2018 governor races House 2018 races Senate 2018 races - Cook Political Report ratings
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House 2018 races Senate 2018 races 2018 governor races Cook Political Report ratings October 22/23, 2018
Current House and Senate divisions
House of Representatives Senate
50 votes for majority
215 votes
needed to pass* 60 votes for
supermajority
Total Republicans 235 Total Republicans 51
Total Democrats 193 Total Democrats/Independents 49
Vacancies 7 Vacancies 0
*With seven vacancies and if all sitting members vote
Sources: House and Senate Clerks
Daniel Stublen | Slide last updated on: October 4, 2018 2How big of a swing? Control of the House will depend on
whether Democrats can win most “Toss Up” races
Cook Political Report ratings
ALL 2018 HOUSE RACES
Solid to Lean R (196) Toss Ups (30) Lean to Solid D (209)
218 majority line
Solid Republican 142
Likely Republican 26 1
Lean Republican 26 1
Toss Up 29 1
Lean Democrat 13 2
Likely Democrat 4 8
Solid Democrat 182
Source: Cook Political Report.
Daniel Stublen | Slide last updated on: October 23, 2018 3House Republicans are defending 98 competitive seats to
only 13 competitive Democratic seats
(1 Dem, 29 GOP)
Cook Political Report ratings MN-1 Walz* (1 Dem, 26 GOP)
CA-10 Denham (1 Dem, 26 GOP)
COMPETITIVE 2018 HOUSE RACES CA-25 Knight
CA-39 Royce* MN-8 Nolan* PA-14 OPEN (Lamb)
Democrat-held seat AK-AL Young
CA-45 Walters AZ-6 Schweikert
Republican-held seat AR-2 Hill
CA-48 Rohrabacher AZ-8 Lesko
FL-15 Ross* CA-50 Hunter CA-4 McClintock
*Asterisks denote incumbents not seeking reelection,
FL-26 Curbelo FL-6 DeSantis* CA-21 Valadao
seeking other office, or lost their primary election
IA-3 Young FL-16 Buchanan CO-3 Tipton
IL-14 Hultgren GA-6 Handel FL-18 Mast
KS-2 Jenkins* GA-7 Woodall FL-25 Diaz-Balart
KY-6 Barr IL-12 Bost IA-04 King
ME-2 Poliquin IL-13 Davis IN-2 Walorski
(2 Dem, 13 GOP) MI-8 Bishop MO-2 Wagner MI-1 Bergman
NC-9 Pittenger* MT-AL Gianforte MI-3 Amash
NV-3 Rosen* NC-13 Budd NC-2 Holding MI-6 Upton
(8 Dem, 4 GOP) NV-4 Kihuen* NJ-3 MacArthur NE-2 Bacon MI-7 Walberg
AZ-2 McSally* NJ-7 Lance NY-11 Donovan NC-8 Hudson
AZ-1 O’Halleran CA-49 Issa* NM-2 Pearce* NY-24 Katko NY-1 Zeldin
CA-7 Bera CO-6 Coffman NY-19 Faso NY-27 Collins NY-2 King
CA-16 Costa IA-1 Blum NY-22 Tenney PA-10 Perry NY-21 Stefanik
FL-7 Murphy IL-6 Roskam OH-1 Chabot PA-16 Kelly NY-23 Reed
MN-7 Peterson FL-27 Ros-Lehtinen* OH-12 Balderson SC-1 Sanford* OH-10 Turner
NH-1 Shea-Porter* KS-3 Yoder PA-1 Fitzpatrick TX-22 Olson OH-14 Joyce
NJ-5 Gottheimer MI-11 Trott* TX-7 Culberson TX-23 Hurd OK-05 Russell
PA-8 Cartwright MN-2 Lewis TX-32 Sessions VA-5 Garrett* TX-2 Poe*
PA-17 Rothfus/Lamb MN-3 Paulsen UT-4 Love WA-3 Beutler TX-21 Smith*
NJ-2 LoBiondo* NJ-11 Frelinghuysen* VA-2 Taylor WA-5 McMorris Rodgers TX-24 Marchant
PA-5 VACANT-Meehan PA-7 VACANT-Dent VA-7 Brat WI-1 Ryan* TX-31 Carter
PA-6 Costello* VA-10 Comstock WA-8 Reichert* WV-3 Jenkins* WI-6 Grothman
Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican
Source: Cook Political Report.
Slide last updated on: October 23, 2018 426 Senate seats up for election in 2018 are held by
Democrats and Independents out of a total of 35
States with U.S. Senate seats up for election
Democratic-held seat Republican held seat Independent held seat
WA
ME
MT ND
OR MN
ID SD WI NY
VT
WY MI
IA PA MA
NE
NV
UT OH RI
IL IN
CO WV
CA KS MO VA CT
KY
NC NJ
AZ TN
OK
NM AR SC DE
MS AL GA MD
TX LA DC
AK
FL
HI
Sources: Charlie Cook, “Will History Hold in 2018 Midterms?” The Cook Political Report, January 9, 2017, National Journal Research, 2017.
Slide last updated on September 11, 2018 3Control of the Senate will depend on the eight “Toss Up” seats
Cook Political Report ratings
ALL 2018 SENATE RACES
14 Democrat held seat
Republican held seat
*Asterisks denote incumbents not seeking reelection
8
4 4
3
1 1
Solid Democrat Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican Solid Republican
Feinstein (CA) Stabenow (MI) Smith (MN) Nelson (FL) Heitkamp (ND) Hyde-Smith (MS) Wicker (MS)
Murphy (CT) Brown (OH) Menendez (NJ) Donnelly (IN) Fischer (NE)
Carper (DE) Casey (PA) Manchin (WV) McCaskill (MO) Hatch (UT)*
Hirono (HI) Baldwin (WI) Tester (MT) Barrasso (WY)
Warren (MA) Flake (AZ)*
Cardin (MD) Heller (NV)
King (ME)(I) Corker (TN)*
Klobuchar (MN) Cruz (TX)
Heinrich (NM)
Gillibrand (NY)
Whitehouse (RI)
Kaine (VA)
Sanders (VT)(I)
Cantwell (WA)
Source: The Cook Political Report, 2018.
Slide last updated on October 19, 2018 2Breakdown of all current governors
Governors, by party
AS OF SEPTEMBER 28, 2018
Republican Democrat Independent
1
16
33
Sources: Cook Political Report, 2017.
Slide last updated on: June 19, 2018 4In 2018, Republicans must defend 13 governorships without
an incumbent, as opposed to only 4 for Democrats
2018 gubernatorial races by incumbent and status
Dem. incumbent (5) Dem. open* (4) Incumbent open* (1)
GOP incumbent (13) GOP open* (13) No election (14)
WA
ME
MT ND VT
OR MN
NH
ID SD WI NY
WY MI
MA
IA PA
NV NE RI
OH
UT IL IN
CT
CO WV
CA KS MO VA
KY NJ
NC DE
TN
AZ OK
NM AR SC MD
MS AL GA
TX LA
AK
FL
HI
*“Open seats” are governorships where incumbent governors are term-limited, they have announced that they are not running for re-election, lost their primary (Colyer), or dropped out of the race (Walker)
Sources: Cook Political Report, 2018.
Slide last updated on: October 22, 2018 312 Governorships currently held by Republicans are
considered Toss Ups or worse
Cook Political Report 2018 governor rankings
2
9
8
2
1 5
3 1
2 2
1
Solid Democrat Likely Democrat Lean Democrat Toss Up Lean Republican Likely Republican Solid Republican
CA – Brown* MN – Dayton* CO – Hickenlooper* CT – Malloy* AK – Walker (I)*** AZ – Ducey AL – Ivey
HI – Ige PA – Wolf RI – Raimondo OR – Brown OK – Fallin* MD – Hogan AR – Hutchinson
NY – Cuomo IL – Rauner MI – Snyder* FL – Scott* NH – Sununu ID – Otter*
NM – Martinez* GA – Deal* SC – McMaster MA – Baker
IA – Reynolds TN – Haslam* NE – Ricketts
KS – Colyer** TX – Abbott
ME – LePage* WY – Mead*
NV – Sandoval* VT – Scott
OH – Kasich*
SD – Daugaard*
WI – Walker
*Retiring or term-limited
**Jeff Colyer lost the Kansas gubernatorial primary to Kris Kobach
***Bill Walker has dropped out of the Alaska gubernatorial race
Source: Cook Political Report.
Slide last updated on: October 22, 2018 2You can also read
