The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry

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The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry
The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry
The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry
Defining the Telecom landscape
                                                PURCHASE MODEL                                           Mobile Network Operator (MNO)*
                                     Post-paid                                Pre-paid                   A wireless service provider that owns and controls all the
                                                                                                         elements needed (including radio spectrum) to sell and deliver
                                                                                                         connectivity to an end user. In the US, there are four main
                                                                                                         MNOs: AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, and Dish.
                     MNO

                                                                                                         Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO)
    OPEARTOR MODEL

                                                                                                         Lease wireless capacity from one of the MNOs in the US at
                                                                                                         wholesale prices and resell it to consumers at reduced retail
                                                                                                         prices under their own brands. There are over 1,000 MVNOs
                                                                                                         internationally, which account for ~10% of total mobile users.

                                 X
                                                                                                         Pre-paid Wireless Plans
                     MVNO

                                                                                                         Customers pay a flat fee upfront for service.

                                                                                                         Post-paid Wireless Plans
                                                                                                         Customer are billed at the end of every month based on their
                                                                                                         usage.

                            *US Cellular is also technically an MNO, but is significantly smaller than
                            the Big 4 Carriers
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The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry
The relationship between different network operators
    There is a revenue-generating, symbiotic relationship between pre-paid and post-paid service providers

                                  AT&T rents spectrum from the US government
                      Premium Spectrum                                           Standard Spectrum
                 Sold in a POST-PAID contract                             Sold via a PRE-PAID monthly fee

                                       Owned & Operated by AT&T                                     Operated by lessees
                                                MNO                                                       MVNO

    1                                       2                                      3
        MNOs lease spectrum from                With the lower quality                 Or they lease it to virtual
        US government. They charge              spectrum, MNOs operate                 network operators who run
        a premium to serve their own            their own pre-paid wireless            pre-paid services at a lower
        customers with the highest              businesses.                            cost to consumers.
        quality spectrum.

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The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry
Outside of the Big 4, the marketplace is fragmented
    Pre-paids compete against each other for product and price differentiation

      MNO*
    (Post-paid)

      MNO
    (Pre-paid)

      MVNO
    (Pre-paid)

                  *US Cellular is also technically an MNO, but is significantly smaller than the Big 4 Carriers
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The Rise of the Pre-Paid Wireless Industry
Pre-paid is a lucrative and quickly growing industry

           $55B                                                       29%                                                     $1B
          Market Valuation 2017                                 of Mobile Subscribers in US                               Global Ad Spend in 2019

       $120B                                                          71%
                                                                  Mobile Communications
                                                                                                                              118%
       Market Valuation by 2024                                                                                       Market Value Growth by 2024
                                                                    Occur over Wi-Fi

    Source: MarketWatch, MediaRadar 2019 Spend Report, Mintel 2020 “Mobile Network Providers – US,” Cisco Visual Networking
    Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2016-2021
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Pre-paids have unique dynamics vs. post-paids
                Network Footprint                                            Point of Sale                                            Hardware & Services

            Mostly regional; MVNOs lease                            Bought online or in major retail                                Cheaper, outdated devices & pre-
            spectrum from multiple MNOs                            outlets; few have their own stores                                 paid, no-contract data plans

                                                          T H E P R E - PA I D C U S T O M E R

                                                                                      Dine out 6+ times
                                                                                          per week                                        Pre-paid subscribers
                                                                                         134   Index                                       skew lower income
             61%

                                                                                                           % Pre-paid Subscribers
                                                                                                                                     50
                                                                                      Make purchases                                          39
      pre-paid subscribers                                                                                                           40
                                                                                     online
These dynamics create unique business challenges

         A Domineering                                                                               Less Budget for
                                                                Weaker Brands
           Oligopoly                                                                                 More Targeting

     •    The Big 4 wireless providers                      •    Due to lack of awareness and    •   Pre-paids target a narrower
          account for over 75% of all                            contracts, pre-paids struggle       audience than their post-paid
          wireless subscriptions.                                to cultivate loyalty.               counterparts, and with less
                                                                                                     budget.
     •    Huge market caps come with                        •    Only 8.9% of consumers
          powerful marketing budgets                             think pre-paids are high        •   They struggle to reach
          that lead to nearly universal                          quality, compared to 21.7%          prospective customers in a
          brand awareness.                                       for post-paids.                     precise yet economical way.

    Source: Mintel “Mobile Network Providers – US” (2020), YouGov Brand Index – 2019

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How pre-paids & MVNOs have navigated those
    challenges to date

        Created Unique                       Highlighted
                                                                                Relied on Local
        Brand Identities                   Savings & Value

    •   Pre-paid advertisers have      •   Pre-paids heavily promote        •   Pre-paid advertisers,
        carved out a distinct brand        their low cost and good value.       particularly MVNOs, often
        identity.                                                               operate only in certain areas.
                                       •   They drive brand love and
    •   They typically emphasize           loyalty by positioning           •   As a result, they tend to
        simplicity, price, and value       themselves as likeable, easy,        allocate their ad spend
        over any other attribute.          and reliable alternatives to         locally, focusing on key
                                           pricier post-paid competitors.       markets.

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Pre-paid Wireless Brands are increasing in ad spend…

                                                           Telecom Total Media Spend: 2019
                $700

                $600
                                                                    Pre-paid Wireless ad spend totaled over a billion dollars
                $500
                                                           $1B      in 2019, comprising 31% of overall Wireless ad spend
     Millions

                $400

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    Source: MediaRadar 2019 Spend Report (Print, Digital, + TV)

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But they are spending differently
     MVNOs invested significantly more in local markets and print advertising

                        2019 Wireless Ad Spend                                    2019 Wireless Local TV Ad Spend
                POST-PAID                                PRE-PAID
                      (MNO)                               (MNO+MVNO)

                                                                              POST-PAID    1%
                     1%                                           6%            (MNO)
                           10%
                                                                        12%

                    $2.3B                                    $1.0B
                    Total                                    Total
                                                         82%                  PRE-PAID                       30%
                   89%                                                        (MNO+MVNO)

      Source: MediaRadar 2019 Wireless Spend Report, Nielsen Ad Intel

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Pre-paid marketers constantly seek creative ways
     to differentiate their brands from the major carriers

                                                                                                                                                                 G E O - TA R G E T I N G I N R E TA I L
     Visible                                              Xfinity Mobile                                       Boost Mobile
     App-only business turns to OOH                       Quantifying cost savings                             Empowers voters

                                                                                                                                                                                                           S T R A I G H T
     •   Visible’s service runs entirely through an app   •   Turned YouTube pre-roll ads into price tags      •   Meaningfully broke through to its
         (no store or salespeople)                            to prove it’s worth switching providers              multicultural, millennial audience by
                                                                                                                   “boosting” their voice on Election Day
     •   To highlight its unconventional service,         •   Contextually relevant 6-second ads

                                                                                                                                                                                                           T A L K
         Visible used empty retail stores as a                quantified the data cost of the video about to   •   Turned Boost Mobile stores into official
         billboard                                            play                                                 polling stations, making it easier for low-

                                                                                                                                                                                                           W I R E L E S S
                                                                                                                   income workers to vote without worrying
     •   With limited budget, Visible leverage OOH        •   Audience-led strategy targeted viewers
                                                                                                                   about long lines or far away polls
         and digital/social ads to focus on key               based on their current service provider
         markets

11                                                             Click each image for more details
NBCU offers solutions for pre-paid challenges

             Owning High                             Strengthening                                Activating
           Impact Positions                            The Brand                                  Audiences

       •    NBCU owns a deep portfolio of        •   NBCU’s award winning branded          •   Leverage NBCU’s suite of data-
            tentpoles, sponsorships, and             content can tell our clients’ brand       driven targeting products to reach
            programs to increase awareness           stories in creative & contextually        any audience across all screens
            and consideration for pre-paids.         relevant ways to consumers.               and platforms.

       •    Category exclusivity available to    •   Tap into NBCU’s wide range of         •   A properly constructed NBCU
            develop true ownership positions         commercial innovations to                 plan is proven to drive full funnel
            against larger competitors.              increase consideration & impact.          results for Telecom brands.

       •    Amplify sponsorships via NBCU        •   Build brand equity beyond price       •   NBCU offers measurement
            Talent/IP, branded content, social       and promotional messaging.                solutions that prove conversion
            media, experiential, and more.                                                     lifts for Telecom brands.

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Telecommunications
                                                 C L I E N T S T R AT E G Y T E A M

     Thank you!
     Please reach out with
     any questions or to
     learn more about
                               Nick Youngman                                                 Cory Hinton
                                VP, Client Strategy                                      Director, Client Strategy
     NBCU’s pre-paid         Nicholas.Youngman@nbcuni.com                                  Cory.Hinton@nbcuni.com
     wireless solutions

                                                               Olivia Zderic
                                                            Manager, Client Strategy
                                                              Olivia.Zderic@nbcuni.com

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