The new Gas TSO of Ukraine - The first results and the future challenges of Sergii MAKOGON CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC

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The new Gas TSO of Ukraine - The first results and the future challenges of Sergii MAKOGON CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC
The first results and the future challenges of
            the new Gas TSO of Ukraine
Sergii MAKOGON                                    25 February 2020
CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC              Ukrainian Energy Forum
The new Gas TSO of Ukraine - The first results and the future challenges of Sergii MAKOGON CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC
New Gas TSO of Ukraine

         Headcount of 11,100 FTE, incl. all key staff related to transmission
         function and equipped with required licenses & permits

         UAH 3.8 bln of TSO-owned assets, incl. IT soft- & hardware,
         tools & equipment, transport etc.

         Unblocked interconnectors made it possible to arrange the backhaul
         operations and deliver new shor-thaul service

         Independent IT-environment and infrastructure, incl. go-live daily
         balancing platform, ERP and dispatching

         ~550 contracts concluded

         TSO/SSO inter-operator agreement

         TSO license and tariff

                                                                                2
New Transit Deal
 Gas war didn’t occur.

 The Gas Deal is an acceptable compromise:             Documents signed:
                                                       1. Interconnection agreement with
  booked capacities: 65 bcm/year for 2020                Gazprom
   and 40 bcm/year for 2021-2024
                                                       2. Agreement on organization of
                                                          transit between Naftogaz and
  ship-or-pay clause                                     Gazprom
  guaranteed transit revenues of about $7 bn          3. Interconnection agreements
                                                          with neighboring TSO’s of Poland,
  flows measurement and commercial                       Hungary, Slovakia, Romania and
                                                          Moldova
   operations in energy units

           65

                                                                   7
           bcm       40     40       40         40                              bn
                                                        ~$
                    bcm     bcm       bcm       bcm

           2020     2021    2022     2023       2024

                                                                                              3
TSO Strategy: Vision, Mission and Values
 Vision                                                      Mission
       To be a modern and innovative gas                          To ensure the development of the competitive,
       transmission system operator within the                    transparent and non-discriminatory gas
       integrated European gas network                            market and to secure reliable gas flows for
                                                                  Ukrainian and European consumers in the most
                                                                  sustainable way

Reliable provision of gas transmission                                            Sufficient and diversified capacity
services in a transparent, non-                                                   for gas transmission to Ukrainian
discriminatory and sustainable way                                                and European consumers to ensure
at fair price                              Efficiency &        Security           energy security and uninterrupted
                                           Reliability         of supply          supply in any circumstances

                                                      Values
Support of development of non-           Market
discriminatory, competitive,             impact                       Integrity    Independence, fairness and
transparent and liquid natural                                                     transparency of the operator
gas market aimed at ensuring                                                       ensuring customer and market
fair gas pricing for consumers in                                                  trust
Ukraine                                           Responsibility

                                             High standards of social and
                                               ecological responsibility
                                                                                                                        4
TSO Strategy: key initiatives

 1. To optimize and modernize the GTS                 2. To become a model for corporate governance
 infrastructure                                       and social responsibility in Ukraine
        Implementation of the GTS capacity             2.1   Introduction of OECD principles of corporate
  1.1   optimization plan                                    governance and internal controls at SOEs at the TSO
        Digitalization and automation based            2.2
  1.2                                                        Development of CSR key focus and strategy
        on Industry 4.0 principles while
        ensuring high level of cyber security
                                                       2.3   Ensuring high level of transparency and market trust
  1.3   Operational efficiency improvement

 3. To promote development of a                       4. To actively pursue transformation
 transparent and liquid natural gas market            opportunities and contribute to green energy
 integrated in EU energy market                       transition in Ukraine

  3.1   Full implementation of EU market rules         4.1   Promotion of CNG usage as transition motor fuel
  3.2   Development of new services                          Contributing to decarbonization of
                                                       4.2
                                                             Ukrainian economy
  3.3   Development of a gas trading hub in Ukraine

                                                                                                                    5
10-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP)
Estimated CAPEX for 2020-2029, UAH bln excl. VAT

                                            TYNDP 2020-2029 summary
                                             10.1
                              9.6            0.6
                              0.6
                                             1.3
                              0.8
                              0.5            0.7                                                 UAH 38.8
                                                                                                   bln

                                                                                                    6.3
                                                          5.1
                                                                                                    5.9
                                                          0.6
                                                          0.5
 Ø UAH 4                      7.8                                                                   6.6
                                             7.5
bln / year                                                1.0
                                                                         2.7
                                                                         0.5         1.9
                 1.5                                                     0.8         0.7            20.0
                                                          3.0
                 0.6
                 0.3    0.0                                                          0.5
                                                                         1.3
                 0.7                                                                   0.6
                                                                         0.0       0.2
                2020          2021           2022         2023           2024     2025-2029
                                                                                yearly average   10Y total:

                   CS           Pipelines           GDS          Other

                                                                                                              6
10-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP)
 Estimated CAPEX for 2020-2029, UAH bln excl. VAT

                    Compressor Stations (CS) reconstructions budget
                                                              CS Yagotyn 2.2
             2.3   CS Berdychiv
                                                              CS Oleksandrivka 1.6
             2.0   CS Bar
                                                              CS Dykanka 2.5
             2.3   CS Krasyliv

 1.0 CS Komarno
 2.3 CS Dolyna-2

2.5 CS Uzghorod
1.6 CS Bogorodychany

                                                                                     7
GTS optimization and operational efficiency
Strategic objective: To optimize and modernize the GTS infrastructure to reflect market conditions while
ensuring reliable and efficient operations

Underutilized
Historically, Ukrainian GTS was able to transmit ca.190 bcm (domestic and transit) but for the last
few years it was structurally underutilized due to rerouting of transit volumes
                                                                                                      Number of the operational CS
                                                                                                          by transit scenario, units
Oversized                                                                                                      Total CS = 86
Taking into consideration market environment and low prospect of significant transmission volume
growth Ukrainian GTS is highly oversized

Underinvested                                                                                                                    58
At the same time system is underinvested: execution of investment plans submitted to the                71            69
Regulator in 2017 was 35%, in 2018 – 32%. Moreover, 2019 investment programs were not
approved by the Regulator which prevents the TSO from making any investments. As of the time of
strategy preparation investment program for 2020 is under NEURC review.

Inefficient spending
As a result TSO incurs significant costs of maintenance of infrastructure that is not used in gas                                28
transmission                                                                                            15            17

70% of CS have to be decommissioned                                                                    0 bcm       30 bcm      70 bcm
Uncertainty regarding transit did not allow to start decommissioning of compressor stations that         Not in operation    In operation
do not take part in gas transportation. About 70 Compressor Station (CS) yards would not be
operational in case of “0” transit, most of them would have to be decommissioned

                                                                                                                                            8
Key challenges

         Unauthorized offtakes

        Preparation for the PSO cancellations

                 Opening of the retail market

                     Absence of a gas insurance stock

                                  Gas exchange trading

                                                         9
Ukrainian Energy Forum 2020

                                 Thank you!

                                 Sergii MAKOGON
                              CEO of Gas TSO of Ukraine, LLC
                                 makogon-sl@tsoua.com

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