Q2-2021 REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW DUBAI - MPM ...

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Q2-2021 REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW DUBAI - MPM ...
Q2-2021
REAL ESTATE
MARKET OVERVIEW
DUBAI
Q2-2021 REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW DUBAI - MPM ...
2

    FOREWORD
    MPM Real Estate Services comprises a comprehensive real estate and advisory platform providing the full
    range of professional services from a single provider. Our services include:-
    y       Strategic development advisory                                    y   Agency
    y       Asset management                                                  y   Market research
    y       Project management                                                y   Property management
    y       Valuation                                                         y   Facilities management

REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
Residential                                                                       transactions increased by 21%. The value of transactions
                                                                                  increased from AED 421 million in Q1 2021 to AED 511.7 million
y       During H1 2021, close to 20,000 units were handed over, taking            in Q2 2021.
        the total residential stock of Dubai to 639,000 units. In terms of
                                                                              y   The office sale rates across key office developments remained
        supply for Q2 2021, about 11,000 units were added. Dubailand
                                                                                  stable during the quarter and dropped marginally by 2% year-
        added 18% of the new quarterly supply followed by the Creek
                                                                                  on-year. Due to a relatively long holding period, weak demand
        Harbour with a share of 17%. New handovers from Dubai Creek
                                                                                  and low prices, investors are more inclined towards leasing out
        Harbour include projects such as Creek 18 Residences, Harbour
                                                                                  the space.
        Views and Creek Horizon.
                                                                              y   Average office rents remain stable during the quarter while on an
y       As per the projects announced and under construction,
                                                                                  annual basis, the rates dropped by 6%. Due to weak demand and
        approximately 58,000 new units are expected to be completed
                                                                                  high voids, landlords are more inclined towards offering extended
        during the period H2 2021 to 2023. However, it is expected that a
                                                                                  rent-free periods or fitted-out space rather than reducing rents
        fair share of this supply is expected to be extended by six months
                                                                                  which are already at the bottom.
        and more. For H2 2021, another 20,000 units are likely to be
        completed, which could exert further pressure on the occupancy        y   As per the projects announced/under construction, approximately
        and rental levels, primarily across new properties.                       4.2 million sq.ft. of office space is expected to be completed
                                                                                  during the period H2 2021 to 2023. However, looking at the
y       Transaction activity for residential properties (apartments,
                                                                                  current market condition, it is likely that the completion timeline
        villas, townhouses, serviced/hotel apartments, villa plots) during
                                                                                  for some of the projects will be extended by 6-12 months..
        the quarter surged in value and volume terms. The cumulative
        transaction value for residential properties in Q2 2021 was AED
        21.89 billion across c.8,500 transactions compared to AED 15.05       Retail
        billion (6,910 transactions), an increase of 45% in value and 22%
        in volume. Of the total quarterly transactions, villas/townhouses/    y   As of end H1 2021, the total retail stock of Dubai stood at
        villa plots accounted for AED 14.2 billion (65% share) and the            43.7 million sq.ft. GLA. Approximately 1.5 million sq.ft GLA of
        rest were apartments/serviced apartments.                                 new retail space was added during the first half of 2021, the
                                                                                  figure includes partial opening with a hypermarket and a few
y       The capital values for apartments across selected developments            convenience stores in Circle Mall in Jumeriah Village Circle and
        remained stable during the quarter and dropped marginally                 Avenues Mall in Dubai Silicon Oasis, together these two malls
        by 2.1% year-on-year. While average sale rates for villas/                account for 1.2 million sq.ft. GLA while other notable addition
        townhouses across selected developments increased by 5%                   being the Dubai Mall Village expansion with 79,000 sq.ft. GLA.
        quarter-on-quarter and 11% year-on-year.
                                                                              y   The retail sector which is impacted negatively due to the
y       Average apartment rents dropped marginally by 1% quarter-                 pandemic is witnessing an improvement with rising footfalls and
        on-quarter while year-on-year the drop was 8%. The rental and             sales volume. Events such as the three-day super sale reported
        occupancy levels across villa/townhouse properties continue               strong footfall levels and in-store sales. However, as the sector
        to strengthen for three straight quarters. Average rents across           is heavily reliant on international visitors and with the air travel
        selected locations increased by 5.8% quarter-on-quarter and               restrictions in place, the sector is expected to remain under stress
        11.3% year-on-year.                                                       until it is back to normalcy.
                                                                              y   Approximately 10 million sq.ft. GLA of new retail space is
Office                                                                            expected to be completed during the period H2 2021 – 2023.
                                                                                  However, looking at the prevailing market condition, it is likely
y       During Q2 2021, c.270,000 sq.ft. of new office space was added,
                                                                                  that a fair proportion of this supply could experience opening
        taking the total office stock to 103.8 million sq.ft. Over the past
                                                                                  delays. Few of the new malls scheduled to enter include retail
        three years, the supply figures remained stable with less than 3.0
                                                                                  space from Dubai Hills mall, Souk Al Marfa and the Art Centre
        million sq.ft. annually.
                                                                                  mall.
y       Compared to the previous quarter, the value of strata office

                                                                                    Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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FACTS & FIGURES
                                               TOTAL STAFF
                                                                                                      LARGEST

                                           120+                                                      ABU DHABI
                                                                                                     MAINLAND
                                                                                                     PORTFOLIO

  PROPERTY MANAGEMENT STAFF                                                                                                             LANDLORD CLIENTS

               70+                                                                                                                     1,400
                                             ADVISORY STAFF                               UNITS UNDER MANAGEMENT

                                                30+                                        14,000+
                                                                                                DEDICATED VALUATION
 LEASING & SALES STAFF
                                                                                                   PROFESSIONALS

          25+                                                                                         20+
                                                                                            COMBINED MARKET VALUE OF PROPERTIES
      OCCUPANCY RATE                                                                            VALUED SINCE JANUARY 2012

   94.7%                                                                                         100+bn

 TABLE OF CONTENT
 Real estate trends ...............................................................................................................................................4

 Residential sector................................................................................................................................................ 5

 Office sector......................................................................................................................................................... 9

 Retail sector.........................................................................................................................................................11

 Definitions & methodology............................................................................................................................ 14

 Contact information......................................................................................................................................... 15

Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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REAL ESTATE TRENDS
DUBAI LAND TRANSACTION

       AED.      59.41bn                                                                          TYPE

                                                                                                  SALES
                                                                                                                                VOLUME

                                                                                                                                9,604
                                                                                                                                            VALUE
                                                                                                                                            (‘billion AED)

                                                                                                                                            27.69
             TOTAL TRANSACTIONS                                                                   MORTGAGE                      6,811       31.72

             16,415                                                                               TOTAL                         16,415      59.41

TOP RESIDENTIAL INVESTMENT
LOCATIONS - Q2 2021
                             2,076mln                           2,986mln
                             984units                            361units                                            998mln
                                                                                             681mln
                                                                                             176units                385units
            1,459mln                        752mln                                                                               579mln
             354units                       261units                          719mln                          2,942mln           419units
           EMIRATES LIVING              DUBAI INVESTMENT PARK
                                                                              147units                        1,578units
                                                                            JUMERA GOLF ESTATES

                                                                                                   4,192mln
                                                                                                   805units

                                               Emirates Living

                                                 Jumeirah
                                               Village Circle

Source: Reidin

                                                                                                        Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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RESIDENTIAL MARKET
y                 During H1 2021, close to 20,000 units were                   supply while Dubai South, Dubai Science Park
                  handed over, taking the total residential stock              and Meydan/Mohammed bin Rashid City (MBRC)
                  of Dubai to 639,000 units. In terms of supply for            added just over 4% each of the new supply.
                  Q2 2021, about 11,000 units were added. The
                  supply continues to be dominated by apartments          y    Within the leasehold areas, Al Nahda/Al Qusais
                  accounting for 83% of the total supply while villas/         area remained most active with a share of 7.2%.
                  townhouses comprised 17%.                                    Notable project to be completed in the area was
                                                                               Masaken Wasl project in Al Qusais 1 offering 777
y                 In terms of supply by location/development,                  units.
                  Dubailand added 18% of the new quarterly supply
                  followed by the Creek Harbour with a share of 17%.      y    As per the projects announced and under
                  New handovers from Dubai Creek Harbour include               construction, approximately 58,000 new units
                  projects such as Creek 18 Residences, Harbour                are expected to be completed during the period
                  Views and Creek Horizon.                                     H2 2021 to 2023. However, it is expected that a
                                                                               fair share of this supply is expected to be extended
y                 Other freehold developments of Jumeirah Village              by six months and more. For H2 2021, another
                  Circle/Jumeirah Village Triangle added close                 20,000 units are likely to be completed, which
                  to 1,600 units (14.7%) followed by Downtown                  could exert further pressure on the occupancy and
                  Dubai/Business Bay about 9% of the quarterly                 rental levels, primarily across new properties

RESIDENTIAL SUPPLY BY UNITS - (2014 - 2023)
                  700,000         Existing     Supply Apartments    Supply Villas

                  650,000
Number of units

                  600,000

                  550,000

                  500,000

                  450,000

                  400,000
                              2014      2015     2016     2017     2018       2019   2020     2021      2021     2022     2023
                                                                                               H1        H2

SALE RATES
y                 Transaction activity for residential properties              transactions,   villas/townhouses/villa  plots
                  (apartments, villas, townhouses, serviced/hotel              accounted for AED 14.2 billion (65% share) and
                  apartments, villa plots) during the quarter surged           the rest were apartments/serviced apartments.
                  in value and volume terms. The cumulative               y    Mohammed bin Rashid City (MBRC)/Meydan
                  transaction value for residential properties in              remained the top destination attracting
                  Q2 2021 was AED 21.89 billion across c.8,500                 transactions worth AED 4.2 billion across 800
                  transactions compared to AED 15.05 billion                   properties, calculating to an average ticket
                  (6,910 transactions), an increase of 45% in                  price of AED 5.2 million. Other top performing
                  value and 22% in volume. Of the total quarterly              developments include Palm Jumeirah and

Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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                             Dubailand with a transaction value of AED 2.9                                                         new off-plan launches include Murooj Al Furjan in
                             billion each. The developments of Dubai Marina/                                                       Al Furjan development and Bliss and Caya II villas
                             Jumeirah Beach Residence, Emirates Living and                                                         within Arabian Ranches III.
                             Downtown Dubai recorded transactions worth                                                      y     The capital values for apartments across selected
                             AED 2.1 billion, AED 1.5 billion and AED 1.0 billion                                                  developments remained stable during the quarter
                             respectively.                                                                                         and dropped marginally by 2.1% year-on-year.
y                           Within the luxury/high-end segment, there                                                              Rise in investor/occupier interest towards larger
                            were about 14 villa transactions with a value of                                                       units across established location has a large
                            AED 50 million and above, together these villas                                                        extent assisted in controlling further declines.
                            had a cumulative transaction value of AED 1.0                                                    y     The villa/townhouse segment performed better
                            billion. The highest value of transaction was on                                                       than the apartments. Average sale rates across
                            Palm Jumeriah wherein a five bedroom plus villa                                                        selected developments increased by 5% quarter-
                            transacted at a value of AED 119.5 million.                                                            on-quarter and 11% year-on-year. However,
y                           With several new off-plan launches during the                                                          there are developments which have recorded
                            year, the off-plan transaction recorded a double                                                       an increase higher than the average. The capital
                            digit increase in value and volume terms. The                                                          values in Jumeirah Park recorded a double-digit
                            cumulative value of transactions increased from                                                        growth of over 20% increasing from AED 750 per
                            AED 5.9 billion in Q1 2021 to AED 9.1 billion in                                                       sq.ft. in Q2 2020 to AED 950 per sq.ft. in Q2 2021
                            Q2 2021, a quarterly increase by 55%. Few of the

AVERAGE APARTMENT SALE RATES - Q2 2021

                                                              1,600                                                                                                                      -8%
    Average Sale Rates (AED/sq.ft.)

                                                              1,400
                                                                                                                                                                                         -6%
                                                              1,200

                                                                                                                                                                                                Y.o.Y change(%)
                                                                                                                                                                                         -4%
                                                              1,000
                                                               800                                                                                                                       -2%
                                                               600
                                                                                                                                                                                         0%
                                                               400
                                                                                                                                                                                         2%
                                                               200
                                                                 0                                                                                                                       4%
                                                                          Downtown    Old Town     DIFC         Palm     The Views Dubai Marina Business Bay   Jumeirah     The Greens
                                                                            Dubai                             Jumeirah                                           Beach
                                                                                                                                                               Residence

AVERAGE VILLA SALE RATES - Q2 2021

                                                                2,400                                                                                                                    20%
            A ve ra g e S a le R a te s (A E D /s q . ft. )

                                                                                                                                                                                         18%
                                                                2,000                                                                                                                    16%
                                                                1,600                                                                                                                    14%
                                                                                                                                                                                               Y.o.Y change (%)

                                                                                                                                                                                         12%
                                                                1,200                                                                                                                    10%
                                                                                                                                                                                         8%
                                                                 800                                                                                                                     6%
                                                                 400                                                                                                                     4%
                                                                                                                                                                                         2%
                                                                      0                                                                                                                  0%
                                                                             Palm      The Lakes   Dubai Sports    Arabian       Jumeirah   The Springs    Jumeirah        Al Furjan
                                                                           Jumeirah                    City        Ranches         Park                     Village

                                                                                                                                     Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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RENTAL RATES
y   Residential leasing activity during the quarter         y   Within the leasehold areas, the highest annual
    was largely driven by tenant migration looking to           decline was recorded in Al Jadaf area with rents
    upgrade to larger and more open livable spaces.             dropping by 10.8% year-on-year. One bedroom
    This has resulted in a rental decline across smaller        units which achieved an average rent of AED
    units of studio, and one bedroom as well as ageing          50,000 per unit per annum are currently achieving
    properties.                                                 AED 42,000 per unit per annum, a drop by 16%
                                                                year-on-year. The area has witnessed a substantial
y   Average apartment rents dropped marginally by               increase in supply over the past two years and with
    1% quarter-on-quarter while year-on-year the drop           several projects under construction, the area is
    was 8%. The demand for larger and waterfront                expected to record further addition of new units
    properties has to a large extent assisted in reducing       during the short term which could further impact
    the rental gap. Moreover, the landlords are more            on occupancy and rental rates.
    flexible in offering in extending rent free periods
    rather than reducing the rents which is assisting in    y   The rental and occupancy levels across villa/
    holding on the rents.                                       townhouse properties continue to strengthen
                                                                for three straight quarters. Average rents across
y   Increase in supply and a shift in occupier                  selected locations increased by 5.8% quarter-on-
    preferences is resulting in a sharp rental decline          quarter and 11.3% year-on-year. The rental growth
    across smaller units of studio and one bedroom.             is led by the luxury/high-end segment which has
    Within the selected locations, rents for studios and        remained under stress over the past five years. The
    one-bedroom units dropped annually by 9.8% and              properties falling under this category recorded a
    10.6% respectively while the three-bedroom units            double-digit growth due to demand and supply
    recorded a marginal drop by 3.7% year-on-year               imbalance.
    while quarter-on-quarter, the rents inflated by half
    a percent.                                              y   The rental growth has been recorded across all
                                                                the villa communities, however, the percentage
y   Rental deflation and occupancy pressures were               increase has been substantial higher across freehold
    noticed across properties that have been in the             areas compared to leasehold areas. The rents for a
    property cycle for over a decade. Average rents             five bedroom villa in Jumeirah Park increased from
    in Discovery Gardens dropped by 14.7% while in              an average of AED 225,000 per unit per annum in
    Dubai International City by 11.7% Emergence of              Q2 2020 to AED 260,000 per unit per annum in
    new quality supply from the surrounding areas               Q2 2021, an increase of 15.6% year-on-year.
    along with relatively weak demand for smaller
    units is exerting pressure on occupancy and rental
    rates in these areas.

Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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                 AVERAGE APARTMENT ANNUAL RENTS – Q2 2021

                      25K                  50K               -              38K                    47K               53K
                      36K                  68K               78K            53K                    68K               75K
Studio
                      58K                  85K               103K           78K                    93K               100K
1 Bedroom             -                    118K              140K           105K                   148K              155K
2 Bedroom
3 Bedroom             -14.7%               -4.9%             4.0%           -10.5%                  -7.8%            -7.3%
Y.o.Y % Change

                                Jumeirah
                                   Beach
                               Residence

                                                   Barsha
                                                   Heights

                                                                                              Downtown
                                                                                                Dubai

                               34K                  41K             36K               36K                   20K
                               52K                  55K             50K               49K                   27K
                               77K                  81K             71K               75K                   40K
                               95K                  123K            88K               100K                  60K
                               -6.8%                -9.4%           -7.4%             -8.5%                 -11.7%

                                                                            Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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             AVERAGE VILLA ANNUAL RENTS – Q2 2021

                                        -            -           -                     93K         -
                                       -            -            193K                 133K         185K
2 Bedroom
                                       198K         218K         215K                 -            278K
3 Bedroom                               258K         315K        240K                  -           325K
4 Bedroom
5 Bedroom                              12.1%        9.6%         12.2%                 5.5%        13.6%
Y.o.Y % Change

                                         Jumeirah
                                            Beach
                                        Residence

                           Al Furjan                                                  Downtown
                                                                                        Dubai

                                                                         The Villa

                                       -            108K         -                   103K         -
                                       123K         135K         120K                110K        -
                                       138K         205K         148K                120K        170K
                                       195K         248K         210K                140K         190K
                                       14.3%        10.9%        5.5%                1.2%        16.0%

                 Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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OFFICE MARKET
y   During Q2 2021, c.270,000 sq.ft. of new office          y   Other locations of Downtown Dubai recorded
    space was added, taking the total office stock to           transactions worth AED 25.4 million while Trade
    103.8 million sq.ft. Over the past three years, the         Centre (Sheikh Zayed Road) and Deira areas
    supply figures remained stable with less than 3.0           recorded transactions worth AED 21.1 and 15.2
    million sq.ft. annually. Relatively weak demand             million respectively.
    and substantial drop in strata office space has
    helped in curtailing the supply.                        y   The office sale rates across key office developments
                                                                remained stable during the quarter and dropped
y   The new supply during the quarter emerged from              marginally by 2% year-on-year. Due to a relatively
    phase 1 of the Dubai CommerCity located in                  long holding period, weak demand and low prices,
    Umm Ramool area. The Business Cluster of Dubai              investors are more inclined towards leasing out the
    CommerCity, a dedicated e-commerce free zone                space.
    comprises of 12 office buildings offering 2.6 million
    sq.ft. built-up space.                                  y   Lowest sale rates are currently in Barsha Heights
                                                                area at AED 725 per sq.ft. The rates remained
y   Compared to the previous quarter, the value of              stable quarter-on-quarter and dropped by 2%
    strata office transactions increased by 21%. The            year-on-year.
    value of transactions increased from AED 421
    million in Q1 2021 to AED 511.7 million in Q2 2021.     y   The office leasing activity remained subdued
    Overall, c.689,000 sq.ft. of office space transacted        since the beginning of the pandemic and change
    in Q2 2021, calculating to an average transaction           in occupier preferences. Much of the leasing
    value of AED 743 per sq.ft.                                 activity remained across smaller fitted-out office
                                                                spaces and serviced offices. The average office
y   The transaction activity during the quarter was             rents remain stable during the quarter while on
    mainly for smaller office sizes of less than 2,500          an annual basis, the rates dropped by 6%. Due
    sq.ft. valuing at AED 321.4 million, accounting to          to weak demand and high voids, landlords are
    63% of the total quarterly transactions. Due to             more inclined towards offering extended rent-free
    size, these offices are preferred by new start-ups          periods or fitted-out space rather than reducing
    and investors due to ease in occupation/ leasing.           rents which are already at the bottom.

y   During the quarter, the transaction activity            y   As per the projects announced/under construction,
    remained focused towards the two key strata                 approximately 4.2 million sq.ft. of office space is
    office developments of Jumeirah Lakes Towers                expected to be completed during the period H2
    and Business Bay. Together, these developments              2021 to 2023. However, looking at the current
    accounted for AED 420.1 million worth of office             market condition, it is likely that the completion
    transactions. A total of 271,500 sq.ft. of office           timeline for some of the projects will be extended
    space valued at AED 266 million was transacted in           by 6-12 months.
    Business Bay area, calculating to an average sale
    rate of AED 980 per sq.ft. while Jumeirah Lakes         y   Some of the office developments that are expected
    Towers saw transactions worth AED 154.4 million             to be completed by 2023 include Zabeel One
    across 254,000 sq.ft. of office space, with an              tower in Trade Centre, Dubai Electricity & Water
    average rate of AED 607 per sq.ft.                          Authority (DEWA) and Empower buildings in Al

                                                                 Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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DUBAI OFFICE STOCK GROWTH (2008-2023)

                             110
                                                            Stock           Expected - *More office projects with handover dates delayed
                             100

                                             90

                                             80
(million sq.ft.)

                                             70

                                             60

                                             50

                                             40

                                             30
                                                    2008    2009     2010     2011    2012     2013    2014     2015    2016     2017      2018   2019   2020    2021      2021    2022     2023
                                                                                                                                                                  H1        H2

AVERAGE OFFICE SALE RATES - Q2 2021

                                                  2,000
           Average Sale Rates (AED/sq.ft.)

                                                  1,600

                                                  1,200

                                                   800

                                                   400

                                                        0
                                                            Downtown Dubai                DIFC                Dubai Marina           Business Bay          Jumeirah Lake           Barsha Heights
                                                                                                                                                              Towers

AVERAGE OFFICE RENTS - Q2 2021

                                                  350                                                                                                                     Low      High
               Average Rents AED/sq.ft. p.a

                                                  250

                                                  150

                                                   50

                                                  -50         DIFC             Downtown          Sheikh Zayed       Business Bay          Jumeirah       Barsha Heights         DIC & DMC
                                                                                 Dubai                Road                              Lakes Towers

    Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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RETAIL
y                           As of end H1 2021, the total retail stock of Dubai                 y      The retail sector which was impacted negatively
                            stood at 43.7 million sq.ft. GLA. Approximately                           due to the pandemic is witnessing an improvement
                            1.5 million sq.ft GLA of new retail space was added                       with rising footfalls and sales volume. Events such
                            during the first half of 2021, the figure includes                        as the three-day super sale reported strong footfall
                            partial opening with a hypermarket and a few                              levels and in-store sales. However, the sector is
                            convenience stores in Circle Mall in Jumeriah                             heavily reliant on international visitors and with
                            Village Circle and Avenues Mall in Dubai Silicon                          the air travel restrictions in place, the sector is
                            Oasis, together these two malls account for 1.2                           expected to remain under stress.
                            million sq.ft. GLA while other notable addition
                            being the Dubai Mall Village expansion with                        y      Approximately 10 million sq.ft. GLA of new retail
                            79,000 sq.ft. GLA.                                                        space is expected to be completed during the
                                                                                                      period H2 2021 – 2023. However, looking at the
y                           Further 3.7 million sq.ft GLA retail space is either                      prevailing market condition, it is likely that a fair
                            completed or in final stages of construction and                          proportion of this supply could experience opening
                            expected to enter during H2 2021. However, due                            delays. Few of the new malls scheduled to enter
                            to the pandemic the openings are being delayed                            include retail space from Dubai Hills mall, Souk Al
                            and the expected supply could be pushed to 2022.                          Marfa and the Art Centre mall

DUBAI RETAIL MALL STOCK (2010-2023)
                                        Stock      Expected - *Includes all retail malls with a GLA greater than 25,000 sq.ft.

                             60

                             50
    GLA sq.ft. (millions)

                             40

                             30

                             20

                             10

                               0
                                   2010 2011     2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017                          2018 2019 2020 2021 2021 2022 2023
                                                                                                                        H1   H2

                                                                                                       Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
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RETAIL SUPPLY PRE 2010                                                                                  NEW SUPPLY DELIVERED - (2010 - Q2 2021)

                                                             12%                                                                17%
                                                                                                                                                           24%
                          34%
                                                                            17%
                                                                                                                      20%
                                                                                                                                                             17%
                                                                      14%
                                             23%                                                                                             22%

DUBAI RETAIL MALLS BY SIZE END Q2 2021 DUBAI RETAIL MALLS GLA BY AREA END Q2 2021

                                                                                                                        7%                                   Deira
                                                                                                                 5%               6%
                                                                                                                                        1%                   Mirdif
                                                               20%                                       6%
                          26%                              Neighborhood                                                                      5%              Downtown/Business Bay
                           Super                                                                                                              2%             Bur Dubai
                          Regional                                                                                                                           Barsha
                                                                                                   9%
                                                                                                                                                  8%         Dubailand
                                                                      14%                                                                                    Dubai Marina
                                                                    Community                     8%                                               5%        Jebel Ali
                                                                                                                                                             Jumeirah
                                                                                                                                                             JVT/JVC
                             Sub Regional
                                                        Regional                                                                                             Al Quoz
                                 22%                                                                       13%                          16%
                                                          18%                                                                                                Al Wasl
                                                                                                                        9%                                   Al Warsan
                                                                                                                                                             Other Areas
              Super Regional:    2m sq ft+          Sub-Regional:    500-1m sq ft
              Regional:          1m-2msq ft.        Community:       200-500,000 sq ft
                                                    Neighborhood:    0-200,000 sq ft

 PRIME SHOPPING MALL AVERAGE RENTS Q2 2021

         1,000
               900
               800
               700
               600
 AED/SQ.FT.

               500
               400
               300
               200
               100
                  -
                                ANCHORS               CINEMA          HYPERMARKET        MINI MAJORS      FLAGSHIPS       RESTAURANTS         FOOD COURT    LINE SHOPS

                                               The rents quoted above are base rents excluding any turnover provisions and service charges

Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
14

     DEFINITIONS & METHODOLOGY
     Research Study Area
     y     The geographic extent of the study area covers             y     Given the general lack of transparency in the
           the key districts in Dubai.                                      local market rents quoted are headline rents, thus
                                                                            exclude any rent free period of other financial
     Residential                                                            incentives that may have been negotiated
                                                                            between the parties. The rents quoted are also
     y     New residential developments are classified as                   exclusive of service charges.
           delivered and thus entered into the new supply
           category when they are made available for
           occupation. This is verified via a combination
                                                                      Retail
           of site inspections and discussion with the                y     New retail developments are classified as
           developer and hence our supply numbers do take                   delivered and thus entered into the new supply
           into consideration the phased release of large                   category when the first units are open and
           projects.                                                        trading.
     y     Rental and sales trend analysis is based on                y     Our classification of malls is based on our
           transactional data derived from the MPM                          own assessment having regard to size and
           Properties Agency team and data sourced from                     the catchment area which the mall typically
           developers and owners.                                           penetrates.

     Offices                                                          Future Supply Projections
     y     New office developments are classified as                  y     Our future supply projections across all sectors
           delivered and thus entered into the new supply                   are based on a combination of regular site
           category when they are available for tenant fit-                 inspections and discussions with developers.
           outs.

     BESPOKE CLIENT RESEARCH
     y     The ADIB Real Estate Services team covers all                    that directly assist our clients to save or make
           sectors of the real estate market. We provide                    money from real estate and shape strategies to
           bespoke market research to our valued clients to                 enhance value.
           meet their specific requirements.
                                                                     y      Regular site inspections and discussions with
     y     We provide reports, information and                              developer.
           presentations derived from primary market data

     DISCLAIMER
     The information contained in this report has been              change without notice. Figures contained in this report are
     obtained from and is based upon sources that MPM               derived from a basket of locations highlighted in this report
     Properties believes to be reliable, however, no warranty       and therefore represent a snapshot of the Dubai market.
     or representation, expressed or implied, is made to the        Due care and attention has been used in the preparation
     accuracy or completeness of the information contained          of forecast information. However, actual results may
     herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions,    vary from forecasts and any variation may be materially
     change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal        positive or negative. Forecasts, by their very nature, involve
     without notice, and to any special listing conditions          risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events
     imposed by our principals. MPM Properties will not be held     and circumstances which are beyond MPM Properties’
     responsible for any third-party contributions. All opinions    control. For a full in-depth study of the market, please
     and estimates included in this report constitute MPM           contact MPM Properties team.
     Properties, as of the date of this report and are subject to

                                                               Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
15

A COLLABORATIVE TEAM PROVIDING
OUR INTEGRATED SERVICES

                KHALID ALI ALMANSOORI                MOHAMED AL ZOUBI
                Executive Chairman                   COO
                T: +971 (0)2 610 0119                BSc Civil Engineering
                M: +971 (0)50 411 1161               T: +971 (0)2 610 0564
                khalid.almansoori@mpmproperties.ae   M: +971 (0)50 310 3570
                                                     mohammedalzoubi@mpmproperties.ae

                ABDULLAH SAID AL KUWEITI
                Director of Business Development     YOUSEF AL ZAROONI
                T: +971 (0)2 610 1554                Regional Head - Northern Emirates & Al Ain
                M: +971 (0)50 623 5854               T: +971 (0)3 708 8636
                abdullahs@mpmproperties.ae           M: +971 (0)50 600 1002
                                                     yousef.alzarouni@mpmproperties.ae

                KHALED SOLEH
                Head of Valuation & Advisory         MOHAMMED FAHEEM
                T: 971 (0)2 610 0085                 Manager Strategic Advisory & Research
                M: +971 (0)50 722 9718               T: +971 (0)4 371 9471
                khaled@mpmproperties.ae              M: +971 (0)50 684 5220
                                                     mohammed.abdulfaheem@adib.com

                JUBRAN AL HASHMI                     HUSSEIN ASSAAD SADAKA
                Head of Property Management          Leasing Manager
                T: +971 (0)2 610 0232                T: +971 (0)2 6100359
                M: +971 (0)50 122 0041               M: +971 (0)50 5833354
                jubran@mpmproperties.ae              H.AssaadSadaka@adib.com

Q2-2021 | REAL ESTATE MARKET OVERVIEW | DUBAI
INTEGRATED SERVICES COVERING THE FULL PROPERTY LIFECYCLE

            Property Management                                        Valuation                             Project Management and ESCROW

  Enhancing value for individual                   Valuation reports for:                               Complete Project Management services
  & institutional property owners:                                                                      at planning & construction stage:
                                                   „      Mortgage & Finance
  „    Prompt leasing & debt collection
                                                   „      Securing Project Funding                      „     Engineering Review & Scheduling
  „    Effectively market & lease vacant
                                                   „      Internal Accounting                           „     Cost Estimate & Procurement
       units
                                                   „      Mergers & Acquisitions                        „     Project Monitoring
  „    Physical & technical maintenance
       of asset                                    „      Investment appraisal                          „     Cost Control & Accounting
  „    Maintain tenant satisfaction                „      Litigation                                    „     Assist with Permits & Licensing
  „    Timely lease renewals                       „      Inheritance                                   „     Ensure appropriate fund movement for
                                                                                                              Escrow based on Project Assessment
  „    Manage risk, insurance & litigation         We cover all asset classes. Our reports
  „    Protect your interests and enhance          are in compliance with the International
       value                                       Valuation Standards (IVS) and the RICS
                                                   Professional Valuation Standards.

                      Agency (Sales & Leasing)                                                   Research & Strategic Advisory

 We work with developers, commercial tenants, retailers                            Bankable studies for your real estate and business
 and individuals, offering:                                                        needs:

 „     Launch Strategy                                                             „    Highest & Best Use
 „     Project Launch Handling                                                     „    Market & Financial Feasibility
 „     Project Marketing Events                                                    „    Development Strategy
 „     Acquisitions                                                                „    Market Research
 „     Leasing                                                                     „    Corporate Real Estate Strategy
 „     Sales                                                                       „    Master-plan and design review
 We cover all sectors, including residential, commercial,
 industrial, retail, and land.

                             KHALID ALI ALMANSOORI                                                            MOHAMED AL ZOUBI
                             Executive Chairman                                                               COO
                             T: +971 (0)2 610 0119                                                            BSc Civil Engineering
                             M: +971 (0)50 411 1161                                                           T: +971 (0)2 610 0564
                             khalid.almansoori@mpmproperties.ae                                               M: +971 (0)50 310 3570
                                                                                                              mohammedalzoubi@mpmproperties.ae

  ABU DHABI HEAD OFFICE                  DUBAI OFFICE                              AL AIN OFFICE                            SHARJAH OFFICE
  ADIB Building on Ground Floor,         Office 1405 - Level 14, API Trio          201-204 ADIB Ladies Branch Building      Al Ikhlas Tower, Next to
                                         Tower, Al Barsha,                         Oud Touba Street,                        Ikhlas Mosque, AL Khan -
  King Abudllah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud                                                                                       Sharjah
  Street, Al Bateen, P.O Box 114686      Dubai                                     Al Ain
  Abu Dhabi                                                                        Tel. +971 (0)3 703 9521                  Tel. +971 (0)6 5972555
                                         Tel. +971 (0)4 371 9462                                                            Fax. +971 (0)6 5753553
  Tel. +971 2 610 0252                   Fax. +971 (0)2 6100514                    Fax. +971 (0)3 6100514
  Fax. +971 2 610 0514

www.mpmproperties.ae
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