Optimism Index March 2021 Pandemic Analysis - Trajectory ...

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Optimism Index March 2021 Pandemic Analysis - Trajectory ...
Optimism Index
  March 2021

Pandemic Analysis
Optimism Index March 2021 Pandemic Analysis - Trajectory ...
Sample Information and Methodology
•   Every month, Trajectory survey a nationally representative sample of 1500 respondents on a variety of issues,
    including consumer confidence, personal choice and control, social trust, opportunities in technology,
    optimism and their place in the world.

•   Due to current circumstances surrounding the Coronavirus pandemic, additional questions have been
    added in recent months examining both the current climate in general as well as the impact that the
    pandemic is having on certain views in relation to finances, confidence and spending, amongst others.

•   All surveys were carried out online, with fieldwork this month taking place between 10th and 16th March.
Optimism Index March 2021 Pandemic Analysis - Trajectory ...
Key Findings
•   Financial concerns lessened amongst consumers as reopening of the economy looms

•   Enthusiasm for employment expectations dampened slightly as majority remain under lockdown

•   Recent take-up of price conscious behaviours falls to the wayside as consumers anticipate reopening

•   Continued success of the vaccine rollout drives subtle rise in covid-related cynicism

•   Younger consumers remain far more cynical about the pandemic than older generations

•   Consumers continue to slowly shift priorities away from public health and towards the reopening of economy

•   More than half of Gen Z now feel they will be the generation most negatively impacted by the pandemic
Optimism Index March 2021 Pandemic Analysis - Trajectory ...
Last Month’s Key Events

                                                                                                                                                                                         After some countries say
Imperial College London                                                                          Research finds that      Business Secretary Kwasi             Prime Minister Boris        they hope to welcome
 research indicates that                                                                     lockdown has created six      Kwarteng confirms the             Johnson reiterates the        British tourists from mid-
  COVID-19 infections in          Boris Johnson unveils        The UK's COVID alert              million unintentional      furlough scheme and                                          May, Transport Secretary            Met Police are
                                                                                                                                                           gov ernment's stance on
 England have fallen by         roadmap to recov ery in     lev el is lowered from fiv e       sav ers in the UK among     VAT relief for hospitality                                    Grant Shapps tells people criticised for handling
                                                                                                                                                            the 1% pay rise for NHS
two-thirds since January,      England, aiming to end all     to four as the threat of         people who have kept        businesses will continue                                       it is still too early to think of cancellation of v igil
                                                                                                                                                           staff, describing it as "as
   with an 80% drop in             restrictions on social    the v irus ov erwhelming            their jobs but have           "while lockdown             much as we can" afford         about booking summer            for Sarah Ev erard in
         London                   contact by 21st June        the NHS has "receded"              reduced spending                  persists".                   in "tough times".              holidays abroad.           Clapham Common

                     20th February               23rd February                  26th February                      1st March                   3rd March                                                       12th March
                                                                                                                                                                                  9th March                                               15th March

    18TH February                    22nd February               25th February                     28th February                 2nd March                        7th March                     10th March                    13th March

                      Boris Johnson          Nicola Sturgeon unveils         Vaccine priority list for     PHE data indicates a          Chancellor Rishi Sunak             Professor Chris Whitty             The R number is         The World Health
                  announces plans to         roadmap for Scotland.          under 50s announced,           single shot of Astra or    deliv ers his second budget           warns that reopening              estimated to be        Organization (WHO)
                 offer ev ery adult in the        Boris Johnson            with no special priorities     Pfizer reduces need for     in which he announces a 6              society too quickly             between 0.6 and            says there is no
                 UK a first v accine dose    announces review into         for occupations such as         hospital treatment in      month extension of univ ersal            could lead to a             0.8, and at its lowest    ev idence linking the
                        by 31st July           v accine passports              teachers or police          older adults by more         credit top up, increased           substantial surge in the          since recording of      Oxford–AstraZeneca
                                                                                    officers                      than 80%            corporation tax from 2023, 3           number of COVID                the figure began in     v accine to blood clots
                                                                                                                                          month extensions for                      cases                         May 2020              after sev eral EU
                                                                                                                                        business rate and stamp                                                                     countries pause use of
                                                                                                                                             duty holidays                                                                                 v accine

                                                                                                                                                                                                    Fieldwork: 10th – 16th March
Financial Implications
Movements towards reopening of economy dampen financial concerns
                          - This month sees slight decline in those feeling their job is more insecure than pre-pandemic (28% to 26%) as well as a second consecutive
                                                    month with below average concerns over the impacts of the pandemic on respondents household finances (43%)
                                    - In anticipation of the reopening of the hospitality sector we see a slight decline in those feeling they are saving more than usual

                                                  Statements related to financial impacts of Coronavirus - % Total Agreement

                                                                     Total (May 20 - Mar 21)                 Feb-21              Mar-21
     50%                                                                                                                                                            47%
     45%                                                                                                                                                                     43%     43%
                                                                                                  40%
     40%                                                                                                   37%                 37%
                                                                                          36%                                           37%     36%
                                                       35%     35%
     35%                                                               34%

     30%                  28%
                  27%
                                   26%
     25%

     20%

     15%

     10%

      5%

      0%
            My job is more insecure than it was   My/our household income is lower   I'm saving more than I usually do   I have less disposable income than I   I am worried about the financial
              before the pandemic started         than it was before the pandemic                                          did before the pandemic started      impacts of the pandemic on my
                                                               started                                                                                                household income

Optimism I ndex May 20 – March 21
Men and older consumers remain less concerned over finances
                                - Baby Boomers and Silent Generation significantly less worried about impacts of pandemic on their finances than younger generations
                                  - Gen Z see a slight decline in such concerns this month alongside Baby Boomers, whilst Gen Y and Silent Generation see an incr ease
                                                    - Both men and women remained concerned to the same degree this month, with men still less worried than women

                                         I am worried about the financial impacts of the pandemic on my household income
                                                                        - % Total Agreement
                                                          Total (May 20 - Mar 21)                  Feb-21                           Mar-21
       70%

       60%                                                                                        58%
                                                                                     55%                              55%
                                                                                                                53%
                                                                              51%           52%          51%                 51%    51%
                                        49%
       50%       47%
                                              46%   46%
                                                            44%
                       43%     43%
                                                                  40%   40%
       40%                                                                                                                                   36%
                                                                                                                                                   32%
                                                                                                                                                         30%
       30%
                                                                                                                                                                22%
                                                                                                                                                                            21%
       20%
                                                                                                                                                                      14%

       10%

         0%
                       Total              Women                   Men               Gen Z               Gen Y               Gen X            Baby Boomers      Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex May 20 – March 21
Women and Gen Z primary drivers of increased job security
                                  - Whilst women see a 5% decline in feelings that their job is more insecure than pre-pandemic, men see a 1% increase this month
                  - Sharp rise in feelings of insecurity for Gen Z last month have reverted back to average levels, with just over a third feelin g such concerns (35%)
                                           - Gen X also see a significant decline in feelings of job insecurity this month (33% to 27%), whilst Gen Y saw a 4% increase

                                    My job is more insecure than it was before the pandemic started - % Total Agreement
                                                      Total (May 20 - Mar 21)                       Feb-21                       Mar-21

       60%

                                                                                       51%
       50%

                                                                                                                  41%
                                                                                                    40%
       40%                                                                      36%                        37%
                                                                                              35%
                                                                                                                        33%    33%

                                          29%             29%
       30%      27%
                      28%                                       27%   28%
                                                                                                                                      27%
                              26%   25%
                                                24%

       20%
                                                                                                                                            14%   14%   14%

       10%
                                                                                                                                                                     5%
                                                                                                                                                                4%        3%

        0%
                      Total           Women                     Men                   Gen Z               Gen Y               Gen X         Baby Boomers      Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex May 20 – March 21
Continued lockdown restrictions slightly dampen employment enthusiasm
             - Proportion expecting to be in workplace next month down 2% from 59% to 57%, although this is still far higher than proportion currently in workplace
         - This month also sees a decline in the proportion expecting to be on furlough, with an increase in expectations for working at home and unemployment

                                        Pre Lockdown Work           Current Work – March 2021            Expected Work May 2021

                                                                        Currently in workplace: 46%

                                                                                                          Expect to be in workplace: 57%     Down 2% from last month

                                           Were in workplace: 75%
           Amongst
       Economically Active

                                                                      Currently working at home: 35%

                                                                                                        Expect to be working at home: 31%    Up 2% from last month

                                        Were working at home: 17%
                                                                            Currently on furlough: 8%
                                                                                                              Expect to be on furlough: 3%   Down 3% from last month

                                                                          Currently unemployed: 11%          Expect to be unemployed: 9%     Up 2% from last month
                                             Were unemployed: 8%

Optimism I ndex March 2021
Expectations for employment in longer term remain more optimistic
                                          - For a third consecutive month, just under three quarters (70%) expect to be back in the workplace by this time next year
                       - Worth noting is that just under a quarter (24%) still expect to be working remotely, whilst just one in twenty expect to be u nemployed (5%)

                                        Pre Lockdown Work           Current Work – March 2021           Expected Work March 2022

                                                                         Currently in workplace: 46%

                                                                                                           Expect to be in workplace: 70%     No change from last month
                                           Were in workplace: 75%
           Amongst
       Economically Active

                                                                       Currently working at home: 35%

                                                                                                        Expect to be working at home: 24%     Up 1% from last month
                                        Were working at home: 17%
                                                                            Currently on furlough: 8%

                                                                                                               Expect to be on furlough: 1%   Down 2% from last month
                                             Were unemployed: 8%
                                                                          Currently unemployed: 11%
                                                                                                              Expect to be unemployed: 5%     No change from last month
Optimism I ndex March 2021
Impacts on Shopping Habits
Price conscious behaviours fall to wayside in anticipation of reopening
                                           - Alongside a decline in net saving expectations this month, behaviours such as using cheaper supermarkets where possible (27% to 25%),
                                            shopping around for groceries (28% to 23%) and using the internet to compare prices (27% to 24%) have seen a decline in recent take-up
        - Consumers have also seen a decline in recent take-up with local independent businesses this month, perhaps driven by dampened concerns over visiting larger supermarkets

                             Below are a list of shopping activities. Please select all activities which you have started doing recently

                                                                 Total (Apr 20 - Mar 21)                           Feb-21                        Mar-21

     40%                                                                                                                                                                                     37%
                                                                                                                                                                                       36%
     35%                                                                                                                                                       33% 33%
                                                                                                                                                                                                   32%
                                                                                                                                                                          30%
     30%                                                                                       27%                     28%                    27%
                                                                                                                                        26%
                                                                                         25%                     24%                                25%
                                                                                                     24%
     25%                                                                                                                     23%
                                               21%                      21%
                     20%                19%                       20%         19%
     20%                                             19%
               17%         17%

     15%

     10%

      5%

      0%
            I use internet auction   I actively look out for,    I switch my energy    I use the internet to    I shop around for        I use cheaper       I'm shopping locally   I'm shopping at smaller
               sites such as Ebay     collect and redeem            suppliers when       compare prices        groceries to get the   supermarkets where I      wherever I can          or independent
                                          loyalty points        necessary to get the                                best deals                 can                                    businesses wherever I
                                                                      best deals                                                                                                              can

Optimism I ndex April 20 – March 21
Pent-up demand dampened with roadmap less fresh in consumers minds
                         - Pent up demand for the most popular activities such as holidays (50% to 48%) and restaurants (41% to 40%) has fallen slightly compared to February
                                               - Worth noting however is that demand for both activities still remains higher than during the first lockdown at this time last year
           - Demand for pubs is both lower compared to last month as well as this time last year, suggesting a reopening of such venues mi ght not stimulate as much of a boost

                               Which of the paid for out of home leisure activities below are you most looking forward to doing when
                                            social distancing restrictions are lifted? [Respondents select up to three activities]

                                                                  Pandemic Average (Apr 20 - Mar 21)                                  Feb-21                  Mar-21
    60%

                   50%
    50%                  48%
             46%

                                     41%
                                           40%
    40%                        38%

                                                  29%
    30%
                                                        25% 26%      24% 25%
                                                                               22%
                                                                                      20% 20% 20%
    20%                                                                                                16% 16%
                                                                                                                               18%
                                                                                                                 15%     15%         15%
                                                                                                                                           13% 12% 12%
                                                                                                                                                            11% 12% 11%
                                                                                                                                                                               9% 8% 8%           9% 10% 10%
    10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4% 5% 4%

     0%
           Going on holiday    Going to a        Going shopping     Going to a pub   Going to a café   Going to the      Going to a live Going to a salon, Going to the gym   Going to a bar    Going to a paid-    Going to a
                               restaurant                                                                cinema          event (e.g. a    spa or similar                                       for cultural space   nightclub
                                                                                                                       football match or                                                        (e.g. museum or
                                                                                                                          a concert)                                                               art gallery)

Optimism I ndex April 20 – March 21
Social Implications
Continued vaccine rollout drives subtle rise in covid cynicism
                                - Just under a fifth believe coronavirus has been overhyped (17% to 19%), with 23% feeling life will return to normal within a few months
                                          - Such cynicism has been paralleled by a decline in the proportion feeling worried about visiting public spaces (57% to 53%)
                                                - Proportion doing what they think is right for themselves regardless of impact on others rose from 27% to 33% this month

                                                 Statements related to social impacts of Coronavirus - % Total Agreement
                                                                      Total (May 20 - Mar 21)                      Feb-21                 Mar-21
   100%

     90%
                                                                                                                                                       80% 79% 81%                       81% 79% 80%
     80%

     70%

     60%                                                                                                             57% 57%
                                                                                                                                    53%
     50%

     40%
                                                                                  31%             33%
     30%                                                                                  27%
                                                21% 20%        23%
                18% 17% 19%
     20%

     10%

      0%
            I think coronavirus has been    I expect life to be like it was I will do what I think is right for I’m worried about v isiting public The only way to beat the virus is My main priority is making sure
                      overhyped            before the pandemic within a me, regardless of how it might spaces, like shops, restaurants or                 to work together           that I and my family are safe at
                                                    few months                        impact others                           pubs                                                               this time

Optimism I ndex May 20 – March 21
Gen Z the primary drivers behind rise in covid cynicism
                                                              - Proportion of Gen Z feeling that Coronavirus has been overhyped rose by 10% this month (22% to 32%)
                                           - Such a rise in cynicism was not echoed amongst other generations, despite a slight increase amongst older age groups
                                    - Men slightly more likely than women to have grown more cynical towards the pandemic, with a 3% rise compared to a 1% rise

                                                      I think Coronavirus has been overhyped - % Total Agreement

                                                      Total (May 20 - Mar 21)                   Feb-21                Mar-21
       45%

       40%

       35%                                                                              32%

       30%                                                                28%                 29% 28% 28%

       25%                                                                       22%
                                                       21%         22%
                              19%                            19%                                            19% 19% 20%
       20%      18%
                      17%                       16%
                                    15%
                                          15%
       15%
                                                                                                                               9%
       10%                                                                                                                          7%
                                                                                                                                         9%
                                                                                                                                                          7%
                                                                                                                                                6%
                                                                                                                                                     4%
        5%

        0%
                      Total           Women                  Men                Gen Z           Gen Y         Gen X            Baby Boomers   Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex May 20 – March 21
Older generations drive decline in concerns over visiting public spaces
        - Whilst at a topline level, concerns over visiting public spaces fell by only 4%, this was more than tripled amongst the Silent Generation (70% to 57%) and
                                      more than doubled amongst Baby Boomers this month (64% to 57%), whilst younger generations saw little change in concerns
             - Men are slightly more likely to have experienced a decline in concerns this month, with total agreement falling by 6% compared to 3% for women

                                 I’m worried about visiting public spaces like shops, restaurants and pubs - % Total Agreement
                                                        Total (May 20 - Mar 21)                 Feb-21                       Mar-21
      80%
                                                                                                                                                                  70%
      70%
                                                                                                                                              64%           64%
                                                                                                                                        61%
                                      59%                                                                                  59%
      60%      57% 57%                      58%                   57%                                               57%                             57%                 57%
                                                  55%       54%                                 53%
                           53%                                                                                                    53%
                                                                        51%                                   51%
      50%                                                                         45% 46% 46%
                                                                                                       47%

      40%

      30%

      20%

      10%

       0%
                   Total                Women                     Men                Gen Z            Gen Y               Gen X         Baby Boomers      Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex May 20 – March 21
Government Priorities
Men causing slight rise in sense of Government accountability
                    - A 0.1 point decline in average scores this month sees consumers grow very slightly more likely to feel the Government should be providing for
                                                        everybody, with this being primarily driven by men (6.4 to 6.1) as opposed to women (no change this month)
                                             - Lack of consensus amongst generations, with Gen Z, Gen X and Silent Generation seeing average scores decline most

                            On a scale from 1 to 10, please indicate to what extent you feel it is the Government’s responsibility to
                                                    ensure everybody is provided for [Average Response]

                                                 Total (Apr 20 - Mar 21)                       Feb-21                     Mar-21                               People should take
                                                                                                                                                               more responsibility
                                                                                                                                                                 to provide for
      7.0
                                                     6.4                                                      6.4                                                 themselves
                                                                        6.3          6.3 6.2                                                     6.4
              6.1 6.2 6.1       6.1 6.1 6.1    6.2         6.1   6.0           6.1           6.1        6.1                6.0 6.0 6.1     6.1         6.1
                                                                                                                    5.9
      6.0

      5.0

      4.0

      3.0

      2.0

      1.0                                                                                                                                                      The government should
                                                                                                                                                              take more responsibility
                                                                                                                                                             to ensure that everyone is
      0.0                                                                                                                                                           provided for
                 Total            Women              Men               Gen Z           Gen Y              Gen X           Baby Boomers   Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex April 20 – March 21
Gen X key source of topline reduction in focus on domestic issues
                                    - A 0.1 point fall overall sees consumers grow slightly less likely to feel the Government should focus on solving issues withi n the UK
             - This trend is driven by Gen X (6.9 to 6.6) and men (6.8 to 6.7), whilst other generations as well as women have either seen a verage scores stagnate or
                                        increase this month, implying a feeling that greater focus should be placed upon domestic issues as opposed to world poverty

                            On a scale from 1 to 10, please indicate what you feel the top priority for the UK Government should be
                                                                      [Average Response]
                                                                                                                                                               The top priority
                                                   Total (Apr 20 - Mar 21)                    Feb-21                     Mar-21                               should be solving
                                                                                                                                                              my own country’s
      8.0                                                                                                                                                        problems
                                                                                                       7.2                7.2 7.2 7.2     7.1
                                                 6.9 6.8                                                                                              7.0
              6.9 6.8 6.7       6.8 6.7 6.8                                                                  6.9                                6.8
      7.0                                                  6.7                     6.6 6.5                         6.6
                                                                                           6.4
                                                                             6.2
                                                                  5.9 6.0
      6.0

      5.0

      4.0

      3.0

      2.0

      1.0
                                                                                                                                                            The top priority should be
                                                                                                                                                             reducing poverty in the
      0.0                                                                                                                                                             world
                 Total            Women             Men              Gen Z            Gen Y              Gen X           Baby Boomers   Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex April 20 – March 21
Slight rise in sense of new seriousness in spite of vaccine successes
                                   - Average scores across sample as a whole fell by 0.2 this month, indicating a slight shift towards a greater sense of new seriousness
                                          - This trend is dominated by Gen Y, Gen X and the Silent Generation, whilst Gen Z and Baby Boomers saw little to no change
                                   - Men and women saw the same 0.2 point fall this month, with men remaining slightly less likely to adopt a sense of new seriousness

                                  On a scale from 1 to 10, please indicate to what extent you feel people take life too seriously
                                                                       [Average Response]
                                                                                                                                                                People take life too
                                                     Total (Apr 20 - Mar 21)                     Feb-21                     Mar-21                                seriously at the
                                                                                                                                                                     moment
    7.0
                                                                              6.1         6.1
                                                                   6.0 5.9          5.9
    6.0                                                                                         5.7             5.7
             5.4
                    5.5                5.4         5.5 5.6 5.4                                            5.4
                           5.3   5.2         5.2                                                                      5.2
                                                                                                                                                   5.1
    5.0                                                                                                                      4.8 4.9 4.8     4.8
                                                                                                                                                         4.6

    4.0

    3.0

    2.0

    1.0
                                                                                                                                                                People focus too much
                                                                                                                                                               on things that don’t really
    0.0                                                                                                                                                           matter; trivial things
                   Total           Women              Men             Gen Z           Gen Y                 Gen X           Baby Boomers   Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex April 20 – March 21
Vaccine progress sees consumers place more emphasis on economy
                               - Proportion feeling the economic consequences of lockdown are a bigger concern than health risks up 4% this month (28% to 32%)
      - This trend has been heavily influenced by older generations this month, with Gen X and Baby Boomers seeing an 8% decline in those prioritising health over
                                                                                       the economy, whilst the Silent Generation saw this proportion decline by 7%

                        If you had to choose, which of the following two options would you say is your biggest concern at the moment?

                                                   The economic consequences of measures taken to limit the spread of the virus
                                                   The health risks associated with the pandemic
  100%

                                                                                                                                                                                 20%
                                                                                                                                               21%
   90%

                                                                                                                                                                     26%

                                                                                                                                                                                                27%
                                                                                                               27%

                                                                                                                                  28%
                       28%

                                                                                                                                                           30%
                                                              30%
             31%

                                          32%
                                32%

                                                                        33%

                                                                                           33%

                                                                                                     34%

                                                                                                                        36%
                                                                                  36%
                                                     37%
   80%
   70%
   60%
   50%

                                                                                                                                                                                 80%
                                                                                                                                               79%
   40%

                                                                                                                                                                     74%

                                                                                                                                                                                                73%
                                                                                                               73%

                                                                                                                                  72%
                       72%

                                                                                                                                                           71%
                                                              70%
             69%

                                          69%
                                68%

                                                                        67%

                                                                                           67%

                                                                                                     66%

                                                                                                                        65%
                                                                                  64%
                                                     63%

   30%
   20%
   10%
    0%
           Average    Feb-21   Mar-21   Average     Feb-21   Mar-21   Average    Feb-21   Mar-21   Average    Feb-21   Mar-21   Average       Feb-21      Mar-21   Average      Feb-21         Mar-21
           Aug 20 -                     Aug 20 -                      Aug 20 -                     Aug 20 -                     Aug 20 -                           Aug 20 -
            Mar 21                       Mar 21                        Mar 21                       Mar 21                       Mar 21                             Mar 21
                      Total                         Gen Z                        Gen Y                        Gen X                        Baby Boomers                    Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex August 20 – March 21
Public health priorities continue to decline in importance
                             - Proportion feeling a Government priority should be expanding testing capacity down 7% this month, and down 13% compared to pandemic average
                     - In a similar vein, the proportion feeling a priority should be safeguarding the elderly and vulnerable fell a further 2% this month as a result of vaccine rollout
               - Priorities that have remained as important this month relate primarily to the economy, such as reopening businesses, protecting jobs and encouraging spending

                                   Which, if any, of the following do you think should be priorities for the government over the next few months?

                                                                                 Total (Aug 20 - Mar 21)                Feb-21             Mar-21
    80%

                                                                                                                                                                                                              68%
    70%                                                                                                                                                                                                          66%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    64%
                                                                                                                                                                                          62%63%63%
    60%                                                                                                                                                               57%
                                                                                                                 53%                               52%52%52%              51%
                                                                                                                                                                             49%
    50%                                                                                      46%45%                  46%
                                                                                                            43%                43%
                                                                      40%                41%
    40%                                                                  36%35%                                                     37%
                                                   31%30%                                                                               30%
                                28%28%29%                28%
    30%
                  19%
    20%     18%18%

    10%

     0%
             Encouraging         Ending social     Preventing asylum    Securing trade     Reopening the Getting all children Expanding the UK's Protecting people's Safeguarding the     Rolling out a      Ensuring the NHS
           people to go out   injustices in the UK seekers getting to deals with the EU    businesses and        back into     testing capacity jobs (e.g. extending    elderly and     vaccine as quickly   are prepared for
              and spend                                 the UK        and other countries activities that are school/Keeping                         the furlough       vulnerable         as possible       another wave of
                                                                                           currently closed    schools open                            scheme)                                                 Coronavirus

Optimism I ndex August 20 – March 21
Net importance rises for priorities relating to the economy
            - The difference between those saying each issue is their top priority minus those saying it is their lowest priority rose for issues relating to the economy,
                                                  such as encouraging spending (-20% to -17%), reopening businesses (2% to 8%) and protecting jobs (7% to 9%)
                                                         - Despite these trends, protecting the NHS remains the issue with by far the highest net importance (27%)

                                                                     If you had to choose, which of the following is your top priority and which is your lowest priority?

     45%                                                                                                               Net                         Top Priority                              Lowest Priority
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       33%
     35%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  30%

     25%
                                                                                                                                                                                    13%                                                                   12%
     15%                                  9%                9%                                                                   8%                  10%
                                                                                                                                                                  8%                                                           9%                10%                        9%         30%                27%
                                                                                            7%       7%                 6%                                                                       7%
                                                                         5%                                                                                                                                        4%
               2%                3%
      5%                                                                                                                                             2%               2%            8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                 1%                            5%                7%       9%                6%

      -5%                                                                -9%                -9%      -2%                -2%      -1%                                                                               -3%
                                 -17%     -15%              -18%                                                                                                                                                               -4%               -3%      -3%               -3%        -3%                -3%
              -20%                                                                                                                                              -6%                 -5%          -6%
                                                                                                     -9%                -7%                          -8%                                                           -7%
    -15%                                                                                                                         -10%
                                                                         -14%
                                                                                            -16%
    -25%      -22%
                                 -21%
                                          -24%
                                                            -27%
    -35%
                                 Mar-21

                                                            Mar-21

                                                                                            Mar-21

                                                                                                                        Mar-21

                                                                                                                                                      Mar-21

                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar-21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Mar-21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mar-21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mar-21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Mar-21
               Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                          Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                         Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                     Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                                                 Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                                                                                  Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                                                                                                                 Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Aug 20 - Mar 21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Aug 20 - Mar 21
            Encouraging people Preventing asylum          Ending social     Securing trade deals Getting all children                                           Reopening the                  Expanding the UK's             Protecting people's Safeguarding the                   Ensuring the NHS and
            to go out and spend seekers getting to the injustices in the UK with the EU and other     back into                                                 businesses and                  testing capacity             jobs (e.g. extending    elderly and                       care services are
                                         UK                                        countries      school/keeping                                               activities that are                                          the furlough scheme)     vulnerable                      prepared for another
                                                                                                   schools open                                                 currently closed                                                                                                     wave of Coronavirus

Optimism I ndex August 20 – March 21
Generational Impacts
More than half of Gen Z now feel they are worst affected generation
                                     - Proportion of Gen Z feeling that they are the generation that will be worst affected by the pandemic rose by 12% this month (46% to 58%)
                                          - Worth noting is that the proportion feeling Gen Z will be worst affected by the pandemic fell amongst all other generations this month
                                                        - Both Gen Y and Silent Generation grew more likely to feel their own generation will be worst affected by the pandemic

                                Which generation do you think will be most negatively affected by the coronavirus pandemic, all things considered?

                         Don’t know                                                                Silent Generation (aged 72+)                                 Baby Boomers (aged 55-71)
                         Generation X (aged 39-54)                                                 Generation Y / Millennials (aged 24-38)                      Generation Z (those aged 10-23)

  100%

                                                                              12% 8%
                                                       8%

                                                                                           12%

                                                                                                        9%

                                                                                                                 13%
                            14%

                                                                                                                                         14%
              15%

                                                                                                                             15%
                                          17%

                                                                                                                                                                                                 18%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            18%
                                                                                                                                                  18%

                                                                                                                                                              18%

                                                                                                                                                                                                              20%
   90%

                                                                                                                                                                          20%
                                                                   14%

                                                                                                                                                                                     21%
                                                                                                        13%
                                                       16%

                                                                                                                 12%
                                                                                           16%
   80%
                            15%

                                                                                                                                         16%
                                                                   13% 10%
                                          15%

                                                                                                                             21%
              21%

                                                                                                                                                  16%

                                                                                                                                                                                                              16%
                                                                                                                                                                          16%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            21%
                                                                                                                                                                                     16%
                                                                              9% 9%
                                                       11% 9%

   70%

                                                                                                                                                              25%
                                                                                           9% 8%

                                                                                                        10%

                                                                                                                 7%
                            11% 9%

                                                                                                                                                                                                 35%
                                          10% 8%

   60%

                                                                                                                             7%

                                                                                                                                                                                                              8%
              11% 10%

                                                                                                                                                                          15%

                                                                                                                                                                                     16%
                                                                                                                                         22%
                                                                   14%

                                                                                                                                                  23%
   50%

                                                                                                                                                              17%
                                                       16%

                                                                                                        29%

                                                                                                                             21%
                                                                                                                 35%

                                                                                                                                                                                                              20%
                            18%

                                          19%

   40%                                                                                     33%

                                                                                                                                                                          15%
                                                                                                                                         11%

                                                                                                                                                                                     14%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            23%
                                                                                                                                                  11%
              19%

                                                                                                                             12%
   30%

                                                                                                                                                              15%
                                                                              58%

                                                                                                                                                                                                 17%
                                                                   46%
                                                       41%

   20%
                            34%

                                                                                                                                                                                                              34%
                                                                                                                                         33%
                                                                                                        33%
                                          32%

                                                                                                                                                                          31%

                                                                                                                                                                                     30%
                                                                                                                                                  29%
                                                                                                                 28%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            25%
              24%

                                                                                                                             24%
                                                                                           22%

                                                                                                                                                              22%

                                                                                                                                                                                                 20%
   10%
    0%
           Total (Jun      Feb-21       Mar-21      Total (Jun    Feb-21     Mar-21     Total (Jun     Feb-21   Mar-21    Total (Jun    Feb-21   Mar-21    Total (Jun    Feb-21     Mar-21    Total (Jun    Feb-21         Mar-21
          20 - Mar 21)                             20 - Mar 21)                        20 - Mar 21)                      20 - Mar 21)                     20 - Mar 21)                       20 - Mar 21)
                           Total                                  Gen Z                                Gen Y                            Gen X                        Baby Boomers                      Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex June 20 – March 21
Uncertainty grows regarding which generation will most benefit from pandemic
                                - Amongst total sample, this month sees a 5% rise in those feeling unsure over which generation will be most positively impacted by the pandemic
                                                  - This degree of uncertainty remains far higher amongst older age groups, most notably Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation
                                            - Gen X see the greatest increase in uncertainty this month, with a 12% rise in those who don’t know which generation will benefit most

                                            Which generation do you think will be most positively affected by the coronavirus pandemic, all things considered?

                                 Don’t know                                                                                   Silent Generation (aged 72+)                                                    Baby Boomers (aged 55-71)
                                 Generation X (aged 39-54)                                                                    Generation Y / Millennials (aged 24-38)                                         Generation Z (those aged 10-23)

  100%

                                                                                          18%

                                                                                                     20%
   90%
                                                                              26%

                                                                                                                                   30%

                                                                                                                                                 31%
                                                                                                                 32%
                                     40%

   80%

                                                                                                                                                                              42%
              43%

                                                    45%

                                                                                                                                                                  46%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    48%
                                                                                          10% 14%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    50%
                                                                                                     10%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        51%
                                                                                                                                                                                                          53%
                                                                                                                                                                                         54%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        54%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  55%
   70%
                                                                              12% 8%

                                                                                                                                   13% 10% 9%

                                                                                                                                                 11% 11% 8%
                                                                                                                 12% 11% 7%
   60%                                                                                               15%
                                     11% 11% 12%
              14% 10% 10% 10%

                                                                                                                                                                              9% 11%
                                                                                          15%

   50%
                                                    10% 13% 10% 12% 11%

                                                                                                                                                                  9% 8%
                                                                              13%

                                                                                                     18%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    18%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12%
                                                                                                                                                                                                          12% 10%
                                                                                                                                                                                         12% 9% 11%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11%
   40%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    22%
                                                                                          18%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  25%
                                                                              18%

                                                                                                                                                                              15%
   30%
                                                                                                     15%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8% 7% 7% 14%
                                                                                                                                                                  15%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        15%
                                                                                                                 24%

                                                                                                                                   24%

                                                                                                                                                 26%
   20%
                                     13%

                                                                                                                                                                              13% 10%
                                                                                                                                                                  12% 10%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    13% 8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                          11% 9%
                                                                                          26%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10% 7%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  7%
                                                                              23%

                                                                                                     22%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7% 9%
   10%
                                                                                                                 15%

                                                                                                                                   14%
                                     13%
              13%

                                                                                                                                                 13%

                                                                                                                                                                                         9%
    0%
           Total (Jun              Feb-21          Mar-21                  Total (Jun    Feb-21     Mar-21    Total (Jun          Feb-21        Mar-21         Total (Jun    Feb-21     Mar-21         Total (Jun      Feb-21          Mar-21    Total (Jun       Feb-21         Mar-21
          20 - Mar 21)                                                    20 - Mar 21)                       20 - Mar 21)                                     20 - Mar 21)                            20 - Mar 21)                              20 - Mar 21)
                                    Total                                                Gen Z                                    Gen Y                                      Gen X                                  Baby Boomers                             Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex June 20 – March 21
Gen Z by far the most negative regarding impacts of pandemic for their generation
                                  - Net proportion feeling they will be best minus worst affected by the pandemic saw a 17% decline amongst Gen Z (-19% to -36%)
                                                  - This is more than three times higher than any other generation, with Gen X seeing the second lowest net positivity
                                     - Silent Generation remain the only cohort who are more likely to feel their generation will be best affected than worst affected

                          Which generation do you think will be most affected by the coronavirus pandemic, all things considered?
                                                         [Net % saying their own generation will be best minus worst affected]

                                                            Net                Best affected                  Worst affected

 35%                    26%                                         26%
           23%                               24%          24%                                                                                             22%                         25%
                                 22%
                                                                                                                                                                       18%
                                                                                15%          15%                                  14%         15%
                                                                                                      12%         12%
 15%
                                                                                                                                                                        3%            4%
                                                                                                                   -4%
 -5%                                         -9%          -5%        -9%        -6%          -7%     -10%                         -1%         -1%        -13%
          -18%         -19%
                                -36%
                                                                                                                 -17%            -15%        -16%                      -16%
-25%                                                                           -21%                                                                                                  -21%
                                                                                            -22%     -23%
                                                          -29%
                                            -33%                    -35%                                                                                 -35%
-45%      -41%
                       -46%

-65%                            -58%
       Total (Jun 20   Feb-21   Mar-21   Total (Jun 20   Feb-21    Mar-21   Total (Jun 20   Feb-21   Mar-21   Total (Jun 20      Feb-21      Mar-21   Total (Jun 20   Feb-21         Mar-21
         - Mar 21)                         - Mar 21)                          - Mar 21)                         - Mar 21)                               - Mar 21)

                       Gen Z                             Gen Y                              Gen X                             Baby Boomers                       Silent Generation

Optimism I ndex June 20 – March 21
Each month Trajectory survey 1500 adults in the UK on a range of issues
including consumer confidence, personal choice and control, social trust,
opportunities in technology, optimism and their place in the world.

This data is analysed and produces The Optimism Index. The data presented
here is a snapshot of the full data, which can be used for bespoke analyses on
request – including time-series analysis (from 2011 onwards) and global
comparisons.

Enquiries: info@trajectorypartnership.com

Trajectory
www.trajectorypartnership.com
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