      (B8)                         trucks. This project also includes
            Basingstoke RG21 6XJ                                                         associated infrastructure works and
                                                                                         access roads.
                                                                                         Application submitted for demolition
                                                                                         and redevelopment of unit 10 for a
                                                                                         B1(c)/ B2/ B8 unit, together with
            Unit 10 Wade Road      19/00968/                Business                     service yard, car parking, cycle
                                               26/04/2019                  3,486
            Basingstoke RG24 8PL   FUL                      (B1c)                        storage, landscaping and
                                                                                         associated works. This project also
                                                                                         includes associated infrastructure
                                                                                         works and access roads.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                         Page: 16
Client: Newlands Developments                             Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

                                                                            Net floor-
                                     Planning
                                                 Date of      Proposed      space
            Address                  Referen                                              Description
                                                 Permission   Use           gain
                                     ce
                                                                            (sqm)
                                                                                          Application submitted for
                                                                                          construction of steel fabricated shed
            Martin-Brower Uk Ltd                                                          to house bailing machine for 3rd
                                     19/00562/                Industrial
            Houndmills Road                      22/03/2019                 N/A           party recycling. Re-location of
                                     FUL                      (B1/2/8)
            Basingstoke RG21 6XP                                                          existing bailing shed to be used for
                                                                                          storage. Re-configuration of HGV
                                                                                          parking.
                                                                                          Application submitted for
            Land To The North Of                                                          construction of 6 B2/B8 units, parking,
            Kingscler Kingsclere     19/00435/                Business                    landscaping and associated works.
                                                 15/03/2019                 660
            Business Park Newbury    FUL                      (B1c)                       This project also includes associated
            RG20 4SW                                                                      infrastructure works and access
                                                                                          roads.
            The George Inn                                                                Application submitted for
                                     18/03583/                Industrial
            Springhill Lane                      25/01/2019                 17            construction of timber shed (part
                                     FUL                      (B8)
            Andover SP11 6BG                                                              retrospective).
            Wade Road Depot                                                               Application submitted for siting of
                                     18/02357/                Industrial
            Wade Road                            31/08/2018                 N/A           aluminium framed workshop for the
                                     FUL                      (B1/2/8)
            Basingstoke RG24 8PL                                                          servicing of vehicles.
                                                                                          Application submitted for change of
                                                                                          use of the site from storage and
                                                                                          distribution (use class B8) to a flexible
            Unit 5 Sherrington Way   18/01666/                Business
                                                 22/06/2018                 0             business (use class B1), general
            Basingstoke RG22 4DQ     FUL                      (B1c)
                                                                                          industrial (use class B2) and/or
                                                                                          storage and distribution (use class B8)
                                                                                          use.
            Unit 6, Studland                                                              Application submitted for demolition
            Industrial Estate Gore   18/00706/                Business                    of single storey unit and replacement
                                                 23/03/2018                 N/A
            End Road Newbury         FUL                      (B1c)                       with two storey unit to match
            RG20 0PW                                                                      adjoining units.
         Source: EGi, 2020

3.7      Analysing all of the data together, there is a pipeline of 47,221sqm of industrial space, taking account of
         planning consents and allocations (working on the basis of a 40% plot ratio). When looking at B8 storage and
         distribution space alone, the pipeline is just 18,254sqm. Importantly, this figure includes flexible industrial use
         classes. With this in mind, the floorspace figure operating strictly as storage and distribution is likely to be lower
         still. This falls well below the 122,000sqm required over the plan period, as set out within the local plan.

         Analysis of Alternate Sites

3.8      Building on the supply figures outlined above, it is important to note that not all industrial sites are suitable for
         the distribution uses proposed at Oakdown Farm. Reliable and proximate access to the UK’s trunk road
         network, and land parcel and floorspace size are key determinants of suitability for occupiers in the distribution
         sector. The information set out below provides a brief overview of alternative sites to outline the scale and
         nature of potential development opportunities and their similarities/differences with proposals at Oakdown
         Farm.

3.9      All sites considered are taken from the Basingstoke and Deane Economic Needs Assessment (February 2018)
         with no floorspace gains since February 2018 of sufficient size to accommodate distribution activity of the scale
         and nature proposed at Oakdown Farm.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                          Page: 17
Client: Newlands Developments                              Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Chineham

3.10     The site is situated on Chineham Business Park. It’s location at the north eastern tip of the business park presents
         reasonable connections to the A33 trunk road, which itself later connects to the M3.

         Figure 8: Chineham Site Location Plan

         Source: Avison Young, 2020

3.11     The site is 2.34 ha in size, with 10,721sqm of proposed floorspace across three units. The scale and nature of the
         units are potentially targeted towards distribution activity; however, given the size of the units, this would likely
         attract smaller-scale occupiers than is the case at Oakdown Farm. Moreover, the convoluted access to the
         M3 would present challenges to large-scale distribution occupiers.

         Daneshill East

3.12     Daneshill East has had four consented industrial developments at Lutyens Close, Andwell Trout Farm, May &
         Schofield Ltd (Stroudley Rd) and Lane End Farm. Of these permissions, only the scheme at Lutyens Close can
         be categorised as ‘B8 Distribution’ in its nature. The other three schemes are all for units under 1,000sqm on
         plot sizes incapable of facilitating large-scale distribution activity.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                      Page: 18
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 9: Lutyens Close Site Location Plan

         Source: Avison Young, 2020

3.13     As was the case at Chineham, the Lutyens Close site presents good access to the A33 but is not directly
         connected to the M3 motorway.

3.14     The site is 1.04 ha in size, with one 2,550sqm unit proposed. Whilst falling under the ‘B8 distribution’ planning
         categorisation, the scale, location and associated connectivity of the site presents a different proposition to
         that proposed at Oakdown Farm. It is deemed that the scheme at Lutyens Close does little to address the
         unmet need for large-scale, well-connected distribution orientated floorspace that the proposition at
         Oakdown Farm is geared towards.

         Viables

3.15     There are three allocated industrial sites at Viables Business Park. These range in size with the largest allocation
         covering 1.2ha and the smaller sites encompassing 0.62 and 0.65 ha. Working at 40% plot ratios, these sites
         could potentially accommodate 4,800sqm, 2,480sqm and 2,600sqm units respectively.

3.16     It’s worth noting that these allocations are for general industrial use (B1C and B2) and that the sites may come
         forward with multiple units of smaller scales than outlined above.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                     Page: 19
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 10: Jay's Close Connectivity

         Source: Avison Young, 2020

3.17     In terms of accessibility, the site sits adjacent to the M3 motorway and in close proximity to Basingstoke Town
         Centre, providing good transport links for distribution activity. Notwithstanding this, the closest access to the
         Motorway is found at junction 6, requiring a 3-mile journey through the Viables Business Park, and along the
         Ringway South.

3.18     With this in mind, it is deemed that the site would not attract the high-profile distribution occupiers that could
         potentially be attracted by the connectivity found at Oakdown Farm.

         Ardglen Whitchurch

3.19     The emerging allocation at Ardglen Whitchurch presents a site with the scale suitable to facilitate distribution
         activity, however, the location and connectivity to the strategic road network does present challenges. Whilst
         well-served by the A24, the site is poorly connected to the M3 and would be unlikely to attract distribution/e-
         commerce occupiers of the same nature as those who may wish to locate at Oakdown Farm.

         Brighton Hill

3.20     The site at Brighton Hill sits immediately to the North of Wella Road and encompasses 0.44 ha of currently
         derelict industrial land.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                   Page: 20
Client: Newlands Developments                             Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 11: Brighton Hill Site Location Plan

         Source: Avison Young, 2020

3.21     The consented scheme is for the erection of a building to provide office, warehouse storage and yard
         accommodation for the relocation of the Champion Group, who provides scaffolding, brickwork and building
         services. The units will provide 5 ground floor B8 units with first floor office accommodation, totalling 2,449 sqm.

3.22     With the above in mind, it is clear that the site at Brighton Hill will not provide accommodation of the same
         nature as that at Oakdown Farm, or indeed be available to inward investment as it is being built for an
         identified end user

         Houndmills

3.23     The consented scheme at Houndmills comprises three self-contained detached industrial buildings on a 2 ha
         site. Unit A is 3,225sqm, unit B is 4,455sqm and unit C is 1,995sqm.

3.24     The units are suitably sized to accommodate distribution activity; however, the unit sizes fall well short of those
         proposed at Oakdown Farm, and on this basis, would likely attract different occupiers.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                     Page: 21
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 12: Houndmills Site Location Plan

         Source: Avison Young, 2020

3.25     Moreover, the site presents a different kind of connectivity to that proposed at Oakdown Farm, with the
         Houndmills site offering a more strategic location for distribution of goods in and around Basingstoke itself,
         whilst the Oakdown Farm site is likely to appeal more to occupiers who need direct links to the M3 Motorway
         corridor.

         Summary and Conclusion

3.26     It is clear that pipeline supply of storage and distribution floorspace (both in terms of land allocations and
         planning consents) falls well below the 122,000sqm required over the plan period, as set out within the local
         plan.

3.27     Moreover, of the small number of sites coming forward, there isn’t a single development that presents the
         connectivity or scale of development proposed at Oakdown Farm. In this regard, it is unlikely that the approval
         of the scheme would divert future demand away from existing sites given the unique occupier base we expect
         Oakdown Farm to attract, relative to alternative sites.

3.28     Similarly, without Oakdown Farm coming forward it is impossible for the borough (within the existing known
         land portfolio) to accommodate the nature and scale of activity that the market is directing to the borough.

3.29     If the Local Planning Authority is to achieve its target of 122,000sqm of storage and distribution space over the
         plan period, it is essential that a scheme of the scale and nature of the proposal at Oakdown Farm is
         consented.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                  Page: 22
Client: Newlands Developments                             Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

4.       Market Demand and Needs

4.1      The previous sections have considered the policy and land supply position – both drawing directly on evidence
         and information prepared by the Council. In this section we consider market dynamics to develop our
         understanding of the scale and nature of space that businesses are seeking to occupy and identify what this
         may mean for future space needs.

4.2      It should be noted that given this analysis relies on historic data there are some limitations in its usefulness as
         demand will naturally be limited by the provision of space within the borough.

         Basingstoke and Andover Industrial Provision

         Existing Stock

4.3      Basingstoke and Andover can be defined as a functional economic market area (FEMA) 1 that sits to the West
         of Blackwater Valley, North West of East Hants and North of Winchester. Figure 13, is the boundary of the
         Basingstoke and Andover FEMA.

4.4      Despite the LEP study to define the FEMA, Basingstoke and Deans’ Economic Need Assessment is in
         disagreement and consider the Borough as a FEMA on its own. In reality businesses will pay little regard to
         these administrative or planning boundaries and will seek to locate where premises is available and provides
         the appropriate wider conditions.

4.5      Distribution and warehousing businesses tend to be flexible in terms of geography within a target area,
         principally focusing on accessibility to the transport network rather than accessibility to a particular workforce
         as opposed to other employment sectors which are mainly concerned by the access to highly skilled
         workforce such as finance or bio-science for instance. As such a wider area is appropriate to reflect this more
         fluid dynamic.

4.6      As shown in Figure 13, the main cluster of industrial activity is in and around Basingstoke, in the East of the FEMA.
         A second cluster is located in the West of the FEMA, near Walworth Rd and Hopkinson Way in Andover.

         1   EM2 LEP

Date: July 2020                                                                                                      Page: 23
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 13: Basingstoke and Andover Functional Economic Market Area Industrial Properties

         Source: CoStar, March 2020

4.7      The industrial stock within the study area comprises 516 properties equating to 13.9 million sqft of industrial
         floorspace.

4.8      Distribution and Warehousing occupy nearly half of all industrial properties in the area and nearly 70% of the
         total industrial floorspace available which demonstrates the importance of this sector in the local economy
         and a tendency for occupiers in this sector to be larger than other industrial businesses.

4.9      The stock is also relatively consistent in term of quality, with an average rating of 2.5 out of 5 in the CoStar
         assessment. This, in part, reflects the fact the majority of stock is relatively old, with the average industrial
         property being built in the 1980s. However, it should be noted that distribution and warehousing space is, on
         average, newer than other industrial space reflecting the nature of space the sector needs. Despite this much
         of the stock cannot be considered as “modern” by industry standards and is still unlikely to meet occupier
         requirements.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                  Page: 24
Client: Newlands Developments                               Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Table 6: Industrial Stock

                                       Number of
                                                                   Floorspace (sqft)                 CoStar
                                       Properties                                                              Average
                                                                                                     Quality
                                                                                                               Year Built
                                     Total       %        Total           %            Average       Rating

            Distribution              14         3%     2,009,294        14%           143,521         3.1       1991

            Warehouse                238       46%      7,500,638        54%           31,515          2.7       1987

            Light Distribution        2          0%      58,999           0%           29,500          2.5       1978

            Refrigeration/Cold
                                      1          0%      87,445           1%           87,445          3.0       1997
            Storage

            Food Processing           4          1%      480,582          3%           120,146         3.0       2003
            Light
                                      51       10%       979,000          7%           19,196          2.4       1978
            Manufacturing
            Manufacturing             5          1%      853,853          6%           170,771         3.0       1972

            R&D                       1          0%      139,900          1%           139,900         3.0       2014

            Service                  151       29%       899,503          6%            5,957          2.3       1983

            Showroom                  4          1%      92,607           1%           23,152          2.8       2008

            Unknown                   45         9%      797,962          6%           17,732          2.4       1981

            ALL INDUSTRIAL           516       100%     13,899,783       100%          26,938          2.5       1985
         Source: CoStar, March 2020

4.10     Table 7 shows the share of properties built by period. This shows that only 20% of the existing industrial stock
         was built in the last 20 years, with the rest of the stock mainly dating from the 1976-2000 period.

4.11     The low share of distribution space built in the past 20 years (15%) once again demonstrates the lack of
         “modern” distribution properties in the area. This observation is even more relevant for light distribution space,
         with all buildings delivered prior to 2000.

         Table 7: Industrial Stock, year built

                                             Pre-1950    1951-1975      1976-2000        2000-2020

            Distribution                       0%           15%             69%             15%

            Warehouse                          0%           15%             61%             23%

            Light Distribution                 0%           50%             50%             0%

            Refrigeration/Cold Storage         0%           0%             100%             0%

            Food Processing                    0%           0%              50%             50%

            Light Manufacturing                4%           26%             66%             4%

            Manufacturing                      0%           67%             33%             0%

            R&D                                0%           0%                0%           100%

            Service                            1%           22%             57%             19%

            Showroom                           0%           0%              25%             75%

            Unknown                            8%           15%             65%             12%

            ALL INDUSTRIAL                     2%           19%             60%             20%
         Source: CoStar, March 2020

Date: July 2020                                                                                                             Page: 25
Client: Newlands Developments                                  Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

4.12     In terms of size, there is a spread across size bands with c.60% of the entire industrial stock in the area is above
         10,000 sqft, with a third being above 20,000 sqft. There are a limited number of “small” units (assumed as units
         below 5,000 sqft) and these are almost exclusively used for “light manufacturing” activities, “service” activities
         and other unknown activities.

         Table 8: Number of Industrial Properties by Size (sqft)

                                             2,000 -    5,000 -     10,000 -   20,000 -   50,000 -      >
                                   < 2,000                                                                     Smallest     Largest
                                              5,000     10,000       20,000     50,000    100,000    100,000
                                     sqft                                                                       (sqft)       (sqft)
                                               sqft       sqft        sqft       sqft       sqft       sqft
              Distribution           0          0          0             1        3          4         6       14,412      620,000

              Warehouse              1          4          6          93         104        21         9        1,900      341,871

              Light Distribution     0          0          0             1        1          0         0       14,369       44,630
              Refrigeration/
                                     0          0          0             0        0          1         0               87,445
              Cold Storage
              Food Processing        0          0          0             0        1          1         2       43,560      222,167
              Light
                                     4         16          7          11          6          7         0         962        97,636
              Manufacturing
              Manufacturing          0          1          0             0        0          0         4        4,000      410,189

              R&D                    0          0          0             0        0          0         1            139,900

              Service                10        57         79             4        1          0         0         627        35,930

              Showroom               0          1          0             1        1          1         0        3,227       51,626

              Unknown                6          8          6          12         12          0         1         647       168,052

              ALL INDUSTRIAL         21        87         98          123        129        35         23        627       168,052
         Source: CoStar, March 2020

4.13     It is clear that the majority of “large” industrial units (i.e. assumed as units above 100,000 sqft here) are being
         used for distribution and warehousing. Scale is clearly more important to the distribution and warehousing
         activities compared to other activities, with the sector occupying 80% of all industrial units above 20,000 sqft
         and 65% of all units above 50,000 sqft, which highlights the need to respond to their demand for larger units in
         the future.

         Vacancy

4.14     The industrial vacancy rate for all light industrial and industrial uses in the study area is approximately 5% as
         seen in Figure 14.

4.15     This rate is considered to be low and lower than the UK vacancy rate for the industrial and logistics market
         which stands at 6.6% 2. Vacancy rate forecast shows that the rate could fall and remain below 4% in the
         coming years.

4.16     Whilst fluctuating between 2% and 7% since 2010, the vacancy rate has been relatively stable and low, which
         demonstrates the strength of the industrial property market and the appetite from tenants for space in the
         area.

         2   https://www.savills.com/research_articles/255800/284259-0

Date: July 2020                                                                                                            Page: 26
Client: Newlands Developments                            Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

         Figure 14: Basingstoke and Andover Industrial Vacancy Rates

         Source: CoStar, March 2020

4.17     Low vacancy rates are not desirable to sustain local economic growth and high productivity as, due to lack
         of available space, businesses wishing to expand their activities or settle in the area might be forced to look
         elsewhere for suitable and available space – sometimes in sub-optimal locations.

4.18     Basingstoke Council should therefore encourage the delivery of new industrial space in the local area to
         ensure its full economic potential and support high levels of productivity in the industrial sector.

4.19     The industrial vacancy rate for distribution and warehouses in the study area is approximately 5.5% as seen in
         Figure 15, which is 0.5% lower than the total industrial vacancy rate of Basingstoke and Andover. This suggests
         that demand for space in the distribution and warehousing sector is higher (when compared to overall supply)
         than the wider industrial market.

         Figure 15: Basingstoke and Andover Industrial Vacancy Rates (distribution and warehousing only)

         Source: CoStar, March 2020

Date: July 2020                                                                                                  Page: 27
Client: Newlands Developments                           Report Title: Oakdown Farm Employment Land & Economic Assessment

4.20     The spike in vacancy between 2016 and 2018 is largely driven by an increase in supply of distribution and
         warehousing space during that period, most notably large quantum’s of space in two consecutive years
         (620,000 sqft in 2015 and 417,500 sqft in 2016) and the time needed to lease out space with the average
         number of months of the market of properties fluctuating between 4 months and 24 months in the past 10
         years.

4.21     Whilst space delivered in 2015 was absorbed rapidly, space delivered in 2016, 4 units, all warehousing
         (including one units of 341,000 sqft and one unit of 51,000 sqft) stayed on the market for an average of 9
         months (this is shown by a small drop in vacancy from 2016 to 2017).

         Take-Up

4.22     The net take-up provides an indication in the change of floorspace available across a period of time. A
         positive net absorption means that more space was leased up than the amount of space that was made
         available on the market. A positive net absorption will suggest a decrease of the vacancy rate.

4.23     Space could be made available either by businesses moving out and vacating existing space or by the
         delivery of new properties.

4.24     When looking at Figure 16, we observe that the Distribution and Warehousing space has a net absorption rate
         similar to the one of the entire industrial stock. This suggests that the main activity on the industrial property
         market is driven by distribution and warehousing space.

         Figure 16: Net Absorption of Industrial Floorspace

         Source: CoStar, March 2020

4.25     In the main net absorption has been positive and for a significant scale of space, this suggests ongoing
         demand for space with take up being greater than the vacation of space.

Date: July 2020                                                                                                   Page: 28
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