Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis

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Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Winning with
     Biscuits
    Annual Biscuit
     Review 2020
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Contents                                                  The purpose of this review                                 Foreword                                               Well, it’s clear that adaptability
                                                                                                                                                                            remains key for retailers,
Performance review                                        This review has been produced by pladis from               Well, what a roller coaster of a year 2020 was         wholesalers and foodservice
                                                          independently generated data and, as far as possible,      for the Grocery industry!                              operators, as our trading
2    2020 on a page                                       is a true and impartial view of the segments,                                                                     environment continues to
4    Performance of Core                                  manufacturers, brands and trends shaping the Biscuits      Last January, almost nobody could have                 change due to the pandemic.
                                                          category in the year ending December 2020.                 predicted the devastating impact COVID-19              Biscuits will also be one of
     Snacking Categories
                                                                                                                     would have worldwide, nor just how quickly             16 categories affected by the
5    What happened in 2020?
6    What were the trends?
                                                          Executive summary                                          the pandemic would profoundly alter consumer
                                                                                                                     and shopper behaviour.
                                                                                                                                                                            Government’s intentions to
                                                                                                                                                                            further regulate products deemed
The importance of biscuits in a pandemic                  • UK biscuit sales were worth £2.96bn in retail during     UK suppliers and retailers, large and small, faced     to be high in fat, sugar or salt content
                                                            2020, bought by 99.5% of all GB households.              challenges aplenty as we hastily adapted in the        (HFSS). Navigating these challenges will require
8    How has the pandemic changed                                                                                                                                           a renewed focus on collaboration between
     the way we consume biscuits?                         • Total category growth was the strongest in over five     face of rapidly changing shopper needs. First by
                                                            years: +7.2% or +£212m in value sales. This was driven   solidifying supply chains as worried Brits added       manufacturers and retailers.
10   Biscuit occasions changed in 2020                      by star performances in sub-categories: Chocolate        a few extra items to their trolleys and baskets,       Read on to see how value for money, ‘treat
11   Brits bought biscuits more often,                      Biscuit Bars (+11.5%), Everyday Biscuits (+15.1%),       then through facilitating the roaring demand for       yourself’ occasions, increased interest in NPD
     and spent more each trip                               Everyday Treats (+11.9%) and Special Treats (+9.2%).     online delivery slots and local shopping via the       and a big Christmas will be important consumer
Product performance                                       • Sweet Biscuits remains the largest part of the           convenience channel.                                   trends as we progress through the year.
12   Core thrived during 2020                               category with sales worth £2.4bn (+6.6%). Within this:   And that was just the start. With months of            What’s also clear is the renewed weight of the
14   Biscuit NPD was worth £45m in 2020                      • Classic ‘biscuit barrel’ sectors like Chocolate       multiple national lockdowns, regional                  core. In 2019’s Annual Review I suggested the
                                                               Biscuit Bars, Everyday Biscuits and Everyday          restrictions and a tier system for the grocery         importance of core products to the biscuit
16   Best-in-class innovation and execution                                                                          industry to contend with, it’s no wonder so            category should never be underestimated.
                                                               Treats grew as consumers enjoyed more hot drink
Channel trends                                                 moments (+9.5%) and meals at home.                    many of us were feeling exhausted by the time          And by focusing on the core fixture, optimising
                                                                                                                     December rolled around.                                product range and following our ‘Better Biscuits’
20   The pandemic had a BIG impact                           • A challenging start to the year meant premium
     on shopping channels                                                                                            Unsurprisingly, all this change marked a               merchandising principles, retailers would be well
                                                               options suffered initially, then Special Treats                                                              equipped to unlock a significant sales opportunity.
22   Focus on online                                           bounced back as consumers treated themselves          significant shift in the way British people
                                                               during evenings at home, lacking out-of-home          shopped for biscuits.                                  This hasn’t changed. In fact, with the core
24   Online biscuit buying
                                                               alternatives.                                                                                                representing 84% of last year’s category growth,
The role of biscuits for the retailer                                                                                While some sub-categories lost out – the eating
                                                                                                                                                                            it’s more important than ever before.
                                                             • The largest sector of Sweet Biscuits – Healthier      occasions for some on-the-go healthier biscuits,
26   Sweet Biscuits is a ‘Profit Booster’ category             Biscuits (£576m) – suffered because shoppers          like breakfast biscuits, practically disappeared       The findings of this Review will be an essential
The health agenda                                              swapped out-of-home eating for in-home                overnight when the first national lockdown was         resource for anyone who sells biscuits,
28   Healthy eating                                            breakfasts during the first national lockdown and     announced – overall, biscuits began to play an         whether that’s across a nationwide portfolio of
                                                               many worked from home for the rest of the year.       increasingly important role in our lives.              superstores, or in a single convenience outlet
29   2021: Prepare for changes to rules and regulations        Breakfast bars were particularly impacted (-20%),                                                            catering to residents of one local area. And, with
                                                               but weight management products increased in           This delivered the strongest Biscuits category
30   Making the fixture smarter                                                                                                                                             the category due to touch £3 billion towards the
                                                               importance to the sector.                             growth for more than five years, as the category
Seasons and events                                                                                                                                                          end of 2021, there’s clear cause for us to work
                                                                                                                     boomed in terms of both value and volume sales,
                                                             • pladis leads Sweet Biscuits with a growing market                                                            together to amplify the category and maximise
32   Seasonal Biscuits                                                                                               hitting £2.96bn (+7.2%).
                                                               share of 24.5% (+1.5ppts).                                                                                   potential growth.
33   Christmas 2020: A year like no other                                                                            The performance of Biscuits last year also
                                                             • McVitie’s is the biggest brand – worth £461m with                                                            2020 showed us change can be swift in the
34   Restrictions on festive celebrations                                                                            reaffirmed the importance of the core to this          Grocery industry, but also confirmed the guiding
                                                               22% share and strong growth of +11.2%.                vast category. More time at home prompted
35   Key events in 2021                                                                                                                                                     principle we know to be true: the Biscuit category
                                                          • Savoury Biscuits also had a successful year (worth       extra hot drink moments, and consumers chose           is built on the solid foundations of its core range.
36   Best-in-class execution                                                                                         biscuit barrel favourites from sub-categories like
                                                            £554m, +9.5%).                                                                                                  And, as the number one biscuit supplier, since
Implications for 2021                                                                                                Everyday Biscuits (+15.1%), Everyday Treats (+11.9%)   almost a quarter of biscuits purchased (24.6%) are
                                                             • Growth of in-home lunching (+40%), particularly       and Chocolate Biscuit Bars (+11.5%) to pair with
38   Challenges for 2021 and beyond                            benefitted savoury crackers like Jacob’s Cream                                                               pladis brands, we believe there is yet more growth
                                                                                                                     their cuppa. In fact, the Top 10 biscuit SKUs became   to be tapped into.
40   2021 Biscuits Category                                    Crackers (+16.7%).                                    so important to consumers last year that they
42   Summary                                                 • pladis leads Savoury Biscuits with a 25.1% share      represented £1 of every £5 spent in the category.
                                                                                                                                                                            Scott Snell
44   Sources                                                   (+0.4ppts).                                           So, what can we learn from the year that was?          Vice President of Customer
45   pladis contacts                                         • Jacob’s is the top savoury biscuit brand, worth       And what can we take forward into 2021?                pladis UK & Ireland
                                                               £82m, +18.1%.
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Annual Biscuit Review 2020    1
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Performance review
     2020 On a page
                                                                                                             OOH spend returning              Regional differences          A Christmas like no other
                                                                                                           Easing of restrictions over   Rising infection rates meant the     Uncertainty around

                                                    2020
                                                                                                            summer saw hospitality        reintroduction of restrictions       Christmas didn’t
                                                                                                                venues open up                                                 dampen spending
                                                                                                                                               This led to regional
                                           was a year like                                                      Schemes such as           performance differences as            It was the biggest
                                            no other for                                                      Eat Out To Help Out        areas in higher tiers (Midlands,     December on record
                                                                                                             drove return of Out Of      North of England) saw greater        (£11.6bn, +11.7%) with
       Accidental                          grocery sales.                           Changing channels       Home spending, leading        growth, as did Wales during       record Christmas growth
       stockpiling                           Lockdown and                                                  to a dip in Grocery growth       their firebreak lockdown
                                                                                      Shoppers stayed
     As the pandemic                        restricted living                       local in lockdown #1
    news broke, lots of                     saw the UK reset                        This benefitted the
     worried shoppers                       the way it shops.                       Convenience sector,
    added a few extra
                                                                                      but the reduced
      items to their
                                                                                        footfall had a
    baskets (not bulk-
                                                                                    knock-on effect on
    buying) leading to
                                                                                     high-street stores
      empty shelves

                                                                                                                              March 2020
                              Fewer, bigger trips        Online shopping boom                                               was the biggest
                           The return of the weekly
                           shop! National lockdown
                                                        Grocery shopping online
                                                            began to grow                                                  month of take-home
                          meant shoppers used fewer
                           stores, visited less often
                           and bought more per trip
                                                            Media reports of
                                                        struggles to get delivery
                                                                                                                              grocery sales
                          They avoided frequent top-
                                                        spots turned into stories
                                                         of retailers increasing                                               ever seen!
                           up shops and often went      capacity and prioritising
                           midweek to avoid queues        vulnerable shoppers

2                                                                                                                                                                             Annual Biscuit Review 2020   3
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Performance review                                                                     What happened in 2020?
                                                        Top 3 fastest
    Performance of Core                               growing grocery                      2020 saw the strongest Biscuits category growth for over five years, in both value and volume.
    Snacking Categories                                categories in
                                                          grocery
                                                                                           Chocolate Biscuit Bars and Everyday Biscuits and Treats were the key drivers of category
                                                                                           growth, as a result of more in-home consumption. Seasonal and Healthier suffered due to
                                                                                           social restrictions and changing behaviours.
    The 2020 pandemic had a significant impact
    on Brits’ grocery shopping. As we ate and
    drank at home, it is unsurprising that
    alcohol, home cooking and frozen foods saw
    the greatest growth in value.                   Alcohol                  Frozen food

    Being in-home also led to increased
    snacking. The category grew by +8.7% with                 Home cooking
                                                               and baking
    biscuits, crisps and chocolate confectionery                                                                                   Average price per
    the key contributors to growth.                                                                                                unit: £1.12 (+1.8%)

                                                                                                  Volume:                                                                      Value:
    Performance of Core Snacking Categories                                                    699mn KG (+6.7%)                                                            £2.96m (+7.2%)

                 Bagged Snacks             12.0%   Total Core Snacking Growth +8.7%

                 Chocolate Confectionery   11.7%

                 Biscuits                  7.4%

                                                                                                            Children’s   Savoury   Everyday   Everyday     Chocolate     Special
                 Sugar Confectionery       5.7%                                                                                                                                     Seasonal
                                                         We consumed more                                    Biscuits     (9.5%)    Treats     Biscuits   Biscuit Bars   Treats
                                                                                                                                                                                    Biscuits
                                                          in-home snacks so                                   (1.7%)                (11.9%)     (15.1%)      (11.5%)     (9.2%)
                                                                                                                                                                                     (-0.4%)
                                                          larger packs drove
                                                         major volume growth
                 Cakes and Pastries        1.3%                                                 Healthier                     Winning and losing segments
                                                                                                Biscuits
                                                                                                 (-5.2%)

4                                                                                                                                                                        Annual Biscuit Review 2020   5
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Performance review                                                                                                                                  For the first lockdown I just

    What were the trends?                                                                                                                                 ate everything in sight. If
                                                                                                                                                          I went shopping I bought
                                                                                                                                                        nice, good biscuits because I
                                                                                                                                                        wanted something to make
    More at-home consumption                                                                                                                                me feel better. Angela
    Home-working and lockdown changed how we bought and consumed biscuits.

         +40% home                                       More value from                 Likely to continue
                               Good for Savoury
          lunching                                        large pack*1                         in 2021        Biscuits won
                                                                                                              because they
                                                                                                              played two
                                                                                                              roles during                            Treating
                                                                                                              the pandemic
                                                                                        Good for Everyday
        More in-home                                     +9.5% hot drink                Biscuits, Everyday
                              Decline in Healthier
         breakfasts                                         occasions                  Treats and Chocolate
                                                                                           Biscuit Bars

                                                                                                                                             Store
    Shifting attitude to health
    Social restrictions and financial pressures increased entertainment at home, leading to growth                                         Cupboard
    in Premium and Treat segments.                                                                                                          Staples
                                                     *1 Biscuit Barrel and Chocolate Biscuit Bars
                                                     *2 i.e. Breakfast Biscuits

       Traditional OOH         Likely to continue
     segments*2 declined      due to ongoing WFH
                                                                                                                I’ve been trying to be a
                                                                                                                bit healthier with some
                                                                                                                  of the snack options
                                                                            2020 saw                               we’ve been buying.
                                                                         biscuits playing                         Rich Tea biscuits is a
                                Recovered when
    Food for health dipped    shoppers re-focused                        an increasingly                           new addition. Zoe
      during stockpiling       on calorie control                       important role in
                                                                        Briton’s daily lives

6
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Out of Home
                                                                                                                                          improved as
    The importance of                                                                                                                     restrictions
    biscuits in a pandemic                                                                                                               eased and kids
    How has the pandemic changed                                                                                                           went back
    the way we consume biscuits?                                                                                                            to school

                 The new healthier                           Entertaining and treating                       More hot drinks                        More meals at home
     Furlough led to decline in Premium Health          Premium initially suffered during the              Biscuit barrel products                 As consumers had more
                                                      stockpiling phase as shoppers prioritised           benefited as a result of              lunches at home, categories
     Segments traditionally eaten out of home,
                                                                everyday volume lines                     increased consumption                 such as Savoury Crackers and
        such as Breakfast Biscuits, declined
                                                                                                         of hot drinks as we spent               Chocolate Biscuit Bars grew
                                                     However, with increased social restrictions,
     Increased awareness of the risks of obesity                                                             more time at home
                                                        we saw growth of Special Treats as
    contributed to growth of calorie control bars,
                                                      consumers treated themselves in-home
       savoury snacking crackers and rice cakes

                                                                                                                                                     I like having biscuits in.
                                                                                                                                                     Nice couple of biscuits
                Weight management                                       NPD                                    Large packs                           dunked in my coffee or
                                                                                                                                                     tea. Sometimes I’ll get
            Fewer OOH occasions drove                              Boredom and                        Fewer trips to the supermarket,                   a bit peckish before
               a decline in Healthier                            desire for evening                    combined with more in-home                      tea so I’ll have them.
                                                                   treats meant                       consumption led to large packs                   It’s just picking. Dave
              However, weight control
                                                                  strong growth                     growing in importance for shoppers
             products remain important

8                                                                                                                                                             Annual Biscuit Review 2020   9
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
The importance of                                                                                                              Brits bought biscuits more often,
      biscuits in a pandemic                                                                                                         and spent more each trip – making
      Biscuits occasions changed in 2020                                                                                             biscuits a valuable category for
      We know Britain is a nation of biscuit lovers, with 99.5% of the population buying every year.
                                                                                                                                     retailers to keep in stock
      But 2020 saw the way we buy and eat biscuits change.

       -28% less sweet
                                                                   O M E LU N C H E S
      biscuits consumed                                   IN-H
        for Carried Out
       Lunch occasions
                                                                                                                      Driven by            On average, shoppers             +28m more                Average shopper spent
                                                                                                                                            bought biscuits 47             shopping trips             £104.55 on biscuits,
                                                                                                                      Chocolate             times during 2020                contained                   £6.91 per year
                                                                                  fe m +                             Biscuit Bars           (2.3 packs per trip)              biscuits                  more than 2019
                                                                                    at or 16
                                                                                      ur e l 3m
                                                                                        ed un
                                             d

                                                                                          bi ch
                              Cri kers ature
                              Cra es fe ore

                                                                                            sc es
                                     rea nd

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Driven by Everyday
                                        ds

                                                                                              ui
                                       m

                                        a

                                                                                                 ts                                                                                                                    Biscuits, Everyday
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Treats, CBBs and
                             lun +91m

                                                                     +648M                                                                                                                                              Savoury Crackers
                                 spb

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        and Crispbreads
                                  c
                                ch

                                                                  MORE BISCUIT
                                                                   OCCASIONS
                                                                    IN 2020
                                                                                                                                          Biscuits are
                                                                  +12% increase                                                        universally loved,
                                                                   year on year                                                          with all demographics
                                                                                                                                            enjoying biscuits.
                                                                                                                                        However, over 45% of all
                                                 inc Gre
                                                                                          t h
                                                                                        es it
                                                                                                                                        biscuits consumed are by
                                                                                      g   w re                                               adults aged 55+
                                                +1 rea ates                          r                                                                                                       +310m biscuit
                                                   0    s   t                      La th mo s                                                                                               occasions from
                                                oc 4m e wi                          ow       on                                                                                                 age 55+
                                                   ca m th
                                                     sio ore                      gr 81m asi                                             In 2020 we saw consumption
                                                                                    + cc
                                                         ns
                                                                                                                 K

                                                                                       o                                                grow across all age groups, with
                                                                                                             C

                               O
                                                                                                            A
                            M

                                                                                                                                        households coming together to
                                   R
                                       N                                                                    SN
                                           IN                                                           G                                     enjoy their biscuits                                             +20.5% growth in
                                                G                                               I   N                                                                                                         younger consumers
                                                    SN                                       EN
                                                         AC
                                                              K                         EV                                                                                                                        (16-24yrs)
        Driven by                                                                                                     Driven by
     Everyday Biscuits                                                                                               Special Treat

10                                                                                                                                                                                                           Annual Biscuit Review 2020     11
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Product performance                                                                                  I buy Chocolate Digestives
                                                                                                                 weekly. I always get the
                                                                                                                                                        Top 10 biscuit brands

          Core thrived during 2020                                                                              same size pack. I think it’s
                                                                                                                 habit, I just go to my ‘go
                                                                                                                  to’ section in the aisle
                                                                                                                    and pick them up.
          Top 10 biscuits brands
                                                                                                   Value %
          Brand                    Trading Company          Biscuit Category         Value Sales   Change YA

                                                                                                                                                                  +12.1% growth
          McVitie’s Chocolate
      1                            pladis Uk                Everyday Treats          104,517,102   20.5
          Digestives

     2 KitKat                      Nestlé Rowntree          Chocolate Biscuit Bars   89,987,334    21.4
                                                                                                                                                                     84%
     3 McVitie’s Jaffa Cakes       pladis Uk                Everyday Treats          54,843,943    4.9

                                                                                                                                                              Category growth
     4 McVitie’s Digestives        pladis Uk                Everyday Biscuits        51,060,408    25.6

     5 Oreo Cookies                Mondelēz International   Everyday Treats          39,522,719    23.1

     6 McVitie’s Rich Tea          pladis Uk                Everyday Biscuits        34,590,624    16.8
                                                                                                                                                                £1 of every £5
                                                                                                                                                              spent in category
          Belvita Breakfast
      7                            Mondelēz International   Healthier Biscuits       32,299,352    -15.3
          Soft Bakes

     8 McVitie’s Club              pladis Uk                Chocolate Biscuit Bars   31,128,320    17.2

                                                                                                                 I normally only
       McVitie’s Chocolate                                                                                     ever buy Rich Tea
     9                             pladis Uk                Everyday Treats          30,769,759    18.2
       Hobnobs                                                                                                 or Digestives, and
                                                                                                               I do like McVitie’s.
                                                                                                                 I’ve tried other
     10 Nakd Bar                   Lotus Bakeries           Healthier Biscuits       30,599,936    -21.7       makes but they’re               6.6m more packs
                                                                                                                                                  of McVitie’s
                                                                                                               not as successful.
                                                                                                                                                   Chocolate
                                                                                                                                                Digestives sold
                                                                                                                                                    in 2020!

12                                                                                                                                                                    Annual Biscuit Review 2020   13
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
I noticed there were

     Product performance
                                                                                                                       new flavours of Jaffa
                                                                                                                      Cakes and a new flavour
                                                                                                                        of custard creams...
     Biscuit NPD was worth £45m in 2020                                                                                they caught my eye.

                                        New twists on
                                         classic lines
                                        performed well

         Flavour innovation saw                                   Media attention on risks
         strong shopper uptake                                     of obesity led to more
                                                                  weight management and
                                                                                                      pladis innovates the
          Trusted brands drove
          excitement in-home
                                                                    calorie control lines             most in the category
                                                                                                      and accounts for 26%
                                                                                                      of all branded launches
      Top New Product Development (NPD)

                                                 Slimming                            KitKat
                 Malteser Biscuits
                                                World HiFi Bar                     Honeycomb                11.4%
                                                 Kellogg’s Rice
                 Cadbury Bournville                                               Fox’s Viennese
                                                Krispie Squares
                      Fingers                                                       Selection
                                               Chocolate Orange
                                                                                                         11.4% of Sweet
                                                 Kellogg’s Rice                     McVitie’s          Biscuits sales came
                     Cadbury
                  Fingers orange
                                                Krispie Squares                Chocolate Digestives    from NPD in 2020
                                                 Birthday Cake                   Seasonal Edition

                     McVitie’s                       Twix
                                                                                  M&M’s Biscuits
                       VIBs                     Salted Caramel
                                                                                                                                  1/3 of incremental     My girls like trying
                                                                                                                                   category growth      new things, and I like
                McVitie’s Jaffa Cakes          Flipz Strawberry
                                                                                 Fibre One Protein                                 came from pladis    them to try new things
                     Pineapple                    Cheesecake
                                                                                                                                                       so I wouldn’t be averse
                                                                                                                                                        to paying a bit more
                     McVitie’s                  Bahlsen Choco                                                                                                than normal.
                                                                                   KitKat Senses
                   Best of British              Leibniz Baileys
                                                                                                         Sweet Biscuits has
                                                                                                      grown £51m over 5 years
                                                                                                       through branded NPD

14                                                                                                                                                        Annual Biscuit Review 2020   15
Winning with Biscuits - Annual Biscuit Review 2020 - Pladis
Product performance
     Best-in-class innovation
     and execution
     2020 saw best-in-class in-store execution for biscuits across the trade. In Q1 the activation of
     McVitie’s’ partnership with Team GB featured touchpoints across shoppers’ path to purchase.
     Also – given the category’s impulse nature and its expandability vs other categories – we saw
     biscuits within retailer campaigns such as Sainsbury’s ‘Treats’ bay and Tesco’s Big Brands event.

                                                                                                                                 WIGIG

     Team GB Activation
Product performance                                                         Biscuits NPD was supported across the trade. Notably, Asda’s support
                                                                                 of McVitie’s V.I.Bs NPD launch in Q3 helped drive strong sales uplifts.

     Best-in-class innovation
     and execution
     Asda implemented solutions to drive in-aisle engagement,
     installing digital bays across 27 stores. Stores also featured larger
     pack sizes to support shoppers’ desires and help them stock up.

     Bigger Pack Better Value

     Big Pack Deals                                      Biscuit Fixturisation   VIB launch
     (Tesco)                                             (Asda)                  (Asda)
18                                                                                                                                                         Annual Biscuit Review 2020   19
Channel trends
      The pandemic had a BIG impact                                                                                                                           Biscuits share
      on shopping channels                                                                                              2 0
                                                                                                                    tain contin
                                                                                                                                ains
                                                                                                                            20 g ues
                                                                                                                                                          overindexes vs. core
                                                                                                                                                        snacking in discounters
                                                                                                                o re    h                             (Ix. 112) and online (Ix. 114)
                                                                                                      l i kely t growt                                                                       Supermarkets,
                                                                                                 erce rop but
                                                                                            m  m
                                                                                        eCo e may d                                                    This presents a                      Convenience and
                                                                                             r                                                                                            Online were the big
                                                                                         Sha                                                          key opportunity                      lockdown winners,
                                                                          larly
                                                              nd
                                                                     rticu
                                                                 – pa me                                                                               for retailers in                  with Online most likely
                                                             a
                                              c re
                                                         dem
                                                   ased hielding
                                                        s
                                                                 at ho                                                                                 these channels                     to retain 2020 gains
                                             n
                                         to i oppers
                             pa
                                    due
                               city tired sh                                         Less need to stay local, more need to seek
                                                                                                                                                       to leverage the
                            a
                       ter c
                   Grea from ol
                                der r
                                     e
                                                                                    value therefore other channels take priority                      Biscuits category
                                                          and
                                                s t aying al
       Online                                rs         oc
                                        ppe        ng l
                                   Sho pporti
                                       su                                             Remains primary channel, but online and
                                                                                           discounters will steal share
                                                         OH
                                                     by O e
     Convenience                            d r iven n-hom
                                        wth       ng i
                                   Gro d movi
                                     p e n
                                   s                                                                                                                                                    Due to increased planning
                                                                                                                                                                                           and less out of home
     Supermarket                                     Covid impact                 Expectations                                                                                          consumption, in 2020 we
                                                          on 2020                 for 2021                                                                                              saw shoppers conducting
                                                                                                                                                                                        more main shop missions
                                                                                                                                           ore
                          Lost                                                                                                         e st                                             in both supermarkets and
                          and out as s                                                                                          n g mor ct)
                              wen      h                                                                                     ngi & Colle                                                  convenience channels
     Discounters                 t les oppers                                                                          , bri
                                       s of      v                                                                e use (Click
                                            ten isited                                                        a s
                                                                                                           cre tiative   s
                                                - als     fe
                                                      o la wer st                                   ill in      i
                                                          ck o     o                      s i o n w new in
                                                              f on res                  s           s ,
                                                                  line
                                                                                     ce
                                                                                   Re penin
                                                                                       o
                                                                                                  g
                                                                                                                                                  The reset in missions in
                                High
     High Street                       stre
                                            e                                                                                                    the Convenience channel
                                      limi t store
                                          ted
                                               foot s close
                                                     fall     d,
                                                                                                                                                 presents an opportunity
                                                                                                                                                  for a refreshed range to
                                                                                                                                                    meet different needs
                                                                                              Dec
                                                                                                  lini
                                                                                               will ng high
                                                                                                     affe      s
                                                                                                          ct th treet f                           On the go               Top-up shop
                                                                                                               em      o
                                                                                                                   furt otfall
                                                                                                                        her

20                                                                                                                                                                                          Annual Biscuit Review 2020   21
Channel trends
     Focus on online
     The first UK lockdown increased demand for online groceries.

                                                                                                                               1/4

              Growth in online                                     eCommerce grocery share                      Record numbers (¼ of GB
          accelerated by pandemic                                    grew +5ppts to 13.5%                      households ) now buy online

             2020
             2019                                                                                                                                    15

                                                                                                                                                     10

                                                                                                                                                     5

      January      February       March      April           May         June         July     August   September    October    November   December

     The record growth in online has led to an evolved shopper profile.

                                                                                1/3

         Growth has come through                                      Retired shoppers now                           A changing customer
             older shoppers                                          buying groceries online                            base to satisfy
             2020
             2019
                                                                                                                                                     50
             2010
                                                                                                                                                     40

                                                                                                                                                     30

                                                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                                                     10

      Pre-family              Young family           Middle family            Family               Older            Empty Nesters          Retired
                               0-4 years              5-9 years              10+ years          dependents

22                                                                                                                                                        Annual Biscuit Review 2020   23
Channel trends
     Online biscuit buying                                          Online biscuit
                                                                     buyers are
     The online shopping mission is highly habitual and task
                                                                      habitual                         94%                                           Retailers must find
                                                                                                                                                      creative ways to
                                                                     and rely on
     focused, but the impulse nature of the Biscuits category                                                                                         disrupt shoppers’
     means it can be forgotten online.
                                                                     favourites
                                                                                                                                                      journeys so they
                                                                                                                                                        consider NPD
                                                                                                 Biscuits purchases         30% baskets contained
                                                                                                   were products              unplanned biscuit
                                                                                                   bought before                 purchases

         Online baskets
          with biscuits
        are valuable but                                                   1/3                                              Retailers must work
        they’re not yet a                                                                                                    with manufacturers
          regular buy                                                                                                       to help shoppers find
                                                                                                                              product online via
                                                                                                                             clear pack imagery
                                        3.2 snacking categories    Online biscuit buyers     10.6x average online biscuit      and descriptions
                                            in online baskets     had no biscuits in their        buy vs. 39x offline
                                         vs. 1.2 buying offline          last shop

         Unless I click on the
           offers and then I
         might think “Oh, we
         can have something
        different this week”.            The demographic
                                                                                                                                                     Retailers must offer
        But the standard dip-              of the online                                                                           38%              the right range across
         in-your-tea biscuits           shopper is evolving
         are pretty much the                                                                                                                          online channels to
          same every week,                                                                                                                              meet needs of
           so there’s no real                                                                                                                            the changing
            decision made.                                          31% penetration              28% current online          New online biscuit        shopper profile
                                                                    of online biscuits         biscuit buyers who are        buyers who are 65+
                                                                        shoppers                ‘lockdown newbies’

24                                                                                                                                                   Annual Biscuit Review 2020   25
The role of biscuits for the retailer
     Sweet Biscuits is a
     ‘Profit Booster’ category                                                                                      When I’m shopping
                                                                                                                    for biscuits there is
                                                                                                                    a bit of excitement
                                                                                                                     that I might find
     If we can tempt people to spend a little more, this is an opportunity for retailers.
                                                                                                                      something new.

     The Sweet Biscuits category drives spend

     Shoppers are more                                                                 Balanced with
      likely to increase                                                                 a need for           Did you know?
       spend because:                                                                   availability
                                    Promotions    Innovations      Impulse

                                                                                                          Most important factors when
                                                                                                             shopping for biscuits:

     How can retailers make the most of this ‘Profit Booster’ status?
                                                                                                         Range             Price            Quality

                                                                                                        More important for biscuits than
                                                                                                           other categories in store:

      Premium ranges                NPD and                       Theatre              Promos to
     to take advantage           range rotation                     and               drive average
         of trade-up                to excite                   stand-out               weight of
       opportunities               shoppers                     in the aisle            purchase       Innovation          Offers       Enjoyment

26                                                                                                                                                    Annual Biscuit Review 2020   27
Last year I
                                                                             remember a TV

     The health agenda                                                                           2021: Prepare for changes to rules
                                                                           campaign that said
                                                                           kids’ snacks should
                                                                           be 100 calories. So
     Healthy eating                                                         that’s what I look
                                                                          for for my daughter.
                                                                                                 and regulations
     Health and healthy eating gained more attention in 2020.                                    Products that are deemed to have high fat, sugar or salt (HFSS) content have featured in policy
     Shoppers have sought to improve their diets with lower calorie                              considerations of the Government. In 2020, consultations were held with the intent to restrict
     or lower fat options, and are likely to continue to do so in 2021.                          promotion and advertising of such products, including biscuits, from 2022.

                                                                                                          Restrictions on                 Restrictions on                        Restrictions on
                                                                                                    location-based promotions             TV advertising                    volume-based promotions

        19% (of 35 yrs+)                                                        25% more
     say healthier eating is                                                   influenced
     the biggest change in                                                   by health when
     their behaviour since                                                  grocery shopping                                               The impact of HFSS regulations could potentially be
      the pandemic began                                                                                                                  £1.6bn for snacking, with £267m from Sweet Biscuits
                                                                                                                                                              -£1.6bn
                                            More than
                                          4 in 10 Britons
                                           are trying to
                                           lose weight
                                           via diet and
                                              exercise                                                                                                                         -£267m
                                                                                                                                                                                (15% of
                                                                                                              The traffic
                                                                                                                                                                              total sales)
                                                                                                           light system is
                                                                                                          something I use,
                                                                                                          but I also look at                                Total Grocery   Sweet Biscuits
                                                                                                         the % of sugar, fat
                                                                                                         etc. When buying
                                                                                                           healthier bars I
                                                                                                           wouldn’t want
                                                                                                         any of those to be
                                                                                                               over 15%.
     80% concerned about                                                  83% concerned about
        mental health                                                       physical health

28                                                                                                                                                                           Annual Biscuit Review 2020   29
The health agenda                                                             Sainsbury’s pioneered
                                                                                    the development of
     Making the fixture smarter                                                    Healthier Alternatives
                                                                                    in 2018, blocking all
     Fixtures need to positively support the health agenda.
                                                                                    key brands together
                                                                                    at the start of their
                                                                                    merchandising flow

      Provide information and     Highlight healthier         Speed up buying
     nutritional suggestions to      alternatives               process and
       help decision-making            on shelf               avoid walkaways
                                                                                Sainsbury’s Healthier Alternatives with Under 100 Calories barker

                                                                                                                                                     Gullón

                                                                                                                                                     Maryland
                                                                                                                                                    Sugar Free

                                                                                                                                                    McVitie’s
                                                                                                                                                     Lights

                                                                                                                                                     Free’ist

                                                                                                                                                       Siro

30                                                                                                                                      Annual Biscuit Review 2020   31
Seasons and events                                                                               Seasonal Biscuits
     Christmas 2020: A year like no other                                                             While Christmas 2020 was different, the brands that focused on
                                                                                                      gifting and sharing were the strongest performers.

                                                                                                                                          Top 10 Seasonal Biscuit Brands

                                                                                                        1                 McVitie’s Victoria Assortment       6            Paterson’s Shortbread Fingers

          Last-minute rule                       Shoppers spent             A record Christmas for
         changes disrupted                     more on groceries           grocery sales, OOH sales     2                     McVitie’s Family Circle         7                 Cadbury Snowy Fingers
         plans across the UK                   from mid-October              transferred in-home

                                                                                                                                                                                  McVitie’s Chocolate
                                                                                                        3                   Jacob’s Cracker Selection         8
                               A different story for biscuits                                                                                                                  Digestives Seasonal Edition

                                                                                                                                 Fox’s Fabulously
                                                                                                        4                                                     9                Fox’s Chocolatey Selection
                                                                                                                                 Biscuit Selection

                                                    -8%
                                                                                                        5                   Oreo Seasonal Assortment          10               Carr’s Savoury Assortment

       Shoppers held off buying          Decline YoY in Seasonal              Novelties brought
     treats while awaiting clarity  assortments due to fewer social            in new buyers                                 2020 NPD featured twists on well-loved classics
         on Christmas plans        occasions and gifting opportunities         driven by NPD

                                                                                                                               McVitie’s Chocolate
                                                                                                                            Digestives Seasonal Edition

                                                                                                                                                                           Bahlsen Choco Leibniz Baileys

                                                                                                                              McVitie’s Jaffa Cakes
                                                                                                                              Orange and Cranberry
               Normally I have bought 10                                   We had a limited                                                                                Oreo Seasonal Assortment Tin
                or 12 boxes of biscuits to                               selection of biscuits
               gift to elderly relatives and                              this year. Normally                           Oreo Crackin’ Cookies Selection Box
               neighbours, but I didn’t do                               that comes from the
                   that this year. Donna                                 older generation like
                                                                           grandparents and
                                                                           aunties, but they
                                                                         weren’t going out to
                                                                            the shops. Paul
32                                                                                                                                                                         Annual Biscuit Review 2020        33
Seasons and events                                                                                    Key events in 2021
     Restrictions on festive celebrations                                                                  We can expect to see a release of pent-up demand for seasonal events in 2021 – especially
                                                                                                           Christmas – as people make up for missed time and celebrate with friends and family. Biscuits
     2020 saw subdued festivities due to Government regulations and safety concerns                        can play a key role so retailers should ensure they feature the right products at the right time.

                                                                                                             January          New Year, New You

        64%         Not seeing as
                                              49%   Not entertaining
                                                                             29%       Not as interested                                                                              2021: Great
                    many people                     as much                            in Christmas
                                                                                                             February                                  Valentine’s Day               expectations
                                                                                                                              Six Nations

                                                                                                              March                                    Mother’s Day

                                                                                                               April          Easter
                                                                          I missed
                                                                       celebrations
                                                                        this year so
                                                                                                               May            National Biscuit Day
                                                                        I will enjoy
                                                                         Christmas                                                                                                   Retailers to prepare
                                                                        2021 more.
                                                                                                               June                                                                  for rise in at-home/
                                                                                                                                                                                    outdoor celebrations
                                                                                                                              Wimbledon
                                                                                                                                                                                      (BBQs, picnics) as
                                                                                                               July                                                                   restrictions ease
             For the first time ever, we                                                                                                               Olympics
            didn’t gift biscuits at all. We
             normally get a box or two                                                                        August          Summer
          back but no, nothing this year.
           I normally buy them as extra
             gifts for people at school,                                                                    September         Back to School
           the receptionist etc, but the
            school asked us not to take
                presents in. Joanne                                                                          October          Halloween

                                                                                                                                                                                   Christmas 2021: People
                                                                89% of UK shoppers                          November                                   Diwali                         likely to plan more
                                                              claimed to have missed                                                                                                seasonal celebrations
                                                               out on at least 1 social                                       Christmas                                              to make up for 2020
                                                              activity over Christmas                        December                                  New Year, New You
                                                                  due to COVID-19

34                                                                                                                                                                                   Annual Biscuit Review 2020   35
Seasons and events
     Best-in-class execution
     Seasonal events featured strongly across the trade
     in 2020 – and 2021 offers even more potential.

     Deli Express Cross-Siting                        Sports Relief Execution                    Christmas                                         Back to School
     (from top to bottom: Morrisons and Tesco)        (from top to bottom: JS and Sainsbury’s)   (from top to bottom: Asda, Morrisons and Tesco)   (Sainsbury’s)
36                                                                                                                                                                  Annual Biscuit Review 2020   37
Implications for 2021
     Challenges for 2021 and beyond
                     Covid-19                                   Brexit                    Recession
                                                                                                                               Likely impact:
                                                 Financial/Economic Impact on Shoppers:

                                                                                                                               1
                                                                                                                                     What they buy:
                                                                                                                                     Switching to cheaper
        Increased focus         Increase                                                                                             brands and own label
           on health            in online
                                                                  39%

                                                                                                                               2
                                                                                          Higher levels of                           Where they shop:
                                                                                          unemployment                               Desire to seek value will
                                                        Concerned about impact                                                       increase discounters’ share
                                                        on grocery shopping [#1

                                                                                                                               3
                                                          concern: price rises]                                                      Advance planning:
       Changing working    Importance of speed
          dynamics           and ease of shop                                                                                        Controlling spend means
                                                                                                                                     less impulse buying

                                                                                                                               4
                                                                  91%                                                                Frequency of shop:
     Financial/Economic Impact on Shoppers:                                                                                          Going less often allows
                                                                                             Declining
                                                                                             financial                               less pick-up opportunities
                                                            Say it’s important
                                                                                            confidence
                                                        to actively make savings
             40%                  95%                         on groceries

       Work affected       Concerned about
      during lockdown      economic outlook
                                                                  2/3
                                                                                                              External factors will have
                                                                                                              greatest impact on FMCG
             62%                  34%                       Who seek savings                   Savvy         performance until mid-2022
                                                                                             spending
                                                          are actively watching             behaviours
                                                              grocery spend                                   Frugal shopping habits to
      Concerned about         Concerned                                                                        become the norm after
      financial security   about job security                                                                     turbulent 2020

38                                                                                                                                               Annual Biscuit Review 2020   39
Implications for 2021
     2021 Biscuits Category:
     Projected Growth +0.6%
        Biscuit Barrel : Everyday Biscuits
        (EDB) and Everyday Treats (EDT)      Special Treats
        Will play larger role due to         Will see good H1 growth as we         Core Biscuit
        increased WFH and hot drink          annualise poor performance          Barrel, Savoury
        occasions, but will struggle to      during 2020 stockpiling            and CBBs were the
        annualise heavy % growth seen
        in 2020 stockpiling                  In-home evening treating            key contributors
                                             will stay important, growth        to growth during
                                             likely in Christmas run-up          stockpiling and
                                             (more socialising)                  will play a more
                                                                                  important role
        Chocolate Biscuit Bars (CBB)                                                within the
        This fast growing segment                                                category in 2021
        of 2020 will be increasingly         Healthier Biscuits
        important, though growth
        likely to slow                       Likely slow start to 2021 with
                                             heavy declines in January,
                                             but recovery expected later
                                             in year as normal life resumes
        Kids / Novelty Biscuits              Weight management to play
                                             a larger role in the category
        Struggled in 2020 as
        families ate together
        Likely to recover with
        return to schools in 2021            Savoury Biscuits
                                             Like Biscuit Barrel, will play
                                             larger category role due to WFH
                                             and more in-home lunching
        Seasonal
                                             Its strong growth during 2020
        A key category growth driver         stockpiling will be challenging
        - shoppers will make up for a        to annualise
        scaled-down 2020 Christmas

40                                                                             Annual Biscuit Review 2020   41
Implications for 2021                                                                                     Pent-up demand for
                                                                                                               newness will benefit NPD
                                                                                                                                                                    Prepare for a big
                                                                                                                                                                    Christmas in 2021
                                                                                                               Innovation with the biscuits category is really      2020 gave us a Christmas like no other. As a
                                                                                                               important for category growth. We expect             result, we can expect to see a release of pent-up
     Increased savvy                                      Growth of the                                        shoppers’ desire to try something new will           demand for seasonal events as people make up
     shopper behaviour                                    online channel                                       be high in 2021.                                     for missed time and celebrate with friends and
                                                                                                                                                                    family. Christmas 2021 will be BIG.
     Following a challenging 2020, we will see the true   Online shopping took a giant leap in 2020,
     financial impact of the pandemic coming through,     accelerated by increased demand and                  Action for retailers: List biscuits NPD with
     with savvy shopping behaviours taking hold           subsequent increased retailer capacity. We           prominent display and feature to encourage           Action for retailers: Prepare for a rise in at-home/
     among those who have been impacted the most.         anticipate continued growth in 2021, making          shoppers to buy into something new.                  outdoor celebrations such as BBQs and picnics as
                                                          online a key battleground to win in. The older                                                            restrictions ease. As we move into the Christmas
     For these constrained shoppers, value will be        demographic driving online growth aligns                                                                  season, stock key gifting and treating biscuit lines
     top of mind, and we’ll likely see more shopping      with the core biscuits consumer, but we                                                                   to take advantage of shopper demand.
     around as they look for the best value for money.    must ensure biscuits – as an impulse category
                                                          – aren’t missed off that shopping list.              Don’t forget the core
     Action for retailers: Ensure value for money is                                                           Shoppers turned to trusted brands and
     clearly communicated at fixture, and ensure                                                               bestselling products in the Biscuit category
     shopper needs are met through availability of
                                                          Action for retailers: Online retailers must find
                                                          creative ways to disrupt shoppers’ journeys –
                                                                                                               during 2020, and many fell back in love with         Be prepared for changes
     value lines.                                         nudging them to add their regular biscuits to
                                                                                                               traditional ‘biscuit barrel’ products which
                                                                                                               perfectly complement a cuppa. With more WFH
                                                                                                                                                                    to rules and regulations
                                                          their online basket – and consider NPD which         predicted post-pandemic, the continued surge         A wide range of products, including biscuits,
                                                          is often missed in the online environment.           in ‘hot drink moments’ will maintain momentum        are likely to be affected by the Government’s
                                                                                                               for the core biscuit category,including Everyday     intentions to further regulate products that are
     In-home indulgence                                                                                        Biscuits and Everyday Treats.                        deemed to have high fat, sugar or salt content
                                                                                                                                                                    (HFSS). We expect to hear more about the
     will continue
                                                          Healthier will surge                                 Action for retailers: Focus on correct space
                                                                                                                                                                    proposed measures and their implementation
                                                                                                                                                                    soon. In 2021, we will start the preparations
     The recession is unlikely to impact all shoppers
     equally. For those middle classes who have been      back to growth once                                  allocation for bestselling branded biscuit           for any potential changes in where and how
     saving money during lockdown, we will see an
     openness to trade up and treat themselves and
                                                          lockdown eases                                       products. Convenience retailers should prioritise
                                                                                                               stocking the Top 10 biscuit lines, as 80% of sales
                                                                                                                                                                    shoppers will buy biscuits as a result.

     their family, particularly at social events. For     Health took a back seat during 2020, but as          come from 8% of products in this channel.
     those less financially secure, smaller in-home       lockdown eases we expect to see the usual                                                                 Action for retailers: Throughout 2021, working
     treats and nights in will replace more expensive     January Health Kick a little later this year. With                                                        with manufacturers to identify changes and
     out-of-home occasions.                               media attention on obesity, weight management is                                                          their potential impact to the Biscuits category
                                                          likely to be top of mind for many consumers.                                                              will be key. Be prepared for these changes by
                                                                                                                                                                    focusing on bringing the fixture to life through
     Action for retailers: Premium biscuit options                                                                                                                  in-aisle theatre and engagement, as well as
     will still be relevant for those shoppers wanting    Action for retailers: Prioritise weight management                                                        ensuring space is allocated to best performing
     to treat themselves. Ensure a strong range of        biscuits to help meet evolving health needs.                                                              products to avoid out of stocks.
     Special Treats to meet these needs.                  Look for ways to support shoppers in store with
                                                          education about healthier choices.

42                                                                                                                                                                                           Annual Biscuit Review 2020    43
Sources:                                                                                                 For all category
                                                                                     PAGES                    enquiries please
     Nielsen Total Biscuits Market - 52we 02.01.2021                                 2-3, 6-9, 12-15, 20-21
                                                                                                              contact:
     Kantar Total Take Home Grocery Sales - 52we 27.12.20                            2-5, 20-21               David Costello
                                                                                                              Head of Category & Planning
     Kantar - Total Core Snacking - 52we 27.12.20                                    4-5
                                                                                                              david.costello@pladisglobal.com
     Kantar Total Biscuits Market - 52we 27.12.20                                    6-11
                                                                                                              Laura Molyneux
     Kantar Total Biscuits Usage - 52we 04.10.20                                     6-11                     Category Controller – Channels
                                                                                                              laura.molyneux@pladisglobal.com
     pladis - Watch Me Think Shopper Research - 2020                                 6-9, 12-15, 29, 32-34
                                                                                                              Stephanie Mewse
     Nielsen Total Biscuits - OSF Analysis                                           9                        Shopper Insights Controller
                                                                                                              stephanie.mewse@pladisglobal.com
     Kantar Incrementality Study - Sweet Biscuits - 2016-2020 (14-15)                14-15

     Kantar ‘What we can expect from 2021’ (20,21)                                   20-21

     Kantar Take Home Grocery Sales - Full year 2010 vs.
                                                                                                              For all media
     52we 29th Dec 19 vs. 52we 27th Dec 20 (22)
                                                                                     22
                                                                                                              enquiries please
     pladis ShopperCentric eCommerce Biscuits Path to Purchase Research 2020

     Shopper Intelligence - Sweet Biscuits - 2020
                                                                                     24-25

                                                                                     26-27
                                                                                                              contact:
                                                                                                              Csaba Babak
     Nielsen State of the Nation Homescan Survey 2021                                28, 34, 38               Corporate Communications Manager
                                                                                                              csaba.Babak@pladisglobal.com
     Kantar Covid Attitudinal Study - 12/52 we 17 May 2020 vs 12/52 we 19 May 2019   28, 38

     Kantar Global Barometer, Wave 8 August 2020                                     28

     Ipsos Mori Health Survey Survey - October 23rd- November 6th 2020               28

     Nielsen Sweet Biscuits OSF Analysis - 13 x 4we periods to 21st March 2020       29

     Kantar Total Take Home Grocery Sales - Seasonal Analysis- 20we 27.12.20         32-33

     Nielsen Total Biscuits Market - 20we 02.01.2021                                 32-33

     IGD ShopperVista, 6th and 7th Jan’21.
                                                                                     34
     Base: 1,750 UK shoppers who celebrated Christmas

44
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