E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord

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E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
E-commerce in
the Nordics

 Focus:

Artificial intelligence
– a game changer
for retail
  The development         E-commerce          Control – more important
– country by country   for 22.4 billion EUR    than speed of delivery

SUMMARY 2018
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
Foreword

The challenge of                                                              About
                                                                              E-commerce
crossing borders                                                              in the Nordics
As the e-commerce industry matures, many of us have started to see it         Through its Nordic perspective, a broad
as an obvious first choice: it is easy to compare prices; there is a conve-   basis and a focus on e-commerce of physical
nient array of delivery options; and payments are secure. The entire          goods, E-Commerce in the Nordics provides
world’s selection is just a few clicks away in my phone.                      uniquely valuable information for readers in-
  Many people emphasize the speed of deliveries as a crucial factor for       terested in the Nordic e-commerce market.
success and some companies have started to deliver on the same day.             E-commerce is defined in this report as the
But what is more important to me as a recipient is having control of the      sale of physical products over the Internet.
delivery – getting to choose when and where I receive the parcel – rather
than getting it quickly. And I’m not alone. The overview of Nordic consu-     The following is outside the report’s
mers’ priorities is clear in this report.                                     definition of e-commerce:
  At the same time, the variations are striking between the different         » In-store purchases that were initially
Nordic countries – home deliveries are the natural choice for most Danish        arranged via the Internet
e-commerce consumers, while Swedes prefer collecting their parcel from        » Sales of services (for example, travel,
a partner outlet. We see similar differences in preference regarding pay-        hotel accommodation and concert tickets)
ment methods across the border.                                                  via the Internet
                                                                              » Business-to-business online sales
Even if in many ways the Nordics are one market, consumer behaviors           » Online sales between individuals
are anything but the same. For example Norwegians, who are used to
paying customs in Europe, have a higher tendency to shop from North           E-commerce in the Nordics 2019 is based
America than their Nordic neighbors. Finns primarily shop from Sweden,        on consumer surveys conducted monthly in
Swedes from Germany and Danes from the UK.                                    Sweden, Denmark, Norway and Finland. The
                                                                              surveys capture e-commerce consumers’
E-retailers who want to reach a market in their neighboring countries         behaviors from January through December
are therefore wise to study how the potential customers’ behaviors            2018. A total of 89,053 respondents
vary and evolve. This report provides insight into many unique aspects        participated in the surveys.
of e-commerce in the Nordics. If as an e-retailer you want further help
understanding your industry and your customers’ preferences, PostNord
has extensive experience throughout the Nordic region that we are
happy to share. Because I assume that like most Nordic residents, you                           ANTAL
are not yet comfortable with asking Google Assistant, Alexa or Siri for                     RESPONDENTER
guidance when it comes to business and other important results.
                                                                                          89 053
Håkan Ericsson
President & Group CEO
PostNord

2   E-commerce in the Nordics
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
Overview

                                         2,8

                                        22.4
                                                                                                9.0

              5.1

                                                  EUR billion

                                                    5,5

        How much we spend online
          in the Nordic countries
                                 Sales – Nordic e-commerce 2018
              Nordic residents’ e-commerce consumption in 2018, calculated based on
               consumers’ answers to the question “How much do you estimate you
                    have spent on goods purchased online in the past month?”
                             (Base: Shopped online in the past month.)
                  Because the results are based on consumers’ own consumption
                 estimates, and calculation methods have been refined over time,
               comparisons with earlier reports should be made with great caution.

                                 Sweden  Denmark  Norway  Finland

                    61 %                                                         15,9 %
        Percentage of Nordic                                                     Percentage of
   residents who shopped online                                            e-commerce consumption
   in an average month in 2018*.                                                 composed of
     In 2008, the percentage of                                                e-commerce from
   Nordic residents who shopped                                                 abroad in 2018.
      remotely was 21 percent*.

*Between 18 and 79 years. **In addition to e-commerce, also includes shopping via mail order,
phone, TV shop etc. and refers to people aged 15 and up.

                                                                                                      E-commerce in the Nordics   3
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
Overview

                                                                One out of three
                                                             consumers in Norway
                                                               shops outside the
              Swedes like                                    country’s borders and
           invoice payments                                     62 percent had
         online and 6.8 million                                their most recent
         people also use Swish,                              purchase delivered to
            which is gaining                                    a service point.
              popularity.
                                                                               p.28
                           p.20

                                  For 89 procent of
                                 danes, being able to
                                choose how the goods
                                should be delivered is
                                crucial when deciding
                                    where to shop
                                        online.
                                                                                                                                                                     Consumers in
                                                                                                                                                                 Finland have checked
                                                  p.24                                                                                                              in to a store via
                                                                                                                                                                social media 71 percent
                                                                                                                                                                    more other than
                                                                                                                                                                   Nordic consumers
Where are we heading?                                                                                                                                                  in general.
An average month in 2018                                                                                                                                                           p.32
compared to 2008
               SWEDEN                                               DENMARK                                                  NORWAY                                                  FINLAND

      2018: EUR 201                                          2018: EUR 223                                           2018: EUR 218                                          2018: EUR 158
      2008: EUR 47                                           2008 EUR 60                                             2008: EUR 59                                           2008: EUR 47
       Average estimated purchase                             Average estimated purchase                              Average estimated purchase                             Average estimated purchase
         amount per person****                                  amount per person****                                   amount per person****                                  amount per person****

                             68%                                                                                                            66%
                                                                                     62%
                  Percentage                                                                                                     Percentage
                                                                                                                                                                                                   48%
                  of the popu-                                                                                                   of the popu-
                   lation who                                                                                                     lation who

                                                          33%
                 have shopped                                                                                                   have shopped
                    online***                                                                                                      online***

                                                                                                                ​26%
    20%                                                                  Percentage
                                                                         of the popu-
                                                                                                                                                                                        Percentage
                                                                                                                                                                                        of the popu-
                                                                          lation who                                                                                                     lation who
                                                                        have shopped                                                                                                   have shopped
                                                                           online***                                                                                                      online***

                                                                                                                                                                           4%
2008 2018 2008 2018 2008 2018 2008 2018
*Ages 18-79 **Ages 15 and older ***2008 refers to the share who shopped remotely, which in addition to e-commerce includes shopping by mail order, phone, TV shop and more. ****Comparisons of purchase amounts
should be made with caution as the calculation method has changed. The figure for 2008 is based on consumers’ own estimates of purchase totals on a full-year basis, while 2018’s figures are based on monthly estimates.

4     E-commerce in the Nordics
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
Product categories that Nordic residents shop for                                                                     Did you
  online (average per month January - December)                                    In 2008, CDs and movies
                                                                                   were the fourth most popular
                                                                                                                         know
  What types of physical items have you bought
  online in the past 30 days? (Total)                                              product category to shop for          that…
  Base: Have purchased goods online                                                remotely, after clothes, home
  in the past 30 days                                                              electronics and books.
   Nordics  Sweden  Denmark  Norway  Finland

         39% 38%
  36%                36% 35%
                                                                                                               32%

                                                 ​26% 25%                   27%
                                    25%                               25%               25% 25%
                                           23%                  23%               22%                    22%

                                                                                                                        17%

                                                                                                                              10%
                                                                                                                                    8%

        1. Clothing/footwear              2. Home electronics                 3. Media                         4. Health/beauty

                      14%
  11%    12% 11%                    11%    12% 13%                          12%   11% 10%
                               9%                      10%      9%    10%
                                                                                              8%                   7%   8%
                                                                                                         6%                   6%
                                                                                                                                    4%

     5. Sport/leisure items          6. Furniture/interior decor             7. Groceries                   8. Children’s items/toys

Online purchases totaling EUR 22.4 billion
PostNord has tracked Nordic e-commerce for about a decade. A decade in
which webshops went from acting in the margins to being a self-evident part of Nordic
consumers’ daily lives. Consumption is rising at a rapid pace and in 2018, Nordic
consumers spent EUR 22.4 billion online in total.

A great deal has changed since                 at night or on the morning commute             The development of logistics is
2008, when PostNord began to mo-               to work.                                     a key factor in the rapid growth of
nitor Nordic e-commerce. Ten years                Mobile phones have given a                e-commerce. A look back shows
ago, price was the single most im-             powerful boost to the aspect of              that in 2008 six out of ten consu-
portant reason for shopping online.            convenience in recent years. In De-          mers expected a delivery time of
For reasons of cost and competition,           cember 2018, four out of ten Nordic          seven or more days. Today, retai-
online stores were incentivised to             online consumers shopped using               lers’ warehousing is more efficient
keep their prices low, thereby hel-            their cell phone. Ten years ago the          and logistics players work hard to
ping consumers cross the threshold             technology was not yet mature and            obtain ever-shorter delivery times.
into e-commerce. Today, e-commer-              resistance to changing commerce              In some cases, delivery times are
ce is driven largely by convenience            channels was great. Only one out of          only a matter of hours and in most
and simplicity. Consumers can shop             five online consumers who had not            cases, it only takes a few days for
exactly when it suits them, whether            yet shopped using a mobile phone             shipments to reach consumers’
it is from the sofa in the living room         could imagine doing so.                      homes.

                                                                                                                    E-commerce in the Nordics   5
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
E-commerce from abroad

Five countries
dominate
Nordic online shoppers’
favorite countries
From which countries have you
purchased goods online in
the past month?
Base: Shopped online from abroad in
the past 30 days.
                                                                                                           UK            26 %
Note: the weighted averages for the
Nordic countries reflect the average
for only three of the four countries

                                                                                                     31%
(the country to which the question
refers is excluded).
 Sweden  Denmark                     USA
                                                     14%
 Norway  Finland                           10%

                                23%                                                                                              14%
                                                                                                                       ​24%
                                             8%

The whole world’s offering is
at Nordic residents’ feet
Globalized e-commerce is gaining ground thanks to unique
products, pressure on prices of generic goods, strong
marketplaces like Wish and Amazon and a well-functioning
logistics network for deliveries and returns. In 2018, on average
three out of ten Nordic consumers shopped from abroad per
month at an estimated value of EUR 3.6 billion.

Nordic countries clearly differ when it            challenges, residents have long been
comes to shopping from countries oth-              used to waiting for their goods. Swed-
er than their own. Finnish and Norwe-              ish and Danish consumers have higher
gian consumers are used to shop from               expectations for fast deliveries and they
abroad, while Danish and Swedish con-              are usually satisfied, because the dis-
sumers rely on domestic webshops to a              tance to e-retailers’ warehouses is short.
greater extent. Finnish e-commerce has                China, the US, the UK and Germany
long been characterized by a high per-             have long been the favorite countries
centage of e-commerce from Sweden.                 from which Nordic residents shop. The
Many Finns speak Swedish, and Swedish              percentage of Swedes and Finns to
                                                                                                                             Did you
e-commerce is in many respects a step              shop from China has declined in the
                                                                                                In 2008, only 6 percent of
                                                                                                Nordic e-commerce
                                                                                                                              know
ahead of Finnish e-commerce. Nor-                  past year. In Sweden the share has fallen    consumers stated that         that…
                                                                                                they shopped online
wegian consumers are also extremely                by over ten percentage points due to         from abroad every month
active with regard to shopping from                new applications of the relevant VAT         or more often.
abroad. Due to the country’s geographic            regulations.

6   E-commerce in the Nordics
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
14%           13 %
        Sweden

                                           23%

                                                                                23%           25%

                           29%                                             China

                                                                                                      34 %
        Germany

   25%                                    27%                                             26 %
                                 10%

                                                       Top 5 product categories
                                                       that Nordic online shoppers
                                                       buy from abroad
40 %
                                             38%                  1. Clothing and footwear
                                                                  Sweden: 31%
                                    34%                           Denmark: 33%
                                                                  Norway: 26%
30%    29%                                                        Finland: 39%
                          ​27%
                                                                  2. Home electronics
                                                                  Sweden: 19%
                                                                  Denmark: 19%
20%
                 18%                                              Norway: 23%
                                                                  Finland: 18%
                                                                  3. Media
                                                                  Sweden: 12%
10%                                                               Denmark: 17%
                                                                  Norway: 18%
                                                                  Finland: 15%

                                                                  4. Beauty and health
  0
                                                                  Sweden: 8%
              Nordics  Sweden  Denmark                                                      Product categories
                                                                  Denmark: 11%                 that Nordic residents
                   Norway  Finland
                                                                  Norway: 11%                  shop for online
       Finns shop from abroad                                     Finland: 12%                 (average per month
       the most                                                                                January - December)
                                                                  5. Sports and leisure
       Have you bought products online from                                                    What types of physical
       abroad at any time in the past month?                      Sweden: 10%                  items have you bought
       Basis: Shopped online in the past month.                   Denmark: 9%                  online in the past 30 days?
       “Abroad” means you perceive the webshop’s                  Norway: 8%                   (From abroad)
       domicile to be outside of your country and/or              Finland: 8%                  Base: Have shopped
       that your delivery is from a country other                                              online from abroad in the
       than your home country.                                                                 past 30 days.

                                                                                             E-commerce in the Nordics       7
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
Mobile phones

“Mobile first”
– a paradigm shift
As mobile devices have become                           out of ten Nordic e-commerce con-
more commerce-friendly and com-                         sumers make at least one purchase
panies have adapted their websites                      via mobile phone every month, which
for mobile use, consumers’ shop-                        is a 12 percent increase since 2016. If
ping habits have centered on mobile                     you go back to 2008, only between
phones to an ever-increasing degree.                    two and four percent answered that
Because consumers always have their                     they had shopped from their mobile
phone at hand, this paradigm shift                      phone in the past year. Sweden is
creates enormous opportunities for                      still the most mature mobile country
e-retailers. For a physical retailer, con-              in the Nordics, but its neighbors are
sumers’ continuous digital presence is                  close behind. Since 2016, the share
comparable to almost all consumers                      of consumers to shop using a mobile
walking by the store – every day.                       phone has increased the most in
   The epicenter of the mobile revo-                    another Nordic country with historic
lution is in large parts of Asia, where                 traditions in mobile communication:
“mobile first” has long been natural in                 Finland. In only two years, the percent-
retail and where hundreds of millions                   age to make purchases via mobile
of peo­ple consider the mobile phone                    phone in Nokia’s homeland has nearly
to be the primary digital link to the                   doubled from two out of ten consum-
store. Nordic consumers are also high-                  ers in late 2016 to almost four out of
ly advanced compared with the rest                      ten consumers in the corresponding
of the Western world. More than four                    period in 2018.

                                                Have shopped online in the past month
                                                         Have you shopped online with your
60%
                                                         mobile phone in the past 30 days?                                              Did you
                                          54%           Base: Have shopped online (December)
                                                                                                         In China, the percentage
                                                                                                                                         know
50%                                                               2016  2017  2018
                                                                                                         of people who shopped           that…
                                    44%                                                                  online with a mobile phone
                        42%                                                    42%
                              39%                                                                        amounted to 79 % per
40 %                                                                                            37%
                  36%                                                    36%                             month in 2017.
                                                             34%
                                                       31%
                                                                                                         Source: PwC
           30 %                                                    29%                   29%
30%
                                                26 %

                                                                                  21 %
20%

                                                                                                        Have shopped using a mobile phone
10%                                                                                                               based on age
                                                                                                      Share of Nordic residents who have shopped with a
                                                                                                       mobile phone in the past 30 days, divided by age
    0
                                                                                                             Base: Have shopped online (December)
           NORDIC REGION            SWEDEN             DENMARK           NORWAY           FINLAND

                                                                                                      60%
                                                                                                               53 %
                                                                                                                           50%
Digital natives drive the shift                                                                       50%

toward new channels                                                                                   40%

The digital economy gives rise                          for seniors over age 65 is around one         30%                             28%
to clear generational gaps when it                      in five. Today, young people are “digital
                                                                                                                                                22%
comes to behavior, and shopping                         natives” – they grew up in the digital        20%
with a mobile phone is no exception.                    era with modern technology and have
Over half of Nordic e-commerce                          not had to acquire this knowledge
                                                                                                      10%
consumers between 18 and 29 years                       as adults. As time passes, we can
old have shopped with a mobile                          therefore talk about an organic shift
                                                                                                        0
phone, while the corresponding figure                   toward digital sales channels.                          18-29 y    30-49 y    50-64 y   65-79 y

8       E-commerce in the Nordics 2019
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
The mobile phone
                                                               – hub of the consumer
                                                               experience
                                                               Technical achievements have made mobile
                                                               phones a natural tool not just for completing the
                                                               actual purchase. Consumers also receive offers via
                                                               mobile phone, making it a natural communication
                                                               and marketing channel for stores. Furthermore, map
                                                               functions on smartphones enable quick navigation
                                                               in order to, for example, figure out where the nearest
                                                               physical store is located. Another possibility consu-
                                                               mers appreciate is being able to check stock before
                                                               visiting a physical store in order to avoid going ho-
                                                               me empty-handed.
                                                                  Many Nordic residents – about one out of three
                                                               e-commerce consumers – do research on their Mo-
                                                               bile phone before making a purchase. Most do this
                                                               before going to the store, but it has also become
                                                               relatively common to do research while in the store.
                                                               Price comparisons, reviews and assessments are so-
                                                               me examples of popular information sources for this
                                                               purpose. The information advantage that physical
                                                               stores have had historically compared with consu-
                                                               mers has thus shrunken and in some cases been
                                                               eliminated entirely.

       How do you use your mobile phone?
              Have you at any time in the past
           three months used your mobile phone
                  for any of the following?
              Base: Shopped online in December

                                     4. Looked up the
    1. Received offers
                                  availability of a product
 to your mobile phone.
                                 before entering the store.
   Nordic region: 42%
       Sweden: 54%                   Nordic region: 31%
      Denmark: 35%                     Sweden: 41%
       Norway: 48%                    Denmark: 25%
       Finland: 31%                    Norway: 36%
                                       Finland: 20%

   2. Searched for a              5. Looked up a product
 nearby store with your           with your mobile phone
    mobile phone.                     while in a store.
  Nordic region: 40%                 Nordic region: 25%
    Sweden: 39%                        Sweden: 30%
    Denmark: 42%                       Denmark: 23%
     Norway: 47%                       Norway: 32%
     Finland: 31%                       Finland: 16%

 3. Looked up a product            6. Taken a picture of a
with your mobile phone           product or price tag before
before going into a store.          a possible purchase.
   Nordic region: 38%               Nordic region: 20%
     Sweden: 50%                      Sweden: 25%
     Denmark: 38%                     Denmark: 19%
     Norway: 43%                      Norway: 22%
      Finland: 21%                     Finland: 14%

                                                                                         E-commerce in the Nordics   9
E-commerce in the Nordics - Artificial intelligence - a game changer for retail Focus: PostNord
Deliveries

           Delivery is central to the
           purchase experience
           Consumers ask for clarity, freedom of choice and precision in
           the delivery. Customers want to be in the driver’s seat and are
           expressing forcefully that delivery, and thereby the task of
           shipping companies, is central to the purchase experience.
           More than four out of five Nordic                       out with regard to the desire to be able
           residents consider it important to be able              to change delivery method after placing
           to choose the delivery method, which                    the order. The Finns, together with Danes,
           indicates that freedom of choice has                    also use parcel lockers to a relatively high
           become a hygiene factor. Swedes stand out               degree. Norwegians and the Finns take
           from other Nordic residents when it comes               a leading position when it comes to the
           to the desire to be able to choose the                  importance of being offered free shipping,
           delivery date, and through an uncommonly                while Danes have the very highest demand
           high use of service points. Finns stand                 for quick deliveries.

                              Think back to your most recent online purchase.
                                     How was your product delivered?
     Basis: Shopped online in the past 30 days     Nordic region      Sweden      Denmark      Norway      Finland

     I collected it myself from a
     service point.                                   56%              66%          34%          62%         50%

     It was delivered to my mailbox/multi-
     occupancy mailbox.                               17%               19%         10%          22%          15%

     It was delivered to my home and left
     outside my door (without me needing to            6%               3%          17%           3%          3%
     sign to confirm receipt of the product).

     It was delivered to my home during the
     day (not in my mailbox/multi-occupancy
     mailbox) and I had to sign to confirm             5%               4%           8%           3%          6%
     receipt of the product.

     I collected it myself from a parcel locker.       5%               0%          10%          0%           11%

     I collected it myself from the webshop’s
     physical store.                                   2%               2%           2%           2%          3%

     It was delivered to my workplace.                 1%               0%           4%           1%          1%

     It was delivered to my home in the evening
     (not in my mailbox/multi-occupancy mail-          1%               2%           0%          2%           1%
     box) and I had to sign to confirm receipt.

10     E-commerce in the Nordics
Are fast
                                       82 percent of Swedish              deliveries more
                                       e-commerce consumers say           important than
                                       they could imagine waiting one     sustainability?
                                       to two days extra for their item
                                       if the delivery is made more
                                       sustainable/eco-friendly.

                                     This is why we choose a certain webshop
                                 How important are the following features when choosing
                                            which webshop/site to shop from?
                                   Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded
                                        “very important” or “fairly important” (June).
                                      Nordics  Sweden  Denmark  Norway  Finland

                                           0                20%               40%           60%    80%              100%

That I can choose how the item
will be delivered.

That a delivery date is
provided.

That shipping is free.

That I can choose the delivery
date for home delivery.

That the product can be delivered
within three business days.

That I can change my chosen delivery
method during the delivery time.

That the product can be delivered
the next business day.

That I can add additional services
to the delivery.

That delivery could be on a
Saturday or Sunday.

                                                                                                  E-commerce in the Nordics   11
AI

On the path to a highly                                                                                                              AI – areas of application
intelligent era                                                                                                                      HOME SECURITY – AI is used
                                                                                                                                     for example to unlock the home
A new force is on its way to transforming the rules of play for                                                                      for authorized people.
human life in general and retail in particular. Pure e-retailers                                                                     HEALTH – AI-based portable
are generally far ahead in a technology shift that is making                                                                         devices monitor health, blood
use of smart computers and so-called artificial intelligence*                                                                        pressure or similar

to increase customer benefit.                                                                                                        FITNESS – AI devices are
                                                                                                                                     connected to a fitness profile
                                                                                                                                     in order to propose exercises,
AI is usually described as intelligence                             has received help with making a deci-
                                                                                                                                     food etc.
shown by machines and is used in retail,                            sion and simplifying daily life through
among other ways, through algorithms                                numerous different AI tools. When                                FASHION GUIDANCE – AI is
that customize recommendations,                                     consumers state the areas of applica-                            used as a stylist that suggests
individualize websites and optimize the                             tion in which they would feel secure                             clothing and alternatives.
company’s purchasing. On the website,                               receiving help from an AI device, three                          PERSONAL ASSISTANTS
automated customer service, through                                 out of ten Nordic residents respond that                         – AI devices are used to sche-
chatbots and assistants, helps custo-                               health is one such area, closely followed                        dule meetings, keep track of the
mers receive answers to their ques-                                 by fitness and home security. Apps and                           calendar etc.
tions immediately, which can increase                               digital assistants on Mobile phones are                          KITCHEN ASSISTANT – AI is
conversion. Automated warehousing                                   already used frequently in the area of                           used when cooking in order to
is another area of application, and with                            health (to keep track of blood pressure                          read a recipe, set a timer,
regard to deliveries, experiments are                               and medicine intake, for example), in                            create shopping lists etc.
underway with self-driving vehicles and                             fitness (to optimize diet and physical
                                                                                                                                     SHOPPING – AI is used
drones.                                                             activity) and in home security (by regu-
                                                                                                                                     through voice command or au-
   For their part, the online consumer                              lating locks, alarms and lights).
                                                                                                                                     tomation to buy physical goods
                                                                                                                                     and services.
*Artificial intelligence entails smart computers that simulate human intelligence, computers/computer systems that, based on data,
can think, communicate, plan, learn and carry out work tasks.

12    E-commerce in the Nordics
This is how AI could affect your daily life
                                                               In 5 years, in what areas
                                                    do you think you would feel secure using AI?
                                                        Base: Have shopped online (December)
                                                   Nordics  Sweden  Denmark  Norway  Finland

               40%
                                                  36%
                                                                   33%
                          31% 32%           30%                                                     30%
               30%                                                              29%                             28%
                                                            27%           27%                ​26%                     26%
                                      25%
                                                                                                          20%
               20%                                                                    18%

               10%

                    0

                                    Health                        Kitchen assistant                 Home security
40%

30%           27%         28%
        25%                     26%
                                                  23%
                                            20%         21% 22%
20%                 19%
                                                                    15%
                                                                                13% 14% 13% 12% 12%                   13%
                                                                                                                10%              11% 10%
10%                                                                                                                         8%

  0

                 Fitness                      Personal assistant                       Shopping                       Fashion advice

Are the machines
                                                                                                                                       Did you
taking over?                                                                                              29% of Nordic e-commerce      know
                                                                                                          consumers are anxious
                                                                                                          about increased AI
                                                                                                                                        that…
Machines that become so intelligent                                                                       elements in daily life.
that they cease to serve humans and
instead take over control are perhaps
the most common theme of dystopian
science fiction. In parallel with the rapid
development of artificial intelligence
as an assistive tool in retail – probably
a disruptive force in order to increase
customer benefit in the future – it is
worth noting that many consumers feel
a sense of anxiety about AI’s entry into
more and more spheres of life. Three
out of ten Nordic residents feel anxious
about how AI may impact life moving
forward, and the pattern is consistent
across all age groups. Not least, this
means that e-retailers must be clear
about what they are doing, work careful-
ly with customer data, and respect their
customers’ privacy.

                                                                                                                         E-commerce in the Nordics   13
AI

                                                                                     13
                                                                                         %
                                                                                              13
                                                                                               %

                                                                                                          15
                                                                                                            %
                                              SW
                                                 ED
                                                     EN
                                                          DE
                                                          NM
                                                               AR

                            Percentage who

                                                                                                      9%
                                                                K

                            have returned

                                                                                                                           15
                                                                                                                            %
                            a shipment in the
                                                                    NO

                            past month
                                                                     RW

                            Basis: Have

                                                                                                              10
                                                                       AY

                                                                                                               %
                            shopped online.
                                                                            FI
                                                                            NL

                                                                                                 5%
                                                                             AN
                                                                                 D

                                                                                     0

             Customers who make many returns
             represent the greater share of retail sales
             Just over one in ten of Nordic e-commerce consumers make at least one
              return a month. The value of returns for e-commerce companies has
             long been disputed in the industry, because returns drive up logistics costs
             through transport and warehouse management. Studies show that return
             policies directly impact how consumers choose webshops.

             A disadvantageous return policy              The fashion industry has frequent   measurements. With the help of AI,
             or complicated return procedures         returns, when it comes down to          the store can then suggest clothes
             often prevent purchases. On the          it e-consumers do not really want       and shoes with the best fit possible.
             other hand, a high level of service      free and convenient returns – they      Saving such personal information
             have a positive influence on con-        want clothes and shoes that fit. So     could feel uncomfortable from a pri-
             sumers’ trust, which in turn leads to    far, returns have often served as       vacy perspective, but many Nordic
             higher loyalty and more purchas-         a substitute for the fitting room       consumers say they would appreci-
             es. The conclusion is that returns       in physical stores. But a solution      ate this kind of help. Among Nordic
             certainly impair profitability in the    is on the way. With the help of AI,     online consumers, Danes would
             short term, but this changes in the      returns can be reduced. Consum-         feel most comfortable allowing web-
             long term because return custom-         ers’ purchase journeys online will      shops to save body measurements,
             ers amount for a larger share of         be simplified when webshops can         while at the moment, Finns feel
             sales.                                   save personal data about body           more hesitant.

14   E-commerce in the Nordics
Save information about your body
          measurements for a better AI experience
      Would you feel comfortable with allowing webshops to save
       personal information about your body measurements?
                   Base: Shopped online (December)
              Yes, fairly comfortable  Yes, very comfortable

50%
                          45%
           39%
40%
                          10%            37%

           10%
30%                                                    28%
                                         13%

                                                        5%
20%

10%

           29%            35%            ​24%          23%
  0
          Sweden        Denmark         Norway         Finland

                                                                  E-commerce in the Nordics   15
AI

             Great potential for digital
             assistants
             AI-based digital assistants and smart speakers comprise a potential hub of
             people’s future digital lives. The assistants help their owners produce and
             process information and carry out daily errands – everything from information
             about the weather, answering factual questions or finding directions to
             turning out the lights and putting on background music.

             In the US, more than half of all        digital assistant. The share varies     the technology is still relatively un-
             households are expected to have         between 7 percent in Finland and        familiar. In light of this, and that
             a freestanding digital assistant like   15 percent in Norway. The typical       so­me consumers feel anxious
             Google Home or Amazon Echo by           “early adopters” are young men          about AI, there may be a need to
             2022. These are already used as         who live in major cities. Today,        work more expressly for consu-
             shopping tools by assisting with        Nordic residents primarily use as-      mers to feel more secure with
             product searches, purchasing, and       sistants to play music, do research     the development. In all likelihood,
             renewal of subscriptions via voice      and manage to-do lists.                 the number of Nordic residents
             command. In the Nordic region,             The large number of consu-           who use AI assistants will increase
             relatively few consumers currently      mers who currently say they are         sharply in the coming years, as the
             state that they have purchased          uninterested in digital assistants      devices learn new languages and
             or plan to purchase an AI-based         probably reflects on the fact that      organically spread to new markets.

                                                               14%                                            18%

                                                                         11%                                              9%

                                                      SWEDEN                                       DENMARK

                 Personal                  75%                                             73%
                 assistant
                 Do you have or
                 do you plan to buy
                 a digital personal
                 assistant?
                 Base: Have shopped
                 online in December
                  Have purchased
                    or will purchase                           14%                                               12%
                  Not interested
                  Don’t know
                                                                                                                         7%
                                                                          15%
                                                     NORWAY                                         FINLAND

                                             71%                                           81%

16   E-commerce in the Nordics
Let AI renew an order
                                                                             Would you be comfortable with letting AI
                                                                                renew an order that has run out?
                                                                              Base: Have shopped online (December)
                                                                 40%
                                                                            Yes, fairly comfortable  Yes, very comfortable

                                                                 35%
                                                                                                      32%
                                                                 30%                    29%
                                                                          27%
                                                                 25%                     6%                          23%
                                                                                                      10%
                                                                           7%
                                                                 20%                                                  5%

                                                                 15%

                                                                 10%

                                                                  5%

                                                                          20%           23%           22%            18%
                                                                   0
                                                                         Sweden       Denmark         Norway        Finland

Automatic orders do the
work for consumers
To an increasingly high degree, the purchasing journey is driven by
convenience. In the next few years, AI features that save the customers time
and energy are expected to become increasingly common.

AI will probably be the most        shopping could be replaced by        food purchases. One day, the
radical behavioral change in how    AI automatically placing a new       consumer will ask their voice
consumers shop since the takeo-     order at a point in time determi-    assistant to order ingredients for
ver of the Mobile phone. In turn,   ned via analysis with the help       “pasta with tomato sauce.” The
this means that e-commerce          of customer data or by smart ho-     question is then what pasta and
companies will need to be even      me appliances. This could apply      which crushed tomatoes will
more creative with how they         to a wide variety of consumer        arrive at home; will it be a supp-
reach their customers. Three        purchases that are made over         lier’s brand or the retailer’s own
out of ten Nordic e-commerce        and over, for example the pur-       brand? Whoever governs the
consumers say they would be         chase of consumables such as         algorithms has the power. This
comfortable with letting AI re-     milk, butter or laundry detergent.   will likely result in an increase in
new an order when the products        Above all, this will impact the    market share for retailers’ own
run out. The idea is that routine   battle of the brands in digital      brands.

                                                                                              E-commerce in the Nordics        17
Introduction – the Nordic countries

Sweden                                    Denmark

          Swedes like                     For 89 procent of danes,
       invoice payments                     being able to choose
     online and 6.8 million                how the goods should
     people also use Swish,                be delivered is crucial
        which is gaining                  when deciding where to
          popularity.                           shop online.

          Population (January 1, 2018)        Population (January 1, 2018)

10,143,000                                5,781,000
       Percentage that shop online each     Percentage that shop online each
             month (18-79 years)                  month (18-79 years)

                  68%                              62%

18   E-commerce in the Nordics
Norway                               Finland

One out of three consumers                 Consumers in
  in Norway shops outside             Finland have checked
 the country’s borders and            in to a store via social
62% chose delivery points             media 71 percent more
    for their most recent               than other Nordic
          purchase.                   consumers in general.

     Population (January 1, 2018)         Population (January 1, 2018)

 5,296,000                            5,513,000
   Percentage that shop online each     Percentage that shop online each
         month (18-79 years)                  month (18-79 years)

          66%                                  48%

                                                      E-commerce in the Nordics 2019   19
Spotlight on: Sweden

Percentage             Percentage                 Estimated EUR         Percentage              Percentage               Percentage
that shops             that shops                 amount that           that shops via          who did                  who did in-store
online every           online from                each Internet         Mobile phone            research online          research before
month*                 abroad each                consumer              each month***           before buying            buying online***

68%                    month**                    spends online
                                                                        54%                     in-store***
                                                                                                                         30%
                       18%                        per month**
                                                                                                50%
                                                  201

 A digital shift is underway in Sweden
 Swedish e-commerce consumers                      and lower prices. Swedish consumers are      who made at least one purchase in a given
 estimate spending a total value of SEK            also digital when they shop in physical      month with a Mobile phone amounted to
 92.8 billion online in 2018. This makes it the    stores. Fully 50 percent of consumers said   fully 54 percent in 2018. New technology
 largest market in the Nordic region. Digital      they did research online first and then      like artificial intelligence and the Internet of
 shopping has had a strong breakthrough            bought an item in a physical store. The      Things will strengthen the role of Mobile
 in Sweden, which is made clear by the fact        most common product categories purcha-       phones further, which makes the area
 that an impressive 68 percent of the popu-        sed in digital and physical symbiosis are    central for retailers who want to be able to
 lation shopped online in an average month         home electronics and fashion.                meet customers on their terms. Swedish
 in 2018. In Sweden, digital advances have                                                      e-commerce consumers are also looking
 come so far that essentially all growth of        A crucial reason for the advancement of      beyond the country’s borders in the hunt
 durable goods sales has been online, com-         e-commerce in Sweden is that consumers’      for attractive goods. Germany tops the
 pared with three years ago, when approx-          mobile use has grown in scope each year.     list of countries from which Swedes most
 imately one fourth of all growth took place       Mobile phones are taking rapid strides       prefer to shop, which can be seen by Za-
 online. The most important driving forces         toward becoming a central hub for the        lando’s strong position in Sweden. Swedes
 behind Swedes’ growing e-commerce                 entire purchasing process in Sweden. The     primarily shop for fashion items and home
 consumption are convenience, selection            share of Swedish e-commerce consumers        electronics online from abroad.

 20 E-commerce in the Nordics
9.0
                                                                                             The total amount
                                                                                             that Swedes estimate
                                                                                             spending on online
                                                                                             purchases in 2018, of
                                                                                             which e-commerce from
                                                                                             abroad was 12 percent.
                                               bn EUR

Mobile phone in the physical store

                                                                                                      Top 5 most popular
                                                                                                      countries from
                                                                                                      which to shop*Ä**
           25%
 Have taken a picture of a product
                                                     41%
                                               Have checked stock levels                              1. Germany 29%
  in a store in preparation for a              using their phones before
possible purchase at a later time***               visiting a store***
                                                                                                      2. UK 26 %
                                                                                                      3. China 23 %
                                                                                                      4. USA 14 %
                                                                                                      5. Denmark 8 %

                                                                                             * Average Jan-Dec 2018. Base: Entire population aged 18–79 years.

          30%
      Have done research on
                                                     39%
                                                  Have searched for
                                                                                             ** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online.
                                                                                             *** Have shopped online (December).
                                                                                             **** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online
                                                                                             from abroad in the past 30 days.

a product using their Mobile phone             a nearby store with their
    while in a physical store***                   Mobile phone***

Most popular goods purchased online**
                                                                                                                                                        Did you
40% 39%                                                                                     In 2018, 54 percent of Swedish
                                                                                                                                                         know
                                                                                            e-commerce consumers shopped
                                                                                                                                                         that…
                        32%                                                                 with a Mobile phone during the holiday
                                                                                            month of December.
30%
                                       ​27%                                                 In 2008 only two percent of Swedish
                                                                                            e-commerce consumers shopped with
                                                    23%                                     a Mobile phone at any time that year.

20%

                                                                   12%              12%                  12%
10%
                                                                                                                                 7%
  0
           Clothing/      Health/                      Home          Furniture/         Sport/                                    Children’s
           footwear       beauty       Media         electronics   interior decor   leisure items         Groceries              items/toys

                                                                                                                                   E-commerce in the Nordics      21
Spotlight on: Sweden

        Top 5 most popular                                Swish is gaining
        e-commerce payment                                popularity
                                                          Sweden is at the leading edge           produced results. At the same
        methods                                           with regard to IT maturity and          time, the payment method “debit
                                                          the use of new technology.              or credit card” has lost popularity
        1. Invoice 38%                                    Despite this, Swedes are a con-         in recent years. The standout on
        2. Debit card or credit                          servative group when it comes           the Swedish payment scene is
                                                          to payment online. Invoice pay-         Swish. The service has long been
            card 22 %                                     ment is the most popular pay-           immeasurably popular among
        3. Direct payment via                            ment method in Sweden year              individuals but has now also
                                                          after year. The reason for this is      entered e-commerce. Around
            bank 14 %                                     spelled Klarna. The company’s           6.8 million individuals use Swish
        4. Swish 12 %                                     digital invoice services have           in Sweden, which demonstrates
                                                          dominated Swedish e-commer-             its enormous poten­tial as a pay-
        5. Paypal, Payson,                               ce for a long time, which has           ment method.
           or similar 8 %                                 How would you prefer to pay for a
                                                          good you have purchased online?
                                                          Base: Shopped online in the
                                                          past month (December)

Zalando is bigger
than Amazon                                                    Zalando
                                                                 21 %
Swedish consumers’ purchasing behavior online
differs from behaviors in other digitally mature e-com-
merce nations as regards consuming from marketplac-
es. For example in the US, Amazon accounts for nearly

                                                                                 Wish
half of sales in the e-commerce market, while the
corresponding number in Sweden is around just a few
percent points, which can be explained by the fact that

                                                                                 15 %
Swedish e-commerce is primarily organized around
independent webshops.
   When Swedes look abroad in the hunt for a larger
product offering and lower prices, they are usually at-
tracted to foreign marketplaces due to their enormous
selection and security. Just over half of all e-com-                                  Ebay
merce consumers in Sweden say that in the past six
months, at some point they have shopped from Wish,                                    10 %
                                                                                 Amazon
Amazon, Zalando, eBay or Alibaba. The German mar-
ketplace Zalando has the strongest position in Swe-
den. Just over one out of five Swedish e-commerce
consumers say that at some point in the past year,                                9%
they have shopped from Zalando. In second place is
low-price marketplace Wish, from which just over one                      Alibaba/Aliexpress
out of seven Swedish e-commerce consumers have                                   6%
shopped. Amazon, which is one of the strongest play-
ers globally, does not demonstrate the same position                Which webshop(s) have you used in the past 12 months?
in the Swedish market. Only 9 percent say they have                           Base: have shopped online (June)

shopped from Amazon in the past year.

22   E-commerce in the Nordics
Important features
       in online stores
       —delivery
       As Swedish e-commerce grows, the
       industry’s focus has shifted to delivery.
       The shift is based on a solid foundation:
       fully 29 percent of Sweden’s e-commerce
       consumers say that they have refrained
       from buying an item online at some
       point because they were not offered their
       preferred delivery option. So what should
       Swedish webshops do to reduce the
       number of abandoned shopping carts?                                                                             Arne Andersson
       Should parcels be delivered the same
       day, to the workplace or on a weekend                                                                           e-commerce expert
       day? Not necessarily. The hygiene factors                                                                       PostNord
       which Swedish consumers indicate are
                                                                                                                       Sweden
       instead: options, a clear delivery date,
       and free delivery. Swedish e-commerce
       consumers thus primarily demand trans-
       parency and clear information from the
       webshop. Meeting these criteria impro-
       ves the chances of the purchase being                          “We are moving                       Arne Andersson, e-commerce expert,
                                                                                                            PostNord Sweden:
       completed.                                                       more and more                       E-commerce is a well integrated part of
          In addition to hygiene factors, which
       must be met, just over one out of three                          toward wanting the                  Swedes’ daily lives. There are also ma-
                                                                                                            ny major e-retailers here who sell to the
       consumers say they want to be able to                            same speed and                      entire Nordic region, which means we buy
       add additional services to their delivery.
       Offering, for example, a carrying in servi-                      predictability of a                 relatively little from foreign sites compared
                                                                                                            with other Nordic countries. But now that
       ce, assembly, removal and returns hand-                          physical store.”                    international marketplaces like Amazon
       ling generates opportunities to create                                                               have started to establish in the country,
       competitive advantages on the market.                                                                things are going to happen. I think Swedish
                                                                                                            retailers are well aware of the challenges,
                                                                                                            but it is important to stay on our toes and
                            How important are the following features when                                   create benefit and added value for custom-
                                 choosing a webshop/site to shop from?                                      ers. Otherwise you only have one weapon:
                          Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded                               price. And in this arena it is impossible to
                                “very important” or “fairly important”, June.
100%                                                                                                        compete with the giant players. German
                                                                                                            Zalando is a marketplace that has already
           85%             84%              80%                                                             become established in Sweden with great
80%                                                          78%                                            success. I believe this is mainly because the
                                                                            68%                             company is perceived as Swedish. The site
                                                                                                            islocalized down to the smallest detail and
60%
                                                                                                            it is fast and easy to both receive and return
                                                                                                            goods. Otherwise I think it is interesting that
40%
                                                                                            35%             logistics plays such a huge role for both
                                                                                                            the purchasing journey and the purchasing
                                                                                                            experience. We are moving more and more
20%                                                                                                         toward wanting the same speed and pre-
                                                                                                            dictability of a physical store. In other words:
                                                                                                            you see an item, and you know you can
  0
           That I can         That a         That I can     That shipping That the product That I can add   take it with you and go. You want the same
          choose how      delivery date     choose the         is free    can be delivered additional       experience in a webshop.
          the item will    is provided    delivery date for                 within three services to the
          be delivered                     home delivery                   business days     delivery

                                                                                                                             E-commerce in the Nordics   23
Spotlight on: Denmark

Percentage            Percentage              Estimated EUR          Percentage              Percentage           Percentage
that shops            that shops              amount that            that shops via          who did              who did in-store
online every          online from             each Internet          Mobile phone            research online      research before
month*                abroad each             consumer               each month***           before buying        buying online***

62%                   month**                 spends online
                                                                     34 %                    in-store***
                                                                                                                  23%
                      ​27%                    per month**
                                                                                             38%
                                              223

 Population density and a high average
 purchase amount give e-commerce
 excellent conditions
 Denmark has a strong digital economy          The driver of Danish consumption toward       Danes spend the most per person online
 and good infrastructure. The country has      the Internet and away from physical stores    of all Nordic residents. Given Denmark’s
 a high population density and topography      is largely the flexibility of being able to   geographical location as a gateway to the
 that generates good logistical conditions     shop at any time. But low prices and a        European continent, Danish e-commerce
 for e-retailers. Danish consumers estimate    large selection online are also perceived     consumers gladly receive impressions
 spending EUR 5.5 billion online in 2018.      as significant advantages. Card payments      from abroad. The most popular foreign
 Several trendsetting domestic e-commerce      dominate online purchases in Denmark,         destination online is the UK, which pro-
 sites are Elgiganten, Proshop, bookseller     which is largely due to a high rate of con-   bably means many Danes are currently
 Saxo, the large marketplace Bilka, the ho-    nection to the national Dankortet, which      especially interested in how future trade
 me electronics store wupti.com and gro-       has low transaction fees.                     connections between the EU and the UK
 cery players like Coop.dk and Nemlig.com.         Danish purchasing power is strong.        will look.

 24 E-commerce in the Nordics
5.5
                                                                                            The total amount that
                                                                                            Danes estimate
                                                                                            spending on online
                                                                                            purchases in 2018, of
                                                                                            which e-commerce from
                                                                                            abroad was 16 percent.
                                               bn EUR

Mobile phone in the physical store

                                                                                                     Top 5 most popular
                                                                                                     countries from
                                                                                                     which to shop****
           19%
 Have taken a picture of a product
                                                     25%
                                               Have checked stock levels                             1. UK 31 %
  in a store in preparation for a              using their phones before
possible purchase at a later time***               visiting a store***
                                                                                                     2. Germany 27%
                                                                                                     3. China 25 %
                                                                                                     4. Sweden 14 %
                                                                                                     5. USA 10 %

                                                                                            * Average Jan-Dec 2018. Base: Entire population aged 18–79 years.

           23%
      Have done research on
                                                     42%
                                                  Have searched for
                                                                                            ** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online.
                                                                                            *** Have shopped online (December).
                                                                                            **** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online
                                                                                            from abroad in the past 30 days.

a product using their Mobile phone             a nearby store with their
    while in a physical store***                   Mobile phone***

Most popular goods purchased online**
                                                                                                                                                      Did you
40%       38%                                                                               In 2018, 34 percent of Danish e-com-
                                                                                            merce consumers shopped with a
                                                                                                                                                       know
                                                                                            Mobile phone during the holiday                            that…
                                                                                            month of December.
                                                                                            In 2008 only four percent of Danish
                        26 %
30%
                                                                                            e-commerce consumers shopped with

                                       22%                                                  a Mobile phone at any time that year.

20%
                                                     17%
                                                                  13 %              11%                  11%
10%                                                                                                                             8%

  0
           Clothing/       Home                       Health/       Furniture/         Sport/                                    Children’s
           footwear     electronics    Media          beauty      interior decor   leisure items         Groceries              items/toys

                                                                                                                                  E-commerce in the Nordics 25
Spotlight on: Denmark

       Top 5 most popular
       e-commerce payment
       methods                                             MobilePay is winning
       1. D
           ebit card or credit                            – and is just a swipe away
          card 70 %                                        Danish online consumers                 in a single swipe. In just two
                                                           have long shown a very clear            years, MobilePay has obtained
       2. MobilePay 19 %                                  preference for debit card, and that     a clear market share of 19% of
       3. Paypal, Payson                                  will last a while into the future.      all e-commerce payments. This
                                                           But in late 2017, payment solution      makes it clear that Danes can
           or similar 6 %                                  MobilePay was introduced                quickly adopt intuitive and easy-
       4. Direct payment                                  and integrated into webshops’           to-use solutions, at least when
                                                           payment modules, making it              they come from a well-known
           via bank 2 %                                    possible for customers to pay           supplier.
       5. Invoice 1 %                                      How would you prefer to pay for a
                                                           good you have purchased online?
                                                           Base: Shopped online in the
                                                           past month (December)

Strong development
for Zalando
                                                             Zalando
                                                              24 %
Danish consumers are mobile and global. As they
turn to foreign webshops to an increasingly high
degree to have their needs met, it paves the way for
foreign marketplaces to take a larger share of the pie.
Via its platform, Zalando has successfully equipped
Danes with fashion during the year and one in four
Danish e-commerce consumers uses the German
marketplace, which is twice as many as in 2014. In
                                                                                    Wish
                                                                                    14 %
a short period, a brand new phenomenon has also
made its way into Danish homes, which is a wave of
low-price Chinese produced goods from sites such as
Wish and Alibaba.
   The share of online consumers to shop from Ame-
rican sites has not moved in the same way, however.                            Amazon
                                                                                13 %
It should be noted here that the number of Danes to
shop from Amazon or eBay, for example, is probably
increasing in an absolute sense. Even though the per-

                                                                                         Ebay
centage of e-commerce consumers using American
sites is standing still or even declining, the number of

                                                                                         10 %
Danes who shop online in general has increased sig-
nificantly since 2014, which means more consumers
in absolute figures. It is clear that a player like Ama-
zon still does not have a secure hold on the Danish                                    Alibaba/Aliexpress
                                                                                              3%
market, which may eventually change if the company
focuses on locally adapted logistics, a Danish domain                Which webshop(s) have you used in the past 12 months?
and subscription services marketed to Danish target                            Base: have shopped online (June)

groups.

26 E-commerce in
              in the
                 the Nordics
                     Nordics
Strong and clear
       demands from
       Danish consumers
       As e-commerce grows in Denmark,
       questions have arisen about how
       e-retailers should behave in order to
       balance all of consumers’ demands. In                                                                           Jørgen Fischer
       many cases, Danish consumers know                                                                               e-commerce expert
       exactly what they are looking for and
       they are good at communicating it. In                                                                           PostNord
       general, they have the highest demands                                                                          Denmark
       in the Nordic region when it comes to
       delivery: here there are clear wishes for
       clarity, freedom of choice and control of
       the purchase. Delivery speed has also
       become a hygiene factor, probably more
       so than in the other Nordic countries.                           “About half of                       Jørgen Fischer, e-commerce expert,
                                                                                                              PostNord Denmark
       This should be seen in the context of
       Denmark as a small country with high
                                                                          deliveries are to                   Danes have really taken to e-commer-
       population density and good conditions                             homes, and                          ce, which continues to grow more than
                                                                                                              physical commerce. The prediction is
       for a fast, painless “last mile,” which has
       gradually driven up expectations. For
                                                                          half are collected                  that volumes will double by 2022, and
       example, more than one third of Danish                             from a service                      perhaps even triple by 2025. Meanwhile,
                                                                                                              the lines between online and offline are
       consumers consider it important to be
       able to receive their shipment the day
                                                                          point”                              becoming blurrier, and that places huge
                                                                                                              demands on both retailers and on us as
       after placing the order.
                                                                                                              logistics suppliers. Together, we must
                                                                                                              make sure that customers perceive the
                                                                                                              entire chain, from purchase to delivery
                             How important are the following features when                                    and returns, as smooth.
                                  choosing a webshop/site to shop from?
                                                                                                                 When it comes to deliveries, Danes
                           Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded
                                 “very important” or “fairly important”, June.                                have already become accustomed to re-
100%                                                                                                          ceiving goods the next day, because we
           89% 83%                                                                                            are a relatively small country.
                                                                                                                 About half of our deliveries are to
80%
                                              74%                                                             homes, and half are collected from a
                                                              68%                                             service point. But it is also becoming
60%                                                                          56%                              increasingly common to collect goods
                                                                                                              from webshops’ physical stores, called
                                                                                                              click-and-collect. When customers go into
40%                                                                                           37%             stores, they often see more things they
                                                                                                              want to buy, or they want help, which can
                                                                                                              lead to upselling of fully 15-20 percent. So
20%
                                                                                                              there should be strong incentive for retai-
                                                                                                              lers to offer this kind of delivery, and for
  0                                                                                                           pure e-retailers to have physical stores.
           That I can          That a        That shipping That the product  That I can    That the product
          choose how      delivery date is      is free    can be delivered choose the can be delivered
          the item will      provided                        within three delivery date for on the next
          be delivered                                      business days home delivery business day

                                                                                                                              E-commerce in the Nordics   27
Spotlight on: Norway

Percentage            Percentage               Estimated EUR          Percentage              Percentage            Percentage
that shops            that shops               amount that            that shops via          who did               who did in-store
online every          online from              each Internet          Mobile phone            research online       research before
month*                abroad each              consumer               each month***           before buying         buying online***

66%                   month**                  spends online
                                                                      42%                     in-store***
                                                                                                                    32%
                      34%                      per month**
                                                                                              43%
                                               218

 Habitual e-commerce consumers embrace
 mobile shopping behavior
 Norwegian e-commerce consumers                    For many years, Norway has had a VAT-      in Norwegian shopping, both on and
 say that they spent SEK 52.4 billion online    free limit of NOK 350 for online purchases    offline. Four out of ten shop with a Mobile
 in 2018. E-commerce is widespread in the       from abroad. The Norwegian governme-          phone each month, and as many have
 country and in an average month, two           nt has now decided that this limit will be    “webroomed,” or conducted research
 out of three Norwegians shopped online.        removed as of January 1, 2020, and that       online before going to a physical store to
 24-hour availability, location indepen-        VAT will be charged on all goods ordered      make a purchase. Physical stores also play
 dence, competitive prices and a large          from abroad. A customs fee will also be       a large role in Norwegians’ online shop-
 selection drive online sales toward new        charged for the administrative manage-        ping. Every third consumer has looked at
 conquests. Norwegians are also used            ment. It remains to be seen if – and if so,   an item in a store before buying it online
 to shopping from abroad; on average,           how – Norwegian e-commerce behavior           and one out of five have taken a picture
 one out of three consumers shops from          will change with this new rule.               of a product in a physical store and later
 beyond the country’s borders.                     Mobile phones have a prominent role        bought it online.

 28 E-commerce in the Nordics
5.1
                                                                                       The total amount that
                                                                                       Norwegians estimate
                                                                                       spending on online
                                                                                       purchases in 2018, of
                                                                                       which e-commerce from
                                                                                       abroad was 15 percent.
                                                         bn EUR

Mobile phone in the physical store

                                                                                                 Top 5 most popular
                                                                                                 countries from
                                                                                                 which to shop****
           22%
 Have taken a picture of a product
                                                     36%
                                               Have checked stock levels                         1. China 34%
  in a store in preparation for a              using their phones before
possible purchase at a later time***               visiting a store***
                                                                                                 2. UK 24 %
                                                                                                 3. USA 23 %
                                                                                                 4. Sweden 13 %
                                                                                                 5. Germany 10%

                                                                                        * Average Jan-Dec 2018. Base: Entire population aged 18–79 years.

           32%
      Have done research on
                                                     47%
                                                  Have searched for
                                                                                        ** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online.
                                                                                        *** Have shopped online (December).
                                                                                        **** Average Jan-Dec 2018.. Base: Have shopped online
                                                                                        from abroad in the past 30 days.

a product using their Mobile phone             a nearby store with their
    while in a physical store***                   Mobile phone***

Most popular goods purchased online**
                                                                                                                                                   Did you
40%
          36%
                                                                                        In 2018, 42 percent of Norwegian
                                                                                        e-commerce consumers shopped
                                                                                                                                                    know
                                                                                        with a Mobile phone during the holiday                      that…
                                                                                        month of December.
30%                                                                                     In 2008 only 4 percent of Norwegian

                        25%            25%                                              e-commerce consumers shopped
                                                                                        with a Mobile phone at any time that
                                                                                        year.
20%

                                                     14%
                                                                    10%        10%                  10%
10%
                                                                                                                            6%
  0
           Clothing/       Home                         Sport/      Health/     Furniture/                                   Children’s
           footwear     electronics    Media        leisure items   beauty    interior decor         Groceries              items/toys

                                                                                                                              E-commerce in the Nordics 29
Spotlight on: Norway

       Top 5 most popular
                                                          Vipps rises sharply
       e-commerce payment
       methods                                            A majority of Norwegian online
                                                          consumers prefer to pay with a
                                                                                                  result shows an attitude shift
                                                                                                  among consumers who, to an
                                                          credit or debit card, probably be-      increasingly high extent, are
       1. D
           ebit card or
                                                          cause this is a payment method          tending to step away from credit
          credit card 51 %                                with a traditionally strong posi-       and debit cards in favor of Vipps,
                                                          tion. The rest of consumers prefe-      whose popularity has increa-
       2. Paypal, Payson                                rably pay with PayPal and Vipps,        sed from 2 to 14 percent in only
            or similar 18 %                               or via invoice.                         two years. This extremely fast
                                                             The payment market is                behavioral change means that
       3. Vipps 14 %                                     undergoing a major change               the webshops that want strong
       4. Invoice 14%                                     and digitalization creates new          competitiveness are offering a
                                                          opportunities for innovative,           complete palette of the most
       5. Direct payment                                 seamless payments. This year’s          popular payment solutions.
          via bank 1 %                                    How would you prefer to pay for a
                                                          good you have purchased online?
                                                          Base: Shopped online in the
                                                          past month (December)

                                                                 Zalando
                                                                  28 %
                    Zalando
                    and eBay lead
                                                                                Ebay
                    the race
                    Norwegian consumers are the
                                                                                27 %
                                                                                Amazon
                    Nordic residents who report shop-
                    ping from foreign platform com-

                                                                                 15 %
                    panies to the greatest extent. Just
                    as in the other Nordic countries,
                    Zalando has a very strong position
                    in Norway, while the share
                    to say that they shop from eBay                              Wish
                    stands out from a Nordic perspec-
                    tive. Norwegians have probably
                    become accustomed to buying
                                                                                 14 %
                    inexpensive small products, such                            Alibaba/Aliexpress
                    as mobile cases and cables, from
                                                                                       7%
                    eBay, a function that Wish serves                Which webshop(s) have you used in the past 12 months?
                    in many of the other Nordic                                Base: Have shopped online (June)

                    countries.

30 E-commerce in the Nordics
Delivery options
       capture customers
                                                                                                                           Rikke Kyllenstjerna
       Precision and freedom of choice in
       deliveries produce satisfied customers.                                                                             e-commerce expert
       For Norwegian e-commerce consu-                                                                                     PostNord, Norway
       mers, it is extremely important to know
       when an item will be delivered and that
       there is a possibility to choose both the
       delivery method and the date of home
       delivery if relevant.
          It is interesting to note that only one                       “Norwegians shop                        Rikke Kyllenstjerna, e-commerce
                                                                                                                 expert, PostNord Norway:
       out of five online consumers thinks it is
       important to receive deliveries over the
                                                                          from abroad a                          Norwegians shop from abroad a great
       weekend. This is probably because the                              great deal, which                      deal, which is because many brands can’t
                                                                                                                 be found here. But that may change, at
       point of departure among the respon-
       ding consumers is today, when there are
                                                                          is because many                        least to some extent. As the report states,
       limited opportunities for Saturday and                             brands can’t be                        all e-retail purchases, without exception,
                                                                                                                 will be charged VAT and will have to clear
       Sunday deliveries, and they have there-
       fore not experienced any advantages or
                                                                          found here.”                           customs as of 2020. This means it will be
                                                                                                                 more expensive and harder for Norwe-
       disadvantages of a weekend delivery.
                                                                                                                 gians to shop from abroad than we are
                                                                                                                 used to. I don’t think this will affect how
                                                                                                                 much we spend online overall; rather, it
                              How important are the following features when                                      will probably be more attractive to shop
                                   choosing a webshop/site to shop from?
                                                                                                                 from Norwegian e-retailers. Ultimately it
                            Base: Have shopped online. Percentage who responded
                                  “very important” or “fairly important”, June.                                  may also lead to foreign e-retailers estab-
100%                                                                                                             lishing local warehousing solutions in the
                                                                                                                 country, at least for returns. Otherwise, I
           82% 80%                                                                                               think it is interesting that information and
80%
                                              74%                                                                freedom of choice regarding deliver-
                                                                                                                 ies are so important for the purchasing
60%
                                                              60% 56%                                            experience. Deliveries bring about a lot
                                                                                                                 of emotions – we can see that when cus-
                                                                                                                 tomers rate their experience of PostNord
40%
                                                                                                32%              in Norway. For example, they are irritated
                                                                                                                 if they receive poor information about
                                                                                                                 when the parcel will be delivered. As
20%
                                                                                                                 carriers, we must work even more closely
                                                                                                                 with e-retailers in order to improve the
  0                                                                                                              customer experience.
              That a        That shipping      That I can       That I can    That the product  That I can
         delivery date is      is free        choose how       choose the can be delivered change the type
            provided                        the item will be delivery date for within three of delivery during
                                               delivered      home delivery business days the delivery time

                                                                                                                                E-commerce in the Nordics   31
Spotlight on: Finland

Percentage              Percentage                Estimated EUR          Percentage              Percentage             Percentage
that shops              that shops                amount that            that shops via          who did                who did in-store
online every            online from               each Internet          Mobile phone            research online        research before
month*                  abroad each               consumer               each month***           before buying          buying online***

48%                     month**                   spends online
                                                                         37%                     in-store***
                                                                                                                        16%
                        38%                       per month**
                                                                                                 21%
                                                  158

 Leaders in shopping from abroad
 Finnish e-commerce consumers esti-                Finns who grew up with digital technology,    three most popular countries from which
 mate spending a total of EUR 2.8 billion          the gap between Finland and the rest of       to shop are China and Germany followed
 online in 2018. Finland is the Nordic e-com-      the Nordics may closing. Finns between        by the historically significant trade partner
 merce market with perhaps the greatest            ages 18 and 29 years old shop online with     Sweden. One factor that drives Finns
 growth potential for the coming year, as          Mobile phones to a greater degree than        to shop online from abroad is that the
 lessons can be taken from more mature             their equivalents in Norway and Den-          number of domestic “pure players” today
 markets, which creates opportunities for          mark, for example. Finnish seniors are also   is relatively small compared to many of
 catching-up effects. The average purchase         catching up in terms of percentage, and       their neighboring countries. An overview
 amount per e-commerce consumer in Fin-            in 2018 almost one out of four Finnish        of the most popular products to buy
 land is currently the lowest in the Nordic re-    e-commerce consumers over the age of          online among Finns shows that fashion
 gion, and one barrier that has contributed        65 shopped online with a Mobile phone.        takes a clear first place. Almost one out of
 to slightly lower e-commerce maturity is             Finns also stand out for shopping onli-    four Finns buys fashion items online from
 that it has taken time for the older Finnish      ne from abroad more than other Nordic         domestic players, while the share that pur-
 generation to adopt the e-commerce                residents. In 2018, two out of five Finnish   chase from players abroad is significantly
 trend. With help from a new generation of         consumers shopped from abroad. The            greater.

 32   E-commerce in the Nordics
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