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Trade &                                                               asianafrican.org

Investment
Opportunities In
Asian & African
Countries,

2020
VOL01 EDITION01 | JANUARY2020

          KNOWLEDGE
           PARTNER

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                 1
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Disclaimer

The report is prepared using information of a general nature and is not        document, as well as any data and maps included, are without prejudice to the
intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or          status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international
entity. The report has been prepared from various public sources and the       frontiers and boundaries, and to the name of any territory, city or area.
information received from these sources is believed to be reliable. The
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                                                                               © Asian-African Chamber of Commerce & Industry
The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily
reflect the official views of the Asian-African Chamber of Commerce &          ISBN 978-9938-882-97-1 (print)
Industry, its Boards of Directors, or the countries they represent. This       ISBN 978-9938-882-97-1 (electronic)
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Trade & Investment
     Opportunities in
Asian & African Countries
         2020
         POWERED BY
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
CONTENTS

   Message from Founder & Chairman                          06

   Message from Vice Chairman – Africa                      07

   President-Foreword                                       08

   Message from Director & CEO, Skyquest Technology Group   09

   Acknowledgements                                         10

   Executive Summary                                        11

   List of Tables & Figures                                 13

   Abbreviations                                            13

   Chapter 1
   Introduction to Asian and African Economies              14

   Chapter 2
   Economic Outlook                                         16
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Chapter 3
Top Sectoral Analysis                                         22

Chapter 4
Import Export Trends and Opportunities                        26

Chapter 6
Foreign Direct Investments                                    36

Chapter 7
Asia – Africa Growth Corridor, Convergence of Opportunities   40

PEST Analysis                                                 42

Conclusion                                                    44

Notes                                                         45

References                                                    45
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Message From

FOUNDER
  &
  CHAIRMAN

Asian countries had concentrated on providing Africans
with knowledge and access to technologies. This may include
scholarships and specialized training courses for Africans to
study in Asia. Often, it also entails sending Asian experts to
help train farmers, fishermen, small business people and other
producers in new techniques for improving their output and
efficiency.

Africa is benefitting from a growing Asian interest in the
continent’s investment opportunities. Because of the high profit
rates that foreign investors can earn in Africa -- combined with
improvements in Africa’s investment codes, privatization of
state enterprises and liberalization of economic management
-- Asian investments began to mount in the early 1990s. To
African exporters, Asia is an enormous market that they have           Dr GD Singh
only begun to tap. Asian businesses, in turn, are beginning
to more systematically explore how they can sell their goods
in Africa, especially in countries where economic growth has
been strong. Trade relations between the two continents are
therefore driven by a dynamic of mutual interest.

Trade and Investments in Asian and African Economy Report
                                                                       Historically,
is a continuous dialogue. It seeks to highlight the Trade and          ties between
Investment Climate in the Asian and African Economies. The
report is driven by the belief that Asian and African Economies        Africa and Asia are
can build shared prosperity for its citizens.
                                                                       not new. For centuries,
Against this background, Asian and African Economy Report
aims to provide the key economic indicators and the areas to           there was considerable
deepen the Trade and Investment relationship between the
economies by analyzing the historical data and providing key           migration and commerce
sectoral analysis for high growth sectors such as Agriculture,
Infrastructure, Consumer Goods, Banking, Oil and Gas,
                                                                       among societies on
Telecommunication, Automobiles and E-Commerce which
suggests that there is a huge potential for Asian and African
                                                                       opposite sides of the
Economy to explore further synergies in each of these sectors.         Indian Ocean. Trade and
Together, let us work hard towards finding solutions to ensure         other economic relations
that economic change does not create new hardships, but
benefits that are widely shared and lead to a better life for all. I   between Africa and Asia
welcome your feedback for us to advance our research in these
areas.                                                                 “existed long before
Thank you.                                                             colonialism.
 6                                                                       Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Message From

                            VICE
CHAIRMAN
                 AFRICA
                                                                      Africa’s integration with Asia plays important roles. It proposes
                                                                      four major pillars to bring peoples, goods, services, capital
                                                                      and institutions closer together and help realise the objectives
                                                                      of the Asia–Africa partnership for sustainable and innovative
                                                                      development in development and cooperation projects, quality
                                                                      infrastructure and institutional connectivity, enhancing
                                                                      capacities and skills; and people-to-people partnership.

                                                                      These pillars will facilitate and enhance economic growth by
                                                                      linking economies in Asia and Africa, which in turn will lead
                                                                      to improvement in various arenas, including institutional and
                                                                      human capacity; connections between institutions and people;
                                                                      the planning and execution of projects; trade facilitation;
                                                                      human resource development; technology improvement; and
                                                                      infrastructure of the two continents. The idea is to transform
                                                                      the region into a growth corridor that will embed the
                                                                      development processes and value chains in Africa and Asia. It
                                                                      will enable the connected economies to further integrate and
                                                                      emerge as a globally competitive economic region.

                                               High Prince
                                   Dr Leye Talpha Babalola            Asian African Trade and
                                                                      Investment Report will
                                                                      highlight the key areas
                                                                      and opportunities of trade
                                                                      and investment in these
Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
                                                                      regions.                  7
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
PRESIDENT                                                       Foreword
With an ongoing socio-economic tectonic shift, we are truly
amidst an Afro-Asian century. As number of major matrices
indicates, the global socio-economic centre of gravity has
been shifting to the world’s two most populous continents
with enormous human and material resources waiting to be
fully harnessed. At a different level, the two continents are
the decisive battlefields against our planet’s current global
challenges – from climate change to overpopulation, and from
underdevelopment to improved governance.

This is neither to underplay
importance of actions
elsewhere nor to treat
Africa and Asia in mutual
isolation. Indeed, the
world is increasingly
globalised and Africa
and Asia are increasingly                                       Ambassador Mahesh Sachdev
intertwined through trade,                                      Former Indian Ambassador to Algeria and
                                                                Norway, High Commissioner to Nigeria;
investments and people-to-                                      President, India, AACCI and Founder
                                                                President, Eco-Diplomacy and Strategies
people exchanges

 8                                                                Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Message From

DIRECTOR
              & CEO                                                   Asia’s relationship with African countries can be classified as
                                                                      both distinguished and unique. Both the economies are driven
                                                                      by similar factors such as growing GDP, rising per capita
                                                                      income, among others. Both Asia and Africa have embarked
                                                                      upon establishing new areas of trade and development.

                                                                      The partnership in the last few years have vivacious, extending
                                                                      and touching greater heights in terms of rapidly increasing
                                                                      trade and investment to technology transfers, knowledge
                                                                      sharing and skills development.

                                                                      The untapped opportunities that have been created between
                                                                      Asian and African countries are profound. With continuous
                                                                      talks and meets, India has evinced signs of forging a long-
                                                                      term partnership that will help in promoting sustainable
                                                                      development, security and a better rapport between the people
                                                                      of India and Africa.

                                                                      The report presents the economic indicators, current scenario
Ms Shriya Damani
                                                                      of Asia and African Economies w.r.t to current import-export
                                                                      trends across Asia and Africa and what are the possible
                                                                      opportunities for the same.

                                                                      I am sure that Asia-Africa Trade and Investments relations will
                                                                      grow towards new heights in the coming years. I wish all the
                                                                      success for the Asian African Leadership Forum.

                                                                      Together we can usher in
                                                                      a new era that provides us
                                                                      more Trade and Investment
                                                                      Opportunities.

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                9
2020 Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African - asianafrican.org
Acknolwedgments

The Trade and Investments in Asian and African Economy is prepared for Asian-
African Chamber of Commerce and Industry by the team of SkyQuest Technology
Consulting Pvt Ltd.

Research support and inputs were provided by Dr G.D Singh, Founder and Chairman
and Ms Deepa Sharma, Director of Asian - African Chamber of Commerce and
Industry, Mr Akash Bhavsar – Managing Director of SkyQuest Technology Group.

The Report benefitted from extensive advice from esteemed members of Governing
Council and Board Advisory from across Asia and Africa continent active in
Trade and Investments in Asian and African Economy. The research and analysis
undertaken relies in part on external data.

10                                                                Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
Executive Summary

During the last few decade’s Asia – Africa relationship has       The report also provides insights to
been built upon bond of friendship and mutual faith beyond        which products can be imported and
strategic ties. Both the continents share half of the world’s
population and both continents enjoy favorable GDP.               which products can be exported across
                                                                  the continents based on the historical
India and China are increasingly looking to Africa to             data, Foreign Direct Investments, Ease
support their economic growth and strategic interests. Asia’s
                                                                  of Doing Business. Furtherthe report
increasing footprint has the potential to contribute to African
development and security. African states are also looking         also analyzes the key sectors across
to Asia for new sources of investment and development             the countries and carries out a PEST
partnerships. Asia and Africa are thus well positioned to build Analysis at a macro-economic continent
mutually valuable partnerships based on the principles of south level. The report concludes on with a
south cooperation. This new trade and investment relationship
                                                                  recommendation on how Asia and Africa
could be crucial in the struggle to lift millions out of poverty.
                                                                  a template of lasting mutual resurgence,
To develop a prospective roadmap for Asian and African            with transformative impact on the
Exporters and Importers, the determinant factors such as          mutating world order and gives an
GDP, top sectors and ease of doing business are examined in
this report and regional level analysis is provided. Through
                                                                  overview of where and in what to invest
the trade data one can observe Asia’s trade complementarity       and trade in both Asianand African
has significantly increased with various African countries.       Economies.
Asia’s export pattern has become more aligned with
the import pattern of Africa, which indicates
potential rise in exports towards
African countries.

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                    11
12   Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
List of Tables                                                        List of Figures
• Table 1: Emerging and developing Asia: Gross Domestic               • Figure 1: Emerging and developing Asia: Gross Domestic
  Product (GDP)                                                         Product (GDP) from 2014 to 2024
• Table 2: GDP Growth Rate in Asia by region and by country           • Figure 2: Exports from Africa in 2018
• Table 3: Real GDP Growth Rate in Africa, by sub region              • Figure 3: Top 10 African product categories with greatest
• Table 4: Table 4: GDP Growth in Africa by country                     export potential to Asia
• Table 5: Top 10 Supplying markets in Africa for the product         • Figure 4: Exports from Asia in 2018
  imported by Asia                                                    • Figure 5: Top 10 Asian product categories with Greatest
• Table 6: Top Products - Africa’s exports to Asia unit                 Export Potential to Africa
• Table 7: Top 10 African product categories with greatest            • Figure 6: Markets with greatest potential for Africa’s exports
  export potential to Asia                                            • Figure 7: Markets with greatest potential for Asia’s exports
• Table 8: Top 10 supplying markets in Asia for the product           • Figure 8: FDI Inflows for developing Asia by subregion
  imported by Africa                                                  • Figure 9: Ease of Doing Business Rankings 2020, For top
• Table 9: Top Products - Asia’s exports to Africa                      FDI Host Economies in Asia
• Table 10: Top 10 Asian product categories with greatest             • Figure 10: Ease of Doing Business Rankings 2020, For top
  export potential to Africa                                            FDI Host Economies in Africa
• Table 11: Imports, CIF from Africa
• Table 12: Top 10 importing markets in Africa for the product
  exported by Asia
• Table 13: Imports, CIF from Emerging and Developing
                                                                      Abbreviations
  Asia
• Table 14: Top 10 importing markets in Asia for the                  •   AAGC: The Asia-Africa Growth Corridor
  product exported by Africa                                          •   ADO: Asian Development Outlook
• Table 15: PEST Analysis of Africa                                   •   AfDB: African Development Bank
• Table 16: PEST Analysis of Asia                                     •   ASEAN: Association of Southeast Asian Nations
• Table 17: Trade and Investments                                     •   AU: African Union
  Opportunities – Report                                              •   BRI: Belt and Road Initiative
  Overview                                                            •   CIF: Cost, Insurance, and Freight
                                                                      •   FDI: Foreign Direct Investment
                                                                      •   GDP: Gross Domestic Product
                                                                      •   IMF: International Monetary Fund
                                                                      •   JETRO: Japan External Trade Organization
                                                                      •   M&A: Mergers and Acquisitions
                                                                      •   NGO: Non-Government Organization
                                                                      •   OECD: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
                                                                          Development
                                                                      •   PPP: Purchasing Power Parity
                                                                      •   PRC: People’s Republic of China
                                                                      •   SDGs: Sustainable Development Goals
                                                                      •   SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                      •   TFP: Total Factor Productivity
                                                                      •   UN: United Nations

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                               13
CHAPTER 1
                                                                                             Introduction to
During the last two decades                                                                  Asian and African
Asian Economies have witnessed                                                               Economies
rapid economic transformation,
particularly India and China, are
increasingly looking to Africa to
support their economic growth and
strategic interests.

Asia’s increasing footprint has the        Developing Asia is forecast to inch up
potential to contribute to African         slightly from 5.6 percent in 2019 to 5.8
development and security. African          percent in 2020 and 5.9 percent in 2021 .
states are also looking to Asia for new
sources of investment and development      The economy of Asia comprises more
partnerships. Asia and Africa are          than 4.5 billion people (60% of the world
thus well positioned to build mutually     population) living in 49 different nations.
valuable partnerships based on the         Asia is the fastest growing economic
principles of southsouth cooperation.      region, as well as the largest continental
                                           economy by both GDP Nominal and PPP
Both Asia and Africa also face             in the world. Moreover, Asia is the site
comparable challenges of establishing      of some of the world’s longest modern
equitable and sustainable growth,          economic booms. As in all world regions,
improving governance and institutions,     the wealth of Asia differs widely between,
and negotiating a parallel range of        and within, states. This is due to its vast
traditional and non-traditional security   size, meaning a huge range of different
risks.                                     cultures, environments, historical ties
                                           and government systems. The largest
Brief background and economy               economies in Asia in terms of PPP gross
of Asian Economy                           domestic product (GDP) China, India,
                                           Japan, Indonesia, Turkey, SouthKorea,
According to World Economic
                                           SaudiArabia, Iran, Thailand and Taiwan
Outlook 2020, growth in Emerging and
                                           and in terms of nominal gross domestic
14                                                                     Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
product (GDP) are China, Japan, India,            advanced-economy status. And whereas          share (more than half) of GDP growth
SouthKorea, Indonesia, SaudiArabia,               the region used to be almost entirely         dynamics than consumption .
Turkey, Taiwan, Thailand and Iran                 dependent on foreign know-how, several
                                                  of its economies are now on the cutting       Africa will only experience a
Total wealth is mainly concentrated               edge of technological advance. Even           “demographic dividend” by 2035, when
in East Asia, India and Southeast Asia            more striking, all of this has happened       its young and growing labour force
while if measured by GDP per capita)              within just a couple of generations, the      will have fewer children and retired
is mostly concentrated in the East Asia           product of a winning mix of integration       people as dependents as a proportion
in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong               with the global economy via trade and         of the population, making it more
Kong, Macau, Singapore, and Brunei, as            foreign direct investment (FDI), high         demographically comparable to the
well as in oil rich countries in West Asia        savings rates, large investments in           US and Europe. It is becoming a more
such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United Arab          human and physical capital, and sound         educated labour force, with nearly half
Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman,              macroeconomic policies.                       expected to have some secondary-level
Israel lesser extent Turkey are exceptions:                                                     education by 2020. A consumer class is
both lie in the territory of Asia despite         Brief background and economy                  also emerging in Africa and is expected
not often being counted as such. Israel           of African Economy                               to keep booming.
(entrepreneurship on diversified
industries) is a developed country, while         Economic growth in
Turkey (founding member of OECD) is
an advanced emerging country. Asia,
                                                  Africa is estimated at
with the exception of Japan (heavy                3.4 percent for 2019,
industry and electrical sophistication),          about the same as in
South Korea (heavy industry and
information and communication                     2018. Although stable,
technology), Taiwan (light industry and           this rate is below the
hi-tech parts manufacturing), Hong
Kong (financial industry and services)
                                                  decadal average of 5
and Singapore (high-tech manufacturing,           percent growth for the
biotechnology, financial and business             region.
services, and tourism governed by Casino
Regulatory Authority of Singapore) in
recent years, is currently undergoing
                                                  The economy of Africa consists of the
                                                  trade, industry, agriculture, and human
                                                                                                Africa has around
rapid growth and industrialization,               resources of the continent. As of 2019,       90 million people
and China (manufacturing and FDI-
led growth) and India (commodities,
                                                  approximately 1.3 billion people were
                                                  living in 54 different countries in Africa.   with household
outsourcing destination and computer
software), the two fastest growing major
                                                  Africa is a resource-rich continent.
                                                  Recent growth has been due to growth
                                                                                                incomes exceeding
economies in the world.                           in sales in commodities, services, and        $5,000, meaning
East Asian and ASEAN countries
                                                  manufacturing. West Africa, East Africa,
                                                  Central Africa and Southern Africa            that they can
generally rely on manufacturing and
trade (and then gradually upgrade
                                                  in particular, are expected to reach a
                                                  combined GDP (PPP) of $29 trillion by
                                                                                                direct more than
to industry and commerce), and                    2050 .                                        half of their
incrementally building on high-tech
industry and financial industry for               In March 2013, Africa was identified as       income towards
growth, countries in the Middle East
depend more on engineering to overcome
                                                  the world’s poorest inhabited continent:
                                                  Africa’s entire combined GDP is barely a
                                                                                                discretionary
climate difficulties for economic growth          third of the United States’ GDP; however,     spending rather
and the production of commodities,                the World Bank expects that most
principally Sweet crude oil. Over the             African countries will reach “middle          than necessities.
years, with rapid economic growth and
large trade surplus with the rest of the
                                                  income” status (defined as at least
                                                  US$1,000 per person a year) by 2025 if
                                                                                                This number could
world, Asia has accumulated over US$8.5           current growth rates continue. In 2013,       reach a projected
trillions of foreign exchange reserves –          Africa was the world’s fastest-growing
more than half of the world’s total, and          continent at 5.6% a year and GDP is           128 million by
adding tertiary and quaternary sectors to
expand in the share of Asia’s economy.
                                                  expected to rise by an average of over 6%
                                                  a year between 2013 and 2023.
                                                                                                2020.
Overall Asia has achieved remarkable              Growth’s fundamentals have improved,
economic success over the past five               as its drivers are gradually shifting
decades. Hundreds of millions of people           toward investments and net exports, and
have been lifted out of poverty, and              away from private consumption. In 2019,
successive waves of economies have made           for the first time in a decade, investment
the transition to middle-income and even          expenditure accounts for a larger

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                    15
CHAPTER 2
Economic                                               ASIAN ECONOMY OUTLOOK                                  Asia’s development in a way that is
Outlook                                                                                                       equitable and designed to solve a host of
                                                       In 2020 Asia’s GDP will overtake the                   social and economic problems.
                                                       GDP of the rest of the world combined.
                                                       By 2030, the region is expected to                     Gross domestic product (GDP) of
                                                       contribute roughly 60% of global growth.               emerging and developing countries
                                                       Asia-Pacific will also be responsible for              in Asia is expected to reach over 30.2
                                                       the overwhelming majority (90%) of the                 trillion U.S. dollars by 2024 (Figure
                                                       2.4 billion new members of the middle                  1, Table 1). This would be double the
                                                       class entering the global economy.                     GDP from a decade earlier, which
                                                                                                              was about 15.1 trillion U.S. dollars.
                                                       The bulk of that growth will come from                 Emerging and developing economies
                                                       the developing markets of China, India                 are the second-largest source of global
                                                       and throughout South-East Asia and it                  GDP. The region’s GDP generally comes
                                                       will give rise to a host of new decisions              from manufacturing and trade, as well
                                                       for businesses, governments and NGOs.                  as growing financial industries and
                                                       The pressure will be on them to guide                  international commercevi.

Table 1 and Figure 1
Emerging and developing Asia: Gross domestic product (GDP) from 2014 to 2024 (in billion USD)

35000

30000

25000

20000

15000

10000
                 15,133.08

                              15,847.66

                                           16,160.82

                                                          17,579.64

                                                                       19,133.35

                                                                                    20,318.04

                                                                                                 21,955.58

                                                                                                              23,838.50

                                                                                                                           25,836.39

                                                                                                                                        27,978.43

                                                                                                                                                     30,289.20

5000
                2014

                             2015

                                          2016

                                                         2017

                                                                      2018

                                                                                   2019

                                                                                                2020

                                                                                                             2021

                                                                                                                          2022

                                                                                                                                       2023

                                                                                                                                                    2024

0
        Source: IMF, October 2019

                                                       Growth in Asia is moderating but remains robust (Table 2). As global trade slows and
                                                       investment weakens, regional growth forecasts are trimmed by 0.3 percentage points
                                                       for 2019 and by 0.1 points for 2020. Expansion in the region is projected to slow from
                                                       5.9% in 2018 to 5.4% this year, recovering somewhat to 5.5% next year. Excluding
                                                       high-income newly industrialized economies, regional growth is expected to slow
                                                       from 6.4% last year to 6.0% this year and next.

16                                                                                      Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
Outlook by subregionvii                           to 7.2% growth in fiscal 2020 and            and larger ones for Tajikistan and
                                                  join most other subregional countries        Uzbekistan. The forecast for inflation
Growth forecasts for developing Asia              in performing at or near their ADO           in 2019 is revised up from 7.8% to 8.0%
are revised down: Projections for 2019            2019 growth forecasts for next year. In      because cuts to subsidies, rising import
are downgraded for 17 economies,                  Pakistan, though, growth in 2020 is          prices, foreign exchange shortages, and
upgraded for 11, and maintained for 17.           now forecast lower as the government         expansionary credit have stoked inflation
The downgrades are concentrated in                implements a comprehensive program           in Turkmenistan. This increase offsets—
East, South, and Southeast Asia—which             of macroeconomic and structural              along with higher inflation projections
together account for 98% of developing            reform to stabilize the economy. For         for Georgia and Tajikistan that reflect
Asia’s GDP—while the upgrades are                 Sri Lanka, 2019 and 2020 growth              accelerating prices in the first half of
mainly for Central Asia and the Pacific.          Highlights forecasts are marked down         the year—slightly lowered forecasts for
                                                  because terror bombings in April 2019        Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. The forecast
East Asia will see deepening economic
                                                  caused tourism to fall sharply. The 2019     for sub regional inflation in 2020 is raised
malaise take its toll: Affected by global
                                                  South Asia inflation forecast is lowered,    from 7.2% to 7.4%.
conditions, growth in the subregion is
                                                  largely reflecting unexpectedly low food
expected to slow from 6.0% in 2018 to
                                                  prices in India, but the forecast for 2020
5.5% in 2019 and 5.4% in 2020. Growth
                                                  is maintained.
in the PRC will slip from 6.6% last year
to 6.2% in 2019 and 6.0% in 2020—below            Southeast Asia slows more than earlier
previous projections—with increased               anticipated: The sub regional growth
government spending and a strong                  forecast is revised down from 4.9% to
housing market partly offsetting the              4.5% for this year and from 5.0% to 4.7%
impact of the trade dispute with the US           for next year. Forecasts are downgraded
and sluggish manufacturing investment.            for half of the 10 economies in the
In Hong Kong, China, recent political             subregion and unchanged for the other
tensions, spillover from the trade conflict,      half. With escalation in the US–PRC
and the global electronics downturn               trade conflict, weakening global activity
will slow growth in 2019 and 2020 well            and trade, and a downturn in the
below ADO 2019 projections. External              electronics cycle, a significant export
headwinds lower growth forecasts for the          slowdown in the first half of the year hit
Republic of Korea as well, but in Taipei,         the whole subregion except Cambodia.
China higher government spending will             Softening domestic investment
keep growth in line with ADO 2019                 exacerbated export woes in most larger
projections. The growth forecast for              subregion economies—Indonesia,
Mongolia remains unchanged for 2019               Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and
with continuing dynamism in mining,               Thailand—but domestic consumption
but is lowered for 2020 as mining                 held up well to cushion the slowdown.
investment moderates. Rising food prices          The downward revision for growth
in the PRC will push inflation in East            is paralleled by one for the inflation
Asia higher than forecast in April, to            forecasts.
2.3% in 2019, easing to 2.1% in 2020.
                                                  Central Asia is now forecast to
South Asia’s growth momentum has                  accelerate: Growth forecasts for the
softened: Growth forecasts are lowered            subregion are revised up from 4.2% to
to 6.2% for 2019 and 6.7% for 2020.               4.4% in 2019 and from 4.2% to 4.3% in
India’s growth forecast for fiscal year           2020. Increased government spending
2019 is lowered to 6.5% after growth              has boosted growth in Kazakhstan,
slowed markedly to 5.0% in the first              while a substantial rise in investment
quarter, April–June. Abrupt declines in           raises prospects for Uzbekistan. These
manufacturing and investment reflect              revisions and higher growth projections
uncertainty ahead of general elections,           for Armenia and Azerbaijan more
subdued lending by banks and other                than offset slower growth prospects
financial institutions, stress in the rural       for Georgia. Growth in 2020 is now
economy, and a weakening external                 projected at 4.3%, revised up from 4.2%
outlook. India is expected to rebound             on a small upgrade for Kazakhstan

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                    17
Table 2
GDP Growth Rate in Asia by Region and by Country

              Subregion/               Growth Rate of GDP                Subregion/               Growth Rate of GDP
              Economy                                                    Economy
                                      2018       2019*   2020*                                    2018       2019*       2020*

              Central Asia             4.3        4.4     4.3            Southeast Asia            5.1         4.5         4.7

                                                                         Brunei
              Armenia                      5.2    4.8     4.5                                       0.1          1          1.5
                                                                         Darussalam

              Azerbaijan                   1.4    2.6     2.4            Cambodia                   7.5          7          6.8

              Georgia                      4.7    4.7     4.6            Indonesia                  5.2         5.1         5.2

                                                                         Lao People’s Dem.
              Kazakhstan                   4.1    3.7     3.4                                       6.3         6.2         6.2
                                                                         Rep.

              Kyrgyz Republic              3.5     4      4.4            Malaysia                   4.7         4.5         4.7

              Tajikistan                   7.3     7       7             Myanmar                    6.8         6.6         6.8

              Turkmenistan                 6.2     6      5.8            Philippines                6.2          6          6.2

              Uzbekistan                   5.1    5.8      6             Singapore                  3.1         0.7         1.4

              East Asia                    6      5.5     5.4            Thailand                   4.1          3          3.2

              Hong Kong,                                                 Viet Nam                   7.1         6.8         6.7
                                           3      0.3     1.5
              China

              Mongolia                     6.8    6.7     6.1            The Pacific               0.4         4.2         2.6

              China                        6.6    6.1     6.0            Cook Islands               8.9         4.2         4.5

                                                                         Federated States
              Republic of Korea            2.7    2.1     2.4                                       0.4         2.7         2.5
                                                                         of Micronesia

              Taipei,China                 2.6    2.2      2             Fiji                       3.5         2.9         3.2

              South Asia               6.6        6.2     6.7            Kiribati                   2.3         2.3         2.3

              Afghanistan                  2.7    2.7     3.4            Marshall Islands           2.5         2.3         2.2

              Bangladesh                   7.9    8.1      8             Nauru                     -2.4        -0.5         0.1

              Bhutan                       5.5    5.3      6             Palau                      1.5        -0.5          1

                                                                         Papua New
              India                        6.8    4.8     5.8                                      -0.6         4.8         2.1
                                                                         Guinea

              Maldives                     7.6    6.5     6.3            Samoa                     -2.2         2.5         3.5

              Nepal                        6.7    7.1     6.3            Solomon Islands            3.8         2.8         2.7

              Pakistan                     5.5    3.3     2.8            Timor-Leste               -0.5         4.8         5.4

              Sri Lanka                    3.2    2.6     3.5            Tonga                      0.4         1.6         2.5

                                                                         Tuvalu                     4.3         4.1         4.4
Emerging and Developing Asia
2018: 6.4 | 2019*: 5.6 | 2020*: 5.8                                      Vanuatu                    3.2          3          2.8
SOURCE: IMF, 2019 and 2020 | *Forecasted

18                                                               Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
AFRICA ECONOMY OUTLOOK                                                                supported by recovering commodity
                                                    2018 because of higher oil production
                                                                                      prices and higher agricultural output.
According to African Economic Outlook East Africa, the fastest growing region: Is Several countries have reduced public
2020 - Africa’s economic growth has        projected to achieve growth of 5.0 percent spending, including on investment, to
stabilized at 3.4 percent in 2019 and is   in 2019 and 6.1 percent in 2020. Between restore debt sustainability. After rapid
expected to pick up to 3.9 percent in 2020 2010 and 2018, growth averaged almost 6 growth, Equatorial Guinea’s economy
and 4.1 percent in 2021 but to remain      percent, with Djibouti, Ethiopia, Rwanda, has been shrinking since 2013 as oil
below historical highs.                    and Tanzania recording above-average       production declines and the nonoil
                                           rates. But in several countries, notably   sector has been too weak to compensate.
Growth’s fundamentals are also             Burundi and Comoros, growth remains        In 2018, its real GDP was about a third
improving, with a gradual shift from       weak due to political uncertainty. In      below its level six years ago.
private consumption toward investment      South Sudan, GDP continues to fall due
and exports. For the first time in a       to political and military conflicts and    Growth in Southern Africa is expected
decade, investment accounted for more      because the 2015 peace agreement has       to remain slow: In 2019 and 2020 after
than half the continent’s growth, with     not been implemented.                      a modest recovery in 2017 and 2018.
private consumption accounting for less                                               Southern Africa’s subdued growth is
than one third.                            West Africa saw high growth until 2014: due mainly todevastation of cyclones
                                           But an economic slowdown followed due Idai and Kenneth.South Africa’s weak
The 2020 Outlook highlights, however,      to the sharp drop in commodity prices      performance, which affects neighboring
that growth has been less than inclusive. and the Ebola crisis. Nigeria, Africa’s
                                                                                      countries. Low public and private
Only about a third of African countries    largest economy and largest oil exporter, investment and risks of lower sovereign
achieved inclusive growth, reducing both fell into recession in 2016. Its gradual
                                                                                      credit ratings are weighing on growth
poverty and inequality.                    recovery in 2017 and 2018, helped by the in the region. In Botswana, growth
                                           rebound of oil prices, is restoring growth accelerated due to improved diamond
Outlook by subregion
                                           in the region. Other countries—including trade, services and investment, the
(Table 3 and 4)
                                           Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d’Ivoire,        recovery of agriculture after the drought,
North Africa leads the growth recovery: Ghana, Guinea, and Senegal—have seen and the expansionary fiscal policy
Of Africa’s projected 4 percent growth in growth of at least 5 percent in the past    and accommodative monetary policy
2019, North Africa is expected to account two years and are projected to maintain it resulting from moderate inflation.
for 1.6 percentage points, or 40 percent.  in 2019 and 2020.                          Mauritius also continues its steady
But average GDP growth in North Africa                                                growth, driven mainly by strong
                                           Growth in Central Africa is gradually
is erratic because of Libya’s unstable                                                consumption and higher exports,
                                           recovering: But remains below the
development. After declining for three                                                including tourism.
                                           average for Africa as a whole. It is
years, Libya’s GDP increased in 2017 and

Table 3
Real GDP growth rate in
Africa, by Sub region

                              2018        2019        2020
                          (Estimated) (Estimated) (Estimated)
 Central Africa                  2.2                 3.2**              3.5
 East Africa                     5.7                 5.0**              6.1
 North Africa                    4.3                 4.1**              4.3
 Southern Africa                 1.2                 0.7**              2.8
 West Africa                     3.3                 3.7**              3.6
 Africa                          3.4                 3.4**             3.9*
 Excluding Libya                 3.5                  3.9               4.1
 GDP per capita                  1.1                  1.5               1.6
Source: African Economic Outlook, 2019and 2020**.

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                          19
Table 4
GDP Growth in Africa by Country

              Subregion/                  Growth Rate of GDP                              Subregion/                    Growth Rate of GDP
              Economy                                                                     Economy
                                   2018 2019* 2020* 2021**                                                        2018 2019* 2020* 2021**

              Angola                -1.2     -0.3      1.2        2.3                     Madagascar              5.2      5.2    5.3        5.1

              Benin                 6.7      6.6       6.7        6.6                     Malawi                  3.2      4.5    5.1        5.5

              Botswana              4.5      3.5       4.3        5.1                     Mali                    4.7       5      5         4.9

              Cameroon              4.1       4       4.0**       3.4                     Mauritius               3.8      3.7    3.8         4

              Central African                                                             Mozambique              3.3      1.8     6          4
                                    3.8      4.5      4.8**        5
              Rep.

              Chad                  2.4      2.3      5.5**       4.9                     Namibia                 -0.1     -0.2   1.6        2.4

              Congo, Demo.                                                                Niger                   6.5      6.3     6         5.5
                                    5.8      4.3       3.9        3.4
              Rep.

              Cote d'Ivoire         7.4      7.5       7.3        7.1                     Nigeria                 1.9      2.3    2.5        3.3

              Equatorial                                                                  Rwanda                  8.6      7.8    8.1        8.2
                                    -5.7     -4.6       -5       -3.3
              Guinea

              Eritrea              12.2      3.1       3.9         4                      Senegal                 6.7       6     6.8        6.8

              Eswatini,                                                                   Seychelles              4.1      3.5    3.3        4.2
                                    2.4      1.3       0.5         -
              Kingdom of

              Ethiopia              7.7      7.4       7.2        7.1                     Sierra Leone            3.5       5     4.7        5.1

              Gabon                 0.8      2.9       3.4        3.6                     South Africa            0.8      0.4    0.8        1.8

              Gambia                6.5      6.5       6.4        5.0                     South Sudan             -1.1     7.9    8.2        6.1

              Ghana                 6.3      7.5       5.6        4.8                     Tanzania                 7       5.2    5.7        6.6

              Guinea                5.8      5.9        6          6                      Togo                    4.9      5.1    5.3        5.5

              Guinea-Bissau         3.8      4.6       4.9        5.1                     Uganda                  6.1      6.2    6.2        6.1

              Kenya                 6.3      5.6        6         6.2                     Zambia                  3.7       2     1.7        2.9

              Liberia               1.2      0.4       1.6        1.3                     Zimbabwe                3.5      -7.1   2.7        5.6

Source: African Economic Outlook – 2019 and IMF 2020 | *Forecasted | ** African Economic Outlook 2020 Estimates

20                                                                                Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020   21
TOP SECTORS IN AFRICA                        continent, now home to more than 1.2
                                             billion people, will account for one-
Agriculture                                  fifth of the world’s population by 2025
The African agricultural sector is set to    . More and more Africans are entering
experience exponential growth over the       the consumer class, with tens of millions
next decade, While Africa holds more         emerging from poverty in recent years.
than 60% of the world’s arable land, the     Africans are generally highly brand-
continent’s share in global agricultural     loyal consumers. Fast-moving consumer
production remains low. Vast areas of        goods—low-cost products with a short             CHAPTER 3
                                                                                                      1
land are uncultivated, and productivity      shelf life that are constantly in high           Top Sectoral to
                                                                                              Introduction
is lower than in much of the rest of the     demand—present the opportunity for
world. Nevertheless, farming is key for
                                                                                              Asian & African
                                                                                              Analysis
                                             existing brands to strengthen their
the majority of African economies and                                                         Economies
accounts for at least 15% of the region’s
GDP. In addition, around two-thirds
of the African population is employed
within the sector, the vast majority
working on small-scale farmsthat
currently produce around 90% of all
output. For the Agriculture sector to
grow exponentially it would happen
through its continued investments
in the factors inhibiting growth in
Africa such as structural, financial and
infrastructural challengesviii.

Banking
Africa’s banking sector has grown
rapidly in the last decade. Sub-Saharan
Africa has become a substantial player
in emerging-market banking, with
total 2008 assets of $669 billion, while
North Africa’s asset base has grown
substantially, to $497 billion. Africa’s
banking assets thus compare favorably
with those in other emerging markets,
such as Russia (with $995 billion). Almost
50 percent of the growth at Africa’s
largest banks came from portfolio
momentum—the market’s natural
increase—compared with only about            consumer base with unique advertising     will require an investment of about
17 percent from inorganic (or M&A-           and expansion of distribution. This       $130-$170 billion in new infrastructure
driven) sources. Almost 50 percent of the    sector will also cater to the majority,   every year to meet its infrastructure gap
growth at Africa’s largest banks came        low-income tier of buyers and middle-     . High-quality infrastructure is essential
from portfolio momentum—the market’s         class households, which will collectively for Africa to achieve the Sustainable
natural increase—compared with               have disposable incomes of almost $680    Development Goals (SDGs) of the
only about 17 percent from inorganic         billion by 2020. Food, beverages, hygiene United Nations (UN), Agenda 2063 of
(or M&A-driven) sources. Financial           products, home care, and appliances have  the African Union (AU), and the High
reforms have largely enabled this growth.    all exhibited growth in sales within the  Five Goals of the African Development
Nigerian banking reform promoted a           past decade.                              Bank (AfDB). It is needed for raising
swift consolidation (from 89 to 25 banks                                               economic productivity and sustaining
between 2004 and 2006) that unlocked         Infrastructure                            economic growth. Good infrastructure
the sector’s potential—bigger banks with     The story of Africa’s development is      has an impact on growth directly and
better capabilities could drive down their   changing. Six of the world’s fastest      indirectly. It increases total factor
costs, allowing them to penetrate a larger   growing economies are in Africa!          productivity (TFP) directly because
portion of the unbanked population and       Democratic governance has been            infrastructure services enter production
to ride on the back of rapid economic        strengthened over the past five decades,  as an input and have an immediate
growth xi.                                   enabling a platform for stable growth and impact on the productivity of enterprises.
                                             prosperity in most parts of the continent It thus fosters aggregate economic
Consumer Goods                               . Meeting Africa’s infrastructure needs   output given its contribution, on its own,
Over the past few years, business leaders    and developing cost-effective modes of    to GDP thus Africa has a compelling
and investors have become increasingly       infrastructure service delivery require   case for accelerating infrastructure
aware of the vast potential in Africa’s      a massive investment program in the       development xiii.
burgeoning consumer market. The              continent. It is estimated that Africa

22                                                                      Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
Mining                                                                                         up a plethora of business opportunities.
The African continent is home to an               Oil and Gas                                  Among all other continents, Africa has
abundance of natural resources including          Africa’s oil and gas industry holds the      been the fastest growing mobile market
diamonds, cobalt, oil, natural gas, copper,       potential for further growth mainly          during the past five years, with more
and gold among others.Its a major hub of          driven by an increase in investor appetite   than 170 million mobile users. Mobile
mineral mining in the world, Africa has           and a rebound in prices. The African oil     telephony has had a significant impact
a vast and booming mining industry. The           and gas sector is moving from a cycle        on economic growth, which in many
industry not only provides employment             of stagnation in exploration, capital        African countries is twice as high as in
to millions of African citizens, it is also       expenditure spend and production             developed countries. Mobile telephony
an important source of earnings to                between 2014-2018 in the wake of the oil     has had a significant impact on economic
most African nations through export.              price crash, to a more dynamic growth        growth, which in many African countries
The industry is also a major contributor          phase. Renewed optimism has returned         is twice as high as in developed countries.
                                                                                               When compared with other continents,
                                                                                               the growth of the telecom sector in
                                                                                               Africa looks far more promising.
                                                                                               While other continents have reached a
                                                                                               saturation point in the growth of revenue
                                                                                               and subscribers, Africa opens up fresh
                                                                                               opportunities and positive market trends.

                                                                                               Furthermore, Africa is still opening
                                                                                               its gates to development, and the
                                                                                               economic growth brought about by the
                                                                                               telecommunication sector has further
                                                                                               contributed to making it a profitable
                                                                                               investment opportunity. Apart from
                                                                                               the privatization, the growth in the
                                                                                               market has been primarily driven by
                                                                                               the subsidization of handsets, affordable
                                                                                               prepaid plans, and provision of 3G and
                                                                                               4G services. Future growth in the market
                                                                                               is expected to be driven by factors like
                                                                                               better network coverage, lower cost of
                                                                                               handsets and call prices, and improved
                                                                                               mobile data connectivity xvi.

                                                                                               TOP SECTORS IN ASIA

                                                                                       Automobiles
                                                                                       Asia’s automobile sector is set to see
                                                                                       continued growth, particularly from
to social and economic integration          to Africa’s oil and gas industry on the
                                                                                       its largest markets in Thailand and
throughout the continent. Rich in mining back of a rebound in prices and increased
                                                                                       Indonesia. The industry is still dominated
opportunities, Africa continues to grow     investor interest. During the downturn
                                                                                       by Japanese OEMs that have well-
its importance as a leading investment      the industry restructured itself for
                                                                                       established local supply chains across
frontier for international mining firms.    improved efficiency and performance
                                                                                       the region. The growing automobile
With massive mineral reserves – that        and is fitter for this new future. Oil and
                                                                                       sector in Asia offers vast opportunities
equate to about 30% of the world’s total    gas companies are better placed now to
                                                                                       for investments for manufacturers and
mineral wealth – the continent offers       take advantage of shifting geopolitics
                                                                                       distributors of automobile components.
unmatched mining opportunities across and trade patterns, new resource finds, a
                                                                                       Automobile manufacturing and
a wide range of metals and minerals.        transitioning and ddecarbonizing global
                                                                                       production have skyrocketed in recent
Despite these riches, Africa represents     energy mix, technological improvements,
                                                                                       years, most notably in Thailand,
only around 8% of the world’s total         maturing regulatory environments
                                                                                       Indonesia, Vietnam, and Malaysia.
mineral production. This points a mining and improved governance in some
                                                                                       Although these nations have all focused
industry that is yet to develop to its true countries .xv
                                                                                       on automotive sector development,
potential.
                                                                                       the particular economic niches and
Long plagued by strife and instability,     Telecommunications                         consumer bases differ greatly between
African countries are now working hard The African telecommunications                  them xvii.
to remove the impediments that have         sector is poised at a digital revolution.
                                                                                       Over the past decade many OEMs had
traditionally discouraged investors,        Since its liberalization in the 1980s,
                                                                                       strategies that focused on emerging
creating economic and legal frameworks the involvement of multinational
                                                                                       markets that had obvious growth
that comprise a more attractive             conglomerates has promoted a healthy
                                                                                       potential, notably China, India and
environment to exploit Africa’s mining      competition which led to its flourishing.
                                                                                       Brazil. As they review their growth
opportunities .xiv
                                            The telecom sector in Africa has opened

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                   23
interest from investors and corporates;
                                                                                          but a concerted effort will be needed to
                                                                                          fully unlock the investment potential.

                                                                                          E-Commerce
                                                                                          Is a rapidly expanding market in
                                                                                          Asia, with a growth rate in revenue
                                                                                          of approximately 10.7% per annum
                                                                                          according to Statista. This is largely down
                                                                                          to the expansion of the middle classes
                                                                                          in the region as well as strong economic
                                                                                          gains in China. The region also sees some
                                                                                          of the highest mobile penetration rates
                                                                                          on the planet, giving them easy access to
                                                                                          online shopping opportunities.

                                                                                          The scale and growth rate of ecommerce
                                                                                          in Asia really sets it apart from other
                                                                                          parts of the globe. China alone is the
                                                                                          largest ecommerce market in the world.
                                                                                          This year, China’s predicted total revenue
                                                                                          is said to reach$1 trillion, and by 2020
                                                                                          the market is expected to be larger than
                                                                                          the USA, Japan, the UK, Germany and
                                                                                          France combined.
strategies,                                                                               India is also strong,the Indian
the case for investment                                                                   ecommerce market is expected to grow to
in one of the world’s most dynamic                                                        $200 billion by 2026. India’s ecommerce
automotive clusters – Asia – becomes         middle-                                      revenue is growing at an annual rate
most compelling.                             class                                        of 51%, making it the highest in the
                                             population                                   world.Thanks to digital transformation,
However foreign investors looking to
                                             will reside in Asia.2                        ecommerce in other Asian countries
invest in this industry require strong
                                             These consumers will                         such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines,
market understanding and a long-term
                                             ask more of their food                       Singapore, Thailand, or Vietnam is also
view with regards to the resources
                                             supply chains, seeking highly                growing exponentially.
needed to penetrate the competitive
                                             nutritious, fresh and safe produce
ASEAN automobile market.                                                                  Infrastructure
                                             delivered conveniently and on
                                             demand. They will also pay a premium         Infrastructure is central to development
Food and Agriculture
                                             to businesses able to deliver on this .      in emerging Asia. There are
Asia’s food and agricultural industry
                                             A cumulative investment requirement          significantinfrastructure opportunities,
will undergo significant change over the
                                             of US$800 billion above existing levels      and cross-border infrastructure in
next decade in response to population
                                             over the next 10 years. The majority of      particular can bring about trade and
growth and changing consumer
                                             this (around US$550 billion) will help       development that supports income
requirements, coupled with the major
                                             to satisfy demand for better-quality         growth such as
challenges presented by climate change
and environmental degradation. Asia is       food (including safer, healthier and         • Increased regional rail
experiencing far-reaching demographic        more sustainable food). The remainder          connectivity in Central Asia
change. By 2030, Asia’s population will      (around US$250 billion) will drive             has the potential to bring about
be 250 million larger, the equivalent        increased quantities of food to feed
                                             Asia’s growing population. Overall, these      more Europe-China trade and
of another Indonesia. The growing
population will increasingly reside in       numbers imply a total annual investment        integrate Central Asia with
megacities: Asia is urbanising faster than   requirement of US$290 billion in 2030          other regions
any other region and will house all of the   across Asia, a significant increase          • Information and
world’s expected three 30 million+ cities    from the current US$130 billion. The           communications technology
by 2030. By 2030, 65% of the world’s         magnitude of this opportunity will draw
                                                                                            (ICT) is a key enabler to
24                                                                     Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
facilitate trade and integration.      the demand of specialty chemicals in
                                                     Technological improvements,            the region. Further In order to facilitate
                                                                                            rapid industrialization and improving
                                                     such as the distributed ledger         lifestyle, almost all Asian countries are
                                                     technology or applying artificial      focusing on infrastructure development.
                                                     intelligence to logistics, hold        The infrastructure projects include
                                                     promise to greatly improve on existing construction of commercial and
                                                     facilitation                           residential buildings, hospitals, schools,
                                                                                            malls, shopping complexes, warehouse,
                                                  Chemicals                                 manufacturing facilities, roads, highways
                                                  The rapidly growing population;           and railroads. Chemicals are used in
                                                  increasing growing middle-class           the construction industry in the form of
                                                  population in the region; and rising      resins, pigments, surfactants, coatings,
                                                  industrialization in the field of food,   paints, varnishes, additives, sealants and
                                                  agriculture, cosmetics, and many other    adhesives, and others. Thus, increasing
                                                  manufacturing sectors, are propelling     construction activities is driving the
                                                                                            demand of these chemicals in the region,
                                                                                            creating growth opportunities for
                                                                                            Chemicals market.

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                25
The recent boom in developing country
     commerce between Africa and Asia epitomizes
         the explosion of South-South trade. These
          trade flows are driven by the burgeoning
        middle classes in Asia’s emerging economic
          giants—China and India—whose appetite
               for Africa’s commodities is growing,
                    and by rising economic growth
                        in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA),                                CHAPTER 4
                              which is increasing the                               Import Export Trends
                                  demand for Asian                                  and Opportunities
                                       manufactured
                                               goods.

IMPORT EXPORT                   Figure 2
TRENDS AND                      Exports from africa in 2018
OPPORTUNITIES -
AFRICA

The total value of exports
from Africa were worth
US $ 49,91,91,181 in 2018                                          37% Export in Asia
                                         US$
(Figure 2) out of which               49,91,91,18                  63% Export in Other
products worth USD
                                                                   Continent
185,988,473 were exported
to Asia, which accounted                                      Source: ITC Trade Map, 2019
for 37% of the total exports.

26                                                            Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
Top supplying markets in Africa for the product imported by Asia are Angola, South Africa and Nigeria which accounted for 41%
of the aggregate African Supply which was USD 76269832 (Dollar Thousand)
Table 5
Top 10 Supplying markets in Africa for the product imported by Asia (Unit: US Dollar Thousand)

 Exporters                                       Exported             Exported      Exported            Exported          Exported
                                                     value                value         value               value          value in
                                                   in 2014              in 2015       in 2016             in 2017             2018
 Angola                                          3,68,58,341          2,02,49,883    1,91,77,749        2,70,29,204        3,20,19,255
 South Africa                                    2,80,99,040          2,34,32,001    2,23,01,017        2,86,56,250        2,95,90,350
 Nigeria                                         2,83,10,244          1,46,19,572     96,53,948         1,20,34,154        1,46,60,227
 Egypt                                            1,17,47,401           95,47,853    1,10,07,092        1,18,01,244        1,19,88,766
 Congo                                             28,68,895            41,96,681     38,13,373           30,91,223           95,74,804
 Libya, State of                                   28,13,506            28,36,968     39,15,215           45,23,514           82,70,119
 Congo, Democratic Republic of the                 48,49,487            42,97,532     35,19,382           52,27,037           82,55,189
 Ghana                                             55,61,292            61,36,556     51,79,768          70,36,775          82,12,084
 Algeria                                           88,58,878            48,98,271     38,12,108          60,07,000            74,83,351
 Guinea                                              7,13,178            4,72,837     24,39,382           52,33,257           52,46,122
Source: ITC Trade Map, 2019

Top products supplied to Asia from Africa were Mineral Fuels, Natural or Cultured Pearls, Ores, Slag and Ash
Table 6
Top Products - Africa’s exports to Asia Unit : US Dollar thousand

 Product label                                      Value                  Product label                              Value

                   Mineral fuels, mineral
                                                    2016: 4,65,70,109                                                 2016: 30,15,040
                   oils and products of their
                                                    2017: 6,86,54,122                  Iron and steel                 2017: 32,83,430
                   distillation; bituminous
                                                    2018: 8,96,04,033                                                 2018: 37,21,199
                   substances

                   Natural or cultured
                                                    2016: 2,01,13,589                                                 2016: 9,10,927
                   pearls, precious or semi-                                           Other base metals;
                                                    2017: 2,30,21,964                                                 2017: 21,04,242
                   precious stones, precious                                           cermets; articles thereof
                                                    2018: 2,47,24,509                                                 2018: 36,45,031
                   metals, metals clad

                                                    2016: 87,24,394                                                   2016: 11,49,356
                                                                                      Cocoa and cocoa
                   Ores, slag and ash               2017: 1,29,40,242                                                 2017: 14,61,947
                                                                                      preparations
                                                    2018: 1,51,33,512                                                 2018: 24,16,553

                                                    2016: 53,19,552                                                   2016: 19,69,506
                   Copper and articles                                                 Wood and articles of
                                                    2017: 51,18,847                                                   2017: 16,22,162
                   thereof                                                             wood; wood charcoal
                                                    2018: 91,49,571                                                   2018: 23,73,515

                                                                                       Inorganic chemicals;
                                                    2016: 45,20,704                                                 2016: 15,77,292
                   Edible fruit and nuts; peel                                         organic or inorganic
                                                    2017: 46,92,624                                                 2017: 15,80,045
                   of citrus fruit or melons                                           compounds of precious
                                                    2018: 44,61,866                                                 2018: 23,21,087
                                                                                       metals, of rare-earth metals

Source: ITC Trade Map, 2019

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                 27
Export Potentialand Opportunities
                                                                                                      The below table shows products with greatest export potential
While Africa faces tremendous challenges on the road to                                               from Africa to Asia are Other metals, Nuts, and Wood and
integration into the world trading system, there is more to                                           vegetable material. Other metals shows the largest absolute
Africa’s trade performance than meets the eye. There are vast                                         difference between potential and actual exports in value terms,
opportunities in Africa - home to the world’s largest free trade                                      leaving room to realize additional exports worth $8.9 bn
area and a 1.2 billion-person market.                                                                 (Table 7, Figure 3).

Table 7
Top 10 African product categories with greatest export potential to Asia

 Product                                                       Export Potential                             Actual Exports                         Untapped Potential

 Other Metals                                                            $20.4 bn                                  $12.8 bn                                    $8.9 bn
 Nuts                                                                    $7.4 bn                                      $3.0 bn                                  $4.5 bn
 Ferrous Metals                                                          $4.9 bn                                      $3.3 bn                                  $2.3 bn
 Precious Metals                                                         $4.0 bn                                      $2.3 bn                                  $2.0 bn
 Wood and Vegetable Material                                             $5.1 bn                                      $3.1 bn                                  $2.6 bn
 Cocoa Beans and products                                                $3.7 bn                                      $1.7 bn                                  $2.1 bn
 Fruits                                                                  $3.5 bn                                      $1.9 bn                                  $2.1 bn
 Chemicals                                                               $5.1 bn                                      $3.2 bn                                  $2.7 bn
 Machinery                                                               $3.0 bn                                      $1.0 bn                                  $2.4 bn
 Oil Seeds                                                               $2.8 bn                                      $1.9 bn                                  $1.3 bn
Source: ITC Export Potential, 2019

Figure 3
Top 10 African product categories with greatest export potential to Asia
                                                                     %

                                                                                                                                             %
                                                                  50

                                                                                                                                                43
                                                               L:

                                                                                                                                                               49%
                                                                                                                                             S:
                                    %

                                                           RIA
  R METALS: 56%

                                                                                                                                                 T
                  O U S M ETALS: 54

                                                                                                                                                 NS & PRODUC
                                                                                                                                %

                                                                                            %
                                         E TA B L E M AT E

                                                                                                                  %
                                                                                                                                                                S M E TA L S :
                                                                                                                                IC ALS: 47
                                                                                                                           3
                                                                                        1
                                                        %

                                                                           I N E R Y: 2

                                                                                                                                                                                 N U TS: 39 %
                                                                                                                  E D S: 5
                                                    4 1

                                                                                            Realized Potential:
                                            I T S :

                                                                                            Export Potential:
                                                                                                                      SE
                                        FRU

                                                                              CH

                                                                                                                                EM

                                                                                                                                                                CIO U
   OTHE

                                             EG

                                                                                                                                                 BEA
                                                                                    A

                                                                                                                  IL
                           R

                                                                                                                                CH

                                                                                            M                     O
                       FER

                                          &V

                                                                                                                                                               PRE
                                                                                                                                              A
                                                                                                                                             CO
                                                  OD

                                                                                                                                      CO
                                                        O
                                                           W

Source:
ITC Export
Potential,
2019

28                                                                                                         Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
EXPORT                        Figure 4
TRENDS and                    exports from asia in 2018 (us $ Thousand
OPPORTUNITIES
- ASIA

The total value of
exports from Asia
were worth US $
7,983,975,462 in                                                           03% Export in Africa
2018 out of which                        US$
products worth USD                  7,983,975,462                          97% Export in Other
238,553,756 were                                                           Continent
exported to Africa,
which accounted
for 3% of the total
                                                                      Source: ITC Trade Map, 2019
exports (Figure 4).

                                                  Top supplying markets in Asia for the
                                                  product imported by Africa are China,
                                                  India and UAE which accounted for 41%
                                                  of the aggregate African Supply which
                                                  was USD 238553756 (Dollar Thousand)
                                                  in 2018 (Table 8).

Table 8
Top 10 supplying markets in Asia for the product imported by Africa Unit : US Dollar thousand

 Exporters                                       Exported               Exported             Exported       Exported      Exported
                                                     value                  value                value          value      value in
                                                   in 2014                in 2015              in 2016        in 2017         2018
 China                                          10,58,49,379           10,83,26,868          9,20,43,634    9,45,19,260   10,49,59,050
 India                                           3,46,29,975            2,56,40,346          2,26,14,602    2,43,76,748   2,69,52,962
 United Arab Emirates                            2,10,75,895              95,90,568            80,66,411    1,82,24,484    2,33,49,121
 Turkey                                           1,37,50,963           1,24,44,677          1,14,02,304    1,16,68,587   1,44,44,283
 Korea, Republic of                              1,50,82,274             1,17,26,122          1,31,16,238   1,08,23,784    1,01,42,369
 Japan                                           1,04,16,646              85,28,330            76,86,717     74,76,445       81,11,132
 Thailand                                          84,59,356              66,40,825            61,12,206     68,30,262       74,59,374
 Saudi Arabia                                     1,19,41,182             86,84,677             81,57,573    49,58,069      63,69,034
 Singapore                                         85,16,045               61,24,910           36,88,579      45,69,353     59,53,876
 Hong Kong, China                                   39,27,486             46,78,534            44,51,839      47,71,880     54,76,487
Source: ITC Trade Map, 2019

Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020                                                                29
Top products supplied to Asia from Africa were Electrical Machinery and Equipment, Machinery, and Vehicles (Table 9)

Table 9
Top Products - Africa’s exports to Asia Unit : US Dollar thousand

 Product label                                   Value               Product label                                    Value

                   Electrical machinery
                                                 2016: 2,38,28,969                                                    2016: 66,93,931
                   and equipment and parts
                                                 2017: 2,58,42,687                   Articles of iron or steel        2017: 69,27,156
                   thereof; sound recorders
                                                 2018: 2,94,81,693                                                    2018: 81,99,238
                   and reproducers, television

                   Machinery, mechanical
                                                 2016: 1,97,90,050                                                    2016: 58,18,333
                   appliances, nuclear
                                                 2017: 2,10,77,649                   Iron and steel                   2017: 59,59,218
                   reactors, boilers; parts
                                                 2018: 2,42,09,185                                                    2018: 74,69,325
                   thereof

                   Vehicles other than
                                              2016: 1,55,41,812                                                       2016: 45,03,392
                   railway or tramway rolling
                                              2017: 1,69,40,961                       Cereals                         2017: 58,53,663
                   stock, and parts and
                                              2018: 2,04,28,997                                                       2018: 56,31,295
                   accessories thereof

                   Mineral fuels, mineral                                            Animal or vegetable fats
                                                 2016: 1,52,71,476                                               2016: 42,62,768
                   oils and products of their                                        and oils and their cleavage
                                                 2017: 1,53,11,633                                               2017: 55,01,282
                   distillation; bituminous                                          products; prepared edible
                                                 2018: 1,89,59,676                                               2018: 48,52,051
                   substances; mineral                                               fats; animal

                                                 2016: 1,07,00,048                   Articles of apparel and          2016: 52,79,205
                   Plastics and articles
                                                 2017: 1,11,89,994                   clothing accessories, not        2017: 53,19,502
                   thereof
                                                 2018: 1,32,33,782                   knitted or crocheted             2018: 47,62,899

Source: ITC Trade Map, 2019

30                                                                      Trade & Investment Opportunities In Asian & African Countries, 2020
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