WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone

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WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
WORLD’S BEST DRIVERLESS
METRO LINES 2017
Mar ket st u dy o n dr i v er less me t ro l ine s
a n d b en c h mar k o f n etwo r k p erformance
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
Foreword

                                                                                                               In tomorrow’s megacities, citizens’                  megacities which are coming into view
                                                                                                               selected route will take on increasing               in emerging countries in Asia, Africa and
                                                                                                               importance (in France, journey length                South America as well as the challenges
                                                                                                               grew by 63% between 1982 and 2008                    presented by the peripheral urbanization
                                                                                                               according to INSEE, France’s National                of highly dense big cities in developed
                                                                                                               Institute of Statistics and Economic                 European countries.
                                                                                                               Studies).
                                                                                                                                                                    This panorama on “smartization”, which
                                                                                                               At the same time, citizens’ habits regard-           optimizes and streamlines urban mobil-
                                                                                                               ing transport change as a result of pres-            ity highlights France as the flagship of
                                                                                                               sure, from environmental responsibility              driverless metro system operations. The
                                                                                                               which is more present in their conscience            momentum of its authorities and industry
                                                                                                               and, on the other hand, from congestion              in the segment has propelled the country
                                                                                                               in city centers. The “transport mix” in big          to the top of the pack in the global driv-
                                                                                                               cities has clearly shifted from the individ-         erless metro market.
                                                                                                               ual car towards mass public transport.
                                                                                                                                                                    A transport system’s performance is based
                                                                                                               Faced with the challenge of transporting             on strategic choices made over the long
                                                                                                               more passengers in a continuous and fluid            term by the organizing transport authority
                                                                                                               way, and with the challenge of increasing            and tactical and operating choices made
                                                                                                               line capacity that is already saturated, the         by the operator.
                                                                                                               driverless metro system brings practical
                                                                                                               solutions: high headway (up to 60’’ for              Through its vision, the organizing trans-
                                                                                                               Lille’s metro), high flexibility (adapting the       port authority comes up with a transport
                                                                                                               service frequency to real time demand),              solution that meets mobility demands
                                                                                                               high service level (24/7 service, e.g.               modelled for several years (generally, the
                                                                                                               Copenhagen’s metro) and higher commer-               organizing transport authority’s vision is
                                                                                                               cial speed (up to 44km/h in Vancouver).              for a 10-30-year period). In reality, this
                                                                                                                                                                    choice which seems to have little impact
                                                                                                               In addition, driverless metro systems con-           on metro line operations proves decisive
                                                                                                               siderably reduce operating costs (by up to           for:
                                                                                                               40%) mainly bringing with them human
                                                                                                               resources flexibility. This means public             //   Mobility quality perceived by the
                                                                                                               transport prices are significantly reduced                user, closely linked to the density
                                                                                                               and accessible to more of the population.                 of the stations (varying between
                                                                                                                                                                         0.54 station/km for Dubai and 2.17
www.wavestone.com
                                                                                                               By making the most of all these advan-                    stations/km for Lausanne), with
Wavestone is a consulting firm, created from the merger of Solucom and Kurt Salmon’s European Business
                                                                                                               tages, the driverless metro system will,                  the theoretical headway and there-
(excluding retails and consumer goods outside of France) Wavestone’s mission is to enlighten and guide their   in the next five years, strategically meet                fore the transport system’s capac-
clients in the most critical decisions, drawing on functional, sectoral and technological expertise.
                                                                                                               the challenges of decongestion in the                     ity (varying between 1’ for the Lille

                                                                                                               *See glossary.

                                                             2                                                                                                  3
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
metro and 6’ for the Dubai metro),            Transport service quality perceived by        //     The diverse nature of the socio-eco-                      Finally, in its analysis, Wavestone adopts
     at the commercial speed brought               the customer is also thought to be linked            nomic differences of the served areas,                    a weighting factor which reflects the
     about by the choice of rolling stock          to settings that are endogenous to oper-             between cities and even countries                         old-age of the infrastructure and rolling
     and accessibility, often standardized         ations, which do not depend on the orga-      //     Citizens’ different perceptions faced                     stock. At similar operating performance, a
     by strict rules                               nizing transport authority. This perception          with qualitative issues (safety, clean-                   network with major operating constraints
                                                   of quality is achieved through a passen-             liness) based on their country                            due to its age, reveals an operator’s
//   A recovery in the operator’s opera-
                                                   ger satisfaction level measured by the                                                                         potentially more advanced competency.
     tions which depend on the quality                                                           //     The scope of the inquiry which varies
                                                   operator itself, with the operator’s own                                                                       A change to this factor would have an
     of the return good disposed of by                                                                  according to author (operator, orga-
                                                   indicators undergoing self-monitoring                                                                          impact on the global ranking: by reducing
     the organizing transport authority                                                                 nizing transport authority and third
                                                   i.e. monitoring by the organizing author-                                                                      such this factor, the best metro lines in the
     and the ageing of the network and                                                                  party). The scope for an authority or
                                                   ity which seeks to measure the differ-                                                                         ranking may see their rank lowered, but
     rolling stock. As a result, investment                                                             third party is often larger than that
                                                                                                                                                                  the score will no longer precisely reflect
     for the operator and additional oper-         ence between the thresholds set in the               of an operator, which is sometimes
                                                                                                                                                                  their operational excellence.
     ating costs for maintenance are to be         operations contract and users’ perceived             impartial
     planned for                                   performance.

The study shows that the operator has a            Wavestone chose to compare users’ satis-
much more important role to play than the          faction levels in two domains for which the
organizing transport authority in improv-
                                                                                                 As part of the development of its expertise in the trans-               in the benchmark target as their context, ser-
                                                   operator’s margins are significant: peo-
ing the service delivered to the customer:
                                                                                                 port sector, Wavestone’s Transport & Travel practice                    vice and operation are not comparable with
                                                   ple’s cleanliness and safety. For the first
the transport experience. It may compen-
                                                                                                 has taken a deeper look at mass urban transport by                      “heavier” systems such as metros and are not
                                                   domain, lines including Lyon, Barcelona,
sate for choices made by the organizing
                                                                                                 drawing on the existing network of our international                    used in the same way.
                                                   Rennes and Taipei top the rankings with
transport authority which are judged as
                                                                                                 offices to enhance the knowledge base of our local and             The study analyses 25 of the 40 driverless metro
                                                                                                                                                                  /	
                                                   positive opinions from users, reaching
sub-optimal, ensuring a high rate of punc-
                                                                                                 international clients.                                             lines existing worldwide in February 2017, for
                                                   99.3% for Lyon, versus less than 70%
tuality and frequency (varying between             for Vancouver and Milan. For the second       The trend of automation affecting all transport modes              which information is considered as available,
93% for Lausanne and 99.73% for Taipei)            domain, the operator’s efforts are cru-       (including autonomous cars, autonomous buses and                   accessible and reliable, notably thanks to our
and a group of innovative connected ser-                                                         hyperloops) quickly shifted the focus of the study to              international offices, thus providing the items
                                                   cial even if the socio-economic context
vices which transform urban mobility.                                                            driverless metro lines, a mature and rapidly expanding             necessary for a comparative analysis.
                                                   of the area served by the metro line
                                                                                                 technology, the data for which is fully accessible, unlike       This survey is notably based on:
Likewise, the operator’s expertise is cru-         has an important role. Regarding safety,
                                                                                                 those for disruptive systems, which are new and have
cial in guaranteeing efficient, reliable and       Copenhagen, Dubai and Taipei come out                                                                            T he collection of documents from different
                                                                                                                                                                  /	
                                                                                                 little market presence.
above all profitable operations, particu-          with user satisfaction rates that exceed                                                                         sources and supported by Wavestone’s inter-
                                                   90%.                                          To carry out the study, Wavestone limited the scope to             national offices.
larly for ageing networks and rolling stock
                                                                                                 a representative and coherent sample:                              A series of interviews with major players in
                                                                                                                                                                  /	
such as that found on the following metro
                                                   Nevertheless, the comparison of users’
systems: Lille (35 years’ old), Lyon (26),                                                         Driverless metro lines* mainly transporting pas-
                                                                                                 /	                                                                urban transport and experts in the field.
                                                   satisfaction between different networks
Taipei (21) and Vancouver (31). Network                                                            sengers on back-and-forth journeys including                     A nalysis work serving to compare driverless
                                                                                                                                                                  /	
                                                   remains a tricky task due:
operations of this type may easily gen-                                                            commutes.                                                        metro lines in three respects: the performance
erate uncontrollable maintenance costs             //   The difference in terms of methods       /	
                                                                                                   Collective driverless transport lines such as light              of infrastructure and rolling stock; the reliability
which have a direct impact on the orga-                 for measurement between the differ-        rail transit (LRT)*, people movers* and auto-                    and quality of the service; and the innovation
nizing transport authority and the user                 ent lines and the type of surveys or       mated guided transit (AGT)* are not included                     demonstrated by the operators.
through a higher transport price.                       inquiries conducted

                                                                                                 *See glossary.

                                               4                                                                                                              5
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
Authors                                                                                                                                                                      Contents

                                                           before pursuing it in transport and multimodal
                                                           mobility consulting.
                       Philippe Menesplier                 Generalist of passengers and fret transport, expert
                       Philippe Menesplier, Partner,       in externalities and LCA Life Cycle Assessment,
                       he has more than 20 years           Juliano works regularly on strategic benchmarks
                       of experience in strategy

                                                                                                                   09
                                                           and studies in the service of major industry players:        
                       and management consult-             operators, transport organization authorities and
                       ing. He managed numerous            equipment manufacturers.
                                                                                                                        Introduction of the study
                       studies and clients’ deliver-
                       ies for urban mobility market       juliano.naoufal@wavestone.com
actors: organization, industrial strategy, optimiza-
tion and lean management.
Also, he delivered important transformation pro-
grams for companies evolving within the transport
                                                                                  Jonathan Longo

                                                                                                                   29
infrastructure industry, and he regularly conducts
studies on multimodal mobility in megacities and                                  Jonathan is part of Energy,
agglomerations.                                                                   Utilities and Transport               Description of scope and methodology
philippe.menesplier@wavestone.com                                                 Practice of Wavestone.
                                                                                  Following several years of
                                                                                  experience in the energy
                                                                                  sector (investment fund,
                                                                                  bank, energy producer and
                                                           distributor), he got the opportunity to help many

                                                                                                                   35
                       Aurélien Gué                        private and public entities in the scope of market
                                                                                                                        Summary of the comparative analysis of driverless
                      Aurélien Gué is a Senior             analysis, business model conception and bench-
                      Manager and expert in new            marks deliveries.                                            metro lines
                      uses that are deeply chang-          More specifically, he addresses problems mixing
                      ing our day to day living and        energy and transport: smart city, green mobility,
                      the business model of the            etc.
                      industry players.                    jonathan.longo@wavestone.com
                      He managed several strate-

                                                                                                                   57
gic studies related to new mobility solutions (air
transport, mass-transit, etc.) and conducted major                                                                      A detailed benchmark of the driverless metro lines
transformation projects in the fields of passenger’s
experience and operations for major transport and
                                                                                                                        under reviews
retail actors.
                                                                                 Franck Benoit
                                                                                 Franck Benoit, Business
aurelien.gue@wavestone.com                                                       Analyst, he initiated his
                                                                                 career in transport and
                                                                                 travel consulting. He grad-

                                                                                                                   97
                                                                                 uated from the “Institut
                                                                                 d’Etudes Politiques d’Aix-
                                                                                                                        
                       Juliano Naoufal                                           en-Provence”, public affairs           Appendices
                     Juliano Naoufal is a con-             and holds a Master’s degree in Business Law from
                     sultant within the Energy,            Aix-Marseille University.
                     Utilities and Transport               His double expertise allows him to advise public
                     Practice. Following several           transport operators in conducting their strategic
                     years of studies in transport         projects. He is particularly interested in the rela-
                     and sustainable develop-              tion between mobility operators or providers and
ment at the “Ecole des Ponts ParisTech”, Juliano           transport organization authorities.
started his career in the air transport industry           franck.benoit@wavestone.com

                                                       6                                                                                    7
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
Introduction
UN VISUEL    of the study

   8              9
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
Mobility, a key issue                                                                                                              Africa and A sia ar e s e t fo r                                 Asia (55%) and 3 in Africa (10%). In 2030,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           23 of the world’s 41 cities with over 10
                                                                                                                                                          str ong urban growth , l e ading
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           million inhabitants will be in Asia (56%)

                       in tomorrow’s cities                                                                                                               to t h e adv e nt o f n e w m egaciti e s
                                                                                                                                                          on t h e two co ntin e nts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           and 6 in Africa (15%).

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           The 10 new megacities will be in Asia
                                                                                                                                                          Megacities are concentrated in Asia and                          (Pakistan, India, Thailand, Vietnam),
Urbaniz ati o n is on the rise in                                    in China and five in India. The figure will rise                                     Africa: in 2016, 17 of the world’s 31 cities                     Africa (South Africa, Tanzania, Angola)
                                                                     to 41 by 2030. The world is currently home
all t he world’ s megaciti es,                                                                                                                            with over 10 million inhabitants were in                         and South America (Colombia).
                                                                     to 7.3 billion people, over 54.5% of whom
particularly in emerging                                             live in cities. By 2050, the world population
co untri es                                                          will rise to roughly 9.7 billion, with over 65%
                                                                                                                                                          Top
                                                                                                                                                          Top 10
                                                                                                                                                              10 Cities
                                                                                                                                                                 Cities with
                                                                                                                                                                        with the
                                                                                                                                                                             the Strongest
                                                                                                                                                                                 Strongest Population
                                                                                                                                                                                           Population Growth
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Growth between
                                                                                                                                                                                                             between 2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2016 and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          and 2030
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2030
                                                                     of the total living in cities.
The global urban landscape is in the midst                                                                                                                Hyderabad                                             38.6
                                                                                                                                                          Hyderabad                                             38.6                   Asia (Bangladesh, Pakistan, India)
of e deep-seated change. In 1950, only                               The number of megacities is on the increase,                                         Ahmedabad                                              39                    Asia (Bangladesh, Pakistan, India)
                                                                                                                                                          Ahmedabad                                              39
                                                                                                                                                          Bangalore                                               41.2                 Africa (Tanzania, Angola, Nigeria, RDC)
New York and Tokyo had a population of                               a trend accompanied by urban sprawl,                                                 Bangalore                                               41.2                 Africa (Tanzania, Angola, Nigeria, RDC)
                                                                                                                                                          Lahore                                                         45
over ten million. In 2016, some 31 cities are                        which gives these cities an interface role                                           Lahore                                                         45
                                                                                                                                                          Karachi                                                        45.1
home to over ten million people, six of them                         through an effective transport system:                                               Karachi                                                        45.1
                                                                                                                                                          Dhaka                                                                 50.1
                                                                                                                                                          Dhaka                                                                 50.1
                                                                                                                                                          Kinshasa                                                                      65.7
                                                                                                                                                          Kinshasa                                                                      65.7
                                                                                                                                                          Lagos                                                                                        77.4
                                                                                                                                                          Lagos                                                                                        77.4
 2016 - The World's 10 Biggest Cities                    (popu la t ion in m illion s o f i nha b i t a nt s)                                             Luanda                                                                                              81.8
                                                                                                                                                          Luanda                                                                                              81.8
                                                                                                                                                          Dar es Salaam                                                                                                          98.9
 Tokyo                                                                       38 • China (19% of the world population) and                                Dar es Salaam                                                                                                          98.9
 Dehli                                                   26.4                      India (18%) are the world’s most populous
 Shanghai                                             24.5                         countries, each with over one billion                                  Geographical
                                                                                                                                                          Geographical Breakdown
                                                                                                                                                                       Breakdown ofof Cities
                                                                                                                                                                                      Cities Entering
                                                                                                                                                                                              Entering the
                                                                                                                                                                                                       the Rankings
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Rankings of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    of Megacities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Megacities
 Bombay                                        21.4                                inhabitants.                                                           with Over 10 million Inhabitants  in 2030
                                                                                                                                                          with Over 10 million Inhabitants in 2030
 São Paolo                                    21.3                              • Only four megacities are not on the Asian
 Mexico                                       21.2                                 continent: São Paulo, Mexico, Cairo and                                                            10
 Pékin                                        21.2                                 New York.                                                                                          10
 Osaka                                      20.3                                • None of the megacities are in Europe, and                                                                                                           Asia
                                          19.1                                                                                                                                                                                         Asia
 Cairo                                                                             Cairo is the only one in Africa.
                                                                                                                                                                                 30                60                                  Africa
 New York                                18.6                                                                                                                                    30                60                                  Africa
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       South America
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       South America
 2030 - The World's 10 Biggest Cities                     (popu la t ion in m illion s o f i nha b i t a nt s)Chine    France          Allemagne

 Tokyo                                                                      37.2 • Seven of the ten most populous
                                                                                                           Italie    cities are
                                                                                                                         Royaume-Uni         États-Unis   Source: United Nations, The World’s Cities in 2016.
 Dehli                                                                    36.1      in Asia
 Shanghai                                                       30.8             • India will overtake China as the world’s
 Bombay                                                  27.8                       most populous country in 2022.                                                 2000
                                                                                                                                                                   2000
 Pékin                                                   27.7                    • Bangladesh (Dhaka) and Pakistan (Karachi)
 Dhaka                                                  27.4                        are highly populated and capital-centric.                                    The rapid expansion of these cities, and the emergence of a middle class resulting from the
 Karachi                                            24.8                         • The population of Nigeria (Lagos) will                                          1500
                                                                                                                                                                far-reaching
                                                                                                                                                                    1500 economic transformation in these regions, make urban mobility a key issue for
 Cairo                                             24.5                             overtake that of the USA in 2050, with the
 Lagos                                             24.2
                                                                                                                                                             these countries. The urban transport market will be increasingly concentrated in these two regions
                                                                                    country becoming the world’s third most
 Mexico                                           23.9                              populous.                                                                      1000
                                                                                                                                                                                                   in the coming decades.
Source: United Nations, The World’s Cities in 2016.
                                                                                                                                                                   1000
*See glossary.
                                                                                                             Chine     France          Allemagne                          500
                                                                                                                                                                          500
                                                                10                                           Italie    Royaume-Uni          États-Unis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     11
                                                                                                                                                                            00
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
To prepare fo r do ubl e-digit                                     Mobility that goes above               user behavior since the arrival of digital                   is supplied to transport authorities
                                                                   and beyond the tradi-                  technology. A day-to-day issue for all the                   through partnerships (as with the
urban growth, the world’s
                                                                   t i o n a l , te c h n i c a l a n d   population, transport is naturally a key                     Waze Connected Citizens Program).
biggest cities need to start                             functional definition of transport               focus in efforts to develop Smart Cities.
t hinking ab o ut sustainable                            to adopt a service-based and more
m o bility here and now                                  modern approach: mobility condi-                                 Data is used to assist pas-
                                                         tions (comfort and well-being, wait-                             sengers, who now have                   Shorter journeys and lighter
Worldwide, the urban population overtook
                                                         ing times, information access) are                               access to an unprece-                   transport modes around dense
the rural population in 2007. In a world of                                                                    dented urban transport offer with
                                                         becoming crucial, with users more                                                                        and increasingly decentralized
cities, city dwellers, whether commuting                                                                       increasingly varied transport modes
or traveling for family or leisure purposes,
                                                         concerned about the time than the                                                                        agglomerations
                                                         distance of their daily journeys.                     (collaborative modes, bike fleets,
are in movement: mobility is an integral                                                                       self-service cars, etc.) accessible in             Commutes are growing increasingly
part of their everyday lives.                                       Mobility that takes account                just a few clicks thanks to digital                longer. The average commute distance in
                                                                    of the back-and-forth                      advances in the sector. Transport                  France has risen 63% in the last 30 years.
Today’s cities are congested, traf-
                                                                    travel characteristic of                   data, widely shared on an open-data                This is mainly a result of the widespread
fic-jammed and polluted. Tomorrow’s
                                                         large cities, in which inhabitants take               basis, are behind new comparative                  migration of inhabitants to peri-urban
cities need to address the mobility issues
                                                         the same routes back and forth in                     services, such as CityMapper.                      areas, which in turn results from the sub-
of their inhabitants – and the manage-
                                                         the same day, mainly as part of their                                                                    stantial growth in the population of cities
ment of transport flows has become a                                                                                     The availability of trans-
                                                         commutes.                                                                                                and increasing pressure on urban areas.
crucial issue. Tomorrow’s hyper-connected                                                                                port data is also enabling
and smart cities (which are just around the                                                                              transport organization                   The socio-economic and ecological
corner) also need to take a new approach                                                                       authorities to better plan the
                                                    Clickable, e fficie nt and                                                                                    impact of the daily commutes stem-
to mobility:                                                                                                   development of their networks by
                                                    personali ze d transport for                                                                                  ming from this shift is considerable. The
                                                                                                               adapting transport offers to pas-                  economically active population is more
                Mobility adapted to the             augmented m obility in t h e S mart                        senger flows, with electronic tickets
                characteristics of tomor-                                                                                                                         stressed and productivity is on a non-stop
                                                    City                                                       improving the analysis of journeys,                decline, negatively impacting the urban
                row’s cities: the modern
                                                                                                               connections and so on.                             economic fabric.
     metropolis – the “Smart City” – is             For economic and ecological reasons,
     larger and more densely populated,             large cities around the world are seeking                            T h e u s e o f re a l - t i m e         To address this problem, countries, and
     a place of 24-7 mobility with peaks in         to shift to a Smart City model. They are                             s h a r i n g i s i m p rov i n g        often developed countries, are seeking
     transport use that require transport           exploring a broad range of fields – includ-                          the responsiveness of                    to bring homes closer to workplaces and
     authorities to be adaptable.                   ing energy, waste management, water                        the transport offer and serving to                 even concentrate them in peri-urban
                                                    supply and enhanced transport – and                        enhance mobility. Transport users
               Mobility that respects the                                                                                                                         micro-centers (such as those in Seine
                                                    digital technology is playing a vital role in              are increasingly called on to provide
               environment: mobility                                                                                                                              Saint-Denis and Paris-Saclay outside
                                                    optimizing the way these services work.                    information on the functioning of
               today is overly polluting;                                                                                                                         Paris).
                                                                                                               the network in real time (with Waze
     it needs to be approached as part              And so the transport sector is in the
                                                                                                               and Moovit, for example), and the                  The adoption of this approach in the
     of the efforts to shrink the environ-          midst of a major transformation, with
                                                                                                               information collected in real time                 national strategies of various countries,
     mental footprint of the Smart City.            far-reaching changes in the offer and in

                                               12                                                                                                            13
WORLD'S BEST DRIVERLESS METRO LINES 2017 - Market study on driverless Metro lines and benchMark of network perforMance - Wavestone
along with the rise of these “micro-cities”,            Average Commute Distance in France                              Tom orr ow’ s smart city will b e                        Copenhagen and Toulouse to Dubai
whose populations are considerably lower                (in k m )                                                                                                                and Vancouver;
                                                                                                                        s e rv e d by a h igh e r- p e rfo rmance
than those of cities, presages a switch                                                                                                                                          > it is more flexible to operate, both
from a mass transit network, such as the                15
                                                                                                                        mass transit so lutio n : t h e                          in technical and HR terms: automatic
metro, to much lighter micro-networks                                                    +63%                           driv e rl e ss m e tro                                   solutions can be quickly adapted to
such as people movers and trams.                                                                                        “New mobilities” are a new way for get-                  available capacity by minimizing or
                                                        10                                                                                                                       even eliminating constraints linked
                                                                                                                        ting from A to B made possible by emerg-
A product of this model, the Grand Paris
                                                                                                                        ing models and technologies and rolled                   to drivers.
Express rapid transit system serves to
                                                                                                                        out through high user adoption rates,
decentralize the City of Paris and paves                                                                                                                                                     It creates a better service

                                                                                                       Source: INSEE.
                                                         5
                                                                                                                        including electric cars, autonomous shut-
the way for the arrival of tomorrow’s                                                                                                                                                        for passengers
                                                                                                                        tles and carpooling. But these systems
peri-urban micro-cities.                                                                                                                                                                     > it helps to reduce wait-
                                                                                                                        are not adapted to mass transit, involv-
                                                        0                                                                                                                        ing times on platforms by provid-
                                                                                                                        ing faster passenger throughput rates on
                                                                1982                     1994   2008                                                                             ing a more frequent service and
                                                                                                                        high-pressure routes and in a sustainable
                                                                                                                                                                                 faster commercial speed than con-
                                                                                                                        manner.
                                                                                                                                                                                 ventional metros while maintain-
Current Urban Transport Model                           Future Peri-Urban Transport Model                               Driverless metros stand as an intelligent                ing top-level punctuality;
                                                                                                                        and innovative mass-transit solution.                    > it offers a better passenger experi-
                                                                                                                        Driverless technology meets a certain                    ence through more recent trains and
                                                                                                                        number of the objectives involved, includ-               renovated stations.
                                                                                                                        ing high capacity, speed and regularity,
                                                                                                                                                                                            It is a reliable means of
                                                                                                                        reduced operating costs, adaptability, and
                                                                                                                                                                                            transport requiring lead-
                                                                                                                        flexibility in terms of human resources. It
                                                                                                                                                                                            ing-edge expertise
                                                                                                                        fulfills the criteria of a new approach to
                                                                                                                                                                                 By eliminating the risk factors
                                                                                                                        mobility:
                                                                                                                                                                                 stemming from human driving, the
                                                                                                                                           It is adapted to the                  driverless metro achieves higher
                                                                                                                                           requirements of future                safety and reliability rates than
                                                                                                                                           cities                                conventional metro systems*; the
                                                                                                                               > it is integrated in the urban envi-             introduction of platform doors
                                                                                                                               ro n m e n t a n d re s p o n d s to t h e        also limits the risk of accidents and
                                                                                                                               demand for diversified mobility from              human presence on the track.
                                Metro-style mass transit line
                                Light tram or people-mover line with very low capacity

                                                                                                                        *See glossary.

                                                   14                                                                                                                       15
Fo r example, the driverless                          selected with a view to decentralizing the
                                                      city, reducing commute times and, above all,
m e tr o is central to the Greater
                                                      creating peri-urban socio-economic centers
Paris transp ort strat egy and                        of interest able to relieve congestion in the
t he decentralizati on of the city                    capital.

The initial part of the Greater Paris trans-          The law relative to Greater Paris provides
port plan concerns the modernization                  for a specific organizational model for the
and extension of the existing network.                Grand Paris Express, whereby technical
This includes extending the RER E line and            infrastructure management is handled by
the metro line, creating high-level-service           RATP and the operation of the lines is han-
buses and trams, modernizing RER trains               dled by operators selected through tenders.
and improving Transilien regional train lines.        While the reform of collective transport in
The second part of the transport plan is              Île-de-France brings all operators access
focused on the creation of new driverless             to the network in free and non-discrimina-
                                                      tory conditions (and formally provides for
metro lines, the “Grand Paris Express”. The
                                                      a seamless connection between the activ-
aim is to build 205km of metro lines and 72
                                                      ities handled by RATP and those handled
new stations, to enter into service between
                                                      by the network manager), operators have
2018 and 2030.
                                                      expressed reserves as to the organization
As with similar projects in other large               model selected and the fairness of the call
cities, the Grand Paris Express project was           for competition.

                                                 16                                                   17
Key figures on driverless
                    metro lines worldwide
                 and the financial performance                                                                                                                                List of Driverless Metro Lines Worldwide
                         of automation                                                                     Over 5m inhabitants (city population)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Paris
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Copenhagen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            M1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            M2
                                                                                                                                                                              The lines analyzed in this study are underlined                                       Line 1     Lille
                                                                                                           Between 1m and 4.9m inhabitants (city population)                                                                                                       Line 14
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   London                     Line 1
                                                                                                           Under 1m inhabitants (city population)                                                                                                                                           Nuremberg
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Docklands Light Railway                  Line 2
                                                                                                           Over 10,000 inhab./km² (population density)                                                                                                                                      Line U2 / Line U21
                                                                                                           Between 5,000 and 9,999 inhab./km² (population density)                                                                                                                          Line 3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Rennes
                                                                                                           Under 5,000 inhab./km² (population density)                                                                                                                                              Budapest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Line A                        Lausanne
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Lyon                             M4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       M2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Line D
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Brescia
T h e world’ s 4 0 driverless metro* lines ar e conc e ntrat e d in t h e E ME A                                                                                                                                                                  Toulouse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Line A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Turin            MetroBs
                                                                                                                                                                          Vancouver                                                                                        Line 1
r egi on and South-East Asia                                                                                                                                              Canada Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Line B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Rome
                                                                                                                                                                       Skytrain Expo Line                                                                                       Milan      Line C
Nearly 3/4 of driverless metro lines are                              81% of driverless metro lines are located in                                                   Skytrain Millenium Line                                                                    Barcelona       Line 5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Line 9
located in cities with dense urban popula-                            cities with over 500,000 inhabitants.                                                                                            Toronto                                                     Line 10
tions (over 4,000 inhabitants/km²).                                                                                                                                                                   Scarborough RT Line 3                                        Line 11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Dubai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Red Line
Worldwide                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Green Line
40 Lines in 26 Networks                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Seoul
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Shinbundang Line
                                                                      NB: The UITP Observatory of automated metros has                                                                                                                                        Uijeongbu - U Line
                                                                      counted 55 lines due to including in its scope certain people
EMEA:                                   APAC: 25%                     mover lines, LRT systems, AGT systems, trains with a >100                                                                                                                               Busan
                       Asia                                                                                                                                                                                                           Shanghai
63%                                                                                                                                                                                              São Paulo                                                    Line 4
                              25                                      passagers/train capacity (vs a capacity of >400 PAX/train for                                                                                                     Line 10
                                                                                                                                                                                               Line 4 Yellow
     Europe                                                           the Wavestone study), monorail trains (vs only due or 3-rails                                                                                                                   Taipei
                                            South America                                                                                                                                                                    Hong Kong
                                                                      for the Wavestone study) as well as Maglev technology (vs                                                                                          South Island Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Brown Line
        57,530                              2,5
                                                     AMERICAS:        only pneumatic or steel for the Wavestone study): scope
                                10                   13%              differences with this benchmark Observatory attributable
                          5             North America                 to the fact that the Wavestone study aims to compare
                                                                      performance on equivalent urban mass-transit technologies                                                                                          Kuala
                              Middle East                             and use.                                                                                                                                         Lumpur
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Sungai Buloh-Kajang Line            Singapore
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Circle Line (CCL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           North-East Line (NEL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Downtown MRT Line (DTL)

                                                                                                                                                                                 Over 5m inhabitants (city population)
                                                                                                                                                                                 Between 1m and 4.9m inhabitants (city population)
                                                                                                                                                                                 Under 1m inhabitants (city population)
                                                                                                                                                                                 Over 10,000 inhab./km² (population density)
*In the scope of this study, the definition of “driverless metro” is slightly different from the one adopted by the UITP,
that considers 55 lines. The UITP includes in its definition people movers, LRT and AGT, which is not the case of the                                                            Between 5,000 and 9,999 inhab./km² (population density)
current benchmark.                                                                                                                                                               Under 5,000 inhab./km² (population density)         Sources: Wavestone research and analysis, UN data, UITP.

                                                                 18                                                                                                                                                                          19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Vancouver
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Canada Line
Overv iew and Key Figures of the World Driverless Metro Market

OPERATORS OPERATING THE GREATEST LINE MILEAGE                                                                                                                            FRENCH ENTITIES OPERATE NEARLY 1/4 OF THE WORLD'S          5 out of the 40 lines
   104                                                                                                                                                                   NETWORKS (23.1%), FOLLOWED CLOSELY BY THE ITALIANS (19.2%)     are operated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               by foreign players
                          75                                                                                                                                                FRANCE                 ITALY                                     CANADA          SOUTH KOREA                   CHINA
                                                 68
                                                                       51
                                                                             41         41           36         36          35                                                                                                                                             7%                                                 87.5% of the lines
                                                                                                                                        31       28             26              23.1%                                                                                                        7%                                are operated by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                  19.2%                                                                                                                       national operators

             s                                       TC                                  t / ro       / up                   / s           s
       oli            Ser
                            co
                                               BCR                    ana   ATM      nsi elG oup ro
                                                                                                                  B
                                                                                                               TM tion Train           ran     Tis
                                                                                                                                                     séo       RA
                                                                                                                                                                    TP
  Ke                                       /                    sar               Tra fortD ro Gr ushi G                ra RT      eoT
                                       ink                Pra                   S                                   p o   M      N
                                 nsl                                          SB Com Met ai Ji                   Cor S                                                   OPERATORS OPERATING THE GREATEST LINE MILEAGE
                          Tra                                                               g h               RT
                                                                                      tn on hang           SM
                                                                                  She S                                                                                     137

TOP 5 COUNTRIES IN TERMS OF DRIVERLESS LINE MILEAGE
                                                                                                                                                                                            50        49
                    120                                                                                                                                                                                                                41              38         35                 34         34                   31             31          30
                                                                  93.2
                                                                                             76.5                        74.6
                                                                                                                                                      57.9                            s                   co                           TC                              B            / o                                  na   p / up        n / ins
                                                                                                                                                                                oli        ATM      Ser                           CR                   séo        TM            sit lGr        RA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    TP
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ara
                                                                                                                                                                           Ke                                                 B                  Tis                         ran ortDe                         s           rou hi Gro ratio T Tra
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           k/                                              T                               Pra           G
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        o s             o   R
                                                                                                                                                                                                                nsl
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      in                                               SBS Comf                                      etr Jiu         orp SM
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Tra                                                                                                   n g M ghai MRT C
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              o
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            nt ha    n        S
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         She S
                   France                                        Canada                  Singapore                      United                        Italy
                                                                                                                     Arab Emirates                                       THE MAJORITY OF DRIVERLESS METRO LINES ARE OPERATED BY
                                                                                                                                                                         PRIVATE EXTERNAL PLAYERS
TOP 5 CITIES IN TERMS OF DRIVERLESS LINE MILEAGE
                   86.8
                                                                  76.5                       74.6                                                                                         Managed by external player                              40                                      Managed by local player
                                                                                                                          51                                                                           (private law)                                                            60        (public service)
                                                                                                                                                       44

                                                                                                                                                                         Vancouver is the only network with 1 line managed by an external player (SNC-Lavalin)
                 Vancouver                                  Singapore                        Dubai                   Kuala Lumpur                      Lille             and the other 2 lines by a public player (municipal council).

                                                                                             20                                                                                                                                                              21
Driverless metro lines are                                    //       Station: the investments involved                                                     //    Operating costs: the additional cost
                                                                       in implementing platform doors are                                                          linked to the maintenance of platform
considerably more competitive
                                                                       offset by smaller platform areas for                                                        protection systems is offset by savings
than conventional metros and                                                                                                                                                                                                              In terms of global costs per
                                                                       driverless metros and, consequently,                                                        on personnel costs and energy costs
will become more so as they are                                        lower civil engineering costs. This                                                         (15% lower for driverless metro lines).                                km, the driverless metro is
industrially developed                                                 results from the higher-level service                                                                                                                              more competitive than the
                                                                       of the driverless metro in terms of
Highly competitive in terms of complete                                headways.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           conventional metro for a
cost:
                                                              //       Line: the costs of driverless lines are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         depreciation of infrastructure
//    Rolling stock: the additional cost                               naturally higher than those of conven-                                                                                                                               and rolling stock of over
      linked to the purchase of driverless                             tional lines. This is largely due to com-                                                                                                                                    30 years.
      trains is offset by a gain in the sizing                         munication and signaling. However,
      of the rolling stock, since automatic                            the use of CBTC communication is
      systems have better performance                                  becoming more widespread for differ-
      (headways / commercial speeds). For                              ent types of metro, thereby reducing
      the same service frequency, the driver-                          the cost gradient involved.
      less metro requires 33%* fewer trains.

Investment Costs per Km             (in € m illion )                                                                                                         Operating Costs per Km             (i n € m i l l i on )

                                                                            21                                         21
                                                                                                                                  0.5                                                 0.5
                      27                    +12%                            15 27               +12%                   15
                      15                                                           15
                                                                                                                                                      –40%                                                   –40%
                                                                                                                                                                                   0.2                                                   0.2
                                                                                                                                  0.2                                                 0.2
                                                                           108                                        108
                      87                                                           87                                                                                              0.360.3                                               0.36
                                                                                                                                  0.3

                                                                                                                                 0.15                                              0.130.15                                              0.13
                 Classic metro                                     Automatic
                                                                       Classicmetro
                                                                               metro                          Automatic metroClassic metro                                  Automatic
                                                                                                                                                                                Classicmetro
                                                                                                                                                                                        metro                                     Automatic metro

                            Lines             Stations             Rolling stock        Lines    Stations     Rolling stock                  Energy               Maintenance                   Energy                  Maintenance
                                                                                                                                             Staff                Staff on board                Staff                   Staff on board

*Rolling stock manufacturers, Wavestone analysis.                                                                                                            Hypotheses: Average line length of 14.5km, 30 trains per line, 22 stations on average per line, 200 drivers
                                                                                                                                                             to operate a line.
                                                                                                                                                             Sources: LVMT Laboratoire ville mobilité transport, The Economics of Urban Transportation 2007,

                                                         22                                                                                                                                                             23
Technological trends and                                                                                                        The share of pneumatic tires                                     for 70% of total mileage built. But pneu-
                                                                                                                                                                                                        matic links have an advantage in terms of
                                                                                                                                       is falling to the benefit of
                                                                                                                                                                                                        sound levels and passenger comfort.

    challenges in metro automation                                                                                                     steel wheel-rail links due
                                                                                                                                       to the specific expertise and
                                                                                                                                                                                                        The know-how of the operator and tech-
                                                                                                                                       maintenance constraints involved                                 nological expertise are decisive. The two
                                                                                                                                       10 manufacturers supplying rolling stock.                        technologies have their specific charac-
Operators need to adopt their                               by Siemens in 2013), indicate the future
                                                                                                                                                                                                        teristics in operation, with pneumatic
                                                            widespread use of the technology in                                        Bombardier, Alstom and Siemens are the
know-how to the growing use of                                                                                                         leaders with 68% of total installed mileage.                     systems requiring know-how in mainte-
                                                            the rail sector in general and driverless
CBTC technology                                             metros in particular.
                                                                                                                                                                                                        nance. In this respect, some operators,
                                                                                                                                       The preferred wheel-rail link in the mileage                     such as Serco and ATM, appear to prefer
CBTC technology is the preferred sig-
                                                            All the metro systems analyzed in this                                     built in the last decade is steel, accounting                    steel links.
naling solution with a 68% share of the
                                                            study are equipped with CBTC signaling
market. This solution combines safety and
                                                            and communication. A wide range of sup-
optimized frequency.                                                                                                                   Market Share of Steel vs. Pneumatic for Analyzed S ample                                (i n %)
                                                            pliers are represented by the benchmark
The market of CBTC solutions suppliers is                   (see graph opposite).
                                                                                                                                                                  Toulouse                                              London (DCL)
highly concentrated: the top 3 suppliers,                                                                                                                               Lille
                                                            The Lille network is currently being                                                                                                                        Copenhagen
namely Bombardier, Siemens and Thales,                                                                                                                               Rennes
                                                            redesigned and the new system is to                                                                                                                         Milan
have a 78% share of the market (including                                                                                                                          Lyon (D)                                             Vancouver
                                                            be equipped with Urbalis, supplied by
for non-automatic trains and metros).                                                                                                                             Lausanne           48                        52       Dubai
                                                            Alstom. But the delay in the project (esti-                                                       Paris (1 & 14)                                            Barcelona
The convergence of manufacturers                            mated at 4 years) means that the current                                                                   Turin                                            Nuremberg
towards CBTC, as well as the invest-                        system (supplied by Siemens) will be                                                                      Taipei
ments involved (Invensys was bought out                     maintained for the next few years.

                                                                                                                                                                                       Pneumatic            Steel
Market Share* of Communication                              Breakdown of CBTC Subcontractors in
System Suppliers ( in %)                                    the S ample Studied ( num b e r o f l i ne s)

                                                            Bombardier    1
                                                                                                                                                        P n eu m at i C                                                         St eel
         22                             Siemens                           Taipei
                                                                                                                                                • Better grip, system adapted to cities with                       • Lower energy consumption owing to reduced
                          40            Thales                  Alstom    1                                                               +        sharp gradients                                         +           rail friction
                                        Bombardier                        Lausanne                                                              • Less noise inside and better passenger                           • Better adapted to metro systems in cities
    19                                                                                                                                             comfort                                                             with difficult weather conditions (e.g. Dubai,
                                        Other actors        Ansaldo STS   2                                                                     • Better adapted to automated system by                               Nordic countries, etc.)
               20                                                         Milan (1), Copenhagen (1)                                                avoiding wheel slip                                              • Lower maintenance costs

                                                                 Thales   6                                                                     • Not particularly energy efficient (+1% to 3%)                     • Recurring slip of train-rail link leading to
*Frost & Sullivan data, Wavestone analysis.
                                                                          London (1), Dubai (2), Vancouver (3)                            –     • Leads to higher maintenance costs                        –           control system problems
                                                                                                                                                • Makes the system heavier, which means it                         • Longer headways owing to longer breaking
                                                               Siemens    12                                                                       consumes more energy                                                and acceleration times
                                                                          Toulouse (2), Lille (2), Rennes (1), Paris (2), Turin (1),            • Higher fine-particle emissions than steel
                                                                          Barcelona (1), Nuremberg (2)

                                                            Sources: World Report on Metro Automation - July 2016,
                                                            UITP.

                                                       24                                                                                                                                          25
What does automation in volve
                                                                                                             The development outlook for
                                                        //    The possible creation of new main-
                                                              tenance workshops adapted to
fo r operato rs?
                                                              solutions that are often specific to
Technically speaking, operators need to:

//       Carry out the prerequisite work for
                                                              driverless metro lines, such as plat-
                                                              form doors.
                                                                                                                driverless metro lines
         the installation of platform doors             Operationally speaking, operators need
         necessary for optimizing passenger             to:
         safety.
                                                        //    Ramp up the driverless rolling stock
//       Roll out the automation system for                   during the transition phase operating    T h e outlo o k fo r t h e d e v e lo pme nt               In 2025, Asia and Europe are expected
         train operation, which differs depend-                                                                                                                   to account for 33% and 30% of driverless
                                                              in combined mode. Operators have         of drive rle ss m e tro lin e s lo o ks
         ing on the desired headways:                         to make this transition with as few                                                                 metro mileage, followed by the Middle
                                                                                                       r obust t h r o ugh 2 02 0 , dri v e n by                  East (25%) with ambitious projects such
     •      For long headways, operators                      interruptions as possible. The com-
                                                                                                       larg e- scal e proj ects                                   as the Riyadh metro.
            can opt for a fixed-block com-                    missioning phase increases risks in
            munication system (in which the                   service quality and requires specific    With more and more people living in cities,                China has announced the introduction
            position of the train is determined               expertise on the part of the operator.   mass transit systems increasingly have to:                 of two new driverless lines between now
            relative to a section of the line).                                                                                                                   and end-2017, one of them built exclusively
                                                        Organizationally speaking, operators           //   O p t i m i z e t h e ex i s t i n g u r b a n
            This is a mature technique used                                                                                                                       with Chinese technologies.
                                                        need to:                                            infrastructure as capacity can be
            by driverless and manual metro
                                                                                                            extended only to a limited extent. The
            lines. However, because it is only          //    Redeploy driving staff to con-
                                                                                                            solution in this case is the automation               Completed and Projected Driverless Metro
            moderately precise, it cannot be                  nected positions (line control and
            used for short headways.                          supervision).
                                                                                                            of conventional lines.                                Lines* in Km and Growth Over 10 Years
     •      For short headways, operators               //    Upskill existing staff or hire the new   //   Develop new infrastructure on the                                                                  276%
                                                                                                                                                                  2,000
            are required to implement a                       employees required to ensure the              outskirts of cities offering users
                                                                                                            high-quality service while keeping                    1,800
            mobile-block communication                        operation and maintenance of driv-
            system (in which train position                                                                 costs under control.                                  1,600
                                                              erless lines.
            and speed are determined in a                                                                                                                         1,400
                                                                                                       Automated technologies propose solu-
            precise manner). This necessarily                                                                                                                     1,200
                                                                                                       tions meeting both these requirements.
            calls for the roll-out of additional                                                                                                                  1,000
            technologies, namely ATP*, ATC*                                                            According to the UITP, by 2025 some                         800
            and ATO*. This in turn leads to                                                            2,300km of driverless metro lines will                      600                            143%
            additional risks (of a technical                                                           be in operation, compared with around
                                                                                                                                                                   400
            nature).                                                                                   800km today.                                                                  103%
                                                                                                                                                                   200
                                                                                                       The increasingly widespread use of CBTC                       0
                                                                                                                                                                          1990       2000         2010         2020*
                                                                                                       technology by all driverless metro lines
                                                                                                       together with rising living standards in                   Source: World Report on Metro Automation - July 2016,
                                                                                                       emerging countries will boost the com-                     UITP.
                                                                                                                                                                  *The estimated number of kilometers by 2020 takes
                                                                                                       petitiveness of automation solutions and
                                                        *See glossary.                                                                                            account of construction and/or automation projects
                                                                                                       increase demand.                                           confirmed as of July 2016.

                                                   26                                                                                                        27
Description of scope
      and methodology

28            29
Scope of the study
Data acc ess and reliability enabl ed us to analyz e 2 5 driv e rl e ss                                                                                List of Driverless Metro Lines Worldwide
m e tr o lines* o ut of the total 40 existing in February 2 017 with in
t h e sco pe o f the study                                                                                                                             Network included in the comparative analysis
                                                                                                                                                       Network not included in the analysis due to the
                                                                                                                                                       unavailability or unreliability of information                                                               Copenhagen
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    M1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Paris
Criteria Used to Define Scope                                                               Over 5m inhabitants (city population)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Line 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    M2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Lille
                                                                                            Between 1m and 4.9m inhabitants (city population)                                                                                              Line 14
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         London                       Line 1
                                                                                            Under 1m inhabitants (city population)                                                                                                                                  Nuremberg
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Docklands Light Railway                    Line 2
                                                                                            Over 10,000 inhab./km² (population density)                                                                                                                             Line U2 / Line U21
              Driverless metro*: a dedicated, rail-powered circuit mainly used    for
                                                                             Between     com-
                                                                                      5,000 and 9,999 inhab./km² (population density)                                                                                                                               Line 3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Rennes
              mutes, with several carriages (up to 6 or 8), raised access andUnder 5,000 inhab./km² (population density)
                                                                               a capacity                                                                                                                                       Line A                         Lausanne
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Budapest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Lyon                             M4
              of over 400 passengers                                                                                                                                                                                                      Line D
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               M2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Toulouse                                  Brescia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Turin            MetroBs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Line A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Line 1
                                                                                                                                                     Vancouver                                                               Line B
              Not including automated people-mover*, light rail transit* and automated                                                               Canada Line                                                                                                   Rome
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Milan      Line C
                                                                                                                                                  Skytrain Expo Line                                                                    Barcelona
              guideway transit* systems                                                                                                         Skytrain Millenium Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Line 5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Line 9
                                                                                                                                                                               Toronto                                                     Line 10
                                                                                                                                                                               Scarborough RT Line 3                                       Line 11
              Pneumatic or steel rail link                                                                                                                                                                                    Dubai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Red Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Green Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Seoul
              Excluding Maglev and Hyperloop rail links                                                                                                                                                                               Shinbundang Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Uijeongbu - U Line

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Shanghai                 Busan
                                                                                                                                                                            São Paulo                         Line 10                 Line 4
              Dual-rail or third-rail systems                                                                                                                             Line 4 Yellow
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Taipei
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Hong Kong
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Brown Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                 South Island Line

              Excluding monorail

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Kuala
              Automation level GoA 3 and 4*                                                                                                                                                     Lumpur
                                                                                                                                                                                Sungai Buloh-Kajang Line         Singapore
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Circle Line (CCL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 North-East Line (NEL)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Downtown MRT Line (DTL)
              Automation level GoA 1 and 2* excluded

*The terms used in the study are defined in the glossary.

                                                            30                                                                                                                                                       31
B e nch mark metho dology

                                                                                                                                               Icons denoting the fields to which the analysis
Performance Fields Selected for the Benchmark                                                                                                                              of each page refers

                           Performance field                                                             Indicators concerned                                                 Proposed weighting

                                                                                                           Commercial speed
                                                                                                           Distance between stations
1                            Performance of infrastructure and rolling stock                               Headway                                                                        1
                                                                                                           Accessibility
                                                                                                           Intrusion rate in network

                                                                                                           Punctuality and/or availability and/or regularity

2                            Service reliability and quality
                                                                                                           Cleanliness
                                                                                                           Passenger information
                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5
                                                                                                           Passenger safety

                                                                                                           Available communication networks                                   Field assessed but
2                            Auxiliary or innovative services                                              Innovative mobility service (route planner, etc.)
                                                                                                                                                                              not included in the
                                                                                                                                                                              final grade attributed
                                                                                                           New technologies (NFC, IoT, mobile)                                to each metro line

      The difference in performance between 2 driverless metro lines can be attributed to a great
     extent by the operator’s ability to effectively operate the lines in question. Infrastructure and
    rolling stock are key to the performance of a network but with room for maneuver in the much
                                                longer term.

                                                   32                                                                                                             33
Summary of the
     comparative analysis
      of driverless metro
             lines

34            35
Perspective                                                           T h e p e rfo rmance o f t h e wo rld ’ s               Grades for the Performance of
                                                                                                   driv e rl e ss lin e s : a p e rfect                    Driverless Metro Lines (ou t of 5)
                                                                                                                                                           I nf rastru ctu re x Operati on / Network age
                                                                                                   balanc e b e twe e n infrastructur e
                                                                                                   and op e rati o n at t h e s e rv ic e o f                             Lille - Line 2                                             4
                                                                                                   pass e ng e rs                                                        Lille - Line 1                                              4
The performance of a transport system –                     The architecture and geography
including driverless metros – is impacted            **     of the network: involving the          The performance of driverless metro lines
                                                                                                                                                                  London - Docklands
                                                                                                                                                                       Light Railway                                                 4
by a set of factors external to the orga-                   uneven exposure of rolling stock       is assessed through a complex equation of                        Toulouse - Line A                                            3.9
nization of the operator or transport                       to its environment (underground,       the operational ability to deliver a trans-
                                                                                                                                                                 Taipei - Wenhu Line                                            3.8
authority                                                   overground) and specific needs         port service adapted to mobility behavior
                                                                                                                                                                         Lyon - Line D                                          3.8
                                                            for fulfilling transport demand (air   and the optimization of the transport con-
This means that the distinctive character-                  conditioning, heating).                ditions of the journey experience.                                 Rennes - Line A                                           3.8
istics of each network have to be taken
                                                                                                   //   The correlation between the strong                              Paris - Line 14                                        3.7
into account in order to contextualize the                  The “load curve” (breakdown of
analysis                                             **     passenger use over the day):                constraints imposed by transport                       Vancouver - Expo Line                                           3.6
                                                            involving peaks of varying extent           authorities (short headways) and the                        Toulouse - Line B                                    3.2
Consequently, the following character-                      that may have an impact on punc-            punctuality of the service is vital to
                                                                                                                                                                 Copenhagen - M1/M2                                    3.1
istics or factors need to be considered                     tuality (passenger incidents, etc.).        performance.
when comparing performance:                                                                                                                                              Turin - Line 1                                3.1
                                                                                                   //   Ageing networks require opera-
                                                            The socio-cultural characteristics                                                                       Dubai - Red line                                  3.1
                                                                                                        tional overperformance on the part
        The age of the network: entailing            **     of the user population: involving
   *    growing obsolescence costs with                     the uneven use of public services,
                                                                                                        of operators.                                              Dubai - Green line                                3
        the age of the infrastructure and                   with particular impact on cleanli-     //   The experience operators have of a                             Nuremberg U2                                  2.9
        rolling stock, as well as the corre-                ness and safety.                            network and their length of service                            Nuremberg U3                               2.8
        sponding adapted processes for                                                                  are decisive to the performance of                               Paris - Line 1                          2.7
        maintaining the line in operational                                                             an driverless metro line.
        condition.                                                                                                                                                     Lausanne - M2                           2.6
                                                                                                   The design, construction and commis-                            Barcelona - Line 9                          2.5
        The requirements included in the                                                           sioning of an driverless metro line present
   *    delegation contract (headways):             *Factor taken into account in the grade        value added for the city and its popula-
                                                                                                                                                                        Milan - Line 5                     2.4

        involving an operational strategy                                                          tion, as vital as it is a difficult activity for          Vancouver - Canada Line                      2.3
                                                    attributed to the metro line.
        on the part of the operator capa-                                                          transport authorities and operators.                    Vancouver - Millenium Line                    2.1
        ble of delivering performance               **Factor not taken into account in the
                                                                                                                                                                                           0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
        consistent with contractual                 grade, but assessed in the analysis of the     The most recent driverless lines and net-
                                                                                                   works demonstrate high levels of reliabil-                               ATM              Keolis      Serco                    TL
        requirements.                               results.
                                                                                                                                                                          BCRTC            SNC Lav.       TBM                   TRTC
                                                                                                   ity that need to be maintained over the
                                                                                                                                                                            GTT               RATP      Tisséo                   VAG
                                                                                                   long term if they are to become world
                                                                                                   leaders.                                                Sources: Wavestone grades and modeling.
                                                                                                                                                           The grade being the weighted sum of infrastructure
                                                                                                                                                           performance (weight=1), operational performance
                                                                                                                                                           (weight=1.5) and the network age indicator (weight=0.5).

                                               36                                                                                                     37
T h e highest-performance driverless metro line s s h are t h e sam e
c h aracteristics of excell enc e                                                                             Infrastructure and rolling
                                                                                                                  stock performance
        The best driverless metro transport services all score high on 4 key points related to
                                    infrastructure and operation:
                                                                                                     T h e p e rfo rmance o f t h e                               Grades for the Performance of
                                                                                                     infrastructur e and r o lling                                Infrastructure and Rolling Stock*                             (out of 5)
                                                                                                     stoc k o f t h e wo rld ’ s dri v e rle ss                       Vancouver - Expo Line                                                  4.3
       The able management of                                                                        m e tr o lin e s und e rpins t h e ir
                                                                 Strong punctuality                                                                                        Toulouse - Line A                                                 4.3
        ageing infrastructure                                                                        saf e ty and co mfo rt
                                                                                                                                                                                Lille - Line 2                                               4.2
                                                                                                     Infrastructure and rolling stock perfor-                                   Lille - Line 1                                               4.2
  These operators demonstrate excel-                    This is a defining characteristic of driv-
                                                                                                     mance involves:
  lence in the management of old assets.                erless metro lines. But combined with                                                                                 Paris - Line 14                                           3.9
  As confirmed by the impressive                           short headways it confirms the abil-      //    Strategies on urban mobility flow                            London - Docklands
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3.8
                                                                                                                                                                               Light Railway
  availability and regularity of                                ity of an operator to respect              management: the design of a driv-
  their networks.                                                  the requirements imposed                erless metro line, from upstream
                                                                                                                                                                        Taipei - Wenhu Line
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      CT    URE3.8                 PUN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         CT
                                                                     by the transport authority.           research to the layout of the line and                              Lyon - Line D                       RU                 3.7

                                                                                                                                                                                                            A ST

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          UA
                                                                                                           the choice of stations, determines the                            Rennes - Line A                                          3.7

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              LIT
                                                                                                                                                                                                        I NF R
                                                                                                           relevance of a line and its utilization                         Toulouse - Line B                                      3.5
                                                                                                           success.
                                                                                                                                                                        Copenhagen - M1/M2                                      3.2
                                                                                                     //    Network access: an infrastructure                                   Turin - Line 1                                   3.2
                                                                                                           that makes access easier for people
                                                                                                                                                                  Vancouver - Millenium Line                                3.1
                                                                                                           with mobility issues or harder for

                                                                                                                                                                                                            HEA
                                                                                                           fraudulent users contributes to over-                              Nuremberg U2                                  3.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 WA

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     FO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     CO M

                                                                                                                                                                                                             D
                                                                                                           all quality.                                                        Milan - Line 5                         Y S3.0
                                                                High-level user satisfaction                                                                                  Nuremberg U3
                                                                                                     //    Matching operating requirements                                                                                 2.9
        Short headways                                           relative to cleanliness
                                                                                                           and expected use: the optimization                               Dubai - Red line                              2.7
                                                                       and safety                          of infrastructure and rolling stock
                                                                                                                                                                          Dubai - Green line                          2.6
  The strong punctuality of the lines                   Globally speaking, the surveys led by              hinges on aligning service levels with
                                                                                                                                                                          Barcelona - Line 9                          2.6
  managed by these operators confirms                   these operators confirm a good level               use.
  their commitment to demanding trans-                  of user satisfaction, knowing that                                                                                     Paris - Line 1                         2.6
                                                                                                     Infrastructure operation and maintenance
  port authorities.                                     ageing infrastructure has a negative                                                                                  Lausanne - M2                           2.6
                                                                                                     serve to maintain performance levels over
                                                        impact on passenger perception in                                                                           Vancouver - Canada Line
                                                                                                     the long term. This challenge tests the                                                                        2.5
                                                        this area.
                                                                                                     operational performance of operators.                                                       0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
                                                                                                                                                                                  ATM              Keolis         Serco                  TL
                                                                                                                                                                                BCRTC            SNC Lav.          TBM                 TRTC
                                                                                                                                                                                  GTT               RATP         Tisséo                 VAG

                                                                                                     *The sum of the grade attributed to the performance of the network and stock (weight=1) and the grade attributed to
                                                                                                     the aged of the infrastructure (weight=0.5) (5 corresponds to very old infrastructure).

                                                 38                                                                                                          39
Fo ur main cat egories of infrastructure and rolling stoc k
p e rfo rmanc e for driverless metro lines

                                                                                efficient                                                     BEGINNER                                                             AGILE                                                                  STRUGGLING
                                                                         High performance/                                               High performance/                                              Average performance/                                                          Low performance/
                                                                            Old network                                                Relatively new network                                             Very old network                                                         Relatively new network
Infrastructure and rolling stok performance (out of 5)

                                                           5                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         40
                                                         4.8                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         35
                                                         4.6

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Age of infrastructure (in years)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     30
                                                         4.4
                                                         4.2                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         25
                                                           4                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20
                                                         3.8                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         15
                                                         3.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10
                                                         3.4
                                                         3.2                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5
                                                           3                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                                                              5

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                                                                                                 Performance infrastructure                                                                                                                     Age of infrastructure
                                                                                                 rolling stock

                                                                                                                              The players operate infrastructure                                                                                                                      The entities in this category have
                                                   The entities in this category operate                                                                                                                          The input of operators in this
                                                                                                                             and rolling stock that are generally                                                                                                                    difficulties maintaining their rolling
                                                   infrastructure and rolling stock that                                                                                                                        category is clearly a factor in the
                                                                                                                              recent and even new. Their strong                                                                                                                     stock in optimal operating condition,
                                                    are several years old. Their strong                                                                                                                          performance of the assets. The
                                                                                                                             performance may be considered as                                                                                                                        independently of the fact that their
                                                    performance reflects their optimal                                                                                                                          advanced age of the rolling stock
                                                                                                                               resulting from the newness of the                                                                                                                      stock is new. As such, the ageing
                                                    use of these assets, which requires                                                                                                                        suggests considerable maturity on
                                                                                                                                network. At this stage, the good                                                                                                                     of the infrastructure and the rolling
                                                    good operating conditions on the                                                                                                                           the part of the operator in terms of
                                                                                                                            performance of the rolling stock cannot                                                                                                                 stock will have a considerable impact
                                                         part of the transporters.                                                                                                                                maintenance and operations.
                                                                                                                             be correlated to any operator input.                                                                                                                               on performance.

                                                                                                                      40                                                                                                                                                     41
L ine density is a factor in the                 Average Distance Between Stations                 (in m)   Comm e rcial sp e e d, a k e y                      Average Commercial Speed                               (i n km / h )
r e ducti o n o f trav el times, the                         Lausanne - M2
                                                                                                            c h aract e ristic in transp o rt                        Vancouver - Expo Line                                            INNOVIA Métro
impr ovement of the pass enger                              Rennes - Line A
                                                                                                            s e rv ice , is a co r e p e rfo rmance                           Vancouver -                                             (Bombardier)
                                                                                                                                                                           Millenium Line
e x p e rience and the optimization                          Nuremberg U3
                                                                                                            ass e ssm e nt ite m                                                                                                Kinki Sharyo
                                                                                                                                                                          Dubai - Red line
o f infrastructur e                                                                                         VAL rolling stock is the most represented                                                                           VAL (Siemens)
                                                               Turin - Line 1                                                                                               Taipei - Wenhu Line
Driverless metro networks are character-                                                                    in the study sample, accounting for 35% of                      Copenhagen - M1/M2                                  Ansaldo Breda
                                                              Milan - Line 5
ized by short distances between stations.                                                                   lines. It is operated at low speeds on some
                                                               Paris - Line 1                                                                                                     Paris - Line 14                               MP14 (Alstom)
                                                                                                            lines (such as Turin) and high speeds on
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                EMU Rotem (Hyundai/
European lines are denser in this respect                       Lille - Line 2                              others (Lille and Taipei). In addition, some        Vancouver - Canada Line                                         Mitsubishi)
than international lines, mainly because                  Toulouse - Line A                                 operators appear to have experience with                             Nuremberg U2                                   DT1 DT2DT3 DT3-F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                (Siemens)
European cities have smaller surface                                                                        and a preference for a single type of roll-
                                                               Lille - Line 1                                                                                                       Lille - Line 2
areas and users prefer public transport                                                                     ing stock (Ansaldo Breda for ATM, for
                                                        London - Docklands                                                                                                          Lille - Line 1
to walking.                                                  Light Railway                                  example).
                                                          Toulouse - Line B                                                                                                    Toulouse - Line A                                VAL (Siemens)
Adding more stations to a network or line                                                                   End-to-end line times depend mainly on
                                                             Nuremberg U2                                                                                                      Toulouse - Line B
involves additional operating constraints                                                                   station stop times. Commercial speed is
                                                                                                                                                                                Rennes - Line A
(the more stations, the higher the punc-                       Lyon - Line D                                thus inversely proportional to the density
tuality risk). The operators of European                                                                                                                                     Dubai - Green line                                 Kinki Sharyo
                                                       Copenhagen - M1/M2                                   of stations on a given line (see previous
networks appear to be more exposed to                                                                       slide vs. graph opposite).                                             Paris - Line 1                               MP05 (Alstom)
                                                       Taipei - Wenhu Line
this type of constraint.                                                                                                                                                           Lyon - Line D                                MPL85 (Alstom)
                                                              Paris - Line 14                               By optimizing acceleration and braking
Short distances between stations help                                                                                                                                         Barcelona - Line 9                                Série 9000 (Alstom)
                                                         Barcelona - Line 9                                 times, driverless metro lines increase the
operators to maintain reasonable travel

                                                                                                                                                                Low speed
                                                                                                            average commercial speed of “dense”                                   Milan - Line 5                                AnsaldoBreda
                                                          Dubai- Green line
times between stations at low speed. They                                                                   lines.                                                                                                              DT3 DT3-F (Siemens)
                                                                                                                                                                                 Nuremberg U3
also limit infrastructure wear and reduce          Vancouver - Canada Line
                                                                                                            High commercial speed entails additional                              Turin - Line 1                                VAL (Siemens)
the resulting maintenance costs.                     Vancouver - Expo Line
                                                                                                                                                                            London - Docklands
                                                                                                            operating constraints. Operators manag-                              Light Railway
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                B2007 (Bombardier)
                                                 Vancouver - Millenium Line
                                                                                                            ing low-speed lines only may find it dif-                           Lausanne - M2                                   Be 8/8 TL (Alstom)
                                                           Dubai - Red line                                 ficult to effectively operate high-speed
                                                                                                                                                                                                     0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
                                                                                                            lines.
                                                                               400

                                                                                 00
                                                                               800
                                                                                  0

                                                                                 00
                                                                               600

                                                                                 00
                                                                                 00
                                                                               200

                                                                                 00

                                                                             1,8
                                                                             1,6
                                                                             1,2
                                                                             1,0

                                                                             1,4

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Average = 33.1km/h
                                                                                 Average = 967m
                                                                                                                                                                                     ATM                Keolis      Serco          TL
                                                                                         Europe
                                                                                                                                                                                   BCRTC              SNC Lav.       TBM         TRTC
                                                                                  North America
                                                                                                                                                                                     GTT                 RATP      Tisséo         VAG
                                                                                    Middle East
                                                                                            Asia

                                            42                                                                                                             43
driv e rless metro lines generally pr ovide improv e d acc e ss                                                   The choice of infrastructure                                  Estimated Fraud Rate (in %)
fo r pass engers                                                                                                  access is crucial to fraud rates.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Average = 4 %
                                                                                                                  Open systems* fostering an
                                                                                                                                                                                     London - Docklands
              Low                                  Average                                  High                  enhanced customer experience                                            Light Railway             OPEN SYSTEM

          Accessibility                          Accessibility                           Accessibility            lead to poor results in this                                          Nuremberg - U3
                                                                                                                  respect
                                                                                                                                                                                        Nuremberg - U2
                                                                                                                  Platform access gates are decisive in the
                                                                                                                  fight against fraud.
  10% of the lines surveyed have         3% of the lines analyzed have              87% of the metro lines                                                                                  Milan - Line 5
 limited accessibility: fewer than      average accessibility: more than              analyzed have high          The two networks still without these gates
80% of the stations are equipped       80% of the stations are equipped          accessibility: more than 90%                                                                       Copenhagen - M1/M2
                                                                                                                  (Lille and Rennes) have fraud rates of over
for people with reduced mobility       for people with reduced mobility         of the total number of stations   10%, compared with 7% for networks with
                                                                                 are equipped for passengers                                                                       Paris - Line 1 / Line 14
                                                                                                                  gates. However, the DLR line in London
                                                                                     with reduced mobility        remarkably has the lowest fraud rate
                                                                                                                                                                                           Lausanne - M2
                                                                                                                  despite lacking access gates.
                                                                                                                                                                                Toulouse - Line A / Line B
                                                                                                                  The installation of access gates is often
                                                                                                                  a joint decision by the operator and the
                                                                                                                                                                                       Barcelona - Line 9
                                                                                                                  transport authority. Access gates appear
                                                                                                                  to be much more effective at limiting
                                                                                                                                                                                             Turin - Line 1
                                                                                                                  fraud than an increase in (often random)
                                                                                                                  ticket inspections by the operator.                           Vancouver - Canada Line

                                                                                                                  The socio-economic characteristics of                          Vancouver - Expo Line /
                                                                                                                  the cities and neighborhoods served by                                Millenium Line
                                                                                                                  the metro line are also a key factor in this
                                                                                                                                                                                            Lyon - Line D
                                                                                                                  respect, with the fraud rate varying on the
                                                                                                                  same line from one station to the next.
        Station accessibility is generally related to infrastructure and thus to the transport authority’s                                                                               Rennes - Line A                        OPEN SYSTEM
                                                                                                                  Operators are powerless against this vari-
          approach to the issue. However, the availability of the implemented solutions results from
                                                                                                                  able but it does negatively impact their
      the performance of operators. Besides the fact that this availability remains difficult to measure,                                                                            Lille - Line 1 / Line 2                            OPEN SYSTEM
                                                                                                                  operations over the long term.
           the metro lines analyzed have high accessibility as a whole, resulting from standardized                                                                                                            0     2      4     6   8 10 12 14 16
         construction compliant with new standards and good rolling stock access (reduced distance
                                          between platform and train).                                                                                                                                             Europe             North America

                                                                                                                  * A system is considered as “open” if access to the metro network is not controlled by gates.

                                                      44                                                                                                                   45
Service reliability
          and quality performance
French driverless metro                 Grades for Reliability and Service
lines are extremely reliable,           Quality Performance* (ou t of 5 )
                                                                                                                          **
a quality reinforced by                                                                                    d
                                                                                                                     lity
                                                                                                             e nctua eing twork
                                                                                                      Gr a     Pu       Ag ne
expertise in the operation                     London - Docklands
                                                                                                      4.2 99.11 % / 30 yrs
                                                     Light Railway
of ageing networks                                     Lille - Line 2                              3.8        99.80 % / 28 yrs
                                                      Lille - Line 1                               3.8        99.80 % / 34 yrs
Reliability and service quality are                  Lyon - Line D                                 3.8        97.23 % / 26 yrs
key factors in driverless metro               Taipei - Wenhu Line                                  3.8        99.73 % / 21 yrs    35 - 46
line operational performance,                     Rennes - Line A                                  3.8        99.66 % / 15 yrs
determining:                                    Toulouse - Line A                                 3.7         99.50 % / 24 yrs
                                                    Paris - Line 14                              3.5          99.70 % / 19 yrs
//   The passenger experience
                                                  Dubai - Red line                             3.3            99.23 % / 8 yrs
//   The rhythm of the service                  Dubai - Green line                             3.3            99.83 % / 6 yrs
                                           Vancouver - Expo Line                             3.0              96.00 % / 31 yrs
Performance in this area is an oper-             Toulouse - Line B                           3.0              99.50 % / 10 yrs
ational signature that also creates          Copenhagen - M1/M2                              3.0              98.80 % / 15 yrs
the relational signature of the net-                  Turin - Line 1                         3.0              99.90 % / 11 yrs
work: a memorable mass transit                    Nuremberg - U3                           2.8                99.00 % / 9 yrs
                                                  Nuremberg - U2                           2.8                99.00 % / 7 yrs
experience or, on the contrary, an
                                                     Paris - Line 1                        2.8                99.70 % / 6 yrs
unpleasant experience encouraging
                                                   Lausanne - M2                          2.7                 93.00 % / 9 yrs
customers to use other transport                Barcelona - Line 9                       2.5                  94.72 % / 8 yrs
modes.                                   Vancouver - Canada Line                      2.2                     96.00 % / 8 yrs
                                       Vancouver - Millenium Line                    2.0                      96.00 % / 15 yrs
                                                     Milan - Line 5                 1.8                       96.00 % / 4 yrs
                                                                        0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

                                                                    ATM             Keolis         Serco            TL
                                                                  BCRTC           SNC Lav.          TBM           TRTC
                                                                    GTT              RATP         Tisséo           VAG

                                        *The sum of the grade attributed to reliability and service quality
                                        (weight=1) and the grade attributed to the age of the infrastruc-
                                        ture (weight=0.5) (5 corresponds to very old infrastructure).
                                        ** According to data availability and/or reliability, the figure may
                                        concern punctuality, availability or regularity (see glossary for
                                        definitions).

                                           46                                                                                               47
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