Weekly Market Review - Investfunds

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Weekly Market Review
                                                July 26th 2021
Highlights:
   •    The most significant change to the US Treasury Yield Curve occurred in 5Y tenor with a respective
        value of -7bps.
   •    The weakest EM country currency relative to the US dollar is ZAR, with -3.08% performance.
   •    The strongest EM country currency relative to the US dollar is RUB, with 0.38% performance.
   •    The country with the highest default probability based on 5Y CDS is Argentina, with a respective
        value of 72.5%.
   •    The most considerable year-to-date change in default probability based on 5Y CDS is 20p.p. in
        Argentina.
News:
   •    Future Retail – The Indian company Future retail has defaulted on the coupon payment on its only
        USD bond issuance. Future retail is struggling with sufficient liquidity as operations affected due to
        pandemic. The Reliance-Future retail deal was also stuck due to fact that Amazon objected, and the
        matter is pending in court. The company expected to pay within a 30-day grace period as was done in
        previous payments. The 5.6% Jan 2025 USD bond is currently quoted at 16.35% yield levels.

   •    Netflix – Netflix profit for the second quarter rose to USD 1.35 billion against USD 720 million the
        previous year with a dip of 21% from USD 1.7 billion in previous quarter. Revenue rose 19% to USD
        7.3 billion against previous year. Total paid subscribers stood at 209 million, growth of paid subscriber
        slowed to 84%. Currently 6.375% May 2029 was quoted at 2.36% yield levels.

   •    Bank Of Ireland – Diversified Financial Services Group based in Ireland is buying the problematic
        Davy stockbroker at Euro 440 million enterprise value. In March 2021, The Irish central bank fined
        Euro 4.1 million to stockbroker for breaching market rules and cancelled the primary dealers’ licence.
        Currently 10% Dec 2022 Euro currency bond is quoted at 0.35% yield levels.

   •    McLaren– The British automotive manufacturer raised USD 620 million. The company issued 5-year
        bonds with a 7.5% coupon. The issue rating was CCC+. Bond proceeds will be used to refinance near
        maturity debt. The company looks to deleverage the business going forward.

                                                                      © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Largest High Yield Issues
                                                                 Amount,            Issuer Rating             End of
                 Issue                         Country
                                                                 mln USD                M/S/F               Placement

 Redco Properties Group, 11%
                                                 China                321               –/B/B+              19.07.2021
 6aug2022, USD

 Zhenro Properties Group,
                                                 China                247              B1/–/B+              19.07.2021
 7.125% 30jun2022, CNY

 Road King Infrastructure,
                                             Hong Kong                500             Ba3/BB-/–             19.07.2021
 5.125% 26jul2026, USD

 Times China Holdings, 5.55%
                                                 China                500           Ba3/BB-/BB-             20.07.2021
 4jun2024, USD

 Compania de Minas
 Buenaventura, 5.5% 23jul2026,                     Peru               550              B1/–/BB              20.07.2021
 USD

 Stonegate Pub, 8.25% 31jul2025,                United
                                                                    1699               B3/–/B-              22.07.2021
 GBP                                           Kingdom

 Ukraine, 6.876% 21may2029,
                                               Ukraine              1750               B3/B/B               22.07.2021
 USD
*High yield placements included with an outstanding amount of more than $200 million, taking place between 19.07.2021 and
23.07.2021
Sovereign Rating Changes on July 17-July 23
                                  New                                       Old                              Date
   Country
                      Rating             Outlook              Rating               Outlook                  Rating
      Cote
                         BB-              Stable                B+                 Positive               19-07-2021
    d`Ivoire
                                      Under review
   Sri Lanka           Caa1                                    Caa1                 Stable                19-07-2021
                                       downgrade
    Rwanda               B+             Negative                B+                  Stable                21-07-2021
    Cyprus               Ba1              Stable                Ba2                Positive               23-07-2021

                                                                             © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Cbonds Country Sovereign Eurobonds Indices
Eurobond sovereign indices measure T-spread, total yield and other indicators for the major issuing
countries. They are calculated once every trading day (at close).

                                                                    © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Market Indices & US Treasury Yield Curve
                     UST 2Y              UST 10Y              DOW                             NASDAQ
                                                                             S&P500                                  SOFR
                      YTM                 YTM                JONES                           COMPOSITE

  Last value            0.22                1.30             35061.55         4411.79            14836.99             0.05

    Change           -12.00%              -0.76%              1.08%            1.96%              2.84%              0.00%
*The change for all indices except SOFR is calculated as a difference between values at 16.07.2021 and 23.07.2021. For SOFR
change calculated as a difference between values at 16.07.2021 and 22.07.2021.

US markets ended higher, recovering from a sharp fall earlier in the week. As second quarter earnings growth
is strong for US technology companies, stocks continue to rise. In July, US manufacturing PMI index increased
to 63.1. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 indexes are up by 1.08% and 1.96% WoW, respectively.

Last week US treasury yields were volatile ahead of the US Fed meeting this week, markets keenly look for
US economic recovery and asset taper comments. Yields fell 1-7 bps across the curve. The US 10-year
benchmark bond closed 1 bps lower, 1.30%. During the week US 10-year touched 1.19% levels.

                                                                               © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Currency Rate Indices
Currency rate indices track US dollar dynamics relative to foreign currencies. They are calculated once every
trading day (at close).

                                                                    © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
ICE and Interactive Default Probability Indices
Default probability indices assess the risks on the Sovereign debt market for the respective country. They are
calculated based on CDS for terms of between 3 months and 30 years and calculated once every trading day
(at close).

                                                                     © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
Weekly Knowledge Hub:
Sinkable Bond

A sinkable bond is a bond that is secured by a fund that the issuer creates to pay the principal of the debt
according to a stated repayment schedule.

A sinking fund is a pool of funds set aside by a company to pay off previously issued debt before a specified
maturity date on a predetermined schedule. The issuer does not reserve all the money at once but replenishes
the fund regularly (not as described in the repayment schedule, but more often).

Sinkable bonds can be beneficial for issuers. They are a cheaper way to raise funds, as the issuer lowers the
borrowing rate due to the positive impact the sinking fund has on the credit rating. From an investor’s point
of view, sinkable bonds are investment vehicles with a low level of risk.

Examples of Sinkable Bonds include the issue of municipalities Bay Area Toll Authority, 5% 1apr2054, as
well as the issue of corporate issuer Albar Mimunit Services, 3.25% 13jan2027.

Read more about bond types in the Cbonds glossary

Contact details:
Dmitrii Larionov, Specialist of the International Debt Markets Department,
d.larionov@cbonds.info

Paresh Nemade, India Representative,
tel: + 91 9221297616, pareshnemade@cbonds.info

Cbonds subscription:
pro@cbonds.info

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                                                                       © Cbonds.com | Weekly Market Report
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