DRAFT PRECINCT PLAN Muldersdrift Precinct Mogale City Local Municipality - 30 September 2020 - Alpha Portal

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DRAFT PRECINCT PLAN Muldersdrift Precinct Mogale City Local Municipality - 30 September 2020 - Alpha Portal
30 September 2020

DRAFT PRECINCT PLAN
Muldersdrift Precinct
Mogale City Local Municipality
DRAFT PRECINCT PLAN Muldersdrift Precinct Mogale City Local Municipality - 30 September 2020 - Alpha Portal
DRAFT PRECINCT PLAN Muldersdrift Precinct Mogale City Local Municipality - 30 September 2020 - Alpha Portal
MULDERSDRIFT DRAFT PRECINCT PLAN

Table of Contents                                                                                                NON-RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT ............................................ 33
                                                                                                                 ROAD NETWORK ......................................................................... 35
                                                                                                           DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT.................................................................. 38
    INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................... 4
                                                                                                                 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................... 38
          THE MAGALIESBURG PRECINCT .................................................. 4
                                                                                                                 STRUCTURING ELEMENTS ............................................................ 38
          METHODOLOGY ........................................................................... 7
                                                                                                                        ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS ............................................... 38
    VISION AND OBJECTIVES ................................................................... 10
                                                                                                                        DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR ................................................ 40
          VISION STATEMENT ...................................................................... 10
                                                                                                                        ACTIVITY SPINES .................................................................. 42
          DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES ...................................................... 10
                                                                                                                        NODES AND CONCENTRATIONS ...................................... 45
    BACKGROUND INFORMATION .......................................................... 12
                                                                                                                        RESIDENTIAL TYPOLOGIES AND DENSITIES ........................ 46
          MUNICIPAL CONTEXT ................................................................. 12
                                                                                                           WAY FORWARD .................................................................................. 49
          SPATIAL POLICY FRAMEWORKS ................................................. 13
          MACRO-ECONOMIC PROFILE .................................................. 15
          HOUSEHOLD PROFILE ................................................................. 17
          POPULATION GROWTH .............................................................. 18
          RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL ............................................... 20
                 METHODOLOGY ................................................................. 20
                 POPULATION PROFILE ........................................................ 20
                 HOUSEHOLD INCOME ........................................................ 20
                 CUMULATIVE NET EFFECTIVE RESIDENTIAL DEMAND ....... 20
          RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT ...................................................... 23
                 DIFFERENT RESIDENTIAL TYPOLOGIES ................................ 23
                 INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS .................................................... 26
                 HUMAN SETTLEMENT PROJECTS......................................... 30
          HOUSEHOLD DEMAND AND SUPPLY ........................................ 32

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List of Figures                                                                                         List of Tables
Figure 1: MULDERSDRIFT SUB-REGION ........................................................ 5            Table 1: MULDERSDRIFT SUB REGION POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD
Figure 2: MULDERSDRIFT PRECINCT BOUNDARY ........................................ 6                     FIGURES ....................................................................................................... 18
Figure 3: PROJECT PHASES .......................................................................... 8   Table 2: MULDERSDRIFT PRECINCT POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD
Figure 4: MUNICIPAL CONTEXT ................................................................. 12        FIGURES ....................................................................................................... 18
Figure 5: COMBINED MCLM AND CoJ MM SDFs .................................... 14                         Table 3: MULDERSDRIFT PRECINCT POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD
Figure 6: ECONOMIC SECTOR CONTRIBUTION SUBREGION .................. 15                                  GROWTH ..................................................................................................... 18
Figure 7: SUB-REGION POPULATION GROWTH ........................................ 19                      Table 4: CUMULATIVE NET EFFECTIVE DEMAND – BONDED ................... 21
Figure 8: PRECINCT POPULATION GROWTH ............................................ 19                    Table 5: CUMULATIVE NET EFFECTIVE DEMAND – RENTAL ...................... 21
Figure 9: Net Effective Demand Equation .............................................. 20               Table 6: SUBSIDISED HOUSING PROJECTS ................................................ 30
Figure 10: HOUSING AFFORDABILITY RANGES ......................................... 22                    Table 7: PROPOSED HOUSING PROJECTS ................................................ 30
Figure 11: RESIDENTIAL CHARACTER ........................................................ 24            Table 8: DEMAND VS SUPPLY .................................................................... 32
Figure 12: DISTRIBUTION OF BUILT STRUCTURES ........................................ 25
Figure 13: INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS ........................................................... 26
Figure 14: EXISTING INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS ........................................... 29
Figure 15: EXISTING INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS ........................................... 31
Figure 16: NON-RESIDENTIAL FACILITIES.................................................... 34
Figure 17: ROAD NETWORK ....................................................................... 36
Figure 18: NATURAL FEATURES ................................................................... 39
Figure 19: N14 DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR .............................................. 40
Figure 20: ACCESSIBILITY SPINES ALONG THE N14 ................................... 41
Figure 22: PROPOSED ACTIVITY SPINES .................................................... 43
Figure 23: RATIONALISED ACTIVITY SPINES ............................................... 44
Figure 24: NODES AND CONCENTRATIONS ............................................. 45
Figure 25: RESIDENTIAL TYPOLOGIES AND DENSITIES .............................. 46

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    INTRODUCTION
    This document contains the first draft Precinct Plan for the
    Muldersdrift Precinct in the Mogale City Local Municipality.
    The Precinct Plan was commissioned by the Department of
    Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development on behalf of
    the Municipality.

      THE MAGALIESBURG PRECINCT
      The Muldersdrift Precinct is 7 727ha in extent. It is centred on
      the area between the municipal boundary and the CoH
      WHS. It is home to major developments such as the
      Cradlestone Mall, Avianto Estate, Misty Hills Conference
      Centre and the Greengate Business Park.

      Detailed designed will be developed for the Precinct but
      reference will be made throughout the document to the
      Subregion, which is the area of influence.

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                 Figure 1: MULDERSDRIFT SUB-REGION

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                 Figure 2: MULDERSDRIFT PRECINCT BOUNDARY

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                                                                       ▪   Network of special (i.e. symbolic or landmark)
      METHODOLOGY
                                                                           spaces, places, and features
      This section contains the methodology for drafting the           ▪   Provision of social facilities
      Precinct Plan. This report contains Phase 3: draft Precinct      ▪   Definition of areas with different overall built form
      Plan. It follows on the Situational Analysis and Synthesis and       requirements in terms of ‘development grain’,
      it precedes the Implementation Plan. The detail Situational          building density and building height
      Analysis and Synthesis is contained in a separate document       ▪   Designation of areas for densification and/or infill
      and its findings will be summarised in this document.            ▪   Designation of areas for regeneration
                                                                       ▪   Protection and promotion of productive activities
      During this phase a spatial concept will be developed for the        within the precinct and associated regional
      Precinct. The findings of the situational analysis, and the          landscape values within the precinct
      vision and objectives will be used as guiding mechanisms in
      developing the spatial concept.

      The concept consists of a spatial structure including:
           ▪ Open space network (including waterbodies, green
             open spaces and man-made public urban spaces)
             and definition of the general character of different
             types of open spaces (e.g. natural areas, parks,
             squares, streets, boulevards, etc.)
           ▪ Movement network (including road network, railway
             network, major public transport routes and facilities,
             spatial requirements for pedestrian and other non-
             motorised transport) and definition of the hierarchy
             (categorisation) and general character of different
             types of roads, public transport routes and facilities,
             as well as non-motorised transport routes
           ▪ Land use patterns, including activity nodes and
             corridors (spines) and alternative economic uses of
             land
           ▪ Housing typologies, densities, and delivery options

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                 Figure 3: PROJECT PHASES

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    VISION AND OBJECTIVES
      VISION STATEMENT
      An economically vibrant and socially equitable precinct
      focused on the N14 development corridor.

      DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES
      ▪   To extract the maximum benefit from the N14
          Development Corridor and the Lanseria area of
          influence for economic growth and job creation.
      ▪   To structure rapid settlement growth into a functional
          urban form that provides equitable access to services
          and facilities and supports public transport.
      ▪   To provide for a range of housing typologies and
          densities in line with levels of accessibility and
          environmental carrying capacity.
      ▪   To balance the divergent needs of urban
          development pressure, environmental protection,
          poverty and housing need.

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    BACKGROUND INFORMATION
      MUNICIPAL CONTEXT
    The Muldersdrift Precinct is situated in the eastern extent of
    Mogale City Local Municipality, flanking the north western
    boundary of the City of Johannesburg in the region of
    Cosmo City/ Randburg/ Ruimsig.             These areas exert
    significant development pressure on the Muldersdrift area,
    which in essence functions as the urban-rural fringe of
    Johannesburg.

    To the north-west it is linked to the City of Tshwane via the
    N14 which is increasingly taking on the character of a
    development corridor, specifically with the locality of
    Lanseria airport on the boundaries of the municipalities of
    Johannesburg, Tshwane and Mogale City.
                                                                     Figure 4: MUNICIPAL CONTEXT
    It is within 5km of the Krugersdorp CBD to the south.

    The Cradle of Humankind World Heritage Site (CoH WHS) is
    located to the north and north west of the Precinct.

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                                                                      ▪   The area to the north of the N14 is mostly
      SPATIAL POLICY FRAMEWORKS
                                                                          designated as a Rural development Zone and a
      The West Rand District Spatial Development Framework,               small section as a mixed-use development zone
      2020 identifies three secondary nodes in the Muldersdrift       ▪   The entire area to the south of the N14 is
      Precinct:                                                           designated as a mixed-use development area.
         ▪ The future Lanseria-Nooitgedacht-Cosmo City                ▪   Just outside of the north-eastern corner in the City
             node towards the north at the intersection                   of Johannesburg is the Lanseria Special
             between route Malibongwe Drive and the N14                   Development Zone and its area of influence falls
             freeway which is earmarked to become a future                into this portion of the precinct.
             metropolitan activity node comprising more than
             33 000 residential units in the context of the City of   The City of Johannesburg SDF proposes the
             Joburg                                                   following:
         ▪ Muldersdrift in the central part of the N14 corridor           ▪ Cosmo City and Zandspruit as Deprivation
             in the vicinity of the Beyers Naude Drive                       areas with development proposed densities
             intersection                                                    of a minimum of 60 du/ha
         ▪ Silver Star-Cradle Mall node at the intersection               ▪ The Urban Nodal Areas (Randburg) with a
             between route Hendrik Potgieter Drive and N14                   minimum density of 80du/ha
                                                                          ▪ The remainder of the area is designated as a
      In terms of the Mogale City Spatial Development
                                                                             consolidation zone with a density of 20 –
      Framework, 2019, the Muldersdrift Precinct is affected as
                                                                             50du/ha.
      follows:
                                                                          ▪ An industrial area is located along Beyers
           ▪ The N14 north of its intersection with Hendrik
                                                                             Naude Drive and along Malibongwe Drive
               Potgieter Road is defined as a Development
                                                                             along which the node of Randburg is also
               Corridor
                                                                             located.
           ▪ The N14 to the west of its intersection with Hendrik
               Potgieter Road is defined as a tourism corridor.
           ▪ A secondary node is proposed at the intersection
               of the N14 and Hendrik Potgieter Road (at the
               Cradlestone shopping centre) and at the
               intersection of the N14 and the R114 (the Drift
               node).

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                 Figure 5: COMBINED MCLM AND CoJ MM SDFs

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      MACRO-ECONOMIC PROFILE                                                 50,00%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 43,45%
                                                                             45,00%
      The following are the salient points emanating from the                40,00%
      socio-economic and market study for the sub-region:                    35,00%
      ▪ The local economy experienced a positive economic                    30,00%
                                                                             25,00%                                                        22,61%
         growth with a 0.28% increase from 2017 to 2018 and a
                                                                             20,00%
         0.27% increase from 2018 to 2019.
                                                                             15,00%
      ▪ Economic sectors that performed well in 2019 includes                                                                                                                                8,89%                      7,62%                                                     8,41%
                                                                             10,00%
         Wholesale and retail trade with 3.64% growth,                                 4,46%                       3,41%
                                                                              5,00%                                                                         1,15%
         Transport, storage and communication with 4.35%                      0,00%
         growth, Finance, insurance, real estate and business

                                                                                                                                                             Electricity, gas and water

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Transport, storage and
                                                                                                                    Mining and quarrying

                                                                                                                                            Manufacturing

                                                                                                                                                                                          Wholesale and retail trade,

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Community, social and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 estate and business services
                                                                                       Agriculture, forestry and

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                General government +
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Finance, insurance, real
         service with 4.98% growth and General Government +

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  personal services
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           communication
                                                                                                                                                                                              accommodation
         Community, social and personal services with 1.45%.

                                                                                                                                                                                                catering and
                                                                                                fishing
      ▪ Economic sectors that have shown economic decline
         includes: Agriculture (-7.25%), Mining and quarrying (-
         9.47%), Manufacturing (-1.84%) and Electricity, gas
         and water with a decline of 4.82% in 2019.
      ▪ The Finance, insurance, real estate and business
         services sector makes the largest contribution of
         43.45%, followed by the Manufacturing contributing
                                                                                      Figure 6: ECONOMIC SECTOR CONTRIBUTION SUBREGION1
         22.61%. Wholesale and retail trade, catering and
         accommodation contributes 8.89% to the economy                          From the economic spatial contribution below, there is a
         followed by the General Government and                                  clear indication where each economic sector is
         Community, social and personal services sector,                         concentrated.
         making a contribution of 8.41%.

1 Source: CSIR, Data provided by Quantec on Local Municipal disseminate to

mesozone level with Dasymetric map, 2020

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         Agriculture Forestry and Fisheries               Mining and Quarrying                             Manufacturing

    Wholesale and Retail Trade, Catering and   Finance, insurance, real estate, and business   General Government + Community, Social
               Accommodation                                     services                               and Personal Services

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       HOUSEHOLD PROFILE
   ▪   The majority of the Precinct (38.65%) fall within the low-
       income band.
   ▪   There is a relatively high percentage in the Precinct
       (13.85%) that earn no income.
   ▪   The largest portion of the population for the precinct
       (32.62%) has some secondary education.
   ▪   The second largest portion of the population for the
       Precinct (28.52%) completed matric. In addition, a fairly
       large portion of the Precinct’s population (22.89%)
       completed a higher degree.
   ▪   In the Precinct 50.95% of the population aged between
       5 – 24 are attending ordinary school.
   ▪   The Precinct has an employment rate of 66.76%, with an
       unemployment rate of 11.91%.
   ▪   The largest portion of the population within the Precinct
       (40.98%) is skilled. With 28.83% in the Precinct classified
       as low-skilled.
   ▪   The largest portion of the market area’s homes can be
       classified rented, with 37.78% in the Sub Region and
       36.65% in the Precinct.

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                                                                                          Table 2: MULDERSDRIFT PRECINCT POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD
      POPULATION GROWTH                                                                                             FIGURES3
      Approximately 39 665 people currently reside within the                         Muldersdrift
                                                                                                           2020      2021       2022       2025       2030      2035
      Muldersdrift Sub Region, comprising of 14 806 households                         Precinct
      with an average household size of 2.6 people per                                Population           28 765   29 262      29 768    31 339     34 144    37 200
      household. These figures are expected to increase to 51
                                                                                      Household            10 094   10 289      10 487    11 106     12 220    13 445
      297 people and 19 722 households in the in the Sub
      Region by the year 2035.

      28 765 people currently reside within the Muldersdrift                       Population annual growth rate is 1.73% and household annual
      Precinct, comprising of 10 094 households with an                            growth rate is 1.93%, an indication of more individuals entering
      average household size of 2.8 people per household.                          the precinct rather than households. The population and
      These figures are expected to increase to 37 200 people                      household profiles are based on data from the Census 2011
      and 13 445 households in the Precinct by the year 2035.                      and Quantec. The population growth projections are based
                                                                                   on a five-year historic growth rate of 1.73% per annum and a
      Table 1: MULDERSDRIFT SUB REGION POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD
                                                                                   household growth rate of 1.93% for the precinct. The growth
                                 FIGURES2
                                                                                   rates were applied to the population and household figures to
 Muldersdrift Sub
                      2020      2021      2022      2025      2030      2035       project the future population growth utilising 2011 as the base
     Region
                                                                                   year.
    Population       39 665    40 351    41 049    43 215     47 083    51 297
                                                                                          Table 3: MULDERSDRIFT PRECINCT POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLD
    Household        14 806    15 092    15 383    16 291     17 924    19 722                                     GROWTH4

                                                                                                     201     201    201   201    201     201   201   201       5-Year
                                                                                                      2       3      4     5      6       7     8     9       Average
                                                                                    Population (%    1,8     2,2    2,0   1,9    1,3     1,9   1,8   1,6
                                                                                                                                                               1,73%
                                                                                      Growth)        5%      0%     1%    1%     8%      0%    5%    1%
                                                                                    Households (%    2,1     2,4    2,2   2,1    1,6     2,0   2,0   1,7
                                                                                                                                                               1,93%
                                                                                      Growth)        2%      6%     6%    5%     0%      9%    3%    8%

   2 Source: StatsSA Census 2011, Easydata via Quantec & Based on UE projections      4 Source: StatsSA Census 2011, Easydata via Quantec & Based on UE projections

   3 Source: StatsSA Census 2011, Easydata via Quantec & Based on UE projections

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 60 000                                                                          40 000                                                                37 200
                                                                      51 297                                                              34 144
                                                                                 35 000
 50 000                                                  47 083                                                                31 339
                                              43 215                                      28 765      29 262        29 768
                     40 351        41 049                                        30 000
          39 665
 40 000
                                                                                 25 000

 30 000                                                                          20 000
                                                                        19 722   15 000                                                                   13 445
                                                             17 924                                                              11 106       12 220
 20 000     14 806     15 092        15 383     16 291                                      10 094      10 289        10 487
                                                                                 10 000
 10 000
                                                                                  5 000

      0                                                                              0
            2020       2021          2022       2025         2030       2035                2020        2021          2022       2025         2030       2035

                      Population                 Household                                             Population                 Household
                      Linear (Population)        Linear (Household)                                    Linear (Population)        Linear (Household)

                 Figure 7: SUB-REGION POPULATION GROWTH                                            Figure 8: PRECINCT POPULATION GROWTH

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                                                                    the population is not fully served at the base year, the
      RESIDENTIAL MARKET POTENTIAL
                                                                    equilibrium model enables the calculation of the starting
      The purpose of this sub-section is to illustrate the market   point for the demand generation due to the
      potential analysis for the proposed residential               immeasurable supply and the large market area. For this
      development. The gap for development in the market            study, 2019 is used as the base year, which enables the
      area is calculated using the Net Effective Demand (NED).      determination of the bonded and rental housing
      The NED indicates the potential of the local market to        demand for 2020 onwards.
      support additional development within its boundaries.
                                                                     POPULATION PROFILE
                 Figure 9: Net Effective Demand Equation
                                                                     The population profile presents the household and
                                                                     population size within the delineated market area.
                                                                     These figures were used as a basis for the equilibrium
                                                                     demand model. Annual population and household
                                                                     growth were calculated based on the five-year
                                                                     average.

   The demand model for the proposed development uses                HOUSEHOLD INCOME
   projections in population, the number of households, and          This subsection provides a breakdown of the annual
   income distribution trends to provide a quantitative              household income of households located in both the
   indication of demand. The market demand assessment                Sub Region and Precinct areas. Based on the annual
   considers the following important demand drivers:                 household income figures and population features,
       ▪ Growth in the number of households                          housing affordability ranges were calculated for both
       ▪ Household income                                            rental and bonded housing to inform the level of
       ▪ Residential affordability                                   affordability between the various income groups within
                                                                     the market area.
       METHODOLOGY
      An equilibrium demand modelling technique is used,             CUMULATIVE NET EFFECTIVE RESIDENTIAL
      which assumes that the demand for bonded and rental            DEMAND
      housing in the market area is null in the base year (2019)     The cumulative net effective residential demand is 4 420
      as the local population is fully served in terms of bonded     units in total. Table 4 and Table 5 indicate the
      and rental accommodation. Although it is known that            breakdown of the demand.

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The cumulative net effective demand for bonded housing               The cumulative net effective demand for the rental housing
within the Sub Region:                                               within the Sub Region.
         Table 4: CUMULATIVE NET EFFECTIVE DEMAND – BONDED                    Table 5: CUMULATIVE NET EFFECTIVE DEMAND – RENTAL

                             Affordable    Middle     High                              Social     Social
 YEAR   Subsidised   FLISP                                   Total                                          Affordab
                              Housing     Income    Income                             Housing    Housing               Middle       High
                                                                       YEAR    CRU                             le                              Total
                                                                                       Primary   Secondar               Income     Income
 2020     338        137        38          71       53      637                       Market    y Market
                                                                                                             Housing
 2021     388        158        44          82       60      731       2020    113      184        86         54         101         75        613
 2022     438        178        49          92       68      827       2021    130      211        99         62         116         85        703
 2023     490        199        55         103        76      924      2022    147      239       112         70         131         97        795
 2024     543        221        61         114        85     1024      2023    165      267       125         78         146        108        889
 2025     597        243        67         126        93     1125      2024    182      295       139         87         162        120        985
 2026     651        265        73         137       101     1229      2025    200      325       153         95         178        132       1 082
 2027     707        288        80         149       110     1334      2026    219      354       167        104         194        144       1 182
 2028     764        311        86         161       119     1441      2027    237      385       181        113         211        156       1 283
 2029     822        334        93         173       128     1551      2028    257      416       196        122         228        168       1 386
 2030     881        359        99         186       137     1662      2029    276      447       210        131         245        181       1 491
 2031     942        383       106         198       147     1 776     2030    296      479       226        141         263        194       1 598
 2032    1 003       408       113         211       156     1 892     2031    316      512       241        150         281        208       1 708
 2033    1 066       433       120         224       166     2 010     2032    337      546       257        160         299        221       1 819
 2034    1 129       459       127         238       176     2 130     2033    358      580       273        170         318        235       1 933
 2035    1 195       486       135         252       186     2 253     2034    379      614       289        180         337        249       2 049
                                                                       2035    401      650       306        191         356        263       2 167

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                 Figure 10: HOUSING AFFORDABILITY RANGES

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      RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT
       DIFFERENT RESIDENTIAL TYPOLOGIES
      Residential development in the Precinct differs in
      character. The bulk of the Precinct is still agricultural in
      nature.

      Security estates dominate the N14/ Hendrik Potgieter
      intersection and is growing at a rapid rate around the
      Cradlestone Mall. 340ha of the Precinct is already used
      for this type of development. It links in function and
      typology more to the adjacent area of Ruimsig in
      Johannesburg than to the surrounding character of the
      Precinct.

      Some of the properties along Hendrik Potgieter and the
      southern portion of the N14 are still agricultural holdings.
      These comprise 240ha of the Precinct. The agricultural
      holdings are rapidly changing to commercial and
      residential use.

      There are a large number of informal settlements spread
      out over the entire precinct.

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                 Figure 11: RESIDENTIAL CHARACTER

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                 Figure 12: DISTRIBUTION OF BUILT STRUCTURES

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       INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS                                                              With regards to upgrading and resettlement, the
       The following informal settlements have been compiled                             settlements fall in the following categories:
       from the District Informal Settlement Status – Covid                                  ▪ Category A: Full Upgrading consisting of full
       Interventions, which is the most comprehensive and up                                    services, top structures, and formal tenure where
       to date information available.                                                           appropriate, affordable, and viable
                                                                                             ▪ Category B1: Interim basic services for Informal
       There are 24 informal settlements within and directly                                    settlements which are viable and appropriate for
       surrounding the Precinct. These range in size from less                                  formalisation, but not imminent
       than 20 to more than a 1 000 units. The settlements are                               ▪ Category B2: Providing emergency basic services
       distributed throughout the precinct with some clustering                                 for settlements where long-term formalisation is not
       around main roads. Most of the settlements have to be                                    viable and/or appropriate, but relocation is not
       relocated because some are located within the CoH                                        urgent or possible
       WHS or are too isolated and small to functionally form                                ▪ Category C: Relocation of informal settlements
       part of the urban structure. There is a dire need not only                               due to urgent health or safety threats which
       to provide housing but also to create a functional urban                                 cannot be mitigated, and relocation sites are
       form, where informal settlements can be integrated in                                    readily available
       the urban structure and functioning.

                                                             Figure 13: INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS

                 Settlement                     Locality                   Property Description         Category       Nr of Households

     Portion 38 Nooitgedacht 534     North of N14                      Pnt 38 of Nooitgedacht 534-    C - imminent
                                                                       JQ                                                     55
                                                                                                       relocation
     Ptn 42/RE Nooitgedacht 534      South of N14 along                R/ Pnt 42 of Nooitgedacht      C - imminent
     IQ                              Nooitgedacht Rd                   534 -IQ                                                25
                                                                                                       relocation
     Nooitgedacht 534 IQ Portion     West of Zandspruit                Portion 89 of Nooitgedacht
     89                                                                534-JQ                         A - upgrading          232

     Portion 81 Rietfontein 189 IQ   North of N14 and east of Beyers   Pnt 81 of Rietfontein 189-IQ   B1 – long tern
                                     Naude Dr                                                                                150
                                                                                                       upgrading

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                 Settlement                         Locality                Property Description          Category       Nr of Households

     Portion 44 Rietfontein           North of N14 and east of Beyers   Pnt 44 of Rietfontein 189-IQ    C - imminent
                                      Naude Dr                                                                                  70
                                                                                                         relocation
     Portion 4 Rietfontein 189 IQ     South of N14 and east of Beyers   Pnt 4 of Rietfontein 189-IQ     C - imminent
                                      Naude Dr                                                                                 112
                                                                                                         relocation
     Rietfontein Plot 83 and 90)      South of N14 and east of Beyers   Pnt 83 and 90 of Rietfontein    B1 – long tern
                                      Naude Dr                          189-IQ                                                1 850
                                                                                                         upgrading
     Plot 78 Ethembalethu             West of Beyers Naude Dr and       Pnt 78 of Driefontein 179-IQ    B2 – long term
                                      north of N14                                                                              35
                                                                                                          relocation
     Plot 62 Driefontein (Sekolong)   West of Beyers Naude (M5) Dr      Pnt 62 of Driefontein 179-IQ    C - imminent
                                      and north west of N14                                                                     18
                                                                                                         relocation
     Rietfontein Plot 195             South of N14 and west of          Pnt 195 of Rietfontein 189-IQ   C - imminent
                                      Beyers Naude Dr                                                                           24
                                                                                                         relocation
     Plot 77 Rietvlei                 South of N14 and west of          Pnt 77 of Rietvallei 180-IQ     C - imminent
                                      Beyers Naude Dr                                                                           48
                                                                                                         relocation
     Plot 71 and 72 Driefontein       West of Beyers Naude Dr and       Pnt 71 and 72 of Driefontein
                                                                                                        C - imminent
     (Avianto)                        north west of N14. Along          179-IQ                                                  16
                                                                                                         relocation
                                      Driefontein Rd
     Rietfontein Plot 140             South of N14 and west of          Pnt 140 of Rietfontein 189-IQ   C - imminent
                                      Beyers Naude Dr                                                                           90
                                                                                                         relocation
     Plot 45 Rietvlei                 East of N14                       Pnt 45 of Rietvallei 180-IQ     C - imminent
                                                                                                                                25
                                                                                                         relocation
     Plot 79 Rietvlei                 East of N14                       Pnt 79 of Rietvallei 180-IQ
                                                                                                        A - upgrading           93

     Plot 34 Rietvlei                 East of the N14                   Pnt 34 of Rietvallei 180-IQ     C - imminent
                                                                                                                                35
                                                                                                         relocation
     Plot 8 Van Wyk Restant           East of the N14                   Pnt 8 of Van Wyks Restant       C - imminent
                                                                        182-IQ                                                  34
                                                                                                         relocation
     Plot 33 Van Wyk Restant          East of the N14                   Pnt 33 of Van Wyks Restant      C - imminent
                                                                        182-IQ                                                  20
                                                                                                         relocation
     Steynsvlei 41                    North of the N14                  Holding 41 of Steynsvlei AH     C - imminent
                                                                                                                                20
                                                                                                         relocation
     Steynsvlei 24                    North of the N14                  Holding 24 of Steynsvlei AH     C - imminent
                                                                                                                                40
                                                                                                         relocation

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                 Settlement               Locality           Property Description        Category      Nr of Households

     Plot 63 Rietvlei         East of the N14            Pnt 63 of Rietvallei 180-IQ   C - imminent
                                                                                                              43
                                                                                        relocation
     Van Wyk's Restant 182    East of the N14            Re/ Van Wyks Restant 182-     C - imminent
                                                         IQ                                                   50
                                                                                        relocation
     Portion 1 Ruimsig        North of Beyers Naude Dr   Erf 1 of Arena                C - imminent
                                                                                                            1 050
                                                                                        relocation
     Plot 11 Honingklip       North of the N14           Ptn 11 of Honingklip 178-IQ
                                                                                       A - upgrading          15

                                                                                                            4 150

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                 Figure 14: EXISTING INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS

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       HUMAN SETTLEMENT PROJECTS
       Three subsidised housing projects have been completed. These are:
                                                             Table 6: SUBSIDISED HOUSING PROJECTS

         Name                         Date of GP          Proclaimed             Estimate number of units         Area
         Dr Nthato Motlana                 2015                  2018                      260                    22 ha
         Ethembalethu                      2009                                            160                   10.5 ha
         Riefontein Village                2007                     2017                   213                   30.9 ha
         TOTAL                                                                             633                   63.4ha

       The following two housing projects are in different stages of implementation:
                                                             Table 7: PROPOSED HOUSING PROJECTS

       Project Name                Property Description              Residential Typology          Other facilities
       Refentse Township (Mogale   Portions 89, 90, 205, 206 and     ▪ 1 926 Res 1                 ▪ 2 Business 1 erven,
       Ext 16)                     370 Nooitgedacht 504-JQ           ▪ Res 4 (64 - 80du/ha)        ▪ 4 educational erven
                                                                     ▪ 3 Res 4 (500 du/ha)         ▪ 2 Business 3 erven
                                                                                                   ▪ 5 institutional erven
                                                                                                   ▪ 4 POS
                                                                                                   ▪ 3 municipal erven
       Honingklip Township          Part of portion 11 Honingklip
                                                                           218 Res 1 erven
                                               178-IQ
       TOTAL

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                 Figure 15: EXISTING INFORMAL SETTLEMENTS

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                                                                                     Table 8: DEMAND VS SUPPLY
      HOUSEHOLD DEMAND AND SUPPLY
                                                                                            Nr of
      According to the socio-economic study, there are                DEMAND                                SUPPLY          Nr of erven
                                                                                          households
      currently 10 094 households in the precinct. This is         Housing study –                      Refentse Township
                                                                   NED sub-region           4 420        (Mogale Ext 16)
      projected to grow to 13 445 households by the year 2035           2035
      based on population growth trends over the past five            Informal                             Honingklip
                                                                                            4 150                               218
      years. There are 14 806 households in the subregion            settlements                           Township
      projected to grow to 19 722 in 2035.                         Backyard units
                                                                    (sub-region)            3 100
                                                                        2020
      The cumulative net effective demand (NED) for housing
      is projected to grow by 4 420 households for the                 TOTAL               11 670            TOTAL
      subregion.

      There are currently approximately 4 150 households that
      are residing in informal settlements in the subregion that
      need to be accommodated.

      The second most common dwelling typology is an
      informal dwelling in a backyard, consisting of 14.48% in
      the Sub Region and 21.14% in the Precinct (based on
      census 2011). This accounts for some 3 100 units in the
      subregion.

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                                                                        developments are of such a nature that each does not
      NON-RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT
                                                                        warrant social facilities when considered on their own,
      Being on the rural-urban fringe, a wide variety of different      but their cumulative impact necessitates the provision of
      non-residential uses are spread throughout the Precinct.          a wide array of social facilities. The ideal is to cluster social
                                                                        facilities together in an accessible node.
      Retail development is specifically focused on the N14/
      Hendrik Potgieter intersection with the Cradlestone Mall          There is limited agricultural activity left in the Precinct.
      creating the centre of the node. There is a                       There is a cluster of facilities along the western section of
      concentration of particularly commercial development              the N14. These are not strictly agriculture in nature but
      at the intersection of Beyers Naude Drive, the R114 and           rather activities such as nurseries.
      the N14. Smaller retail and commercial clusters are
                                                                        The main factors that inform the Precinct Plan with
      located:
                                                                        regards to land use is the gravitation of commercial and
          ▪ along the R114 between the intersection with
                                                                        retail activities to main routes and intersections and
              Beyers Naude Drive and its intersection with the
                                                                        tourism towards the Cradle. The remainder of the
              N14
                                                                        Precinct has different, sometimes conflicting and illegal
          ▪ along Beyers Naude Drive on the eastern border
                                                                        land uses, mixed together.
              of the Precinct
          ▪ along the western section of the N14

      The importance of visibility, accessibility, and many users
      on the locational choices of business is clear.

      Tourism facilities are distributed over the entire Precinct.
      The only concentration can be identified along the R114
      to the north of the N14. This is one of the main routes to
      the Cradle of Humankind.

      Social facilities are sparse and widely distributed. Long
      distances must be travelled to access these facilities.
      There is also a shortage of facilities. This will increase with
      the development of lifestyle estates and the conversion
      of agricultural holdings into residential complexes. These

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                 Figure 16: NON-RESIDENTIAL FACILITIES

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      ROAD NETWORK
      The N14 dominates the Precinct. It connects to the City
      of Tshwane and Lanseria airport in the north and to the
      R28 in the south. In the east, it connects to Hendrik
      Potgieter Drive and to the west it continues past the
      Precinct boundary to Tarlton.

      The north-south stretch of the N14 has been designated
      as a Development Corridor and the east-west stretch as
      a Tourism Corridor.

      There are three important linkages to the City of
      Johannesburg:
         ▪ Malibongwe Drive which runs next to Cosmo City
            and links to Strydom Park and Randburg
         ▪ Beyers Naude Drive which passes Zandspruit and
            connects to Laser Park and Honey Dew
         ▪ Hendrik Potgieter Drive which links to Ruimsig and
            Roodepoort.

       All these routes are freight routes and carry large
       numbers of traffic. Development is naturally attracted
       to these routes, leading to an increase in the traffic
       which creates significant pedestrian-vehicular traffic.

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                 Figure 17: ROAD NETWORK

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    DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT
      INTRODUCTION
      The design concept explains the logic behind the
      proposals for the future development of the Precinct.

      STRUCTURING ELEMENTS
      The structuring elements consist of environmental factors,
      residential development, land use concentrations,
      development       zones   and     corridor  and     nodal
      development.

       ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS
       The Precinct is relatively flat, except for the Roodepoort
       Ridge which defines its southern border. The Crocodile
       River that passes through the middle of the Precinct in a
       north-south direction. It is classified as endangered.

       The area to the west of the N14 and to the south and
       north of the western leg of the N14 falls within the
       Magaliesberg Biosphere and the Cradle of Humankind
       World Heritage Site Buffer Zone 4 (Visual).

       Environmentally sensitive and ecologically important
       areas are focussed on the rivers and the ridges.

       Development in the north-western portion of the site is
       thus not ideally suited for development.

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                 Figure 18: NATURAL FEATURES

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       DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR
      N14 is identified as a development corridor in the MCLM
      SDF, 2019.

      It should act as a magnet along which commercial
      development can be attracted to by its high levels of
      visibility and accessibility.

      The development corridor is defined as 1km wide on
      each side of the N14.

      The N14 links with Lanseria airport and the City of Tshwane
      in the north. Lanseria is seen as a significant growth point
      along the lines of an aerotropolis and its area of influence
      affects the northern part of the Precinct.

      For the purpose of this Precinct Plan the corridor it ends at
      the intersection with Hendrik Potgieter Road where it
                                                                      Figure 19: N14 DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR
      crosses the Roodepoort Ridge.

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      There are four intersections on this stretch of the N14 that
      falls within the Precinct:
       1) Malibongwe Drive: full interchange

       2) Beyers Naude: full interchange

       3) R114/ Drift Boulevard: left-in left-out underpass

       4) Hendrik Potgieter: at grade intersection

      These are spaced as follows: 8km - 3km – 3km

      In order for a development corridor to function properly it
      needs a mobility spines (the N14) and supporting
      accessibility spines on the sides to provide access to
      development. The R114 functions as an accessibility
      spine to the north of Beyers Naude on the southern side
      of the N14. To the north of Beters Naude Drive, Sunset
      Drive provides an acitivity spine although it is not well
      linked. There are no other accessibility spines along the
      remainder of the N14 to support the development                Figure 20: ACCESSIBILITY SPINES ALONG THE N14
      corridor. These must to be developed if the development
      corridor is to developed successfully.

      The dimensions of the development corridor will be
      tapered to match the alignment of the R114 and Sunset
      Drive.

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       ACTIVITY SPINES                                               It would be ideal to have an activity spine to the north
       The Precinct will be structured through the use of activity   of the N14 and an extension of the R114 towards the
       spines. Activity spines are accessibility routes with lined   south on the side of the development corridor.
       with mixed uses and high densities.           Existing and    The eastern leg of N14 is designated as a Tourism
       proposed roads are used to create a loose grid.               Corridor in the MCLM SDF, 2019. It links up with a network
       The R114 is already functioning as an activity spine and      of tourism corridors that connect Magaliesburg,
       fulfil an important role as support accessibility spine for   Hekpoort the Cradle of Humankind, Hartebeestpoort
       the N14. It is proposed that this route becomes an            Dam and Rustenburg. It currently does not have the
       activity spine from its northern intersection with            character of a tourism corridor in this area with vehicle
       Malibongwe Drive to its southern intersection with the        related land uses and few tourism offerings.             Its
       N14. It would be ideal if this link could be linked to        character is that of a mixed-use spine at least to the
       Hendrik Potgieter Drive in the south. It will have the        western edge of the Precinct. A strategy needs to be
       character of a retail mixed use spine.                        developed to create a tourism character along this
                                                                     route. It is proposed that the first row of erven, be used
       The three important linkages to Johannesburg:                 for tourism facilities. This ranges from 200m – 500m deep.
       Malibongwe Drive, Beyers Naude Drive and Hendrik              Due to its current mixed-use character, mixed land use
       Potgieter Drive form important connectors that are            are also supported
       surrounded by mixed land uses, exhibiting the
       characteristics of activity spines. These should be           The R114 gives access to the Cradle of Humankind
       strengthened. Marina Street also plays an important           World Heritage Site and several of the tourism facilities in
       role in this regard.                                          the area. It also connects to the node, colloquially
                                                                     known as the Drift node or the old Muldersdrift node
       The proposed K56 has the potential to develop as an           directly to the east of the N14. The heat map for land
       activity spine in future thereby connecting the three         uses, indicates that there is already a clustering of social
       main routes to Johannesburg.                                  facilities at this node and along the R114 as it enters the
       Given their current and proposed characteristics              Cradle. It should thus be considered as a tourist spine
       Malibongwe and Beyers Naude Drives are proposed               and included in the tourism network.
       commercial mixed-use spines and Marina Drive and the
       proposed K56 as residential mixed use activity spines.

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                 Figure 21: PROPOSED ACTIVITY SPINES

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       The ideal road network consisting of corridors and spines
       must be adapted to align with natural features and
       large land uses in order to be implementable. The
       following amendments are necessary:

       The access road to the north of the N14 cannot be an
       activity spine but only an access road due to the natural
       character of this area as well as its proximity to the
       Cradle of Humankind and the Magaliesberg biosphere.

       The R114 cannot be extended to the south of the
       Crocodile River as the area is environmentally sensitive.
       This means that the Development Corridor can only
       develop on the western side of the N14 in this section.

       The K56 can in all likelihood not link between Beyers
       Naude and Hendrik Potgieter Drives due to
       environmental sensitivities and quarrying.

                                                                   Figure 22: RATIONALISED ACTIVITY SPINES

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       NODES AND CONCENTRATIONS
       Nodes are spaced through the Precinct at points of
       highest accessibility to allow equal access to as many
       residents as possible.

       Nodes consist of a high concentration and intensity of
       missed uses.

       Four mixed-use nodes have been identified:
          ▪ The Cradlestone Mall node which is the most
             prominent and developed node at the
             intersection of the N14 and Hendrik Potgieter
             Drive.

           ▪     The Drift node which stretches along the R114
                 from the Crocodile River in the south to the
                 Beyers Naude Intersection in the north.

           ▪     A node on the intersection of the R114 and
                 Marina Street.

           ▪     At the intersection of Malibongwe Drive and the   Figure 23: NODES AND CONCENTRATIONS
                 N14.

       An industrial/commercial node has been identified at
       Greengate along Beyers Naude Drive.

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       RESIDENTIAL TYPOLOGIES AND DENSITIES
       Residential development in this Precinct should in
       general be high to accommodate the need for
       housing, both within Mogale City and within the City of
       Johannesburg, whilst protected the Cradle of
       Humankind and Magaliesberg Biosphere. The following
       densities are proposed:
          ▪ Within the mixed nodes and the mixed-use
              corridors, the proposed density is 80 – 120 du/ha.
              This will allow for densification of points of highest
              access and the introduction of a viable public
              transport network.

           ▪     Adjacent to the City of Johannesburg,
                 specifically adjacent to Marina Street between
                 the N14 and Beyers Naude Road, the proposed
                 density is 60 -80du/ha. This will be aligned with
                 the densities in Cosmos City and the proposed
                 densities in Zandspruit.

           ▪     The remainder of the Precinct south and east of         Figure 24: RESIDENTIAL TYPOLOGIES AND DENSITIES
                 the N14 is earmarked for a density or 20 60du/ha.
                 This accommodates current development as
                 well as higher density development.

           ▪     All residential to the north and west of the N14
                 should be rural, i.e. not smaller than 1ha in extent.

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    WAY FORWARD
    After the approval of the development concept as
    contained in the precinct plan, the implementation plan
    will be drafted. This will include:
         ▪ Development of design guidelines
         ▪ Identification of and elaboration on strategic plans
            and sector plans/ strategies
         ▪ Guidance for LUMS
         ▪ Incentives and evaluation and monitoring system

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