Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...

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Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
In collaboration
with RMI and
PwC Netherlands

Powering Sustainable
Aviation Through
Consumer Demand:
The Clean Skies for Tomorrow
Sustainable Aviation Fuel
Certificate (SAFc) Framework
INSIGHT REPORT
JUNE 2021
Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
Images: Getty images, Pexels

Contents
Preface                                                                             3

Foreword                                                                            4

Executive summary                                                                   5

Introduction                                                                        7

1 The case for SAFc                                                                10

     1.1 SAF’s essential role in decarbonizing aviation                            11

     1.2 Corporate interest in addressing Scope 3 emissions                        13

     1.3 Potential emissions reduction accounting approaches                       14

2 The SAFc framework                                                               15

     2.1 The Energy Attribute Certificate model                                    16

     2.2 Catalysing SAF demand                                                     18

     2.3 Addressing shared responsibility for Scope 3 emissions                    18

3 SAFc functionality                                                               19

     3.1 The SAFc product                                                          20

     3.2 Accounting framework                                                      23

     3.3 SAFc traceability                                                         27

     3.4 Avoiding Scope 1 and Scope 3 double counting                              29

     3.5 Functioning within key regulatory frameworks                              29

Next steps                                                                         33

Conclusion                                                                         35

Appendixes                                                                         36

     Appendix A: Use cases                                                         36

     Appendix B: Example SAFc implementation                                       38

Contributors                                                                       39

Endnotes                                                                           40

This document is published by the World Economic
Forum as a contribution to a project, insight area
or interaction. The findings, interpretations and
conclusions expressed herein are a result of a
collaborative process facilitated and endorsed by
the World Economic Forum but whose results do
not necessarily represent the views of the World
Economic Forum, nor the entirety of its Members,
Partners or other stakeholders.

© 2021 World Economic Forum. All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced or
transmitted in any form or by any means, including
photocopying and recording, or by any information
storage and retrieval system.

                                                          Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   2
Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
June 2021   Powering Sustainable Aviation
            Through Consumer Demand:
            The Clean Skies for Tomorrow
            Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate
            (SAFc) Framework

            Preface

                                            Lucas N. Joppa                                          Ned Harvey
                                            Chief Environmental                                     Clean Skies for Tomorrow
                                            Officer, Microsoft                                      Coalition, RMI

            Businesses need new approaches to achieve                   need to get people in the same room. Delivering
            climate stability, and there is no time to hesitate.        time-sensitive essential goods, such as vaccines,
            According to the Intergovernmental Panel on                 requires aviation’s speed. As we recover from
            Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report 17, we have            COVID-19, it is critical that we can return to the
            until 2030 to make significant emissions reductions,        skies and do it sustainably.
            and by 2050 we must eliminate all carbon
            emissions. In the electricity sector, carbon-free           A challenge this big cannot be managed by any
            energy is within sight. Wind and solar are already          one group alone; it will take participation from all
            cost-competitive with conventional fossil fuel power.       concerned. Future government policy is critical but
            Harder-to-abate industries, such as aviation, face          considered insufficient without long-term durable
            economic and commercial barriers to reducing                demand. Corporate passenger and air cargo
            emissions. To address the challenge, Clean Skies            customers can step up to this challenge. We agree
            for Tomorrow’s Demand Signal working group                  with the World Resources Institute (WRI)’s A Time
            members have forged a promising solution.                   for Transformative Partnerships, published in 2020,
                                                                        which calls for fresh climate approaches and related
            This is the time for innovation. In the 1990s,              products. The Sustainable Aviation Fuel certificate
            power from wind and solar cost more than 10                 (SAFc) proposed in this white paper provides an
            times what it does today. Massive investments               example of that new approach and makes it easier
            in renewable energy technology, supported                   for businesses to participate.
            by new revenue streams (including the Energy
            Attribute Certificate), helped the industry to              The private sector can mobilize and help to lead
            grow exponentially. Corporate leadership                    the way. Other critical industries such as trucking,
            and financial ingenuity were a major factor in              shipping, steel, aluminium and cement face
            making renewable electricity competitive.                   similar challenges to air transport. SAFc provides
                                                                        a blueprint across sectors, equipping all players
            Corporate buyers can also stimulate the use of              along the supply chain to contribute actively to the
            renewable fuels for aviation. Flying is critical to our     solution. With the new SAFc, and future tools like it,
            economy. We have new options to communicate                 we can solve the issue of harder-to-abate emissions
            virtually, but to forge meaningful connections we           at an unprecedented speed.

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Foreword

                            Christoph Wolff
                                                                                        Joukje Janssen
                            Clean Skies for
                                                                                        Partner,
                            Tomorrow Coalition,
                                                                                        PwC Netherlands
                            World Economic Forum

Aviation already has the technology to address              corporate demand alone could cover over a third
carbon emissions in the form of sustainable                 of the price premium associated with reaching the
aviation fuel (SAF). But even without the economic          International Air Transport Association (IATA)’s 2025
disruption of the current COVID-19 pandemic,                global SAF volume target – as detailed in this report.
commercial airline market dynamics leave
limited ability for airlines to fully cover SAF’s price     The SAFc framework, and this report, is the product
premium. When aircraft operators are unable to              of generative ideation and refinement facilitated
carry the full cost of SAF, air transport customers         by the World Economic Forum, PwC Netherlands
and corporate travellers in particular have a               and RMI, with indispensable input from CST’s
key role and leadership opportunity in reducing             working group partners. It is also a testament
the environmental impact of their travel.                   to air transport’s benefits, demonstrating a clear
                                                            commitment from across aviation’s value chain
Instead of buying offsets, the SAFc framework               to continue enabling the social and economic
provides customers with the option to invest                benefits of the aviation sector while opening up new
directly into SAF and receive recognition for this          opportunities to accelerate its decarbonization.
purchase to prove Scope 3 carbon abatement. The
framework, outlined in this report, is the first of its     Future pilots will test the approach, and lessons
kind in the sector.                                         learned will be integrated into a finalized framework
                                                            with accompanying implementation guidance for
The World Economic Forum’s Clean Skies for                  release later this year. Already we see examples
Tomorrow (CST) “Demand Signal” working group                of successful SAF purchases piloting the SAFc
collaboratively developed the SAF certificate (SAFc)        system across CST’s broad coalition, including
concept as a workable solution for customers,               Alaska Airlines, American Airlines, Deloitte, DHL
enabling them to take ownership of their emissions          Global Forwarding, Microsoft, PwC, SkyNRG and
reduction goals. Corporations, other firms and              United Airlines, among others. Ultimately, SAFc also
individuals are able to purchase the SAFc to address        requires robust and transparent tracking, verification
aviation emissions from passengers and air cargo.           and governance – including through an issuing
                                                            body and registry – to provide assurance that the
The Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi)                 emissions claims are legitimate and claimed only by
recognizes SAF as an in-sector mitigation option            a single party.
for both aircraft operators and their customers.
Voluntary purchases can unlock new revenue                  As we continue to finalize this innovative
for SAF production, which will accelerate new               framework, we look forward to receiving
production capacity. This is especially needed              feedback and input from the CST community
during aviation’s recovery from the pandemic.               and beyond. Through collaborative innovation,
CST stakeholder input, including a strong                   consumer demand will be leveraged to power
representation from leading professional services           a more sustainable aviation industry.
and technology companies, suggests that

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Executive summary
                 As aviation – one of the world’s most
                 carbon-intensive industries – rebounds
                 following COVID-19, initiatives such as
                 SAFc can support a net-zero pathway.

                 Rapid decarbonization and energy-source                    reduction benefits so that the actual fuel can be
                 transitions are required in every industry to meet         delivered to the nearest airport and the climate
                 the challenge of climate change. Aviation is a             benefits can be claimed by the SAFc buyer. Firms
  percentage     carbon-intensive and “hard to abate” sector and            purchase SAFc, which provides a market-based
 of global CO2   accounts for ~3% of global CO2 emissions annually.         mechanism for managing their aviation-related
emissions from   Although air travel and its emissions declined             emissions and enables them to be recognized for
    aviation     precipitously during the COVID-19 pandemic,                their mitigation efforts. By covering SAF’s price
                 aviation traffic is expected to rebound over the           premium, the purchase of SAFc also addresses the
                 coming years and continue to grow in both traffic          aviation industry’s supply-and-demand impasse
                 and emissions as per industry estimates.1                  over scaling SAF. The concept was developed in
                                                                            collaboration with a wide variety of CST’s partners
                 As significant air transport users in terms of             and is building on their input.2
                 both people and cargo, corporations and other
                 organizations have a mutually beneficial role to play      This concept is now being tested by CST’s
                 in supporting aviation’s net-zero pathway, while           partners, including Alaska Airlines, American
                 also achieving their own direct and business-travel        Airlines, Deloitte, Deutsche Post DHL Group
                 emissions reduction targets. A mechanism to                (DPDHL), Microsoft and SkyNRG; the outcomes
                 achieve both of these ambitions at the same time           of the pilots will inform additional refinement and
                 is needed. The World Economic Forum’s Clean                finalization of the framework.
                 Skies for Tomorrow (CST) initiative has developed
                 the sustainable aviation fuel certificate (SAFc)           The SAFc framework is modelled on Energy
                 framework to meet this need.                               Attribute Certificates (EACs), a well-established
                                                                            virtual accounting instrument. This was key to
                 CST is a mechanism for leaders along the aviation          accelerating renewable electricity investment,
                 value chain to facilitate the industry’s transition to     when wind and solar energy costs significantly
                 net-zero emissions by mid-century, with a particular       outweighed those of fossil energy. EACs are
                 focus on scaling global production and the use of          instruments that allow firms to make reliable
                 sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). SAF is recognized as      renewable energy usage claims without the need to
                 the fastest, most viable in-sector decarbonization         produce their own electricity.
                 approach, but SAF is two to five times the price
                 of conventional jet fuel. Therefore, its widespread        SAFc functions as follows: fuel producers generate
                 adoption suffers from a “chicken-and-egg”                  eligible SAF from sustainable feedstocks, following
                 challenge, whereby SAF producers and consumers             standards such as those developed by the Carbon
                 are unable or unwilling to shoulder the initial costs      Offset and Reduction Scheme for International
                 of scaling production.                                     Aviation (CORSIA). They issue a defined amount
                                                                            of SAFc based on either fuel volume or overall
                 The SAFc framework is one potential solution to this       life-cycle emissions reductions. Producers can
                 challenge. SAFc is a novel accounting instrument           then sell the actual SAF volume as well as the
                 that decouples SAF fuel from its emissions                 virtual SAF certificates (SAFc) separately. In a

                                                                          Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   5
Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
FIGURE 1              The SAFc framework provides a verifiable emissions reduction value to SAF

                                   SAFc transaction pathway

SAFc facilitates customer
payment in exchange for                                                                                                              Scope 1
verified reductions of                                                                                                               emissions
emissions through SAF                                                                                                             reduction claim

Each volume of SAF would                                                 Aircraft
produce a Scope 1 claim                                                 operator
for an airline and a Scope
3 claim for the travel                                                                 $
customer, both being
systemically linked
                                                      SAF producer                                   Aviation customers
                                                                                                    (passenger + freight)
SAFc applies to both
passengers and freight
                                                                                                                                     Scope 3
                                                                                                                                     emissions
      Scope 1 virtual value           SAF feedstock                                                                               reduction claim
                                        supplier
      Scope 3 SAFc virtual value

                                   volumetric model, SAFc prices could factor in             volumes will need to meet defined stringent
                                   the overall premium of the associated SAF over            sustainability requirements. Once the SAF is
                                   fossil-based jet fuel after government incentives         certified as sustainable, it can be transacted and
                                   are incorporated, and in a life-cycle assessment          ownership transfer is tracked both physically and
                                   (LCA)-based model, SAFc prices would be                   virtually until claims are retired within a registry.
                                   based on overall LCA emissions reductions over
                                   a standardized baseline of fossil-based jet fuel.         The SAFc conceptual standard was designed
                                   SAF buyers/users such as aircraft operators can           to comply with existing and expected updated
                                   claim the direct (Scope 1) emissions reduction            standards and guidance from the Greenhouse
                                   value of SAF itself and the buyer of the SAFc,            Gas Protocol, the Science Based Targets initiative
                                   such as a corporation with business travel needs,         (SBTi) and the CORSIA; further development of
                                   can retire the certificate and claim the related          the framework will ensure compatibility with other
                                   indirect (Scope 3) emissions reductions. Customer         regional SAF regulations and policies, such as a
                                   payments help cover SAF price premiums and                European Union SAF blending mandate and US-
                                   unlock new SAF supply. To earn eligibility, SAFc          based Low Carbon Fuel Standards (LCFS).

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Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
Introduction
Decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors such
as aviation is a difficult task and requires
both a systemic approach and leadership
from across the value chain.

 Decarbonizing hard-to-abate industries such as             Two primary levers exist for breaking this “chicken-
 aviation is especially challenging and requires a          and-egg” challenge: government policy/regulatory
 holistic and systemic approach. The International          action and the willingness of firms to voluntarily
 Air Transport Association (IATA)’s industry                decarbonize their operations. Both levers are
decarbonization pathway has been building mainly            necessary and address different components;
on the significant operational fuel efficiencies            public investment and supportive policies alone
achieved from one generation of aircraft to the             are not long-term solutions, and a market-based
next. Both electric propulsion and hydrogen-based           solution is necessary to accelerate aviation’s
fuels will also play a role in the future post-2030,        decarbonization journey.
but each of these technologies has its limitations in
terms of scope and range and will not be available          A large part of the post-pandemic growth in
at scale until well into the 2030s. Given the available     demand for air transport will come from business
technologies, sustainable aviation fuels are the            travel and freight transportation. At the same time
only viable alternative in the near-medium term –           as their air travel needs are poised to increase,
and for long-haul flights, even in the longer term.3        many organizations are setting ambitious targets
Scaling SAF production necessitates overcoming              and strategies to reduce their greenhouse gas
a deadlock between supply and demand: SAF                   (GHG) emissions and achieve net-zero energy
costs will decline as production increases, but             goals. For many companies, aviation-related
because SAF producers lack guaranteed market                emissions represent the single largest source
signals, they remain unwilling or unable to invest in       or even the majority of their indirect (Scope 3)
increased production.                                       GHG emissions.

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Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
BOX 1      Understanding GHG emissions under the Greenhouse Gas Protocol (GHGP)

                  The GHGP defines direct and indirect emissions          –    Scope 1: all direct GHG emissions
                  as follows:
                                                                          –    Scope 2: indirect GHG emissions from
                  –   Direct emissions stem from sources owned                 consumption of purchased electricity,
                      or controlled by the reporting entity                    heat or steam

                  –   Indirect emissions are a consequence of the         –    Scope 3: other indirect emissions, such as the
                      activities of the reporting entity, but occur at         extraction and production of purchased materials
                      sources owned or controlled by another entity            and fuels, transport-related activities in vehicles
                                                                               not owned or controlled by the reporting entity,
                  The GHGP further categorizes these direct and                electricity-related activities (e.g. transmission and
                  indirect emissions into three broad scopes:                  distribution [T&D] losses) not covered in Scope
                                                                               2, outsourced activities, waste disposal, etc.

  FIGURE 2        GHG emission classifications under the GHGP

                              SF6                              N2O                               PFCS
              CO2                             CH4                               HFCS

                               Scope 2                Scope 1                 Scope 3
                                Indirect               Direct                  Indirect

                                                                                                            Employees’
                                                                                                            business
                                                                                                            travel

                                                                                                            Production of
                                                                                                            purchased
                                                                                                            materials

Consumption
of purchased                                                                                                Use of products
    electricity

        Fossil                                                                                              Purchased
          fuel                                                                                              activities

                                                                                                            Vehicles owned
                                                                                                            by contractors

                                                  Vehicles owned                                            Waste
                                                    by the firm                                             disposal

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Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand: The Clean Skies for Tomorrow Sustainable Aviation Fuel Certificate (SAFc) Framework ...
This situation presents sustainability leaders with         accounting protocols consider only direct emissions
                             a challenge. Whereas companies have proven                  from aviation fuel burn without incorporating more
                             ways to reduce their Scope 1 direct emissions and           accurate life-cycle emissions, which for SAF include
                             their Scope 2 emissions from purchased energy,              upstream reductions from biogenic feedstocks.
                             guidance on how to address indirect aviation-
                             related Scope 3 emissions should be improved.               In November 2020, the SBTi recognized SAF in
                             Established climate accounting frameworks such              draft guidance as an in-sector mitigation option for
                             as those from GHGP and CDP do not currently                 both aircraft operators and their customers. This
                             recognize ways to mitigate aviation emissions               presents an opportunity for a new SAF-focused
                             besides simply not flying. Although reduced                 solution that would help address both the aviation
                             travel is expected in the medium term due to the            sector’s need to scale SAF and firms’ desire to be
                             pandemic, air travel will continue so it requires a         credited for managing their aviation-related Scope 3
                             sustainable option. Moreover, existing corporate            emissions. CST has developed SAFc to fill that role.

          FIGURE 3           SAFc provides numerous climate benefits for stakeholders along the aviation value chain

                                          Aircraft operators

                                            – A solution for                – SAF prices decrease
                                              climate-conscious               through efficiencies and
                                              customers to cost-share         economies of scale
                                              SAF premiums

SAF producers
                                                                                                         Air transport customers
 – A standardized and uniform framework
   for virtual SAF transactions                                                                           – Transparent disclosures verifying social
                                                                                                            and environmental criteria
 – A new revenue stream from aviation
   customers to cover SAF’s price                                                                         – An emissions solution reportable as a
   premium                                                                                                  recognized mitigation action

 – Strong demand signals to increase                                                                      – Ability to compare and source
   market confidence, enabling new                                                                          lowest-emissions SAF
   production capacity investments

                                          Environmental NGOs

                                           – Verifiable and quantifiable   – Uniform reporting,
                                             decarbonization actions         feedstock transparency
                                                                             and emissions savings,
                                           – Emissions accounting            based on GHGP
                                             based on comprehensive          guidance
                                             life-cycle emissions

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1   The case for SAFc
    The SAFc framework is designed to speed
    the scaling of SAF by unlocking additional
    funding while ensuring the highest
    sustainability standards.

                           Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   10
CST developed the SAFc framework based on                    cross-sectoral community (detailed in Figure 4)
           several factors: SAF’s essential role in decarbonizing       developed the framework as a market-based
           aviation; corporate interest in addressing their             mechanism to not only drive faster SAF innovation
           Scope 3 emissions; and an evaluation of potential            and development but also ensure the highest levels
           emissions reduction accounting approaches.                   of sustainability standards required to successfully
                                                                        meet the challenge of climate change.
           Working within the dedicated “demand signal”
           workstream of the overarching CST initiative, the

FIGURE 4   Clean Skies for Tomorrow “demand signal” community

    1.1 SAF’s essential role in decarbonizing aviation

           SAF is produced from sustainable, renewable low-             3. Aviation value chain – at this time, SAF is the only
           carbon feedstocks such as used cooking oils, forestry           “in-sector” near-term climate solution, as hydrogen
           residues and municipal solid waste. When used to                and electric flying will develop at scale over the
           power aircraft, SAF can reduce the carbon intensity of          next decade and may not cover long haul.
           flying by up to 100% on a life-cycle basis, depending
           on the feedstock selection and technological pathway.        4. Co-benefits – the production of SAF introduces
           Several characteristics make SAF the most viable near-          significantly less sulphur and particulate matter
           term technology for decarbonizing aviation, including:          into the environment than the production of
                                                                           fossil-based jet fuel. In addition, SAF production
           1. Immediate action – according to findings from                creates new high-quality jobs.
              the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
              (IPCC), the most critical time to reduce emissions is     A critical barrier to faster scaling of SAF is its price,
              between now and 2030 if we are to keep warming            which is currently at least double that of fossil-
              well below 2˚C.4 Because SAF is compatible with           based jet fuel, but will come down, once economies
              existing aircraft and fuelling infrastructure, major      of scale kick in. The cost of feedstocks currently
              changes to aircraft and airports that would delay         exceeds the price for finished fossil-based jet fuel.
              broad sector use are not needed.                          Unlike fossil fuels, input feedstocks may require
                                                                        additional pre-processing before the material can be
           2. Scalability – SAF production can grow to cover            refined. Also contributing to SAF’s cost premium are
              10% of total jet fuel sales by 2030,5 based               higher transportation costs, requirements to blend
              on sustainable feedstock availability, if the             SAF with conventional jet fuel and fees to cover
              investment capital can be secured.                        additional safety testing.

                                                                      Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   11
FIGURE 5                SAFc enables a SAF-based in-sector emissions reduction market for Scope 3 emissions
                                  as a complement to the current CORSIA offsetting scheme

Corporate air travel carbon management today, according to CORSIA             Corporate air travel in-sector solution via SAFc

                                                                                                           Target market
                      Air transport corporate customers
                                                                                                          Creates demand

                                                     $
       Generic carbon offsets do
       not affect aviation industry
                                                                                                                                     Science Based
                                                           Fragmented           Pooled funding
                                                                                                                                         Targets
                                                             market of            accelerates
                                                                                                                                        Initiative
                                                           existing offset       aviation-based
                                                                                                                                       Seeks best
                                                             providers          carbon solution
                                                                                                                                         practice
        Offsets are option of last                                                                                                     recognition
       resort for Greenhouse Gas
           Protocol guidance

                            Existing offset projects                                               Corporation and airline action:
                                in other sectors:                                                  recognized approach generates
                           reforestation projects, wind                                               growing demand for SAFc
                             energy, landfill methane

                                  The aviation industry and fuel producers have been         CST analysis has confirmed findings from prior
                                  investing in SAF technologies and infrastructure           academic research that future SAF production
                                  for nearly 15 years, yet only two commercial SAF           efficiencies plus a carbon fee are necessary to
                                  plants are operational worldwide, producing less           enable SAF to reach price parity with fossil-based
                                  than 0.01% of jet fuel supply. Because the industry        jet fuel. Depending on the conversion technology
                                  is nascent, SAF producers are not yet able to              and region, these two factors are not likely to make
                                  benefit from efficiencies of scale or best practices       SAF competitive until at least 2040.6 Until price
                                  from existing production facilities, further limiting      parity is achieved, another mechanism for covering
                                  the ways to reduce production costs. Air transport         the price difference and catalysing the SAF market
                                  is a highly competitive industry with extremely low        is needed.
                                  margins; aircraft operators are generally not able to
                                  afford SAF and remain economically competitive.

                                                                                          Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand      12
1.2 Corporate interest in addressing
                          Scope 3 emissions

                                  The private sector has an important role to play in                  for an estimated 20–30% of commercial airline
                                  supporting SAF growth. As firms increasingly look                    operational costs, depending on the year. Although
                                  for solutions to address Scope 3 emissions in their                  the amount of corporate voluntary contributions
                                  supply chains, they have expressed willingness to                    may not be sufficient to cover the substitution of
                                  pay for the emissions reductions provided through                    SAF for all conventional jet fuel, it does indicate a
                                  SAF. As an anecdotal example, many of CST’s                          potential source of significant funding for SAFc,
                                  aviation-customer partners indicated that a 5–10%                    thereby breaking through the “chicken-and-egg”
                                  increase in airfare costs would be acceptable,                       challenge and kickstarting a virtuous cycle of
                                  provided they reflected a significant decrease in                    creating supply and economies of scale.
                                  emissions. Conventional fuel currently accounts

            FIGURE 6              Corporate willingness to pay around 5–10% of airfare costs towards mitigating emissions can
                                  support significant growth of SAF production7,8

                 Demand                                                                                        Supply

                                  $243 billion spent on                                                    1.9 million metric tonnes SAF
                                  business airfares annually                                               produced annually (assumes
                                  across all companiesa                                                    $1/litre SAF premium)

                                  SBTi companies represent                                                 19 SAF plants needed to meet
                                  17.5% of business airfareb                                               that annual production volumec

                                  $2.5 billion (willingness to
                                                                                                           1/3 of IATA’s 2025 SAF production
                                  pay) of SBTi companies’
                                                                                                           goal met (5.6 million tonnes)d
                                  airfare spend

Notes:
a
  Assumes 17% of global airfare is attributed to business travel and total business travel spending in 2019 was $1.43 trillion
b
  Assumes travel spending is proportional to equity valuation of ($15.4 trillion)
c
  Assumes 100,000 MT/facility
d
  Does not include SAF demand to cover air cargo. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) 2025 goal is for 2%
  of demand, or 7 billion litres, to be met through SAF

                                                                                                    Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   13
1.3 Potential emissions reduction
                  accounting approaches

   To operate        To operate effectively in support of the SAF market,      4. Energy Attribute Certificates (EACs): a
effectively in       the SAFc mechanism must be based on a sound                  market-based mechanism for conveying the
support of the SAF   accounting methodology. Four emissions reduction             environmental attributes of a unit of renewable
market, the SAFc     accounting approaches were considered as                     energy to the buyer. In the case of SAF, the
                     foundations for the framework:                               related attribute is the carbon reduction
mechanism must
                                                                                  associated with the use of sustainable
be based on a
                     1. Standalone disclosure: voluntary                          feedstocks compared to conventional jet fuel.
sound accounting        actions are currently not recognized under
methodology.            GHGP including SAF usage, but they can                 These four approaches were evaluated against six
                        be reported separately through annual                  main necessary attributes. First, an approach should
                        emissions disclosures such as CDP.                     generate funding to cover SAF’s price premium.
                                                                               Second, it should eventually be incorporated into
                     2. Carbon offsets: project-based emissions                established international GHG emissions accounting
                        reductions measured in metric tonnes CO2e              standards such as GHGP, so that corporate
                        (tCO2e) outside a company’s value chain. This          participants can secure auditable recognition of
                        accounting approach follows a published                their efforts to reduce emissions. Third, it should
                        methodology and generates credits that are             facilitate production of increased volumes of SAF.
                        tracked and retired through validated registries.      Fourth, it should not require proof of “emissions
                        Carbon offsets must demonstrate their                  additionality” with the same level of detail as carbon
                        “additionality”, or evidence that the emissions        offset projects because of the difficulties associated
                        reductions would not have occurred in the absence      with determining intent for each and every flight. Fifth,
                        of revenue from the sale of the carbon offset.         the approach should allow the tracking of SAF as a
                                                                               physical good to offer additional measurement-based
                     3. Carbon insets: carbon emissions reductions             assurances for traceability of associated emissions
                        that occur within an organization’s value chain        reductions. Finally, it needs to be an in-sector
                        and can originate from carbon reduction                solution supporting net-zero benefits. Using this filter
                        measures within a supply chain, such as use of         approach and given current accounting methodology
                        renewable fuels or the purchase of renewable           practices, the EAC-based model proved most
                        electricity used by an upstream supplier.              promising, as detailed in the next section.

           BOX 2     Additionality and SAFc

                     The term additionality within emissions accounting       While SAFc enables increased demand for SAF
                     refers to a causal assessment of whether the             and therefore facilitates reduced GHG emissions
                     financing of a particular carbon reduction project       via air travel, it is outside the scope of the concept
                     generates a beneficial effect beyond what would          to integrate either a standardized or project-
                     have ensued in other scenarios without the               specific determination of emissions additionality.10
                     financial resources from that project in relationship
                     to a determined baseline.9

                                                                             Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand     14
2   The SAFc framework
    The SAFc concept is expected to be
    based on an Energy Attribute Certificate
    (EAC)-type model for successful emissions
    reduction accounting.

                           Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   15
EACs are a well-established virtual accounting                development and pilot modes, it will reach EAC-
                     instrument in the United States and Canada,                   like status once it is fully developed and has been
                     representing the clean energy attributes of                   incorporated into emissions accounting standards
                     renewable electricity from sources such as wind               such as GHGP.
                     and solar. Internationally, EACs are comparable to
                     Guarantees of Origin (GOs) in the European Union              Carbon offsetting is used extensively by the
                     and international renewable energy certificates               aviation industry and underpins CORSIA, but
                     (I-RECs) in countries across Asia, Africa and South           while the framework is useful for out-of-sector
                     America. They are also established mechanisms                 emissions offsetting, it is not effective for in-sector
                     through GHGP and CDP for emissions accounting.                mitigation efforts – failing all but one of the attribute
                                                                                   requirements within this analysis.
                     EACs have proven to be effective at accelerating
                     the transition to renewable energy by creating an             Intriguingly, alongside an EAC-based approach,
                     additional revenue stream for renewable energy                insetting also offers significant potential for scaling
                     suppliers and signalling demand for additional                SAF demand and associated Scope 3 reporting
                     renewable electricity generating capacity.                    frameworks. An EAC-based framework could be
                                                                                   a mechanism for documenting and transacting
                     Following evaluation, it is expected that an EAC-             insets. The EAC and inset have similar underlying
                     based model will form a successful emissions                  emissions calculations and accounting practices.
                     reduction accounting approach for SAF as                      They are not necessarily contradictory or mutually
                     represented in the SAFc concept. EACs meet each               exclusive systems. Insetting with a tradable
   SAFc will reach   of the six criteria and offer an entirely scalable and        certificate-based approach may support the scaled
EAC-like status      auditable approach, including potential follow-               use and development of SAF.
                     on certificate trading markets to encourage SAF
once it is fully
                     demand above and beyond immediate use.                        The Smart Freight Centre and MIT’s Center
developed and has                                                                  for Transportation & Logistics (SFC-MIT) are
been incorporated    Standalone disclosures are not a long-term solution           currently developing guidelines for an insetting
into emissions       for SAF, due to unanswered questions about both               approach for SAF. CST and SFC-MIT are in active
accounting           impact measurement and their ability to generate              communication to better determine how these
standards such       impact funding. Importantly, although SAFc will               frameworks can complement each other.
as GHGP.             require reporting as a standalone disclosure while in

             2.1 The Energy Attribute Certificate model

                     Ultimately, organizations need a market-based                 Emissions reduction and inclusion within GHG
                     instrument to address their air transport-based               inventory
                     emissions. Following extensive stakeholder
                     consultations and analytical modelling, SAFc                  SAFc as an EAC creates a product that a company
                     functioning as an EAC is the current proposed                 can count in its GHG inventory. This will reduce the
                     model, borrowing an approach from the electricity             gross emissions reported.
                     utility sector that is already accepted within the
                     GHGP standard. GHGP’s Scope 2 standard                        High-level approach and calculation method
                     includes EAC guidance that can be used to further
                     develop SAFc implementation methodology. It also              Using one of the three calculation methods
                     provides a methodology for virtual product GHG                to calculate air transport GHG emissions (the
                     accounting and reporting. Following incorporation             fuel-based, distance-based and spend-based
                     of SAFc into internationally recognized standards,            methods), SAF volume is then multiplied by a life-
                     SAFc reporting processes would shift from stand-              cycle emissions factor to calculate emissions.
                     alone disclosures to EACs.
                                                                                   In an analogy to the GHGP standards for
                     Outlined below are the high-level approach and                accounting and reporting on emissions, two EAC
                     calculation method; the benefits and risks for                calculation methods could be used: one based
                     double counting; and potential solutions. The                 on the actual carbon intensity of the SAF batch,
                     longer-term goal of CST is to convince the GHGP               and one based on an external emissions factor
                     authors to incorporate the SAFc, similar to an EAC.           (e.g. CORSIA’s average feedstock conversion
                     To ensure that SAFc is a credible mechanism,                  carbon reduction). Both of these calculation
                     without vulnerability to false claims, a central registry     methods enable corporations to report SAFc
                     needs to be established to host retired Scope 3               usage to mitigate their emissions. Additionally,
                     certificates and their linkage to Scope 1 claims.             aligning with the GHGP would require separately

                                                                                 Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand    16
FIGURE 7          How SAFc is modelled on an EAC

SAFc as an EAC
Application of SAFc in GHG preparation:
Scope 3 Category 6 Business travel emissions

Conventional
Scope 3           Fuel consumption allocated to       Emission factor (industry, conventional         Scope 3 Category 6 Business travel
Category 6       company through SAFc (kg fuel)             jet fuel) (kg CO2e/kg fuel)                 emissions (kg CO2e) – industry
preparation

SAF Scope 3                                                                                            Scope 3 Category 6 Business travel
Category 6        Fuel consumption allocated to      Emission factor (SAF, supplier specific)
                 company through SAFc (kg fuel)                 (kg CO2e/kg fuel)                         emissions (kg CO2e) – SAF,
preparation                                                                                                    supplier-specific

                           accounting for and reporting on carbon removals/          standards than of market-based mechanisms’
                           sequestration, biogenic emissions and non-                effectiveness. In the GHGP’s Scope 3 guidance,
                           biogenic emissions. A GHGP working group                  reducing consumption of goods or services
                           is establishing a new reporting approach for              or shifting to a lower-emitting supplier are the
                           carbon removals, bioenergy and land use,                  only recognized options for managing Scope
                           with published findings expected in 2022.                 3 climate impacts. SAFc will require more time
                                                                                     to earn acceptance and incorporation from
                           The main drawback of developing SAFc as an                emissions accounting frameworks, but will also
                           EAC is that international emissions accounting            support improved definitions within existing
                           standards rely on detailed guidance that                  accounting practices. Phase II of the SAFc
                           excludes market-based mechanisms as an                    development will ensure close collaboration with
                           emissions solution, but this is arguably more             these entities to ensure verifiable sustainability
                           a shortcoming of the existing accounting                  credentials and auditable accounting principles.

                                                                                   Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand    17
2.2 Catalysing SAF demand

                       An overview of how EACs work with renewable                 The SAF buyer can claim the emissions reduction
                       electricity illustrates the basic concept of the SAFc       value of the sustainable fuel itself once consumed
                       and how it covers SAF’s price premiums and                  (Scope 1), depending on local regulations. The
                       catalyses SAF demand.                                       eventual buyer of the SAFc – an air transport
                                                                                   customer such as a corporation for the purposes of
                       Electricity producers are issued with EACs for the          this simplified description – can retire the certificate
                       renewable electricity they produce that complies            and claim the related Scope 3 emissions reductions.
                       with the defined standards and legislation.
                       Producers then sell their EACs to businesses                Importantly, SAFc helps address the supply-and-
                       and consumers, often separately from the                    demand deadlock that is limiting the growth of SAF.
                       electricity itself. Businesses and consumers,               Low demand for SAF results in low investment in
                       for their part, purchase EACs as a way to                   increasing SAF production.
                       reduce their carbon footprint from electricity use
                       without having to install their own renewable               As a market-based GHG mitigation standard for
                       energy systems. EACs are traded with a book-                the aviation sector, SAFc catalyses additional
                       and-claim system in which only the entity that              demand for SAF by generating new funding that
                       “cancels” the certificate can claim the usage               can be used to cover its price premium.
                       of the renewable energy unit it represents.
                                                                                   This funding in turn creates market demand
                       SAFc could work in a similar way. The fuel producer         signals to drive investment in increasing SAF
  SAFc helps           generates eligible SAF from sustainable feedstocks          production capacity. This is similar to how EACs
address the            and is issued with a corresponding number of                in the electricity market improved the economics
supply-and-            SAFc based on either a volumetric calculation or            for renewable electricity developers when wind
demand deadlock        an emissions-based calculation. As with EACs, the           and solar were more costly than fossil sources. In
that is limiting the   producer can then sell the actual SAF produced              2020, renewables were the largest source of newly
growth of SAF.         and the virtual SAFc that was issued separately.            installed electricity generation capacity.11

                2.3 Addressing shared responsibility
                    for Scope 3 emissions
                       Within existing GHGP guidance, multiple parties             A key innovation incorporated into the SAFc
                       along the supply chain can have overlapping                 framework is a mechanism to assign coinciding
                       individual responsibility for the same GHG emissions.       and linked value to Scope 3 and Scope 1
                       In aviation, these parties include fuel producers, fuel     emissions, providing reductions in both emissions
                       suppliers, aircraft and engine manufacturers, airports      categories. This SAFc characteristic is important
                       and air transport buyers. As an illustrative example,       because it provides a way for air transport
                       an aircraft operator may burn 1 tonne of fossil-based       customers and aircraft operators (and eventually
                       jet fuel, generating more than 3 tonnes of CO2. The         other parties in the supply chain) to address their
                       aircraft operator is responsible for the emissions          shared responsibility for Scope 3 emissions. It
                       within its Scope 1, and the aircraft operator along         also enables downstream parties to influence
                       with all of the other participants in the supply chain      emissions reductions by working with their
                       share responsibility for the Scope 3 emissions for          suppliers to address the source of emissions, in
                       their customers for the same fuel burn.                     alignment with SBTi guidance for supply chains.

                                                                                 Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   18
3   SAFc functionality
    To operate effectively and reliably, SAFc
    requires robust and transparent sustainability
    certifications and a robust governance
    system to facilitate ownership and trade.

                            Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   19
Intergovernmental bodies such as the International          –   Systems to facilitate ownership and trade of
                       Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) have established             SAFc (e.g. a registry and governance standards)
                       minimum sustainability criteria for SAF,12 but there is
                       currently no governing body or governance system            –   Markets through which SAFc create value
                       in place for the creation, trade and retirement of
                       SAFc. To operate effectively and reliably, a SAFc           This report establishes the SAFc mechanism
                       mechanism must have three core elements:                    principles and outlines further phases of research,
                                                                                   analysis and pilot projects already underway
                       –   Standards to govern the entire life cycle of            within CST on the SAFc mechanism itself as well
                           a SAFc                                                  as related accounting frameworks, traceability
                                                                                   components and governance operations.

              3.1 The SAFc product

                       Essential elements of the SAFc product to be                comply with and function within existing and
                       standardized include its sustainability criteria, its       proposed SAF regulations and policies, including
                       unit of trade and its value streams. Importantly,           those related to blending mandates.
                       all elements of the SAFc product must ultimately

                       Unit of trade

   Although simpler,   SAFc requires a common measurement, or unit                 primary metric allows stakeholders to understand
the volumetric         of trade, to enable the parties involved in a SAFc          progress towards replacing conventional jet
model does not         transaction to communicate with each other and              fuel with SAF. Using a mass-based approach
address some           to account for both the size of individual company          enables SAF producers to easily report liquid
                       actions and overall aviation sector progress in             fuel mass measurement, as mass is a consistent
of the nuances
                       meeting GHG goals.                                          metric that does not change according to
inherent in SAF,                                                                   differing regulatory jurisdictions or life-cycle
such as different      Using an EAC model, in which renewable electricity          analysis methods. Additionally, one metric tonne
SAF feedstocks         is calculated in megawatt hours (MWhs), SAFc                of fuel represents a specific energy unit that
and production         could use either a volumetric-based calculation             can be tied to the SAFc, similar to the way in
pathways               (mass/volume) or an overall LCA emissions-based             which the EAC product is based on MWhs of
themselves having      calculation (CO2 carbon equivalency, or CO2e).              electricity. It is also easier to transact assets that
significantly                                                                      are tied to physical goods (e.g. fuel volume).
different emissions    Using a volumetric model, as conventional fossil-
footprints.            based jet fuel that SAF replaces is measured in             However, although simpler, the volumetric model
                       mass/volume, SAFc could be purchased and                    does not address some of the nuances inherent
                       recorded in mass units. Establishing mass as the            in SAF, such as different SAF feedstocks and

                                                                                 Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand      20
production pathways themselves having significantly        CST has not yet determined the most effective and
different emissions footprints. Establishing a SAFc        applicable approach to the SAFc unit of trade. While a
valuation based on an LCA emissions-based                  volumetric approach may be simpler to transact, it is
calculation may add initial complexity but can more        a blunt approach and does not enable the assigning
effectively support the long-term scaling of the           of higher SAFc values to lower emissions fuels. For
lowest-emissions SAF technologies.                         example, in using a volumetric approach, 1 tonne of
                                                           SAF with 60% emissions reductions over fossil jet
Using an overall emission calculation model, SAFc          fuel could have an associated SAFc equal in value to
could be purchased and recorded in CO2e based on           the SAFc associated with 1 tonne of SAF with 100%
a predetermined LCA emissions factor. This factor          emissions reductions over fossil jet fuel. While an
would vary depending on both the SAF feedstock and         LCA emissions-based approach may be the most
technological pathway. It would allow market forces to     accurate, a market-based solution is effective only if it
properly reflect the emissions-reduction values of SAF     is implementable. Importantly, as both the SAF volume
and drive investments towards more efficient next-         and emissions factors are necessary components for
generation SAF such as power-to-liquid (PtL), over         comprehensive reporting and emissions assessments,
time encouraging a “race to zero” within the industry.     it is likely that both quantifications will be required.
Challenges remain in determining an appropriate            Final determination will be made within Phase II of
comparable emissions baseline for conventional             SAFc framework development, as informed by pilot
fossil jet fuel, as baselines vary based on regulatory     transactions and continued collaboration across the
jurisdiction. But these can be overcome.                   CST community of partners.

Sustainability criteria

To accelerate aviation’s decarbonization pathway           Two independent sustainability certification
and achieve maximum LCA emissions reductions,              schemes, the International Sustainability and
SAF must be produced using the most efficient              Carbon Certification (ISCC) and the Roundtable on
technological pathways, most sustainable feedstocks        Sustainable Biomaterials (RSB), are both recognized
and most socioeconomically responsible guidelines.         by ICAO. Both certifying bodies require producers
                                                           to minimize emissions impacts in a variety of
CORSIA has established robust SAF sustainability           performance categories, referred to within CORSIA
requirements, with further guidance pending.               as the 12 themes. These are:

  Minimum GHG reduction                                                               Local and social
                                               Conservation
          target                                                                       development

               Air                           Water use rights                                Soil

  Land use rights and land
                                                   Water                        Human and labour rights
            use

   Carbon stock (intensity)               Waste and chemicals                          Food security

                                                         Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   21
CST recognizes that corporate air transport                  sustainability verifications and the impacts from
                     customers have an additional desire to reduce                both direct and indirect land use change, no palm-
                     their carbon impact. In response, CST and working            based materials, for example, would currently be
                     group stakeholders added the following three                 eligible for SAFc fuels, including palm fatty acid
                     requirements for the SAFc product:                           distillate (PFAD). Palm offers some of the lowest
                                                                                  emissions reduction benefits among the feedstock
                     1. Carbon intensity: While CORSIA requires                   candidates,14 and using PFAD for SAF may
                        eligible SAF to have emissions at least 10%               result in more palm oil demand and cultivation
                        lower than those of fossil-based jet fuel,13 CST          to replace its current uses.15 Should the situation
                        coalition members have indicated a preference             change and LCA calculations demonstrate
                        for at least a 60% LCA emissions reduction                that palm-sourced feedstocks can generate
                        in SAF. The SAF life cycle goes from “well-to-            emissions savings above the 60% threshold,
                        wake” (though in the case of SAF, “well” means            this determination may be reconsidered.
                        sustainable feedstock) and includes transport
                        from refinery to airport. A SAFc value would          3. Certification consistency: Currently, ISCC
                        not be applied without meeting a minimum                 and RSB certification processes differ. Their
                        threshold, to be finalized in Phase II of the            sustainability certification scheme (SCS)
                        framework development.                                   processes could benefit from harmonizing to
                                                                                 cover the 12 themes as well as calculations
                     2. Feedstock integrity: CST supports complete               of carbon intensity related to indirect land use
                        transparency in the feedstock process and full           change and the potential impact from secondary
                        supply-chain certification. Due to concerns about        effects such as feedstock substitution.

      FIGURE 8       RSB and ISCC differ in their sustainability certification schemes and could benefit
                     from harmonization

       Elements                          RSB                                ISCC                     Potential actions for CST

                              ICAO considered RSB 12                                                 Equivalent requirements
                             principles for its “themes”.       Needs functionality for all              between SCS;
  CORSIA 12 themes
                               RSB has methodologies                  12 themes                     quantitative metrics where
                             for all; some are qualitative                                                   possible

Indirect land use change       Low ILUC risk biomass                                                    ILUC consideration
                                                                     Not yet available
     (ILUC) estimate                 calculator                                                            requirements

Feedstock displacement            Methodology for                                                   Potential for displacement
                                                                     Not yet available
      evaluation              displacement emissions                                                       within CST

Feedstock transparency           Internal to producer              Internal to producer                 Disclosed to buyer

                                  Estimate based                     Estimate based
 GHG – transport from                                                                               Process to automate into
                                 on transport mode                  on transport mode
  refinery to airport                                                                               CST accounting system(s)
                                    and distance                       and distance

                                                                            Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   22
3.2 Accounting framework

    SAFc needs to function within existing voluntary       targets, such as SBTi. Both of these initiatives
    GHG accounting and reporting standards. GHGP is        are stakeholders within the CST Coalition, and
    recognized as the authoritative climate accounting     full alignment between these systems and the
    and reporting industry guidance. SAFc accounting       SAFc framework is key to long-term success.
    approaches need to be developed so that voluntary      Consultations are ongoing to ensure long-term
    SAF purchases can be recognized within GHG             mutual compatibility between the SAFc framework
    accounting and reporting frameworks, such              and GHGP and SBTi guidance.
    as GHGP, and associated emissions reduction

    GHGP application

    GHGP outlines five principles applicable to            3. Consistency: Apply consistent measuring,
    GHG measurement, accounting and reporting.                accounting and reporting methods for emissions
    A SAFc accounting framework that adheres                  related to the purchase and use of SAF (via
    to these principles would enable reliable,                the SAFc). If methodology changes occur, new
    comparable and consistent disclosures by                  methods must be appropriately disclosed, and
    participating companies. The following five               a re-baselining exercise may be needed for prior
    principles for SAFc are adapted from GHGP:16              year disclosures.

    1. Relevance: Ensure the GHG inventory                 4. Transparency: Address all relevant emissions
       appropriately reflects a company’s                     disclosures in a factual and coherent manner,
       emissions generated through the                        supported by a clear underlying audit
       purchase and use of SAF (via the SAFc)                 trail. Significant assumptions, estimations
       and serves the decision-making needs                   or judgements must be appropriately
       of both internal and external users.                   disclosed and include information on relevant
                                                              methodologies and data sources.
    2. Completeness: Account for and report on
       all GHG emissions sources and activities            5. Accuracy: GHG emissions resulting from the
       within the inventory boundary related to               purchase and use of SAF (via the SAFc) should
       the purchase and use of SAF (via the                   be sufficiently accurate to enable users to
       SAFc). Where a company has excluded                    make decisions with reasonable confidence
       emitting activities, omitted impacts should            as to the integrity of the reported information.
       be sufficiently disclosed and justified.               Uncertainties related to assumptions,
                                                              estimations or judgements should be minimal.

                                                         Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   23
These principles require the reporting of GHG              report life-cycle fuel emissions for SAF and compare
emissions regardless of scope or industry and              that to the life-cycle conventional fossil-based
are intended to ensure the information reported            jet fuel. In the past, many reporting entities have
appropriately quantifies the company’s overall             limited aviation reporting to only direct emissions
emissions. GHGP guidance is voluntary and not              from aircraft, but such a change to consider holistic
subject to legal restrictions.                             comparisons with true and comparable baselines
                                                           would enable a more thorough accounting approach.
Current GHGP Scope 2 guidance covering the
use of EACs for electricity emissions mitigation           In practice, only aircraft emissions directly from
can potentially be used to inform a Scope 3 SAFc           aircraft engines are technically assigned to the
accounting framework. Although covering different          aviation sector; they are not assigned to fuel-related
emissions parameters, both EACs and SAFc                   upstream life-cycle emissions. National GHG
provide a solution to address the limited options          inventories will need to be reconciled for SAF’s
end customers have to purchase emissions-                  upstream life-cycle reductions to be assigned to
mitigating energy.                                         air transport. Currently, GHGP guidance states
                                                           that any removals should to be reported separately
Setting boundaries for Scope 3 GHG categories              from Scope 1, 2 and 3. (A GHGP working group
                                                           is currently establishing a new reporting approach
GHGP provides guidance on boundaries for                   for carbon removals, bioenergy and land use, with
emissions reporting, indicating a preference for a         published findings expected by 2023.)
“consistent consolidation approach” across Scope
1-3 inventories.17 It also identifies three approaches     Leveraging GHGP principles for development
to determine organizational boundaries and to              of SAFc’s accounting framework
allocate GHG emissions to the reporting entity:
                                                           There is no “ideal fit” for a virtual product such as
–   Equity share (based on economic benefits from          SAFc within existing GHGP standards. For example,
    proportion of ownership)                               existing GHGP guidance on reporting of combined
                                                           life-cycle factors or biogenic emissions separately,
–   Financial control                                      outside of the Scope 1, 2 and 3 inventories, would
                                                           prevent clear indication of the lower-carbon benefits
–   Operational control                                    of SAF when compared to conventional jet fuel. This
                                                           is because the reductions do not occur at the point
In addition, the guidance includes minimum                 of combustion but upstream in the value chain. A
boundaries for reporting on different categories of        consolidated emissions factor, comprising a single
Scope 3 emissions. Emissions within the minimum            life-cycle factor including both fossil and biogenic
boundaries for Scope 3 include air transport               emissions, is necessary to demonstrate life-cycle
passengers and cargo.                                      emissions reductions from SAF.

Companies typically estimate direct aviation               Despite this existing lack of clarity, GHGP
emissions based on an allocation of Scope 3                standards are useful to broadly inform a SAFc
emissions relative to their share of aircraft use;         accounting approach. For example, the five GHG
only direct emissions are incorporated in Scope 3          accounting and reporting principles detailed above
air transport emissions calculations within GHGP.          apply to any emerging GHG measurement or
Although GHGP does not explicitly include the fuel’s       method, whereas the guidance on implementing
life-cycle emissions, it does include limited guidance     quality criteria for either the Scope 2 location-
to account for biogenic fuels from emissions               and market-based emissions or the offset
savings.18 In inputting to the development of the          baseline scenarios can be used as reference to
SAFc concept, the World Resources Institute’s              ensure quality criteria underpin the SAFc itself.
GHGP authors indicated that it is acceptable to

                                                         Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand   24
Emissions estimation approach

                             GHGP’s Technical Guidance for Calculating Scope                    2. The distance-based method, which
                             3 Emissions provides guidance on how to calculate                     involves determining the mass, distance
                             indirect emissions from air travel by category, as                    and mode of each shipment, then
                             well as guidance regarding acceptable source data.                    applying the appropriate mass-distance
                             The calculation methods are:19                                        emissions factor for the vehicle used

                             1. The fuel-based method, which involves                           3. The spend-based method, which involves
                                determining the amount of fuel consumed (i.e.                      determining the amount of money spent on
                                Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions of transport                         each mode of business travel transport and
                                providers) and applying the appropriate                            applying secondary emissions factors.
                                emissions factor for that fuel

            FIGURE 9         GHGP’s formula for calculating Scope 3 emissions from business air travel

                                                                                                                                Current considerations
Most accurate

                                                          Emissions factor per fuel type                                        – Data availability from
                   Mass of fuel consumption                                                             Absolute Scope            supplier(s)
                                                          Depending on the type of fuel:
                    allocated to organization                                                            3 emissions in         – Careful accounting
                   by its aviation supplier(s) (l)        1. Jet kerosene kgCO2 /kg fuel                kg/tonne of CO2           required to avoid double
   Fuel-based                                                                                                                     claiming across Scopes
                                                          2. LCA SAF kgCO2 /kg fuel
    method                                                                                                                        1 and 3

                                                         Emissions factor per travel type
                   SUM per travel type (typically        Either:
                  short, medium and long haul +         1. Primary carrier specified vehicle specific       Absolute Scope
                  economy, premium economy,                emissions factor (kgCO2e/vehicle-km or            3 emissions in
                  business and first) of distance          passenger-km)                                    kg/tonne of CO2
 Distance-based                                                                                                                 – Inaccurate Scope 3
                     travelled (per employee)
     method                                             2. Secondary emissions factor (e.g. ICAO)                                 emissions data as a
                                                           (kgCO2e/vehicle-km or passenger-km)                                    result of actual fuel
                                                                                                                                  consumption not being
                                                                                                                                  considered
                                                                                                                                – Careful accounting
                                                                                                                                  required to avoid
                                                                                                                                  double claiming across
                                                     Emissions factor (kgCO2e/litre)
                                  Fuel                                                                                            Scopes 1 and 3
                                                     Depending on the type of fuel:                 Absolute Scope
                              consumed                                                               3 emissions in
                                (litres)             1. Jet kerosene kgCO2/kg fuel                  kg/tonne of CO2
  Spend-based
    method                                           2. LCA SAF kgCO2/kg fuel

                             In addition to the calculation formula, the GHGP                   fuel-based method to provide primary emissions
                             distinguishes between two types of data:                           data, which includes SAF usage, so that firms and
                                                                                                individuals can use the emissions data to address
                             –    Primary data from specific activities within a                the balance of the impact and avoid over or
                                  company’s value chain                                         underpaying for SAF.

                             –    Secondary data not from specific activities                   Reporting emissions reductions in the
                                  within a company’s value chain                                context of baseline emissions

                             Primary data could include utility bills and fuel                  GHG reductions must be quantified relative to
                             invoices paid by a company. Secondary data could                   a baseline. In corporate GHG inventories, the
                             include information provided by an aircraft operator               reduction is typically quantified relative to the base
                             regarding trip distances and fuel burn data. The                   year. However, it is also possible to quantify GHG
                             GHGP states that “in general companies should                      reductions relative to a baseline scenario for the
                             collect high-quality primary data”. Aircraft operators’            same period, known as project accounting. The
                             ability to provide fuel consumption data to their                  GHG Protocol defines emissions reduction as either
                             customers will vary. Secondary data using distance                 a reduction in GHG emissions or an increase in the
                             or travel spend does not include aircraft operator                 removal or storage of GHGs from the atmosphere,
                             efficiency information or SAF usage. Therefore,                    relative to baseline emissions. In this case, the
                             CST proposes that aircraft operators employ the                    baseline scenario emissions are the emissions

                                                                                              Powering Sustainable Aviation Through Consumer Demand        25
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