System-Friendly Procurement through Round-the-Clock Power: International Experiences - Fabian Wigand Associate Director at Guidehouse/Navigant ...

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System-Friendly Procurement through Round-the-Clock Power: International Experiences - Fabian Wigand Associate Director at Guidehouse/Navigant ...
System-Friendly Procurement through
     Round-the-Clock Power: International Experiences

Fabian Wigand
Associate Director at Guidehouse/Navigant
USAID Scaling Up Renewable Energy
June 12, 2020
Higher shares of renewable energy require new approaches
            to our energy system

                   Demand-side integration                       Grid integration

                    Strategic energy planning                  Market integration

                                   Procurement: Round-the-Clock RE

                                            More           More firm
                     Benefits of                                            Demand-based
                                      dispatchable RE   RE power (on-
                    Round-the-                                              supply managed
                                         for supply-    site or different
                    Clock power                                                by seller
                                      demand match         locations)

6/12/2020                                                                                    2
Chile’s supply blocks enable continuous supply while mitigating
             resource risk for sellers (1/II)
                                                   Intraday and seasonal supply blocks in Chile’s 2017 auction
                     Objective                       Allowing intermittent technologies to optimize their feed-in potential and guarantee
                                                     supply to distribution companies.

GW
            00:00 – 07:59          08:00 – 17:59                   18:00 – 22:59       23:00 –           Stylized
                                                                                       23:59             demand
                                                                                                         curve

                                                                                                      ➢ Distribution companies provide demand
                                                                                                        projection
                                                                                                      ➢ Regulator aggregates projected supply
                                                                                                        requirements, conducts auction
                            8:00                               18:00               23:00    Time in   ➢ Bidders bid for one or several blocks
                                                                                            hours       representing projected (not real-time) demand
                                                                                                      ➢ Blocks have a base and a variable component
                                                                                                        to absorb unexpected demand increase
                                                                                                      ➢ Production deviations settled at spot-market
                                                                                                        prices
6/12/2020                                                                                                                                                       3

                                                                                                                                               Sources: ACERA 2017
Chile’s supply blocks enable continuous supply while mitigating
        resource risk for sellers (1I/II)
                                  Benefit                                            Considerations
            ▪   Continuous power supply successfully               ➢ Compliance of bidders with delivery obligations
                contracted – all from new RE                         cannot yet be evaluated as projects still under
            ▪   Contracted price of $3.25ct (₹2.5)/kWh lower         construction
                than spot market prices of $5.5ct (₹4.1)/kWh       ➢ Precondition: sufficient information of
                                                                     distribution company on hourly/seasonal
                                                                     demand and generation patterns

                 India SECI 1st “round-the-clock” power procurement - 100% RE supported by energy storage round the
            clock
            •   Continuous supply contracted at $3.9ct (₹2.9)/kWh
                  • Levelized tariff: $4.7ct (₹3.55) - $4.8ct (₹3.60)/kWh including annual 3% escalation until 15 th year
            •   400 MW of capacity awarded
            •   Supply obligation of min. 80% capacity utilization factor (CUF)

6/12/2020                                                                                               1 USD = 75.3 Indian Rupees on Jun 10, 2020. Source: Oanda       4
                                                                                      Sources: ACERA 2017, Comisión Nacional de Energía (CNE) 2017, MERCOM India 2020
Nevada’s peak tariff rewards supply at peak demand periods (I/II)
                                     Nevada’s 2019 auction
            Objective        Incentivize supply during summer evening hours (4 – 9 pm)

                 ➢ Procurement of PV + storage capacity to help state meet 2030 target of 50% RE
                   generation
                 ➢ NV Energy (utility) defined on-peak tariff for summer evening hours (4 – 9 pm)
                 ➢ On-peak tariff paid is 6x higher than off-peak tariff paid to producers

6/12/2020                                                                                                           5

                                                                                                    Sources: BNEF 2019
Nevada’s peak tariff rewards supply at peak demand periods
       (II/II)
                                  Benefit                                                 Considerations
    ▪ Smooth and extended PV output contracted at competitive             ➢ Effectiveness in covering peak periods cannot
      prices:                                                               yet be evaluated as projects still under
     • Off-peak price: $2.1ct (₹1.6)- $2.5ct (₹1.9)/kWh                     construction
     • On-peak price: $13.8ct (₹10.4)-$16.1ct (₹12.1)/kWh
     • Levelized tariff: $3.68ctts (₹2.8) - $4.28ct (₹3.2) cents/kWh

                       India: SECI competitive procurement for hybrids with assured peak power supply
                                 Benefit                                                  Considerations
         1200 MW ISTS-Connected RE Projects with assured Peak Power       •   Very long supply block - more precise data on
         Supply in India                                                      the timing of storage needed could attract
         Supply during peak periods contracted at competitive tariff:         more competitive prices
         • Peak blocks (6am–9am; 6pm–12am): $8.1ct (₹6.12) - $9.1ct       •   PACE-D supports Discoms to forecast
           (₹6.85)/kWh                                                        demand patterns
         • Off-peak blocks (9am – 6pm; 12am – 6am): $3.8ct (₹ 2.88)/kWh
         • Levelized tariff: $5.4ct (₹4.04) - $5.7ct (₹4.30)/kWh
6/12/2020
                • Discom average purchase cost ~$5.3ct (₹4)/kWh                              1 USD = ~75.3 Indian Rupees on Jun 10, 2020. Source: Oanda   6

                                                                                                                       Sources: BNEF 2019, MERCOM India 2020
Germany’s virtual power plants bundle diverse VRE and
            dispatchable generation to provide flexible power (I/II)

             Objective        Optimize operation of generation, demand and storage assets to provide
                              flexible power

  Simplified representation of virtual power plant (Next Kraftwerke)
                                                                       ➢ A control center operates the connected
                                                                         generation, demand, and storage assets
                                                                       ➢ Assets are forecasted, optimized, and
                                                                         traded in energy markets like one single
                                                                         power plant
                                                                       ➢ Example: Provision of reserves:
                                                                            ➢ Pre-qualified assets participate in
                                                                               reserve market (operated by grid
                                                                               operators)

6/12/2020                                                                                                                      7

                                                                                                         Sources: Next Kraftwerke
Germany’s virtual power plants bundle diverse VRE and
                dispatchable generation to provide flexible power (II/II)
                                   Benefit                                           Considerations
            ▪    Reduced provision of reserve energy by thermal      ➢ Preconditions:
                 generation:                                           ➢ Liquid wholesale power market and/or
                 ▪ 2016: Provision of 67 MW as primary reserve,          reserve market or alternatively PPAs with
                   67 MW as secondary reserve, and 1160 MW               large consumers
                   as tertiary reserve

                 India: relevance and examples for aggregator role
            •    Seasonal variation enables complementary feed-in for onshore wind at different locations, and with solar
                 at the same locations
            •    Examples of aggregator role:
                    • SECI as demand aggregator for state Discoms
                    • Bundling solar PV with thermal power
                    • Banking power arrangements between Discoms
6/12/2020                                                                                                                                8

                                                                                                                   Sources: Next Kraftwerke
India’s physical hybrids provide a more firm RE power and
            optimize grid infrastructure use (I/II)

             Objective             Efficient utilization of land (i.e., kWh/m2) and transmission capacity (i.e.,
                                   MWh/MW), as well as a reduction in the intermittency of VRE generation to
                                   increase grid stability

              Simplified representation of a physical hybrid                                ➢ SECI auctions RE capacity to be
                                                                                              procured as solar-wind-storage
                GW

                                                GW
                                                                                              hybrid
                          Time
                                                                                            ➢ Capacity Utilization Factor (CUF)
                                                       Time
                                                                                              set at 30% for solar-wind
                                                                                            ➢ Solar and wind installation are co-
                                   Substation                 Transmission                    located and feed power into a
                                                                                              pool substation.
                 GW

                                                                                            ➢ Power from the pool substation is
                            Time
                                                              Stylized generation profile     evacuated into the transmission
                                                                                              grid
6/12/2020                                                                                                                 9
India’s physical hybrids provide a more firm RE power and
                optimize grid infrastructure use (II/II)

                                   Benefit                                  Considerations
            ▪    Solar-wind hybrid capacity contracted at   ➢ Sites with good, often complimentary solar
                 competitive tariff:                          and wind resources available in India
                   ▪ 2018: 840 MW at $3.6ct (₹2.67 -        ➢ Uniform and ambitious CUF and ceiling prices
                       ₹2.69)/kWh                             across states
                   ▪ 2019: 720 MW at $3.6ct (₹2.69 -             ➢ Only achievable in regions with higher
                       ₹2.70)/kWh                                    RE resource potential
            ▪    Comparison: Discom average purchase cost        ➢ Can restrict number of bidders or risk
                 ~$5.3ct (₹4)/kWh                                    the non-completion of awarded
                                                                     projects.

6/12/2020                                                                         1 USD = ~75.3 Indian Rupees on Jun 10, 2020. Source: Oanda 10
                                                                                    Sources: India Times 2019, MERCOM India 2018, MERCOM India 2020
Round-the-clock procurement is driven by buyer requirements
            and demand characteristics
                RTC concept is unique to India but touches upon system-friendly approaches
                                        piloted in other countries

                                              More           More firm
                      Benefits of                                             Demand-based
                                        dispatchable RE   RE power (on-
                     Round-the-                                               supply managed
                                           for supply-    site or different
                     Clock power                                                 by seller
                                        demand match         locations)
                     Chile – Supply
                         blocks
                     Nevada – Peak
                        tariffs
                    Germany – Virtual
                      Power Plant
                     India – Physical
                         hybrids
6/12/2020                                                                                          11

                                                                                               Sources
Key take-aways
            Countries gradually incorporate elements of RTC procurement to maintaining system reliability
            with high RE levels.
            RTC elements are new, often too early to assess impact on power system as projects are not built
            yet.
            Time-based incentives improve supply-demand match and, with storage, reduce intermittency of
            variable renewables. Functioning depends on adequate information on current and projected
            hourly/seasonal demand and generation patterns, and on recognizing value of dispatchable, more
            firm supply.
            Virtual hybrids enable dispatchable renewables for flexible power.This and hourly supply
            obligations allow buyers to benefit from real-time demand procurement.
            Hybrid projects co-locating different renewable energy sources can provide a more stable supply
            and reduce grid connection costs.
            System integration of variable renewables goes beyond competitive procurement design: grid
            expansion and upgrades, system operation procedures and market practices, power system
            planning.

6/12/2020                                                                                                      12
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