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CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
Homeland Air Defense 40 | Guardians of Space 20 | Romance of the Air 54

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             CONNECTING
            TO THE FUTURE              Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? | 36

            January/February 2021 $8

                                                                                         Published by the
                                                                                       Air Force Association

                                          75 YEARS OF AFA | 46
CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
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CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
STAFF
                                                                                                                                                                                             Publisher
                                                                                          January/February 2021. Vol. 104, Nos. 1 and 2                                                      Bruce A. Wright
                                                                                                                                                                                             Editor in Chief
                                                                                                                                                                                             Tobias Naegele

                                                                                                                                                    Russian Federation Ministry of Defense
                                                                                                                                                                                             Managing Editor
                                                                                                                                                                                             Juliette Kelsey
                                                                                                                                                                                             Chagnon
                                                                                                                                                                                             Editorial Director
                                                                                                                                                                                             John A. Tirpak
                                                                                                                                                                                             News Editor
DEPARTMENTS                   FEATURES                                                                                      Russian Tu-                                                      Amy McCullough
 2 Editorial: What                                                                                                          95 bombers,
                               14 Q&A: Weathering the Storm                                                                 shown here with                                                  Assistant
   History Tells Us                                                                                                                                                                          Managing Editor
   By Tobias Naegele             Lt. Gen. Warren D. Berry, the USAF deputy chief of staff for lo-                           wing-mounted Kh-
                                                                                                                            101 cruise missiles,                                             Chequita Wood
                                 gistics, engineering, and force protection, speaks with Editorial                          on Oct. 14, 2020,
  4 Letters                      Director John A. Tirpak about new logistics concepts, air base                                                                                              Senior Designer
                                                                                                                            probed Canadian
                                 defense, and managing the health of the Air Force’s facilities.                            and U.S. air spaces                                              Dashton Parham
 6 Index to                                                                                                                 to goad, provoke,                                                Pentagon Editor
   Advertisers                30 How Long Will the B-1 Last?                                                                and test the two                                                 Brian W. Everstine
                                                                                                                            nations’ respons-
                                 By John A. Tirpak                                                                          es. See “Forging
                                                                                                                                                                                             Digital Platforms
 8 Airframes                                                                                                                                                                                 Editor
                                 Fixes are ongoing, but significant structural repairs are likely                           a Shield for the
                                 to continue until the Bone retires.                                                        Homeland,” p. 40.                                                Jennifer-Leigh
16 Verbatim
                                                                                                                                                                                             Oprihory
 18 World: Biden’s            36 The Great Experimenter                                                                                                                                      Senior Editor
    new administration;          By Brian W. Everstine                                                                                                                                       Rachel S. Cohen
    Space Guardians;                                                                                                                                                                         Production
                                 Will Roper spawned a revolution in acquisition as USAF’s
    aircraft mishaps;                                                                                                                                                                        Manager
    Air Force diversity          procurement chief. Will his innovations survive?
                                                                                                                                                                                             Eric Chang Lee
    report; and more ...      40 Forging a Shield for the Homeland                                                                                                                           Photo Editor
                                                                                                                                                                                             Mike Tsukamoto
31 Faces of the Force              By Jason Sherman
                                   A “new era” of domestic air defense dawns.                                                                                                                 Contributors
59 Namesakes:
   Keesler                    46 Seventy-Five Years of AFA                                                                                                                                    John T. Correll,
                                                                                                                                                                                              Jennifer Hlad,
62 AFA in Action                 By Jennifer Hlad and Staff                                                                                                                                   Jason Sherman,
   Fallen Warriors               Seventy-five years ago the Air Force Association was found-                                                                                                  Lt. Col. Anthony
                                                                                                                                                                                              Tingle, USA (Ret.)
   Portrait Project;             ed. Here’s a brief glimpse of some of its accomplishments.
   AFA Helps Bring
   USO to Lakenheath;         50 5G Netcentricity
   Happy Birthday,                                                                                                          ON THE COVER
   Space Force                     By Lt. Col. Anthony Tingle, USA (Ret.)
                                   The coming revolution in networking will redefine the con-
64 Heroes and                      cept of sensor fusion.
   Leaders:                                                                                                                                                                                  ADVERTISING:
   An Airman in the           54 Romance of the Air                                                                                                                                          Kirk Brown
                                                                                                                                                    Mike Tsukamoto/staff

   Fight: Pitsenbarger           By John T. Correll                                                                                                                                          Director, Media
                                 Barnstormers, wing walkers, and air racers lit the spark to                                                                                                 Solutions
                                 enchantment with aviation.                                                                                                                                  703.247.5829
                                                                                                                                                                                             kbrown@afa.org
                              60 The Air Force Association’s Top Issues                                                      Innovation has
                                                                                                                             been the hallmark
                                 The Air Force Association’s annual compilation of the associ-                               of USAF under ac-                                               SUBSCRIBE
                                 ation’s policy positions for the year ahead.                                                quisition chief Will                                            & SAVE
                                                                                                                             Roper’s leadership.                                             Subscribe to
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Air Force Magazine (ISSN 0730-6784) January/February 2021 (Vol. 104, Nos. 1 and 2) is published monthly, except for two double issues in January/February and June/July, by the
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                                                    JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021                 AIRFORCEMAG.COM             1
CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
EDITORIAL
                                                           By Tobias Naegele

                             What History Tells Us
W
             e have been studying history and relearning old lessons.   aerospace as the best places to work; planned production of our
             This is never easy. January’s riot at the Capitol and the  most advanced, lethal, and effective weapons—the systems that
             second impeachment of a single sitting president were      delivered the greatest deterrent value to our nation—were cut short.
unique, yet the discord and division that preceded them is not.             Deferring national defense investments are like deferring main-
    Three decades after Operation Desert Storm, it is easy to forget    tenance on your house. You may be able to get another year out of
that Americans were hardly united about committing to that conflict.    that roof, maybe two. But wait too long and you’ll have to replace
Some 183 representatives in the House and 47 in the Senate voted        plywood and trusses, not just shingles. That’s why the Air Force is
against authorizing military force to compel Iraq’s withdrawal from     now spending billions to keep its B-1B bombers flying. Purchased
Kuwait. The House and Senate both had solid Democratic major-           in the 1980s, they weren’t designed or built to last so long, but their
ities, yet Republican President George H.W. Bush won bipartisan         successor, the B-21, won’t arrive for another decade. At this writing,
support for the campaign.                                               it’s still more than a year from its first flight.
    Having recently vanquished the Soviet Union in the Cold War, and        “The force that won the Gulf War no longer exists,” AFA noted
still licking wounds from failure in Vietnam, many Americans were       in an eerily prescient policy statement in the fall of 1993. “The
loath to become mired in a conflict someplace else. But once the        existing force … is operating at an arduous tempo to meet opera-
bombs started falling, once the works of stealthy F-117s, laser-guided  tional commitments. Fighter and mobility forces are particularly
bombs, and other modern marvels of Cold War weaponry went on            pressed. The Air Force of the future may draw combat units from a
display, the tide turned.                                                                    service half the size of the Air Force that waged
    It took just 1,000 hours to crush the capacity        “Those who cannot                  the Desert Storm air campaign. Unless system
and will of the Iraqi army. The U.S. Air Force led a    remember the past are modernization proceeds, that force will be left
38-day coalition air assault. When that was done,
                                                       condemned to repeat it.” to fight the conflicts of the 21st century with the
the Army and Marines swept in to complete the                                                same equipment—obsolescing and in reduced
destruction, a 100-hour maneuver to chase the              —George Santayana,                numbers—employed in the Gulf War.”
already diminished and defeated Iraqi force                      philosopher                    The threat of global war had receded, but that
home to Baghdad.                                                                             AFA statement warned the public and Congress
    Here was America’s strategy laid out in plain sight: a techno-      that the impending world order would be neither peaceful nor
logically superior force that didn’t have to match up in numbers        benign. What followed was a period of nonstop conflict as the
because its capabilities were so vastly superior, its speed, range,     United States became enmeshed, one after another, in Somalia,
and reach so overwhelmingly greater, its forces so much more            Haiti, Bosnia, Kosovo, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and Syria, usually
professionally trained, that the fight was no contest. The Iraqis       in more than one place at a time.
outnumbered the Americans 535,000 to 415,000 at the start, and              Russia has reset its nuclear and strategic forces. China has stud-
still they never had a chance.                                          ied and countered virtually every strategic advance in America’s his-
    America, however, embraced the wrong lesson. Rather than see        torically technologically superior forces. Iran and North Korea have
this one-sided victory as vindicating the nation’s sacrifices over the  flouted international law and diplomacy while developing nuclear
decades—a decisive victory at the cost of fewer than 150 Americans      arms. They, like Russia and China, engage in cyber warfare daily.
lost in combat—Congress doubled down on defense cuts and an                 And as the world became more dangerous, our nation was
even bigger peace dividend for winning the Cold War.                    weakened by our own fractious infighting. We are the spoiled kids
    In 1992, a seemingly invincible President George H. W. Bush,        fighting over the remote while the roof caves in above us.
having built a 35-nation coalition to win the Gulf War and among            Enough!
the best prepared politicians ever to assume the presidency, was            Some 75 years ago a few visionary leaders established our
defeated by Bill Clinton, the former governor of Arkansas, whose        Air Force Association to ensure America didn’t forget what won
campaign coined the phrase “it’s the economy, stupid.” Clinton          World War II, and that we never returned to the impotent interwar
promised to cut defense spending and did—by more, in fact, than         period after World War I, when Americans were naïve enough to
even he had imagined.                                                   think we had won the “war to end all wars.” We have endured for
    Air Force Magazine reported in May 1993 that the defense bud-       those 75 years because tens of thousands of us continue to believe
get would decline (after accounting for inflation) by 42 percent        that American security is rooted in the strategic development and
between 1985 and 1997. As The New York Times editorialized, this        application of aerospace power, and because history tells us that
was acceptable because “U.S. weapon systems are unrivaled, so           the failure to advocate for aerospace power will leave us without
production of new tanks, planes, and ships can be put off for a         that power when we need it most.
decade or more.”                                                            This is our mission: educating, advocating, and supporting the
    Hare, meet tortoise. Putting the brakes on future weapons           Airmen and Guardians who stand ready to defend us from all ene-
development bought time for Russia and China and diminished             mies, foreign and domestic. Let us rise above the politics of the hour
America’s ability to wage war, both in military fighting power and      and hold fast to a common cause, that of a free people committed
industrial might. Our defense and aerospace industries suffered         to the common defense, the rule of law, and common decency.
massive consolidation, as rivals chose to combine rather than go            We live in a dangerous world, where real enemies lurk. We must
out of business; engineers looked to Silicon Valley rather than         be ready and waiting, united as one.                                 J
                                      2    JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021         AIRFORCEMAG.COM
CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
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CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
LETTERS
                                                                                              Air Force Association
Scud Hunting                                  battle management and control. It cannot        1501 Lee Highway • Arlington, VA 22209-1198
   I am writing to express my disagree-       afford delay of response. And it cannot
                                                                                              afa.org
ment with [Tobias] Naegele’s disparage-       afford slow delivery. Calling in a B-2 strike
ment of the Army’s pursuit of long-range      from Whiteman Air Force Base, Mo., and          Telephone: 703.247.5800
weaponry [“Generating Fires, Not Hype,”       waiting 12 hours for bomb on target is not      Toll-free: 800.727.3337
November 2020, p. 2].                         operationally useful (assuming the B-2          Fax: 703.247.5853
   Let us stipulate that the Army bears       was even on runway alert). “When min-
the responsibility for defense of forward     utes count, the Air Force will be there to-     AFA’s Mission
bases, regardless of whether the forces       morrow.” And when you fail to negate the        Our mission is to promote dominant U.S. Air
emplaced are Army, Air Force, or ally.        target, all this talk about range, stealth,     and Space Forces as the foundation of a
Among the deadly threats are cruise and       mobility, cost, and efficiency misses the       strong national defense; honor and support
ballistic missiles, against which the Army    point, which is: responsiveness and kill        our Airmen, Space professionals, and their
has invested greatly in perimeter and         probability.                                    families; and to honor and respect our
area defenses: Nike Ajax, Nike Hercules,        There is no airplane that travels as          enduring heritage.
HAWK, Patriot PAC-1 and PAC-3, THAAD,         fast as a ballistic or hypersonic missile.
and Arrow. Let us not kid ourselves that      There is no responsiveness better than          To accomplish this, we:
the Air Force can defend against ballistic    being fired out of a canister. There is no      ■ Educate the public on the critical need
missiles and give credit for the Army’s       substitute for being in time to make a            for unrivaled aerospace power and a
efforts.                                      difference. The Army does not think in            technically superior workforce to ensure
   As we say in the strategic defense         terms of conveyor-belt attrition warfare.         national security.
business, the best active defense is in the   They are fighting a ground battle whose         ■ Advocate for aerospace power, and
“pre-boost” phase, and it is reasonable for   circumstances can change within hours             promote aerospace and STEM education
the Army to desire a means of shooting        or minutes, and they may need to negate           and professional development.
back at the enemy launch site. But when       targets at 1,000-mile ranges in order to
                                                                                              ■ Support readiness for the Total Air and
we tried to do that with air power in the     keep threats suppressed, traffic nodes            Space Forces, including Active Duty,
Great Scud Hunt of Gulf War 1, the results    out of commission, communications dis-            National Guard, Reserve, civilians, families
were miserable. I and a colleague were        rupted, or supplies and reinforcements at         and members of the Civil Air Patrol.
tasked with conducting an analysis of         bay. The Army would be happy to assign
that mission in order to understand why       non-urgent targets to the Air Force, but        Contacts
the results were so poor. We modeled the      they do not want to miss critical oppor-        CyberPatriot . . . . info@uscyberpatriot.org
mission segments as functional blocks         tunities. A 1,000-mile missile weighs only      Field Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . field@afa.org
characterized by time and probability of      8 tons (Pershing II), but an M-1 Abrams         Government Relations . . . . . . . . . grl@afa.org
success. Once we plugged in the archi-        tank weighs over 70 tons. Such missiles         Insurance . . . . . . . afa.service@mercer.com
tecture fielded in Gulf War 1, we came        are “affordable” both in dollar terms and       Membership. . . . . . . . membership@afa.org
up with ... miserable results. The main       in logistic burden.                             News Media. . . . communications@afa.org
contributor was time delay, both from           All the virtues of frontal aviation require   StellarXplorers . . . . . . . . . STLX_info@afa.org
the mission-planning and strike-planning      that the aircraft be collocated with the
process and from the target-search pro-       Army, with the same penalties of logistic       Magazine
cess. It became obvious that a responsive     chains, so it is bait-and-switch to say that    Advertising. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . kbrown@afa.org
                                                                                              Editorial Offices . . . . . . . . . . . afmag@afa.org
defense such as a Scud Hunt must be on        the Air Force is less vulnerable—so long
                                                                                              Letters to Editor Column. . . letters@afa.org
a separate track from the theater battle      as you are willing to await backup from
planning and coordination process. There      halfway around the world.
                                                Don’t misunderstand my criticism as
                                                                                              Change of Address/Email
was simply too much valuable time lost                                                        In an effort to stay connected with AFA
in being part of a massive plan. That time    being partisan against the Air Force. I         and your local chapter, please update your
lost allowed the target to egress from                                                        mailing and email addresses. Change of
its launch coordinates and imposed a                      WRITE TO US                         address requires four weeks’ notice.
significant time penalty for reacquisition.
Faster reacquisition was important, but        Do you have a comment about a current          To update your contact information:
not necessarily faster weapon delivery.        article in the magazine? Write to “Letters,”   ■ Email: membership@afa.org
We were able to show several orders of         Air Force Magazine, 1501 Lee Highway,
                                                                                              ■ Visit: The Members Only area
improvement in mission productivity by         Arlington, VA 22209-1198 or email us at
                                                                                                of our website, afa.org
implementing an architecture that had a        letters@afa.org. Letters should be concise
stand-alone planning cycle and weapons         and timely. We cannot acknowledge receipt      ■ Call: Our Membership Department
that incorporated reacquisition sensors.       of letters. We reserve the right to condense     at 1-800-727-3337
   Given these results (now 30 years           letters. Letters without name and city/base    ■ Mail your magazine label, including your
old), it is no surprise to me that the Army    and state are not acceptable. Photographs        first and last name, to our Membership
wants the ability to engage at theater         cannot be used or returned.                      Department at 1501 Lee Highway,
distances with weapons under its own                                                            Arlington, VA 22209-1198.
                                  4     JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021         AIRFORCEMAG.COM
CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
LETTERS

have studied, analyzed, and supported         supposed to improve mission capability. I                   downsized theater units were now part
Air Force missions for the dominant part      would agree it could reduce costs in the                    staff and enough technicians to process
of my career. There is much for it to do.     long run, but would use the following                       high-priority intel. Morale dropped, senior
But this argument against the Army is         example of this tactic in the 1970s as a                    people decided to retire and look for more
misconceived and really amounts to a          lesson learned. The then-USAF Security                      stability, and the impact on families was
case of “screw you, buddy.” If the Army       Service (USAFSS), which was largely                         evident. Not to mention the challenge
is wrong in its approach, they are the        an intelligence-gathering organization,                     of crew scheduling. The USAFSS crews
only ones who know better, as attested        decided to implement a MOB/FOB (Main                        were at least twice the size of the SAC
by their experience: Corporal, Redstone,      Operating Base/Forward Operating Base)                      crews.
Sergeant, Jupiter, Pershing, Lance, Persh-    concept for its airborne reconnaissance                       Within a few years, the Security Service
ing II, GSRS. Give them their due, and let    component. Its crew members flew on                         embarked on a “de-MOB/FOB” program
them do their job. They don’t accept the      Strategic Air Command RC-135’s. The                         to undo some of the negative impact.
Air Force’s response time and, frankly,       “front end” crews from SAC had used                         Overseas units were strengthened, more
they have grounds for that, even though       this deployment system for decades with                     skilled technicians were sent there PCS
they are dependent on the Air Force for       seeming success. So Security Service                        (permanent change of station) and mo-
the success of ground campaigns. So,          would do the same with “back-end”                           rale seemed to improve.
they are not seeking to do your job. Please   crews. Pull people back to one main base                      The lesson learned is to do the research
give them the professional respect and        in the U.S., scale down the existing field                  before implementing change. Know your
support to do their job as they best see      units, and then deploy crew members for                     workforce. What looks good on paper and
how to do it.                                 various lengths of TDY (temporary duty).                    works for one command may not work
                          Michael J. Dunn     The SAC and USAFSS crews would be on                        for another.
                      Federal Way, Wash.      the same stateside base.                                                          Capt. Hank Whitney,
                                                  But much of the USAFSS workforce                                                       USAF (Ret.)
Unintended Consequences                       did not buy into this concept. Highly                                                      Custer, S.D.
  In the September issue [“World: As          trained and motivated technical experts in
DOD Leaves Germany, Spangdahlem               overseas units were centralized into one                    Remember the First
Left Hanging,” p. 33] (former) Defense        stateside location. The lure of an overseas                   The article “Erasing Artificial Barriers”
Secretary [Mark T.] Esper talks about         tour in some desirable locations (England,                  by Amy McCullough [November, p. 40]
increasing deployments overseas and           Germany, Greece, Okinawa) disappeared.                      quickly caught my eye. Although it was
reducing permanent stations abroad. It is     There were more and longer TDYs. The                        a nice tribute and review of the progress

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CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
of Air Force women pilots in entering the                                            You allowed Mr. Grane to echo the            the F-104s to CONUS and to reequip the
fighter pilot arena, what was conspicuous                                          most scurrilous accusations against the        435th with brand-new F-4Ds, the squad-
by its absence was any reference to the                                            President. The fact that your editors          ron PCS-ed WOPE (Without Personnel
historic first group of Air Force women                                            granted Mr. Grane an avenue to do exactly      and Equipment) to Ubon RTAB on July
pilots, who started this long journey to                                           that shakes my faith to the core. If they      29, 1967, where the 435th ‘inherited’ the
its splendid fruition.                                                             worked for me, they wouldn’t work for          personnel and equipment of the newly
   I was likely, as the cliché would say, in                                       me anymore.                                    arrived 4th TFS. The 4th designation was
the right place at the right time. In the                                                             Lt. Col. Gary Peppers,      then returned to Eglin Air Force Base.
summer of 1976, I was assigned to Officer                                                                        USAF (Ret.)      Both at Udorn and Ubon, the 435th TFS
Training School (OTS) Medical Services,                                                                     Cape Coral, Fla.      was assigned to the 8th TFW.
Medina Annex, Lackland Air Force Base,                                                                                              (2) It is stated that laser guided bombs
Texas, as the Chief of Dental Services.                                               I still hold an image from a “public        expended by F-4Ds were finally success-
The arrival of that first group of women                                           service message” on AFRTS (American            ful in taking down the notorious Thanh
Flight Screening Program (FSP) students                                            Forces Radio and Television Service) in        Hoa Bridge in Vietnam. It is correct that
there in July of that year caused quite a                                          Iraq in 2010 showing a Navy admiral vis-       Ubon F-4Ds struck the bridge in April and
stir—locally and of course nationally. I                                           iting with moms and children in a military     May 1972 with M-118 and Mk-84 LGBs
had the privilege of performing their first                                        day care center. I wondered who was            and with Mk-84 EOGBs (Electro-Optical
active Air Force flying training dental                                            watching the Med, the South China Sea,         Guided Bombs), and damaged it, but
examinations—even before they entered                                              the Strait of Hormuz, and other troubled       certainly did not take it down. On Oct.
UPT (undergraduate pilot training) on                                              spots. General Brown gives an A-priority       6, seven-and-a-half years after the first
Sept. 26, 1976, at Williams Air Force                                              to taking care of Airmen and their families    strike against the bridge, it took two
Base, Ariz. (They had to pass FSP before                                           [“Strategy and Policy: Brown’s A-B-C-Ds        pilots and their A-7C Corsair IIs of USS
entering UPT.)                                                                     for Accelerating Change,” November, p.         America’s Attack Squadron (VA) 82, Cmdr.
   These officers all deserve recognition:                                         12] and assuring their quality of life while   Leighton ‘Snuffy’ Smith and Lt. j.g. Marvin
K. Cosand, V. Crawford, M. Donahue,                                                mission capability of all our aircraft is      Baldwin, one AGM-62B Walleye glide
C. Engel, K. La Sauce, M. Livingston, S.                                           abysmally low.                                 bomb each, to get the bridge finally into
Rogers, C. Sherer, C. Schott, and S. Scott.                                           I’m reminded of the oft-seen slogan         the Song Ma River.
Although their first operational assign-                                           on commercial work vehicles, “Safety Is                                   Theo van Geffen,
ments after graduation from UPT in 1977                                            Our Top Priority.” Whatever happened to                          Utrecht, the Netherlands
did not include fighter assignments, they                                          MISSION—killing bad people and break-
surely paved the way for their successors.                                         ing their stuff? In my 16 months as com-       Questions ... Answers ... Questions
I believe they need to be recognized                                               mander of the 479th AGS at Holloman Air           Your magazine is excellent. It certainly
accordingly.                                                                       Force Base, N.M., in 1980-81, I imposed        keeps ORFs (Operational Reserve Forces)
                     Col. Fred W. Benenati,                                        more Article 15 punishments monthly            like me informed and at least mentally
                              USAFR (Ret.)                                         than the larger maintenance squadrons          involved. It probably keeps the Active
                             Norman, Okla.                                         on the base, and I discharged 50 unsuited      duty-types better informed than they oth-
                                                                                   and unfit members.                             erwise would be. [In the October 2020 is-
I Object                                                                              Somehow, my emphasis on mission             sue] the article on the ABMs was exciting,
  I’ve been a member of the Air Force                                              and on strict discipline cut emergencies       but the article on air bases was troubling.
Association for 50 years. Air Force Mag-                                           in half and brought our MC rate from           It certainly laid out General Saltzman’s
azine has always been the hallmark of                                              the low 60s to the high 80s and low            “what?” and “so what?” but failed to
both technical information and reasoned                                            90s. I cared for quality of life, and it was   address his “what’s next?” final question.
political opinion, until now. Your editorial                                       reflected at the end of my tenure in the          It seems that whenever the commercial
staff’s decision to print Wayne Grane’s                                            highest re-enlistment rate of all Tactical     world confronts a showstopper, they
repetition of false and disparaging slander                                        Air Command maintenance squadrons.             tend to rely on the advances in material
of President Donald Trump in November’s                                            But mission identification and mission         sciences to move the ball. Can we do the
“Letters” violated every standard of taste,                                        pride probably had more to do with the         same? It would appear that between DOD
judgment, and honesty for which this                                               squadron’s success than any other factor.      and the national labs, there is enough
magazine has always been respected.                                                                   Lt. Col. John F. Piowaty,   brainpower to concoct a solution.
                                                                                                                   USAF (Ret.)       I look forward to the article written
                                                                                                          Cape Canaveral, Fla.    about the day we have to operate out of
     INDEX TO ADVERTISERS                                                                                                         a base at XYZ and there is no base. So,
                                                                                   The Thanh Hoa Bridge                           we chopper in and airdrop the 502nd Bare
American Hearing Benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5                        In their worth-reading article, “A Better    Base Squadron, and they erect the solar
Bradford . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53    Way to Measure Combat Value,” [Sep-            arrays, the tents and portable buildings,
Collins Aerospace . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Cover II                  tember, p. 60] Lt. Gen. David Deptula          string wires, and pour plasticized run-
Colony Club . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62        and Douglas Birkey, on p. 62, used a           ways, taxiways, and hardstands—and
Elbit Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7      photo of an F-4D of the 435th Tactical         two weeks later, recover their first fighter
Mercer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45   Fighter Squadron. In my opinion, two           squadron.
Pratt & Whitney . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3          things need a correction. (1) The 435th           How do you say, ‘They did what?’ in
Rolls-Royce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Cover IV             TFS was stationed at Udorn Royal Thai          Chinese?
USAA. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Cover III       Air Base, Thailand, all right, but only                         Lt. Col. Fred H. Williamson,
                                                                                   when the squadron was flying the F-104C                                          USAF (Ret.)
Air Force Charity Ball . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17             Starfighter. When it was decided to return                                       Venice, Fla.
                                                                 6        JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021           AIRFORCEMAG.COM
CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
CONNECTING TO THE FUTURE - 75 YEARS OF AFA|46 - Will Today's Era of Innovation Continue? |36 - Air Force Magazine
AIRFRAMES

                                                                       Combat Controller Staff Sgt. Alaxey Germanovich leads
                                                                       Air Force and Army Special Tactics troops doing memorial
                                                                       pushups after Air Force Secretary Barbara Barrett

                                                                                                                                       Staff Sgt. Michael Washburn
                                                                       presented Germanovich with the Air Force Cross Dec. 10,
                                                                       2020. Germanovich was recognized for actions during a
                                                                       fierce firefight in Nangarhar Province, Afghanistan, April 8,
                                                                       2017, where the Airman was credited with saving the lives
                                                                       of more than 150 friendly forces by helping to destroy 11
                                                                       enemy fighting positions.

8   JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021   AIRFORCEMAG.COM   JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021   AIRFORCEMAG.COM     9
AIRFRAMES

The in-flight refueling operator and pilot aboard a KC-
135 Stratotanker track progress as a B-52 Stratofortress
tanks up during a multiday Bomber Task Force mission
over Southwest Asia Dec. 10, 2020. The short-notice, non-

                                                                                                                              Staff Sgt. Trevor McBride
stop mission aimed to validate the task force’s ability to
rapidly deploy combat power anywhere in the world. The
frequency and intensity of Bomber Task Force missions
increased in 2020.

                                 10 JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021    AIRFORCEMAG.COM   JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021   AIRFORCEMAG.COM   11
AIRFRAMES

A Special Tactics Airman guides an MC-130J onto a
runway during an exercise Nov. 6, 2020, at Melrose Air
Force Range, N.M. The operators, who have the ability
to conduct global access, personnel recovery, and
airfield seizure missions through the utilization of a

                                                                                                                             Staff Sgt. Ridge Shan
wide range of unique skills and infiltration/exfiltration
methods—including air and helicopter assault—seized
and surveyed the runway.

                                 12 JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021   AIRFORCEMAG.COM   JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021   AIRFORCEMAG.COM   13
QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

                             Weathering the Storm
   Lt. Gen. Warren D. Berry is the Deputy Chief of Staff for Lo-         might be through a different distribution network, or responding
gistics, Engineering, and Force Protection. His portfolio includes       in different ways to protect our assets that are deployed in theater.
everything from aircraft readiness to base housing. Editorial Di-        All of that is the conceptual framework for Persistent Logistics.
rector John A. Tirpak spoke with Berry about new logistics con-             We’re looking at that now, and asking ourselves, where are the
cepts, air base defense, and managing the health of the Air Force’s      capability gaps, so we can go to the corporate Air Force to say,
facilities. The conversation has been edited for length and clarity.     these are the capabilities we need to develop to logistically sup-
                                                                         port the fight.
    Q. The Air Force has been talking a lot about agile combat
logistics and logistics under fire. Are they the same thing?               Q. And what are some of those?
    A. Not quite, but they’re absolutely related. The National De-         A. Autonomous distribution, Agility Prime [Ed. Note: Agility
fense Strategy gave us this operational problem, “Logistics Under       Prime is USAF’s effort at developing a “flying car” type of system
Attack.” We’ve enjoyed years of being able to do resupply and re-       that could be used for medical evacuation or resupply of troops
plenishment with little resistance from an adversary, in a permis-      in hard-to-reach places]. We’re also looking at artificial intelli-
sive or semi-permissive environment. That probably won’t be             gence to push parts to the field instead of waiting for the demand
the case in the future. We understand that the threat will be both      signal; particularly in a situation where communication is de-
kinetic and non-kinetic.                                                graded. How do I mitigate that? Maybe I get into block-chain-like
    We’ve coalesced around a concept of “persistent logistics.” It      capabilities, that help me protect my data and give me more of a
has three major lines of effort: posture, sense, and respond. Pos-      predictive capability.
ture is how we set the theater, do prepositioned equipment, where          There may be also be gaps in personnel, training, and doc-
we put war readiness materiel, and how we sustain it in advance         trine, that we need to fill.
of a potential fight. It’s about … preparing for that non-kinetic at-      Some we inherently know; others will come to light as we do
tack, disruptive technologies that can be                                                     more study. We may need new forms of dis-
brought to bear, about hardening some of                                                      tribution, but it has to be in context. In Eu-
our critical nodes and training Airmen to                                                     rope, there’s a robust infrastructure; in the
be more multi-capable; to do more than                                                        Pacific, you have that tyranny of distance.
just their primary job. And it’s about help-                                                  But, we’re pretty sure we need to do distribu-
ing our allies and partners, and recogniz-                                                    tion a bit differently. Our logistics common
ing the capabilities that they bring.                                                         operating picture isn’t where it needs to be.
    Then, sensing. We have a lot of data                                                         I’m sure we’re going to find more gaps,
and a lot of information in the logistics                                                     such as in runway repair. Gaps in how we
space, but we don’t have the capability                                                       do supply kits and posture units with readi-
to catalog and clean it of spurious inputs                                                    ness spares packages, so they have what they
and understand gaps in data integri-                                                          think they’ll need for a certain duration of a
ty. There are unit codes that tell us what                                                    fight. Those are a few.
                                                                                          USAF

went wrong with a system, or a part, and
we need to be able to collate that and turn USAF Deputy Chief of Staff for Logis-                Q. When will you have a roadmap for
it into information we can use.                tics, Engineering, and Force Protection,       all of this?
    The data are so voluminous that a per- Lt. Gen. Warren Berry                                 A. We will finalize the Logistics Under
son in the loop can’t possibly digest it all.                                                 Attack concept in the spring, and we’ll start
We need to make it actionable, even predictive, so we know when         the capability gap analysis after that. My goal is, by the end of ’21,
the next failure is going to happen on an airplane and anticipate       have the capability gap analysis done so we can begin getting at
the parts that will be needed. So I need to sense the environment       the things we need.
and use those data to help me know what’s going on, logistically.
    We need digital modernization to get data that are far more            Q. PACAF (Pacific Air Forces) said it’s examined every
useful to us. You might hear it called Log COP, which is Logistics      theater airfield for possible operating locations, and they’re
Common Operating Picture. The goal is to get these data into a          thinking about a hub-and-spoke distribution concept as
secure, resilient system that I can protect and have it available to    USAF moves toward quick deployments to austere fields. Are
senior decision-makers so we know the state of play in logistics at     you involved with that?
virtually any moment. The goal is actionable logistics intelligence        A. The regional theater commanders are what I would call the
that is both proactive and predictive.                                  “thought and experiment leaders,” but we are clearly part of that
    Then, I need to respond. But, that response has to be at the        team. We’ve done some exercises, and learned that we need to
speed of relevance to the warfighter, and respond with the              rethink the footprint that we’re sending with the unit, in terms of
broader logistics enterprise; our air logistics complexes, our or-      the Airmen, and supplies, and equipment. We need to be a little
ganic capability, and our defense industrial base. The response         lighter and leaner. Part of that is rethinking those spares packag-
may come from artificial intelligence and machine learning or it        es, so that when a core unit goes to a hub, and then goes out to the
                                       14   JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021        AIRFORCEMAG.COM
spokes after that, they can be self-contained for a short amount           Q. This has been a landmark year for natural disasters:
of time.                                                                wildfires, hurricanes. What are you doing to harden bases
   Using all those airfields can really complicate the adversary’s      against these calamities?
targeting calculus; it gives us a lot more agility and unpredictabil-      A. The poster child for air base resiliency efforts would be Tyn-
ity. But, I have to support that in a way that I’m not necessarily      dall (Air Force Base, Fla.], as a result of Hurricane Michael, and
having to resupply, replenish, and support them on a near-con-          Offutt [Air Force Base, Neb.,] to a smaller degree, with the floods
tinuous basis.                                                          that happened there. We have some MILCON projects there to
   We need to understand what a multiskilled Airman looks like;         rebuild resiliency to severe weather.
what are the complementary skill sets we can really capitalize on,         Congress has been very supportive … in our attempt to build
and then come up with a training plan so we don’t put a burden          Tyndall back to what we need, and not build it back to what we
on each individual wing to develop that.                                had. We’re taking a different approach to how we’re constructing
                                                                        the base. We’ve modified the design criteria to better account for
    Q. As the Air Force develops this shell game concept, how           high-category hurricanes. We’re taking into consideration more
will you defend these far-flung sites? The Army won’t have              stringent design standards in flood plains … to handle 100-year
enough THAAD (Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense)                      floods.
or Patriots to cover everybody. Is the idea to just get in and             But we’re also putting sensors on facilities, so I can do pre-
get out quickly, or will you be taking some kind of organic             dictive maintenance—using the same idea we’re using with air-
defense with you?                                                       planes—and putting in smart systems to better control energy
    A. I think it’s going to be both.                                   consumption.
    There’s no silver bullet—no best methodology—to protect the            Across the Air Force, our physical plant value is about $350
force once it’s in the fight. I have to assume there will be some       billion. I’m not going to be able to make all of it resilient and
theater protection, but some of our adversaries have pretty deep        hurricane- and flood-proof overnight. But all of those design
magazines, and maybe there will be leakage.                             standards go into all our new … renovation and modernization
    I look at it what I can control, and that means looking at it       projects.
through the lens of point defense. Moving the force under the Ag-          After Hurricane Michael, Chief of Staff General [David] Gold-
ile Combat Employment concept helps with force protection. Be-          fein commissioned a Severe Weather Readiness Assessment
yond that, there’s a spectrum of opportunities to protect the base.     team to look at that, and treat severe weather as an adversary.
    At the low end, it’s things we’ve done in the past: camouflage,     They came up with 129 recommendations on how to do a better
concealment, and deception; being opaque about allowing our             job, from forecasting to sheltering to evacuation timelines. We
adversary to see what we’re doing.                                      completed about 25 percent of that quickly; what I would call the
    Then, I’ve got to protect the perimeter. In many cases, we can      “high reward, low difficulty” ones. We’re working through the
rely on the host nation to do that. It depends on the capability        rest, but as you said, this was a heck of a year: we had 30 named
they have, but they‘ll be engaged in this conflict, as well. Protect-   storms. Based on some of the actions we took, we came out of it
ing the perimeter also means I have to have situational aware-          relatively unscathed. It’s not all about design standards, it’s about
ness of the AOR (Area of Responsibility); sensors and detection         actions we can take in advance of severe weather. I think we’re
capabilities, infrared. I have to give that, in greater volume, to my   on a good path.
defenders.
    And then I have to look at other capabilities I can put in their        Q. Are you comfortable with the resources going to upkeep
hands to counter small, unmanned aerial systems.                        of facilities, or is USAF digging an even deeper hole?
                                                                            A. My business in the A4 is sustainment of both weapon sys-
   Q. What’re the key things you need in the next three to five         tems and infrastructure. Would I like more funding in those
years?                                                                  areas? Absolutely. We have more mission in the Air Force than
   A. I really need to give our defenders that broader battlespace      we have resources to do it all. So there’s some hard choices to be
awareness. To see further out, see the threats that are materializ-     made.
ing, have command, control, and communications systems, Blue                But we do have an investment strategy to get after our infra-
Force tracker, to evolve that capability to make it more robust for     structure. It calls for investing in a different way that helps us
them.                                                                   get out of our maintenance backlog. We used to fix “worst first,”
   Capability against Class 1-3 UAS, working with the Army as ex-       but in doing that, we put a lot money toward failed facilities. We
ecutive agent to get that capability in greater volume, that’s near-    had little left over for more routine maintenance on facilities that
term.                                                                   were in good shape but needed attention. It was the equivalent of
   Further out, it might be directed energy, lasers, that we can use    changing a couple of engines instead of doing a whole bunch of
to counter rockets and mortars and things of that nature. But that      oil changes, and we kept getting behind the power curve.
won’t be available to me in the next year or two.                           Now we’re investing in what we call the “sweet spot” of a facil-
                                                                        ity’s life cycle; putting more money into oil changes, if you will.
   Q. Do you feel like the Army is giving enough attention              We’re prioritizing funding for those facilities that are still good.
and resources to helping you in this regard?                            Don’t get me wrong, we’re still putting money toward failed fa-
   A. Certainly for small counter-UAS, they are. We’ve been             cilities, it’s just a shift in the priority and volume of dollars that
working very well with them in the Joint Counter Small Un-              go to each. And looking at whether I even need to recapitalize a
manned Aircraft Systems Office. It’s been pretty collabora-             particular building and maybe use that space differently, getting
tive … to get common systems, open architectures so we can              after a better footprint on the installation.
all plug in together and share the operating picture. And that              This is about understanding the inventory you have, the
feeds into the broader joint all-domain command and control             condition of each building and system within the building,
conversation that we’re having. The experience has been pret-           and targeting dollars against systems that need repair but
ty positive.                                                            have not yet failed.                                                J

                                           JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021        AIRFORCEMAG.COM       15
VERBATIM

Accelerate
 Change
                                                                                                                                Alarmed                                                                                    I Play
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         a Doctor
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          on TV

                                                                                                                                                                     Mike Tsukamoto/staff ; photo: Joshua Seybert/USAF

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mike Tsukamoto/staff
                                                                                                    Charles Haymond/USAF
                                 Eric Dietrich/USAF

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           “Official Wash-

                                                      Risky Business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ington has long
    “When I was a                                                                                                                                                                                                            disrespected
  captain, I did an                                                                                                                                                                                                         cybersecurity
  interview for Air                                                                                                                                                                                                      expertise in a way
Force Times, and                                        “It’s not a good thing when our
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         that would be un-
    it talked about                                    aircraft break down in a Russian
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         thinkable in other
   the percentage                                        airfield, and you’ve got to stay
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          complex profes-
 of African Amer-                                     there for three to five days waiting                                   “They [maintainers] don’t have                                                              sions. The Senate
   icans that were                                      for a part. That’s unacceptable,                                   experience and are tired. They are                                                            would never con-
    pilots. It was 2                                        and it’s what’s happening                                       tired and are crying for help. The                                                           firm a malpractice
percent. That was                                                   all too often.”                                           response is shut up and color.”                                                              attorney to be a
30 years ago. You                                                                                                                                                                                                         surgeon general.”
   know what it is                                     —Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) discussing                                   —A USAF maintainer told the National
                                                       the OC-135B fleet during a Dec. 10, 2020,                           Commission on Aviation Safety, according to
right now? It’s still                                                 press call.                                               a report released Dec. 3, 2020.                                                          —Alex Stamos, director
       2 percent.”                                                                                                                                                                                                       of the Stanford Internet

                                                               Building a Space Force
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Observatory, op-ed,
 —Air Force Chief of                                                                                                                                                                                                        Washington Post,
Staff Gen. Charles Q.                                                                                                                                                                                                         [Dec. 15, 2020].
 Brown Jr., Dec. 22,
                                                          “I need you to be bold. You will
 2020, speaking at a
 Facebook town hall.                                    help us build this service from the                                                                                                                               Getting
 Winners
                                                        ground up. You will help us define
                                                      our warfighting culture. You will build
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Back on
                                                       the Space Force as the first digital                                                                                                                              the Horse
  Never                                               service. You will lay the foundation of
  Quit                                                 a service that is innovative and can

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Senior Airman Kedesha
                                                        go fast in order to stay ahead of a
                  Petty Officer 1st Class Carlos

                                                       significant and growing threat, and
                                                      you, if deterrence fails, will fight and
                                                       win the battle for space superiority
                                                        which is so vital to our nation, our                                                                                                                                                        Pennant
                                                      allies and our joint and coalition forc-
                  Vazquez II

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          “Team members
                                                      es. The nation expects you to deliver
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            need to know
                                                                                                                                                                       Sarayuth Pinthong/USAF

                                                              dominant space power.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            that they can
 “We believe that                                                                                                                                                                                                          recover, right?
                                                        —Chief of Space Operations Gen. John W.
   now after 20                                         “Jay” Raymond speaking to the first seven                                                                                                                            We’re not a
  years, two de-                                         [five men, two women] BMT graduates to                                                                                                                           one mistake Air
 cades of consis-                                     directly enlist into the U.S. Space Force before
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Force. We may
                                                            administering the Oath of Enlistment
 tent effort there,                                                     [Dec. 10, 2020].                                                                                                                                   be a one crime
  we’ve achieved                                                                                                                                                                                                         [service], but not

                                                                       Moonlighting
   a modicum of                                                                                                                                                                                                             one mistake.”
     success.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          —From a September
—JCS Chairman Army                                                                                                                                                                                                        interview on diversity
 Gen. Mark A. Milley                                           “I had a day job in these other companies so that I could                                                                                                   and inclusion efforts
on Afghanistan during                                                           support my DOD habit.”                                                                                                                   within the NAF with 8th
  a virtual Brookings                                                                                                                                                                                                      Air Force Command
Institution discussion                                —Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency Director Victoria Coleman, in a Nov. 18,                                                                                  Chief, Chief Master
     [Dec. 2, 2020].                                                        2020, Air Force Magazine interview.                                                                                                          Sgt. Melvina A. Smith.

                                                                    16 JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021                                AIRFORCEMAG.COM
March 20, 2021
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  the Air Force Aid Society, the official charity of the
United States Air Force and United States Space Force

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WORLD

                                                                                                                                         Architect of the Capitol
For the first time since 2010, Democrats control both houses of Congress, as well as the White House.

                    Democrats In Charge:
                      What to Expect
        Narrow majorities in both houses mean smaller changes
                            in policy ahead.
By Rachel S. Cohen

  W
                                                                                  If confirmed by the Senate, Austin would become
                                                                               the first Black Secretary of Defense and only the
                ith Democrats controlling the House,                           third former general to hold the position. Because
                Senate, and White House, and a new          “He under-         he retired from the military in 2016, Congress must
                Defense Secretary taking up the job,        stands naval       waive a provision barring former military members
                the impact on defense policy, air and                          from holding the post within seven years of serving
                space investment, and the direction         power, he          on Active duty. The House and Senate are expected
of national security strategy will be in flux in the year   understands        to approve that waiver and confirm Austin, despite
ahead. Yet with only a tie-breaking advantage in            space power, misgivings by some about blurring the lines over
the Senate, experts expect incoming President Joe           he under-          civilian control of the military or, among others, over
Biden’s defense policy to remain centrist, despite          stands air         selecting candidates with ties to the defense indus-
the hopes of some in the progressive wing of the                               try. If confirmed, he will be the third consecutive
Democratic Party.                                           power ... he re- Secretary to have an infantry background, following
   Biden’s choice to lead the Pentagon is retired           ally strives to retired Marine Gen. James N. Mattis and retired Army
Army Gen. Lloyd J. Austin III, who led U.S. Central         get smarter in Lt. Col. Mark T. Esper.
Command during the drawdown of forces in Iraq               those areas.”         Former Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Mark A.
and during the early air war against the Islamic State                         Welsh III, now retired, said he was surprised about
                                                            —Former ACC
group when the self-proclaimed caliphate first estab-                          the choice of another ground commander as De-
                                                            chief Gen. Herbert
lished a foothold in western Iraq and Syria. Biden,                            fense Secretary, but recalled Austin as a thoughtful,
who was vice president at the time and involved             "Hawk" Carlisle,   “very joint-thinking guy, which is a good thing for
with regional policy, forged a close relationship with      USAF (Ret.)        all services.”
Austin during that stretch.                                                       Austin’s performance in Iraq was “phenomenal,”
                                     18   JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021        AIRFORCEMAG.COM
Welsh said in a recent interview. “I think he’s a steady hand.            Kahl was previously Biden’s national security adviser and
… He’s not afraid to make tough calls.”                                deputy assistant defense secretary for the Middle East, and
    Welsh recalled briefing Austin on his budget plans, as he          was most recently co-director of the Center for International
would with all the combatant commanders. “Lloyd always was             Security and Cooperation. Magsamen held policy positions in
very understanding of the fact that trades had to be made. …           the Pentagon DOD focused on the Indo-Pacific theater and has
[There] wasn't enough money for everything.” And he recalled           served as vice president for national security and international
that Austin was mindful of the value the capabilities provided         policy at the Center for American Progress.
by the other services.                                                    While Biden’s team won praise for its diversity, he has faced
    “I think he was always very appreciative of the fact that air      criticism for selecting defense establishment mainstays for
power was a major part of the toolkit in CENTCOM,” he added.           Pentagon roles.
    Herbert J. “Hawk” Carlisle, another retired Air Force general         “They're an incredibly bright group of folks,” Carlisle said.
and president of the National Defense Industrial Association,          “They're very, very in-depth in their knowledge base and how
ran Air Combat Command during Austin’s tenure at CENTCOM               they look at things.”
and was a classmate at the Army War College.                              Department of the Air Force officials including Chief of
    “He listens exceedingly well,” Carlisle recalled. “He's not        Space Operations Gen. John W. “Jay” Raymond had started
going to be the first guy to talk. He's not going to be the one        speaking with the transition team as of early January. But
that dominates … a conversation.”                                      questions such as who might be on the short list for Air Force
    Carlisle praised Austin’s ability to listen to conflicting argu-   Secretary and related positions remained an open question.
ments and then choose a plan that made sense, even if it didn’t           With only a slim majority in the House and a 50-50 split in
give everyone what they wanted. Austin could compromise                the Senate—tie votes will be decided by Biden’s Vice Presi-
when “he needed more of what I had, and I didn't really have           dent Kamala Harris—defense watchers don’t expect drastic
a lot more to give,” Carlisle said. “The key was that he'd listen      swings in military policy. But shifts in aerospace priorities
to what I had to say.”                                                 will be influenced by budget pressures.
    When sending Austin the additional air power he wanted                House Armed Services Committee Chairman Rep. Adam
would have forced Carlisle to “break red lines for deployment          Smith (D-Wash.) said he expects the defense budget will
schedules,” Carlisle recalled, “I said, ‘Hey, this is where I’m        hover between $720 billion and $740 billion in the coming
at.’ I laid it all out for him. He took it all in, and said, ‘OK, so   years—which would be flat, at best, and a cut of up to $20
where’s the middle ground?’ And we found it.”                          billion at worst. Any spending overhaul must be justified by
    Neither Welsh nor Carlisle expressed concern that Austin’s         a revamped national security policy, he has argued, but he
Army background will bias his views of the joint force.                is optimistic that cuts to the nuclear enterprise could pay for
    “I think he already has pivoted,” Carlisle said. “He under-        new or increased investment in other areas.
stands naval power, he understands space power, he under-                 For the Air Force, continued sluggish delivery of F-35
stands air power. … He really strives to get smarter in those          fighters could prompt cuts to that program, but investment in
areas.”                                                                emerging technologies, like hypersonic weapons, appear safe.
    As Secretary, among Austin’s greatest challenges will be              “The most cost-effective means to project combat power
convincing a reluctant Congress that retiring aging systems will       are with the aerospace forces of the Department of the Air
be beneficial, when lawmakers’ first concerns are often focused        Force, so the new administration and Congress would be
on retaining jobs in their home districts that may be tied to          wise to invest accordingly,” said retired Air Force Lt. Gen.
those platforms. Among programs that could see cuts—now                David A. Deptula, dean of AFA’s Mitchell Institute for Aero-
that their former protectors are no longer in Congress—is the          space studies.
A-10 attack aircraft, which former Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.)          He’s pushing for the department to overhaul its inventory
had defended. The MQ-9 strike and intelligence drone, which            with new technologies that are more capable at lower cost,
has remained in production over the Air Force’s objections,            and for the government to do away with “pass-through”
may also be on the way out.                                            funding that artificially inflates the Air Force’s coffers with
    Biden’s Pentagon transition team landed at the Defense             money meant for other agencies.
Department in November, led by Kathleen H. Hicks, Biden’s                 Two priority issues for the defense industry, according
pick for deputy defense secretary. Hicks is a former principal         to Carlisle, are how DOD will change its strategy in space,
deputy undersecretary of defense for policy, and deputy                particularly how it buys and uses space launches and sat-
undersecretary of defense for strategy, plans, and forces, and         ellites, as commercial collaboration increases, and how the
most recently ran the international security program at the            coronavirus pandemic is affecting the defense supply chain.
Center for Strategic and International Studies.                           An open question is where the new administration’s prior-
    If confirmed as expected, she would be the first woman             ities will lie in terms of technology development. In addition
confirmed for the DOD’s second-highest civilian job.                   to the high-profile projects like 5G networking and artificial
    Todd Harrison, a defense budget analyst and aerospace              intelligence, Carlisle encouraged the incoming administra-
expert at CSIS, praised his former colleague.                          tion to do more to shore up the U.S. domestic microelectronics
    “Kath’s appointment as deputy really balances many of              industry—something the Pentagon did with major investment
the perceived weaknesses in appointing Austin as SECDEF,”              programs in the 1970s, ’80s, and ’90s.
Harrison said. For example, her civil-military relations exper-           Carlisle said he anticipates a fresh look at the National
tise could reassure lawmakers who might be wary of putting             Defense Strategy. “I think it will be tested somewhat under
another career military officer in charge of the Pentagon.             the new administration,” he said. “But ... I think everyone in
    Other DOD officials in waiting include Colin Kahl for              the new administration still sees the strategic threat of China.”
undersecretary of defense for policy and Kelly Magsamen                   That should bode well for programs at the top of the Air
as Pentagon chief of staff, according to the Biden team and            and Space Forces’ priority lists, such as the B-21 bomber and
news reports.                                                          offensive and defensive space capabilities.
                                          JANUARY/FEBRUARY 2021        AIRFORCEMAG.COM      19
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