Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

        Road transport
        facts and figures
         How healthy and environmentally friendly
         is our transport today?

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

               Contents                          Introduction                                                      03
                                                 Exploration                                                       04
                                                 Transport                                                         08
                                                 Air pollution                                                     16
                                                 Greenhouse gas emissions                                          22
                                                 Traffic noise                                                     27
                                                 Physical (in)activity                                             33
                                                 Road safety                                                       40
                                                 Context                                                           46
                                                 Summary                                                           55
                                                 Acknowledgements                                                  57
                                                 References                                                        58

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Introduction
Our current system of                     policy-making, joint programming and        Although some promising trends have           further work in the decade to come on
tran­sport and mobility is                the exchange of practices. The idea is      been observed, traffic-related air            transforming the transport sector.
                                          that this eMagazine serves as a joint       pollu­tion, noise and road traffic injuries
not sustainable. Traffic is               point of reference for further work in      still contribute significantly to the         Data approach
the cause of several environ-             2020–2030.                                  disease burden in the European region,        Multiple data resources have been
mental, economic, social and                                                          with a disproportio­nate disease burden       used. For example, on a global scale,
                                          The eMagazine describes what we             in certain regions and less affluent          data have been used from the
health challenges. In this
                                          know about transport-related environ-       groups of society. Motorized road             International Monetary Fund (IMF),
eMagazine we describe the                 mental and health effects in the region     transport is also an important source of      World Bank, UNECE, International
current impacts of road                   today. It shows where progress has          greenhouse gas emissions. Finally, car        Transport Forum (ITF); and on a pan-
                                          been made and where further work            dependency, poor use of urban space           European level, from the European
transport based on the best
                                          needs to be done. Our story starts with     and lack of safety for cyclists and           Environmental Agency (EEA), European
knowledge available.                      some reflections on the main messages       pedestrians contribute to physical            Free Trade Association (EFTA) and
                                          and challenges, based on interviews         inactivity.                                   WHO. Priority has been given to the
This eMagazine has been developed         with Francesca Racioppi (WHO),                                                            best available data for the specific
under the framework of the Transport,     Robert Thaler (Chair of THE PEP) and        The eMagazine continues with some             themes. Due to the impact of the
Health and Environment Pan-European       Khatuna Gogaladze (former Minister          contextual descriptions to illuminate         COVID-19 pandemic, data have been
Programme (THE PEP), a programme          of Environment, Georgia).                   the differences between countries.            used for the year 2019 or most recent
of the United Nations Economic                                                        Learning from experiences and putting         year available.
Commission for Europe (UNECE) and         The actual facts and figures start with a   tailor-made policy instruments in place,
the WHO Regional Office for Europe        chapter with key facts about transport      means also understanding the context.         To develop the key messages, topic-
with a focus on road transport, serving   patterns and a description of some          Differences in economics (gross domes­-       specific meetings were organized in
and bringing together 56 countries in     promising strategies. It shows that         tic product (GDP)), income, population        2020 with experts from WHO, EEA,
the UNECE and WHO European region.        transport plays an essential role in our    density, geogra­phical conditions and         UNECE and the National Institute for
The ambition of THE PEP is to acceler-    societies and economies. Transport          land use are key factors to take into         Public Health and the Environment of
ate the transformation of the transport   provides access to jobs, education,         account, in order to build a programme        the Netherlands (RIVM). Where needed,
sector in the decade 2020–2030 to a       services, amenities and leisure, while      for cooperation and best-fitted approach­-    an additional evaluation of the litera-
cleaner and healthier system for our      contri­buting to economic growth,           es and solutions. Changes in mobility         ture was carried out. Contributions to
transport and mobility by bringing        employment and trade. At the same           due to COVID-19 are also discussed.           this eMagazine have been reviewed by
together knowledge from different         time, it has an impact on the environ-                                                    the experts and the Steering Group of
domains (transport, health and            ment and human health.                      We conclude with a summary of the key         THE PEP, looking at the matter in a
environment), working on integrated                                                   messages, which can serve as input for        more integrated way.

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Translating solid science into a passion for change
                                                                               Source of a wide variety of                “But”, says Robert Thaler, Chair of the
                                                                               challenges                                 Steering Committee of THE PEP, “when
                                                                               Mobility and transport play an essential   it comes to transport, we are actually
                                                                               role in our societies and economies.       dealing with more than 900 million
                                                                               The sector provides access to jobs,        stakeholders in the UNECE and WHO
                                                                               education, services, amenities and         European region. All residents feel like
                                                                               leisure, while contributing to economic    experts: as road users or passengers of
                                                                               growth, employment and trade. At the       public transport, of course, but also as
                                                                               same time, it has a deep and growing       a citizen who may experience negative
                                                                               impact on the environment and human        impacts – or both at the same time.
                                                                               health. Despite the technological,         Transport has an impact on everyone,
                                                                               political and social progress made, the    which makes the challenge of imple-
                                                                               current transport system and mobility      menting solutions for transport issues
                                                                               patterns remain unsustainable. Traffic     extremely difficult and a hot issue for
This eMagazine is about answering the question: How healthy                    remains the source of a wide range of      politics. There is a gap between the
and environmentally friendly is our transport today? It takes us               challenges at all levels of government.    scientific evidence that we have and
on a journey through facts and figures about the impacts of road                                                          what is actually perceived. Many people
                                                                               Everybody is an expert                     recognize noise as the biggest prob-
transport, different methodologies, strategies and practices for
                                                                               Within THE PEP, facts from research        lem, because they experience the direct
change. Before we dive into the data, let's talk to three experts
                                                                               and practice play a key role. They         relationship between traffic and noise.
who are closely involved in the field of THE PEP. Their vision on              support the efforts of Member States       But it is getting more complicated to
the issue underlines its importance and practical applicability.               when designing policies in the field of    address climate change and related
The facts and figures are not only about quantifying research and              transport, health and environment.         heat waves as a consequence of our
development, but also about smart and widely useful routes for                 These are complex, interrelated and        transport system. And that makes it
improvement. Francesca Racioppi, head of the WHO European                      dynamic themes. This makes it difficult    difficult to gain public support for
Centre for Environment and Health says: “As a scientist, I have                for policy-makers to decide where to       measures to combat emissions”.
                                                                               proceed and how to accelerate
been working on the mobility issue for a quarter of a century. In
                                                                               sustainable change. From a scientific      An uncomfortable truth
that role, you always look for evidence. However, the world does               point of view, we actually know quite      Looking at the facts, we see that there
not change through science alone, but through ambition, brought                well where and how we could make           is work to be done. When it comes
with passion. That is what we now advocate with THE PEP: we                    transport healthier, safer and more        to air pollution from road traffic, the
need to translate solid science into the passion for change”.                  environmentally friendly.                  impacts of air pollution by particulate

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

matter and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)             transport. About her time as minister,     gaps in data availability and quality,         number of city dwellers are positive
– typically associated with vehicle           she says: “We were working on an           which are important for a better               about change and want to embrace it”.
exhaust emissions – have decreased            ambitious strategic document and           understanding and comparison of data
due to policy measures like setting           action plan to reduce air pollution        between countries. Thus, there is              New mobility from Lisbon to Moscow
improved fuel quality- and emission           from transport. In the end, the plan       plenty of room for improvement here.           So there is movement and it extends
standards. Yet, for the whole of the          was drawn up, but I remember how                                                          everywhere, Thaler notes. “European
WHO European Region, WHO estima­              complicated it was to persuade             Setting the scene for a different              cities look at each other, find interest-
ted 509 000 premature deaths in 2016.         economic sector ministries to support      future                                         ing examples for a different approach
Road accidents contribute to more             it. They argued that proposed mea­         Francesca Racioppi recognizes what             and set to work. As a result, you see
than 110 000 deaths every year in the         sures, such as replacing old cars, would   Gogaladze and Thaler are saying:               more and more cities with, for example,
region. On average, this means one            harm poor people and may affect            “For the most part, there is a common          a bicycle sharing plan. In Rome and
person is killed every five minutes.          negatively the self-employed, for          understanding of what the right things         Moscow you will find bicycle sharing
At the same time, millions more are           example taxi drivers. It was difficult     are to do, but it remains very difficult to    these days”. At the same time, it is also
seriously injured in road accidents. In       to justify that poor environmental         actually do them. But things have              clear that there is still a long way to go.
addition, road transport is responsible       conditions increase inequality, and        changed in recent years. In urban              Cars remain by far the main means
for about a quarter of energy-related         low income people suffer more from         regeneration, more and more cities are         of transport if we look at the total
greenhouse gas emissions, thus                unhealthy air: they live in densely        considering cycling and walking as             of kilometres travelled. Khatuna
contributing to climate change and            populated parts of the city with limited   modes of transport, and quality of life        Gogaladze says: “A lot has to do with
increased global temperature. So              green spaces and they do not have          is being taken seriously. Some cities          behaviour and habit. A recent study
what prevents us from taking more             summer houses where they can let           have even made a real U-turn: Utrecht          shows that 20% of Georgians prefer to
appropriate and effective actions?            their children enjoy the outdoors”.        in the Netherlands is an important             take the car, even for distances shorter
                                                                                         example. There they had the courage            than 1.5 km”. This, she believes, is
Facts and assumptions                         Data availability and quality              to transform an inner-city motorway            partly due to the lack of infrastructure.
Khatuna Gogaladze has worked for              To allow for effective monitoring of       into a waterway and city park, giving          “Take our capital, Tbilisi, where about
various international organizations in        the impacts of transport and sound         back to people public space that can           1.3 million of Georgia's 3.7 million
different capacities as well as for the       decision-making, harmonized data on        be used to be more physically active,          inhabitants live. It is fully equipped for
Ministry of Environment and Natural           transport, environment and health is       to enjoy the health benefits of blue           car traffic. A cycle path has been built
Resources Protection of Georgia –             crucial. For all the themes addressed      and green spaces and to improve                in a few streets, but what are you
serving as minister in 2012–2014.             in this eMagazine, data is available       the quality of life in the city. This is the   supposed to do after that 1 km? Hang
As a minister, she has experienced that       at all levels of government, at our        challenge: to make people a bit more           your bike around your neck? ”
it is quite a struggle to rank facts before   institutions and in the private sector.    courageous and to get policy-makers
assumptions in the area of traffic and        However, there are also significant        to look at the long-term. A growing

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Taking stock of the lessons of              is no longer sacred and multimodality        increased productivity and lower           In Austria, where Thaler is Head of the
the crisis                                  is developing. For the young genera-         health-care costs related to non­          Division of Active Mobility and Mobility
According to Gogaladze, the assump-         tion digital access by smartphone is         communicable diseases. This shows,         Management in the Federal Ministry of
tion has always been that Tblisi's hilly    much more important than having              for example, a strong case for             Climate Action, Environment, Energy,
terrain is not suited very well for         a car. Sharing is the key word here          investing in promoting walking and         Mobility, Innovation and Technology,
cycling. However, this assumption was       and sharing systems are growing.             cycling in cities and beyond. Francesca    the instrument is used to shape
challenged last spring, when COVID-19       Nevertheless, beyond that, there is          Racioppi also points to another, less      cycling policy. Thaler: “THE PEP and its
responses brought car traffic and           often excessive car use in the outskirts     quantifiable, potential yield: “We all     partnerships are enabling the sharing
public transport to a standstill. “It was   and rural areas; here in Austria it is the   have one life to live. Who is happy to     of an enormous amount of practical
very surprising how many people then        most peripheral areas that have the          spend hours in traffic jams every day      knowledge of clean and active mobility
turned out to have a bicycle and used it    highest degree of car ownership,             or to breathe bad air? It is not without   that can be used by Member States in
to the full, now that it was safe. With a   because of poor public transport. Take,      reason that more and more young            their strategic initiatives and concrete
better infrastructure and, for example,     for example, the city of Vienna, which       people no longer have owning a car         work”.
a strong campaign to emphasize the          has a perfect balanced modal split with      as a priority – something that was
economic, health and environmental          more than 70% of Viennese people             unthinkable for a long time. In that       Multidisciplinary approach
benefits of cycling and active mobility     using walking, cycling and public            respect, we are facing a great             Racioppi, Gogaladze and Thaler agree
in general, I see room for improve-         transport. However, if you then look         opportunity in that things can be          on the important contribution THE PEP
ment. There is a lot of work to be done     at the commuter traffic by people            done differently and better”.              can make to the transformation of
if we want to encourage people to           from outside Vienna, it is almost the                                                   transport. Transforming the sector
switch to public transport or bicycles      opposite and is dominated by the car.        Practical knowledge put to use             requires a multidisciplinary approach.
more often. Public transport, for           We really have to work on a fair balance     That there is a different and better       Therefore, collaboration of decision-
example, must be comfortable,               between regions and cities when it           approach possible can be proven with       makers and experts in transport,
convenient and have good connectivity       comes to environmentally sound               data. Robert Thaler: “For example, I       environment, health, spatial planning
to make it competitive with private         mobility choices”.                           consider the development of the Health     and economy is crucial to design
cars. Otherwise it will be difficult to                                                  Economic Assessment Tool (HEAT) for        transport-related policies that deliver
achieve behavioural change”.                One life to live                             walking and for cycling a major success    benefits to environment, health,
                                            The facts and figures show that              of THE PEP. In that project, an inter­     well-being and climate simultaneously.
Tailor-made solutions are needed            investing in healthier and safer             national coalition of scientists made
Robert Thaler also points out the           mobility pays off in many ways. The          it possible to provide hard evidence       Moreover, international, cross-sectoral
difference between the cities and the       benefits of a shift towards more active      of the health and economic benefits        and multi-level (countries, regions and
regions. “In the cities you see the         mobility and public transport arise          of walking and cycling. That has now       cities) cooperation is needed to drive
movement that the position of the car       mainly from increased life expectancy,       really been made measurable”.              the change towards sustainable,

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

                                                                                   and to test new solutions. For example,
                                                                                   we have organized many workshops
                                                                                   and trainings with numerous countries,
                                                                                   where participants have experienced
                                                                                   that much more is possible than
                                                                                   initially assumed. By trial and error,
                                                                                   you can actually see that things can
                                                                                   be done differently. That facilitates
                                                                                   and promotes change”.

                                                                                   Khatuna Gogaladze also sees the
                                                                                   power of THE PEP in experimenting
                                                                                   and bringing different sectors together.
                                                                                   “Integrating transport, health, environ-
                                                                                   mental and quality of life objectives
                                                                                   into urban or any other development
                                                                                   policies is the way forward. THE PEP
                                                                                   gives the opportunity to countries to
                                                                                   learn from each other. It produces clear
                                                                                   recommendations and equips coun-
environmentally friendly and healthy      in public space. It's about the          tries with useful tools. It is up to us how
transport. Robert Thaler: “This inter-    combination of mobility management,      we use these opportunities and
sectoral approach is very important.      pricing, technology and user             whether we follow the path paved by
There is too much silo thinking. THE      perspective”.                            other countries”. Thaler adds: “That is
PEP brings together sectors that often                                             indeed attractive about THE PEP. We
oppose each other. That is also what      Inspire and raise awareness              work as partners on real products and
we need: we need the full picture for     Francesca Racioppi sees THE PEP as       that is a lot more pleasant than just
a holistic approach and not just the      a joint platform for inspiration and     talking and producing paper. Countries
classic technological perspective.        change. “THE PEP brings together         that are actively involved in THE PEP
Technology always has a drawback.         a wide community of people, which        really get something in return.”
Take, for instance, electric cars. This   normally would not meet each other
does not solve the space problems         and are eager to learn from each other

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

 Transport and mobility
   Transport is about moving people and goods in the most effective and
   efficient way. Transport is not a purpose in itself; it is in support of other
   activities like working, socializing or studying and, as such, is an integrated
   part of our daily life. For many transport professionals, accessibility and
   tackling congestion are the main challenges, giving priority to the work on
   appropriate infrastructure investments, with efforts on capacity, reliability and
   efficiency. Regulatory and policy frameworks are guiding vehicle emissions
   and use of space and safety. Moreover, transport professionals work on the
   demand and supply for transport, with factors like travel time, convenience
   and pricing. Nowadays, there is a growing support for multimodality and safe
   and attractive spaces for walking and cycling.

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

The challenge
The growing demand for mobility             is changing, mobility will increase as     region, with the highest cycling shares       and walk more than the national
Mobility is an essential part of modern     more people and goods move across          in the Netherlands and Denmark, and           average.
society; it has a positive impact on        towns and across the globe.                the highest walking shares in Spain.
prosperity and well-being. Every day                                                                                                 Even in the cycling countries, a further
billions of trips are made worldwide.       Different cities, different options        In 2016, the modal share of cycling in        growth is possible. Expanding dedi-
For example, on average European            Worldwide, about 7.5 billion trips were    the Netherlands was 27% of all trips          cated cycling lanes, mass bike parkings
Union (EU) citizens travel 12 000 km        made every day in urban areas in 2005.     made, and this was 7% for Austria (2).        at train stations, high-speed bicycle
per year.                                   The share of daily trips made by public    In many countries the share of cycling        connections between urban and
                                            transport was about 16%, walking           is much lower though (1–2%).                  peri-urban areas, as well as fiscal
In the next decades, most scenarios         and cycling about 37%, and private         Although these numbers appear low,            incentives and cycle-promoting
predict a continuously growing world        motorized cars about 47%.                  many cities have seen a growth in             programmes of employers, are
population, an increase in welfare and                                                 cycling in recent years. In cities with       just some of the stimulating examples
further changing mobility and trans-        Cycling and walking shares differ          a dense public transport network and          for a further growth in cycling.
port patterns. The world of transport       across the UNECE and WHO European          a safe cycling network, people cycle

The projected growth of the transport sector

   +50% +70% +1.2bil.
  By 2030, annual passenger traffic will    By 2030, global freight volumes have      By 2050, an additional 1.2 billion cars will
  exceed 80 trillion passenger-kilometres   grown by 70% compared to 2015.            be on the road – double today’s total.
  – a 50% increase compared to 2015.

Source: Sustainable Mobility for All (1).

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Road transport facts and figures - THE PEP
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Evolving challenges for transport             It should be noted that the “predict and                  This approach should encompass a                         the further growth of unsustainable
professionals                                 provide” approach is still widely used in                 key role for more conscious consumer                     forms of mobility. Spatial planning that
What is the best way to travel between        a number of countries at the state level                  choice regarding modes of travel.                        favours a dense public transport
A and B? That is a key question for           and has not yet become “a thing of                        For this, the mobility system must                       network, safe and attractive cycling and
many transport planners, researchers          the past”. In some cases, or in some                      be coherent and robust, and all the                      walking paths and combines functions
and policy-makers. Their work is to           countries (e.g. when the road infra-                      modalities must be sufficiently                          (housing, working, services) contributes
understand mobility, from both a              structure is not sufficiently developed),                 solid to form convenient, reliable and                   to sustainable mobility.
traveller (travel time, distance travelled,   this approach may be justified.                           affordable alternatives. This approach
reliability, comfort and experience) and                                                                can be supported by mobility manage-                     Compared space-time consumption
systemsperspective (accessibility,            In current policies, the emphasis is                      ment measures like teleworking, rush                     Cars and roads take up a lot of the
investments and land use) at accept-          shifting again. Nowadays, the approach                    hour avoidance and an increasing                         public space in cities: a car occupies
able costs and benefits for society.          is often to provide multimodal acces-                     role for digital services (Mobility as                   2.5 times more space than a cyclist
                                              sibility and to limit the negative impacts                a Service). Finally, an increasingly                     does, 5 times more than a pedes­-
Mobility policy used to be based on a         of car mobility, by facilitating high                     important role has been set aside                        trian and 10 times more than a user
“predict and provide” approach, which         quality alternatives to mobility by car.                  for spatial planning in the limitation of                of public transport at peak hours.
identified bottlenecks, set priorities
and, as far as possible, expanded road
and rail capacity. In this context, modes     Space differences compared to pedestrian
like public transport mainly had a social
                                                                                                              5                        5
function. When interests in the
development of land use began to play                                                        2
                                                                       1                                                                                          1.4                        1.4
a part, this approach came under                                                                                                                                         0.5                        0.5
increasing pressure. As a result, the
perception changed; the growing
mobility no longer had to be merely                             Pedestrian         Cyclist            Two-wheeled                Car                  Bus (12m)                  Articulated bus (18m)
                                                                                                      motor vehicles
facilitated. People started to think of                                                                                                                      Peak hour                  Peak hour

how to shape mobility to improve              m2-h/vehicle km    0.3                0.6              1.7                         1.8                  7      7                   10     10
accessibility while reducing the costs        Occupation rate    1                  1                1.05                        1.3                  17     50                  23     70
and negative impacts. At that time, in
                                              m -h/traveller km 0.3
                                               2
                                                                                   0.6               1.6                         1.4                  0.3    0.15                0.3    0.15
many countries, the realization of a
modal shift from car to public transport
                                              Note: The traffic demand for space-time of circulation is expressed in square meters per hour (m2-h).
became one of the leading policy
objectives.                                   Source: International Transport Forum (3).

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Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Modal split in passenger- and freight transport
Passenger transport
The car remains the main mode of
transport across the wider UNECE
                                                          Cars                                Railways                            Motor coaches, trolleybuses and buses
and WHO European region. UNECE
data shows that the share of passenger
transport by car, expressed as the
percentage of the total passenger-       Share of passenger road vehicle transport
kilometres travelled in that year,       in % of the total km travelled for the EU-28
decreased slightly between 2000 and      2018
2018 in the region as a whole, and
                                                                                             83.3%                                                             8.0%        8.7%
increased slightly in that same period
in the EU-28 Member States. The
figures show that car use remained       2000
dominant throughout the period.                                                              82.5%                                                           7.1%         10.4%
In contrast, for example in a country
like Germany, a quarter of all trips     Source: Based on EEA (4).
are made on foot. However, since the
distance travelled on foot is limited,
the contribution to total kilometres     Share of passenger road vehicle transport
travelled is limited (4).                in % of the total km travelled for the UNECE region
                                         2018
                                                                                             89.0%                                                             2.3%       8.0%

                                         2000
                                                                                             93.0%                                                                    1.6% 5.0%

                                         Note: Differences have been rounded because of aggregated data from different sources.

                                         Source: UNECE (5).

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Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Mobility in urban areas                      Mobility in urban areas: different modal splits in cities and in their larger urban zones in 2018
The figure shows the modal split in
                                             Modal share         In the city centre
10 different urban areas in number of        of journeys
                                                                 In the broader urban area
trips made. It shows the variety of
modal shares between different cities                               %                              %                        %
                                                                    cycling/walking                public transport         rest motorized modes
and shows differences within cities.
Most walking and cycling took place in       Amsterdam                                    58%              16%                          26%
the inner city, and a larger share of car                                               49%               13%                             34%

mobility was in the broader urban area.
It also shows that in cities with a higher   Barcelona                                   55%                  30%                 15%
                                                                                       44%                 18%                            36%
share in bike-ridership, the use of
public transport has lower shares of
                                             Berlin                                    42%                  25%                          33%
trips made.
                                                                                      37%                  19%                             44%

                                             Oslo                                      34%                        36%                    31%
                                                                                27%                             28%                         45%

                                             Madrid                               35%                          34%                       31%
                                                                                  34%                        25%                           40%

                                             London                             28%                              37%                      36%
                                                                                28%                              37%                      36%

                                             Copenhagen                                      63%          13%                        24%
                                                                                      41%                10%                                    49%

                                             Warsaw                           21%                                   47%                  32%
                                                                               25%                                40%                     35%

                                             Helsinki                                  44%                    31%                       25%
                                                                                      38%                   22%                            39%

                                             Source: Based on EMTA (6).

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Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

             Modal split freight                                             Modal split freight
             Total land freight transport by road,
             rail and waterways has grown steadily,                                                                2500                                                                                                                                                                                  100
             as a result of economic growth and
             global trade in most countries of the
             region with a short dip caused by the
             2008 financial crisis. In the EU, for                                                                 2000                                                                                                                                                                                  80

             example, the total road freight

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Share of freight transported (%)
             volumes in 2017 were around one
                                                                            Billion tonne-kilometres (tkm)
                                                                                                                                                                                       100
             quarter higher than in 2000. The
             amount of freight transported by rail                                                                 1500                                                                                                                                                                                  60

             in the EU-28 has grown during recent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Modal split between freight
             years, but is still below the peak                                                                                                                                        80                                                                                                                                                         transported by road and rail
             recorded in 2007. In 2017, rail freight                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              in billion tonne-kilometres (tkm
                                                                                                                   1000                                                                                                                                                                                  40                                           Rail
             transport demand increased by 2.2%

                                                                                                                                                                                             Share of freight transported (%)
                                                                              100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Inland waterways
             compared with the previous year.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Road
                                                                                                                                                                                       60
             The amount of freight transported                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Freight transport volume by ro
                                                                                                                                    500                                                                                         Modal split between freight                                              20
             by inland waterways was stable in                                80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                transported by road and rail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  and modal split within the EU (

             the EU-28.                                                                                                                                                                                                         in billion tonne-kilometres (tkm)                                                                                     Road EU-28
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Rail EU-28
                                                                                                             Share of freight transported (%)

                                                                                                                                                                                       40                                             Rail
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Inland waterways
                                                                                                                                                 0                                                                                    Road                                                               0
                                                                              60                                                                       ‘95     ‘00   ‘01   ‘02   ‘03   ‘04                           ‘05        ‘06    ‘07   ‘08   ‘09   ‘10   ‘11   ‘12   ‘13   ‘14   ‘15   ‘16   ‘17

                                                                                                                                                      Modal split between freight 20                                            Freight transport volume by road
                                                                                                                                                      transported by road and rail                                              and modal split within the EU (%)
                                                                                                                                                      in billion tonne-kilometres (tkm)                                               Road EU-28
                                                                              40                                                                             Rail                                                                     Rail EU-28
                                                                                                                                                             Inland waterways
                                                                                                                                                             Road
                                                                                                                                                                                       0
‘00    ‘01    ‘02    ‘03    ‘04    ‘05    ‘06    ‘07    ‘08    ‘09    ‘10                   ‘11                                                 ‘12    ‘13     ‘14   ‘15   ‘16   ‘17

                                                                              Source: EEA (4).
                                                                              20          Freight transport volume by road
                                                                                          and modal split within the EU (%)
                                                                                                                                                             Road EU-28
                                                                                                                                                             Rail EU-28

                                                                              0
07    ‘08    ‘09    ‘10    ‘11    ‘12    ‘13    ‘14    ‘15    ‘16    ‘17
                    13
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Perspectives
Safe, healthy and affordable solutions              walking, related to new concepts for       To “shift” is to move towards environ-     Their report on first/last/only mile
are available – just not widely imple-              urban development.                         mentally friendly modes of transport,      options for passenger and freight
mented. Moreover, there is a rich range                                                        which is about walking, cycling or         transport, describes urban mobility
of resources on sustainable mobility                The “Avoid-Shift-Improve”                  public transport. Finally, to “improve”,   and policy contexts and presents the
and transport. We have selected a few               strategy                                   is about occupancy rate, about vehicle     current state of knowledge. This is a
key approaches, strategic concepts and              In the 1990s, the “Avoid-Shift-Improve”    and energy efficiency and about data       good reference for all professionals
trends for the transformation of the                strategy was introduced by the German      sources on travel information.             working on, for example, parking and
sector, to inspire those who would like             government in order to provide a                                                      cycling policies, environmental zones
to work on the alternatives. We see                 concept to deliver on sustainable          The first and the last mile                and the role of micro-mobility in cities.
changes in mobility management                      transport goals (7). To “avoid” is about   Making a transport system efficient
approaches, other transport options                 reducing the length and the number         means bringing together people or          Building back better with a
in cities (last mile options) and an                of trips, and making it easier to          goods as early as possible in their        “15-minute city”
increasing attention on cycling and                 avoid travel, like working from home.      journey (8). Transporting them sepa-       In a “15-minute city”, everyone is able
                                                                                               rately implies a loss of efficiency and    to meet most, if not all, of their
                                                                                               often increases negative environmental     needs within a short walk or bike ride
                     Avoid-Shift-Improve approach                                              impacts. However, people or goods          from their home (9). This helps to
                                                                                               rarely travel only between two mass        reduce unnecessary travel across cities,
                                                                                               transport hubs or stops. That is where     provides more public space, injects life
                                                                                               studying the first and last mile options   into local high streets, strengthens the
      Avoid/Reduce                    Shift/Maintain                         Improve           come in. Such options allow people or      sense of community, promotes health
                                                                                               goods to travel between their starting     and well-being, boosts resilience to
                                                                                               point (origin) and the start hub and/      ill-health and climate shocks, and
           Reduce or                    Shift to maintain               Improve the energy     or between the end hub and their           improves cities’ sustainability and
         avoid the need                   share of more                    of transport
                                                                                               destination. At the same time, they        liveability.
            to travel                   environmentally                  modes and vehicle
                                         friendly modes                    technology          make the transport system as efficient
                                                                                               as possible from a financial, resource
                                                                                               use and environmental point of view,
                                                                                               while meeting any convenience
           System                             Trip                            Vehicle          requirements. The EEA (9) has
          efficiency                       efficiency                        efficiency        conducted some excellent work on
                                                                                               understanding this concept better.
      Source: Based on Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) (7).

    14
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

The core principles of a 15-minute city       At the same time, new technologies          Expected number of electric car models available in Europe
are that residents of all neighbourhoods:     create new impacts on urban planning,       in late 2019 and in 2021
• have easy access by foot or bicycle         health and the environment. A shift
  to essential living needs;                  towards electric cars does not provide                                           End of 2019                    2021
• have a variety of housing types, of         the health benefits of shifting to active
  different sizes and levels of afford­       transport. To maximize the benefits of
  ability, to accommodate many types          a real sustainable system, indirect
  of households and enable more people        effects should be addressed at an early                          Total       98                                 214
  to live closer to where they work;          stage (e.g. improving the composition
• are able to breathe clean air, free         of batteries, working conditions in
  of harmful air pollutants;                  manufacturing and the energy used).
• have green spaces for everyone              The uptake of electric vehicles should            Volkswagen Group                                    23                            41
  to enjoy;                                   ideally go hand in hand with policy
                                                                                                            Daimler                      14                             23
• have smaller-scale offices, retail and      approaches on the well-to-wheels chain
  hospitality, and co-working spaces          (resources), circular economy (produc-                   BMW Group                        12                         21
  so that more people can work close          tion methods and recycling), energy                      Hyundai-Kia                  12                        18
  to home or remotely.                        transition (source of power, energy
                                              efficiency) and active transport.             Peugeot-Citroen-Opel                    9                    17
The rise of electric vehicles                                                                      Renault-Nissan-
                                                                                                                                7                       17
                                                                                                       Mitsubishi
A pathway towards zero-emission               The latest figures on charging stations
solutions has evolved through the             (https://www.eafo.eu) give an impres-                     Volvo-Geely            6                    16

intro­duction of electric vehicles, with      sion of the emerging market for electric          Jaguar-Land Rover          5                       16
also ”shift” potential of electrification     cars in our region. Nowadays, all car
                                                                                                               Tesla       4                   15
in public transport, rail freight, motor-     manu­facturers offer electric models
cycles and bikes. This represents a           and countries are stimulating the roll                  Toyota-Lexus         4                  13
significant turning point towards an          out of the required charging
                                                                                                                Ford   1            8
irreversible end to the use of fossil fuels   infrastructure.
in transport.                                                                                                Others    1       5

                                                                                                       Fiat Chrysler       4

                                                                                                                         * Includes
                                                                                          Note: Includes plug-in hybrid and            plug-in
                                                                                                                            fully electric     hybrid and fully electric models
                                                                                                                                           models.

                                                                                          Source: Reproduced under creative commons from Transport and Environment (10).

    15
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

                                                                               Air pollution
                                                                                 Road transport leads to both exhaust and non-exhaust (brake, tyre, road wear)
                                                                                 emissions of air pollutants. Air pollution is a major cause of premature death
                                                                                 and disease and is the single largest environmental health risk in Europe.
                                                                                 WHO provides guideline values to protect health, which will be revised in the
                                                                                 near future. However, current concentration levels are generally above these
                                                                                 recommended guideline levels. Emissions from transport have decreased, but
                                                                                 passenger and freight volumes have been gradually increasing. Still, in 2018,
                                                                                 74% of the EU urban population breathed air that exceeded the particulate
                                                                                 matter 2.5 micron (PM2.5) WHO Air Quality Guideline (AQG); 99% was exposed
                                                                                 to ozone levels above WHO AQG. Traffic-related air pollution also has negative
                                                                                 impacts on ecosystems. Additional reduction measures can further improve
                                                                                 human health, especially within urban areas.

    16
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary
                                              EEA category                           Origin
                                                   Passenger cars
                                                                                                Engine exhaust
                                                   Light duty vehicles
                                                   Heavy duty vehicles and buses                Tyre and brake wear
                                                   Mopeds and motorcycles
What we know                                       Other road transport                         Road abrasion

Emissions from road traffic               Emissions from road transport in 2018 (% per air pollutant)
Road transport leads to both exhaust
and non-exhaust (brake, tyre, road                             PM10                                     PM2.5
                                                                                                                                        EEA category                             Orig
wear) emissions of air pollutants (11).
                                                   66%                    16%             48%                     25%                      Passenger cars
The most important emissions are
                                                                                                                                           Light duty vehicles
particulate matter (black carbon,
                                                                                                                                           Heavy duty vehicles and buses
primary PM2.5, primary PM10), nitrogen                                          8%                                                         Mopeds and motorcycles
oxides (NOx), and non-methane volatile                                                                                                     Other road transport
organic compounds (NMVOC). Primary                                             9%                                       11%
pollutants are directly emitted to the                                         1%                                                    Emissions from road transport in 2018 (% per
atmosphere, whereas secondary                                                                                          14%
pollutants are formed in the atmos-                                                                    2%                                              PM10
                                                                                              EEA category                              Origin
phere through chemical reactions and
                                                                 NOx                                   NMVOC
                                                                                                 Passenger cars                            66%                       16%
microphysical processes from gaseous                                                                                                                Engine exhaust
                                                                                                 Light duty vehicles
precursors. NOx emissions determine
                                                                                                 Heavy duty vehicles and buses                      Tyre and brake wear
the population exposure to NO2, but                 32%         1%        48%             29%Mopeds and motorcycles
                                                                                                            39%                                                            8%
also contribute to the formation of                                                                                                                 Road abrasion
                                                                                                 Other road transport
secondary PM2.5 and PM10 and,                                                                                                                                             9%
together with NMVOC, to ozone                                                          Emissions from road transport in 2018 (% per air pollutant)                        1%
formation (12).
                                                                                                             PM10                                           PM2.5
For long-term exposure, particulate
                                                                                                                                                         NOx
matter (measured and modelled as                                                         19% 66%                       6% 16%                 48%                     25%

black carbon, PM2.5 and PM10) and                               19%                                     7%
NO2 are the most used indicators for                                                                                            8%          32%         1%          48%
the air pollution mixture. For short-     Source: Based on EEA (13).
term exposure, ozone is a relevant air                                                                                        9%                                           11%
pollutant generated in the atmosphere                                                                                         1%
from emissions of its precursors
                                                                                                                                                                       14%
including those from road traffic.                                                                                                                          2%
                                                                                                               NOx                                          NMVOC
                                                                                                                                                        19%

                                                                                                  32%         1%         48%                   29%                    39%
    17
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

 Development in emissions of pollutants

                    160

                    140

                    120
Index (% of 2000)

                    100                                                                                                        Black carbon
                                                                                                                               Carbon monoxide
                     80
                                                                                                                               NMVOC

                     60                                                                                                        NOX
                                                                                                                               PM2.5
                     40
                                                                                                                               PM10
                     20                                                                                                        Passenger
                                                                                                                               transport
                      0                                                                                                        Freight
                                                                                                                               transport
                          2000   2002        2004         2006          2008         2010          2012   2014   2016   2018

  Note: Only pollutants are shown for which road transport contributed more than 5% of the total EU-28
  emissions in 2018. For comparison, passenger transport (pkm) and freight transport (tkm) are shown.

  Source: Reproduced from EEA (12).

                     18
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

The impact
Health effects                                   are emitted near breathing height.          Vulnerable groups and health effects of air pollution
Air pollution is a major cause of                Emissions from transport have
prema­ture death and disease and is the          decreased, but volumes of passenger          Who is more affected
single largest environmental health risk         and road freight transport have been
in Europe. Heart disease and stroke are          gradually increasing. In 2018, a
the most common reasons for the prema­-          significant proportion of agricultural
ture deaths attributable to air pollution,       areas and natural ecosystems were
followed by lung diseases and lung               damaged by air pollution. The air
cancer (12). The exposure burden of              pollutants that currently cause most         People with chronic lung/ Elderly               Children         Pregnant        Deprived (urban)
higher pollutants falls disproportion­-          damage to eco­­systems are ozone,            heart disease, diabetes                                          women           communities
ally on different social groups (14). The        ammonia and NOX. Ground-level ozone
                                                                                                 Mortality                                                 Morbidity
International Agency for Research on             can damage crops, forests and other
                                                                                                           Premature death                                             Reduced lung function,
Cancer has classified air pollution in           vegetation, impairing their growth and
                                                                                                           due to heart                                                respiratory infections and
general, as well as particulate matter           affecting biodiversity. The deposition                    disease and stroke                                          aggravated asthma and
as a major component of air pollution            of nitrogen compounds can cause                                                                                       chronic bronchitis in both
                                                                                                                                                                       children and adults
mixtures, as carcinogenic.                       eutrophication, an over­supply of
                                                                                                           Premature death                                             Hospitalizations with
                                                 nutrients. Eutrophication can affect
                                                                                                           due to lung disease                                         cardiovascular disease or
Exposure and impacts on ecosystems               terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems and                    and lung cancer                                             respiratory disease
Transport continues to be a significant          leads to changes in species diversity
source of harmful air pollution,                 and invasions by new species.                                                                                         Impact on fertility,
                                                                                                           Post-neonatal death                                         pregnancy, newborns
especially as NO2 and particulate matter                                                                   (age 1–12 months)                                           and children

Health effects of air pollution (2018)                                                                                                                                 Type 2 diabetes, obesity,
                                                                                                                                                                       systemic inflammation
                           PM2.5                 NO2                   Ozone
                           Estimated Years of    Estimated Years of    Estimated Years of                                                                              Alzheimer's disease
                           premature life lost   premature life lost   premature life lost                                                                             and dementia
                           deaths                deaths                deaths

EU-28                      379 000    4 381 000 54 000      610 000 19 400        232 000    Sources: Based on WHO Regional Office for Europe (15) and EEA (12).

41 countries       417 000            4 806 000 55 000      624 000 20 600        247 000
covered by the EEA

Source: Adapted from EEA (12).

     19
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

What are we facing?
Air pollution concentration levels are    Premature deaths attributable to           Percentage of the population exposed to concentrations
generally above the guideline levels      exposure to ground-level ozone have        above certain air pollution levels
recommended by WHO. For example,          increased by 20% in the 41 countries
in 2018, 74% of the EU urban popula-      covered by the EEA, and by 24% in            2018          EU-28 urban              Urban population         Reporting stations             Reporting stations
                                                                                                     population expo-         exposure to              that registered                that registered
tion breathed air that exceeded the       the EU-28.                                                 sure to concen-          concentrations           concentrations                 concentrations
                                                                                                     trations above           above WHO AQG            above EU                       above WHO AQG
PM2.5 WHO AQG; 99% was exposed to                                                                    EU standards (a)         value                    standards (a)                  value
ozone levels above the WHO AQG.           A switch to electric vehicles will not
The high exposure to air pollutants of    solve the problem of particulate matter,     PM10                        15%                     48%                        19%                          53%
people living along busy roads is not     since other sources (asphalt, tyres,
reflected in the average exposure of      industry, agriculture and natural
the population.                           sources) also contribute to particulate                                                                      20 EU Member                   All countries except
                                                                                                                                                       States and 6 other             Estonia, Iceland and
                                          matter exposure.                                                                                             countries                      Ireland
Although exposure levels and impacts
from particulate matter and NO2 have                                                   PM2.5                       4%                      74%                        4%                           70%
decreased, air pollution still has a
significant health impact and is the
                                                                                                                                                       6 EU Member                    All countries except
single largest environmental risk in                                                                                                                   States and 2 other             Estonia, Finland
Europe. For the whole of the WHO                                                                                                                       countries                      Iceland and Ireland

European Region, WHO estimates that                                                                                34%                     99%                        41%                          96%
                                                                                       O3
509 000 premature deaths per year are
attributable to ambient air pollution,
measured as particulate matter of                                                                                                                      20 EU Member States
2.5 microns in aerodynamic diameter                                                                                                                    and 5 other countries

(PM2.5) in 2016 (16). The EEA estimates
                                                                                                                   4%                       4%                        8%                           8%
that attributable to PM2.5 417 000 died                                                NO2
prematurely and over 4.8 million years
of life were lost every year based on
                                                                                                                                                       16 EU Member                   16 EU Member
2018 data covering 41 countries (12).                                                                                                                  States and 3 other             States and 3 other
                                                                                                           (b)                      (b)                countries (b)                  countries (b)

The estimated numbers of premature                                                    (a)  Thefollowing
                                                                                         The
                                                                                     (a)	     following EU
                                                                                                         EU standards
                                                                                                            standardsare
                                                                                                                      areconsidered:
                                                                                                                          considered:PMPM
                                                                                                                                       10
                                                                                                                                          daily limitlimit
                                                                                                                                             daily
                                                                                                                                              10
                                                                                                                                                       value,
                                                                                                                                                           value, PM  2.5
                                                                                                                                                                            annual limit value,
                                                                                            PM   annual limit value, O target value, NO annual limit value.
deaths attributed to PM2.5 and to                                                        O3 target
                                                                                              2.5
                                                                                                       value, NO2 annual3
                                                                                                                            limit value. 2
                                                                                       (bFor
                                                                                         ) ForNO
                                                                                     (b)	      NO22,,the
                                                                                                       the EU annuallimit
                                                                                                           EU annual  limitvalue
                                                                                                                             value and
                                                                                                                                 and    the
                                                                                                                                      the   WHO
                                                                                                                                          WHO   AQG
                                                                                                                                              AQG are are the same.
                                                                                                                                                      the same.
NO2-exposure have declined since 2009
by 13% and 56% respectively.                                                         Source: Based on EEA (12).

    20
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

Perspective on solutions                                                                       A combined effort in urban planning, technical measures, regulation
                                                                                                and changes in behaviour is urgently needed to reduce air pollution.

    Less/cleaner emissions                                                                      Modal shift

                                                                                                Reduce journey times
                                                                                                of public transport
                                                                                                                                              The elimination of polluting vehicles
                                                                                                Low emission zone                             and the increase in electric vehicles
                                                                                                                                              will reduce air pollution emissions.

   Governments can reduce air pollution by
   emission regulation and policies to stimulate
   the use of cleaner alternatives. Cities and
   regions can develop urban policies that reduce
   car use (e.g. compact cities or 15-minute cities).

   Use of bio-                            Reduce                              Change the        Minimize the availability of
   fuels or move                          traffic density                     vehicle fleet     parking places
   towards zero-                                                              (less old cars)                                                 Synergetic and
   emissions                                                                                                                                  antagonistic effects
                                                                                                    ?
                                                                                                                                              Introducing zero-emission
                                                                                                                                              vehicles may lead to an increase
                                                                                                                                              in emissions from the energy
    Promote                                                                                     Change the                     Reduce lanes   supply sector.
    active                                                                                      allocation of the              for cars
    mobility                                                                                    roads permanently:
                                          Encourage higher penetration        Limit
                                          of cleaner (Euro 6/electric) cars   traffic speed
                                                                                                Increase space for
    Promote public transport
                                                                                                cyclists and public
                                                                              100
                                                                                          80    transport

                                                                                                Replace parking
                                                                                                places with green
                                                                                                areas for recreation

Source: Adapted from EEA (12).

     21
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

                                                                               Greenhouse gas emissions
                                                                                 Greenhouse gas emissions contribute to climate change. The energy use of
                                                                                 road transport is one of the largest contributors to greenhouse gas emissions,
                                                                                 responsible for about 20% of all such emissions in 2018 for the EU alone. On a
                                                                                 global scale, transport emits around 23% of the energy-related carbon dioxide
                                                                                 (CO2) that feeds global warming. Without immediate action, its share could
                                                                                 reach 40% by 2030. Currently, the rise in transport volumes out­weighs
                                                                                 improvements in vehicle energy efficiency. Without a global decrease in the
                                                                                 use of fossil fuels, temperatures will further rise with worldwide effects. The
                                                                                 projected increase in greenhouse gas emissions will lead to more damage to
                                                                                 our environment, our homes, and the health and well-being of our citizens.
                                                                                 As signatories of the Paris Agreement on climate change, all UNECE and WHO
                                                                                 European region countries have committed to contribute to global efforts to
                                                                                 limit climate change to below 2 ºC.

    22
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

What we know
Energy use of road transport is                   greenhouse gases emitted by vehicles         transport modes. The largest increases                                     Greenhouse gases emitted differ
one of the largest contributors                   are CO2 and methane (CH4).                   up to 2030 are projected for the aviation                                  between specific fossil fuels types used
of greenhouse gases                                                                            sector, followed by inter­national                                         in road transport. Diesel causes less
The use of fossil fuel in transport               Between 1990 and 2018, greenhouse            maritime transport. These sub-sectors                                      carbon emissions per kilometre than
causes greenhouse gas emissions.                  gas emissions from road transport            are therefore expected to constitute a                                     petrol, but causes more emissions of
Amounts are influenced by vehicle-                increased in most countries. In parti­       higher proportion of transport sector                                      air pollutants. In 2018, the sales of
kilometres driven on the one hand and             cular, in the EU they increased by 20%.      emissions in the coming years. The                                         petrol cars exceeded those of diesel
improvements in energy efficiency                 This was due to a rise in transport          number of vehicle-kilometres is still                                      cars (60%/40%).
of vehicles on the other. The main                volumes that has outweighed improve-         growing and is projected to grow for the
                                                  ments in vehicle efficiency. Emissions       next 20 years due to increasing incomes
Road transport emissions                          from maritime transport and aviation         and trade, despite the current dip
                                                  have also increased since 1990.              because of COVID-19 measures.

                                                  Road transport emissions showed a
                                                  decline between 2007 and 2013 due            Direct emissions                                           Indirect emissions
                                                                                                                                                           Direct emissions
   Light duty       Motorcycles       Passenger
    vehicles                             cars     to the economic recession, high oil               900900
                       1%
     12%                               60%        prices and improvements in energy
                                                                                                    800800
                                                  efficiency. But, due to economic growth

                                                                                            Million tonnes CO2 equivalents
                                                  and declining oil prices, emissions               700700
                                                  increased again between 2013 and                  600600
                 Greenhouse gas                   2017; transport was the fastest
                emissions from road               growing source of greenhouse gas                  500500
                     transport                                                                                                400
                                                  emissions in the EU. While green­­-               400
                                                  house gas emissions declined in most                                        300
                                                                                                    300
                                                  sectors in the EU in these years,
                                                                                                                              200
                                                  emissions from transport increased.               200
   Heavy duty                                                                                                                 100
    vehicles                                                                                        100
      27%                                         Road transport constitutes the highest                                        0
                                                                                                                             0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
                                                  proportion of overall transport
                                                                                                                             1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
                                                                                                                                                                Number of years
                                                  emissions (around 71% in 2018), but
                                                  this is projected to decrease in the                                              Transportation   Industry       Residential     Commercial      Other sectors

                                                  next 15 years, since road transport
Source: Based on EEA (17).                        decarbonizes faster than the other           Source: Based on EEA (18).

     23
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

The impact
Greenhouse gas emissions have                         Increasing summer temperatures will         precipitation patterns, including               level and as such influences air
far-reaching consequences for our                     lead to an increase in heat-related         drought conditions, affect the quantity,        pollution levels. Thus, greenhouse gas
environment and health                                morbidity and mortality. Increased          quality and stability of food production.       emissions also contribute to respiratory
Global emissions of greenhouse                        health risks are expected to be the         Drought frequency is also projected to          disease from smog and air pollution.
gases cause climate change. They will                 greatest in the southern parts of           increase in central and western Europe,
increase climate hazards in Europe                    Europe and within cities (heat islands).    whereas it may decrease in some limited         Climate change tends to affect
during the 21st century and beyond,                   In northern Europe cold-related             regions of northern Europe. Cascading           vulnerable groups the most. The
such as droughts, with consequences                   morbidity and mortality is expected         impacts of climate change from outside          number of climate refugees will
for food production, vector borne                     to decrease. Increasing temperatures        Europe may affect agricultural income           increase if no worldwide mitigation
diseases and allergies; heavy rains and               could also stimulate new and existing       and price levels in Europe through              and adaptation measures are
flash floods; forest fires; and sea level             vector borne diseases.                      changes in trade patterns.                      taken (20).
rise. Storms and heavy rains and flash
floods could occur in many parts of                   Rising atmospheric CO2 concen­trations,     CO2 contributes to the production of
Europe.                                               higher temperatures and changes in          ozone by trapping radiation at ground

Surface air temperature anomaly for                                                  Below average over           Above average over
                                                                                     the north Atlantic           virtually all of Europe, more
January–December 2020                                                                west of Ireland              so in the north and east

C
0                      7                   Below average,                                                                                                   Most above the average
                                           particularly parts                                                                                               over a large part of
                       6                   of western Canada                                                                                                Siberia and the seas
Above average                                                                                                                                               to the north
                       4
                                           Above average over                                                                                               Below average,
                       2                   most other areas                                                                                                 particularly parts of
                                           of land and ocean                                                                                                northern India
Average                0

                      -2
                                           Below average
                                                                                                                                                            Below average over
                      -4                   over the eastern
                                                                                                                                                            several oceanic areas in
Below average                              equatorial Pacific
                                                                                                                                                            the southern hemisphere
                      -6

                      -7

Source: Reproduced from Copernicus (19).

     24
Introduction | Exploration | Transport | Air pollution • Greenhouse gas emissions • Traffic noise • Physical (in)activity • Road safety | Context | Summary

What are we facing?
If no measures are taken,                        mobility. An important way to realize                       the EU, but could still entail increased
the temperature will further                     emission reductions is to reduce the                        local air pollution risks. The use of
rise with worldwide impact                       number of vehicle-kilometres and                            biofuels for transport was 8% in 2018;
and in conflict with the Paris                   invest in a significant modal shift.                        the 2020 target was 10%.
agreement
                                                 Phasing out old vehicles will not                 Energy consumption
                                                                                                        Energy   consumption inintransport
                                                                                                                                  transport (million terajoules)
                                                                                                        (million terajoules)
Emissions continue to rise                       solve the problem                                 18
Despite a temporary dip in emissions             If vehicle-kilometres continue to rise,
due to COVID-19 measures, it is                  the crucial question is whether this can          16
expected that emissions will continue            be compensated for by improved
to rise if no measures are taken.                energy efficiency of vehicles. This will          14
Consequently, the targets of the Paris           depend on the renewal of the existing
Agreement would not be reached,                  vehicle fleet: the phasing out of old             12
which would have a significant impact            vehicles with high emission factors and
worldwide.                                       the penetration of new vehicles with              10
                                                 substantially less or zero   greenhouse
                                                                     Energy consumption in transport
With current policies, road transport            gas emissions. (million terajoules)               8
                                                                   18
emissions in 2030 will remain 20%                                                                                                                                                                 Other liquid biofuels
above the 1990 level. Additional                  The switch towards
                                                                   16
                                                                            zero-emission                    6                                                                                    Aviation gasoline
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Electricity road
measures reported in particular by                vehicles is still modest, but will also                                                                                                         Ship gasoline
                                            Energy consumption in transport
EU Member States could bring 2030 (millionimprove  terajoules) air quality.
                                                                   14                                         4                                                                                   Natural gas
                                      18                                                                                                                                                          Biogasoline
emissions down to the 1990 level.
                                                                                                                                                               Other liquid biofuels              Rail gas/diesel oil
But this would still be significantly             However, it is12important to realize                        2                                                Aviation gasoline                  Electricity rail
                                      16
higher than the 90% reduction needed              that – by introducing zero-emission                                                                          Electricity road                   Liquefied petroleum
               Energy consumption   in transport vehicles – the    10                                                                                          Ship gasoline                      Biodiesel
for climate neutrality   in 2050 (21).                               responsibility for clean                 0
               (million terajoules)   14                                                                              ‘90 ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99Natural      ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 Ship
                                                                                                                                                                 ‘00 ‘01 gas                            diesel/gas
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ‘08 ‘09           oil ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17
                                                                                                                                                                                                           ‘10 ‘11 ‘12
          18                                      energy production for transportation                                                                         Biogasoline                        Ship residual fuel oil
                                                                   8                                                        Other liquid biofuels              Rail gas/diesel oil                Aviation kerosene
Apart from the COVID-19 lockdowns     12 in       is passed on to the energy sector.
                                                                                                                            Aviation gasoline                  Electricity rail                   Road gasoline
          16
2020, measures to reduce total vehicle            Therefore a reduction       in greenhouse
                                                                   6                                                        Electricity road                   Liquefied petroleum                Road diesel
kilometres have not been very effective.
                                      10          gas emissions by the transport sector                                     Ship gasoline                      Biodiesel                          Oil-derived fuels
          14                                                                                                                Natural gas                        Ship diesel/gas oil                70% reduction from 2008 oil
During the past 30 years, efficiency              may imply an4 increase in emissions                                       Biogasoline                        Ship residual fuel oil             consumption
                                      8
improvements were not sufficient        to        by the energy sector. Increased use of                                    Rail gas/diesel oil                Aviation kerosene
          12
                                                                   2 of the climate policy in                               Electricity rail                   Road gasoline
compensate for increased vehicle                  biofuels is part                                                    Source: Reproduced from EEA (22).
                                                                                                                            Liquefied petroleum
                                     6                                                                                                                         Road diesel
          10                                                                                                                Biodiesel                          Oil-derived fuels
                                                               0                                                            Ship diesel/gas oil                70% reduction from 2008 oil
                                                                    ‘90 ‘91 ‘92 ‘93 ‘94 ‘95 ‘96 ‘97 ‘98 ‘99 ‘00 ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘17
                                     4                                                                                      Ship residual fuel oil             consumption
     25   8                                                                                                              Aviation kerosene
                                     2                                                                                   Road gasoline
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