Weather Ledger Impact Report - Connected Places Catapult

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Weather Ledger Impact Report - Connected Places Catapult
April 2021

Weather
Ledger
Impact Report

             Connected Places
Weather Ledger Impact Report - Connected Places Catapult
2 EHAB Weather Ledger Impact Report                                                                                                                                   Weather Ledger Impact Report 3

            Executive summary                                                                                                   Contents
             The Weather Ledger project explores the potential for site-specific IoT
             devices, Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT), data insights and smart
                                                                                                                                1.    Introduction                                             4
             contacts to reduce costly and time-consuming negative impacts of weather
             in the construction industry. The proposed solution is a suite of hardware                                         1.1   About the EHAB Weather                                   4
             and software that aims to reduce foreseen and unforeseen weather risk,                                                   Ledger project
             namely: automating key stages of weather-related Compensation Event
                                                                                                                                1.2   Purpose of this document                                 5
             claims processes; helping site teams manage day-to-day weather risk;
             and applying historic weather-data analysis to site schedules at
             pre-planning stages, identifying unidentified risk.                                                                2.    Rationale for Change                                     6
                                                                                                                                2.1   The problem                                              6
             The construction industry has an estimated                      of calendar duration and £4,800 of effort to       2.2   Proposed solution                                        8
             size of £117bn in 20181, with civil engineering                 resolve the claim. This claim is still ongoing
             alone expected to account for £42bn in                          at time of writing at end of February 2021.
                                                                                                                                2.3   Intended outcomes                                        17
             turnover in 20212 – weather is a persistent                     During claims negotiations periods, close to
             challenge, with rainfall, wind speeds, snow,                    £700,000 across the four study sites is being      3.    Approach                                                  22
             temperature and other types of adverse                          claimed and is at risk, with varying degrees
             weather causing delays and costly mitigations.                  of uncertainty on how much will be borne by        3.1   Approach                                                 22
             To some extent, weather risk is built into                      client and how much by contractor, or when
             project schedules and contract pricing, with                    payment will be agreed. In one example, the        3.2   Study site information                                   23
             contractual mechanisms in place to allocate                     majority of £500,000 impact from extreme
             risk for unexpected adverse weather.                            rainfall occurs outside the boundaries of          4.    Findings                                                 28
             However, the claims process for                                    the “1-in-10 year” criteria, highlighting the
             extreme weather events can be                                          challenges with existing contractual        4.1   Summary                                                  28
             time-consuming, costly and                                                clauses and opportunities for
             place strain on contractor-                                                alternative risk allocation             4.2   Smart contract execution                                 29
             client relationships. And                                                   methods such as parametric                   of Compensation Events
             the outcomes of the claims                                                  insurance, underpinned by site-        4.3   App site study                                           41
             process (often based on “1-                                                 specific IoT and DLT solutions such
             in-10 year” weather events)                                                as Weather Ledger.                      4.4   Other key benefits                                       50
             can be uncertain.                                                                                                  4.5   Scale up                                                 53
                                                                                  The question of risk allocation is a
             This report explores the potential                               key concern in an industry with thin
                                                                                                                                4.6   Recommendations on next steps                            56
             benefits of onsite IoT and DLT technology to                    profit margins and where there is the
             streamline some of those processes, equip                       potential for lengthy costly disputes.
             site teams with better insights into weather                    The solution’s potential scale up, including
                                                                                                                                5.    Conclusion                                               58
             risk, and support day-to-day management of                      enablers and barriers, are also discussed, as
             sites. During the project, five compensation                    well as the softer benefits it could bring to
             claims were triggered across four study sites,                  client-contractor relationships and the            6.    Appendices                                               60
             with the largest claim accounting for 21 weeks                  building of trust.
                                                                                                                                6.1   Time and effort studies                                   60

             1
                                                                                                                                6.2   Site diary review evaluation                              70
                 https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn01432/
             2
                 https://www.statista.com/outlook/io/construction/civil-engineering/united-kingdom#segment-revenue                    feedback
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                                                                                                                                                           Connected Places

        1
                                                                                                           Clyde & Co – Legal Expertise               Connected Places Catapult –
                                                                                                           Providing legal input throughout the       Standards and Impact Assessment
                                                                                                           development phase of the project as the    Proposing standards to ensure alignment
                                                                                                           platform, processes and standards are      with industry and that the work done can
                                                                                                           developed, based on deep knowledge of      be quickly taken forward by government

        Introduction
                                                                                                           construction law, smart contracts and      and other standards bodies, and assessing
                                                                                                           blockchain technology.                     potential impacts.

                                                                                                                                                      1.2 Purpose of
                                                                                                           Digital Catapult – Industry and                this document
                                                                                                           Commercial Research
                                                                                                           Conducting researching into innovation     This report assesses the potential impacts
                                                                                                           in construction with a specific focus on   of the EHAB Weather Ledger solution.
                                                                                                           blockchain and smart contracts. Also       These are considered across different
                                                                                                           assisting in the development of the        stakeholder groups, including intended and
            1.1 About the EHAB                              Project partners:                              business model and commercial strategy     unintended consequences. Where data has
                                                                                                           for EHAB.                                  allowed and according to priority, impacts
                Weather Ledger project                                                                                                                have been measured quantitatively. Given
                                                                                                                                                      the exploratory nature of this project, other
            The EHAB Weather Ledger project                 EHAB – Product Development                                                                impacts have been assessed qualitatively.
            explores the potential for site-specific        Leading on the full product development
            IoT devices, Distributed Ledger Technology      lifecycle, through prototyping iteration,
            (DLT), data insights and smart contacts to      MVP, testing, and full enterprise build, and
            reduce costly and time-consuming negative       commercialisation of the project results.
            impacts of weather in the construction
            industry. It aims to do this through a suite
            of hardware and software that can:

               automate key stages of weather-related       BAM Nuttall – Construction Expertise
               Compensation Event claims;                   Supplying live sites on which to run Proof
               help site teams manage risk with a weather   of Concepts, as well as supplying time
               forecasting app, alerts and site diary;      and expertise to help shape the product.
               input historic weather-risk analysis         Additional input provided by legal counsel
               into schedules at pre-planning stage.        and corporate risk teams.

            The InnovateUK funded project runs
            from April 2020 to March 2021, with
            consortium partners inputting to
            problem definition, solution design, smart      Ferrovial – Construction Expertise
            contract design, standards design and           Supplying live sites on which to run Proof
            development of the solution from prototype      of Concepts, as well as supplying time
            to Minimum Viable Product to Enterprise         and expertise to help shape the product.
            Level Software.                                 Additional input provided by legal counsel
                                                            and corporate risk teams.
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                                                                                                                                   were 3,202 insolvencies in the construction                               with all of the UK’s ten warmest years
                                                                                                                                   sector in 2018, more than any other sector                                on record occurring since 2002.
                                                                                                                                   ;151 of those were in civil engineering.7                                 Contractual mechanisms exist to help

        2
                                                                                                                                                                                                             alleviate some of contractors’ burden
                                                                                                                                   Even amongst the leading firms,                                           of unforeseen weather risk. JCT ( Joint
                                                                                                                                   maintaining sustainable margins is a key                                  Contracts Tribunal), FIDIC (Fédération
                                                                                                                                   concern. Compared to a UK all-industry                                    Internationale Des Ingénieurs-Conseils),
                                                                                                                                   average profitability of 17.9%8, the largest                              ICC (The Infrastructure Conditions of

        Rationale for
                                                                                                                                   100 contractors in construction saw an                                    Contact) and NEC (New Engineering
                                                                                                                                   average margin of 2.6% in 2018.9,10                                       Contract) are common contract types
                                                                                                                                                                                                             in infrastructure and civil engineering,
                                                                                                                                   When it comes to weather risk, there are                                  often containing provision for adverse

        change                                                                                                                     several key problems:

                                                                                                                                          A lack of data insight at planning stages:
                                                                                                                                          time allowances in schedules are often
                                                                                                                                                                                                             weather, although in varying degrees of
                                                                                                                                                                                                             specificity. The NEC suite of contracts
                                                                                                                                                                                                             contain provisions for initiating
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Compensation Events in the event of
                                                                                                                                          assigned by gut feel and experience,                               weather that occurs “on average less
                                                                                                                                          rather than data-driven insights or                                frequently than once in ten years”, with a
                                                                                                                                          analysis. Without objective findings                               claims resolution process based around
                This chapter sets out the problem driving the need for                                                                    driving allowances, risk and uncertainty                           early warnings, collaborative contractor-
                change, the proposed solution and its expected outcomes.                                                                  remain. If schedules extend beyond                                 client discussions and “a spirit of mutual
                                                                                                                                          contractual completion dates, there are                            trust and co-operation”. Through these
                                                                                                                                          often liquidate damages to pay, in some                            mechanisms, and upon agreement being
                                                                                                                                          cases over £17,000 per week and up to                              reached with the client, contractors are
                                                                                                                                          15% of the project’s Total Target Cost. 11                         eligible for changes in the price and key
                2.1 The problem                                                  part of those complications, affecting site                                                                                 delivery dates.
                                                                                 operations and activities and – in cases of              When it is identified, risk is perceived
                The UK construction sector is a significant                      unusually adverse weather – giving rise to               as allocated poorly. CBI research has                         The Compensation Event processes,
                part of the UK economy, contributing                             compensation claims and disputes between                 found construction firms attribute poor                       however, can be time-consuming, lengthy
                £117bn in 20183, approximately 6% of annual                      contractor and client.                                   allocation of risk as one of the biggest                      processes, with site teams needing to
                GDP and accounting for 2.4 million jobs.4,5                                                                               factors blocking firms from achieving                         compile evidence bases for how weather
                Current views of the infrastructure pipeline                     The question of who should bear this risk                more sustainable margins. 12                                  affected site activities and to what extent,
                estimate approximately £600bn of public                          can be a volatile area when negotiating                                                                                and negotiate those with the client. Further
                and private investment in infrastructure                         contracts – if tenders are priced too high                Weather predictability is set to                             hampering discussions is the fact that some
                over the next 10 years, with flagship projects                   then contractors risk losing out on contracts,            decrease as climate change leads to                          contractors must back their weather related
                currently underway such as Crossrail, HS2,                       and if they are priced too low, then the                  more extreme and unusual weather.                            claims using contractually-specified weather
                Thames Tideway Tunnel and more.                                  contractor may take on excessive risk at the              In comparison to 1990 weather                                stations large distances away from the actual
                                                                                 expense of financial objectives and even                  averages, the Met Office predicts                            site where the works are being carried out
                The sector is well known for its thin profit                     survival. Whilst high profile cases such as the           2070 to see winters up to 30% wetter,                        – in some cases over 100 miles14 – offering
                margins. Tenders are submitted under                             2018 collapse of Carillion make headlines,                summer rainfall increasing by up to                          weather data that does not match the reality
                price pressures in order to win the work                         smaller firms and sub-contractors face                    20%, and heatwaves more likely, with                         onsite. Even when stations are closer, site
                and pricing is still subject to delays and cost                  similar issues6 – weather is just one of many             summer days between 4 and 7 degrees                          teams who experience adverse weather at
                overruns, which can erode already thin                           factors introducing risk but can play a role in           warmer.13 Whilst 2070 is many years                          the beginning of a month may have to wait a
                profit margins. Weather is an inextricable                       unexpected cost and cashflow issues. There                away, already changes are underway,                          number of weeks before the end-of- month

                                                                                                                                   9
                3
                    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn01432/                                                    CN100, September 2019, Construction News
                                                                                                                                   10
                4
                    ONS, Construction statistics: Great Britain: 2018, August 2019                                                       CBI (2020). “Fine Margins: Delivering Financial Sustainability in UK Construction) using ONS analysis and Construction
                5
                    ONS, Workforce jobs data                                                                                             News inputs
                                                                                                                                   11
                6
                    CBI (2020). Fine Margins: Delivering Financial Sustainability in UK Construction                                    Interviews with project consortium partners
                                                                                                                                   12
                7
                    https://www.ons.gov.uk/businessindustryandtrade/constructionindustry/articles/constructionstatistics/2019           CBI (2020). Fine Margins: Delivering Financial Sustainability in UK Construction
                                                                                                                                   13
                8
                    https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/supplyandusetables/datasets/                                        https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/climate-change/effects-of-climate-change
                                                                                                                                   14
                    ukinputoutputanalyticaltablesdetailed, ONS                                                                          Digital Catapult (2020). Industry Insights Report, The Weather Ledger
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                weather reports are issued (at approximately
                £250 per request) in order to determine if
                there was indeed a “1-in-10 year” weather
                event. In each case, evidence bases need to
                be formed from site documents, diaries and
                allocation sheets that can be in varying levels
                of detail and quality, presenting challenges
                for the contractor to present their case. In
                the most extreme cases, weather events may
                form part of Compensation Events escalated                     UK Government policy supports such
                to internal legal teams and external lawyers.                  a digitalisation drive, with policies such
                                                                               as the Construction Sector Deal (part of
                A recent publication by Arcadis15, reports                     the Industrial Strategy) providing the
                that the average cost of construction                          framework and targets for reduction in the
                disputes in the UK is £12.9m and lasts                         cost of construction and the time taken
                almost 12.8 months (this is for all types of                   from inception to completion, and with
                disputes, not weather-specific ones, but                       digital techniques playing a key role.
                highlights the scale of legal disputes in the
                industry.) The same report offers a view                       In line with this strategy, the EHAB Weather   2.2.1 Site weather station                           Power regulator connecting solar
                of the three most important activities in                      Ledger project explores the potential          (optional)                                           panel and the battery, sealed for
                helping to avoid disputes:                                     for site-specific IoT devices, distributed                                                          industrial operation. A battery guard
                                                                               ledger technology, data insights and smart     Third party local weather sensor and                 cuts power if battery levels drop beyond
                        Contract-mandated early resolution                     contacts to reduce the costly and time-        data transmission kit installed on site at           a set threshold, in order to protect
                        forums such as mediation, disputes                     consuming negative impacts of weather          appropriate height and location, including:          against risk of battery drainage.
                        review boards, etc.                                    in the construction industry.
                        Owner/contractor willingness to                                                                           Sensor module: weather station                   Additional components as required.
                        compromise                                                                                                sensor with multiple parameters                  See the Weather Ledger project’s
                        Contractor transparency of cost data
                         in support of claimed damages
                                                                               2.2 Proposed solution                              including temperature, wind speed,
                                                                                                                                  rainfall and more.
                                                                                                                                                                                   accompanying white paper by Digital
                                                                                                                                                                                   Catapult for a fuller description of the
                                                                                                                                                                                   technical architecture.
                                                                               The Weather Ledger solution combines
                Digital processes and automation can                                                                              LoRaWan base station with ingress
                                                                               IoT devices, distributed ledger technology,
                play a role here, in a sector known for                                                                           protection ratings robust enough
                                                                               smart contracts, desktop tools and apps
                lagging in digital uptake. The industry                                                                           for industrial operations and able to         2.2.2 Desktop tool
                                                                               to streamline the currently manual and
                in Europe scores lowest of sectors in                                                                             transmit data over a range of up to 10
                                                                               uncertain process for weather-related
                the McKinsey Global Institute’s digital                                                                           miles, either via 3G or ethernet. Able        Web-based tool linking accurate forecast
                                                                               Compensation Events, as well as provide
                index and by the Centre for Digital Built                                                                         to be powered over ethernet or other          data and IoT data from the site weather
                                                                               project-specific insights into weather risk.
                Britain’s reports, digitalisation of the sector                                                                   sources such solar power.                     station to the project plans, notifying
                                                                               In future, it may seek to provide the third
                around the world could lead to a potential                                                                                                                      parties on key trigger events and enabling
                                                                               party weather data used to underpin
                $250bn in savings to the sector each year                                                                        Mini-base stations with LoRaWan radio          site teams to see:
                                                                               parametric insurance policies.
                driven by efficiencies and productivity                                                                          and wifi connectivity, extending range
                improvements.16                                                                                                  by approximately 1 mile.                           Potential ‘Compensation Event’
                                                                               As the project has progressed, the solution                                                          weather events
                                                                               has developed from prototype onwards              Solar panels of approximately 60W              If any weather events have been detected
                                                                               towards Minimum Viable Product to                 for remote charging where mains /              that surpass the “1-in-10 year” threshold,
                                                                               Enterprise Level Software, and by the             generator power not available.                 they are listed with weather type, intensity,
                                                                               final phase of the project has several key                                                       start and end times.
                                                                               elements, outlined as follows.
                15
                     Arcadis (2019). Global Construction Disputes Report
                16
                     https://www.cdbb.cam.ac.uk/news/press-release-global-bim-summit
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                     Smart contract code                                                                         is forecast to exceed task thresholds                 PDFs and paper books.
                 Codified versions of the NEC contract                Enhanced planning tool                     (e.g. if wind is expected to rise above                   Potential ‘Compensation Event’
                 clauses governing weather-related                A later addition to the toolset that applies   14 metres per second, the threshold for                   weather events
                 Compensation Events, in the form of              weather analysis of 40 years’ worth of         some crane lifting operations) then users             An app version of the desktop feature
                 executable smart contract code. This could       historic data to tasks in the project plan,    are also notified via email to assist in pre-         described opposite.
                 be agreed between contractor and client          highlighting probable dates of completion at   emptive mitigations.
                 at contact stage and likely included in a        25%, 50% and 95% certainty.
                 wrapper agreement with details set out in                                                          Site diary
                 contract annexes that guide under what                                                          A set of fields for Project Engineers and
                 circumstances weather events trigger             2.2.3 Smartphone app                           other roles to log activities of the day onsite
                 Compensation Events. See Figure 1 (pages                                                        that need recorded for future retrieval, for
                 12-13) and Figure 2 (pages 14-15) illustrating   Smartphone app for site teams to view and      example progress or issues with materials,
                 the portions of the Compensation Event           enter key weather information as relates to    productivity, accidents or incidents, plant
                 process that are addressable with the            their project, including:                      equipment etc. This is intended to be enable
                 current version of EHAB, and the intended                                                       the user to capture information throughout
                 future versions.                                    Weather forecast                            the day, as a digital, machine-readable
                                                                  Readings on key weather types of               contrast to normal manual processes of
                                                                  temperature, wind and rainfall for the         spreadsheets, Word documents, emailed
                                                                  day and week ahead. Where weather
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              Weather Compensation Event: NEC contract process flow (high level)

                  Addressable by the current stage of EHAB's development                                                                                                    Intended addressable by a future stage of EHAB’s development

                                                                                                                                                    Contractor withdraws
                                                                                                                                                      claim / escalates
                                                no claim                                                              no claim                          to legal team
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Client asks for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             resubmission or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             assesses impact
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               themselves.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Contractor agrees or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            escalates to Legal

                                                                                                                        no                                   no                                                                  no
                                                 no
                                                           yes           Agent /                                                                                                                 Quantity Surveyor and
                  Agent assesses                                                                                                    Agent / Commercial                                                                          Client yes
                                              Weather is            Commercial Team              Quantity Surveyor     Impact yes                             Client yes                        sub-contractors estimate
                   weather data /                                                                                                   Team notifies client                    Client instructs            impact.                accepts            Client agrees to the
                                                outside               issues Early               assesses if impact   detected?                             agrees CE
                  reviews weather                                                                                                    of Compensation                           quotation                                      quotation                   claim
                                              threshold?            Warning to client                resulted                                                is valid?                          Agent / Commercial Team
                       reports                                     and subcontractors                                                      Event                                                   submits quotation               ?

                Process step                    8 weeks                                                                              1-3 weeks or                          3 weeks              2-4 weeks
                timelines per                   (NEC4 clause 61.3)                                                                   as per agreement                      (NEC4 clause 62.3)   (NEC4 clauses 62.3, 62.6)
                NEC contract                                                                                                         (NEC4 clause 61.4)
                                                                                                                                                                                                Can become a recurring
                                                                                                                                                                                                loop of reviews and
                                                                                                                                                                                                resubmissions

              Figure 1: high level NEC contract process flow and timelines for weather-related Compensation Events.
              Source: NEC contract terms, site teams and Agents.
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                 Weather Compensation Event: ICC contract process flow (high level)

                 Addressable by the current stage of EHAB’s development                                                                                                           Intended addressable by a future stage of EHAB’s development

                                                                                                                                                      Contractor withdraws
                                                                                                                                                       claim / escalates to
                                                                                                                        no claim                            legal team
                                                 no claim
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Quantity Surveyor
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          reassesses impact, or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Contractor escalates to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        legal team, or Contractor
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             drops the claim

                                                                                                                          no                                    no                                                                              no
                                                  no
                                                                                                                                                                       yes
                                                            yes                                                                                                                Quantity Surveyor and       Quantity Surveyor and
                   Agent assesses                                   Agent / Commercial                                                Agent / Commercial                                                                                       Client yes
                                               Weather is                                          Quantity Surveyor     Impact yes                              Client       sub-contractors estimate   sub-contractors estimate
                    weather data /                                   Team issues Early                                                Team notifies client                             impact.                    impact.                     accepts               Client agrees to the
                                                 outside                                           assesses if impact   detected?                              agrees CE
                   reviews weather                                   Warning to client                                                 of Compensation                        Agent / Commercial Team    Agent / Commercial Team             quotation                      claim
                                               threshold?                                              resulted                                                 is valid?        submits indicative      submits “full particulars of
                        reports                                     and subcontractors                                                       Event                                 substantiation                the claim”                       ?

                 Process step                           Within 48 hours of adverse weather event
                 timelines per
                 ICC contract
                                                         Within 7 days of adverse weather event                                                                                “Within such period as
                                                                                                                                                                               the Employer’s
                                                                                                                                                                               representative may
                                                                                                                                                                               direct”
                                                                                                                                                                               (often 2 to 3 weeks)

               Figure 2: high level ICC contract process flow and timelines for weather-related Compensation Events.
               Source: contract terms, site teams and Agents.
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                 Figure 3: user views within the smartphone app.

                                                                              2.3 Intended outcomes                            By demonstrating these links, impact
                                                                                                                               maps can demonstrate how changes are
                                                                                                                               expected to occur and help to identify
                                                                              2.3.1 Theory of Change                           methods and data required to measure
                                                                                                                               them. Not all impacts are measurable –
                                                                              For the purposes of identifying potential        depending on their nature, some can be
                                                                              impacts of the EHAB solution, a Theory           quantified in financial terms, some can
                                                                              of Change approach was used. This seeks          be quantified in non-financial terms,
                                                                              to identify the expected short and longer        some can be described qualitatively.
                                                                              term benefits (and disbenefits) by mapping       Data availability plays a crucial role and
                 Figure 4: user view of the desktop Enhanced Planning tool.   the relationship between the project             impacts need prioritized in terms of
                                                                              rationale, the activities undertaken, the        expected scale of impact and measurability.
                                                                              intended outputs and expected economic,
                                                                              environmental and social outcomes.               For the proposed solution an impact
                                                                                                                               map was drafted, with partners
                                                                                                                               prioritising key impacts to assess.
                                                                                                                               Results can be seen in Figure 5
                                                                                                                               (see pages 18 & 19,).
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               Weather Ledger Impact Map                                                                                                                                                                                       Key
                                                                                                                                                                                                           CE = Compensation Event

                       Rationale for solution                                     Inputs                         Outputs                                                           Outcomes
                       The gap in the market                                    Resources                   Products / services                                               Economic, social and
                           being solved                                        and activities                   and users                                                    environmental impacts

                       What problem is                                          Who does                    What end services                                  So what? What difference does it make?
                         being solved?                                          the work?                     do we provide?                                 Short- and medium-term                       Long-term
                  High cost of weather                                 User researchers                 A trusted single source of
                                                                                                                                                        Increased certainty on costs due to     Efficiency gains
                  dispute litigation                                   Technical specialists            truth on weather data                           better risk insight and allocation in   for construction industry
                  High cost of effort in making                        (IoT, blockchain)                Semi-automated, multi-                          bids                                    Revenue loss / productivity gains
                                                                                                                                                        Reduced effort negotiating weather      for external legal teams
                  and validating claims                                Product developers               party, smart contract
                                                                                                                                                        clauses in contracts                    Revenue loss / productivity gains
                  No trusted ‘single source of                         Construction team                clauses                                         Improved site management due to         for UK courts
                  truth’ on weather patterns                           Legal team                       Published industry standard                     forecasts and alerts                    Improved trust and collaboration
                                                                                                                                                        Reduced effort assessing weather        in construction
                  Long dispute resolution                              Standards team                                                                   data to identify CE’s                   Increased trust in digital
                  times                                                Commercial team                          Who do                                  Reduced effort validating CE claims     construction solutions
                  Breakdown of trust                                                                           we reach?                                with the other party                    Increased investment in
                                                                                                                                                        Fewer disputes over trustworthiness     digitisation in construction
                  between parties                                                                       Construction clients

                                                                                                                                      Economic
                                                                                                                                                        of data in claims                       Increased innovation in the UK
                  Lack of standardised                                                                  Construction contractors                        Fewer escalations to internal legal     outside the construction industry
                                                                                                                                                        teams, external lawyers and courts      (e.g. agriculture, energy etc)
                  approach to IoT, blockchain                                                           Insurance firms                                 Reduced effort for external legal
                  and smart contracts in                                                                Standards bodies                                teams assembling evidence and
                  construction                                                                          Other innovators                                arguments
                                                                                                                                                        Reduced revenue / cashflow impact
                                                                                                                                                        on supply chains pending claim
                            Why not                                                                                                                     resolution
                        another product?                                     How and what?                     What KPIs                                Enhanced scope of insurance
                                                                                                                                                        coverage
                  IoT deployment on                                    Deploy IoT devices                     would you set?                            Reduced claims and admin burden of
                  construction sites is rare                           Develop blockchain stack         Hours saved                                     insurance
                  Blockchain on construction                           Develop user interface           Disputes avoided                                Scalable Proof of Concept of
                                                                                                                                                        digitisation in construction
                  sites is non-existent                                Develop smart clauses            Escalations avoided                             Accelerated use of IoT, blockchain
                  No existing standards in this                        Map standards best               Legal costs avoided                             and smart contracts in construction
                                                                                                                                                        Innovation leveraging the ‘single
                  field                                                practice, identify gaps, build   Trust and collaboration                         source of truth’ in other industries
                                                                       consensus, publish, iterate      Standard adoption

                                                                                                                                      Environ- Social
                                                                                                                                                        Shorter local disruptions due to        Improved social impact on quality
                                                                                                        Social media reception                          shorter disputes (congestion, noise,    of life for local communities
                                                                                                                                                        cranes, etc)

                                                                                                                                      mental            Shorter local disruptions due to        Improved environmental impact
                                                                                                                                                        shorter disputes (congestion, noise,    on carbon, air quality and noise
                                                                                                                                                        cranes, etc)

               Figure 5: impact map for the Weather Ledger solution.
20 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                            EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 21

                 2.3.2 Expected outcomes                       Trust and relationships                                                Positive outcomes                           Negative outcomes
                                                                  Fewer disputes over trustworthiness of                              (intended and unintended)                   (intended and unintended)

                 As can be seen in the impact map in Figure       data in claims.
                 5 on page 18 & 19, a number of key expected
                                                                                                                Clients               • Reduced effort negotiating weather        • Potential unintended consequence of higher
                 benefits were identified, which can be
                                                                                                                                        clauses in contracts                        priced contracts, if the improved contractor
                 grouped by the following categories:                                                                                 • Reduced effort validating Compensation      insight into risk leads to extended schedules
                                                               Environmental and social                                                 Event claims with the other party           or higher prices. However, can be argued this
                                                                                                                                      • Fewer escalations to internal legal         simply shifts the cost from unforeseen risk to
                 Risk management                                  Shorter local disruptions due to shorter                              teams, external lawyers and courts          upfront pricing clarity
                     Increased certainty on costs due to          disputes (congestion, noise etc).                                   • Reduced effort for external legal teams
                                                                                                                                        assembling evidence and arguments
                     better risk insight and allocation in
                                                                                                                                      • Increased certainty on costs due to
                     contracts.                                Scalability                                                              better risk insight and allocation in
                     Enhanced scope of insurance coverage          Scalable Proof of Concept of digitisation                            contracts
                                                                                                                                      • Fewer disputes over trustworthiness of
                     Reduced claims and admin burden of            in construction.                                                     data / perceived fraudulent claims
                     insurance.                                    Accelerated use of IoT, blockchain and
                     Improved site management due to               smart contracts in construction.             Contractors           • Reduced effort negotiating weather        • Potential unintended consequence of
                     forecasts and alerts.                         Innovation leveraging the ‘single source                             clauses in contracts                        contracts with higher prices or longer
                                                                                                                                      • Improved identification of site level       schedules due to improved insight into
                     Reduced revenue / cashflow impact on          of truth’ in other industries.
                                                                                                                                        Compensation Events                         risk, which then places the tender at
                     supply chains pending claim resolution.                                                                          • Reduced effort assessing weather data       competitive disadvantage with cost-
                                                                                                                                        to identify Compensation Events             prioritising clients. However, can be argued
                                                                                                                                      • Reduced effort validating Compensation      this demonstrates better risk awareness
                 Time and effort                               2.3.3 Stakeholders                                                       Event claims with the other party           to clients and tenders could be viewed as
                    Reduced effort negotiating weather                                                                                • Fewer escalations to internal legal         more favourable on those terms, for risk-
                                                                                                                                        teams, external lawyers and courts          prioritising clients
                    clauses in contracts.                      The proposed solution could give rise to a
                                                                                                                                      • Improved site management due to
                    Reduced effort assessing weather data      number of benefits and disbenefits unique                                forecasts and alerts
                    to identify Compensation Events.           and shared across clients, contractors,                                • Increased certainty on costs due to
                                                                                                                                        better risk insight and allocation in
                    Reduced effort validating                  sub-contractors, legal firms and the wider                               contracts
                    Compensation Event claims with the         industry. See Table 1 (opposite) for details                           • Enhanced scope of insurance coverage
                                                                                                                                      • Reduced claims and admin burden of
                    other party.                               per stakeholder group.
                                                                                                                                        insurance
                    Fewer escalations to internal legal                                                                               • Fewer disputes over trustworthiness of
                    teams, external lawyers and courts         Innovations can sometimes involve                                        data / perceived fraudulent claims

                    Reduced effort for external legal teams    vulnerable groups being disadvantaged,
                    assembling evidence and arguments.         for example if a local government were           Sub-                  • Reduced revenue / cashflow impact         • Potential unintended consequence that
                                                                                                                contractors             on supply chains pending claim              automated identification of weather
                                                               to transition some of their services online                              resolution                                  threshold breaches may increase the number
                                                               in a way that excluded those without                                                                                 of Compensation Event claims
                                                               digital literacy or access to the internet. As
                                                               Weather Ledger involves B2B interactions         Legal firms           • Reduced effort negotiating weather        • Potential loss of revenue from reduction
                                                               between organisations, and the only                                      clauses in contracts                        in escalated disputes
                                                                                                                                      • Reduced effort for external legal
                                                               impact on local communities was seen to                                  teams assembling evidence and
                                                               be reduced risk of prolonged construction                                arguments
                                                               site delays, no vulnerable groups were
                                                               identified as being disadvantaged.
                                                                                                                Wider industry        • Scalable Proof of Concept of
                                                                                                                                        digitisation in construction
                                                                                                                                      • Accelerated use of IoT, blockchain and
                                                                                                                                        smart contracts in construction
                                                                                                                                      • Innovation leveraging the ‘single
                                                                                                                                        source of truth’ in other industries

                                                                                                                Residents             • Shorter local disruptions due to
                                                                                                                                        shorter disputes

                                                                                                                Table 1: expected outcomes across stakeholders.
22 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                               EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 23

                                                                                                                  Data required                Baseline source                                Intervention source

                                                                                                                  Contractor hours of          Contractor key roles log daily effort in       EHAB tests on time to return legal result
                                                                                                                  effort (by process step)     a time tracking diary:                         in the DLT

        3
                                                                                                                                               • Agent
                                                                                                                  Contractor hourly rate       • Quantity Surveyor
                                                                                                                  per role type                • Planner
                                                                                                                                               • Legal Team
                                                                                                                                               • Other as identified by site team

        Approach
                                                                                                                  Client hours of effort       Contractor* key roles log daily effort         EHAB tests on time to return legal result
                                                                                                                                               in a time tracking diary for:                  in the DLT
                                                                                                                  Client hourly rate per       • Project Manager
                                                                                                                  role type                    • Quantity Surveyor
                                                                                                                                               • Other as identified by site team

                                                                                                                                               *N.B. contractor site teams raised
                                                                                                                                               commercial sensitivities concerns
                                                                                                                                               during the claims process that meant
                                                                                                                                               clients were not able to be engaged
                                                                                                                                               in effort tracking, thus the view is
                                                                                                                                               dependent on contractors capturing
                                                                                                                                               meeting / phone call time as a view of
                                                                                                                                               client effort

             3.1 Approach                                    •   Fewer escalations to internal legal teams,
                                                                                                                  Sub-contractor hours         Contractor Quantity Surveyor logs              EHAB tests on time to return legal result in
                                                                 external lawyers and courts.                     of effort                    daily effort in a time tracking diary,         the DLT
             Based on the Impact Map, partner                •   Reduced effort for external legal teams                                       including meetings and phone calls
                                                                                                                  Sub-contractor hourly
             prioritisation inputs, and solution readiness       assembling evidence and argument.                rate per role type
             and the expected scale of impact and
             measurability, key impacts were selected           Key data                                          Key dates                    Contractor Quantity Surveyor logs in a         EHAB tests on time to return legal result
             for measurement and appraisal, with             See Table 2 (opposite).                                                           time tracking diary                            in the DLT
             methodologies outlined as follows.
                                                               Dates                                              Additional information       Contractor Quantity Surveyor                   NA
             1.Smart contract execution of                   From September 2020 to February 2021.                on number of emails          logs in a time tracking diary

             Compensation Events
                                                                 Limitations
                                                                                                                  Table 2: data requirements of time and effort studies for Compensation Events.
                 Purpose                                     Contractor firms, clients and legal firms
             To establish a baseline of how much effort      do not have aggregate views on number of
             is spent by clients, contractors and sub-       Compensation Events per year, or splits by
             contractors in Compensation Event claims,       weather, presenting a challenge in scaling up        2. App site study                                                interview techniques. The study operated
             thus indicating potential addressable costs     findings to firm or industry level. A review of                                                                       across three participating sites: Dawlish,
             (or liberated effort) were the EHAB Weather     academic and industry literature likewise does           Purpose                                                      Stubbington Bypass, St Mary’s (details
             Ledger smart contracts to be applied.           not return these.                                    To assess potential for the EHAB app to assist                   below) with approximately 15 participants.
                                                                                                                  site teams with identifying “1-in-10 year”
                Method                                       Contractual obligations between client and           weather, forecasting weather and taking                          Daily data gathering questionnaires were
             Time and effort studies across any weather-     contractor state the process Compensation Event      pre-emptive mitigations. In addition, on one                     sent to two groups of site team participants,
             related Compensation Event triggered during     claims must follow and, as it is not currently       site app-based site-diaries were tested for                      using online tool Tripetto:
             the project.                                    included in the site contracts, EHAB data would      accuracy, ease of information retrieval and                         • a baseline group, using current
                                                             not be admittable in contractual discussions. Thus   contribution towards assembling an evidence                             processes for day-to-day weather
               Benefits assessed (per Impact Map)            the study sites will not be able to deploy EHAB’s    base on weather impacts.                                                forecasting and logging.
             • Reduced effort assessing weather data to      smart contracts as an intervention during the                                                                            • an ‘enhanced practice’ group, using
                identify Compensation Events                 project. Instead, baseline data will be collected       Method                                                               the EHAB app for day-to-day weather
             • Reduced effort validating Compensation        on Compensation Events as they arise during          The study was designed by Digital Catapult                              forecasting and logging, providing
                Event claims with the other party.           the project using the current process, giving an     and Connected Places Catapult, employing                                a view of additional benefits
                                                             indication of addressable costs.                     experience sampling and contextual                                      attributable to the Weather Ledger.
24 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                                            EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 25

                 Based upon the quality of feedback provided and                         Key data
                 the nature of events recorded, five participants                     See Table 3 (below).
                 were selected for additional contextual interviews
                 on their tool usage, behaviours, decisions and                          Dates
                 responses. This helped to provide rationale                          6th January to 28th February.
                 for the data provided via the daily questionnaire
                 and to uncover new observations and                                     Limitations
                 qualitative findings.                                                Potential for participant fatigue from daily
                                                                                      questionnaire entries. Mitigations: frequent
                     Benefits assessed (per Impact Map)                               engagement, Amazon voucher incentives,
                 •    Improved identification of site level                           user-specific prompts sent via email / text /
                      Compensation Events.                                            phone to encourage users to participate if they
                 •    Improved site management due to                                 had missed sending their feedback regularly.
                      forecasts and alerts.

                 Data required                           Baseline source                       Intervention source

                 Identification of “1-in-10 year”        Control group daily survey            App user group daily survey, EHAB
                 weather events                                                                data

                 “1-in-10 year” weather event            Control group daily survey            App user group daily survey, EHAB
                 outcome                                                                       data
                                                                                                                                        3.2 Study site                                       collapsed, leading to line closures of almost

                 Adverse weather types                   Control group daily survey            App user group daily survey, EHAB
                                                                                                                                            information                                      three months and significant impact to the
                 experienced onsite / forecast                                                 data                                                                                          South West economy.
                                                                                                                                        The solution was trialled and developed
                 Time checking and recording             Control group daily survey            App user group daily survey              using feedback from users on a number of             Key activities include enabling works,
                 weather                                                                                                                different civil engineering sites with project       installation of large pre-cast elements,
                                                                                                                                        partners BAM Nuttall and Ferrovial. In               removing rock from marine parade beach,
                 Mitigation actions taken                Control group daily survey            App user group daily survey              addition, data was gathered for the impact           mass concrete pouring, promenade
                                                                                                                                        assessment report from four key sites, as            structural slab works and piling. An
                 Avoided costs                           Control group daily survey            App user group daily survey              follows:                                             important part of the works is the use
                                                                                                                                                                                             of a ‘Wavewalker’: an eight-legged self-
                 Daily site diary entries                Project Engineers, Site               Project Engineers, Site Supervisors      Dawlish                                              contained jack-up barge that can operate
                                                         Supervisor                                                                     A £27m approximately year-long BAM                   in tidal conditions that would otherwise be
                                                                                                                                        Nuttall project for client Network Rail,             required downtime. Up to 100 members of
                 Site diary review on:                   Project Engineers, Site               Project Engineers, Site Supervisors,     reconstructing the Dawlish sea wall. The             staff may be working on the scheme at its
                 • Time to complete                      Supervisors, Quantity Surveyor,       Quantity Surveyor, Sector Lead
                 • Frequency of completion               Sector Lead Supervisor                Supervisor
                                                                                                                                        rail track runs alongside the sea wall as an         peak (mostly self-delivered, no main sub-
                 • Level of detail                                                                                                      important artery for passengers and freight,         contractors).
                 • Breadth of information                                                                                               yet is frequently subject to disruption from
                 • Ease of use
                 • Time to access completed                                                                                             storms and wave overtopping the barriers,
                   site diaries                                                                                                         made more frequent by rising sea levels
                 • Time to retrieve specific
                   information
                                                                                                                                        and extreme weather. In 2014 the sea wall
                 • Overall benefits
                 • Overall negatives

                Table 3: data requirements of the app site study..
26 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 27

                 In contrast to the “1-in-10 year” event         HS2 Enabling Works Central –
                 threshold typical in NEC contracts and in       St Mary’s site
                 place on the other studies sites, Dawlish’s     St Mary’s is an approximately year-long
                 ICC contract contains a clause specifying       piece of work by Fusion JV (a joint venture
                 that Compensation Events are triggered          between BAM Nuttall, Ferrovial and Morgan
                 by more than 24 hours downtime of               Sindall) for client HS2, as part of the multi-
                 operations. Given the coastal nature and        year HS2 Enabling Works Central project.
                 project activities, the main weather types      The wider project conducts enabling works
                 of relevance to such events are:                on the 100km long Central Section of the
                     windspeed.                                  high speed railway which will join London
                     wave heights (received via buoy-based       and Birmingham. There are two core parts
                     Met Desk sensors).                          of the St Mary’s site, archaeology and civil
                     overtopping risk/likelihood.                engineering.

                 Houghton Brook                                  Key project activities include ecological
                 A £5m+ approximately year-long BAM              relocation of species such as bats and
                 Nuttall project for client Environment          newts, archaeology works in the grounds
                 Agency, diverting the Houghton Brook and        prior to construction, concrete pouring for
                 reducing risk of flooding to approximately      foundations, crane work, excavation works
                 600 residential and commercial properties       and construction of a new bellmouth, haul
                 in Luton. The area has a history of flooding,   road and temporary works tent.
                 most severely around Toddington Road
                 where Houghton Brook joins the River Lea.       St Mary’s operates using an NEC contract.
                                                                 In addition to their role in Compensation
                 Key activities include construction of          Events, rain and snow are important for
                 a new 700m long clay embankment                 their relationship to soil moisture conditions
                 using a clay source from Oxfordshire,           – these conditions are fundamental to the
                 construction of a new reinforced concrete       conditions of the ground and thus when
                 flow control structure, installation of         archaeologists are permitted to operate.
                 Grasscrete protection to the 130m long          The weather types of most relevance for
                 spillway, installation of access platforms,     Compensation Events include:
                 permanent re-alignment of Houghton
                 Brook, construction of a permanent public          Temperatures (particularly relevant for
                 cycle path and landscaping comprising              bat mitigation and newt trapping).
                 of grass seeding, tree and shrub planting.         Cumulative rainfall.
                 Approximately 20 sub-contractors are               Number of days with rainfall more than
                 involved.                                          5mm.
                                                                    Number of days with snow lying.
                 Per the NEC contact, weather types eligible
                 for Compensation Events over a given            Stubbington Bypass                               Key project activities include drain            Per the contact, weather types eligible for
                 month include:                                  A £34.5m approximately two-year long             installation, preparation of diversion          Compensation Events over a given month
                     Cumulative rainfall.                        BAM Nuttall project for client Hampshire         trenches, temporary surfaces, footpath          include:
                     Number of days with rainfall more than      County Council, preparing a 3.5km bypass         preparation, brickwork, gas diversions,            Cumulative rainfall
                     5mm.                                        connection from the B3334 Titchfield Road        excavations, kerb installation and water           Number of days with rainfall more than
                     Number of days with minimum air             to B3334 Gosport Road. Through a variety         connections. Given local soil conditions           5mm
                     temperature less than 0 degrees Celsius.    of traffic management measures and off-          of clay, and its tendency to become                Number of days with minimum air
                     Number of days with snow lying at 9am.      road cycle routes, this aims to divert traffic   waterlogged, rain is an important weather          temperatures less than 0 degrees
                                                                 around Stubbington’s north and east sides,       condition on this site.                            Celsius
                                                                 improving journey times and reliability on                                                          Number of days with snow lying at 12pm
                                                                 the Gosport Peninsula.
28 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                     EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 29

                                                                                                                                                                       4.2 Smart contract
                                                                                                                                                                       execution of

        4                                                                                                                                                              Compensation Events

                                                                                                                                                                       4.2.1 Reduced effort assessing

        Findings
                                                                                                                                                                       weather data and validating
                                                                                                                                                                       claims

                                                                                                                                                                       During the project, five weather-related
                                                                                                                                                                       Compensation Events were triggered across
                                                                                                                                                                       three of the four study sites.
                                                                                                                   £500,000 impact suffered within the first
                                                                                                                   nine days. The weather threshold was only           1. Houghton Brook, October – “1-in-10 year”
                                                                                                                   breached on the 27th of the month. A strict            cumulative rainfall threshold exceeded.
                                                                                                                   interpretation by the client could mean             2. Stubbington Bypass, October – “1-in-
                                                                                                                   only the last days of the month are seen as            10 year” cumulative rainfall threshold
                 4.1 Summary                                          Risk: claim value across the                 eligible for compensation, highlighting the            exceeded.
                                                                   Compensation Events totals £696,765,            challenges of the “1-in-10 year” approach           3. Dawlish, December – high winds
                 This chapter presents findings of the             meaning that during the negotiation             and potential importance of alternative                suspended operations for 29 hours
                 time and effort studies, app site study           periods close to £700k across the four          arrangements such as parametric insurance.          4. Dawlish, January – sea state prevented
                 and additional data gathering. Results are        study sites is at risk, with uncertainty on
                                                                                                                                                                          mooring dive vessel from delivering.
                 structured per the outcomes identified in         how much will be borne by client and how            Site study benefits: site study                 5. Dawlish, February – sea state and wind
                 the project Impact Map, with discussion on        much by contractor, or when payment will        participants report on the benefits of                  prevented departure of Wavewalker
                 scaling up findings to industry level and the     be agreed.                                      having all information in one place via                 jack-up.
                 associated challenges.                                                                            the app, task-based alerts and improved
                                                                      Timescales: only one Compensation            awareness of weather forecasts. One site            Each varied in terms of the activities
                 Key findings are summarised here, with            Event (triggered in October) has reached        saved an estimated 30-40 minutes per day            affected, costs incurred, amount claimed
                 more details in the following sections:           completion, the other four remain               in assessing and logging weather data.              and effort involved in processing the claim,
                                                                   ongoing concerns with the largest
                                                                                                                                                                       and most are still ongoing. None involved
                     Compensation Event process                    continuing for more than 21 weeks as at            Potential barriers: some site study              Legal Team support. Detailed context and
                 effort: time and effort studies on the five       end of February 2021.                           participants struggled with app-based tools,        findings on the five Compensation Events
                 Compensation Events triggered during the                                                          highlighting a potential barrier to overcome        can be found in Appendix 6.1. A summary
                 project revealed large variance in effort             Onsite / offsite station variance: a        with deploying IoT and DLT technology in            can be seen in Table 4 (see page 30), with
                 required, ranging from £240 (ongoing as           comparison of onsite and offsite weather        the construction industry.                          effort costs split across client and contractor
                 at end of February), to £4,800 (ongoing           stations revealed the importance of onsite
                                                                                                                                                                       by two stages:
                 as at end of February). 95% of the cost is        stations: in one case the onsite Weather        Key terminology referenced in this
                 by contractors, however clients were not          Ledger identifying eight days of rainfall       chapter includes:                                   1. “Effort costs for process steps until ‘client
                 involved in the time study due site team          over 5mm as opposed to four by the offsite
                                                                                                                                                                          agrees CE is valid’ “: the current stage of
                 views of commercial sensitivity, and it is        Met Office station, and an additional 21mm         Agent – the contractor’s site Project               EHAB’s development.
                 possible clients expend more effort than          of rainfall over the month (approximately          Manager.
                 contractor teams were able to track. 90%          16% of the “1-in-10 year” threshold).
                                                                                                                                                                       2. “Effort costs for process steps until claim
                 of the effort costs are attributable to the                                                           Quantity Surveyor (contractor) –                   finalised”: an intended future stage of
                 second stage of the claims process (“Effort           “1-in-10 year” challenges: in one           assists with the valuation of claims,                  EHAB’s development whereby an impact
                 costs for process steps until claim finalised”,   Compensation Event triggered during             assessing the impact of weather on                     calculation methodology can be agreed
                 intended addressable by future versions           the project, over 50% of the monthly            activities and schedule.                               at contractual stage and payments
                 of EHAB).                                         threshold for cumulative rainfall occurred
                                                                                                                                                                          automated through the Weather Ledger.
                                                                   in the first three days, with the majority of
30 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                                                   EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 31

                                                                                                                                               live onsite. However, tests of the solution           Fewer rejected claims
                                                                                                                                               showed that the legal result of the “1-in-            Data gathering calls with contractors
                                                                                                                                               10” year weather threshold breach can                 revealed that weather-related
                                                                                                                                               be registered in 1-2 seconds and notified             Compensation Events are very rarely
                                                                                                                                               to user dashboards in a maximum of 40                 rejected by the client over weather data
                                                                                                                                               minutes, showing the potential of future              – once the weather is shown to exceed
                                                                                                                                               iterations to free up the effort costs                thresholds, the Compensation Event is
                                                                                                                                               mentioned. Across the whole process this              validated and discussion becomes about
                                                                                                                                               would liberate an average of £2,150 in effort         what activities were impacted, what
                                                                                                                                               and eliminate 16 weeks of calendar duration,          mitigations applied and to what extent.
                                                                                                                                               with its associated delays to cashflow. These
                                                                                                                                               savings would be dependent on the second              Given the outcome of negotiations depends
                                                                                                                                               stage functionality in future iterations of           on what impacts occurred, this may be a
                 Table 4: effort costs for the weather-related Compensation Events triggered during the project. Dawlish January and
                 February Compensation Events were very early in their claims process at time of data collection, and therefore their effort   the solution where contractor and client              potential area that EHAB’s future intended
                 costs are excluded from effort averages in order to avoid skewing results.                                                    agree a smart-contract-based impact                   features (of contractors and clients agreeing
                                                                                                                                               assessment methodology at contract stage              impact assessment methodologies at
                                                                                                                                               and payments are automated upon weather               contract stage and the tool automating
                                                                                                                                               thresholds being breached.                            payouts) could assist, resolving uncertainty
                 Effort costs                                                       / high level information that requires                                                                           by enabling smart contracts to adhere
                 As per Table 4 (above), effort costs in the                        further investigation by the Commercial                    Based on current findings, 95% of the                 to pre-agreed terms and pay-outs. Data
                 first stage of the process (“Effort costs for                      Team. Effort costs in this stage range from                effort savings identified would accrue to             submitted from previous multi-million
                 process steps until ‘client agrees CE is                           a few hundred pounds for the simplest to                   the contractor, given the effort involved in          pound civil engineering projects showed
                 valid’ ”, addressable by current version of                        £4,350 (and counting) for one of the most                  assessing impact by the contractor Quantity           that of 15 Compensation Events submitted,
                 EHAB) are minor, given activities here are                         sizeable. On average across the studied                    Surveyor. However, it is important to note            12 resulted in payment – a conversion
                 mainly Agents checking weather reports                             Compensation Events, contractors could                     that we could expect this balance to                  rate of 80%. Of those 15 Compensation
                 for flagged breaches (no major assessment                          free up £1,886 worth of effort to more                     shift and cost savings to be higher for two           Events, one set of claims was assessed at
                 required) and Quantity Surveyors or Agents                         productive tasks and clients £118 through                  key reasons:                                          £277,000 yet ultimately agreed at £230,000 –
                 sending a formal Early Warning Notification                        automation.                                                                                                      approximately 80% of the value claimed for
                 to clients, often in the form of an email                                                                                        Four of the five Compensation Events are           was received. Pre-agreed assessment terms
                 with summary text describing weather                               Time and cashflow                                             still ongoing as at end of February 2021,          and pay-outs could reduce this uncertainty
                 events and activities impacted. On average                         Only one Compensation Event (triggered                        therefore could incur significantly more           and improve risk allocation.
                 across the studied Compensation Events,                            in October) has reached completion, and                       effort if complications arise, negotiations
                 this effort is in the order of £200 or less for                    that was after 18 weeks of elapsed time.                      extend or Legal teams become involved.             Claim efficiency and clarity
                 client and contractor.                                             The other four remain ongoing concerns                                                                           Beyond the cost savings identified, a swifter
                                                                                    with the largest continuing for more than                     Given commercial sensitivities of engaging         resolution of key process points would
                 Effort costs in the second stage of the                            21 weeks as at end of February 2021. Claim                    clients in the study whilst the claims             also bring additional benefits in terms
                 process (“Effort costs for process steps                           value across the Compensation Events                          process was ongoing, the effort figures for        of efficiency and clarity when compiling
                 until claim finalised”, intended addressable                       totals £696,765, meaning that during                          clients were reliant on the contractor’s           the quotation.
                 by future versions of EHAB) account for                            the negotiation periods close to £700k                        view of client time in meetings. As such
                 approximately 90% of the effort costs                              across the four study sites is at risk, with                  there may be additional client effort spent        As referenced, the largest pain point for
                 and therefore gains to be made through                             uncertainty on how much will be borne                         that the contractor is not aware of and is         contractor effort is the process point of
                 automation. Here the largest pain point                            by client and how much by contractor, or                      not captured in their data. On occasion            assessing impact, where Commercial Teams
                 for contractor effort is the process point                         when payment will be agreed.                                  clients may assess the impact themselves           piece together site diaries, allocation sheets
                 of assessing impact, where Commercial                                                                                            (in addition to the contractor), and               and task schedules to demonstrate how the
                 Teams piece together site diaries, allocation                      Addressable cost and time savings                             tracking this effort would require                 weather affected which tasks and to what
                 sheets and task schedules to demonstrate                           Contractor-client contractual arrangements                    client and contractor willingness to               extent. Per the NEC contract, there can be 12-
                 how the weather affected which tasks and                           specify the process for resolving                             engage clients during a Compensation               14 weeks between the weather risk identified
                 to what extent. This can be hampered                               Compensation Event claims, thus EHAB                          Event process.                                     and quotation required to be submitted in
                 by poor quality site diaries with missing                          Weather Ledger was not actually deployed                                                                         the event of a claim (see Table 5 on page 32).
32 EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report                                                                                                                                                                                EHAB Weather Ledger Standardisation Report 33

                 NEC clause                             Process point                          Timescales given (weeks)              Stubbington Bypass daily rainfall measurements in January (mm)

                                                                                                                                                                                   Offsite station (Met Office)   Onsite station (hobbyist)      Onsite station (EHAB)
                 61.3                                   Contractor notifies the client of      8
                                                        an event which has happened
                                                        or which is expected to happen                                                                                        16

                                                                                                                                   Daily rainfall measurements (mm per day)
                                                        as a Compensation Event
                                                                                                                                                                              14

                 61.4                                   Client replies to the                  1-3                                                                            12
                                                        contractor’s notification
                                                                                                                                                                              10
                 62.3                                   Contractor submits quotation           3
                                                                                                                                                                              8

                 Total                                                                         12-14                                                                          6

                                                                                                                                                                              4
                 Table 5: Compensation Event timescales per NEC standard contract for key process points..
                                                                                                                                                                              2

                                                                                                                                                                              0
                 During this time the Quantity Surveyor                             reports to retrieve data on the annual

                                                                                                                                                                                    04-Jan
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                 will need to build the case for impact,                            size of the problem. Further, a review of
                 potentially meeting and discussing with                            academic and industry literature did not
                 sub-contractors on what happened, when                             return any inputs or findings on number          Figure 6: Stubbington Bypass daily rainfall measurements in January 2021 (mm).

                 and why. Being able to begin the process                           of Compensation Events per year (some
                 earlier whilst memories are fresh (due to                          data does exist on average legal costs
                 instant smart-contract notifications that                          and duration of all disputes, but not in a       Compensation Events, one set of claims was                                                     Compensation Events – however the client
                 the Compensation Event is valid), could                            way that enables weather-specific data           assessed at £277,000 yet ultimately agreed at                                                  also requested the project to have a weather
                 help the efficiency and accuracy of these                          to be identified). Finally, date inputs that     £230,000 – approximately 80% of the value                                                      station onsite as a checking mechanism for
                 investigations.                                                    do exist (for example on claim values            claimed for was received.                                                                      any claims. The site uses a c. £100 ‘hobbyist
                                                                                    or weather-related downtime) are seen                                                                                                           style’ weather station for this purpose.
                 A potential unintended negative                                    as commercially sensitive, by both               Whilst the weather thresholds themselves
                 consequence was considered that                                    contractors and clients.                         are reported to not be a source of                                                             Of note from Figure 6 are three points:
                 automation of key process steps could                                                                               contention, disputes can arise between
                 remove valuable time for Quantity Surveyors                        All of the above present challenges in           contractors and clients over how to assess                                                     1. The two onsite stations (EHAB and
                 to assess impact and prepare their case –                          scaling up project results to firm or            the impacts arising from that weather                                                             hobbyist) correlate closely with each
                 however, Quantity Surveyors at the study                           industry level. Nevertheless, some               data. This is compounded by the fact that                                                         other until the last week where the
                 sites responded that this would not be                             calculations are presented as very               contractually mandated weather stations                                                           hobbyist station fails and takes no
                 the case as they wait to begin preparing                           high level indications of potential scale,       can be over 100 miles away, displaying vastly                                                     more readings, suggesting the
                 quotations until the Compensation Event is                         with caveats as given – see Section              different weather readings to the reality                                                         importance of trusted and validated
                 acknowledged as valid with the client.                             4.5 ‘Scale up’ (page 53).                        onsite.17 The distances for the Dawlish,                                                          IoT and DLT technology.
                                                                                                                                     Houghton Brook, Stubbington Bypass and
                 Financial gains at industry level                                                                                   St Mary’s sites were approximately 0 miles,                                                    2. In the mid-January period the two
                 Given the variance in civil engineering                            4.2.2 Fewer disputes over                        10 miles, 1 mile and 20 miles respectively.                                                       onsite stations (EHAB and hobbyist)
                 projects, activities, contract types and                           trustworthiness of                               Even small distances can make a difference:                                                       can be seen to capture different rainfall
                 location land types, there are challenges                          data in claims                                   Figure 6 (above) shows the disparity                                                              measurements to the offsite Met Office
                 in arriving at realistic industry averages                                                                          between readings taken onsite and at the                                                          station suggesting that station may not
                 and totals. Construction firms, legal                              As noted, data submitted from previous           contractually mandated station for the                                                            capture the day-to-day reality of weather
                 firms and clients consulted do not hold a                          multi-million pound civil engineering            Stubbington Bypass site in January 2021.                                                          onsite – see for example 12th January
                 centralised view / database of the number                          projects showed that of 15 Compensation          The contract stipulates that a Met                                                                which becomes a “day with over 5mm
                 of Compensation Events, or those related                           Events submitted, 12 resulted in payment         Office station (Catisfield) is used for any                                                       of rain” as specified in standard NEC
                 to weather, and were not able to run any                           – a conversion rate of 80%. Of those 15                     17
                                                                                                                                                                    Digital Catapult (2020). Industry Insights Report, The Weather Ledger.
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