PROVINCIAL POPULATION AND HARVEST ESTIMATES OF MOOSE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA

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PROVINCIAL POPULATION AND HARVEST ESTIMATES OF MOOSE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
PROVINCIAL POPULATION AND HARVEST ESTIMATES OF MOOSE IN
BRITISH COLUMBIA

Gerald W. Kuzyk

Ministry of Forests, Lands and Natural Resource Operations, P.O. Box 9391, Victoria, British Columbia
V8W 9M8, Canada

ABSTRACT: Provincial population and harvest estimates of moose in British Columbia, Canada
were assessed over a 28-year period from 1987 to 2014. The population generally remained stable,
whereas the licensed hunter harvest declined gradually by about half despite constant hunter effort.
The annual population estimate ranged from a low of 157,000 moose in 1994 to a high of 190,000
in 2011, with an overall mean of 172,000 ± 9900 (SD). In 2014, the relative status of hunted popula-
tions within 7 wildlife administrative units was 1 increasing, 3 stable, and 3 in decline. The mean an-
nual licensed harvest was 10,038 ± 2137 (SD) moose, and the mean harvest rate was 6 ± 1.3% (SD). In
December 2013, British Columbia initiated a 5-year (2013–2018) research project to identify factors
contributing to the decline of the moose population and licensed harvest.

                                                                   ALCES VOL. 52: 1–11 (2016)

Key words: Alces alces, British Columbia, harvest, moose, population

     Periodic updates of moose (Alces alces)               Moose in British Columbia are highly
abundance are necessary to assess manage-             valued for food, social, and ceremonial pur-
ment objectives (Brown 2011), evaluate sus-           poses by First Nations, for recreational and
tainable harvest (Timmerman and Buss                  commercial harvest opportunities by licensed
2007), and to provide information to the              hunters, and for wildlife viewing. Specific
public. Assessing licensed harvest concur-            management objectives for moose harvest
rent with population estimates should pro-            are to manage for First Nations use, support
vide better understanding and explanation             a sustainable licensed hunter harvest, and pro-
of population fluctuations over time. Moose           vide for diverse hunter opportunities (BC
population estimates are also used for com-           FLNRO 2015). Assessment of abundance
                                                      and licensed harvest estimates is required to
parison among jurisdictions to assess pat-
                                                      ensure that harvest levels are sustainable
terns of broad-scale population trends. In
                                                      (Hatter 1999), objective information is avail-
North America, there is current concern for
                                                      able for management decisions, and to pro-
declining populations in southern parts of
                                                      vide accurate information on the status of
moose range (Murray et al. 2006, Lenarz               moose to stakeholders and the public (BC
et al. 2009), whereas populations remain              FLNRO 2015). The purpose of this paper is
stable in other areas (Murray et al. 2012).           to provide an overview of the population
Explanations for population change include            abundance and licensed harvest of moose in
human-caused habitat alterations (Rempel              British Columbia from 1987 to 2014.
et al. 1997), climate change (Rempel 2011),
and a combination of natural and human-                             STUDY AREA
influenced variables (Murray et al. 2006,                 British Columbia is an ecologically di-
Brown 2011).                                          verse province (Meidinger and Pojar 1991)

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PROVINCIAL POPULATION AND HARVEST ESTIMATES OF MOOSE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC – KUZYK                                   ALCES VOL. 52, 2016

where moose are widely distributed (Fig. 1)            bears (Ursus arctos), and black bears (U.
and occupy a range of landscapes including             americanus), with cougars (Puma concolor)
wet coastal habitats, dry interior forests,            important in southern British Columbia
cold northern forests, and montane habitats            (Spalding and Lesowski 1971). Bull hunts
(Eastman and Ritcey 1987). At the provincial           were mostly open seasons, with antler restric-
scale, moose co-exist with several ungulate            tions or limited entry hunts occurring
species including bison (Bison bison), mule            between 15 August and 30 November.
deer (Odocoileus hemionus), white-tailed               Antlerless harvest was largely restricted to
deer (Odocoileus virginianus), elk (Cervus             limited entry hunts with some general open
elaphus), and caribou (Rangifer tarandus)              seasons for calves in select areas. Seasons
(Shackleton 1999). The main predators of               for antlerless moose occurred between 1 Oc-
moose are wolves (Canis lupus), grizzly                tober and 10 December (BC MOE 2010).

Fig. 1. Distribution and population status (i.e., stable, increasing, decreasing) of moose in 7 wildlife
  administrative units in British Columbia, Canada, 2014.

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ALCES VOL. 52, 2016                   KUZYK – POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC

Hunting seasons were generally available              with radio-marked moose in central British
throughout the distribution of moose with             Columbia (Quayle et al. 2001). Aerial sur-
the exception of Regions 1 and 2 which                veys were required to conform to standards
have few moose (i.e.,
POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC – KUZYK                                   ALCES VOL. 52, 2016

resource professionals. This information was           Figs. 1 and 4), and one region was increasing
gathered during a variety of forums and loca-          (Region 8; Figs. 1 and 3).
tions including formal stakeholder meetings                The mean annual licensed harvest from
and informal discussions.                              1987 to 2014 was estimated as 10,038 ±
     Licensed harvest of moose was moni-               2137 (SD). Total harvest declined gradually
tored annually from 1987 to 2014 with a pro-           by about one-half during this period, yet
vincial resident hunter survey, and guide              hunter effort (average days hunted) remained
declarations for non-resident hunters. Har-            stable (Fig. 5). The mean annual licensed
vest information from First Nations was not            harvest rate from 1987 to 2014 was 6 ±
part of the provincial hunter survey and was           1.3% (SD), ranging two-fold from a high of
largely unknown (BC FLNRO 2015), with                  8% in 1987 to a low of 4% in 2011. From
the exception of certain First Nations com-            1987 to 2014, the mean number of licensed
munities that voluntarily provided informa-            hunters (resident and non-resident combined)
tion. Estimates of licensed hunter harvest             was 33,721 ± 4292 (SD) that spent 273,622 ±
(resident and non-resident combined), hunter           32,521 (SD) days of hunter effort (Table 1).
days, and hunter numbers were available, all           The mean annual hunting license sales was
with 95% confidence intervals (CI). These              39,815 ± 4158 (SD) from 1989 to 2014
estimates were produced from mail-out ques-            and varied minimally from 1993 to 2014
tionnaires sent to a random sample of resident         (Table 1).
hunters; from 2008 to 2014 an average of
13,003 questionnaires were mailed annually
with an average response rate of 61%.                                  DISCUSSION
Licensed harvest rates were calculated                      The annual moose population in British
from the provincial population estimate for            Columbia during 1987–2014 was relatively
a given year and the average of the 3 nearest          stable, averaging 172,000. In 2014 hunted
harvest estimates; 2014 was an exception               populations were stable in 3 regions, decreas-
when the average of the 2 nearest harvest              ing in 3 regions, and increasing in one.
estimates were used because of delay in the            Although both provincial and regional popula-
2015 estimate. Combined resident and non-              tion estimates had varied levels of uncertainty,
resident hunting license sales from 1989 to            they remain important for resource mana-
2014 were used to further measure hunter               gers to address management objectives (BC
interest.                                              FLNRO 2015), and to inform First Nations,
                                                       stakeholders, and the general public about
                  RESULTS                              the status of moose in British Columbia.
     The mean annual population estimate                    The estimation error was partially re-
of moose in British Columbia was 172,000               sponsible for the uncertainty reported in
± 9900 (SD) from 1987 to 2014. Annual esti-            the abundance estimates. The variation in
mates were relatively stable ranging from a            the population estimates may reflect the
low of 157,000 moose in 1994 to a high of              varied abundance and composition of local
190,000 in 2011 (Fig. 2). The minimum and              and regional predators (Ballard and Van
maximum estimates (i.e, from 2000 to 2014)             Ballenberghe 2007), human-altered land-
reflected varied levels of uncertainty (Fig. 2).       scape change (Rempel et al. 1997) which
The 2014 estimates varied among the 7 regions          may enhance forage quality and quantity
with hunted populations: 3 were considered             while facilitating predator and hunter access
stable (Regions 3, 6, and 7B; Figs. 1 and 3),          to moose, and variation in licensed and un-
3 were declining (Regions 4, 5, and 7A;                licensed harvest levels (Timmerman and

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ALCES VOL. 52, 2016                   KUZYK – POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC

        Fig. 2. Provincial population estimates of moose and trend line derived from
         inventories, population modeling, and expert opinion from 1987 to 2014 in British
         Columbia, Canada. Minimum and maximum ranges in population estimates are
         presented from 2000 to 2014.

Buss 2007). Other factors such as weather,          due to easier access afforded by high density
disease, parasites, and accidents including         of roads and cutblocks (Ritchie 2008).
road and rail mortality also influence local             To address the recent moose population
moose abundance. The quality of data used           declines, British Columbia initiated a provin-
to develop the population estimates could           cially-coordinated research project in 2013 to
also be improved with increased financial           evaluate the landscape change hypothesis
and logistical support that would provide           (Kuzyk and Heard 2014) and to increase
more aerial surveys over a broader geograph-        science-based information for moose man-
ical area.                                          agement. To date, unpublished data from
     Of most concern to stakeholders were re-       this research has provided no evidence that
cent (2008–2014) population declines in             low pregnancy rates, infectious disease, or
Regions 4, 5, and 7A (Fig. 4). In two regions       parasites are influencing the moose popula-
(Region 5 and 7A) the moose declines coin-          tion (H. Schwantje, BC FLNRO, personal
cided with a mountain pine beetle (Dendroc-         communication). Similarly, preliminary adult
tonus ponderosae) epidemic (Chan-McLeod             survival rates are within the limits of a stable
2006) which led to increased salvage logging        moose population (92 ± 8% in 2013–2014
and associated road building. This type of          and 92 ± 5% in 2014–2015; Kuzyk et al.
landscape change can presumably alter the           2015). In southeastern British Columbia (Re-
spatial dynamics of moose, predators, and           gion 4), declining forage production in older
hunters, ultimately influencing moose abun-         burns and wolf predation are believed limit-
dance and harvest rate. Although moose              ing to moose population growth (Stent
should benefit from salvage logging through         2009, 2012). Further, in an attempt to reduce
increased forage production (Janz 2006),            predation of an endangered caribou popula-
those benefits are not immediate and may            tion, the local moose density was reduced
be offset by higher harvest and predation           which lowered wolf abundance in a small

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POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC – KUZYK                                  ALCES VOL. 52, 2016

                                                      Fig. 4. Regional moose population estimates and
                                                        declining trend lines in Regions 4, 5, and 7A
                                                        as derived from inventories, population mod-
                                                        eling, and expert opinion, 1987–2014, British
                                                        Columbia, Canada. Minimum and maximum
                                                        ranges in population estimates are presented
                                                        for 2000–2014.

                                                      portion of the region (~6,375 km2) (Serrouya
                                                      et al. 2011, Serrouya 2013).
                                                           Given stakeholder and public concern
Fig. 3. Regional moose population estimates           for declining moose populations, it is import-
  and trend lines in Regions 3, 6, 7B, and 8 as
                                                      ant to maintain a balanced, provincial-level
  derived from inventories, population modeling
  and expert opinion, 1987–2014, British Co-
                                                      assessment and approach that also addresses
  lumbia, Canada. Minimum and maximum                 regions with stable or increasing populations.
  ranges in population estimates are presented        The large northwestern (Region 6) and north-
  for 2000–2014.                                      eastern (Region 7B) regions with stable

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ALCES VOL. 52, 2016                  KUZYK – POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC

Fig. 5. Annual estimates of provincial moose harvest and hunter effort (average days hunted) by
  licensed hunters, British Columbia, 1987–2014.

moose populations are more remote than              recommended for northern systems where
those in the southern half of the province          predation is believed to limit moose density
and have not undergone landscape change             (e.g., Yukon; Hayes et al. 2003), and may be
that presumably facilitates hunter and preda-       appropriate in northern regions of British
tor access. These regions also experienced          Columbia (Hatter 1999).
little impact from the mountain pine beetle              First Nations harvest of moose is thought
outbreak compared to the central interior           to be broadly distributed province-wide (BC
regions (Region 5 and 7A). The one stable           FLNRO 2015), but because no formal method
population in the south was largely affected        exists to quantify First Nations harvest, the
by the mountain pine beetle and salvage             total harvest and rates reported here are under-
logging, but had lower wolf density com-            estimated and conservative. For example,
pared to northern regions (BC FLNRO                 local harvest may have been underestimated
2014, Kuzyk and Hatter 2014). The increas-          by up to 40% in Ontario by not accounting
ing population in the southern region (Re-          for First Nations harvest (Leblanc et al.
gion 8) overlapped with a recolonizing wolf         2011). Harvest information from First Nations
population (BC FLNRO 2014). Further, this           in British Columbia would benefit future man-
regional estimate was revised in 2013 with          agement efforts to ensure sustainable harvests
a habitat-based model (Gyug 2013) that              for all users including First Nations, recre-
may have amplified the estimated increase           ational hunters, and the guide-outfitting indus-
in abundance between 2011 and 2014.                 try (BC FLNRO 2015).
      The average (6%) and range (4–8%) of               An important outcome from this assess-
the provincial licensed harvest rate were           ment was documentation of the gradual de-
mid-range of values reported throughout             cline in licensed harvest by approximately
North America (2–16%; Crête 1987). More             half over 28 years from 1987 to 2014, despite
conservative harvest rates of 5% are                constant hunter effort, indicating that the kill

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POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC – KUZYK                                    ALCES VOL. 52, 2016

Table 1. A summary of annual moose license sales and annual estimates of licensed hunters, hunter days,
  and moose harvest in British Columbia, Canada, 1987–2014.
Year         Licensed hunters        Licensed hunter days        Licensed harvest         License sales
1987              42,526                   338,482                    13,463                   N/A
1988              42,679                   334,246                    13,539                   N/A
1989              41,979                   332,852                    14,070                 51,520
1990              42,104                   334,718                    13,457                 50,367
1991              39,400                   304,852                    12,251                 46,010
1992              38,973                   314,613                    11,557                 45,289
1993              33,236                   252,647                    10,025                 38,538
1994              31,423                   247,039                     9944                  37,714
1995              31,778                   248,281                    11,047                 38,018
1996              30,923                   245,617                     9701                  35,948
1997              32,085                   251,582                    10,494                 37,243
1998              35,617                   276,206                    11,438                 41,089
1999              29,840                   250,287                     7459                  35,612
2000              31,106                   255,569                     9182                  36,221
2001              30,988                   272,771                    10,290                 36,145
2002              31,829                   256,975                    10,803                 37,010
2003              31,493                   238,983                    11,309                 36,608
2004              27,293                   214,743                     9571                  40,438
2005              31,498                   253,619                     9980                  37,175
2006              32,010                   247,409                     9939                  38,374
2007              31,719                   260,126                     8000                  38,069
2008              31,368                   267,654                     8730                  37,125
2009              32,880                   291,920                     8074                  40,371
2010              32,242                   270,781                     8836                  39,733
2011              32,324                   280,931                     7660                  40,503
2012              32,277                   276,699                     7576                  40,236
2013              32,420                   280,133                     6890                  40,109
2014              30,172                   261,677                     5773                  39,723
Mean          33,721 ± 4292            273,622 ± 32,521           10,038 ± 2137          39,815 ± 4158

per unit of effort (kills/hunter days) had            effort through increased opportunity to hunt
declined. The disparity between these two             moose, without increasing harvest. Finally,
trends may be related to difficulties produ-          although hunters maintained constant hunt-
cing accurate provincial population estimates         ing effort as harvest declined, lower hunter
that are driven by wide regional variation.           success often reflects inclement weather and
Further, changes in the hunting season struc-         human disturbance that influence moose dis-
ture in the early 1990s reduced harvest levels        tribution. Given the number, frequency, and
in some regions (Hatter 1999), and similarly,         variable proportional influence of these fac-
a regulatory change allowing shared limited           tors, kill per unit of effort is probably not a
entry hunts in the early 2000s raised hunter          reliable measurement to assess moose

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ALCES VOL. 52, 2016                   KUZYK – POPULATIONS AND HARVEST OF MOOSE IN BC

abundance in British Columbia (Hatter 2001).          –––. 2015. Provincial Framework for Moose
Further research should help identify the rela-           Management in British Columbia. Fish
tionships among moose abundance, harvest                  and Wildlife Branch, Victoria, British
rate, hunter effort, and landscape changes.               Columbia, Canada.
It is important that regional and provincial          BROWN, G. S. 2011. Patterns and causes of
moose abundance estimates and harvest data                demographic variation in a harvested
                                                          moose population: evidence for the
be monitored and evaluated on a regular basis
                                                          effects of climate and density-dependent
to improve regional, provincial, and range-               drivers. Journal of Animal Ecology 80:
wide status of moose.                                     1288–1298. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2656.
                                                          2011.01875.x.
        ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS                              CHAN-MCLEOD, A. C. A. 2006. A review and
     I would like to thank B. Cadsand, D.                 synthesis of the effects of unsalvaged
Heard, S. MacIver, S. Marshall, C. Procter,               mountain-pine-beetle-attacked stands on
P. Stent, C. Thiessen, M. Bridger, H.                     wildlife and implications for forest
Schwantje, and A.Walker for their comments                management. British Columbia Journal
and discussions on early drafts of this paper             of Ecosystems and Management 7:
and M. Klaczek for producing Fig. 1. Special              119–132.
thanks to I. Hatter who helped interpret re-          CRÊTE, M. 1987. The impact of sport hunting
gional moose population estimates and pro-                on North American moose. Swedish
vided useful revisions to a later version of              Wildlife Research, Supplement 1:
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                                                      D’EON, R. G., S. F. WILSON, and D. HAMILTON.
from Associate Editor E. Bergman and two
                                                          2006. Ground-based inventory methods for
anonymous reviewers which improved this
                                                          ungulates: snow-track surveys. Standards
manuscript.                                               for Components of British Columbia’s
                                                          Biodiversity No. 33a. Resource Informa-
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