SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021

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SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
SeqFEWS Enhancements
Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Contents
➢ Useful features from Delft-FEWS 2019.02

➢ Enhancements on existing features

➢ Next Gen Gate Ops

➢ Ongoing developments
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Useful features from 2019.02

                               3
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Dashboards
• Comparing Forecast Rainfall Products

                                         4
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Dashboards
                            Point & grid
  • Rainfall Monitoring   rainfall in last 3
                               hours

   Catchment
average rainfall                                ADFD 25%
 in last 3 hours                               Fcst rainfall in
                                                next 3 hours

                                                ADFD 25%
   Catchment
                                                 catchment
average rainfall
                                                average fcst
in last 12 hours
                                               rainfall in next
                                                  12 hours

                                                            5
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Time series resampling

                         6
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Dynamic timeseries thresholds based on accumulation
period

                            Between 1 in
                            10 to 1 in 20

                                                      7
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Dynamic timeseries thresholds based on accumulation
period

                            Between 1 in
                            20 to 1 in 50

                                                      8
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Dynamic timeseries thresholds based on accumulation
period

                             Between 1 in
                             10 to 1 in 20

                                                      9
SeqFEWS Enhancements Delft-FEWS User Days Australia 2021
Search and Select forecasts

                              10
Enhancements on existing functions

                                     11
Further improvements on using templates
                                         To run multiple
                                     ensemble model runs in
                                       different folders in
                                             parallel.

              New tag added to
            integrate special runs
            such as WaterCoach
              training workflows
                                                              12
Further improvements on using templates

                          No. of files if not using No. of file after using
                          templates                 templates

URBS Model Module Files   120                       37

URBS Model Historical     58                        9
Ensemble Runs

RTC Reservoir Model       54                        23
Module Files

WaterCoach Training       42                        15
Module Files

                                                                              13
Direct BoM FTP import of Observed Data
 • A great redundancy for observed data.
   – Contributes about 10% of the total data count in each 15 minutes time step.
   – Great for server maintenance.

        Observed Water level Count                   Observed Rainfall Count

BoM_FTP contributes ~10% data in average   BoM_FTP contributes ~12% data in average

                                                                                      14
Back up of the back up
• Operational standalone
  – Standalone FEWS System
  – Including the latest forecast data and observed data in last two weeks.
  – Can be used by multiple people at the same time.
  – Sharing database over a local network using the Master and Participates
    method.

  This is a real event
  •   Working from home.
  •   Home internet was fine.
  •   Access to Corporate datacentre was
      down.
  •   Access to Corporate OneDrive was fine.

  ➢ Download the Operational Standalone
    from OneDrive.
  ➢ Running the system on home network.
  ➢ Getting the latest observed data from
    direct BoM FTP Feed.

                                                                              15
Next Gen Gate Ops

                    16
One step forward
• First investigation commenced in 2015.
• Adopted in the operational configuration (for testing) in late 2020.
• Adopted the Three Nodes approach.
  – Planning Node: Automatic release plan development (RTC Tools).
  – Adjusting Node: User to fine tune the gate settings (RTC Tools).
  – Reviewing Node: Review the potential downstream impacts (URBS).
Design philosophy

                                                             Simplify change
                                                              management.
     Capable of
      operating
     throughout                              Easy to
    emergencies.                              use                              Clear presentation all
                                                                                critical information.
                               Handle the
                                                         Clear to
                                unlikely
                                                           see
                                events

  Ability to handle                         Next Gen
                                            Gate Ops                               Capture critical
    changes in                                                                 decisions, who makes
 operating rule and                                                                them and what
 dam configuration.            Flexible &                Able to
                                Robust                    track                   information was
                                                                                      available.
                                             Situation
                                            awareness

               Highlight key issues,
                    e.g. gates
                   overtopping

                                                                                                    18
Workshops and trainings

• Multiple workshops with the selected engineers
  (focus group)
  – Useability and underlying assumptions.
  – Testing and validation of edge cases.
  – Graphical representations.
  – Additional scenarios, e.g. gates failure.
                                                    Modifying gate settings overview
• Multiple workshops with all engineers        1. Run key models
                                               a)
                                               b)
                                                    Upper Brisbane
                                                    Lower Brisbane
                                                                             2. Adjust Moggill
                                                                             target flow
                                                                             a)   Review Guide Curve
                                                                                                       3. Adjust, Adopt and Approve settings
                                                                                                       a)
                                                                                                            i.
                                                                                                                   Run Gate Adjusting
                                                                                                                     Review (plot 1, 2, 3 & 5)

  – Introduction to the system.
                                               c)   Gate Planning (Node 1)                                  ii.      Adjust settings
                                                                             b)   Adjust target flow
                                                                                  modifier                  iii.     Repeat
                                                                             c)   Rerun, repeat
                                                                                                            Right click → Add comment
                                                                                                            [to lock-in gate settings]

  – Development of modelling procedures.                                                                b)          Run Lower Bris
                                                                                                                    Routing Review

  – Receive further feedbacks.
                                                                                                               i.     Review results
                                                                                                                                                 c
                                                                                                        c)          Run Approved Run
                                                                                                               i.     Review plotting
                                                                                                                      position of Guide
                                                                                                                      Curve

                                                                                                                                           b

• Further workshops / trainings
  – Simulated synthetic flood events.
  – Testing the system at different stage of a flood
    event.

                                                                                                                                                     19
Report
• Working on a comprehensive report to capture the model logics, data I/O,
  assumptions and etc.
                                                                                                   User defined target flow, drain down                                    User Defined Drain     User Defined Drain
                                      WD Lvl (T-1)         WD Qout (T-1)                          and gates failure are only applicable to                                   Down Period           Down Duration
                                                                                                          time steps beyond T0

                                    Lowood local flow                                              WD
                                                                        Lowood
                                    (Dam Time) + WD                                              Opening                      True
                                                                        Total Q
                                        Outflow                                                  Interval
                                                                                                                                              If WD Lvl >= 75,
                                                                                                                                             adjust opening and
                                                                                                                                               closing interval

                                                                                                WD Closing
                                                                                                                               True
                                                                                                 Interval

                                   Check if SDWD combined volume is greater                  SDWD
                                  than the previous peak volume. Set V combine              Combined                    V combine
                                      counter to 0 if a new peak is identified,               Peak                       counter
                                                  otherwise +1.                              Volume

                                    Check if there is a new peak flow at Moggill.
                                                                                           Peak flow at
                                   Only check the peak if the drain down strategy
                                                                                             Moggill
                                                      is triggered

                                                                                           Check if drain down
                                                                                               has started                             Check if there is an
                                                                                                                      False            user defined drain
                                Continue DD and reduce drain down duration          True                                                 down period
                                                by 1 hour

                                                                                                                               True                               False
                                                                                                                                                                Check if V combine counter is > 12 and WD
                                                                                            Start drain down and use user defined drain                       level has fallen by 1 meter from the peak level.
                                                                                           down period and duration if the computation                          If both conditions are met, start drain down
                                                                                                         time step is after T0.                                 and using default drain down duration (168
                                                                                                                                                                                   hours).

                                                                                                                                                          DD
                                                                                                                 DD Start
                                                                                                                                                        Duration

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       20
Use of Modifiers
• Save and track engineer’s decisions
  through out a flood event.

• Handle the unlikely scenarios. Also
  useful for scenario testing.

                                        21
Use of plots

• Scatter plot with coloured background
  – Visualising historical strategies
  – Understand the current strategy
  – Tooltip text

                                          22
Use of plots

  • Customised plot to present additional information
    – Customised axis labels                            14 timeseries
    – Customised plot weights                            in the plots
    – User defined visibilities

4 timeseries
in the table

                                                                        23
User of plots
• Customised plot to present additional information
  – Consistent colour and line styles.
  – Combine different plot types to highlights the information.

                                                                  Combination of
                                                                   line and area

                                                                               24
Use of plots

• Situation awareness
  – Highlight any abnormal status, e.g. gates overtopping

          Top of the
            gates

           Simulated
           lake level

                                                            25
Side products
• Export and Email predictions in one click.

                                               26
Ongoing projects

                   27
Next Generation Hydraulic Model for Lockyer & Lower
Brisbane
• Based on the Fast Model from
  Brisbane River Catchment Flood
  Study.
• Modified input locations to improve
  run time.
• A great collaboration with BMT to
  develop the post adaptor and
  additional functions.
• Under UAT.
FEWS Calibration dataset
• A Standalone SeqFEWS platform which contains observed data from multiple
  sources.
• Observed rainfall data sets are semi-cleaned (up to 90%) using the Spatial
  Homogeneity function in Delft-FEWS.

                               Previous Calibration    With the New FEWS
                                                       Calibration Dataset
  Identify historical events   Only based on water     Based on both water
                               level                   level and rainfall
  Data availability            Varies for each         1841 – 2016 +
                               catchment
  Calibrated parameters        α, β, IL, CL            + ILR, BR, BC
  Report ready outputs         Very limited             HTML Report, plots, csv
❖ Ability to rerun all events with the event-based parameters or a single set of
  parameters in one click.
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