CHP in a cold climate - What Russia's on-site power sector needs to succeed

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CHP in a cold climate - What Russia's on-site power sector needs to succeed
January - February 2015

           CHP in a
           cold climate
           What Russia’s on-site power sector
           needs to succeed

CHP’S FUTURE IN A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY MARKET n GAS TURBINE-BASED CHP SYSTEMS MARKET OUTLOOK n EFFICIENCY
BENEFITS OF EXHAUST GAS CONDENSATION n STRATEGIES FOR BOILER AND HEAT EXCHANGER MAINTENANCE

               In Association With

WORLD ALLIANCE FOR DECENTRALIZED ENERGY
CHP in a cold climate - What Russia's on-site power sector needs to succeed
Gas Turbines

Business unusual
Even in today’s changing energy landscape, it is tempting to believe that the future will be business as usual
for manufacturers of gas turbines for CHP systems, given the substantial market growth predicted for the
sector. However, there are still potential challenges on the horizon.Tildy Bayar investigates

Over 48,000 gas turbines will be manufactured by 2028
Credit: MAN Diesel & Turbo

                                     G
                                                 as       turbine-     smooth ride for gas turbine         to near-continual uncertainty.
                                                 based systems         makers. We spoke with several       Martin Westerhoff, technical
                                                 lead          the     to fnd out how they see the         journalist with MAN Diesel &
                                                 industrial   CHP      global market, and how they         Turbo, notes: ‘The market is,
                                     feld, and it is predicted         plan to deal with a changing        to a certain extent, driven by
                                     that over 48,000 industrial       energy economy and the              political visions. The political
                                     gas turbines, valued at           potential for change in the         and economic framework
                                     almost $620 billion, will         CHP market.                         must be right to trigger new
                                     be     manufactured        by                                         investments in CHP, which have
                                     2028. Substantial market          A changing market                   to compete with existing and
                                     growth is predicted as new        brings changing risks               depreciated capacities in the
                                     environmental regulations,        While the benefts of CHP are        market.’
                                     increased energy effciency        inarguable, it is still under-         Jim     Crouse,    executive
                                     goals     and      changing       represented in most countries’      vice-president of sales and
                                     national           resources      energy profles. One reason for      marketing       at    Capstone
                                     encourage the uptake of           this, policy risk, is a perpetual   Turbine, adds: ‘One challenge
                                     gas-based CHP systems.            concern, subjecting many            in the US is that we don’t
                                       Nevertheless, the coming        investors, project developers       have a national energy policy
                                     years may not be an entirely      and turbine manufacturers           that truly drives CHP. Really

22     Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015                                                   www.cospp.com
CHP in a cold climate - What Russia's on-site power sector needs to succeed
Gas Turbines

it’s the states that are left to    – very, very little,’ he says. ‘There     based       on    its  boundary        But from a currency/fnancing
implement – or not – policies       was clearly a peak before                 conditions,       namely       the     perspective      [Russia]     was
that help either incentivise        the fnancial crisis, but then,            availability of plentiful low-cost     already a challenging and
through rebates or cash             of course, there has been a               gas and a very high need for           diffcult place to get fnancing
incentives, or regulations that     signifcant drop in demand’.               CHP for DH. When you put this          and do CHP projects, and now
help end users make buying              However, Savic sees gas               all together you would expect          with the currency devaluation
decisions around CHP.’              turbine-based CHP as a bright             Russia to be leading – but this        it’s    become     even     more
    Regine Mowill, marketing        spot in Europe’s gas power                has not happened so far.’              challenging.’
director at OPRA Turbines,          plant troubles. ‘What helps’,                  He cites a ‘lack of interest’,         Crouse also raises an
outlines some of the current        he explains, ‘is those operators          and the fact that ‘[Russians]          interesting issue in relation
market      risks: ‘There     are   who have an additional                    have to pay for western                to emerging markets. ‘Where
obviously some geopolitical         source of revenue due to heat             equipment because they do              labour is relatively inexpensive,
risks in certain areas,’ she says   produced, for example district            not have advanced industrial           our microturbines give up
– for example, gas supply from      heating [DH] applications. We             gas turbine products of their          some competitive advantage
Russia and US sanctions there.      see that these operators can              own. This is a pity because            [over     engines]      from    a
‘In Europe we have uncertainty      still operate to provide heat             today they are burning gas             lifecycle perspective,’ he says.
on where the legislation will go,   because they are getting                  in atmospheric boilers with            ‘In the US or Europe where
while in other regions there are    revenues for that, even though            effciencies of 10%–15% to              technicians and engineers are
currency risks and fuctuations      possibly on the electricity side          provide       district    heating.     $100/hour, versus a market
– in Southeast Asia recently, the   they are struggling.                      Instead they could invest a            where it’s dollars per hour, then
Japanese currency has fallen,           ‘The heat market did have             little more money [in gas-fred         the cost of changing the oil,
and so have the Indonesian          some problems on industrial
and Malaysian currencies.’          generation because industrial
    Crouse      adds:     ‘As   a   demand has reduced,’ he
US        manufacturer,       the   adds. ‘However, those who
strengthening of the US dollar      have CHP duty do have an
is challenging for us; we have      authentic source of revenue.
to watch very closely and see           ‘China’s market, by all
how it will impact our business     accounts, is going strong,
in the near-to-medium term.’        especially since the nation’s
                                    gas deal with Russia last year.
National markets                    The deal will help the Chinese
‘The US is a bit fragmented         gas turbine market,’ Savic says,
and there are a lot of different    ‘and in the last two to three
utilities whose rates aren’t the    years we have already seen a
same, so it’s been challenging,’    signifcant rise in the number
says Crouse. However, in            of new projects for gas-fred               Gas turbine-based systems lead the industrial CHP feld
                                                                               Credit: MAN Diesel & Turbo
general his view of the US          generation. I believe China in
market is positive due to           particular has a lot of industry
trends such as low gas prices,      cogneration and also district             CHP plants], use their gas             spark plugs or flters is relatively
increasing utility rates, aging     heating requirements, so it               in a more environmentally              low. The difference can range
infrastructure and a national       should be a signifcant CHP                and economically effcient              from several thousand dollars
and local response to natural       market.’                                  manner, use it in a much               per year on a small cogen
disasters. But Sasha Savic,             ‘In the Middle East there             better    arrangement     and          system to a thousand dollars
CEO of Swiss frm SS&A Power         is an abundance of gas at                 make additional proft. There           per year.’ This is an issue in
Consultancy GmbH, injects           low prices and this will be               is however currently a lack of         markets such as India, China
a note of caution. ‘The US is       the case for many years                   incentives.’                           and Africa.
on the verge of a booming           ahead,’ he says. ‘In the stable               Crouse adds that, ‘being
[gas-fred power] market, but        environment of the Gulf we see            US-based,     Capstone    has          Technical challenges
how much of that is CHP is          desalination and CHP for water            the current [US] sanctions             There are still some technical
another story,’ he says.            production, and because of                [on Russia] to deal with;              challenges        involved      in
   In Europe, ‘the CHP market       such cogeneration needs                   most of the companies                  developing gas turbine-based
seems to stagnate with few          combined with low gas prices              listed in the sanctions are            gensets for use in CHP systems.
new projects,’ MAN’s Westerhoff     the Middle East market is                 our customers. Fortunately             OPRA’s Mowill says: ‘In our
says. Savic agrees: ‘In the last    perfect for CHP.’                         the sanctions were targeted            power range, the important
two to three years, there has           ‘Russia is an interesting             enough for specifc markets or          thing is to think about heat as
been virtually no [gas-fred         market,’ he continues, adding             technology applications that           well as power, so the heat-to-
power] market in Europe             that it is ‘also ideal for CHP            we haven’t been impacted.              power ratio. This needs to ft the

www.cospp.com                                                               Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015       23
CHP in a cold climate - What Russia's on-site power sector needs to succeed
Gas Turbines

client’s needs; if it does, they           modular package that can be          than natural as gas turbine          where these independent
get high overall effciency and             confgured to the customer’s          fuel,’ says Westerhoff.              providers are dominating a
savings.’ Oil and gas customers,           requirements. ‘It’s the same            Among other challenges,           little more and putting pressure
she says,‘are not so concerned             core turbine,’ she explains,         Westerhoff notes that ‘CHP’s         on costs for users.’
about overall effciency; they’re           ‘with maybe different flters         focus is not only on gas turbine          This shift in maintenance
more concerned with reliability            and different fuel systems,          effciency like for mechanical        practice is happening ‘right
and having power on-site, such             and it might use a different         drive applications. In general,      now’, he says. ‘Because
as sites where they need power             combustor if people use low          electrical     power     has    a    European markets are under
for production and heat is less            calorifc value fuels which           higher importance for the            pressure to reduce generation
important.’                                need a larger combustor. If the      development;         nevertheless    costs, they’re looking into
   Savic believes that some                customer needs low emissions         the exhaust heat, mainly the         all possible alternatives on
technical problems remain for              we have a low-emission               exhaust      gas    temperature,     the maintenance side. Gas
gas-based CHP. ‘Every project              combustor.’                          should be at a certain               turbines are probably the most
will have its own challenges,’                One example of a fuel-            minimum level for an effcient        expensive technology when it
he says, but ‘one or two                   fexible system is a CHP              heat process in the waste heat       comes to maintenance, so any
situations need to be carefully            plant in Turkey which runs on        recovery system.’                    effort that can reduce those
examined.’                                 syngas. Another, a gypsum               Crouse says Capstone is           costs will be welcomed by the
   One such situation is the               plasterboard       manufacturer,     currently working with the           market.’
growing number of CHP                      currently has a CHP system           US Department of Energy to
desalination plants in the                 running on natural gas, but          develop a more effcient, larger      A coming challenge
Middle East. ‘I see a bit of a             Mowill says the customer’s           microturbine. The so-called          from gas engines?
challenge in winter,’ he says,             requirements       included     a    370 programme ‘will end up           The traditional distribution
‘because desalination plants               potential upgrade to a dual-         with a 250 kW turbine as the         of gas turbines for larger
have to provide a more or                  fuel system if and when an           frst phase, which will produce       cogeneration/CHP         projects
less constant amount of                    affordable, nearby syngas            2%–3%         more      electrical   and gas engines for smaller
water. However, there is less              supply becomes available.            effciency than the current           projects may be about to
of a requirement to generate                  ‘Customers       are    always    200 kW product,’ he explains.        change.The gas turbine versus
electricity because nobody is              looking for fexibility,’ says        The second phase will aim            gas engine question is ‘a hot
using air conditioning. So now             Crouse,         adding        that   to produce a 370 kW turbine          topic’ at the moment, says
gas turbines have to produce               Capstone’s          microturbines    with ‘on the order of 40%–42%        Savic: ‘What we have seen
enough exhaust energy to                   are tolerant of different fuel       electrical effciency’. Crouse is     recently is some development
create enough steam for                    types and can run on ‘low-           ‘optimistic’ that these products     in gas engine technology.
desalination plants and, on                BTU fuel, from landfll up to         will be commercialised within        Wärtsilä, and GE with their
the other hand, they have to               propane or butane’. Examples         the next four years.                 Jenbacher       engines, have
reduce their load. This can be             are a Hawaiian resort and a             Looking to the future, Savic      realised they can compete
quite a challenging situation              Caribbean CHP plant, both            expects ‘a race‘ in terms of both    with      turbine    generation
and while there are solutions,             of which run on propane, as          effciency and dollars-per-kW         against the small to medium
they have to be carefully                  well as ‘quite a few’ projects       attractiveness. He believes that     sized gas turbines.’
looked at to see that they are             running on biogas, including a       technology development in                ‘The size of the project
not too costly.’                           Russian chicken farm.                future will not focus on higher      doesn’t matter; it is just about
   Another challenge involves                 MAN       is   also    looking    effciency – which, he says, ‘is      the heat-to-power balance,’
changing fuel requirements,                into fuel fexibility for future      not going to bring that much.        says     OPRA’s    Mowill. She
making confgurability a key                developments. ‘One market            Gas turbines will probably           explains: ‘Gas engines have
concern. In response, Mowill               tendency is to investigate the       be developed more in terms           higher electrical output but
says OPRA has developed a                  possibility of using other gases     of operational fexibility and        tend to have lower-grade heat,
                                                                                better response to changing          so if you want hot water and
                                                                                market conditions, and this          quite a lot of power engines
                                                                                is where developers should           are a better choice, but for
                                                                                focus.’                              higher-grade heat or steam
                                                                                   ‘On the other hand,’ he           production or direct drying in
                                                                                adds,      ‘the     maintenance      addition to power, gas turbines
                                                                                side of gas turbines will            are better.’
                                                                                also experience some shifts              She continues that ‘the
                                                                                and changes. From being              maintenance cost is higher
                                                                                undertaken largely by OEMs,          for    reciprocating    engines.
                                                                                maintenance has shifted to           They have a bigger footprint,
The gas turbine market will be valued at                                        independent service providers,       higher emissions, lower overall
$620 billion by 2028                                                            especially in the Middle East        effciency,      higher     losses,
Credit: OPRA Turbines

24      Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015                                                             www.cospp.com
Gas Turbines

more vibrations, etc.’ And             be more effcient. If high load-     proceedings. The provisions           success, he adds, is in projects
she notes that time before             change velocities or even           therefore exclude possibility for     that require black start capa-
overhaul must be considered:           operation in start/stop mode        contribution from providers of        bility/black grid restoration
‘Gas engines involve a lot             are required, which is typical      alternative solutions, including      capability. ‘For these projects
of constant maintenance,               for electricity driven systems,     engines offered by Wärtsilä.’         gas turbines are normally
whereas our gas turbines               engines are likely to be                Risto     Paldanius,      vice-   not suffcient to perform the
have       maintenance      after      benefcial.                          president Europe & Africa,            task; you would need a diesel
40,000 hours (approximately               ‘Available fuel quality is       Wärtsilä Power Plants, said:          generator to restore the island
fve years), and one annual             of course important; gas            ‘We frmly believe that there is       and then the grid. Gas engines
inspection.’                           turbines might, in principle,       no suffcient reason to discard        are similar to diesel engines so
   Another      advantage      of      have some more fexibility. But      the       engine       technology,    they can start in that moment,
gas turbines is fuel fexibility.       most projects are still based       especially since such solutions       with no additional cost. Just
Operators of waste-to-energy           on natural gas, with which          have already been proven in           getting X number of gas
applications     ‘care    about        both gas turbines and engines       practical large scale projects        engines would be suffcient for
whether we can run on the              have no problem to operate.         which have been successfully          black start,’ he concludes.
fuel and whether they need             With engines the required gas       operating for many years all              According to Capstone’s
fuel cleaning, because this            admission pressure is lower,        over the world.’                      Crouse, ‘engines are going to
can be very expensive,’ she            which reduces infrastructure            Wärtsilä’s internal modelling     be here for quite some time.
says. ‘If they can put their fuel      costs for gas compression. So       of CHP and district heating           They won’t be replaced by
into our turbine without fuel          which technology to choose          systems,        Laitinen      says,   microturbines; there are niches
cleaning, that’s an advantage.         really needs to be decided on       ‘constantly get the result that       where we’re better and niches
Municipal waste sites gasify           a detailed case analysis.’          engine power plants by us –           where they’re the better solu-
things and generate lots of               However,              Wärtsilä   smart power generation plants         tion.’ He also doesn’t see other
contaminants which can be              communications         manager      – are 30% cheaper than the            technologies such as fuel cells
damaging for engines.’                 Jussi Laitinen says: ‘Gas           turbine option, and operational       stepping up for CHP as there
   MAN’s Westerhoff adds that          turbines are the business-          costs are cheaper. Turbines           are ‘still a lot of challenges with
‘gas turbine-based systems             as-usual option, but we’re          tend to cost from €1100/kW, the       them’.
provide more heat potential            challenging the “big guys” in       engine option from €600–700/              The importance of fexibility,
at a higher temperature level          this game and capturing many        kW.’                                  Savic says, ‘depends on trends
than engine-based systems              projects as the size of engine          SSA’s Savic says attempts         in terms of distributed genera-
and have their advantages for          power plants has grown very         to open up the CHP market             tion. How quickly are we going
projects where this is important,      fast in the past few years. The     to gas engines are ‘exactly           to get to point where we rely
e.g., steam production. An             only problem is that often          what we are seeing. From an           less and less on remote power
engine-based       system,    on       tenders are tailored for turbines   environmental           regulations   generation facilities and focus
the other hand, can reach a            only’ – something Wartsila is       perspective, there isn’t any          on some combination of local
higher overall energy effciency        working to change. In fact, the     difference between a gas              utility and household genera-
level of up to 90% and is              frm recently fled an appeal         reciprocating engine and              tion?’ But, he says, ‘this will
less sensitive with regards to         over a tender for a new unit at     a gas rotating turbine,’ he           potentially be a good storyline
ambient temperatures.                  Poland’s Zeran CHP plant, with      says. ‘Whichever is better for        for gas engines.’
   ‘The     operational   mode         a capacity of 420–490 MWe           the client, if there’s no nega-           Crouse believes that micro-
is also essential to decide            and over 250 MWt.                   tive environmental impact,            turbines can be competitive
whether to choose an engine               In its appeal, the frm           should be considered.’ But, he        with gas engines. ‘For us to
or a turbine,’ he continues. ‘In       said the tender’s provisions        cautions, ‘this is very diffcult to   grow,’ he says, ‘we’re looking
heat-driven systems, which             ‘state that only companies          generalise – it depends on the        to take market share away
tend to operate on constant            offering turbine technology         specifc project requirements.’        from Cummins, Caterpillar, GE,
loads, the turbine is likely to        may      participate    in    the       And he adds that ‘every-          MAN, MTU – engine competi-
                                                                           where you have large indus-           tors.’ In terms of gas turbines,
 Microturbines are predicted to gain a 24% market share by 2028
 Credit: Capstone Turbine                                                  trial-frame      combined-cycle       ‘as the market expands there’s
                                                                           projects, I simply cannot see         plenty of room for growth for
                                                                           gas engines taking that share         everyone. In the multi-billion
                                                                           of the market – it is economi-        dollar market that is CHP,
                                                                           cally and in CAPEX/OPEX               there’s lots of room for us to
                                                                           terms not favourable. However,        grow without our competitors
                                                                           for peaking applications there        being too impacted,’ he says.
                                                                           is a good opportunity for gas
                                                                           engines to take market share.’        This article is available
                                                                               Another area where gas            on-line. Please visit
                                                                           engines could have some               www.cospp.com

26      Cogeneration & On–Site Power Production | January - February 2015                                                          www.cospp.com
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