ECACNEWS - ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN AVIATION: the future is now - #74 - ecac-ceac
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ECACNEWS WINTER 2021 #74 European Civil Aviation Conference Magazine ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN AVIATION: the future is now
CONTENTS 1 EDITORIAL Intelligent aviation through artificial intelligence Rannia Leontaridi AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS 2 EUROCONTROL has adopted AI to support aviation Paul Bosman 6 Smart Digital Tower – transforming air traffic control operations in Singapore Kuah Kong Beng 9 Fostering artificial intelligence in ATM Tanja Grobotek 12 Artificial intelligence and the next generation of airport air traffic management Andrew Taylor 15 Schiphol as a tech company Martijn Schouten, Floris Hoogenboom, Sebastiaan Grasdijk, Bas Cloin AIRLINES AND AIRCRAFT 18 Airlines’ data sharing and artificial intelligence adoption Jean Ruiz Carpio, Jeroen Mulder ECACNEWS #74 – Winter 2021 21 Air France pursues continuous innovation Publication Director and invests in Big Data solution to improve Patricia Reverdy flight efficiency Editorial Committee Laurent Lafontan Patricia Reverdy, Simona Wist, Gillian Caw 23 Next Generation Intelligent Cockpit Editor Single-pilot operations’ potential to increase Gillian Caw flight safety gcaw@ecac-ceac.org Dirk Kügler, Christian Niermann Designer Bernard Artal Graphisme NEWS FROM ECAC & JAA TO Cover: © EvgeniyZimin, Deposit Photos – Magicleaf, Deposit Photos 27 ECAC Spotlight Ph: © CEAC ECAC Behaviour Detection Study Group ECAC News welcomes feedback Carmen Feijoo and content ideas from interested parties. 29 ECAC in brief Subscription and distribution 35 News from the JAA TO requests should be made to communications@ecac-ceac.org The opinions printed in ECAC News are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of ECAC or its Member States. Follow ECAC on or Visit: www.ecac-ceac.org
Editorial Intelligent aviation through artificial intelligence Rannia Leontaridi Director General for Civil Aviation, Department for Transport, United Kingdom, and ECAC Focal Point for Environmental matters ECAC tois pleased to present the first edition of ECAC News dedicated artificial intelligence (AI) in aviation. Readers will be intro- duced to several key aspects, as well as to a series of accounts of successful implementation of AI by air traffic management operators, airports, airlines, and aircraft manufacturers. The reason we chose to dedicate this edition to artificial intelligence was that more and more data are digital nowadays, and as information technology evolves continuously, the impacts on the aviation sector are potentially far-reaching. At a broader level, the concept of artificial intelligence can be defined as human intelligence simulated by machines, especially computer systems, capable of learning and reasoning like a human being. But why do we need artificial intelligence in aviation? Benefits of integrating artificial intelligence in the aviation industry include, for example: deciphering patterns from previous experience, intelligent decision-making processes, prescriptive and predictive analytics, forecasting, improving air passengers’ experience, boosting productivity, etc. We have already seen successful implementation of AI applications in air traffic management (ATM) and air traffic control (ATC) operations, in airports, U-space (including the use of intelligent drones) and avionics. Other examples of the integration of AI in aviation include dynamic ticket pricing, flight optimisation, real-time forecasts of flight delays or trajectories, crew scheduling, and predictive maintenance. More importantly, artificial intelligence has the potential to tackle the two major challenges aviation faces today: reducing the environmental impact of air traffic, and improving the ability of the network to scale capacity up or down depending on the growth or decline of traffic. Of course, the use of artificial intelligence in the aviation industry brings a series of opportunities and challenges that can be further discussed and addressed. It is an area where alignment between strategic leadership and practical implementation will be especially important. This, combined with constructive dialogue among stakeholders, can help us overcome the challenges, and identify and mitigate the associated risks. Finally, I would like to thank all the contributors to this edition of ECAC News, and I invite you to read this magazine, hoping it will inspire ideas and fruitful discussions on the most appropriate ways to integrate artificial intelligence in the aviation sector. ECAC NEWS #74 1
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS EUROCONTROL has adopted AI to support aviation Paul Bosman Head of the Network Manager, EUROCONTROL “If you read the newspapers, you might think that Europe has lost the race for artificial intelligence (AI) and it’s going to be China or the United States. They’re going to dominate us but we do not think it is necessarily the truth. Our destiny is in our own hands and we have many tools and ways to work together to really move AI forward. Maybe the only limitation is what we have in our own heads.” FLY AI webinar on partnership The FLY AI – a joint effort in AI for aviation TpeanoTROL move AI forward, EUROCON- – together with the Euro- Commission and a wide range of partner organisations (airlines, airports, air navigation service providers, manufacturers, EU bodies, military and staff associations (1)) – jointly worked on finding ways to demystify AI with the goal of accel- erating its uptake in the aviation sector, including air traffic manage- ment (ATM). tion community. The webinars high- bility, more data become avail- The FLY AI report (2) that came lighted that: able, while companies and indi- out of this cooperation provides an • AI is not science fiction. Aviation viduals keep control; overview of the many ways that is currently using mainly data- • we must integrate AI-specific risk artificial intelligence is already driven AI and is beginning to ex- mitigations in aviation system applied and assesses its potential ploit symbolic AI; design, and also use AI to help to transform aviation, notably in • in the foreseeable future, AI can detect cyber threats. We need to reducing human workload, driving complement and augment human work on new AI applications for the development of new ATM/ capabilities but will not replace cyber protection in aviation; U-space services, or increasing the human in ATM; • EASA’s guidance for Level 1 ma- safety and cyber resilience and in- • partnering in AI can really help chine learning applications struc- creasing its sustainability. Its action grow your business, accelerate tures the way AI systems in plan aims to accelerate the devel- your know-how, and help achieve aviation should be designed; and opment of AI in European aviation successful certification of safety- • EUROCAE WG-114 is preparing and ATM. This year’s FLY AI webi- critical systems in which AI is common standards for the devel- nars (3) explored each action area, embedded; opment and certification of AI- covering partnering, research and • with the advent of common Euro- based aeronautical safety-related innovation, ATM use cases, safety/ pean data spaces focused on mo- products. certification, data sharing, cyber security and training/change man- agement. (1) EUROCONTROL, the European Commission, EASA, ACI EUROPE, Airbus, ASD, CANSO, Heathrow Each webinar reached more Airport, Honeywell, IATA, IFATCA, IFATSEA, the SESAR JU, Thales, as well as military partners than 4000 people on average, EDA and NATO. (2) https://www.eurocontrol.int/publication/fly-ai-report mainly in Europe, testifying to AI’s (3) The FLY AI webinars webpage (https://www.eurocontrol.int/fly-ai) provides access to all webinar growing importance to the avia- recordings and their presentations. 2 ECAC NEWS #74
EUROCONTROL has adopted AI to support aviation I AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS EUROCONTROL supporting aviation by operating with AI Rhasesponding to immediate opera- tional needs, EUROCONTROL developed a number of AI-based applications – and there are more in the pipeline. They will generate significant improvements to the European air traffic control network through offering new digital ser- vices that will be embedded in our future integrated Network Manage- ment programme (iNM) to the ben- efit of operational stakeholders. Trajectory Prediction Improvement is in In early 2019, the FLY AI group operation. What were the key steps to get identified around 25 AI-based ap- there? plications in European aviation and ATM, with some already opera- It took a lot of time and effort to get people to accept intro- tional (Heathrow Airport, Maas- ducing AI, particularly our safety department, as AI intro- tricht Upper Area Control Centre, duces a new sort of unpredictability in the system. However, Network Manager (NM)). Less than in the TPI case the worst thing that can happen is to end up two years later, EUROCONTROL with the wrong flight prediction, exactly as with conventional alone is developing over 30 appli- systems today. We are not introducing a new failure mode cations. Some are already used op- here. In MUAC, the system is augmented by AI with humans erationally in decision-making tools still at the centre of decision-making processes. for the NM operational team and their operational stakeholders (air- ports, airlines and ANSPs). These paramount importance. EUROCON- rapid developments were possible Reducing flight TROL’s Curfew AI module (7) can de- thanks to EUROCONTROL’s innova- tion hub initiative and the availabil- delays and their cost tect such flights well before the ity of EASA’s AI guidance material. restricted period commences and to business provides improved predictions when compared to those of the enhanced Improving air traffic management efficiency AI delays, is also used to minimise flight which impact airlines’ tactical flow management system. Predictions are performed per air- punctuality and the passenger ex- craft (i.e. tail number), and can be perience (the combination of which queried at any time during the day, TwayhetrolforMaastricht Upper Area Con- Centre (MUAC) paved the the operational use of AI at is covered in Regulation (EC) No 261/ 2004 on passengers’ rights), and which is particularly useful when tracking curfew-affected aircraft. EUROCONTROL with its Trajectory may generate night curfews im- The MIRROR operational deci- Prediction Improvement (TPI) (4). TPI posed at many European airports. sion support tool (8) was used as a has been supporting Flow Manage- Curfews prohibit take-offs and sandbox during the development ment Position operators for over landings during certain night-time of the Curfew AI module. It cur- two years by trawling through the hours; a single minute of curfew in- rently provides NM operational wealth of data that MUAC has col- fringement can lead to a diversion staff with a real-time view of each lected, and applying AI algorithms of the flight. Diverting a long-haul aircraft’s flight legs, thus allowing to support several key integrated flight can cost up to €68 000 (6), and identification of potential knock-on Flow Managment Position (iFMP) (5) results in significant disruption to delays. The Curfew AI module will functions to improve prediction of the airline and its passengers. be made available in the coming flight routes, 4D trajectories, take- Developing effective methods to months to MIRROR’s several hun- off times, sector skips, and even accurately identify flights at risk of dred industry users following an hotspots of complex traffic. curfew infringement is therefore of update of the MIRROR interface. (4) https://www.eurocontrol.int/publication/traffic-prediction-improvements-tpi-factsheet-and-technical-documentation (5) https://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/2019-06/factsheet-ifmp-22022017.pdf (6) https://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/2021-03/eurocontrol-standard-inputs-economic-analysis-ed-9.pdf (7) http://www.atmseminar.org/seminarContent/seminar14/papers/ATM_Seminar_2021_paper_15.pdf (8) https://www.eurocontrol.int/tool/mirror ECAC NEWS #74 3
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS I EUROCONTROL has adopted AI to support aviation BERG), which is open to all network operational stakeholders. Going live soon… Eimprove arly in the flight planning pro- cess, flights can be optimised to network efficiency. PRE- DICT AI improves optimisation and prediction by offering multiple alter- native routes tailored both to avia- tion stakeholders’ business needs and the Network Manager’s traffic flow management criteria. PREDICT AI retrieves the routes flown by any given airspace user and makes sug- gestions for better routings taking due account of their business needs as interpreted from historical data. The model can run on any city In addition, an application pro- gramming interface running on AI as cyber-protection pair and on any aircraft operator on the network. As a result, the Net- EUROCONTROL’s cloud infrastruc- assistant work Manager Operations Centre ture will provide a broader access (NMOC) benefits from more reli- to the Curfew AI module, in partic- ular to airlines for integration into their flight operational centres as a A s a first innovative action on cyber for AI, EUROCONTROL’s European Air Traffic Management able route predictions, thus in- creasing network predictability and stability, which in turn facili- support tool. Computer Emergency Response tates the adjustment of capacity to Team (EATM-CERT) has explored demand. the way AI could increase the cyber Reducing operational resilience of the aviation system, Additionally, given that only around 5% of NOTAMs are relevant impact of ATFM delay notably for the rapid and reliable to network operations, the NOTAM detection of aviation-related docu- uncertainty ment leaks. In a hybrid approach list AI module will identity, extract, and display the most relevant based on symbolic and data-driven NOTAMs at the top of the list, al- T odemand resolve imbalances between and capacity, the Net- AI, they pre-trained an off-the-shelf “multilingual transformers model” to adapt it specifically to aviation’s op- lowing NMOC Operators to deal with them quickly, freeing up their work Manager imposes regulations, time for higher value tasks. delaying flights on the ground. The erational, technical and multilin- gual contexts (10). Now integrated in PREDICT AI and NOTAM list are length of the ground delay assigned EATM-CERT tools, the model can now fully developed, are aligned to a regulated flight may change identify if a leaked document is rel- with the EASA guidance on AI cer- dynamically until departure. This evant to aviation much more tification and thus ready for inte- variability in the delay stems from rapidly than data analysts could. gration in NM systems. the mechanisms used by the com- puter-assisted slot allocation system Significant hours of scarce human On the airport side, the D-1 AI- resources are now being saved in based predictive model will pro- (CASA) to manage the regulation slots. addition to freeing staff from te- vide new enhanced predictions of The FADE AI module (9) has dious and boring work. This deliv- airport regulations using informa- been developed to reduce this un- ers significant cost and operational tion available prior to the day on certainty and therefore improves benefits for the aviation commu- which they should apply (hence airlines’ operations management nity. Cyber risk has increased signif- “D-1”). These are then integrated throughout the day. Trained on his- icantly during the pandemic and, into NMOC’s morning briefings on torical data, it is fully integrated in as “AI for cyber” is still a new area for the day of operations. D-1 AI uses CASA and can predict the trend of aviation security experts, increasing information from airport events in the delay with an accuracy of 75%. AI cyber collaboration and sharing NM’s “airport corner” and from FADE reduces the prediction error lessons learned are paramount. NOTAMs, as well as weather and by up to 63% when compared to This is a key objective for the Net- traffic forecasts to estimate the like- the model without FADE. work Manager Cyber group (CY- lihood of a regulation being re- quired at any of the network’s busiest airports. It already predicts (9) http://www.atmseminar.org/seminarContent/seminar14/papers/ATM_Seminar_2021_paper_14.pdf the hours when regulations are (10) https://www.eurocontrol.int/event/ai-cyber-and-cyber-ai more likely - with 84% accuracy. 4 ECAC NEWS #74
EUROCONTROL has adopted AI to support aviation I AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Moreover, it addresses concerns at their own airports. Its deploy- EUROCONTROL is moving for- about “AI explainability” (11) by pro- ment on EUROCONTROL’s cloud is ward quickly with this wide range viding the rationale behind the expected at the end of 2022, which of AI applications that are already prediction, be it atmospheric phe- will accelerate its operational uptake. bringing operational benefits to nomena, industrial action, works Finally, the mature AI-based the European Network. These are in progress at the airport, over de- application COAST (12) allows ANSPs just the first steps and, together mand, etc. to optimise the calibration of their with our FLY AI partners, we look This information is shared with Final Approach Separation Delivery forward to moving faster to help the rest of the functions in the European aviation recover in a sus- tools for safe and efficient Time- NMOC. The purpose of the predic- tainable and scalable way. ■ Based Separation (TBS) operations, tion is NOT to take any un-coordi- using machine learning models nated action but to proactively trained on historical local airport contact the airport for considering traffic and MET data. COAST is a de- in a collaborative way the best op- cision-support tool that helps air tions. traffic controllers to organise the Although it was initially planned spacing and separation of traffic. to serve as a decision support tool COAST, therefore, is probably our for the NMOC Airport Function, D-1 first human-AI collaboration appli- AI will also be shared with our stake- cation and the only ATM use case holders, to foresee the impact that supporting the EUROCAE standard other airports’ daily situations have for AI in aviation. (11) AI models currently used, essentially deep neural networks, are of such complexity that it is practically impossible for their creator to understand their inner workings. Explainable artificial intelligence is a set of processes and methods that allows human users to comprehend and trust the results and output created by machine learning algorithms. (12) https://www.eurocontrol.int/publication/eurocontrol-coast-calibration-optimised-approach- spacing-tool-use-machine-learning Paul Bosman has been with EUROCONTROL since 1992, working in many different technical and managerial positions in various locations (R&D centre – France, seconded to Airbus, Brussels headquarters). Currently, he is the head of the Network Manager / Infrastructure Division, planning, deploying and monitoring European infrastructure digitising the SES European Sky through activities such as CNS, information management and overall resilience (cyber, interference…). He chairs the European Aviation/ATM – AI High-Level Group, which has delivered – amongst others – the FLY AI report. ECAC NEWS #74 5
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Smart Digital Tower – transforming air traffic control operations in Singapore Kuah Kong Beng Director of Special Projects, Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore Introduction “ The Smart Digitalisation Digital Tower T he provision of aerodrome air traffic services remotely without a physical tower may seem novel to prototype at A ir traffic controllers rely on the out-the-window (OTW) view in conventional towers to provide some but in fact it has been a real- Changi Airport aerodrome air traffic services. The ity for several years now. The first digitalisation of this view in a digi- digital tower was approved for provides real- tal tower environment, commonly operations at Örnsköldsvik Airport time surveillance known as a video wall, is a paradigm in Sweden in April 2015. shift for air traffic management. While remote towers have been of Changi Airport’s The video wall allows the air traffic implemented for smaller airports, controllers to select and integrate there were none for high intensity aerodrome critical data such as aircraft call airports back in 2014. The Civil operations signs and other essential flight Aviation Authority of Singapore information to be overlayed on (CAAS) embarked on a research through more the screens. Consequentially, these study to evaluate a digital tower data overlays will reduce the concept for high intensity runway than 100 fixed- “heads down” time on multiple air operations at Changi Airport. The traffic control (ATC) displays and research found that there was position cameras allow for easy flight identification scope to develop a digital tower so- and pan-tilt- and enhanced situational aware- lution for Changi Airport which ness, thereby improving safety as a could reap numerous operational zoom (PTZ) result. benefits. The development of such More importantly, digitalisa- a prototype started in early 2018 cameras installed tion of the OTW view also allows with NATS (Services) Ltd and across multiple the provision of aerodrome air traf- Searidge Technologies. fic services from a remote location. locations at the This mode of operation has already been deployed in Germany; the in- Smart Digital Tower airport. ” ternational airport at Saarbrücken prototype has been remotely controlled from and increase visibility during con- a Remote Tower Centre in Leipzig ditions such as hazy, low light or more than 400km away. Integra- Treal-time he Smart Digital Tower proto- type at Changi Airport provides surveillance of Changi night conditions. The PTZ cameras, with the ability to deliver up to 30x tion of two or more control tower operations at different locations Airport’s aerodrome operations optical zoom, mirror the function into a single integrated facility is a through more than 100 fixed-posi- of binoculars in conventional con- possibility. Now, it is a function of tion cameras and pan-tilt-zoom trol towers. getting the appropriate infrastruc- (PTZ) cameras installed across mul- The Smart Digital Tower proto- ture in place. When implemented tiple locations at the airport. The type operations room has three successfully, it is expected to en- flexible and multiple camera place- controller working positions (CWPs) hance the coordination between ments around the airport allow vi- and a video wall made up of large multiple control towers, reduce the sual surveillance of the aerodrome monitors that provide a common complexity of operations and im- areas that are located far away or situational awareness for the air prove overall safety and efficiency. blocked by buildings when viewed traffic controllers at their respective Separately, CAAS is also explor- from the physical control tower, CWPs. ing using speech recognition tech- 6 ECAC NEWS #74
Smart Digital Tower – transforming air traffic control operations in Singapore I AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Smart Digital Tower – video wall with a runway view nology to create a “digital assistant” to automate processes and stream- line operations. The aim is to re- “ As one of the busiest airports in place manual inputs, laborious the world under pre-COVID-19 traffic, data entry and issuing of common commands via speech recognition air traffic controllers in Changi Airport technology. For example, an air operate at a high-paced environment traffic controller will be able to use voice commands to provide clear- with approximately 380 000 annual ances for flight altitudes and as- signed headings, which will then movements. Usage of video analytics be transcribed and entered auto- and decision support tools will help matically into the air traffic man- agement (ATM) systems. Automatic to alleviate the workload of the transcription of conversations be- tween pilots and air traffic con- air traffic controllers. ” trollers not only allows for more expeditious post operations inci- deployed across the aerodrome. intensity. As a safety measure, air dent review but also provides These alerts on the video wall can traffic controllers will have to en- ample data for greater insights into help to enhance the situational sure there is appropriate separa- ATM operations. If the develop- awareness of air traffic controllers tion, and more communications ment of the “Digital Assistant” and improve runway safety. On a with the pilots are also expected proves to be successful, CAAS may similar note, PTZ cameras can also due to the low visibility conditions. integrate this feature into the digi- be programmed to do a patterned To address the above challenges, tal tower environment to augment sweep in the aerodrome to scan for CAAS is studying the feasibility of air traffic controllers’ operations. objects of interests or specifically using camera surveillance sensor selected by air traffic controllers to technology and artificial intelli- track a particular aircraft, vehicle or gence to provide indication to air Video analytics even humans in the aerodrome. traffic controllers when the tail of applications These features can help to reduce the aircraft is clear of the runway. cognitive workload for the air traf- This digital advisory tool will be es- fic controllers and thus allow them pecially useful during periods of A s one of the busiest airports in the world under pre-COVID-19 traffic, air traffic controllers in Changi to focus their mental resources on other tasks at hand. low visibility to advise air traffic controllers on the runway clear- Airport operate at a high-paced Another video analytics appli- ance status so that they can make environment with approximately cation we can potentially leverage quicker and more informed deci- 380 000 annual movements. Usage on is in the indication of runway sions on whether to land or depart of video analytics and decision sup- clearances. Currently, air traffic con- the next aircraft. If the develop- port tools will help to alleviate the trollers rely on visual means to de- ment of this feature is successful, workload of the air traffic con- termine whether an aircraft has it is expected to improve overall trollers. One potential application vacated the runway prior to allow- safety in the following aspects. that can be incorporated into the ing another arriving aircraft to land, Firstly, there will be reduction digital tower environment is the or clearing a departing aircraft for in workload for both air traffic con- detection of moving objects in the take-off. During inclement weather trollers and pilots in terms of ra- airfield. This can be achieved via or periods of low visibility, this diotelephony (RTF) exchanges during video processing of the images ob- could be challenging for air traffic periods of low visibility. Timely tained from the numerous cameras controllers to operate at their usual issuance of landing/take-off clear- ECAC NEWS #74 7
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS I Smart Digital Tower – transforming air traffic control operations in Singapore CAAS had conducted evalua- tion on the Smart Digital Tower prototype and the data showed that the overall concept of a digital tower was acceptable for opera- tions. With the advanced features and tools, air traffic controllers were able to provide safe, orderly, expeditious and effective air traffic control at Changi Airport, albeit at low traffic conditions due to COVID-19. The key areas of evalua- tion include operational safety, effi- ciency and capacity, performance Smart Digital Tower – evaluation of the prototype by air traffic controllers and limitations, air traffic controllers’ ance is key for safe and smooth op- acceptance of the new concept of erations, especially in a high inten- Future plans operations, as well as an assessment sity airport. With this feature, there of human-machine and human- human interactions. will be no need for the air traffic controller to request the pilot to T echnologies advancement and digitalisation are increasing at a Singapore has embarked on a journey toward being a smart nation report when they are clear of the rapid pace. The changes are seen to runway. Similarly, the pilot will not be disrupting existing business op- since the initiative was announced need to report to ATC when the air- erations and redefining the new in 2014 (1). CAAS is similarly on board craft vacates the runway. This will normal in our society. While COVID- this journey of adopting smart result in better use of airtime, 19 has decimated air travel, it is a technologies as it is important for which includes lower probability window of opportunity for air nav- us to stay relevant in today’s fast- of RTF congestion and timelier is- igation service providers (ANSPs) changing world. CAAS will be suance of clearances to pilots. like CAAS to invest in research and building upon our past successes Secondly, it is envisaged that development (R&D) projects that with the living lab and continuing the information provided by this will enhance air traffic manage- our journey of leveraging on artifi- tool may reduce the time required ment. The low air traffic demand cial intelligence. We will be evaluat- for an air traffic controller to form a presents good opportunities to ing the steps required to progress decision on whether to clear the from a prototype system to the trial new technologies and allows next arrival to land. Thus, it is ex- next stage whereby we can deploy ANSPs to deploy air traffic controllers pected that there will be a lower digital tower technologies in an for R&D projects – as providing these risk and probability of an arriving operational environment. This in- resources for R&D projects is often aircraft having to carry out missed cludes various activities such as de- a challenge to most ANSPs when approaches during periods of low veloping the relevant safety case, airports are operating at pre-COVID- training plans as well as deploy- visibility due to late issuance of 19 levels. clearances. Increase in aircraft ment strategies. For CAAS, the Smart Digital With the advancements in movements and traffic can be pos- Tower prototype is a living lab technology over the years, it is sible without compromising safety and can potentially lead to greater where relevant technological inno- timely for one to evaluate the latest operational efficiency. vations will be incorporated and technology that could potentially tested to continuously improve enhance safety and operational ef- and fine-tune the digital tower ficiency, as well as provide better system. The living lab allows us to service levels. Where possible, CAAS determine the suitability and ro- will be harnessing smart technolo- bustness of the new innovations gies that will give us the competi- (1) https://www.smartnation.gov.sg/whats- before commissioning the technol- tive advantage to stay ahead as a new/speeches/smart-nation-launch ogy in an operational environment. leading ANSP in the digital era. ■ Kuah Kong Beng has served as the director of Special Projects at CAAS since 2016, in which he oversees the Smart Digital Tower programme. He also advises on air traffic management (ATM) operational issues and safety, as well as ATM research and development projects. Having joined CAAS in 1972 as an air traffic controller, Kong Beng brings with him a wealth of experience in air traffic control and management that makes him a renowned expert in his field. He also actively contributes to making new ATM solutions a reality for the region. 8 ECAC NEWS #74
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Fostering artificial intelligence in ATM Tanja Grobotek Director Europe Affairs, CANSO (Civil Air Navigation Services Organisation) We are without doubt living in turbulent times. The COVID-19 pandemic and its concrescence at large are probably one of the biggest challenges the aviation industry has ever faced. It is equally clear that we should not allow COVID-19 to stop innovation in aviation, or progress on building our future digital skies. W e are now entering a new, exciting era for aviation in ination of a number of use cases where machine learning (ML) has “ There are which the speed of change and been successfully implemented in several new rate of innovation will be faster ATM and identifies the key ele- than they have been for decades. ments that will be important for and emerging In order to support and foster AI-based technologies to gain the innovation, it is essential to engage trust of ANSPs and air traffic con- technologies with all stakeholders in the aviation trollers (ATCOs). AI use has kept value chain and reduce the time to spreading rapidly in the ATM indus- that can have deployment of new and emerging try; however, I feel we have barely a huge impact technologies, which are essential started to scratch the surface of the to achieve safer, more efficient and opportunities and limitations of AI on air traffic more scalable air traffic manage- within aviation. The essential ques- ment, as well as to accommodate tion is not whether – or if – these management increasingly diverse airspace users AI-based applications will be used, and boost the sustainability of avi- but when they will be in operation. – and artificial ation. intelligence is There are several new and Enablers emerging technologies that can clearly one of have a huge impact on air traffic management (ATM) – and artificial intelligence (AI) is clearly one of N ew technologies come with some associated risk, and as aviation is a safety critical domain, those. ” those. there is a need to examine the use • Safety assurance. The availability of enormous cases and capabilities of AI care- Safety approaches that rely on ex- quantities of data coupled with the fully. In order to see successful isting software are based on the growth of highly effective and effi- applications of AI in ATM, several assumption that the software is cient computing power has the po- enablers are necessary: fully explainable. However, it is tential to enable the widespread • Trust needs to be built for the not always true for machine learn- use of AI in ATM and related fields. use of this new technology. ing, as almost every popular ML AI is an exciting prospect and offers The aim of Explainable AI (XAI) is method contains a “black box” opportunities to increase the effi- to “describe the purpose, ratio- part, hardly constraining the ex- ciency of services provided by air nale and decision-making process plainability. This represents a new navigation service providers (ANSPs) of the AI tool in a way that can be paradigm for software assurance, through a variety of new tools and understood by the average per- where we go from certifiable al- systems. son”. It is essential that ATCOs gorithms to certifiable data sets In April 2021, CANSO published know why an algorithm has pro- and training programmes. So even the white paper, Emerging tech- vided a particular answer and the most robust ML algorithm’s nologies for future skies: Artificial how that answer compares with performance is highly dependent intelligence, which explores the the manual completion of a task. on the training data set. It might main enablers and challenges of This will require ongoing training not be a problem in the case of AI in ATM. It also includes an exam- and monitoring. applications with low safety effect ECAC NEWS #74 9
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS I Fostering artificial intelligence in ATM but can be a strong constraint in the development of safety critical “ In a human- tional awareness. Proper assess- ment of this issue is important to applications. machine collabo- make the ATCO self-confident in • Certification of these technolo- their new role. Explainability and gies will be crucial. ration paradigm, proper safety assurance of AI is a EUROCAE (WG-114) and SAE (G-34) key factor to build trust, and sup- are guiding the relevant authori- the human roles port human-machine collaboration. ties to agree industry standards on aeronautical systems using AI. are developed These are now in place, making Fields of application possible certification that the and implemented industry can trust. • Cyber security and ethics will also in a way that S ome of the areas where AI has been successfully implemented be very important. fosters trust and in ATM, in particular related to air ANSPs can benefit from employ- traffic control (ATC), tower, air traf- ing AI systems to improve both confidence by fic flow management (ATFM), and the efficiency and safety aspects ground operations, and where its of air traffic control. It is unlikely the human in use shows the potential to deliver machines will replace humans in real benefits, are the following: such a safety critical domain for the automation CONFLICT RESOLUTION the foreseeable future. But they can be deployed to enhance situ- functions. ” ADVISORY AI can provide tools to help ATCOs ational awareness and provide resolve (especially) mid-term con- decision support to increase operators, to better understand flicts, once these are detected. In- safety and efficiency by enabling the new data-based algorithms deed, ML algorithms can provide human experts to focus on more paradigm and adjust their ex- optimal solutions as a sequence complex decisions. pectations to the existing limits. of actions solving the conflict and In the current AI/machine satisfying a certain number of in- Human-machine learning applications, the role of tended qualities: for example, en- the human does not change signif- suring preferred safety distance, collaboration icantly. However, the introduction having a minimal number of com- of AI-based models will support mands, reducing fuel consump- W e foresee a fluid coopera- tion framework between humans and AI to minimise opera- higher levels of automation, more advanced decision-making tasks tion or delay, and others. These methods can learn from ATCO ex- perience and also explore billions and there is little doubt that it will tional risks and improve the overall impact the way work is performed of possible solutions and choose performance of the ATM system. in the future. the best from among them. Experience gained during the suc- OPTIMAL SECTORISATION The roles and responsibilities of cessful implementation of automa- In the dynamic airspace manage- human actors in the functional sys- tion in the cockpit or in the ment domain, ML/AI techniques tem will change and evolve. There unmanned traffic management can introduce a significant im- could be new actors – Joint Human- world can be used in designing au- provement. The basic idea is to Machine Systems – working with tomation in ATM systems. train a machine with traffic data different look-ahead time horizons, In a human-machine collabora- airspace scopes and operational and sector configuration and let it tion paradigm, the human roles are performance indicators from the learn how to re-shape sectors developed and implemented in a ones that exist today. boundaries in order to better ac- way that fosters trust and confi- commodate the traffic. dence by the human in the au- One key message is that keep- ing the human in the loop is es- DEMAND PREDICTION tomation functions. The AI is not ML/AI algorithms can be applied used as a simple tool but it is used sential in a synergic human-machine collaboration, and contributes to the to improve the accuracy and pre- to complement and augment human resilience of the functional system. dictability of traffic demand by capabilities. adding to the current calculation The objective is that human ex- For example, air traffic con- methods the complementary perts can focus in areas where ad- trollers should always be able to stochastic information deriving ditional operational perspective is override some procedures in a from historical data intelligent needed, while the machine can au- given context while still maintain- processing aimed to provide hid- tomate large and repetitive tasks ing an acceptable level of safety. den patterns between flight plans that it can handle more accurately It is even more important be- and actual flown trajectories. This in a scalable fashion. cause applications increasing the kind of AI-augmented demand It is key that trust in the Joint level of automation to support enables the improvement and the Human-Machine System is im- ATCOs to handle traffic with higher efficiency of the entire demand and proved by upskilling human complexity, might decrease situa- capacity balance (DCB) process. 10 ECAC NEWS #74
Fostering artificial intelligence in ATM I AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS “ The roles and responsibilities of human actors in the functional system will change and evolve. ” REMOTE TOWERS change in both UTM and ATM will AI-based pattern recognition can entail increased levels of automa- Conclusions be used to combine multiple video tion and applying AI/machine tracks of one detected object (sep- arate tracks on wings, body, etc.). learning to the strategic, pre-tac- tical and tactical aspects to enable Tavailability he development of AI has come a long way in recent years. The of enormous quantities The entire shape of an aircraft or the transition from airspace-based vehicle can be recognised from dif- to trajectory-based operations. of data allied to the growth of ferent viewing angles (e.g. back highly effective and efficient com- DIGITAL ATCO & DIGITAL TWIN puting power has enabled the use profile, side profile, front profile). It Powerful machine learning tech- of AI in ATM and related fields, as can also be used to detect standing niques can provide digital assis- has been explored in this article. aircraft or vehicles on the runway tance to ATCOs in many ways: The use of machine learning and or holding point, stands or parking • by a natural human-machine deep learning systems is exciting position, and continue tracking if such objects start moving. Or in a dialogue, enabled by automatic and offers opportunities to in- close-up view (pan-tilt-zoom or speech, natural language pro- crease the safety and efficiency static hot-spot cameras), to recog- cessing (NLP) and intent recogni- of services provided by ANSPs nise when no landing gear is down, tion. Thus, ATCO orders as well as through a variety of different tools or special situations (e.g. smoke or pilot voice can be directly tran- and systems. The expanded use of engine fire) and to alert the con- scribed into the system, to increase AI in ATM has the potential to bring troller. It can also be used to filter ATCO efficiency and globally the significant benefits, including: im- output data of conventional video safety of the dialogue; proving safety by understanding tracker and remove false bounding • by increasing situation aware- anomalous traffic patterns; improv- triggered by cloud movements. ness, through an increased preci- ing capacity by supporting deci- sion of data surveillance; sion-making and understanding UNMANNED TRAFFIC • by learning from previous ATCO changes in flows; and finally, bring- MANAGEMENT actions and providing decision- ing environmental benefits by Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) aid for increased efficiency, AI will optimising flight plans. with high levels of automation and advanced features will re- complement ATCOs enabling them CANSO is committed to working quire AI to drive the development to enhance their capabilities, re- with the research community, of new unmanned traffic man- ducing their cognitive involvement States, industry and other stake- agement (UTM)/U-space services in repetitive tasks and allowing holders to ensure Europe’s airspace and address the ATM integration them to focus on highly value- is fit for purpose now, and in the challenge. AI will support ATM added tasks. future. ■ actors and increase safety from flight planning to operations by providing new solutions for con- flict detection, traffic advisory and “ CANSO is committed to working resolution, and cyber security. The with the research community, States, industry and other stakeholders to ensure Europe’s airspace is fit for purpose now, and in the future. ” Tanja Grobotek joined CANSO in 2018 and is responsible for CANSO’s activities and objectives in Europe. Tanja previously worked at IATA as the regional director safety and flight operations (SFO) – Africa and Middle East, where she was responsible for providing strategic direction, guidance and leadership for IATA’s safety, flight operations and infrastructure activities and initiatives. From August 2013 to February 2014, Tanja was also ad interim vice president Africa. Tanja has significant experience of working with governments and international air transport institutions across Europe, Middle East and Africa. Before joining IATA, she was a flow control specialist with South African air navigation service provider, ATNS, where she established the Central Airspace Management Unit (CAMU). She started her aviation career in the airline maintenance planning division of Croatia Airlines. Tanja holds an executive master’s in business administration in aviation management from Geneva University and a Bachelor of Science degree in air transport engineering from the Transport Science University in Croatia. ECAC NEWS #74 11
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Artificial intelligence and the next generation of airport air traffic management Andy Taylor Chief Solutions Officer, Digital Towers, NATS Not long before the pandemic – if you can remember such a time – I attended a EUROCONTROL artificial intelligence (AI) summit in Brussels at which people from across the industry gathered (again, remember that?) to attempt to cut through the hype and look at real, practical ways in which this disruptive technology could help transform how the aviation industry works. F astworldforward two years and our has been transformed in a One figure at that event that re- ally resonated with me was the fact Neural networks work by analysing data sets in order to “train” and create an understanding way that none of us could ever that less than 10% of the data pro- have anticipated. You’d think that duced by the industry in Europe is of what normal operations look with parts of the industry still cling- actually used. That’s a massive, un- like. Once a period of training has ing to survival, talk of investing in tapped resource and long term a taken place, the next stage is for new and what’s often perceived to much more open approach to how outlier or marginal data to be high- be a risky technology, would be data is stored and shared will be lighted in what is referred to as further away than ever. needed in order to unleash its la- “anomaly detection”. This ability to tent value. detect operational events which But, of all the transformational are outside normal parameters is a technologies surrounding our in- It’s the ethos of harnessing the key differentiator between machine dustry, to my mind artificial intelli- power of operational data that has learning and the traditional system gence, especially when coupled been the cornerstone of Searidge development and coding, meaning with our ever-maturing application Technologies’ work for the past few the time between development of digital tower concepts, remains years. Searidge began considering and operational deployment can the best placed to support the the ATM applications of AI by build- be shortened from years to months. wider recovery in terms of improv- ing on the technical expertise de- Working together with Searidge, ing efficiency, safety and resilience. veloped using machine learning our focus is on using AI and ma- Those are issues that still matter and neural networks to enhance chine learning to identify ways of today and will matter even more tracking and detection capability in supporting controller decision- tomorrow. image processing. making in order to improve effi- ciency, resilience and performance. This might be by using it to simul- taneously monitor multiple areas of interest across an airport – like runway exit points for example – something that humans simply aren’t physically capable of doing. This ability can then be used to reduce the impact of external fac- tors, such as weather, by creating a more predictable operation in terms of aircraft spacing and runway throughput. This focus doesn’t re- duce the importance of people in the process, but rather looks at how to support the optimisation of human performance. To give a practical example, Heathrow digital tower lab before the pandemic, we started a 12 ECAC NEWS #74
Artificial intelligence and the next generation of airport air traffic management I AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Heathrow digital tower lab landscape project looking at whether we 27R/09L, identifying over 40 000 ar- incoming radio traffic and respond could apply a combination of AI rivals in all. Data analysis has by giving aircraft route clearances and digital tower camera technol- proved hugely exciting, showing and transponder codes, including ogy to help cut airport weather- AIMEE performed extremely well, being able to interpret and re- related delays. including being able to identify air- spond to the “read back” from the We installed 18 ultra-high-defi- craft in poor weather conditions pilot over the radio. nition 4K cameras on the tower at and in darkness, when the 4K cam- It’s that ability to interpret am- Heathrow and additional 4K cam- eras were shown to perform better biguity, which might include the eras at exit points on the airport’s than the human eye. use of non-standard phraseology northern runway. The images from So successful were the initial or accented English (something those cameras were then fed live trials that we hope to be able to ex- humans are so good at), that has al- into Searidge’s AI platform, known tend the work to include more var- ways been the real technical hurdle as AIMEE. ied weather conditions, giving to the idea taking off, but the When trained on enough data, further opportunities to refine the unique nature of AI and machine AIMEE can identify the exact mo- model and test whether the solu- learning means the results of our ment when an aircraft has safely tion would work in full CAT II/III low non-operational trials have been left the runway and to then notify visibility conditions. If AIMEE per- very encouraging. the air traffic controllers. Our intent forms as well as expected, it will AIMEE was asked to interpret was to prove that when a tower like prove an enormous benefit given the pilot request, check the details Heathrow’s disappears into low the impact Low Visibility Proce- against the existing flight strip sys- cloud despite the taxiway and run- dures (LVPs) have on operations at tem and then respond to the pilot ways remaining clear – known as airports around the world. with the appropriate clearance or “VIS 2 conditions” – AIMEE could To give another example, auto- request for clarification. Obviously, inform the controllers that the run- mated voice clearances are some- this is a long way off being ready to way was free for the next arrival, thing that the industry has dabbled deploy, but our analysis shows that something that would help recoup with in the past, but the technical with the provision of enough train- the landing capacity that is lost in hurdles have always seemed insur- ing data, AIMEE performed very these circumstances. mountable. Not only must a system well when monitoring real pilot Not only would this reduce de- be able to issue the clearance safely RT transmissions. lays for the airlines and their pas- and correctly, but it would also If the work continues towards sengers, but it would also ensure need to be able to understand the achieving something that is one safety is maintained and reduce the pilot’s response and act appropri- day operationally deployable, it monitoring workload on the con- ately. could be possible to automate trollers. This would free them up to Again, here machine learning some of the more routine tasks make other key decisions, whether and artificial intelligence could pro- controllers undertake, helping re- that’s in support of capacity growth, vide the key. Using AIMEE, we have duce their workload and again, resilience, safety or efficiency. been experimenting as part of a leave them free to concentrate on During our trials, AIMEE contin- non-operational trial, by training the things where their skills and ually monitored arrivals on Runway the system to successfully monitor training are best employed. ECAC NEWS #74 13
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS I Artificial intelligence and the next generation of airport air traffic management These are two radical applica- One thing that was very clear is digital tower applications freeing tions, and while they are not ready that despite the pandemic, we remain people of routine tasks and allow- for operational deployment, to me in an era of accelerating change, ing them to concentrate on deci- it is the combination of the digital with pressure to increase the rate at sion-making and performance. ■ tower technology and artificial in- which new systems can be intro- telligence that is the real potential duced safely. Technology is going Find out more at game changer in terms of airport to play a huge part in the future of www.nats.aero/digital-towers performance. ATM, with AI machine learning and Most digital towers around the world today have been put up to replicate the view of the airfield and relocate the controllers. That’s an application that suits some smaller airports, but it’s not going to be how we really unlock the full operational and business benefits. We’ve been on a mission to rethink how digital towers can be deployed in order to tackle specific challenges, and have distilled that thinking into five opera- tional concepts, or what we call “models”. All are MODEL 1 Digital Tower in Tower built on the same software platform, making A tower within a tower for operating a small airfield them compatible with the kinds of future AI- remotely from inside the tower of another “parent” enabled applications like those I have outlined. airport. MODEL 2 Remote Digital Tower MODEL 3 Remote Digital Tower+ A fully digital control tower for a single runway airport, A fully digital tower for more complex, mid-sized which can be either on or off-site. airports, which can be operated within the airport or from another site. MODEL 4 Hybrid Digital Tower MODEL 5 Hub Digital Tower A hybrid digitised tower, ideal for upgrading an ex- A fully digital tower, perfect for replacing a physical isting physical tower at a larger airport. tower at a major, multi-runway, multi-terminal airport, or for creating an equally capable contingency. With nearly 30 years of experience in the air traffic management industry, Andy Taylor has led, developed and delivered innovative ATC solutions for global customers to increase airport capacity and operational performance. As chief solutions officer, Andy works across both NATS and Searidge Technologies. He is responsible for the joint development of the partnership’s digital tower capabilities and delivery models. Andy is currently leading the NATS/Searidge deployment of the world’s largest digital tower programme at Singapore’s Changi Airport, together with establishing a network of digital tower laboratories. 14 ECAC NEWS #74
AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT AND AIRPORTS Schiphol as a tech company Floris Hoogenboom Sebastiaan Grasdijk Bas Cloin Martijn Schouten Head of Artificial Lead Data Scientist Lead Data Scientist Product Manager Intelligence Schiphol is quickly becoming Europe’s leading digital airport. In managing an airport that size, predictability and insights play a key role. From optimising our passenger experience, minimising our environmental footprint to just running our day-to-day operations. To achieve this, Schiphol is building a solid data foundation that feeds many of its cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. D ata and AI are a foundational part of transforming from a tra- residents informed on the number of flights they can expect over- head, we developed a mobile ap- coast, Schiphol’s runway system is designed to deal with many differ- ditional airport into a tech com- ent weather conditions. This means pany. This involves transforming plication called Notifly. This app that the number of flights on a cer- the way we store and process data, shows the predicted number of tain route may differ depending on but even more importantly how we flights per hour in the next 24 hours a lot of complex factors. To predict act on the insights we develop. based on the user’s location. This this number of flights, a machine Schiphol is moving from using AI as allows residents to factor in the ex- learning model is trained on a year a tool to develop insight, towards pected nuisance while planning of historic data. During training, the using AI as a decision-support tool. their activities. model learns the complex depen- Ultimately, our goal is to put AI first The reason why an app like No- dency of the number of flights on in a lot of our processes, striving to- tifly is especially interesting for an multiple factors, including weather wards total airport management airport like Schiphol has to do with information (e.g. wind direction and even autonomy. In this article, the runway configuration. Due to and speed), the flight schedule and we will take you through a few of its location on flat terrain near the generic seasonal effects. the use cases Schiphol is working on and explain how these fit into a larger vision of AI as a transforma- tional power in how Schiphol is run. Notifly Schiphol Airport, the oldest air- port worldwide still at its origi- nal founding place, is situated in a part of the Netherlands crowded with businesses but also with resi- dents. Although we try to minimise nuisance for residents, people liv- ing close to flight paths experience aircraft noise every day. To keep Screenshots of predictions in Notifly app ECAC NEWS #74 15
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