YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

Page created by Jeff Wong
 
CONTINUE READING
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
YiTrackers May 2020 Update
Rong Zhang, Hao Chen
June 29, 2020

Acknowledgement
Daini Wang, Jing Yun
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The Market
• Business recovery drives YoY in May to 40%
• MoM of 14% exceeds MoM of 5.7% in May
  2019
• Comparing to the rank of 7 YiTrackers in May
  2019, Safety, Cleaning & Health, Beverage, and
  Baby Food are gainers
• Growth momentum in April and May is
  stronger than pre-COVID-19 YoY in Nov and
  December
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Comparing to YiTrackers ranking in May 2019, Safety, Cleaning & Health, Beverage, and Baby Food are
gainers

Data Source: Tmall Data and Yimian Analysis   ©YIMIAN DATA                                            3
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Tmall GMV in May followed the seasonal rise of prior years with a stronger momentum; April-May YoY
    growth exceeds that of the two months before COVID-19

                                        Seasonal Pattern of Tmall GMV                         Year-Over-Year GMV
              300                                                                               Growth Rate(%)

              250

              200
CNY BILLION

              150
                                                                                                                35
                                                                                           31
              100

               50
                                                                                                       8

                0

                                                                                          Nov-Dec

                                                                                                     Jan-Feb

                                                                                                               Apr-May
                                                                                                      2020
                                                                                           2019

                                                                                                                2020
                    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun                     Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
                                       2018         2019         2020
    Data Source: Tmall Data, Yimian Analysis and YiDrone Tool              ©YIMIAN DATA                                  4
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
April-May YoY rates of Beverage, Safety, Cleaning & Health, Baby Food, Snacks, and Electronics all
exceed pre-COVID-19 levels; Personal Care & Cosmetics and Pet Food also regained most of their pre-
COVID-19 YoY growth

                                                                                                                              Change of YoY Growth
                                                                                                                              vs. Pre-COVID-19

                                                                 GMV YoY Growth Change During COVID-19 and Recovery
    YoY Growth(%)

                              98
                                               72                                                             49
                    68                                           56 55
                         46          53 59
                                                            33              38          40    29       36          31 34           35 19 34
                                                                                 12                7
                    Beverage       Safety, Cleaning         Baby Food         Snacks          Electronics   Personal Care &        Pet Food
                                      & Health                                                                 Cosmetics

                                                       Nov-Dec 2019       Jan-Feb 2020       Apr-May 2020
Data Source: Tmall Data, Yimian Analysis and YiDrone Tool                ©YIMIAN DATA                                                                5
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
In May, the market overall achieves 40% year-over-year and 14% month-over-month growth. Snack is
the only YiTracker with below-market YoY. Personal Care & Cosmetics beats market in MoM growth.

Data Source: Tmall Data, Yimian Analysis and YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                           6
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Baby Food
• Nature’s Way leverages top live-streaming KOL
  Viva Huang to drive DHA/Walnut Oil growth
• BIOSTIME markets its LPN ingredient to boost
  infant immune system and enters top 10
• MEILING and BAIYUE cater to recent rising
  interest in goat milk and achieve strong growth
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Baby food beats the market                         Baby Food                             YiTracker (1/7)
annual growth in May,
although with a 10% decline
over April.
Mellin is a stronger driver of
Juice/Beverage, growing by 4.5x
MoM in May.

Thanks to live-streaming top KOL
Viva Huang, Nature's Way's
DHA/Walnut Oil sales explodes.

Nestle, Abbott, Nutricia, and
Infatrini are the few dominant
players in premature infant formula,
taking more than 90% of share.

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                     8
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
9 of April top 10 brands stay,                    Baby Food                             YiTracker (1/7)
except Yili replaced by
Biostime.
Domestic brand Biostime partners
with French companies and source
milk from Europe, strengthening its
"import" image. Biostime's Paixing
brand markets its LPN (Lactopontin)
ingredient to boost infant immune
system, offers bulk package, and
achieves strong sales in recent
months.

                                      Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                     9
YITRACKERS MAY 2020 UPDATE - RONG ZHANG, HAO CHEN JUNE 29, 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The fastest-growing brands                          Baby Food                             YiTracker (1/7)
grow by ~15x/year and
~5x/month in May, which are
moderate comparing to fast
growers in some other
categories.

COVID-19 impacted supply chain
and consumer trust of overseas milk.
Happy Prince offers free trials and
large order discounts to grow sales.

Meiling and Baiyue cater to recent
rising consumer interest in goat milk
and achieve strong growth.

                                        Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 10
Beverage
• "Line-and-crowd skipping" self-serve coffee
  products and "0-additive, high-calcium, freshly-
  milked" goat milk continue to grow above
  average
• WANGWANG innovates with "milk-frozen-into-
  ice-cream"
• NONGFU attracts athletes with "single-hand-
  opening, non-spill" bottles
• VOSS and GEXISHI get boost from KOLs
  including Dwayne Johnson and Viva Huang
Beverage beats market in                            Beverage                              YiTracker (2/7)
annual growth and sustains its
April sales level.

Self-serve coffee products, including
Coffee Liquid Concentrate, Drip
Cofee, and Capsule Coffee, help
consumers to avoid lines and crowds
in coffee shops and continue strong
growth in May.

Goat milk is marketed as the animal
milk most resembling human milk.
The best-selling keywords include
"no additives", "high calcium", and
"freshly milked".

                                        Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 12
WANGWANG enters Top 10; NESTLE
and SOYMILK lose ranks; MENGNIU
                                                   Beverage                              YiTracker (2/7)
is the only brand with MoM decline.

WANGWANG innovates with
DONGCHI product line to "free a cup
of milk into ice-cream".

NONGFU Spring, the maker of
popular sport drink JIANJIAO, now
sells bottled water packaged
especially for sport activities with
convenient features such as "single-
hand cap opening" and "falling
without spilling".

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 13
The fastest-growing brands grow by
~62x/year and ~16x/month in May,
                                                   Beverage                              YiTracker (2/7)
painting a volatile segment.
"Health" theme is strengthened by
COVID-19.

VOSS contracted Hollywood
celebrity Dwayne Johnson in 2019,
and inserted placements in popular
online TV show "The Best Partner",
both of which helped its growth.

GEXISHI focuses on wild pueraria
instant drink, which is healthy for
hot summer days. The brand
contracted Viva Huang, the recent
Top KOL in live-streaming, to drive
online traffic.

GOLD KANO drives growth mainly
with its best-selling Enzyme Fruit
Tea with "0 fat" to attract health-
conscious consumers, marketing its
products as "delicious drink without
calorie concerns".

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 14
Electronics
• "Lazy cleaning" trend drives the growth of
  ultrasonic cleaners and window-cleaning or floor-
  sweeping robots
• "Air safety" concerns help sales of forced-air
  ventilation and anti-mildew disinfection air
  conditioners
• "Healthy & natural" preference is met by home
  water filtration and integrated ceiling fan-and-
  light
• "Business restart" pulls more commercial water
  dispenser sales
Electronics grows at rates on par
with the market. “Get Lazy" and
                                                   Electronics                           YiTracker (3/7)
"Prevent Infection" are the top
needs.

Ultrasonic Cleaners help consumers
clean hard-to-machine wash
underwear without moving a finger.

Window Cleaning Robots and
Sweeping Robots help busy
commuters to reduce the
housework load.

"Air Safety" in a world shared with
COVID-19 drives the sales of
Household Forced Ventilation
Systems, not only to block smog,
but also to prevent virus infection.

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 16
The top 10 brands are the same as
April. BEAR loses places.
                                                    Electronics                           YiTracker (3/7)

In May, after the issuance of New
National Standards for Energy
Efficiency of Air Conditioners, CHIGO
launches the healthier inverter air
conditioners. Its intelligent anti-
mildew, intelligent cloud technology
and effective sterilization are
addressing consumers "air safety"
concerns amid COVID-19, boosting
its rank to No.7.

                                        Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 17
The fastest-growing brands grow by
~88x/year and ~20x/month in May,
                                                  Electronics                           YiTracker (3/7)
painting a volatile segment.

LINWON focuses on integrated
ceiling fan and light for consumers
seeking "natural, healthy, and
comfortable" lifestyles.

Canature built-in water purifiers
make drinking water available,
eliminating cumbersome water jugs
and reducing risks of infection.

SPRING WATER achieves high YoY
and MoM growth with its
commercial drinking water
dispensers, as schools,
kindergartens, and factories resume
operations.

                                      Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 18
Personal Care & Cosmetics
• "Summer essentials" address hair removal,
  sunblock, and sweat control needs
• "Occasional mask removal" stimulates makeup,
  lipsticks and acne-control products
• SK-II refurbishes its 2020 Tokyo Olympic campaign
  to "Spring Doll"
• "Cross-category brand copy" helps Rimula Men's
  Cosmetics free-ride on the traffic of a more
  famous men's apparel brand with an identical
  Chinese name.
Personal Care & Cosmetics is on par
                                                  Personal Care & Cosmetics                  YiTracker (4/7)
with the market for year-over-year
growth; it beats the market for
month-over-month growth.

Seasonal "summer days" demand
drives the sales of Women's Hair
Removers, Sunscreen, Anti-
perspirant, and Refreshing
Ointment.

As COVID-19 comes under control,
mask-wearing occasionally becomes
optional. Make-up and Oral Cavity
Beauty & Care gradually recover at
higher YoY and MoM growth than
the overall Personal Care &
Cosmetics.

                                      Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool        ©YIMIAN DATA                 20
YAMAN, SK-II, and YSL replaced
VENZEN, OKADY, and BOTEX in Top
                                                   Personal Care & Cosmetics                  YiTracker (4/7)
10, in which all brands grow both
annually and monthly.

YAMAN comes from Japan, focusing
on beauty apparatuses. YAMAN
contracts KOL Faye Yu in May to
drive sales of its ACE-line of Radio
Frequency Beauty-care Instrument.

SK-II's facial treatment essence
turns the original 2020 Tokyo
Olympic campaign into a revised
Spring-Doll campaign, an "Adaptive
Marketing" story. The cute
Japanese dolls help SK-II enter the
Top 10 list.

YSL rides the consumers urge to
remove masks whenever possible
now with COVID-19 under control
and grows its sales of lipsticks and
liquid foundation.

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool        ©YIMIAN DATA                 21
The fastest-growing brands                          Personal Care & Cosmetics                  YiTracker (4/7)
expand by ~307x/year and
~60x/month in May with
dramatic re-shuffles.

QuadHA is a sub-brand of
BIOHYALUX, the creator of popular
Forbidden City Lipsticks. It mainly
sells Anti-Acne 5D Hyaluronic Acid
Concentrate Against Acne, the
demand of which is on the rise as
consumers find more occasions to
take off masks.

Rimula, a niche brand focusing on
Men’s cosmetics, is different from K-
Boxing. Rimula's Chinese brand,
"Jinba", is identical to established
men's apparel brand K-Boxing. It
borrows the fame of K-Boxing to
target the same target customers
across categories and to achieve fast
growth.

                                        Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool        ©YIMIAN DATA                 22
Safety, Cleaning & Health
• As virus risks of hospital visits dwindle, orders of
  HPV vaccine reservation skyrocket
• "More time out of home" warms up laundry
  products
• COFOE and RONGSHENG position post-cosmetic-
  surgery facial masks as remedy for respirator mask
  discomfort
• HONGXIN differentiates with portable
  moxibustion boxes
• GONGFUBENSE stands out with low-priced
  bamboo-pulp tissues
In May, Safety, Cleaning &                       Safety, Cleaning & Health                  YiTracker (5/7)
Health continue to beat market
overall YoY growth. Masks,
Sterilization for clothes and
HPV Vaccine Reservation
services show significant
rebound.

As COVID-19 comes under control,
people become more comfortable
going to hospitals to get vaccine
shots. HPV (Cervical Cancer)
Vaccine Reservation services grow
significantly.

Laundry products, such as Clothes
Sterilization, Laundry Beads,
Refresher Beads and Color-Fast
Bleach, help with virus prevention
post-pandemic and achieve, high
YoY and MoM growth.

                                     Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool        ©YIMIAN DATA                 24
Walch rises to No.3;                              Safety, Cleaning & Health                  YiTracker (5/7)
RONGSHENG is back to Top 10,
replacing Yuwell. Tissue brands
decline MoM for the 2nd month.

Sterilization needs go beyond hands
to underwear, clothes and
household appliances post
pandemic, propelling the growth of
Walch.

Cofoe and RONGSHENG market
their post-cosmetic-surgery facial
masks as alleviation of mask-
wearing discomfort.

                                      Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool        ©YIMIAN DATA                 25
The fastest-growing brands of                      Safety, Cleaning & Health                  YiTracker (5/7)
Safety, Cleaning & Health
explode by ~334x/year and
~14x/month in May.

Upon reports of potential COVID-19
spread through human excrement,
consumers pay more attention to
toilet hygiene. Bref grows fast by
promoting its disinfection
performance and cleaning results.

HONGXIN mainly sells moxibustion
instruments and wormwood-leaf
foot bath. Its portable household
moxibustion box sells well, helping,
HONGXIN enter the top MoM
growth list.

GONGFUBENSE, specialized in
bamboo pulp tissues, achieves a
high MoM growth mainly by offering
very competitive unit price .

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool        ©YIMIAN DATA                 26
Snacks
• "Craving office workers" prefer individual-serve
  snack packages
• Jay Chou and Viva Huang feed Oreo "nostalgia
  traffic" by bringing back childhood memories
• BAOJUYUAN vacuum-pack ready-to-eat meats
  make meat enjoyment convenient and safe
  beyond meals
• As a "chat snack", SHALAODA's sunflower
  seeds grow rapidly as social gatherings are
  coming back
Snacks in May declines from                        Snacks                                YiTracker (6/7)
April, with a below-market-
average YoY growth rate.

The category MoM growth of
Pudding is boosted by an internet-
popular item MOCAKING. Kumquat
Products top the MoM growth
driven by LINGSHISECAI’s dried
kumquat with crystal sugar and
TIANXI’s dried kumquat.

Snacks with small packages for
individual serves become popular as
businesses are re-opening, driven by
the demand of "office snack" and
"afternoon tea breaks".

                                       Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 28
Oreo and YITAO enter top                          Snacks                                YiTracker (6/7)
brands list, replacing QIMIAO
and PANPAN. ZHOU HEI YA
rises to No.4 with a steady
growth.
To many, “Twist, Lick, and Dip” of
Oreo cookies is a sweet childhood
memory. Oreo signed with Jay Chou
and Viya Huang on a nostalgia
campaign, helping its strong sales.

YITAO focuses on nuts and offers
cyber-hot “Daily Nuts” gift packs
targeting the young crowd.

                                      Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 29
The fastest-growing brands                           Snacks                                YiTracker (6/7)
explode by ~47x/year and
~22x/month in May, with
brands frequently shuffle and
intensive competition in
Snacks.
BAOJUYUAN mainly make vacuum
ready-to-eat meat, including donkey
meat, beef, pork, and chicken, etc. It
is convenient for consumers to enjoy
safe meat beyond meals.

LISHIYOUPIN focuses on Egg-yolk
puff and yogurt drinks. The
exposure at Guangxi Educational TV
Channel boosts its growth, a similar
success story to "A Bite of China" TV
show.

SHALAODA from Xinjiang mainly
sells sunflower seeds with multiple
flavors. It's a popular "chat snack"
for gradually resumed social
gatherings.

                                         Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 30
Pet Food
• The growth of cat foods continues to beat that
  of dog foods
• The growth of wet foods continues to exceed
  that of dry foods
• The top 10 brand list is stable with majority of
  brands showing both annual and monthly
  growth except CRAZY DOG and KERES
• Fast-growing brands resort to content
  marketing or competitive pricing
The YoY growth of Pet Food in                       Pet Food                              YiTracker (7/7)
May is on par with the market,
with a moderate MoM growth
rate.
Sales of Pet Food bounce back, with
all sub-categories growing positively
YoY and MoM.

The growth of cat food continues to
beat that of dog food, and the
growth of wet food continues to
exceed that of dry food.

                                        Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 32
All top 10 brands grow month                    Pet Food                              YiTracker (7/7)
over month. The list of brands
is stable.

It's about time to replenish the
home inventory of pet food,
commonly stockpiled during the
pandemic. Most top 10 brands grow
both YoY and MoM, except Keres
and Crazy dog showing a year over
year decline.

                                    Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 33
The fastest-growing brands                          Pet Food                              YiTracker (7/7)
expand by ~5x/year and
~2.4x/month in May, showing
the least volatility among all
YiTrackers.

BENEFITS-COUNTRYSIDE is a
domestic brand strong in content
marketing through its official Bai
Jiahao account. They published
articles on how to keep healthy pets,
closely engaging with pet owners.

QIAOMANYAO and ZHENZHILE,
domestic brands that compete on
price to attract price-sensitive
consumers, achieving strong YoY
and MoM growth.

                                        Source of Insights: YiDrone Tool   ©YIMIAN DATA                 34
What are YiTrackers?

 YiTrackers capture trends of consumer needs. Based on Yimian's client serving experience, each YiTracker
 includes a number of online product categories that address a common theme of consumer needs.

• Each YiTracker defines Jan 2019 GMV as the baseline at 100 points

• Our data support deep-dive analyses into each YiTracker, down to SKU level with high resolution data on brands,
  stores, and product attributes

• Three key charts are selected to highlight the dynamics of each YiTracker

    • Category size and growth

    • Top Brands by market share

    • Top brands by year-over-year and month-over-month growth

                                                    ©YIMIAN DATA                                                    35
Overview of 7 YiTrackers

   Theme of YiTrackers                                      # of Categories   Monthly GMV Scale (CNY)

           Baby Food                                                     34   Billions

           Beverage                                                      71   Billions

           Electronics                                                  310   Billions

           Personal Care & Cosmetics                                    284   Tens of Billions

            Safety, Cleaning & Health (“COVID-19”)                      335   Billions

            Snacks                                                      133   Billions

            Pet Food                                                      6   Billions
Source: Yimian By Ascential
                                                     ©YIMIAN DATA                                       36
Contact Us

      Yimian by Ascential
      E: data@yimian.com.cn
      T: +86-755-86503625
      A: 47/F China Energy Storage Building,
      No.3099 KeYuan South Road, Nanshan District,
      Shenzhen, Guangdong, P.R. China
You can also read